Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 9 | October 25, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All system's going clear the lift?
- 0:37Speaker 2: What are we even doing? What are we doing with
- 0:39Speaker 2: college football on DraftKings? The best game of the slate
- 0:42Speaker 2: not even offered. There's only one big ten game and
- 0:44Speaker 2: it's not even the right one. Florida Rosdale, Minnesota, IOWA.
- 0:48Speaker 2: Who doesn't want a thirty nine and a half point
- 0:50Speaker 2: team total on their DraftKings slate? Reridiculous. With that said,
- 0:57Speaker 2: it's out of my system. What's going on? Everybody? Welcome
- 0:59Speaker 2: to the Week nine ship a Nation college football breakdown show.
- 1:03Speaker 2: My name is Bill, put a dollar in front of it.
- 1:04Speaker 2: You'll find me on Discord and Twitter, and we got
- 1:07Speaker 2: some big totals going on today. You know, it's been
- 1:11Speaker 2: a great season so far. We'll get to some reasons
- 1:13Speaker 2: why here in just a moment, But why here, Let's
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- 2:23Speaker 2: look into some of the happenings a ship at Nation
- 2:26Speaker 2: and just like a sneak peak we like to call it.
- 2:28Speaker 2: But with that five day deal. I talk a lot
- 2:32Speaker 2: about college football. Obviously I'm a college football junkie, but
- 2:35Speaker 2: look at all the sports we have across the top,
- 2:37Speaker 2: from football to basketball, the PGA swing season still going
- 2:40Speaker 2: to MLB, MMA, all the sports still going on. It's
- 2:43Speaker 2: just a fun time to be a ship at Nation.
- 2:45Speaker 2: And here's a big reason why we just have winners
- 2:47Speaker 2: on winners on winners every week. I sound like a
- 2:50Speaker 2: broken record at this point. This week it was Gary
- 2:52Speaker 2: with a big seventy five thousand dollars takedown, Jay Bannock
- 2:55Speaker 2: almost getting there but still bringing in a cool one
- 2:57Speaker 2: hundred grand. We had to remember Rangers team split in
- 3:01Speaker 2: a ship with our guy Tambo, which was awesome. In Hamhock,
- 3:04Speaker 2: Dude Hammock on our college football team just he won
- 3:08Speaker 2: another College Football World Championship seat, a Fantasy Football World
- 3:12Speaker 2: Championship seat, and just a cool twenty k to go
- 3:15Speaker 2: with it. In different contests. We also had a great
- 3:18Speaker 2: week in other sports too. It's not just college football.
- 3:20Speaker 2: It's not just that NFL. We had winners in MMA.
- 3:22Speaker 2: We already had a big six digit winner in MBA
- 3:25Speaker 2: that actually was posted just after this collage was made.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Otherwise you'd see another one hundred thousand dollars went on here.
- 3:32Speaker 2: All that to say, five days for nineteen bucks. Come
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- 3:38Speaker 2: process a ship at Nation, we're all about process, not
- 3:41Speaker 2: just picks. Speaking of process and picks and football and everything,
- 3:49Speaker 2: we're going to get started with South Florida Memphis. If
- 3:51Speaker 2: you didn't already notice, this week, the floor pricing for
- 3:56Speaker 2: running backs is four K. So if you see a
- 3:59Speaker 2: fourthout running back, that's now min price on draftings this week,
- 4:03Speaker 2: not three thousand like we're normally used to seeing. So
- 4:05Speaker 2: take that into consideration when you're deciding if a guy
- 4:08Speaker 2: is a cheap value option at running back. Somebody who's
- 4:12Speaker 2: usually you know, forty five hundred might be in the
- 4:14Speaker 2: five kse. Somebody who's usually three k is going to
- 4:17Speaker 2: be four k, and it's gonna look weird. So just
- 4:19Speaker 2: keep that in mind as you're going through your lineups
- 4:20Speaker 2: this week. South Florida Memphis, big big point total to
- 4:24Speaker 2: start off from the American Conference. Byron Brown. Always on
- 4:28Speaker 2: our radar because of his dual threat ability. One of
- 4:30Speaker 2: the better spots even as a nine K quarterback, He's
- 4:32Speaker 2: just so much you get so much usage. I mean, honestly,
- 4:36Speaker 2: he could be ten k and you'd probably still consider
- 4:38Speaker 2: him not only that they have a thirty two point
- 4:40Speaker 2: team total, it's an explosive offense, so it's it's just
- 4:44Speaker 2: a great spot for him. Without Cartavius Norton in the backfield,
- 4:50Speaker 2: we're getting a three headed attack with Sam Franklin, Allen, Isaac,
- 4:53Speaker 2: and Davenport. It's really Isaac and Franklin are going to
- 4:57Speaker 2: be the top two, but Davenport mix in. If they
- 5:00Speaker 2: get up by a lot. They're all priced okay, but
- 5:02Speaker 2: they'll likely eat into each other a little bit. So
- 5:05Speaker 2: you could take your pick with these backs, but I
- 5:07Speaker 2: don't know that it's necessarily the spot you want to
- 5:09Speaker 2: go to in this game. Maybe a chance to get different.
- 5:11Speaker 2: If we get a couple of running back touchdowns, you
- 5:13Speaker 2: could be sitting pretty prime in some of those MME contests.
- 5:18Speaker 2: And now the wide receiver room is going to be
- 5:19Speaker 2: a little interesting. There's a report that coach Golish said
- 5:23Speaker 2: that Chas Nimrod's probably not going to be available or
- 5:26Speaker 2: not able to go at all on Saturday. I have
- 5:29Speaker 2: not seen that widespread, but without him last week, they
- 5:32Speaker 2: threw the fewest times they have all season. Now could
- 5:35Speaker 2: that be a product of them beaten the tar out
- 5:37Speaker 2: of Fau. Maybe maybe it's because they didn't have their
- 5:40Speaker 2: best receiver on the field, but it also it'll open
- 5:44Speaker 2: up more for Keisha On Singleton, Jeremiah Koger's really come
- 5:47Speaker 2: on strong. He's had a couple of big games. Last
- 5:51Speaker 2: week without Nimrodi had his hops target share, most routes
- 5:55Speaker 2: run of the season. So he's a guy that's coming
- 5:57Speaker 2: on strongly, four touchdowns over the last three games. Then
- 6:00Speaker 2: the rest of these guys will definitely mix in and
- 6:03Speaker 2: give you opportunity in a high total game. There even
- 6:06Speaker 2: if any of these like Brown's going to get some ownership,
- 6:09Speaker 2: if one of these wide receivers gets ownership, there are
- 6:11Speaker 2: definitely pivots on this team if you want to stick
- 6:13Speaker 2: with this game. On the other side, Memphis, their team
- 6:16Speaker 2: total has been going down, and that is because Brennan
- 6:19Speaker 2: Lewis left the last game early and he's considered day
- 6:22Speaker 2: to day. But one thing I want to point out
- 6:24Speaker 2: is that he did not talk to media this week
- 6:26Speaker 2: and that's the first time he's done that all season.
- 6:28Speaker 2: So it's kind of pointing us in the direction that
- 6:30Speaker 2: he's not going to play. And this spread has been
- 6:33Speaker 2: widening in favor of USF Memphis team total has been
- 6:36Speaker 2: going down. This is indicating that we're probably not going
- 6:41Speaker 2: to see Lewis without him. We're going to get AJ Hill.
- 6:46Speaker 2: He's a true freshman. He is very talented, he's got
- 6:49Speaker 2: a big arm, but he was just okay against UAB.
- 6:52Speaker 2: It might be a little bit different with a week
- 6:53Speaker 2: of prep. But I don't know if you can go
- 6:55Speaker 2: there with the unknown this. I mean, the game environment
- 6:58Speaker 2: is still warranting them to score or in the mid twenties.
- 7:00Speaker 2: So is there a shot. We'll watch his total and
- 7:04Speaker 2: see how much it gets bet down, But you've probably
- 7:08Speaker 2: taken a risk if you play Aj Hill. The backfield
- 7:11Speaker 2: is a little bit more set. Greg de Rosier has
- 7:13Speaker 2: gotten most of the workloads since he came back. Sutton
- 7:17Speaker 2: Smith will still mix him plenty. They're just expensive, that's it.
- 7:20Speaker 2: And it's a two headed attack with you know, with
- 7:23Speaker 2: workhorses on the slate. It's gonna be harder to get
- 7:25Speaker 2: to these guys, but the offense is going to run
- 7:27Speaker 2: a lot through them. Whichever running back is on the field,
- 7:30Speaker 2: both of them have upside, Both can catch the ball
- 7:32Speaker 2: out of the backfield. I don't mind. I don't mind
- 7:35Speaker 2: these guys. If Memphis can in fact keep it close
- 7:38Speaker 2: without their quarterback. These wide receivers Brahm, Hawkins, and Busy
- 7:42Speaker 2: are the three guys will see on the field most
- 7:44Speaker 2: of wide receiver. Bram is kind of elevated to the
- 7:47Speaker 2: top guy in this wide receiver room, but Hawkins certainly
- 7:52Speaker 2: has upside at this gap price if he'll goes. He
- 7:55Speaker 2: did target Bram a bunch when he played in the
- 8:00Speaker 2: last game, so that's something you can consider. After that,
- 8:04Speaker 2: you just get a lot of tight end and running
- 8:05Speaker 2: back dump offs when you look at what Hill did
- 8:08Speaker 2: against UAB, So Christian Ross might be on your radar. Two.
