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NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Friday 2/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: all all in four that.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my Brouins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March night, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump yesterday, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports Friday, February sixth,
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: didn't do great yesterday two and three.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Uh, it could have been better, although college.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: Basketball was a great UMass Lowell, dude, I don't know
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: what to tell you about this NJI T team. This
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: this team is still a complete fraud, you mass Lowell.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are a jackal on high team.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: So they have really bad games sometimes, and I thought
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: that would be one of their good games.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Obviously that was not. That was a horrible loss.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: The line actually went up to like two to two
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: and a half before the game too.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what is going on, man.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: I would not think that the professional betters would be
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: playing NJIT in like any form really unless they're in
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: like a really great spot.
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: I don't see that happening, So I don't know what
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: went on.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: With that cal State Bakersfield did get us to cover there.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: I think it was actually a wire to wire cover,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: even though it got really close near the end.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure they were within that number the whole time.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: They were winning the game outright, fairly deep into the
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: first half, and then they had a pretty bad second half,
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: but the game was at such a slow pace, which
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: was part of the handicap that it helped out.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: And then they wound up covering.
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: If you got the sixteen and a half, which hopefully
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: you did because it was abundant, they covered by a
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: half point, but that was only because UC Irvine was
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: up fourteen and they dunked the ball at.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: The buzzer like a bunch of jackasses, which.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: I'm like, like, what are we what's going on here?
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: Like did some of these players have minus sixteen or something?
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: You want to push the bet? I don't know what
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: that was.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: Like. Usually you don't see that happen. The team's gonna
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: win the game, they're up fourteen. Usually they just run
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: the rest of the clock out. You know, Bakersfield's not
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: gonna foul anymore. The dunk was just some bullshit, man,
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: And if that caused a loss, I would be really,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: really fucking pissed, but it did not, so that was
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: still a cover by half point. The Flyers, they did
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: not play their best game, although they were an underdog
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: that took the game in no overtime, so that kind
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: of indicates that you had some value on that side.
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: They lost the game in overtime. They didn't play well
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: enough in regulation. I mean, they did get outstated in
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: the game, so that wasn't great. The best play was
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: obviously the Wizards with an outright win against the Piston.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: So there you go, the Wizards all over the place.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: They assaulted me the terrible performance one game, and then
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: the next game they the next game they fuck and
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: they won outright.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: It's is fifteen point underdogs or whatever.
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: I think maybe you could could have gotten an even
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: greater line than that, but it didn't matter.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: They want outright.
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: And then the Dallas Mavericks kind of pissed me off too.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: They were hanging around in that game, and they were
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: within that spread late and they were down three with
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: three minutes left the final score, losing by twelve. I
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: don't even know what happened at the end of that
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: game for the Spurs to score that many points at
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: the end if Dallas was just continuously fouling or something.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened, because they were within three
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: with three minutes left, and I'm like, all right, Dallas
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: is gonna take this thing to the wire, like to
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: the wire, maybe send this into overtime, which at plus
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: seven I'd be okay. I'd be okay with the overtime.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: They're probably gonna cover it if it does that. No,
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: they somehow they give up whatever it was like nine
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: unanswered points right at the end. I don't know what
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: what that was. That was some bullshit. We're gonna move
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: on to today. Today's a very small board. There's some
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: college basketball. A lot of it's Missouri Valley, which at
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: least it's a pretty competitive conference, so that's some decent
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: action there. And then the NBA board is actually not
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: that big. I'm gonna give about one play tonight it's
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: in the NBA, and then I'm gonna give out an
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: extra Super Bowl prop that I like as well, actually
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: because I don't know. It was something that I just
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: wasn't even thinking about. And then I think, I don't know,
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: I forget I saw one of the handicappers that I
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: follow and mention this, and I'm like, yeah, that makes
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: a lot of sense actually, so I'm gonna do that,
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: dirty sock.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: What's up, Kyle, what's up? Good morning everyone, Tyson? What's up?
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: All right? College basketball? Let's go.
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: Very small college basketball board makes my life easier, although
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: I have to handicap the Saturday board probably in the
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: middle of the day because, like I said, I'm gonna
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: try to do the show tonight, but I'm going to
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: opeth so it's not gonna be like an insane crowd
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: show or anything.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: It's a theater show. But still I'm gonna.
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: Be out probably until I don't know, after midnight. So
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know how I'm gonna do this.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I have to.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Handicap the board in the middle of the day, and
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: then the Lions won't be out yet, so I have
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: to figure out.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I got stuff to do.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: I gotta figure out, like I'm gonna give myself like
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: a short list of the situations I like, and then
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: when the lines start coming out, I gotta take a
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: look at them again, I guess and be like, all right,
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: I want to make these the plays and then go
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: from there. I don't know, I gotta figure out how
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: It'll be, we'll see, it'll be.
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: It'll be easier to do it with hockey not going on,
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: because there's usually a huge Saturday in hockey, but it'll
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: just be basketball. So all right, college basketball, there's one
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: Atlantic ten game on CBS Sports at six pm, Loyal
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Chicago at Davidson. Loyal Chicago finally got another win against
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: a really bad Lasale team, but Oarl Chicago's really bad too.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: Then ended a long losing street for Loyola Chicago, as
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: I think they won their first conference game and they
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: hadn't won since then.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: They've lost nine games in a row.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: But I talk about how when a team gets a
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: win sometimes that breaks that losing momentum and they'll actually
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: have that monkey off their back.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: They'll play better and moving forward. So that looks good
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: for Loyola.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: Then I also looked and they already played Davidson, who
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: they're playing tonight at home, and they lost by fifteen, so.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: That looks good as well.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Okay, now Davidson might overlook Loyal in Chicago because first
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: of all, they stink, but second of all, Davidson already
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: beat them, easily at Loyola Chicago, so it doesn't look
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: like a spot where Davidson's really gonna have focus here.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: So yes, I am gonna lean to Loyola Chicago here,
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: but I do have some problems with it now.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: Loyol Chicago they play Saint Louis next.
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: I don't really see them looking ahead, Like I don't
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: really think they're gonna look past anybody at this point
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: because they're terrible, So I think that's somewhat out of
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: the EQUI for Davidson.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: Yes, I do think they might overlook them.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: And Davidson did just play Saint Louis and that was
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: the game that was close for a while, though in
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: the final minutes it wasn't exactly that close.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: They wound up losing by nine. Robbie of Vila, I'm.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Pretty sure missed two free throws at the end of
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: that game, so maybe he was not feeling great.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: But it was a decent performance of David's and they
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: played fairly close, So they are coming to have a
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: big game here. Unfortunately, they don't have Dayton next, because
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: if they had Dayton next, it might be more of
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot here. But they're playing some non Division
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: one team next mid Atlantic College or something. I don't
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: know what that is. But they're gonna have a basically
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: basically like a bye game coming up next, so they
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: don't have a look ahead here.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just gonna stay away.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: And the one thing that really threw me off is
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: that Ken bomb has this number at like fifteen and
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: the numbers ten and a half nine. I'm like, I
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: don't know what's going on. If Davidson has some injuries
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: or what's happening, or the oddsmakers are just giving Loyola
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: more respect than they deserve.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: I do lean to Loyola Chicago, like, as far as
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: the situation is concerned, if you forced me to lean,
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: I would probably take the points, but I don't want
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: to do it. Davidson down from ten and a half
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: to nine and a half here, so some early movement
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: towards that side. But again, based on the numbers that
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Ken Bump's throwing out there, this line is actually way
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: too short. So again, I don't really know what's going on,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: so I'm gonna stay away from it.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: H ESPN two has.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: Dayton at VCU. Pretty good game in the Atlantic ten
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: at seven pm. Both these teams among the best teams.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: In this conference.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: Saint Joe's is a complete fraud, so I would say
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis is clearly the.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: Best team in this conference.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: VCU is second, and then Dayton is third in my opinion,
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: then probably George Mason.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's. I don't know, not not.
