Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - Sony Open | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 01/18/26

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PGA Round 4 Showdown - Sony Open | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 01/18/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Full systems going clear. We live, We are alive.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: Welcome back to another show of Round three, rynd four Showdown,
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Ship a Nation, Sony Open, Ready to talk to some golf,
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: but fair warning, I have people in the background giving
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: me an update if the Bills do anything crazy, because
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: NFL playoffs are going down right now and I want
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: to be in the in the loop for what happens
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: if the Bills, if the Broncos get this game done.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: So we have a ton of talk about, a ton
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: to talk about good, ton to talk about. Bad that
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: happened today, happened yesterday. We have Kevin Rory, Adams Fence
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: and Harry Hall, Chris Gotterrup, Nick Taylor at the top
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: of the leaderboard, Corey Connors, Davis Riley, sh Cam at
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: eight under, and everyone's still live. This tournament is going
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: to be really fun tomorrow, really fun even what these
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: next few hours tonight. But I'm very excited for this
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: and something differently, something different than that happened today versus yesterday,
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: was the approach. Guys kind of came to play. So
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: I'm going to bring up some stats and I'm gonna
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: show you guys this look at this Bill's win no
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: if drop a comment, I don't know what's going on
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: over here. Drop a comment. Are the Bill's winning? Are
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: the other Broncos winning? All right, we'll get to that Jack.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: You said boom and then and then they failed to boom.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: Look at this approach stuff today from Corey Connor's Hideki
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: Mantsayama see Woo Kim. These are some of the rounds
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: of the day, and it's all done by approach. That
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: has not been the case so far in this tournament.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: So far it's been driver potter, like I said, And
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: now the approach guys are coming to play, and I
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: think I'm gonna see more of that tomorrow. Zach, I
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: forget how to say his last name. I'm gonna find
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: out how to say his name because it's really important.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to butcher anyone's name here. It is
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Zach Bauchu approach. Look at this rounds of the day
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: are all done with approach. I'm gonna ShW it by
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: round three. Obviously there's some other ways to do it,
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: but the majority of this round three stuff is all
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: on approach, and I think that is going to be
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: the case again tomorrow. Game is still an ot thank
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: you this, and I'll also I will also go down
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: with the showdown scoring because for round four, I saw
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: your comment in the chat, okay, something else. I got
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: the weather for tomorrow. So the reason I think the
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: approach is going to be a key factor for tomorrow's
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: round is, look at this, we're seeing some of the
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: Commas weather tom is an understatement, but some of the
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: more relaxed weather we've seen so far this week. We're
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: gonna have I'm gonna go to the one hour, yeah here,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: twelve to midday, it's gonna be calm. And these are
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: some of the chillest gusts. We've had twenty five to
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: thirty gusts so far this week, and now we're having
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: some chill gust and I think that's gonna really make
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: that what we saw today at the approach, guys go crazy.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: So Corey Connors, zach bauchrue Hideki and had a great day.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: And look at the wave scoring today, look at the
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: wave of scoring today. Still it's still they're like, this
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: is three straight days of early easy, early am, hard
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: early PM. I do think with that weather tomorrow we're
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: gonna get the closest to even I don't think it's
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: necessarily gonna be all the way fifty to fifty split
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: of just the same scoring. But I think just because
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: in the PM it's firmer, there's gonna be more pressure,
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: and it's just gonna be a little it's always a
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: little harder in the PM. But I do think tomorrow
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: will be the closest that we will see to an
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: even scoring split tomorrow. So I want to talk about
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: some strategy for tomorrow, what we're going to look for.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: Like I said, the PM guys I do think will
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: have as good of an advantage as they've had so
