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Ohio State Playoff Preview: Which Teams Could Give The Buckeyes A Better Path To A Title? · Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning

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  Speaker 1: Welcome to Buck guys tomorrow morning for Saturday, December seventh,
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  Speaker 1: I'm your host, tom Or the game against Michigan in
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  Speaker 1: three hundred and fifty seven days the first ever selection
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  Speaker 1: Sunday for the twelve team college football Playoff, well that
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  Speaker 1: is one day away before before we get there, we
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  Speaker 1: got a bunch of football to watch. I know, I know,
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  Speaker 1: not the worst thing that you've probably ever had happen
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  Speaker 1: to you, but you have to sit and watch a
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  Speaker 1: couple interesting days of football before we get there. And
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  Speaker 1: so today we're going to be taking a look at
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  Speaker 1: what is the Ohio State's rooting interest in all of
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  Speaker 1: these games, because the Buckeyes could potentially move up in
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  Speaker 1: the rankings a little bit. Theoretically they could move down,
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  Speaker 1: not too likely, but also maybe they get an easier
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  Speaker 1: path through the college Football Playoff potentially. So we're going
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  Speaker 1: to be doing a video version of the old tip
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  Speaker 1: sheet column that both Tony Gerdaman and I wrote over
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  Speaker 1: the years, first at the ozone and then other stops
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  Speaker 1: including Buckeyehuddle dot com. I'm going to welcome Tony in,
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  Speaker 1: but first let's run through real quickly. We'll throw up
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  Speaker 1: a graphic with here's where things stand right now going
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  Speaker 1: into the weekends games to Oregon, the number one seed Texas,
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  Speaker 1: the number two seed SMU currently slotted in It's the
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  Speaker 1: number three seed Boise State currently slotted in its number
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  Speaker 1: four seed. Those four teams, as it things stand right now,
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  Speaker 1: would have a first round by the first round matchups
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  Speaker 1: would be number twelve Arizona State at number five, Penn State,
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  Speaker 1: number eight, Ohio State hosting number nine Tennessee, number six
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  Speaker 1: Notre Dame hosting at number eleven Georgia, and number seven Georgia, sorry,
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  Speaker 1: number eleven Alabama and number seven Georgia hosting number ten Indiana.
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  Speaker 1: So that's where things stand right now. However, there's a
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  Speaker 1: whole weekend of football. They screw all of that up,
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  Speaker 1: and there are some outcomes that would be better for
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  Speaker 1: Ohio State, some outcomes that were worse for Ohio States.
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  Speaker 1: Running through all of those with Tony Tony, We're gonna
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  Speaker 1: start with one that this is This is probably not
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  Speaker 1: a real direct impact on Ohio State, but UNLV and
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  Speaker 1: Boise That one kicks off Friday night at eight on
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  Speaker 1: Fox Boise State a four and a half point favorite.
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  Speaker 1: It could impact potentially which of the league champions gets
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  Speaker 1: a first round by depending on who is ranked where
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  Speaker 1: after all is said and done this weekend. This one
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  Speaker 1: doesn't feel like one where it's a real direct impact
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  Speaker 1: on Ohio State one way or the other, but should
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  Speaker 1: be a fun game to watch.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, it'd be a fun game to watch as you're watching.
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  Speaker 2: Basically Boise State play for their playoff lives they lose
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  Speaker 2: their out. We've seen in the past where shoot, many
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  Speaker 2: many years ago, like Nevada eliminated them from some sort
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  Speaker 2: of contention before way back when, and now facing you
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  Speaker 2: and LV. If so, if U and LV wins this,
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  Speaker 2: then are we assuming the Mountain West is out? Is this.
