Scenario planning on the Middle East conflict
In this 153rd episode of the On Investors' Minds podcast, Tai Hui dives into possible outcomes of the current ongoing Middle East conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Although there are plenty of complex factors to consider, three clear scenarios around the Strait of Hormuz are most probable: i.) a near term reopening (our base case), ii.) an extended closure, and iii.) a worst-case deterioration with sustained damage to energy infrastructure. How would interest rates, equities, bonds, currency, and hedges behave in each scenario? Listen now to Tai for a concise, client-ready checklist that…
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