Latest / Pod Save America / “Monsters on the Hill.”
Transcript
- 0:21Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:23Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:24Speaker 1: On today's show, Mike Pence joins the Classified Hoarders Club.
- 0:28Speaker 1: The MAGA House grabs the third rail of American politics.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Donald Trump is on top of the polls and back
- 0:33Speaker 1: on Facebook. Congressman Ruben Gallego stops by to talk about
- 0:37Speaker 1: his run for Arizona Senate. And later, we test our
- 0:41Speaker 1: knowledge of Trump's posting habits with a new game called
- 0:45Speaker 1: Truth or False. Fantastic.
- 0:48Speaker 2: How do we pass up on just two truths and
- 0:50Speaker 2: a lie?
- 0:50Speaker 1: Two truths. Oh, we have two truths and a fake.
- 0:55Speaker 2: We have two takes in a fake, two truths.
- 0:57Speaker 1: Two takes in a fake, that's what it's called.
- 0:59Speaker 2: We have two takes in a fake, we have two
- 1:00Speaker 2: truths in a lie. Either way, it doesn't matter.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Look, it's a narrow band that we're ideating around.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Good use of ideating.
- 1:10Speaker 1: As the tech bros say.
- 1:13Speaker 2: TLDR, it's the same game.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Anyway, grab some crooked coffee to start your day right. See,
- 1:22Speaker 1: Crooked Coffee's actually in here. Our medium and dark roast
- 1:27Speaker 1: blends are specialty grade, delicious, and ethically sourced, just like
- 1:31Speaker 1: my Dunkin's is. Best part, every order supports Vote Save
- 1:36Speaker 1: America's Every Last Vote Fund. Dunkin' does not. You can't
- 1:39Speaker 1: say that about Dunkin' Donuts. Not yet, at least. If
- 1:42Speaker 1: you guys want to sponsor the Every Last Vote Fund,
- 1:43Speaker 1: let us know. But anyway, right now you can get
- 1:46Speaker 1: Crooked Coffee, which does... sponsor the Every Last Vote Fund
- 1:49Speaker 1: and is delicious. All you have to do is head
- 1:51Speaker 1: over to cricket.com slash coffee to give it a try today.
- 1:54Speaker 1: Do you think that's the endorsement that the marketing team wanted?
- 1:59Speaker 2: I think that it's very likely that Elijah's going to
- 2:00Speaker 2: spend this afternoon trying to black out the giant cup
- 2:04Speaker 2: of Dunkin' Coffee you've recorded that promo with.
- 2:09Speaker 1: Pry it from my cold, dead hand. All right, let's
- 2:12Speaker 1: get to the news. Former Vice President Mike Pence of
- 2:15Speaker 1: Hang Mike Pence fame finally might be headed to the
- 2:18Speaker 1: gallows after the FBI picked up a few classified documents
- 2:22Speaker 1: from his home, which is apparently where you stash all
- 2:25Speaker 1: the state secrets that all the cool presidents and vice
- 2:28Speaker 1: presidents are treating like White House souvenirs these days. Everyone's
- 2:32Speaker 1: doing it. Pence initially said during an interview that he
- 2:35Speaker 1: didn't take any classified documents, but after the interview, he
- 2:39Speaker 1: got a lawyer to look around just in case, and
- 2:41Speaker 1: sure enough, there they were. Like Biden and unlike Trump,
- 2:46Speaker 1: Pence notified the authorities immediately and has promised full cooperation.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Though the whole situation has put his right-wing pals in
- 2:53Speaker 1: a tricky spot, here's esteemed journalist Jesse Waters reacting to
- 2:58Speaker 1: the news.
- 2:59Speaker 2: I mean, Pence, seriously. We have this great thing.
- 3:02Speaker 1: Going with Joe. Yeah, and he just ruined it. Come on, man.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Well, what are we going to do? And then he
- 3:08Speaker 2: confessed to it.
- 3:09Speaker 1: I mean, he could have just destroyed it. We never
- 3:11Speaker 1: would have known.
- 3:12Speaker 3: And we have to be fair and balanced and show
- 3:13Speaker 3: both sides.
- 3:14Speaker 4: I know.
- 3:14Speaker 2: Now we have to show both sides.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Honestly. Elijah says that that is one of the best. No,
- 3:22Speaker 1: Elijah says the five is one of the best.
- 3:23Speaker 2: That is the five.
- 3:24Speaker 1: That's the five.
- 3:25Speaker 2: That's the five.
- 3:26Speaker 1: I thought Jesse Watershow was different than the five.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Well, John.
- 3:29Speaker 1: The five is Greg Gutfield.
- 3:30Speaker 2: Let me explain to you how this works.
- 3:33Speaker 1: We're off on a tangent already.
- 3:35Speaker 2: There is the Iron Man movie, the Thor movie. Then
- 3:39Speaker 2: they all get together for the Avengers. That is the five.
- 3:44Speaker 2: Gutfeld has his own show. Jesse Waters has his own show.
- 3:47Speaker 1: But it's all The Five.
- 3:49Speaker 2: Then they all come together for The Five.
- 3:50Speaker 1: It's all part of the Fox cinematic universe.
- 3:52Speaker 2: Yes, and The Five has now beats Tucker Carlson on
- 3:56Speaker 2: a regular basis and is the most watched non-sports show
- 3:58Speaker 2: on cable television.
- 4:00Speaker 1: Well, I brought that up because, you know, A... Points
- 4:03Speaker 1: for honesty. B, that's thoroughly entertaining. Thoroughly entertaining. You know,
- 4:08Speaker 1: they're just admitting it, which I think is great. All right.
- 4:10Speaker 1: What the hell is going on here, Dan? Why does
- 4:12Speaker 1: everyone have classified documents? By the way, right before we
- 4:14Speaker 1: started recording, there was breaking news.
- 4:17Speaker 4: Oh, no.
- 4:17Speaker 1: The National Archives has now formally sent a letter to
- 4:21Speaker 1: all the living presidents and vice presidents saying, hey, could
- 4:25Speaker 1: you recheck... Everything, could you recheck your homes for any
- 4:31Speaker 1: classified documents or any other presidential records you may not
- 4:36Speaker 1: have returned. So now they all get a letter from
- 4:38Speaker 1: the National Archives.
- 4:40Speaker 2: It's like nine people. Send a group text.
- 4:44Speaker 1: Yeah, like Dan Quayle woke up and got a letter
- 4:46Speaker 1: this morning. That's probably the first time anyone remembered Dan
- 4:49Speaker 1: Quayle was around. Is Dan Quayle around? Yeah, I think so.
- 4:52Speaker 2: I was doing a quick mental check. It's like he
- 4:55Speaker 2: was trending on Twitter recently. Does that, did he do
- 4:57Speaker 2: something dumb or is, is it a Murphy Brown anniversary
- 5:01Speaker 2: or is he dead? I think he's alive.
- 5:02Speaker 4: Okay.
- 5:03Speaker 1: You know, apparently representatives for the, for the living presidents
- 5:07Speaker 1: now have all already told CNN that they have returned
- 5:11Speaker 1: all classified documents. I mean, of course that's what they say.
- 5:14Speaker 1: Who knows?
- 5:14Speaker 2: I mean, Their reasons make sense. Obama's, he's incredibly responsible
- 5:20Speaker 2: and assiduous. George W. Bush, he doesn't read. There are
- 5:23Speaker 2: all kinds of reasons.
- 5:25Speaker 1: All right.
- 5:27Speaker 2: I know you asked a question in there somewhere, and
- 5:28Speaker 2: I think it was, what's going on?
- 5:30Speaker 1: Like, what the hell's going on here? Why does everyone
- 5:32Speaker 1: keep taking classified documents?
- 5:33Speaker 2: The only reason I can come up with is our
- 5:38Speaker 2: government is run by a secret cabal of document hoarders.
- 5:41Speaker 2: That's the only thing. I have no idea what is happening.
- 5:44Speaker 1: I mean, I do think probably we're going to find
- 5:46Speaker 1: out at some point down the road that over classification
- 5:49Speaker 1: is a problem, which people have been saying for a
- 5:51Speaker 1: long time. And perhaps some of these documents are not
- 5:55Speaker 1: super top secret and do not contain the nuclear secrets,
- 5:59Speaker 1: which trumps may. But as we learned with the great
- 6:05Speaker 1: Hillary email fiasco, the original classified document hoarder of 2016,
- 6:11Speaker 1: as we learned from that, that like, you know, some
- 6:13Speaker 1: of her emails that were marked classified were like a
- 6:18Speaker 1: newspaper article that the government decided to mark secret for
- 6:22Speaker 1: some stupid reason.
- 6:24Speaker 2: I mean, it's, it's really, I guess everyone over learned
- 6:27Speaker 2: the lessons of Hillary's problem, which is she puts her
- 6:29Speaker 2: classified documents on a private server, gets in trouble. So
- 6:32Speaker 2: they go, no, we're going to, we're going to keep
- 6:33Speaker 2: hard copies.
- 6:34Speaker 1: And then they get, we're going to print them out
- 6:35Speaker 1: and put them in our fucking garage.
- 6:37Speaker 2: She didn't just for the record, she did not keep
- 6:39Speaker 2: classified documents on her personal server.
- 6:42Speaker 1: Just want to stipulate that. Yeah, that's because she used
- 6:44Speaker 1: the bleach bit and the hammer to destroy it. Sorry.
- 6:48Speaker 1: All right, so Donald Trump had a surprising reaction to
- 6:53Speaker 1: the news, flip-flopping from his position that his former vice
- 6:57Speaker 1: president deserves to be hung to his new position that, quote,
- 7:00Speaker 1: Mike Pence is an innocent man. He never did anything
- 7:03Speaker 1: knowingly dishonest in his life. Leave him alone. Donald Trump
- 7:09Speaker 1: goes with the leave Britney alone defense. What do you
- 7:11Speaker 1: think that was all about?
- 7:13Speaker 2: Not a clue. Honestly, not a clue. Maybe I think
- 7:16Speaker 2: he reflexively defends fellow criminals. This is probably the first
- 7:19Speaker 2: time he's ever felt a connection of any sort with
- 7:21Speaker 2: Mike Pence. And it is like pretty funny that he
- 7:25Speaker 2: hears Mike Pence may have committed a crime. So he
- 7:26Speaker 2: rushes to his defense, but he endorses his hanging for
- 7:29Speaker 2: refusing to commit a crime on January 6th.
- 7:31Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, that's very on brand. I mean, I was
- 7:33Speaker 1: going to say my guess is like the conspiracy that
- 7:36Speaker 1: the deep state is after Trump and his MAGA crew
- 7:40Speaker 1: is more valuable to him right now than picking a
- 7:43Speaker 1: fight with Pence, who he sees as weak and not
- 7:47Speaker 1: particularly a threat in the next election. Really? If calling
- 7:51Speaker 1: for Mike Pence's hanging was more valuable to Trump, he
- 7:54Speaker 1: would do that. That's sort of my guess. And has.
- 8:00Speaker 1: And has. And has, yeah. And may again. Do you
- 8:03Speaker 1: think the Pence revelation changes the politics of this issue
- 8:07Speaker 1: for either Biden or Trump.
- 8:09Speaker 2: Here's my lukewarm take. The politics of the document stuff
- 8:14Speaker 2: is dramatically overstated for Biden and Trump.
- 8:18Speaker 1: Yeah, that's sort of my lukewarm take as well.
- 8:20Speaker 2: I guess it's not really that lukewarm take.