- 8:12Speaker 2: But if this, you know, if this game goes to script,
- 8:15Speaker 2: there's definitely going to be pieces that you're going to
- 8:18Speaker 2: want to have in your pool. Ole Miss at Oklahoma
- 8:23Speaker 2: Oklahoma favored by five and a half, which they're at home.
- 8:27Speaker 2: It makes sense, but it also I mean Ole Miss
- 8:30Speaker 2: with a high powered offense, you wouldn't expect it to
- 8:32Speaker 2: be this big of a spread, but Oklahoma's defense is
- 8:34Speaker 2: pretty good. Trinidad Chambless Price backup where he should be
- 8:38Speaker 2: outside of the Texas game, though Oklahoma has not given
- 8:41Speaker 2: up more than seventeen points a year. They've only allowed
- 8:44Speaker 2: zero or one offensive touchdown in every game but one.
- 8:48Speaker 2: If I had to pick a team that I think
- 8:50Speaker 2: could score on him, it's old Miss. So that's where
- 8:53Speaker 2: this comes into play. Even at eighty eight hundred chambless,
- 8:55Speaker 2: with the athletic ability he has in his ability to run,
- 8:58Speaker 2: I think you can still consider him. Kewan Lacy did
- 9:01Speaker 2: not get the carries last week, but he did get
- 9:04Speaker 2: the scores, so that still worth points. Right in the
- 9:08Speaker 2: high six case. It does seem a little bit riskier
- 9:10Speaker 2: in this matchup, but he's involved in the passing game.
- 9:13Speaker 2: He gets, you know, the heaviest workload of these running backs.
- 9:16Speaker 2: He still has a pretty solid floor in this matchup.
- 9:20Speaker 2: And then the wide receivers, I still contend tight end
- 9:22Speaker 2: Daiquon Wright is a matchup nightmare for anybody. So as
- 9:27Speaker 2: long as he's on the field, he's going to have
- 9:29Speaker 2: some upside. And now he's getting consistent target share too.
- 9:33Speaker 2: But really, the ole Miss wide receiving room is I
- 9:36Speaker 2: wouldn't call it a mess. It's just so spread out.
- 9:39Speaker 2: Harrison Wallace and Deuce Alexander are both cheap. Both of
- 9:42Speaker 2: them have had spike games Harrison Wallace had a decent
- 9:45Speaker 2: game against Georgia. Stribbling and Lee both very capable of
- 9:48Speaker 2: having spike games. Winston Watkins has been seeing the field more.
- 9:52Speaker 2: I will say right in Alexander to make the availability report,
- 9:55Speaker 2: but both of them are listed. Is probable. It's just
- 9:58Speaker 2: it's a situation where the price tags are going to
- 10:01Speaker 2: jump out at you, and they all have upside, but
- 10:04Speaker 2: they all have risk too, because if one of them
- 10:07Speaker 2: gets there, there's a good chance the other four may not,
- 10:09Speaker 2: or if two of them get there, the rest of
- 10:11Speaker 2: the guys might be chop liver. That's the risk you
- 10:13Speaker 2: take with Old Miss. But it's a team that can
- 10:15Speaker 2: put up a lot of points, so you might want
- 10:17Speaker 2: to have a piece of them. On the Oklahoma side,
- 10:20Speaker 2: this seems like a spot if jametears back back, we
- 10:22Speaker 2: could see a ceiling type performance against Old Miss. We
- 10:25Speaker 2: just saw what Gunnar Stockton did to him on the
- 10:29Speaker 2: ground and through the air. Everyone but Lsu has run
- 10:32Speaker 2: all over this Ole Miss team. At eighty nine hundred,
- 10:35Speaker 2: I'd like some reassurance that Jameteer is fully healthy, but
- 10:39Speaker 2: at the same time, if he is, the ceiling is
- 10:41Speaker 2: super high. Saying for similar reasons. I like Tory Blaylock.
- 10:46Speaker 2: Joe Barnes is questionable. We got a I don't know,
- 10:50Speaker 2: we'll see from his coach, so with him landing on
- 10:53Speaker 2: the report, I don't know, we'll see. But like I said,
- 10:59Speaker 2: you can run the I could run the ball on
- 11:00Speaker 2: Ole Miss if I'm healthy. You know, Tory Blaylocks. That's
- 11:03Speaker 2: up really nice at just fifty six hundred. Even Xavier
- 11:06Speaker 2: Robinson might have some upside for one thousand dollars cheaper
- 11:10Speaker 2: without Barnes back there and not just being a shell
- 11:12Speaker 2: out of his former self. Isaiah Satana has basically taken
- 11:16Speaker 2: over as the target shareholder for Oklahoma, but now he's
- 11:19Speaker 2: priced like it. He's in the mid five case. I
- 11:22Speaker 2: liked him a lot more when he was in the
- 11:24Speaker 2: three and fours. This could also temper his ownership a
- 11:27Speaker 2: little bit. I don't know that it will this Saturday.
- 11:30Speaker 2: But Dion Burks is now at a discount. He just
- 11:33Speaker 2: had a down game when they played South Carolina. Same
- 11:36Speaker 2: with Jaron Cannick. Just a down game, but they both
- 11:38Speaker 2: still have upside in the four case now. And Javanni
- 11:41Speaker 2: Gibson played sixty snaps against South Carolina and he had
- 11:44Speaker 2: six targets, just didn't have the depth of target. But
- 11:47Speaker 2: I still think he's due to explode one of these games,
- 11:49Speaker 2: and I don't mind a shot at him. At thirty
- 11:51Speaker 2: five hundred. This game se seams. We've seen some of
- 11:55Speaker 2: them shoot out, unless it's Kentucky or Texas. I think
- 11:58Speaker 2: any SEC game has a chance to shoot out. And
- 12:00Speaker 2: already with a fifty two and a half point team total,
- 12:03Speaker 2: I think, you know, one more touchdown on each side,
- 12:06Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, we're talking about mid sixties.
- 12:08Speaker 2: So this is this is maybe a little bit sneakier game.
- 12:10Speaker 2: You can get pieces of Kansas State at Kansas the
- 12:15Speaker 2: Sunflower Showdown. Kansas has not won this game since two
- 12:19Speaker 2: thousand and eight, and I believe they've played every year
- 12:22Speaker 2: since then, so it's been a long time coming for
- 12:25Speaker 2: the Jayhawks, and they might they're favored. Obviously they have
- 12:28Speaker 2: a chance. Avery Johnson has not been super consistent this year,
- 12:31Speaker 2: but even at eighty one hundred, I still think he
- 12:34Speaker 2: has the upside. It's a decent matchup. He had a
- 12:37Speaker 2: solid game against Kansas last year, and Kansas, like I said,
- 12:39Speaker 2: Kansas State is it's not the same Kansas State team
- 12:42Speaker 2: we're expecting, but they have had Kansas's number for the
- 12:45Speaker 2: better part of the last two decades. Joe Jackson, I mean,
- 12:49Speaker 2: Dylan Edwards has had rumors swirling he's gonna red shirt
- 12:52Speaker 2: this season. His agent said he's not. It doesn't matter.
- 12:56Speaker 2: He's out. He's already listed, is out on the availability reports.
