Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Elon Musk’s $1 Trillion Tesla Deal: Is He Really Worth It?
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- 0:43Speaker 2: Elon Muss is the richest person in the world currently
- 0:47Speaker 2: what publicly no publicly, but he he he wants to
- 0:55Speaker 2: approve He wants to have a one trillion dollar compensation
- 0:58Speaker 2: plan approved. In a letter to investors and Tesla's brought board, Yeah,
- 1:06Speaker 2: he shared why he thought that this would be appropriate
- 1:09Speaker 2: and pretty much said, like, you know, if he doesn't
- 1:12Speaker 2: get what he wants, then he's going to walk away
- 1:14Speaker 2: from the company that he's made. Obviously famous. In one
- 1:19Speaker 2: of the most valuable companies in world history. Now, it's
- 1:21Speaker 2: important to keep in mind here this payout package actually
- 1:27Speaker 2: comes with benchmarks that have to be met. So the
- 1:31Speaker 2: one trillion is the last of it. If it if
- 1:37Speaker 2: it gets to if Tesla's valuation gets to eight point
- 1:40Speaker 2: five trillion dollars, then his payout then he he'll he'll,
- 1:44Speaker 2: he'll earn one trillion.
- 1:45Speaker 3: Dollars over the course of that time.
- 1:47Speaker 2: So the eight point five is a lot from where
- 1:50Speaker 2: it is now. I think it's at one a little
- 1:52Speaker 2: bit more than one trillion right now, So let me
- 1:55Speaker 2: tell you right now, that would be you know, one
- 1:58Speaker 2: point four Yeah, a tremendous gain from where it currently is.
- 2:03Speaker 2: But it gives him an a sense of Now, some
- 2:06Speaker 2: people will say, okay, well, he already has a lot
- 2:09Speaker 2: of Tesla stock, so even if it like he's gonna
- 2:13Speaker 2: make hundreds of billions of dollars just from the Tesla stock.
- 2:16Speaker 2: And then when the conversation fact gets so why is
- 2:18Speaker 2: he need an additional you know, and then you know, okay,
- 2:21Speaker 2: it gets to eight trillion, he gets one trillion. That's
- 2:24Speaker 2: fourteen percent of the company's valuation. That's kind of a
- 2:27Speaker 2: lot just from a payment standpoint, But then they're like, Okay,
- 2:30Speaker 2: well if it gets to eight trillion dollars the investors.
- 2:34Speaker 2: I mean, that's a good thing for investors, right. That
- 2:37Speaker 2: means that you've made six hundred percent of your money
- 2:39Speaker 2: and nobody's gonna be mad at that. So but yeah,
- 2:42Speaker 2: I mean it's it's unprecedented that somebody would ask for
- 2:47Speaker 2: a one trillion dollar payment compensation package. So is that
- 2:53Speaker 2: something that's reasonable? And as an investor, if anybody, because
- 2:57Speaker 2: I'm sure there's a lot of people that's watching market
- 2:58Speaker 2: Mondays that might be an investor in Tesla, and you
- 3:01Speaker 2: should probably check wherever you invested, you could, you could
- 3:03Speaker 2: you probably got a vote on this situation. Yeah, if
- 3:08Speaker 2: you're invested in Tesla, is this something that you think
- 3:11Speaker 2: you want to go through it? Or do you feel
- 3:14Speaker 2: comfortable risking Elon Musk walking away.
- 3:18Speaker 4: A From a negotiation standpoint, I think he's done a
- 3:22Speaker 4: fantastic job. To be very clear, they have some very
- 3:25Speaker 4: tough benchmarks in him to hit before he even gets
- 3:29Speaker 4: to the eight and a half trillion dollar value to
- 3:31Speaker 4: then get one trillion. But if we're going to be
- 3:36Speaker 4: very honest, Elon's at wants in a lifetime talent, and
- 3:42Speaker 4: too often boards that are not once in a lifetime
- 3:46Speaker 4: talent wants to tell the once in a lifetime talent
- 3:50Speaker 4: how they should operate. And given the business climate that
- 3:54Speaker 4: we're in, even though this is probably the greatest era
- 3:59Speaker 4: in my lifetime we were talking about to yesterday Troy,
- 4:01Speaker 4: in terms of investing, this is probably the weakest class
- 4:04Speaker 4: of non exceptional companies that I've ever seen that's publicly traded.
- 4:09Speaker 4: So if he's seeing the gap, because let's be very clear,
- 4:12Speaker 4: without Elon, Tesla essentially has no value, especially if he
- 4:18Speaker 4: takes his talents to focus on Starlink primarily, which is
- 4:23Speaker 4: the real gem of a company. I know it sounds
- 4:26Speaker 4: like a lot, it is a lot of money, but
- 4:28Speaker 4: if we're talking about driver of revenue, driver of ecosystem,
- 4:34Speaker 4: driver of ban and I said this two and a
- 4:36Speaker 4: half three years ago, eventually he's going to go to
- 4:39Speaker 4: chairman because Tesla's not the thing he wants to focus on.
