Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 289 - 5/30/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 289 - 5/30/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 289 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:35
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
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end. The month of May is coming to an
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end. Feel like it went by in the
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blink of an eye. But I guess that's that's the
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way it goes when you put your head down and keep grinding
0:46
every day in the sports betting arena.
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But as we almost turn the page here to June, before you know,
0:52
it'll be 4th of July, Nathan's hot dog eating contest.
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And then it'll be the kind of the winding down of summer or
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summer, you know, hasn't even started.
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Really, before you know it, we're going to have NFL back in
1:02
our lives, college football. And of course, between now and
1:05
then, we're going to keep grinding MLB, which is where we
1:08
like to maximize our edge. So today on a big Friday, I do
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have a three pack of MLB sweats for you.
1:14
All three here are some good sharp line moves.
1:16
And then I also wanted to use one of the games as an example
1:20
of how to use the odds logic live odds page to your advantage
1:24
because there was a game that I was looking at and like it only
1:26
moved like $0.05. And I'm like, OK, I kind of like
1:29
it. It's a lean.
1:30
But then I saw it. Damn, just boom, shoot up,
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pardon my French there, shoot up here, 10 cents, $0.15 and it was
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coming from two of the market setting books.
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I'll tell you who they are in a second.
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And really right after that I had about a one minute 32nd
1:47
window to jump on that line move before the whole market got
1:50
adjusted. So we'll talk about that because
1:53
I always want to give you guys tips to use the Odds Logic
1:55
platform to your advantage. Reminder, you can always sign up
1:58
for a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month of Odds
2:01
Logic just by going to this special link, Odds
2:04
logic.com/josh 123. So with a three pack of MB
2:09
sweats for today as we steam into the weekend, I also wanted
2:12
to mention last night, hey, not a bad winning night. 2 and 1 +
2:15
0.6 units had a nice hit there with the the Rays getting it
2:20
done for the team. They had a lead and threw up 3
2:22
nothing. Then they kind of blew it was 3
2:24
to 2 and then they absolutely went crazy with the bats late in
2:27
the game. Ended up winning pretty easily.
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Final score 13 to 3. So that was nice to see.
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Remember that was kind of a old school reverse line move.
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Houston Open like -120 got down to -115 -, 110 even though it
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DraftKings where we like to kind of gauge where the public is.
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You had nearly 75% of bats going with the Stroh.
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So Tampa came through also had a nice winner.
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These are rare. You got to you got to enjoy it
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when it happens. A 12 nothing win.
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The Toronto Blue Jays with good steam in their favor.
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Remember we saw them go from like -140 up to -165 and they
3:00
got off to I think it was an 11 nothing lead in the second
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inning. So that was always great to see
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what we call a rocking chair winner when you can sit on the
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porch like your granddad with some lemonade and just sit back,
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rocking chair, nice breeze in your face and you're up 11.
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Nothing in a second. Anything sounds great to see.
3:16
And then the frustrating one was the Seattle Mariners.
3:19
Jesus, the Seattle Mariners, they were down 2O.
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They finally tied it up. They had a chance to win at
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bottom of the ninth. Obviously they didn't.
3:26
They go to X trainings and then they get their faces ripped off.
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Washington puts up, what was it, like, six runs in the 10th
3:32
inning. So we can't win them all.
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But as always, guys, 3 plays eek out two in one days, as many as
3:37
we can throughout the course of a long, arduous up and down
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baseball season. That's really the way I approach
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betting. I know a lot of people like to
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parlay. Obviously this pod, we're not
3:47
big fans of parlays because they're basically the penny slot
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to the sports book. You have the public keep playing
3:52
them thinking they're going to win when in reality the only
3:54
winner is the house. That slowly quietly makes a
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killing off of parlays, especially same game parlays.
