Latest / Merryn Talks Money / BONUS: The Bank of England’s Big Decision on Digital Currency
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to this bonus episode of Merin Talks
- 0:11Speaker 1: Money with Me. Today, I've got John Steppack is an
- 0:14Speaker 1: exciting treat fuel for the entire episode. And also with
- 0:18Speaker 1: us today is Emily Nicole, who is a crypto reporter
- 0:21Speaker 1: at Bloomberg. Now, Emily has been doing something quite interesting,
- 0:24Speaker 1: which is talking constructively to the Bank of England. Mostly
- 0:27Speaker 1: all of us have been doing recently is just religiously
- 0:29Speaker 1: criticizing the Bank of englond But Emily, you've been in
- 0:33Speaker 1: to have a conversation with someone at the Bank of
- 0:36Speaker 1: England about their response to the rise of cryptocurrencies.
- 0:40Speaker 2: Right, yeah, I mean well actually we had them come
- 0:42Speaker 2: to us. How fancy, you know, making this trade across
- 0:45Speaker 2: thread Needle Street over to Bloomberg HQ. But yeah, we
- 0:49Speaker 2: had a conversation about central bank digital currencies, which to
- 0:52Speaker 2: be clear, it's not quite like a cryptocurrency, but is
- 0:55Speaker 2: their kind of version of dabbling with this world of blockchain.
- 0:59Speaker 2: And I sat down with Tom Mutton, who is the
- 1:01Speaker 2: Director of Fintech at the Bank of England and is
- 1:03Speaker 2: running the whole show on a CBDC.
- 1:06Speaker 1: Okay, well, let's start with I mean, obviously we have
- 1:09Speaker 1: a hugely educated audience, but it's conceivable that not everybody
- 1:13Speaker 1: will know what a CBDC is, So can we just
- 1:16Speaker 1: start by having you explain to us what this is.
- 1:20Speaker 2: So a CBDC is what a lot of central banks
- 1:24Speaker 2: around the world, I think most of them now are
- 1:26Speaker 2: planning to do as their kind of response to the
- 1:29Speaker 2: rise of cryptocurrencies and payments that are running probably a
- 1:32Speaker 2: bit faster than their traditional infrastructure, and how they can
- 1:35Speaker 2: improve their own systems with that technology. Potentially, most of
- 1:40Speaker 2: them are still in development base considering whether they should
- 1:43Speaker 2: do it or not, looking at the technology and kind
- 1:45Speaker 2: of poking around. Some of them have been a bit
- 1:47Speaker 2: more successful than others. But as my conversation with Tom went,
- 1:52Speaker 2: he kind of explained, you know, the various parameters that
- 1:55Speaker 2: a UK digital pound might look like.
- 1:57Speaker 3: It's a digital bank note, it's for every day payments,
- 2:01Speaker 3: something you can use online or in store. Because it's
- 2:04Speaker 3: intended to be like cash. It won't be remunerated, so
- 2:07Speaker 3: it won't pay an interest rates for the early days
- 2:09Speaker 3: at least will apply a limit on how much people
- 2:11Speaker 3: can hold, just to make sure we have a smooth introduction.
- 2:14Speaker 3: So we're probably thinking ten to twenty thousand pounds individual limit.
- 2:18Speaker 1: Okay, so we've got a digital pound. Effectively, it's like cash,
- 2:22Speaker 1: but it's not cash. It's digital cash, so it has
- 2:24Speaker 1: a lot of the characteristics of cash. But I think
- 2:28Speaker 1: a lot of people would look at this and they'd say,
- 2:31Speaker 1: there's nothing wrong with the payment system that I use.
- 2:34Speaker 1: I can transfer money very fast, my debit card works
- 2:36Speaker 1: really well, my credit card works very well, I can
- 2:39Speaker 1: use PayPal. I have no problem here. Why do I
- 2:41Speaker 1: need a different payment system? What does Tom say about that?