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: Even really that close. I don't know what they're doing
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: up there. Dayton, Uh, just a race of four game
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: losing streaking. Yeah, they lost to Saint Joe's in Lesalle.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: Don't remind me because I gave them out as a
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: play against Saint Joe's.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, fuck me.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: I guess Dayton has lost four They had lost four
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: games in a row and then they barely got by
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: Saint bona Venture. So I actually like how this sets
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: up for Dayton because they broke a losing streak, so
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: that momentum, the negative momentum, is gone. But they actually
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: did so by playing poorly against a same Bonadventure team
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: that's not playing well this year. Dayton were seven and
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: a half point favorites in this game and.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: They almost lost. They only won by two, So.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: I like that as far as like a favorite barely
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: getting by They're gonna be focused more in the next game.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Maybe they're already looking ahead to VCU. Obviously they're gonna
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: show up for a game against VCU. Although I do
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: think VCU is in a similar spot because they just
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: barely got by Fordam on the road.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they were looking ahead to this game too.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: So both teams are gonna kind of be in focus
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: spots here, So I'll stay away, but a lot of times,
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: and it is a more focused spot a lot of times,
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: the better team, which is VCU, will have the upper hand.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: They're up from a six and a half point favorite
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: to a seven point favorite.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: With juice here.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: If the public's gonna play this game, because they are
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: right that many TV games, they might notice, oh well,
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: these teams have similar records. Maybe think the seven and
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: a half is a little bit too high.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's hard for me to gauge what
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna do with this game.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: I'll probably need to laying the points with VCU. I
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: probably would not disagree with an under in this game.
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: I was correct about that Cincinnati game going under yesterday,
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: but neither team even got to sixty in that game.
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: Maybe I should start playing totals a VCU. They actually
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: play a bit on the faster side again, even though
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: Shaka Smart's not there anymore, so that kind of I
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: don't know, that would worry me a little bit. Although
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: Dayton is a very good defensive team, they don't play
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: as fast, so I don't know.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: To me, it just seems like it's gonna be kind
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: of a battle.
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: So I was kind of thinking under totals at one
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: forty nine, but I guess I don't really have a
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: strong opinion on that because neither team is a particularly
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: slow paced team, and VCU actually is a bit better
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: defense offensively, excuse me the defensively.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Oh, we have a pretty ugly game.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: In the IVY League, usually the IVY has more games
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: on Friday. It's only probably the worst team in the
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: IVY against definitely the best Brown at Yale. I mean,
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: Brown will likely show up at least. Yale already beat
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: them at Brown by seventeen, so Yale may potentially overlook
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: Brown for that reason. Brown's lost four games in a row.
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: They're not a great team, but they'll probably at least
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: show up for a game against the powerhouse of the
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: IVY Yale, though they're coming up a pretty bad loss
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: to Harvard.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: I know, Harvard might be the second best team in
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: the IVY.
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: There's Robbie Avila there, but there's still a huge gap
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: between Yale and Harvard, even if Harvard is the best
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: the second best team the IVY. Yale were eleven and
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: a half point favorites in this game at home against Harvard,
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: and they lost the game outright, So Yale might bounce
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: back from that. Man, they might be a little bit
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: angry about that. A lot of times you have that
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: big favorite that plays badly.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: And they lose.
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: A lot of times they show up with focus in
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: the next game. So I could see arguments for both sides.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Yale did also lose a four game win streak, so
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: sometimes losing a win streak will hang you over a
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: little bit. And maybe they treated that Harvard game like
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: a bigger game because it is Harvard Yale. I mean,
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: it's of course, it's a very old football rivalry. There's
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: still huge rivals. They're like the prime They're like the
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: main rivals in the IVY. So there is still all that.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: As far as the market read the market, Reid is
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: saying to take the points with Brown. Yale dropped from
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: fifteen and a half point favorite to fifteen. Here ninety
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets seventy six percent of the cash
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: u low total at one forty, So I guess I
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: won't really disagree with taking the points with Brown. That's
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: pretty much what the market is saying. But that is
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: a game that does not really interest me at all.
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: Fox Sports has maybe the best game of the night
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: between two ranked teams that I actually think are not
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: exactly what the rankings makers are telling you. They are
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: Yukon number three at number twenty two Saint John's. Of course,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: this is in Madison Square Garden. But the thing about
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Madison Square Garden, of course, is that you know Yukon's
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: gonna have a huge crowd presence.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: There as well.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: So it's not gonna really be a road game for Yukon.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: And Yukon, I mean they play they play a lot
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: of their games in Hartford, but I think Yukon has
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: played some of their games during the regular season in
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: Madison Square too. I mean it's not an unfamiliar venue
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: for them, so not really a road game for Yukon.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: So that's one thing of note here, but I think
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: Yukon's overrated, being ranked third in the country. Kenbam has
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: them at eighth. He's got Yukon pretty lucky thirty first
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: in his luck Index, meaning they have overperformed. If you
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: look at Yukon's schedule so far, they face of very
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: easy Big East slate. I mean, the Big East is
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: a bad conference this year, but they haven't played Saint
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: John's at all yet. They did crush Creighton on the road,
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: which just a decent win, and they had a home
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: win against Villanova. Other than that, they haven't done a
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: whole lot. I mean, they won by five at Seaton Hall.
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not too impressed with the Yukon's resume, man, to
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: be honest. I mean, part of it is just because
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: the Big East stinks. But I think there's less of
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: a gap here between Yukon and Saint John's than people
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: might think.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: The line of this game is pretty small.
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: Yukon went up from one point favorite to a two
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: point favorite, but they're looking like they're gonna be the
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: public side because the rankings make you know, the people
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: see the rankings, and the public's probably gonna want action
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: on this game because it's the big game of the night.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: Oh the better team. Yukon's only laying two points. They
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: basically just have to pick the winner, right. Seventy four
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets are on Yukon, but sixty three
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Saint John's. I will not
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: disagree with Saint John's in this one. I actually think
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: Saint John's maybe a little bit under ranked. Kenbom has
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: them at twentieth. They're much less lucky than Yukon. He
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: has them two hundred and sixty fourth in locked, so
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: he's telling you Saint John's has actually underperformed what their
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: level actually is. Yukon has overperformed with the fact that
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: they only have one loss on the season. Now it
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: will be a contrast to styles. Saint John's wants to
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: go fast, Yukon wants to go slow, but both teams
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: are better defensively, although Saint John's is actually more balanced
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: this year than they were last year. I'm gonna be honest,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: I think Saint John's this year is actually better than
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: they were last year because last year their offense was
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: actually pitiful even though their defense was really good. That
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: was kind of their undoing. But if they're gonna be
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: more balanced this year. Maybe they're a little bit too fast,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: but this Saint John's team might actually be dangerous once
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: we get to the tournament and Yukon, if they wind
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: up being a one seed, Yukon is gonna be the
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: weakest one seed. So I'll just throw that out there.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: Yukon actually got less bad. They're more defense oriented than
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: offense oriented, although still is Saint John's. It's gonna be
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: easier for you kind of slow the game down. I
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: think I do like the under in this game. The
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: total did drop a little bit from one to forty
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: five to one forty four.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: And a half. It's a fairly low total. It's that
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: way for a reason.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, I see both teams probably focusing on defense here.
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: As far as the scheduling spot, it does not look
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: like an unfocused spot for either team. Yukon just easily
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: beat Xavier, no real problem there. They're not gonna overlook
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: Saint John's. Saint John's also won't overlook Yukon, and they're
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: coming off a momentum continuing and win over to Paul,
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: so I see both teams putting in an effort in
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: this one. On the defensive side of things, so underkind
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: of makes sense here, and I agree with the Saint
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: John's side as well.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I just think that the.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: Rankings have these teams. The rankings make these teams look
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: more desperate than they actually are. But yes, keep in
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: mind that Saint John's does not really have a true
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: home court advantage in this one, so.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: All things to consider in that game. It's not a
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: play for.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: Me or anything, but the market Reid is also saying
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: Saint John's and it looks like possibly the under So
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: I do agree with both of those in that one.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: I guess I'm gonna talk about every game because there
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: just aren't that many games Evansville and Valparaiso. This is
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: the worst game the Missouri Valley's got some decent games tonight,
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: not this one. Evansville is one of the worst teams
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: in that league or conference. I've lost five games in
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: a row. You know, at least that probably means they're
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: gonna show up. And also they probably consider themselves to
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: be a little brother to every team in Indiana, which
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: Valpo is in Indiana, so Evansville probably will play with a
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: little bit of extra focus, at least against an Indiana team.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Valpo just lost to Bradley in a somewhat close game,
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: losing by seven. Bradley is one of the better teams
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: in this conference, so Valpo is coming off a tougher game.
