Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 10/26/26: Lula Defeats Bolsonaro, Mehdi Hasan Exposes AIPAC, Early Vote Omen For GOP
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Had a busy day?
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- 0:13Speaker 2: the newsletter at the top for free today. All right,
- 0:21Speaker 2: heading down to Brazil now.
- 0:22Speaker 4: Flavio Bolsonaro, after the first round election, had something like
- 0:26Speaker 4: a 90-plus percent chance to win elections.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Last night's election.
- 0:30Speaker 4: Instead, you're looking at the winner right there, Lula da Silva,
- 0:35Speaker 4: with a comeback of absolutely historic proportions, winning a narrow
- 0:41Speaker 4: victory over Bolsonaro. The Brazilian stock market has lost something
- 0:48Speaker 4: like 20 to 30.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Percent, maybe a quarter of its value.
- 0:52Speaker 4: The market had absolutely surged after Bolsonaro's won the first
- 0:58Speaker 4: round elections and looked like he was going to become
- 1:02Speaker 4: Brazil's new president.
- 1:03Speaker 2: But the right there, extremely shocked.
- 1:08Speaker 4: Disappointed, and selling off as many assets as they can
- 1:12Speaker 4: watching Lula's victory. Joining us to talk about this will
- 1:16Speaker 4: be Juan David Rojas, who was down in Brazil over
- 1:19Speaker 4: the past couple of weeks covering the election.
- 1:22Speaker 2: Juan, thanks so much for being here. Thanks for having
- 1:25Speaker 2: me on, guys. So there were some rumors in.
- 1:28Speaker 4: The last couple of days that polls were showing an
- 1:31Speaker 4: extraordinarily tightened race. It seems like there are pockets of
- 1:40Speaker 4: voters who didn't turn out in the first round, who
- 1:42Speaker 4: did turn out for Lula this time, when I guess
- 1:45Speaker 4: they kind of realized, oh, wait a second, Flavio Bolsonaro
- 1:49Speaker 4: might actually win this. And not as many of the
- 1:53Speaker 4: minor parties who lost, supporters, went to Bolsonaro as they thought.
- 2:00Speaker 4: Did you see any of this coming? What do you
- 2:03Speaker 4: think happened between the first round and this final round
- 2:08Speaker 4: that shift these results so dramatically?
- 2:11Speaker 5: This is a truly shocking victory. I thought that Lulu
- 2:15Speaker 5: would lose. And in fairness, the polls were sort of
- 2:18Speaker 5: wrong in both directions. They were wrong in the first
- 2:21Speaker 5: round in that they didn't expect Bolsonaro to win in
- 2:24Speaker 5: the first round. He got the most votes. They thought
- 2:26Speaker 5: that Lula would get the most votes. And then in
- 2:28Speaker 5: the runoff, a lot of them were 50-50, but many
- 2:31Speaker 5: still had Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead. What I think happened
- 2:37Speaker 5: in the first round, for instance, is that a lot
- 2:39Speaker 5: of the support for third candidates dropped off and went
- 2:43Speaker 5: to Flavio Bolsonaro, evidently at the last minute. And in
- 2:47Speaker 5: the second round, wow. The PT really went into overdrive.
- 2:51Speaker 5: I saw this in every city I went to. I
- 2:53Speaker 5: went to five Brazilian cities and you just saw PT
- 2:56Speaker 5: people handing out flyers everywhere, holding rallies. Lula went around
- 3:02Speaker 5: the country, which really was incredible. He's 80 years old
- 3:05Speaker 5: and is still extremely sharp mentally. He arrived like running
- 3:09Speaker 5: to this demonstration of like 300,000 people in Sao Paulo.
- 3:15Speaker 5: And Andres Anonis has been really credited as a federal
- 3:19Speaker 5: deputy for the PT, put together this social media following,
- 3:25Speaker 5: like this WhatsApp group, which was over the course of
- 3:28Speaker 5: just the first and second rounds, gained like 10 million followers, 7%
- 3:33Speaker 5: of the electorate.
- 3:34Speaker 2: It was really, really crazy.
- 3:36Speaker 5: So this is historic in every way. No Brazilian president
- 3:40Speaker 5: had ever won a runoff after losing in the first round.
- 3:45Speaker 5: And of course, Lula is elected to a historic fourth term. Now,
- 3:50Speaker 5: at the same time, this is also, I hate to
- 3:54Speaker 5: rain on everyone's parade, but this is really a pyrrhic
- 3:57Speaker 5: victory because Bolsonaro made huge gains in Congress. They won
- 4:01Speaker 5: something like half of all seats that were up for
- 4:04Speaker 5: grabs in the Senate. They nearly controlled the Senate. So
- 4:07Speaker 5: this is going to be really tough in Lula's next term.
- 4:11Speaker 6: Let's put this map Up on the screen, guys, this
- 4:14Speaker 6: should be D3. We can see the shift towards Lula
- 4:18Speaker 6: from the initial election to the runoff. And the red
- 4:23Speaker 6: arrows that you see here, it's a little backwards from
- 4:25Speaker 6: what we're used to in the U.S., but the red
- 4:27Speaker 6: shifts are towards Lula. And you can see in the
- 4:30Speaker 6: vast majority of the country, there was a shift towards Lula.
- 4:34Speaker 6: Let's also put the polymarket image up on the screen here.
- 4:37Speaker 6: We had a major gambling app fail. They really thought,
- 4:43Speaker 6: you can see at the peak, they really thought that
- 4:45Speaker 6: Flavio was going to win going into this. And then
- 4:48Speaker 6: as the results came in, it just drops off a
- 4:50Speaker 6: cliff and totally flips Flavio. So, you know, no real insider,
- 4:56Speaker 6: no real sort of like intuition or instinct that went
- 4:59Speaker 6: against the polls here. And one of the things that
- 5:01Speaker 6: I did see, Juan, is that one of the pollsters
- 5:03Speaker 6: came out and said basically like, look, we were so
- 5:05Speaker 6: worried about underestimating Flavio and the Bolsonaro movement this time
- 5:10Speaker 6: that we put our film too much on the scales
- 5:12Speaker 6: in the other direction and we missed what was going
- 5:14Speaker 6: on here.
- 5:16Speaker 1: Very, very possible.
- 5:17Speaker 5: Yeah, like I said, I mean, the amount of support
- 5:20Speaker 5: I saw for Lula on the streets was insane. And,
- 5:25Speaker 5: you know, in the past, like support on the street
- 5:27Speaker 5: wasn't necessarily correlated to vote totals, but dude, like, over
- 5:32Speaker 5: the weekend, there was a rally in Sao Paulo that
- 5:34Speaker 5: had supposedly half a million people. It was apparently the
- 5:37Speaker 5: largest demonstration in the country's history, potentially. Lula, really, if
- 5:44Speaker 5: you look at the data, what he managed to do
- 5:46Speaker 5: was drive out people who abstained in the first round.
- 5:48Speaker 5: Abstention in the first round actually was the highest in history,
- 5:51Speaker 5: something like 22%. And that dropped off significantly in the
- 5:56Speaker 5: second round, I think by a few points. So, it's
- 6:01Speaker 5: really stunning. I saw that potentially even some of Flavio
- 6:06Speaker 5: Bolsonaro's voters in the first round evidently ended up abstaining
- 6:14Speaker 5: in the second round. So it's truly shocking. Really, I'm
- 6:18Speaker 5: going to be honest, Lula has had a lot of
- 6:20Speaker 5: failings in this term. By far, this has been his
- 6:22Speaker 5: most disappointing of his three terms so far. But the
- 6:26Speaker 5: thing is, on the other hand, like He was literally
- 6:28Speaker 5: running against a bunch of guys, an entire family, who
- 6:32Speaker 5: lobbied to accidentally and intentionally tariff and sanction their own country. So,
- 6:38Speaker 5: I mean, it's really an indictment on Bolsonaro.
- 6:42Speaker 2: Now, Flavio is saying that he doesn't respect these results,
- 6:46Speaker 2: that he's crying foul.
- 6:48Speaker 4: What do you suspect? There's also been some reports that
- 6:51Speaker 4: he might just leave. But given the fact that they
- 6:53Speaker 4: did so well in Congress.
- 6:57Speaker 4: What do you expect his future is? Because on the
- 7:00Speaker 4: one hand, he's feeling quite vulnerable. On the other hand,
- 7:03Speaker 4: he's complaining that the results were not fair. On the
- 7:06Speaker 4: other hand, his movement is, at the lower level, surging.
- 7:11Speaker 4: And what irregularities is he referring to, and where do
- 7:14Speaker 4: you see this going?
- 7:15Speaker 5: Yeah, there were irregularities. I don't think that they affected
- 7:18Speaker 5: the result. What happened yesterday was.
- 7:22Speaker 5: In a handful of cities with mayors controlled by Bolsonaro allies,
- 7:29Speaker 5: they were screwing around with transportation to polling stations and
- 7:33Speaker 5: PT areas. And there's been back and forth over this.
- 7:37Speaker 5: But anyway, Lula complained and requested an extension to voting.
