Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Amazon Repackaging of Shipping Services Fuels UPS, FedEx Selloff
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- 0:23Speaker 2: All right, one of the most read stories on the
- 0:25Speaker 2: Bloomberg terminally today impacts some of these FedEx ups and
- 0:30Speaker 2: some of these shipping companies. US transportation stocks plunged Monday
- 0:34Speaker 2: after Amazon dot Com announced expanded logistics offering. Amazon will
- 0:39Speaker 2: offer freight distribution and fulfillment and parcel shipping to businesses
- 0:42Speaker 2: beyond Amazon sellers, including companies such as three M and
- 0:46Speaker 2: lands Ed. Wow, that's a change, Lee Clascal. He covers
- 0:48Speaker 2: all the logistics companies here, including the fedex'es and the
- 0:52Speaker 2: UPS's of the world. Are this seems like a big announcement.
- 0:55Speaker 2: Lead put it into context for us?
- 0:57Speaker 3: Yeah, Actually, you know, it's pretty interesting the mark reaction.
- 1:01Speaker 3: Amazon has been kind of doing this quietly. A lot
- 1:04Speaker 3: of the services that they announced that they're going to
- 1:06Speaker 3: be offering for quite some time, for two or three
- 1:08Speaker 3: years now. I guess they're you know, making an official
- 1:11Speaker 3: push that they're trying to get broader or cast a
- 1:15Speaker 3: wider net in terms of the customers that they can reach.
- 1:17Speaker 3: You know, we would say for the freight transportation, well
- 1:20Speaker 3: the sky really isn't falling. Yes, Amazon will be a competitor,
- 1:24Speaker 3: but we expect that the things that they're going to
- 1:26Speaker 3: go after might not be the high margin businesses that
- 1:30Speaker 3: the Fedexes and the UPS's of the world we're going after,
- 1:33Speaker 3: and it's going to be felt by you know, freight
- 1:35Speaker 3: forwarders such as like companies like Expediters or DSV and
- 1:39Speaker 3: also also folks in the warehousing and distribution a business
- 1:44Speaker 3: like a GXO.
- 1:46Speaker 4: Yeah, but Amazon doesn't just stop there, right, I mean,
- 1:49Speaker 4: it may start there and then eventually it's going to
- 1:52Speaker 4: continue building out this logistics business.
- 1:54Speaker 5: How long do we think that'll take.
- 1:58Speaker 3: Yeah, So they're already offering these services, and what they
- 2:01Speaker 3: tend to do is they go into a market because
- 2:04Speaker 3: they want to reduce their costs to serve their cost
- 2:07Speaker 3: to do their core competency their main businesses, which obviously
- 2:11Speaker 3: at the Amazon dot Com business. So what they're trying
- 2:14Speaker 3: to do is really take the excess capacity the expertise
- 2:17Speaker 3: that they have that they've built, doing things in house
- 2:20Speaker 3: and kind of be able to lower the like I said,
- 2:23Speaker 3: lower the average costs. How long will it take? I mean,
- 2:26Speaker 3: it really depends on what they're going after. We don't
- 2:28Speaker 3: think they're like a huge threat to the lesson truckload market.
- 2:32Speaker 3: We think that, you know, for commoditized freight. Yes, they
- 2:35Speaker 3: can make inroads into the brokersion freight forwarding businesses, but
- 2:39Speaker 3: you know those businesses, it's not just about executing right,
- 2:42Speaker 3: it's about relationships. It's about being able to provide consistency
- 2:47Speaker 3: and quality over time. And Amazon has to earn some
- 2:50Speaker 3: of that business as well. Just because they're in the
- 2:52Speaker 3: business doesn't mean people are going to go to them.
- 2:55Speaker 2: So how does how does this strategy different from what
- 2:58Speaker 2: they have been doing because it seems like you do
- 3:02Speaker 2: see them the trucks everywhere.
- 3:04Speaker 6: So house has changed.