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: far this week, and I think you're gonna want to
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: go with those guys. I think you're gonna want to
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: have some of those PM guys and it's a great
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're going to need to have them. But
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: I think just in terms of everyone going to the
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: AM guys because it's easier, that's not the case, is
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: what I'm getting at. So in terms of tournament finished scoring,
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: this is how it works for DraftKings and Round four
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Show Showdown. If you win the tournament, you get these
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: bonus points for a win. It's thirteen points for a win,
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: ten points per second, third, for nine points for third,
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: eight and a half for fourth, and then so on
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: all the way down to fiftieth you get zero point
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: five points or fiftieth. So with that being said, you
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: want guys to finish in the top ten, but you
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: don't necessarily want to start guys. Pick guys who start
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: in the top ten, because if you know anything about PGA,
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: if you know anything about golf, it's very very volatile.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: Guys switch, guys, have good rounds, bad rounds. Let's get
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: a bills update in the chat. What we got going
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: on over there? Built the Broncos at the ball back? Yeah,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: oh okay, Broncos about a scorefield? Will that's that's That
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: was a great verbiage right there. I guess they threw
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: a pick so their goal to build. I mean, this
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: is a golf show. But as we know at tipper Nation,
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: as we know in the entire world, kind of football
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: football runs the world well is what keeps keeps us
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: all together as one. So what I was getting at,
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: you want to get have guys finishes out of the
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: top ten, but you don't necessarily want guys who are
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: starting the thought then, so let's talk. Let's bring the
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: screen back up and talk about some construction. How we
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: want to go about this for tomorrow. Whoever's leading tomorrow,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: Kevin what not necessarily Kevin Roy Adams Fencing. If one
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: of these two guys is leading going into round four,
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: I don't really trust them. I trust friends in more
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: than Roy, but I really don't trust his profile from
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: from Kevin Roy. It's losing on approach. He's riding the
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: hot putter. I said, riding hot putter is good, but
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: it's just not something you'd want to be doing four
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: straight days. He's low key getting away with it so far,
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: but I see it and the course is getting hard,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: the course is getting windy. I don't want to chase
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: that round for scoring prof If it's Kevin Roy or
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: Adam Fenson, I do think Adams Fenson is a much
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: better target. Look at this profile from Adam Fenson plus
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: three on approach like he's getting across the board solid,
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: looks to be in control. If I had to pick
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: one of these two guys, it would be Adam Fenson.
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: But nonetheless I really don't want to go to either.
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: Of these guys.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: Harry Hall having one of the rounds of the day,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: he was a Slate planned guy for us. He was
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: in that cores as well as another guy Jacob Bridgman.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: Corey Connors we touched on today had one of the
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: rounds of the day. Jacob Bridgman we touched down yesterday.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Actually we didn't touch on him, but he was in
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: the six K core or seven K corps had one
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: of the rounds of the day. So I think we
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: can keep going with these guys, especially the approach guys.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: Going with the approach guys. So we're gonna sort by
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: approach and just go from there. Okay, come on, I'm
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: just really distracted by the spills game. What you are
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: linear there on cooler Okay, Okay, So this is gonna
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: be round three approach. Actually, let's go to full tournament
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: approach because I think tomorrow was the day where the
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: approach shines the most. Nick Dunlahb, Corey Connors, Ryan Gerard,
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: see who Kim Zach Blair. So what I'm gonna go
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: with in terms of approach and guys for tomorrow is
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: approach plus vintage Bermuda guys. And what I mean by
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: that is, guys, if you know, this is more of
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: like a ballnober thing and I'll try to do my
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: best to explain it. Guys you just play well on
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: Bermuda every single time, who have really good Bermuda course history.