- 12:58Speaker 2: So we're gonna get Joe Jackson and he's priced like
- 13:01Speaker 2: a starting running back for Kansas State who's going to
- 13:03Speaker 2: get a workload would be seven k. Just it's a
- 13:07Speaker 2: good matchup. I think that Joe Jackson could very easily
- 13:11Speaker 2: get there even at this price. Is he the best
- 13:14Speaker 2: running back play on the slate? I guess that's for
- 13:15Speaker 2: you to decide, but I definitely am not scared of
- 13:19Speaker 2: the seven k price tag in this case. The wide
- 13:23Speaker 2: receiver room, Jace Brown had a down game a couple
- 13:25Speaker 2: of weeks ago. We know his potential sixty five hundred
- 13:29Speaker 2: still seems like either fair or maybe even a little
- 13:32Speaker 2: low for him. Drewon Tibbs even cheaper, has a bunch
- 13:36Speaker 2: of upside here as well. Garrett Oakley at tight end
- 13:39Speaker 2: had been up and down, but over the last three
- 13:41Speaker 2: games he has twenty targets and four touchdowns, so I
- 13:43Speaker 2: don't mind taking a shot on him too. On the
- 13:47Speaker 2: Kansas side, Jalen Daniels I just simply under price. I
- 13:50Speaker 2: think he should be in the eight k's, maybe even
- 13:52Speaker 2: more expensive than Avery Johnson. I mean, he had a
- 13:55Speaker 2: couple of not so great games, but one of them
- 13:56Speaker 2: was against Texas Tech, so you can kind of throw
- 13:58Speaker 2: that one out certain extent. But they're coming off a
- 14:02Speaker 2: bye week, probably gained some ownership at this price, but
- 14:05Speaker 2: for good reason. So he's in the stellar spot. High
- 14:09Speaker 2: Shaw and Williams are probably gonna split, but Williams did
- 14:13Speaker 2: show up on the injury report is questionable, so maybe
- 14:16Speaker 2: you're looking at Daniel Hinshaw if Williams can't go. But really,
- 14:21Speaker 2: this is another one of those game environments where if
- 14:26Speaker 2: it starts off hot and the points start coming, Really,
- 14:29Speaker 2: anybody on either of these teams could be having that
- 14:34Speaker 2: flame above their number on DraftKings when the win even
- 14:38Speaker 2: by halftime. Honestly, Manny Henderson could be a top option
- 14:43Speaker 2: at wide receiver on the entire slate. He's just been
- 14:45Speaker 2: a stud all year. But one thing I want to
- 14:46Speaker 2: point out, Boden Grown had fourteen targets against Texas Tech
- 14:51Speaker 2: and caught thirteen of them. So at thirty five hundred,
- 14:54Speaker 2: he's basically at four x just on receptions in that scenario. Now,
- 14:58Speaker 2: is he going to do it again? I don't know.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Could he? Yeah? Why not? Cam Pickett's also cheap and
- 15:05Speaker 2: he's on the field. So if ownership is going to
- 15:08Speaker 2: be flooding to Henderson, this is a great spot to
- 15:10Speaker 2: save some money and pivot to these other guys that
- 15:13Speaker 2: are involved. If you want a piece of this Kansas offense,
- 15:15Speaker 2: play Daniels naked, Play Daniels with grown and picket, or
- 15:19Speaker 2: stack Daniels running back Henderson if there's only one running
- 15:24Speaker 2: back healthy, and then run it back with somebody from
- 15:26Speaker 2: the Kansas state side. It's you see guys with ownership,
- 15:30Speaker 2: and it's not about playing them or fading them. It's
- 15:32Speaker 2: about how you play them or how you fade them.
- 15:38Speaker 2: Syracuse Georgia Tech holy spread sixteen and a half points.
- 15:42Speaker 2: And I've said it before, Georgia Tech has had a
- 15:45Speaker 2: history of letting down in these situations. They were underdogs
- 15:49Speaker 2: against Duke and they pulled it out in the end.
- 15:51Speaker 2: And we'll talk about Georgia Tech in a moment. First,
- 15:55Speaker 2: let's talk about Syracuse because without Steve Angelly, the promise
- 15:58Speaker 2: for this team is just kind of faded away, and
- 16:01Speaker 2: it's just harder to get to him in DFS. I
- 16:04Speaker 2: don't know if you can play Ricky Collins, even at
- 16:06Speaker 2: the cheap price you can. I'm not going to stop
- 16:10Speaker 2: you from doing it. It's just Syracuse does not look
- 16:13Speaker 2: like a team that's that's ready to go out and
- 16:15Speaker 2: win right now. You see, Willis has been out snapping
- 16:19Speaker 2: will Nixon by a significant amount, but if you look
- 16:21Speaker 2: at their production, it's not that much different. Now. Part
- 16:23Speaker 2: of that like when Nixon is on the field, they
- 16:25Speaker 2: use him and he's a little bit more involved in
- 16:27Speaker 2: the passing game. So it's yeah, I may have already
- 16:32Speaker 2: talked too much about Syracuse, but let's dive into the
- 16:35Speaker 2: wide receivers pass catchers for a moment without again, without Angeli,
- 16:40Speaker 2: it's tough, but Daryl Gill at thirty six hundred just
- 16:43Speaker 2: seems weird to me. He does have big playability, so
- 16:45Speaker 2: maybe you can take a chance on somebody like him,
- 16:48Speaker 2: or really any one of these pass catchers. Gil did
- 16:51Speaker 2: get eleven targets last game, though he just only caught
- 16:53Speaker 2: four of them, which one of them was a touchdown,
- 16:56Speaker 2: so that helped. But you don't like that catch rate,
- 16:59Speaker 2: and I think a lot of it has to do
- 17:00Speaker 2: with who's playing quarterback. John day Cook is okay, he's
- 17:03Speaker 2: just expensive. Dan Valari's okay. Justice Ross Simmons is okay.
- 17:07Speaker 2: But they're both on the injury report. They're both probable.
- 17:11Speaker 2: Ross Simmons only played a few snaps and exited the
- 17:14Speaker 2: last game. Early. Hornsby's been seeing the field more. Emanuel
- 17:17Speaker 2: Ross scored last week. That's about all he did. All right,
- 17:20Speaker 2: they're Syracuse. It should I shouldn't have. That's that's enough Syracuse.
- 17:25Speaker 2: On the Georgia tech side, Haines King one of the
- 17:28Speaker 2: wildest last few minutes of a game in DFS, and
- 17:32Speaker 2: it's not the first time he's done that this year.
- 17:35Speaker 2: He could have slid and run out the clock, but no,
- 17:36Speaker 2: Instead he went in and scored a touchdown. He got
- 17:39Speaker 2: the hundred yard bonus on that drive in about a
- 17:42Speaker 2: matter of forty five seconds, and he got like what
- 17:45Speaker 2: thirty points. He went from like twelve to thirty points
- 17:48Speaker 2: in one drive. It looked like the greatest fade of
- 17:52Speaker 2: the year. Potentially plays later. Anybody who faded is dead.
- 17:56Speaker 1: In the water.
- 17:57Speaker 2: I may not dead in the water, you know what
- 17:58Speaker 2: I mean, though, they're just so a little bit anyway.
- 18:02Speaker 2: All that to say, he could play for two minutes
- 18:06Speaker 2: of this game and still get you there. Now, I
- 18:07Speaker 2: don't think that's likely, but he's probably going to play
- 18:10Speaker 2: more than two minutes. So even at eighty six hundred
- 18:13Speaker 2: and another week that he's a solid option, and I
- 18:16Speaker 2: think he's going to continue to be a solid option
- 18:18Speaker 2: in these easier looking matchups. In the mid eight case,
- 18:22Speaker 2: both of these running backs will see the field. Neither
- 18:24Speaker 2: did really well against Duke, but the snap count was
- 18:28Speaker 2: Jamal Haynes had thirty three snaps. Malachi Hozy had twenty
- 18:31Speaker 2: seven snaps. That's the thing is they're going to eat
- 18:33Speaker 2: into each other. But Tech runs the ball enough that
- 18:36Speaker 2: even as RB two and RB three behind Haynes kinging,
- 18:38Speaker 2: they still look pretty good. So I think you can
- 18:41Speaker 2: take a chance on either of these guys. They're kind
- 18:43Speaker 2: of in that middle price range too. The one thing
- 18:46Speaker 2: that could throw a hitch into it is for the
- 18:47Speaker 2: first time all year, Chad Alexander is not on the
- 18:50Speaker 2: availability report, which leads us to believe he's going to
- 18:53Speaker 2: be available to play. So if that's the case, I
- 18:56Speaker 2: don't know that Alexander's playable at almost mind price. But
- 18:59Speaker 2: also it could eat into Haines and Hoseley a little bit.
- 19:02Speaker 2: That might give you a little more pause in playing
- 19:04Speaker 2: those guys. Lie Rutherford only played a few snaps last
- 19:08Speaker 2: game and he's questionable on the report now, so especially
- 19:11Speaker 2: if he sits out, you could definitely take a closer
- 19:13Speaker 2: look at a guy like Eric Rivers or Isaiah Canyon.
- 19:16Speaker 2: All three are probably on the table. Even if Rutherford's healthy,
- 19:20Speaker 2: maybe you don't trust Rotaford as much, but if that
- 19:22Speaker 2: dampens his ownership and he's good enough to go, that's
- 19:26Speaker 2: where you could get a little bit of leverage. But
- 19:27Speaker 2: that is one way to play Hayes King different as
- 19:30Speaker 2: to play him with a wide receiver, because I don't
- 19:31Speaker 2: think many people are going to do that. So if
- 19:34Speaker 2: you do play Haynes King and don't want to just
- 19:36Speaker 2: be a complete chalk eater, that's something you could do
- 19:39Speaker 2: to get a little bit different. I'm mostly looking at
- 19:42Speaker 2: the Georgia tech side, though Virginia at North Carolina. There
- 19:46Speaker 2: is way more to talk about in this game than
- 19:48Speaker 2: I thought there was going to be when I looked
- 19:50Speaker 2: at it earlier this week. There is apparently some drama
- 19:53Speaker 2: with Chandler Morris and his potential transfer to North Carolina
- 19:56Speaker 2: in the offseason. Belichick denies it, Morris denies it, but
- 20:01Speaker 2: something happened at some point that led people to believe
- 20:04Speaker 2: that Chandler Morris was thinking about transferring to North Carolina.