- 3:06Speaker 3: Yeah, so you know a lot of things that they
- 3:08Speaker 3: do for other shippers. It's really kind of on a
- 3:11Speaker 3: non asset basis. So those trucks you're seeing, they might
- 3:14Speaker 3: own the trailers, but they don't own the truck. The
- 3:16Speaker 3: truck is an independent contractor that maybe their brokerage business secured,
- 3:22Speaker 3: or maybe they did it through somebody else. So you
- 3:26Speaker 3: know they're going to continue to do that sort of
- 3:29Speaker 3: stuff where they're going to say, you know, to a
- 3:31Speaker 3: three M three, I might have a load to go
- 3:33Speaker 3: somewhere and there they could broker that load for them,
- 3:38Speaker 3: or they might you know, store some of their stuff
- 3:40Speaker 3: in their warehouses and you know, try to get it
- 3:43Speaker 3: to their other distribution warehouses or maybe to the final
- 3:46Speaker 3: final mile, if you will. So you know, they are
- 3:50Speaker 3: definitely going to be incrementally encroaching on these transportation logistics businesses.
- 3:55Speaker 3: But like like I mentioned earlier, like they've been kind
- 3:57Speaker 3: of doing this for two and three years, and we
- 4:00Speaker 3: just we expect them to continue to build those businesses,
- 4:04Speaker 3: but like I don't expect to wake up tomorrow and
- 4:06Speaker 3: all of a sudden. You know, FedEx and ups are
- 4:10Speaker 3: at a disadvantage because those companies are going after higher
- 4:13Speaker 3: margin business. You know, they realized that the B two
- 4:16Speaker 3: C business, while to growing business, is really a low
- 4:19Speaker 3: margin business and they'd rather grow their B to B.
- 4:22Speaker 3: They'd rather grow into higher margin or verticals like healthcare.
- 4:25Speaker 3: And they're really focusing on the small to mid size customers,
- 4:29Speaker 3: and that's probably where Amazon's going to compete with them
- 4:32Speaker 3: the most.
- 4:33Speaker 4: So Lee given all of that, and thank you for
- 4:35Speaker 4: you know, just kind of talking down people who might
- 4:38Speaker 4: be panicking. You're looking at FedEx down nine percent, You're
- 4:41Speaker 4: looking at UPS down almost ten percent.
- 4:43Speaker 5: Is that just an overreaction?
- 4:47Speaker 3: I mean, I would say so, you know, these these
- 4:49Speaker 3: names have had somewhat of a decent run as of late,
- 4:53Speaker 3: maybe UPS or I should say maybe FedEx more than UPS.
- 4:59Speaker 3: But you know, I think it's just, yeah, it's really
- 5:03Speaker 3: kind of a bit of an over reaction because fundamentally
- 5:08Speaker 3: FedEx and EPs are no different than they were yesterday.
- 5:12Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 5:19Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
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- 5:33Speaker 4: Tyson Foods the Meat Processor coming in with results and
- 5:38Speaker 4: the big question here is what happens between beef and
- 5:43Speaker 4: chicken and port. They're kind of moving in opposite directions.
- 5:45Speaker 4: But protein is protein and there's a lot of demand.
- 5:47Speaker 6: Tell me that's what they tell me.
- 5:49Speaker 4: Jena is joining us from Princeton. Jennifer bartashis our senior
- 5:54Speaker 4: retail staples.
- 5:55Speaker 5: And packaged food analysts.
- 5:57Speaker 4: So Jennifer, just walk us through here protein demand and
- 6:00Speaker 4: how chicken and pork purchases are definitely benefiting. But even
- 6:05Speaker 4: though there's a lot of demand for beef, this is
- 6:07Speaker 4: a money losing business.
- 6:10Speaker 7: Yeah, good morning. So you know, protein demand is through
- 6:12Speaker 7: the roof. Consumers are continuing to seek protein across all
- 6:17Speaker 7: the different meal parts of the day, and so this
- 6:20Speaker 7: is really, you know, a great tailwind for companies like
- 6:22Speaker 7: Tyson that are involved in multiple proteins. Chicken is by
- 6:26Speaker 7: far the most stable part of the company at the moment.