- 2:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's recognized by the bank giving them
- 2:48Speaker 2: and by probably all of us listening to this, that
- 2:51Speaker 2: you know, the UK's payment infrastructure, at least in terms
- 2:55Speaker 2: of how retail users use it, is very advanced compared
- 2:58Speaker 2: to some others around the world. We're all used to
- 2:59Speaker 2: getting a thing instantly, so this isn't necessarily something that
- 3:02Speaker 2: we need compared to other economies that might have already
- 3:04Speaker 2: experimented with this, like Nigeria and Jamaica. But Tom's answer
- 3:08Speaker 2: to why they would want to deal with this is
- 3:11Speaker 2: that it's not only that we need to make the
- 3:13Speaker 2: UK more future proof. This is something that they may
- 3:16Speaker 2: need to think about at some point.
- 3:18Speaker 3: We've seen a lot of innovation in payments and that's
- 3:20Speaker 3: really benefited users. The UK as an early adopter of
- 3:24Speaker 3: contactless payments and that's very convenient and I think merchants
- 3:28Speaker 3: like it. But we need to make sure we continue
- 3:30Speaker 3: to be at the front of that innovation, and we're
- 3:33Speaker 3: thinking about how can we support that innovation, and we're
- 3:37Speaker 3: very interested in the idea that we could provide the
- 3:41Speaker 3: safest form of money available. The government, the bank, the
- 3:44Speaker 3: Financial Conduct Authority thinking about how to support innovations in
- 3:49Speaker 3: things like non bank stable coins, including through legislation and regulation.
- 3:54Speaker 3: We very much see a central industry currency as part
- 3:57Speaker 3: of a diverse monetary system with troy that all anchored
- 4:01Speaker 3: around confidence and certainty and money, and we very much
- 4:06Speaker 3: think that actually having the ability to move from a
- 4:09Speaker 3: digital pound into a regulated stable coin payment stable coin
- 4:15Speaker 3: into takingnice bank deposit into a conventional bank deposit into
- 4:19Speaker 3: cash is really important because it ties the monetary system
- 4:22Speaker 3: and all our different forms of money together. That's why
- 4:24Speaker 3: we've really emphasized the importance of the digital pound being
- 4:28Speaker 3: interoperable and open with other forms of money.
- 4:31Speaker 2: But it's also that they want to find a way
- 4:33Speaker 2: that cash can remain relevant to the economy. It's definitely
- 4:36Speaker 2: still important to many consumers, but is also usable by everyone.
- 4:40Speaker 2: So I don't know about you guys, but I'm definitely
- 4:44Speaker 2: an Apple pay person. I don't really carry a wallet
- 4:46Speaker 2: around anymore, let alone in a debit cards or anything
- 4:49Speaker 2: like that. And so the digital pound is their version
- 4:51Speaker 2: of saying, Okay, we want to make cash usable for
- 4:53Speaker 2: you and usable for everybody else, especially if you don't
- 4:56Speaker 2: want to be carrying around banknotes.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Okay, but I still, I mean, I'm old right, still
- 5:02Speaker 1: don't quite get what it does for someone who likes
- 5:05Speaker 1: to use cash. So people who like to use cash
- 5:08Speaker 1: tend to use it because they feel they control it
- 5:10Speaker 1: much more easily. And we all seen those studies about
- 5:12Speaker 1: how much more you spend if you're not using physical cash,
- 5:15Speaker 1: if you're using a debatory credit card, etc. They want
- 5:17Speaker 1: to hold it and have it, and they're also very
- 5:20Speaker 1: concerned by their financial privacy and the only anonymous way
- 5:24Speaker 1: to pay for anything is to do it with banknotes.
- 5:28Speaker 1: So even though a digital pound is from the point
- 5:31Speaker 1: of view of a Bank of England the same as cash,
- 5:35Speaker 1: from the point of view of a user, it's just not,
- 5:39Speaker 1: is it.
- 5:39Speaker 2: Yeah, So Tom had a really great answer to this,
- 5:42Speaker 2: I think because the Bank of England hasn't been asked
- 5:44Speaker 2: this question a lot.
- 5:45Speaker 4: So this is a big topic. It's really big.