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: Guys that play well at Sony, Guys that play well
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: in Florida. Guys that I can I can note right now,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Ryan Gerard Seewoo, Kim Zach Blair is the Bermuda guy. Obviously, Max,
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: we're gonna miss the cut. Russell Henley, Adams, Fenson, Daniel
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Berger approach plus good Bermuda course history. I really think
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: those kind of guys shine tomorrow. So That's what I'm
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking at. And if you want to really
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: dive deep into the approach, into the potential Bermuda guys,
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: look at this. This is gonna be your your This
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: is gonna be your little stone to success tomorrow. The
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: tap delta approach for round three. I need the target
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: guys who had maybe not the best stroke skin approach
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: in terms of the PGA Tour stat but had the
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: true approach delta that you can only get at the stone,
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: and that I think is gonna shine tomorrow because of
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: the weather, because it's calmer. I really think it's gonna
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: be put these guys in great position to win, to
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: get these additional points to do everything tomorrow. And like
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: I always say, this stuff is free right now, so
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: go over to the site. I mean, I can only
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: say so much. You can learn so much from just
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: sorting through this and finding true approach, finding tat delta.
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: I think it is the way to go for tomorrow.
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: So they're at the thirty at the thirty five now,
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: not great for us Bill's backers, I guess, not great
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: for us Bill Beckers, I guess. All right, what do
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: we want to talk about next? Let's talk about some
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: contest selection. Where do we want to put our money
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: in tomorrow. I haven't looked at the contest yet, but
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: they're usually fairly similar to the same. I like that one,
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: that one dollar a weekend one that was a fun contest.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: Here we go ten. This is the contest. You know,
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: we always talk about this one ten dollars eighteen max.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: But let's try to get a little different. See what
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: we can go with a nice single entry. What is
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: this one hundred dollars single entry? This is not the
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: worst contest. You have to beat six guys and you win.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: It's not the best contest. He's probably this is just
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: a no. Sorry, this is just a double up. Not
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: the best contest. The showdown contests are just kind of
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: weak at this hour, and they'll get better as we go.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: Three dollars. This is a nice contest. Yeah, first place
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: is ten percent, second place is Yeah, this is a
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: really nice contest. This is probably the best contest I've
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: seen so far. Three dollars five max cost you fifteen
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: bucks and you could definitely easily ship this contest. Get
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: close to ninth, ten to eleventh with a few lineups
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: where they have the ball cooler. He's got a thirty
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: oh thirty yard press interference. I think that does it.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: That does it for the Bills, guys.
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: That does it for the Bills.
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: Who are you guys rooting for in the super Bowl
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: in the NFL playoffs? Because something about me. I'll tell
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: you guys a little bit aout myself. I'm a Carolina
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: Panthers fan, and I felt things I haven't felt in
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: a long time last week at that playoff game. So
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: I'm I was kind of like leaning away from being
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: a fan, but they kind of brought me back in.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Let's go back to to we're talking some guys that
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: I like yesterday at like today, Harry Hall, he was
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: I thought he was just in the lead. He was
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: one of the key pieces. And look at this round three,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: just doing everything that we need him to do. So
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: I like him a lot going forward. I kind of
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: wanted to ask myself, if I had to pick one
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: guy to win this golf tournament, who is it gonna be?
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Is it a Chalky Nick Taylor? Is it bomb? And
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: g Chris got her Up? The fact that he's gaining
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: Stokes on approach is kind of making me enticed by
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: Gotta Up. I think got Up is my guy tomorrow
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: and I'll have the official where I'm going by who
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: I'm picking. Tonight we have a Patrick Rogers sweat. I
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: guess it's probably a good time to show off some
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: of the bets that we had this week. This is
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: the outright calculator, you guys, I showed you this. This
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: is how I do everything. This would be up on Mondays,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: Tuesday's Wednesdays. You guys can copy and paste this how
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: to I season long ROI just I'm not gonna get
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: into it now, but I want to look at some
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: of my bets this week and see how they're doing
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: because and they're also DFS plays as well. We oh,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: it's on this site there. I'm just gonna go to
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: this site PGA slate plan.