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I was getting when I was researching some some stats from
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the Nevada Gaming Commission for my new book coming out, the NFL
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sharp betting Playbook, which again, you can pre-order a new
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copy on Amazon.com. But basically the Nevada Gaming
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Commission, which all the Nevada books have to report all of
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their winnings and earnings and they provide a whole percentage.
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That's basically the percentage of money the households on to
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after they've paid out all the bets and settled all the all the
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money. It's about 5% for regular bet.
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So every dollar bet the households on to $0.05 for just
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a straight regular sports bet parlays, it's about 30%.
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So they hold on to $0.30 on every dollar.
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And then same game parlays, they're relatively new.
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You see the books promote them all the time.
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Well, why do you think they promote them all the time?
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Because they're a huge, huge winner for the house.
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There are some new reports that show same game parlays are up to
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like 40 or even 4550% hold percentage for the book.
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So either way guys, to me with baseball, it's you're just
4:55
trying to grind out these two in 1 + 1/4 unit night plus a unit
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night plus .75 unit nights and stack as many as you can
5:03
throughout the course of the year.
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SO2 in 1 + 0.6 units last night. We're going to put that in our
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pocket, reinvest it into today's action and hopefully end the
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week on a hot note. So that being said, let's get
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right into it guys. I got a three pack of sweats for
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you and I want to start off with a 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time first
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pitch athletics visiting the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Obviously the Blue Jays had a big win for us last night, who
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are now 28 and 28 back to 500, winning 12 nothing for us, which
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was nice and again, don't take those for granted.
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Those rocking chair winners. They're they're beautiful,
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they're amazing. We always got a sweat and it's
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never easy. And we have a heart attack
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multiple times each game depending on what side you're
5:40
on. Those are the ones you want to
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really, really come just to embrace and soak in because
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they're pretty rare. But anyway, covered for us as a
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-, 165 home favorite. Tonight's rematch.
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You have the A's who are 23 and 34 going with the lefty Jeffrey
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Springs. He's five and three, 3.97 ERA.
5:57
You know the Blue Jays are going to counter with the righty Chris
6:00
Bassett. He's four and three with a 3.38
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ERA. So what do you see across the
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market here? Well, this game open Toronto
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around a -, 150 home favorite athletics around a + 130 Rd.
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dog. So here's the game I wanted to
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use as an example to use odds logic in your favorite the odds
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logic live odds platform, obviously a partner with odds
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logic because I believe in the software.
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I use it for my own betting purposes and it's really great
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for monitoring the market. So why am I mentioning this?
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Well, it was earlier today. I don't, I don't know, maybe
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like 11:00 AM Eastern Time as I'm writing the Sharp report for
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visen.com, staring at the Odds Logic live odds page, and I saw
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Toronto go from like -150 up to -155 and I said, OK, you know,
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tiny little move. But, you know, maybe that's just
6:44
a small adjustment. Maybe there's a lineup change or
6:46
a little bit of money came in. When I'm betting baseball, I
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want bigger steam than that. And as I am looking at all the
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games, I see the live odds page from Odds Logic light up in red.
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Every single book, the column or basically the row for the A's
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Toronto game, every book starts to flash in red.
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So the first book that I see is Pinnacle.
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Pinnacle is one of your biggest, sharpest market setting books.
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Then of course, we got Chris right next to it.
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Chris or Bookmaker, another big global book circa right next to
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that Bet online is another respected global book.
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So as soon as I see those get lit up, there's like a domino
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effect, you know, Penny Chris circa Bet Online.
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And then you start to see your, you know, your DraftKings, your
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FanDuel, your bet MGM, your ESPN bet, your Fanatics, your all
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those different ones. But as soon as I saw that, I
7:32
immediately saw Toronto get steamed.
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That's how you can identify steam with odds logic.
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So it went from -150 to -155 small little move and then boom,
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shot up to -165 -, 170. And as soon as I saw that, I
7:45
said, OK, we got a lot of money flowing in here on Toronto.
