Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Do the Opposite | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/25/26

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Saturday BEST BETS | Do the Opposite | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/25/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: What to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all all
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: in four that.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: Man's back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: doing this, I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: The slump yesterdays, the slump discontinus, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 4: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 4: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: It is Saturday, April twenty fifth, Big day on the show.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Yesterday three and oh. Although I will say I didn't
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: realize that the Celtics number actually went off at nine
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: and a half, So dude, the number matters, man.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: I got it at seven. I actually bet it.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: I won money, you know, personally yesterday because I bet
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: the NBA plays so but all three plays won yesterday
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: should have been them all but yes, Celtics seven and
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: a half both hit. But if you got one of
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: the larger numbers, you either pushed or lost. So the
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: number moves, man. You got to get the best number
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: that you can some of these, some of these situations,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: seven is kind of a key number in basketball. I
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: thought the Celtics would win by more than they did.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I did not think the game would be as close
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: as it was, and you know, we got a little
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: bit lucky on that. Jason Tatum hit kind of a
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: ridiculous three to push the league to six in the
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: final minute there, and then Celtics won on I believe
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: some intentional foul shots there at the end and had
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: to avoid Philadelphia scoring again at the end. I'm happy
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: about it though. We got the win there. We had
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: the win in baseball early as well. Paul Skeins did
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the heavy lifting in that one, is he. I think
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: he had like a six inning shutout in that game.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: He didn't allow any runs. Milwaukee didn't even score in
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: the entire game, so the full game also went under
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: a little bit shakier, I guess on the Woodrofe side,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh did have three runs against him in the first
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: five innings, one in each of the last three innings
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: of that, I think, but it was good enough to
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: hit the under three and a half. That three and
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: a half it is, you know, it's a slim margin there,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: but we got it done. And San Antonio wasn't looking
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: good for like half of that game. They really turned
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: it on. They had an excellent third quarter. I think
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: they just absolutely demolished Portland when it mattered later in
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the game, and then did not let up at the
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: end without Wemby. So Wemby didn't play and the line
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: actually went down to two or one and a half.
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: So I'm sitting on the two and a half ticket.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, that's not great, but I still thought
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: two and a half was a decent value there, and
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: luckily it wound up not mattering. If you played San
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Antonio at all, you won that bat so then won
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: by double digit. All right, we move on, move on
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: to today. Oh yeah, let's put up that ticker because
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: now we're thirty seven to fifteen and four in the
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: last three weeks.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: Now, so there you go.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: It's seventy one percent win percentage. It's totally unsustainable, but
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: we're doing well. I'm gonna give out four plays on
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: the show today. I'm skipping hockey again. Hockey, dude, I
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: don't know, like I'm looking for these big time zigzag spots,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: not totally seeing it here in hockey. So we're gonna
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: wait on the hockey. Well, we'll have some more plays eventually.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: We will have two NBA plays today and one is
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be a total Uh yeah, I don't do that
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: very often, but I will and I'm gonna give out
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: two moneyline major League Baseball plays that are slightly juicy maybe,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: but you know, if you want to run line them,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: you could do that as well.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: But that's what I'm gonna do here.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Three and Ohero Charles. Yes, the Magic they're they're playing today?
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: Uh huh, yes, correct, All right, let's get into this
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: baseball board here. I'm gonna try to run through this.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know how I could do it faster than
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: I usually do, man, because I have to hit like
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: all the different parts of the analysis. My atrocious Boston
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Red Sox at the Baltimore Orioles. Orioles won whatever it was,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: ten to three yesterday. Brian Bao should be kicked out
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: of baseball. I'm done with this Red Sox team. Man,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: I can't root for this team. It's absolutely ridiculous. I've
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: already talked about it too much, but this does look
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: like it should be a bounce back spot for them
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: after an embarrassing loss. They got their ace on the mound.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I know he's been pitching poorly, but he can't possibly
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: be this bad unless there's actually something wrong with them.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: As far as the bullpens. Red Sox used two relief
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday. Baltimore used three, but they only used Cano
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: for three pitches, So bullpens are a little bit of
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: a wash. Both bullpens are actually decent or Baltimore's has
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: been actually good. Red Sox pretty good as well. So
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: as I say, the only good thing about the Red
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Sox is the bullpen, and even they're getting a lot
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: of complaints too. But really, yesterday it was Bao was
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: He was the entire reason they lost yesterday. Red Sox
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: have had a well that in the offense. The Red
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: Sox have had an atrocious offense, second worst in baseball
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: right now to the New York Mets, although the Mets
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: have so too back. The Red Sox have not had
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: too many injuries except Roman Anthony's heart right now, and
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: I have no idea when he's coming back. Seems like
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: it's not even gonna matter. And Baltimore has had the
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: better offense over the Red Sox. But where are they at.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: They're at eighth, so yeah, Baltimore, you got to give
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: him an offensive edge. Their offense may be held down
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: a bit because they are going up against Crochet, like
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I said, but he's got a seven point eight eight
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: ERAM one point six y three whip. I mean, this
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: guy is one of the top pitchers in baseball, dude,
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: So there's no way that these numbers can continue like that.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: They're obviously being skewed.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: A bit by that horrible performance against Minnesota, but he
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: has had a really, really bad month, except that his
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate is still there, so it looks like his
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: stuff is still there. His last outing, even though he
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: allowed five earned runs, he did get a little bit
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: unlucky in that one. He gave up two on the runs,
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: had eight strikeouts two walks, which is more what you
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: would expect out of him against a decent Detroit lineup.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: To me, I think he's gonna come back around. I mean,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: he's way too good not to thirty strikeouts nine walks
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: in twenty four innings this year thirty hits.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: That's bad, but he's usually nowhere near this.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Hittable numbers against the Orioles are pretty good, and thirty
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: three at bats fifteen to two strikeout walk ratio one
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: to eighty two batting average allowed six fifty three ops.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: Because there were a couple of home runs in there
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: from O'Neill and Rushman O'Neill. I believe was on the
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Red Sox for a little while. Yeah, him, Tyler O'Neill,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: We want him back. Man, better days for the Red Sox.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: That guy, he's jacked, dude. I like his power hitting.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: This is the first year in the last like six
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: years or something where he didn't hit a home run
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: on opening Day.
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: But whatever.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Trevor Rodgers is picual for Baltimore. He's been good pretty
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: much since they got him last year. This year he's
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: been a little bit more, a little bit more questionable.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Four point eight r definitely higher than what we saw
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: out of him last year. One point three to three
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: whip is definitely concerning though that's a little bit high.
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: His last couple of outings have been pretty bad. He
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: gave up niner and runs and nine and two thirds innings.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: Baltimore lost both games. He took a loss in both games,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: but he still had eleven strikeouts in three walks. So
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say he's exactly been that bad, but
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: he's been too hittable, kind of like Crochet. More than
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: one hit ale out per inning, twenty five to eight
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: strike at walk ratio, that's fine. In twenty eight and
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: two thirds. He's still a pretty decent pitcher based on
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: what we saw last year. Last year he was actually
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: Baltimore's best starter once they got him in the rotation.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: He came from out of nowhere.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if maybe that was
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit fluky. Numbers against the Red Sox are good.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: In thirty nine at bats, ten strikeouts, two walks, two
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: thirty one average five point fifty ops. You know, based
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: on the fact that these pitchers, their numbers don't really.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: Look as good as what I think they actually are,
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: An under is definitely worth considering in this game. It's
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: already down from eight and a half juice to the
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: over to seven and a half juice to the under,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: though I would try to get the seven and a
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: half go under. That seventy four percent of tickets and
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: On the over.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: The bullpens are both decent, and they're not really used
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: much after yesterday, so I think an undermakes sense here.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Yesterday's game went way over just because of Bao getting
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: absolutely blown up. I don't think that is gonna be
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: what we see in this game, and we know the
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have not been able to do anything on offense.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: The money is indicating towards the Red Sox as well.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Baltimore down for might just won twenty five who might
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: just want thirteen sixty seven percent of the tickets fifty
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash so them. Money is indicating
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: on the Red Sox. Baltimore is a public side with
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them. It's not often you
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: get crochets and underdog man, so maybe you're getting some
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: value there as well. I'm not going to disagree with
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox side. I mean, I know I'm biased.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: I'm biased against the Red Sox though, because I'm a
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: fan and I hate what is going on with this team.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: Absolute disaster. They got to fire everyone, dude. The board
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: has to kick John Henry out sell the team, get
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: rid of all of the managers and coaches. Do not
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: get rid of Jaron Duran. That's what I'll say about
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: this shit. The fundamentals are awful, dude. They're awful yet
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: again last night horrible based running from the Red Sox,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: and that's a coaching thing. It is like, this is
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: fundamental shit and has nothing to do with the talent
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: on the roster whatever, man. But yes, usually you're not
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: gonna get Crochet as an underdog man, So it might
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: be one of the better situations to grab the Red
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Sox because again, their ace is on the mound. There
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: appears to be nothing wrong with him, I guess, and
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: he's getting discounted.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: Just because he looks so bad the last couple of starts.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: So that would be my opinion there, but I probably
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: prefer the under there, all right, what marching into the office?
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Why you mean when George pretends like he got hired
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: by that company. I don't know. Seattle at Saint Louis.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be one of my plays. This is
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: really just entirely based on the matchup. I don't know.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I'm going with two matchup plays today, and I think
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: we're getting a little bit discounted on the price on
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: this one. The other one maybe not so much. But
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: we're gonna have Seattle on the money line here. I
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: know they won yesterday. It was a close game. They
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: actually got out hit by Saint Louis. But Saint Louis
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: is a bad team, dude, Like I think Seattle has
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: an advantage everywhere here except the fact that they're two
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: and eight on the road.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: But they won yesterday.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: But again, you're looking at these overall records, Saint Louis
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: has the better overall record.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: Well, then why Seattle favored on the road, right?
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: It's because Seattle is the better team and they have
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: the better starting pitcher on the mound here. I think
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Seattle has the better bullpen as well. They used four
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday. You know they did use send your
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Smoke and Bizardo, who are two of their better pictures here.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: But I'm still okay with rolling with it because Saint
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Louis's bullpen used three guys and they're also not a
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. Like I said, I'm looking at hitting whoops Seattle.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen hasn't been as good as you would think,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: but they're in the middle of the pack right now.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Their ERA is fine.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: They're definitely better than Saint Louis's bullpen, who are sitting
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: with an almost five ERA and in the bottom third
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: batting wise. Both teams have not done well offensively so far.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: This is a more pitcher friendly park. Both these teams
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: playing pitcher friendly parks. Seattle, I think their offense has
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: more upside though. They just have more talent in this offense,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: even though they've been slightly below Saint Louis. I think
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Seattle might actually be a little bit better on the
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: hitting side as well. But they got Brian wu on
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the mound man. We're gonna back him here. He's excellent.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know why he continues to go under the
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: radar like he's clearly Seattle's best pitcher, even though they
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: have a pretty good starting rotation in general.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: Two point two five ERA point eighty eight whip.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Usually he is a little bit worse on the road,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: but he's been fine either way this year, and this
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: is a pitcher friendly park. He's facing a lineup that's
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: not particularly good at all. He's got a twenty six
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: to six strikeout walk ratio in thirty two innings, twenty
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: two hits allowed. Not a huge strikeout guy, but even so,
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: he doesn't walk a lot of guys at all.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: He doesn't allow a lot of hits.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every outing,
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: and he's allowed two or fewer in all but one.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: He's dude, He's Seattle's ace. I don't know why they
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: have him as there like third pitcher in the redtation.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: His numbers against Saint Louis are also good, even though
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: they're limited sixteen at bats. He's a lot of home
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: run to Burlison, but that's the only extra base hit.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Eight strikeouts, no walks, one twenty five average allowed, four
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: thirty eight ops.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: So I do expect Wu to continue to pitch well here.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: He's going up against the much inferior Matthew Libertaire, who
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: people might think he's not bad because he has a
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: three point sixty seven ERA.
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: I would say that is not correct.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: He has a one point four to one whip, which
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: is definitely too high. You can't keep putting guys on
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: base like this. You look at his strikeout walk ratio
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: sixteen to ten. That's not gonna cut it. He's walked
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: multiple guys in all but one outing this year. I
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: know he did well against Houston in his last outing,
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: held him to won ear and run, but he was
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: very shaky in the two prior starts. He's allowed more
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: than one hit per inning. You don't think he's a
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: trustworthy pitcher. Against Seattle, he does not have good numbers,
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: although it's twenty seven at bats. I know it's not
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: a big sample, but they do have a couple of
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: bombs off of him a Rosarina and Naylor one strikeout,
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: four walks against some bad ratio there, three thirty three
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: average allowed, one thirty six ozh ps.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go with Seattle.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: I know Seattle did win yesterday, but sometimes the better
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: team wins out. Man, and the money's agreeing with me.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: They're up to a minus one forty two favorite here.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: I would say, get whatever the best number you can
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: is on this. I mean, if you really want to
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: go to like a minus one run line, I guess
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: you could do that, but the total seven and a half,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: so it's probably gonna be low scoring. But I think
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Seattle is the better team, and they're under the radar
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: a bit right now because their record is bad. We're
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: gonna go with it. Saint Louis. I don't buy Saint
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: Louis's record at all. I think they're one of the
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: worst teams in baseball. Uh sixty eight percent of tickets,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on Seattle. This is
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: like a gap year for Saint Louis. And I know
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: as you say that, and the team exceeds expectations. But
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: come on, man, Seattle's supposed to be one of the
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: players in the American League this year. I don't see
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: why they wouldn't be because their team is very similar
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: to last year.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: Let's go with it, Seattle.
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: Money line is my recommendation there, even though, yeah, you
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: do have to pay a little bit of.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: Juice on that. But that's where we're going with that.
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, that's right.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, George Steinbrenner, Yeah, Kyle, what's up the two George's
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: yeah Steinbrenner voiced by Larry David in the Seinfeld Show.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: Yes, Yeah, that's right.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: George confronts him, and Steinbrenner likes that he confronted him.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: Hire this man.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. I do remember that. That's how he
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: gets the job at the Yankees. A good era in
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Seinfeld with George working for the Yankees, Cleveland and Toronto. Dude,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: we got to get through this man. Sixteen minutes and
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: I've only done two games. I know, I did an
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: intro and whatever Cleveland did win yesterday, it looks like
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers might have struggled a little bit yesterday.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I did lean Cleveland yesterday a little bit. They did
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: get the win eight.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: To six, very high scoring game yesterday.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: Possible that Toronto does bounce back now because that was
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot for them. They were returning
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: home from the Pacific Coast. You know, I mentioned that yesterday.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: They were in one of the worst return home spots. Yesterday.