- 6:29Speaker 7: It's continuing to grow. Pork demand is also pretty solid,
- 6:34Speaker 7: and you know, everybody likes their bacon, you know, and
- 6:36Speaker 7: that sort of thing. But as you said, Scarlet pork,
- 6:39Speaker 7: I mean, beef really is the big challenge, and that's
- 6:42Speaker 7: because we have record low cattle supply in the United
- 6:45Speaker 7: States right now, and that's just keeping the cost of
- 6:48Speaker 7: animals very high, which is leading to the operating losses
- 6:51Speaker 7: that we're seeing in the beef segment.
- 6:53Speaker 2: Can you explain to me why we think about chicken
- 6:58Speaker 2: beef I don't know pork as protein.
- 7:01Speaker 6: When did that enter the lexicon?
- 7:04Speaker 7: Yeah, Paul, it's a it's a good it's a good question.
- 7:07Speaker 7: I mean, we've historically used to talk about center of
- 7:10Speaker 7: the plate, and that just sort of implied it was
- 7:13Speaker 7: a meat product. But in the past maybe six seven,
- 7:18Speaker 7: eight years, what we've seen is when when we had
- 7:20Speaker 7: the big spike of interest around plant based protein, the
- 7:23Speaker 7: dialogue really shifted to protein in general, and consumers are
- 7:28Speaker 7: looking to find protein in a lot of different ways.
- 7:30Speaker 7: And so meat is obviously a natural protein, but so
- 7:34Speaker 7: are legumes, So are you know, other plant based types.
- 7:38Speaker 7: Dairries a great protein, and so now it's become more
- 7:41Speaker 7: of a broader topic where protein is sort of that
- 7:44Speaker 7: more generic word that everybody's.
- 7:45Speaker 4: Using, right, And Tyson is kind of in a sweet
- 7:47Speaker 4: spot here given that it processes chicken, pork, and beef.
- 7:52Speaker 4: We know that DOJ, the Department of Justice, is investigating
- 7:55Speaker 4: the meat packing industry because of those record high beef prices.
- 7:59Speaker 4: How involved is and I mean, is it a target?
- 8:01Speaker 4: Is it a potential beneficiary if the government focuses.
- 8:04Speaker 5: More on foreign meat processors.
- 8:07Speaker 7: Yeah, the government is. They've specifically really called out foreign
- 8:10Speaker 7: meat processors like JBS, you know, but you know, Tyson
- 8:14Speaker 7: does have a pretty good sized beef business at the
- 8:17Speaker 7: end of the day. You know, a lot of this,
- 8:20Speaker 7: this this sentiment coming from the government is about the
- 8:22Speaker 7: whole idea of affordability, and people point to beef as
- 8:26Speaker 7: prices that are just have gone up and up and
- 8:28Speaker 7: up and up. But there is a supplied demand to
- 8:31Speaker 7: equation behind that that accounts for why those prices are
- 8:34Speaker 7: still high. And so you know, when it comes to
- 8:37Speaker 7: collusion on price fixing or that there's something nefarious going on,
- 8:41Speaker 7: I think that sometimes kind of that that subject of
- 8:44Speaker 7: affordability overshadows the fact that we just have a basic
- 8:48Speaker 7: supplied demand equation imbalance, and that's that's really, you know,
- 8:53Speaker 7: as we see it, something that's not going to change
- 8:54Speaker 7: for the next probably two or three years.
- 8:57Speaker 6: Why is that Why is it going to have that
- 8:59Speaker 6: supply a man out of balance for beef.