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: They got Drake on deck.
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're really gonna look ahead to
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: Drake because Drake's not having a great season, but definitely pretty.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Need to overlook Evansville.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: Though these two teams have not played yet this year,
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: they actually play in the last game of the regular season.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards Evansville in this one. It's a
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: low total at one thirty six, you're getting a lot
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: of points. Valpo down from ten to nine and a half.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: They're the public side. It looks like seventy five percent
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: of the tickets only fifty six percent of the cash.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: I agree with that market read on that one too.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards Evansville. Not a strong opinion for me, though,
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: Murray State at Southern Illinois. This is one of the
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: better games man, this one and then the TV one,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: actually maybe both TV games. Actually, really, these remaining four
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: games are all pretty good.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: What's up, Hindi and what's up? Man?
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Who's hand to tron. Oh, well, thank you, sir. I
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: don't even know who that is. So do I really
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: give a fuck everybody? Dude, everybody talks shit.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: They they hate us because they because they hate us.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: Man, they hate us because they aim us. Uh because
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: because they're gay is what I mean. Dude, I seriously
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: have no fucking idea who that even is. I mean,
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: I'll fucking block whoever that is. I don't know, there's
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: no skin off my back.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. I don't even know who that
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: guy is.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: But yes, Murray State Southern Illinois. This is an interesting
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: game because I first looked at this and I'm like,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: Murray State has the way a better record over Southern Illinois.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: Murray State's only favored by one and a half.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: So this is basically like pick.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: The winner, Like you know, the public's gonna be on
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: Murray State here, Like it looks so easy to play
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: Murray State with this record. And you know, I've been
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: telling you all year that Southern Illinois has underperformed what
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: they really are. They're like the most under rated team
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: in this conference. So I'm like, okay, I'm like gearing up,
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: like maybe Southern Illinois is going to be a play here.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Murray stated they already beat Southern Illinois this year. Yeah
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: they did, but.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at it.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: I'm like that was at Murray State and Murray State
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: didn't come So you know what I talk about Murray State,
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: they were six and a half paint favorites in this game.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: They only won by three.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: And I do talk about how in the first meeting
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: when the home team was a big favorite and they
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: almost lost the game, they actually will take that team
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: seriously more often than not the next time. So that
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: worries me about looking towards Southern Illinois just based on
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: the situation here. Murray State also just broke a four
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: game losing streak where they mostly lost to pretty good
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: teams during that losing streak, and the biggest loss was
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: at Belmont. I'm not gonna blame him for that. Belmont
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: is very legit. Murray State got the win. They beat
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: Illinois Chicago. I know Illinois Chicago's been having a decent season,
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: but I don't think that Murray State will really be
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: in a letdown mode off of that. They got Northern
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Iowa up next. I know Northern Iowa is middle of
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: the pack here, but they're not that far above you know,
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: some of these other teams in the conference really, so
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that's really going to be a
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: look ahead all though, maybe because Murray State did lose
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: to Northern Iowa already, so I guess maybe that would
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: be a look ahead, But I don't know. To me,
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: it looks like they might have some momentum because of
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: the first meeting between these two, and they might actually
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: take SIU seriously here, and Southern Illinois is coming off
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: a nice upset win over Illinois State. So that's my
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: other problem with looking at Southern Illinois because yeah, from
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: like a numbers perspective and looking at what the market
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: looks like, yeah, it looks like Southern Illinois should be
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: the side you'd want to look at here. But based
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: on the situation, the situation seems to be better for
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Murray State here. Southern Illinois nice win over Illinois State.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: They were probably about a five and a half point
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: dog in this one.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: No I'm wrong, eight and a half. WHOA, I shouldn't
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: make my own numbers. Eight and a half.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: So that was a pretty big upset for Southern Illinois
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: in that one. So I don't really want to jump
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: on Southern Illinois after they pull off an upset.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they should get up for a.
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: Game against one of the teams that has one of
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: the best records in the conference. But in a situation
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: like this, I think I actually probably have to lean
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: towards Murray State here in the public. Get this one right,
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: Murray State. It's the public being a broken clock. Though
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: Murray State went from a pick them to one and
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite with juice, I'll agree with that move,
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: but this is not a game I want to get
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: involved in. It will be a fun game to watch though.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately it's not a TV game, but it is on
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: ESPN Plus, and I think Disney Plus actually, like Simo
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: streams these things now too, because they're all under one umbrella.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, because I was looking the other day,
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: like I was putting on some of these ESPN Plus
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: games and I do it with my DVR or excuse me,
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: my set top box I voice command because my set
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: top box has the ESPN Plus app in it and
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: it's got Disney Plus in it too, so I'm doing
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: it and it's like, which one do you want?
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: ESPN Plus or Disney.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Plus I'm like, uh, ESPN Plus, I'm like, is it
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: a different broadcast?
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Probably not, because they're all just under.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: The ESPN, Disney the whole same lame umbrella. Correct, Yes,
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: I only have fans in denial, thank you. Yes, Network
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: blackout games in college basketball.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: That might be the case. I don't know.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: There's some weird stuff going on, like there are a
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: lot of contract disputes going on. Like I know, I
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: had to give my dad streaming links to some of
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: the Patriots games because my parents, uh, they're I think
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: they have like Verizon FiOS and FiOS is in a
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: dispute with Fox right now, so they don't carry Fox
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: right now, which i know sounds completely ridiculous. And then
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking, like, well, wait a minute. The because I'm
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: old school man, I just remember that. I'm like, but
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: the AFC games are always on CBS. I'm like, what
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: are we talking about here? Nope, apparently a bunch of
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: them are on Fox. I'm like, all right, whatever, But
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: then my dad is always you know, mister rule abider.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: I'm like, I don't know, Like I was like talking
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: to my mom about it, and I'm like, I'm like,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm like, here's the link, and she's like,
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: she's like all right, Like just don't don't tell him,
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: you know that. It's like that it's you know, one
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: of those like you know, bad links.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: I'm like, all right.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: I think she told them eventually though, and he was
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: still watching it. Because it's like which one of my
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: dad's like mental things is gonna win out, like the
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: fact that he needs to abide by stupid rules or
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: the fact that he needs to watch the Patriots I
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: think his need to watch the Patriots one out.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: It's yeah, it's all pretty gay, k with an.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: H I have Disney Plus. I think I know it's Disney.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: I know it's lame, but I mean you're under the
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: Disney umbrella anyway, if you have it, like I was
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: grandfathered in, but I would I think I had to
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: like change mind though, because they got rid of some
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: of those old plans. I think I had to change
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: into one of the new ones. I would probably say
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: that Disney Plus package which gives YOUPN Plus and Hulu,
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: although I think it's like the ad based Hulu, which
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: I think I have Hulu through Spotify as well. I
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: don't know, it's there's too much crap going on, But
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know. The Disney Plus is not that much more.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: That's the thing.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: Like if you try to get ESPN Plus on its own,
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: it's like almost the same price. So I'm like, why
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: would I do that when I get at least you know,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: there's some stuff on Disney Plus that maybe I'll watch.
