Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 55 - 6/13/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 55 - 6/13/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 55 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Thirsty Thursday, another day here in the arena.
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Guys, we got a little bit of everything here today because I
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have a 5 pack of sweats I'm excited to share with you,
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including getting right back to the diamond here with Major
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League Baseball, 3 MLB bets. I know there's a lot of day
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sweats going on right now. I'm keeping one eye on my games
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that I'm sweating and another eye here on the games here for
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tonight. But I got two money lines as
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well as a total also a bet here in the NHL game three of the
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Stanley Cup Final. The Florida Panthers now move to
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Edmonton series shifts. Florida Panthers are up two O to
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the Panthers go up three O or to the Edmonton Oilers eke out a
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win here for tonight. Stay tuned.
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I have a play on that game and then WNBAI will play here in the
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WNBA, including a game that's involves Caitlin Clark.
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No, it's not a Caitlin Clark Clark prop bet.
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I have a bet here on the game here for tonight between the
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Atlanta Dream and the Indiana Fever, as well as a rhythm
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recommended play that coincides with the way the line is moving
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in this game. So we're hit on that here for
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today. So A5 pack 3MLB1NHL1 WNBA.
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We're going to hit on it all here today for episode 55 of the
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All Systems Go Sports Betting pod.
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Now looking back toward yesterday, 2 and 3 -. 1.2 units
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for our bets. I had a couple early winners.
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Baltimore Orioles came through. Orioles continue to print cash,
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which is pretty awesome. When you play them quite a bit,
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they come through for you. So Orioles were able to eke out
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a good winner there yesterday. Baltimore end up ended up with a
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big win. Looking at the what was the
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final score there? I'm trying to pull it up four to
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two. A bunch of nobodies who we never
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heard of on the mound. When you know what the under
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came through guys with high ERA. So luckily got the Orioles
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winner. The Cubs also came through,
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which was nice. Remember, the Cubbies were
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basically a dog to pick them type play.
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Had that line move in their favor, came through for the
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team. Now the losers were, of course,
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the Dallas Mavericks. Man, my Boston Celtics, they're
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just too good. I think that's what we got to
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say here. But the Dallas Mavericks, even
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though they couldn't get a win for us, that's a play that I'll
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make 10 times out of 10. Mavericks open -1 got that up to
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-2 1/2. We've even beat the closing line
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at some shops. Closed at -3 but remember the
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bet split less than half the tickets, but almost 75% of the
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money was on Dallas. Had a lot of system matches.
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Of course Luca fouls out and the Boston Celtics have another
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winner there. So now my Celtics only one win
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away from the NBA Finals, unfortunately last night bet
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against them, which was again a play I'll make every time but
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didn't come through. Obviously then the losers as
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well had the guardians. Guardians couldn't come through.
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That was a kind of a dog to fave line move and up losing at the
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Reds. And the one that was super
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annoying last night was the the Dodgers because the Dodgers lost
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three to two. But did you guys see how that
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game ended? The Dodgers were down.
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What was it, 3 to one going to the bottom of the ninth?
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They have a base hit by Jason Hayward, roped it kind of in the
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gap between right center, right in in center field.
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One run scores, makes it 3:00 to 2:00.
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And then Andy Pages, young kid here for the Dodgers.
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The third base coach puts his hands up, says don't do not run,
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stop, do not go. Andy Pages runs through the
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third base coach with his hands up saying don't don't run runs
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right through it ignores it gets thrown out at the plate.
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So Andy Pages, can you listen to your third base coach would have
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been second and third with I forgot who would have been up
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there in that case. Maybe Biggio really just picked
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up on a trade. But it's never never never a
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good feeling when you lose on a guy getting thrown out at home
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plate. But bright side of yesterday
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guys was that you may have had a winning day because hopefully
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you're reading my sharp reports that I write for vesan.com.
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Had a couple good winners there to start the day.
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Both the Brewers and the Giants came through.
