Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 11 Gambling Picks, Division Showdowns, Medium Records, Hot Returns

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NFL Week 11 Gambling Picks, Division Showdowns, Medium Records, Hot Returns · Three For The Money

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correctly this time But yes, we're here. We're
1:03
back. It is week 11 of the NFL season and Last
1:08
week I had a negative record, but I went positive
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in money So I had a winning record. I went three
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and four and we cashed a surefire parlay Not
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a big deal It was a bit of a sweat there at the
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end of the the Bucks -Pats game They bucks had
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to have a garbage time touchdown as Chris is
1:33
spilling water on himself But other than that,
1:37
let's see what else happened Colts couldn't couldn't
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cover by the hook Shit what else happened that
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I switched my Seahawks pick from the Seahawks
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spread to the under which was a loser They just
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they beat the shit out of the Cardinals So that
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was not fun. And then the over in Sunday night
2:04
football was very not fun and I didn't get to
2:08
watch the Monday night football game Because
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I don't I don't have ESPN unlimited. So but that
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game Seemed like it sucked as well, but I had
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the Eagles money line. So Not a big deal But
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yeah went three and four when the surefire when
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the surefire parlay boom ready to ready to get
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back at it I'm not really too fond of the board,
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but I don't hate it Anyway, Chris. How did how
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did you do last week? I? Did well went five and
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five Obviously when my surefire when the surefire
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parlay, so that was very clutch That's our second
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in the last three weeks. I believe so Not a,
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not a big deal, but we're on fire, but it's not
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a big deal. Um, yeah, the Colts, um, missing
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an extra point and not covering six and a half,
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uh, sucked. Um, trying to think other than that.
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Oh yeah. The Seahawks. Um, yeah, I had the under
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in that as well. And that didn't go as planned.
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Um, shout the Seahawks defense though. 21 fantasy
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points. That was nice. Um, but. What, Sean? You're
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muted, bud. Oh, sorry. You won. We get it. Yeah.
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We get it. Hey, I mean, they pretty much single
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-handedly fucked the under, so. Yeah, good. You
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get that. That's something for you. But yeah,
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it was a good week. I'm not going to complain.
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500 record, but in the green. So we will take
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that. Sean, how did you do? Yeah, I just want
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to say I do want to shout out the Seahawks defense
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because cash the the first quarter spread easily
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easily so that pretty much solidified the the
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surefire parlay so Shout out to the boys Went
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five and four last week with the surefire hit
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Y 'all called me a sicko on that that Jets Browns
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over easy Easy money Yeah, we just take the we
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take the wins and we forget the losses so on
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to this week Yes on to week 11 the first game
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that we are discussing is the Bears at the Vikings
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the Vikings are prepared by three It is a bit
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difficult for me to get a pulse on this game,
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but I do have a pick I'm not confident in it
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because it feels like Either side it's very hard
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to throw money at this That being said looking
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at just the past matchups between these two teams
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as well as the the past ten weeks of the season
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it It just kind of feels like When the Bears
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win they win big when the Vikings win They don't
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win big Except for they beat the shit out of
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the the Bengals But I mean It kind of seems like
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everyone's kind of doing that either way So I'm
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going with the Bears plus three here. I Don't
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feel confident, but it feels like I'm making
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the right move But obviously going first I can
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look like a big dumb moron a big dumb stupid
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idiot. So Chris, what do you think about this
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game? I got the opposite. Vikings minus three.
5:46
I know the Bears are six and three. I don't think
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they're very good team. I mean, let's look who
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they'd be. Giants, Bengals, Saints, Commanders,
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Raiders, and Cowboys. That was a decent one,
5:59
but every other team sucks ass. And then whenever
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they play a good team, they - tend to lose like
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they did against the they got their shit pushed
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in by the Lions. They lost to the Vikings. I
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just don't think they're a good football team.
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So the Vikings, I'll say are not the best, but
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they need a win. They can't go two games under
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500. And in week 11, you're pretty much done
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at that point. Yeah, I'm taking the Vikings.
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You said looking at the past matchups of these
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teams, Minnesota's eight, three and one against
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the spread in the last 12 against Chicago. So
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I'd like that to continue here. Vikings get the
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win covered by three. Sean, do we have a tiebreaker?
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No. All right. Oh, yes, we do have a tiebreaker.
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I'm on the Vikings. It took me a second to realize
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what you meant. But yeah, pretty much ditto everything
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you said. Bears six and three, Vikings four and
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five. I don't think these records really reflect
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the team. Like you said, Chris, they just kind
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of bully the bad teams. They beat the Giants
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last year with no scataboo last week, last year,
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last week. No scataboo, no neighbors. Jackson
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Dart went down. So obviously the consequence
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for that is Brian Dable gets fired. So, yeah.
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Just had a, sorry you had to catch a stray there,
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Brian. Big fantasy. Big fantasy. Future Titans
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OC, just saying. But they might be back. But
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I mean, the Vikings haven't been playing bad.
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They just haven't been playing well. But I think
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Caleb Williams is, he is allergic. to winning
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games against the Vikings. He's 0 and 3. I know
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he's been in the league for a year and a half.
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0 and 3 straight up and against the spread. And
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just, if you fated Bears divisional opponents
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since 2019, you'd be up 14 and a half units.
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Just saying. 22, 7, and 1 all time. So it's Vikings
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minus 3. OK. I'm going to keep my pick. I kind
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of like it. It feels like it's gonna be like
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it's either gonna be I'm gonna look like the
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smartest man in the world or a big dumb idiot
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And sometimes towing that line is kind of fun
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Also the Bears it feels like in their Winds they
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are very close Shit I had this ready in my head
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But the last time they two met, the Vikings only
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won by three, so I'm taking plus three. I'm seeing
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a little bit of value there, but I don't know.
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Who's to say? Anyway, moving on. Bucks at the
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Bills. The Bills not looking great these days.
