Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Men From the North | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/16/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Men From the North | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/16/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 3: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen poulette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they.
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: Made you this man. But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: something on somebody for show.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. No hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: hold on nothing nice, No hold on, hold on me,
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: but it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports, Tuesday, June sixteenth. I am not happy about
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: yesterday at all. The play that I was initially gonna
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: make my only play, which was the Detroit Tigers, wound
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: up not being a play because Melton did not start
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: the game. And you know, if I don't specify anything
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: as far as action or whatever, assume that what I
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: mean is you want to pick both of these starters,
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: must start the game. That is what I was giving
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: out on that play. Detroit won anyway, so if you
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: played it, you did get the win. But that kind
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: of pisses me. Off more because it was a no
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: play for me, and I don't know what happened with Melton,
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: but Detroit basically just announced that they were switching their
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: starter to a relief pitcher. So at that point you
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: knew it was going to be a bullpen game. And
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: at that point it's like, yeah, I'm I'd pass on
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: that game. But then they won easily anyway, So isn't
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: that just great? So the situational handicap I think was
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: pretty strong on that one, but it wound up being
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: not a winner. It was a no play for me.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: And then the WNBA game was an absolute disaster. It
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: wasn't as bad as it looked. I'll tell you that. Like,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: if you look at the box score, what happened. Minnesota
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: only had like eight more field goal attempts in the game,
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: so the game should have been closer than a thirty
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: point loss or whatever. And Minnesota hit more than fifty
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: percent from the field, they hit almost half of their threes,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: and they went to the free throw line probably eight
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: or ten more times. So that's what happened in the game. WNBA.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: Three straight losses in the WNBA. It's sickening to me.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to talk about it. World Cup
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: action was interesting yesterday. Every game was a push yesterday,
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: including Spain or ever, why do I keep saying a
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: push a draw. I'm gonna dude, my mind is just elsewhere.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: Every game is a draw, and you can bet on
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: the draw, of course, so it's not a push on
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: the three way line. It was a draw. Spain having
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: a draw was really crazy, and there were a couple
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: other kind of substantial favorites that was kind of crazy.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: They want to be in a draw, but the Spain
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: one was ridiculous. I don't know how Spain didn't somehow
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: score a goal in that game. They want up in
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: a zero zero draw. Spain is still going to advance, though,
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: you would have to imagine. But we'll talk about that today.
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: There's one WNBA game today as well, which I'm not
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: interested in. I'm gonna give up three baseball plays. They're
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: all totals of some nature, and I feel like I'm
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: maybe not being selective enough. Maybe I'm spraying the board,
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: but it's the way I see it. I think it's
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: the strongest few plays. So that's what I'm gonna do.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: Let's get into it. Baseball, it's all evening baseball because
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: it's Tuesday, so every series is either beginning today or
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: playing game number two today. Miami and Philadelphia did play yesterday.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia won seven and nothing, despite being in a return
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: home spot. Like I told you, I didn't want to
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: just blindly fade that situation because Zach Wheeler is that
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: good and he was good again apparently in that game.
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: So this game could be maybe a bounce back type
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: of spot from Miami though after getting shut out like that.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: But don't necessarily know if I want to back a
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: bullpen game from Miami, which is what they're going with here.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: Miami did only use two guys out of the bullpen
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: yes day. Their bullpen is relatively goods or Pittsburgh. What
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: am I doing Philadelphia? Philadelphia used three. Pittsburgh was the
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: previous team Miami played. They're playing all Pennsylvania teams right now.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia u's three guys out of their bullpen. Miami is
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: the number eighth ranked bullpen. I arranged this by Whip.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is thirteenth. Miami does have a slight edge there
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: as far as hitting, neither team has really been that good.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: Miami is all the way down at twenty second. Now,
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia still has not gotten going at twenty eighth, although
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: they do hit better at home. One of the ways
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: that I said you could potentially attack that game yesterday
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: was to just take Philadelphia over their team total, and
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: that was a winner if you did that yesterday. Miami
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: has Tyler Phillips listed as their starter. He's got some
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: decent numbers, I guess, one point eight six ERA, one
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: point three whip isn't really that good though, isn't good
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: on the road, four point h two road ERA. He's
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: starting to make not really full starts, but they're starting
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: to let him go like seventy eighty pitches in every outing.
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: So he's gone five innings or almost five innings in
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: his last three appearance, and he hasn't really been that
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: bad in any of them. So there is that, but
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: he doesn't really have that. I have a strikeout rate,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: his walk rate's a bit too high here. I don't
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: really think I would want to trust him. His numbers
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: against the Phillies are actually good, though in twenty eight
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: at bats. A lot of this is coming out of
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: the bullpen, though, two fifty batting average, six oh eight
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: ops six' three strikeout walk. Ratio it is definitely possible
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: That phillips plus whatever relief pitchers come in behind, him
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: put together an okay game From. Miami that is definitely.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: Possible Jesus lozardo is pitching For. Philly he is the
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: actual starter here and the better, starter but he's had
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: a very up and down. Season he's gotten unlucky for
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: a lot of the. Season four point three FIVE, era
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: one point three to three whip is still not really
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: that good, though and he's been really bad at home
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: seven point three four Homey ray don't know why that's the,
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: case but he's been significantly worse at, home so kind
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: of want to avoid him at. Home last home start
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: wasn't really that good against The White, sox but they're
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: a much better offense Than. Miami he's got a ten
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: to six strikeout walk ratio over two starts this. Month
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: that's not really. GOOD i don't know IF i would
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: Trust lozardo in this, position although he does pitch well
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Against miami in a big eighty six at bat sample
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: size twenty six, strikeouts five, walks two thirty three average
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: five to sixty five, Ohps so there are some indicators
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: that maybe both pitchers were both pitching. STAFFS i guess
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: could do well. Here the totals, eight but the money
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: is actually backing the over a bit, here and the
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: money is Backing, miami WHICH i think maybe JUST i
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: think it's more about the. Price Like philadelphia being minus
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: one seventy five is a little bit crazy. Here with
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: how Bad luzardo has been at, home that might be
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: the thought, that, well he just shouldn't be favored by
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: that much at. Home eighty seven percent of tickets fifty
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash On. Philly do with that
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: info what you, want but this is not a game
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: THAT i am going to. Recommend, josh what's? Up thanks
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: for hanging. Out next game Is Kansas City. Washington washington
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: took the game yesterday seven to. THREE i thought they.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: MIGHT i thought they set up better in that. GAME
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: i Thought washington had the better. Starter the better they
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: have the better. Bullpen believe it or, Not Kansas city
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: is just that. Bad both these bullpens are, bad and
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: Then washington definitely has the better. Offense look at the.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: Bullpens these are bullpens that you kind of want to
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: you want to. AVOID i think both of Them washington twenty,
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: Fourth Kansas city twenty. Eighth washington's been a good, offense
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: although not as good at. Home number four on offense,
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: Though Kansas city twenty, five so there is a big disparity.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: There Kansas city only used two relief pitchers, Yesterday washington used. Three,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: still these are bullpens That i'm not wanting to back at.
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: All the starting pitchers in this game are not as not.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: Bad they're not, Bad they're not as bad as they were.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: Yesterday for. Sure Michael walka is going for The. Royals
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: he's pretty good three point five EIGHT, era one point
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: one six. WHIP i, mean he's the guy who's been
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: around for, forever doesn't really strike guys, out but he's
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: not as good on the road four point four to
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: three ROAD, Era so that's not. Great but then it's
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: like which one of those is gonna win out Because
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: washington doesn't hit as well at. Home SO i don't.
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: Know washington is a very bad home, team by the,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: way you're unaware of. That they're only fifteen and twenty
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: one at, home But Kansas city is atrocious on the
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: road twelve and twenty. Three so this is like which
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: one of these teams is gonna fail. Harder, basically in this.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Game walka was fairly good in his last start Against.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Texas it was at home Against. Texas texas is not
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: a really good offense. Though walka not really a strikeout,
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: guy so his strikeout rate is, low but that's just his.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: Deal he's got a pretty low hit. Rate his walk
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: rate is, okay and Against washington he has not great
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: numbers and twenty five at bats they only have a
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: two forty average against, him so that's not too bad
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: one to one strikeout walk ratio, though so, again very
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: low strikeout rate seven eighty nine ohps is a little
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: bit high though he's allowed a little bit of power
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: hitting to. Them SO i don't Love walka in the matchup,
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: here or the fact that he's on the. Road he's
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: going up Against Foster, griffin who is having a shockingly
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: good season For washington three point four to SIXTY r
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: one point zero nine whip a little bit worse at
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: home for Homy ra really good this. Month nine, strikeouts
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: no walks and only two runs allowed on eight hits
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: and eleven innings At arizona and At San. Francisco but
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: like most Of washington's. Pitchers he is also not as
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: good at. Home very, strange but he is one of
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: their better pitchers this. YEAR i don't know how he's doing,
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: it but he's been, good really like four starts in a.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Row he's been. Good three of them on the, road,
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: though but one of them Against, atlanta which is a good,
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: offense And Kansas city has never faced him, before so
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: that might be a little, bit a little bit of
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: an extra advantage to. Him when pitchers are actually good
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: and the opposing offense hasn't seen, them that's another advantage
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: to the pitcher typically because the opposing offense has to
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: figure them. Out SO i think this game has more
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: going for it For washington than For Kansas. City i'd
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: probably Leave washington again. Here not a strong opinion really for,
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: me but they're around minus one point thirty, here seventy
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: five percent of tickets ninety percent of the cash on.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Them first five is also an. OPTION i, mean you
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: could avoid the bullpens here if you. WANT i don't
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: really know IF i want to fade walk up, Though
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: and there is money backing the under here as. Well
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of tickets on the over sixty percent
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the under totals at eight and a.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: Half if you're gonna go, under you gotta go first
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: five with. That though there's no way you would want
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: to factor the bullpens into that, under BUT i could
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: say see the argument maybe for a first five under
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: that neither pitcher is that. Bad by the, WAY i
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: do forget to point Out lozardo his overall numbers, HERE
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: i lose OR i didn't even actually DO i look
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: At lozardo this, MONTH i don't. KNOW i keep forgetting stuff. Man,
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: lozardo going back to that previous, game only has a
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: ten to six stragout WALK racehio this, month which is
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: not that. Good his hit rate is a little bit
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: high on the, season by the, way his walk rate
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: isn't really that, great but his strikeout rate is. High
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: and THEN i don't THINK i really need to go
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: Into phillips that heavily because he's just not really a. Starter,
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: maculdo what's? Up thanks for hanging out all, Right toronto
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: at My Boston Red. Sox Red sox didn't lose yesterday
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: because they were, off so there you. Go The Red
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: sox are staying at home with a day, off so
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: that's not too. Bad both teams had days. Off toronto
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: is coming in From New, YORK i, think or, no
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: they're coming in From. Toronto they played The yankees at,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: home that's, Right So toronto is starting a road. Trip
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: usually teams are folk goes to start the road tread.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: Mean it is a divisional, matchup SO i expect both
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: teams probably will have motivation. Here The Red sox need
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: to turn something around. Here, MAN i don't know. Why
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: i'm looking at the bullpen. Usage they both were off.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: Yesterday Red sox have a really strong. Bullpen they're number
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: two in Both whip and E. Ra toronto is okay at,
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: tenth although THEIR era is getting close to, four which
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: really isn't that, great so they're probably not really a
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: top ten, bullpen So Red sox had the advantage. There
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: neither offense has been very Good toronto twenty, One boston twenty.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Four Red sox still struggle offensively at, home so that
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: is kind of a. Problem toronto looked like they were
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: gonna go With Dylan. CEASE i guess they. Are it
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: was undecided on the board for a little, bit but
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: it is. CEASEED espn has had ceased listed the whole.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: TIME i was, like is he heard? AGAIN i have no.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: Idea cease is having a really good season in his
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: first season With, toronto though two point nine to ONE,
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: era one point one to SIX. Whip he's not as
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: good on the road three point nine five rodio, race
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: so he's a little bit more fadtable on the. Road
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: he came back from injury after he missed a couple of,
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: weeks and he was really good Against. Philadelphia had eleven,
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one walk, on one runn allout on three hits
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: and six. Innings really good outing from, him and he
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: was a little bit more efficient than he usually. Is
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: he's usually inefficient with his. Pitches he has a high
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate and he usually walks too many. Guys that's
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: kind of his. Thing his strike out rate is actually.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: Enormous it's like one of the highest strikeout rates in.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Baseball low hit, rate and his walk rate is a
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: little bit, high but his strikeout walk ratio looks really
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: good because the strike out rate is that. High against
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: The Red, sox he has not really done that well,
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: though in sixty one at, bats fifteen to six strikeout
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not too. Good three twenty eight average
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: allowed is not that. Good eight sixty three ohps allowed
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: is not that. Good so The Red sox have been
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: able to hit, him and he faced them earlier this
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: year On april twenty seven that he was not great
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: in that. Outing The Red sox won the, game And
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: cease gave up four runs on seven hits and three
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: walks and five and two thirds innings with five strikeouts
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: and had to go over one hundred pitches in that.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: Span so you might get something more like that potentially
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: in this, game ALTHOUGH i don't. KNOW i don't really
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: necessarily want to Fade cease given how great he looked
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: in his last game and how poor The Red sox
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: offense has. Been but this doesn't look like a great
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: matchup for, him and he's not as good on the.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: Road peyton totally is pitching for The Red. Sox he's
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: been good two point SEVEN era one point zero five.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been better at home two point two to
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: Eight homie ra so the home road splits favor him
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: in this. Matchup he did have kind of a rough
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: outing last time out Against Tampa burray allot four runs
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: on nine hits and six innings but did only have one.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: Walk his strikeout rate went down, though so last couple
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: outings his strikeout rate hasn't been as, high which is
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: kind of a, problem although he still shut Out baltimore
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: On june third for. Six overall numbers, here pretty high strikeout,
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: rate low hit, rate walk rate is. Decent he's definitely
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: pretty good, overall, Man he's just not getting a lot
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: of run support. Here he did Face toronto earlier this,
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: YEAR i, believe, yeah and he wasn't good in that.
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: Outing he went four and two, thirds had four walks
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: and four, strikeouts give up three runs on three. Hits
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: not a great outing from him and took a. Loss
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: but The Red sox also didn't score any runs in the.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: Game but, overall believe it or, NOT i believe his
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: numbers are actually good Against. Toronto, yeah, well they only
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: have thirteen at bats against, him two, strikeouts four walks isn't,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: good but two thirty one average seven to nineteen, Ops
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: so totally his numbers against them are actually not that.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: Bad i'm gonna Lean Red sox here in this. One
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: they have a little bit of a travel advantage. HERE
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: i think they Have they have the pitching edge at least.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: SLIGHTLY i think they're they're getting the money fifty to
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: fifty on the Tickets Red sox sixty five percent of the.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: Cash Red sox are actually an underdog in this, GAME
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: i think just because It's Dane cease on the. MOUND
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: i think you're probably paying a bit too much of
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: a price For toronto, Here like this looks like a close, matchup,
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: dude with a slight edge to The Red sox, probably
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: and The Red sox do have a bullpen advantage, here
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: SO i don't really think they should be an underdog
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: in this. GAME i was actually. SURPRISED i thought The
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: Red sox would be a very small favorite in this,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: game very. Surprising so you can get them at a
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: slight underdog price. Here the money is also backing the
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: under for what that's. Worth the totals at seven and a.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: HALF i don't disagree with an under really. Here it
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: does look like there's more pitching than hitting. HERE i,
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: mean these teams don't hit well this season so. Far
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: both pitchers are generally. Good both bullpens are at least
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: decent and or good in the case of The Red,
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: sox SO i wouldn't really disagree with the under in
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: that game, either but based on the matchup, NUMBERS i
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: think The Red sox might be the better approach in that.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Game hopefully they win for my sake and to us
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: to back The Tartan. ARMY i don't know if they're
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: still around The. SCOTS i haven't heard anything out of The,
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: norwegians who must be here right now for their game,
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: today SO i don't know their. MATCH i Mean White
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: sox And. Yankees this is an interesting. Matchup these teams
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: were both off yesterday as. Well and by the, way
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: as far as the under in That Red sox, GAME
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: i like unders more when the teams are off the
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: previous day BECAUSE i think the batting can cool off
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit and you get extremely rested. Bullpens SO
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: i think unders make more sense when teams have had
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: a day. Off all, Right White sox And. Yankees yankees
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: are returning home from a road trip where they went
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: To cleveland And. Toronto they won all but one game
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: on the road, trip so very successful road trip for.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: Them return home. Spot it's, tricky, Man it's a negative.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: Spot when a team returns home from the. Road they
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: have to get back to home. Life they can be.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: Distracted don't know if The yankees are gonna overlook The White,
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: sox BUT i think you can pretty much guarantee The
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: White sox will not overlook The yankees, here as The
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: White sox have been bad for soul and now all
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: of a, sudden they're. GOOD i, MEAN i don't know
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: IF i would say, good but they're not. BAD i
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: don't think The White sox are gonna have a let down,
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: here is What i'm. Saying. Though they're coming up beating The,
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: dodgers so you think that they could be in a,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: letdown but they're not gonna overlook The. Yankees and they're
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: also starting a road, trip so likely they want to
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: get the road trip off on the right. Foot SO
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: i think you'll get a good effort out of The
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: White sox. Here at the very, least The White sox
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: are at a bullpen, disadvantage although both bullpen's are. Rested
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: White sox are ranked fifteenth in bullpen but their ray
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: is above, four so that's not very. Good yankees have
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: a bullpen era more than a run better or almost
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: a run, better although they're ranked, eleventh but their era
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: is better than, That so The yankees have the better bullpen.
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: Here yankees are number two in, Offense chicago's number, six
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: so both teams have a good, offense but they're also
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: gonna both be putting good starters out. There Davis martin
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: pitching for The White. Sox he's been really good this.
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: Year two point four to one e one. Whip very. Surprising,
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: again when a guy starts doing that at twenty nine
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: and his career numbers don't suggest that there's a good
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: reason for. IT i don't. KNOW i tend to question
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: a little, bit but he's been doing it all seasons so,
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: far SO i don't. Know he's not as good on
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: the road, though three point five to nine Roadier, ray
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: so this could be a rougher outing for him. Potentially
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: he's coming off a nice six inning shutout Of atlanta,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: though so he had a bad start at the previous,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: start which was on the, road by the, way Against,
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: minnesota who's not as good as The, yankees, obviously but
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: the fact that he bounced back and had a really
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: good start against An atlanta offense that is. Good that's
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: a good. Sign but that was at, home Where martin
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: has been, very very. Good he's not as good on the.
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: Road and his numbers against The yankees in his career
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: are also not. Good in thirty two at, bats they
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: have a three seventy five average and one thousand and
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: thirty one ohps against, him six to two strikeout walk
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: Race yre and this is not Including Aaron, judge who
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: remains out for The YANKEE i Think stanton is out
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: for them still. Too they got some guys not in
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: their line up, here but. Whatever, yeah So, MARTIN i
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: don't think he matches up particularly well in this, matchup
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: and that's the problem For chicago. Here Garrett cole's pitching
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: for The. Yankees he's been good since he's come back
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: from injury two point four to FIVE, era one point
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: zero five. Whip he hasn't been as good at home,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: though three point one to eight homy, ra although small sample.
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: SIZE i mean he is used to pitching in the stadium,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: obviously although he hasn't done it for a while since
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: he's been. Injured his last two starts were not as
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: good though they were both Against, cleveland which is weird
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: Because cleveland is not good. Offensively BUT i don't know
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: what it is. LIKE i didn't think he had bad
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers Against, cleveland so he's not really an excellent
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: form right, now so maybe that's a little bit of an.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: Issue it was one start at, home one on the.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Road he gave up eleven hits in nine to a third,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: inning six, strikeouts three. Walks that's not. Great if he
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: started the season with two really good, starts his last
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: two starts have been significantly worse than. That so even
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: though his overall numbers look, good he doesn't seem to
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: be in the greatest form here right. Now against The White,
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: sox they really have not seen much of. Him they
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: have forty two at, bats which is actually a, lot
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: but only two hitters have faced, him and it's the usual,
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: Suspects ben And tendy And Great, chuck and they have
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: not done well against. Him one sixty seven, average four
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: to forty three, ohps sixteen to two strike out walk.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: RATIO i tend to lean more towards coal pitching well,
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: here like maybe there's just something with That cleveland matchup
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: that isn't. GOOD i, MEAN i don't, know it looked like,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: again his history against them wasn't, Bad so Maybe i'm
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: wrong about. That the money is actually fading The yankees.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Here they're around minus one forty, something which does look
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: like a pretty cheap price for The yankees in The.
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: Bronx you're not gonna get them at that low over
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: price that. Often AND i think maybe the professional money is, saying,
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: well it looks too easy to take The. Yankees AND
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: i think the professional money is basically saying that they
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: think this is at least a toss up of a
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup. Here i'm not so sure that it. Is
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: but eighty three percent of, tickets sixty seven percent of
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: the cash on The, yankees the money is fading. Them
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: the money is also backing the under. Here it looks
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: like a very public total on the over eighty four
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the. Over you know the public
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: will back and over here even if it is two
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: pitchers with good Ee. Iras public probably doesn't Trust cole
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: because he came back from. Injury but MOSTLY i think
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: they just see oh White Sox. Yankees these teams are
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: both putting up a ton of, runs and the public
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: is just gonna play an over in a game like.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: That but eighty two percent of the, cash so less
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the. Over the total is. Low
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: at seven and a half the oddsmakers are not going
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: to put a total out there that low in A
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: yankee stadium game unless there's real good reason for. It
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: because it's a more hitter friendly ballpark and The yankees
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: have a much better offense at home this. Year uh
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: so there is a reason why the to is that.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: Low but AS i just showed you with the, NUMBERS
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: i just showed, You i'm not really sure THAT i
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: would want to play an under in this. GAME i
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: would be pretty concerned about, that AND i think it's
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: just hard to gauge what you're gonna get really out
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: of both starters. HERE i think The, YANKEES i don't.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: KNOW i would lean more towards The yankees winning that,
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: game BUT i could be wrong about. THAT i, mean
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: they are in a bad spot still returning home from the,
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: road so remember that that is another potential reason why
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: maybe the money is kind of fading them in that.
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: Game all, Right mets And. Reds red's won twelfth and nothing,
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: yesterday so this could be maybe a bounce back for The. Mets.
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: Here that was A Chase burns, game by the, way For,
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: cincinnati so he was good. Again presumably in that, Game
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: mets will have an easier time at least scoring something
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: in this, GAME i would. Imagine although they're not a good.
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Offense The mets used two guys out of the bullpen.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they've Used david petersonce you don't have to worry
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: about him coming into this, game but The mets are
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: going with an actual starter today. Anyway cincinnati's three guys
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: out of the. Bullpen The mets have a huge bullpen advantage.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: Here they have the third ranked, Bullpen cincinnati number, thirty dead,
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: last even though they're not the worst, era but there's
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: still a really bad. Bullpen so better bullpen for The.
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: METS i hear reving engines outside, Again i'm gonna freak out.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Again The mets are twenty ninth in, offense which is pretty.
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: Bad.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Obviously The reds are not really that much better, though at,
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: nineteenth so neither offense has been that, good but The
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: mets offense has obviously been. Putrid we might see more
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: runs scored potentially in this. SERIES i, mean we did
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: See cincinnati score twelve themselves last. Night this is a
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly ballpark. HERE Codei senga is making his return
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: for The. Mets i'm not sure if that's even a good,
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: thing because he's been awful this. Year prior to going
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: down with, injury he had a NINETY ra and one
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: point nine to five. Whip those are horrendous. Numbers, now
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: obviously he's not this bad if you look at his career.
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: Numbers his career numbers are obviously significantly better than. That
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: but he's always had some like walk. ISSUES i don't
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: really trust. HIM i don't know what we're gonna get
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: out of him coming back from. Injury, now he is a,
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: veteran although he hasn't been in the major leagues for that,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: long he's a veteran of The japanese leagues for, sure
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: so he's probably used to coming back from. Injury AND
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: i am going to talk about coming back from injury
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: later on because that's gonna be involved in one of
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: my plays. Today there are two starting pitchers that are
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: veteran pitchers that are coming back from injury, today and
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: when that, HAPPENS i, do or at least the other, Guy,
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: well they're both sort of, VETERANS i, guess, Yeah, WELL
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: i don't. Know, well you'll see Who i'm talking about
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: in a, bit BUT i think when a pitcher is
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: used to pitching in the, majors and they come back
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: from injury and they've done it before and stuff like.
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: THAT i think they tend to pitch better in a
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: lot of. Ways and the team kind of rally around,
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: him you know WHAT i, mean because it's, like, oh
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: we'll get this guy, back let's play well for. Him
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: SO i actually think it's a positive more so than
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: a negative coming back from. INJURY i have not looked
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: at What senga did in his minor league rehab, though
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i wasn't gonna play this, Game so. Whatever, senga
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: by the, way he was at least a little bit
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: better on the. Road six era on the road this,
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: year still not good. Obviously he hasn't pitched its Late, april,
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: though and he only made five starts this, season so
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: we'll see what he could do in this. Game he
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: does have good numbers Against, cincinnati, though for what that's,
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: worth they only have five hitters who have faced. Him
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: twenty at, bats nine, strikeouts one. Walk that's a lot of.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: Strikeouts the only extra RaSE hit is a home run From.
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: Steer one fifty batting, average four ninety ops. Allowed So
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: senga does at least have good matchup numbers here he
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: is going up Against Brady, Singer senga And Singer senger
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: And singa going up against each other. Here singer is
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: not having a good season for The. Ads five point
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: six ONE, era one point six to four whip is really.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: Bad he's been better at home, though for whatever, reason
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: four point five home E. RA i think that's been
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: like something that's been the case during his. Career he's
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: been better at. Home he actually did have a good
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: road start last time out At San, diego but they
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: are a very weak, offense and that was in a
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly. Park but he's facing A mets offense that's
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: also pretty weak. Here singer hasn't really been. WELL i don't.
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't want to say he hasn't been bad
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: in his prior two starts to that because he did
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: walk way too many guys in the prior to, starts
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: SO i don't. Know and The reds have been losing
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: every one of his. Games The reds have lost every
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: one of his starts going all the way back To,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: april so that's not. Great he's been way too. Hittable
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: he's given up way too many. Hits his walk rade isn't.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: TERRIBLE i guess it's still not. Great and his strikeout
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: rate is actually pretty low as, well so that's not.
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: Great singer against The, mets, though does have good numbers
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: in fifty eight at bats sixteen to five strike out walk,
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: ratio two forty one batting average six forty six, ops
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: so he might match up decently. Here and, yeah by the,
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: way For, senga BECAUSE i forget to keep looking at these,
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: numbers he had a high strikeout rate before he went,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: down but his hit rate and his walk rate we're
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: both way too high as you could. Expect SO i
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: also THINK i didn't really go through the previous guy's
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: stats on the. Season Davis martin high strikeout, rate low hit,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: rate low walk rate for, him not. Surprising And Garrett
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: cole just hasn't really pitched that much so. Far But cole,
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: actually his strikeout rate For cole is actually kind of.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Low his hit rate is for him at, least it's
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: not really that bad. Though his walk rate is fine
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: and his hit rate is pretty. Low so all, Right but,
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: yes in this Met cincinnati, game there are arguments for
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: an under in that, game believe it or. Not for
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: a first five UNDER i would SAY i would not
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: want to deal with The cincinnati bullpen at, all but
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: both starting pitchers actually might have a decent matchup. There
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: ozmakers have put a total at nine and a half,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: though because it's a you, know neither picture has good. Numbers,
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: obviously you can't put a total that's that low really
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: with guys that have horrendous eras and. Whips but in
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: this particular, matchup like the, matchups that's WHY i like
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: the matchup stats because you can kind of gauge something
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: from that because it's like this one on one thing
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: where one guy just might historically have the advantage over the,
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: other you know WHAT i, Mean and it doesn't really
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: seem to get factored into the, line so you might
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of LIKE i look for things
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: that are not factored into the line that, much you
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i. Mean SO i think bullpen rest is
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: one of. Them situation is kind of one of, them
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: and matchup NUMBERS i think are one of those things as.
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: Well so the money is backing the over in that
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: game though fifty tickets eighty one percent of the cash
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: on the. Over the totals nine and a. Half, again
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: because it's a two starting pitchers with bad, numbers and
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: it's a hitter friendly. Ballpark The mets are. Favored the
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you The mets are the better. Team
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: they're laying minus one twenty something on the road, here
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: and they're getting the money fifty percent of tickets eighty
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on The. Mets so the
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: professional money seems to be backing that theory THAT i
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: was talking, about that you want to back pitchers that
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: have been around for a while that are coming back
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: from injury and expect that they might be excited to
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: get back out there and actually pitch well if they're
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: used to that sort of. Thing but we will. SEE i,
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: mean this game has too many conflicting factors to. It
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i don't want to do anything with. It BUT
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: i could kind of see an argument for a first
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: five under in that, one and that you, know might
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: be my very very slight lean in that. ONE i
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: would not really want to touch. That Though San francisco Had.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: Atlanta these teams were off yesterday And garrett is probably
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: out there somewhere celebrating The, hurricanes but The braves are
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: one of his. Teams braves are returning home from the.
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Road they just went to The White sox and The,
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: mets so The braves are in a return home. Spot you. Know,
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: Again i'm going to, reiterate when a team returns home
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: from the, road they could be distracted a lot of the.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Time they have to get back to home. Life they
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: can overlook an inferior opponent Like San. Francisco. Here San
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: francisco did just beat The cubs in their previous. Game
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: they had yesterday off as, well and now they're starting
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: a road. Trip so a better spot For San francisco
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: starting a road, TRIP a lot of times you're more
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: focused to get the road trip off on the right.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Foot but they are traveling across country for, this so
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: there is. That but going east is easier than going.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: West as far as the, bullpens they're both, rested but
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: The braves basically have an elite. Bullpen they're still ranked
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: number one in Both whip and E Ra giants bullpen
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: has been surprisingly, bad especially. Recently they're number twenty, five
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: so The braves have a big bullpen advantage. Here hitting,
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: wise The braves have actually dropped off a little. Bit
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: they're number five right now and they're not as good at.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: Home for whatever, Reason giants are number, thirteen BUT i
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: think that was because of a few outlier. GAMES i
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: don't think The giants are a good. Offense braves are
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: clearly the better offense. Here Adrian houser is getting the
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: start for The. Giants he has not been very good
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: five point five FOUR, era one point five to four.
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: Whip he has been a little bit better on the,
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: road which again makes no sense because The giants are
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: known as having a pitcher friendly. Ballpark but four point
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: seven to three road he al, ray so he's actually
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: better on the. Road he's gotten eleven to three strike
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: out Walk raisio at two starts this, month so that's actually.
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: Good so his command has actually been pretty good this.
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: Month but he also has a five point one to
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: nine E ray this month and he hasn't made it
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: five innings in either, outing and in, fact he hasn't
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: made it five innings since Mid, may so that's still
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: not a good. Sign but his command numbers do kind
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: of indicate that he is pitching better than it looks right.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Now his overall numbers on the season are not good,
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: though too many, hits too many, walks low strikeout, rate
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: NOTHING i really like about This houser against The. Braves
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: he actually his numbers are actually not that bad and
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: eighty nine at bats a big sample two eighty one
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: batting average is definitely, high but he has not allowed
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: power hitting to. Them they have a lot of contact
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: hitting against, him but very little. Power six ninety five ops.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: Allowed that's not that. Bad fourteen to nine strike a
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not very good. Though generally, THOUGH i
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: don't really Think howser is going to do great. Here
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: that would kind of be my gauge on. THIS i
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: would not trust. Him Grant holmes is pitching FOR sa
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: excuse he's pitching For. Atlanta he's been. Okay four point
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: zero FIVE, era one point three four whip is a
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: little bit. High he's a little bit better at home
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: three point seventy five HOME, era which makes more sense
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: because earlier this season he had better road, numbers which
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: didn't make that much sense to me because he was
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: better at home last. Year holmes better at, home, man
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: and he is actually better at home again this, year
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: so things are making more sense. Now but he hasn't
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: been that good Recent he's got a six to four
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: strike out walk race yet two starts this month wasn't
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: good in his last start in the previous month. Either
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: not really great, here but he did Old toronto to
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: two runs a couple of starts, ago so it was
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: a good. Start but his last start he did not
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: last long and he gave it up against Other White
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: sox didn't do. Well gave up almost a run per
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: inning in that. Outing his overall numbers are all kind of.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: Mediocre his hit rate is pretty, good that's, low but
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is too. High strike out rate, is you,
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: know kind of. LOW i guess it's. Mediocre but he's
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: facing who are you going up against? HERE i already
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: forget WHAT i don't always. FORGET i always forget What
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: i'm talking. About he's facing The, giants SO i don't
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: think are a good offense. Here his numbers against The
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: giants are pretty, good but it's a very limited. Sample
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: four hitters have faced him fifteen at bats only extra
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: base hit is a double From, devers four, strikeouts one,
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: walk two under batting average five to seventeen. Ops, YEAH i,
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: mean it's a bad situation for The, braves but The
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: braves seem to have the matchup edge in this. Game
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: they're very, public ninety percent of, tickets ninety one percent
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: of the cash on. THEM i wouldn't want to back
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: a team it's this public though in a bad situational,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: spot but they might have the edge throughout this game
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: Though minus won six. Years so is the. PRICE i,
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: mean if you really wanted to Play atlanta would BE
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: i think a run line play like make your own
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: minus one run line total is also a little bit
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: high at, nine and the money is backing the over
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: in that, game which makes some sense BECAUSE i just
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: don't really think either pitcher is in terrific form, here
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: and you have one bullpen that's not that Good San,
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: francisco which is still surprising because their bullpen has some
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: of the same guys as last year when they were
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: one of the better bullpens in. Baseball SO i don't.
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: Know it's a hard game to handicap for. Me so
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: that one is also not on my. CARD i KNOW
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: i have three, plays but none of them are are
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: up until later on the. Board, gerald what's? Up thanks
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: for hanging. Out, i'm you, know still in the back
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: end of this cold. Thing SO i got sinus problems going.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: On not have to take a break at some point,
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: Here cleveland At Milwaukee. Baseball just you, know the way
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: THAT i break these games down just takes. Forever it's way.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: Easier all the other sports are way easier for me
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: because they're all situational, handicaps so they're all. Quicker, baseball
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: there's just way more to It. Milwaukee both these teams
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: were off. Yesterday milwaukee's staying at. Home they had just
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: had a series where they shut Out philadelphia twice in
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: the three. Games cleveland is coming in with an extra
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: day off because they got rained out On sunday in
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: a game WHERE i gave out an under in that
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: game and it didn't. Happen AND i don't know What
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: cleveland is doing Because Gavin williams is supposed to pitch
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: that game and he's not pitching, today SO i don't
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: know what the deal is there or. TONIGHT i, Mean
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: cleveland has had two days off now and now they're
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: starting a road, trip So cleveland does have one extra
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: day of rest. Here starting a road trip is a positive,
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: spot so there is. That so generally a look will
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: get unders when team's arrested like, this but maybe not
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: the case with this game, though because this is not
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: an elite pitching matchup by any means. Here as far
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: as the, bullpens these are good. Bullpens cleveland number, Twelve
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: milwaukee number. FOURTEEN i Think milwaukee's is a little bit,
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: better but these are good. Bullpens milwaukee's offense has taken
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: off the number eight Now cleveland is twenty. Seventh So
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: milwaukee has the better offense, here although they're not a
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: good power hitting, offense but they do score a lot of.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Runs Slay chacone is pitching For, Cleveland LIKE i, said not.
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: Elite he hasn't been. Great four point eight THREE, era
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: one point four to four whip is not. Good he's
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: worse on the road as, well five point two to
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: one ROAD. Era that's not. Good he was good in
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: his last two, outings both against The. YANKEES i don't
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: know how that's even, explainable but that's the. Case he's
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: in better form right now because he pitched well two
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: times in a row against The. Yankees But i'm still
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: not sure THAT i would want to trust him. Here,
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: YEAH i was just making Sure i'm looking at the
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: right game. Here uh, Yeah so he's in good form right,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: now but maybe he just is a good match up
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: Against maybe like The yankees are a good matchup for.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: HIM i don't, know because overall he's got a high hit,
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: rate his walk rates not, great and his strikeout rate is.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: Low SO i don't Trust, shaconi BUT i believe his
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: numbers against The brewers are not that. Bad, yeah, well
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: they only have three guys who have ever faced him
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: when he fo has the only hit against him a.
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: Single they're one for five against, him with no, strikeouts no,
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: walks no extra base. Hits so he is at least
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to, them so he might actually have an ok matchup.
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: Here milwaukee's going With Robert, gasser who has not been
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: good this. Year six point three EIGHTY r and one
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: point five to eight. Whip he's kind of a back
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: end of the rotation type of, guy like a fill in.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Starter he's been around for the last couple of. Years
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: his numbers were. Better back in twenty twenty, four he
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: actually put up pretty good numbers as a, star although
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate was always. Low last year he only pitched,
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: very very, briefly and he wasn't really that, good but
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: it's hard to gauge what that. Was but this year
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been good so far in four. Starts he
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: got rocked last time, out BUT i think you can
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: kind of give him a pass for that last downing
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: because it was at The A's Vegas. Stadium if you
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: remember how crazy that. Was it was high elevation plus small.
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: Stadium so he gave up four home runs in that.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Outing i'm gonna give him a pass for that because
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: that was not an ordinary type of matchup at. All
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: he wasn't good in one of his two home, starts
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: but it was against The, dodgers so maybe you give
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: him a little bit of a pass for that. Too
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: he'll be going up against a much weaker opponent here In,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: cleveland and the weakest offense that he faced was With
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: his one good start this season was Against San francisco at,
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: home so maybe this start could potentially look more like that.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: One he's given up too many hits though too many,
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: walks and his strike out rate is actually. Good this
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: year is so hard to. Figure cleveland has never faced him,
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: before so he does have that. ADVANTAGE i guess that
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: they're unfamiliar with. HIM i don't know if that's gonna be.
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: Enough this game is another one that's difficult to figure,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: out because neither start is that. Good the money is
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: backing the over here sixty five percent take is ninety
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on the over the total
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: eight and a. Half but both pitchers might actually pitch
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: well given the specific matchup THAT i just showed. You
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: So i'm not sure that i'd want to go over.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: Here it could, happen for. SURE i don't THINK i
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: would want to risk playing an under here, Either SO
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: i don't. Know that's just this is a very difficult
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: game to figure. Out milwaukee eighty percent of, tickets eighty
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on them is the money
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: slightly backing them at around minus one fifty. SOMETHING i
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: don't know IF i want to do that. Either milwaukee
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: is a good, team, though but you know that. Price
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: given who's starting For, MILWAUKEE i don't know if they
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: deserve to be favored like that. Here ALTHOUGH i don't
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: Think cleveland is really that good of a, team the
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: one big Edge milwaukee does have as the. Offense San
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: diego At Saint. Louis these teams played, yesterday And Dustin
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: May i'm pretty sure threw a complete game shutout in that. One,
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: yeah it was a one, hit complete game, shutout and he.
