Latest / Nate's Daily Wager / Nate's NFL Super Bowl Prop Bet Extravaganza 0210
Transcript
- 0:06Welcome to Nate's Daily Wager. I ain't picking winners, but I
- 0:10am making wagers. Time to put my money where my
- 0:13mouth is. This is Nate's Daily Wager for
- 0:26February 10th, 2024, and well, that didn't go anywhere like I
- 0:32hoped last night. Although that's mainly because I
- 0:35forgot that the Nuggets were coming off back to backs and,
- 0:38well, all right, and so. But we got to put that aside.
- 0:44Forget about that. Because today, today is Nate's
- 0:48Daily Wager Super Bowl prop extravaganza.
- 0:51Cavalcade of awesomeness. All right, so I got some 5 props
- 0:58here. Cousin Video come up at the end
- 1:00or after me. He'll give you some props that
- 1:03he's got. I got a couple Flyers too that
- 1:06aren't official, but here we go. All right, right out the gate.
- 1:10Can't be a real DJ and call yourself a DJ.
- 1:12And if you don't bet on the coin flip, we're going tails because
- 1:17tails never fails. Boom.
- 1:20Now look at that. You can get that as as pretty
- 1:22much even money if you shop around properly.
- 1:25So look at that next one. We got lead change in the fourth
- 1:31quarter at plus 270. I think this is going to be a
- 1:35tight game. I think it's going to come down
- 1:36to the end. I think there's going to be a
- 1:39lead change in the fourth quarter.
- 1:40So might as well take that money.
- 1:42All right. Next, we got receiving yards by
- 1:46Kittle over 49 1/2. I think Kittle is going to be
- 1:51instrumental in this game. I think they're going to be
- 1:55really keying on the other weapons that they have, and
- 1:59Kittle's going to find himself open on that seam a whole lot.
- 2:02So that's a straight 1 -, 110 next, both teams to complete
- 2:09their first pass. I mean, that's what these two
- 2:12teams do, right? They set their quarterbacks up
- 2:14for a nice, easy throw first thing right out the gate.
- 2:18We're taking that, and that's at a + 110.
- 2:20I like we're getting plus money on something that I think is
- 2:22pretty much money in the bag. All right, next we got total
- 2:30number of players to attempt a pass.
- 2:32It's sitting at 2 1/2. I like the over.
- 2:36Let me tell you why. Obviously, you got pretty.
- 2:39You got Mahomes. They're going to throw a pass.
- 2:41So now the question is, is somebody else going to attempt a
- 2:44pass? Look, this is the Super Bowl.
- 2:46This is where you empty the playbook.
- 2:48At some point, they're going to need to do some misdirection.
- 2:52They're going to try something crazy, maybe a muff punt or a
- 2:57snap somewhere and somebody ends up with the ball and tries to
- 2:59throw it and you know it's plus 1:30.
- 3:02So I just think at some point there's going to be a third
- 3:05person that tries may not be successful, but we don't need
- 3:09them to be successful, We just need them to try.
- 3:12So our five main our tails lead change in the fourth quarter
- 3:17over 49 1/2 receiving yards by kittle both teams to complete
- 3:21their first passes and total number of players to attempt to
- 3:25pass over 2 1/2. Now two Flyers for you.
- 3:29Will there be OT again? I think maybe plus 900.
- 3:33I like the flyer there. I think it's going to be close
- 3:35and use check to get himself ATD plus 1000.
- 3:40I like that as a flyer. I think he's perfect for this.
- 3:43So they're my pop bowl prop picks for the Super bowl.
- 3:48Cousin Vinny's got something for you.
- 3:50Tell him what you got, cuz we'll be back here tomorrow with our
- 3:55big game Super Bowl predictions. Do you see anything better than
- 4:00that? Pound it.
- 4:01That's my pick and I'm sticking to it.
- 4:02Vinny, give him what you got. You calls Vinny Super Bowl
- 4:15Saturday, Super Prop Edition Super Bowl 58, Here we go.
- 4:21This is one of my favorite segments of the year.
- 4:24Each year we roll out some prop bets on Saturday and you know, I
- 4:29have a lot of fun doing this. I like to pick a couple long
- 4:31shots. I like to pick a couple bets
- 4:33that are interesting. I like to pick a couple bets
- 4:36that are a sure thing that I really think are going to hit
- 4:39now this year. I'm following a little bit
- 4:41different of a pattern here and I'm actually going to go with
- 4:43the theme instead of just spreading it around on the game
- 4:46and different at different facets of the game.
- 4:49Now what I'm going to do this year is I am going to play into
- 4:55the whole Kansas City Chiefs, Travis Kelsey, the NFL wants
- 4:59them to win narrative, right? And I am going to sprinkle a
- 5:04little bit on five different Travis Kelsey bets.