- 7:43Speaker 5: And there was also inclement weather in the south of
- 7:45Speaker 5: the country where Bolsonaro is really strong. So both candidates
- 7:48Speaker 5: actually ended up requesting an extension. But once polls had
- 7:52Speaker 5: already closed, a single justice, Cristiano Zanin, who was Lula's
- 7:58Speaker 5: personal lawyer, issued a monochromatic decision. Brazil has this ridiculous
- 8:04Speaker 5: judiciary where single justices can make these extremely consequential decisions.
- 8:10Speaker 5: He ruled that voting would be extended by two hours.
- 8:13Speaker 5: But the problem was a lot of the voting machines
- 8:15Speaker 5: had already been turned off. And once they're turned off,
- 8:17Speaker 5: you can't turn them back on. So apparently a lot
- 8:19Speaker 5: of people who might have been able to vote, still
- 8:22Speaker 5: weren't able to vote. In fairness, I saw something that
- 8:25Speaker 5: apparently the amount of people that were able to vote
- 8:27Speaker 5: after 5 p.m. once polls closed or were supposed to
- 8:30Speaker 5: close was still pretty minimal, only like 30,000, something like that.
- 8:35Speaker 5: So I don't think you can really dispute the results
- 8:38Speaker 5: from what I've seen, at least. But, you know, that
- 8:43Speaker 5: was definitely irregular. I mean, that had never happened in
- 8:45Speaker 5: Brazil's history.
- 8:48Speaker 3: Thank you so much.
- 9:06Speaker 6: A lot of Latin America has shifted to the right
- 9:09Speaker 6: with the Trump regime really helping that that movement towards
- 9:14Speaker 6: the right along. So what will this mean globally and
- 9:17Speaker 6: for relations with the U.S.
- 9:19Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, I haven't seen anyone else pick up
- 9:23Speaker 5: on this, but actually, Trump. if you look at him,
- 9:27Speaker 5: he did not issue a formal endorsement of Flavio Bolsonaro. Like,
- 9:31Speaker 5: you know, he typically does his, like, truth endorsements. Now, obviously,
- 9:34Speaker 5: you know, it's implied that he has his back. I mean,
- 9:36Speaker 5: Flavio Bolsonaro literally went to the White House, oh, and,
- 9:39Speaker 5: you know, got, like, a terror designation for, like, Brazilian
- 9:42Speaker 5: drug gangs, whatever. But I think they might have omitted
- 9:46Speaker 5: a formal endorsement because they thought it would probably help Lula.
- 9:50Speaker 5: I mean, every time the terrorists before... There were two
- 9:53Speaker 5: rounds of tariffs this year and last year that extremely
- 9:56Speaker 5: helped Lula in the polls when he was down, actually.
- 10:00Speaker 5: And in Latin America, I mean, this is the first
- 10:03Speaker 5: left-wing party to win re-election since Morena in Mexico in 2024.
- 10:08Speaker 5: Every other election has been lost by left-of-center parties. So,
- 10:16Speaker 5: and here's where I say, look, this is really important
- 10:18Speaker 5: not to, like, it's really important to get the right
- 10:23Speaker 5: lessons from this result. What I would say is that
- 10:26Speaker 5: because Bolsonaro did so well in the Congress, there were
- 10:29Speaker 5: some serious questions about the legitimacy of Brazil's Supreme Court.
- 10:33Speaker 5: There was this Epstein-like scandal implicating a bunch of people,
- 10:36Speaker 5: including people in Lula's government and also Flavio Bolsonaro. And actually,
- 10:40Speaker 5: the justice that convicted Jair Bolsonaro, Flavio Bolsonaro's dad, took
- 10:47Speaker 5: millions of dollars from this evangelical.
- 10:50Speaker 5: Banker, and a lot of the rest of the Supreme Court,
- 10:54Speaker 5: they were trying to protect themselves. This really energized Bolsonaroismo,
- 10:59Speaker 5: and it's why they came out to vote so massively
- 11:02Speaker 5: in the Congress. So both Lula and Flavio promised to
- 11:07Speaker 5: reform the Supreme Court. I think he's going to have
- 11:09Speaker 5: to make good on that decision. Otherwise, seriously, I would
- 11:14Speaker 5: not rule out impeachment proceedings at some point during this term.
- 11:19Speaker 7: Juan?
- 11:20Speaker 2: Really appreciate your analysis. Thanks so much for being here. Thanks, guys.
- 11:26Speaker 4: We are pleased to be joined today by Mehdi Hassan,
- 11:29Speaker 4: a friend of the show, the founder of Zateo, to
- 11:32Speaker 4: talk about his new documentary, Nightflower, Inside APAC's Fight for Influence.
- 11:39Speaker 2: Mehdi, thank you so much for being here.
- 11:41Speaker 1: Thanks for having me, guys.
- 11:43Speaker 4: And so actually, this was a bit of a punk.
- 11:46Speaker 4: We said we would have you come on and talk
- 11:48Speaker 4: about the APAC documentary. We actually have Matthew Iglesias and
- 11:51Speaker 4: Neera Tanden standing by here who want another shot.
- 11:55Speaker 1: Round two, ding-a-ding-ding.
- 11:56Speaker 2: They want another shot at the interview. No, but this
- 12:00Speaker 2: is a tremendous new documentary. Let's start with a little
- 12:03Speaker 2: bit of it. We can roll this clip here.
- 12:06Speaker 8: What is it that you fear about speaking out?
- 12:09Speaker 9: I'm afraid of some form of retaliation from AIPAC.
- 12:14Speaker 7: I decided to speak out because I'm disappointed something has
- 12:19Speaker 7: to change.
- 12:23Speaker 1: You may know AIPAC as being one of the biggest
- 12:25Speaker 1: and most recognizable donors to many of the members of
- 12:28Speaker 1: Congress in your state. A former director of AIPAC said,
- 12:32Speaker 1: the lobby is like a night flower. It thrives in
- 12:35Speaker 1: the darkness and shrivels in the daylight. This is great, man.
- 12:38Speaker 1: AIPAC and what it's supporting is very unpopular right now.
- 12:42Speaker 1: And that is the moment where sunlight shines on the
- 12:44Speaker 1: night flower.
- 12:46Speaker 8: Do you feel like AIPAC operates as a foreign agent
- 12:48Speaker 8: for Israel?
- 12:57Speaker 4: Maddie, there's another interesting moment I wanted to roll before
- 12:59Speaker 4: we go into the conversation, actually. If we could just
- 13:01Speaker 4: go ahead and put up E3, too.
- 13:04Speaker 8: I imagine there must be times, though, when you were
- 13:07Speaker 8: preparing to lobby on the Hill that you would talk
- 13:10Speaker 8: with Israeli officials and coordinate messaging and plan, no?
- 13:17Speaker 1: Well, I.
- 13:20Speaker 10: Don't want to go into that. to talk to somebody
- 13:23Speaker 10: who does not coordinate. There were people who had some...
- 13:32Speaker 10: Just drop it. I have no direct information.
- 13:38Speaker 1: Not sure what you're getting at?
- 13:42Speaker 10: I have no direct knowledge of anybody coordinating with anybody
- 13:47Speaker 10: outside with any other government.
- 13:51Speaker 2: But suspicions or something or?
- 13:58Speaker 10: I don't know.
- 13:59Speaker 8: Can you just kind of explain what you're... Not on camera.
- 14:04Speaker 4: Many what I particularly liked about this film was that
- 14:06Speaker 4: it sort of doubles as a window into American politics
- 14:10Speaker 4: from the 1980s up until today and how it's evolved
- 14:13Speaker 4: and also Israeli politics and the U.S.-Israel relationship as it
- 14:17Speaker 4: has evolved over kind of together, co-evolved, I would say.
- 14:23Speaker 4: What struck you the most about the history as you
- 14:26Speaker 4: were looking back at it?
- 14:29Speaker 1: Yeah, so Dion Nissenbaum, the Pulitzer Prize-winning former Wall Street
- 14:34Speaker 1: Journal Middle East reporter who made this film, When he
- 14:37Speaker 1: started working on this film, AIPAC wasn't as central to
- 14:40Speaker 1: our politics as it's become in recent months. I guess
- 14:42Speaker 1: timing has been great for us in terms of this
- 14:44Speaker 1: film coming out in the past week and all eyes
- 14:46Speaker 1: being on AIPAC, especially post-Michigan primary and pre the general.
- 14:51Speaker 1: But what's interesting is, excuse me, there's been a lot
- 14:56Speaker 1: of coverage of AIPAC, its role in financing Democratic primaries.
- 15:01Speaker 1: its role in spending a record amount of money in
- 15:03Speaker 1: Michigan and St. Abdul El-Sayed, the role of Republican billionaires
- 15:07Speaker 1: in funding AIPAC. But there hasn't been as much coverage
- 15:10Speaker 1: in terms of AIPAC's role itself in our political system
- 15:14Speaker 1: and whether it should even have to register as a
- 15:16Speaker 1: foreign agent. And that is the focus of this film.