- 20:10Speaker 2: I don't really love that narrative in terms of anything
- 20:12Speaker 2: to do with this game. It's just it's a storyline.
- 20:16Speaker 2: It's something to talk about, and I mean, I I
- 20:21Speaker 2: guess I don't technically have anybody in here to talk about,
- 20:23Speaker 2: but I like talking to y'all. So fun little story.
- 20:26Speaker 2: Look it up if you want to. Anyway, he's dealing
- 20:29Speaker 2: with a non throwing shoulder injury, and that's he said,
- 20:31Speaker 2: he just landed on it weird, or his coach said
- 20:33Speaker 2: he landed on it weird and got hit or something.
- 20:35Speaker 2: That's why he missed some time. But he's going to
- 20:39Speaker 2: be good to go, and coach said he's just going
- 20:41Speaker 2: to be dealing with it all year, and he's been
- 20:43Speaker 2: playing through it fine for the most part. So I
- 20:47Speaker 2: do like him. At seventy nine hundred because he does
- 20:49Speaker 2: have a little bit of running upside with it, and
- 20:51Speaker 2: they can just chuck that pigskin all over North Carolina.
- 20:57Speaker 2: Injury news time, it seems like a great spot for
- 21:01Speaker 2: Jamar Taylor. I liked him coming into the week at
- 21:04Speaker 2: this price. I like him even more now he's taken
- 21:08Speaker 2: over the backfield. He's had nine targets a couple of
- 21:11Speaker 2: games ago, so even if he's not effective running, he'll
- 21:13Speaker 2: be involved in the passing game. And now Xavier Brown
- 21:16Speaker 2: is out, everything points to Jamari Taylor being in a
- 21:21Speaker 2: like a smash spot. So it's again, you're never gonna
- 21:26Speaker 2: lock anybody in college football. There's so many weird things.
- 21:29Speaker 2: Have you been watching midweek? College football? Locks don't exist.
- 21:34Speaker 2: They're a little bit more certain in these bigger games.
- 21:36Speaker 2: But Taylor seems like he's in a great spot to
- 21:38Speaker 2: run all over North Carolina. Harrison Whaley would likely be
- 21:42Speaker 2: RB two, but Noah vaugh is off the report. He'd
- 21:44Speaker 2: been dealing with an ankle injury, but he appears to
- 21:47Speaker 2: be ready to go, and he looked pretty good early
- 21:48Speaker 2: in the season. He was getting snaps even in the
- 21:51Speaker 2: like the North Carolina State game. He was getting snaps,
- 21:53Speaker 2: so it's not like he's played against FCS teams, so
- 21:56Speaker 2: he could mix in as well. The wide receiver room,
- 21:59Speaker 2: Cam Ross was probably Wednesday. By Thursday he was downgraded
- 22:03Speaker 2: to out, So that's really going to open things up
- 22:05Speaker 2: for these wide receivers. Trel Harris and Jamal E. Ryan
- 22:08Speaker 2: seemed to be number one and number two. They were
- 22:10Speaker 2: probably in play at these prices even if Cam Ross played.
- 22:13Speaker 2: Now they're just eating any even better spots. But really,
- 22:16Speaker 2: Cam Courtney out of the slot, it's a solid bump
- 22:18Speaker 2: for him and probably the biggest opportunity in a plus
- 22:21Speaker 2: EV matchup against North Carolina. And he's min price. So
- 22:24Speaker 2: if you need a min price wide receiver, maybe you're
- 22:26Speaker 2: looking to Cam Courtney, who's probably going to be on
- 22:28Speaker 2: the field a lot. But I also wouldn't be surprised
- 22:30Speaker 2: if you see somebody like t Leark Coleman see the
- 22:33Speaker 2: field or Josiah Abdullah see the field for Virginia. So
- 22:37Speaker 2: if you play Courtney and you're like, oh, he's INNA,
- 22:39Speaker 2: he's got so much upside, and then oh my gosh,
- 22:42Speaker 2: this is Josiah Abdullah. Guy, just I warned you it's possible.
- 22:46Speaker 2: But Cam Courtney should get the first opportunity, and then
- 22:49Speaker 2: Dakota Twitty's still out, So you could look at Sagennis
- 22:51Speaker 2: a little bit, maybe some John Rodgers, but it's really
- 22:54Speaker 2: those top three guys that I have my eye on
- 22:56Speaker 2: in terms of this wide receiver room. But man, you
- 22:59Speaker 2: could triple back Virginia by itself, and it seems like
- 23:02Speaker 2: it'd be in a good spot this week. On the
- 23:04Speaker 2: UNC side, Geo Lopez still a tough click at sixty
- 23:07Speaker 2: two hundred. I want to believe he's going to get
- 23:08Speaker 2: closer to what he was at South Alabama, but we
- 23:10Speaker 2: just haven't seen it yet. And maybe he's just hurt,
- 23:13Speaker 2: I don't know, or maybe he's not. Just maybe it's
- 23:16Speaker 2: the jump to P four from G five. I don't know.
- 23:21Speaker 2: I don't know if you can play him. Maybe this
- 23:23Speaker 2: is this could be a little bit of a sneaky spot,
- 23:25Speaker 2: I guess, but just know the risk going in. You
- 23:28Speaker 2: could get maybe you get that twenty five point game,
- 23:30Speaker 2: but there's probably a better chance to get twelve. The
- 23:34Speaker 2: running back room is a little bit crazy. Benjamin Hall
- 23:37Speaker 2: was a guy last week before that we thought it
- 23:39Speaker 2: was Demon June he had but dude, June actually got
- 23:42Speaker 2: out snapped by Benjamin Hall and davey On Gowis, and
- 23:45Speaker 2: Gows was supposed to be the guy earlier in the season,
- 23:47Speaker 2: and Kayleb Hood's been getting snaps but not getting any work.
- 23:52Speaker 2: I think Benjamin Hall was my favorite guy coming into
- 23:56Speaker 2: the season, demon June slowly became that guy with all
- 23:59Speaker 2: the reports I was reading, But everything is leading me
- 24:02Speaker 2: to believe that it's just whoever's playing the best that
- 24:05Speaker 2: day is going to be the running back of the week.
- 24:08Speaker 2: And you know where I think I've actually seen this before,
- 24:13Speaker 2: early to mid two thousands New England. Interesting. AnyWho, I'm
- 24:20Speaker 2: probably skipping over this running back situation. If you want
- 24:24Speaker 2: to take a chance on one and hope you get
- 24:25Speaker 2: it right, go for it. If you want to play
- 24:27Speaker 2: Rex Burkhead, if you want to play Corey Dylon, I
- 24:31Speaker 2: don't know whatever. Kobe PACER's actually playing football now. Most
- 24:37Speaker 2: routes he's running a game last time out seven targets
- 24:39Speaker 2: into with more than one hundred yards, So Kobe Paser
- 24:42Speaker 2: thirty one hundred. He probably should be a six K
- 24:44Speaker 2: receiver if he's playing up to his potential. Maybe we'll
- 24:46Speaker 2: get it. Two weeks in a row. I don't mind
- 24:48Speaker 2: that as a mid price option or near min price.
- 24:51Speaker 2: Jordan Ship still had more targets than he did. It
- 24:53Speaker 2: just didn't turn into any production. Pacer was destined to
- 24:58Speaker 2: be the number one guy coming into the season. He
- 25:00Speaker 2: just was super slow out of the gates. But if
- 25:03Speaker 2: he's going to be on the field and get that
- 25:04Speaker 2: target share, thirty one hundred is super juicy. So there
- 25:08Speaker 2: are runbacks to this Virginia team. If you want to
- 25:10Speaker 2: stack Virginia, there are guys you can run it back
- 25:12Speaker 2: with on this North Carolina side and maybe we get
- 25:15Speaker 2: maybe we get a sneaky little, sneaky little upset going
- 25:19Speaker 2: here at home. I don't know, as is honest, stir
- 25:25Speaker 2: up some controversy, maybe speaking of upset potential, twenty five
- 25:31Speaker 2: and a half point dog, UCLA traveling too Bloomington to
- 25:34Speaker 2: face maybe the best team of the nation. We won't
- 25:37Speaker 2: know until they play Ohio State. I guess Nico yam
- 25:41Speaker 2: Aliava has been dealing with something. He missed part of
- 25:45Speaker 2: the last game. He was going through some testing earlier
- 25:49Speaker 2: this week. One thing I do know is that he
- 25:51Speaker 2: was at practice back to practice early this week, so
- 25:54Speaker 2: that's a good sign for him. Javian Thomas Anthony Woods
- 25:58Speaker 2: also both left the game, and we're going to go
- 26:00Speaker 2: through some testing. Has not been as much news on them,
- 26:05Speaker 2: but I don't know how much you're going to look
- 26:06Speaker 2: into these guys in this sort of game environment. Maybe
- 26:09Speaker 2: you get the Nico magic that we got against Penn State,
- 26:12Speaker 2: but I don't think Indiana and Penn State are even
- 26:14Speaker 2: close to each other talent wise, and this is a
- 26:17Speaker 2: road game, so it's a tough ask. But as head
- 26:21Speaker 2: a six thousand dollars quarterback, if Nico's healthy, maybe give
- 26:26Speaker 2: him a shot. If you want to play Nico and
- 26:29Speaker 2: you want to stack him with a pass catcher. Gilmer
- 26:33Speaker 2: has still been the guy. He's just the most expensive
- 26:35Speaker 2: for a reason. But Macaio Wati Malala is still involved,
- 26:39Speaker 2: Mikey Matthews is still out there. Rico Flores is probably
- 26:42Speaker 2: still my favorite. I just like the ustone he's gotten
- 26:44Speaker 2: since coming back, But I'd probably talk too much about UCLA.
