Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / US Manufacturing Activity Contracted in May for a Third Month
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- 0:23Speaker 2: Gonna right to Susan Spence. She's the chair of ISM Manufacturing.
- 0:26Speaker 2: Susan talk to us about this. ISM Manufacturing came out
- 0:29Speaker 2: at forty eight point five. The consensus was forty nine
- 0:32Speaker 2: point five. Tell us what's going on?
- 0:34Speaker 3: Good morning, Thank you for having me on.
- 0:36Speaker 4: You know, unfortunately we have another month of contraction abouzero
- 0:41Speaker 4: point two percent lower than last month, so forty eight
- 0:44Speaker 4: point five.
- 0:44Speaker 3: We are absolutely under consensus.
- 0:47Speaker 4: What we're seeing and what our panelists are telling us,
- 0:49Speaker 4: of course, is a continued issue with uncertainty in the
- 0:54Speaker 4: market driven by terrorists. So this month, if I can
- 0:57Speaker 4: talk about demand, outputs, and input, it's demand which is
- 1:01Speaker 4: new orders, customer inventory, backlog, and new export orders. Three
- 1:05Speaker 4: of those four indicators continue to contract. Backlog and new
- 1:09Speaker 4: orders contracted a bit slower this month at a slower rate.
- 1:14Speaker 3: New export orders.
- 1:15Speaker 4: Not surprisingly took another plunge in an accelerated reduction at
- 1:19Speaker 4: a three percentage points lower. So, in our view, the
- 1:24Speaker 4: lack of new orders driven by that uncertain demand from
- 1:27Speaker 4: the marketplace demand, the conflicts of who's going to pay
- 1:32Speaker 4: for the tariff costs. The customer index for inventories does
- 1:36Speaker 4: remain low.
- 1:37Speaker 3: We always consider that positive.
- 1:39Speaker 4: At some point customers have to reorder, and so we're
- 1:43Speaker 4: hoping to see that.
- 1:44Speaker 3: But that continues to contract.
- 1:47Speaker 4: So our in our survey, eighty six percent of the
- 1:51Speaker 4: general comments from our panelists were about the terriffs.
- 1:55Speaker 3: It was eighty two percent last month. It just continues
- 1:57Speaker 3: to grow. It's not gotten any better, and certainty is
- 2:01Speaker 3: even worse.
- 2:02Speaker 5: Susan, Susan, do you get the sense that if some
- 2:06Speaker 5: of the tariff headwinds were removed, things get better quickly
- 2:09Speaker 5: or is this sort of permanent confusion in the manufacturing sector.
- 2:14Speaker 3: It's not permanent, but it's not quick.
- 2:16Speaker 4: So we think if tomorrow everything was settled, and of
- 2:20Speaker 4: course it won't be.
- 2:21Speaker 3: We think we're in this for at least the summer.
- 2:23Speaker 3: It's going to take some time. We already have.
- 2:26Speaker 4: Some inventory at the higher prices customers, again, is indicated
- 2:31Speaker 4: by the survey results.
- 2:33Speaker 3: Are hesitating to order, and so that is driven down. Production,
- 2:37Speaker 3: backlog is down, and I'll talk about production and employment
- 2:40Speaker 3: as well. So we're in it for a bit. The
- 2:43Speaker 3: best thing that could happen is certainty.
- 2:46Speaker 4: And then my personal belief is it's still going to
- 2:48Speaker 4: take a few months for folks to not wait for
- 2:50Speaker 4: the other shoe to drop.
- 2:51Speaker 2: If you will, Susan, thank you so much for give
- 2:54Speaker 2: us a couple of minutes of your time. Susan Spence,
- 2:55Speaker 2: Chair for Ism Manufacturing PMI, the Institute for Supply Management,
- 3:01Speaker 2: joining us here. Weaker than expected manufacturing numbers coming out
- 3:05Speaker 2: this month.