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, did they carry some of the old Marvel
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: stuff back before it was horrible? And they carry you know,
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: some movies that they had Home Alone up there. They
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: carry some like decent movies on there as well. I'm like, yeah,
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: all right, I'll just do it. So, yeah, I don't
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: know if you don't have yeah, I mean I don't.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: I mean I do have cable though, so cable Cable
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: gives me, like I have all the the actual sports
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: networks here through cable of course, and then in addition,
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: I get all these ESPN Plus games through the Disney Plus.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, you of course could do none of that
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: and find the stream. I don't think I'm allowed. I'm
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: not allowed to.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Say that on here though.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: YouTube Premium is almost like they forced you'd have to
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: have it because the ads are so bad. Now I
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: only have it on one of my accounts on my personal,
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: not on this account, but on my personal So I
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: use that for watching, but then if I'm in a
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: comment as sports guy, I have to switch to my
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: to this account of comment on things with it. Yeah,
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you're gonna do things, you know, the
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: right way, I mean, yeah, I guess I would say
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: at Disney Plus, I mean that is what I do.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: So I can't really say not to do that because
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: I am doing it.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: There might be other ways, Like I mean, if you.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: If you're gonna do all like streaming, like there there
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: are probably still things out there like sling and stuff
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: like that where you can choose exactly what you want,
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: but I don't know if they can if they would
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: give you all the ESPN Plus options, So I don't know.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean it might be something to look into,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: Like there might be multiple services that are similar to that,
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: and then they're also uh, there are some other services
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: out there that kind of give you like and and
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: I know a couple of people who are doing that
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: that basically you wind up getting like every broadcast that
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: exists basically, which is uh, you know, those these things
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: are things that you're not supposed to be doing let's
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: just put it that way. I'm not gonna recommend that
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: you do those things, and I'm saying that some people do.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: Let's not get this, Uh, these streams taken down by
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: the way. I was watching like Steve Merrill on wager
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: Talk one of his videos recently.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: He's just mentioning like sports books.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: Like some of the guys on that channel, like they
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: don't want to mention the specific sports books with some
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: du so I'm like, can I just say the name
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: of the sports book?
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know anyway. We have Drake and Illinois State.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Drake is definitely a bit down this year, like I said,
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: or like I have been saying, Drake coming up a
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: loss to Bell Mom but was a double digit loss.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: I don't really see them overlooking Illinois State because Illinois State.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: Is pretty good and Drake already lost.
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: To them by seventeen at home, so it could be
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: a spot where maybe Illinois State overlooks them. Problem with
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: that is that Illinois State just lost to Southern Illinois
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: at home and they only have Evansville up next.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna be looking ahead to that. I wouldn't imagine.
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: They already killed Evansville in the first matchup at home.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: So Illinois State might show up here because they're coming
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: off kind of an ugly loss to Southern Illinois. By
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: the way, you can explain why that happened, because they
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: had just played Belmont and Murray State on the road
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: and upset Murray State on the road. I think that
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: was an upset, So there was kind of a letdown
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: component there to Illinois State their game against Southern Illinois there,
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: so you can kind of explain why that was the case.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: So if Illinois State shows up, you know, I mean,
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: they might be able to get this thing done.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: They are the better team.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: The number did initially drop from ten and a half
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: to nine here eighty percent of the tickets and nine
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: to nine percent of the cash on Illinois State. No
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: way that ca ashercentage is accurate. It's a tough game
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: to figure out. I could see arguments for both sides
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: again here, you know, I mean, I guess I would
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: still need to drake in the avenging road dog angle
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: here with that initial line move. But yeah, it's not
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: a game that I'd be interested in. You know, I'm
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: being selective, of course. Yes, the champions, Yes we are
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: the champions. Bradley at Northern Iowa at CBS Sports eight pm.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: This is a pretty good game.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa is a bit under the radar, and this
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a bit of a I think contrast
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: of styles here. Bradley is a little bit faster, well,
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: kind of a mid tempo team. Ken Bum does have
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: them a little bit overrated though, though they are better offensively,
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: the defensively, Northern Iowa is very much the opposite. They're
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: actually excellent defensively top twenty five, but horrible offensively, which
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: is worry because they're gonna be laying points if you
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: want Northern Iowa in this game, and that gets a
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: little bit tricky when Northern Iowa can't score. But Northern
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: Iowa was unlucky according to ken Bomb, so there's a
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: huge luck disparity between.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: These two teams.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: And yes, Northern Iowa is the second slowest team in
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: all in all of college basketball right now, all Division one,
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: so they are definitely gonna try to slow the game down,
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: which might throw Bradley off a little bit. Bradley already
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: beat Northern Iowa at home. I believe they covered that number.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: I think they're probably a smallish favorite in that one
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: they won by six. Bradley's only coming off of beating Valpo,
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: though not beating them by that much. But they do
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: a Belmont on deck, and that is a huge game,
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: with Belmont being definitely the best team in this conference
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: and at the top of the conference. Potential look ahead here,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: especially because they did already beat Northern Iowa once Northern
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: Iowa again. Ken Bomb is telling you they're a bit
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: unlucky right now. They had this bad stretch of five
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: losses in a row here.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: A bunch of them were on the road. Though now
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: they've kind of right to the ship.
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: They're coming up a win over Rabbinsville, which is not
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: gonna have them, you know, overconfident or anything like that.
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: I know they got Murray Stayed up next, but I
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: don't see them overlooking Bradley. Northern Iowa gets to host
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: a TV game on a Friday night, kind of an
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: isolated game here. I know they have to compete with
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: the Fox game, but still I think Northern Iowa.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: Will get up.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: I'll probably pack the stadium for that. I would have
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: to lean towards Northern Iowa and this one they're laying
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: three and a half down from four to three and
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: a half, looks like some of the money's coming back on.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: The Bradley side.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: Ken Bum, by the way, does have Northern Iowa winning
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: this game by like five or six, which I found
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: to be interesting. Again, some of that might be just
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: the luck index. Northern i was definitely underperformed, man, but
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: laying points with them concerns me, although at least in
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: this case, you only need to win by three and
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: a half, so it's kind of a short number there.
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: The total is low, of course, at one thirty three
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: and a half, which does seem like it's expected that
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa is gonna make this.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: An ugly slow game like they do.
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: Bradley has sixty percent of ticket sixty eight percent of
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: the cash by the time the game tips off. Maybe
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Bradley won't be the public side though, and then if
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: people are gonna look at this game, they're gonna see, well,
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: Bradley has the better record, right, so why would you
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: want to lay points with Northern Iowa. But the oddsmakers
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: are kind of telling you what you need to know
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: here that there is not much of a disparity between
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: these two teams, and in fact, Ken Bomb actually probably
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: as Bradley as the lesser team he does. He's got
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa one hundred and ninth in the country, and
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: then he's got Bradley. Where did I just see them?
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: He's got Bradley thirty ranking spots lower. So ken Bum
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: is really telling you something there that these teams are
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: not exactly what they appear on the surface. So my
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: opinion would be Northern Iowa in that one. And then
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: Belmont is playing at Illinois Chicago here on ESPNU. Illinois
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: Chicago has been surprising, but I do think they're fairly fraudulent.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: I know, they reeled off eight straight in conference. Since
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: then they have lost a game. Belmont's coming in off
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: a win over Drake, kind of an easy win.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: The worry with them is.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: That are they gonna look ahead to Bradley in the
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: next game. That's the concern, I guess, because Bradley is
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: getting close to the top of the standings here Belmont.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: They have not played on the Chicago yet, is that right?
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Do they only play them once? No?
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: They did, my mistake, They played them already. Wait no,
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: yeah they did. Yeah, they played them already, but they
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: barely beat them. Actually, so Belmont might show up because
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: Belmont hosted Illinois Chicago earlier in the season is twelve
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorites and they only won by three.
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: So that's an extreme example where I talk about how
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: a team might take that team seriously if they gave
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: them a huge like run for their money when they
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: were a big favorite against them. That's the case here,
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: So Belmont might actually take Illeanois Chicago seriously for that reason,
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: and I guess because they've moved their way up the
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: standings here. Illinois Chicago lost an eight game win streak,
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: like I said, so sometimes that will hang it to
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: team over after they.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Lose a win streak like that, and they did it in.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: A big game against Murray State where Illinois Chicago was
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: hanging in this game for a while. I know Murray
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: State did wind up covering, but Illeino Chicago didn't really
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: go away.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: They were still within five.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Points pretty or there were within three they after they
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: came back late in this game. Murray State did have
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: a pretty big lead down the stretch here and did
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: leave for most of the game, but Owno Chicago cut
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: it to three late in the game a little bit
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: too little, too late, but Illinois Chicago did not let
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: up in that game, so I actually like Belmont in
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: this one, even though it looks like the public will
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: probably be on them too. It looks too easy, but
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: they're down from three and a half to three seventy
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: five percent of the tickets but ninety four percent of
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: the cash on them right now. I would probably lay
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: it with Bellmont if I was gonna play it again
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: they are. I think the spot sets up a lot
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: better for Belmont here, although I don't expect Illeoi Chicago
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: to overlook them, and they might really get up for
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: a game where they get to host a game on
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: a nash TV network, even if it is espn U.