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The Bucks kind of also not looking great, but
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scoring a lot of points. Uh the the bills, um,
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they're Two and three in their last five, uh,
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which is not good. Um, and the bucks, I mean
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they're they're injured Heavily, um, but they
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are able to kind of keep up with teams. Um The
9:28
bake show magic Uh, but yeah, i'm gonna i'm gonna
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let chris go first on this one Give me the bucks
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all day. Um If Baker Mayfield is a road dog,
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I'm going to bet on him because all he does is
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cover, um, step from our friends at the truth
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center. He has 14 and three against the spread
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of the last two years as a road underdog. So
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bucks plus five and a half all day. Uh, Buffalo's
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defense is not good. I know they're beat to shit,
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so it's not their fault, but I mean, they can't
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stop. I mean, they made the dolphins look like
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world beaters last week. So I. I don't think,
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I know Tampa Bay is banged up on offense as well,
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but they still got some weapons. They got Ibuka,
10:14
Tez Johnson's still very good, or maybe not very
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good as a quality wide receiver. I think Bucks
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keep it close. I was thinking maybe sprinkle
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money line, but the bills are pissed off after
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last week. So I'm going to stay with that. I'm
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just going to take the points. Another stat from
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the trend center. I thought this was just kind
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of interesting. The last 30 years. In week 11,
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the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 25 and five against
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the spread. Wow. I thought that was a little
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juicy nugget. So, um, yeah, that plus Baker road
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dog. Um, yeah. Bucks plus five and a half all
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day. Uh, well, what do you think? Um, based on
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the past, uh, 11 weeks, 10 weeks of this show,
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I'm going to let you guess. Over. Yes, just the
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over. It feels like it feels like I mean the
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the bills defenses is is beat up. It's it feels
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like they're kind of always beat up year after
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year. So for them to win games, they kind of
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have to go kind of have to go God mode. But that
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being said, the Bucks defense is not very good
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either. And I mean, I feel like I'm a broken
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record just repeating myself. It feels like bucks
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over is just a cash cow for me. So I mean, I'm
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gonna, I'm gonna keep riding them. Sean? Yes.
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What do you have? Okay. Going with the bucks
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plus five and a half. Bill's fraud watch. I mean,
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they should honestly already be put in this category,
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but Yeah, I'll give them that division games
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can get weird. I'll give them that band the Bucks
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nearly pulled that game off against the Pats
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at the end, but It's the past we're gonna move
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on and Five and a half is a a weird spread it's
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a very not football spread and Also, thanks to
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our friends at the Trends Center, there's a perfect
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stat for this called NFC versus AFC weird spread.
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Pretty self -explanatory, but the spread has
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to be between four and six. And the underdog,
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in this case, the Bucks, is 21, six and two.
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Love this stat. And also, this is the first regular
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season meeting of Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield.
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Isn't that wild? Wow. That is crazy. Yeah. They
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played like once in the preseason, but they've
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never met in the regular season or playoffs.
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Interesting. So I kind of like that. So, you
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know, get a little competition going, get them
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butt and heads a little bit. That's my pick.
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Oh, okay. All right Moving on all right next
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game talking about the Seahawks at the Rams divisional
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matchup. The Rams are favored by two and a half
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Over -under is 48 and a half I will take the
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lead on this divisional matchup. It feels like
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both of these teams are Really good teams It
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feels like they both have like both top ten defenses,
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but it also kind of feels like that whenever
13:57
they get towards the end of games, they just
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kind of play with their food a little bit. Well,
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I mean, we saw that last week with the Seahawks
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just letting 22 points happen by the Cardinals.
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So that was not fun if you had the under in that
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game. And then sort of, I guess, same thing with
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the Rams game last week, the Rams in the 49ers.
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I did not have the under in that game. I had
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the Rams, but The 49ers did not give up, and
14:27
the Rams, it seems like kind of did, kind of
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didn't. It's tough to say. But all that being
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said, I am taking under 48 and a half in this
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game. If both of these defenses show up, play
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a full 60, I think the potential for this game
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could be a rock fight. So that is what I'm doing,
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under 48 and a half. Sean, what do you think
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about Seahawks Rams? Yeah, I'm going... Seahawks
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money line straight up on the road and Mike McDonald
15:01
dog on the road. I don't know if you guys knew
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his game on the road. You got that road game.
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Well, I'm familiar. 11 and one all time. Amazing.
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Love it. I think this is this is like the this
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is if Branca is Broncos Chiefs game of the week
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Probably I don't probably because I wish it wasn't
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but the Cowboys play Monday So it's either yeah,
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I mean, yeah, it's either Cowboys Chiefs are
15:44
like the Eagles Every every week. So call a spade
15:47
spade here. Yeah. Yeah But this should be game
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of the week like this is This is like the best
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patch up we have all Sunday. And I just kind
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of want to, I kind of like the resurgence of
16:03
Sam Darnold, to be honest. I think it's fun.
16:06
And I want this team to have fun and beat the
16:10
other team real bad. So yeah, give me Mike McDonald
16:15
and Sam Darnold on the road versus the Rams.
16:18
Chris, what you got? Completely agree for. every
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reason you just said, like I, that's everything
16:25
I had written down. Um, I love the Seahawks team.
16:30
Um, I've bet on them a lot this season, so I'm
16:32
just going to keep doing it, especially when
16:34
I get a plus sign next to them. Um, yeah, I'm
16:38
my Donald 11 and one on the road. Um, I'm just
16:41
going to bet it until the wheels fall off. Um,
16:45
yeah, I mean, Sean pretty much took everything
16:47
I was going to say. So yeah, Seahawks money line.
16:50
Okay. I might. Switch my pick because of the
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reason I said before it feels like the games
16:59
these two TV play accidentally go over so I'll
17:05
think about that Moving on chiefs at the Broncos
17:10
the Broncos are home underdogs by three and a
17:13
half points the chiefs I believe they're coming
17:16
off a bye Yeah, potentially fully back to being
17:22
the world beaters that they are. The Broncos.
17:27
There's a lot of terms you could use to describe
17:29
the Broncos. Frustrating being one of them, if
17:31
you're me. The other one being scrappy. It feels
17:35
like this team is just very scrappy and it feels
17:38
like they can kind of win when they need to.
17:43
And it's not it's not pretty, but you know, some
17:48
people say it's beautiful. They're not my team,
17:51
so I won't say that. But I don't know. This is
17:56
a tough one. Divisional matchup. Chiefs are back.