- 3:07Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 3:11Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto
- 3:15Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you
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- 3:21Speaker 2: The last time we saw Sam Fazzelli, who's the director
- 3:24Speaker 2: of research and does some of the healthcare stuff for
- 3:27Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence, he was here in New York and he
- 3:29Speaker 2: was on his way to Chicago to some conference where
- 3:32Speaker 2: a lot of these healthcare folks get together and they
- 3:34Speaker 2: talk about new drugs and new therapies, and he said,
- 3:36Speaker 2: watch out, there's going to be some deals coming out
- 3:38Speaker 2: of there.
- 3:39Speaker 6: Boy was he right.
- 3:40Speaker 2: Santa Fe buying immunology biotech Blueprint for nine point one billion,
- 3:44Speaker 2: Bristol to pay buy in Tech up to eleven billion
- 3:46Speaker 2: dollars for a cancer deal. Moderner is getting some new news.
- 3:50Speaker 2: So we got to get Sam here. He's still in Chicago.
- 3:53Speaker 2: He's at our Chicago office there, Sam, thanks so much
- 3:56Speaker 2: for joining us here. We've had some deals today in
- 3:59Speaker 2: the healthcare space. Help us think about this centi feed
- 4:02Speaker 2: deal here. Nine point one billion dollars. That seems pretty substantial.
- 4:07Speaker 7: Yeah, well it's more than I have in the back
- 4:11Speaker 7: of my sofa if you like, and you know the
- 4:13Speaker 7: little change that you find there. But this sector needs these.
- 4:17Speaker 7: I mean, we've had a drought of deals since Johnson
- 4:20Speaker 7: and Johnson did interest Sellular Therapeutics, and then we've got
- 4:23Speaker 7: this deal now. And the sector, as I'm sure you've
- 4:27Speaker 7: talked about we've talked about, has been under pressure because
- 4:30Speaker 7: of all the new issues that are being created for
- 4:33Speaker 7: them with the current administration, and that really slowed down
- 4:38Speaker 7: deal making. So it's nice to see this deal happen.
- 4:40Speaker 7: Not the biggest premium in the world twenty seven billion dollars.
- 4:43Speaker 7: But still, it's nice to see some of these deals happen,
- 4:46Speaker 7: and I think, assuming we don't get another round of
- 4:51Speaker 7: tariffs for farmer drugs and most favored nation conversations turning up,
- 4:57Speaker 7: it might be the beginning of a little renaissance in
- 4:59Speaker 7: deal making.
- 5:00Speaker 5: What was the absolute coolest thing that you learned over
- 5:04Speaker 5: the weekend?
- 5:04Speaker 8: I mean, I was.
- 5:05Speaker 5: Floored yesterday I was sitting and thinking of you and
- 5:07Speaker 5: reading all these amazing articles coming out about these amazing
- 5:10Speaker 5: new drugs that could have tremendous effect on cancer.
- 5:14Speaker 8: For example, what was the coolest thing you heard?
- 5:16Speaker 7: Yeah, so, Alex, there's been some continued evolution an increase
- 5:21Speaker 7: in opportunities in breast cancer. So AstraZeneca had two presentations
- 5:26Speaker 7: yesterday at what they called plenary sessions, and that's one
- 5:29Speaker 7: of the key areas where I mean the room gets
- 5:31Speaker 7: packed with ten thousand people or whatever the number is.
- 5:34Speaker 7: So they had an update on a breast cancer drug
- 5:37Speaker 7: which is continuing to further expand the options that patients
- 5:43Speaker 7: when it gets approved. If it gets approved, patients have
- 5:47Speaker 7: in treating that disease, which has become something that a
- 5:49Speaker 7: lot of people as long as they're lucky and don't
- 5:52Speaker 7: get the worst kind of it, it can live with
- 5:54Speaker 7: for quite a long time now. And then we had
- 5:56Speaker 7: one also from them on gastric This the guest stories
- 6:00Speaker 7: of digital junction disease, which is not one of the
- 6:04Speaker 7: is a bad one and there's not been many therapies there,
- 6:07Speaker 7: and so that was a really good, very good data set,
- 6:10Speaker 7: I have to say, practice changing. And there's a whole
- 6:13Speaker 7: host of phase one, phase two early stage drugs that
- 6:17Speaker 7: look really good. So I'm going to be coming to
- 6:19Speaker 7: this conference for I don't know how many more years
- 6:22Speaker 7: because it's going to keep developing.