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: Some of those teams didn't lose, but Toronto did a
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: lot of times. When that happens, the team will bounce
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: back now they're back at home. Whatever they have to
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: do at home, they push it out of the way,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: focus on baseball. Maybe Toronto will be able to do
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: that here. Toronto used a lot of relief pitchers yesterday,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: though they used five. That's not a great sign, and
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: they're not really an excellent bullpen either.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's bullpen has not been that.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: Good this year either. They're a little bit more rested
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: after using three relief pitchers. But I believe they did
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: use their closer. I'm not sure who they're using, as
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: they're closer right now. I don't know. It might be Goddess.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure, but somebody can let let me know.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't totally pay attention to some of
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the personnel here. But Cleveland's bullpen, I mean their tenth
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: in bullpen whip, which is pretty good, but their ERA
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: is way higher than all the teams around them except
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers. I guess four point seven to one not
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: totally a trustworthy bullpen, but I do think they're probably
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: better than Toronto. Toronto's has definitely been struggling. We're looking
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: at two questionable bullpens in this game. Let's say haven't
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: totally been able to figure out these bullpens, and both
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: teams haven't been hitting well, but Toronto's been dealing with
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: some injuries. I think Toronto's offense is probably better than Cleveland's,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: even though Cleveland has ranked slightly above them in ops.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Right now, Joey Cantillo is pitching for the Indians here.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: I'm still calling them that three point two ERA this
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: year pretty good. One point three whip not as good.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: He's definitely to walk, hey, to walk heavy man. He's
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: walked multiple guys in every outing. Can't really keep doing that.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: He does have thirty strikeouts and twenty five third inning,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: so his strikeout stuff is good. Still, twelve walks, that's
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: definitely too many walks. He's keeping himself in there because
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: he's allowed fewer than one hit per inning, which is
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: pretty good. So yeah, I mean he's not a very
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: hitable pitcher, good strikeout stuff. If he can get his
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: wildness under control, he could definitely.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: Go up to that next level.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Man hasn't really happened, but he's been decent at the
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: very least numbers against Toronto. They don't have much experience
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: against them. They have twelve at bats, three hitters of
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: face and before they're three for twelve, no extra base hits,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: four strikeouts, no walks. That is a two point fifty
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: average and five hundred oh ps for people keeping count.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: Kittio might actually do well here.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: And you know I talk about when pitcher isn't that
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: familiar to the opposing lineup, maybe the lineup will struggle
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit against him. But he's going up against
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: Kevin Gaussman, who has been Toronto's best starter. I mean,
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: he's been very ace like this year two point five
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: four ERA point nine to five whip. Even though he's
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: in his mid thirties, he's pitching really well. Thirty five
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: to six strike out walk ratio, twenty one hits allowed
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: in twenty eight and a third innings. Nothing you could
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: really knock here. In these numbers, Man he's allowed more
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: than touring runs only once on the road against Milwaukee,
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: who usually have a pretty good offense. Yeah, I mean
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: Goussman is definitely doing well here. His numbers against Cleveland
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: are also pretty good, I would say really good. In
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: ninety two at bets, twenty five to three strike out
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, one ninety six average allowed and five four ops.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: I would not really want to go against Gousman here.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: It does look like a bounce back spot for Toronto.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Cantillo might be able to do okay here, but the
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: money is coming into Toronto. I don't really disagree with it,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: it being, you know, a bounce back spot for them.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: If you want to leave their bullpen in the equation,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: they're at least more rested, and neither bullpen has been
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: that great. Eighty percent of tickets ninety seven percent of
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on Toronto, I.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: Probably agree with it.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't really disagree with the first five under in
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: this one either. Fifty nine percent of tickets on the
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: over seventy nine percent of the cash on the under.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with the bullpens as
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: far as an under though total is very I mean
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: it's pretty low.
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: It's seven and a half.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: But I could see this being a pitching game early
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: on potentially, so first five under makes some sense to me.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Probably prefer Toronto money line that's on
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one. But I don't want. I don't want
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: the game though, chief wa who had That's just the
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: typical Indians hat. I think I have two of them
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: somewhere at home of the Yeah, I don't know. Maybe
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: my dad has been wearing them. I have no idea. Josh,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out everybody. Miami at
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. San Francisco was.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: In kind of a bad spot yesterday.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: As I said, they did lose pretty badly nine to
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: four to Miami. San Francisco is coming up that huge
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: series against the Dodge. Miami. I think might have had
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: a rest advantage yesterday too. I think they had the
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: day before that off, so Miami definitely had some advantages
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think I stayed. I mean, obviously,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna stay off of it and I like
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: the situation, it's definitely because the matchup doesn't totally line
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: up with it.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm being too selective.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but Miami, I believe, had a day
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: off and they were coming in off of beating Saint Louis,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: which is whatever. Maybe San Francisco is gonna be kind
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: of in a bounce back mode here though. Bullpen wise,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: San Francisco used three relief pitchers yesterday, and both these
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: bullpens have actually been pretty good this year. Miami used two.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is not really a surprise. They were a
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: good bullpen last year, their top ten right now again
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: this year, Miami is in the top three right now.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: I think probably San Francisco's is a little bit better,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit less rested here, but both bullpens I
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: would say, you could, you know, you could probably bank
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: on them in this game if you wanted to, depending
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: on what bets are making here. Miami is sixth in offense,
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: which is very surprising. San Francisco bottom three. Miami definitely
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: does have the better offense. I don't know if it's
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: that extreme, but we'll give them the better offense. Yuri
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Perez is pitching from Miami. I like him, and he's
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: still really young. I I think he's had multiple Tommy
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: John surgeries already, which is insane. He's got really good
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: strikeout stuff. He's really tall, has a really weird wind
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: up that makes his pitches hard to pick up. His
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: problem is usually he gets too wild. He's got a
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: four point one to five ERA, which isn't too bad.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: One point three to five whip is not exactly great. Again,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: it's the walks though. He's got twenty seven strikeouts, twelve
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: walks in twenty six innings, and twenty three hits allowed.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: Other than the walks and the four home runs allowed,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: we're looking at some pretty good numbers from him here.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: He hasn't allowed more than four earned runs in any outing.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: That was against the Yankees in a game where he
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: was way too wild. He hasn't allowed any home runs
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: in his last two outings besides the Yankees game. He's
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: allowed or three or fewer earned runs in every outing
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: in Miami has in fact won every one of his
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: starts except the Yankees one, so Miami does win behind him.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: He generally keeps them in games at the very least,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: or does better than that. San Francisco only has four
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: hitters who have seen him before eight at bats, so
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: he's pretty unfamiliar to them. They are three for eight
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: with a double from Chapman. Three seventy five average, eight
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: seventy five ops, one strikeout, no walks. But I'm not
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: gonna put much weight into those numbers. It's such a
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: small sample size. I think Perez could definitely pitch well here.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: We're gonna pitcher from the environment too, and he's still
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: pretty unfamiliar to those guys.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: He's going up.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Against Robbie Ray, who is having a good early part
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: of the season again for the Giants. Two point eight
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: six ERA, one point zero nine WHIP. He's allowed three
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in every outing, thirty one to
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeout walk ratio. Still, the walks, I don't know,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: are kind of questionable. But twenty hits allowed in twenty
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: eight and the third innings, that's really good. He's not
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: been hittable. Five home runs allowed is a bit too many. Generally,
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good, except he did hit kind of
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: about where he was walking way too many people, but
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: kind of cleaned that up in his last out, and
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: he gave it three and runs against Washington, but had
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: seven strikeouts one walk. That's not a bad start. Six innings,
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: seven hits a loud. That's a quality outing against a
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Washington team that has been hitting pretty well. I think
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: Ray will probably do well in this game. His numbers
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: against Miami are good. It's a very small seventeen at
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: bat sample size, but nine strikeouts, one walk, no extra
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: base hits allowed, one eighteen average, two eighty four ops allowed. Obviously,
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: you know we can't put that much weight into that,
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: but he's been really good in that limited sample size
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: against them. I think Ray probably does have a little
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: bit of the upper hand here. But the public is
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: hitting San Francisco percent the tickets, sixty one percent of
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Money would be indicating to say,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: would be indicating towards Miami. Here, market Reid says Miami
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: San Francisco down for minus one thirty five to minus
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: won twelve. I think my preference instead of that would
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: be the under. Again, though, I think you could see
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: both pitchers du well here. The bullpens are both pretty good.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Bullpen rest is not a huge issue in this one.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: It's a pitcher friendly ballpark. Seven and a half is
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the total there. I think that's and you know, that's
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: an appropriate total for this game with this matchup, seventy
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets, seventy six percent of the cash
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: on the over. But yeah, I think my preference would
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: be to go under in that game rather than try
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: to figure out the side. But I kind of lean
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: San Francisco slightly in that one. But the money really
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: does not like it, so I don't like it. Colorado
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: and Mets, Uh, they got rained out, so we're not
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: gonna have anything to handicap there. It might wind up
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: being the same pitching matchup tomorrow is supposed to be
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: King versus saying Gun. They've both been struggling, man, So
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: I was going to recommend potentially an over in that game.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: It wasn't gonna be a play for me or anything.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: But we got to rain out there, so we're probably
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: gonna have to handicap a double header tomorrow, but we'll
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: leave that for then. Minnesota at Tampa Bay. By the way,
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I will say it is hilarious. And the Mets lost
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: again yesterday after they got on a winning streak. Oh yeah,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: let's get we'll stay at home and we'll lose to
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: the Colorado Rockies. Yeah, all right, very very met Like
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: thing to do. The Mets were like a minus two
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: twenty favorite and they just lose. Yeah, all right, Minnesota
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. This game isn't gonna get rained out
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: because they're in a dome. Tampa Bay back in the
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: trop this year. Tampa Bay won yesterday six to two.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: In the series. Tampa Bay used three relief pitchers, Minnesota
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: used two. Not a lot of usage there. But both
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: bull beens have been bad this year. Uh, Tampa Bay,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: they moved up a little bit. They're twenty first now
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: in WHIP, but they're ERA in the mid fives, pretty bad.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is fourth worst and WHIP their ERA is somehow
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: below five. But we're looking at bullpens that I don't
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: think are trustworthy at all right now. These teams offenses
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: have been okay, they're kind of middle of the pack
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: right now. Tampa Bay is actually twelfth, Minnesota fourteenth. A
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: lot of unexpectedness there because I expected Minnesota to be
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: bad in the bullpen, expected both these offenses to not
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: be that good, and I expected Tampa's bullpend to be good.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: So that's not been really what we're seeing so far.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: We have two bad bullpens, two mediocre offenses. Basically here
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: starting pitching Bailey OBErs pitching for Minnesota, and dude, he's
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: he's skitso man, because like he'll have numbers around, Like
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: I really like this Ober guy. I like that he's
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: a six foot nine, you know, menace on the mound.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: But like he'll have really good command numbers. Then he'll
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: have a stretcher he's just one of the worst pitchers
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: in baseball. Then he'll start pitching well again. And I'm like,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: how do I handicap this guy? I have no idea.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: His numbers overall this year are pretty good. Four point
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: one five ERA, one point two to three WHIP. He's
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: pitched well this year. He's a lot more than three
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: and runs only once, which is a four run outing
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox where he got the win. Anyway,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: because the Red Sox pitching. That was against Garrett Crochet.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not, that was that horrible Garrett Crochet game.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: I don't even know, man.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: But Ober overall twenty four to nine strike out walk ratio.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say that's great, but it's not horrible.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: Twenty three hits a lot in twenty six innings. Overall,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: his numbers are pretty good, but he is an extreme
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: fly ball pitcher. That's one thing you gotta worry about.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: He's only allot two of them runs so far, but
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: he does get into trouble with the with the long ball.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: I won't play the long ball drop again. But yeah,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: that's the thing with Ober against Tampa Bay forty five
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: at bats, twelve strikeouts, two walks to twenty two average
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: five eighty nine oh ps. So his numbers against Tampa Bay,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: they're definitely good. So Ober definitely could come in here
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: and pitchwell. He's going on against Shane McClanahan, who is
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: trying to bounce back from I believe being injured for
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: an entire season. I think he had Tommy John surgery.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: He's not that old. He's at twenty eight. He's twenty eight,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: and he was really good before the injuries. He hasn't
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: quite been able to make his way back from it yet,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: although obviously he has the potential to be really good again.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: He is not right now though. Five ERA one point
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: three to three whip. He's got eighteen strikeouts and eleven
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: walks in eighteen innings, thirteen hits allout so far. The
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: walks obviously are the main issue here, but he only
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: he didn't walk anybody in his last outing against Pittsburgh,
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: so might be trending in the right direction.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: But he was too hitable in that outing.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: He gave up eight hits, so to get on the
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: better side of both those things. But like I said,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: he can, it's just that he actually hasn't pitched his
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty three before this year, so he's still kind
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: of working his way back. I think he could potentially
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: be good again, like he was really good back in
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty three twenty twenty two for Tampa and then
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of forgot about him. We'll see if he
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: can get back to that numbers against Minnesota. They only
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: have three hitters who've ever seen him before. The only
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: extra base hit is a double from Josh Bell. They
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: only have ten at bats against him, five strikeouts, one walk,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: two hundred average five to seventy three ops. McClanahan could
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: definitely potentially do well here. Maybe we'll start seeing him
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: getting back to the glory days here. The money is
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: coming in pretty heavily on Tampa Bay. They're at minus
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: one thirty five, fifty seven percent of tickets, ninety seven
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I don't have a
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: good read on the side here. I think an under
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: first five innings makes sense here. I don't want anything
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: to do with the bullpens offbviously, but I could see
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers doing well here. The matchup numbers look okay.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, there are definitely question marks here about both
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: starters though, But the fact the money is coming in
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: on Tampa means the professional money does like McClanahan here,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: and they do think he's worthy, I guess, or maybe
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: they just really don't like Ober. I'm not sure which
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: one it might be. The advanced analytics guys really don't
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: like Ober. I know that, but we have a lot
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: of action on the over, or a lot of public action.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: It looks like ninety four percent of the tickets ninety
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash total did flip to eight
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: juice to the over, not the Bailey over Bailey Ober. Yeah,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: I would lean under first five in that game. That
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: might be my preferred approach in that game, but obviously
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good opinion on that game. Really. Yeah.
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: The Mets, I don't even know who they are at
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: this point.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: Man. Since their Pride Night fiasco last year, they've been
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: the worst team in baseball record wise, and then they
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: had lost every game since the Mamdani when he hugged
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: the when he hugged mister Met. They had lost every
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: game since then until recently. Until those two wins. Mets
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: are a joke. Yeah, well, the Red Sox are a joke.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: I thought the Mets would win the NL East this year, man,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: and I thought the Red Sox would be second in
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: the AL East and get into the playoffs as a
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: wild card.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: Man, it's ridiculous, dude.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Those teams are underperforming to their talent to a ridiculous degree.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Next game up as my last play this one. I
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I might be getting a little bit
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: worried about this one. If you want to go a
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: run line on this, you could do that too, but
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: you need the White Sox to actually be winning after
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: five innings here. I don't want to go full game
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: on this. I don't trust either bullpen here, but I
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: don't want to deal with the bullpens here. I'm focusing
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: on the starting pitching. I'm gonna go Chicago White Sox
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: first five money line at minus one forty five. I
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: know given out a couple of money lines that are
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: in the minus one forties.
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: So that's just the way this worked out.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: Man. If you want to go run line, like I said,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: minus a half run, is that like even money I
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: think at some of the books out there, so you
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: could do that, but then you actually need them to
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: be winning.
