Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Columbia's Davis on Finding Quality Dividend Stocks (Audio)
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg
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- 0:09Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Handquarters.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pullett. SMP five hundred index now trading below
- 0:18Speaker 1: it's record one thirty eight. We have got the S
- 0:21Speaker 1: and P five hundred index climbing eight points up find
- 0:23Speaker 1: four tenths of one percent just about thirteen minutes to
- 0:27Speaker 1: go ahead of the close on this Monday. Down Industrial
- 0:30Speaker 1: is up eighty eight points to eighteen thousand, two hundred
- 0:33Speaker 1: thirty four. Again there are five tenths of one percent.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Nastak is up thirty four points, a gain of seven
- 0:38Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. The tenure down twenty one thirty seconds,
- 0:42Speaker 1: with the yield of one point four three percent, Gold
- 0:45Speaker 1: down three seventy the ounce the thirteen fifty four, a
- 0:48Speaker 1: drop there of three tenths of one percent, and crude
- 0:51Speaker 1: oil down cents forty four forty six right now for
- 0:55Speaker 1: a barrel of West Texas intermediate crude. That is a
- 0:58Speaker 1: drop right now of two point one percent. So again,
- 1:01Speaker 1: recapping stocks are higher, but off their session highs. The
- 1:05Speaker 1: SMP up eight, a gain of four tenths of one percent.
- 1:09Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellot and that's a Bloomberg business flash. Charlie Pella,
- 1:13Speaker 1: thank you so very much. Time now for the e
- 1:15Speaker 1: t F report, brought to you by National Realty Providers
- 1:18Speaker 1: of Satisfaction Guaranteed New York City realty investments see them
- 1:23Speaker 1: at n r I A dot net. Gold up twenty
- 1:27Speaker 1: eight percent this year. That means a lot for some
- 1:31Speaker 1: of the biggest gold e t s. For this now
- 1:33Speaker 1: we turn to our own Catherine Cowdry. Gold is climbed
- 1:37Speaker 1: twenty eight percent this year as investors turned to haven's
- 1:40Speaker 1: in the wake of the UK's Brexit vote and as
- 1:42Speaker 1: traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve, increasing interest rates
- 1:46Speaker 1: this year. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric beltounis and what this
- 1:49Speaker 1: means for the biggest gold ETF, the Spider Gold Shares
- 1:53Speaker 1: or g l D. G l D has taken in
- 1:56Speaker 1: thirteen point five billion dollars. That is by far the
- 1:59Speaker 1: most taken in any year, and we're only halfway done.
- 2:02Speaker 1: Bealtuna says, there's broad based interest in ETFs in this category.
- 2:06Speaker 1: You look down the precious metal ttfs, you see fifteen
- 2:08Speaker 1: different ones have taken in flows, none of them close
- 2:11Speaker 1: to g l D, but still it means somewhere out
- 2:14Speaker 1: there people are buying different types of precious metal ttfs.
- 2:17Speaker 1: That is a sign that the depth of the concern
- 2:21Speaker 1: in the market right now is great because it just
- 2:24Speaker 1: means that people are using a different variety of flavors
- 2:27Speaker 1: to start to work gold into their portfolio. Tuna says
- 2:30Speaker 1: investors are turning to gold as a crisis head and
- 2:33Speaker 1: to diversify their portfolios in a time of volatility. That's
- 2:37Speaker 1: your Bloomberg ETF report. I'm Catherine Cowderie. This is taking
- 2:42Speaker 1: Stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pim Box on Bloomberg Radio,
- 2:47Speaker 1: searching for income in a yield starved world. Scott Davis
- 2:52Speaker 1: his senior portfolio manager and head of income Strategies at
- 2:55Speaker 1: Columbia thread Needle Investments and he joins us now Boston.
- 3:01Speaker 1: Scott Davis, thank you very much for being with us.
- 3:04Speaker 1: What if you could tell us some of your strategies
- 3:07Speaker 1: to run the Columbia Dividend income funded ticker symbol they're
- 3:11Speaker 1: a g s F t X. Yeah, thanks for having
- 3:16Speaker 1: me on UM. You know, I think one of the
- 3:18Speaker 1: things that does make us unique is dividends are never
- 3:20Speaker 1: our first cut on a stock. Actually, um, we actually
- 3:23Speaker 1: look at what we think sources the dividend, and for us,
- 3:26Speaker 1: that's sustainable pre cash flow from operations. And I think
- 3:30Speaker 1: that's where oftentimes people get confused. A lot of people
- 3:34Speaker 1: will talk about diving in the yield, and we we
- 3:37Speaker 1: prefer to talk about actually income generation and looking for
- 3:40Speaker 1: companies that can you know, generate decent income but from
- 3:45Speaker 1: their cash flow from operations. That's how they fund it.