- 6:24Speaker 2: Bristol paying Buy and Tech up to eleven point one
- 6:27Speaker 2: billion dollars for cancer deals. What's going on there?
- 6:31Speaker 7: Yeah, up to is the operative word. The actually guaranteed
- 6:34Speaker 7: cash is about three and a half billion dollars, so
- 6:36Speaker 7: about one and a half billion right up front, and
- 6:39Speaker 7: then when the deal closes, and then by twenty twenty
- 6:42Speaker 7: eight another two billion. That's not contingent on any there
- 6:45Speaker 7: are just anniversary payments, payments. So that's pretty good given
- 6:49Speaker 7: that they acquired the asset, amongst the whole host of
- 6:51Speaker 7: other stuff from a Chinese biotech company acquisition by a
- 6:55Speaker 7: theist only a few months ago, and it's in a
- 6:58Speaker 7: new class of drugs that people have got excited about.
- 7:01Speaker 7: There's Mark that did a deal, There's Summit and Akiso.
- 7:06Speaker 7: Fizer just did a deal on last week, paying one
- 7:09Speaker 7: point two billion dollars for a drug in development, which
- 7:13Speaker 7: we quite like. The data for that was presented here.
- 7:15Speaker 7: So these are drugs that are trying to push the
- 7:17Speaker 7: barrier of what we've been able to achieve, which with
- 7:21Speaker 7: what's called immunotherapy, can you do better? Can you push
- 7:25Speaker 7: more patients to survive longer using these drugs?
- 7:29Speaker 8: What about Oh wow, I just lost my train of thought.
- 7:32Speaker 5: Oh it was there, it was so brilliant, and then
- 7:34Speaker 5: it went away.
- 7:35Speaker 8: Oh I know. Funding, here's my brilliant point.
- 7:38Speaker 5: Government funding for universities that have big medical units.
- 7:42Speaker 8: Like did What were people saying about that?
- 7:45Speaker 7: Yeah, they're not happy. I've talked to a lot of
- 7:47Speaker 7: people here and you know, even my interestingly an uber
- 7:52Speaker 7: driver that I had who does double just doubles up.
- 7:55Speaker 7: She works in a lab that does genomic analysis for
- 8:00Speaker 7: scientists at Northwestern University in Chicago. She said she's noticing
- 8:04Speaker 7: a palpable slowdown in the request she's getting to do
- 8:08Speaker 7: analysis of you know, laboratory analysis because people are uncertain.
- 8:14Speaker 7: It's even got to yuber driver, which is which is
- 8:16Speaker 7: sad now it is it is a problem. People are
- 8:19Speaker 7: worried and will We'll have to see whether philanthropists can
- 8:23Speaker 7: fill the gap.
- 8:24Speaker 2: Sam, So from your conference there in Chicago, what's is
- 8:29Speaker 2: the key focus still cancer or is there other parts
- 8:33Speaker 2: of healthcare that are getting as much I guess attention.
- 8:37Speaker 7: Yeah, but so this is a cancer conference. This is
- 8:40Speaker 7: the biggest cancer conference in the world. People come from
- 8:43Speaker 7: and I have to say there's a palpable increase in
- 8:45Speaker 7: the number of presentations by Chinese scientists, real and companies. Yeah,
- 8:49Speaker 7: every year's got more and more, which is expected. They've
- 8:52Speaker 7: been funding research significantly for the past fifteen twenty years
- 8:57Speaker 7: and this is the fruits of it. The X conference
- 9:00Speaker 7: that's coming up is a also. I don't think it's
- 9:04Speaker 7: in Chicago, but it's over here somewhere in the US.
