Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Saturday 2/7/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
- 0:06Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:17Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 0:19Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
- 0:21Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:25Speaker 2: good day at all.
- 0:26Speaker 1: Own four that have not had had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 2: slump continues.
- 0:36Speaker 1: I've reached into pink.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man, I don't
- 0:42Speaker 2: know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
- 0:45Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
- 0:47Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
- 0:51Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. I don't even know
- 0:53Speaker 1: what data is anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
- 1:01Speaker 2: until I die, at least oh and two.
- 1:04Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Own five.
- 1:09Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
- 1:12Speaker 2: years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 2: The slump series, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 3: point other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's towed back with you?
- 1:35Speaker 2: I feel like I was just here, Thanks for everybody
- 1:37Speaker 2: who showed up for the college basketball show.
- 1:41Speaker 1: Was getting too warm and here with my heat on,
- 1:43Speaker 1: so T shirt.
- 1:45Speaker 2: We're t shirting it now, man, not T shirt dicking
- 1:48Speaker 2: it though, just T shirting it. I'll reiterate the College
- 1:52Speaker 2: of Basketball plays at the end, but thanks for hanging
- 1:53Speaker 2: out for the delayed college basketball show. We're gonna talk
- 1:57Speaker 2: NBA here. I got one NBA player to add to
- 1:59Speaker 2: the card here. That's gonna be what we're gonna do here.
- 2:02Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to do it fast, that's correct. Yeah.
- 2:09Speaker 1: I would.
- 2:09Speaker 2: I would try to make my own rap on the
- 2:11Speaker 2: fly there, but I don't know if I could do
- 2:12Speaker 2: it with.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Yeah eminem without me is what that song is? Yeah?
- 2:22Speaker 1: All right? NBA first game up three pm.
- 2:27Speaker 2: Not televised anywhere, because why would anybody want to watch
- 2:30Speaker 2: this just spau with college basketball going on. This is
- 2:34Speaker 2: a dumpster fire Washington at Brooklyn.
- 2:38Speaker 1: I looked at this in the first.
- 2:39Speaker 2: Thing I thought was, well, Washington's gonna be in a
- 2:42Speaker 2: bad spot here because they just upset Detroit. That was
- 2:45Speaker 2: a monster upset and we had that, we had that
- 2:47Speaker 2: on the show. It was a bad spot for Detroit.
- 2:50Speaker 2: Washington showed up. They got the job. Non. No, I know,
- 2:52Speaker 2: Washington's all in flux here because they made these trades whatever.
- 2:57Speaker 2: Don't really know how that's gonna go for them going forward.
- 3:01Speaker 2: But they also play Brooklyn here. Doesn't seem like a
- 3:04Speaker 2: spot where they're really gonna pay attention. Could be let
- 3:06Speaker 2: down city here, and they do have Miami Cleveland on deck.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Those are bigger games Miami tomorrow, so this is a
- 3:13Speaker 2: sandwich spot. So I'm like, all right, I probably want
- 3:15Speaker 2: Brooklyn here. Looking at Brooklyn, Okay, Yeah, they just lost
- 3:19Speaker 2: pretty badly at Orlando.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Okay, cool. So they're returning home from a one game
- 3:25Speaker 1: road trip. That's not that bad.
- 3:26Speaker 2: Only one game road trip return that's fine, you know,
- 3:31Speaker 2: not having to deal with a bunch of stuff that
- 3:33Speaker 2: piles back up at home. And it's only one road
- 3:35Speaker 2: game they got killed. So I'm thinking, all right, they
- 3:37Speaker 2: should show up for a game against Washington, right, So
- 3:41Speaker 2: I'm thinking, all right, we're gonna go with the Nets here,
- 3:43Speaker 2: And then I'm looking like, what the fuck is going on?
- 3:45Speaker 1: How are the Nets a six point favorite?
- 3:48Speaker 2: They're out from four and a half to six, Like,
- 3:50Speaker 2: is this just how bad the Wizards are? Like, I,
- 3:54Speaker 2: I don't get it, man, uh sixty the tickets and
- 3:57Speaker 2: fifty four percent of the cash on the nets, so
- 3:59Speaker 2: the nets are actual public with less than the money
- 4:01Speaker 2: on them. But I'm not gonna come in and lay
- 4:03Speaker 2: this many points to the Nets, even though I think
- 4:05Speaker 2: the Wizards are in a terrible spot.
- 4:07Speaker 1: I just don't know what's going on here, and the market.
- 4:09Speaker 2: Seems like it's disagreeing with Brooklyn, so I'm gonna pass.