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: After five innings.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: If you go money line and the game is tied,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: you get your money back. So that is obviously why
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: you have to pay a higher price for that. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: like the starting pitching matchup obviously if I'm going first
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: five White Sox.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: Here White Sox. People don't like this White Sox.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Team, but you know, I think there they might be
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: one of the more improved teams. I mean, it's tough
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: to not improve when you're historically bad. Like I think
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: they were worse than the White than the Rockies last year.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: I think the White Sox are going to be more
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: improved than the Rockies. Yeah, this year, at the very least,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: it's looking like they might be so far. They did
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: win yesterday five to four, but they're up against a
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Washington team that I think stinks. So I think the
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: White Sox definitely could do this yere. I mean they
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: yesterday Washington on these two relief pitchers. Just you know,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: looking at the entire game handicap here.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: White Sox used four.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: You know they're a bad bullpen with more usage yesterday
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: because you know, they they didn't go over a bullpen game.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: They did what I told you they would do.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: Hudson opened for them yesterday. Then Eric Fetti pitched for
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: like three and a third innings or something. Then they
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: use the rest of their bullpen. I don't want anything
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: to do with this bullpen, so we're gonna take them
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: out of the equation here. Then they have Oswaldo Beido.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: I thought he was on a different team to start
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: the season. He's he's moving all over the place. He
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: was on the As last year, but I thought he
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: was somewhere besides the White Sox this year. I don't know.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to know anyway.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: White Sox have the worst bullpen in baseball whip wise.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with that. The Nationals
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: are also really bad, though they're bottom five. Both these
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: bullpens are bottom five, But we'll take them out of
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: this equation completely for this. As far as the offense is,
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: the White Soxs are to seventeenth in offense, they've been
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: actually hitting the ball decently. You know, they started out
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: bottom of the pack, and now they're actually doing all right.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: They might be able to continue hitting against Washington as well.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Washington has been good offensively, though they are the better
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: offense here. That is an advantage to Washington here, but
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: I like pitching over offense, and Washington is sending Jake
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: irvinto the mound. And by the way, yes, Washington did
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: mikol Us after an opener. They had pool and open
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: yesterday and then Mikolas did pitch after that. The game
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: didn't go over by the way, it landed on nine,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: So if you had played the over, I had recommended
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: over nine at minus one twenty, so that would have
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: pushed if you did that. Of course, it did not
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: go over the nine and a half though. The pitching
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: didn't get blown up as much as I thought it would.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: All though was still I mean it was I think
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: it was a five to four final. I don't know.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: You definitely could have seen more runs in that game.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Like I looked at the pitching lines and those pitchers
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: didn't do that well.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: But yeah, so Jake.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: Irvin is starting for Washington here. He's been pretty bad
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: six era one point two to nine whip isn't that bad,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: indicates his era probably should be. Like in the fours.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: You know, he's had only one really bad outing against
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, and other than that, he's allowed three earned
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: runs or fewer in exactly five innings in each of
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: his other outings. I still don't really think he's that
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: trustworthy though. He's got twenty five strikeouts in twenty four innings.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: That's good.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Eleven walks is definitely too many walks, sothough he walked
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: nobody in his last outing against Atlanta still lost the game.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: He's given up fewer than one hit per innings.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: So give him credit for that.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: He's allowed four home runs, which isn't that good all
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: though two of them were at Chicago the Cobs in
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: a Wrigley game that might have been one of those
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: win blowing out games. I'm not sure, you know, I
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: don't know. But against the White Sox, his numbers, it's
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: a small sample twenty eight, but the White Sox have
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: been able to hit him surprisingly, maybe not surprisingly because
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Irvin's not that good. But this White Sox lineup isn't
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: really that good. Three strikeouts, one walk, three hundred batting
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: average nine eighty three ops. So I do think Irvin
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: is fatable here and he's going up against Noah Schultz.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: It's a risk.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: I know it's a risk because this guy is a rookie.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: But I like this dude. I like no Schultz. You know,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: he's a six' ten lefty on the. Mountain, like, dude
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: he's He's Randy johnson. Man ALTHOUGH i Know Randy. Johnson
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: it actually Took Randy johnson a while to actually get
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: going in the. Majors LIKE i, guess when you're this,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: tall LIKE i don't, know you have to work on
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: your mechanics. MORE i don't know what the deal, Is but,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: dude he's been good so far in two, starts three
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: point eight SIX era point nine to six. Whip his
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: first start was a little. Shaky, yeah he walked four.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: GUYS i think we might have lost to play on that.
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: GAME i can't, remember but, YEAH i THINK i had
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: white sox in that game and we did not get
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: that right as an underdog.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: NOW i know that the favorite.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Here but what he did in his last, start he
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: went into The a's stadium and they're a hitter friendly.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: Ballpark you know, that and that offense isn't really that.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: Bad and he went five, innings six, strikeouts one, walk
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: and held him to one, hit, which, yes it was
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: a home, run but still it's a home. Run could
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: do some.
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: BALLPARK i like what we're seeing. HERE i like this.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: Trend he looks to be trending in the right. DIRECTION i,
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: mean we don't exactly need him to be this good
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: in this. Game and going first five innings is ALSO
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: i think advantageous here because they might have him on
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a short. Leash but they let
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: him go five innings in another, game so they might
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: let him go exactly five, again you know WHAT i,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Mean so going exactly five innings will ignore the. Bullpens
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: Hopefully schultz will be in there for all five.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Innings but he's, good.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Dude LIKE i told you WHEN i handicapped his first,
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: START i looked at his minor league. Numbers he was
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: pitching well In TRIPLE a this. Year that's they brought him.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: Up he's one of their top pitching. Prospects he's got
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: a decent pitch. MIX i think he has like a
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: four or five pitch, arsenal which is good at the
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: major league, level pretty hard.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: Fastball he's got some good moving.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: STUFF i think he has like a sinker that's just
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: like really really, Disgusting like the sinker just like the
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: bottom just falls out of that thing and he throws
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: it at ninety six or something like.
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: That he's got some nasty, stuff.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: Dude and a lefty at that height also could be
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: pretty difficult for hitters to pick.
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: Up so let's do. It and obviously he has never
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: been seen before by.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: Who is he. FACING i don't even Remember, washington so
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: that should be an advantage to. Him, again these young
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: talented pitchers when they're unknown to the opposing, hitters opposing
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: hitters have to take a little while to figure him.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Out so, yeah we're gonna do. It White sox first
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: five money. Line the money seems to be backing This
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: White socks a re minus one thirty four on the.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Game the price is cheaper on the full. GAME i,
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: mean if you wanted.
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: To do it that, way you, COULD i.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: GUESS i, Mean washington's bullpen is also pretty, bad But
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: i'm taking that kind of unknown out of the. Equation
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: there eighty two percent of, tickets ninety eight percent of
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: the cash on The White.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: Sox but, yes you will get a cheaper price on.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: It if you do do it full, game if you
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: do minus a half run in the first, five LIKE i,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: said you can get it at even, money so you
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: could do it that way. Too and you know my
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: other play In, seattle you could go like a minus
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: one run line on that one if you wanted. To
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: but my cutoff is basically in the minus one fifty
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: money line WHERE i start looking at run line. Place you,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: know so a lot of my run lines push, Man
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: so let's, uh let's do It White sox first five money.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Line but to make money in baseball, today both of
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: those need to hit because if they go one and,
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: one it's a. Loss so that's what it. Is, murakami he's.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Good The Red sox should have gone after. Him he,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: WAS i. BELIEVE i don't. Know there were a few
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: teams that were in the running for BECAUSE i think
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: he was playing In, japan, right and The White sox
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: won the contest for. Him, whatever they were able to
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: sign Him San diego At. Arizona this IS i told
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: you about, this this, game, man this this is a
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: two game series being played In Mexico. CITY i hate
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: this international. Bullshit, Man it's gonna be so fucking. Stupid Mexico,
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: city LIKE i, said is at an elevation of like
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: ten thousand, feet so you know what that. Means you,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: know the total in this game is gonna be extraordinarily
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: high because of the extreme. Elevation arizona is coming. In
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: both teams were off yesterday to travel to, this so
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: both teams have the same. REST i Believe arizona lost
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: to The White sox at, home so they're traveling in From. Arizona.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Now the good thing for both these teams is that
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: they play In colorado every year in their, division so
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: they're used to high. Elevation although this is even higher than.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: That San diego just played In, colorado so maybe that's
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: a slight advantage to them because they just played in
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: a high elevation environment and now they're coming in from,
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: there so.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: They're a little bit more adjusted to the.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Elevation So San, diego the schedule makers give them a
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage. There, MAN i don't really
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: know how big of an advantage that really will be.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Them AND i THINK i Thought arizona had some sort
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: of scheduling edge as. WELL i Think it's just that
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: they're leaving home pretty much like they just had kind
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: of a bad home.
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: Stand they lost to The White.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Sox leaving home that is usually a positive focused, spot
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: but both teams are going to be focused because this
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: is some stupid international event. Here the, BULLPENS i don't
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: really trust. THEM i, mean they're. RESTED i Know arizona
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: has the fourth best whip right, now but THEIR era
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: is four to. SIX i don't like This arizona, bullpen.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: MAN i think we're gonna see them drop down in
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: these rankings. Here San diego's bullpen is elite, though definitely
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: a fantastic. Bullpen they're fifth right now in, whip but
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: they are absolutely. Legit they're definitely the better. Bullpen arizona
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: is tenth in offense, now so their offense has definitely come.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: AROUND i do think they have a pretty good. Lineup
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: padre is not so. Much they're twenty, third so they
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: have not been hitting that. Well but we did take
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: an over with them in The colorado series in the
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: last game that they. PLAYED i think in The colorado
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: series that game got. Over San diego put up ten
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: runs in that, game so they could definitely they could
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: definitely put up runs when they're facing bad pitching and they're,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: facing you, know a very hit or friendly. Environment Herman,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: marquez Former Colorado, rockies pitching for The. Padres at least
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: that means that he he also used to pitching in
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: high elevation because he was On. Colorado his three point
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: eight to SIXTY ra looks. Good point three to nine
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: whip that's not very. Good he puts too many guys on, base, fifteen,
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: strikeout six.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: Walks he's allowed.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Five home runs already and twenty hits in eighteen to two.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Thirds not great numbers. Overall too many guys on. Base
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: but obviously the huge problem here is the home, runs
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: and he actually allowed three of them In San diego Against,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: colorado which is not a home run friendly. Ballpark that's
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: not a good. Sign he's a big time fly ball,
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: pitcher extreme towards the fly. Ball you, know that's not
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: gonna play well in a stadium like, This so that
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: is a huge. PROBLEM i think he's gonna give up
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: home runs in this. Game colorado doesn't exactly have good.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Numbers or, well, no we're not Facing. Colorado what AM i,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Saying we're Facing. Arizona, Yeah arizona doesn't have great numbers off,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: him but they've seen a lot of. Them one hundred at,
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: bats sixteen to eleven strike out walker, Ratio it is
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: a lot of walks to forty batting average allowed seven
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: to seventy five, ops so the ops is a little bit.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: High Marte Kettle, marte or however he pronounce his, name
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: has kettle One Katel marte has absolutely destroyed him fourteen
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: for forty four to of them, runs three, doubles triple five,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: walks seven strikeouts, though but, YEAH i mean possible player
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: prop potential. THERE i still don't recommend the home run props,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: though because the books know that everyone loves those and
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: they don't give you good enough. ODDS i would go
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: hits plus runs plus. RBIs you might have to pay
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a steep price for that, too because he's one of
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: the bigger names in that lineup and playing in this
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: very hitter friendly. Ballpark but, YEAH i don't Think marquez
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: is gonna have a great time in this. One Zach
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: gallan is pitching For. Arizona he's not as extreme of
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: a fly ball, pitcher but he hasn't been that good,
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: either and Like, marquez his ear makes him look better
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: than he actually is right. Now three point five to ONE,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: era one point four to eight whip is really. Bad
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: you can't put that many guys on. Base his strikeout
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: rate is way. Down fourteen strikeouts in twenty five to two,
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: thirds seven, walks thirty one hits. Allowed he's been way too, hittable, Dude.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: GALLAN i, mean he wasn't that bad of a pitcher
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: a couple of years. Ago he's only thirty years old.
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: NOW i don't know what the deal is with. Him
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: he fell off last. Year this year he's not pitching.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: Well it looks like something is going wrong with his.
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: STUFF i have no idea what the deal. Is not
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: sure he's gonna do that well in this game here.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: Either he is Facing San, diego so of course some
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: of this history is gonna be In San diego's pitcher friendly.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Ballpark they're very familiar with. Them one hundred and fifty
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: six at, bats thirty nine to eighteen strike a walk
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: ratio that's also too many, walks two point fifty batting average,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: allowed eight to twenty one. Ops not great, There so you, know, overall,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean both, PITCHERS i mean their numbers aren't
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: like horrible enough THAT i really want to do, this
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: BUT i would probably lean over in this. Game but,
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: again the oddsmakers know what's going on. Here they threw
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: the total up there at fourteen and a, half and
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: it's already up to fifteen and a.
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: Half juice to the. Over it looks like it's gonna be.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: SIXTEEN i told, you, Man Mexico. City you, know fifty
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets are on the, under fifty eight
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the. UNDER i, mean is
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: this an overreaction to The Mexico city? ENVIRONMENT i don't
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: really think. So and you, KNOW i talk about how
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: even Though San diego's bullpen is good starting, pitching if
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching does, bad you get like worse relievers coming.
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: In it kind of cascades into.
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: It. All i'm gonna lean over in the, game you.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: KNOW i, mean, yeah it just seems like it's gonna
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: be probably. Absurd you Got marquez as a fly ball.
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: Pitcher both pitchers are very familiar to the opposing. Offense
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: both pitchers have an era that makes them look better
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: than they actually. Are over makes sense to me in that,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Game but, again you're going over a ridiculous total.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: There but maybe it's.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: Justified we don't, know BECAUSE i don't know if we've
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: seen Any Major League baseball games In Mexico, city SO
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know i'm not gonna actually put it on
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: my card or. Anything money is sort of indicating On.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: Arizona there minus one thirteen favorite sixty one percent of,
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: ticket sixty percent of the cash On San, diego so
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: the money is Backing arizona a little. BIT i probably
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: agree in the first five, Innings San diego still has
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: the better, bullpen SO i don't really want to fade
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: them against An arizona bullpen THAT i think is a
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: lot worse than they've looked so. Far BUT i think first,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: FIVE i Think gallen probably does have an advantage Over marquez,
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: GENERALLY i think he is the better. Pitcher SO i don't.
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: Know that's the WAY i look at. IT i don't
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: have a great feel for that game at. All a's
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: at Texas. As we're almost up to an hour to
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: go through every, game and it's a lot of stuff
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: going on, here AND i already gave you both in
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: my baseball. Plays texas just lost eight to one yesterday at.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: HOME i don't know what happened to E Evald he
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: was pitching, yesterday, right, YEAH i mean he didn't have
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: a great outing. Yesterday Seven reno completely outpitched. Him Seven
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: reno on the road. Man totally different pitcher, anyway different
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup, today of, course could be a bounce back
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: For texas after a bad loss. Yesterday texas only used
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: one relief pitcher and all their better relievers are available,
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: here so.
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: They definitely have a bullpen.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: Edge they have the better bullpen as well as used
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers, yesterday so, yeah definitely a bullpen edge
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: on the side Of texas. Here texas is sixth in
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: bullpen whip right. Now The a's are in the bottom
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: third twenty, Third so, yeah obviously pretty big edge For texas. There,
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: offensively maybe not so. Much a's are Sixteenth texas type
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: for six seventeen and. OPS i do think The a's
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: are definitely the better offense. Though Jeffrey springs is pitching
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: for The. A's he's had a good season so far
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: three point three FOUR era point nine to eight. Whip.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: Uh he's better on the road, though of, course because
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: at home that's a horrible pitching. Environment in THE A,
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: stadium he has a four point sixty seven HOME era
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: so far one point four to six on the, road
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: so he's definitely backable on the road At. Texas texas
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: is a very pitcher from the. Environment one issue, is, uh,
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: well both starting pitchers just faced these opposing lineups like
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: a week, ago a little bit over a week ago
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: in THE A, Stadium springs actually did do. Well he
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: went six and a, third give up one ear in,
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: run picked up a win in the, game five, strikeouts two,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: Walks so even though he was in that very hitter
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: from the, Environment springs actually did well. There his home
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: stats are basically just skewed because he got absolutely blown
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: up in his last start at home by The White.