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: Here we go.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll be honest, like, here's here's my picks.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, you don't know if to see Tamba's picks.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: Here's my picks. Great call and Morikawa Hall, mcneely's, McKinley,
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: can I still have a fine day? McIntyre's there, Mitchell,
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: great call. Connor's got her up. So it's like a
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: lot of hitter miss here, Colly Girard, a lot of
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: hitter miss here. That's pgadfest. I'm not gonna get every
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: single thing right, but I want to be honest with
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: and open with you guys. But here's what matters more
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: to me personally. The outrights. We got a sweat on Rogers.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: I still think someone could be live tomorrow. I really
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: do think someone can be live tomorrow. Trum the the
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: seven under six under more truthfully, because what am I?
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: What did I say earlier? This is not the end
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: of the world. You can score in this Someone can
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: shoot sixty two tomorrow and win the and win it
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: is the game over twenty four yard attempt. I'm gonna
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: get a live reaction of this real quick see if
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: they win. No taking two long, that's not good podcasting.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: But what I'm saying, someone from the six seven under
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: I think is going to not necessarily win, but post something.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: So this is what I want to finish off on,
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: uh kind of some construction. How do we want to
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: build our build our lineup? Do we want we're gonna have.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: We're gonna we need two to three guys to finish
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: inside the top ten. But where are we gonna start?
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: I think we want one of these guys from T
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: five down one, yeah, one of these guys T five
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: down because they're gonna shoot a sixty five. And I'll
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: have that answer for you hopefully tonight in the slate plan.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: And then from here, I think we have one guy
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: from T nine to T fourteen. Say the little would
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: says like this, it's gonna be T seven or something.
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: One guy from here to finish out of the top ten.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: Maybe two guys from around this area.
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure on the screen, idiot, two.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: Guys from this area T nine to T fourteen, one
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: guy from up here to start, not the leader necessarily
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: if you love the leader, if you think he's gonna
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: shoot sixty five and win, sure, but I'm probably not
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: going there. It'd be Chris Gottout for you right now,
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: or Harry Hall if he finishes nine under one or
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: two back. And then from there, I think you need
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: three guys who are like close to around the top ten,
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: and then you can go with whoever from whoever is
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: going to be is going to be Bermuda guys. It's
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: going to be stroke skin approach guys, so short by
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: short by tap delta, where is it short by tap delta,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: short by stroke skin approach, and then just you do
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: a little bit of research on yourself. Guys who generally
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: play really well on Bermuda grad guys who generally play
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: really well with Sony the Florida courses. Those are what
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: I'm looking for tomorrow in showdown. I'll finish it up
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: with one guy that I'm on, one guy that I
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: am on for tomorrow, one guy that I love tomorrow
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: is the guy who fits the bill of all this,
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: and that is Tom Hollywood Hogy. He's losing strokes on
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: approach right now, but he had a positive day to
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: day almost get a full stroke to the field on
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: approach today in similar win conditions, and then we know
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: Tom Hogy can play well in Florida. We know Tom
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: Hogy can go low and shoot a sixty one and
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: shoot course records. Tom Hogy could be the nut to finish.
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: He's T fifty one right now, he shoots sixty three,
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: why not finish T ten and give you some placement
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: points and go on a birdie shriek bogie free round.
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: So tom Hogy is the one guy I am on tomorrow.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: So yeah, that wraps it up with me. I'm gonna
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: have a nice little write up for you guys in
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: a few hours with the final picks. This is gonna
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: get better and more easy as the as we get
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: out of Hawaii. I because I hate having what ten
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: holes left on some guys and I still have to
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: sort through this. It is what it is. We're gonna
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: get better as we go. I'm gonna improve as we
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: go and not be distracted by the damn bills. So
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: let's get to this. Catch you guys tonight at like
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: one more time, one more time. It's all free, and
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: I'm banking on this being all free right now. It's
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: only gonna be free for a few weeks, so wat Man,
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: everything's open. Go get the picks, go get the right ups,
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: go get more information, and I'll catch you guys next week.
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: Peace at the man Atta.