- 4:13Speaker 2: It looks like maybe Saar is out, and maybe that's
- 4:16Speaker 2: why the the center for the Wizards, whose name is
- 4:21Speaker 2: uh he, I call him the Indians, sir. I don't
- 4:26Speaker 2: know if he's out or not. He's questionable, I guess
- 4:28Speaker 2: for today. So I don't know if that's part of
- 4:30Speaker 2: the reason why the line is like this, because I
- 4:32Speaker 2: don't really know the Wizard's personnel very well at all, Man,
- 4:35Speaker 2: So I don't really know exactly what's going on here.
- 4:39Speaker 1: This is the injury report.
- 4:40Speaker 2: There no Nets players listed at all, just a bunch
- 4:44Speaker 2: of Wizards players. I don't even know exactly what they
- 4:46Speaker 2: did in the trade. Besides, they got Anthony Davis, but
- 4:48Speaker 2: who cares because he's not playing anyways, that has no effect.
- 4:51Speaker 2: But I would be looking to Brooklyn as far as
- 4:54Speaker 2: I'm assuming Brooklyn's gonna win this game.
- 4:56Speaker 1: But I can't lay this many points here.
- 4:58Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with that number, so
- 5:00Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay away from it. But the spot definitely
- 5:04Speaker 2: says that I would want to fade Washington there. But
- 5:09Speaker 2: you got to take the number into account, man, And
- 5:11Speaker 2: hopefully we're still doing that with the college players. And
- 5:14Speaker 2: I'm like, yeah, I know, the numbers a little high,
- 5:15Speaker 2: but I love the spot, so I'm doing it anyway.
- 5:18Speaker 2: ABC is a doubleheader here. One of the games is
- 5:21Speaker 2: kind of better than the other, probably because the other
- 5:25Speaker 2: game has both teams missing their star player.
- 5:29Speaker 1: This game. That's not the case, Houston, Actually, no, it is.
- 5:32Speaker 1: What am I saying?
- 5:32Speaker 2: This game, one of the teams is missing their star
- 5:35Speaker 2: player in this game too. Houston at Oklahoma City. SGA
- 5:38Speaker 2: is not playing for Oklahoma City.
- 5:40Speaker 1: Oh my god.
- 5:41Speaker 2: ABC is probably not happy about this. Houston at Oklahoma City.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Houston's coming to this game off of a couple of
- 5:47Speaker 2: pretty ugly losses to a shorthanded Celtics team and then
- 5:51Speaker 2: to this upstart Charlotte team that wasn't a back to
- 5:55Speaker 2: back though. Now they're going to Okay. See, maybe they
- 5:57Speaker 2: were looking ahead to this game. I think you will
- 5:59Speaker 2: get an effort out of Houston here in this one,
- 6:02Speaker 2: so I'm not really concerned about Houston putting in an
- 6:05Speaker 2: effort in this one. You might get extra value on
- 6:07Speaker 2: the line because they haven't looked good. Oklahoma City's coming
- 6:10Speaker 2: up a pretty big game at San Antonio a few
- 6:13Speaker 2: nights ago, and they lost the game, San Antonio re
- 6:16Speaker 2: establishing their I guess dominance of Oklahoma City. I don't
- 6:20Speaker 2: know what else to say.
- 6:21Speaker 1: Now. I believe SGA.
- 6:24Speaker 2: Didn't play in that game, so that was part of
- 6:26Speaker 2: the reason why I think he got hurt in the
- 6:27Speaker 2: Orlando game. He didn't play in the San Antonio game,
- 6:30Speaker 2: so that might be part of the reason. Like maybe
- 6:32Speaker 2: debatably it should have been an insured player theory spot
- 6:35Speaker 2: for SGA there for I mean for the thunder there,
- 6:39Speaker 2: but they still lost the game.
- 6:40Speaker 1: It was a big game.
- 6:42Speaker 2: Now, I don't know how close was this game would
- 6:44Speaker 2: be the other question. I was watching a little bit
- 6:46Speaker 2: of the end of it, but I thought San Antonio
- 6:49Speaker 2: had a pretty decent lead. Actually maybe they did, not
- 6:51Speaker 2: let me say. I mean, it was pretty close towards
- 6:56Speaker 2: the end of it was within seven. I mean that's
- 6:58Speaker 2: not that close. It was within six with four h
- 7:01Speaker 2: three left, and then within seven in the final a
- 7:03Speaker 2: couple of minutes. So I don't know, uh, but yeah,
- 7:06Speaker 2: Oklahoma City's coming up.
- 7:07Speaker 1: That big game.
- 7:08Speaker 2: They're shorthanded in this game. I don't know what we're
- 7:11Speaker 2: gonna expect in this game. Man, Oklahoma City's got SGA out.
- 7:15Speaker 2: Like I said, Jaylen Williams is still out.
- 7:17Speaker 1: He's been out. It's mostly SGA.
- 7:19Speaker 2: But SGA being out has knocked this line down from
- 7:23Speaker 2: I don't know where do you think this line was
- 7:24Speaker 2: gonna be if SGA was playing, like it looks.