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So any games that take place before or you know, start before
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the pod gets released, you know, early afternoon.
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Check out my Twitter page at Josh under score insights.
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Again, winning day if you played some of those earlier bets.
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Anyway, let's get right into it because we got a lot to get to
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on today's pod. I want to start off with the NHL
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Stanley Cup Final because we are now, as I mentioned, going to
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Game 3. Florida is up to nothing.
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We saw Florida post a couple wins at home with home ice.
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Now the series shifts to Edmonton.
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Florida up two O. Now the series price Florida is
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-450 to win the series. That's an 82% implied
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probability. Edmonton to come back and win
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it. They're plus 360.
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Now where am I going to go for this one?
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I'm going to follow the line move and I'm going to follow
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some ridiculous system matches here and I'm going to place a
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bet on the oil. Let's go McDavid open for the
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Oilers to win here tonight. I'll make it a 2 to one series.
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But First off, anytime I bet a game, I start off with line
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movement because line movement. Not every line move is going to
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win, but line movement tells you where the smart money is leaning
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because it's really not the public who moves numbers.
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Yes, lines can be driven by injuries or even the weather
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with totals, but typically you're going to see a line move
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based on respected money coming in.
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So for tonight, Lions going to Edmonton.
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Edmonton Oilers open this game as low as a -, 115 -, 120.
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Home favorite. Edmonton has now been bet up to
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-130 -, 135. I see one chop even closer to
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-140. So it's pretty clear here that
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as soon as this line dropped and was available to bet and get
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down on, boom, all the respective money hit.
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The Oilers caused that adjustment in favor of Edmonton.
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Now Edmonton has a pretty good bet split.
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They're only getting 56% of bets, but nearly 70% of the
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money. So once again, low bets, higher
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dollars in favor of the oil. A little bit of injury related
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news here. You know Florida, they are going
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to have Barkov and Terra Senko play, but they both banged up
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the last game. How effective will they be?
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Barkov obviously is a very key player, but he will play.
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There's a question where whether he would play or not.
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But aside from the line move toward Edmonton, I have all
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these chalk system matches on the favorite which would be the
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Oilers here. So first one would be just this
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post season, 2024. Post season, when you are coming
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off a loss, you are post season off a loss.
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That system match is 22 and 1265% with a 7% ROI.
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So kind of the zigzag bounce back factor.
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If you are postseason favorite off a loss the last three
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seasons, 66 and 3665 percent, 8% ROI.
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So let me let me make an addendum.
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Postseason off a loss. That's postseason favourites off
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a loss who are 22 and 1265% this season.
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That really coincides with a three-year big sample size were
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postseason favourites off a loss basically are winning 2/3 of the
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time. So that would match with
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Edmonton. Then specifically, let's get to
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the finals. Finals favorites chalk favorites
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in the finals 79 and 3073 percent, 23% ROI since 2007.
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That's a big sample size. Postseason, this NHL Finals 2
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and O Florida was favored both games, won both games.
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Last two years, postseason, NBA or sorry, NHL Finals favorites
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are 7 and O. So they're on A7 game win streak
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here and they're 73% since 2007. Then to dig a little bit deeper,
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if you look at NHL Finals in which a team is a favorite and
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coming off two straight losses, so you're expected to win,
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you're off two straight losses. Those teams are 18 and 290%
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since 2007. So these are all matching on
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Edmonton. So I'm going with the Edmonton
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Oil here, guys, hopefully at home.
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Remember hockey, the important thing with home ice, it's not
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just the crowd, but also getting that last ice change, being able
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to match up against your opponent.
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So I'm going to go Edmonton here, shop round.
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I got the oil at -135 and I will say I'm pretty intrigued by the
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under. I'm leaning pretty hard.
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I didn't play it yet. I may or may not play it.
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But if you're, if you're taking a total here, I got to go under
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or nothing. The total is 5 1/2 low number,
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but it's really juiced up under -120 -, 125 in the series.