- 15:18Speaker 1: the FARA Act, the Foreign Agents Registration Act, which requires
- 15:22Speaker 1: lobbies that are coordinating with foreign governments to register as
- 15:25Speaker 1: foreign agents so we don't have secret foreign government interference
- 15:28Speaker 1: in American politics. And this is a debate that's been
- 15:30Speaker 1: going back, as we point out in the film, to
- 15:32Speaker 1: the 1960s. This has been going back to Robert Kennedy,
- 15:35Speaker 1: the good RFK, not the one we currently have, who
- 15:38Speaker 1: actually suggested the precursor organization to AIPAC should register as
- 15:41Speaker 1: a foreign agent. So did Senator William Fulbright and many
- 15:43Speaker 1: others over the years, and it never has. And this
- 15:45Speaker 1: debate is now back, and this film lays out quite
- 15:48Speaker 1: a lot of evidence for why a DOJ, maybe run
- 15:52Speaker 1: by the Democrats, not by the Republicans, clearly, should actually
- 15:55Speaker 1: investigate whether AIPAC is acting as a foreign lobby. And
- 15:57Speaker 1: we speak to whistleblowers, we speak to former officials like
- 16:00Speaker 1: Douglas Bloomfield, you just saw there, who was a chief lobbyist,
- 16:04Speaker 1: legislative director for AIPAC for nearly a decade in the 80s.
- 16:07Speaker 1: And they all seem like they want to say something
- 16:10Speaker 1: about Israeli government coordination. We interviewed Keith Weitzman, who says
- 16:13Speaker 1: on camera, yeah, I passed on classified information that the
- 16:16Speaker 1: Pentagon gave me to the Israeli embassy in D.C.
- 16:19Speaker 6: So, Mehdi, what AIPAC's defenders will say, and some of
- 16:21Speaker 6: them do say in your documentary, is this is not
- 16:25Speaker 6: an organization representing a foreign government. This is a group
- 16:28Speaker 6: of Americans who believe that it is good for America
- 16:32Speaker 6: when you have a strong U.S.-Israeli relationship.
- 16:35Speaker 3: And you say to them what?
- 16:38Speaker 1: So it is the main argument that this is an
- 16:40Speaker 1: American group. Stop trying to bracket us with Israel. And
- 16:44Speaker 1: that's a fair argument. But what's interesting in this film
- 16:46Speaker 1: is you have someone like Sam Lauter, who Dion speaks to,
- 16:50Speaker 1: who is from DMFI, Democratic Majority of Israel, a pro-Israel group.
- 16:54Speaker 1: Let's just be very clear. He calls himself an AIPAC
- 16:56Speaker 1: prince in the film. His mother was one of the co-founders,
- 16:59Speaker 1: one of the big drivers of AIPAC when it was founded.
- 17:02Speaker 1: And even he says, while he says, look, I don't
- 17:04Speaker 1: think it's a foreign lobby, I don't think it's a
- 17:05Speaker 1: foreign agent, but even he says, I do have to
- 17:08Speaker 1: remind AIPAC, and he's distanced himself from AIPAC because it's
- 17:10Speaker 1: so uncritically pro-Netanyahu, he says, I do have to remind
- 17:13Speaker 1: my friends at AIPAC that the A in AIPAC stands
- 17:15Speaker 1: for American. So even former supporters of AIPAC are saying, guys,
- 17:19Speaker 1: where is your loyalty right now? Remember that you are
- 17:21Speaker 1: an American group, not just uncritically pushing an Israeli agenda.
- 17:25Speaker 1: We interview a former DOJ lawyer. in the film, who's
- 17:28Speaker 1: an expert on FARA violations. And he makes the point, look,
- 17:30Speaker 1: you don't have to be perpetually funded by Israel or
- 17:33Speaker 1: controlled by Israel to register. You just have to have
- 17:36Speaker 1: even one instance of coordination that forces you to register.
- 17:40Speaker 1: And it's interesting that in this town in D.C., where
- 17:42Speaker 1: we are, Crystal, The Republicans, they want to have Code Pink,
- 17:46Speaker 1: the far-left anti-war group, register under FARA for alleged ties
- 17:50Speaker 1: to a Chinese Communist Party. They want to have Al Jazeera,
- 17:53Speaker 1: where I do a show. They've been trying to get
- 17:55Speaker 1: them registered as a foreign agent. For a while, the
- 17:58Speaker 1: bar is very low when it comes to groups the
- 18:00Speaker 1: Republican Party does not like. But when it comes to AIPAC,
- 18:03Speaker 1: the bar is raised high. It's see no evil, hear
- 18:05Speaker 1: no evil. Even though, as we say in the film,
- 18:06Speaker 1: we have a former whistleblower who says, he says AIPAC
- 18:09Speaker 1: AIPAC is acting as a foreign agent in spirit, if
- 18:11Speaker 1: not the letter of the law. So there is enough
- 18:13Speaker 1: here for Democrats, if they ever take back Congress, if
- 18:16Speaker 1: they ever take back the White House and the Justice Department,
- 18:18Speaker 1: to actually investigate. But the problem, of course, is people
- 18:20Speaker 1: like Hakeem Jeffries, the future speaker for a Democratic House,
- 18:24Speaker 1: take a lot of money from AIPAC.
- 18:26Speaker 4: What also struck me about this film is the extent
- 18:30Speaker 4: to which AIPAC is energized to go after Jewish politicians,
- 18:35Speaker 4: but not because incidentally they are Jewish, but precisely because
- 18:39Speaker 4: they are Jewish. You get into, now, you know, there
- 18:43Speaker 4: was the famous case of Andy Levin, the synagogue president,
- 18:46Speaker 4: and you also get into- Haley Stevens, in fact, too. Yeah,
- 18:49Speaker 4: some of these Chicago races. Right, exactly, running against Haley Stevens.
- 18:54Speaker 4: Some Chicago races where Daniel Biss was running against an
- 18:59Speaker 4: AIPAC-backed candidate.
- 19:02Speaker 2: There was also a pro-Israel, Support like APAC guy.
- 19:06Speaker 4: Who'd gone to every APAC convention for like decades that
- 19:09Speaker 4: they drove into the ground. Talk a little bit about
- 19:14Speaker 4: Daniel Biss opening up about his meetings with with APAC
- 19:18Speaker 4: and how that race unfolded, because that was that's pretty,
- 19:22Speaker 4: pretty extraordinary example.
- 19:23Speaker 1: Yeah, so this Chicago primary earlier this year had, I
- 19:27Speaker 1: think it's Laura Fine was the APAC-backed Democratic candidate. There
- 19:29Speaker 1: was Daniel Bist, the mayor of Evanston, who's a liberal Zionist.
- 19:32Speaker 1: I mean, he's not some anti-Zionist Israel hater. He's a
- 19:35Speaker 1: liberal Zionist Jewish-American politician whose mother is Israeli and whose
- 19:39Speaker 1: grandparents are Holocaust survivors, right? This is not some flaming
- 19:42Speaker 1: anti-Semite or a person you can smear as an anti-Semite,
- 19:45Speaker 1: but he'd been critical of Israel's war in Gaza. He'd
- 19:47Speaker 1: been critical of the Netanyahu government and AIPAC decided to
- 19:50Speaker 1: spend against him. And yes, they forced out Bruce Lee
- 19:53Speaker 1: on a conservative, an Orthodox Jewish member of the community,
- 19:58Speaker 1: a conservative Democrat, pro-Israel Democrat. And actually, Ryan, you'll enjoy this.
- 20:02Speaker 1: He came to our premiere that we did in Chicago
- 20:05Speaker 1: last week for Nightflower, and he got cheered by the audience.
- 20:08Speaker 1: He had nothing but praise for Kat Abu-Ghazala, who is
- 20:10Speaker 1: a Palestinian-American also in that race who AIPAC spent against.
- 20:14Speaker 1: And it was interesting that this is the destructiveness of
- 20:16Speaker 1: AIPAC right now, that they're willing to take down even
- 20:19Speaker 1: liberal Zionists who don't tow the Netanyahu line. far-right Zionist line.
- 20:23Speaker 1: They did it to Tom Malinowski in New Jersey and
- 20:26Speaker 1: ended up with an even more anti-Israel congressional candidate on
- 20:30Speaker 1: the Democratic side. So a lot of these interventions by
- 20:33Speaker 1: AIPAC are backfiring severely for them. But look, Daniel Biss
- 20:36Speaker 1: has what I think is the line of the film.
- 20:38Speaker 1: He tells Dion in the film, and I want to
- 20:40Speaker 1: read out to you, he says, AIPAC basically performs anti-Semitic
- 20:43Speaker 1: tropes and then criticizes the people who just described the
- 20:47Speaker 1: thing that just happened for allegedly being anti-Semitic. It's really disingenuous.
- 20:51Speaker 1: It's really dangerous. You're inviting them to dabble with real anti-Semitism.
- 20:54Speaker 1: Because in his race, AIPAC didn't just spend against him.