- 9:07Speaker 7: Is the American Diabetes That's where you get all the obesity,
- 9:11Speaker 7: liver disease kind of data that that we're also looking
- 9:14Speaker 7: forward to.
- 9:15Speaker 2: All right, Sam, thanks so much for joining us. As always,
- 9:17Speaker 2: Sam Fizzelli, Director of Research for Global and Industries and
- 9:19Speaker 2: Senior Pharmaceuticals Anels for Bloomberg Intelligence. He's based in London,
- 9:24Speaker 2: but he's in our Chicago bureau todays. He spent the
- 9:26Speaker 2: weekend Eddie as he was just mentioning a cancer conference
- 9:30Speaker 2: and where you know, a lot of the latest science
- 9:33Speaker 2: is presented, so and in for investors, it's really important
- 9:36Speaker 2: to think about how you know which things which I guess,
- 9:39Speaker 2: therapies and drugs you want to finance?
- 9:41Speaker 7: Mean work?
- 9:42Speaker 8: Does Sammon have the coolest job? Like media is really
- 9:44Speaker 8: cool to one of the people.
- 9:46Speaker 5: Energy is really cool. We all love it, but like
- 9:47Speaker 5: his stuff like changes the world and.
- 9:49Speaker 2: He actually understands the science and can explain it to
- 9:52Speaker 2: people like us.
- 9:54Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 9:58Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto
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- 10:09Speaker 2: Deal and Paul Sweeney live here in our Bloomberg and
- 10:10Speaker 2: Arrector Broker Studio streaming live on YouTube as well as
- 10:14Speaker 2: John was just reporting SMP at fifty nine hundred. I mean,
- 10:17Speaker 2: after all ups and downs this year, pretty much year
- 10:21Speaker 2: to date, we're unched on the S and P five hunderd.
- 10:23Speaker 2: It feels like a lot of effort for not a
- 10:25Speaker 2: lot of payoff there. Shane Sissel joins US president and
- 10:29Speaker 2: CEO of ban Rion Capital Management from Chicago, Shana. How
- 10:34Speaker 2: do you put twenty twenty five year to date into
- 10:37Speaker 2: context for your clients, because boy, we were down twenty percent.
- 10:40Speaker 2: Now we've retraced most of that from the recent highs.
- 10:43Speaker 2: How do you position the twenty twenty five Well, I.
- 10:48Speaker 9: Went into twenty twenty five thinking it was going.
- 10:49Speaker 3: To be volatile.
- 10:50Speaker 9: It lived up to my expectations, so we positioned portfolios
- 10:54Speaker 9: for volatility and did quite well as a result. Ultimately,
- 10:59Speaker 9: what come down to is as more and more information
- 11:02Speaker 9: gets out. We have this twenty four hour news cycle,
- 11:05Speaker 9: and people get information in real time. The markets are
- 11:10Speaker 9: able to respond to news quickly. But more importantly, we've
- 11:15Speaker 9: seen that the retail advisor has been eager to jump
- 11:19Speaker 9: into the market when it turns downward, which is unusual.
- 11:22Speaker 3: That's not normally the case.
- 11:24Speaker 9: It's typically the institutions, and we've seen that kind of
- 11:27Speaker 9: reversed where the institutions are holding off while the retail
- 11:30Speaker 9: investors are jumping in, and ultimately that's kept the markets
- 11:35Speaker 9: from getting too far down and they're able to rebound
- 11:38Speaker 9: pretty quickly.
- 11:40Speaker 8: Basically.
- 11:41Speaker 9: You know, if you look in the past, normally we
- 11:43Speaker 9: look for the capitulation of the retail advisor, and we
- 11:46Speaker 9: just haven't seen that. So for those reasons, that's why
- 11:50Speaker 9: I think there's been such great volatility.