18:00
The Broncos have a plus sign. This game had me
18:03
in a pretzel. Sean, what do you think about this
18:05
game? Going with the under. Divisional matchup.
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Love it. Broncos are just totaling. When a Bronco,
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when they play, shit. I got this. Broncos are
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averaging just 38 points per game. Total. They
18:31
have a tight defense. Patches for Tan might be
18:33
out. They held the Chiefs last year to 16 points.
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Under is 4 -0 in the last two matchups. Or last
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two years, sorry. More so, like... The Broncos
18:49
are just like quietly the best team to bet an
18:52
under on. 7 -3. Chiefs right behind them at second,
18:58
going 6 -3. Also, turning to our friends at the
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Trends Center for this one. When Mahomes comes
19:05
off the buy or an extended rest of 8 days or
19:07
more, the under is 13 -4 -1. Give me the under
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44 .5. Will, what you got? Fuck, I don't know.
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It's just like the under is Calling my name,
19:23
but it's just like this It just feels like this
19:27
is a movie I've seen before where the Chiefs
19:30
go up by 20 and then the Broncos come back in
19:36
in the second half and They somehow win and it's
19:41
like well if they're down by 40, then it's like
19:43
it's definitely gonna go over And so like it
19:46
feels like in my head. I can't win But I think
19:50
I'm going to ride the under. I kind of hate it.
19:53
I kind of hate this game. I got to be real. I
19:55
hate this game. I'm going to watch it, obviously,
19:57
but I'm going with the under hundred forty four
20:02
and a half. Chris. I mean, I don't like doing
20:09
this, but I'm taking the chief's mess three and
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a half. I don't think Denver is nearly as good
20:15
as their record says they are. Now they're on
20:17
a seven game win streak, I believe. But I mean,
20:21
it's kind of similar to the Bears. Let's look
20:23
who they beat. They need a miracle comeback against
20:26
the Giants. They won a few slap fights against
20:30
the Jets, the Davis Mills led Texans, and the
20:35
goddamn Las Vegas Raiders. I just don't think
20:39
they're that good. And like you said, Will, Kansas
20:41
City coming off a bye. Hitty Reed is obviously
20:45
great coming off a bye. He is 22 and four straight
20:47
up coming off a bye in his career. Pretty fucking
20:51
good. Then another tidbit from our friends at
20:54
the Trent Center, road favorites coming off a
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bye. So when a team is coming off a bye, playing
20:59
on the road and they are favored, they are 45,
21:02
22 and three against the spread in the last 70
21:05
games. That's a lot. So yeah The Chiefs are back
21:12
They went away for I guess like a quarter of
21:17
the season, but they're they're fucking back
21:19
Just make money. It sucks, but just make money
21:22
off of when you can it chiefs minus three and
21:23
a half Yeah, those those small chiefs spreads
21:27
are like That's that's where you get them. I
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Hate this game whatever Anyway, moving on. Next
21:41
game, Sunday Night Football. Are you definitely
21:44
taking the under? Yeah. Okay. It didn't seem
21:48
like you were very confident. I'm not confident
21:51
in anything in this game. Alright. That's inspiring
21:58
for the folks. I haven't had a lot of winning
22:02
weeks this season. Believe in something. I've
22:05
had a few. winning weeks, but only a few. So
22:11
I don't know. Moving on. Next game, NFC matchup
22:17
Sunday Night Football should be a banger. Lions
22:21
at the Eagles. Eagles are favored by three Eagles
22:26
won a rock fight against the the Stillers on
22:31
Monday Night Football. The Packers, sorry That
22:37
others that that Steelers game was a rock fight
22:39
for I mean three quarters, but Sorry anyway Yes,
22:47
the the Packers and the Eagles was a rock fight
22:49
not fun kind of glad I didn't watch it But I'm
22:54
glad I won my bet on the Eagles that being said
22:57
it feels like the Lions Get up for these games
23:03
And with that, I'm taking the Lions plus three
23:06
right here. It feels like there's kind of something
23:09
wrong going on with the Eagles. I can't really
23:12
quite put my, uh, put my finger on it. It's kind
23:14
of like, dude, you're in this big NFC matchup
23:17
on Monday night football and like, you can't,
23:20
you can't beat a team more than three points.
23:24
And it's like, yeah, I guess the, uh, the, the
23:27
defense showed up. But it's kind of like, hey,
23:29
man, you got to put it together. You got to put
23:31
it together in all phases here. The Lions have
23:34
had a little bit of a rocky start at the beginning
23:36
of the season, but they're still they're still
23:40
the Detroit football Lions. Not the not the bad
23:44
ones that we've known for 60, 70, 80 years, but
23:48
the good ones. So I'm going with Lions plus the
23:52
points here, plus three. Chris, what do you think
23:56
about this game? I hate to do this, but I'm taking
24:01
under 46 and a half. Eagles offense, yeah, just
24:05
does not look good. I don't really know what
24:09
exactly is the problem, but it seems like everyone
24:13
is just kind of stuck in the mud on that side
24:16
of the ball. I know they got some injuries on
24:18
the offensive line, but still. And on the same,
24:20
or on the flip side, I guess you could say, the
24:23
line's offense. Not been great the last month
24:28
or so. I know they just beat the shit out of
24:29
the commanders The commanders don't play defense.
24:31
So I think you can have to throw that one out
24:33
Other than that, I mean they lost to the Vikings
24:36
They scored a garbage time I was a garbage time
24:39
but it touched on the very end to kind of make
24:41
their offense like a little bit better then they
24:44
kind of got Stifled by the Chiefs and they only
24:47
put up 24 points against the Bucks and the Bucks
24:51
defense is not exactly like the steel curtain
24:53
out here. I know Detroit's defense dominated
24:55
that game, so they did what they had to do, but
24:57
I think this game's going to kind of stink. I
25:02
hate to say that with this Lions team, but yeah,
25:06
I just don't see either team scoring in the mid
25:10
-20s, so I'm going to take under 46 and a half.