- 7:27Speaker 1: Like it was gonna be five, But I think that
- 7:30Speaker 1: was still with him not playing.
- 7:31Speaker 2: I think, like I was thinking it was gonna be
- 7:34Speaker 2: like seven if he was gonna play, but I don't know.
- 7:37Speaker 2: The Thunder down from five to three and a half here,
- 7:39Speaker 2: and it does look like Houston is a public underdog though,
- 7:42Speaker 2: believe it or not, sixty percent of tickets and fifty
- 7:45Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the Rockets, so I
- 7:48Speaker 2: don't know. Maybe it's about this number being crazy, crazy
- 7:51Speaker 2: low for a Thunder home game. I mean, the Rockets
- 7:54Speaker 2: are definitely good. The Thunder haven't been as good recently,
- 7:57Speaker 2: so I don't know. This game confuses me. I don't
- 8:00Speaker 2: want to do anything with it. I hate the game.
- 8:02Speaker 2: Normally I would want to fade the public underdogs. I
- 8:05Speaker 2: guess I would say you lean to the Thunder here,
- 8:07Speaker 2: but the situation seems like it's better for the Rockets
- 8:11Speaker 2: a little bit. So this might be about the number
- 8:13Speaker 2: just being maybe too low and over adjusted to the
- 8:16Speaker 2: Thunder injuries. I don't know, but I'm staying away from that.
- 8:21Speaker 2: Dallas at San Antonio Part two wasn't a fan of
- 8:25Speaker 2: part one because Dallas probably should have had the cover
- 8:28Speaker 2: in that one. They were within three points late in
- 8:29Speaker 2: the game. Somehow they wind up losing by twelve.
- 8:32Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 8:33Speaker 2: Now they're gonna go to San Antonio and play them again.
- 8:35Speaker 2: But maybe this is do you think it's a zigzag
- 8:38Speaker 2: spot or not? Though, because san Antonio might actually show
- 8:42Speaker 2: up for this one, because maybe san Antonio realizes, hey,
- 8:44Speaker 2: we almost got caught in that previous game, so we
- 8:47Speaker 2: got to take Dallas more seriously here. So I could
- 8:49Speaker 2: see that happening for san Antonio as well. So that's
- 8:52Speaker 2: the question, will san Antonio show up in this game
- 8:55Speaker 2: or not? Because I think Dallas will because it's a
- 8:58Speaker 2: bigger game for them. I think san Antonio has the
- 9:01Speaker 2: Lakers on the horizon and then Golden State both on
- 9:03Speaker 2: TV potential look ahead there. So what do we want
- 9:08Speaker 2: to do with this besides obviously not give out a
- 9:10Speaker 2: play on it. The money's coming into Dallas, for what
- 9:12Speaker 2: it's worth, the Spurs are down from eleven to ten here,
- 9:15Speaker 2: pretty big favorite. Fifty three percent of the tickets on
- 9:18Speaker 2: them now sixty two percent of the cash on Dallas.
- 9:21Speaker 2: I guess I'll agree and go with the quick zigzag
- 9:23Speaker 2: spot and maybe the Spurs potentially looking ahead to those
- 9:27Speaker 2: bigger games after they already just beat Dallas in Dallas,
- 9:31Speaker 2: We'll go with the quick road revenge zigzag angle. But
- 9:33Speaker 2: I don't love it enough, so I'll slightly agree with Dallas.
- 9:39Speaker 2: Plus the points there Utah at Orlando. Utah is coming
- 9:44Speaker 2: off almost cover.
- 9:45Speaker 1: They did cover.
- 9:46Speaker 2: They almost upset. Excuse me, Atlanta is pretty big underdogs.
- 9:50Speaker 2: I think they were eight and a half nine point
- 9:51Speaker 2: underdogs here, almost covered or gets Atlanta.
- 9:54Speaker 1: I'm when a.
- 9:55Speaker 2: Big underdog plays well like that, a lot of times
- 9:57Speaker 2: they will come up flat in the next game. I
- 10:00Speaker 2: don't love that for Utah. Orlando's coming up an easy
- 10:03Speaker 2: one over Brooklyn. They don't really have anything upcoming, so
- 10:07Speaker 2: some of it makes it looks like the spot is
- 10:09Speaker 2: better for Orlando. We gotta look at the injuries though,
- 10:12Speaker 2: because it's basically been Wagner has been the main guy
- 10:15Speaker 2: for Orlando has been injured. He is still out so
- 10:19Speaker 2: he's not playing, so it won't be a reverse injured
- 10:21Speaker 2: player there for Orlando, but we might want to fade them.