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: This game is later than all the other games, so
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be the only game still going once the
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: other game's finished, so that's a pretty big deal. Illinois
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: Chicago not a team that's really used to that, so
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to actually, you know, have a
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: play on that, but based on the situation, I would
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: lean to Belmont in that one. All Right, NBA feels
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: weird not having a hockey, but that that is what's
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: going on, and I know the women's hockey already started
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: in the Olympics. I don't pay attention to the Olympics, man,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: so I know the men's hockey might be interesting. It's
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: the only thing that might be slightly interesting to me,
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: although you know, I don't know.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: I mean curling. Curling is kind of a sport.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: Where it's like it's interesting if you play it, but
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: it's like golf. It's like the Gulf of the North basically,
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: like it's interesting playing it, but watching it is not interesting. Really,
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know, all right. And some of the other ones,
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, like I kind of like, you know, like
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: the biathlon, just just because it's so weird and it
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: evolves shooting, so you know, there is that.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know. There are a few other sports that
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: are all right. In the winter.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: Winter Olympics is better than summer. I'll tell you that,
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: although summer has basketball. Man, all right, uh NBA Miami
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: at Boston, here, my Boston Celtics. This is gonna be
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: my best bet.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: Let's do it.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: And yes, unfortunately I'm gonna be fading my Boston Celtics
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: here and taking the points with Miami. I don't know
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: if we can get a better number on this. The
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: number drop from seven and a half to six on
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: the Celtics. I don't exactly know what caused that line move.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: I know the Celtics did just trade Simons away, but
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: of course he wasn't there for the Houston game either.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: Sixty six percent of ticket seventy seven percent of the
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: cash on the Celtics. I don't agree with that cash percentage.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: This spot really jumps out to me as a Miami
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: spot here. Miami's coming up an ugly home loss to
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: the Atlanta Hawks, Hawks, very mediocre team. Now Miami has
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: a couple of days off to recollect themselves, which I
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: think is good. Having days off when you just lost
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: by double digits at home is not a bad thing.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: And it's also not a bad thing to go on
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: the road after you've faced a loss like that. They're
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: going up to Boston. They got two games on the
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: road here, and of course Boston and Washington. Obviously the
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: game that's gonna have their focus is the Boston Celtics.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get a good effort out of
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: Miami in this one. I know Miami is dealing with
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: some injuries. I think Hero is still out. He is,
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: so we'll see how they deal with that, but he's
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: been out for a lot of the season, so no
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: change between their last game in this game for the Celtics.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I think this is a pretty difficult spot for the Celtics.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: Celtics that were turning over from a road trip, although
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: it was only a two game road trip Tuesday and Wednesday,
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: but they're playing a third game in four days, all
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: in different cities, a fourth game in six days with
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: travel between all of them, and they're coming off pulling
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: off upsets and upset against Houston after they beat Dallas
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: as a favorite, of course, but they won both Texas
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: games there, including a ridiculous twenty one point bashing of
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: the Houston Rockets as an underdog in Houston. And that
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: was not only without Simon's who had been at least
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: scoring a lot for the Celtics, but his deepfense is
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: a liability. They traded him for Vuevic, and Vucevic had
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: not come over to the team yet. But Jalen Brown
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: also didn't play in that game. For whatever reason. They
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: gave him a rest and they said at the Houston
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: probably like took the.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Celtics league not seriously or something.
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened in that game because I
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: didn't even think the spot was that bad for Houston
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: or that good for the Celtics and the Celtics colab
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: or them. So I think the Celtics are going to
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: be maybe a little bit unfocused coming back here man
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: against a Miami team that, by the way, they did
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: just beat in Miami by five back on January fifteen.
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: Miami without their point guard, of course, and Miami hasn't
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: been playing that well Jalen Brown. I'm assuming he'll probably
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: play in this game. I think that was just a
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: game of rest. But the Celtics have a huge game
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: on deck against the New York Knicks, who have become
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: one of their main rivals, of course, especially after that
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: playoff series last year.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: The Celtics did get a little bit of revenge.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: They did beat the Knicks the most recent time they
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: played in their one and one I believe against each
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: other this season. But that's a huge game, a TV
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: game Sunday afternoon against the Knicks. This is a sandwich
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: spot for the Celtics. It's a much much more positive
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: spot for Miami. We're gonna take the points and I
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: might not do it now. I might just wait because
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: you might be able to find that seven at some point.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: I guess we might have to see what happens with this,
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: But to me it looks like yeah, I mean, the
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: public is probably gonna be on the side of the Celtics.
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: Don't know which way the money's gonna come in this one, though,
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: so I guess we'll see. But you might not get
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: the seven. There are six and a halves around right now.
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: From what I saw, seven would be better because teams
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: stop potentially fouling right around at seven, specifically because it's.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: More than two three pointers. But we will see.
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: I'd probably still do it at six and a half, though,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: so I would wait a little bit, see what happens,
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: and then grab the best number that you can.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: Garret.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: What's up man, Hornets? Yeah, the Hornets. They just beat
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: the Houston Rockets. I believe Hornets are They're gonna make
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. Man, I told you a little while, you
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: can probably still get a decent number on it. You
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: could play the Hornets to make the playoffs, which means
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: they have to get through the play in though, and
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: get one of the eight seeds.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: To do that because I don't think they're gonna get
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: one of the top six seeds at this point, but
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: it seems like a decent bet. I think I could
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: definitely see them if they get into the play in
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: they're obviously dangerous. They could definitely get one of those
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: final playoff spots there playoffs, dude, because the Celtics might
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: be like the two seed. I am hoping that the
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: Celtics do not wind up drawing the Rockets to be
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: or excuse me, the Rockets the Hornets, to be honest,
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: like that would be the worst possible draw, probably, like
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: I would.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: The Hornets are almost like the mini Celtics.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: Like the Hornets, they have one of the Celtics' former
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: coaches there and they're doing the same thing. They jack
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: up a ton of threes. I don't know, they find
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: good shots. I don't know what to say, but I
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: would not want the Celtics to draw them, although of
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: course the Celtics will have a massive experience edge against them. Though,
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: if that is the draw that they get, like, I
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: don't think they'd actually lose, but it would be a
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: little bit dangerous.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: I think, all right, and I.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Think Charlotte has actually played well against the Celtics. In
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: recent years as that would worry me. Nicks at Detroit
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: Amazon Prime. This is a good game, man, one of
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: the best games in the night for sure, actually the best,
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: because this primeub Ahead or the other game is shit.
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: This is definitely the best game of the night, and
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: Miami Boston is a decent game too. The rest of
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: these games are pretty bad. This is clearly the best
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: game of the night in the NBA. Knicks and Detroit.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: Of course, the Knicks ended Detroit season last year, and
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: Detroit got revenge on them pretty much right away, or
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: not right away, but Detroit beat them the only time
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: they played so far this year.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: I guess yeah.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: Detroit is one to zero against the Knicks this year,
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: so the Knicks may very well show up for this.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: But the spot to me looks tough.
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: The Knicks just had to go to double overtime and
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: beat Denver at home. The Knicks were favored in that game,
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: so I could see it going both ways, right, Like,
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: was that a grueling game against a good team or
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: are they gonna feel like they barely got by as
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: a fairly big favorite. That's kind of the question here.