- 3:48Speaker 1: That's what makes it sustainable over time and and can
- 3:51Speaker 1: grow that over time. That that that's key to what
- 3:54Speaker 1: we do. Well. That sounds very sensible to me. What
- 3:59Speaker 1: what would you say right now is distinguishing companies that
- 4:04Speaker 1: you know, meet your hurdle, that past that bar, and
- 4:06Speaker 1: those that don't. Again, what we do is, by first
- 4:10Speaker 1: of all, we do two things. You know, I think
- 4:12Speaker 1: a lot of people are concerned that some of the
- 4:14Speaker 1: dividend stocks have gotten overvalued, and I think there are
- 4:17Speaker 1: areas where where there is real overvaluation. UM. But what
- 4:21Speaker 1: we are trying to do is we actually make We
- 4:22Speaker 1: don't think dividend yield is a value metric. We actually
- 4:25Speaker 1: use cash flow yield. So most of our companies still
- 4:28Speaker 1: are you know, our average pre cash flow and our
- 4:30Speaker 1: companies is about five percent. Market is down under three
- 4:34Speaker 1: percent currently. A great example of the name would be
- 4:37Speaker 1: something like a Johnson and Johnson UM. You know this.
- 4:40Speaker 1: You know, this company has been in business since the
- 4:43Speaker 1: car Field administration, last of the triple A balance sheets. UH.
- 4:47Speaker 1: You know, trades in a multi multiple market multiple but
- 4:50Speaker 1: has great pre cash flow yield and growing pre cash
- 4:52Speaker 1: flow UH and has basically has a dividend yield above
- 4:56Speaker 1: that of a tenure treasury and compounds it at about
- 4:59Speaker 1: seven percent per and their dividend. And I was gonna
- 5:01Speaker 1: say it's got that. The year to date, the Columbia
- 5:04Speaker 1: Dividend Income Fund is up about eight a little bit
- 5:08Speaker 1: more than eight and a half per cent, and that's
- 5:11Speaker 1: almost twice as good as the SMP five. Yeah, I think,
- 5:16Speaker 1: you know, some of the things that really have helped
- 5:18Speaker 1: us this year at the focus on quality yield is
- 5:21Speaker 1: obviously helped UM. But I think you know, if you
- 5:24Speaker 1: look at what's gone on for six months in the
- 5:27Speaker 1: market and for the year, it's it's sort of a
- 5:29Speaker 1: tale of two cities. I mean, one where and one
- 5:32Speaker 1: that some people are sort of playing momentum like recovery
- 5:35Speaker 1: and energy stocks that we've seen, But a lot of
- 5:38Speaker 1: people really do seem to be seeking out this stability,
- 5:41Speaker 1: and you know, I think that our focus on quality
- 5:44Speaker 1: has helped us there. So what is the challenge going ahead? Uh?
- 5:50Speaker 1: Is it? Uh? The economy growing, getting more strong, and
- 5:56Speaker 1: the market broadly rising more. So people say, oh, well,
- 5:59Speaker 1: you know why so I put my money in a
- 6:01Speaker 1: dividend fund when I could go for something that's got
- 6:03Speaker 1: more growth or a momentum. I think, yeah, that is
- 6:07Speaker 1: a risk um. I will see that with certain dividend stocks,
- 6:10Speaker 1: but a lot of the companies, well, we actually owned
- 6:13Speaker 1: stocks across the buckets of yield. Uh you know if
- 6:16Speaker 1: it so over eight percent of the names in SMP
- 6:19Speaker 1: paid dividends. Uh, We're not just buying stocks for dividend heal,
- 6:23Speaker 1: We're buying them for total return. So you know, you
- 6:26Speaker 1: could have a company like Mark, for example, that you know,
- 6:29Speaker 1: may react to the fact that they have a drug
- 6:32Speaker 1: that may come be used as a first line treatment
- 6:36Speaker 1: with lung cancer, those types of things. So we're always
- 6:38Speaker 1: looking for things that actually drive stocks beyond just the
- 6:42Speaker 1: fact that they're yield vehicles. I noticed that you've got
- 6:45Speaker 1: a large holding in Microsoft, and I'm wondering whether you
- 6:48Speaker 1: could comment you also have Apple about investing in technology
- 6:52Speaker 1: stocks based on the criteria that you describe that cash generation. Well, one,
- 6:57Speaker 1: I would say one of the things that we think
- 6:59Speaker 1: is very porton is remaining um uh diversified throughout sectors. UM.
- 7:05Speaker 1: Some of my people that I compete with now are
- 7:09Speaker 1: invested basically in consumer stables and utility stocks, and so
- 7:13Speaker 1: they're almost running sector funds UM. So we we do
- 7:16Speaker 1: try to keep it diversified across UM industries. So we
- 7:21Speaker 1: do play in technology for example. And you have names
- 7:23Speaker 1: like Microsoft, and that's a company that you know, a
- 7:26Speaker 1: few years ago people sort of left them for dead
- 7:28Speaker 1: and in a lot of ways, and they've done a
- 7:31Speaker 1: great job. The new CEO came in and really done
- 7:34Speaker 1: a great job of transitioning this company to one where
- 7:37Speaker 1: uh you know, people think of them as one of
- 7:39Speaker 1: the leaders in in UH cloud for example. And so
- 7:44Speaker 1: it's a company generating tremendous fly cash flow. It's probably
- 7:47Speaker 1: it's growing revenues, it's growing income. And those are the
- 7:50Speaker 1: names that you tend to like. Apple is a stock
- 7:54Speaker 1: that we do own. Their generating a tremendous amount of cash.