- 10:24Speaker 2: But the money looks like it is coming in on
- 10:25Speaker 2: the Jazz anyway here, and I don't really agree with
- 10:29Speaker 2: it based on the situation. The magic down from nine
- 10:31Speaker 2: and a half to seven fifty two ticket seventy four
- 10:34Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Jazz, so a lot
- 10:36Speaker 2: of movement, some movement on the line, and then it
- 10:38Speaker 2: looks like the cash percentage is on the Jazz.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I don't really agree with it.
- 10:44Speaker 2: I would not really want to be in the Jazz
- 10:45Speaker 2: after they almost pulled up that other upside, although I
- 10:47Speaker 2: guess you could argue, well, they'll show up for a
- 10:49Speaker 2: game against the Magic too, because it's just a better
- 10:53Speaker 2: team than they are in The Jazz have lost so
- 10:55Speaker 2: many games in a row, they just got to keep
- 10:56Speaker 2: showing up. I guess I could see that argument, but
- 11:02Speaker 2: I don't know the Magic. I mean, coming off an
- 11:04Speaker 2: easy win and not having a huge game up next,
- 11:07Speaker 2: I don't really see them overlooking this game. Really, next
- 11:11Speaker 2: game up is my play. We're finally gonna fade this
- 11:19Speaker 2: hyped hot Charlotte team in and we're gonna go with
- 11:22Speaker 2: the Atlanta Hawks plus two at home, we're plus one
- 11:26Speaker 2: and a half, So I know the ozekers are telling
- 11:28Speaker 2: you the Hornets are the better team here, but all
- 11:29Speaker 2: the money looks like it's coming in on Atlanta, and
- 11:32Speaker 2: I agree with it.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Hornets one and a half.
- 11:35Speaker 2: Now it looks like I would still take one and
- 11:36Speaker 2: a half fifty three percent of tickets on the Hornets
- 11:39Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on the Hawks.
- 11:41Speaker 1: Though money seems like it agrees with me on the Hawks.
- 11:44Speaker 2: And we look at the spot for Charlotte, I just
- 11:47Speaker 2: think we're about to pretty much re reach like peak
- 11:50Speaker 2: of the market on Charlotte, man, I mean, look at
- 11:52Speaker 2: what they just did.
- 11:53Speaker 1: They just upset Houston on the road.
- 11:55Speaker 2: They caught Uston in a decent spot, kind of off
- 11:59Speaker 2: with Houston on a back to back, although Houston was
- 12:01Speaker 2: off that ugly performance against the Celtics, but still wasn't
- 12:05Speaker 2: a horrible spot to catch Houston. And now Charlotte's gotta
- 12:08Speaker 2: travel to Atlanta and up next they gotta play Detroit,
- 12:11Speaker 2: which is a much bigger game they might be looking
- 12:13Speaker 2: ahead to, man, So I don't know if they're gonna
- 12:14Speaker 2: have full focus on this Atlanta team that just kind
- 12:17Speaker 2: of unloaded some guys. They're below five hundred. They're not
- 12:20Speaker 2: a good team. Atlanta has won two games in a row, though,
- 12:23Speaker 2: and they just beat Utah. But that's the other part
- 12:26Speaker 2: of this handicap. Atlanta's coming up almost losing to Utah
- 12:29Speaker 2: is a big favorite, and you know me, I like
- 12:31Speaker 2: to look at teams that almost lost is a big
- 12:34Speaker 2: favorite to bounce back and that is Atlanta. So this
- 12:38Speaker 2: sets up nicely I think for both sides of this play.
- 12:41Speaker 2: The one worry I guess maybe is that Atlanta will
- 12:43Speaker 2: be looking ahead to Minnesota. But I don't think they're
- 12:45Speaker 2: gonna be looking overlooking this Charlotte team has just been
- 12:48Speaker 2: on fire recently, man, I don't think they will, so
- 12:52Speaker 2: I like the Hawks here. I don't know what we're
- 12:55Speaker 2: gonna get out of the Hawks as far as well.
- 12:58Speaker 1: Also, we gotta look into Charlotte Becau Charlott to just pick.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Up Kobe White from the Bulls, but he's not gonna
- 13:03Speaker 2: play for a while, so there's no real issue there
- 13:05Speaker 2: with him coming into the fold here. The Hawks did,
- 13:09Speaker 2: of course pick up some new guys themselves, but it
- 13:11Speaker 2: looks like Cominga's still not playing here. We don't know
- 13:14Speaker 2: if Healed is gonna play, but I just don't think
- 13:15Speaker 2: he's a big enough piece that it's really gonna matter
- 13:18Speaker 2: that much. So I'm not really worried about the the
- 13:21Speaker 2: trade aspects of this. It's a situational spot. It looks
- 13:24Speaker 2: like the money's agreeing with me. Hawks are the play
- 13:27Speaker 2: in that one, and I think Charlotte's a hot streak
- 13:31Speaker 2: comes to an end in that one, the streak discontinues,
- 13:34Speaker 2: hopefully Denver at Chicago. Denver don't love the spot that
- 13:40Speaker 2: they're in here. Denver is coming.