25:13
Hate to be a wet blanket, but that's what I'm
25:15
feeling. Sean, what do you take? I'm right there
25:18
with you, bro. So don't feel alone Just pretty
25:23
ditto to everything you just said like you just
25:26
laid it out just so well Yeah, I mean if if if
25:33
the Eagles had trouble against the Packers defense
25:36
on Monday like they're Kind of in for you know
25:40
a little bit of an upgrade this coming Monday,
25:44
so and like you said like the Lions they They
25:49
win, but they also just beat the shit out of
25:51
like really bad teams and you know They lost
25:54
to the Chiefs and the Vikings and it's like those
25:56
aren't really bad teams and they really couldn't
25:59
I know that that Vikings game was close But that
26:02
Chiefs game was nowhere close and I'm pretty
26:05
sure that went under as well. So yeah, I could
26:08
14 something like that Yeah, that sounds right
26:12
but I mean that's How many points is it that's
26:18
forty seven forty four that's first there. Yeah,
26:21
perfect So yeah, give me it again. Let's do it
26:25
again Hell yeah, there we go That's the main
26:30
slate of games Now we are moving on to everyone's
26:33
favorite segment of the week the surefire double
26:36
unit plays of the week we are Two and three unsure
26:42
fire parlays in the last no not two and three
26:45
two and one Doing one in the last three surefire
26:48
parlays looking to continue the pattern of winning
26:54
so I Don't want to go first Chris. I want you
27:00
to go first All right, gladly it's game. We already
27:04
talked about Taking Seahawks moneyline double
27:07
unit Okay, like I said, I fucking love this team.
27:11
I think they I mean they could be a potential
27:14
Super Bowl Uh, contender, um, yeah, I mean, their
27:18
defense is one of the best in the league that
27:20
just nobody is talking about. Um, and obviously
27:23
everything we said earlier, Mike McDonald on
27:25
the road, lemon one straight up ever. Um, also
27:29
a little, uh, not a little, this is a good, uh,
27:32
staff from trend center since 2019, Sam Donald
27:35
is 16, five and one against the spread when playing
27:38
a defense that is allowing less than 20 points
27:41
a game. So he can keep it close. with these good
27:46
defenses. I just think they win this game outright.
27:50
I know it's on the road, but the Rams have no
27:53
home field advantage. They just don't. And the
27:56
Seahawks fans will travel. So it kind of begs
27:58
the question, what would this line be if it was
28:01
in Seattle? Pick them. Seahawks. Seahawks slight
28:05
favorite. One and a half, two point favorites.
28:08
So I think this is pretty much going to be a
28:10
quasi home game for the Seahawks. So yeah, money
28:13
line. Double unit let's fucking win another fucking
28:17
go. Yeah, it's just let's just keep winning This
28:25
game is a stinker oh It is the Ravens Browns
28:35
under 39 and a half These are these these AFC
28:40
North matchups are a bit tricky But it feels
28:45
like the Ravens are Back or they kind of have
28:49
to be in order to it's a competitive in their
28:52
division so My outlook on this game is the Ravens
28:58
are going to score between 20 and 30 points And
29:03
the Browns are going to score very much less
29:06
than 30 not 30 10 because The Browns on offense
29:13
are dog shit. Yes. Yes, they are. Yes. Yes. And
29:20
the Ravens are getting healthier on defense and
29:25
they're showing up in these games. The Ravens
29:28
Vikings game went under last week, which was
29:31
not fun for me. But it feels like the Ravens
29:35
are back slowly getting back into form. The Ravens
29:40
can't beat the shit out of the Browns in this
29:42
game still go under They have to play a complete
29:46
game. They got to be locked in and I think I
29:49
think this kid goes under I feel it's under thirty
29:52
nine and a half. It's low Which means it feels
29:56
right? And so I'm going under thirty nine and
29:59
a half Sean, what do you got? First off before
30:05
I get into it. I just want to say what a Terrible
30:08
loss for the Jags last week leading 29 to 10
30:12
by 19 points entering the fourth quarter to just
30:15
Turn around and lose like that. Oh my god awful
30:20
terrible In the last I looked this up I saw this
30:24
step in the last decade teams who led by 19 points
30:29
entering the fourth quarter covered 97 % of their
30:32
games when the line was either minus three or
30:35
less Or as an underdog. And they were 149 to
30:42
one against the spread. Do you know what that
30:44
one is? It's really easy. Was it the Jacksonville
30:47
Jaguars? No, it was the... Was it Titans Browns?
30:52
No, it was... A few years ago? Was it Chargers?
30:54
Falcon Patriots. Falcon Patriots Super Bowl.
30:56
Oh, I was thinking regular season. Yeah, that
30:58
makes sense. But yeah, that's the only other
31:02
one besides the one that just happened. Love
31:05
to say so that so the Texans are going to the
31:08
Super Bowl not saying that sure But since 2019
31:14
teams after blowing a 14 -point lead entering
31:17
the fourth quarter of their previous game are
31:19
just 5 and 13 against the spread in 6 and 12
31:24
against the spread so I guess the question this
31:27
week is Can the Jags finish this game? Because
31:33
this season Jacksonville is two and seven against
31:38
the spread in the fourth quarter, tied for the
31:42
worst mark in NFL history. And at home, they
31:46
are one and four in their fourth quarter against
31:49
the spread. So my official surefire double unit
31:53
play of the week is the Los Angeles Chargers
31:56
fourth quarter spread. minus one and a half plus
32:00
125. I like doing these these weird ones. You
32:07
know, I've been doing a couple like first half
32:08
here and there. But I see a lot of value in this.
32:12
And if we already got the Seahawks money line,
32:14
that's plus money. This is going to be this is
32:18
going to be a good surefire pick. Let's just
32:20
build it right now. What what what minus one
32:23
and a half fourth quarter minus one quarter minus
32:27
one and a half. Fourth quarter minus. Wow. Might
32:36
want to. Where's the room? I can't. Oh, there
32:39
it is. OK. And then Seahawks. Is. That's crazy.
32:46
I want to lock this in now. It feels like plus
32:49
918 on Schmand. That's our that's our highest
32:53
one so far by a lot. Yeah, by a lot. Hell yeah.
33:01
I'm going to lock this in right now. Let's go.
33:11
I really love our Surefire parlor this week,
33:15
just for what it's worth. I love it every week,
33:17
but I kind of really like it this week. I love
33:20
getting sicko with it. That's awesome. Hey man.
33:27
That's fantastic. I'll have to lock that in later.
33:30
We're called sharp betters, Chris. Yes, we're
33:33
not we're not sick. We're sharp betters. They
33:37
don't just give anyone a podcast. You can you
33:40
can be a sicko and a sharp better. They're not
33:43
mutually exclusive. All right. I'm going to lock
33:48
that in later. I couldn't find it in two minutes,
33:52
so I have to do a deeper dive anyway. Moving
33:55
on. That's the surefire plays of the week. uh
33:58
why not we just why don't we just win again i
34:03
don't see why not i don't i think we are yeah
34:06
uh plus nine something uh moving on 9 18 moving
34:13
on uh extra plays of the week um i have one and
34:20
i'll just i'll just start off um this one i'm
34:24
gonna get a little silly uh it's the bengal stillers
34:30
over 48 and a half uh it feels like big daddy
34:37
joe flacco hasn't heard that bell ring yet uh
34:42
and he's in these super high scoring games now
34:45
so it feels it just feels natural to bet the
34:48
over in this game um the steelers defense is
34:51
not It's it's definitely not what we thought
34:54
it was. This is a divisional game. So weird shit
34:57
can happen, but I'm hoping that that weird shit
35:01
is it just becomes a a shootout And I mean the
35:07
Bengals defense is total ass So if if Aaron Rodgers
35:12
can't score at least 20 points against this defense,
35:16
then what are we? He should quit He should quit
35:21
He's just hanging them up Because Joe Flacco
35:26
can And he will he will he this game will go
35:31
over over 48 and a half. That's my only play
35:34
Sean what are your extra plays? Yes, I also have
35:38
the the the the Bengals stillers over They shot
35:44
it out last time like what was that night? 35,
35:50
33, or 33, 31, something like that. It's like
35:52
in the 70s, I think. Yeah. But yeah, Joe Flacco,
35:56
he's 4 -0 in his last four starts on the over.
36:01
And when he starts that over, it's going over
36:04
by 22 .5 points. It's like astronomical. These
36:10
overs should be just boosted to the moon, but
36:13
they're not. So get them while they're hot. I
36:17
think that's it. I did a lot of research on that.
36:21
My surefire parlay, so I don't have a lot of
36:23
other extra plays, but I did write that one down
36:26
as well. So that's my only one check X for what's
36:32
happening. It's the only thing now. Chris, what
36:38
are your extra plays? All right, we're going
36:40
across the pond for the first one. Where is this?
36:43
Spain? Madrid Madrid Dolphins minus two and a
36:47
half The commanders have given up. They don't
36:52
give a shit this especially on their defense
36:55
is just non -existent and the Dolphins I mean
36:59
They're a bad football team, but their offense
37:02
still got some dudes on it and if Tua can just
37:05
not be a fucking dipshit I think they win this
37:08
game easily And I think it's going to be hard
37:10
for this defense to make him look like a dipshit.
37:12
I really hope so. Dolphins minus two and a half.
37:16
Yes. I'm I'm adding that. And it's kind of like
37:20
if if the commanders aren't in kind of tank mode
37:24
right now, then it's like, well, what are we
37:27
what are you really doing here? It feels like
37:29
you really don't they don't really have a chance
37:31
to make a playoff. So it's kind of they don't
37:33
have it. No, they're done. So and the Dolphins,
37:37
I mean, Mike, Mike, McDaniel. Mike McDaniel.
37:40
I mean, he's go to for his job. So I have to
37:46
have a bet for the Madrid game. You have to.
37:51
So there we go. Yeah. Dolphins minus two and
37:54
a half. I'm adding that. Let's go. All right.
37:58
I just looked up. Yeah, I got it. Next one. Similar
38:03
thought process to y 'all. I'm taking Bengals
38:05
plus five and a half. The sealage defense is
38:08
not good. Um, the bingles defense cannot stop
38:12
anything, but like y 'all both said their offense
38:15
will probably score at least 35 points. And I
38:18
don't think Aaron Rogers can do that. I know
38:23
since these defense is terrible, but I just don't
38:25
think this Pittsburgh offense has it in them.
38:27
If DK like you just have to stop DK Metcalf.
38:31
No one else on this offense can really do anything.
38:33
So bingles plus five and a half. Texans, Titans
38:36
over 39 and a half, um, just Titans over the
38:40
rest of the season. Doesn't matter. I don't care.
38:42
CJ shroud, Davis mills over this. Whoever is
38:46
playing the Titans defense will make them look
38:48
like a hall of Famer. So over 39 and a half.
38:51
And then last one, Cowboys minus three and a
38:53
half. Las Vegas is terrible. Uh, Dallas desperately
38:56
needs a win and kind of a convincing one to just
38:59
prevent a utter tailspin for this season. So.
39:04
Yeah, I think they beat the shit out of the Raiders.
39:06
It's not that hard to do. Most teams do it. So
39:08
yeah, Cowboys minus three and a half. And that
39:10
is the card. All right. That's the card. The
39:14
Cowboys did also get Quinn and Williams. Oh,
39:18
yeah, that's right. I also probably bet on the
39:21
Cowboys because I mean, I think I'm just going
39:23
to take the rest of Chris's card, to be honest.
39:26
That's a lot of pressure. I mean those two other
39:30
I had to I have to have a pick for for for the
39:36
games that are the only games that are on so
39:39
offense commanders standalone football yeah I
39:45
mean prime time anyway moving on I mean that's
39:51
the that's that's that's dark that's all of our
39:53
cards let me think other other shit that's happened
39:58
around the league. I mean, Brian, they will got
40:00
fired, which is, I mean, if you if you give them
40:06
shit, then like you're going to get shit like.
40:09
Yeah, I mean. I mean, the writing has been on
40:13
the wall for a long time. I feel like it's pretty
40:16
much last two or three seasons. I I still think
40:20
he's a good coach. Like if you if if. Scataboo
40:25
and neighbors didn't go down. He'd still probably
40:28
have his job like, yeah, I think they'd be like
40:31
a decent football team if they were healthy.