- 20:57Speaker 1: They spent against him via groups that had names like
- 20:59Speaker 1: elect women and progressives or whatever. Like AIPAC does not
- 21:03Speaker 1: do this openly. It's super PAC, United Democracy Project, hides
- 21:06Speaker 1: behind other organizations, shell front groups, which then wrap up
- 21:10Speaker 1: and you see it is really United Democracy Project. So
- 21:13Speaker 1: these people are operating behind the scenes in the shadows
- 21:16Speaker 1: with these kind of fake front groups, which is why
- 21:18Speaker 1: we call the film Nightflower, which comes from the quote,
- 21:21Speaker 1: from the APAC official, former APAC official, the late Steve Rosen,
- 21:24Speaker 1: who said, the lobby is like a night flower. It
- 21:26Speaker 1: withers in the sunlight. It blossoms in the dark. And
- 21:28Speaker 1: that is what they're doing. And that's what Daniel Biss,
- 21:30Speaker 1: of all people, calls out.
- 21:32Speaker 6: So it seems like APAC, and to your point, they've
- 21:35Speaker 6: been less upfront about when they put money into races
- 21:39Speaker 6: because they've become so incredibly toxic.
- 21:42Speaker 3: Let's put E4 up on the screen.
- 21:43Speaker 6: Of course, both you and Ryan over at DropSight have
- 21:46Speaker 6: done extraordinary reporting about this dark money flowing in from APAC.
- 21:50Speaker 6: The Lever has a new comprehensive report tracking all of
- 21:54Speaker 6: these other groups with these, you know, like Democratic women
- 21:57Speaker 6: and all these other names that sound, oh, progressive, they
- 21:59Speaker 6: sound good, completely obfuscating who is actually behind this. Let's
- 22:04Speaker 6: also put E2 up on the screen because this is
- 22:07Speaker 6: another really quite shocking shift for AIPAC. They say they
- 22:11Speaker 6: are not going to directly endorse candidates because, again, it
- 22:15Speaker 6: has become such a toxic organization. mostly on the left,
- 22:20Speaker 6: but also a growing sentiment on the right as well,
- 22:22Speaker 6: where it's at least complicating for candidates. So do you
- 22:25Speaker 6: think that we're entering a new era here with AIPAC?
- 22:29Speaker 1: Certainly in reputational terms, AIPAC's taken a massive hit. You
- 22:32Speaker 1: even had Mike Rogers, Crystal, telling AIPAC at the start
- 22:34Speaker 1: of the general campaign that he was doing against Abdul Hussein, like,
- 22:37Speaker 1: don't publicly spend for me. He was still doing fundraisers
- 22:39Speaker 1: with them in California, but like, don't put your name
- 22:41Speaker 1: on anything in Michigan, because he knew how toxic the
- 22:43Speaker 1: brand has become. I would point out we should be
- 22:44Speaker 1: careful about the bait and switch. AIPAC is saying we
- 22:46Speaker 1: won't directly give money to candidates. My understanding is they
- 22:49Speaker 1: only give three or four million directly. Maybe I've got
- 22:51Speaker 1: the number lower or slightly higher than the exact number,
- 22:53Speaker 1: but through their super PAC, they give tens of millions,
- 22:57Speaker 1: maybe a hundred million, in this race, the United Democracy Project.
- 23:00Speaker 1: And that super PAC is a new development. in AIPAC's
- 23:03Speaker 1: approach to politics. Traditionally, they never had a super PAC.
- 23:05Speaker 1: They helped bundle money for congressional candidates, but didn't directly give.
- 23:08Speaker 1: So when they say we're not going to directly give,
- 23:10Speaker 1: they're really going back to what they did before, but
- 23:12Speaker 1: they're leaving the super PAC intact. And the super PAC
- 23:14Speaker 1: still operates in the shadows behind these front groups and
- 23:17Speaker 1: running ads against, you know, they ran ads against Cori
- 23:20Speaker 1: Bush and Jamal Bowman successfully in 2024 and helped defeat
- 23:23Speaker 1: those guys in very expensive primaries. But they defeated them
- 23:26Speaker 1: by saying, oh, they don't back Joe Biden. They don't
- 23:28Speaker 1: support the bipartisan infrastructure bill. They didn't run ads saying
- 23:31Speaker 1: they hate Israel.
- 23:32Speaker 2: What I love about this documentary too, is that you
- 23:34Speaker 2: got Dion to do it. A tremendous, uh, investigative reporter, um,
- 23:38Speaker 2: who really puts his, those investigative skills to work and,
- 23:41Speaker 2: and kind of sifting through what, uh, you know, what
- 23:44Speaker 2: APAC has been doing for the last, um, several, several decades.
- 23:47Speaker 2: And I really did.
- 23:48Speaker 4: Appreciate, uh, this is, this is quote, because it has
- 23:52Speaker 4: been our experience here at breaking points and over at
- 23:54Speaker 4: dropside too. We covered these Chicago races and you start
- 23:58Speaker 4: looking at it. You're like, wait a minute, elect Chicago women.
- 24:00Speaker 4: This is a, pack that didn't exist like two days ago.
- 24:04Speaker 4: And now it's spending hundreds of thousands, millions of dollars.
- 24:07Speaker 4: Like that's not how organizations work. You know, they usually launch,
- 24:11Speaker 4: they have a gala, they raise, they do fundraisers. Like
- 24:14Speaker 4: it's not easy to wake up and all of a
- 24:16Speaker 4: sudden have several million dollars. And so then you start
- 24:19Speaker 4: connecting the dots and By saying, oh, the treasurer here
- 24:22Speaker 4: has also been a treasurer for an APAC PAC. The
- 24:25Speaker 4: ad buyer they're using has worked with APAC before. Oh,
- 24:28Speaker 4: this nonprofit that they're using, this is connected to APAC.
- 24:31Speaker 4: And so you do that reporting and say that all
- 24:35Speaker 4: of the evidence is that APAC is working behind the
- 24:37Speaker 4: scenes to spend money here. And immediately APAC will say,
- 24:42Speaker 4: you're just engaging in anti-Semitic tropes.
- 24:46Speaker 2: Like how dare you do that?
- 24:47Speaker 4: It's like, no, I'm describing the precise behavior of this
- 24:50Speaker 4: organization at this precise moment.
- 24:53Speaker 1: And they don't have to behave in that way, right?
- 24:54Speaker 1: If you want to spend $ 100 million under Citizens United,
- 24:57Speaker 1: you legally can. I don't like it, but legally nothing's
- 24:59Speaker 1: stopping you from doing it. But come out and say, hey,
- 25:01Speaker 1: we're spending $ 100 million because we love Israel and we
- 25:03Speaker 1: want these candidates to love Israel and we want them
- 25:05Speaker 1: to support Israel. The fact that you're not doing that
- 25:08Speaker 1: tells us, number one, you know what a toxic issue
- 25:10Speaker 1: Israel is in Democratic Party politics and with the American
- 25:12Speaker 1: public right now. And number two, you're behaving in this deceptive,
- 25:15Speaker 1: secretive way. And again, as Daniel Biss puts it, promoting
- 25:18Speaker 1: these anti-Semitic tropes, performing anti-Semitic anti-Semitic tropes by hiding in
- 25:22Speaker 1: the shadows and not being transparent about your lobbying efforts.
- 25:25Speaker 1: People say to me, why do you pick on AIPAC?
- 25:26Speaker 1: What about the other lobby groups? I'm against all of
- 25:28Speaker 1: these lobby groups. But it's interesting that AIPAC behaves in
- 25:30Speaker 1: this way. And I think Bernie Sanders has said it best,
- 25:33Speaker 1: that the Democratic Party can't overturn Citizens United overnight, obviously.
- 25:37Speaker 1: It requires a constitutional amendment with the current Supreme Court.
- 25:39Speaker 1: But what it could do is come up with rules
- 25:41Speaker 1: that disincentivize, basically prevent candidates in Democratic primaries from taking
- 25:45Speaker 1: AIPAC money. And it's a point I made to Neera Tanden,
- 25:48Speaker 1: you mentioned Neera Tanden, when I interviewed her for my
- 25:50Speaker 1: Al Jazeera English show head to head recently at Georgetown.
- 25:53Speaker 1: And she agreed in principle that none of these, you know,
- 25:55Speaker 1: none of these groups should be involved in primaries, although
- 25:57Speaker 1: she wouldn't say AIPAC shouldn't be allowed in. She kept
- 26:00Speaker 1: saying all groups, you know, all lives matter because she can't,
- 26:03Speaker 1: you know, give People, a clip of her saying she's
- 26:05Speaker 1: anti-APAC for whatever reason you and I can speculate. But
- 26:09Speaker 1: even in principle, even she accepted this argument that we
- 26:12Speaker 1: need to push now that at the very minimum in
- 26:14Speaker 1: Democratic primaries going forward, including the presidential primary in 2028,
- 26:17Speaker 1: there need to be rules that prevent a Republican funded
- 26:20Speaker 1: group that may or may not be coordinating with a
- 26:22Speaker 1: foreign government from spending on Democratic Party primary candidates.