- 26:49Speaker 2: Go back up, Go up and hang out with Syracuse
- 26:51Speaker 2: for a minute. On the Indiana side. With a forty
- 26:54Speaker 2: point imply team total, you're you're gonna have interest in
- 26:57Speaker 2: this game for Anana Mendoz is the most expensive player,
- 27:00Speaker 2: but he's got the ability end. Then he's put up
- 27:03Speaker 2: the numbers to get there. Even at this price, I
- 27:05Speaker 2: think people are gonna focus on this passing game. Maybe
- 27:08Speaker 2: these backs get a little bit of ownership, but it's
- 27:09Speaker 2: a split. You're gonna see him, but you're gonna see Black,
- 27:12Speaker 2: and if they get out early, you're gonna see a
- 27:13Speaker 2: lot of Kobe Martin. But if one or both of
- 27:16Speaker 2: them gets touchdowns, if everybody's playing Cooper and Sarat and
- 27:20Speaker 2: they end up getting down in the five yard line
- 27:22Speaker 2: and him Be or Black run it in, get a
- 27:24Speaker 2: little bit of leverage. But play them all together. You
- 27:26Speaker 2: can play them all together too. But I don't mind
- 27:29Speaker 2: their prices against the bad run defense. Again, remember four
- 27:32Speaker 2: k's the minimum, so forty nine hundred is pretty cheap.
- 27:37Speaker 2: In this wide receiver room, it's Cooper and Sarat another
- 27:40Speaker 2: broken record situation when Indiana's on the slate. Those are
- 27:43Speaker 2: the two names you look at. They're expensive, but look
- 27:46Speaker 2: at the box. You don't even have to like watch
- 27:48Speaker 2: the games, watch the highlights their studs, just look at
- 27:52Speaker 2: the box scores. I mean, I don't like just looking
- 27:55Speaker 2: at box scores. But that's really all I got to
- 27:57Speaker 2: do with Indiana, because they're putting up numbers every single week,
- 28:00Speaker 2: even at the higher prices. They're solid options here. Auburn
- 28:06Speaker 2: at Arkansas, Arkansas favored and projected to score more points
- 28:11Speaker 2: than I thought they would be. I don't know if
- 28:13Speaker 2: that's how good Arkansas is or how much Auburn is
- 28:15Speaker 2: starting to fall off. Hugh Freeze is on the hot seat,
- 28:17Speaker 2: so now he's talking about maybe I'll play Ashton Daniels,
- 28:21Speaker 2: or maybe I'll play Deuce Night. Maybe I'll just stick
- 28:24Speaker 2: with Jackson Arnold. We don't know for sure, but we
- 28:26Speaker 2: do know that the talk is out there at this point.
- 28:29Speaker 2: Why not. He's on a short leash. We might have
- 28:33Speaker 2: to wait and see until we get some clarity. But honestly,
- 28:36Speaker 2: I don't mind any of those guys against Arkansas's defense.
- 28:39Speaker 2: Whoever the starter's gonna be. If we can get clarity
- 28:42Speaker 2: that he's going to be the guy and only get
- 28:44Speaker 2: yanked if he's terrible, I want to attack Arkansas. So
- 28:50Speaker 2: maybe you just attack Arkansas with Jeremiah Cobb because he's
- 28:52Speaker 2: sub six K. Running backs have monster games against Arkansas.
- 28:56Speaker 2: He's been getting the workload to Marie Alston's gone, Durell
- 28:59Speaker 2: Robinson's Mapson didn't do anything last game. Jeremiah Cobbat fifty
- 29:04Speaker 2: nine hundred maybe the closest thing to a lock we
- 29:07Speaker 2: have it running back this week, and then Cam Coleman
- 29:10Speaker 2: and Eric Singleton are still in decent spots regardless of
- 29:13Speaker 2: who plays quarterback. Just I don't know if any options
- 29:16Speaker 2: better or worse than the other at this point for
- 29:19Speaker 2: the quarterback situation. But if we get Daniels or Night,
- 29:21Speaker 2: maybe we get the breath of fresh air narrative for
- 29:25Speaker 2: these wide receivers and they're both talented enough to get
- 29:28Speaker 2: there as long as the quarterback can get in the ball.
- 29:32Speaker 2: On the Arkansas side, Taylor Green is a tough matchup here,
- 29:34Speaker 2: but he's priced down like he has a tougher matchup,
- 29:37Speaker 2: and at eighty four hundred, I still think he can
- 29:38Speaker 2: get there. I mean not that A and M is
- 29:41Speaker 2: a staunch defense, but he smoked him. It was I
- 29:45Speaker 2: got that game was fireworks and bad defense. I guess
- 29:48Speaker 2: you could say too, But Taylor Green eighty four hundred
- 29:52Speaker 2: is a fair price here, even if the defense it
- 29:55Speaker 2: looks decent on paper. I think Taylor Green is talented
- 29:57Speaker 2: enough to do it. Tough on good rewind Reset, tough
- 30:04Speaker 2: matchup for Mike Washington too, but he's just been getting
- 30:07Speaker 2: so much of the workload. At sixty one hundred, I
- 30:09Speaker 2: think he still has a chance to get there. And
- 30:11Speaker 2: like I said, Arkansas is projected to score twenty nine points,
- 30:14Speaker 2: so people think they're going to score. Somebody's got to
- 30:17Speaker 2: get into the end zone. I don't. I mean, I
- 30:19Speaker 2: don't think they're going to score ten field goals, but
- 30:21Speaker 2: I guess it's not impossible. But if they get some
- 30:24Speaker 2: goal line carries or Washington gets loose, sixty one hundreds
- 30:28Speaker 2: a fair price for him. The wide receiver room Omega,
- 30:32Speaker 2: Blake's getting about nine targets a game, next closest to CJ.
- 30:34Speaker 2: Brown at four. I don't really need to elaborate on
- 30:38Speaker 2: that much more, especially if you've watched Arkansas, Blake gets peppered,
- 30:41Speaker 2: and then with Jalen Brown out the last two games,
- 30:44Speaker 2: we've seen Blake stay consistent, and then it's been either
- 30:46Speaker 2: one of c J. Brown or Raylan Sharp having a
- 30:49Speaker 2: big game, and Jalen Brown's going to be out again.
- 30:53Speaker 2: So Blake is the safest. But you're paying for that
- 30:55Speaker 2: safety net, another stackable game, a clear stack on the
- 30:59Speaker 2: Arkansas with clear runbacks on the Auburn side, and definitely
- 31:03Speaker 2: some guys that may not garner the ownership to get
- 31:05Speaker 2: a little different if you want pieces of this game too.
- 31:09Speaker 2: From Arkansas to Alabama. Alabama, Arkansas, Alabama, big favorite on
- 31:16Speaker 2: the road at South Carolina Ty Simpson eighty two hundred. Now,
- 31:21Speaker 2: Actually I'm gonna rewind because is this a letdown spot
- 31:24Speaker 2: for Alabama? They have a bye week next week? They
- 31:27Speaker 2: just went through a gauntlet at Georgia, Vandy, at Miszoo, Tennessee.
- 31:31Speaker 2: They won all those games. If South Carolina wasn't so bad,
- 31:36Speaker 2: I think this would be a prime spot for them
- 31:38Speaker 2: to drop a game with their guard down, just ready
- 31:42Speaker 2: to go into the bye week. But if, like I do,
- 31:46Speaker 2: think it could dampen the DFS potential, we'll see how hot.