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: Sox but he allowed four home.
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: Runs seems kind of fluky because he did have seven
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: strike got some one walk in that. Game overall twenty
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: seven to. Nine that's not, great but it's not. Horrible
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio twenty, hits allowed twenty nine to
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: two thirds. Innings, YEAH i, Mean i'm gonna kind of
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: give him a pass for that game against The White.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: SOX i think it was a bit.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: Fluky he allowed two or fewer earned runs and his
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: other outings on the, road he is, Better but of
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Course texas just saw, him so that Gives texas a
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage against him having seen him that,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: recently but they had already seen him. Before they have
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: sixty four at bats against, him eleven to five strike
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio two nineteen batting average six to fifth the,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: ops so he's pitched well against them in that sample.
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: Size maybe having that recent familiarity is not going to
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: totally Help texas. Here like OBVIOUSLY i could See springs
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: pitching well again here in a pitcher friend of the
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: environment here good on the. Road LIKE i Said Mackenzie
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: gore pitching For, Texas he's definitely more of a mystery.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean he was really struggling With, Washington texas
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: brought him. Over he does have really good strikeout. Stuff
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: his wildness has been a huge issue throughout his. Career
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: he's looked fairly good this, year although his recent starts
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: have not been good four point one five v one
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: point one to. Nine whip problem is his last two.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Starts he had six walks in one of them and
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: he gave up three home runs in the other At,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: seattle the six walks were in The a's one at
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: The a's, stadium so, yes he did just face The a's.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: On the, road and he only went four and two.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: Thirds wasn't horrible except for the.
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: Walks he gave up two horned, runs five, strikeouts six, walks,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: though that's, bad but that doesn't mean The a's did
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: just see. Him because that was that game he lost
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: To Jeffrey. Springs i'm pretty sure in that game he
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: might do better this. Time but he, again he wasn't
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: that good Against seattle last, outing but his walk number
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: came back. Down he only walked one guy in that
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: last outing five, strikeouts so he was actually better than.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: It like three on the runs In seattle is definitely
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: a bit of a. Fluke So i'm not really ready
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: to say That gore is bad right. Now for the most,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Part he's had more good than bad this year so.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Far thirty five to twelve strike out walk. Ratio that's it.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: Is still too many. Walks it is a high strikeout.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Rate twenty six, innings nineteen hits. Allowed he's very difficult
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: to hit except that people make contact with, him and
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: launched home runs five of, them but you, know three
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: of them in kind of that fluky. GAME i don't.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: KNOW i think OVERALL i kind of lean Towards gore
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: doing decent, here but his numbers.
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: Against The a's are actually really.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: Bad and forty six at bats ten to, nine strike
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio four to thirty five average oney fourteen oh.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: Ps that's pretty. Bad you, know MAYBE i do have
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: to take that. BACK i don't.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: KNOW i looked at all these numbers. Earlier the money
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: is back In texas, here, THOUGH i do think it
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: is a bounce back spot For. Texas if you're gonna
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Go texas, here definitely go full game because their bullpen
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: is a huge advantage. Either at minus one thirty sixty
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets seventy eight percent of the cash
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: On texas money is Backing texas to bounce back. HERE
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: i think they are the better. Team BUT i Think,
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: springs based on the match up there and the fact
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: that he's good on the, ROAD i think he might
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: have an advantage in the early part of this. Game
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: so Maybe a's first five inning makes some. Sense but
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: the money is also hitting the UNDER i could see.
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: THAT i would say make that first five, though BECAUSE
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: i don't THINK i want to deal with The a's.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: Bullpen as far as an under is, concerned eighty one
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets is sixty six percent of the cash
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: on the over totals at eight for the full, game
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: you could go first five, under but Then gore needs
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: to somehow overcome those bad matchup numbers against The. A's but,
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: dude it's a different environment With texas. Though that's the.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: Thing Like gore pitching With, texas it might be totally, different.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Right he might do better than he did last time
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: out against The, A's but then, again The a's did
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: just see, him they got more familiar with, Them so
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: that's a little bit of an extra advantage to The
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: a's offense. Here but Again texas does have the same
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: advantage because they just Saw. Springs so there's a lot
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: going on. Here and usually in divisional, games where you see,
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: pictures you know that are these pictures aren't necessarily that
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: familiar to the opposing hitters, though but divisional games usually
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of familiarity there with the. Pitchers so
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: a lot of TIMES i will have a tendency to go,
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: over especially when the pitchers just saw the opposing.
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: Lineups but that.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't really think, so but Obviously i'm staying
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: away from that game for obvious. Reasons this Game anaheim
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: In Kansas. City this is a huge mystery of a.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Game Kansas city won yesterday, again another somewhat high scoring
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: game in This Kaufman stadium with the walls brought. In
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: royals did win. Yesterday royals still don't have a good bullpen,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: though these four relievers Yesterday. Anaheim let me see us,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: three but both. BULLPENS i would want to fade both
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: bullpens here and Whatever i'm. Doing anaheim's twenty second and.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: Whip their era is pretty bad in the mid. Forest
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: Kansas CITY'S era is over six in the bullpen and
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: they have they're tied for the worst. Whip absolutely. Horrendous,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: YEAH i don't like either. Bullpen Kansas city's is even
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: worse than The anaheim. One anaheim has been the better.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Offense they hit a lot of home. Runs they don't
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: hit for average very well at, all but they're a
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: good power hitting. Team they're at eleventh right now in.
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: Offense Kansas city is twenty, fifth So anaheim does have
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: the better. Offense, anaheim though we're going with a big.
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: Time mystery, Here walbert your rein is pitching For? Anaheim,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: Here who the hell is? He he's twenty two years.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Old he's only made one start in his major league,
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: career and it was a game WHERE i didn't even
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: handicap it BECAUSE i Think anaheim didn't have a starter or,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: listed or they made a last minute decision in that.
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Game and he actually did well Against San diego at.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Home he went six, innings four, hits allowed two earned,
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: runs eight, strikeouts two.
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: Walks that's a decent. Sign he came out in.
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: His first actual major league. Start he pitched. Well he
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: did not pitch as well out of the. Bullpen but
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: as you can, see like so you look at his,
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: numbers two point three FIVE vra really, good one point
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: eight three whip is. Terrible but we're looking at a
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: small sample size and you can kind of see what happened.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: Here he couldn't get out of this one inning that
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: really skewed all his. Numbers he gave up six runs
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: and none of them were earned in whatever this inning
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: was Against. HOUSTON i think that was the game where
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: we had we had an over in that, Game i'm pretty.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Sure so obviously the fielding completely fucked him in that,
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: game AND i don't know if it was his own.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Fielding it was probably somebody, else's BUT i don't. KNOW
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: i don't know who had the error. There but, yeah
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: that's that's. Crazy six unearned runs in an inning is really.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: Insane i'm kind of just curious who the error. HERE
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: i don't even know if we could actually we could
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: see it here it Was urania did actually have an
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: error on the, throw but they had three errors in the.
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't know if they were all in that inning,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: Though so Maybe urania did kind of cause some of that,
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: himself but it wasn't his pitching at the very.
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: Least will he do well, HERE i don't.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: KNOW i looked at his minor league numbers here he
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: was his minor league numbers were.
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: Weird his.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Era he made like three starts In TRIPLE a this
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: year and HIS era was like, six which is obviously not.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: Good but he's considered to be a decent. Prospect he
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: throws really, hard and his problem is he walks way
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: too many. Guys ALTHOUGH i looked in his, numbers he
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: didn't walk that many guys In TRIPLE a, though SO
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: i don't know what it was like the just he
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: gave up home. RUNS i think it was like he
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: gave up home runs in TRIPLE a BECAUSE i think
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: he had like twenty eight strikeouts in five walks or
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: something in those three outings in TRIPLE, a so the
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: walks weren't really an. Issue although, generally if you look
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: at his, scouting the wildness is considered to be the
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: issue with. Him he's too. Wild he throws almost one
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: hundred miles an, hour like he has an upper nineties,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: fastball BUT i looked his pitch mix is not that.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Deep he's like fastball slider change, up so he does
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: have you, know those off speed, pitches but it looks
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: like he is a bit.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: Wild he's a wild, card.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: DUDE i honestly have no idea what we're gonna get
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: out of, him but it is a good sign that
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: he pitched well in that one start that he, made
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: which is against who was it Against San. Diego they're
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: not a good, offense But Kansas city hasn't been that good,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: either so, yeah it's Possible urania does well. Here and
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: again he's facing a lineup that's never seen him, before
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: so you, know that's a little bit of an extra
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: advantage to the pitcher against a hitter that's never against
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: hitters that have never seen him. Before he's going on
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: Against Cole REAGAN'S i don't know what is going on
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: With reagans because he was The Royals ace got injured
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: and he has not been able to bounce back from this.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: INJURY i don't know what it was. EXACTLY i don't
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: know if he Had Tommy john or. What but his
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: numbers this year are. Bad SIX era one point sixty seven.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: Whip he is not getting it done at all right.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: Now he had eight walks in his last outing against
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: The yankees and we took a loss on The royals
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: in that.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: Game his last.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: Two outings is walk number skyrocketed twelve walks in his
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: last two outings and one of them he didn't allow
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: any runs Against. DETROIT i don't know what is going, on,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: man but he's back. Home he only had one home
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: start so far this year was Against. Minnesota he went six,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: innings he gave up one unearned run in that, game four,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: hits eight, strikeouts one, Walk so that was his best
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: start of the year. Easily so it does look like
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: he's better at home right. Now his overall, numbers, THOUGH i,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: mean this is some real bad. Stuff twenty two, strikeouts
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: eighteen walks because of all those walks in those last couple,
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: outings and four in his first. One six home runs
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: allowed that's bad, too but three against The braves three
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: again it's The, yankees both on the. Road seventeen hits
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: at twenty one. Endings that's actually. Good he hasn't allowed
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: that many. HITS i Think reagan's is gonna come back
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: into some sort of form at some, point, DUDE i.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Do maybe it'll be here now that he's back at.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: HOME i know it's not a pitcher friendly park anymore
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: In Kansas.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: City jury's still.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: Out as far as it being actually hit or, Friendly
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: i'm not so sure about. That but we, know, dude
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: looking at his career, numbers unless the, injury unless the
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: injury completely derailed this.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: Guy WHICH i don't really think.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: So like last, year his numbers were actually kind of
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: in line with what he's done throughout his. Career is
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: he ray was a bit, higher BUT i think he
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: got a little bit. Unlucky, YEAH i expect him to
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: round it to form at some point. Here, Man he's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: got decent numbers Against anaheim and forty five at bats
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: nineteen to four strike out walk, ratio two hundred batting average,
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: allowed seven to thirty TWO. Ops those numbers are not.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: BAD i mean THE ops is a little bit. High
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: he's left three home runs to, them which that's What anaheim.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: Does they don't hit for average and they hit home.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: Runs we'll.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: See this is a very difficult game to handicap because
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: there's just such a wide variety of things that can happen,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: Here like both pictures could come out and do really.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: Well both pictures could come out and get lit.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: Up it's.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: Crazy the money's coming in towards the, under fifty percent
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the, under seventy percent of the cash
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: on the. Under if you do, that you gotta go
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: first five. Innings the total did drop a little bit
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: full game to eight and a, half BUT i don't
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with either bullpen here, obviously SO
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: i would go under first. Five if you're gonna go,
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: under WHICH i don't necessarily disagree. With the money is
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Hitting Kansas city there at minus one forty, seven seventy
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety six percent of the cash on case.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: Here you, know the professional money seems to Trust Cole
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: reagan's to get a bounce back. Here, obviously it's definitely.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: POSSIBLE i could see it. HAPPENING i don't know IF
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: i want to bank on. IT i could see him. Bitching,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: Well i'm GONNA i THINK i will lean towards first
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: five under as probably my preferred approach in that. Game
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: but it's really not a strong. Opinion man act. Accordingly but,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: yeah that's WHAT i think about the. Game the money's
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Saying Kansas. City but then, again you could See urania
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: potentially doing well against the lineup that has have faced him.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: Before but, YEAH i don't. Know man also Hate Kansas city's.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: Bullpen but it is. Possible it's definitely possible That reagan's
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: Outlass urania in this. Game i'm gonna take a quick,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: break finish this, off and then we'll do the. Playoffs.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Playoffs Mexico city, Pollution so what you think the total
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: is an, OVERREACTION i don't really think. SO i think
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: the ELEVATION i think is real. THERE i think it's
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be a high scoring. Game you, know it may
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: not actually be the FIRST i think we may actually
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: have Had Mexico city games in the. Past, actually let
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: me look that up real quick BEFORE i take a
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: quick break.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: Here, uh, yes we have had. Some let me.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: See twenty twenty, four there were two between The astros
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: and The. Rockies rockies who play In, elevation and then
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, Three podres And giants played. There so
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: they go with like all Like southwest and Or west
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: teams playing. THERE i want to see what the results, were,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: though where CAN i? See i'm Gonna wikipedia right. Now
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: and it was supposed to happen in twenty twenty but
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: they canceled it because OF. Covid this says that in
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty, Three Logan webb said that most of The
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: giants team returned From Mexico city with digestive ailments after going.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: There that's just, great, man you're eating Contaminated mexican. Food
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be taking huge dumps after.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: That.
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: YEAH i don't, know, DUDE i don't know what to tell.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: YOU i want to see the, Man i'm gonna just
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: look it up by, YEAR i. GUESS i just want
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: to know how high scoring the games. Were the twenty
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: twenty three games between it Was San diego And San.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Francisco those games were sixteen to eleven and six to. Four,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: uh so one went over and one went. Under and
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: then let me see depending on what the total was set.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: As BUT i think we pretty much know the total
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: was set between those two. Numbers and then twenty twenty,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: four the games were not that high scoring, really twelve
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: to four and eight to two between The astros and The.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: Rockies so.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: Do with that information what you. Want but actually only
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: only one of those games has gone. Over this number is.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: Sixteen but the pitchers might have been better in some
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: of those, games so you got to keep that in.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Mind and one of them landed exactly on. Sixteen but
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: these pictures in this game are pretty overconducive in my. Opinion,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah Ktella, marte maybe he already does have a have
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: with a sponsorship with A kettle, one a sponsorship, deal
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: whatever you want to call. It Jim, MOREWOY i always do. That, playoffs,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: Yes Manta Zuma's, revenge speaking of Which i'm gonna take a.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: Break i'll be right.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: Back i've got to finish talking about these games. HERE
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: i do have TWO nba plays still to.