40:35
Yeah, like. It's. Give him shit, you're gonna
40:42
get shit. I know we said. Future Titans OC or
40:47
Sean said that at the top of the show. I wouldn't
40:50
hate Future Titans head coach. I would rather
40:55
have someone with a more proven track record,
41:01
like Mike McCarthy, but I wouldn't if it was
41:05
announced tomorrow, I'd be like, you know what?
41:06
Fine. I still think he's a good head coach. Made
41:09
the playoffs with this shitbag team in his first
41:12
season. So I think he's a good coach. Yeah, it
41:16
was a long time ago. Won a playoff game, beat
41:18
the Vikings. Damn. I just remember that was the
41:25
year the Vikings were incredibly overrated, but
41:26
still that's a playoff and the Giants haven't
41:29
had many of those lately. I just kind of remember,
41:34
you know, day well being the OC for the bills
41:37
and that's when the bills were like more unstoppable.
41:42
Like they were just throwing it up and he was
41:47
so good with the bills, but I Don't know what
41:51
he can do with this Titans roster, but man Yeah,
41:55
I wouldn't be mad at head coach I don't think
41:57
I mean it really does suck. He got fired like
42:01
I mean, I know they're two and eight. There's
42:03
nothing like you can really do about that, but
42:07
Three of your like star players going down and
42:11
then your wins are against the Chargers and the
42:14
Eagles Yeah, like that's decent for solid wins
42:20
Yes, very solid wins and I mean I know they There's
42:26
a monumental collapse, but if they had just not
42:29
yeah shot themselves in the dick against the
42:32
Broncos I mean, yeah, I think even if he wins
42:34
that game he sells a job at least this week I
42:36
don't know about the rest of the season. Yeah,
42:39
I would have it would have extended his it's
42:43
Kind of like a simply I think it's somewhat of
42:46
a similar situation to the Titans firing variable
42:49
Yes. Where it's like, yeah, the record is shit,
42:54
but it's not his fault. Like, what is he supposed
42:58
to do with this roster? We literally had 60 guys
43:02
on IR. Yeah. So I think it's a similar situation,
43:07
but yeah, giants. I mean, the giants are the
43:09
giants. They're probably going to be terrible
43:12
forever. table talk. You'll hear about Tom Brady
43:22
cloning his dog. I heard about it. Bye. Isn't
43:26
that wild? Why does that have to be so fucking
43:28
weird? Just be normal, dude. Yeah. How much do
43:37
you think it is to clone a dog? A lot. Yeah,
43:43
I looked into it, but I guess it's not cheap.
43:48
It's not really that cheap to just buy a nice
43:50
dog It's $50 ,000 that's low. That's what it's
43:58
it. I thought it would be Like at least a few
44:02
hundred thousand. I thought it'd be like a million
44:05
like in the millions. Yeah You're creating a
44:08
life out of nothing. Well, yeah You're playing
44:13
god for $50 ,000 So, he cloned the dog. Did he
44:18
keep like the same name? No, it's a different
44:21
name. Oh, what? No, that'd be weird. It's already
44:26
weird. It's crossing the line. It's already extremely
44:29
weird. I think it'd be funnier if he just kept
44:31
the same name. Like, yes, nothing. That dog never
44:33
died. This is the same dog. That's probably not
44:37
like a healthy, like psychological thing to do.
44:40
But I don't think this is, I think this is just
44:42
an extremely weird thing. Just be a normal dude.
44:46
Yeah, it's uh It's kind of like I'm just like
44:53
at work if I get this DSP and notification Tom
44:57
Brady has cloned his dog and I was like Man,
45:02
what do they come up with next? It's like this
45:09
isn't sports news It's really not like I don't
45:15
know why ESPN is like turning into like, you
45:17
know, TMZ. I didn't think it was real. Like I
45:20
got that notification. I was like there this
45:23
like they must have got got. There's no way this
45:25
is real. Yeah. I went on Twitter. It's like,
45:27
Oh shit. Nobody's a psycho. I mean already kind
45:31
of knew that, but this is disturbing. I don't
45:35
know. Do we know, do we know how long ago he
45:39
cloned his dog? I believe he cloned it recently,
45:43
but the dog that he had before the first one
45:49
Died the original the original I think I died
45:52
like two years ago or something Okay, wait, so
45:55
like he's had this clone dog for two years and
45:59
we're just now finding out about it No, I think
46:01
the clone is relatively new, but I think the
46:05
previous the original dog passed away like two
46:08
years ago So he's just been sitting on this dead
46:11
dog DNA for two years. That's enough time to
46:16
move on, man. Get a new dog. Who's to say? I
46:20
thought it was like the dog died like last week
46:23
and he was like, it's just like a wreck emotionally.
46:27
So he cloned it to keep it alive, essentially.
46:32
I could be incredibly wrong with the timeline,
46:36
but... To my understanding it was I don't know.
46:41
I don't know if he's just like kept the carcass
46:43
or Like had some hair lying around but should
46:47
like that All right, this dog died in 2023 I
46:52
was I was so right boom. So when did he any just
46:56
cloned it recently? Or just got how long does
46:59
it take? Okay, so hmm, how long do you think
47:05
it would take Well, I don't think I don't think
47:07
he's done it yet. That's not what he is being
47:11
said. But like, I think he he is just like dropped
47:16
off the like necessary. Thing like the samples
47:21
to the place to the cloning store. Apparently
47:27
this is the same place that that also cloned
47:30
Barbra Streisand and Paris Hilton's dogs. Forgot
47:33
Barbra Streisand did that. I totally forgot about
47:36
that. Oh, people have done this before? Yeah.
47:39
She did that like kind of a while ago, I think.
47:42
I had no idea. We've had the cloning. Like, didn't
47:44
the someone in Europe do that, like clone sheep?
47:48
Like, there's like the kind of a yeah, like a
47:50
long time. Like the 90s. Yeah. Yeah, I remember
47:53
hearing about the clone sheep in like fifth grade.