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The under is 2 and O currently 68% of bets 70% of money is on
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this under tonight and here's a little angle for you since 2007,
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which is the longest my database goes to but the finals unders.
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So the under in the NHL finals are 59 and 4060% with an 8% ROI.
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So if you're playing the total I got to go under but officially
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for the pod here my one bet on NHL Stanley Cup finals game
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three I'm going with the oil. Let's go Edmonton.
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I got Edmonton at -135 keep on cruising.
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Now over to MLB. We got some Major League
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Baseball here, including someday sweats, but I got some games
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here for tonight. First one on the board, Cubbies
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and Tampa Bay. Now last night we had the Cubs
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have a big win for us. Cubs came through.
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What was that? Four to two or four to three
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actually made it very interesting.
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They're late, almost blew it. We're able to hang on four to
9:17
three, but I'm going to focus on the total in this one.
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If you guys remember couple days ago we had the under in the,
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what was it, the Pirates and the Cardinals game.
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It ended up being low scoring game pretty much was I think it
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was nothing, nothing going into the 8th or 9th.
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But anyway, this one reminds me quite a bit of that.
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Hopefully we get another low scoring game here.
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But if you look at this match up here for tonight, Tampa Bay and
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the Cubs, first thing is that it's juiced up under everywhere.
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7 1/2 under -120 I even see a couple shops that are falling
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down to seven. So if you're going to play this
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under with me tonight, you got to make sure you get the hook.
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And again, this goes to the importance of shopping for the
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best line, having multiple outs. You know, if you're if you only
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bet through one sports book, number one, you're doing it
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wrong because maybe that's just easy for you.
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You open up an account you don't want to go through, you know,
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jumping through the hoops of having to create another
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account. I get it, it takes a little bit
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of time, but you're going to be glad you did because if you only
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bet through one book, you are hurting yourself because you're
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at the mercy of whatever that book is posting.
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You want to be able to have multiple outs, have multiple
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books you can shop around and get the best number from.
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So if your only book available to you is is at 7, you're
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getting hurt here because there are a bunch of other books at 7
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1/2. So make sure you have shopped
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around and find that under 7 1/2.
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And again, the good thing about online betting, you know,
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legalized betting across America, it's spreading up to
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nearly 40 states. You're going to get a good sign
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up bonus. You're going to get odds boost.
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You're they're going to they want your action.
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So hopefully I'll get a little sweetener there if you sign up.
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But anyway, I'm going under 7 1/2.
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Cubs and Rays pitching match up to near tonight is Steele.
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He is a lefty. He had a great year last year O
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and three, but a 3.65 ERA this year, he'll be opposed by Taj
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Bradley, who's one and four of the 5.17 ERA.
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But last three starts, Steele has been great.
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He's only given up two runs in 19 innings pitched.
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And Bradley, even those numbers don't look great.
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He has been better at home, 2.74 ERA at home versus almost a 12
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ERA on the road. I mentioned that total 7 1/2
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really juiced under. Again, 7 1/2 under -120 some
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shops even falling down to seven.
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But I like the bet split as well.
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Only 32% of bets, but nearly half the money is on this under.
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So flip it the other way. You know, more than 2/3 of bets
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are going over, yet the total is really getting juiced under.
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It's kind of a reverse line move liability play here toward the
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under. Also like the fact that both
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these teams are hopefully and hopefully this continues here
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tonight, but light hitting Tampa Bay is hitting 232, Chicago's
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hitting 2:30 as a team that ranks 23rd and 25th in baseball.
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So again, no, no juggernauts here.
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It's not like we got the, you know, Dodgers playing the
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Yankees hopefully get a low scoring game.
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Of course, you know, looking at the weather, no weather.
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This is a Dome or closed roof stadium.
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But I like unders in domes or closed roof stadiums because the
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angle there is the fact that, you know, the weather doesn't
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push the ball, ball doesn't travel as well.