- 7:57Speaker 1: They have some growth challenges right now, and but we
- 8:00Speaker 1: would tell you that we probably think that that sort
- 8:02Speaker 1: of troughs this year, and uh so that may be
- 8:06Speaker 1: an opportunity to I always think of energy being at
- 8:10Speaker 1: the opposite end of the spectrum from technology, right, it
- 8:13Speaker 1: comes out the ground, it's crude, it's black, etcetera, etcetera.
- 8:16Speaker 1: Uh And xCE on Mobile is your second biggest holding
- 8:19Speaker 1: in the Columbia Dividend Income from funds. PIM just said
- 8:22Speaker 1: g s f t X as a ticker symbol. Uh So,
- 8:26Speaker 1: what what is your outlook? Is it because of x
- 8:29Speaker 1: in particularly or does this also reflect your view for
- 8:31Speaker 1: energy companies more broadly. Well, one of the things we
- 8:34Speaker 1: did in two thousand and fourteen one soil prices cracked. Um,
- 8:38Speaker 1: you know it's I work with two other people, Mike
- 8:41Speaker 1: Barkley and Peter San Touro, and we've all been in
- 8:44Speaker 1: the business over twenty years, and so when you see
- 8:47Speaker 1: oil prices cracked the way they did, that wasn't our
- 8:49Speaker 1: first rodeo. We went through that in the eighties too,
- 8:52Speaker 1: and so we actually de risked the portfolio and went
- 8:55Speaker 1: to companies that we thought had great balance sheets and
- 8:58Speaker 1: and and just great position UM and ex On Mobile.
- 9:01Speaker 1: That that's one of the reasons that we hold this
- 9:03Speaker 1: stock UM. I think one of the things we're seeing
- 9:05Speaker 1: now though, as we are seeing a supply response dramatic
- 9:08Speaker 1: to dramatic cutbacks and cap X and I think that
- 9:12Speaker 1: that has allowed oil prices to stabilize. And so we
- 9:16Speaker 1: actually do think that, you know, there's a good chance
- 9:18Speaker 1: that you know, supply and demand is coming UH is
- 9:22Speaker 1: being matched all of a sudden, and that's probably a
- 9:24Speaker 1: good thing for oil prices. We tend to play with
- 9:27Speaker 1: the companies that historically, you know, just have great balance
- 9:30Speaker 1: sheets and companies that we now have stained power. UM.
- 9:34Speaker 1: I will tell you we'll probably lag with an ex
- 9:36Speaker 1: On Mobile of oil prices go up dramatically, but it
- 9:39Speaker 1: didn't go down dramatically. Actually as a march that was
- 9:43Speaker 1: one of our few oil companies that was actually in
- 9:46Speaker 1: plus territory. So it's it's the way we do a
- 9:49Speaker 1: lot of things. We tend to play stocks with lower
- 9:51Speaker 1: volatility and and and that's been sort of key to
- 9:56Speaker 1: to a lot of our shareholders. Scott maybe just offer
- 9:59Speaker 1: up the ample of t j X companies because they
- 10:04Speaker 1: raised their dividend in March. But that kind of illustrates
- 10:08Speaker 1: your your focus on cash flow. Yeah, and one of
- 10:13Speaker 1: the things that we're always talking to people because again
- 10:15Speaker 1: people make the mistake of focusing on dividends first, and
- 10:19Speaker 1: and we actually think that dividends, you know, actually the
- 10:21Speaker 1: residual that you get from great business operations UM and
- 10:25Speaker 1: t j X is just a great example, you know
- 10:27Speaker 1: that where they increase their dividend over UM, a company
- 10:31Speaker 1: that has consistently growing their dividend for twenty years. What
- 10:34Speaker 1: I love is that the statement that is actually made
- 10:38Speaker 1: by t t X as management and they say, you know,
- 10:41Speaker 1: with our tremendous cash flow and excellent financial returns, remain
- 10:45Speaker 1: committed to returning cash to shareholder, will simultaneously reinvesting in
- 10:49Speaker 1: the business. That's what we want. We want companies growing
- 10:52Speaker 1: their business and growing their dividends. Well, I think a
- 10:55Speaker 1: lot of us wants. That's what Scott Davis. We're very
- 10:57Speaker 1: happy you joined us today. Scott is Senior portfolio a
- 11:00Speaker 1: manager and head of income Strategies at Columbia Thread and
- 11:03Speaker 1: Needle Investments. Coming up We're gonna be looking at the
- 11:06Speaker 1: movers and shakers at the close. Our stocks that are
- 11:09Speaker 1: Dave Wilson way back on Kathleen Hayes along with Tim Fox,
- 11:12Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg