Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 417 - 12/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 4. 17 of the all
- 0:18systems. Go sports betting podcast
- 0:21powered by Rhythm. I am your host.
- 0:24Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
- 0:30everyone? Happy Wednesday.
- 0:32It's officially hump day, guys. That means we are.
- 0:34Halfway through our work. Week and one day closer to some.
- 0:37Thursday Night Football. Should be an.
- 0:39Incredible match up here. Have you guys?
- 0:41Taken a look at both the. Side and the total for the Rams.
- 0:44In Seattle tomorrow. I believe the winner.
- 0:47Gets officially the number. One seed in the NFC, so
- 0:50obviously a huge. Matchup, divisional rivalry and
- 0:53we're basically at a pick. Em game I see some shops Seattle
- 0:56-1 I. See a shop at Rams -1 really
- 1:00hasn't. Moved too much off the opener,
- 1:02but one thing to keep an eye. Out for this game.
- 1:04We do have two things to be aware.
- 1:06Of 1 is that Seattle is contrarian if you.
- 1:09Look right now. With Seattle at DraftKings.
- 1:12Only 32%. Bets 43% dollars, 38% Bets 48%
- 1:17dollars at Circa. You also look at an angle here.
- 1:22With weather, where weather? Could play a really.
- 1:24Really big role because. Those of you.
- 1:26Who don't follow Kevin Roth on Twitter?
- 1:29He's fantastic weather obviously.
- 1:31Is something we want to keep an eye out for.
- 1:33It doesn't mean we're going to. Bet a game solely.
- 1:35Because of weather. But when we have the opportunity
- 1:38to take. Advantage of a windy.
- 1:40Under Hey, that's right up our alley now.
- 1:42This total is really. Tanked 40. 7 1/2 all the way
- 1:44down to 42 1/2. 42 and you're. Seeing.
- 1:48Some forecast here. Kevin Roth does roto grinders
- 1:50does a great job of like 20 mile.
- 1:52Per hour. Winds with gusts up to like. 40
- 1:55mph. Also, by the way, I do have a
- 1:58rhythm smart signal. On Seattle, so I'm leaning
- 2:01Seattle right now guys. I'm going to see if I can wait
- 2:03out and maybe get Seattle like plus. 1 1/2 But Rams are super
- 2:06contrarian at both DraftKings and Circa.
- 2:10We have a big. Weather spot, which I think.
- 2:12Could benefit Seattle because again.
- 2:15Rams are a warm weather. Dome team.
- 2:17Seattle is, you know. Used to the Pacific Northwest
- 2:20and the. Rams are again contrarian.
- 2:21With a smart. Signal from rhythm, so.
- 2:24Maybe I'll put this in tonight if we can get a.
- 2:26Good price but I'm leaning pretty hard as of now on Seattle
- 2:30but I. Want to give it?
- 2:30Just one more day. Have the full breakdown tomorrow
- 2:33on tomorrow's pod. When we get to game day here but
- 2:36very interesting with the wind and.
- 2:37Kind of the position Seattle is in.
- 2:39As being unpopular in kind of a. Weather spot that they're.
- 2:43Used to, so stay tuned for. That.
- 2:46Now looking toward today, guys. Three pack.
- 2:47Of sweats lined up for you 2. College football bowl games,
- 2:51including one that starts at 5:00 PM.
- 2:53So we got to. Talk about these games here for.
- 2:54Tonight, as well as a college basketball game for tonight,
- 2:58it's a heavily bit match up. With a really good steam move,
- 3:01so 3. Pack overall college basketball,
- 3:03college football. See if we can try to go 2 and 1.
- 3:06Eek. Out a winning day.
- 3:07Now looking back toward yesterday, guys. 2 and 2 -, 0.39
- 3:11units. Did have a couple.
- 3:13Great. Hits, including Tennessee.
- 3:15In college basketball. Remember that Tennessee game
- 3:17was. Right up our alley, because we
- 3:19had that. Dog to fave.
- 3:19Line move. When Tennessee opened.
- 3:21Getting a point or? Point and a half, then they
- 3:23flipped all the way. I think they.
- 3:24Closed like -4 1/2 so we beat the closing.
- 3:27Line there got a. Good money line price.
- 3:29That was great to see in terms of also a 2 ranked teams take
- 3:33the home. Favorite system match and.
- 3:34Then had a great. Hit in our first college
- 3:36football bowl. Game this was.
- 3:38Awesome to see because. Troy, Jacksonville State.
- 3:41Remember, that was another. Dog to fave move where?
- 3:43Jacksonville State opened plus. Three and they closed. -3 and we
- 3:48saw that good dog to fave with. Also Jacksonville.
- 3:51State being, you know. Fully loaded versus Troy, who
- 3:54their star, who was at their star running back opted out and
- 3:56then their quarterback. He ended up playing a little bit
- 3:58then. Coming out, but either way, a
- 4:00couple great hits there with Jacksonville State and
- 4:02Tennessee. And then all we.
- 4:04Needed was either. Right State or Lamar?
- 4:06To come through for us. To have a three in one winning.
- 4:09Night. And wouldn't you know it?
- 4:10Both let us down. So it was kind of.
- 4:12Frustrating in either, right? State or Lamar?
- 4:14Could come through for the team. But either way.
- 4:16Guys 2 and 2 -, 0 point. 39 unit night, see if we can get.
- 4:20Back at it tonight. And and gets a post a winning
- 4:23day, which is always the goal. So that being said, let's talk
- 4:27about some. Plays for tonight, we got 2.
- 4:29College football bowl games. And again, I think.
- 4:31You know, last night was a great test case with that Jacksonville
- 4:34state. Game where we're looking at both
- 4:36the betting market. And then also doing.
- 4:38Some research figuring out. OK, what's the deal?
- 4:40Does this team have opt outs? Does this team have a coaching
- 4:43staff? Who's left and?
- 4:44They'll be coached by an entering coaching.
- 4:46Staff. Again, these little angles that
- 4:48we want to. Really.
- 4:49You know. Focus on.
- 4:50It's not just a pure data play in a way.
- 4:52It's a pure. Data play but also.
- 4:53You know, you got to be aware. Of what's going on causing that
- 4:56data to appear the way that. It is so.
- 4:59First bowl game here tonight, 5:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 5:01We have the staff DNA Cure Bowl and it'll be played.
- 5:05At Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL.
- 5:06Old Dominion against South. Florida.
- 5:09Now coming in, we got Old Dominion nine and three on the
- 5:12year. They've won five.
- 5:13Straight games, just. Took down.
- 5:15Georgia State 27. To 10, but they didn't cover.
- 5:17As a 29 point home favorite. On the other hand.
- 5:20South Florida. Florida. 9:00 and 3:00.
- 5:22As well, they've won two in a row, just beat up on Rice. 52 to
- 5:25three, easily covered as a 20. 8 1/2 point home favorite so.
- 5:29What do you see across the market here?
- 5:30Will this game? Open with South.
- 5:32Florida listed as high as a 7 or even a 7 1/2.
- 5:35Point neutral, site favorite and the public.
- 5:38Is leaning South Florida so South Florida right now?
- 5:41Getting upwards of 60. 9% of spread bets at DraftKings,
- 5:45however, even though they're getting all the support.
- 5:47They're not up to -8 -. 9 Nope. They've gotten down all the way
- 5:50to -4 some shops even down to. 3 1/2 and at times throughout the
- 5:55week, this line touched as low as 2 1/2, so it looks like it
- 5:58bottomed out. South Florida -2 1/2 Come back
- 6:01up now to four. But from the opener.
- 6:03To current we've seen a big drastic line move.
- 6:05In favor of Old Dominion. So aside from the big line move,
- 6:08again, we got to respect the line move and we cash with the
- 6:10line move on Jacksonville State last night.
- 6:12But aside from the line move. You have a contrarian.
- 6:14Opportunity now it's not a prime time game.
- 6:16It's a 5:00 game. But only 31.
- 6:18Percent of spread bets. On Old Dominion on an ESPN.
- 6:21Nationally televised game, however, they are getting 48% of
- 6:24spread dollars. So good low bets.
- 6:26Higher dollar split here showing itself.
- 6:29On Old Dominion. Now one of the.
- 6:31Big reasons when you see a big line move in a bowl.