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 5: Come, yeah, uh, playoffs don't talk about, playoffs you kidding.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 3: Me.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: PLAYOFFS i just hope we can win a.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: Game another, game.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: All.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i haven't really talked about THE nfl, draft but
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: it's like ALL nfl draft coverage over here right. Now Arizona.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: CARDINALS i don't know what they're, doing. Dude if they're
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: just trying to make a splash or something With Jeremiah
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: love And Carson, BECK i, mean, okay if that's what
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: they want their offense to look, LIKE i don't know
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: if that's really going to necessarily work out for. THEM
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: i don't really Trust, beck you. KNOW i don't know
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: IF i Trust love to be that good in THE nfl,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: either to be, HONEST i think if you're gonna Draft miami,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: players you got to be looking at like the dudes
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: in the trenches and. Stuff and, obviously their top offensive
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: lineman went to The giants in one of their first round,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: picks WHICH i thought was a pretty decent pick from.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Them miami was great in the, trenches maybe maybe not
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: so much with their quarterback.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: And their skill.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: Positions he led them to the championship and they almost, won,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: so you, know and we had a winner on that Baby.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: Miami plus the points in that game on this. Show all, right,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: yes all, right let's finish off this baseball. Here yankees
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: At Houston. ASTROS i thought The yankees were in a bad,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: spot being at a rest disadvantage yesterday and having swept
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: the Rival Red, sox if you still want to call
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: it a. Rivalry but, no The astros pitching is just
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: totally in the, tank and The yankees beat them twelve
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: to four. Yesterday This astros pitching is really really. Bad
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: their bullpen is, bad really. Bad they used three relief pitchers,
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: yesterday The yankees only used. Two yankees bullpen isn't, great
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: but it is better than The. Astros astros third worst
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: in the In Major League, baseball second WORST. Era they're
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: just a train wreck in the. Bullpen yankees are. Nineteenth
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: they're not great in the. Bullpen but, obviously WELL i,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: meant already said it better better than The. Astros both
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: teams have been good. Offensively they're fourth and Fifth houston
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: And yankees respectively right. Now probably The yankees do have
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: a slightly better offense Than. Houston starting pitching is. Interesting
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Ryan weathers is pitching for The. Yankees you see this yere.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: Paternity you KNOW i didn't work out the last TIME
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: i had a spot like, this the aid the baby.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: Spot but it is a, thing. Dude it's a thing
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: THAT ufc handicappers used this a lot and boxing fighters
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: because when and but this is an individual thing, too
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: the starting, pitching because the theory is that when a
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: guy just had a, baby and that's what happened With Ryan.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Weathers he and his wife just had a, baby like
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: three days. Ago when that, happens it's a distraction because
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: you got to deal with the. Baby you, know you're
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: not getting. Sleep it could definitely throw you. Off it
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: didn't work out for us when we tried to Fade
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: who's baby to be? FADE i don't even remember, Now
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: but you, KNOW i think it's still a good angle to.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: Use SO i don't know IF i Trust weathers in this.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Spot although he's been pretty good this year three point
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: one eighty r a one point two four, whip even
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: though he's really only in The yankees rotation because they
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: have injuries To Garrett cole AND i forget who else they.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: Have but he's been.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: Good thirty six, strikeouts eight. Walks that's that's actually really
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: good in twenty eight and to a third inning seven
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: hits a. Lot he only had one bad outing Against
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: anaheim where they hit four home runs off, him kind of,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: fluky and other than that he's been quite. Good a
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: couple of starts where he didn't really go like a full,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: outing but other than, that those are his first two.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Starts he's gone pretty deep into these other. Outings, Recently
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: weathers has been pretty, good, Man and he's pitching on
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: normal rest because he pitched on the, nineteenth so that's
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: not going to throw off his schedule, really but the
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: baby still might be a. Problem, Man it is still a.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: DISTRACTION i don't know IF i want to Trust weathers
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: in this. One even though he has been pitching pretty.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: Well Against, houston they barely have seen. Him they only
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: have three hitters have seen or two hitters have seen
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: him Before korea And, walker but they have a combined
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: four forty four average against him And oney fifty six,
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: ops three, strikeouts one, walk four for nine with a
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: double From korea in. THERE i don't know how much
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: weight to put into. THAT i, MEAN i would not
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: put much weight into. That. REALLY i Think weather's in
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: under normal, conditions normal weathers, conditions there you. GO i
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: would think that he would pitch okay, here but the.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: Baby it worries, me, man it. Does congratulations To Ryan weathers,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: though on being a. FATHER i think he already has a.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: KID i THINK i think this is his second. Kid
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: MAYBE i don't.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't know him, Personally.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: Mike. Burrows oh and by the, way maybe his kid
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: is a, boy and maybe his kid will wind up
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: playing for The yankees as, well Because weather's father played
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: for The. Yankees i'm pretty. Sure so there you. Go
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: Mike burrows is pitching For. Houston he's not having a good.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Season they got him over From. Pittsburgh he looked like
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: he had some potential With, pittsburgh But houston seems to
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: be where pitchers just all go to. Die six point
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: seven FIVE, era one point six' nine whip, not good
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: twenty five to nine starke at walk ratio is, not
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: horrible but he's allowed five home runs thirty six hits
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: in twenty six to two there's and he's at is.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: Really bad he's been really hit.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: A ball houston's lost four of his five outings and
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: he really hasn't even been facing offenses that are.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: THAT good, I mean.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's Okay red sox, Are bad, Colorado Bad saint, louis
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: bad EVEN though i know they've been hitting a little
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: bit better than you. Would think seattle they're a decent
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: offense in, my opinion but they're struggling. This year so
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: it's Not like burrows is going up against these, elite
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: offenses and he is going up against one of the better.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: Ones today yankees don't have much experience, against. Him though
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: they're one for four often with the only hit being
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: a home Run From. Jazz CHISHOLM who I think. CHISHOLM
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: sucks i, don't, know man he's not a. GOOD hitter
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: i think he's a terrible FIELD or i don't know
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: what to, tell you bad, base runner bad.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: Fundamentals whatever that home run that he.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: Hit Off Of peyton totlly the, other day the Only
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Run peyton tolly allowed was the cheapest home run you'll
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: ever see Off of.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: Pesky's poll Yeah Whatever.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: Pesky, Poll anyway yankees are only one for four Off,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: of burrows with that home Run, from chisholm, one strikeout.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: NO walks i don't know what we can really put.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: Into THAT but i Don't. TRUST burrows i know he's unfamiliar.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: To them which could be, an ADVANTAGE but i don't
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: think we could. TRUST him i don't know how.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: We could trust either of these.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: Pitchers necessarily here to the line On the yankees is
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: minus one, forty three eighty eight percent, of tickets eighty
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: eight percent of. The cash yankees look like they're a
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: very public. SIDE here i don't really see how you could,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: fade them EVEN though i liked the idea of fading.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: The BABY but i don't want to Be On mike.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: Burrows either so what do we do? WITH this i
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: would say over is probably my. PREFERENCE here i Could
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: see weather it's having a distracted start because of. The
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: baby burrows is. Not trustworthy the bullpens definitely could give
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: up some runs in this one. AS well i know
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: yesterday's game went, way over but you know that's the
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: WAY that i.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: See, It houston they're definitely an.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: OVER team i mean that's what you get when you
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: have a good offense and a terrible bull, nine tickets
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on use on the,
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: over excusely so the money is hitting the over a,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: little bit it. ISN'T nine i would try to get
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: over nine instead of nine and a half if you're
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: Doing that yankees team total over makes some sense, as
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: well but you're gonna probably need them to score a lot.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: Of runs six. Seven runs they could definitely do It
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: against burrows And the, houston BULLPEN but I think i'd
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: probably prefer to spread it out across. BOTH teams I
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: think i'd probably prefer the full. Game over that would
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: be my lean in. That One, The, REDSKINS yeah i
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: mean their first round pick was. PRETTY good i Think
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: with style They got?
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: Styles right IS that i forget is that? HIS name
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: i forget?
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: His name the. Logo's, bad yeah just go go back To.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: THE redskins i. Don't know i'm not. A, FAN basically
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: i disliked them just because they changed. Their Name Yes
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: Sunny styles yeah ss, oh god he HAD an ss pin.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: To him people, were like this Guy's.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: A nazi, i'm, like uh he's black and his name
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: those are.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: His initials so, you, know.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: Okay, All right Pittsburgh, and milwaukee this is. The series
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: we played the. Game yesterday we got the win with
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: the under in the first five innings in that. One Yesterday,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: paul skins nice performance out of. Him yesterday that did
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: most of it. For, us yesterday but it was, a
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: Shutout so milwaukee was returning on from a, road trip and,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: YOU know i talk about how that's a bad spot
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: you can. Get distracted they also had to go Up
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: Against paul skins they got, Shut out so a couple
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: of positives Situationally for, milwaukee here because when teams get
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: shut out, at home a lot of times they bounce
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: back in the. Next game when teams have a bad
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: game when they were turned on from a, road trip
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they bounce back in the.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: Next game so definitely that has me kind of Looking towards.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: MILWAUKEE here i don't Really love, milwaukee's bullpen but they Only,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: use DROHAN who I think i remember handicamming him as
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: a starter at. ONE point i forget if we had
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: to play on that game, or not but they use
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: only him out of. The bullpen pittsburgh only these two
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, as well so both bullpens are pretty. Intact
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: here they're both pretty. Mediocre Bullpens though pittsburgh's era looks
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: good at three point four, to five the whip is
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: higher than you really want at one point. Three seven
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: brewers have an e ray in the fours one point
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: five whip is, really bad so their bottom third whip in.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: THE bullpen I think pittsburgh does have the slightly better. Bullpen,
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: Here offensively pittsburgh is fourteenth Than the brewers are, twenty
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: SECOND but i Think the brewers generally have a. Better
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: offense it's just that they've been dealing with injuries. AND
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: whatever i do expect them to break out a little
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: bit more in this, game though. After, yesterday however the
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: problem is they have to go Up Against, mitch KELLER
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: who i have declared him the most underrated pitcher in
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: baseball because nobody knows. His name nobody ever talks. About
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: him his name is way too Similar To. Merrill kelly
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: his numbers, are, good though two point seven TO, ninety
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: rra one point. One whip, you know there's nothing you
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: could really dig at here except that he had one
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: bad outing at Home against washington walk four guys give
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: it five and runs and. Four innings bounce back, after
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: that seven innings to earned, runs allowed no Walks Against
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: tampa bay. Five strikeouts they're overall nineteen to nine strike up.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: WALK ratio i know that's. Not great the lock numbers a.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: Little high he's not really a strike, up pitcher so
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: maybe he can give him a little bit a bit
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: of a pass for. That ratio twenty three hits and twenty,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: nine innings so he does not allow. Many hits he's
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: allowed two or fewer earned runs in all but that
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: Outing against washington.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: So far that's all.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: Pretty, good, brewers though do hit him pretty well and
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: one hundred and three, at bats twenty seven to eight
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: strike out, walk ratio two ninety one bats average allowed
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: in eight to forty, seven ops So the brewers are
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: able to hit him. Pretty well that does warning me
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: a little bit as Far as keller in, this GAME
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: but i don't KNOW if i necessarily want To. FADE
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: keller i like the Side. FOR milwaukee i Do like
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: milwaukee in. This, game obviously they Can hit keller because
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: they've done it before and they're familiar. With them they
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: are Going With. Jacob mazerowski the miss is on the
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: mound three point four three POINT four era one point
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: zero nine whip For. The brewers we know he's, super
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: talented has, electric stuff one hundred mile an hour fastball
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: that can last into the.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: Fifth inning problem is he doesn't go further than the.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: Fifth inning most of, the time he throws too. Many
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: pitches he's not efficient with, his Pitches and milwaukee's lost
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: three straight outings of his and he wasn't even really
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: bad in any. Of them he walked a few, too
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: many but he's not. Allowing runs he's allowed three or
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs in. Every outing so obviously the bullpen
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: has been an issue coming in, behind him like but
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: that partially it is his fault because he needs to
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: go deeper. Into games that's kind of THE issue i have.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: With him he has a really crazy high strikeout rate
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: forty two and twenty sixty two. Thirds innings he's pretty
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: unhittable seventeen, hits allowed but he has a lot of
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: four home runs and. Twelve WALKS like, i said the
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: walks are really the main concern, with him that and the.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: Pitch count he is good while he's, in there so,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: you know this does look like maybe a first Five
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: inning milwaukee player might make sense in. This game he's
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: been dominant Against, the pirates by, the way they have
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: twenty three at bats. Against them Nobody Except brian reynolds
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: has a hit. Against him they have no extra, base
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: hits and they only two hits, against him, ten strikeouts,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: two walks eighty seven batting average and two forty. Seven ops,
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: So yeah mizierowski absolutely. Dominant numbers the matchup numbers look
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: pretty one sided for. Him here don't Like the, milwaukee
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: bullpen although yes they're pretty. Rested though, YOU Know i
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: keller is generally pretty, good though but he is not Good.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: Against milwaukee it's a better Spot. For milwaukee i'm Gonna leave.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee here they're kind of too public for my, Liking
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: THOUGH and I think i would make it first, five
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: THOUGH because ms is basically gonna be in there for
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: five innings pretty much every time he's, out there and
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: then if you do it, five innings you don't have
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: to worry about. The bullpens Just hopefully milwaukee will be
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: in bounce back mode and do what they are able
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: to do typically And hit keller even though he's been
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: good eighty four percent of tickets eighty six percent of
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: the Cash on, milwaukee though at minus one. Thirty, five
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: yeah they're. Definitely public money is hitting the under. As
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: well if you go under in. THIS game I think
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: i would go first five and just go with the
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: two pitchers to both.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Do well but, MY preference i Think is milwaukee first.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: Five in, that game but you probably have to pay
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit extra. For it maybe you Don't because
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: keller might get some respect from. The market so those
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: THAT, game sob What's, Up minnesota Orlando.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: AND diamondbacks i slightly agree With, the diamondbacks slightly Agree,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: with MINNESOTA and i do not agree With. The orlando
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: With the, orlando side, those yeah those are my thoughts
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: on on. THOSE games I actually i, don't KNOW or i.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: DON'T know i don't have a good.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: Read on the on the side In that. Orlando GAME
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: actually i.
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: DON'T know i. DON'T know I gotta i gotta look at.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: THAT more I guess i have a play in, that,
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: game though and it's not even A side. I know i'm.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Going way i'm out of control, right, Now, man, DIAMONDBACKS dude,
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: I mean i don't. WANT to i don't want to
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: try to figure out what's going on In A mexico.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: City game i'm not gonna do anything. With THAT although
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: I agree marquez is definitely, Not good, SO yeah i
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: don't really disagree with.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 3: It.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: All right Next Up detroit Cincinnati. On fox fox has
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: two games in the later, slate here we got to get, through.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: This man these shows are just way, too long. Stupid
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: bait cincinnati returned on from the road and still won
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: yesterday nine. To eight it was a game with a
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: lot of, bullpen usage really crazy high bullpen usage in this.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: Game yesterday it didn't go into extra. Innings either cincinnati
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: used five. RELIEF pitchers i don't know if there was
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: a rain delay in the GAME or i don't know.
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: What happened detroit also, Used five so BOTH bullpens i
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: would probably not want to deal with them in. This
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: game detroit's bullpen has also not been good twenty fifth
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: and bullpen whip that's.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: Quite bad cincinnati has been a. Decent bullpend they're.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: At thirteenth their whip indicates their era shouldn't be as
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: good as. It is they have the best bullpen era,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: in BASEBALL but i don't fully. TRUST that i think
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: they're a. Mediocre BULLPEN but i won't say that. They're
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: BAD but i think both bullpens could be kind of
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: fadable in this game.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: With all the.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: Unrest there we're also Looking At jack flaherty Pitching for
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: detroit three point four TO seven era looks, pretty good
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: but his one point five to nine whip is anything.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: Butt good he's walked three or more in every outing
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: on the season twenty four to twenty strike out, walk
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: ratio including six in his last outing Against The. Red
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: sox things are not going Well, for flaherty even though
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: he's allowed only seventeen hits in twenty three and a.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: Third innings, that's good but the walks are, just insane,
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: you know huge problem with wildness Year. Against cincinnati his
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: numbers are not good and they've seen a bunch. Of
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: them sixty eight, at bats twenty to thirteen strike out,
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: walk ratio two ninety four batting, average allowed one thy
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: fifty four ohps so bad, matchup numbers. Bad form flaherty
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: looks like a fade in. This game he is going
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: Up Against, brady singer who is also having a pretty.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Rough season five point THREE, two era one point sixty
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: five Whip. For cincinnati not good numbers. Here either he
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: walked four guys in his. Last outing his walks were
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: pretty low up until, that point and now he has
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: a sixteen to seven strike out walk ratio. Exactly great
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: the problem is the hits, with, him though thirty two
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: hits in. Twenty three he's not, dropping. Hits man he's
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: not a he's not. A musician thirty two hits in
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: twenty three and two. Thirds innings. THAT'S bad a lot
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: of it is that his numbers are being skewed by
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: one really bad Outing. At miami but, you know and aside,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: from that he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in,
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: Every OUTING so i could see him potentially pitching. Better here,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: you know if you're gonna ask me which one of
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: these pitchers has the chance to do, BETTER here i
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: would say it's Him. Over flaherty his Numbers gets detroit
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: are a little. Bit better ninety two, at bats twenty
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: to thirteen strike at walk ratio is still. Not good
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: two seventy two, average allowed seven to thirty one. Oh
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: ps those are. Mediocre numbers i'll Lean to cincinnati here
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: slightly h but not a strong. Opinion there and the
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: money is all coming back In on Detroit after cincinnati
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: flipped to a minus one oh five favorite fifty two
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, on them eighty four of the Cash on,
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: detroit though to bounce back. AFTER yesterday i forgot to
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: talk about, the offenses, but yes that Is the one
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: Advantage to detroit is their offense. Is better cincinnati's has.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: Really struggled at twenty seventh, In ops detroit. Is ninth so,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: MY apologies i forgot to tell. You that but you,
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: KNOW me i like pitching, Over HITTINGS so i. DON'T
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: know i kind of, disagree HERE but i don't want
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: to disagree with a strong market read. Like THAT when i,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: see that You know i'm. STAYING away i actually like
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: the over in. THE game, i mean you have two
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: bullpens that are not really, that good and they're very unrested.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: Right now both starting pitchers might be a. Bit untrustworthy
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: it's in a hitter friendly Ballpark. In cincinnati the totals
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: at nine and. A half for, a reason you might
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: be able to find a nine On this you get
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: over that key number without. The hook money is not
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: agree with me on, that, either though fifty eight percent
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over seventy five percent of the
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: cash on. The under, EXCUSE me i would go over in.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: THIS game i THINK that's i preferred approaching that game
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: is to. Go over Philadelphia. At atlanta what are we
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: gonna Do? With philadelphia THEY'VE lost i don't know they're The.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: New mets they've lost like ten or eleven games in a.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: Row now atlanta Just beat philadelphia yesterday five. To three
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: they were able to Get Through, ANDREW painter i think
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: is a. Decent pitcher atlanta used three relief. Pitchers yesterday
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: philadelphia used three. As well philadelphia their bullpen's been struggling
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: eighteenth and bullpen whip era in the.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: Mid fours that's.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: Not good atlanta has the second BEST bullpen era and
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: the best. BULLPEN whip i think they're one of the.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: Best bullpens, So yes atlanta has a. Bullpen advantage they're
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: hitting has also. Been better they're at second, in ops
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: believe it. Or Not welthough i've been saying that. All
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: year at, This point philadelphia really has struggled with offensively at,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: twenty SIX although i, keep saying given who they have in,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: their lineup they're going to be better than this at.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Some point the pitching matchup is where it gets really
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: Interesting Here zach wheeler making his Return. For philadelphia this
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: is definitely going to bolster their starting pitching, rotation. HERE man,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: i mean he was their ace, last year so this
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: is Huge that They're Getting zach, wheeler back even though
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: he's a little bit, older now he's. Thirty five how
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: is he gonna bounce back? From injury we don't. Really
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: know he pitched most of the season, last year and
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: he's been great for, years now like his whole career
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: has been good for the. Most part, SO yeah I,
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: MEAN wheeler i think he's probably. More trustworthy, and actually you,
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: KNOW what I think i got that WRONG when i
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: was Talking. ABOUT urania I think i was Thinking About. Zach,
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: WHEELER actually I Think zach wheeler was the one that
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: had A six era AND, triple a which.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: Is not a.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: GOOD sign I think. I apologize I think urania's was
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: like in the twos. OR something I think uranya does
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: have GOOD triple a numbers. This Year zach wheeler. Did Not,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: ZACH wheeler i think gave up a bunch, Of runs
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: like he gave up like three home runs.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: When he pitched his REHABIT.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: Triple A but i think it was Basically just philadelphia,
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: just like, Fuck it we're playing horribly. Right now we
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: Know what wheeler's history is in. The majors he's an extremely, experienced.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: Pitcher veteran, fuck it bring. Him up.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: He's ready that's what they're.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: Doing, here yeah that maybe there's a little bit of
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: cost or concern because his minor league numbers in his
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: rehab didn't. Look good but there is somebody to be
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: said for the fact that we kind of know who
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: he is and last year he had a two point
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: seven TO one era point nine to. Four whip we're
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: gonna see what he could do in. This. GAME man
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: i DON'T think i want to come in and actually
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: try to play on. HIM here i think it's more
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: of a wait. And see but a lot of times
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: these veterans when they come back, from injury they're really
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: excited to get back. Out there. They're pumped they usually.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: PITCH well i mean usually the team is not gonna
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: let them go out there and pitch in a major
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: league game unless they. Are ready but again With the,
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: PHILLIES again i think they might just be saying fuck
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: it at this point because they've lost so many games in.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: A row we will see because numbers Against the braves
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: are pretty good in, his career they have a ton
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: of at bats against him two hundred and, seventy nine
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: so they're very familiar with him and it hasn't even.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: Really mattered eighty, five strikeouts, seventeen walks two thirty three
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: average six ninety.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: Two Ops, so wheeler.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: If if he's able to be in anywhere close to
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: what his usual, forum is he could definitely pitch well in.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: This game he's going On Against, bryce ELDER who i
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: still don't. Fully trust but his numbers have been good.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: This year one POINT five era point ninety. Seven whip
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in all of
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: his starts, this year twenty nine to nine strike a,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: walk ratio twenty hits allowed in. Thirty innings you can't
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: really argue with any of these, numbers. Here man the
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: only argument would be look at what he did, last
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: year and, like there you know he's gonna regress from
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: what he's. Done here but the signs aren't really there.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: Right now, most like his numbers are just good across
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: the board, right Now and atlanta's won all but one
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: of his outings and he's picked up a win in
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: three of the Five against philadelphia's numbers are mediocre sixty five,
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: at bats nine, to twelve strike a walk ratio, is
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: bad to sixty two average allowed seven sixty, one, oh
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: ps those numbers are not, that. Bad though what do we?
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: DO here i, don't, KNOW man i don't Know what
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: wheeler is gonna. Get you but You're getting wheeler as an,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: underdog here which just seems it seems like it is,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: value there, YOU know, I know i kept saying that
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: During the mets. Losing Streak but atlanta down from minus
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: one forty to minus one. Twenty five wheeler, JUST generally,
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: i mean he is a better Pitcher than elder.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: In General sixty Zember.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: Though wheeler is his elder though sixty seven percent, of
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: tickets sixty six percent of the Cash, on Atlanta so
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: atlanta is a. Public side they dropped from minus one
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: forty to minus one. Twenty five the money Is hitting.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: PHILLY here i don't really Disagree with, philly. HERE man
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: i think if you do want To, go philly probably
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: want to go first, five though just to avoid, the
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: bullpens because they're at a pretty big. Bullpend disadvantage the
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: money is seen hitting the over a, little bit but
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: it's a lot of public money on. The over two,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: nine tickets ninety n percent of the cash on. The
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: over there's definitely an argument for the first. FIVE under
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: i DON'T think i want to go full game under
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: because Of the philly, bullpen again but first five under
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: there's an argument for, that.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: Too because wheeler could.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: Pitch well elder is in good form, right now so
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: there's definitely and he doesn't have horrible, matchup numbers so
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: there is an argument for the under in the first
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: five in that game.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: As well, dirty sock? WHAT'S up i FORGET if i said?
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: What's up? Or not? All? Right uh final Game Is
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: cubs Dodgers. On fox cubs actually won the. Game Yesterday
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: emmett sheen pitched really well in, the game And the
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: dodgers' bullpen completely imploded and lost. That game dodgers were
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: returning home from a. Road trip it wasn't exactly the
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: best spot. For THEM but I liked shean in, that
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: game AND hopefully i said first five was my lean
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: With the dodgers yesterday because that was, A winner i'm.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: Pretty sure and then the bullpen completely. Blew it, And
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: yes chicago does have the better bullpen Here. The cobs
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: they used two relief pitchers Yesterday the. Cubs Did the dodgers,
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: use four but they Only use henriquez for. One pitch
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: so presumably he's available. Again today, dodgers bullpen they've really, fallen.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: OFF dude, i mean they weren't that good. Last year
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: that was the one big disadvantage, last year and it's
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: looking like it is their achilles heel this year. As
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: well although they still won the Last Two. World series
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: four point six TO, sixth era that's. Pretty bad they're
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: at eleventh in, whip now so we got to Give
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: the cubs the bullpen. Advantage here there's seventh in. Bullpen
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: WHIP their era is. Significantly, Better yeah i'll Agree the
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: cubs have the. Better bullpen both teams have been, hitting
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: well But the dodgers are the best offense. In baseball
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: cubs are definitely competitive in. That, Arena though cubs are
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: third in offense. Right now Cubs Have colin, ray pitching and,
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: You know i'm not Really A colin, ray fan but
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: his numbers are pretty good. This YEAR three era and
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: one point zero, four whip twenty to five strike out,
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: walk ratio twenty hits allowed in twenty. Four innings none
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: of those numbers. Are bad he's not really a, strikeout
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: guy but he's not. Walking guys he's not allowing hits
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs and all but,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: one outing which was a road outing Against the phillies
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: where he. Allowed three he's had basically quality starts well
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: in his last three outings. He has he didn't go
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: deep in his, other OUTINGS which i think he was
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: coming out of. The, BULLPEN actually i think He Replaced
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: caid horton in the, starting Rotation, and horton, YOU know,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: i mean that's a big loss For the.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: CUBS rotation i think he's out for the.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: Entire Season, colin, RAY though, i mean he is pitching
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: pretty well Against, the dodgers though not. So much fifty five,
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: at bats fifteen to four strike out, walk ratio two
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: ninety one batting average though strike out walk numbers, are
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: good but two ninety one average allowed nine to sixty
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: eight ops bad Numbers From. Colin, Ray dude So the
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: dodgers definitely could get to. HIM here i really Don't
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: think ray is as good as these numbers make. Him
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: look he's definitely a, serviceable PITCHER but i tend to
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: fade him more often. Than not he's going Up Against roki,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: sasaki though who, YOU know i don't think this guy's.
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: Mentally tough he was pretty good out of the bullpen.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Last year putting him in the starting rotation might be
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: a mistake because he's been. Pretty bad six point one
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: one one point eight seven whip seventeen to twelve strike
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio and twenty one hits all out in
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: seventeen to two. Thirds innings he's only made a five innings.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: One time this is. Pretty bad he's, not. Trustworthy dude
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: numbers Against the cubs are actually, pretty, good though in
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: twenty two at bats one eighty, two average six fifty.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: Two ops the only problem is the walks six six,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: strike outs. FIVE walks i still Don't trust. Sasaki, though
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: man you know the money is coming in On the
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: dodgers to bounce back. From yesterday, and yes that is
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: true that teams that return over from road trips and
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: they do pour in that, first game they will bounce
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: back a lot of. The TIME but i don't like
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: this starting. Pitching matchup they're down for minus one sixty
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: to minus one. Thirty five dodgers are but sixty four percent,
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty four percent of the cash, on them
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: money is Hitting. THE dodgers i don't really. SEE it
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: i Think the cubs HAVE a i, don't, know Man
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: Because colin ray doesn't match. UP well i Don't trust sasaki.
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: AT all i probably prefer over in. This game YESTERDAY'S
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: game i think did go over.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: AS well i think it was.
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: Sixty four but, either way nine and a half is.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: The number it's going down a. Little bit you might
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: be able to find a nine eighty eight percent of
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on. THE over
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: i know the public is gonna hit it And Over.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Cubs dodgers they're both good. Hitting teams public will hit
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: the over in a game, like this but the total
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: is this high for. A reason ray bad, Matchup numbers sasaki.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: Not trustworthy but there are too many conflicting, factors, Here
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: man because if you want to go with the, matchup
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: numbers Then the dodgers make. More sense if you in the,
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: FIRST five i, get, well, no, no yeah in the
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: first five because their. Bullpen's bad if you want to
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: go with, Current form ray makes.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: More, sense.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah. You know AND again i put less Weight into
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: sasaki's matchup numbers because some of that was him coming
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: out of. The bullpen, so yeah over makes sense to.
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: ME here i DON'T know i would not Play. The
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: dodgers you want To, back sasaki, Go ahead i'm not gonna,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: do that, no way and. Their bullpen. Absolutely not there's
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: no WAY that i would Play the dodgers in. This
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: game yeah the shred er you mean from Teenage Mutant,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: NINJA turtles i. DON'T know i don't Know Who aroku Sasaki?
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: Is otani what does that have to do with? This game?
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: All, right uh that's it for.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: BASEBALL hockey I wish i had more hockey plays to,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: give You but i'm treading. PRETTY lightly i think we're
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: one one in one in hockey playoffs. SO far i
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: don't see a good angle right. NOW here i think
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: we might have a good angle in some of these. Upcoming.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: GAMES dude i used to watch The Old ninja turtles.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: NINETIES cartoon i watched it all. The Time man Carolina.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: And ottawa carolina is up in the series three, to
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: oh and IN, the nba no team has ever come
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: back from down three. To oh so teams just kind
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: of pack it in when they're down three. To oh
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: but that's not what happens. In HOCKEY as i tend,
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: to reiterate, in hockey like five teams have been able
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: to overcome a three to zero DEFICIT before, i think
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: or maybe, four whatever it is something.
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: Like that, and.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: Hockey these players are just a different. Breed man it's
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: a closer sport and they refuse. To quit hockey is
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: the sport where the, men play you KNOW what? I,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: mean like teams do not lay down when they're down
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: three to oh and in fact they actually typically they.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: Play well and this has been a, Close. Series carolina
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: it Is possible carolina does take their foot off the
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: gas a little bit because they are up three. To
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: zero the series is pretty much in, hand here they're
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: still on. The road every one of the games in
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: the series has. Been competitive ottawa's played them. Pretty Well,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: although carolina, you Know with anderson playing really well, in
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: net they have pretty much figured, it out which was
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: the question coming into. The, Playoffs, now carolina in the,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: last game they Did outplay ottawa. A bit they did,
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: outshoot them they did outface. Off them ottawa was the
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: more physical team and out. HIT them i am gonna
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: Lean to. Ottawa here the.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: Team down three to zero, at home it's their.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: Last gasp you're probably gonna get a huge effort out
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: of them because it's.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: Hockey again it's not like the three IN.
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: The nba carolina up to minus one twenty seven here
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: is the mine has gone up a. Little bit it's
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit higher than it was in the. LAST
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: game i think sixty four percent of the tickets Are.