- 9:02Speaker 7: It's that we just don't have enough cattle being raised
- 9:07Speaker 7: to be processed, and we see no signs on the
- 9:10Speaker 7: horizon really right now that ranchers are retaining more cows
- 9:14Speaker 7: to have calves to increase the size of the herds,
- 9:18Speaker 7: and that comes from a lot of different things. It
- 9:19Speaker 7: comes from higher interest rates, it costs more to raise
- 9:23Speaker 7: the animals, it comes from weather. You have to have
- 9:26Speaker 7: pretty good weather to have the past years that you
- 9:29Speaker 7: need in order to raise those animals. And right now
- 9:33Speaker 7: there's just a lot of risk in that. And so
- 9:35Speaker 7: we haven't seen the inclination to increase that number of
- 9:38Speaker 7: cows that are of the cattle that are being raised.
- 9:41Speaker 7: And until you have a better supply and demand stays high,
- 9:45Speaker 7: it's just going to keep meaning high prices for the consumer.
- 9:49Speaker 4: Yeah, and we know that Tyson is trying to make
- 9:52Speaker 4: some adjustments on its and right sizes beef unit. It
- 9:54Speaker 4: closed a plant Nebraska, it cut shifts at a Texas plant.
- 9:57Speaker 4: But Jennifer, how much of this is really beyond on
- 10:00Speaker 4: Tyson's control.
- 10:02Speaker 7: Well, they really can't control the size of the of
- 10:04Speaker 7: the cattle herds, you know. So I think the company
- 10:06Speaker 7: has done a very very good job of looking at
- 10:10Speaker 7: what they can control, taking the actions needed, whether it's
- 10:13Speaker 7: closing plants, reducing shifts, and optimizing kind of their network.
- 10:17Speaker 7: And then when the cattle herd comes back, Remember it
- 10:20Speaker 7: takes eighteen months, you know, for a cow to be
- 10:23Speaker 7: born to get to the point where it's ready to
- 10:25Speaker 7: be processed. There's plenty of there's plenty of notice when
- 10:30Speaker 7: the herds start to rebuild that they can adjust their
- 10:32Speaker 7: capacity if needed. And so right now I think Tyson
- 10:36Speaker 7: is taking all the prudent measures needed to sort of
- 10:39Speaker 7: optimize what they can control.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 10:48Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
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- 11:03Speaker 2: We had some news out of the Norwegian Cruise Lines,
- 11:04Speaker 2: which just a little strange, I think, given some of
- 11:07Speaker 2: the other cruise operators and their results.
- 11:09Speaker 6: But Norwegian came out.
- 11:10Speaker 2: With some profit drop, some tepid guidance, and stock has
- 11:14Speaker 2: taken on the chin today. Brian Nigger, Bloomberg Intelligence senior
- 11:17Speaker 2: gaming lodging analystsy also covers the cruise lines here.
- 11:20Speaker 6: Talk to us about Norwegian. Is their business unique, Brian
- 11:22Speaker 6: versus some of the other companies we stalled before.
- 11:26Speaker 8: Yeah, they just installed a new CEO in February. They're
- 11:28Speaker 8: going through a bit of a realignment, some operational changes
- 11:30Speaker 8: and marketing changes. I think that was a big part
- 11:33Speaker 8: of what's really happened here. They are guiding a three
- 11:36Speaker 8: to five percent decline in net revenue yield for twenty
- 11:39Speaker 8: twenty six and this is the same environment where Royal
- 11:42Speaker 8: Caribbean's looking for two percent increase, so obviously a bit
- 11:45Speaker 8: of a disparity, and I think a lot of this
- 11:47Speaker 8: is because part of the reason one of the prior
- 11:50Speaker 8: CEO left was they've not done a great job recently
- 11:53Speaker 8: in commercializing their Caribbean product of lining all their private
- 11:57Speaker 8: islands and the water parks with their new cruise ship,
- 12:00Speaker 8: and I think that's part of why they've underperformed. That's
- 12:02Speaker 8: also why you think about why they cut their profit
- 12:06Speaker 8: guidance thirteen percent. Our third that was for fuel costs,
- 12:09Speaker 8: which is basically due to the more in Iran. The
- 12:12Speaker 8: other two thirds was not from fuel costs, so presumably
- 12:15Speaker 8: something is changing operationally.