- 6:33Game you got to do some Googling, some research, figure
- 6:35out OK, what's the deal? Well, typically it's going to
- 6:37be. Opt outs or something?
- 6:39To do with the coaches, and that's what.
- 6:40We're seeing here because Old Dominion.
- 6:43Versus South Florida, the big opt outs are on the South
- 6:46Florida side. The quarterback, Byram Brown,
- 6:48put up big. Numbers this year.
- 6:50He opted out, so they'll be on their second string quarterback.
- 6:53They have a bunch of wide receivers and defensive players
- 6:55who have opted out and also been injured.
- 6:57So basically South. Florida is missing a ton of key
- 7:00players and also. Coaching staff Alex Golesh.
- 7:04And offensive coordinator Joel Gordon for South Florida.
- 7:07Both will not coach in this game.
- 7:09They already left the team. They're going to coach at
- 7:11Auburn, so we have a interim coach.
- 7:14Defensive line coach Kevin Patrick.
- 7:16Will be the interim coach here. So Old Dominion.
- 7:19Pretty much locked and loaded here, but South Florida missing
- 7:22their star quarterback. A bunch of players on both sides
- 7:24of the ball. And their head.
- 7:26Coach and offensive coordinator. So again, this is a bet against
- 7:29for me and I. Want to go with?
- 7:31The line move toward Old Dominion and I want to.
- 7:33Fade South Florida with all those opt outs.
- 7:35And issues. Going on now, motivation.
- 7:38Likely high for. Old Dominion because they're.
- 7:40Searching for their first. Bowl game.
- 7:41Victory under their. 5th year head coach Ricky Rain.
- 7:44So this is a guy that has been to I.
- 7:46Believe 2 bowls and lost. Them both so again.
- 7:49He's got his team. Hopefully motivated to win a
- 7:51bowl game for him. Now another.
- 7:53Angle with Old Dominion. Hopefully is there better?
- 7:56Defense, they're only giving up 20 1/2.
- 7:57Points per game. Versus 24 point. 2.
- 8:00By South Florida and again South.
- 8:02Florida is now missing a bunch of.
- 8:04Players on both sides of the ball, we did see this total
- 8:07really fall. 57 as high as 5755 1/2 down to 52 1/2.
- 8:12Good splits on the under 49%. Bet 60% dollars at DK, 43%, Bet
- 8:1876% dollars at at circa so. Again, we have seen this total.
- 8:23Fall and if you. Look at the game.
- 8:24Yesterday we saw that. Total fall 51 to 4847 after the
- 8:28undercashed as well. So we like the under really not
- 8:31going to argue with you. It's a looks pretty sharp to me.
- 8:33But my play here. Guys, Old Dominion we have.
- 8:36Opt outs issues missing coaching staff for South Florida.
- 8:40Old Dominion locked and. Loaded trying to get a win here.
- 8:43Doesn't hurt that we have a 10% sharp mush.
- 8:46Edge on in favor. Of Old Dominion from our
- 8:48friends. At Juice Reel.
- 8:49And oh by the way, rhythm. I have two models both saying
- 8:53play old. Dominion One rhythm model.
- 8:55Has Old Dominion plus 0.5. The other model has Old Dominion
- 8:59+2, so you can. Shop around and you can, I
- 9:02believe, even find a plus. 4 1/2 at the score which would be your
- 9:06best price here. A lot of books at 4 which is
- 9:09easily available and again some. Books, even down to three and a.
- 9:12Half, so I'm taking the points here. 4 1/2 is your best price.
- 9:15At least 4 though. If you can get it.
- 9:18But let's go old. Dominion.
- 9:21Next one for you. 8:30 PM. Eastern Time.
- 9:23The Nightcap. This is the 68 Ventures Bowl.
- 9:26It'll be played at Hancock. Whitney Stadium in Mobile.
- 9:29Alabama. We got Louisiana.
- 9:31And Delaware now. Louisiana comes in. 6:00 and
- 9:346:00, however. They have one, four straight.
- 9:37Didn't look like they make a bowl game, but they won four.
- 9:39Straight they qualified because you got to get six wins.
- 9:41They just edged dual. Monroe, 30 to 27 in.
- 9:44Overtime, but they were favored by 10 1/2 so didn't cover that
- 9:47number on. The other hand, Delaware. 6:00
- 9:49and 6:00. Snapped A2 game.
- 9:50Losing skid with a 61 to 31. Win over UTEP easily covered as
- 9:55a 4 1/2 point home favorite. So what have you seen across the
- 9:58market here? Will this game open the Ragin
- 10:00Cajuns of Louisiana around a 3 1/2?
- 10:03Point neutral site favorite. And the public.
- 10:05Is leaning slightly. Toward the Ragin.
- 10:07Cajuns. Kind of.
- 10:08The more well. Known brand in college football
- 10:10versus Delaware. More on them in a second.
- 10:12But they are new to FBS this year.
- 10:15But even though you're getting 55% of spread bets at DK on
- 10:18Louisiana, Louisiana didn't stay at. 3 1/2 or get up to 4 or 4
- 10:221/2. We've seen the sign completely
- 10:24tumble away from Louisiana. Toward Delaware, so I.
- 10:28Jumped on. Delaware earlier today at +2 and
- 10:311/2. But guys, I'm looking at the.
- 10:33Number now. It's down to 1 1/2 some books
- 10:36even down to 1. I see one book maybe going to a
- 10:39pick em. Man, this line is.
- 10:41Really steaming. Really.
- 10:42Really sharp reverse line. Movement in, fair in.
- 10:44Favor of Delaware, so again plus 3 1/2.
- 10:47Now down to 2 and a. Half, 1, 1/2 even 1 or.
- 10:49Close to a pick em so it looks super super sharp.
- 10:52On the Blue Hens here now. Aside from this really sharp
- 10:56reverse line movement. We do have Delaware with a good.
- 10:59Split 45% bet. 61. Percent dollars at DK at circa
- 11:0350. Percent bet 61.
- 11:04Percent dollars I've also. Seen a lot of big money on the
- 11:07money line so blue Hens. Are they were plus?
- 11:11115 when I wrote about. This game for.
- 11:13Vison.com and put in the app. Now I'm seeing they're like -110
- 11:17So again, good sign. That the line.
- 11:18Keeps going to the blue. Hens.
- 11:20Not great if you haven't. Bet it yet.
- 11:21But only 31% money line bets but 61%.
- 11:24Money line dollars at. DK and at.
- 11:27Circa 67%. Bets 90. 4% dollars now.
- 11:31There aren't many. Opt outs here on both sides, so
- 11:34there's no like starting. Quarterback missing or anything?
- 11:36Like that or coaching staff that is left but as I was.
- 11:39Researching this game. I found a bit of a motivational
- 11:42edge in favor. Of Delaware.
- 11:44Now the angle for me is 1. The Blue Hens.
- 11:46Are in the. First year as an FBS team and
- 11:50you would imagine first year up in the big leagues you want to
- 11:53win a bowl. Game, right?
- 11:54Your first bowl game. Establish a culture.
- 11:56Build a program. Meanwhile, Louisiana, I don't
- 11:59think they're too excited. To play this game.
- 12:01And again, you're seeing this line really steam toward
- 12:03Delaware because Louisiana. Last year had a.
- 12:05Really good year 10 and four reached the.
- 12:07Sunbelt Championship game played.
- 12:08TCU in the New Mexico. Bowl.
- 12:11This year they went 500. They had to win four straight
- 12:14games just to make a bowl. And now they're in one of the
- 12:16earliest bowls. That really just, you know,
- 12:18isn't really where they wanted to be so.
- 12:21Feels to me from a motivational standpoint.
- 12:23That Delaware's excited to play this.
- 12:25Game and build their their program and Louisiana.
- 12:29Probably a let down. To play in this game because
- 12:30they had much higher aspirations.
- 12:32Now maybe. We see a shoot out here because
- 12:34the total did go up. 58 to 60 1/2, now 61 1/2.
- 12:38You got a really good split here at.
- 12:40DK, 48%. Bets 88% dollar so.
- 12:43If you like the over, I'm not going to argue with you there,
- 12:45but just to tack. On to this Delaware play.
- 12:48Rhythm has Delaware. Plus 0.4 and plus zero point. 5
- 12:54So not great. If you missed the 2 1/2 you
- 12:56could have. Even gotten as high as a three
- 12:58or three and a half, I got the 2 1/2.
- 13:00I'm glad I did again. Wrote about it earlier today if
- 13:03you ever want to read the Sharp report from easton.com that I
- 13:05wrote. I always tweeted out.
- 13:07At Josh under score Insights and you can also get the plays.
- 13:09From the Juice Reel app. But you can still get a 1 1/2.
- 13:12So if you haven't played it yet, I'm grabbing the 1 1/2 with
- 13:15Delaware. Let's just have Delaware.
- 13:16Win the game. Outright, wouldn't that be?
- 13:18Nice. And then?
- 13:19Also we have a 25% sharp mush edge.
- 13:22From the sharper winning players and juice.
- 13:25Reel also. Going with the blue.
- 13:27Hens so. Again, we open Louisiana. -3 1/2
- 13:31this game is getting. Down to a.
- 13:32Pick em guys. Delaware Blue hens a lot of
- 13:34sharp money. I'm on Delaware plus 2 1/2.
- 13:37Looks like 1 1/2 is your best price now.
- 13:39And then Old Dominion you could. Get as high as a four or 4 1/2.
- 13:42So let's get. At least one of these we can
- 13:44get. Both of these dogs to bark
- 13:46that'll be. Fantastic, now over.
- 13:49To some college hoops. There's a huge.
- 13:51Slate tonight. 50 games. Overall, and I'll be honest with
- 13:54you guys. I could have added quite a few
- 13:56college. Basketball games tonight.
- 13:58But with, you know, the bowl games in full swing and having a
- 14:01good. Start last night with
- 14:03Jacksonville State. I didn't want to.
- 14:04You know, hopefully have a good night here with college
- 14:06football. And then have a bunch of.
- 14:08College games that don't go our. Way like freaking.
- 14:11Lamar, that one annoyed. Me because UT Rio.
- 14:13Let us down when I played them and.
- 14:14Then when I bet against them, they win.
- 14:16So sometimes that's just the. Way it goes but I felt like hey.
- 14:19Let's let's devote the majority of our resources to college
- 14:22football. Again, cuz these bowl games are
- 14:24fleeting. There's a lot of college games
- 14:26and we haven't. Even gotten to conference.
- 14:27Play guys like wait. Until we get to the, you know,
- 14:30heavily bet conference game Duke UNC line moves to Duke, 60% of
- 14:35bets are on UNC. Like those games right there are
- 14:38go to so stay tuned. For that, but anyway.
- 14:41I land on one game. That I felt like.
- 14:43Was was worth a play and happens.
- 14:45To be the most heavily. Bet game of the.
- 14:46Night Creighton and Xavier. 6. 30 PM Eastern Time.
- 14:50This one is on FS1 we have. Creighton coming in five and
- 14:54five on the year. They've lost two straight.
- 14:57Just lost. To K state, 83 to 70. 6 at home.
- 15:01Meanwhile, Xavier 8:00 and 3:00 on the year.
- 15:03Xavier, I believe they won. What 1?
- 15:06234. Five in a row.
- 15:08Just beat Missouri State. 75 to 57 and.
- 15:11Xavier, of course, is at home here tonight.
- 15:14Now the. First thing that jumped out to
- 15:15me for this matchup. Is a huge line move.
- 15:18Towards Xavier, because Xavier. Opened this game as low as a 1
- 15:221/2 or two point home favorite. Some books around 2 1/2, but now
- 15:26we've seen Xavier get up. To -3 1/2.
- 15:29And if you pay attention to the. 3 1/2's they're not.
- 15:32Juiced toward Creighton plus 3 1/2 -, 115 like it'll.
- 15:35Come back down to three, they're juiced. -3 1/2 -. 115 towards
- 15:39Xavier like it may get up to 4. So pretty clear line movement
- 15:42here in. Favor of Xavier.
- 15:45Telling me a lot of big, big money, respected money is poured
- 15:48in. On the Musketeers for this match
- 15:50up. If you look.
- 15:51At the splits. In particular, I'm protecting
- 15:54myself going money. Line here.
- 15:55It's very important. You shop around, use your odds
- 15:58logic live odds page. Again, odds logic dot.
- 16:01Com slash Josh one. 2-3 you get. That 7 day free trial, 50% off
- 16:04your first month, but the money. Line prices.
- 16:07All around the place because I got Xavier.
- 16:10On the money line -175. Again, this isn't.
- 16:13I don't want. To go too much higher than that,
- 16:15but that's available at both Fanatics and Valley Bet.
- 16:18For me in Massachusetts. But a lot of.
- 16:19Books are -180 -, 185 and FanDuel is -190. 6:00 So that is
- 16:26like a. 21 you know, Cent. Advantage playing it at.
- 16:30Fanatics or Valley? Bet versus FanDuel.
- 16:31FanDuel, they take in big money, so it tells me maybe the, you
- 16:35know, sharper wagers at FanDuel. Are also.
- 16:37Going Xavier, but again, a shop. Around get the best.
- 16:40Price. Here I look at the.
- 16:41Splits on the money line at DK. 78% bets, 81% dollars.
- 16:46On Xavier, you also have Xavier. Matching a couple couple really
- 16:50good. Systems so #1 if you're a.
- 16:52Favorite straight up? With a 2 point line move or.
- 16:55More in your direction. Those teams are 211 and 48 this
- 16:59year 81%. With a 2% ROI.
- 17:02If you are a money line short favorite with a line move.
- 17:05System match. So you got to be favored by 5
- 17:08points or less, or sorry, four points or less and have at least
- 17:111/2 point. Move in your.
- 17:12Direction and your favored. That system is 80 and 53. 60%
- 17:17this year. With a 1.5% ROI, so 2 good
- 17:20system. Matches on Xavier.
- 17:22Sharp line move. On Xavier.
- 17:25Now, Ken Palm does have Xavier winning by two points, so that's
- 17:28why I went money line. Took the -175 at Fanatics on
- 17:31Xavier. But a couple advantages here,
- 17:33hopefully. For the Musketeers one, we have
- 17:36a much better three-point. Shooting team so hopefully.
- 17:38The three start falling 37% for Xavier, 33% for Creighton.
- 17:44Better defensive efficiency. 74th in the country versus 87th
- 17:48for Creighton one day. Rest advantage, nothing crazy.
- 17:51But extra day off your. Feet rehabbing injuries but.
- 17:54Again, an extra day. In the film room, getting ready
- 17:57and preparing. So Xavier last played on the
- 17:5912th of December versus the. 13th for for Creighton.
- 18:02Home Rd. We have Xavier 7 and one at
- 18:05home. So home cooking hopefully
- 18:07continues tonight. Creighton O and two on the road
- 18:10Rhythm has Xavier -3. .8. So technically an edge on the 3
- 18:151/2 but. Again, you win by three.
- 18:17You lose your. 3 1/2 That's why I went.
- 18:18Money line. And oh, by the way, they take
- 18:21much better care of the ball, Xavier.
- 18:23Actually ranks #1 in the entire nation.
- 18:27At not turning it over other offensive turnover percentage
- 18:31versus. Creighton, who ranks 168th.
- 18:34So Xavier Big. Steam in their favor.
- 18:37Rhythms got close to a four. Point.
- 18:39Game we have a. -175. Available to us at Fanatics and
- 18:43Valley Bet. Better three-point shooting,
- 18:45Better defense. Rest.
- 18:47Advantage Home Rd. Splits.
- 18:49Take better care of the ball. I played Xavier.
- 18:52To win this game at -175. S Old Dominion in.
- 18:55Delaware with the points. Xavier money line.
- 18:58Let's see if we can. Scratch and claw get 2 out of
- 19:00three across college football. Bowl season and college.
- 19:03Hoops for tonight. So that about does it for
- 19:06episode 4. 17 of the all. Systems Go sports betting
- 19:10podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 19:12where we wrap things up. Now.
- 19:14We start first by saying thank you.
- 19:16Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning in.
- 19:18Thank you for. Taking the time out of your day,
- 19:20out of your busy lives especially.
- 19:21During the holiday season. I know you guys got a lot going
- 19:24on. But you tune in, you grind the
- 19:26sharp plays with me. It really means a lot to me.
- 19:28So thank you, thank you, thank you if you.
- 19:30Would like to help me grow. The pod please.
- 19:32Could you give the? Pod a five star review on
- 19:34Spotify or iTunes, click the. Rate and review button.
- 19:38You want to leave a. Nice comment on iTunes.
- 19:40That will be great. If you.
- 19:41Also would like to recommend the pod to a friend or retweet the
- 19:44pod. When I tweeted out each day,
- 19:46that would also be awesome of you.
- 19:48So thank you very much for that. Next if you enjoy.
- 19:51The style of betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp.
- 19:54Contrained betting focusing on. Splits line movement.
- 19:56System matches rhythm and juice reel edges making bets with our
- 20:00head and not our heart. If this style.
- 20:02Of betting has appealed to you. You've been provided a
- 20:04blueprint. You want to learn more?
- 20:06About data-driven betting. But also.
- 20:08Guys, we are now what? 8.
- 20:10Days away from Christmas, we're on night 4 of Hanukkah.
- 20:13Tonight you need a. Gift for that person in your
- 20:15life. Who you are?
- 20:16Scratching and clawing and. You have no clue.
- 20:18What to get them right? We'll make it easy.
- 20:20Go to. Amazon.com.
- 20:21Type in the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:23Or the everything. Guide to sports betting Grab one
- 20:26or both of my books. Give it to your uncle, your dad.
- 20:29Your son, your nephew, whoever. I think they're going to enjoy
- 20:31it much more than a pair of, you know, a pair of.
- 20:34Socks or underwear? Even though we need those
- 20:36things, I'm not going to make. Light of them, but.
- 20:39I think they could hopefully turn.
- 20:41One pair of socks into 100 pairs of socks, hopefully.
- 20:44When they learn how to go contrarian and follow.
- 20:46Line movement. So grab one or both my books,
- 20:48you'd make my day. And bring them to the sports.
- 20:51Book. I'll sign them for you.
- 20:52I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger ale and we'll sweat
- 20:54some games together. Next.
- 20:57Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 20:59My two favorite. Sports betting apps Rhythm for
- 21:01their fantastic AI backed models.
- 21:03And predictions for game. Bets and player props Reminder
- 21:06we do have. Our rhythm rundown tomorrow
- 21:07night at 86. PM Eastern Time, look forward to
- 21:10seeing you guys there and then Juice Reel.
- 21:12So many great features of the juice.
- 21:14Reel app #1. You can support your.
- 21:16Pod Podcast Host Tip your podcast host by signing.
- 21:20Up to get the ASG official. Best bet picks exclusively.
- 21:23And only on juice. Reel as soon as I play them
- 21:25you'll get them so if you sign up to get those pics for. $4.00
- 21:29and. $0.99 a week. You would have gotten Delaware 2
- 21:31and a. Half when now they're 1 1/2 or
- 21:33one. So that would be very much
- 21:36pretty cool of you to tip your podcast host in that regard.
- 21:39Consider it your Christmas. Or my Christmas bonus, I guess
- 21:41you could you could say. But also, you're going to get
- 21:44the Robo Jackson best bet picks the.
- 21:45Sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
- 21:48the best sign features. All available when you download
- 21:50Rhythm and Juice Rail. So make sure you do that and
- 21:53give them a five star review in the App Store.
- 21:56Next. You have a live odds page.
- 21:58If you don't have one, you need one.
- 22:00It's. Super important.
- 22:01If you're a serious sports better, you got to be able to
- 22:03track the market. What are all the?
- 22:05Games I can bet on today give me the start times I need, the live
- 22:08scoring I need live. In game wagering.
- 22:10Odds that. Update after every play.
- 22:12More importantly, I got to track what the line opened at a column
- 22:15that never changes, just. Shows you the opening number.
- 22:17And then all the current prices to the right.
- 22:19So I can see which direction the line is moved.
- 22:21Pull up the line history. Identify Steam.
- 22:24Shop for the best price again, find that Old Dominion 4 1/2
- 22:27when other books are at four 3 1/2.
- 22:29So if you'd like to give. Odds logic a shot?
- 22:31Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 12.
- 22:36Three. That'll give.
- 22:36You a 7 day free trial 50% off your.
- 22:39First month of service. Next.
- 22:42Have you given Novig? A shot yet?
- 22:44Well, Novig is a sports betting exchange.
- 22:46It's. Not a sports book.
- 22:47So you can win at the. Same rate you.
- 22:49Would at. DraftKings or FanDuel, but
- 22:51because you're betting. At Novig.
- 22:52You're getting way better juice prices.
- 22:54And you're making more money. On the back end, so instead of
- 22:56laying -1. 15 -, 120. You're laying minus one O 5.
- 23:00Plus one O 2, so again you're getting more on the back end
- 23:04you're risking. Unit getting more back.
- 23:05Because you're risking less juice also if you.
- 23:07Win and do well. You're not going to get booted
- 23:09or limited. Like some books, unfortunately.
- 23:12Like to do so. Download Novig.
- 23:14And fund your account when you do that.
- 23:16There's a little promo code put in, Josh. 123 it'll tack on 25
- 23:20bucks to your account. Lastly, I mentioned it before,
- 23:23but. You are available.
- 23:25And free to sign. Up for my Survivor contest with
- 23:28Splash. Sports for the NFL.
- 23:29Playoffs, you can. Sign up now.
- 23:31Obviously the bracket. Won't come out until regular
- 23:33season ends in the. Playoff.
- 23:35You know, format. Obviously is is official.
- 23:38We can get in now. 25 bucks you win up to.
- 23:41Upwards of over $5000. And I'd like.
- 23:44To see. All of you join in and you.
- 23:46Can click the link in the. Bio description of the pod.
- 23:49Or go to my Facebook page. I was going to say, I don't even
- 23:52have a Facebook page, my Twitter.
- 23:54Page at Josh under Score Insights.
- 23:56So that about does it for episode 417.
- 23:59Of the ASG pod. On a big Wednesday, as always,
- 24:02guys, two final thoughts. One, whether I see you at the.
- 24:04Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin River in.
- 24:07Rhode Island. The Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
- 24:08Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sundown in Connecticut at the
- 24:11Encore in. Boston plainridge park casino
- 24:13MGM Springfield the Nash. In my neck of the woods, on the
- 24:16border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
- 24:18Or, of course, out in the desert, where the true grinders
- 24:20get down. Where Billy?
- 24:21Walter sends. His number runners where the
- 24:23lowest juice possible is found at the South.
- 24:25Point. Or sweat.
- 24:26And sharp contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium swimming
- 24:29pool when you. Catch a big ticket at Circa?
- 24:31You're. Going to show me.
- 24:33Jacksonville State dog to fave nice little one and O to start
- 24:37the. Bowl season.
- 24:38And how about the? Volunteers.
- 24:40Absolutely rolling for the. Team another dog to.
- 24:42Fave whatever you do. Right State and Lamar.
- 24:45You're telling me neither. Of those could come through for
- 24:47us, that's frustrating. But anyway, guys two and two see
- 24:50if we can have a winning night. Go 2 and 1-4 tonight.
- 24:53So as always, coming off A2 and 2A, what is it a one?
- 24:57And three A3 and 1A4. And O&O and four after.
- 25:00A night where we. Were grinding or have been.
- 25:02Grinding or we're hot or. Cold things are going.
- 25:04Our way things aren't going our way.
- 25:06We just got to stick to the model in the blueprint.
- 25:09Find games that fit. Our model bypass the ones that
- 25:11don't stay disciplined. With our bankroll management,
- 25:14you. Might love a game.
- 25:15Just. One unit you might lean a game.
- 25:17One unit again, you get in trouble when you you're doubling
- 25:21down chasing. That kind of thing.
- 25:23We're just always playing the long.
- 25:24Term so if we can find games that fit our model against the
- 25:28public with the house with the pros flat bet.
- 25:31Avoid parlays and get that COV if we can do.
- 25:33That we're going to be successful long term.
- 25:36So have a great. Wednesday night, everybody.
- 25:39And get ready because we got a huge Thursday night.
- 25:40Football game for tomorrow that we'll talk about on tomorrow's
- 25:43pod. That'll be episode. 4/18 of the
- 25:46all. Systems Go sports betting
- 25:48podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 25:51great. Wednesday night.