- 5:09Not really, because I think there is a conspiracy theory at
- 5:11play here, but actually, I do think these are all good bets.
- 5:14And Travis Kelsey is basically the Kansas City Chiefs offense.
- 5:18And you know, honestly, I kind of want to see him have a good
- 5:21game. I do like Travis Kelsey and I
- 5:25personally do not mind the whole media circus around.
- 5:29The whole Taylor Swift thing I find entertaining.
- 5:32Why not? Let's add another component to
- 5:34the game. Let's give the fans something to
- 5:37look for and let's give some other fans who normally don't
- 5:39watch football something a reason to watch it for.
- 5:41Why not? So let's get in here.
- 5:44First bet that I have here, my Travis Kelsey extravaganza.
- 5:49It's Travis Kelsey getting the first reception of the game over
- 5:538 1/2 yards, right? So the first reception of the
- 5:56game is over under of 8 1/2. We're going to go with the over.
- 6:01It's just short of even money. It's -110, but that's a pretty
- 6:05safe one for Travis Kelsey. You know, I like the odds on
- 6:09that one. Not much to go into there.
- 6:11The second one we're going to ramp it up little by little is
- 6:15Travis Kelsey, first half touchdown plus 210.
- 6:21Now the Kansas City Chiefs throughout the season have been
- 6:24a first half team and even last week in the playoffs against the
- 6:27Ravens, they had a big offense output in the first half and
- 6:31they kind of just held on for the rest of the game.
- 6:33So if Travis Kelsey is going to score a touchdown, I like the
- 6:37odds of it being in the first half.
- 6:39So first half TD plus 210, but on top of that it might be the
- 6:46first TD for the Chiefs all together.
- 6:49So the odds of Travis Kelsey scoring the first TD for KFC is
- 6:54sitting at 313 to 1:00. I'm going to hop on that because
- 6:58I think you can get a good little pay out there.
- 7:00Just a 1-2 punch in the first half.
- 7:03He scores the first touchdown in the first half for his team.
- 7:08Boom, you're you're up. Plus you're up +400 right off
- 7:11the bat. So we're going to keep doubling
- 7:15down on Travis Kelsey and we're going to put in for a long shot.
- 7:19Bet him to score not only in the first half, but again in the
- 7:24second-half. He did it last week who say you
- 7:27can't do it again. Plus 1000 here.
- 7:31Long shot bet. Not completely out of the
- 7:34question. Casey could get off to a hot
- 7:37start, loose lead to the 49ers and then Travis Kelsey has to
- 7:41come back in a fourth quarter drive and be the savior for
- 7:44Patty Mahomes on a 2 minute drill drive.
- 7:47Wouldn't shock me. You hit on that 1 + 1000.
- 7:52Now these things come together. Travis Kelsey plays the game of
- 7:57his life. We've seen Taylor Swift a half
- 7:59dozen times. By the end of the game, chances
- 8:02are if the Kansas City Chiefs are going to win the game and if
- 8:06the Kansas City Chiefs are going to win the game, there's only
- 8:09one or two people who are going to get MVP of that game, Patrick
- 8:12Mahomes or Travis Kelsey. So at plus 1600 or 16 to 1 is
- 8:19what Travis Kelsey's MVP odds are.
- 8:22So I say let's just go for broke on the Travis Kelsey
- 8:26extravaganza and go for the MVP at 16 to 1.
- 8:31So with these five prop bets here, if you were to sprinkle
- 8:36theoretically 100 on each of these prop bets and they were to
- 8:40hit, you'd be in for a cool $3000 payout, right?
- 8:45So do yourself a favor, let's make it fun.
- 8:48Rude for Travis Kelsey, rude for the Chiefs.
- 8:52I'm not going to tell you rude for the Chief, but you could
- 8:54rude for Travis Kelsey, especially if you have money on.
- 8:56SO Cousin Vinnie, go with a little bit of a different play
- 9:00for the Super Bowl. The prop bets, going with the
- 9:02theme prop bet and let's see if it plays out.
- 9:06And let's see if the Chiefs do end up winning the Super Bowl.
- 9:09And for a good measure, I'm going to go with heads on the
- 9:13coin toss. We'll see what Nate has to say
- 9:15and until tomorrow when I come back with my Super Bowl pick,
- 9:21This is Cousin Vinnie. We use Super Bowl prop bet
- 9:23extravaganza. Kelsey edition 2024.
- 9:38Don't forget to rate, review, subscribe, follow on Spotify,
- 9:42iTunes, or your favorite podcast application, and check out the
- 9:45show notes for some other great podcasts.
- 9:48Whether you're looking for general sports discussion,
- 9:50something team specific, or good old wrestling, you're sure to
- 9:53find something you'll love. Check them out and I'll see you
- 9:56tomorrow with another wager.