- 13:41Speaker 1: Off a fuck you Firefox.
- 13:43Speaker 2: I don't know what Firefox is even doing, like bringing
- 13:45Speaker 2: up all this shit just because I miss click. Denver's
- 13:49Speaker 2: coming off a double overtime game. They had a couple
- 13:51Speaker 2: of days off since then, but that was a huge game.
- 13:53Speaker 2: Two huge games in a row man really three. Last
- 13:57Speaker 2: on Sunday they played Oklahoma City, although it wasn't that close.
- 14:00Speaker 2: They played close at Detroit, and then they took the
- 14:03Speaker 2: Knicks at a double overtime the next night, So yeah,
- 14:06Speaker 2: they did need some days off. But still they're coming
- 14:08Speaker 2: off a huge game, and now they're playing the Chicago
- 14:11Speaker 2: team that's I don't know, kind of unloading some pieces,
- 14:14Speaker 2: and they got a bigger game up next with Cleveland
- 14:17Speaker 2: when they come back home. So I don't love the spot,
- 14:19Speaker 2: even though you could maybe make the argument, well, Denver
- 14:22Speaker 2: wants to show up for this game because they want
- 14:25Speaker 2: to try to get a win to finish the road trip.
- 14:28Speaker 1: I don't know. But for Chicago, they're not in a
- 14:30Speaker 1: good spot either.
- 14:31Speaker 2: They're returning home from a road trip that they've been
- 14:34Speaker 2: on since last Saturday. And you know, I always talk
- 14:36Speaker 2: about it when a team is gone on the road
- 14:38Speaker 2: for a week they come back home, they can get distracted.
- 14:41Speaker 1: They have to get back to home life. Now.
- 14:42Speaker 2: I don't really think they're gonna overlook the Nuggets, because
- 14:45Speaker 2: the Nuggets are a good team, but that return home
- 14:47Speaker 2: spot is quite bad, man, just it always is.
- 14:51Speaker 1: So what do we want to do with this game?
- 14:53Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 14:53Speaker 2: The Nuggets are up from five to five and a half,
- 14:55Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the tickets on them, ninety percent
- 14:58Speaker 2: of the cash on the Nuggets.
- 15:00Speaker 1: There're gonna be a public side though.
- 15:01Speaker 2: I'm probably going towards taking the points with the Bulls
- 15:04Speaker 2: in this one, even though there's no way that I
- 15:06Speaker 2: could do it with the return home spot though, but
- 15:08Speaker 2: I don't like the spot the Nuggets are in either though,
- 15:10Speaker 2: So I don't know, and I don't know that you'd
- 15:13Speaker 2: be laying that many points on the road. But of
- 15:14Speaker 2: course we know the Bulls have unloaded some guys, but
- 15:17Speaker 2: maybe it's a bit of an overreaction to the Bulls
- 15:20Speaker 2: trading some guys.
- 15:21Speaker 1: Giddy is out again.
- 15:23Speaker 2: We got to pay attention to Jokic because he's game
- 15:25Speaker 2: time decision, I guess questionable, So pay attention to that.
- 15:28Speaker 2: I guess, NBA, we never know who's gonna play, man.
- 15:33Speaker 2: That's the one thing. The heat blew a twenty point leader.
- 15:39Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 15:39Speaker 2: I didn't see it at all, but obviously I was
- 15:41Speaker 2: on the right side of that. Yeah, I think I
- 15:44Speaker 2: mentioned that at the top of the other show.
- 15:45Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 15:49Speaker 2: No, that's not gonna happen because I watched those in
- 15:52Speaker 2: a private browser. I'm not one click away from any
- 15:56Speaker 2: of that shit, all right, ABC. The other game, great
- 16:02Speaker 2: game here between Golden State and LA And I've forgotten
- 16:06Speaker 2: to mention the last couple of games. Steph Curry is
- 16:08Speaker 2: out for Golden State. He's been out for like a
- 16:10Speaker 2: couple of games, and I keep forgetting to mention that.
- 16:12Speaker 1: I haven't gotten involved in any of the games.
- 16:14Speaker 2: But now Luca is out for the Lakers. So this
- 16:17Speaker 2: is a great game to watch on TV in primetime.
- 16:21Speaker 2: Good luck watching this game with no Curry and no Luca.
- 16:24Speaker 2: It's gonna be awesome. But the Celtics are a good team, man,
- 16:30Speaker 2: So I don't know. I mean the Celtics definitely have
- 16:32Speaker 2: the ability to just beat anybody.
- 16:34Speaker 1: I mean, I.
- 16:35Speaker 2: Didn't expect the Celtics to get blown out in that game.