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: On carolina i'm sixty nine percent of the Cash. On
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: ottawa so the money is agreeing with Me. ON ottawa
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: i don't really want to make it, a Play but
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: I'll lean. Ottawa. Here, yeah, Actually yeah ottawa was a
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: favorite in, game three, so yeah what are we talking? About,
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: here yeah so, you know it is Actually tempting ottawa being,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: a favorite, you know.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: Like the Oddsmakers shifting carolina to.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: THE favorite, i mean they are kind of telling you
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: that there is kind of a tendency for that team
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: down three to let down a. Little BIT but i
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: really don't think they do, in HOCKEY and i don't
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: think this line is. Totally Justified if ottawa was favored
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: at Home in game three and they're still at home
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: here down three, to zero getting an, underdog price that
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: makes me like it a little. BIT more i still
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: don't want to put it on, my CARD but I
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: LIKE ottawa i think it's the strongest out of these three.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: Games, Today Actually ottawa.
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: Dallas. At minnesota this has been a back and. Forth
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: series Minnesota blewe dallas out in, game one but statistically it.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: Was close every game has been statistically, pretty Close although
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: minnesota did kind Of outstat dallas in game two on
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: the road a little bit. But lost and then last
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: game was. Really close and if you didn't see what
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: happened in, That game dallas won four. To three they
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: scored three power, play goals including the winning goal in,
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: double overtime so they got pretty aided by penalties there
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: and the game the goal that won the game, Double
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: overtime minnesota accidentally hit the puck over.
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: The, glass like how brutal?
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: Is, that like that's a penalty, by rule it's a
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: two minute penalty for delay, of game and that. Was
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: it that was the power Play that dallas. Won on
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: that is Brutal. From minnesota but then if, that happens
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: then it might be Tough for minnesota to get off
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: the mat, after that you KNOW what. I mean losing
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: a game like that is. Absolutely brutal dallas did out
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: shoot them slightly in. The game the game was, Very,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: Close statistically dallas won the face offs by a. Little
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: bit minnesota was a little bit more aggressive with the
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: physicality with.
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: The hits this is a, close, Series.
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: Dude i'm gonna, Tell. YOU minnesota i mean they made
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: that huge pick up at the trade Deadline Of. QUINN
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: hughes I think dallas Has the dallas definitely has, more
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: experience and they have the better Goalie And. JAKE ottinger
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: i don't think either team's gonna not show. UP here,
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: i mean walstet has been pretty good in Net for minnesota.
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: As well i'm gonna slightly Lean towards minnesota just because
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit more urgency here down. To one
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: you can't lose at home and go down three to
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: one and have to go back with two road games Remaining.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: At dallas that's not gonna. Be Good so I'll.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: Lean minnesota but seventy two percent, of ticket seventy nine
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, on them they're at minus one.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: THIRTY three i think they were similarly priced in the.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: Last game let, Me, see yeah they were right around
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: the same price in the. Last game slight lean for Me,
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota but i'm not really bullish, on it And
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: then Pittsburgh. And philadelphia philadelphia is up THREE to ozho,
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: As well but this is a little bit different Than
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: the ottawa One because ottawa's, at home down three.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: To OH so i think the thought also, is that, you.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: Know, for ottawa if this is gonna be our last
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: game that we played, this year let's make it a,
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: good one you KNOW what, i mean give the fans something.
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: AT home i don't Know if pittsburgh can have that
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: same mentality when they're on, the road even though they're
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: still in their home state and they still will have
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: a crowd. Show up but this has been a bad Series.
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: For pittsburgh philadelphia is clearly the. Better team philadelphia a,
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: better goaltending. Better deepfense, you know maybe you could make
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: an argument that the last game was a little bit
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: Misleading because Philadelphia won game three five, to two and
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: it was closer, than that, you know. It was philadelphia
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: led pretty much the, whole game but it was three
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: to two in the. Third period there was an empty
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: net goal at. The end philadelphia extended the league with a.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: Power play both teams actually did have two power play
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: goals in, the game though, the Statistically though philadelphia was
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: way More physical the number of shots were, the Same
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: but philadelphia won a lot of the faceoffs and they
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: had way. More hits, So, yeah philadelphia the physicality.
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: Is just too much for a finesse Team.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: Like, Pittsburgh, man philadelphia, better goaltending, better physicality. Better, defense
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: yeah they've been the better team of. The series all,
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: these games by, the way, are TRUE, TRUE tv TBS And.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: Hbo max, You know i'm gonna Lean to pittsburgh just
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: for like a last gas type.
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 3: Of.
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: Effort here the line is a little bit up from where.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: IT was I think philly was.
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: About minus, one ten minus one eleven in the. Previous
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: game they're at minus one fifteen, now here seventy eight
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty two.
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: Percent of the cash.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: On them i'll still Lean to pittsburgh as like a,
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: last GAS but i really don't. Love it you know
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: that one is going to be a stay away, from
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: me and they're not, at home so, you know we'll
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: see what. Happens there, but Yeah pitt philadelphia to win
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: that series in, my BRACKET and i know the rest
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: of my bracket is not, going well but we need
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: some of these teams down one to two to turn. It, around,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: man UH totals i don't really have a good. FEEL
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: for i don't really do much with the hockey totals, at,
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: all so, you know other than, you know some regular
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: season OVERS that i gave out, last year, but yeah
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: the totals are all pretty much five and a half six.
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: At hockey just, you know, for reference it looks like
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: money kind of coming in on the over In The carolina,
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: Autowa game and you, KNOW what i kind of agree,
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: with that because when a team is up three, to
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: zero which is also the Case With, philadelphia pittsburgh sometimes
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: the team that's up three to zero will just kind
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: of let down defensively just a, little bit you KNOW what,
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: i mean even though, it's hockey so it might not
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: happen to, that degree but that might be the reason
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: kind of for the over getting a little bit of
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: traction in those. Two games and then the under seems
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: to be getting some Money In, dallas MINNESOTA which, i
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: agree that's a more competitive game there in a two to,
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: one series. All right, And, yeah houston by, the way
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: absolutely Imploding when houston was up six in the final
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: minute Against. The Lakers this, houston team this is an
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: unacceptable series Loss for houston as like a minus five hundred,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: something FAVORITE which i did say they were probably favorite
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: too heavily in. THAT series i thought the series is gonna,
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: go DEEP but i did Not think houston was gonna
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: lose the series and especially not get swept out. Of
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: it just absolutely ridiculous as a favorite in every GAME
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: with la without their two, Best players it's. Completely, insane
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: houston they have some. MAJOR problems i think they're gonna
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: have to make some. Huge, changes anyway we're talking about.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: Today's games are four of Them ON Peacock NBC, sports
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: nbc and the last game IS, on ABC and i
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: do have a play in that game, as WELL and
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: i have a play in the first game in.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: The afternoon let's.
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: Do it we're going with a total in. THIS game
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: i just think it makes a lot. Of sense we're
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: gonna go Over In, detroit orlando and people might not
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: want to do this because the last game was so.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: Low scoring.
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: THE total i founded it two thirteen and a HALF
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: at i forget which book. It was one of the books.
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: HAD it i think it might have been the book
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: that starts WITH.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: A b it's not.
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: Available everywhere it's mostly at two fourteen to fourteen and,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: a HALF but i still think that that's a good number.
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: As well and, of course pregame the JavaScript died, again
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: here so. That's great, this, TOTAL yeah i mean it's
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: gone up a little bit to. Two fifteen the money
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: is absolutely hammering the. Over here fifty one percent tickets on,
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: the under sixty five percent of the cash on THE
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: over I would i would find it, at too fourteen and.
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: A half hopefully you can still find a number like that.
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: Out there it's. GOING up i apologize because, YOU know
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: i handicapped this stuff AND then i start doing the
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: show and the number moves. A BIT but i still
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: think there's a little bit of value there because the
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: total in the previous game was two nineteen and, a
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: half which still isn't really that high as far AS
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: the nba.
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: Totals GO.
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: So i think we are getting some, Value here like
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: the total is still four or five points lower, than this,
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: you know so the and why do the books? Do,
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: THAT well i think it's because the last game was
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: unbelievab probably. Low scoring we Won on detroit in, that
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: game by, THE way i guess kind of luckily because
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: well Not luckily detroit definitely dominated, the game but it's
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: it's a low. Scoring game is not really what you
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: want when you have, a favorite but it. Didn't matter
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: it was definitely a correct side for. Us there detroit
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: absolutely dominated the third quarter in.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 2: That.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: Game anyway the final score landed in the one seventies in,
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: That game so nobody's gonna.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: Want the, OVER here i. Don't think but if you
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: look at what happened in.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: The game the three point shooting was absolutely abysmal in,
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: the game twenty five Percent, from orlando twenty three Percent.
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: From detroit that's likely to have some.
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: Positive regression orlando shot thirty three percent from, the field
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: so they didn't shoot well whatsoever in. THE game i
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna see some regression. THERE positively, i Mean
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: and detroit only hit fifty eight percent of their, free
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: throws and they're like a seventy something percent free throw,
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: shooting team LIKE most nba. Teams are so that's where
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: we're going in, this, game man we're GOING over i
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: think there's gonna be a lot of positive Regression after orlando.
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: Shot terribly both teams shot terribly from three. Point range
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: the free throw shooting was unbelievably Bad. FOR detroit i
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: don't think any of those things is really gonna happen
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: again to, that extent and if some of those things,
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: go differently the game is definitely gonna be a bit.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: Higher scoring and let's remember the first game in the
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: series was right around. This number it landed, two thirteen
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: so it got. Really close and there's a reason why the,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: total is, you know even as high as it is
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: now though it actually has dropped from where it was
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: in the first, TWO games i think based on the first.
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 2: Two results but also these.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: Game threes sometimes you see higher scoring game threes even
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: though the teams are going to a. Different arena but IT'S.
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: THE nba, i mean basically every arena is, pretty uniform
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: so you don't have to worry about sight lines like
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: in college or anything. Like That, AND orlando, i mean
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: they started trying to play like a faster pace game this, year,
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: Too though so the total dropping as low as it
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: has is a little bit crazy.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: To ME so i do like the over.
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: Here as far as, the side, YOU know, i mean
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: if you like, the, Zigzag yeah orlando did. Shoot terribly
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: they'd get, BLOWN out, I know Sob. Likes. Orlando here
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: my first thought about it WAS that i Didn't like
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: orlando Here because detroit is the. Better team but, you
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: KNOW maybe i actually do AGREE with sob on that,
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: Because again orlando shot so badly in, that Game but
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: detroit dominated the rebound. Battle though that's the CONCERN that,
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: i have is That somehow detroit dominated the, rebound battle
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: But also orlando went to the free throw, line more
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: which makes no sense Because if detroit is gonna be
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: the more dominant, paint TEAM which i think they, might
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: Be because orlando's more of a perimeter kind of base
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: team or, you know kind, OF well i don't want,
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: to say like a, range team but they're not really an.
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 2: Inside team let's say.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: You might see some regression there as far as the
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: amount of free Throws that. Orlando gets And if detroit
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: dominated the rebound battle, like that clearly they were the.
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: Better TEAM so i. Don't know, But, yeah orlando they're
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: a more experienced team and they're at, home here, so
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: yeah and they got blown out in the, last game
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: so you're right about. All that they definitely should shoot
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: better in, this game so that's gonna be one of
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: the things that. Should REGRESS but i think or, REGRESS positively,
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: i Mean but detroit's positive regression from the free throw
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: line should come in. As well so that's kind of
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: THE issue i have. With it money is coming In.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: On detroit they're a two, point favorite sixty four percent
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: of ticket sixty two seventy two percent of the cash.
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: On them, excuse me, you KNOW maybe i will slightly Lean,
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: to ORLANDO but i think the over is the way
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: to go with. This game, but again you're gonna have
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: to go a little bit higher than the NUMBER that i.
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: Found there try to find the two fourteen and. A
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: half i don't KNOW if i want to do it
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: higher than two, FIFTEEN though, i think, you know some
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: of the values starts. Getting erased it did open it.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: To seventeen it initially got, SLAMMED down i think because
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: it was a set up to actually come in and
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: try to take.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: The over, But yes i'm going over in. The game
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: hopefully we. Get it we'll see. What happens that's my first.
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: Play there second, game up and by, the, Way, YEAH orlando,
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: i mean they're decent, At home just so we have that.
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: Out there twenty five. And fifteen detroit is better at
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: home than on. The road still twenty eight and thirteen
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: on the road is, not bad so, you Know.
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: But detroit is a little bit worse on the road than.
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: At Home oklahoma City, AT phoenix i, don't, KNOW man,
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: I mean oklahoma might might make short Work of. Phoenix
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: here phoenix is fairly good. At home twenty five At Sixteen,
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: oka see thirty and ten on the road is still.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: QUITE good, i mean we know that the best team IN,
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 1: the nba. OKAY see i mean they didn't do as
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: well in. GAME two i told You THAT phoenix i
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: thought would cover in, game two and, they did even
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: though they still lost by. Double Digits oklahoma city had
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: annihilated them in the, first GAME so, i Think, okay
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: see just didn't really put in a full effort. Last
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: time maybe that means they will actually show up with
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: more intensity Here. AGAINST phoenix i don't have a good
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: read on. This game thunder or a nine. Point favorite
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: they were seventeen though in the last game. At home,
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: so like does flipping venues justify an eight? POINT move
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: i don't really think that.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 2: It does all these moves have, been big Like the.
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: Pistons were that line moved about SEVEN and i know
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: you have to give home. Court more it's more of
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: an advantage in, the playoffs there's no doubt. About that, but,
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: STILL like i don't THINK the nba has that much home,
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: court ADVANTAGE like i, was saying probably it's two in,
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: the playoffs maybe two and.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: A HALF so i.
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: DON'T know i think a lot of these lines get
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: over adjusted going to the. Other venue But the suns
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: do fit that spot where they're down two coming, back
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: home and usually if a team's gonna give you their,
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: best effort they're gonna do it in. That game, the
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: total by, the way the money looks like it's coming
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: in towards. The under it's dropped a couple of points
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: to two fourteen in public.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: Kind of hitting the.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: Over here less of the money on The, over phoenix
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: if they're, gonna cover they probably need it to be
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: more of an undergame here so they could keep the
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: game a little. Bit closer sixty seven percent of tickets
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: and cash on the. THUNDER here, I mean I guess
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: i'll slightly Lean to phoenix there because of the two
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: coming back, home ANGLE but i don't have a strong opinion. On, It,
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: okay see by, the way we got to figure out
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: what's gonna Happen With, jalen williams who is one of their.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: Better players, he's out he has a. Hamstring STRAINS so
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: i don't think they're gonna need him in, this series
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: but he is one of their best. Defensive players if
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna make a run at the, ACTUAL championship i
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: think they might need him at.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 2: Some point man not in.
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: This series, so yeah he's not gonna play in. This
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: game get, him, Rested whatever but, you know at, some
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: Point okay s's gonna. NEED him, i think even though
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: they're a really Deep team Knicks, at atlanta, YOU know
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: i considered this game as being. A play the money
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: is really Really the, knicks HERE and i do agree
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: With the. Knicks here they're, Down two they're down one
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: to two now on the. Road here if The zig zag,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: holds Up the knicks two kind of makes. Sense here
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: we lost on them in the, last, game though they're
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: around the same. Favorite two they were like a one
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: point favorite in the last, game though but hopefully that
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Too much seventy two, percent tickets eighty six
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash On. The Knicks although i'm not
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: gonna make this, a play and, YOU know, I mean
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: i'm rooting Against the KNICKS because i can't, stand, them so,
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: you KNOW but i think they're gonna win.