- 8:23Speaker 1: Do you tell everyone why you think that?
- 8:25Speaker 2: I think the two caveats to that lukewarm take are, one,
- 8:28Speaker 2: if Trump were to be indicted for his handling of
- 8:32Speaker 2: the documents, his obstruction of justice, then the politics would
- 8:35Speaker 2: matter somewhat.
- 8:37Speaker 1: Think an indictment of a former president, current front runner
- 8:40Speaker 1: might move the needle?
- 8:41Speaker 2: Only a little bit, to be honest. And I think
- 8:45Speaker 2: that it is possible that the way Trump handled it,
- 8:50Speaker 2: the looming legal investigation could be an argument that someone
- 8:54Speaker 2: can make against his electability in a Republican primary. But
- 8:58Speaker 2: if you fast forward to the general election, it's just
- 9:00Speaker 2: hard to imagine that this is an issue one way
- 9:03Speaker 2: or the other. And a lot of the way people
- 9:04Speaker 2: talk about the political problems for Biden, is that it
- 9:08Speaker 2: has nullified some advantage he has over Trump, as if
- 9:11Speaker 2: he was ever going to run his campaign in the
- 9:14Speaker 2: fall of 2024 about how Donald Trump, a man who
- 9:18Speaker 2: cheated on his taxes, incited insurrection, rigged the Supreme Court
- 9:22Speaker 2: so it could overturn Roe v. Wade, that the issue
- 9:25Speaker 2: that would be the centerpiece of his campaign would be
- 9:28Speaker 2: document management in the year 2022. I just don't think
- 9:31Speaker 2: that was ever going to really.
- 9:32Speaker 1: Yeah, when has that ever been in Central?
- 9:34Speaker 3: Well, I think that that is....
- 9:36Speaker 2: I mean, the pushback to that that you're hinting at is, well,
- 9:40Speaker 2: Hillary's emails were a problem for her. And I just
- 9:44Speaker 2: think it's a very unique situation with a very different
- 9:46Speaker 2: candidacy and a very different race. And Trump is a
- 9:49Speaker 2: different candidate in 2024 than he was in 2016 in many,
- 9:54Speaker 2: many ways.
- 9:56Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 9:56Speaker 1: I mean, I totally agree with this. Right now, most
- 10:00Speaker 1: voters think that both Trump and Biden did something bad,
- 10:04Speaker 1: even though most voters think that Trump did something worse
- 10:07Speaker 1: than Biden, but they're not happy with either of them
- 10:10Speaker 1: over this. And I don't think that surprises voters because
- 10:13Speaker 1: voters tend to believe all politicians do bad things and
- 10:16Speaker 1: don't have a lot of faith in politicians right now, unfortunately.
- 10:19Speaker 1: And I think Mike Pence, to voters, is probably just
- 10:21Speaker 1: another politician who did a bad thing and not a
- 10:24Speaker 1: politician that most voters think too much about ever since
- 10:26Speaker 1: he escaped the gallows.
- 10:28Speaker 2: It may actually be good for Mike Pence because it
- 10:30Speaker 2: just simply is an opportunity for people to be reminded
- 10:32Speaker 2: that he exists.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Yeah. No, Mike Pompeo is wishing he had some classified
- 10:37Speaker 1: documents that he could turn over so he gets in
- 10:39Speaker 1: the news. My case for why it might matter politically
- 10:42Speaker 1: is like, you know, you can imagine a story about
- 10:45Speaker 1: how both a Democrat and a Republican who were found
- 10:49Speaker 1: with classified documents, you know, alerted the authorities, pledged cooperation
- 10:55Speaker 1: while Trump obstructed an investigation, lied, et cetera. So, you know,
- 11:00Speaker 1: you can make that case. I don't particularly think that
- 11:03Speaker 1: case will stick with people, but I think you can
- 11:05Speaker 1: make it.
- 11:06Speaker 2: Yeah, sure. Why not? I mean, just to be fair
- 11:08Speaker 2: to the takes that the document stuff matters, the one
- 11:11Speaker 2: place where it it matters to Biden. It's just a distraction.
- 11:14Speaker 2: It's an opportunity cost. They have to deal with it
- 11:16Speaker 2: in the White House. It sucks up oxygen you can
- 11:18Speaker 2: use for other things. But I think, is what is
- 11:21Speaker 2: happening now going to matter significantly when people actually are
- 11:24Speaker 2: starting to make decisions about how they're going to vote
- 11:27Speaker 2: in 2024? I find that unlikely.
- 11:29Speaker 1: Yeah, likely at all. They all cancel each other out.
- 11:32Speaker 1: And I totally agree with you that the advantage over
- 11:35Speaker 1: Trump on this issue was never really much of an
- 11:38Speaker 1: advantage anyway, because there's plenty of other things to prosecute
- 11:42Speaker 1: Trump over during a campaign. Or in court.
- 11:45Speaker 2: Yeah, it's both. Prosecute is the operative word there.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Yeah. Okay, so here's some painfully predictable analysis of the
- 11:53Speaker 1: document mess from the New York Times' Peter Baker. Quote,
- 11:57Speaker 1: even if nothing comes of the new special counsel investigation
- 11:59Speaker 1: into Biden's team's mishandling of classified documents, politically, it has
- 12:04Speaker 1: effectively let former President Donald Trump off the hook for
- 12:08Speaker 1: hoarding secret papers. Agree or disagree, Dan?
- 12:12Speaker 2: We think it may be letting him off the hook
- 12:14Speaker 2: because we are writing that it's letting him off the hook.
- 12:18Speaker 2: Political analysis of this sort is a self-fulfilling prophecy because
- 12:22Speaker 2: I know Peter Baker, who you and I have worked
- 12:25Speaker 2: with for many years and is a very smart, well-respected journalist,
- 12:29Speaker 2: but they view themselves as passive observers of what happens.
- 12:33Speaker 2: But they also, they influence what happens because they write
- 12:37Speaker 2: in the most powerful media entity in the world, that
- 12:40Speaker 2: X is happening, therefore makes X more likely to happen.
- 12:43Speaker 2: This is observer bias. By saying something is happening, you're
- 12:47Speaker 2: making it more likely to happen.
- 12:50Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, even more simple, like the only way
- 12:53Speaker 1: to judge the political effect of this is to know
- 12:55Speaker 1: what voters think, which is already an imprecise science. But
- 12:57Speaker 1: to the extent that we have data about what voters think,
- 13:00Speaker 1: it doesn't suggest that Peter Baker's analysis of the situation
- 13:03Speaker 1: is correct. It suggests that voters very much think Donald
- 13:08Speaker 1: Trump did something bad. And more voters than not believe
- 13:13Speaker 1: that he should be criminally charged for it.
- 13:15Speaker 2: And what happens if he is criminally charged? He's probably not.
- 13:18Speaker 1: Off the hook then. And I would say that Peter
- 13:22Speaker 1: doesn't even try to offer any data to support his
- 13:25Speaker 1: assertion in the piece. So it falls short to me. Yes.
- 13:30Speaker 2: I mean, this is just another example of why these
- 13:35Speaker 2: political analysis columns that are supposed to be seen as
- 13:38Speaker 2: objective— should be on the opinion page. Because it's Peter
- 13:42Speaker 2: Baker's opinion that that is what is going to happen.
- 13:45Speaker 2: And you can have that opinion. That is obviously a
- 13:47Speaker 2: take you can take. But there's just this irreconcilable tension
- 13:51Speaker 2: between this idea that we as political journalists are reporting
- 13:55Speaker 2: on what happens without fear or favor. We're just telling
- 13:58Speaker 2: you what's happening and the idea that we're also this
- 14:01Speaker 2: incredibly powerful and important force for accountability. You can't have
- 14:04Speaker 2: no impact over here and all the impact over there.
- 14:06Speaker 2: So everything you write affects what's going to happen in politics.
- 14:09Speaker 2: And so if you're offering analysis without facts, without proof,
- 14:14Speaker 2: without data, then you're offering opinion and you ought to
- 14:16Speaker 2: just put it on the opinion page.
- 14:18Speaker 1: Yep, exactly. So there's now an immediate consequence to this
- 14:22Speaker 1: drama in terms of President Biden's ability to govern. Tom
- 14:26Speaker 1: Cotton says he's blocking all Biden nominees until he gets
- 14:30Speaker 1: access to the Trump-Biden-Pence documents, which the special counsels are
- 14:34Speaker 1: currently withholding from Congress. while the investigation is ongoing. Can
- 14:39Speaker 1: anything be done about that? Or is that just, we
- 14:42Speaker 1: just stuck with Tom Cotton being an asshole again?
- 14:44Speaker 2: Well, I mean, we are perpetually stuck with Tom Cotton
- 14:46Speaker 2: being an asshole. As long as he walks this planet.
- 14:49Speaker 2: Just the fact the existence of Tom Cotton, as long
- 14:51Speaker 2: as he's alive on this planet, he's going to be
- 14:53Speaker 2: an asshole. That's who he is. He cannot actually stop
- 14:59Speaker 2: all of these people from getting jobs. He can't truly
- 15:01Speaker 2: block them. You only need 50 votes to confirm that.
- 15:05Speaker 2: an executive branch nominee, thanks to filibuster reform that happened
- 15:09Speaker 2: over a decade ago. But what he can do is
- 15:12Speaker 2: dramatically slow down the process, where it becomes virtually impossible
- 15:16Speaker 2: to get all the people through. Because now, he won't
- 15:18Speaker 2: give consent, which means they have to have 30 hours
- 15:20Speaker 2: of debate here. He can grind it to a halt.
- 15:24Speaker 2: And oftentimes, you have to go through that whole process
- 15:27Speaker 2: for high-profile nominees, but this is for you know, undersecretaries
- 15:31Speaker 2: and deputy secretaries and things that normally can sort of
- 15:33Speaker 2: fly through, sometimes in a big tranche of them at
- 15:36Speaker 2: one time. And as long as he's doing this, that
- 15:38Speaker 2: won't happen, which makes it harder to legislate, harder to govern.
- 15:40Speaker 2: And it's just annoying as all get out, which is very,
- 15:42Speaker 2: as you would say, on brand for Tom Cotton.
- 15:45Speaker 1: And he knows that Biden can't ask the special counsel
- 15:49Speaker 1: to release the docs because it would be interfering in
- 15:51Speaker 1: an investigation process. Into his own actions. So, like, it's
- 15:57Speaker 1: not up to Biden to really do that. The special
- 15:59Speaker 1: counsel's not going to do that. The DOJ is not
- 16:01Speaker 1: going to do that. It's an ongoing investigation. You can't
- 16:04Speaker 1: be just, like, giving all the information to Congress while
- 16:06Speaker 1: the investigation is happening. That's not how law enforcement works.
- 16:09Speaker 1: So he's just using this as a way to stop
- 16:11Speaker 1: Biden from staffing the government. That's it. Which is what
- 16:14Speaker 1: Tom Cotton has been doing for many years now.
- 16:16Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 16:16Speaker 1: For many, many years.
- 16:17Speaker 2: Many, many times.
- 16:19Speaker 1: So... When Republicans in Congress aren't busy launching investigations, they're
- 16:23Speaker 1: using the debt ceiling to hold the economy hostage. Only
- 16:26Speaker 1: problem is they can't seem to agree on what the
- 16:30Speaker 1: ransom should be. The Republicans from Donald Trump to Kevin
- 16:33Speaker 1: McCarthy to random Freedom Caucus yahoos say that they are
- 16:36Speaker 1: against cutting Social Security and Medicare. But The Washington Post
- 16:41Speaker 1: reported this week that House Republicans are weighing legislative proposals
- 16:45Speaker 1: to do just that. What's going on here? Do these
- 16:49Speaker 1: people not realize that legislative proposals have to become public eventually?