- 16:38Speaker 2: I expected Miami to cover the game and maybe win
- 16:41Speaker 2: the game outright. I didn't think they would be up
- 16:44Speaker 2: by twenty points. But the Celtics are good when you
- 16:47Speaker 2: punch them in the mouth. I mean, they're better team
- 16:50Speaker 2: than the Heat, So you punch them in the mouth.
- 16:52Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 16:53Speaker 2: Sometimes they're gonna come back in the game. The Celtics
- 16:55Speaker 2: have done that a lot. The Celtics have huge variants,
- 16:58Speaker 2: like they get a huge lead and they take their
- 17:00Speaker 2: foot up the gas and they let teams come back.
- 17:03Speaker 2: But on the other hand, they also will go down
- 17:05Speaker 2: big and they'll make these huge comebacks, and their backups
- 17:08Speaker 2: are able to do it too, because they're a deep team.
- 17:10Speaker 2: Golden State just upset Phoenix on the road. I think
- 17:13Speaker 2: they are about five and a half point underdogs there.
- 17:15Speaker 2: You could make the argument they're in a letdown spot,
- 17:17Speaker 2: but I don't think they're gonna overlook the Lakers, except
- 17:20Speaker 2: for maybe the fact that that Luca is not playing
- 17:24Speaker 2: and this is the injured player theory spot.
- 17:26Speaker 1: Luca.
- 17:26Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, he played against Philadelphia and he got
- 17:29Speaker 2: hurt in that game.
- 17:31Speaker 1: So this is the injured player spot for Luca here
- 17:36Speaker 1: for the Lakers.
- 17:37Speaker 2: And you know, I always talk about that when your
- 17:38Speaker 2: star player goes down, you'll get a lot of benefit
- 17:41Speaker 2: in the line. The line over reacts and a lot
- 17:43Speaker 2: of times your team will play a lot better. So
- 17:45Speaker 2: that's what we might get with the Lakers. Plus the
- 17:48Speaker 2: fact that Golden State's off of that road upset whereas
- 17:51Speaker 2: the Lakers are off a ridiculous comeback. The Lakers shouldn't
- 17:54Speaker 2: have won that game against Philadelphia, And I told you
- 17:56Speaker 2: it was a bad spot for the Lakers, this crazy
- 17:59Speaker 2: lone road trip return.
- 18:01Speaker 1: They had an extended road trip because they needed to.
- 18:03Speaker 2: Be away from LA for the Grammys, because the Grammys
- 18:07Speaker 2: needed to take over the city. It's so fucking stupid.
- 18:12Speaker 2: And then I'm pissed because I hate the Lakers and
- 18:14Speaker 2: they should have lost to the seventy six Ers. The
- 18:17Speaker 2: Sixers had a like double digit lead in that game,
- 18:19Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, and then lost the game double digit
- 18:23Speaker 2: lead in the second half too, So I don't know,
- 18:25Speaker 2: but that's what the Lakers are coming off of. They
- 18:28Speaker 2: won as a favorite and I think they didn't cover. Still,
- 18:30Speaker 2: I think they were four and a half point favorites.
- 18:33Speaker 2: Golden State is coming off that road upset, plus getting
- 18:37Speaker 2: the value on the line with the Lakers with the
- 18:39Speaker 2: Luca injury, I think I would lean to the Lakers
- 18:41Speaker 2: in this one. Man, They're only a two and a
- 18:43Speaker 2: half point favorite with Luca out. It might be an
- 18:45Speaker 2: overreaction up from two to two and a half. Then
- 18:48Speaker 2: we know the Lakers sucked defensively, but the line also
- 18:51Speaker 2: has to be adjusted for Curry.
- 18:52Speaker 1: Being out on the Warriors side, so I don't know.
- 18:55Speaker 2: Seventy tickets only sixty seven percent of the cash on
- 18:58Speaker 2: the Lakers, so the public appears to be on the
- 19:01Speaker 2: Lakers with less of the money on them. And while yes,
- 19:04Speaker 2: I think the Lakers are an overrated team, whatever I
- 19:07Speaker 2: think in that spot, I probably lean to the Lakers,
- 19:09Speaker 2: but the market is saying completely the opposite. Philadelphia at Phoenix, yeah,
- 19:17Speaker 2: I mean, I didn't see it.
- 19:17Speaker 1: I saw some people that were coming out of that
- 19:19Speaker 1: game that.
- 19:20Speaker 2: Had been partying in the city after I got out
- 19:22Speaker 2: of the show that I was at, But I don't know.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the Celtics are good.
- 19:29Speaker 2: Philadelphia just lost that game to LA that was a
- 19:31Speaker 2: brutal loss because they had LA on the ropes basically
- 19:34Speaker 2: the Lakers, and then felt just short.
- 19:36Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go to Phoenix.