- 5:47Speaker 3: First of all, the anonymity of cash is not something
- 5:52Speaker 3: that somebody chose to do. It's just a function of
- 5:56Speaker 3: the format of cash, and weeping clear that cash will
- 6:00Speaker 3: continue to be available astrong for as long as people
- 6:02Speaker 3: wish to use it. So I'm not sure cash is
- 6:05Speaker 3: the right comparator. I think the better comparator is to
- 6:08Speaker 3: say ninety plus percent of the money we use for
- 6:11Speaker 3: payments today is electronic. Or electronic money creates a data
- 6:15Speaker 3: footprint and it's really a choice of who do you
- 6:18Speaker 3: want to have that data and how do you want
- 6:19Speaker 3: them to protect it.
- 6:21Speaker 4: The really crucial.
- 6:22Speaker 3: Thing is that there will be no data shared with
- 6:26Speaker 3: the Bank of England, no personal data shared with the
- 6:28Speaker 3: Bank of England or the government. We will know what
- 6:31Speaker 3: transactions have happened, but will have no idea what person
- 6:34Speaker 3: did them. The what it is provided by the private
- 6:37Speaker 3: sector will know who the person was, but they won't
- 6:41Speaker 3: know what the transactions were. And that's a really big
- 6:43Speaker 3: difference because at the moment. Private financial institutions know both
- 6:48Speaker 3: sides of that. They know the individual and the transaction history.
- 6:52Speaker 3: Under our system we're proposing, we would know the transaction
- 6:55Speaker 3: history but not the individual. The what it would know
- 6:57Speaker 3: the individual but not the transaction history, and that we
- 7:01Speaker 3: think offers people the reassurance that the Bank of England
- 7:05Speaker 3: will not receive their personal data and also that we
- 7:07Speaker 3: have no insensitive to use it for commercial gain.
- 7:10Speaker 2: And what he was saying there is that the system
- 7:13Speaker 2: that they may put in place one day, if they
- 7:16Speaker 2: do a digital pound, it will be pseudonymous, which means
- 7:19Speaker 2: that they'll be able to see that this wallet use
- 7:22Speaker 2: this many digital pounds to buy this thing at this shop,
- 7:25Speaker 2: but they won't know who that person is. They'll be
- 7:27Speaker 2: able to see, like you know, rough stuff on spending data,
- 7:29Speaker 2: but you yourself aren't going to be identifiable. And none
- 7:33Speaker 2: of that data really gets shared with the Bank of
- 7:35Speaker 2: England or with the government. It's all going to be
- 7:37Speaker 2: in the hands of wallet providers who make those tools
- 7:40Speaker 2: or softwares apps that you might store your digital pound with,
- 7:43Speaker 2: and as users, you get to determine how much of
- 7:46Speaker 2: your data you give up. You have to agree you
- 7:48Speaker 2: have to consent. It's all under these fancy GDPR rules
- 7:51Speaker 2: we have these days. Whether or not that's still appealing, though,
- 7:55Speaker 2: is an entirely different question. You know, it's very difficult
- 7:58Speaker 2: to think that, you know, as most people in crypto
- 8:02Speaker 2: are very we all always imagine them as people who
- 8:05Speaker 2: are really concerned about wanting to hide from the man
- 8:07Speaker 2: and hide from the government and do everything super illicit criminal.
- 8:11Speaker 2: Imagine them being fully brought into the Bank of England's messaging.
- 8:15Speaker 1: Probably not no, And I'm not brought into it either.
- 8:18Speaker 1: I mean, John, you and I have discussed this a
- 8:20Speaker 1: lot over the years about the risks to one's privacy
- 8:24Speaker 1: from cbdc's that they might say, well, you know, we
- 8:28Speaker 1: sequester it here and sequester it there, and no one
- 8:30Speaker 1: can see the whole lot, and one person can see
- 8:32Speaker 1: her transactions but not your transactions, can see the list
- 8:35Speaker 1: of transactions, and other people knew whose wallet it is,
- 8:38Speaker 1: and there's you know, all sorts of walls between the
- 8:40Speaker 1: private sector that has the wallets and the Bank of
- 8:43Speaker 1: England that actually runs the money system. But in the end,
- 8:47Speaker 1: what's happening here is we're moving into a system where
- 8:50Speaker 1: every single bit of a financial data exists outside our control,
- 8:53Speaker 1: and I find that very frightening, don't you.