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  Speaker 1: No? Because UNLV is ranked ahead of Army right now,
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  Speaker 1: I believe, and Army is playing an unranked lane team,
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  Speaker 1: so odds are UNLV would finish ahead of whoever wins
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  Speaker 1: the American So I'm assuming the winner of this game
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  Speaker 1: is probably in and then it's just a matter of
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  Speaker 1: whether Boise State gets a bye or UNLV is the twelve.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, whether they're four or twelve basically.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So not a ton at stake there In
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  Speaker 1: terms of the bluck Eyes could potentially see one of
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  Speaker 1: those teams as a semi final matchup if they win
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  Speaker 1: a couple other games, which not super likely but at
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  Speaker 1: least a possibility. So next up Iowa State against Arizona
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  Speaker 1: State that Saturday at noon on ABC Sundavel's favored by
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  Speaker 1: one and a half. Right now, this is another one
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  Speaker 1: that feels like this is much more about which team
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  Speaker 1: potentially gets a first run by in terms of the
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  Speaker 1: conference championship, not anyone that's likely to be a first
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  Speaker 1: round matchup with Ohio State one way or the other.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is just some something that Ohio State may
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  Speaker 2: stumble into and happenstance basically down the road where it's like,
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  Speaker 2: oh this is Isn't this fortunate to be able to
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  Speaker 2: run into one of these teams somehow that they've gotten
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  Speaker 2: so far. But again, I think it's gonna be fascinating
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  Speaker 2: to watch these. These are playoff games. The playoffs have
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  Speaker 2: begun this weekend, and we're going to see what happens
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  Speaker 2: and what shakes out because the winner is in and
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  Speaker 2: there's a ton on the line and it's going to
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  Speaker 2: be fun.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is basically Game one sixty three in baseball,
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  Speaker 1: where you know one of these teams is moving on.
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  Speaker 1: You know one of these teams is going home, but
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  Speaker 1: you don't know which is which one, and you don't
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  Speaker 1: know exactly where they're going to slot in in the
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  Speaker 1: college football playoffs. So yes, it is. It is going
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  Speaker 1: to be some high stakes football, high stakes football that
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  Speaker 1: you can probably just sit back and mostly enjoy as
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  Speaker 1: an Ohio State fan without having too much on the line. There.
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  Speaker 1: Now we're getting into the games where you do have
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  Speaker 1: a real significant rooting interest. Next one up is the
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  Speaker 1: SEC Championship that is Saturday at four on ABC. Texas
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  Speaker 1: favored by two and a half. This one, Tony, is
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  Speaker 1: the first one to meet where there is a very
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  Speaker 1: clear rooting interest for Ohio State and potentially a decent
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  Speaker 1: amount on the line.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is one where Buckeye fans are going to
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  Speaker 2: be rooting for Texas and hopes that that would drop
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  Speaker 2: Georgia and move Ohio State up if that's what you want.
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  Speaker 2: And again, moving up and down is nice in theory,
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  Speaker 2: but let's see what the matchups are. That's when you'll
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  Speaker 2: know whether it was a fortuitous bounce up or it's
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  Speaker 2: like it would have been nicer to stay at eight
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  Speaker 2: against nine. But this is one That is definitely going
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  Speaker 2: to impact Ohio State's run. And we'll see if Georgia
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  Speaker 2: can continue their domination over Texas or if Texas can
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  Speaker 2: get the revenge for the loss they had this season
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  Speaker 2: to the Bulldogs.
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  Speaker 1: So that is the sec we'll see. You know, you
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  Speaker 1: have the potential to Ohio State if they can move
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  Speaker 1: from the eight seed to maybe the seventh seed. You know,
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  Speaker 1: as of right now, that would mean you go from
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  Speaker 1: playing Tennessee to playing Indiana. You would figure it would
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  Speaker 1: be a bigger favorite against Indiana than against Tennessee. That
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  Speaker 1: might also slutch in where you could face Texas in
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  Speaker 1: the second round instead of Oregon. That again, that's that's
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  Speaker 1: a little bit of taster's choice in terms of who
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  Speaker 1: you potentially want to face there. You're probably not getting
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  Speaker 1: a super easy second round game, but you may have
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  Speaker 1: an opinion one way or the other terms of who
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  Speaker 1: you'd rather face as Ohio State. So that's something that's
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  Speaker 1: on the line there. Next up, Tony, this is maybe
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  Speaker 1: the most convoluted one and it's the Big Ten Championship
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  Speaker 1: and it's Penn State versus Oregon. That's Saturday, seven thirty
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  Speaker 1: pm on CBS Oregon. Favored by three and a half points,
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  Speaker 1: which seems low to me, which makes me wonder what
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  Speaker 1: I'm not seeing there. This is an interesting one because
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  Speaker 1: if Ohio State stays at eight, you'd rather have Penn
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  Speaker 1: State win because then you potentially play Penn State in
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  Speaker 1: the second round rather than Oregon. But Guy's already won
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  Speaker 1: on the road at Penn State without Josh Simmons by
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  Speaker 1: a touchdown, and then they went on the road and
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  Speaker 1: lost to Oregon by one, and Oregon feels like they've
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  Speaker 1: gotten maybe even better since that game. So you know,
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  Speaker 1: if Ohio State stays at eight, you'd rather have Penn
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  Speaker 1: State win, But then if Oregon wins by a bunch,
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  Speaker 1: then Ohio State could potentially jump Penn State and get
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  Speaker 1: an even easier path, and then you move up to
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  Speaker 1: the seventh seed or potentially even maybe even the sixth
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  Speaker 1: seed if both Penn State and Georgia lose by a
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  Speaker 1: decent job.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah is the now. This is basically five stages of
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  Speaker 2: bargaining where you go straight to the bargaining and it's like, okay,
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  Speaker 2: this is We'll be okay either way whichever happens. Then
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  Speaker 2: you just okay, this was actually beneficial This was the
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  Speaker 2: one that I didn't know what I was what I wanted,
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  Speaker 2: but once things started happening, this is the one I wanted.