- 12:17Speaker 5: You got it.
- 12:17Speaker 8: A number of operators have seen pressure in Europe because
- 12:20Speaker 8: of the Middle East conflict in terms of European cruise demand,
- 12:23Speaker 8: but obviously Norwegian here is seeing something worse.
- 12:26Speaker 4: So this sounds like it's an execution issue, and we
- 12:29Speaker 4: also know that Norwegian is a target of activist investors.
- 12:32Speaker 4: Elliott Management has built more than a ten percent stake
- 12:36Speaker 4: at least according to reports back in February. So when
- 12:39Speaker 4: it comes to Norwegian, the company says the war is
- 12:42Speaker 4: impacting all three of its brands. Who are Norwegian's customers
- 12:45Speaker 4: compared with other cruise operators or is there just overlap?
- 12:48Speaker 8: Well, first of all, I do think that the kind
- 12:50Speaker 8: of mid upper mid market Norwegian cruise line brand has
- 12:53Speaker 8: been more affected. The luxury brands like Oceania Region seventies
- 12:57Speaker 8: has been more resilient. So that's something at kind of
- 13:00Speaker 8: disparity we've seen across the travel industry. But they've really
- 13:04Speaker 8: had to work on their marketing strategy. I mean, they
- 13:07Speaker 8: are taking steps to address some of the prior missteps.
- 13:11Speaker 8: That's to say, they're going to reducing their SG and
- 13:14Speaker 8: A costs by fifteen percent. They're shaving about one hundred
- 13:16Speaker 8: and twenty five million off of marketing costs, so they're
- 13:20Speaker 8: kind of trying to target their marketing much more effectively.
- 13:24Speaker 8: So they are going through a series of changes under
- 13:26Speaker 8: new CEO. That being said, obviously a disappointing performance particularly
- 13:31Speaker 8: given the strength of some of those brands, to see
- 13:33Speaker 8: such a significant guidance cut. Even putting aside what we
- 13:37Speaker 8: know about the impact of Iran on European cruises and
- 13:39Speaker 8: fuel costs, there's a still disappointment.
- 13:42Speaker 2: So one analyst on Wall Street rights, and I'll quote
- 13:45Speaker 2: you here is pretty funny quote. This is nc LH.
- 13:48Speaker 2: That's the ticker we are dealing with here. And by
- 13:51Speaker 2: now you should have learned to always expect the unexpected,
- 13:54Speaker 2: aka expect the worst.
- 13:56Speaker 6: Is this this is come We have a management credibility problem.
- 14:00Speaker 8: I don't think I don't think this has always been true,
- 14:02Speaker 8: but there were obviously missteps that led up to the
- 14:06Speaker 8: CEO change happened in February. Along with that replenishment of
- 14:10Speaker 8: the board as they called it, new board members, and
- 14:14Speaker 8: along with that they are trying to under new CEO
- 14:16Speaker 8: undergo a series of changes, religning people. You know, fifty
- 14:20Speaker 8: percent reduction in salarine benefits costs means they're really revisiting
- 14:24Speaker 8: the entire off onshore infrastructure. So there are some company
- 14:30Speaker 8: specific things here, and I think you see it in
- 14:31Speaker 8: the stock price action you know today in trading, Norwegian
- 14:36Speaker 8: is ebsfully underperforming.
- 14:37Speaker 2: Again, this could be new CEO kitchen sync this thing.
- 14:41Speaker 2: And if that's the case, Sen Tomorlow set the borrow
- 14:43Speaker 2: and if you believe in management, this is your buying opportunity.
- 14:47Speaker 2: That could be the bullish call, right, it could be,
- 14:49Speaker 2: I mean, because it comes down to a call on management.
- 14:51Speaker 8: Yeah, this is also I think a not readily known
- 14:54Speaker 8: new CEO. I think we have to give them time
- 14:56Speaker 8: to execute. But at the same time, there were events
- 14:59Speaker 8: that led up to this board and management change, and
- 15:03Speaker 8: now they're going through this process of essentially rewigning, restructuring.