- 4:42Speaker 4: And now he's going to force his way to get
- 4:45Speaker 4: a trillion or force a way out in terms of exit.
- 4:48Speaker 4: And if you don't think this is having a significant impact,
- 4:52Speaker 4: another once in a lifetime talent, Warren Buffett for the
- 4:55Speaker 4: first time. Berkshire got downgraded because the once in their
- 4:59Speaker 4: life time talent is not in that seat, and because
- 5:03Speaker 4: you have no great succession plan, no great product roadmap
- 5:07Speaker 4: without him. He hasn't elevated corporate executives in the public
- 5:13Speaker 4: so that the retail investor knows what will come next.
- 5:17Speaker 4: He's in prime position to get this package. So without him,
- 5:20Speaker 4: there is no company. In twenty ten, the stock was
- 5:24Speaker 4: at a dollar and fifteen cent. There's no value without him.
- 5:27Speaker 4: If you're gonna be very honest.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Yeah, we had a once well another once in a
- 5:31Speaker 1: lifetime talent be voted out by his board by the
- 5:34Speaker 1: name of Sea Jobs in nineteen eighty five.
- 5:36Speaker 3: Didn't work. Shot the stelling wherever you hear, this will
- 5:39Speaker 3: not work. This will not work either.
- 5:43Speaker 1: I think Elon has said that he wants a twenty
- 5:45Speaker 1: five percent, so that that's part of it that makes
- 5:48Speaker 1: it a little bit tricky. He wants a twenty five
- 5:50Speaker 1: percent voting control to stay fully committed. That's kind of
- 5:52Speaker 1: like the threat, right, like, if I don't get a
- 5:54Speaker 1: twenty five percent, I'm gonna take my focuses elsewhere. The
- 5:57Speaker 1: problem is if he takes his focus elsewhere is Tesla,
- 6:01Speaker 1: because if you listen to their earnings call that they
- 6:03Speaker 1: just had, they talked nothing about cars. No, there wasn't
- 6:08Speaker 1: even a mention of cars. He did not mention anything
- 6:11Speaker 1: about the vehicles. Yep, all autonomous, all robotics. I think
- 6:16Speaker 1: he actually talked about like a doctor, a robot doctor on.
- 6:21Speaker 3: The call, like preempted it.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Didn't even get asked about it, but just decided that
- 6:24Speaker 1: I'm just going to afford this information over and so
- 6:26Speaker 1: it goes back to the how are they being valued?
- 6:31Speaker 3: Right? Is it just sentiment we talked about again, we
- 6:33Speaker 3: talked about this yesterday. Yep. Some companies are just moving
- 6:36Speaker 3: on set.
- 6:36Speaker 1: It's not fundamentals at this point, right, because Tesla the
- 6:39Speaker 1: automotive vehicle. When we looked at sales, I know sales
- 6:41Speaker 1: were a little bit better this quarter, but for the
- 6:43Speaker 1: past two years they haven't been great. And we've watched
- 6:47Speaker 1: the stock climb and climb, and then it pulls back
- 6:49Speaker 1: on weak earnings, and then the next day it's up
- 6:51Speaker 1: thirty dollars, and then last year it dropped and then
- 6:55Speaker 1: people said, you know, he's too focused on his government position.
- 6:58Speaker 1: Then he decides I'm gonna pull back from the government,
- 7:00Speaker 1: all these back focused.
- 7:02Speaker 3: Yep.
- 7:03Speaker 1: So it's just moving on the sentiment of the CEO.
- 7:06Speaker 1: If that CEO removes themselves from that equation, you're in
- 7:11Speaker 1: full wind.
- 7:11Speaker 4: Four ninety five point six two billion dollars in revenue
- 7:15Speaker 4: keynote though gross margin seventeen percent, net margin five zero
- 7:20Speaker 4: point five seven percent. They can afford to lose the
- 7:24Speaker 4: generational talent. So it's a couple of ways to ruin
- 7:28Speaker 4: a company if you're an executive and you know that
- 7:31Speaker 4: you're a once in a lifetime talent and once again
- 7:34Speaker 4: has not raised the profile of executive management, and all
- 7:37Speaker 4: of the product road maps for the next ten years
- 7:39Speaker 4: is tied to you there between the rock and a
- 7:42Speaker 4: hard place, unless they have an executive who is an
- 7:45Speaker 4: incredible visionary. But all the incredible visionaries are tied to
- 7:49Speaker 4: other companies. And also keep in the back of your
- 7:51Speaker 4: mind open AI.