- 31:50Speaker 2: Like if they get off to a sluggish start, I
- 31:53Speaker 2: would be a little bit worried, But again it's South Carolina,
- 31:57Speaker 2: so I don't I'm not as concerned as I would
- 31:59Speaker 2: be if they were playing at Kentucky this week be
- 32:03Speaker 2: a different story. Let me tell you With Ty Simpson,
- 32:06Speaker 2: I mean, he's been one of the best DFS quarterbacks
- 32:08Speaker 2: all season. Slight letdowns the last couple of games, but
- 32:11Speaker 2: now he's in the low wait case, decent price for him.
- 32:15Speaker 2: The running back rooms little weird jam Miller struggled last week.
- 32:17Speaker 2: It was actually Daniel Hill who closed out the game.
- 32:20Speaker 2: Kevin Riley obviously still involved as well. So it's going
- 32:23Speaker 2: to be difficult to figure out what this approach might be.
- 32:26Speaker 2: And honestly, I might be a little bit more willing
- 32:30Speaker 2: to wait, just wait on jam Miller until after the
- 32:33Speaker 2: bye week to get his legs back underneath him. But really,
- 32:37Speaker 2: no combination he U should with these three guys would
- 32:40Speaker 2: surprise me. Honestly, if for some reason Young or Trey
- 32:46Speaker 2: Washington gets back into the mix, I wouldn't like it,
- 32:51Speaker 2: but it wouldn't surprise me. And then in this wide
- 32:54Speaker 2: receiver room, Bernard and Williams almost always going to get
- 32:56Speaker 2: a look for me. Bernard first, I don't know. Williams
- 32:59Speaker 2: is still more expensive. It's just always been that way.
- 33:02Speaker 2: I don't know why it's been that way, but it
- 33:03Speaker 2: is what it is. Isaiah Horton's still out there. Only
- 33:08Speaker 2: one catch last week, but lo and behold it was
- 33:10Speaker 2: for a touchdown. Making it now five of the last
- 33:13Speaker 2: six games with a touchdown for Horton. Definitely somebody you're
- 33:16Speaker 2: going to look at a much cheaper price than those
- 33:18Speaker 2: other two. And I really loved the usage increase that
- 33:23Speaker 2: Lazier Brooks was getting, plus he returns kicks, but he
- 33:26Speaker 2: just dropped on the availability report is doubtful, so I
- 33:30Speaker 2: can't add thirty one high. I was licking my lips
- 33:33Speaker 2: at a thirty one hundred Lazier Brooks, honestly. But now
- 33:36Speaker 2: it just opens up for the rest of these guys,
- 33:37Speaker 2: Bernard Williams, Horton, even Josh Quavis, and maybe we see
- 33:40Speaker 2: a little bit more Rico Scott because he can fill
- 33:43Speaker 2: in for Brooks with the snaps that he was getting.
- 33:47Speaker 2: On the South Carolina side, it's just more of a
- 33:50Speaker 2: fun story to talk about because there is now a
- 33:52Speaker 2: formal student protest to get former Alabama coach and current
- 33:56Speaker 2: South Carolina offensive coordinator Mike Shula fired to say the
- 34:00Speaker 2: team's a mess. Leonora's Shellers Shellers because he's a shell
- 34:04Speaker 2: of his former self. Could he still get there at
- 34:09Speaker 2: sixty five hundred? Maybe? Ah, I don't think so. Though
- 34:13Speaker 2: It's been a tough watch for South Carolina this year.
- 34:17Speaker 2: The backfield is pretty much Faisons, but he just hasn't
- 34:21Speaker 2: done much. For the most part. I wouldn't be surprised
- 34:24Speaker 2: to get at Sea, ataway or Fuller get some more run.
- 34:28Speaker 2: Faison's actually been okay, rushing for five yards of carry
- 34:31Speaker 2: the last couple of games, but per carry doesn't really
- 34:34Speaker 2: do anything for us. If he's not getting a bigger workload,
- 34:38Speaker 2: he's just a cheap guy. But if South Carolina can
- 34:41Speaker 2: get too close to the end zone, maybe he's got
- 34:43Speaker 2: some upside. I do think Nick Harbor has a little
- 34:46Speaker 2: potential here. It's just a variability in his game so
- 34:48Speaker 2: far this year just gives me some pause, and the
- 34:51Speaker 2: rest of these guys are just startthro I's mostly looking
- 34:53Speaker 2: at the Alabama side in this game Missouri at Vanderbilt
- 34:57Speaker 2: College Football game Day, so that that's exciting. I'm gonna
- 35:01Speaker 2: see them in Nashville two and a half point spread,
- 35:04Speaker 2: Missouri coming in as the underdogs. Vandy's defense isn't incredible,
- 35:09Speaker 2: it's not bad. It's solid defense, but the reason they've
- 35:12Speaker 2: been able to hold teams down and kind of suffocate
- 35:14Speaker 2: him is just because of the slow pace that they play.
- 35:17Speaker 2: So if Vandy was a faster team, this total I
- 35:20Speaker 2: think would be a little bit higher. And again SEC game.
- 35:23Speaker 2: I like SEC games to shoot out and Missouri is
- 35:26Speaker 2: a fast team. So if Missouri can control the pace
- 35:29Speaker 2: and push vander built, then we could start to see
- 35:32Speaker 2: some of these totals in the sixties come along. They
- 35:34Speaker 2: wouldn't take much in this game to get it from
- 35:37Speaker 2: the fifty two and a half point team total to
- 35:39Speaker 2: a sixty five point team total. Anyway, if it does
- 35:43Speaker 2: hit that over bo Privula would be a beneficiary, beneficientary,
- 35:47Speaker 2: my goodness, my English beneficiary. He's sub seven k. He's
- 35:52Speaker 2: got some rush up side. He may not project super high,
- 35:57Speaker 2: but I think the upside's definitely there. Amat Hardy's a work.
- 36:00Speaker 2: He was ineffective against Auburn, but that kind of makes
- 36:02Speaker 2: sense to me. He still had two touchdowns and he's
- 36:05Speaker 2: averaging twenty carries a game, So it's somebody that you're
- 36:09Speaker 2: looking at as a volume play. Jamal Roberts does still
- 36:13Speaker 2: see the field, but it doesn't concern me with Hardy
- 36:16Speaker 2: at all. And then if last week told me anything
- 36:19Speaker 2: about Missouri, it's just that they're not not afraid to
- 36:21Speaker 2: spread the ball. Around four guys with six targets or
- 36:24Speaker 2: more so at least they're spreading the ball around to
- 36:26Speaker 2: each guy a lot. Coleman, Johnson and Manning still getting
- 36:30Speaker 2: the share. Donovan olg Bode Alick Boudi he's seen a
- 36:36Speaker 2: workload increase the last two weeks, and he had a
- 36:38Speaker 2: big game mixed in there too, And Northfleet's still on
- 36:40Speaker 2: the field a ton. I will say Vandy's been getting
- 36:43Speaker 2: beat more on the outside, so if you buy into that,
- 36:46Speaker 2: you might look a little bit harder at Johnson, But
- 36:48Speaker 2: all of these guys are really involved when they're on
- 36:51Speaker 2: the field. And then Vanderbilt. I'll be the first to say,
- 36:54Speaker 2: Diego Pavia might be my favorite DFS quarterback, and I'm
- 36:56Speaker 2: pretty sure I'm not a bone in that this week.
- 36:59Speaker 2: It comes with the Rice at eighty five hundred, but
- 37:02Speaker 2: he's probably priced where he should be and maybe they
- 37:07Speaker 2: I just don't get concerned with whoever's on the other
- 37:10Speaker 2: side of the football with him. Could he throw out
- 37:12Speaker 2: a Dutch, Sure, but I think he's got potential no
- 37:14Speaker 2: matter who they're playing against. It's just a matter of
- 37:17Speaker 2: if you're going to pay eighty five hundred for him
- 37:18Speaker 2: on the slate, and then Cedric Alexander and Young are
- 37:22Speaker 2: probably priced right. There's kind of second fiddle to Pavia
- 37:26Speaker 2: in the run game, and they're both priced like I
- 37:28Speaker 2: said about where they should be. The one thing I
- 37:30Speaker 2: will say is, you know, you play these guys, you're
- 37:32Speaker 2: hoping for a touchdown, which is pretty likely. Alexander has
- 37:36Speaker 2: ten touchdowns this season, six on the ground and fourth
- 37:39Speaker 2: through the year, and I think Young adds four on
- 37:40Speaker 2: the ground as well. There's definitely upside with those guys
- 37:45Speaker 2: at their lower prices here on the slate, and then
- 37:48Speaker 2: Stours is still the top target here. Shale and Richardson
- 37:51Speaker 2: would be next up. I do like the bounce back
- 37:52Speaker 2: opportunity for Richardson at not having a catch last week.