- 15:07Speaker 8: It happens to be in an unfortunate backdrop at the
- 15:09Speaker 8: same time that you have this warn Iran effecttional fuel
- 15:12Speaker 8: costs and European cruise demand, so they're navigating both industry
- 15:16Speaker 8: as well as company specific issues.
- 15:18Speaker 4: Okay, we have one more cruise line operator that will
- 15:20Speaker 4: be reporting Viking holdings.
- 15:22Speaker 5: Of reporting in ten days.
- 15:23Speaker 4: Paul is going to go on his first cruise later
- 15:25Speaker 4: on this year, and he's already booked it. What do
- 15:28Speaker 4: we think Viking is going to say, is it how
- 15:30Speaker 4: much of a similar story is it going to tell
- 15:33Speaker 4: to the other cruise line operators.
- 15:35Speaker 5: Royal Caribbean and Carnival.
- 15:37Speaker 8: Yeah, I think the except they're involved in this kind
- 15:39Speaker 8: of luxury river cruising market.
- 15:41Speaker 5: Harry Possweeny.
- 15:42Speaker 8: The other part of the business is ocean cruising, so
- 15:44Speaker 8: it's kind of a hybrid that is a bit of
- 15:46Speaker 8: a niche. And generally speaking, across the travel industry, high
- 15:50Speaker 8: end luxury offerings have been outperforming, got a more mass
- 15:54Speaker 8: market opportunity, and they have also their yeal growth has
- 15:57Speaker 8: been outperforming. So while it's not necessarily presenter of the
- 16:00Speaker 8: entire ocean cruising industry, it is a niche that's done
- 16:04Speaker 8: pretty well in this environment.
- 16:05Speaker 2: Yeah, I was surprised at the price tag that came
- 16:09Speaker 2: along with this.
- 16:10Speaker 5: Thing, pleasantly surprised.
- 16:11Speaker 6: No, finally, wowser.
- 16:15Speaker 4: But they didn't come back to you and say like, hey,
- 16:17Speaker 4: we're adding a fuel surcharge by the way, right, No.
- 16:19Speaker 6: No, they didn't, so we'll have to. So that's that's
- 16:22Speaker 6: a high end product.
- 16:24Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 16:30Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 16:34Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Cocklay and Android
- 16:37Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand. Wherever
- 16:41Speaker 1: you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.
- 16:45Speaker 4: Game Stop making a bid for eBay, a company that
- 16:50Speaker 4: is four times its size, fifty six billion dollars. I'm
- 16:53Speaker 4: trying to get my head around it because game Stop
- 16:56Speaker 4: is a meme stock and it's retail stores like I
- 17:00Speaker 4: don't know. They don't look that busy a lot of
- 17:01Speaker 4: the times I know, And so we need to make
- 17:04Speaker 4: sense of all this. Spencer Soaper covers Amazon, a bunch
- 17:09Speaker 4: of eBay, a bunch of other companies.
- 17:11Speaker 5: For us on the West coast. But he is in
- 17:12Speaker 5: New York today, Spencer, great to see you in New York.
- 17:15Speaker 5: Thank you help us make sense of this.
- 17:17Speaker 4: What is the thinking behind Gameshop Ryan Cohen, who of
- 17:20Speaker 4: course is the guy behind GameStop now looking to buy eBay.
- 17:25Speaker 9: Well, the thinking he's presented is that he's going to
- 17:29Speaker 9: do a much better job than the current CEO, Jamie Ioni.