- 8:56Speaker 5: I mean, yeah, this worries me, and I also struggle
- 9:02Speaker 5: to see the rationale for it. I'm trying to be
- 9:06Speaker 5: open minded. And one thing I found interest in this
- 9:11Speaker 5: interview that you did, Emily is that Tom does come
- 9:15Speaker 5: across as someone who's quite enthusiastic about this, and also
- 9:22Speaker 5: emphasizes a number of times that the Bank of England
- 9:25Speaker 5: is just kind of building the infrastructure. Because I've been
- 9:29Speaker 5: reading a Bank for International Settlements report on this as well,
- 9:32Speaker 5: and the picture of the central banks globally because this
- 9:35Speaker 5: is a global thing, seems to be that they want
- 9:38Speaker 5: to act as almost like they can have the Microsoft
- 9:40Speaker 5: so like the operating system, and then you'll get private
- 9:45Speaker 5: companies that launch apps on top of that operating system
- 9:49Speaker 5: that then introduced all these exciting new was it the
- 9:53Speaker 5: the Bank for International Settlements talks about how you could
- 9:56Speaker 5: have entirely new types of economic arrangement that' possible today,
- 10:02Speaker 5: and it's just that I think I'm just thinking, yeah,
- 10:03Speaker 5: but we are mean that seems as if it may
- 10:05Speaker 5: benefit central banks, like they can put a time limit
- 10:08Speaker 5: or on my money, for example, if they want me
- 10:10Speaker 5: to expend it, but I'm not sure how it necessarily
- 10:13Speaker 5: benefits me. And there's an awful watter of retskin there.
- 10:16Speaker 5: But I mean, do you get the impression that the
- 10:18Speaker 5: Bank of England is recognizant of that.
- 10:23Speaker 2: I think it's definitely this is still a project under consideration.
- 10:27Speaker 2: You know, while you listen to a conversation with Tom
- 10:31Speaker 2: or you hear, for example, the Bank of a Deputy
- 10:33Speaker 2: Governor John Cunneff talk about this a lot as well.
- 10:36Speaker 2: You hear them talk about CBDC and it sounds pretty
- 10:38Speaker 2: They're like, they're excited about it, but it's also something
- 10:41Speaker 2: that they haven't even decided whether or not they're going
- 10:43Speaker 2: to build it yet. They say they reserve the right
- 10:45Speaker 2: to decide whether or not we might have a digital
- 10:47Speaker 2: Pound for at least in a few years.
- 10:49Speaker 3: We think the public policy case, the sort of conceptual case,
- 10:53Speaker 3: is made. Now we've got to get down to the practicalities.
- 10:56Speaker 3: So we're going to spend a couple of years looking
- 10:57Speaker 3: at that. Around the middle of the decade, we'll make
- 11:00Speaker 3: a decision together with the Government, which would involve Parliament
- 11:04Speaker 3: and a wide range of stakeholders around whether or not
- 11:07Speaker 3: we build, and if we were to build, then we
- 11:10Speaker 3: think the end of the decade would be the earliest
- 11:12Speaker 3: point at which one might be available for people to use.
- 11:15Speaker 2: So it's a long way out. Many things could change.
- 11:18Speaker 2: There's even the possibility that it might not even be
- 11:20Speaker 2: built on blockchain at present.
- 11:22Speaker 3: I find it hard to imagine we'd use a public
- 11:24Speaker 3: ledger right now. I think there's scalability issues, the security issues,
- 11:29Speaker 3: there's certainly governance issues. But it's moving so I think
- 11:33Speaker 3: the idea of Central Bank would use a public blockchain
- 11:36Speaker 3: is a long way from a near term reality, but
- 11:40Speaker 3: we should certainly experiment with it because we can't rule
- 11:42Speaker 3: it out unless we experiment with it. But who knows
- 11:44Speaker 3: if we had this conversation in ten years, perhaps to
- 11:46Speaker 3: be saying this has moved on.