- 11:52Speaker 5: But on the flip side, you have to wonder, then
- 11:54Speaker 5: who else is left to buy the rally? So where
- 11:56Speaker 5: how our funds positioned institutional investors. Clearly retail has been
- 12:00Speaker 5: buying the dip, so as you mentioned, there may not
- 12:02Speaker 5: be an extension of that.
- 12:05Speaker 9: Yeah, but the institutional investors have sat on the sidelines,
- 12:08Speaker 9: and presently they have the bigger money to put to
- 12:11Speaker 9: work and more likely to move the market when they
- 12:13Speaker 9: jump back in. There's still very much on the sidelines,
- 12:16Speaker 9: so I think there is some opportunity to drive the
- 12:19Speaker 9: market higher. It's just not how we normally would expect
- 12:22Speaker 9: it to be.
- 12:23Speaker 3: It's also a little bit concerning.
- 12:24Speaker 9: Obviously, the institutional investor tends to be the more informed investor,
- 12:28Speaker 9: so the fact that they have stayed on the sidelines
- 12:31Speaker 9: can mean a lot of things, but it's not for
- 12:33Speaker 9: lack of information on their end and lack of analysis.
- 12:37Speaker 9: But you know, if we talk about analysis paralysis all
- 12:40Speaker 9: the time, there's a lot of uncertainty related to tariffs,
- 12:44Speaker 9: related to the administration, related to monetary policy, and I
- 12:49Speaker 9: think that in many ways the institutional investor is a
- 12:52Speaker 9: little paralyzed by the uncertainty and for those reasons unwilling
- 12:56Speaker 9: to jump into the market, which I think might be
- 12:59Speaker 9: to their peril.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Shana, I know you do a lot of work with
- 13:02Speaker 2: alternative investments. When you speak to independent advisors, how are
- 13:05Speaker 2: they using alternatives these days when volatility both in the
- 13:09Speaker 2: equity markets and the bond markets are pretty pronounced.
- 13:13Speaker 9: Well, that's exactly where they use alternatives. If advisors or
- 13:19Speaker 9: individuals where to jump and allocate twenty percent of their
- 13:23Speaker 9: total portfolio two alternatives, they would have actually done quite
- 13:26Speaker 9: well through the volatility, as these are low to no
- 13:28Speaker 9: correlation or even in some cases negative correlation assets. And
- 13:32Speaker 9: so if you look at the most volatile parts of
- 13:36Speaker 9: the last five months, you look at March, some of April,
- 13:41Speaker 9: some of February, you'll see that like a BTL, which
- 13:44Speaker 9: is the AGF anti beta market neutral fund. That fund
- 13:48Speaker 9: largely outperformed the S and P by a substantial amount,
- 13:52Speaker 9: was very positive during that period of time. So even
- 13:55Speaker 9: a small five percent allocation made a huge difference in
- 13:58Speaker 9: client portfolios. And then you start to pair that with
- 14:01Speaker 9: other low to no correlation assets like CTA and CBLS
- 14:05Speaker 9: and MRSK, and then you have Bob Elliott's unlimited multistrat fund,
- 14:11Speaker 9: and you have a number of these alternative funds that
- 14:15Speaker 9: all did really well through the volatility. So when equities
- 14:18Speaker 9: and fixed income were down, they were up, and so
- 14:21Speaker 9: that actually helped you through the volatilities. So advisors that
- 14:23Speaker 9: we work with that implemented those portfolios actually wrote out
- 14:26Speaker 9: that period of time quite well.
- 14:28Speaker 5: I know that where you look at in the tech
- 14:31Speaker 5: market isn't necessarily broad strokes or you know, buy AI
- 14:34Speaker 5: or buy the telecoms or whatever, but the mag seven
- 14:38Speaker 5: have really helped to lead that rally over the last month.