- 17:32Speaker 9: But that's where he's got a The most important thing
- 17:35Speaker 9: for him to do now is to convince lenders that
- 17:40Speaker 9: that's the case, because who the heck knows where this
- 17:42Speaker 9: money is going to come from. GameStop as nine billion
- 17:45Speaker 9: in cash, that's quite a bit short. They've said they
- 17:47Speaker 9: have a high confidence letter from TD Bank. I don't
- 17:51Speaker 9: even know what that means. I think if I go
- 17:53Speaker 9: on the used car lot, they're usually pretty confident they
- 17:55Speaker 9: can get me financing, you know. So there's some potential
- 18:00Speaker 9: twenty billion dollars offer there, and then a big question
- 18:03Speaker 9: is where's the rest of this money coming from? Are
- 18:04Speaker 9: they counting on equity? And what is the confidence of
- 18:07Speaker 9: eBay shareholders on that? It just sounds like it's it's
- 18:10Speaker 9: going to be a heck of a sales pitch he's
- 18:11Speaker 9: going to have to do to either find other sources
- 18:14Speaker 9: of funding or convince shareholders that somehow this deal is
- 18:18Speaker 9: worth that gap.
- 18:20Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, did we have any reason to believe
- 18:23Speaker 2: that there was a potential tiet that or the game
- 18:25Speaker 2: stop had such ambitions, or did this really come out
- 18:28Speaker 2: of kind of a field.
- 18:29Speaker 9: I've covered eBay for years and it surprised me. I hadn't. Like,
- 18:33Speaker 9: I've always thought eBay could certainly be a be an
- 18:37Speaker 9: attractive target for some company, but game stoff never really rose.
- 18:40Speaker 9: I just I never saw them as.
- 18:42Speaker 5: Really being in gobbler mode, you know.
- 18:45Speaker 9: And and to your point, Yeah, there's a game stop
- 18:47Speaker 9: near me and it's the place people like kill time
- 18:49Speaker 9: when they're waiting for their subway sandwich to be made
- 18:52Speaker 9: next door, you know, And so it's uh, yeah, I
- 18:55Speaker 9: just I it was a surprise. Then are there are
- 18:57Speaker 9: there legits potential synergies maybe? I mean eBay's been focused
- 19:02Speaker 9: on these core categories like luxury items, car parts, those
- 19:06Speaker 9: sorts of things. I haven't really heard video games come
- 19:09Speaker 9: up at all on their earnings calls. They do sell
- 19:12Speaker 9: those things, and there is a used game market, and
- 19:14Speaker 9: there are a lot of enthusiasts, and there are limited
- 19:16Speaker 9: edition things which eBay can be collectibles, right, collectibles exactly,
- 19:20Speaker 9: and limited edition releases, you know, and a lot of
- 19:22Speaker 9: times those things resurface on eBay.
- 19:24Speaker 5: So there's something there.
- 19:26Speaker 9: I just don't know if game Stop is the one
- 19:29Speaker 9: to pull it off or if they're gonna be able
- 19:31Speaker 9: to find the money to do it right.
- 19:33Speaker 4: Game Stop offering one hundred and twenty five dollars a
- 19:35Speaker 4: share for eBay. That's a twenty percent premium to eBay's
- 19:39Speaker 4: last clothes on Friday. The stock this morning up about
- 19:42Speaker 4: five percent and trading at just below one hundred and
- 19:45Speaker 4: ten dollars.
- 19:46Speaker 5: There's a pretty good, big gap there. So what does
- 19:48Speaker 5: that tell you, Spenser.
- 19:49Speaker 9: Yeah, there's definitely a lot of skepticism in the market.
- 19:53Speaker 9: And that's what I heard from an analyst this morning,
- 19:57Speaker 9: a long time eBay shareholder, was this questioning of this
- 19:59Speaker 9: some kind of and dump thing, and that's gonna be
- 20:02Speaker 9: the that's gonna be the big uh. The big question
- 20:04Speaker 9: is is uh uh is it sustainable? You know, even
- 20:08Speaker 9: if even if they find the money to to buy
- 20:11Speaker 9: eBay and get get some lenders to loan of money
- 20:14Speaker 9: to buy eBay, how.
- 20:17Speaker 6: Have you of a debt burden?
- 20:18Speaker 9: Is Ebak going to carry on the other side of
- 20:21Speaker 9: the other side of this and how sustainable will it be.
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