- 11:48Speaker 2: They had a technology forum where they brought in lots
- 11:51Speaker 2: of private market participants to discuss what a CBDC could
- 11:55Speaker 2: look like from a tech perspective, and no one in
- 11:58Speaker 2: that room was able to agree even by the end
- 12:01Speaker 2: of the forum as to what that might look like,
- 12:03Speaker 2: which tells you something. Right, it's still very very much
- 12:06Speaker 2: deliberated as to whether or not a block chain underneath
- 12:09Speaker 2: all of this is the best way to go, and
- 12:12Speaker 2: that means that the developing apps on top of it,
- 12:15Speaker 2: will they be useful? Is this something that we really need?
- 12:17Speaker 2: Is all still very much up in the air.
- 12:19Speaker 1: Emily, because you know, like John, I'm open minded and
- 12:22Speaker 1: I like to do it occasion a little tit bit
- 12:24Speaker 1: of research. I had a look on the section on
- 12:26Speaker 1: the Bank of England website where they talk about this,
- 12:29Speaker 1: and they have a little section where it's a day
- 12:32Speaker 1: in the life of the user of a CBDC and
- 12:35Speaker 1: it is exactly the same as a day in the
- 12:38Speaker 1: life of an ordinary in person going through a process
- 12:42Speaker 1: of spending money. At the moment, there's absolutely nothing there
- 12:45Speaker 1: that looks remotely different. So I don't want to come
- 12:47Speaker 1: back to where I was before saying a contunertime, what's
- 12:50Speaker 1: in it for people? But I really really can't. And
- 12:53Speaker 1: when I listen to what John has just said, and
- 12:55Speaker 1: when I look at the literature I've read on it,
- 12:57Speaker 1: all I can see in it is injured to individual freedom,
- 13:01Speaker 1: as John says, putting the ability to put a time
- 13:03Speaker 1: limit on money so it disappears if you don't spend it,
- 13:06Speaker 1: the ability to arrange things such that you can only
- 13:09Speaker 1: spend your money on certain things. You know, for this month,
- 13:11Speaker 1: no one gets to buy anything except for food. Slightly extreme,
- 13:13Speaker 1: but you never know, and that person over there actually
- 13:15Speaker 1: doesn't get to buy any food. There's the danger of
- 13:18Speaker 1: it developing into a full social credit style system. And then,
- 13:21Speaker 1: of course there's the other danger which it facilitates negative
- 13:24Speaker 1: interest rates. And there was lots of talk around this
- 13:26Speaker 1: when interest rates were solos to be nearly negative. Are
- 13:29Speaker 1: we going to have to go to negative interest rates?
- 13:30Speaker 1: How do we facilitate that without people putting cash in
- 13:33Speaker 1: their basements, etc. And a central bank digital currency does
- 13:37Speaker 1: exactly that. It facilitates the shift to negative interest rates
- 13:40Speaker 1: when required. I can't believe that we're going to be
- 13:41Speaker 1: required again, but who can know? Who can know? And
- 13:44Speaker 1: that's dangerous for us as well. So I still, did
- 13:46Speaker 1: you get any sense when you were talking to Tom
- 13:49Speaker 1: of the genuine long term upside to anybody except for
- 13:54Speaker 1: those who like to be in control.
- 13:57Speaker 2: One thing that stood outs me through my conversation with
- 13:59Speaker 2: Tom was kind of around that that what is the
- 14:02Speaker 2: main selling point for consumers here? And that was that,
- 14:06Speaker 2: you know, if you were concerned that the banks aren't
- 14:09Speaker 2: the safest place to store your money, which most of
- 14:11Speaker 2: us aren't these days, but it is a hangover of
- 14:13Speaker 2: two thousand and eight. You know, some people might still
- 14:15Speaker 2: be concerned about it. This is probably going to be
- 14:19Speaker 2: the safest option out there on the market in terms
- 14:21Speaker 2: of where you could store some cash. You know that
- 14:23Speaker 2: it's going to be in a reserve with the Bank
- 14:25Speaker 2: of England.
- 14:26Speaker 4: It can't be touched.