- 37:56Speaker 2: The big thing here is that Vandy has had four
- 37:58Speaker 2: games if they've completed fewer than twenty passes, and last
- 38:01Speaker 2: week they only completed fourteen and five of them were
- 38:04Speaker 2: to Cole Spence. That's kind of the risk you run
- 38:06Speaker 2: with playing these pass catchers. So you are I think
- 38:09Speaker 2: you're looking more at the Vandy run game, but it's
- 38:11Speaker 2: not at the realm of possibility that one of these
- 38:13Speaker 2: pass catchers gets there. With Pavia as well. Again another
- 38:16Speaker 2: sneaky game that you can stack or even overstack and
- 38:20Speaker 2: get there, or there's solid one offs from both teams
- 38:25Speaker 2: BYU and Iowa State. Bear Bachmeyer definitely one of the
- 38:29Speaker 2: better looking plays in the low range, especially and maybe
- 38:32Speaker 2: overall for quarterbacks. Just sixty three hundred. It seems like
- 38:36Speaker 2: there's no reason he should be that cheap, so he's
- 38:38Speaker 2: probably going to garner some ownership for that reason. He's
- 38:41Speaker 2: a dual threat with touchdown upside in both categories, and
- 38:43Speaker 2: Iowa State has struggled against multile quarterbacks this year. They
- 38:48Speaker 2: just struggled over all against a run in general. So
- 38:50Speaker 2: L J. Martin is going to get a couple of
- 38:52Speaker 2: looks from me here. He gets basically all of the
- 38:55Speaker 2: work on the ground outside of what Bachmeyer takes care of.
- 38:58Speaker 2: I feel like attack in I SU on the ground
- 39:01Speaker 2: is the right thing to do, so it's Martin and
- 39:02Speaker 2: Bachmeyer if you're looking at it that way. He's just
- 39:06Speaker 2: again one of the more expensive beats, maybe the most
- 39:08Speaker 2: expensive running back on the slate. And then the passing
- 39:11Speaker 2: attack not quite as enticing as the run game, but
- 39:14Speaker 2: a majority of the usage funnels to Chase Roberts Parker
- 39:16Speaker 2: Kingston and Carson Ryan and Ryan obviously being the cheapest
- 39:20Speaker 2: is going to get a hard look. But Roberts and
- 39:21Speaker 2: Kingston have just such big play upside, and you know
- 39:24Speaker 2: they're both involved in running the ball too. I don't
- 39:28Speaker 2: mind those pieces on this BYU side, those four guys Bachmeyer, Martin, Roberts, Kingston,
- 39:33Speaker 2: and even a little bit of Ryan. On the Iowa
- 39:36Speaker 2: State side, rock Obeck just kind of priced where he
- 39:41Speaker 2: always is. It feels like I have BYU's defense is
- 39:43Speaker 2: pretty tough to crack through the air. So if anything
- 39:46Speaker 2: would be an ownership play, just because I know I've
- 39:49Speaker 2: seen it. He has the potential to get there, if
- 39:52Speaker 2: you know, coming off of a buy. If his pass
- 39:55Speaker 2: catchers are healthy and now he has a healthy running
- 39:57Speaker 2: back room to kind of help balance out the attack
- 40:00Speaker 2: and takes some of the attention off the pass game,
- 40:02Speaker 2: that could be what helps him here. I do think
- 40:05Speaker 2: the wrong team is favored in this game. By the way,
- 40:08Speaker 2: Carson Hanson, like I said, appears to be back to
- 40:10Speaker 2: full strength after the week off. It just makes his
- 40:14Speaker 2: running back room harder to play. Sixty five hundred and
- 40:16Speaker 2: now a six thousand Abu Sama. Even if Hanson's going
- 40:20Speaker 2: to get the nod and get a majority of the work.
- 40:22Speaker 2: I don't know how big that majority is going to
- 40:24Speaker 2: because Samo was he was good in Harrison hand Hanson's absence,
- 40:31Speaker 2: so it just kind of makes it difficult for me
- 40:34Speaker 2: to play either of these guys. But either of these
- 40:36Speaker 2: guys could get there because they're both good enough with
- 40:40Speaker 2: the pass catchers. Benjamin Bramer is still kind of the
- 40:43Speaker 2: favorite target of Rockobecks. He's been consistent. We have seen
- 40:47Speaker 2: some FIKE games from Eskilson and Soul. Burke will still
- 40:50Speaker 2: out on the field, Townsend still out on the field.
- 40:52Speaker 2: The one thing I will say is that Soul might
- 40:54Speaker 2: just be here now. I know he kind of he
- 40:57Speaker 2: went out of the one. He went out of the
- 40:58Speaker 2: Cincinnati game after taking a hard hit to the ground
- 41:02Speaker 2: early on. But maybe at thirty eight hundred you getting
- 41:05Speaker 2: a healthy chase Soul. It's just again a tough matchup.
- 41:09Speaker 2: Pieces from this game, for sure, I do like a
- 41:11Speaker 2: little bit more on the BYU side. But now we're
- 41:14Speaker 2: just going to move on to the game of the
- 41:15Speaker 2: week potentially. I mean, on paper, it is Baylor at Cincinnati.
- 41:20Speaker 2: We currently have a sixty eight and a half point
- 41:22Speaker 2: team total sixty seven and a half point team total
- 41:24Speaker 2: good math bill on a three and a half point spread.
- 41:26Speaker 2: So it's going to be competitive, it's going to be
- 41:28Speaker 2: high scoring. We know Baylor doesn't play defense, and we
- 41:31Speaker 2: know Baylor plays a lot offense. Sawyer Robertson's just underpriced.
- 41:34Speaker 2: I mean, he's one of the more expensive quarterbacks, but
- 41:36Speaker 2: he should definitely be in the nine K range. Always
- 41:40Speaker 2: going to get a look from me even if he
- 41:42Speaker 2: is nine K. And the running back room a little
- 41:45Speaker 2: bit trickier. The snap counts for the last game Michael
- 41:48Speaker 2: Turner at thirty seven, Bryce in Washington at thirty one
- 41:50Speaker 2: k Night and at twenty seven in that same order,
- 41:53Speaker 2: the rushing attempts for twelve eleven to ten, So Washington
- 41:55Speaker 2: and Turner have basically been fifty to fifty the last
- 41:57Speaker 2: three games. It makes it a lot harder to touch.
- 42:00Speaker 2: The one that's easier to swallow was Michael Turner because
- 42:02Speaker 2: he's cheaper. I do think something's been wrong with Bryce
- 42:04Speaker 2: and Washington for a while now, and it has been
- 42:07Speaker 2: made public that he's dealing with an injury, but he
- 42:09Speaker 2: didn't show up on the report, so I think we're
- 42:11Speaker 2: just going to get the same thing we have been
- 42:13Speaker 2: dealing with every single week. Bryce in Washington. Is he
- 42:16Speaker 2: going to play? Is he fully healthy? We don't know.
- 42:18Speaker 2: We don't know. Oh, look he's starting the game. Ten
- 42:20Speaker 2: plays later he's on the sideline. I don't know. I'd
- 42:25Speaker 2: rather take a chance on Turner and the wide receiver room.
- 42:28Speaker 2: Michael Trigg Man, how many of you were tilted from
- 42:30Speaker 2: Michael trigg last week? He had two drops. The thing
- 42:34Speaker 2: is he still ran forty six routes and he still
- 42:36Speaker 2: had twelve targets. So if you can put that behind you,
- 42:38Speaker 2: he will catch more passes if they're throwing his way
- 42:41Speaker 2: this week. So if it's going to lower his ownership,
- 42:44Speaker 2: give me all the trig But this wide receiver room,
- 42:47Speaker 2: the pass catchers man there, just everybody could do it.
- 42:52Speaker 2: Anybody could do it. Josh Cameron had eleven targets last week.
- 42:57Speaker 2: Ashton Hawkins had eleven targets last week. Cole Will's and
- 43:00Speaker 2: had a touchdown last week. It's just kind of the
- 43:01Speaker 2: same old Baylor we've always seen. So take your pick
- 43:04Speaker 2: Robertson naked pick one, pick two to stack with him.
- 43:08Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised to see any combination really get there.
- 43:11Speaker 2: On the Cincinnati side, Okay, Brendan Soorsby has been seventy
- 43:18Speaker 2: four hundred for every week since the beginning of time.
- 43:21Speaker 2: He could score forty five points, No, seventy four hundred again.
- 43:24Speaker 2: He could score twelve points, seventy four hundred again. He's
- 43:28Speaker 2: the thing is, he's not scoring twelve points. He's scoring
- 43:31Speaker 2: twenties and thirties every single week, and they refuse to
- 43:34Speaker 2: price him up. He's going to be chalky again. The
- 43:37Speaker 2: only thing that might hold his ownership in check is
- 43:41Speaker 2: that I think there are a lot of good quarterbacks
- 43:43Speaker 2: on this slate, and pricing is soft enough that you
- 43:47Speaker 2: don't have to pay down, and if you do pay down,
- 43:50Speaker 2: you could just go to somebody like Bachmeyer. With that said,
- 43:54Speaker 2: there is no reason Soorsby should not be priced up
- 43:57Speaker 2: with the likes of friends with my I'm flustered. I
- 44:02Speaker 2: can't even say names right now for Nanto, Mendoza and
- 44:05Speaker 2: Sawyer Robertson hold tight. I'm getting angry. I'm getting flemy.