- 14:41Speaker 5: Does that continue or do you continue to see value
- 14:44Speaker 5: in different types of names?
- 14:46Speaker 9: Well, obviously I see value in different types of names
- 14:48Speaker 9: as they haven't participated and they are looking more attractive on.
- 14:53Speaker 8: A valuation basis.
- 14:54Speaker 9: But the tailwinds really do sit with those tech companies
- 14:57Speaker 9: because the biggest tailwind to business right now is AI,
- 15:02Speaker 9: and so anything related to AI, anything incorporating AI wins.
- 15:06Speaker 9: And so we saw with the mag seven, with the
- 15:09Speaker 9: most recent Nvidia earnings report that the demand for AI
- 15:15Speaker 9: is strong and the move to from learning and to
- 15:22Speaker 9: the next phase of AI is there, and so the
- 15:25Speaker 9: Blackwell chips, the greater need for computing power. All of
- 15:29Speaker 9: those things are real and very much in their infancy
- 15:33Speaker 9: and the sense of that there's no infrastructure there, and
- 15:37Speaker 9: so there continues to be substantial tailwinds, and so that's
- 15:40Speaker 9: why they continue to lead. You know, other areas of
- 15:42Speaker 9: the market have headwinds. So if you look at say energy,
- 15:46Speaker 9: you know, we have increased supply coming on, but we
- 15:50Speaker 9: have you know, declining demand from Asia. So that is
- 15:55Speaker 9: great if you want oil at forty bucks barrel, but
- 15:57Speaker 9: not great if you're an oil investor or an enery
- 16:00Speaker 9: G investor. You look at healthcare and we've seen a
- 16:03Speaker 9: lot of headwindes there but also some tremendous breakthroughs, and
- 16:06Speaker 9: especially in oncology, so you know, there's pros and constant everything,
- 16:10Speaker 9: but some of the cyclicals are starting to look cheap,
- 16:12Speaker 9: and that's definitely a place that I would be looking.
- 16:15Speaker 8: All right, Shanna, I really appreciate. I appreciate it. Always
- 16:17Speaker 8: good to get your perspective.
- 16:17Speaker 5: Shane sissel As, President and CEO of Benryon Capital Management.
- 16:23Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 16:36Speaker 5: This is Boomberg Intelligence. Alex Steel here alongside Paul swe Need.
- 16:39Speaker 5: This is Boomberg Intelligence Radio. We cover everything you need
- 16:41Speaker 5: to know in business, economics and finance, a lot of
- 16:44Speaker 5: media and also a lot of energy. So I don't
- 16:46Speaker 5: know that much about fusion power. I'm the first one
- 16:49Speaker 5: to say it. John Tucker apparently knows a lot about it.
- 16:51Speaker 5: But we're going to discuss this right now. It could
- 16:54Speaker 5: be a really good source.
- 16:56Speaker 8: Of clean fuel.
- 16:57Speaker 5: And for this we bring in tay Technology CEO Michael Binderbauer.
- 17:03Speaker 5: Just the company, Tay Technology is just closed one hundred
- 17:05Speaker 5: and fifty million dollars sin its latest funding round. The
- 17:07Speaker 5: whole point of this company is to develop a commercial
- 17:10Speaker 5: fusion power Michael, if I knew nothing about fusion, which
- 17:15Speaker 5: is highly likely, tell me.
- 17:16Speaker 8: What it is, how hard it is to do.
- 17:20Speaker 10: Yeah, So it's basically what nature does, based right, It
- 17:22Speaker 10: gives us our life and energy here on the planet
- 17:25Speaker 10: from the sun. So any star you look up suffusion
- 17:28Speaker 10: reactor basically, right. So what we're trying to do is
- 17:31Speaker 10: to replicate that, terristrially, to make essentially copious power, carbon free,
- 17:36Speaker 10: clean and sustainable for the future of humanity.
- 17:40Speaker 2: Where are you in the process at tay So we're
- 17:44Speaker 2: very close.