- 26:26Speaker 6: Yeah, I pushed Representative Adam Smith on the same thing,
- 26:29Speaker 6: and he was just in denial that that was even
- 26:31Speaker 6: a possibility. It's like, well, it's the Democratic Party. They
- 26:34Speaker 6: can set their own rules for their primary, and he
- 26:36Speaker 6: just was adamant that that was not even theoretically possible.
- 26:40Speaker 3: I do want to move on.
- 26:41Speaker 6: To AIPAC's perhaps top target in the entire nation, Abdullah Syed,
- 26:45Speaker 6: running for Michigan Senate. But before we do, Mehdi, just
- 26:48Speaker 6: tell people where they can find the complete documentary so
- 26:51Speaker 6: they can watch this extraordinary work.
- 26:53Speaker 1: Thank you so much. It is a Zatea produced film.
- 26:55Speaker 1: Please do become a subscriber. You can watch the film
- 26:57Speaker 1: at InsideAPAC.com. Excellent.
- 27:00Speaker 6: And it really is great and gets into the history
- 27:02Speaker 6: and does a deep dive. And, you know, I think
- 27:04Speaker 6: you'd be hard pressed to come away from it and
- 27:06Speaker 6: not feel that they are just doing Israel's bidding. And
- 27:09Speaker 6: there are some key turning points in there, in particular
- 27:11Speaker 6: with regard to the Obama administration, the JCPOA.
- 27:17Speaker 3: Let's go ahead and.
- 27:18Speaker 6: Turn to Michigan, where you have this marquee race between
- 27:22Speaker 6: neocon Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed, who successfully faced down
- 27:27Speaker 6: tens of millions of dollars in his primary against Haley Stevens.
- 27:32Speaker 6: Haley Stevens was on one of the Sunday shows this weekend,
- 27:35Speaker 6: and she was asked specifically if she still backs and
- 27:39Speaker 6: supports Abdul El-Sayed, and she refused to forthrightly support him.
- 27:43Speaker 3: Let's take a listen to that.
- 27:45Speaker 1: You're still fully behind, Abdul El-Sayed?
- 27:47Speaker 11: Look, I'm on the Democratic ticket. I can't say that
- 27:51Speaker 11: I agree with everything that's gone on. I wish that
- 27:54Speaker 11: first debate had been more about that rubber stamp for
- 27:57Speaker 11: Trump because we got a lot of chaos in Michigan.
- 28:00Speaker 11: I don't want to debate who's the enemy of the
- 28:03Speaker 11: United States. It's very clear that Iran is. I didn't
- 28:06Speaker 11: run my campaign on foreign policy issues, but that was
- 28:09Speaker 11: litigated in my primary. I'm not looking to be front
- 28:12Speaker 11: and center right now. I'm looking to be on the
- 28:14Speaker 11: team to support you know, my next governor, Jocelyn Benson,
- 28:18Speaker 11: and frankly, these great Democrats who are working their tails off,
- 28:22Speaker 11: who are going to make Hakeem Jeffries the first Black
- 28:24Speaker 11: Speaker of the House.
- 28:26Speaker 1: You didn't mention Abdul Hussein in that last answer.
- 28:29Speaker 11: Well, look, I would just say you had asked me
- 28:31Speaker 11: if I'm still on the team. I'm on the team.
- 28:34Speaker 3: Your thoughts, Matty?
- 28:35Speaker 1: That's so painful to rewatch. I watched that yesterday. You're
- 28:38Speaker 1: making me watch it again on a Monday. Torturous. I'm furious, actually,
- 28:42Speaker 1: watching that clip. And just thinking about how giddy and
- 28:45Speaker 1: happy Dana Bashworth here was saying, you didn't mention Abdullah Saeed.
- 28:49Speaker 1: We'll park Dana for a moment there. On Hayley Stevens,
- 28:53Speaker 1: furious about the answer for multiple reasons, number one, She
- 28:56Speaker 1: endorsed Abdul El-Sayed already. She came out and said, I
- 28:59Speaker 1: endorse him. I, at the time, was one of many people.
- 29:01Speaker 1: I don't know if you did, Christopher. I came out
- 29:02Speaker 1: on Twitter and said, good job, Haley Stevens. This is
- 29:05Speaker 1: really good that she's doing this, uniting the party to
- 29:08Speaker 1: stop Mike Rogers, the Trump MAGA candidate. So what is
- 29:11Speaker 1: the point of now disowning or walking back your own
- 29:13Speaker 1: endorsement in this way with less than 10 days to go?
- 29:15Speaker 1: I don't understand it. Number two. To do it on
- 29:18Speaker 1: the day when Barack Obama is in Michigan campaigning for
- 29:21Speaker 1: Abdul El-Sayed is just ridiculous. If Barack Obama can go
- 29:25Speaker 1: out and endorse Abdul El-Sayed, Hayley Stevens can endorse Abdul El-Sayed.
- 29:29Speaker 1: Number three, to not say his name, right? She went out,
- 29:33Speaker 1: you noticed that twice she spoke, twice she would not
- 29:35Speaker 1: say his name. She said Jocelyn Benson's name, Dana Bash
- 29:38Speaker 1: mentioned again, she will not mention it name. I find
- 29:41Speaker 1: that odious. I find it disgusting at a time when
- 29:44Speaker 1: Donald Trump is using the worst racist Islamophobic rhetoric against
- 29:48Speaker 1: Abdul Al-Sayed for a Democrat in Michigan who lost the
- 29:51Speaker 1: race against him, who's apparently a proud Michigander, proud Democrat, anti-racist,
- 29:57Speaker 1: Why is she not saying his name? Why is she
- 29:58Speaker 1: not defending him from Donald Trump's racism, saying, oh, I
- 30:01Speaker 1: just call him Muhammad because I'm the president. He's a jihadist.
- 30:04Speaker 1: He should go through a metal detector, Trump said this weekend,
- 30:07Speaker 1: if he enters Congress. Not a word of defense from
- 30:10Speaker 1: Haley Stevens. The same people who go on and on
- 30:12Speaker 1: about anti-Semitism and bigotry, Islamophobia just normalized from them. They
- 30:16Speaker 1: don't give a damn. So I was furious watching that
- 30:18Speaker 1: clip on so many levels. And by the way, I'm
- 30:21Speaker 1: most furious because of the hypocrisy. If Abdul El-Sayed had
- 30:24Speaker 1: lost to Haley Stevens, and turned up on CNN less
- 30:27Speaker 1: than 10 days before the general had been asked that
- 30:29Speaker 1: question and had refused to say her name, number one,
- 30:32Speaker 1: Democrats would have gone nuts saying he's a traitor, this
- 30:34Speaker 1: is what the left does, they're helping Trump and Maga,
- 30:37Speaker 1: and they would have accused him of whatever it is. Oh,
- 30:39Speaker 1: he's against her because she's for Israel, etc., etc. So
- 30:42Speaker 1: I just find the whole thing so odious, so hypocritical.
- 30:46Speaker 1: And by the way, dangerous for Democrats. I don't know.
- 30:48Speaker 1: I hate to be the I told you so guy.
- 30:49Speaker 1: But in 2028, when a bunch of leftists decide to
- 30:52Speaker 1: sit down because it's Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg on
- 30:55Speaker 1: the ticket and they say, well, you guys didn't support
- 30:57Speaker 1: Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, they'll be right to point that out.
- 31:00Speaker 1: And Democrats will regret dropping their vote blue no matter who,
- 31:03Speaker 1: except when it's Abdul El-Sayed or a leftist they don't
- 31:06Speaker 1: like in Michigan. I just find the whole thing nauseating, hypocritical, infuriating, racist.
- 31:12Speaker 4: And, you know, I was also struck by the difference
- 31:15Speaker 4: between how some people like Haley Stevens, Neera Tanden, and
- 31:20Speaker 4: other Democrats are treating this primary and others, some of
- 31:25Speaker 4: the never Trumpers, like Tim Miller over at the Bulwark,
- 31:28Speaker 4: for instance. Once the primary was over, like he has
- 31:32Speaker 4: been agitating, saying we're all in. In fact, he recently
- 31:36Speaker 4: had some new reporting on Mike Rogers that is very interesting.
- 31:42Speaker 4: I don't know if you saw this, but last week
- 31:44Speaker 4: or so, Mike Rogers threatened to sue Dropsite because we
- 31:48Speaker 4: had reported that his second wife took over basically or
- 31:53Speaker 4: launched the American branch of this British security contractor and
- 32:00Speaker 4: immediately started getting hundreds of millions and then more than
- 32:03Speaker 4: a billion dollars in contracts.
- 32:05Speaker 2: We had reported that He took seven trips to Iraq,
- 32:10Speaker 2: or he says that he took seven trips to Iraq
- 32:12Speaker 2: in the 2000s while she was over there as the
- 32:14Speaker 2: spokesperson for Paul Bremer.
- 32:17Speaker 4: I had kind of suspected that they may have met
- 32:19Speaker 4: at that point. Turns out Tim Miller reports they already
- 32:23Speaker 4: knew each other. And this is an important detail. So
- 32:27Speaker 4: let's roll F2 here.