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And once I saw that as well, I saw someone get up as high as
7:52
like -180 some shops are even -185 right now.
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So I said, hey, we got steam on Toronto.
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That told me that a lot of big money came in on the Blue Jays
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and I was able to just jump on Toronto -175 before a lot of
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books even got as high as again -185 S.
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The key was steam is that you want to see it take place at the
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big market setting books. And then you know you have about
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30 seconds is a very, very short window to go pick off a slow
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moving book that hasn't adjusted yet.
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Because if you kind of think about the way sports books
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operate, the biggest market setting books, they set their
8:25
own numbers and they take in sharp action and they basically
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move as soon as big money comes in.
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Then you have other books who are kind of copycat books where
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they're moving really not because they're taking in smart
8:36
money, just because the whole markets moving and they don't
8:38
want to be, they want to be with kind of the whole market
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movement. They don't want to, you know,
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still be at -150 when everyone else is -175 they're just going
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to quote UN quote move on air. So you're not moving on sharp
8:49
money, but you're moving on. Just basically the odds makers
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adjusting it because they don't want to be an outlier.
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So with the odds logic, live odds page, as soon as I saw it
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get lit up in red, anytime anything changes in odd odds
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movement juice over, under total, whatever gets lit up in
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red. Then about a minute later it
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goes to green and then it goes to yellow.
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So basically using that kind of color-coded steam indicator, I
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saw that big money hit Toronto and that's it.
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That sold me on Toronto. So just wanted to mention that
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because that's one of the great ways that I like to use the Odds
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Logic Live Odds page again, give it a shot. 7 day free trial, 50%
9:23
off your first month odds. logic.com/josh 123.
9:28
Now back to our regular cap. Here again we saw the JS get
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steamed up -150 to -175 I got -175 at Bet MGM, but again,
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other books are as high as -180 -, 185.
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Then I look to the bet splits. So I start with that line move
9:43
and then I look at how the splits are looking and they look
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very good at circa at circa 75% of money line bets.
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But over 96% of money line dollars are on the Toronto Blue
9:53
Jays. So further validation that those
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bigger, sharper, low bets, higher dollars wise guy wagers
9:58
are going with the Jays. Jays would have some classic
10:01
system match for me. One would basically just be a
10:05
non division favorite, lack of familiarity, benefiting quote UN
10:08
quote the better team. I have another system here if
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you're a big favorite -170 or more with a line move in your
10:14
favor, 126 and 5171 percent, 3% ROI.
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If you are a non division home favorite off a win with Steam,
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$0.10 or more, 91 and 4766% with a 4% ROI.
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So we're starting to layer on some system matches on the Jays.
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I'm going to bank on the Jays hopefully to continue hitting,
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but also hopefully continue to pitch well because if you'll get
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their last 10 games, the Jays have a team ERA of 2.15.
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Really good. Knock on wood, you'll get the
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other side. The A's team ERA of 7.38 in
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particular. If we got to sweat the pen in a
10:47
close game, hopefully the the pen of the Jays can keep it
10:51
locked down. 3.52 team ERA, 6 point O 7 for the Athletics.
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That's the third worst in baseball.
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Chris Bassett in particular, I want to back him.
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In regards of Bassett at home, he's been really good.
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Three and O 1.61 ERA. On the road he's one and three
11:07
4.86 ERA, but hey, he's at home here and the Jays, meanwhile are
11:11
four and one in his last five starts.
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Then if you look at some other kind of supplementary splits
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categories, Toronto is hitting 255 against lefties facing
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springs here tonight. That's 8th best in baseball
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against S paws. They're also hitting 260 at
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home. That's the 7th best in baseball.
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So they're top ten against lefties, top ten at home.
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Meanwhile, the A's 246 against righties, 16th in baseball, 238
11:35
on the road, 18th in baseball. So you add it all up here, guys,
11:39
notice that big odds logic steam on Toronto.