- 44:15Speaker 2: So Brendan Soarsby's in a great spot. Price him up DraftKings.
- 44:19Speaker 2: I swear to God if he has a ten point
- 44:21Speaker 2: week this week in spite of me, I'm gonna anyway.
- 44:26Speaker 2: Evan Pryor not only been the more effective back, but
- 44:28Speaker 2: he's now I would snap Twie Walker in three straight games.
- 44:32Speaker 2: Both have touchdown upside, but Prior seems to be the
- 44:34Speaker 2: preferred guy and Baylor's defense is terrible in all aspects.
- 44:37Speaker 2: So if you want to get some leverage from this
- 44:38Speaker 2: passing game, like the quarterbacks in this game, Pryor's in
- 44:42Speaker 2: a great spot. And if you look up the word
- 44:45Speaker 2: efficiency in the dictionary, you're gonna see Cyrus Allen's name.
- 44:49Speaker 2: He had three touchdowns on five touches last week. The
- 44:52Speaker 2: thing is he's actually been targeted fewer times than the
- 44:55Speaker 2: rest of these guys. He just still seems like a
- 44:58Speaker 2: top weapon on this offense. Goodie Jennings and You're all
- 45:00Speaker 2: on the field in terms of the most routes run,
- 45:02Speaker 2: and they all get a steady share of the targets.
- 45:05Speaker 2: Jeff Caldwell has not been on the field as much,
- 45:07Speaker 2: but when he is, he is targeted. I think you
- 45:10Speaker 2: can mix and match all of these guys with Sorsby.
- 45:12Speaker 2: You can match none of these guys with Storesby, but
- 45:14Speaker 2: there's a good chance I wouldn't be surprised to see
- 45:17Speaker 2: a two quarterback, two wide receiver stack. So quarterback and
- 45:21Speaker 2: two wide receivers on each team score like being a
- 45:26Speaker 2: being an optimal I don't know the likelihood, but it
- 45:29Speaker 2: wouldn't surprise me with this sort of game environment. All right,
- 45:34Speaker 2: on to the last game, Texas and Mississippi State. We
- 45:36Speaker 2: are at forty five and a half minutes. Let's get
- 45:38Speaker 2: through this and get on out of here. Luckily half
- 45:40Speaker 2: of this game is there's not much to talk about.
- 45:43Speaker 2: But one guy I got to talk about is ars Manning.
- 45:47Speaker 2: He's seventy five hundred, his cheapest price of the season,
- 45:53Speaker 2: and he's in a great spot. Okay, that was hard,
- 45:58Speaker 2: but I said it. Am I going to play him?
- 46:01Speaker 2: I don't know. This is definitely the most I've considered him.
- 46:04Speaker 2: Mississippi State's defense isn't scary. Arch has some rushing upside.
- 46:09Speaker 2: For the record, this does not make him a good quarterback.
- 46:11Speaker 2: This just makes him a decent play for DFS in
- 46:16Speaker 2: this game. I need to make sure that's on the record.
- 46:20Speaker 2: Onto the running backs, Trey Wisner in another great spot.
- 46:24Speaker 2: He should have this backfield all to himself for the
- 46:27Speaker 2: most part, Although CJ. Baxter is probable to play after
- 46:31Speaker 2: practicing this week. Now, I do think he'll probably be
- 46:35Speaker 2: on some sort of snap count. I think even if
- 46:37Speaker 2: he's healthy, it's probably it's Wisner's backfield to lose. It
- 46:40Speaker 2: would maybe just be to spell him here and there
- 46:43Speaker 2: in this game. I wouldn't rush to play Baxter, but
- 46:47Speaker 2: and I'm not also scared to play Wisner in this spot.
- 46:50Speaker 2: Christian Clark would be the next guy up since Jared
- 46:53Speaker 2: Gibson left. One thing to note is that Texas moved
- 46:56Speaker 2: their high end freshman Michael Terry into the backfield more
- 46:59Speaker 2: he had. He had been playing back scout team running
- 47:03Speaker 2: back for a while now, and he was also a
- 47:05Speaker 2: wide receiver running back combo in high school. It's weird
- 47:07Speaker 2: because he's six three two fifteen, so he's a massive
- 47:10Speaker 2: dude and not a typical running back build. So I
- 47:12Speaker 2: wouldn't just don't be surprised if he sees the field
- 47:14Speaker 2: in the back bed, like, who the hell is Michael
- 47:16Speaker 2: Terry getting carries for the overd Trey Wisner and CJ.
- 47:19Speaker 2: Baxter Like oh yeah, dollar Bill told me in this
- 47:22Speaker 2: pass catching room, Ryan Wingo still seems like the preferred option,
- 47:26Speaker 2: just he hasn't done much, and I mean you can
- 47:31Speaker 2: stack him with arch here, though I don't mind. I
- 47:32Speaker 2: don't mind the Texas stack in this game. After Wingo,
- 47:38Speaker 2: you're kind of spread out a little bit. It could
- 47:41Speaker 2: be DeAndre Moore, it could be Parker Livingstone, it could
- 47:44Speaker 2: be Emmett Mosley. They're all cheap. It's just a little
- 47:47Speaker 2: bit murky. You're trying to figure out who it's going
- 47:49Speaker 2: to be. But the arch and Weisner snack arch Wing
- 47:52Speaker 2: Snack stack, arch wingstack, maybe even arch More Wingo or
- 47:57Speaker 2: arch Moore Livingstone. There's a few different ways you can
- 48:01Speaker 2: do it. I'd like a late hammer, and I mean
- 48:04Speaker 2: Texas is finally in an okay looking spot on the
- 48:08Speaker 2: Mississippi state side. Blake Shapin has been good just against
- 48:12Speaker 2: bad teams, so I don't think Texas is a great team,
- 48:16Speaker 2: but it's not because of their defense. So it's a
- 48:18Speaker 2: tough spot for shaping here. One thing to note is
- 48:21Speaker 2: that Michael taff is out and he's a star safety
- 48:24Speaker 2: for Texas, so maybe that'll help a little bit. But
- 48:27Speaker 2: I don't know how much you can consider shaping. Maybe
- 48:30Speaker 2: you like it more because he's at home Jeff Levy said,
- 48:33Speaker 2: Pluff Bothwell is a long shot to play, and that
- 48:36Speaker 2: would leave Booth and Gayton in the backfield, and Booth
- 48:39Speaker 2: is the primary. But speaking a long shot, I think
- 48:43Speaker 2: it's a long shot. Either of these guys has a
- 48:45Speaker 2: ton of success against Texas. Same with the pass catchers.
- 48:48Speaker 2: It I get. I don't know. Evans and Treyori are
- 48:52Speaker 2: gonna be on the field, and they're good, They're good enough.
- 48:56Speaker 2: Maybe I'll look at Brnnan Thompson because he does have
- 48:58Speaker 2: the revenge factor he was with Texas before he transferred
- 49:01Speaker 2: to Oklahoma, and he's just he's severely underpriced, honestly in
- 49:05Speaker 2: all formats. I don't mind taking a look at Thompson
- 49:07Speaker 2: a little bit at thirty seven hundred. He's coming off
- 49:09Speaker 2: of a seven for one fifty five game in Gainesville,
- 49:12Speaker 2: which also is not an easy place to play, just
- 49:14Speaker 2: as Texas. So I don't mind Brendan Thompson really looking
- 49:19Speaker 2: more at the Texas side in this one though. But
- 49:21Speaker 2: the look at that, I mean, that's it. There's a
- 49:22Speaker 2: lot of sneaky games, there's a there's a couple of
- 49:25Speaker 2: big total target games people are going to be looking at.
- 49:27Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of places to get different too,
- 49:30Speaker 2: but it should be fun. An another solid slate and
- 49:34Speaker 2: you know where. We're just in the thick of college
- 49:37Speaker 2: football and it is one of the lights of my life.
- 49:41Speaker 2: I hope it is for you too. It's so enjoyable
- 49:43Speaker 2: to watch college football, and that kind of leads right
- 49:45Speaker 2: into rule number one. College football is fun. Enjoy the process.
- 49:49Speaker 2: Enjoy building your lineups, Enjoy watching college football. Be thankful
- 49:52Speaker 2: we have college football to watch on TV and that
- 49:54Speaker 2: we can play DFS and just enjoy sweating out our lineups.
- 49:57Speaker 2: That's going to do it for the Week nine Ship
- 49:59Speaker 2: at Nation College Football Analysis Breakdown Show. I will see
- 50:04Speaker 2: you in the streets on Saturday. Let's go out there
- 50:06Speaker 2: and ship one for the Big Guy.