- 17:45Speaker 10: We're just one machine a way to get to a
- 17:47Speaker 10: point where we actually harvest more energy than what we're
- 17:49Speaker 10: putting into the facility. This has been obviously a long journey.
- 17:53Speaker 10: It's hard to do, terrist Really, the stars have a
- 17:55Speaker 10: lot of gravity.
- 17:56Speaker 8: We don't have that.
- 17:57Speaker 10: We to use other means, magnets and all sorts of things,
- 18:00Speaker 10: and as you've probably seen over the last few years,
- 18:02Speaker 10: has been a playthrow of news inching really really close
- 18:05Speaker 10: to the goal and across multiple efforts on the planet.
- 18:08Speaker 10: So we're about a three year way to get tonate
- 18:11Speaker 10: energy and somewhere early twenty thirties, we hopefully have a
- 18:14Speaker 10: power plant online.
- 18:16Speaker 5: What would be if you're able to achieve it and
- 18:18Speaker 5: have a power plant? Like what is that? Is that
- 18:21Speaker 5: just tremendous amount of energy with like no footprint.
- 18:26Speaker 10: Yeah, it's very small footprint. So it's the highest energy
- 18:28Speaker 10: density fuel you can have, by the factor of five
- 18:31Speaker 10: to ten, higher than fission. Even it utilizes hydrogen or
- 18:36Speaker 10: light species that are ubiquitous, So there's infinite fuel supply
- 18:40Speaker 10: if you will, and you would harvest clean energy out
- 18:43Speaker 10: of that at probably starting at a scale of a
- 18:45Speaker 10: gas fired turbine, so something like four or five hundred
- 18:48Speaker 10: makawatts per plant, and it would literally be able to
- 18:51Speaker 10: distribute wherever you needed it in the grid.
- 18:54Speaker 6: Is there?
- 18:55Speaker 2: Can you talk about the economics surrounding this technologlogy?
- 19:00Speaker 8: Who would be the who would be the users.
- 19:02Speaker 2: The buyers, the developers of this technology?
- 19:05Speaker 10: Yeah, so I think what we're seeing and this gets
- 19:07Speaker 10: to what we just announced today. Aside from raising capital,
- 19:10Speaker 10: we really have a long partnership with Google and they've
- 19:14Speaker 10: been deep with us on machine learning and tools to
- 19:16Speaker 10: help make this more efficient and more economic, and in fact,
- 19:20Speaker 10: they would be a great first off taker for that right,
- 19:23Speaker 10: all the hyperscalers. Everybody that has high energy intens applications
- 19:28Speaker 10: growing at tremendous rates, right with a gap between supply
- 19:31Speaker 10: and demand developing, is looking for electrons and particularly green electrons.
- 19:35Speaker 10: So those would be probably the first off takers for
- 19:37Speaker 10: the technology.
- 19:38Speaker 5: Oh, I got to ask you, John Tucker, he likes
- 19:41Speaker 5: his fusion.
- 19:42Speaker 6: What sets you apart from ETR in terms of the
- 19:45Speaker 6: reactor itself, the containment that's a fusion reactor or what?
- 19:51Speaker 10: Yeah, so good question. So Eater and others are working
- 19:55Speaker 10: on tokmacs, we actually are not. We're working what you
- 19:57Speaker 10: see if you have a visual we have a compact machine,
- 20:01Speaker 10: not the size of gas turbine that can make about
- 20:04Speaker 10: the same output as those other plants. It's much more
- 20:07Speaker 10: efficient uses smaller magnets. There's various tricks in the physics
- 20:11Speaker 10: that allow you to do that, and that brings something
- 20:13Speaker 10: that's more compact, cheaper to produce, of course, more economic
- 20:17Speaker 10: to deploy, easier to maintain, etc.
- 20:19Speaker 8: And you can.
- 20:20Speaker 10: Essentially it's centralize these. We think we can build those
- 20:23Speaker 10: sort of cookie cutter in a factory and deploy on site.