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It's also perfect conditions for the fielders, so you always lean
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a little bit. Dome closed roof stadiums, you
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see the unders. I think they're like 54% over
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the last decade versus like 5152% for an outdoor under.
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And then lastly, interleague unders, 2 teams from two
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different, obviously leagues here don't match up very often,
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don't know each other very well. You don't really see the
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opposing pitcher. But interleague unders are 1:48
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and 1:24 this year, 54.4%. That is a 6% ROI.
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You're up 17 units playing those under, so make sure you get the
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hook there. Cubs Tampa Bay, if it's a four,
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three-game, 5, two game, six, one game, 7, nothing game.
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I mean, you really need that hook there.
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So it's available, but make sure you shop around.
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I'm on Cubs Tampa Bay under 7 1/2.
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Keep on cruising. This is a team that I I bet the
12:58
other night and they lost for me and then I didn't.
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I laid off them last night. I said they're pretty sharp, but
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I don't want to lay a big number.
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I should have laid it. I'm talking about the Mets.
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Mets came through last night with a winner.
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I think it wasn't even close. I think the Mets won like 3:50.
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They moved from like -140 to -160 I should have played them.
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That's one thing when you're betting on baseball daily, it's
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like if a team you bet them, they let you down, you're like,
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oh, do I really want to risk again my money on them?
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But you got to kind of just, you know, put that aside and just if
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it's a match, you got to play it.
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So it's my fault not playing the Mets last night.
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I know my guy Devin Fernandez played them.
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We're we're DM ING about that game.
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But anyway, I'm going Mets for tonight.
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It's a bigger number here, but it's been getting hit pretty
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hard. I want to be with the steam.
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The Mets opened around a -, 175 -, 185 favorite.
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Now they're up to like -195 -, 200.
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So try to shop around, try to find the Mets if you're going to
13:49
play them, anything you know, less than 200.
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That way if you risk a unit, you'll get a half unit back or a
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little more than 1/2 unit back if you're sub 200.
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But anyway, big reason like the Mets, aside from the steam is
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the pitching matchup. Rotary Munoz is going for the
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Mets or sorry, going for Miami. He's one and two with a 5.95
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ERA. He's given up ten runs in his
14:08
last two starts. He has an ERA of nearly eight on
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the road. Meanwhile, Luis Severino, he's
14:14
been good for the Mets, four and two, 3.25 ERA.
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His last start against Washington was a nine to one win
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for the Mets. He went eight innings, only gave
14:21
up one run. He's been better at home than on
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the road. At home, he's got a 2.61 ERA.
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On the road, 4.11. But aside from the move toward
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the Mets, Mets would also have an offensive advantage.
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They're hitting 242, 72 homers, 292 run scored versus Miami,
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hitting 233, only 52 homers, 241 run scored.
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Last 10. The Mets are six and four,
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hitting 290. Last 10, Miami's three and
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seven, hitting only 220. So hopefully that is a benefit
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to the bets, the bats of the Mets.
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And then I was digging a little bit some more system matches
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here, but one would be both teams have a losing record.
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So both teams are below 500. It's a new system I came up with
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the other day. Both teams below 500 take the
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favorite, very simple, but basically the lesser of two
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evils, 132 and 87 this year, 60%.
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It's only a 2 1/2 percent ROI, but it is positive.
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And then also Thursday chalk favorites, favorites on
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Thursday, as mentioned this few Thursdays ago, they're 49 and
15:20
3558%. But if you are a bigger chalk
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favorite on a Thursday, Thursday favorites of -150 or more,
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they're 21 and 1068% with a 6% ROI.
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So I'm taking a shot here on the New York Mets Shop round.
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I got the Mets at -195 Last bet for you here in Major League
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Baseball. If my buddy Daruch is listening,
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we have a bugaboo with this kid, Brandon Fod for Arizona.
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I feel like every time I ever bet Fod, I always lose.
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Well, I'm one of those insane people.
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Definition of insanity. Which would be, of course, doing
15:55
the same thing over and over again, expecting different
15:57
results. But I'm going back to the wall.