- 32:29Speaker 12: Christy, then now Rogers. Christy Clemons, she was the finance
- 32:32Speaker 12: director for his congressional campaign in 2000. She had been
- 32:36Speaker 12: a lifelong staffer in Lansing, working for the state legislature,
- 32:41Speaker 12: that kind of person. She's married to her college sweetheart
- 32:44Speaker 12: at the time, Chad.
- 32:46Speaker 2: Mike is married to his first wife.
- 32:47Speaker 1: This is 2000.
- 32:47Speaker 12: Then Mike gets elected to Congress. She gets a job
- 32:50Speaker 12: in D.C. Not working for Mike, though. And then she
- 32:53Speaker 12: gets a job in Iraq working for Paul Bremer. It's
- 32:56Speaker 12: a pretty good job to get for somebody who had
- 32:59Speaker 12: been a lifelong staffer in Lansing. I think a lot
- 33:02Speaker 12: of national security people probably wanted that job, working for
- 33:04Speaker 12: Paul Bremer. Then Mike goes on seven codels to Iraq
- 33:08Speaker 12: in only a few years. That's kind of a lot.
- 33:09Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 33:10Speaker 12: You were doing a lot of codels. Seven in a
- 33:11Speaker 12: couple years.
- 33:12Speaker 1: Not that many.
- 33:13Speaker 12: Feels like a lot. Then in 2006, she comes back
- 33:16Speaker 12: to D.C. and starts doing defense contracting lobbying. It's kind
- 33:19Speaker 12: of surprised people, her level of success in that. 2007,
- 33:24Speaker 12: Mike divorces his wife.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Okay.
- 33:28Speaker 12: Then they get married. During that time, he rises to
- 33:30Speaker 12: the head of the House Intel Committee. She stays as
- 33:33Speaker 12: a Defense contract lobbyist. She keeps getting more contracts. She
- 33:38Speaker 12: ends a massive $ 10 billion deal a few months after
- 33:41Speaker 12: he takes over the committee. That's just something that just happened.
- 33:43Speaker 12: Seems like maybe on one of the contracts she worked on,
- 33:45Speaker 12: there's some dispute about this in the story, but people
- 33:47Speaker 12: can read it for themselves, was doing security in Benghazi.
- 33:50Speaker 1: I don't know how that turned out.
- 33:53Speaker 12: Dropsite News has all the specifics. You can see then
- 33:56Speaker 12: also on his financial reports, you know, the chart going up.
- 34:00Speaker 12: And a lot of that money was his new wife
- 34:02Speaker 12: who was doing the contracting. Anyway, I don't know exactly
- 34:05Speaker 12: what was happening between the year 2000 and 2007 when
- 34:08Speaker 12: he divorces his wife. I don't know exactly anything about
- 34:12Speaker 12: whether he had roles in her just shockingly successful career
- 34:17Speaker 12: getting money for defense contracting.
- 34:19Speaker 4: So it turns out that Christy Clemons, who later became
- 34:21Speaker 4: his second wife, was his finance chair for his 2000 campaign.
- 34:26Speaker 4: So he knew her before she went to Iraq. Meanwhile,
- 34:30Speaker 4: Rodgers and Christy Rodgers deny any wrongdoing. I want to
- 34:34Speaker 4: say that. But meanwhile, Rodgers has made Abdul El-Sayed's family
- 34:39Speaker 4: a huge part of this election. How do you assess Rodgers'
- 34:46Speaker 4: effort to say he's going to sue us over this
- 34:49Speaker 4: compared to the way that he talks about Abdul El-Sayed?
- 34:54Speaker 1: So, well, first of all, the kind of the free
- 34:56Speaker 1: speech warriors in the Republican Party, Donald Trump, Elon Musk,
- 34:59Speaker 1: Mike Rogers, they love free speech until they see a
- 35:02Speaker 1: lawsuit they can file, a spurious defamation lawsuit they can
- 35:05Speaker 1: file against media or political critics. And I'm sure DropSight
- 35:09Speaker 1: will stand its ground and stand by its reporting. And
- 35:12Speaker 1: I suspect if he loses, he may just go away quietly.
- 35:15Speaker 1: We'll see. It's interesting that he's doing this, you know,
- 35:17Speaker 1: so close to the election, making all this noise. But
- 35:20Speaker 1: it's interesting. Look, he claims he didn't do anything wrong.
- 35:22Speaker 1: Abdul El-Sayed says he's got nothing to do with the
- 35:24Speaker 1: Muslim Brotherhood. He doesn't know about his mother's alleged ties
- 35:27Speaker 1: to the Muslim Brotherhood. But bringing family in again is
- 35:29Speaker 1: the hypocrisy. I said this recently on social media, Ryan, like, OK,
- 35:32Speaker 1: you want to ask questions about Abdul El-Sayed's mother. That's fine.
- 35:34Speaker 1: Do we get to talk about Donald Trump's father, who
- 35:36Speaker 1: was allegedly arrested in the 1920s at a violent KKK rally?
- 35:40Speaker 1: He's only ever been asked about it once, back in 2015,
- 35:43Speaker 1: when he launched his campaign by the Washington Post. In
- 35:45Speaker 1: the last decade, I've never seen a single reporter ask
- 35:47Speaker 1: Donald Trump or a single interviewer, let's talk about your dad.
- 35:51Speaker 1: Was he a member of the Ku Klux Klan? Never
- 35:53Speaker 1: asked that question to Donald Trump in the last decade. So,
- 35:56Speaker 1: you know, if you want to go after family members,
- 35:58Speaker 1: let's just be consistent. As for Mike Rogers and the
- 36:01Speaker 1: actual claims in your article, I just find it fascinating
- 36:04Speaker 1: that the mainstream media just decided to give this veteran Republican,
- 36:08Speaker 1: former chair of the House Intel Committee, guy who's running,
- 36:10Speaker 1: by the way, for the Senate a second time. He
- 36:12Speaker 1: lost to Alyssa Slotkin in 2024. This is his second
- 36:14Speaker 1: attempt at trying to get the Senate seat. Where's all
- 36:17Speaker 1: the coverage? And by the way, just props to Senator
- 36:19Speaker 1: Alyssa Slotkin, who's been an outspoken campaigner for Abdul El-Sayed,
- 36:23Speaker 1: hasn't behaved as awfully as Hayley Stevens. I just want
- 36:25Speaker 1: to give a shout out to a centrist who understands
- 36:27Speaker 1: what's at stake. But Mike Rogers has just had a pass.
- 36:32Speaker 1: For example, it was a Detroit local paper, Ryan, that
- 36:34Speaker 1: pointed out that Mike Rogers voted to send money to
- 36:36Speaker 1: the Mohammed Morsi Muslim Brotherhood government in Egypt. It was
- 36:39Speaker 1: Mike Rogers who told Reuters in 2012 that there are
- 36:41Speaker 1: moderate Muslim Brotherhood members that we can work with. Can
- 36:44Speaker 1: you imagine if there was a quote from Abdul El-Sayed
- 36:46Speaker 1: saying that on the record? And yet it required a
- 36:48Speaker 1: Detroit paper to do that story. And then Kristen Welker
- 36:51Speaker 1: did it on Meet the Press yesterday, less than 10
- 36:55Speaker 1: days out from the election. Why wasn't he asked this
- 36:56Speaker 1: question a long time ago? Rodgers had a complete pass
- 37:00Speaker 1: from mainstream media, while the mainstream media obsesses over Hassan
- 37:02Speaker 1: Paika and everything Abdul El-Sayed's ever done in his life,
- 37:05Speaker 1: going back to captain of the high school football team
- 37:08Speaker 1: or whatever it was. That's been examined. So I just
- 37:11Speaker 1: find the complete pass for this Republican just so odious.
- 37:14Speaker 1: And I'm glad you mentioned Tim Miller and the Bulwark
- 37:16Speaker 1: because some of the never Trumpers, not all of them,
- 37:18Speaker 1: but some of the never Trump Republicans do understand what's
- 37:22Speaker 1: at stake. I don't have to agree with them on
- 37:23Speaker 1: foreign policy or health care or whatever it is. But
- 37:26Speaker 1: one thing I've always respected about some of the Never
- 37:28Speaker 1: Trump Republicans, again, I say some, is that they understand
- 37:31Speaker 1: that what's at stake in a way that many centrist
- 37:34Speaker 1: Democrats do not, even some on the left do not.
- 37:36Speaker 1: And I think that's important. That's why Tim Miller was
- 37:38Speaker 1: upset with Neera Tanden when she came on his show,
- 37:40Speaker 1: that she was obsessing over Hasan Piker at a time
- 37:42Speaker 1: when Mike Rogers was getting a free pass. And I
- 37:45Speaker 1: think it's interesting that Neera Tanden, whose best pals with
- 37:48Speaker 1: Hayley Stevens, as she told me on my show, has
- 37:50Speaker 1: not said a word since yesterday. I can check her
- 37:52Speaker 1: Twitter again. I know she tweets every seven seconds. but
- 37:55Speaker 1: I'll check after this show. She hasn't said a word
- 37:57Speaker 1: at the time of this taping about Hayley Stevens not
- 38:00Speaker 1: endorsing Abdul El-Sayed. She kept telling me, I'm totally on board.