47:56
That was in the 90s. I remember being in like
47:57
kindergarten and reading it in like a magazine
48:00
or something, like looking at the pictures because
48:03
I couldn't read yet, but. Know that they I know
48:07
that they clone the sheet I could tell from contact
48:10
magazines are just picture books When you're
48:16
And then when I was in fifth grade I was looking
48:21
at a magazine not reading Saw that they they
48:27
cloned a sheep I could have read it. I didn't
48:33
The cloned sheep. Um, that's, that's wild. Um,
48:38
I did not know that he should have the thing
48:40
that people did before. He should have just did
48:43
what Herbstreet did and buy like five dogs that
48:46
look just like your dead dog. Yeah. So paraded
48:51
around for the entire world to see. We don't
48:54
have to keep talking about this dog, but it died
48:56
in 2023 and this, it sounds like this is a dog
49:00
that him and Giselle had together Hmm, like is
49:07
this like a was this a joint custody dog? Is
49:10
he going to now have to? Is she gonna get the
49:13
dog the clone dog on the weekends or well, is
49:17
it because it's a new dog? new dog, okay New
49:23
dog obviously, I don't know their arrangement
49:25
on you know, if they she was like you take the
49:28
fucking dog clones or just like visitation rights
49:34
for, I don't know, for dogs. It's obviously their
49:37
children. Attack of the clones. They also would
49:42
have normal children. That's what I said. They're
49:45
with their children. Oh, gotcha. I thought, okay,
49:48
gotcha. I was more or less focusing on the dog
49:52
because that's the hot topic right now. Yes.
49:56
That's so fucking weird. Tom Brady is a weird
50:00
dude. Yeah, because his dad on the mouth because
50:05
his Robert Kraft on the mouth kids on the whips
50:10
Clones dogs But also like I mean when you have
50:18
like unlimited money, I don't know got it got
50:23
to do something to Yeah, you just signed that
50:26
like you know what? This is suspicious. Now that
50:29
like he, he signed this like deal to play like
50:32
flag football with the Saudis and now he's cloning
50:35
dogs. Hmm. Something's not right. He got paid
50:40
a little bit more than. Are the Saudis cloning
50:43
it? I don't know. Who's to say? Conspiracy. That
50:49
was his negotiations. Like I'll play in your
50:52
flag football league. Please, I'll do anything.
50:59
I just want my dog. I can't play. Not without
51:04
Fido. Maybe this is a way of trying to get Giselle
51:09
back. He's like, look, babe, got our dog back.
51:13
Mr. Peanutbutter's back. Stop. Stop sleeping
51:19
with that Taekwondo instructor. Stop stop sleeping
51:26
with my ex personal trainer wait a minute There's
51:30
someone like that sure oh, I thought it was like
51:32
just like her yoga instructor or some shit it
51:35
was I Was just making shit up, okay? Calling
51:41
it fact You know slander I'm sorry Tom. I know
51:52
you're a big fan of the show Shit. Anything else?
52:03
I mean, the Titans had a bye, so we weren't sad.
52:10
Just perpetually sad. I mean, yeah, that all
52:13
the time. I don't care. All right. We're not
52:17
going to win another game the rest of the season.
52:19
So. All right. Fair. Watch the fuck around and
52:25
win. Send Sunday. Don't put that in my head.
52:30
Oh, uh, one thing we can talk about since this
52:32
comes out on Friday, uh, Chris has already dressed
52:35
for the occasion, but the preds play in Sweden
52:38
on Friday. I forgot about, I forgot they're playing
52:43
in that. Um, yeah. Kelsey said some about it.
52:45
I was like, Oh, I didn't know they were doing
52:47
that. That's cool. Who are they playing? The
52:50
penguins. Hmm. Interesting. I hope we win. Yes.
52:55
Um, I've been I also hope that games in a week
52:59
and uh, they both lost They were both really
53:04
tight games, but then they got their ass whooped
53:07
last night But Matthew looks good though Matthew
53:12
would though I know we're football show but yeah
53:15
that preds loss and overtime to the wild. Um
53:19
That was bullshit Yeah, if you go back like a
53:24
couple minutes In overtime, you can see the play
53:27
where the net got knocked off. Oh yeah, I didn't
53:30
see that. I tried to avoid all things about that
53:32
because I was just getting furious. Yeah, it
53:36
was like a minute or two before they were down
53:40
in our zone. And like, I can't remember exactly
53:45
what happened, but like the net moved. Which,
53:49
I mean, like it was such a soft kind of touch.
53:54
when it came off the off the pegs. So it was
53:58
like, I mean, that has that had to have been
54:01
it. Like you didn't. Yeah, they didn't do their
54:04
do their job. Now, like it was the correct call
54:09
in terms of like if the goaltender like knocks
54:14
the net off the peg, then like, yeah, you they
54:19
can they can award the other team the goal. Oh,
54:21
yeah, I knew that. But I didn't see how you could
54:25
say like, Oh yeah, he did that on purpose from
54:28
that. Just trying to move across the crease.
54:32
Yeah. Like goalies do that like 50 times a day.
54:34
Okay. Yeah. And it was like, cause obviously
54:37
it was watching it. And then on the broadcast,
54:40
um, Hal Gill and Chris may, well, all of them,
54:43
but mainly how Gil and Chris Mason were just
54:45
kinda like, wait, what? Like this is essentially
54:48
the thing. Like this is bullshit, but TV words.
54:52
And so I was like, okay. Yeah. I was like, okay,
54:55
maybe this is just like, obviously they have
54:56
to be biased a little bit. I was on Twitter that
54:59
night and just the general hockey tour consensus
55:02
was, yeah, that's not, that was bullshit. And
55:06
it's very rare. You see people come together
55:10
in support or like side with the Nashville predators
55:12
on hockey Twitter. So I was like, I was like,
55:15
if that's happening, then it must be actual bullshit.
55:20
Yeah. So, yeah, that sucked. Did we talk last
55:27
week about that SNL skit? No, but that was very
55:34
funny. I watched like half of it and I was like,
55:39
all right, I'm really tired of these. Like, did
55:43
we talk about it though on the pod? No. Okay.
55:47
So like the joke of the skit was that we're called
55:52
the predators and you know it's like ah he was
55:56
like oh the predator pedophiles you know yeah
55:58
and he was like oh i'm a predator in my community
56:01
he was like i can't what yeah and i just i just
56:06
think this team has been around for almost 30
56:08
years this is real low hanging fruit like it's
56:13
just like it's kind of every every berry has
56:16
been picked off this tree and Well, while like,
56:22
I'm glad to get, you know, like national, like,
56:26
reputation from it, because like, it's like,
56:29
oh, haha, like national predators. But yeah,
56:33
it's just, if people haven't realized that by
56:35
now, you're just an imbecile. You're a dill hole.