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I'm playing Brandon Fodd. Give me the snakes tonight.
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I'm on Arizona. I like the line move toward
16:03
Arizona. Arizona open tonight against the
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Angels around a -, 175 home favorite.
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Now they've been bet up to -185 even -190 so pretty good steam
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in favor of the snakes. They're getting around 80% of
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bets, but nearly 90% of the money.
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So tells me the bigger, sharper wagers here look to be on
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Arizona now pitching match up. Hopefully it benefits Arizona.
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On surface, these guys look pretty similar.
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Griffin Canning is 2 and six with a 4.65 ERA.
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FOD is 2 and five with a 4.6 OERA.
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But one thing to fade Canning tonight.
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He's made six starts on the road.
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LA has lost all six of those games, so he's got a tough spot
16:42
here on the road tonight. And FOD has been better at home
16:45
than on the road. 3.77 ERA versus 5.13 on the road.
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One system match with Arizona would be a favored off a loss
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versus opponent off a win. So kind of a buy low sell high.
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That's 217 and one 3761% this season with a 5% ROI.
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And I'm going to lean on the bats of Arizona.
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They have been better than LA. They're hitting two 49318 runs
17:08
scored versus LA hitting 239 with 275 runs scored.
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But with both teams below 500, it just seems like a high number
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and it keeps creeping up toward Arizona.
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Tells me smart money likes Arizona here tonight.
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So I want to be with that steam move shop round.
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I got Arizona at -185 S Arizona and the Mets as well as the
17:28
Cubs, Tampa Bay under 7 1/2. Now to finish up the pod here
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for today, going right back to the well with the WNBA because
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the WNBA we had a tough one the other night.
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Remember, we had over 156 1/2. It landed 155.
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So let's see if we if we can get some revenge.
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Now I'm going to focus on a game here tonight, 7:00 between
17:48
ironically, the Atlanta dream. Same team we played, I believe
17:51
was the same team that that kind of rough beat to the over was
17:56
was the other night. But they're playing the Indiana
17:58
Fever. Of course, Indiana fever.
18:00
Caitlin Clark. So it's a Caitlin Clark game.
18:03
I think it's going to be on TV. It it definitely will be.
18:06
And again, I still don't get why the USA Basketball didn't have
18:10
Clark be the last player on the team.
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Like you're kidding me. Why don't you grow your sport
18:13
stupid? Anyway, I mentioned that the
18:15
other day, but I'm going to take a shot here on a fade of Caitlin
18:19
Clark. I'm going with the Atlanta Dream
18:20
to win this game. The Atlanta Dream come in five
18:23
and five. The Indiana Fever are three and
18:26
10. So Fever obviously have
18:28
struggled here even though Caitlin Clark is is drawing huge
18:30
crowds. But I'm going to play the Dream
18:32
as a data-driven bet like all my bets are.
18:34
But what I like about the Dream number one line movement.
18:37
This is the most heavily backed game of the night because it's
18:39
Caitlin Clark and the lines not going to Caitlin Clark, it's
18:42
going away from Caitlin Clark. This game open dream -2 on the
18:46
road. Now the Dream are up to -2 1/2
18:48
or even -3. So lines going to the Dream,
18:51
which is notable because nearly 60% of bets are on the Fever.
18:54
And again, those bets are just Caitlin Clark bets.
18:57
But that would be a reverse line move, a fade the trendy dog in
19:00
favor of the Dream. Again, Dream have the line move
19:03
-2 up to -2 1/2 or -3 even though Publix on Fever.
19:07
Now I'm going to bank on a couple things with the Dream.
19:10
One would be the fact that the Dream have the better defense.
19:14
The Dream are giving up 79 points per game.