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  Speaker 2: But I also think that we're going to see a
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  Speaker 2: lot of people rooting for the underdogs in this. I'm
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  Speaker 2: expecting a pretty pro Penn State crowd there. It looked
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  Speaker 2: like tickets were as low as twelve dollars earlier in
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  Speaker 2: the week. I think you can get them now for
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  Speaker 2: like twenty bucks. So it's going to be a lot
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  Speaker 2: of Penn State fans driving over and Oregon fans waiting
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  Speaker 2: for the next round. I think so could be a
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  Speaker 2: nice environment there for the Nitney Alliance. And they've been
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  Speaker 2: a while since I've been there, so why wouldn't it.
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  Speaker 1: Be exactly And for Penn State, yeah, it's a big
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  Speaker 1: deal to be there. And for Oregon it's a flight,
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  Speaker 1: and you're potentially looking at a flight for the quarter
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  Speaker 1: finals and then again for the semi finals and then
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  Speaker 1: again for the National Championships. You wonder how many people
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  Speaker 1: are really going to be willing to make that trip.
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  Speaker 1: Organ got locked into this. It happened like in the
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  Speaker 1: middle of the week because the Big ten kind of
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  Speaker 1: went oh right, that's right. Yeah, we figured it out,
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  Speaker 1: and congratulations you made it so. Organ fans had a
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  Speaker 1: little bit of a head start in terms of buying tickets,
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  Speaker 1: So the fact that the tickets of that all but
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  Speaker 1: snapped up definitely makes me think that you're right. It
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  Speaker 1: probably is going to not be a particularly pro Organ
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  Speaker 1: proud because if they wanted it to be, they could
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  Speaker 1: have bought them all up, but they didn't, So we'll
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  Speaker 1: see how that one shakes out. The last game is
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  Speaker 1: Clemson in SMU. This is Saturday eight on ABC SMU
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  Speaker 1: favored by two and a half. But this is one
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  Speaker 1: where you have this very narrow pathway. I don't think
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  Speaker 1: this is going to be one that directly impacts Ohio
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  Speaker 1: State a ton, because I don't think Ohiostate is very
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  Speaker 1: likely to end up the five seed. Feels like Notre
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  Speaker 1: Dame is more or less locked into the five seed
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  Speaker 1: if Georgia and Penn State don't get it. So probably
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  Speaker 1: not going to be one that directly impacts Ohio State
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  Speaker 1: either in the first or second round. However, there is
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  Speaker 1: a way that a close Clemson win if you kind
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  Speaker 1: of narrowly, if you if you clemes and wins, but
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  Speaker 1: not by too much. You could get Clemson in as
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  Speaker 1: the auto c Auto bid for the ACC but also
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  Speaker 1: get SMU in as an at large. SMU in a
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  Speaker 1: couple spots ahead of Alabama, so you figure a close
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  Speaker 1: laws shouldn't drop them completely out of the rankings. So
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  Speaker 1: this feels like one where you can just root for
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  Speaker 1: the underdog and sm well, I guess theoretically they're not
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  Speaker 1: the underdog, but no one's ready for Davosweeney, so you
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  Speaker 1: know you could you could root for the slight favorite,
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  Speaker 1: the historical underdog, let's call them SMU, or you can
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  Speaker 1: root for clums into You're basically trying to shoot the
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  Speaker 1: moon here where it's like, well you want to do it,
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  Speaker 1: but if you if you do it by too much
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  Speaker 1: one way or the other, that Alabama gets it.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, and it is the spiritual underdog, basically rooting for
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  Speaker 2: SMU in this one, which again everybody's gonna do. It's
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  Speaker 2: it's the whole March madness thing. You want to see upsets,
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  Speaker 2: and sometimes the favorite is the one that you think
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  Speaker 2: is an upset, like this one in like you look
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  Speaker 2: at these two teams and be like, what do you
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  Speaker 2: think is the favorable clear it's Clemson because I don't
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  Speaker 2: know anything about SMU, so it must be Clemson. It's like, well, actually,
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  Speaker 2: SMU has had a very good season, got even better
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  Speaker 2: since they changed their quarterback and have just run through
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  Speaker 2: the ACC like the ACC made a mistake by allowing them.