- 14:27Speaker 2: Every means of interacting with your money would always be
- 14:30Speaker 2: through apps that you have to give your consent and
- 14:33Speaker 2: permission for. So in terms of you know, whether or
- 14:36Speaker 2: not they could put a time limit on your money,
- 14:37Speaker 2: I mean it's if you'd think that maybe the government
- 14:40Speaker 2: might get so distoping and start to start enforcing those
- 14:42Speaker 2: kinds of rules on us, then potentially yes, but that's
- 14:45Speaker 2: you know, quite a long shot. I think probably at
- 14:48Speaker 2: this point.
- 14:48Speaker 1: It's just the possibilities, isn't it the positive?
- 14:51Speaker 2: Yeah, it's the risk of possibility.
- 14:53Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 14:53Speaker 2: But I thought it was quite interesting that you know
- 14:55Speaker 2: that he would bring up that as a as a
- 14:57Speaker 2: as a potential upside. I guess if you're about banks,
- 15:00Speaker 2: then this is the safest place to put your money,
- 15:02Speaker 2: because you know, it's definitely it's something that maybe crypto
- 15:06Speaker 2: people think about quite a lot, but not so much
- 15:08Speaker 2: the general public.
- 15:09Speaker 3: We'd focus on keeping the money safe, providing the infrastructure,
- 15:12Speaker 3: and the private sector would focus on offering a really
- 15:14Speaker 3: great user experience, really great innovation for users. And that
- 15:18Speaker 3: feels like a really good public private partnership if we
- 15:21Speaker 3: did Digital Pound. It's about providing choice and it's not
- 15:25Speaker 3: about crowding somebody out or disintermediating. And it's not about saying, oh,
- 15:29Speaker 3: we can see crypto coming, or we can see big
- 15:31Speaker 3: tech coming and we want to force them out. If
- 15:33Speaker 3: we saw a threat from crypto, big tech, etc. We'd
- 15:38Speaker 3: regulate it to make it safe. This is more about
- 15:40Speaker 3: providing a service which is useful to people.
- 15:43Speaker 4: In the UK.
- 15:44Speaker 3: There is a big question though about is this going
- 15:48Speaker 3: to disintermediate banks because you can keep your money in
- 15:52Speaker 3: a bank account and there is a degree of risk
- 15:55Speaker 3: that your bank maybe become insolvent, but you're protected by regulation,
- 16:00Speaker 3: by the Deposit Insurance Scheme, the Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
- 16:03Speaker 3: So we hope and we believe it's not something people
- 16:06Speaker 3: should be worried about, but there is this concern from
- 16:10Speaker 3: some people that if you could just hold it straight
- 16:13Speaker 3: away at the central bank, which is the safest place
- 16:15Speaker 3: to hold your money, just kids. It cuts out the
- 16:17Speaker 3: middle person. So we've adjusted the design of the digital
- 16:22Speaker 3: paln to make sure we take account of that.
- 16:24Speaker 5: I do think this is an interesting thing, because I mean,
- 16:27Speaker 5: that's a really good point. The crypto thing was basically
- 16:30Speaker 5: bond from two thousand and eight and fear of the
- 16:34Speaker 5: mainstream money system, if you like. But how much actually
- 16:39Speaker 5: in common do CBDCs have with for what Albert traditional crypto,
- 16:46Speaker 5: Because obviously, you know, it's interesting we're talking about this
- 16:49Speaker 5: when crypto was kind of born from essentially a kind
- 16:52Speaker 5: of scientific anarchistic community, and now we're really talking about
- 16:57Speaker 5: it as being the ultimate tool for social control, kind
- 17:00Speaker 5: of like the big state actually, you know, can there
- 17:03Speaker 5: dominate in everything, which is slightly ironic, but it also
- 17:07Speaker 5: makes me think, well, I don't see how this could
- 17:10Speaker 5: crow the lakes of bitcoin, for example.