- 38:03Speaker 1: I want Abdul El-Sayed to win. We've got to lock
- 38:05Speaker 1: in for Abdul El-Sayed. Why isn't she calling out Hayley Stevens,
- 38:08Speaker 1: her friend, for not getting behind Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan?
- 38:10Speaker 1: Why is Tim Miller more pro-Abdul El-Sayed than Hayley Stevens,
- 38:14Speaker 1: or apparently near a tandem?
- 38:15Speaker 10: Yeah.
- 38:16Speaker 6: Haley Stevens and Jasmine Crockett both need to get it
- 38:18Speaker 6: together with this mess. I did want to ask you, though,
- 38:23Speaker 6: Trump was in Michigan for a rally with Mike Rogers
- 38:27Speaker 6: over the weekend.
- 38:28Speaker 3: A Klan rally. Yeah, exactly.
- 38:30Speaker 6: And some great photos there of the two of them
- 38:32Speaker 6: just embracing, happy as could be. But when Mike Rogers
- 38:34Speaker 6: was asked— whether he considers himself a MAGA Republican and
- 38:38Speaker 6: whether he will be a reliable vote for Donald Trump.
- 38:42Speaker 6: He struggled with these answers.
- 38:44Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 38:44Speaker 3: Let's let's go ahead and take a look at that. F3.
- 38:47Speaker 9: Congressman, we're almost out of time. So let me just
- 38:49Speaker 9: ask you big picture. Do you consider yourself to be
- 38:53Speaker 9: a MAGA Republican?
- 38:56Speaker 1: Listen, I'm going to tell you this is.
- 38:59Speaker 7: I get you guys on the national press, but this
- 39:01Speaker 7: is a little bit disgusting to me.
- 39:03Speaker 1: You know what you don't cover?
- 39:04Speaker 7: The chairman of the Democrat Party just came out and
- 39:08Speaker 7: said he cannot, the former chairman, sorry, he cannot vote
- 39:12Speaker 7: for Abdul.
- 39:13Speaker 1: Can you answer my question?
- 39:14Speaker 7: All you want to do is talk about something else
- 39:15Speaker 7: on the ground.
- 39:16Speaker 2: Are you a MAGA Republican? I've already answered the question, Kristen.
- 39:19Speaker 9: That's just what I want to know. Do you consider
- 39:21Speaker 9: yourself to be a MAGA Republican?
- 39:23Speaker 7: Kristen, I'm gonna go right back through this. There is
- 39:26Speaker 7: a reason we have support from people in Detroit.
- 39:29Speaker 2: And Flint.
- 39:30Speaker 9: I know that President Trump is going to be out
- 39:32Speaker 9: in Michigan campaigning with you a little bit later on today.
- 39:35Speaker 9: Let me ask you, Congressman, is a vote for you
- 39:38Speaker 9: a vote for the Trump agenda?
- 39:45Speaker 2: I'm apologizing.
- 39:45Speaker 7: I'm having some difficulty in my earpiece, but is a
- 39:49Speaker 7: vote for you? I'm not sure.
- 39:50Speaker 2: I'll tell you what a vote for me is. It's
- 39:52Speaker 2: a great day for the state of Michigan.
- 39:55Speaker 10: Amazing.
- 39:56Speaker 6: Very convenient earpiece issues there for Mike Rogers.
- 40:00Speaker 1: I mean, he's practicing to be a Republican member of
- 40:02Speaker 1: Congress who always, have you seen this Trump tweet? I
- 40:04Speaker 1: haven't seen the tweet. Do you hear what he said?
- 40:06Speaker 1: I didn't hear it. Mike Johnson's classic response to every
- 40:08Speaker 1: question is, I don't know what you're talking about. I
- 40:10Speaker 1: haven't seen the tweet. I haven't seen the press. So
- 40:12Speaker 1: he's just practicing for that role he'll have to play
- 40:14Speaker 1: once he gets to the Senate. It is shameless cowardice. Again,
- 40:18Speaker 1: this is all happening very late in the race. These interviews,
- 40:21Speaker 1: these questions should have been put to Mike Rogers weeks,
- 40:24Speaker 1: months ago. He's had a complete pass on the mainstream media,
- 40:27Speaker 1: which is what annoys me when some of us say,
- 40:28Speaker 1: why are you talking so much about Hassan Baika? It's
- 40:30Speaker 1: not that Hassan Baika hasn't said controversial issues. It's not
- 40:32Speaker 1: that Hassan Baika should be immune from criticism. It was
- 40:35Speaker 1: the disproportionate attention paid to a Twitch streamer from California.
- 40:38Speaker 1: rather than the veteran chair of the House Intel Committee
- 40:40Speaker 1: who lied about seeing bin Laden's body in person when
- 40:44Speaker 1: he was killed and all sorts of other nonsense that
- 40:46Speaker 1: he said over the years and his role with Big
- 40:48Speaker 1: Pharma and allegedly helping the opioid crisis, as Abdel El-Sayed
- 40:52Speaker 1: has accused him of. None of that has had the
- 40:53Speaker 1: coverage and he's had a complete pass. And that's what
- 40:56Speaker 1: frustrates me. When I have these arguments with people like
- 40:58Speaker 1: Matt Iglesias and Neera Tanden say, well, look how good
- 41:01Speaker 1: Roy Cooper and Mary Peltola are doing. It's like, well,
- 41:03Speaker 1: they haven't had these kind of races with the mainstream
- 41:05Speaker 1: media on one side, with the president of the United
- 41:07Speaker 1: States just completely attacking Abdul El-Sayed in the most vicious,
- 41:12Speaker 1: racist terms. I mean, all we talk about in D.C.
- 41:15Speaker 1: and in our media It's about antisemitism on the left,
- 41:18Speaker 1: antisemitism in the Democratic Party. Find me one Democrat, one
- 41:21Speaker 1: mainstream Democrat, left, center, wherever, who speaks about Jews in
- 41:26Speaker 1: the way Donald Trump speaks about Muslims. It just isn't
- 41:29Speaker 1: any kind of comparison. There's never been any kind of comparison.
- 41:32Speaker 1: Nobody would ever dare talk about Josh Shapiro or JB
- 41:34Speaker 1: Pritzker or John Ossoff. in the way that Donald Trump
- 41:37Speaker 1: has spoken about Abdul El-Sayed. He's a jihadist. He's a
- 41:40Speaker 1: member of the Muslim Brotherhood. He needs a metal detector
- 41:42Speaker 1: if he comes to Congress. I call him Muhammad. In fact,
- 41:45Speaker 1: I call all Muslims Muhammad because that's what most of
- 41:47Speaker 1: them are called. I'll call him whatever I want. This
- 41:49Speaker 1: kind of disgusting stuff. Don't even get me started on
- 41:51Speaker 1: the Somali racism. that's just been given a pass is insane.
- 41:55Speaker 1: I just, even by Donald Trump standards, we are at
- 41:58Speaker 1: full on KKK neo-Nazi levels of racism, which is why
- 42:01Speaker 1: the Michigan race is so important, because if they win
- 42:04Speaker 1: with this racist campaign, they will just escalate it in
- 42:07Speaker 1: the run up to 2028. Yeah, absolutely.
- 42:09Speaker 4: And we have, we have a few numbers that we
- 42:11Speaker 4: can talk about real quickly, but we can put up
- 42:13Speaker 4: F5 here. I think the hope among Abdul Alsaid supporters
- 42:18Speaker 4: who see this incredible amount of racism coming their way,
- 42:21Speaker 4: you know, I've heard from, you know, people with access
- 42:24Speaker 4: to internal polling, that all of the fear-mongering has, you know,
- 42:27Speaker 4: has affected the unfavorables of El-Sayed. But there's also a
- 42:33Speaker 4: huge kind of national blue wave underway, and you're starting
- 42:38Speaker 4: to see that express itself in Michigan, where in counties
- 42:44Speaker 4: carried by Kamala Harris, they're at about two-thirds of their
- 42:48Speaker 4: 2024 pace so far, whereas in in counties carried by
- 42:54Speaker 4: Trump in 2024, they're at about 45% of their pace.
- 42:58Speaker 4: So more Democrats are coming to the polls, according to
- 43:02Speaker 4: the early vote in Michigan, so far than Republicans. That
- 43:06Speaker 4: might be enough to kind of carry El-Sayed over this
- 43:11Speaker 4: kind of wave of racism that's being pushed his way. Mehdi,
- 43:17Speaker 4: have you been tracking any of the early vote? What's
- 43:19Speaker 4: your sense as we get down to the wire of
- 43:22Speaker 4: this very consequential race, as we talked in the last
- 43:25Speaker 4: segment about the role APAC has played. This could be
- 43:29Speaker 4: a Waterloo for APAC or could be a huge victory
- 43:34Speaker 4: if they're able to come back and put Mike Rogers
- 43:36Speaker 4: over the top.