- 7:54Speaker 3: What's stolen from him?
- 7:56Speaker 1: He's credited as a co founder for that, but it
- 7:59Speaker 1: goes to the that mind, that that visionary mind.
- 8:02Speaker 3: He is the visionary mind, right.
- 8:05Speaker 4: Like go found a credit what no equity is no equity?
- 8:08Speaker 2: Nobody nobody's bigger than the program.
- 8:10Speaker 1: Well, no, I just want to say this before before
- 8:12Speaker 1: you go into something else, because when you think about
- 8:15Speaker 1: maybe a year ago, we were talking about keeping the
- 8:17Speaker 1: main thing the main thing, right, and Tesla was the
- 8:19Speaker 1: main thing.
- 8:20Speaker 4: I told you he was never going to stay there, though.
- 8:23Speaker 1: It's generated enough red revenue for him to now say, Hey,
- 8:27Speaker 1: I can take my talents elsewhere. I have star Link,
- 8:29Speaker 1: I have Neurolink, I have space X, I have This
- 8:34Speaker 1: is one of my favorite segments with Rashata the program.
- 8:38Speaker 2: You know, nobody's bigger than the program, but you can't
- 8:40Speaker 2: negotiate with terrorists, and yeah, he is the program. Though
- 8:47Speaker 2: nobody's bigger than the program. That's the program, and it's not,
- 8:54Speaker 2: then it's not a valuable company. Then if if if
- 8:57Speaker 2: the company's stock is only uh tied to one person,
- 9:01Speaker 2: tied to one person, then it's not a good company.
- 9:04Speaker 2: Because Apple, because say what you want about Apple, it's
- 9:07Speaker 2: at an all time high almost ten years after Steve
- 9:12Speaker 2: after Steve Jobs.
- 9:13Speaker 3: Died, it's highest valuation hit for a trillion to that.
- 9:16Speaker 2: But Microsoft, in the equation it's still running, years after
- 9:20Speaker 2: Bill Gates, years after the bomber, Yeah, it's still running.
- 9:24Speaker 1: And the equation of nobody's being in the program with
- 9:26Speaker 1: who is Elon in that equation?
- 9:28Speaker 3: Is he the program at least the program.
- 9:30Speaker 2: I know that I'm saying, is that what you're saying, No,
- 9:33Speaker 2: if Tesla, what I'm saying is this, Yeah, there's two
- 9:36Speaker 2: ways to look at Tesla as a as a company
- 9:39Speaker 2: that actually has real value and provides something that the
- 9:45Speaker 2: world needs as far as you know, cars and then
- 9:49Speaker 2: potentially robots and then autonomous driving, and in the next
- 9:52Speaker 2: fifty years is going to be one of the most
- 9:54Speaker 2: valuable companies in the world because of what they're providing,
- 9:57Speaker 2: the services that they're providing. It's a way to look
- 10:01Speaker 2: at it as it's a company that's a decent company
- 10:04Speaker 2: that provides decent products and has a rock star CEO.
- 10:09Speaker 4: And it's a lot of that. And if we're gonna
- 10:10Speaker 4: be very clear, Tesla has always been that Tesla is
- 10:15Speaker 4: not an exceptional innovation.
- 10:19Speaker 3: Yes.
- 10:20Speaker 4: Has it been a Microsoft in video Apple?
- 10:24Speaker 2: No?
- 10:24Speaker 4: He was the driving force behind it. Is there other
- 10:27Speaker 4: executive talent there that could take the realm yes? Will
- 10:31Speaker 4: it have the blockbuster rising performance?
- 10:35Speaker 3: No? Ye?
- 10:36Speaker 4: And as an entrepreneur though, Rasha, because I group with
- 10:39Speaker 4: your point about the program, the other part of the
- 10:42Speaker 4: game is to be so exceptional to the company that
- 10:44Speaker 4: you write the program. I just left from watching Trot
- 10:46Speaker 4: the other day. Who makes the program is very important. Yes,
- 10:50Speaker 4: I agree to the Steve Jobs point, but Tim Cook also,
- 10:53Speaker 4: I'm not gonna say he got lucky, but there's a
- 10:56Speaker 4: way he created the value there in terms of being
- 10:59Speaker 4: an operator and then get in and bail with certain
- 11:03Speaker 4: people in hedge funds to make that a valuable company.
- 11:06Speaker 4: You can also say that that change the structure of Apple,
- 11:10Speaker 4: but you want to be so valuable that if you
- 11:12Speaker 4: do leave, same way with Jordan the Bulls as an entrepreneur,
- 11:16Speaker 4: that the value is with you.
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