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 2: This game money is also coming in towards the under in.
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 1: This one the total is at, two fifteen but more
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: of the public percentage on the over in.
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: That, one Now the knicks kind.
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: Of got there is one angle HERE that i think Helps,
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: the knicks and THAT is I think atlanta is gonna
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: massively regress on the three point side. Of, Things now
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: atlanta did have a lead for this whole, game basically
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: But the knicks probably could have won, the game should
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: have won the game at. The End the knicks did
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: lead by three in the game near, the end and
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: they had a one point lead with one possession. To
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: go basically had one more chance and, Blew it knicks
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: could have won. That game man have given us a
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: win on. That PLAY but i think where the regression
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: might come in is the. Three pointers atlanta shown almost
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: forty percent from three, point range and they were hitting
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: like fifty percent of their threes. Early On the knicks
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: were just awful from three point range twenty. NINE percent
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: i think we're gonna see a little bit of. Regression
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: THERE so i think we could see some, Regression there but,
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: then again you could argue that the free throws are
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: gonna regress in a. Different WAY so i Said the
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: knicks were not gonna be anywhere near as bad as
• 1:57:37
  Speaker 1: they shot at the free throw line in the, first
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: game and that. Was true they hit ninety percent of
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: their free throws. Last game but Now it's atlanta that
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: shot sixty nine percent from the free. Throw line they
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: might shoot better, this time And the knicks might shoot
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: worse because ninety percent is just kind of a crazy
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: outlier from the free. Throw LINE so i leaned To the,
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: knicks here but there are some ISSUE that i have,
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: with it and the final score kind of was a
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: little bit misleading, JUST well i don't know if it.
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: REALLY was, i mean the game was statistically close in
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: a lot, of ways the rebounding. WAS close i just
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: Think that atlanta got out to that big lead because
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: they were hitting a ton. Of threes so it's a
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: hard handicap. FOR me i lean To, the knicks but
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: it's not the Game that i'm gonna have a play.
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: On here you probably already know what it's going to
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: be by THE way i keep forgetting to mention in,
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: These games i'm gonna mention It with phoenix when they're.
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: Down two teams that are down two when they come,
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: back home they tend to do really well in the.
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 2: First half so.
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: The books have really adjusted, to that because if they're
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: gonna put in a, huge effort a lot of times
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: it happens in the, first half and then sometimes the
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: better team will still overwhelm them later in, the game
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: which did not Happen with toronto the.
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 2: Other day by, The way toronto.
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: Was able to do, it anyway but usually you see
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: the books have gone on, to that and the books
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: have skewed, the line like In that, Toronto game toronto
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: was a three point dog for the, whole game but
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 1: they were only a half point dog in the, first
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: half you KNOW what. I mean so the books two things,
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: like that although in this game it's actually, less EXTREME
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: like I think phoenix is a five point dog in
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: the first half, or something where you'd think that they
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: would be like a three, point dog and well maybe,
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: not three, like four maybe in the. First half if,
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: that continues because the books know that these teams come
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: out and they play harder in the first, half usually
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: Uh so phoenix first half might actually be a way
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: to look at. That game get them to come out
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: and play strong in the, first half you KNOW what,
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: i mean before the thunder might overwhelm them later and
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: YOU'RE getting i think a five. On THAT like, i
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: said so it's a decent number in, that one and
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: it's lower than half of the full game spread for that. Exact,
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: reason THOUGH like, i said the books do it for.
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: A reason they're trying to, you know there's less value on,
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: it now but maybe that is an approach in. That
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: game the number is not. That bad but the final,
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: PLAY here i think is obvious what we're, doing here
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH usually I know i like TO say i like,
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: better deepfense but not in this. Particular spot we're gonna
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: go With The denver nuggets. MINUS one, i mean they
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: just had way too much of a blowout game in the.
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: Last game we have to. Zigzag this we're Gonna take Denver.
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: AGAINST minnesota i thought this would be a. Competitive Series
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: ian minnesota has Definitely given denver problems in other, playoff
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: series but these series have been long series where they
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: just go back, and forth you KNOW what. I mean
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: when you have a huge outlier like this after the
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: first two games were both, pretty close And then minnesota
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: Just destroyed denver in. This game, And yes minnesota is good,
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: at Home but denver actually is pretty decent on the.
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: Road too minnesota is not like unbelievable, at Home and
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: denver does play pretty well on. The road and Now
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: that denver is adjusted to Playing, IN minnesota i think
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: that's gonna help them a. Little bit. Tune out they
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: have a game under their Belt. In minnesota but the
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: most helpful THING is i think this is gonna be
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: a like this is an outlier type. Of, Game dude
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: denver shot horribly in. This game you could argue both
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: teams shot bad from three. Point range there might be
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: some argument to go over here because the first game
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: there went what was? The final here went, to uh
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: what was this two to? Oh NINE did i do that?
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: MATH right i?
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: Think so so it went way under the two.
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: Thirty one so there are some arguments for this game
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: to go over the total to the totals down to two,
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: Twenty nine but the money's hitting the under because this
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: has been a competitive series And The tea wolves they
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 1: are the, better defense there's no question. About that but
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: both teams shot poorly from three. Point range we had
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: poor free, throw well, not POOR but i. Don't know
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: minnesota's free throw shooting was a little.
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 2: BIT iffy i.
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: DON'T know, I mean i could see some arguments for
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: an under here after that game went way, low Scoring
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: but minnesota needs the game to be. LOW scoring i think, it's,
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: correlated Right because denver is an, elite offense you KNOW what,
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: i mean the best offense IN. The nba their defense.
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: Is questionable minnesota has the, better Defense so minnesota needs
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: it to be a defensive game. To win that's what
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: happened in. This GAME but i think it's going to be, a.
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: Turnaround dude the best offensive team IN the nba is
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna shoot thirty four percent again from. The field
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna hit twenty five percent from. THREE again
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: i know they went to the line, way more but
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: this game was just kind of out. Of control, And
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: yes minnesota did dominate, the REBOUNDS which i do worry
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: about a. Little bit That means minnesota was the. Better
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: team but it was such a blowout of, a. Game
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: dude when you see an outlier, like that this was an, Embarrassing.
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: GAME dude, i mean it was like at one Point,
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: that yeah it was seventy to forty nine at one
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: point in.
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: THE game, i mean it's.
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: Just Ridiculous like minnesota was winning by twenty something points
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: for almost the. ENTIRE game I think minnesota might get
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit cocky, After that like this is the
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: prototypical zig stereotypical whatever you want to. Call it zig
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: zag when you have a massive, outlier result you KNOW what,
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: I mean a lot of times you see something much
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: different in the, next game and people are gonna be
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: hesitant To want denver. After THAT but i think we're
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: gonna see a much. Better game there's gonna be. IF
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: you i don't do, player props so if you want some,
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: player props.
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 3: Do.
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: SOON move i don't even know who the fuck. That
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: is he's gonna regress dude ten for fifteen from the
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: free from the field and five or six from the
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: free throw line in. THAT game i don't even know who.
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: That IS but i don't, YOU know i don't think
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: he's gonna put up a game like. That again so,
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: you know if you want to go like an under
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 1: in the player, prop market he would definitely be. A
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: candidate i wouldn't want to, go under, you know some
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: of the, star players, You Know, anthony. EDWARDS whatever i
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: wouldn't go under with guys. Like, that uh but, you,
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: know yeah With Do soon MoU who played thirty two
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: points off the bench and had that massive of, an
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: explosion he's clearly a. Regression candidate and he might not
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: even play as much, because uh, you know and his
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: number is probably gonna be skewed a little bit too high.
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 2: After that, you know he might not play.
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: AS much i think the reason why he played so
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: much is because he got into the game in a,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: blowout situation you KNOW what.
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 2: I MEAN so i would be looking for, you.
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: Know potential this is just, YOU know i usually don't
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: talk about, player props but player props do kind of
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: fit zig zag angles, as well if that. Makes sense
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: and you could look For some denver guys to, go
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: over Like some denver guys that didn't have good like
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 1: if you find a star player that didn't have a,
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: good Game like jokich actually didn't do.
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 2: That well he was only seven for.
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: Twenty six he did it all of his, free throws
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: but this is a bad game by. His Standards jamal murray,
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: as well they both had bad. Shooting performances you can
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: maybe look for both those guys to go. Over there
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: i'm talking, about points but you could. GO yeah I
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: think i would focus on points with all THESE guys
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 1: i just.
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 2: TALKED about i would.
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: Go over, yokic Points over murray points in, this game
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: and Under dosoon mu points probably depending on what the.
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: Numbers are but, You know i'm not really a, prop
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: guy but those are THE things i would. FOCUS on
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: i think there's gonna be a huge bounce Back. FROM
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: denver i think the money is agreeing. With me the
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: number is still about, one one one and a half.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: Probably works you can find maybe a money line that
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: might be good. As well the money line looked like
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: it was around minus one twenty if you want to
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: do it. That way fifty percent, of tickets fifty eight
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on. THE nuggets i did already bet
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: this one at, minus one so, You know i'm not
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: going totally full bore.
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 2: With it, right NOW but i.
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: Am betting, you know like my absolute favorite out of
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: these plays. Right NOW but i like all the PLAYS
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: that i. Give out so there, You Go yes hockey The,
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: White man Yes White man sport IN the nba, now
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: Too because Jokic, and Luka The eastern europeans are. Taken, Over,
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 1: man hindian? What's up. THANKS man i. APPRECIATE it i.
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: Appreciate it everybody that's gonna. Do it the plays today one.
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: MORE time i know we're getting a little Juicy In
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: Major League baseball seattle money Line And White sox first five,
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: money LINE but i like those two. Matchups there we're
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: going over a rare total. FOR me I sometimes i'll
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: throw out totals IN the nba playoffs just because you
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: can find.
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 2: ZIG zags I probably i missed that one on the
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 2: Under in game two OF.
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: THE uh i think It Was. Toronto cleveland that one
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: should have been, a play but Whatever Over detroit orlando
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: is my. Play there And Then denver nuggets. Minus one
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: that's gonna. Do it let's have A, good. SATURDAY everybody
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: i gotta get. OUT here i gotta get this up,
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: On audio gotta Do the instagram videos. AS well i.
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: Appreciate it learn a Tone, on twitter learn it Toon,
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: On instagram like subscribe to the. Channel here let's get,
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: it going tell people. About it all that. Good stuff we're, On, Audio,
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 1: apple spotify give me good reviews. Over there listen that
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: helps me out. As well covered In yuke My yuke
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: channel that is not really getting much action. RIGHT now
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: i gotta get back to doing something. With it been
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: thinking of doing some karaoke videos, as WELL because i
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: am more of a vocalist than. Anything ELSE but i.
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: Don't know i'm thinking, about it AND then i don't
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 1: KNOW if i want to merge the channels, or NOT
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: but i keep thinking. About it pag round dot com
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 1: slash Learned it toe if you want to support me,
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: that way although not offering too much bonus stuff at.
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 2: The moment And Then.
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: Loser Cast, every tuesday you can check. THAT out I
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: think i have an idea for my loser, this week
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: probably is What, IT'S yeah i think my idea is
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: probably gonna. Be funny, SO yeah I think i'm gonna
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: go with IT if, I remember and then The G
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: spot giants podcast will be back at. Some point we
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: might have to do an episode to Analyze the giants
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: draft after. It's over and by, The way i'll be
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: back here on this channel WITH an Nfl win total
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: show just because it went well. Last year the THREE
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: that i listed as the ONES that i would actually play,
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: All one so if you're, into that you know we
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: could do that.
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 2: AS well i can talk. About, that yeah so that'll.
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: Come out i'm gonna do it like after the draft at,
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: some point so within the next few, Days probably and.
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 2: Is THAT all i had.
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: TO plug i was On Are You smarter Than? A
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 1: politician yesterday's you can go check that out. AS well,
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: i lost EVEN though i had a really. High score
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: everybody had really. High scores it was fun to hang.
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: Out There that kurt guy that was on. With me
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: i'm a fan of, that guy not just because he
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: looks sexy with his bald head just, like me but
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: he had like A four, k camera great. Looking setup
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: he's like a. CRYPTO guy i liked that guy's, vibe
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: MAN and i like his brother who has been following
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: Me on twitter for, A. BIT carl i think it is.
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 1: His brother that guy seems, Pretty based, SO yeah i like.
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 2: Those guys it was a.
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: Fun time but part of THE reason i lost is
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: because they have a lot of autistic like left libertarians
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: who all just they intentionally docked me points in the
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: chat just because they don't. Like Me and i'm, a bigot,
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 1: SO yeah i DON'T think i was too crazy on.
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: The show, i'm like, YOU know i think my answers
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: were correct, and GOOD so i. Don't know you can check.
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: It out it. WAS fun i like the people that.
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: RUN it, i like, You, know terry the old woman behind.
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 1: The scenes THEY'RE sorry i called. You, old yeah. SHE'S cool.
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: I like i liked talking to. Her backstage And, then
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: free the guy that. Runs it shout out, to him
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 1: a fun. Show man so that's gonna.
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 5: Do.
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 1: It though LET'S get i gotta get this stuff up.
• 2:09:07
  Speaker 1: On audio going to my parents.
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 2: As Well the.
• 2:09:10
  Speaker 1: Saturday, thing, peace guys let's have some. Wins, today Oh,
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: Mister pinsey i'll shut you OUT before i get out.
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: OF here I know i. ALREADY did.
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 2: I submitted they. Rejected me love On.
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: THE spectrum i submitted an application, To them, thank. You
• 2:09:31
  Speaker 1: sir THEY might i Don't, know netflix they might have
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: me on there and make me like a heel on.
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: The show.
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 2: The SHOW that i was just.
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: Talking, about yeah are you are you smarter than? A,
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: politician yes it's on YouTube unless i got it nuked
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: for talking about the country that starts with. An eye
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: but they asked about it in one of their, Questions
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: TOO so i. DON'T know i DON'T think i really
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 1: did anything to get. It, NUKED yeah i think it's.
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: On YouTube it usually is, on YouTube BUT unless i
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 1: got it, in nuked then yes. It is, And, YEAH
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: netflix i, don't.
• 2:10:06
  Speaker 5: Know.
• 2:10:08
  Speaker 1: DUDE yeah i started watching the new Season of Beef.
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: On netflix the first season got really out, of CONTROL
• 2:10:14
  Speaker 1: and i Don't Like ali wong in the. First season
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: she's not funny at all. The show, you know it's,
• 2:10:19
  Speaker 1: dark comedy a beef between people that.
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 2: Just escalates it was a.
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: Road rage incident in the, first season but it, also has,
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: you know this stupid leftist undertones With Oh ali wong
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 1: is this. Rich bitch and, You Know STEVEN yung i
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: think was the main dude in It from Glenn From The.
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: Walking dead he was this kind of poor kid that's
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: sort of the more. Sympathetic guy they're really they're both bad, in.
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 1: It though.
• 2:10:45
  Speaker 2: SECOND season i don't know what's going.
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: On yet, right now it seems like it's gonna be
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: rich versus poor again with the bad people seem like
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: they're people that run this country club and these two
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: young people that work at the club that are in
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 1: a RELATIONSHIP or i guess the PRO tag. I don't
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: i don't know what's. Going on i'm watching, it though
• 2:11:02
  Speaker 1: to see if it's. Any good that's my. Current watching
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: i'm just throwing that. Out there that's gonna. DO it i.
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 2: Appreciate, it, peace everybody
• 2:11:15
  Speaker 3: M