- 19:37Speaker 2: Not exactly the greatest spot here for Philadelphia. For Phoenix,
- 19:44Speaker 2: they are coming off that loss to Golden State, Like
- 19:46Speaker 2: I said, at home, losing as a favorite. So I
- 19:49Speaker 2: gotta lean to Phoenix in this one. Man, A team
- 19:51Speaker 2: staying at home after they lost is a home favorite
- 19:54Speaker 2: versus a team that had kind of a brutal loss
- 19:56Speaker 2: in their previous game where they had a good team
- 19:59Speaker 2: on the road hopes. This game is definitely Phoenix if
- 20:02Speaker 2: you're gonna play the game. The money looks like it
- 20:04Speaker 2: does agree with me on this one. Minus one and
- 20:06Speaker 2: a half on the Suns here fifty seven percent of
- 20:08Speaker 2: the cash on the Suns, fifty to fifty on the tickets.
- 20:11Speaker 2: I do agree with that market. If I was gonna
- 20:14Speaker 2: add another play, it would probably be that one, because
- 20:16Speaker 2: there were just so many unknowns in all these other games.
- 20:18Speaker 2: But I do like that when I like the Suns.
- 20:21Speaker 2: Memphis at Portland.
- 20:24Speaker 1: This is a zigzag.
- 20:25Speaker 2: Potentially Memphis just got blown out at Portland and now
- 20:28Speaker 2: they're playing the same game again. I think the line
- 20:30Speaker 2: is about the same in this one.
- 20:32Speaker 1: I think it was about eight and a half on Portland.
- 20:34Speaker 1: That's just how bad Memphis is now.
- 20:36Speaker 2: Though this is a back to back, but it's a
- 20:38Speaker 2: back to back for both teams, so that's not as
- 20:40Speaker 2: big of a deal. But yes, Memphis lost by twenty points.
- 20:45Speaker 2: If you look at the stats, it was like, I
- 20:48Speaker 2: don't know, it didn't seem like it was that misleading.
- 20:51Speaker 2: Like I think there was a pretty big rebounding edge
- 20:53Speaker 2: I think on the side of Portland in this one,
- 20:55Speaker 2: so I don't think it was that misleading.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Yeah, well by nine. The rest of the stats weren't
- 21:01Speaker 1: that misleading.
- 21:01Speaker 2: But still it could be a situation where Portland just
- 21:04Speaker 2: doesn't take them as seriously the next time, and maybe
- 21:06Speaker 2: they overlooked them this time. So I would still probably
- 21:10Speaker 2: agree with the zig zag here and agree with Memphis
- 21:12Speaker 2: making adjustments here. Memphis is they're rebuilding though, man, so
- 21:16Speaker 2: they're like they emptied out their roster, so I don't
- 21:19Speaker 2: know what we're gonna even get out of this Memphis
- 21:21Speaker 2: team from here on out, so it's really difficult to
- 21:23Speaker 2: trust them at all.
- 21:25Speaker 1: Portland does kind of have a bigger.
- 21:28Speaker 2: Game on deck, I guess against Philly and then Minnesota,
- 21:31Speaker 2: so definitely the possibility they overlook the Grizzlies here.
- 21:34Speaker 1: I would lean to the Grizzlies.
- 21:35Speaker 2: The market is agreeing with that, but I don't want
- 21:37Speaker 2: to give that out as a play. Blazers down from
- 21:40Speaker 2: nine and a half to eight and a half, fifty
- 21:41Speaker 2: two percent tickets on them, ninety seven percent of the
- 21:43Speaker 2: cash on the Grizzlies though, so it looks like the
- 21:46Speaker 2: market read is saying the Grizzlies. Hopefully it doesn't change
- 21:49Speaker 2: on this Horn of talks. Man, I'm starting to get worried.
- 21:52Speaker 2: But no, I like the I do like the Hawks
- 21:53Speaker 2: in that one. But yeah, I would agree with the
- 21:57Speaker 2: Grizzlies in that one. But it's tough to know what
- 21:59Speaker 2: you're gonna get to them. But the market seems to agree.
- 22:02Speaker 2: And then Cleveland had Sacramento to finish this off. This
- 22:04Speaker 2: is a pretty ugly game. I believe James Harden did
- 22:07Speaker 2: not play yet for Cleveland, even though he was there
- 22:11Speaker 2: because they were playing the Clippers, but I don't think
- 22:13Speaker 2: he played. And Garland has been out for the Clippers
- 22:17Speaker 2: now think he got traded to the Clippers, so neither
- 22:19Speaker 2: of them played in that game. But I was surprised
- 22:21Speaker 2: because I thought Cleveland would be overvalued because of the
- 22:24Speaker 2: hard and trade with people thinking he was gonna play
- 22:26Speaker 2: on whatever.
- 22:26Speaker 1: They blew out the Clippers.