19:16
Doesn't sound very good, but the Fever are giving up 90 points
19:20
per game. They are the worst defense in
19:22
all of the WNBA, so hopefully that is a benefit here toward
19:27
the Atlanta Dream. Also, home Rd. splits favorite
19:31
Atlanta. Atlanta's three and one on the
19:32
road. Indiana's just one and four at
19:34
home. Better rebounding for Atlanta.
19:37
34A game versus 32A game for the Fever.
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The Fever actually are dead last and rebounding.
19:42
Better steals, so hopefully turnovers. 8A game versus 6A
19:46
game. Steals for the Dream over the
19:47
Fever. And then the cherry on top is
19:50
the fact that we have a rhythm edge here on the dream.
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I popped open my rhythm app by the way, it says this one's on
19:56
ESPN 3 so good we can watch it. But the rhythm AI backed model
20:01
is telling us to money line the dream because the dream have a
20:05
predicted basically a projection, a recommended bet
20:10
dream -135 on the money line. They are predict predicting the
20:14
AI backed models from rhythm. A dream win of 84.1 to 78.5.
20:21
So you could say lay it, you know, just lay the three, you
20:24
know, 2 1/2 save the juice there with the dream.
20:27
But specifically I'm going to go money line here.
20:29
I like to money line short favorites off chance.
20:31
Again, they just win by one or two.
20:33
I want to win my bet. But we do have a rhythm
20:35
projection here, a predicted advantage on the dream.
20:39
So the lines going to the dream, the dream have a reverse line
20:43
move Publix on Caitlin Clark, yet lines going in their favor,
20:46
better defence, home Rd. splits, better rebounding, better
20:49
steals. And then also again, the cherry
20:51
on top is that rhythm is telling me to bet the dream on the money
20:54
line. So that's good enough for me
20:55
guys, I'm going dream to win this game Shop round.
20:58
I got the dream at -135 that about does it for today's
21:04
podcast here, episode 55 of the all systems go sports betting
21:08
pod powered by Rhythm reminder. If you enjoy this pod, if you
21:12
look forward to the breakdowns each day, if you missed me while
21:14
I was on the on Safari in Africa, if any of that is true,
21:18
well #1 thank you for your support.
21:20
Thank you for listening. This pod is nothing without you
21:22
guys tuning in each day. I would still do it if no one
21:25
listened. But hey, the sense of community
21:28
and just kind of being in the in the position to, to host this
21:31
pod, it really means a lot to me.
21:33
So can you help me to grow this pod organically?
21:36
Recommend it to a friend, follow it if you can do that on
21:39
Spotify. But really, what I would love
21:40
for you to do is give this pod a 5 star review.
21:44
It goes a long way to rising up the charts and gaining cred here
21:47
with the ranking. So if you're on Spotify or
21:50
iTunes, could you please give it a 5 star review?
21:52
That would really, really mean a lot to me.
21:55
And guess what? I will.
21:56
I'll buy you a beer next time I see you.
21:58
Or maybe I'll buy a ginger ale if you don't drink for giving it
22:01
a 5 star review. But secondly, of course, if you
22:03
enjoy the breakdowns, you want to learn more about data-driven
22:06
contrarian betting, how to approach the betting market at
22:09
like a Wall Street trader approaches the stock market.
22:12
Well, you get a lot of that each day on the POD.
22:14
But if you want to hold something in your hand,
22:15
something you can lean on, something you can write in the
22:18
margins on guess what, I wrote a book called the Everything Guide
22:21
to Sports Betting. So go, just go to Amazon.com,
22:24
type in the Everything Guide to Sports betting, pick up a copy
22:27
for you or for a friend. It'll mean a lot to me guys.
22:29
It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
22:32
set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
22:35
locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
22:38
how to shop for the best line, all included in the everything
22:41
guide to sports betting. Lastly, of course, have you
22:44
signed up for your free trial of Rhythm or your free trial of
22:48
Juice Reel, my two favorite AI driven or data-driven apps to
22:52
help you win? Well, if you haven't done it
22:54
yet, go do it now. Rhythm I talked about each day
22:57
powers this pod does a great job with their AI backed models and
23:00
projections for both prop bets and gameplays.