- 16:53Speaker 2: I think that they are really conflicted between, on one hand,
- 16:58Speaker 2: their desire to remain in public office, and on the
- 17:02Speaker 2: other hand, their desire to take money and health care
- 17:04Speaker 2: away from working class people in this country.
- 17:08Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 17:09Speaker 1: How do you think that's going to resolve itself?
- 17:12Speaker 2: I mean, it's all going to come around the debt ceiling.
- 17:15Speaker 2: Because there is no– they could put up legislation to
- 17:19Speaker 2: raise the retirement age or privatize Social Security or privatize
- 17:23Speaker 2: Medicare like they did under– when Paul Ryan was in
- 17:26Speaker 2: the House. But they probably can't even get a majority
- 17:30Speaker 2: of this House for that, let alone a Democratic Senate
- 17:33Speaker 2: and a Democratic president. Like that can't happen. The one
- 17:35Speaker 2: place where they– if they really want to do this,
- 17:37Speaker 2: the one place where they have a chance to do
- 17:40Speaker 2: it is on the debt ceiling. Are they going to
- 17:43Speaker 2: say– agree to cuts to the Social Security and Medicare guarantees,
- 17:48Speaker 2: or we'll default. That's the one place where it's going
- 17:50Speaker 2: to come to a head, and we don't yet know
- 17:52Speaker 2: how that's going.
- 17:56Speaker 1: To play out. What we do know is House Republicans
- 17:58Speaker 1: have promised to release a balanced budget proposal in the
- 18:03Speaker 1: next few weeks. And again, they are saying it will
- 18:08Speaker 1: not include cuts to Social Security or Medicare guarantees. benefits
- 18:14Speaker 1: for current beneficiaries, which we can get into why that's
- 18:17Speaker 1: sort of a sneaky way of saying it. So let's
- 18:20Speaker 1: say it doesn't include cuts to Medicare and Social Security.
- 18:23Speaker 1: Some Republicans have also ruled out cuts to defense spending,
- 18:27Speaker 1: particularly Republicans who are chairing the committees that would decide that. Yes.
- 18:32Speaker 1: They have all ruled out tax increases. How do you
- 18:35Speaker 1: balance the budget with all that stuff ruled out?
- 18:39Speaker 2: You would have to cut all the other, well, two options. One,
- 18:42Speaker 2: you could do what Kevin McCarthy suggested, which is to
- 18:44Speaker 2: eliminate all funding for wokeism in the government, which is
- 18:47Speaker 2: his plan.
- 18:48Speaker 1: Didn't realize that was a big line item.
- 18:51Speaker 2: It's almost as big as foreign aid. That's how big
- 18:53Speaker 2: it is. Or the other option is if.
- 18:57Speaker 1: You do- The rare foreign aid joke.
- 18:59Speaker 2: Yes. Just standing on that- Well struck, well struck. The
- 19:05Speaker 2: other thing you can do is cut all other spending education, healthcare, FEMA,
- 19:11Speaker 2: Homeland Security by 85%. That's your choice.
- 19:15Speaker 1: It's so funny that number. I remembered that number because
- 19:19Speaker 1: I wrote that line many times in many an Obama
- 19:22Speaker 1: speech in the 2010, 2011 era. It's like, oh, time
- 19:28Speaker 1: to get to the part of the speech where we
- 19:31Speaker 1: get to how much you'd cut non-discretionary domestic spending by
- 19:35Speaker 1: in order to balance the budget.
- 19:38Speaker 2: If you ever got a, when a speech would circulate
- 19:39Speaker 2: in the, in that era and I didn't have time
- 19:42Speaker 2: to like go line by line through it, I would.
- 19:45Speaker 5: Control F discretionary.
- 19:47Speaker 1: That's why I stopped saying, I I didn't, I never
- 19:49Speaker 1: put the fucking word discretionary in there. Our boss did. Yes.
- 19:52Speaker 2: That's exactly that. That was the point at which I
- 19:55Speaker 2: did control us discretionary was that when it left your desk.
- 19:59Speaker 1: So anyway, yes, this whole thing is a shell game. Um,
- 20:02Speaker 1: the Republicans are, and you wrote a great message box
- 20:06Speaker 1: about this this morning. Like Republicans are terrified of, of
- 20:12Speaker 1: voters knowing that they want to cut Medicare and Social Security.
- 20:16Speaker 1: And so they want to hide the ball on that.
- 20:18Speaker 1: I don't think they can hide it forever. When they
- 20:21Speaker 1: say they don't want to cut benefits for Social Security
- 20:23Speaker 1: and Medicare, what they could do is say, we're not
- 20:27Speaker 1: cutting any benefits for current Social Security and Medicare beneficiaries,
- 20:31Speaker 1: but we will raise the age, uh, for people who
- 20:35Speaker 1: will retire someday, which is all the rest of us, uh,
- 20:38Speaker 1: for both Medicare and social security, or they will cut
- 20:41Speaker 1: payments to Medicare providers, which is just another way of
- 20:44Speaker 1: cutting Medicare because if the providers have less money, they
- 20:47Speaker 1: will raise costs and there will be fewer resources for
- 20:49Speaker 1: Medicare beneficiaries, or they could do a whole bunch of
- 20:52Speaker 1: other things. So there's plenty of other cuts they can
- 20:54Speaker 1: do to social security and Medicare that don't touch benefits
- 20:57Speaker 1: that would, so that would still be a bullshit way
- 21:00Speaker 1: of doing it. And we'd, and we'd rightly accuse them
- 21:03Speaker 1: of cutting Social Security and Medicare if they do that.
- 21:06Speaker 1: Or if they truly don't touch either program, then yeah,
- 21:10Speaker 1: then they have to massively cut spending everywhere else. And
- 21:14Speaker 1: I think that, I mean, you talked about how cutting
- 21:17Speaker 1: Social Security and Medicare is unpopular. I think massive, massive
- 21:21Speaker 1: cuts to education, transportation, clean energy, border security, public health,
- 21:25Speaker 1: scientific research, repealing the ACA, Medicaid, agriculture, student loans, law enforcement.
- 21:33Speaker 1: I think that'd be pretty unpopular too.
- 21:34Speaker 2: Yeah, it's incredibly unpopular. It's why Republicans always lose these
- 21:37Speaker 2: budget battles over the funding of the government, because their
- 21:40Speaker 2: position is deeply unpopular. Just to go a little bit
- 21:44Speaker 2: deeper for the 95% of people currently listening to this
- 21:46Speaker 2: who are not yet MessageBox subscribers, the polling on Social
- 21:50Speaker 2: Security and Medicare is mind-boggling. In a CBS YouGov poll
- 21:54Speaker 2: from earlier this year, 7 in 10 voters think that
- 22:00Speaker 2: protecting Social Security and Medicare should be a priority for
- 22:02Speaker 2: this Congress. That is exceeded only by fighting inflation. And
- 22:05Speaker 2: it well exceeds the number 300, which is reducing crime.
- 22:09Speaker 2: But that's not something driven by independents and Democrats. 7
- 22:14Speaker 2: in 10 Trump voters think that. 7 in 10 self-identified conservatives.
- 22:18Speaker 2: And 78% of white, non-college-educated voters, the core of the
- 22:22Speaker 2: Republican Party base, want This Congress protects Social Security and Medicare.
- 22:26Speaker 2: The number of white, non-college-educated voters who believe that exceeds
- 22:30Speaker 2: the number of self-identified liberals who believe that protecting Social
- 22:33Speaker 2: Security and Medicare should be a priority. The politics of
- 22:36Speaker 2: this are deadly, which is why Democrats hold such a
- 22:40Speaker 2: strong hand in this upcoming battle. No matter what they choose,
- 22:43Speaker 2: they come to anywhere near grabbing what is referred to
- 22:46Speaker 2: as the third rails of American politics, Social Security and Medicare.
- 22:51Speaker 4: So.
- 22:51Speaker 1: Obviously, we're not in the prediction business here, but I
- 22:54Speaker 1: do want to entertain the possibility that for the reasons
- 22:59Speaker 1: you just cited, Republicans do not propose cuts to Medicare
- 23:05Speaker 1: and Social Security and tie those cuts to the debt ceiling,
- 23:09Speaker 1: not out of the goodness of their heart, but for
- 23:11Speaker 1: pure electoral self-preservation. And because the people who really want
- 23:16Speaker 1: to cut Social Security and Medicare just can't get a
- 23:18Speaker 1: majority for it.
- 23:19Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 23:20Speaker 1: And not just a majority through like the regular order
- 23:22Speaker 1: of governing here, but even a majority around the debt ceiling,
- 23:26Speaker 1: using the debt ceiling as leverage here. And there was
- 23:30Speaker 1: a roll call story yesterday that said that Republicans are
- 23:34Speaker 1: considering now a short-term extension of the debt ceiling that
- 23:39Speaker 1: kicks it to the fall so that the debt ceiling
- 23:41Speaker 1: deadline lines up with negotiations that will already be happening
- 23:46Speaker 1: over passing the yearly budget and funding the government. And
- 23:50Speaker 1: so that way they could sort of suck the Democrats
- 23:53Speaker 1: into negotiating because Democrats are obviously going to negotiate over
- 23:56Speaker 1: the annual budget anyway. And perhaps then they get their
- 24:01Speaker 1: cuts that way. And maybe McCarthy thinks that he can
- 24:06Speaker 1: like shut the government down instead of holding the debt
- 24:08Speaker 1: limit hostage.
- 24:09Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 24:10Speaker 1: I feel like and I also think that if they,
- 24:13Speaker 1: you know, they want then they want to get the
- 24:15Speaker 1: whole Republican caucus on board with what their proposed budget is.
- 24:20Speaker 1: And if they can get the Social Security, Medicare stuff
- 24:23Speaker 1: out of the way and maybe just kick it to
- 24:24Speaker 1: some commission, then they can propose massive cuts to other
- 24:30Speaker 1: government spending and perhaps believe that holding the government hostage
- 24:35Speaker 1: to those cuts will be more popular than holding the
- 24:38Speaker 1: debt ceiling hostage to Medicare and Social Security cuts.
- 24:42Speaker 2: The good news about the fact that we, particularly I,
- 24:45Speaker 2: are quite old is that none of this is new.
- 24:48Speaker 2: We did this exact same play in 2013. This is
- 24:51Speaker 2: exactly what the Republicans did. In 2011, the debt ceiling
- 24:55Speaker 2: crisis that everyone keeps talking about was all about the
- 24:57Speaker 2: debt ceiling, that we had already funded the government for
- 24:59Speaker 2: the year at that point. We'd had a brief showdown.
- 25:03Speaker 2: It hadn't shut down, but it went right up to
- 25:04Speaker 2: basically past midnight. But it was resolved. So it was
- 25:07Speaker 2: only the debt ceiling. And that kind of sort of
- 25:11Speaker 2: advantaged Republicans in that battle because the debt limit is esoteric.