- 22:30Speaker 2: Probably they're feeling a little bit high off of that,
- 22:32Speaker 2: and they might overlook Sacramento where they well, they did
- 22:35Speaker 2: just beat them at home, but they only beat them
- 22:37Speaker 2: by five, So maybe they won't overlook the Kings because
- 22:40Speaker 2: the Kings did just play.
- 22:43Speaker 1: Them that close.
- 22:43Speaker 2: But Cleveland does have Denver up next man, so it
- 22:46Speaker 2: does still look pretty sandwichy to me in a way.
- 22:49Speaker 2: Blow out win on one side of it, in a
- 22:51Speaker 2: big game against Denver on the other.
- 22:53Speaker 1: Sacramento they did just play.
- 22:56Speaker 2: Close then only against the Clippers, and that was yesterday,
- 22:59Speaker 2: so they aren't a bad to back.
- 23:00Speaker 1: But they're staying at home. I mean, maybe they show
- 23:03Speaker 1: up for it. I don't know. I think the spot
- 23:06Speaker 1: is worse for the Calves.
- 23:07Speaker 2: I would probably lean taking the points with the Kings
- 23:09Speaker 2: in this one market seems like it does agree with
- 23:11Speaker 2: that one. Seventy four percent of tickets on the Calves.
- 23:14Speaker 2: They're sitting at minus twelve, down from twelve and a
- 23:17Speaker 2: half fifty eight percent of the cash on the Kings
- 23:20Speaker 2: money does agree with the Kings, I agree with it,
- 23:22Speaker 2: but yeah, I mean that's that's that's what I have
- 23:26Speaker 2: man for the NBA there. So those are my opinions
- 23:29Speaker 2: on the NBA. Added one play in the NBA there,
- 23:32Speaker 2: Atlanta Hawks plus two or one and a half will
- 23:35Speaker 2: be my one NBA play once again. College basketball upcoming
- 23:39Speaker 2: not till the afternoon though, Utah plus the points. Northwestern
- 23:43Speaker 2: State not Northwest. I don't even think Northwestern's playing though
- 23:46Speaker 2: maybe I'm wrong, maybe they are. Most teams are Northwestern
- 23:49Speaker 2: State plus the points. Maybe Northwestern's playing one of those
- 23:52Speaker 2: big ten Sunday games. I don't know, but yes, Northwestern State.
- 23:55Speaker 2: Don't be confused by that. Seattle and they're plus the points,
- 23:58Speaker 2: and then Seattle and Pacific minus the points in those.
- 24:03Speaker 2: That's gonna do it, Thank you, sir. Learn its on
- 24:07Speaker 2: a Twitter, learn its on Instagram. You know, like subscribe,
- 24:10Speaker 2: give me comments on the channel here, listen on audio,
- 24:13Speaker 2: give me a review on audio Spotify.
- 24:15Speaker 1: Apple covered in Yuke is the Yuke channel on YouTube.
- 24:18Speaker 1: You can check that out.
- 24:20Speaker 2: Patreon, dot com, slash and learn it to you can
- 24:22Speaker 2: give me some support there, get bonus Yuke stuff learned
- 24:25Speaker 2: or excuse me, I learned Loser Cast, the comedy podcast
- 24:29Speaker 2: that I'm on a Tuesdays. That's gonna do it to
- 24:32Speaker 2: have a good one. It'll be Super Bowl Sunday tomorrow.
- 24:34Speaker 2: You already have my entire Super Bowl card. I'm not
- 24:36Speaker 2: adding anything else, but I did add that one extra
- 24:38Speaker 2: play yesterday.
- 24:40Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys can can get some of you some
- 24:44Speaker 1: wins here. She squealed. What's up? Man? A parlay? You know?
- 24:48Speaker 1: You know what I say about parlays.
- 24:49Speaker 2: Man, the books, they want you to do it because
- 24:52Speaker 2: they don't give you good enough odds on it, and
- 24:54Speaker 2: one thing can take the whole thing down. So I
- 24:56Speaker 2: personally despise parlays and I don't recommend them. But if
- 24:59Speaker 2: you I wanna do it and just know that you're gambling,
- 25:02Speaker 2: then yes, then go ahead and do it. I don't
- 25:06Speaker 2: spend more than you can afford.
- 25:08Speaker 1: Man.
- 25:08Speaker 2: Hopefully you get it and hit the lottery. But this
- 25:11Speaker 2: is why I play everything as a straight bet, even
- 25:13Speaker 2: though you win less right away. You can't be a
- 25:17Speaker 2: high time preference here.
- 25:20Speaker 1: You gotta be low time preference. It's a grind. Man,
- 25:23Speaker 1: it's about winning more than you lose long term.
- 25:25Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. I appreciate everybody's super Bowl tomorrow.
- 25:29Speaker 1: Peace for now,