23:03
All you got to do is click the bio description, the link inside
23:07
the bio for each podcast and you will get a sign up link to go to
23:12
to give yourself A7 day free trial of rhythm.
23:14
And then also I want you to sign up for juice reel.
23:16
Juice reel is a little bit different than rhythm, but it's
23:18
great as well. You can sync your sports books,
23:21
get all your plays listed, learn about yourself as a better your
23:23
strengths and weaknesses. You can follow the AI backed
23:26
Robo Jackson plays each day. There's two recommended best
23:29
bets each day. Basically Juice Reel Combs
23:32
through all their data and recommends the two best bets,
23:35
which I always enjoyed and I always look forward to seeing
23:38
what they have each day. We tend to overlap quite a bit,
23:40
which is always nice, but then also your arbitrage bets, your
23:44
sharp mush plays, all included. When you become a rhythm or
23:47
sorry, a Juice Reel download of the app, you'll get that all
23:51
included. So rhythm Juice Reel, hey, take
23:54
my word for it, they're going to help you win.
23:56
You can go sign up via that custom link within the bio
23:59
description of this profile of of the podcast, especially on
24:03
Spotify, but I believe it shows up on iTunes as well.
24:06
It's also on YouTube. You can get the link there as
24:08
well. Anyway, guys, that's it for me.
24:12
My parting words as always, weather I see you at the Borgata
24:15
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the brook in New
24:17
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
24:20
encore in Boston or plain Ridge park casino R.E.M.
24:22
Jim Springfield in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
24:25
We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down,
24:27
where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the lowest
24:30
choose possible is found at the South Point.
24:32
Or sweating, sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the stadium
24:35
swim pool at Circa. When you catch a big bet,
24:38
wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
24:39
You're going to show me an Orioles winning ticket, a Cubs
24:42
winning ticket. Hopefully you read the sharp
24:44
report and played the Brewers or the Giants yesterday.
24:46
Whatever you do. Dallas Mavericks.
24:48
Luca, Luca, can you lose a little bit of weight?
24:50
Can you not foul out? I'm not here to fat shame.
24:52
I need to lose some pounds too, but man, you're professional
24:55
athlete. You're whining about the refs.
24:58
Luca and the Mavs let us down. Dodgers and Guardians as well.
25:01
But guess what? We're going to have some winners
25:02
here for tonight and going to hopefully post a profitable
25:06
night. But that about does it.
25:07
My parting words, as always, stay sharp.
25:09
Stay contrarian. Bet against the public, place
25:11
yourself on the side of the house.
25:12
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
25:15
Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
25:17
You can beat the closing line. Doesn't guarantee winner.
25:19
But you know what does guarantee closing line value?
25:21
It guarantees that you are reading the market correctly, so
25:24
we can consistently take that contrarian approach against the
25:27
public with the house, with the pros flat back, avoid parlays,
25:31
get some closing line value. If we can do that, we're going
25:34
to be successful sports bettors long term.
25:36
So enjoy the sweats, everyone. We got the Stanley Cup final
25:39
here tonight, we got WNBA, we got MLB, we got it all.
25:42
Let's see if we can have a profitable night and I will see
25:45
you tomorrow for a big Friday here in the arena.
25:48
Episode 56 of the All Systems Go sports betting pod.
25:51
And let me just double check because I've missed biting.
25:55
That's right. We got some UFC for this
25:57
weekend, baby. Stay tuned for a couple UFC
25:59
plays. Just waiting on that batch of
26:01
data, fresh batch of data for my buddy John Ewing at BET MGM, but
26:05
should have AUFC bet for you this weekend as well.
26:07
We'll talk about it on tomorrow's pod, but enjoy the
26:10
sweats. Everyone.
26:10
Have a great Thursday. Thursday.
26:12
I'll see you tomorrow for episode 56 of the All Systems Go
26:16
Sports Betting podcast. Good luck.