56:39
You are a dill hole. Yeah, it's such low hanging
56:45
fruit, like Every like bad comedian that's been
56:48
through Nashville as they're like, did you guys
56:51
know that your your hockey team is called the
56:54
Predators? Yeah, man Use your brain like do you
57:04
don't think you don't think we've heard this
57:05
kind of joke before Come come back come back
57:09
later Do do better like it I'm sick of it. I'm
57:13
gonna be real. I'm sick of the The the the predators
57:18
jokes like yeah, okay for sure like I get it
57:22
but like it's such low -hanging fruit at this
57:24
point like God It it it makes me sad honestly
57:31
when when when when someone says this joke Because
57:35
it's just like dude. Can you like think like
57:38
for more than 30 seconds? about a fucking joke
57:41
Then I thought it was kind of funny again going
57:44
back to hockey Twitter Um, a lot of the jokes
57:48
or not, I'm gonna say jokes, but like people
57:51
coming after that sketch being like, Oh, with
57:53
the timing of the Vegas golden Knights signing
57:56
a person who is being actually accused of being
58:01
a predator in his community. Carter heart. Oh
58:07
yeah. I quit it. No slander, but still. The timing
58:14
of that, people were like, really? Yeah. The
58:21
Preds rookie, the Preds did make a shirt that
58:25
the rookies wore to like, you know, go out the
58:29
boys and girls club that says Preds in the community.
58:33
And that's really unfortunate. And that's just
58:35
that those kind of things have to be run by like
58:39
10 different people. And for not one person to
58:43
be like, Hey, this might not be the best idea
58:49
is really, really unfortunate. Every, I mean,
58:54
I've said this, but every seen that picture will
58:56
you look confused? Yeah, sorry. I was thinking
58:59
about something every like T or really every
59:02
company needs like someone on their marketing,
59:05
like board team, whatever. That's just like,
59:09
Online a lot and just sees how people shit talk
59:13
on Twitter. So that that needs to be the last
59:16
person to sign off and be like guys like this.
59:20
This should be the first person. Yeah. Or that.
59:22
Yeah. But that guy needs like to be like his
59:26
opinion is like gospel because that was I remember
59:32
that I was like, okay, well, yeah, not doing
59:35
a good job trying to Silence these jokes, but
59:38
okay. Yeah, or maybe they're just like trying
59:41
to lean into it and make it go away Like because
59:44
the name is unfortunate, but it's what they're
59:48
called and there's nothing we can do about it
59:50
so I think maybe they're just trying to lean
59:53
into it a little bit and just like trying just
59:57
Sweep it not really sweep it on though. You're
59:59
not really you know what more I talk I'm like,
1:00:01
there's no way they can do that They could there's
1:00:03
no way they can like clean this if they were
1:00:04
trying to actually lean into it That's hilarious
1:00:08
to wear that to a boys and girls club. Like if
1:00:14
they were like, Hey, like if somebody was like,
1:00:17
Hey, like, this is what the jokes are going to
1:00:21
be. But then someone else was like, yeah, we
1:00:23
should just lean into it. That's hilarious. In
1:00:25
a very sick borderline perverted way. Yeah. I,
1:00:31
I fully support leaning into jokes about yourself.
1:00:39
but uh this could be a bit problematic this this
1:00:43
could be a bit problematic you're right so on
1:00:47
on one hand it's like you know if they are leaning
1:00:51
into it you know me as a regular person who doesn't
1:00:54
take jokes as as as scripture then i think it's
1:01:00
hilarious uh but like you know regular people
1:01:03
who don't think like i think Would think differently
1:01:07
they'd done it after the sketch that would be
1:01:10
better More obvious that you're leaning into
1:01:14
it, but I Believe it was well before they tweeted
1:01:20
something about I just forgot what they said,
1:01:21
but it was kind of like like a little backhand
1:01:25
like I Can't remember what they said, but no
1:01:29
one watches SNL anymore Probably not but all
1:01:33
your funny people are gone except for Kenan He's
1:01:36
still there yeah, yeah, of course he is he's
1:01:40
gonna be there. It's the sky blue And for his
1:01:53
50th season Kenan's on the Epstein list Jokes.
1:02:06
Jokes, jokes, jokes. So are we all gonna take
1:02:10
Phil to score then on Friday? I think we have
1:02:14
to. I think it's only right. I agree. Him and
1:02:20
that other guy are like our only Swede. I can't
1:02:24
remember his name. I used to know everybody in
1:02:27
this game. You said it was on Friday? Yeah, it's
1:02:29
like noon, I think. Other Swede. Think we have
1:02:35
another one Other Swede he might not be on the
1:02:41
team right now, but Others we I Can't think of
1:02:48
them, but my my attention span with this team
1:02:52
has been very low Since basically the beginning
1:02:58
of last year Adam Willsby is the other suite.
1:03:03
Oh But whoever we fucking put on right D like
1:03:11
Because we don't have a right D all we have is
1:03:16
three strong lefts Anyway All right, I think
1:03:23
that's a good a time as any to to shut her down
1:03:26
any any comments concerns epic slams We've slandered
1:03:33
quite a bit I have I have much concern All right
1:03:40
Well All right, we'll see you next week Thank
1:03:47
you so much for listening. Thank you so much
1:03:48
for watching really appreciate it Check out the
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trend center app link in the description use
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using this for for midweek gambling Then I don't
1:04:06
I don't know what you're doing. I don't know
1:04:08
how you're how you're stacking wins They're not
1:04:11
the way to do it exactly they're not Not unless
1:04:16
they They sign up with a chance save the trend
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some money when you use the app Real trend that
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way um anyway um and college basketball's back
1:04:36
so chris is fully into that and i'm sure he's
1:04:40
using the trendcenter app of course quite frequently
1:04:42
of course follow the uh the x uh to get chris's
1:04:47
daily college basketball picks There's three
1:05:02
of us. All right.