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: It's difficult to figure out they're playing a third game
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: in four and a's though, all in different cities, and
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: coming off a double overtime game against a Denver team
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: that is definitely a good team, and they have Boston
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: on deck, which is a rivalry game. I mean, I
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: expect them to show up here too, but the spot
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: to me looks pretty difficult. Wor's for Detroit. You know
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be in an angry mood, a bounce back mood.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. I know they're on a back to.
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: Back, but part of the reason why I faded them
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: yesterday with Washington was because they had this Knicks game
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: on deck, and they had had Denver the game before that,
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: so you know, it was a bad spot for Detroit yesterday.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: They're at least staying at home here, even though they
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: are playing on the back to back. They got blown
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: out or not blown out, but they lost as a
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: huge favorite to Washington, so I expect them to bounce
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: back here.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: I lean Detroit in this game.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: The money seems like it agrees after the Knicks flip
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: from a two point dog to a one point favorite.
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: Oddsmakers are telling you the Knicks of the better team, though,
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: so that does worry me because if the public gets
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: involved here, you might think, well, they're gonna jump on Detroit.
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: For the most part is why wouldn't you, right, Like,
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: Detroit has the better record and they're an underdog, and
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you the Knicks are the better team.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: But at this spot, I prefer Detroit.
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: And the Knicks are also really bad on the road
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: eleven and twelve after they.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately beat the Wizards up and beat me.
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: In their most recent road game, but still that's not
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: an impressive win beating the Wizards. Knicks are still below
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: five hundred on the road. Detroit has been excellent at
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: home at twenty and six, and you're just picking the
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: winner here, and I think the spot is a lot
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: better for Detroit.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to Detroit here.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: Fifty nine percent of the cash on Detroit as well,
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I agree with Detroit in that game. You're
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: on Detroit, you're biased. I think it is the right side.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: Thirty one bucks for a ticket for what for nosebleeds
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: in this in the Knicks Pistons game, let me say, yeah,
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: you're probably gonna be way up in the balcony, but yeah,
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: I mean you could probably get a ticket. Yeah, and
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: then for the Celtics game, it's up more expensive because
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: it's the fucking Celtics.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: Detroit people don't want to go into Detroit because it's
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: such a violent city. Man, people don't want to do it.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Boston is not quite like that. It's a smaller city.
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: Everything is way more expensive in Boston. But the cheapest
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: seeds of this Celtics Heat game are eighty one, even
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: though the Heat aren't even that good this year. One concern,
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: by the way, is the Celtics are definitely good at
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: home at sixteen and eight. Miami hasn't been good on
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: the road at eleven and fifteen. But we're only asking Miami.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: To cover here. Indiana at Milwaukee.
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: This has been a playoff matchup, I think the last
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: couple of years playoffs, but I don't think they really
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: care now at this point, and this is not the
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: same matchup as we have no Haliburn for Indiana, no
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: Jannis for Milwaukee. Indiana is starting a road trip, so
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: it should be a positive spot for them coming off
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: a couple of losses at home.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: You know it included to the Jazz.
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: You know, I talk about this when teams are not
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: doing well at home, they go out on the road,
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: especially after a couple of days off, to break that
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: losing momentum.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: It could be a pos A spot. They should be focused
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: coming into this one.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee did just barely get by New Orleans on Wednesday
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: at home, had to go to overtime to beat a
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: bad Pelican team, so they barely escaped and that did
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: continue their momentum at least into this game. So which
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: way do we want to go with this? I honestly
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: don't know. The money is saying the box. The bucks
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: are down from one and a half to one, but
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: fifty tickets ninety one percent of the cash on the
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: bucks looks like the real money maybe indicating on the
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: bucks here. I don't have a strong opinion. I think
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: both teams are gonna be in focused spots in that one.
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: So that one has been to me. That one is
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: a real toss up in pretty much every way. You
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: love the day, what do you gay? Don't stay too
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: long where you don't belong? Is it that sounds like
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: a is that a song? Yes, Carolina got or Susie
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: Charlotte got White back from the bulls.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: That is correct, And he's another one of those guys.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: He's a defensive liability though, Man, but he's one of
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: those guys that he's gonna be firing up shots. So
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: there is that, but he's not good on the defensive end.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Ken Wood from Michigan. I don't know who that is exactly,
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: but all right, you never got pressed in Detroit.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: I think it probably depends on which neighborhood you're in.
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: I'm not very familiar with Detroit, though, I try to
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: avoid Detroit at all costs. Man, well, I don't want
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: to go to Michigan at all. Gritilda, I don't know
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: that from Banjo Kazui. Not broom Hilda, bruin Hilda. However
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: you pronounce her name. I say broom Hilda because I'm
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: like she's a witch. She has a broom. New Orleans
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: at Minnesota. New Orleans is coming off that double ot
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: or single ot whatever it was, single ot against Milwaukee.
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: They're probably to be focused though, because they're probably gonna
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: be looking to try to get a win on the
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: road trip. I don't think they're gonna overlook Minnesota here.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: But yes, they did have to play an overtime game
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: at Milwaukee, and I presume Milwaukee were still favorites in
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: that game even without Yannis because New Orleans sucks. Minnesota
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: did just get a decent win on the road against Toronto,
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: though it was a big game. I think it was
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: a big game for both teams really, although maybe bigger
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: for Toronto.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: So Minnesota is coming out of that.
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: But they were turning over from a road trip and
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: they've been on the road for almost a week, although
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: they only went to well, they went to Memphis at Toronto.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: Kind of a weird road trip going to two locations
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: that aren't that close.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: To each other, so it is kind of weird.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: And they do have an ESPN game against the Clippers
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: up next, and the Clippers have been hot, so it
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: isn't the greatest spot for Minnesota here. Still, that return
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: home spot might come into player, or they might be
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: a little bit unfocused. They might not totally take New
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: Orleans seriously because they stink. So I probably would lean
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: to the Pelicans in this one, plus the points. Obviously,
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: when I say I'm leaning, I'm talking about spread tea.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: Wolves down from eleven to nine and a half. So
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: the money has look it looks like it has been
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: indicating on the Pelicans seventy percent of the tickets around.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: The Tea Wolves.
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: Of course they're going to be public sixty two percent
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: of the cash on New Orleans. I mean, this isn't football,
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: so it doesn't really matter that it went through the ten,
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: but it would be a situation, you know, try to
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: get the best number that you can if you do,
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: like New Orleans. There, I agree with New Orleans in
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: that one. Sharraq you mean the former president of France,
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: Jacques Sharraq Am. I that old Michigan ain't great. Yeah, no, no,
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: it's not.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Name.
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: One good thing about it Memphis at Portland. I guess
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: Grand Rapids is such a depressed city that they have
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: the most breweries per capita in the world or something.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: Grand Rapids Founders Brewing is there. They make some really
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: good brewis man. Back when I was drinking alcoholic year,
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: I was a fan of Founders for sure, and they
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: make some really good stuff.
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: They're in Grand Rapids.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: That's one good thing about Michigan. I guess Memphis is
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: at Portland. Memphis just beat Sacramento last night. Not impressive,
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: but it'll carry their momentum into this game. At least
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: Portland has been struggling again. They've lost a bunch of
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: games in a row after they were hot for a while.
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: This is a very streaky Portland team. They've lost six
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: games in a row now, but all of those are
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: the pretty good teams. All of them were to winning
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: teams except for Washington, but that was kind of sandwiched
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: in there, and I think that might have been a
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: play for me, to be honest. It was Sandwich, Diymmetry,
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: Boston and New York, and it was a back to back,
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: so you can kind.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: Of excuse Portland for that.
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: Now they're sitting at home, they've lost two more games
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: in a row at home. Maybe they'll get up for
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: a game finally. I mean, they're not really gonna overlook
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: anybody when they've been losing all these games. But they
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: did play pretty tough against Phoenix back on Tuesday. But
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: now they've had a few days off. Having a few
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: days off might help them disrupt that momentum. So I
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: don't think it's a whole horrible spot for Portland here.