- 17:13Speaker 2: They're not intended to be like for like, or even
- 17:16Speaker 2: run on the same plane. I think it's often a
- 17:18Speaker 2: misnomer that crypto and CBDC are the same thing. The
- 17:22Speaker 2: only way in which they are similar is that they
- 17:24Speaker 2: might both potentially be on blockchain but that's not even
- 17:27Speaker 2: a given yet, so really there's not that much similarity
- 17:30Speaker 2: between them, because the Bank of England's digital pound, for example,
- 17:34Speaker 2: would be you know, you'd only be able to hold
- 17:36Speaker 2: a maximum of ten twenty thousand pounds. There's no interest
- 17:39Speaker 2: to be earned on it. You can't really do much
- 17:40Speaker 2: with it besides spend it in shops if that's if
- 17:43Speaker 2: it's accepted as legal tender, whereas with crypto, it's a
- 17:47Speaker 2: free for all. You can do whatever you like pretty much,
- 17:49Speaker 2: and there's nobody really restricting how much you can hold
- 17:51Speaker 2: where you can spend it, because there are always ways
- 17:54Speaker 2: to get it into other systems and put it on
- 17:57Speaker 2: gift cards or lend it, borrow it, trade it, hedge its,
- 18:01Speaker 2: anything you like. That's partly why it's unregulated and why
- 18:05Speaker 2: it's considered highly risky because there is no rawway to
- 18:08Speaker 2: oversee it at the minute in a way that regulators
- 18:10Speaker 2: could ever be comfortable with.
- 18:12Speaker 5: And is there any wild that this actually works, because
- 18:14Speaker 5: I know that obviously a lot of smaller nations have
- 18:17Speaker 5: been experiment and I have no idea how far those
- 18:20Speaker 5: experiments have gone. But is there somewhere that we can
- 18:23Speaker 5: point to and see oh, actually this is kine of
- 18:26Speaker 5: how a CBDC walks.
- 18:28Speaker 2: So there are a handful of countries that have actually
- 18:32Speaker 2: launched a CBDC to the point of it being in
- 18:35Speaker 2: circulation in the population at large. One of those is Nigeria.
- 18:39Speaker 2: It's Eenira is probably one of the most developed versions
- 18:42Speaker 2: of a CBDC that we can look at, and even
- 18:45Speaker 2: then it's a little bit difficult to see whether you
- 18:47Speaker 2: could draw any comparisons to a UK CBDC. So for
- 18:52Speaker 2: the Enira, usage is up about sixty three percent this
- 18:55Speaker 2: year according to the Central Bank governor there, and that
- 18:58Speaker 2: is largely because one of the purposes of the een
- 19:01Speaker 2: ira is it's a means of payment for its welfare system.
- 19:05Speaker 2: So if you are one of the millions of Nigerians
- 19:07Speaker 2: who use its government's welfare system, you would get paid
- 19:10Speaker 2: in eenira. That is obviously something that the UK could consider,
- 19:14Speaker 2: but it's not necessarily something that's entirely required. The cash
- 19:18Speaker 2: system in Nigeria, about ninety percent of its monetary spending
- 19:22Speaker 2: every year is in cash, and it's also facing a
- 19:24Speaker 2: massive cash shortage, so there's a really big incentive for
- 19:27Speaker 2: the government and the central bank there to be pushing
- 19:29Speaker 2: in Eira's adoption not something that we really face here elsewhere.
- 19:34Speaker 2: China is usually the biggest example of a CBDC that's
- 19:37Speaker 2: in development still so not quite out there, but has
- 19:40Speaker 2: some big adoption usage. But one of the reasons why
- 19:43Speaker 2: it is so adopted in China is because it's a
- 19:45Speaker 2: very different government system. The state is a lot more
- 19:48Speaker 2: involved in everybody's daily lives in China than it is
- 19:51Speaker 2: in the UK. And I guess the presence of a
- 19:54Speaker 2: CBDC there almost feeds into the concerns that Maren was
- 19:57Speaker 2: voicing about privacy and liberty in this instance.
- 20:00Speaker 1: Emily, from your conversation, what do you think the next
- 20:02Speaker 1: step is? What are the logistics around deciding whether this
- 20:04Speaker 1: will go ahead or not go ahead? What will we
- 20:07Speaker 1: we as individuals see next.
- 20:10Speaker 2: So Tom said that the Bank of England extended its
- 20:13Speaker 2: consultation actually on CBDC recently and so that's live until
- 20:17Speaker 2: the thirtieth of June and people can submit responses and
- 20:21Speaker 2: answer questions that the bank has on, you know, what
- 20:23Speaker 2: they think a CBDC could be used for, how it
- 20:25Speaker 2: could be designed, et cetera. After that there will be
- 20:30Speaker 2: roughly two years of experimentation, trying to find use cases,
- 20:33Speaker 2: dabbling with various ways they could build a CBDC, and
- 20:38Speaker 2: only then will we get the decision as to whether
- 20:40Speaker 2: or not this is worth it.