- 25:16Speaker 2: It's hard to explain to people. It's terribly named in
- 25:20Speaker 2: the sense that it makes it seem like not lifting
- 25:22Speaker 2: it is good for debts and deficit as opposed to
- 25:24Speaker 2: the opposite. So that played itself out. But then 2013,
- 25:27Speaker 2: not by choice by the Republicans, but they decided to
- 25:31Speaker 2: shut down the government at the same time that the
- 25:33Speaker 2: debt limit was coming up over the defund– because they
- 25:35Speaker 2: said we will not fund the Affordable Care Act. They
- 25:37Speaker 2: tried to essentially repeal the Affordable Care Act a year
- 25:40Speaker 2: after the country had reelected the president who passed the
- 25:43Speaker 2: Affordable Care Act and that the bill was basically named after.
- 25:48Speaker 2: And it really disadvantaged the Republicans in that fight because
- 25:52Speaker 2: a government shutdown is palpable and easy to understand. And
- 25:56Speaker 2: you have visuals like there are signs at parks that
- 26:00Speaker 2: say closed and signs in museums. And the federal federal
- 26:03Speaker 2: government employees are not just in Washington. They're all over
- 26:05Speaker 2: the country. Every community in America has some federal employees,
- 26:09Speaker 2: a FEMA office and a local IRS office, a military base,
- 26:14Speaker 2: all these things where there are people who will lose
- 26:15Speaker 2: their jobs and be furloughed, which will be fodder for
- 26:18Speaker 2: local news, community conversation. And so I think that that
- 26:21Speaker 2: is a strategic mistake on their part. If they really
- 26:24Speaker 2: want to have a fight over the budget, they should
- 26:25Speaker 2: dispense with the debt limit and then have a fight
- 26:27Speaker 2: over just the shutdown. Doing both at the same time,
- 26:29Speaker 2: I think, makes their life a lot harder. What it
- 26:32Speaker 2: tells me what they want is, like you said, To
- 26:35Speaker 2: somehow avoid the Social Security and Medicare fight. And I
- 26:38Speaker 2: think what they want to try to get to is
- 26:40Speaker 2: some sort of spending control plan along the lines of
- 26:44Speaker 2: the deal that we struck with the Republicans in 2011,
- 26:47Speaker 2: that we regretted at the time, we regret more to
- 26:50Speaker 2: this day, that puts caps on growth in spending.
- 26:54Speaker 1: So, you know, Nancy Mace was on the Sunday shows
- 26:58Speaker 1: last weekend, and I think she was pressed on like, OK,
- 27:00Speaker 1: what do you want to cut? She's like, well, not
- 27:02Speaker 1: Social Security and Medicare.
- 27:03Speaker 2: Or Medicaid.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Or Medicaid.
- 27:04Speaker 2: She even said Medicaid, too.
- 27:06Speaker 1: She even said Medicaid.
- 27:07Speaker 2: Right.
- 27:07Speaker 1: Which, by the way, is something that you could see
- 27:09Speaker 1: them coming for, because if they don't want to touch
- 27:10Speaker 1: retirement programs for everyone, they can always kick poor people
- 27:13Speaker 1: off their health care. And I think that that's a
- 27:15Speaker 1: little bit more popular. Right. At least with with some
- 27:17Speaker 1: of their voters. So then she was asked, OK, well,
- 27:20Speaker 1: just name something that you want to cut. And she's
- 27:22Speaker 1: like she couldn't do it. She couldn't do it. And
- 27:24Speaker 1: none of them have been able to do it because
- 27:25Speaker 1: I think what they want to do is what you're saying,
- 27:27Speaker 1: which is say, all right, we want to cut X
- 27:29Speaker 1: billion dollars from the budget over the next 10 years
- 27:32Speaker 1: and then just leave that top line number, have it
- 27:35Speaker 1: pass and then make all the agencies actually make the
- 27:37Speaker 1: hard cuts so that people don't see what the cuts are.
- 27:40Speaker 1: So the only reason any of this matters, because who
- 27:43Speaker 1: knows what's going to happen over the Democrats should keep
- 27:48Speaker 1: pressuring Republicans to detail what they want to cut every
- 27:53Speaker 1: single day and pressure reporters to ask them what they
- 27:55Speaker 1: want to cut every single day so that they don't
- 27:58Speaker 1: get to just name a top line number and get
- 28:00Speaker 1: away with not detailing the cuts. And yes, Social Security
- 28:04Speaker 1: and Medicare would be very unpopular to cut. But I
- 28:06Speaker 1: think we have to make the case that any of
- 28:09Speaker 1: the cuts that they're envisioning would be incredibly unpopular across
- 28:13Speaker 1: any of the issue areas that we just mentioned. And
- 28:16Speaker 1: so I don't want to put all our eggs in
- 28:17Speaker 1: the Social Security Medicare basket because I do think Republicans
- 28:21Speaker 1: could rig a lot of that and just decide that
- 28:23Speaker 1: it's too unpopular to do Social Security and Medicare. Who knows, though?
- 28:27Speaker 1: They could be that stupid, I guess.
- 28:29Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 28:29Speaker 2: I mean, no one ever got rich betting against Republican stupidity.
- 28:35Speaker 1: But this one, I mean, we're going to blow up
- 28:37Speaker 1: the economy if you don't let us stick it to
- 28:40Speaker 1: your grandparents. It's just... It's just too easy. It's too easy, man.
- 28:44Speaker 2: You mean, you don't want to stick it to the
- 28:46Speaker 2: only cohort of voters that we win in every election?
- 28:49Speaker 1: Right, yeah. Stick it to the Fox News viewers. Okay.
- 28:53Speaker 1: So I know we talked about Trump's big South Carolina
- 28:56Speaker 1: kickoff on Tuesday's pod, but since then there's been a
- 28:59Speaker 1: few new developments worth talking about. Meta announced yesterday that
- 29:02Speaker 1: they will reinstate Donald Trump's Facebook and Instagram accounts, arguing
- 29:07Speaker 1: in a statement that, quote, The fact is, people will
- 29:11Speaker 1: always say all kinds of things on the internet. Actual
- 29:15Speaker 1: line from the statement. Meanwhile, our fellow journalist at Axios
- 29:21Speaker 1: took a look at three polls that show barely any
- 29:23Speaker 1: movement in the Republican primary and concluded that Trump has, quote,
- 29:26Speaker 1: fresh momentum heading into the weekend, calling him, quote, the
- 29:30Speaker 1: Lazarus of presidential politics. Just when you think he's tapped out,
- 29:35Speaker 1: he returns from the political dead. The polls do show
- 29:38Speaker 1: Trump with about a 20 point lead. over DeSantis. And
- 29:41Speaker 1: Politico reports that all the other potential candidates are so
- 29:44Speaker 1: scared of Trump that they've talked about announcing at the
- 29:47Speaker 1: same time because, quote, a group launch provides them protection
- 29:51Speaker 1: from Trump. Lesson not learned, man. Lesson not learned. Let's
- 29:57Speaker 1: start with Meta letting Trump back on Facebook and Instagram.
- 30:00Speaker 1: Are you at all surprised and how big of a
- 30:02Speaker 1: deal will this be for Trump?
- 30:04Speaker 2: I am not surprised at all. This was basically inevitable
- 30:07Speaker 2: when other platforms took Trump off after January 6th, they
- 30:12Speaker 2: announced permanent bans. Facebook very pointedly and very vocally said
- 30:16Speaker 2: it was a temporary suspension that they were going to
- 30:18Speaker 2: revisit over time. They revisited it for the first time
- 30:20Speaker 2: back in, I think, 2021. And now that he's an
- 30:23Speaker 2: announced candidate for president, of course they were going to
- 30:25Speaker 2: do it. You know, Charlie Worzel, who writes on technology
- 30:29Speaker 2: and politics of the internet for Atlantic Ferry, had a
- 30:32Speaker 2: great subhead on the story, which is Facebook finally adds
- 30:34Speaker 2: a user.
- 30:35Speaker 1: So funny.
- 30:36Speaker 2: And he made a point, which I think sort of
- 30:38Speaker 2: underlies the fact that we're talking about this now, not
- 30:40Speaker 2: the beginning of the show, is that since 2020, both
- 30:44Speaker 2: Facebook and Trump have declined so much in cultural relevance
- 30:49Speaker 2: that this doesn't seem like as big a deal as
- 30:51Speaker 2: it would have a long time ago. And I think
- 30:53Speaker 2: that's probably right with one big exception. It's right in
- 30:56Speaker 2: the sense that when Trump wasn't on Facebook, there were
- 30:58Speaker 2: a lot of pro-Trump accounts on Facebook. There was a
- 31:00Speaker 2: lot of MAGA-ism on Facebook. That didn't really change the
- 31:03Speaker 2: sort of people and voices that were dominant when Trump
- 31:05Speaker 2: were there, were dominant when he wasn't there. It has
- 31:08Speaker 2: not eroded his connection to his base, per se, to
- 31:12Speaker 2: not be on Facebook. Where it does matter is now
- 31:15Speaker 2: that he is allowed back on Facebook, he will have
- 31:17Speaker 2: access to Facebook's advertising technology. And now not to get
- 31:22Speaker 2: too in the weeds about it, Facebook's ad technology is
- 31:25Speaker 2: dramatically limited since Apple made it harder for Facebook to
- 31:29Speaker 2: track you on other apps. But where it still matters
- 31:33Speaker 2: and would matter to Trump a lot is it's still
- 31:35Speaker 2: very good at monetizing your existing audience. And so he
- 31:38Speaker 2: can use Facebook ads to raise money, to get more
- 31:41Speaker 2: email addresses he can get more money on. And so
- 31:43Speaker 2: that will help him keep his grassroots fundraising base available.
- 31:47Speaker 2: So that is a big deal. That will matter. It's
- 31:49Speaker 2: not the same persuasion tool it used to be necessarily
- 31:51Speaker 2: in politics. But for a guy running in a primary
- 31:55Speaker 2: who wants to raise as much money and spend as
- 31:56Speaker 2: much money as possible, being back on Facebook is going
- 31:58Speaker 2: to help him a lot.
- 32:00Speaker 1: Unless you think that... Then Meta's letting him back on
- 32:03Speaker 1: with no guidelines. They have said that he is allowed
- 32:07Speaker 1: to lie about the last election, but no lying about
- 32:10Speaker 1: the next election. That's where they're drawing the line at Facebook.
- 32:15Speaker 2: I mean, Facebook is such a wonderful corporate citizen. Yes,
- 32:18Speaker 2: everything Facebook does is such a galaxy brain groupthink. It's like, aha,
- 32:24Speaker 2: we got him.
- 32:25Speaker 1: I'm just excited for that first post and the first tweet.
- 32:29Speaker 1: the first, the first, uh, cause he's going to get
- 32:30Speaker 1: back on Twitter too. He also, you could tell he,
- 32:33Speaker 1: he truthed and we're going to get to a lot
- 32:35Speaker 1: of truths in our, in our, in our game later on,
- 32:39Speaker 1: but he truth this week that, um, it was sort
- 32:43Speaker 1: of like a farewell to truth social kind of tweet,
- 32:45Speaker 1: you know, like he, cause he responded to the Facebook
- 32:47Speaker 1: news and he was like, truth social, you've been great.
- 32:51Speaker 1: You've been wonderful. I'm so, I'm so, I'm so grateful
- 32:53Speaker 1: to you. And like, he's like leaving.
- 32:57Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 32:57Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 32:58Speaker 1: Get ready. He's coming back. He's coming back. All right.
- 33:01Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Axios piece about Trump's fresh momentum
- 33:05Speaker 1: written by Axios Josh, formerly Hotline Josh. Do you agree
- 33:11Speaker 1: that Trump has fresh momentum heading into South Carolina? Is
- 33:15Speaker 1: the momentum fresh because of those three polls that show
- 33:17Speaker 1: him 20 points over DeSantis?
- 33:21Speaker 2: I feel like that was a leading question of sorts.
- 33:23Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 33:26Speaker 1: I mean, I don't– I'm not– I can argue, yes.
- 33:29Speaker 1: I'll argue. I mean, whatever.
- 33:30Speaker 2: Okay.
- 33:31Speaker 1: I'll do both. Get me on any side of a tape.
- 33:37Speaker 2: I don't want to pick on Josh, whoever you may be, Josh.
- 33:43Speaker 2: Or– and this is going to be a bit of hyperbole,
- 33:46Speaker 2: but this story does sort of embody everything that's wrong
- 33:48Speaker 2: with political journalism.
- 33:50Speaker 1: I knew you were going to say that.
- 33:53Speaker 2: Just only because we've been on this podcast for more
- 33:56Speaker 2: than half a decade together.
- 33:58Speaker 1: Yeah, 20 years, 30 years.
- 34:03Speaker 2: The problem with political journalism is that the need for
- 34:05Speaker 2: new narratives exceeds the speed at which politics changes. And
- 34:08Speaker 2: so almost nothing has changed in the last month. Donald
- 34:14Speaker 2: Trump was around the holidays a frontrunner with great vulnerabilities
- 34:21Speaker 2: for the Republican nomination and a deeply flawed general election candidate.
- 34:25Speaker 2: Donald Trump today, whether before he gives a speech, after
- 34:27Speaker 2: he gives a speech, whether Harry McMaster endorses him or
- 34:31Speaker 2: not is the same thing. A frontrunner with great vulnerabilities
- 34:34Speaker 2: is a deeply flawed general election candidate. Nothing has fundamentally changed,
- 34:37Speaker 2: but you can't get clicks, you can't get attention. No
- 34:41Speaker 2: one ever clicks on anything that says nothing's changed. That
- 34:44Speaker 2: is not a story that is going to drive traffic
- 34:46Speaker 2: or drive ad revenue. So we have to squint at
- 34:49Speaker 2: things with one eye to try to find a new take.
- 34:51Speaker 2: And this is one of those examples.
- 34:53Speaker 1: Yeah, the new take in this piece, the why, if
- 34:57Speaker 1: you will, was, boy, did Joe Biden hand Donald Trump
- 35:01Speaker 1: a political gift by having classified documents in his house
- 35:05Speaker 1: because somehow Joe Biden's document issue made Trump more palatable
- 35:11Speaker 1: to Republican primary voters who had been thinking about DeSantis,
- 35:15Speaker 1: which is Wow. Talk about your galaxy brain take, man.
- 35:20Speaker 1: That is connecting a lot of dots that I do
- 35:22Speaker 1: not think can be connected. But I did look into
- 35:24Speaker 1: those polls because I was like, hmm. And sure enough,
- 35:27Speaker 1: like all these polls that showed Trump with like a
- 35:30Speaker 1: 20 point lead on DeSantis, the last polls taken in
- 35:34Speaker 1: the same set of polls had basically either the same
- 35:37Speaker 1: margin between Trump or DeSantis or actually a worse margin.
- 35:42Speaker 1: So it's like the idea that Trump is doing better
- 35:45Speaker 1: is just not– it doesn't bear out in the facts
- 35:49Speaker 1: of the polls.
- 35:50Speaker 2: It's based on vibes.
- 35:52Speaker 1: It's based on vibes. It's based on vibes. I continue
- 35:54Speaker 1: to think we won't know until– we won't have a
- 35:57Speaker 1: hint until at least the first debate how vulnerable Trump
- 36:01Speaker 1: is as the frontrunner and whether– how much of a
- 36:05Speaker 1: threat to Santus or to a lesser extent to Brian
- 36:08Speaker 1: Kemp or Youngkin or someone like that. is to Donald Trump.
- 36:11Speaker 1: I think we just won't know until people announce it,
- 36:13Speaker 1: until we have a first debate sometime in the summer.
- 36:15Speaker 1: Speaking of all the other candidates, what do you make
- 36:17Speaker 1: of all these other potential Republican candidates waiting to announce?
- 36:22Speaker 2: Brilliant strategy born of courage.
- 36:28Speaker 1: These people are neither clever nor courageous.
- 36:30Speaker 2: I mean, in the spirit of getting on any side
- 36:34Speaker 2: of a fun take, I kind of understand what they're doing.
- 36:39Speaker 2: They have a collective action problem where it is in
- 36:41Speaker 2: all of their collective interest for someone to get out
- 36:43Speaker 2: there and start running against Trump.
- 36:45Speaker 1: They've had a collective action problem since 2015.
- 36:48Speaker 2: Yes, exactly. It's just in no one's collective interest.
- 36:51Speaker 1: We're in year eight. Year eight of the collective action
- 36:53Speaker 1: problem in the Republican Party.
- 36:54Speaker 2: This is why it's hard to run against someone who
- 36:56Speaker 2: has a third of the party locked up. But it's
- 36:59Speaker 2: in no one's individual interest to be the first one
- 37:01Speaker 2: out there to have to take Trump on themselves. So
- 37:04Speaker 2: they wait. But the problem is they wait and they wait.
- 37:07Speaker 2: And they wait. And then by the time they get in,
- 37:09Speaker 2: it's too late. He's a nominee. And we're once again
- 37:12Speaker 2: like 40,000 votes and four states away from fucking lunatic
- 37:16Speaker 2: being president of the United States.
- 37:18Speaker 1: I do think that the governors who might run against
- 37:21Speaker 1: him all have an excuse. Like they have spring legislative
- 37:24Speaker 1: sessions where they're going to be trying to rack up
- 37:27Speaker 1: some wins against wokeism. I was just going to say, yes.
- 37:31Speaker 1: They're going to take to all the MAGA media fans
- 37:33Speaker 1: on television to raise some cash, get some primary support. So,
- 37:37Speaker 1: you know, DeSantis, Youngkin, they're waiting around. But, like, what
- 37:41Speaker 1: the fuck? It's not getting any better for Mike Pompeo
- 37:43Speaker 1: than it is right now.
- 37:46Speaker 2: I mean, that is a true statement for Mike Pompeo.
- 37:50Speaker 1: Not to dip into Worldo territory here.
- 37:53Speaker 2: We're not in the prediction game, but I'm kind of
- 37:56Speaker 2: betting this is probably the high point of Mike Pompeo's
- 37:58Speaker 2: presidential campaign right now.
- 37:59Speaker 1: All right. One more fun Trump story from the Palm
- 38:03Speaker 1: Beach Post.
- 38:04Speaker 4: So.
- 38:06Speaker 1: Trump truth to the other day that he won the
- 38:08Speaker 1: senior club championship at Trump International Golf Club. Only issue
- 38:14Speaker 1: is he didn't play the first round of the tournament
- 38:17Speaker 1: because he was at Diamond's funeral giving a eulogy where
- 38:21Speaker 1: he admitted that he didn't know who Silk was and
- 38:24Speaker 1: complained about missing the tournament. So instead, instead, members showed
- 38:29Speaker 1: up the second day of the tournament to see that Trump...
- 38:34Speaker 1: that Trump had just given himself a five-point lead over
- 38:37Speaker 1: everyone else, which he told the tournament organizers he had
- 38:41Speaker 1: done because he played a strong round in the course
- 38:44Speaker 1: earlier that week. So he just decided to give himself
- 38:47Speaker 1: a five-point lead heading into the second day of the tournament,
- 38:51Speaker 1: and then he won. He said it was a great
- 38:53Speaker 1: honor to win. I don't think it was.
- 38:55Speaker 2: A great honor to win. It was evidence of his
- 38:57Speaker 2: fitness for office that he could win golf tournaments.
- 39:01Speaker 1: I mean, have you ever heard of a more perfect
- 39:03Speaker 1: Trump story than that? I think that's decades from now.
- 39:06Speaker 1: If people want to understand Donald Trump, I'd be like,
- 39:08Speaker 1: forget about the presidency, the campaigns, the impeachment, the insurrection.
- 39:12Speaker 1: Just look at that story in the Palm Beach Post.
- 39:13Speaker 1: That's all you need to know.
- 39:15Speaker 2: Yeah, it is no notes. Perfection embodies him exactly. Just
- 39:20Speaker 2: love it. Just absolutely love every bit about it.
- 39:23Speaker 1: I'm so glad it happened. That's just for all of you.
- 39:27Speaker 1: You all deserve some fun for the weekend. All right,
- 39:29Speaker 1: when we come back, Dan talks to Arizona Congressman Ruben
- 39:32Speaker 1: Gallego about his campaign for Kyrsten Sinema's Senate seat.
- 39:35Speaker 2: We'll be right back. Joining us now is the congressman
- 39:46Speaker 2: from Phoenix, Arizona. He's just announced his run for Senate,
- 39:48Speaker 2: Ruben Gallego. Congressman Gallego, welcome back to Pod Save America.
- 39:52Speaker 3: Thanks for having me, Dan.
- 39:53Speaker 2: All right, let's get right into it. So you have
- 39:57Speaker 2: just entered what could end up being an incredibly unique
- 40:01Speaker 2: Senate race. You wouldn't just be running against Carrie Lake
- 40:03Speaker 2: or Blake Masters or some other Republican. You could be
- 40:06Speaker 2: running in a three-way race that includes Kyrsten Sinema, the
- 40:09Speaker 2: woman you were trying to replace. What would you say
- 40:12Speaker 2: to people who are concerned about Democrats' ability to prevail
- 40:15Speaker 2: in a three-way race that includes a Democrat, Republican, and
- 40:19Speaker 2: a former Democrat?
- 40:21Speaker 6: Well, number one, the only way for us to keep
- 40:24Speaker 6: this race is actually for me to run. Kyrsten Sinema
- 40:26Speaker 6: has killed herself so much in terms of her numbers
- 40:29Speaker 6: with voters, especially Democrats and independently voters, that she is
- 40:37Speaker 6: so low right now that she has very, very, very
- 40:39Speaker 6: little support. I think she's down to family. and consultants
- 40:43Speaker 6: in terms of her polling number. And so it's a
- 40:45Speaker 6: very dangerous territory, and it's not coming back. As a
- 40:49Speaker 6: matter of fact, her going independent probably dropped her numbers
- 40:52Speaker 6: even further. So our choice is either we run a
- 40:54Speaker 6: strong Democrat and we keep this seat, or we don't
- 40:57Speaker 6: run a strong Democrat. And what happens is we end
- 41:00Speaker 6: up splitting the vote and a Republican does get in.
- 41:02Speaker 6: This is the only way we can keep this seat
- 41:04Speaker 6: on the candidate to do it. Whether it is Carrie
- 41:06Speaker 6: Lake or Kyrsten Sinema or any other Republican, we can
- 41:09Speaker 6: win it. But we're not going to be able to
- 41:10Speaker 6: win it if we don't run a strong Democrat.
- 41:12Speaker 3: And right now, it's it.
- 41:15Speaker 2: I read a quote from you in Politico where you
- 41:17Speaker 2: took on the notion that you and Sinema would split
- 41:20Speaker 2: the vote. And you thought that it might actually end
- 41:22Speaker 2: up being Sinema and the Republicans splitting the vote. Could
- 41:24Speaker 2: you say a little more about that to help maybe
- 41:26Speaker 2: address some of the concerns people may have about this
- 41:28Speaker 2: three-way race thing?
- 41:29Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 41:29Speaker 6: So already we've seen some polling where she is taking
- 41:31Speaker 6: more from the Republicans. And I think once we actually
- 41:34Speaker 6: are running a full statewide campaign where Democrats know that
- 41:37Speaker 6: we are the candidate and we're running a strong campaign,
- 41:39Speaker 6: they're going to keep moving in our direction. She's already
- 41:43Speaker 6: her numbers are so low with Democrats and we'll make
- 41:45Speaker 6: sure they go even lower because, you know.
- 41:48Speaker 3: A lot of her stances.
- 41:49Speaker 6: And I think at the end of the day, that's
- 41:51Speaker 6: going to continue moving in that direction. Also, the Republicans
- 41:54Speaker 6: are going to be in a beat up primary election.
- 41:57Speaker 6: from now until August of 2024. And in that time period,
- 42:02Speaker 6: a lot of moderate Republicans are going to swing over
- 42:05Speaker 6: more towards Sinema. And then at the end of that
- 42:09Speaker 6: crazy primary, the Republicans are basically going to be battling
- 42:11Speaker 6: it out with Sinema and will be very happy with
- 42:13Speaker 6: our coalition on the other side ready to win. So
- 42:19Speaker 6: there is no real strategy for Sinema to even get
- 42:21Speaker 6: out of second place. If she stays in, she is
- 42:24Speaker 6: in third place no matter what, and it's going to
- 42:27Speaker 6: to really move voters away from the Republican column to her.
- 42:33Speaker 2: For many, many years, Democrats did not win statewide in Arizona.
- 42:37Speaker 2: We've had some success in the last three elections. There
- 42:40Speaker 2: has been a little bit of a formula for how
- 42:42Speaker 2: to do that. Kyrsten Sinema, 2018, was a moderate Democrat,
- 42:46Speaker 2: very different than she was after that, and certainly is now,
- 42:48Speaker 2: to your point. Mark Kelly won in 2020 and 2022
- 42:51Speaker 2: with a moderate persona. Joe Biden- more moderate Democrat than
- 42:57Speaker 2: somebody who ran against the primary. You are a proud progressive.
- 43:00Speaker 2: You've been a very vocal progressive. What is your strategy
- 43:04Speaker 2: for winning in a state where Republicans and independents actually
- 43:08Speaker 2: outnumber registered Democrats? How are you thinking about building a
- 43:12Speaker 2: coalition similar to the one that Mark Kelly had in
- 43:15Speaker 2: 2022 to win?
- 43:15Speaker 6: Well, you got to remember, a lot of those independents
- 43:19Speaker 6: are Latinos, right? And Arizona's been moving bluer and bluer
- 43:22Speaker 6: for quite a while. So when we say You know,
- 43:25Speaker 6: Kyrsten Sinema won in 2018.
- 43:26Speaker 3: That's true.
- 43:27Speaker 6: But we also won two other statewides back in the day.
- 43:30Speaker 6: And all these things about, you know, you're progressive to progressive.
- 43:33Speaker 6: They say that about every Democrat that runs for office
- 43:35Speaker 6: in Arizona. It doesn't matter what you do. You are
- 43:38Speaker 6: a communist and whatever they want to they call you nowadays.
- 43:41Speaker 4: Right.
- 43:41Speaker 3: That's what they said in 18. That's what they said
- 43:43Speaker 3: in 20. That's what they said in 2022.
- 43:44Speaker 4: Right.
- 43:45Speaker 6: So it's all about talking to the voters, making the
- 43:48Speaker 6: voters understand that you are aligned with their values and
- 43:51Speaker 6: you're there to work for them. If we do that well,
- 43:54Speaker 6: we're going to get out that vote. We're going to
- 43:57Speaker 6: get people to come and vote for us that maybe
- 43:59Speaker 6: are Republican-leaning or they're truly independent. Lastly, what has not
- 44:05Speaker 6: happened forever is we're going to excite the Latino vote, right?
- 44:10Speaker 6: We're going to get that vote out to the point
- 44:12Speaker 6: where no one's ever seen it. About 5,000 Latinos turn
- 44:16Speaker 6: 18 every.
- 44:17Speaker 3: Month in Arizona. We're going to be talking to them
- 44:19Speaker 3: as soon as they go.
- 44:20Speaker 6: And we're going to talk to a lot of Latinos
- 44:22Speaker 6: that we've lost for the last couple of years, not
- 44:24Speaker 6: to Republicans, just because they stopped voting because they haven't
- 44:26Speaker 6: been communicated to. And then it's not I don't think
- 44:30Speaker 6: it's a coincidence, but every time I've ever ran, I've
- 44:33Speaker 6: always overperformed the top of the ticket because I also
- 44:35Speaker 6: bring a lot of Latino males back into the Democratic
- 44:39Speaker 6: column because of my ability to culturally connect with them.
- 44:42Speaker 6: The fact that I'm a veteran, the fact that, you know,
- 44:44Speaker 6: I understand what it means to be working class and
- 44:46Speaker 6: trying to figure out how to pay bills, how to
- 44:48Speaker 6: pay a mortgage, how to start a business. All these
- 44:50Speaker 6: kinds of things are skills that have not been brought
- 44:53Speaker 6: to this campaign, to the state.
- 44:55Speaker 2: I should say. Basically, I'm throwing a softball right across
- 45:00Speaker 2: the plate for you. But obviously, Kyrsten Sinema does things
- 45:04Speaker 2: that have infuriated people in your state. infuriate progressives and
- 45:08Speaker 2: Democrats in the country, infuriate myself, many of our listeners.
- 45:11Speaker 2: But she votes most of the time with President Biden.
- 45:14Speaker 2: She confirms most of his nominees. I'm going to give
- 45:16Speaker 2: you a chance to talk a little bit about how
- 45:19Speaker 2: a senator, you know, and on some specific issues, how
- 45:22Speaker 2: a Senator Ruben Gallego would be different from the people
- 45:24Speaker 2: of Arizona than a Senator Kyrsten Sinema.
- 45:29Speaker 6: Well, look, let's just begin with where there are the problems, right?
- 45:34Speaker 6: Senator Sinema doesn't speak to voters in Arizona anymore. She
- 45:38Speaker 6: hasn't had a public town hall where she's sat there
- 45:42Speaker 6: and took questions and asked.
- 45:44Speaker 3: People what they care about.
- 45:46Speaker 6: And which is when she starts making some of these
- 45:48Speaker 6: other actions, for example, negotiating for pharmaceuticals to make sure
- 45:52Speaker 6: that they actually had more power to raise prices of drugs.
- 45:56Speaker 6: She didn't go back to Arizona and talk to the
- 45:59Speaker 6: seniors or ARP and say, well, you know, We could
- 46:02Speaker 6: have had a better deal, but I decided to water
- 46:04Speaker 6: down the deal.
- 46:04Speaker 3: Why did you do that? We don't know, right?
- 46:07Speaker 6: Because she won't talk to us. She won't talk to
- 46:08Speaker 6: you unless you have a check in hand or it's
- 46:11Speaker 6: a closed meeting and you're already probably a part of
- 46:13Speaker 6: a very powerful group, right? When, you know, they're getting
- 46:16Speaker 6: into the closing day of the Inflation Reduction Act and,
- 46:20Speaker 6: you know, private equity managers and hedge fund managers were
- 46:23Speaker 6: going to have to pay more taxes for their not,
- 46:27Speaker 6: you she went and negotiated a deal to make sure
- 46:31Speaker 6: they were carved out.
- 46:32Speaker 3: Why did you do that, Kirsten? You never told anybody.
- 46:35Speaker 3: You didn't talk to anybody beforehand.
- 46:37Speaker 6: You didn't go back to Arizona to explain why you
- 46:38Speaker 6: decided to use your time and effort to fight for
- 46:40Speaker 6: the rich instead of for those that are looking for
- 46:43Speaker 6: more help. This is the consistency is that when we
- 46:48Speaker 6: need her the most, she is there the least, right?
- 46:53Speaker 6: And if you look at some of the biggest times
- 46:56Speaker 6: that we needed her, The Voting Rights Act. When Arizona
- 47:01Speaker 6: has been consistently under attack, when Republicans are threatening to
- 47:03Speaker 6: take away the access to, for example, early voting and
- 47:09Speaker 6: things of that.
- 47:09Speaker 3: Nature, she ran away.
- 47:12Speaker 6: She used a filibuster to basically stop the John Lewis
- 47:14Speaker 6: Voting Rights Act, who supposedly was her friend and mentor.
- 47:17Speaker 6: Very good way, by the way, to treat a friend
- 47:19Speaker 6: and mentor. I hate to see what she does to
- 47:22Speaker 6: her enemies.
- 47:23Speaker 3: Well, I guess we'll find out. That's right.
- 47:25Speaker 2: You just may, yes.
- 47:28Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 47:30Speaker 6: That's just one of the lists of so many grievances.
- 47:34Speaker 6: When we needed her on Build Back Better, it wasn't
- 47:38Speaker 6: a constructive position she took. She basically destroyed a very
- 47:42Speaker 6: good program, and we ended up having a very watered-down
- 47:47Speaker 6: version in the end. Even the infrastructure deal that we
- 47:52Speaker 6: all love was extremely watered down to the point where
- 47:56Speaker 6: It's good, but it could have been a lot better.
- 47:58Speaker 6: And why did we water it down? Did we have
- 48:00Speaker 6: 51 votes?
- 48:01Speaker 3: We did have. We had 51 votes.
- 48:02Speaker 6: We could have gotten a great deal that really would
- 48:04Speaker 6: have revolutionized our economy, bring and renew green energy in
- 48:10Speaker 6: many parts of the state. But instead, she chose to
- 48:13Speaker 6: have the ceremonial position of bipartisanship. We got six more votes,
- 48:21Speaker 6: but we got billions and trillions of dollars less in infrastructures.
- 48:25Speaker 6: And at the end of the day, again, where we
- 48:27Speaker 6: needed her, she wasn't there. She's there for the easy stuff.
- 48:31Speaker 6: It's where– when it's there, when she's the hard stuff,
- 48:33Speaker 6: where she's missing in action.
- 48:36Speaker 2: So just to zone in on a couple of specifics.
- 48:38Speaker 2: So I take it that you would vote to eliminate
- 48:40Speaker 2: the filibuster if you were in the Senate. You would
- 48:42Speaker 2: be part of an anti-filibuster majority in the Senate if
- 48:46Speaker 2: we needed it to pass legislation.
- 48:49Speaker 1: Exactly.
- 48:49Speaker 6: At a minimum, we should be looking at reforming the filibuster.
- 48:51Speaker 6: The filibuster is reformed. tons and tons of times, right?
- 48:54Speaker 6: It's not just some, you know, secret law. You know,
- 48:58Speaker 6: we need to, obviously, it's being abused. It's actually being
- 49:01Speaker 6: used all the time, abused all the time. And we
- 49:04Speaker 6: need to figure out how to change it. Or if
- 49:07Speaker 6: you can't change it to actually be able to functionally
- 49:09Speaker 6: administer the Senate, then, you know, then we can look
- 49:12Speaker 6: at getting rid of it.
- 49:14Speaker 2: When Katie Porter, your colleague in the House, was on
- 49:17Speaker 2: this show right after announcing her campaign for Senate, she
- 49:20Speaker 2: expressed some openness to the idea of adding Supreme Court
- 49:23Speaker 2: justices in terms of expanding the court. Where are you
- 49:26Speaker 2: on that plan?
- 49:28Speaker 6: I'm not there yet. I mean, I think we have
- 49:30Speaker 6: to bring some more accountability to the court. They need
- 49:33Speaker 6: to have some ethics standards. I think we need to
- 49:37Speaker 6: bring more checks imbalances to the court. They seem to
- 49:40Speaker 6: think that they have a right to now legislate also.
- 49:44Speaker 6: But moving into an expansion of the court, I think,
- 49:48Speaker 6: is a step too far for me for now. Now,
- 49:51Speaker 6: if they continue to go down the road where they
- 49:52Speaker 6: think that they are part of the legislative branch or
- 49:55Speaker 6: can do their own legislation with their shadow dockets, then yes,
- 49:59Speaker 6: this is something we have to explore.
- 50:00Speaker 2: I got to ask you, because you have a new neighbor,
- 50:05Speaker 2: On Capitol Hill, as I understand it. Oh, okay. Your
- 50:14Speaker 2: office is next to George Santos' office. Have you guys
- 50:17Speaker 2: hung out? Are you friends? Can you tell me if
- 50:20Speaker 2: those glasses he's wearing are real? Have you had any
- 50:22Speaker 2: contact with him at all?
- 50:24Speaker 6: I have not had any contact with him. I don't
- 50:26Speaker 6: know if those glasses are real. I don't know if
- 50:28Speaker 6: he's real.
- 50:29Speaker 3: Like, this is, you know.
- 50:31Speaker 6: There's a lot going on there. So I don't, I
- 50:34Speaker 6: have not had that personal experience.
- 50:37Speaker 2: Does it say anything to you about the State of
- 50:39Speaker 2: the Modern Republican Party that they are willing to keep
- 50:40Speaker 2: George Santos there in exchange for one vote? Oh, absolutely.
- 50:44Speaker 6: I mean, look, this is, it says a lot about
- 50:46Speaker 6: Kevin McCarthy too. You know, he's devoid of any type
- 50:50Speaker 6: of values or, you know, I don't know, even real
- 50:55Speaker 6: choices that he can make. I mean, he's, He's trying
- 50:58Speaker 6: to keep, you know, Marjorie Taylor Greene on, you know,
- 51:01Speaker 6: on his side, trying to keep, you.
- 51:03Speaker 3: Know, the Boeberts and Matt Gaetz from jumping ship. And,
- 51:07Speaker 3: you know, he'd rather.
- 51:08Speaker 6: Keep a con man around that's destroying the reputation of
- 51:12Speaker 6: the Republican Party and really the institution of Congress enough
- 51:15Speaker 6: so he can keep his watered down position as Speaker
- 51:18Speaker 6: of the House.
- 51:19Speaker 3: And it just kind of tells you in general where
- 51:20Speaker 3: the Republican Party is and their candidates. I mean, they're they.
- 51:25Speaker 6: All knew that he was a fraud. They all knew
- 51:27Speaker 6: that he was lying about his background. And they just
- 51:31Speaker 6: decided to keep going forward because number one, all they
- 51:33Speaker 6: cared about was that he was a.
- 51:35Speaker 3: Republican.
- 51:36Speaker 6: And it was a way to really stick it to
- 51:38Speaker 6: the Democrats, right? They wanted nothing more than to have
- 51:42Speaker 6: a gay Latino member of Congress so they could say, see,
- 51:45Speaker 6: we have one of our own and screw you guys,
- 51:47Speaker 6: even though he's a fraud on all fronts.
- 51:52Speaker 2: On this show, we often talk about controversial takes. We
- 51:56Speaker 2: scour the internet. We look for tweets. And 99% of
- 52:02Speaker 2: the time, they are from kind of Yahoo pundits, crazy
- 52:05Speaker 2: MAGA Republicans, Fox News people. It's very rare that an
- 52:09Speaker 2: elected Democrat in good standing has one of their takes
- 52:13Speaker 2: bubble up to the top for us.
- 52:15Speaker 1: OK.
- 52:16Speaker 3: I'm guessing which one.
- 52:17Speaker 2: Yes, I bet you are. But we have a recent tweet.
- 52:22Speaker 2: Of yours, I need you to defend. In the last
- 52:24Speaker 2: couple of weeks, you tweeted, hot take, keep the gas
- 52:28Speaker 2: stove and get rid of the air fryer. Only urban
- 52:31Speaker 2: elitists use air fryers. I need you to explain what
- 52:34Speaker 2: you meant there. And did you know you had an
- 52:35Speaker 2: air fryer in your house when you tweeted that?
- 52:38Speaker 3: I did. First of all, of course, I was trying
- 52:41Speaker 3: to be humorous. Number two, I did not know I
- 52:44Speaker 3: had an air fryer.
- 52:46Speaker 2: You were just eating healthy, delicious food, and you had
- 52:48Speaker 2: no idea where it came from?
- 52:50Speaker 6: It looks like a crock pot to me. And I
- 52:52Speaker 6: thought my wife was using a crock pot the whole time.
- 52:57Speaker 6: And so when she corrected me on Twitter, I quickly
- 53:02Speaker 6: realized I was wrong. So no, no, you're not an
- 53:06Speaker 6: urban elitist if you use an air fryer. You're perfectly
- 53:10Speaker 6: down to earth, and you should be probably wearing plaid
- 53:13Speaker 6: and wearing, you know, Carhartt gear, if you're doing that.
- 53:17Speaker 3: All right.
- 53:19Speaker 2: Well, we will take humility and ability to admit mistakes
- 53:22Speaker 2: as a very important quality in our leaders. And so
- 53:24Speaker 2: we appreciate that. Congressman Ruben Gallego, thank you for joining us.
- 53:28Speaker 2: Let our listeners know who may be interested in your campaign,
- 53:30Speaker 2: where they can go to find out more.
- 53:31Speaker 6: Please, if you can, go to gallego4arizona. com. We appreciate every
- 53:39Speaker 6: help we've had. We've had a great first day, first
- 53:43Speaker 6: couple of days.
- 53:44Speaker 3: And we need to keep this momentum going.
- 53:45Speaker 6: This is a campaign that's going to reach out to
- 53:47Speaker 6: all parts of Arizona, but it's going to take a
- 53:49Speaker 6: lot of your individual support. And we're fighting a big
- 53:52Speaker 6: fight against a lot of big money people.
- 53:54Speaker 3: So please help us out.
- 53:56Speaker 2: Thanks for joining us. And we will talk to you soon.
- 53:59Speaker 3: Thank you.
- 54:09Speaker 1: All right, we're back. We got a new game called
- 54:12Speaker 1: Truth or False. Hosted by our fearless producer, Haley Muse. Hi, guys. Hi.
- 54:20Speaker 1: All right.
- 54:20Speaker 4: So we've already gotten a little bit into the true
- 54:22Speaker 4: social stuff, but I have been following Trump's truths for
- 54:24Speaker 4: quite some time. And I figured now, before he makes
- 54:27Speaker 4: his return to Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram and is flooding
- 54:31Speaker 4: all of your feeds, we could go through some of
- 54:33Speaker 4: his greatest hits on true social with this aptly named game,
- 54:38Speaker 4: Truth or False. So as the title depicts, you guys
- 54:42Speaker 4: are going to Here are three takes, and you're going
- 54:45Speaker 4: to decide which of those statements he actually said and
- 54:49Speaker 4: which ones I made up.
- 54:50Speaker 1: Wow.
- 54:52Speaker 2: Is it two truths and one fake?
- 54:54Speaker 4: We mix it up. We mix it up. We're keeping
- 54:55Speaker 4: you on your toes. I'll tell you beforehand how many
- 54:59Speaker 4: you're looking for.
- 55:00Speaker 1: Okay. That's good. I'm going deep into the mind of
- 55:02Speaker 1: Donald Trump right now.
- 55:03Speaker 4: Yes, deep in.
- 55:04Speaker 1: Okay.
- 55:04Speaker 4: So we're going to start off with some statements about
- 55:08Speaker 4: Diamond and Silk. As John referenced, we've talked about how
- 55:12Speaker 4: Trump gave a beautiful eulogy this week for the late Diamond.
- 55:18Speaker 4: So of these three statements, which one did Trump actually
- 55:22Speaker 4: truth about Diamond and Silk? Number one. That's number one.
- 55:26Speaker 4: Number two. Remembering all the great times I had with
- 55:41Speaker 4: one of my greatest supporters, the late Diamond of Diamond
- 55:44Speaker 4: and Silk, a dear friend who will be missed. Thank you, Diamond,
- 55:47Speaker 4: for your support. Number three. The lamestream media is trying
- 55:54Speaker 4: to say I was rude to Silk, another fake story
- 55:57Speaker 4: to distract from Biden sharing secrets with China. Pay attention.
- 56:02Speaker 2: So there's two real ones and one fake one?
- 56:05Speaker 4: No, no. One real one, two fake ones.
- 56:07Speaker 1: Okay. Oh, two fake ones.
- 56:09Speaker 4: Two fake ones.
- 56:10Speaker 1: Okay.
- 56:10Speaker 2: I know the answer.
- 56:11Speaker 1: I think I do too. Okay. Yeah.
- 56:13Speaker 2: The first one is the real one.
- 56:15Speaker 1: Yeah. That's what I think too.
- 56:16Speaker 4: Okay. See, I was trying to trip you guys up
- 56:17Speaker 4: because a few days later he eulogizes and says that
- 56:21Speaker 4: he doesn't know Silk. But right after Diamond died, he
- 56:25Speaker 4: was just talking about the Dream Team. So.
- 56:28Speaker 1: It was close, though, because I thought the second one
- 56:29Speaker 1: when he thanks Diamond for her support, that does sound
- 56:32Speaker 1: like Trump. That does sound like something he would truth.
- 56:34Speaker 4: I've been doing some method acting with these truths. Okay,
- 56:39Speaker 4: round two. Trump was actually very in a giving and
- 56:44Speaker 4: loving spirit over the holidays. So which of these passive-aggressive
- 56:50Speaker 4: holiday messages did he not truth? So two are real,
- 56:53Speaker 4: one is fake. Number one. Happy New Year to all
- 56:57Speaker 4: the radical left Democrats, Marxist lunatics, China-loving Coco Chow and
- 57:02Speaker 4: her obedient husband Mitch, and clueless rhinos who are working
- 57:06Speaker 4: so hard to destroy our once great country. More importantly,
- 57:10Speaker 4: Happy New Year to the incredible, brave, and strong American
- 57:13Speaker 4: patriots who built, love, and cherish America. God bless you all.
- 57:17Speaker 4: All right, number one. Number two, Merry Christmas, everyone, including
- 57:23Speaker 4: the radical left Marxists. Shifty Shift and his sham investigation,
- 57:27Speaker 4: the thugs and tyrants of the Democratic Party, and most
- 57:30Speaker 4: of all, to my children and my beautiful wife, Melania.
- 57:34Speaker 4: Peace on Earth. Number three, Merry Christmas to everyone, including
- 57:40Speaker 4: the radical left Marxists that are trying to destroy our country,
- 57:43Speaker 4: the Federal Bureau of Investigation that is illegally coercing and
- 57:47Speaker 4: paying social, and of course, the Department of Injustice, which
- 57:50Speaker 4: appointed a special prosecutor who, together with his wife and family,
- 57:55Speaker 4: Hates Trump more than any person on earth. Love to all.
- 58:01Speaker 1: I got to go with the second one is fake
- 58:05Speaker 1: because he would never actually wish his family a Merry Christmas.
- 58:08Speaker 1: What do you think, Dan?
- 58:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that.
- 58:16Speaker 5: Damn.
- 58:16Speaker 4: Okay. All right.