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Portland. They're a seven
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, and they are that way
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: for a reason.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Of course. The Grizz of course, are without Eaedy.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: They're basically rebuilding now, so they're kind of a dead
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: team at this point. You know, the young guys are
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: gonna get a shot, though, and maybe they'll play with
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: some amount of motivation, because when young guys that don't
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: usually get to play get to start playing, a lot
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: of times they will play with intensity because, you know,
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: because they get to finally get their shot. But the Grizzlies,
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: of course, they're without Morant, They're without Edy. They just
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: traded away Triple J Jackson. Is that Jackson Junior traded
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: him to the Jazz so another Jay. So I don't know, man,
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: but I would probably lean to the Trailblazers in this one.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: Looks think the money is coming in that way.
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: They're up just seven and a half point favorite, with
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: Jews sixty percent of tickets ninety three percent of the
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: cash on them.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: Not a strong opinion for me though.
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: And then the last Amazon Prime game is unfortunately for
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: the viewers, and I guess for Amazon Prime, although I
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: guess they don't really need the money. Clippers at Sacramento,
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: this is this is a bad game, man. The Clippers
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: are better than they look, and they are coming off
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: to blowout losses though, where a blow loss to Cleveland
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: in their last game very embarrassing. I lost my double
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: digits to Philly the game before that, but they were
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip on a back to
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: back in that game, so that was not an easy spot.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: And then I really thought the Clippers would show up
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: in that game against Cleveland. I thought the Cleveland was
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: gonna be overrated because that was the team swapped players,
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: and Garland I think is hurt. But the Cleveland Cleveland
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: got James Harden, and I think Harden is a head
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: case man, so I think he's a little bit overrated.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: But the Clippers had like twenty four turnovers in that game, man,
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: and that's why they lost that game. Unbelievable amount of
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: turnovers from the Clippers in that game. I don't know
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: what happened in that game. They were just totally unfocused.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: But now having a day off getting to travel, they're
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: staying in California for this one, going up the coast
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: kind of in an embarrassed mood. Here clearly the better
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: of these two teams. I think they're gonna show up focus,
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: But they do have an ESPN game against Minnesota next
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: and then they have two games in a row against Houston,
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: then Denver than the Lakers, so they do have all bigger.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: Games up next.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: But again, I think when you get blown out like this,
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: you've lost a couple of games in a row, you're
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: gonna show up.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: Plus, the Clippers are still.
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: Trying to make sure they get into the playoffs here,
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: which is not a certainty.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: I think they're shooting for it. Kings should show up
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've lost a ton of games in a
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: row at this point, ten games in a row, a
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: lot of them were on the road, and of course
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: they came back home and lost again in a return
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: home spot, not a good spot.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: They should be focused.
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: At the very least, they get to host an Amazon
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: Prime game here, so I see both teams showing up
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: for this, but I think the better team should win
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: out in that case. The Clippers are only a three
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, and the public is not
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: that heavy on them, sixty four percent of tickets eighty
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on the Clippers. I think
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: the public not being heavy on them is basically because
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: the Clippers still have a bad record, so I think
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: the public is not really high on them, and probably
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: not high on them without Harden.
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: H but I think, yeah, Harden is over dude.
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: He's never gonna win a championship, and neither was Russell Westbrook. Uh.
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: And they were on that same Thunder team, you remember
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: that really good Thunder team, which I think didn't They
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: have Harden, Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook all on that
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: team at one point and they couldn't get through like
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: the Spurs and the Calves back then. They're never gonna win,
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: Like I think their chemistry killers. Man, They're never gonna
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: win a championship. So Harden. I've also been.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: Hearing that Harden. Uh. Cleveland is like preparing for Harden because.
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: I guess he's gonna be hitting up the strip clubs there.
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: I guess that's that's a that's a thing that he's
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: known for. So the Cleveland strip clubs are gonna start
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: making a lot more money with James Harden around.
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: Harden's gonna go broke if he keeps doing that.
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: Man, these NBA players then they don't know how to
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: budget other money, even if they are rich for the
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: time being. I'm not saying he's a bad player, obviously not.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: I remember watching him in college too. I was like, Yeah,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: this guy's obviously gonna be good in the NBA when
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: he was on Arizona State.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: But I think he's a head case. Man. That's the problem.
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: He's got all the all these games where he doesn't
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: play for personal issues. I don't know, man, but I
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: would have to lean to the Clippers in this one.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: Of course, they don't have hard in anymore. Wich might
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: be not that much of a negative, but you know,
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: it worries me that it looks too easy to lay
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: three and a half against a horrible Kings team. But
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: I think the better team should win out in that one,
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: and that's gonna do it.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: The one play that I have today is well, I'm
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: gonna give you an extra play. But the one play
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: that I have is Miami the heat plus the points
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: against my Celtics. Now, before I get out of here,
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give you an extra play in the Super Bowl.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you an additional player prop here because
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: again I hadn't thought about this, and I heard people
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: talking about it.
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do this. We're gonna go with.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: Drake May over nineteen and a half completions which seems
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: like a pretty low number, but I mean it's I mean,
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: if you look at what he's done in the playoffs,
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: he has not hit this in any of the playoff games.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: But I'm gonna not worry about that as much. Here
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: it's at minus one twenty. I know you can probably
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: get a pick him price at twenty, and then if
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: you hit twenty, it'll push you know. I mean either
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: I could see going either way with that. Maybe you
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: should go over twenty pick him. I'll put it in
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: the description which one I want. But I think this
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: is a good move actually, because I think we're actually
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: maybe getting a little bit of value on it. Now,
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: let's find Drake May here for a minute. We're gonna
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: look at his game log here for a minute. I
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: got a few things to show you on this one,
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: so before I get out of here, Yes, let's look
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: at Drake May here. If you look at Drake May
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: during the playoffs, it looks like he's never gonna hit
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: this because he didn't at all. He's had seventeen completions,
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: sixteen completions and ten in the playoff games, and he
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: didn't really even throw enough attempts to really get to
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: this number, but I don't think that's gonna be the
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: case with how this Super Bowl plays out. And also
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: remember they were winning these games against the Chargers in Houston,
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: so they didn't have to throw the ball a lot,
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: and that even though I like the Patriots to cover
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl, I don't think they're gonna have
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: like a lead in this game where they're just gonna
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: be running the football constantly, and they're not gonna be
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: able to against Seattle, who has one of the best
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: rushing defenses. Both these teams are really good against the run,
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: so I think you're gonna see a lot of pass
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: attempts out of Drake May here. So that's that's one thing.
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: If you look at his regular season, it's been a
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: lot different. And I know they were mostly not facing
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: defenses like Seattle, and I know the best defense is
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: the Patriots face were Houston and Denver in the playoffs
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: here playoffs, So yes, the Patriots the regular season, they
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: mostly did this against bad defenses. I know May did
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: not hit this against a good Cleveland defense, but you
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: look at how that game played out. A lot of
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: these games where he didn't. So let me gather my
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: thoughts here, Drake may hit this number. I believe in
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: eleven out of eleven out of his seventeen games he
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: hit the number. So that's one thing to consider here.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: Uh so he had fewer than that, and let's see one, two, three,
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: Oh no, wait, he missed it seven times. The two
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: of those times he hit exactly nineteen. So that's that's
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: what I was thinking of. So all right, so he went,
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: I get no, I guess he went ten and seven
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: then to this number during the regular seasons. That's that's
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: still pretty good. He was hitting it more often than
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: he wasn't. But if you look at the games where
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: he didn't hit it, you know, there were games of
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: their way ahead for the most part, Like he had
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: fourteen against Caroline and he only threw seventeen passes because
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: the game was a blowout, so they didn't need to
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: do anything against New Orleans.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: New Orleans believe it not as a strong defense, so
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: In that game, they were winning the whole game as well,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: so they just didn't really need to air it out much.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Against Cleveland, they're really good defense and they're blowing Cleveland out,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: so they didn't need to do it in that game either,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: and then you know he did have some stinkers and
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: they are sure for sure, and then he actually was
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: really not good in that Buffalo game, that most recent
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: Buffalo game. So yeah, there is a chance that this
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: doesn't happen. But if you look at how this game
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: is gonna play out, Seattle gives up a ton of receptions, dude.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: Seattle has given up the fifth most pass attempts.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: So because teams can't really.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: Run on Seattle, they throw the ball a lot.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: So Seattle's given that up.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: And they've actually given up a pretty high opponent completion
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: percentage to at sixty two and a half percent.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: If this number is right.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it is, though, the Dolphins allowing
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent seems completely insane. Actually, the Seahawks are
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: in the bottom third of percentages. Maybe stat muse is
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: fucking this up. I don't know, because sometimes they do.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: But the Seahawks, I'm pretty sure this number is accurate.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: The Seahawks have allowed the fifth most pass attempts this year,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: and they don't allow a lot of yards, but we
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: don't need yards in this and we just need completions.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: That's the thing.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: The Seahawks force opponents to throw a lot of short passes.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: They force them into the short passing game, and that's
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: what we want for a prop like this. So let
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: me see and then we also have the I wanted
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: to see the opponent.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: Completions here. Let me just most receptions here. It is
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: opponent completions.