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  Speaker 2: But I think a lot of conferences are thinking that
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  Speaker 2: they've made some mistakes, or at least the teams in
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  Speaker 2: those conferences. I believe some mistakes have been made with
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  Speaker 2: all of these new teams running through the conferences. But
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  Speaker 2: I will be fascinated to see what happens if Clemson
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  Speaker 2: loses or wins this game, because I just see a
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  Speaker 2: committee begging, just wanting Alabama in there as much as possible.
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  Speaker 2: And then what happens if I know, they say that
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  Speaker 2: you can't have teams that didn't play jump, but you know,
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  Speaker 2: is there a way that Miami can get messed up
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  Speaker 2: even more? Probably not, But I will be a little
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  Speaker 2: surprised if they do let SMU in over the Alabama program.
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  Speaker 2: But as the committee has said in the past, and
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  Speaker 2: they've been they've been reminding people that you know, back
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  Speaker 2: a couple of years ago, they kept TCU in for
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  Speaker 2: a loss over after a loss for rather than putting
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  Speaker 2: in an SCC team, So there is some precedents there,
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  Speaker 2: so well, we'll see if that happens. And I don't know,
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  Speaker 2: do you are you expecting Clemson to win this one?
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  Speaker 1: It feels like the talent is probably there, They probably
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  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a stronger roster on the whole.
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  Speaker 1: But I don't have a particularly high degree of faith
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  Speaker 1: in Clemson and they just lost to South Carolina last week,
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  Speaker 1: and it just it just doesn't feel like this is
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  Speaker 1: You see the Tiger Paul and you think, oh boy,
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  Speaker 1: but they have an amazing defensive line and an incredible quarterbacks, like, eh, well,
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  Speaker 1: not particularly no, but they're okay. I don't know that
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  Speaker 1: you know either one of those teams. I think I
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  Speaker 1: look at and go probably athlete wise, they're probably not
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  Speaker 1: going to match up particularly well with Ohio State of
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  Speaker 1: Ohio State somehow ends up bumping into them down the line.
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  Speaker 1: So you probably, as an Ohio State fan, rather be
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  Speaker 1: rid of Alabama just because Alabama has Alabama players to
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  Speaker 1: whatever great degree that matters, and other schools don't. You'd
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  Speaker 1: rather see Georgia fallout, You'd rather see Alabama fallout. As
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  Speaker 1: an Ohio State fan, but you know you're going to
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  Speaker 1: have to You are going to have to play some
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  Speaker 1: good teams. That is, you know, sort of the unfortunate
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  Speaker 1: reality for everyone whoever wins the national championship this year
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  Speaker 1: is going to have the strongest resume of any team
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  Speaker 1: probably ever in college football, just in terms of having
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  Speaker 1: to beat that many good teams on top of whatever
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  Speaker 1: you had to do during the regular season. So where
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  Speaker 1: will Ohio State slot in, Well, we're going to be
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  Speaker 1: covering that for you. That happens at noon on Sunday.
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  Speaker 1: We'll have all sorts of coverage at bucka huddle dot
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  Speaker 1: Com that we're going to be talking to Brian Day
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  Speaker 1: a little bit later on in the afternoon. Once we
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  Speaker 1: know who the Buckeyes are playing and officially where they're
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  Speaker 1: playing certainly looks like it should be in Ohio Stadium.
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  Speaker 1: We will find out though, for sure, and they'll find
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  Speaker 1: out when certainly looks like it should be one of
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  Speaker 1: the primetime games. Will it be Friday, will it be Saturday? Well,
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  Speaker 1: we'll all find out together on Sunday at noon, and
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  Speaker 1: we'll have lots to talk about as we break that
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  Speaker 1: all down for you at buckeyehuddle dot com. That will
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  Speaker 1: do it for today. Thank you guys all for joining us.
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  Speaker 1: Have a great day. We'll talk to you tomorrow.