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Great bet split out at Circa. Few system matches here.
11:45
Hopefully Bassett can continue to pitch well at Rodger Center
11:48
and again, home Rd. splits and lefty ready splits also lighting
11:52
up on Toronto. Toronto.
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So they came through last night. I'm going to hope that they can
11:56
do it again tonight. I got Toronto -175 and again
12:00
shop around. But it should still be available
12:01
at Bet MGM. Next one for you, let's go to
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Texas Saint Louis Cardinals facing off against the Texas
12:08
Rangers. Now going in this one, we have
12:11
the cards 32 and 24 just took two or three against the
12:15
Orioles. They won that series finale 6 to
12:18
4 as -1 O five row dogs. On the other hand, the Rangers
12:21
27 and 30, they just dropped two or three against the Jays.
12:24
They lost that series finale to nothing as a -, 150 home
12:28
favorite. So for tonight's Inter League
12:30
series opener, the Cards are going to go with the lefty
12:32
Michael Labarator. He's three and three, 2.73 ERA.
12:36
You know, the Rangers are going to go with the righty Jack
12:38
later. He's three and two, 4.17 ERA.
12:41
So what do you see across the market for this one?
12:43
Well, some good market movement toward the Cardinals.
12:46
Give me the Cards in this one, guys.
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Cardinals open this game as low as a -, 125 -, 130 home Rd.
12:53
favorite. And we actually saw the
12:55
Cardinals get steamed up at one point all the way to run -140.
12:59
They have come down a bit. So they're back down to around
13:02
-130 -, 135 but basically open to current.
13:06
It's all either stayed the same or move toward Saint Louis.
13:09
So tells me that Cardinals here taking in some some sharp money.
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Now if you'll get DraftKings Cardinals 74% of money line
13:16
bets, 82% of money line dollars at circa 60% of money line bets,
13:22
79% of money line dollars. So both the national DK and the
13:27
sharp desert circa showing good low bets, higher dollar split
13:30
pro and Joe action in favor of Saint Louis.
13:33
I do have three system matches lighting up here on the on the
13:36
Cardinals. One is if you're rested
13:38
favorite. So if your favorite who just had
13:40
a day off, those teams are 81 and 4365 percent, 6% ROI.
13:46
If you take it a step further and you have both teams who just
13:49
had a day off, take the favorite, hey, that system's
13:52
even better. 56 and 2867%, almost a 9% ROI.
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Also, if you look at some sweet spot interleague favorites -130
14:03
to -160 those teams are 42 and 3563% with a 6% ROI.
14:09
We do have Saint Louis with some interleague favorite value.
14:12
So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
14:15
better team in Saint Louis. Hopefully Lebera tour again was
14:18
pitched well. He's got a 2.22 ERA in five May
14:21
starts. He's only giving up seven runs
14:23
and 28.1 innings pitched. But I'm hoping also that the
14:27
Cardinals offense can get to Jack later.
14:29
Cardinals on the year hitting 262, they've scored 269 runs.
14:34
Texas only hitting 219, scoring 180, five runs.
14:38
And in particular, lighter. He's got those good bloodlines
14:41
with his dad and his uncle pitching in the bigs, and he was
14:45
a highly touted prospect. What was the second overall
14:47
pick? Something like that.
14:48
But he does have a 5.2 OERA and five May starts.
14:52
He's giving up 16 earned runs and 27.2 innings pitched.
14:56
So Saint Louis has been a bit of a surprise this year how well
14:58
they've played, really playing even last like 1015 games, 20
15:04
games. They have a sparkling record
15:05
here. But you open as a road favorite.
15:07
You become more of a favorite. We got some good splits again.
15:11
Line has come back down a little bit, but I'm going to stick with
15:13
Saint Louis in this one. Guys, now I got Saint Louis -135
15:17
but you can maybe get Saint Louis as low as -130 I think
15:20
ESPN bet and Caesars are at -130 But as always, if you're like
15:25
me, you played a -, 135 or even when they're as high as -140 now
15:28
that they're -130 I ain't, I ain't, you know, you know,
15:31
buying out or going the other way or cashing out.
15:34
This is a dance with the one who brung your play.
15:36
Let's hope that the Cards can get to later.
15:38
I am on Saint Louis again. I got -135 but you can hopefully
15:43
get them as low as -130 let's go Saint Louis.
15:47
Last game of the night, 9:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, let's
15:50
go out to sunny San Diego, Pittsburgh Pirates visiting the
15:54
San Diego Padres. And let me just tell you guys, I
15:56
haven't mentioned this too much, but it's been a crazy week for
15:58
me because the in laws who live in San Diego and they've lived
16:03
there forever, they are actually moving to New Hampshire and it's
16:06
all taking place this week. On Monday they got to our house.
16:10
I don't live too far from the border in New Hampshire.
16:12
I'm in Massachusetts of course, but they got here on Monday.
16:16
They have 3 dachshunds, Dachshunds, the hot dogs and my
16:19
big Labrador, Meadow. They're not really, they
16:22
actually they clashed quite a bit at the beginning.
16:25
The hot dogs would bark at Meadow and Meadow even though
16:27
she's, you know, five times her size, she'd be scared and run
16:29
away from them. But they drove cross country.
16:32
They are closing on their new house in New Hampshire today.
16:36
So I'm going to actually help them move in today once we
16:38
finish up the pod here. But anyway, I'm a little sad
16:40
because ever since I met my wife Elise, we've been together six
16:44
years at this point, which is crazy to think about.
16:46
But we would always go to San Diego to visit, go to Padres
16:50
games. And now that they're no longer
16:52
living in San Diego, I'm kind of sad because I don't know how
16:54
often we'll be doing that again. But I do want to give a shout
16:57
out to our guy Darush. It was one of the sharpest wise
16:59
guys I know who's actually going to the Padres game tonight.
17:03
So I think he's going to hold up, you know, a sign that says
17:06
ASG podcaster big steam and hopefully give us some good luck
17:10
here because I'm going pods a little spoiler alert here.
17:13
But anyway, guys, let's give our our, you know, just classic
17:15
breakdown of this one. 9:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch.
17:18
We got the Pirates who are 21 and 36.
17:21
Did whoever just take two or three against the D backs?
17:24
Don't remind me got rolled as AD backs backer and that last one
17:28
the Pirates won 12:50 in that series finale as a + 115 row
17:31
dog. You know, all the pods 31 and
17:34
23. They just took two or three
17:35
against the Marlins. Couldn't get the sweep though.
17:38
They lost that series finale 7:50 as a -, 160 home favorite.
17:42
So pitching match up here tonight, we got the Pirates
17:44
going with the righty Mitch Keller.
17:46
He's one and six 3.66 ERA pods, meanwhile, are going to go with
17:50
the ready Nick Pavetta 5 and two 2.72 ERA.
17:54
So we've seen across the market here.
17:56
Well, nothing but steam on the fathers.
17:59
Padres open around -185 Pittsburgher on a + 165 Rd. dog.
18:04
And even though that's kind of an expensive opener, sharps are
18:06
saying, hey, we still like the Padres here.
18:08
Padres have now gotten steamed up to -195 even as high as -200
18:13
-. 2 O 5I jumped on San Diego at -195 that should still be
18:18
available at Caesar's. If you're going to play this one
18:20
with me again, just try to find a book.
18:22
Anything sub -200 but I like the bet splits on the fathers.
18:26
Aside from that 10-15 cents, the move in their favor.
18:29
The Padres are getting 88% of money line bets, 95% of money
18:34
line dollars at DraftKings and at circa Padres, 75% of money
18:39
line bets and 93% of money line dollars.
18:42
That basically tells me, hey, big pro and Joe, that's what
18:46
you're probably seeing. The public just say, hey, give
18:47
me the Padres because they got the better record.
18:49
Wise guys don't care what the public's doing.
18:51
They're probably hitting San Diego because they had this game
18:53
close to -200 to begin with. So when it opened, as you know,
18:56
around -185 they hit it said even though that's an expensive
18:59
price, that still provides an edge because maybe it should be
19:02
a little bit more expensive. I do have 9 system matches lit
19:06
up on San Diego. Here's some of the top ones.
19:08
Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season.
19:11
Those teams are 175 and 9066 percent 6% ROI this year.
19:16
Both teams coming off a day off. Remember, this is the same
19:19
system. We just have a Saint Louis take
19:21
the favorite 56 and 2867 percent, 8% ROI.
19:26
And then home favorites in the opening game of a new series,
19:29
One O 8 and 5766 percent, 5% ROI.
19:33
San Diego does have that correlative betting value
19:35
favorite low total. So total this one is a very low
19:37
7 1/2 might be a low scoring game because it's really just
19:40
under as well. So I like that correlative
19:42
betting. Few amount of expected run
19:44
scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
19:47
And again, you're seeing this line move further to San Diego
19:50
in that under 7 and half get juiced up.
19:52
So hopefully this is AI don't know 4 to 1 San Diego win
19:55
something like that. You also have that non division
19:58
favorite value. Again, lack of familiarity
19:59
benefiting the better team. I'm gonna hope the Padres bats
20:02
come to play and get to Keller today.
20:05
Pods are hitting 253 on the year, 52 homers, 233 runs
20:09
scored. Pirates only hitting two 2640
20:12
home runs and 183 runs scored. Nick Pavetta in particular has
20:16
been really good at home. Knock on wood.
20:18
Let's hope that continues. 4 and O 1.44 ERA at home this season
20:22
and then just some classic home Rd. splits.
20:25
San Diego has been really good at home, 18 and 9.
20:28
Pittsburgh only 8 and 20 on the road.
20:30
That's the third worst Rd. record in baseball.
20:33
So it is an expensive price as always.
20:35
You know, these are bet to risk, not bet to win plays, no matter
20:39
what kind of price we get. You know, even if you look at
20:42
play last night like the Rays, you know they're basically plus
20:45
100 even money. Basically, bet to risk versus
20:49
bet to win means you're risking a unit, getting a unit back.
20:51
In a case of a big favorite like this, you know, if you're with
20:54
me, San Diego and I got -195 you're not risking 1.95 units to
21:00
win one unit that'll be betting to win.
21:02
You're always betting to risk. So you're just risking your one
21:04
unit no matter the play. In this case, because it's a
21:07
minus number, you're looking to get a little, little more than
21:10
1/2 unit back. But you had all up guys.
21:12
We got Derush, our guy Wiseguy, ASG pod supporter in the stands
21:16
tonight. And hey, we got some good Steam
21:19
system matches favorite low total.
21:22
So I'm going father, so let's go dad's -195 S Toronto, St.
21:27
Louis, San Diego. Can we try to eke out A2 in one
21:30
night? As always, that is the goal.
21:33
So that about does it for episode 289 of the All Systems
21:36
Go Sports Betting podcast. As always, powered by rhythm.
21:40
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
21:42
start first, as always, by saying thank you.
21:45
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
21:47
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
21:50
sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
21:52
If you do enjoy the pod, if the pod has hopefully benefited you
21:56
and you've seen kind of the hopefully positive results of
21:59
leaving your bias at the door and betting based on not what
22:02
you think will happen or you want to happen, but based on
22:05
what the market is telling you. If that's been the case and the
22:08
pod hopefully has provided some valuable insights, could you do
22:11
me a big favor? Could you give this podcast a
22:13
five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
22:17
If you want to click that review button and leave a nice comment,
22:20
I will always say yes to that. If you want to click the follow
22:23
button. That way you get alerted as soon
22:25
as it drops. Each day you'll get a pop up
22:27
notification on your smartphone. It would also be appreciated in
22:31
old school word of mouth recommendation.
22:33
Maybe you got a friend like, hey, you bet on sports.
22:35
Yeah, I listen to this podcast, ASG Pod, check it out for free
22:38
on Spotify or iTunes. Say you want to do that.
22:40
That would also very much make my day.
22:44
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
22:47
sharp contrarian betting, we're reading the market.
22:49
We're betting games based on what the market is telling us.
22:52
That's really the essence of data-driven betting, trying to
22:54
be with the sharps against the public, trying to get good
22:57
numbers. If that is the case and you want
23:00
to learn more about data-driven betting, or maybe you have
23:02
someone in your life, excuse me, who could use some data-driven
23:06
insights, you know what I would love for you to do?
23:09
I'd love for you to go to Amazon.com and then type in the
23:12
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:14
That's the first book I ever wrote.
23:15
Let's get everything I've learned in the industry.
23:17
How lines are set, how and why they move.
23:19
How to read line movement. How to locate sharp action, how
23:21
to go contrarian, How to place a bet in person or online, How to
23:24
shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management
23:27
plan, chapters on all the major sports.
23:29
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
23:32
Betting. And while you're at it, while
23:34
you're getting the everything guide, stay on Amazon.com and
23:36
then type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:39
It's my new book. It comes out August 12th.
23:41
Cannot wait for you guys to check it out because I must say,
23:45
I'm very proud of my first book. But I feel like my first book,
23:48
you know, maybe I was like AI don't know a college freshman
23:50
when I wrote it. Obviously I wasn't I was much
23:53
many years out of college, but you know, now I feel like this
23:56
is my like PhD book with a lot more insights and information.
24:00
A lot of you know, experience, even more experience since I
24:03
wrote the first one. But if you want to check it out
24:05
again, if you want to pre-order a copy of the NFL sharp betting
24:08
playbook, you would make my day. And hey, when you bring the
24:11
everything guide in the sharp betting playbook to the sports
24:13
book, I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or truly or
24:17
ginger ale or some nachos and sweat some games together.
24:20
How's that sound? Sounds pretty good to me.
24:22
Also, if you haven't done it yet, you got to go download
24:25
Rhythm and Juice Reel. My two favorite sports betting
24:28
apps. Rhythm for their AI backed
24:30
models and predictions for game bets and player props.
24:32
They got WNBA live right now, NBAMLB.
24:36
They also just unveiled their power trends, which are amazing
24:39
because they're really looking at not just recommended AI
24:41
plays, but plays that fit a certain repeatable set of
24:45
conditions. And then of course, you got to
24:47
go download Juice Reel. Juice Reel has a lot of great
24:49
features. Here's the part of the pod I'm
24:51
going to pass the hat. If you enjoy the pod and you got
24:54
a $5.00 bill on you, I would love for you guys to sign up to
24:57
get the all systems go official best bet picks only on the Juice
25:00
Reel app. Again, this pods free.
25:02
If you feel like I'm giving you a dollar's worth of insights
25:05
each day, go sign up for those best bet picks.
25:07
You can always click the link. Then I tweet out each day at
25:11
Josh under Score Insights, kind of late afternoon.
25:14
And then you can always click the buy sell tab, bottom right
25:17
corner, search ASG under score podcast.
25:20
And you can get those plays exclusively and only on
25:23
Juicereel. And hopefully you'll beat some
25:25
closing lines because they usually put the plays in a
25:27
little bit earlier in the day, which is a little bonus for
25:30
those of you who follow them. Get the row with Jackson best
25:33
bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays.
25:36
Shop for the best line futures. Sync up your sports books.
25:39
Get a running report card of your action all available to you
25:42
when you downloaded Juice Reel. So download rhythm, download
25:45
Juice reel, give them a five star review in the App Store and
25:47
you'll be off and running making sharp data-driven plays.
25:50
Lastly, I mentioned earlier, but you got to have a live odds page
25:53
if you're betting on sports. I gave you the example of the
25:55
Jays today. Seen that big Steam light up the
25:58
board and in red on the odds logic live odds page.
26:01
But you got to be able to monitor the market.
26:03
You need to know all the games played that day.
26:05
You got to see the line movement, what it opened at
26:07
makes it very easy. The column that says opener
26:10
never changes. So it'll show you the opener and
26:12
then all the current lines to the right.
26:13
You can see immediately which direction the line is moved.
26:16
You can shop for the best line. You can see the board light up
26:18
and then take some action before before that number kind of
26:22
evaporates. And what I really love is not
26:25
only shopping for the best line and getting the line history,
26:27
but also getting access to all the big books like Pinnacle,
26:30
like Chris, like bet online, like Circa, because those are
26:33
usually the first ones that move and then you can take advantage
26:36
of those slow moving books. So if you want to give it a shot
26:39
steaming into the weekend again, I gave it to you before, but
26:42
make sure you go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 again,
26:47
odds logic.com/josh 1-2 three, 50% off your first month of
26:51
service and again, A7 day free trial.
26:54
So that about does it for episode 2626.
26:57
What am I saying 289? I was actually I have I'll tell
27:01
you this. I I record the pod on a platform
27:04
called Audacity and it was at the 26 minute mark.
27:07
So that's what I was getting confused by.
27:08
But this is episode 289, let's say in our first rodeo.
27:11
But as always, guys, wrapping it up, I'll leave you a couple
27:14
things. One, whether I see you at the
27:15
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
27:18
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
27:21
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park
27:24
Casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash in Nashville, New
27:27
Hampshire, and my neck of the woods.
27:29
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
27:32
down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
27:33
runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
27:36
Point. Or Sweat and sharp contrarian
27:38
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
27:40
When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
27:42
you're going to walk up to me, you know, show me a Rays ticket,
27:46
a Jays ticket, nice, nice, kind of easy winners there in the
27:49
end. And again, sports betting ain't
27:50
easy, but you got to really, you got to really embrace those
27:53
rocking chair hits. But whatever you do, don't show
27:55
me Mariners. They just absolutely imploded.
27:58
Who's the guy who came in? I forgot his name, who came in,
28:01
but that reliever got absolutely ripped up, ripped apart.
28:04
But either way, guys, I'll never complain about a 2IN1 winning
28:06
night plus 0.6 units. So as always, if we can
28:12
hopefully continue to grind, which I know there's ups and
28:15
downs, we just got to stick with it, stick to the model, stick to
28:17
the blueprint. Whether we're two and one, one
28:19
and two, three and OO and three. We never let a good day make us
28:23
arrogant or cocky and feel like we're invincible and double and
28:26
triple down. On the flip side, we have a bad
28:28
day. We don't let that, you know,
28:30
kill us. Analysis by paralysis and you
28:33
know, be scared to to, you know, make a bet because scared money
28:36
don't make no money. We just got to stick to it and
28:39
can keep grinding whenever as good as we think when we're hot
28:41
whenever as bad as we think when we're cold.
28:43
And if we can stay true to the model against the public with
28:46
the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that
28:49
closing line value. If we can do that, then we're
28:51
going to be successful sports betters long term.
28:54
So have a great Friday, everybody.
28:55
Have an even better weekend. Reminder, no pods on the
28:57
weekend, but you can follow the weekend MLB best bets from the
29:01
Juice Reel app. And you can also read my
29:03
breakdowns from visen.com for my Twitter page at Josh under score
29:07
insights. But have a great Friday, guys.
29:10
Enjoy your weekend and I'll see you back on Monday for episode
29:12
290 of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered by
29:17
rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
29:19
great Friday night.