- 43:38Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, they spent tens of millions in the primary,
- 43:40Speaker 1: tens of millions in the general. Look, I don't trust
- 43:43Speaker 1: any polls anymore. There's just been too much misinformation, disinformation, mistakes.
- 43:49Speaker 1: We saw the nonsense with this fake polling company Wedgwood Polls.
- 43:52Speaker 1: We saw the mistakes in the Francesca Hong primary. We've
- 43:55Speaker 1: seen Republicans constantly being kind of understated by polls over
- 43:58Speaker 1: the last decade, especially in the Trump era. I suspect
- 44:01Speaker 1: it'll either be a very, very close race or not
- 44:03Speaker 1: close at all. I don't think there'll be a middle ground.
- 44:05Speaker 1: I think the polls will be kind of completely off
- 44:07Speaker 1: or it's gonna be super tight nail-butter. Of course, Alyssa
- 44:10Speaker 1: Slotkin beat Mike Rogers by half a percentage point in 2024.
- 44:13Speaker 1: That was in a year that was bad for the Democrats.
- 44:15Speaker 1: The Matthew Iglesias of this world keep telling me that
- 44:18Speaker 1: he shouldn't win by half a percentage point because there's
- 44:20Speaker 1: this national blue wave. And I keep saying, well, don't forget,
- 44:23Speaker 1: He's running in a very sui generis race where the
- 44:25Speaker 1: president is attacking him day after day. His own former
- 44:28Speaker 1: party chair won't endorse him. His own former rival won't
- 44:31Speaker 1: endorse him. And, you know, this is a very, very
- 44:34Speaker 1: unique Michigan race. A win's a win. If he wins,
- 44:37Speaker 1: it's going to be historic. The Republicans know it's going
- 44:39Speaker 1: to be historic. There'll be some centrist Democrats who will
- 44:41Speaker 1: do a, well, versus the generic ballot. And nobody cares
- 44:43Speaker 1: at that point. Good luck with that argument. Everyone knows
- 44:46Speaker 1: it will be a historic, insane win and that he
- 44:49Speaker 1: will be a very valuable member of the Democratic caucus
- 44:51Speaker 1: in the Senate. But it is going to come down
- 44:53Speaker 1: to the wire. And those numbers, I mean, put the
- 44:55Speaker 1: numbers to one side. Just talking to people on the
- 44:58Speaker 1: ground in Michigan who were there this weekend and knocking
- 45:00Speaker 1: on doors and have been living there. I mean, the
- 45:03Speaker 1: ads that Mike Rogers is spending, yes, of course they're
- 45:05Speaker 1: going to drive down favorables. You can't get through a
- 45:07Speaker 1: football game in Michigan on TV without an insane number
- 45:09Speaker 1: of anti-Abdul ads. And they're not ads about Abdul's support
- 45:12Speaker 1: for Medicare for All, I can assure you. They're ads
- 45:14Speaker 1: about his radical jihadist connections and his mother's Al-Qaeda links
- 45:17Speaker 1: and Muslim Brotherhood and all the usual bullshit. And this
- 45:20Speaker 1: stuff works. I mean, look, we're an independent media. I
- 45:23Speaker 1: used to work for MSNBC. We understand corporate media is
- 45:26Speaker 1: in decline, but it still has a lot of power.
- 45:28Speaker 1: The airwaves still have a lot of power. Look at
- 45:30Speaker 1: what's happened in the UK. Non-stop, several weeks of negative
- 45:33Speaker 1: coverage of anti-Zionist Jewish leader of the Green Party, Zach Polanski.
- 45:36Speaker 1: His numbers are down. People think that the Green Party
- 45:39Speaker 1: is now anti-Semitic. It's led by the only Jewish party leader.
- 45:42Speaker 1: When the mainstream media gets together as a group and
- 45:45Speaker 1: goes for someone, they still have the power to change reality,
- 45:49Speaker 1: change perceptions, change views. Let's not understate that in any way. Yeah.
- 45:53Speaker 6: And it would be one thing, you know, in terms
- 45:55Speaker 6: of this discourse about who's electable and who's not electable.
- 45:58Speaker 6: It'd be one thing if they were attacking him on
- 46:00Speaker 6: his issue positions, if they were demonstrating that, oh, Medicare
- 46:03Speaker 6: for all just won't sell with a general election audience.
- 46:06Speaker 6: But that's not what they're doing at all. Their entire
- 46:08Speaker 6: campaign is just racist hate.
- 46:11Speaker 3: And he's got a weird name. That's the whole thing.
- 46:14Speaker 1: What does unelectable even mean? This is the discussions I've
- 46:16Speaker 1: been having recently with the Neerajs and Matthews of this world.
- 46:19Speaker 1: I just had an argument online with Liz Smith, who
- 46:21Speaker 1: was obviously working with Mallory McMorrow, a Democratic consultant, about, oh, well,
- 46:25Speaker 1: he's not electable. Well, this is the problem with electability
- 46:27Speaker 1: versus Roy Cooper. Does anyone really seriously believe that Roy Cooper,
- 46:31Speaker 1: for example, is of the caliber of Abdul El-Sayed? No, genuinely,
- 46:36Speaker 1: if you arrived from Mars... and you saw these two
- 46:38Speaker 1: people on the stump campaigning. No one disputes Abdul El-Sayed
- 46:41Speaker 1: as a great public speaker. No one disputes his charisma.
- 46:43Speaker 1: Bill Clinton told him to run for public office when
- 46:45Speaker 1: he was at college giving a commencement address. His policy positions,
- 46:49Speaker 1: as you say, are super popular. In fact, in Michigan,
- 46:51Speaker 1: Medicare for All is insanely popular and has been helping
- 46:53Speaker 1: his numbers. The focus groups show that he's getting more
- 46:56Speaker 1: Trump voters from 24 other Democratic candidates in swing states.
- 47:01Speaker 1: What does it mean to say he's not electable? On paper,
- 47:04Speaker 1: he's got everything. He's got public speaking, he's got charisma,
- 47:07Speaker 1: he's a local boy, he was captain of the football team,
- 47:10Speaker 1: he's got popular policy position. So really what you're saying
- 47:12Speaker 1: then is he's unelectable because as you say, the different
- 47:15Speaker 1: name and the Muslim background and he went against Israel.
- 47:18Speaker 6: Yep, and because Democrats joined up with Republicans. making common
- 47:24Speaker 6: cause on exactly that ugly smear campaign and a campaign
- 47:29Speaker 6: too based on ethnic division in.
- 47:30Speaker 1: The state of Michigan. Crystal, there's a great line in
- 47:33Speaker 1: the Matthew Iglesias interview. I know a lot of bits
- 47:34Speaker 1: have gone viral, but one line that hasn't been spotted
- 47:37Speaker 1: is he says, well, Roy Cooper, he says, Abdul is
- 47:40Speaker 1: a divisive candidate. And I say, well, what does it
- 47:42Speaker 1: mean to be divisive? How is he dividing people? He's
- 47:44Speaker 1: not divisive. People are being divisive about him. in bringing
- 47:47Speaker 1: up things about him. And he says, well, Roy Cooper's
- 47:49Speaker 1: not divisive in that way because Roy Cooper doesn't take
- 47:51Speaker 1: positions that make people spend against him, which I thought
- 47:54Speaker 1: was a rather revealing admission. Basically, if you don't want
- 47:56Speaker 1: to be spent against by dark money groups, don't go
- 47:59Speaker 1: against special interests. which is an interesting message.
- 48:02Speaker 6: Yeah, well, I mean, you have to hand it to
- 48:04Speaker 6: Matt Iglesias. He's very consistent on that point. Also made
- 48:07Speaker 6: some extraordinary, yeah, extraordinary points about how we should have
- 48:10Speaker 6: just allowed the ICE rampage to happen. We should have
- 48:13Speaker 6: let ICE just murder people in the streets and not
- 48:15Speaker 6: said anything about it because it was, in his mind,
- 48:18Speaker 6: not electorally advantageous, even though that did not even be true.
- 48:21Speaker 7: Yes.
- 48:22Speaker 3: Mehdi, always great to have you, my friend.
- 48:24Speaker 6: Thank you so much for your time and your analysis.
- 48:27Speaker 1: Thanks so much, guys. Appreciate it.
- 48:29Speaker 2: All right, that'll do it for us today.
- 48:31Speaker 4: Again, if you want to help us fix this studio,
- 48:34Speaker 4: go to breakingpoints.com, do the one-month free trial, but don't
- 48:37Speaker 4: cancel when the month is over, and we will try
- 48:39Speaker 4: to produce the kind of stuff that makes you want
- 48:42Speaker 4: to keep going. Crystal, thanks for struggling through the sickness.
- 48:46Speaker 4: Hope you're feeling better tomorrow morning.
- 48:48Speaker 6: Yeah, I feel like the voice is getting stronger, so
- 48:50Speaker 6: I should be— I feel fine. It just still sounds like crap.
- 48:53Speaker 3: You know how it is.
- 48:54Speaker 2: Yeah, the only way out is through.
- 48:55Speaker 3: That's right.