- 20:41Speaker 4: What we've got to think about is can we actually
- 20:44Speaker 4: do this?
- 20:45Speaker 3: Is it a practical thing to do, is it operationally feasible,
- 20:48Speaker 3: is it technologically viable?
- 20:51Speaker 4: Is there a commercial case for it?
- 20:53Speaker 3: And that's what we're going to spend the next couple
- 20:55Speaker 3: of years researching.
- 20:57Speaker 2: But it's quite interesting to know this is something that
- 20:59Speaker 2: the Bank of England chosen to dedicate its time on,
- 21:01Speaker 2: it's chosen to dedicate money to. With everything that's going
- 21:04Speaker 2: on in the rest of the economy at the minute,
- 21:06Speaker 2: I mean, it's probably facing a lot of criticism for
- 21:08Speaker 2: that and whether or not, you know, how much should
- 21:11Speaker 2: we be future proofing our economy around technology and the
- 21:14Speaker 2: adoption of a potential CBDC one day?
- 21:17Speaker 1: Yeah, I think a lot of us would prefer that
- 21:18Speaker 1: the Bank Kingland put all their energies into thinking about
- 21:21Speaker 1: the here and now. But let's see how that turns out. Emily,
- 21:24Speaker 1: one last question for you. I'm ambushing you here and
- 21:27Speaker 1: I'm hoping, not hoping, but wondering if you might give
- 21:29Speaker 1: a different answer to this question than pretty much every
- 21:32Speaker 1: other guest we've ever had on Merin talks money, bitcoin
- 21:36Speaker 1: or gold. You have to hold up for ten years.
- 21:39Speaker 2: Let's see how I can answer this as an impartial reporter.
- 21:42Speaker 1: No, you don't have to be an impartial reporter. I'm
- 21:44Speaker 1: canceling your impartiality right now. Twenty minutes. Okay, if you
- 21:48Speaker 1: had to hold it for ten years, ten years, bitcoin
- 21:53Speaker 1: or goal.
- 21:54Speaker 2: Well, to be clear, as a Bloomberg reporter who covers crypto,
- 21:57Speaker 2: I am not allowed to own bitcoin, really, so I'd
- 21:59Speaker 2: probably have to go for gold in that instance. But
- 22:05Speaker 2: I think that every asset has its own appeal, and
- 22:10Speaker 2: partly I think a lot of the appeal of bitcoin
- 22:12Speaker 2: has been to a generation like mine. I'm younger, right,
- 22:16Speaker 2: I'm twenty eight. We don't really get where the appeal
- 22:19Speaker 2: of gold was because it's not a standard that we
- 22:21Speaker 2: ever interacted with. It's not something that has really been
- 22:24Speaker 2: in our lives as young people, other than you know,
- 22:27Speaker 2: wearing it as jewelry. So being sold a digital gold
- 22:30Speaker 2: in the form of bitcoin probably sounds quite exciting to
- 22:32Speaker 2: people in my generation, whether or not they should listen
- 22:35Speaker 2: to that is entirely different, and I reserve the right
- 22:38Speaker 2: to remain impartial on that matter.
- 22:40Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough. John and I are much more on
- 22:42Speaker 1: the physical bitcoin side rather the digital gold side.
- 22:45Speaker 2: Are Yep?
- 22:46Speaker 1: Yep?
- 22:47Speaker 5: Physical bitcoin all the week, all the way.
- 22:50Speaker 1: Emily, thank you so much for joining us today. That
- 22:52Speaker 1: was really really interesting and gave John and I are
- 22:54Speaker 1: one full opportunity to pretend to be open minded. We
- 22:56Speaker 1: enjoyed that, didn't we, John?
- 22:57Speaker 5: Oh yeah, some alone's nice to pretend.
- 22:59Speaker 2: Thanks for having me, h,