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: Seattle has allowed the tenth most completions in the NFL
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: as well to opposeing quarterbacks.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: So uh.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so they've allowed the sixth most attempts and the
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: tenth most completions. So the way that they play deepfense
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: does bear that out that way. And I showed you
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: guys when I talked about the when I was talking
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: about the Hailani prop. On the other side, as far
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: as running backs getting reception, Seattle and the Patriots both
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: give up a lot of completions to running backs, so
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: Seattle gives up the most, so the Patriots might be
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: dumping it off to running backs a lot here. And
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: I know I talked about Ramandras Stevenson, but I would
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: actually not be surprised if they if they use Henderson
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: more in this game, because you don't know what they're
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: really gonna do. Man and they might do something surprising,
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: and maybe Henderson will get involved more in this game,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: even though he is a rookie. And I know they
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: trust Stevenson more because he's more experienced, but you might
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: see Henderson take some of Stevenson's.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: Workloads.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: So that would be the other reason why I don't
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: really love the Henderson the Stevenson excuse me props as
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: much because the Patriots have always kind of done this
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: Under Belichick. The Patriots were real mystery as far as
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: what they were gonna do with the running backs, which
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: is it wreaked havoc on fantasy owners. I never wanted
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: a Patriot running back because you never knew how they
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: were gonna use them.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: So we'll see. But I also showed you.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: That Hunter Henry has done really well against zone d
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: which is what the Seattle Seahawks play. There are a
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: zone defense primarily almost entirely, and I showed you the
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: Seattle also gives up a lot of completions to tight ends.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: So Seattle gives up a lot of a lot of
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: completions to tight ends and to running backs, and those
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: are the high percentage completions man, And I think the
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: Patriots are gonna be focusing on getting Drake May high
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: completion like high percentage passing attempts in this one, so
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: that's what I'm expecting a lot of short throws.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: So I think it's gonna happen. Man.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: The Seattle's defense kind of puts you into that state
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: as well, where you're not gonna be able to run
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: the football as much. You're gonna have to do like
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: the short passing game is gonna have to kind of
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: replace the running game.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: So I like this. I think it's gonna happen.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see a decent amount of completions
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: to running backs and tight ends, and again, of course
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: a lot of those short passes they're a lot easier
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: to catch, so high percentage completions, let's do it, man.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna add Drake May over his completions. This
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: number I think has been basically around this number pretty
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: much all week, although probably you gotta play it now
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: before it gets too high. But yeah, I mean, maybe
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: you want to go over twenty because it'sead of picking
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: prices set in nineteen and.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: A half and it'll push.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: If you get the twenty, we'll see. I'll put it
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: in the one of the show descriptions. I'll add it
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: to the super Bowl show, I guess. So that's gonna
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: do it man, And once again, Miami heat of the
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: play tonight for me. So those are the two plays
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: that I'm giving you today. I one is for a
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: night game tonight, of course, and one is for the
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: super Bowl. That's gonna do it. Learn it Tod on Twitter.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: You can subscribe to me there, learn it Tode on Instagram,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: like subscribe to the channel here boost this thing, give
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: me replies, et cetera. Go after that guy that Hindian
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: was telling me is what's the guy's name again? I'm
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: gonna block him. Let me see what was this dude's
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: name again? Something panneda. I don't know, fuck that guy.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: Let me see pan to Tron.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: I'll figure that out. Yes, thank you. Enjoy your day
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: as well, Thank you, sir. Yeah, Panda Tron, I'll figure
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: it out. I'll remember that because I remember the Tron movies.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: I haven't seen the most recent one. I'm surprised they
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: made another one. But Sneako retweeted my video like on Twitter.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: I didn't see that happen. When did that?
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: He played the inst like the guy.
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: That posts that video. He posts there's a guy on
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: Instagram that posted my video. Every Day Sneaker played that
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: on his show, but he didn't know it was me. Well,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: this guy seems like a like he seems like something
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: that I can't say without getting this channel nuked. Probably Yeah,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: he's completely soft and weak and not a man.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: How about that?
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: And probably jealous of me as well. All right, anyway, Yes,
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: I like subscribe to the channel here, man, give me
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: good comments. Uh, listen to audio review on audio Spotify,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: Apple that helps me out, Patreon dot com if you
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: want to support me. I know I haven't been up
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: with the yuke stuff recently. I'll probably i'll post a
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: Green Day cover just in honor of them. Maybe I'll
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: get one done today in honor of them playing the
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: Super Bowl. I do a really I do like kind
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: of a slow like beat sham version of long View.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'll just do that, even though they're probably not
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: even gonna play it. But that's an actual good Green
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Day song, unlike Yeah, the crap that they've been putting
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: out for the last like I don't know, several years
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: or whatever. Though there were a couple of songs on
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: their most recent album that actually are not that bad
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: though Dilemma is good, but some of the other songs
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: on that album are just so bad anyway. And I
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: got to see them play Dilemma live who at that
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: show where they played Dookie and American Idiot in full.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: They did play some of their news stuff as well,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: and a few of their other songs. But whatever, crazy
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: show they played for like three hours at that show.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: That was a crazy show at Fenway pack Kid all
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: Right and the Hot I think the Hot, No, We're
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: the Hives one of the openers there. No, the Hives,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: I think open for food Fighters. I forget who the
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: other bands. It might have been Smashing Pumpkins.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: I forget who the other bands were on that Green
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: Day ticket. There was one other, like pretty well known
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: band on the billing though it might have been The Pumpkins. Dude,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: I actually love Smashing Pumpkins man, very very unique sound.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: I like Billy Corgan. People call him a.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: Conspiracy theorist, but I think he has some He's on
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: the right track with some of his thoughts, and he's
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: a fellow bald Man. And that was another you know
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: group that I grew up with listening to and they
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: haven't gone totally off the rails into political propaganda. So
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: although their new music isn't exactly great, and they're trying
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: to do like rock operas with not much success, but
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: not like Green Day's political rock opera which was more
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: successful but was also lame. The American Idiot which was
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: fun to see live though anyway, but as I saying,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I was saying patroon dot
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: com slash and Learn to Toad, I'm fucking up my plugs.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: I'm turning into Austin Picard Man five minute plugs, fifteen
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: minute plugs. You get the bonus yuke stuff there and
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: then Loser Cast of course every Tuesday night.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: You can check that out too.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: Peace everybody for now, and I'll figure out what I'm
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: gonna do. I don't know if I'm gonna be back
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: tonight after I get back from this open show or not,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: but we'll sing to do the college basketball. But I
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: am definitely gonna handicap. I have to handicap the board
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: during the day today, so there's.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: Gonna be a lot of games. We'll figure it out.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: I posted an updated bracketology last night, so I think
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do the bracketology update shows on Mondays. For
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: the most part, I'll do like a final one at
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: some point shortly before the bracket gets announced. Try to
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: do that, but I might the final final one. There's
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: no time for us. So I'm just gonna put it
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: out like probably on Twitter, like right before it gets
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: released while I'm watching the uh the Selections show and
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: eating Burger King as I usually do, and then.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: I forget what else. Oh yeah, but yeah, I posted
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: the update.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: From last night on Twitter, so you can check that
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: out too.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Peace for now, everybody,