- 58:17Speaker 3: All right.
- 58:17Speaker 1: Again, though, the first one I remember, Coco Chow and
- 58:21Speaker 1: her obedient husband. But I was I was it was
- 58:24Speaker 1: second and third were tough.
- 58:26Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 58:26Speaker 1: Tough choice.
- 58:27Speaker 4: OK, good. All right. Well, this one may be a
- 58:28Speaker 4: little bit harder. So in addition to these beautiful words
- 58:32Speaker 4: of wisdom from Trump, he on true social way more
- 58:35Speaker 4: than Twitter shares a lot of fan art propaganda. So
- 58:40Speaker 4: we have some memes to share with you. And and
- 58:43Speaker 4: one of his favorite artists is this gal, Andrea, who
- 58:46Speaker 4: goes by the handle God underscore bless underscore Trump. And
- 58:51Speaker 4: so which of these three pictures with words, so memes,
- 58:56Speaker 4: did Andrea not make and thus Trump did not retruth?
- 59:00Speaker 1: Okay.
- 59:01Speaker 4: The first is a photo of Trump giving a thumbs
- 59:05Speaker 4: up in a car with the words, get in patriots.
- 59:09Speaker 4: We're going to... make America great again.
- 59:11Speaker 1: That's pretty cool.
- 59:12Speaker 4: Number one. Number two, a collage of photos showing Trump
- 59:17Speaker 4: playing sports and holding various balls that reads, My president
- 59:22Speaker 4: is the coolest. Number three, a photo of Trump posing
- 59:29Speaker 4: with his golf clubs with a poem of sorts that reads,
- 59:33Speaker 4: Trump's best on the course. He's got a great swing.
- 59:36Speaker 4: Everyone knows that he's the MAGA king. The GOAT on
- 59:39Speaker 4: and off the course. Which of these is fake?
- 59:46Speaker 1: I think I have. I think the golf one is fake.
- 59:52Speaker 2: I think my president is the coolest is fake.
- 59:56Speaker 4: Well, that was a trick question. They are all real.
- 59:58Speaker 4: Eliza is going to text you guys a photo so
- 1:00:01Speaker 4: you can just take in the beautiful artwork of God
- 1:00:05Speaker 4: bless Trump.
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: The goat on and off the course is so funny.
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: We need more of this in our party.
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: I have to say, if Andrea doesn't pivot over to
- 1:00:14Speaker 4: Twitter along with Trump, I'm going to be very upset.
- 1:00:17Speaker 4: I'm a big, big fan.
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: That is amazing.
- 1:00:19Speaker 4: Okay. All right. Next one. What random stream of consciousness
- 1:00:23Speaker 4: did Trump not truth? So just a random sentence out
- 1:00:26Speaker 4: of nowhere. Number one, late night shows are a waste
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: of time and the hosts are not funny. Number two,
- 1:00:34Speaker 4: whatever happened to global warming? Number three, true social is
- 1:00:39Speaker 4: so hot. So one of these is fake, two are real.
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: Oh, this is a tough one. I think true social
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: is real. I want to say that global warming is fake.
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: This is a tough one because when he was on Twitter,
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: he used to tweet about the unfunniness of late night
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: hosts all the time. And he would often tweet when
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: it was cold, whatever happened to global warming. So I'm
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: just going to take a stab, although I think Haley
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: is being tricky here in a very Elijah-like fashion. But
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: I'm going to go with True Social is so hot.
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: Oh.
- 1:01:14Speaker 4: All right, the one that is fake is the late
- 1:01:16Speaker 4: night shows. So the other two are real, and I
- 1:01:18Speaker 4: just want to note that the True Social is so hot,
- 1:01:21Speaker 4: has four O's. It is True Social is so hot.
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I remember that one. Should have gone
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: with the late night shows.
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: You are deep into Truth Social.
- 1:01:31Speaker 4: I'm so deep, you guys. I mean, I could write
- 1:01:34Speaker 4: these truths in my sleep, I have to tell you.
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: Hayley, has being this much on True Social changed you
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: at all? Like, do you have questions about the election?
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: Are you regretting your COVID shots? Like, what is happening?
- 1:01:46Speaker 4: If anything, I feel like I got an ego boost.
- 1:01:48Speaker 4: I'm like kind of taking on the Trump mentality and
- 1:01:51Speaker 4: just feeling good about myself.
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: Oh, the goat in and out of the studio, Haley.
- 1:01:55Speaker 4: Yeah, the goat in and out of the studio. Goat producer,
- 1:01:57Speaker 4: you guys.
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: I'm going to start introducing you now as goat producer, Haley.
- 1:02:02Speaker 4: Please do.
- 1:02:03Speaker 6: I love it.
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: I love it.
- 1:02:05Speaker 4: Okay, we're going to round this out. This is the
- 1:02:07Speaker 4: final one. Which of these pop lyrics did Trump truth
- 1:02:12Speaker 4: about himself?
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: Oh, no.
- 1:02:13Speaker 4: One is real. Two are fake. I'm simply the best.
- 1:02:18Speaker 4: Better than all the rest. Of course, an ode to
- 1:02:19Speaker 4: Tina Turner. What doesn't kill me makes me stronger. An
- 1:02:24Speaker 4: ode to Kelly Clarkson. Or I'm everything I am because
- 1:02:28Speaker 4: you loved me. An ode to Celine Dion.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: So one is fake or two are fake?
- 1:02:34Speaker 4: Two are fake.
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: Oh, two are fake.
- 1:02:36Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: So one is real.
- 1:02:37Speaker 4: One is real.
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: What was the first one?
- 1:02:39Speaker 4: I'm simply the best, better than all the rest. Number
- 1:02:41Speaker 4: two is what doesn't kill me makes me stronger. And
- 1:02:44Speaker 4: number three is I'm everything I am because you love me.
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: I would bet number two.
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: Is real.
- 1:02:51Speaker 4: Going with Kelly.
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: Is real.
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: Is real.
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: I think number one is real. I think it's a
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: Tina Turner thing.
- 1:02:57Speaker 4: It's Kelly Clarkson.
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: Dan, you're right.
- 1:02:59Speaker 5: Wow.
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: Because I think that's a saying that's, it's not like
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: Kelly Clarkson invented that. So I think he's just, it's happenstance.
- 1:03:04Speaker 2: It's a Kelly Clarkson song. I don't think he's, was
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: a huge fan of.
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: I think he plays that Tina Turner song at his events.
- 1:03:10Speaker 4: That is why I included it. And I included Celine
- 1:03:12Speaker 4: because one of the most underrated stories of the month
- 1:03:14Speaker 4: is that Trump DJed Celine Dion at his New Year's
- 1:03:17Speaker 4: Mar-a-Lago party.
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I can see it.
- 1:03:21Speaker 4: And the reason that he truthed What Doesn't Kill Me
- 1:03:24Speaker 4: Makes Me Stronger was in reference to the House January
- 1:03:27Speaker 4: 6th Committee's criminal referrals.
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: Wow.
- 1:03:30Speaker 4: He said... These folks don't get it that when they
- 1:03:33Speaker 4: come after me, people who love freedom rally around me.
- 1:03:35Speaker 4: It strengthens me. What doesn't kill me makes me stronger.
- 1:03:38Speaker 4: Americans know that I pushed for 20,000 troops to prevent
- 1:03:41Speaker 4: violence on January 6th and that I went on television
- 1:03:43Speaker 4: and told everyone to go home.
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: Yes, we did know that. Wait, so who won this?
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: Did anyone keep score?
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: I think we all lost. I think we all lost.
- 1:03:53Speaker 4: I won.
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: You won?
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: Yeah, we were the same. You have the last one.
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: I got one right and we both got the last
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: one wrong. So I am now undefeated in this.
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: Dan, undefeated in this specific game.
- 1:04:04Speaker 4: Are we adding this to the take tally?
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: Yeah, I was going to say.
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: It can be a separate tally. There are different skills.
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: Dan's just undefeated?
- 1:04:11Speaker 4: Yeah. All right, well, I'll keep this going as long
- 1:04:13Speaker 4: as truth is up and running.
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: Okay, that's great.
- 1:04:15Speaker 4: Whenever you guys want to do this.
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good idea. Haley, thank you for this
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: wonderful game.
- 1:04:18Speaker 4: You're very welcome.
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: And before we go, speaking of lyrics, I just want
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: you all to hear what happens when U.S. senators try
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: to be funny. This is from yesterday's congressional hearing into
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: the debacle around Ticketmaster's handling of of tickets to Taylor
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: Swift's Heiress Tour, in which parent company Live Nation was
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: rightly attacked for being a monopoly. Let's listen.
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: You have to have competition.
- 1:04:39Speaker 6: You can't have too much consolidation, something we know all
- 1:04:44Speaker 6: too well.
- 1:04:45Speaker 5: With Senator Klobuchar as chair, I had hoped to get
- 1:04:49Speaker 5: the gavel back, but once again, she's chair captain and
- 1:04:52Speaker 5: I'm on the bleachers. A purchaser of a ticket, being
- 1:04:55Speaker 5: able to sell it to someone else. I think it's
- 1:04:58Speaker 5: a nightmare dressed like a daydream. Karma's a relaxing thought.
- 1:05:02Speaker 5: Aren't you envious that for.
- 1:05:03Speaker 3: You it's not?
- 1:05:04Speaker 5: Ticketmaster ought to look in the mirror and say, I'm
- 1:05:08Speaker 5: the problem.
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: It's me. I don't know. Okay, so here's the thing.
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: That was Amy Klobuchar, Mike Lee of Utah, and the
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: last one was Dick Blumenthal of Connecticut, Democratic Senator. So
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: here's the thing on this. First of all, just bad.
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: Bad all around. Yeah. It's just a travesty. But here's
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: the thing. Mike Lee, I appreciate how far he swerved
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: out of the way with those lyrics. Like the karma lyric,
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: the dress like it, the you belong with me lyric.
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: None of those really made sense in context. He really
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: had to go out of his way and they were
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: all sort of deep cuts. I think Klobuchar and Blumenthal,
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: that was sort of low-hanging fruit. And I will say
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: there's nothing more embarrassing than watching Dick Blumenthal try to
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: get that out because you can tell he has not
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: heard Taylor Swift before.
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: Do you think he knew what he was doing?
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: I think Lee's a real Swifty, and I think that
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: Klobuchar is probably a real Swifty too, or at least
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: her daughter is, and so is Mike Lee's daughter.
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: I mean, here's my take. Great job, everyone. Great job
- 1:06:14Speaker 2: to the staff who wrote those. Great job to the
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: members who read them. Here's the thing. We do this
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: show twice a week. We never talk about congressional hearings
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: that don't involve violent insurrections. Here we are highlighting the
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: problem of monopolies in ticket sales. Success. Attention is good.
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: Great job, people.
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: Monsters on the hill. That's what I say. Thank you
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: to Ruben Gallego for joining today. Thank you to Haley
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: for the game. Everyone have a great weekend, and we
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: will talk to you next week.
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: Bye, everyone.
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: producer is Michael Martinez. Our senior producer is Andy Gardner Bernstein.
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: Our producers are Hayley Muse and Olivia Martinez. It's mixed
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: sound engineered the show. Thanks to Hallie Kiefer, Ari Schwartz,
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: Sandy Gerard, Andy Taft, and Justine Howe for production support.
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: And to our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Phoebe Bradford, Milo Kim,
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: and Amelia Montu. Our episodes are uploaded as videos at youtube.com
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: slash podsaveamerica.