- 20:27Speaker 10: And the other thing I should add is that sighting
- 20:29Speaker 10: on this compared to the other nuclear cousin, which is fission, right,
- 20:32Speaker 10: it is a lot easier. There's no meltdown possibility, there's
- 20:36Speaker 10: no sort of nuclear accident of substance that people would
- 20:40Speaker 10: have to worry about. It's truly clean and benign, and
- 20:42Speaker 10: so you can deploy it where you need it in
- 20:44Speaker 10: a much more straightforward way.
- 20:46Speaker 6: There's no use of beryllium in that reactor.
- 20:50Speaker 10: No, no. In fact, ours is using hydrogen and boron,
- 20:54Speaker 10: both of which are light and super ubiquitous.
- 20:56Speaker 6: Well deterium as the fuel, right, So the terium.
- 21:01Speaker 10: Atridium is one fuel cycle that's used by some of
- 21:04Speaker 10: us in the fusion community, and we can burn that too,
- 21:06Speaker 10: but we're really focused on hydrogen and boron. Ultimately, that
- 21:10Speaker 10: turns out that only makes helium, so you have no neutrons,
- 21:13Speaker 10: you have no radioactivity to speak of. It is just
- 21:16Speaker 10: a nirvana of energy. Essentially, you get ubigulous fuel in
- 21:20Speaker 10: no radioactivity or pollution in the process, totally sustainable, and
- 21:24Speaker 10: we think it will be competitive from a cost perspective.
- 21:27Speaker 10: It will be probably starting out midfield in current generation
- 21:30Speaker 10: asset costs, so you're not as cheap as you know
- 21:33Speaker 10: gas or renewables, but you're not as expensive as fission
- 21:37Speaker 10: is today is somewhere in the midfield and then trending down.
- 21:40Speaker 5: Okay, let's pretend that neither of us understood what any
- 21:42Speaker 5: of you guys were talking about in terms of brilliant.
- 21:45Speaker 5: That's why we have him, right. He knows a lot
- 21:46Speaker 5: about a lot of different things. Before we let you go,
- 21:50Speaker 5: just how hard is it to have gotten to where
- 21:53Speaker 5: you are?
- 21:53Speaker 1: Like?
- 21:53Speaker 8: What has been like the biggest hurdle?
- 21:56Speaker 10: Oh gosh, it's been an enormous journey. I mean, I've
- 21:58Speaker 10: aged I started this out high school. I'm said, I
- 22:01Speaker 10: started out out of graduate school with my brilliant PhD mantur,
- 22:04Speaker 10: and then it took us about twenty plus years to
- 22:07Speaker 10: amalgamate the technology around it. There's a lot of esoteric,
- 22:11Speaker 10: absolutely extreme things you got to master. Power supplies, accelerated technology, diagnostics,
- 22:17Speaker 10: feedback loops, you know, use a lot of machine learning
- 22:19Speaker 10: in AI, a lot of we developed together with Google
- 22:21Speaker 10: in the last decade that can react on the blink
- 22:24Speaker 10: of an eye to make changes in what happens inside
- 22:27Speaker 10: and do that reliably and consistently. And so those are
- 22:30Speaker 10: all the technologies we now have, so now we're putting
- 22:32Speaker 10: in the last machine. So it's been a long journey
- 22:35Speaker 10: and developing lots of technology to do that.
- 22:37Speaker 2: All right, Michael, thank you so much for joining us.
- 22:39Speaker 2: Michael Bindebauer, CEO of Tay Technologies, joining us there with
- 22:44Speaker 2: some exciting new technology on the energy front that John
- 22:48Speaker 2: Tucker's all into, which.
- 22:49Speaker 8: Is now like insanely impressive.
- 22:51Speaker 6: Questions were like even nobody understood them, so love it.
- 22:56Speaker 8: Make it all commercial break, that's true.
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