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: Was he had a perfect game into the seventh. Inning
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: absolutely ridiculous that these, guys The Red sox will have
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: him very briefly get rid of, him and then they'll
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: all be good all of a. Sudden Although HARRISON i
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: always thought was going to be a good, Pitcher Dustin
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: may has been around for so, long given that, he's you,
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: know on the back end of the backside of some
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: injuries and, WHATEVER i did not expect him to be this.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Good but it was Against San diego, though so you
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: got to take that with a grain of salt because
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: their offense has been. PATHETIC U Saint louis got the
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: win three to not thing in that. Game bullpen's are
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: going to be rested here given what happened in the game. Yesterday,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: uh Because Saint louis didn't use. Anybody San diego only
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: use two. Guys San diego has an elite. Bullpen Saint
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: louis's bullpen is, media but they're also rested. Here so
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: both bullpens look like they're okay. Here San diego is
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: ranked fifth in bullpen but their era IS i think
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: one of the top. Three, yeah it. GOES i think
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: it Goes, Atlanta Boston San diego IN. Era Saint louis
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: is eighteenth in Bullpend THEIR era isn't that great in
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: the low, fours but they're not a terrible bullpen and
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: they're rested here. Offensively San diego dead last, Horrible Saint louis,
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: Fourteenth so not too bad, there but this game does
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: look like it has more of the makings for an
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: under than an over. Here Michael king is pitching For San.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: Diego he's one of their better. Pitchers three point four
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: to SIX, era one point one five, whip those are strong.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Numbers he's only slightly worse on the. Road his home
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: road splits are not very. Significant his walk number last
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: time out was not great Against, cincinnati but he still
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: did hold them to three runs in six and two thirds.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: Innings he's still not pitching, bad and we faded him
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: in the previous start Because San diego was in a
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: really bad situational, spot and he's still pitched okay in
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: that game. Too king has been good. OVERALL i, mean
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: he's a very consistent pitcher for the most. Part he's
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: got a really low hit. Rate his strikeout rate is
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: not quite as high AS i THINK i remember it
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: being from, him and his walk rate is too high,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: still so his walks are the main issue with. Him
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: he doesn't really give up much, else but the walks
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: are kind of an. Issue his numbers Against Saint louis
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: are very good in twenty seven at bats one forty,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: eight batting average, allowed four to ninety THREE, ops four
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: to three strikeout walk ratio is not that good, though
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: but the rest of these numbers are. Good it's a
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: small ish sample, size But San, diego, yeah Excuse Saint
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: louis has not hit him. Well Andre payante's pitching for The.
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: Cardinals he's the lesser of the two, pitchers but he
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: does have decent numbers this. Season three point eight EIGHT,
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: era one point two to six whip not. Horrible he's
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: not good at home, though four point nine to one homy,
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: ra so that's a little bit of a. Concern he's
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: been decent in his two starts this, month but they
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: were against weak Offenses texas and The. Mets but guess
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: who else is a weak. Offense, yeah that would be The,
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: padres who he's facing. Tonight payonte ten to four strike
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio this. Month that's still not, excellent but
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: it's not, horrible and he's only allowed six hits and
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: eleven and two thirds, innings but again against weak. Opponents
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: his overall, numbers he does have a low hit rate
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: on the, season his walk rate is too, high and
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: his strike up rate is not, impressive but he induces
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: a lot of ground. Balls he's not really a strike up.
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: PITCHER i think he can pitch well Against San, diego,
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: though because their offense just isn't very. Good they have
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: five guys who have faced him thirty one at, bats
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: and he's had the upper hand against them for the most.
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: Part one ninety four, average allowed five to sixty eight,
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: ohps but a nine to seven strike out walk ratio
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: is not really that, good so they have some walks against,
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: him but other than, that he's pitched pretty. Well SO
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: i think an under is probably the way to play this.
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: Game this game's ON. Tv, yes it's not one of my.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: TOTALS i told YOU i have three totals. Today this
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: is not one of. Them BUT i think an under
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: does kind of make sense in this. ONE i don't
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: really quite want to do it because you're kind of
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: you're having to play Into payonte's worst, split AND i
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: don't know IF i completely fully trust. Him, actually you're
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: in the worst split for both. Pitchers, really it's Just
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: paiontas are more. Significant money is backing the over, though
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: fifty to fifty on the, tickets ninety one percent of
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over total of. Eight it's a
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: picture friendly ballpark for the most part. Here but, yeah you,
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: have you, know at least one really weak offense and
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: one elite. Bullpen, so, uh that's what you got going
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: on in that. GAME i think they're more indicators towards
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: the under than anything else. There, uh though again the
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: money is not indicating that, way BUT i just mean
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: the way the matchup. Looks the money is also Backing
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: San Diego Saint louis fifty two percent of tickets on,
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: them seventy four percent of the cash On San. DIEGO
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: i don't disagree with. THAT i Think king is better
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: Than payonte And San diego does have the better, bullpen
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: SO i don't disagree with the with The San diego side.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: There Saint louis is a very small favorite around minus
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: one point seventeen or, So so do with that info
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: what you, Want, zach what's? Up thanks for hanging out The.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Royals they're playing somewhere. Today what are they? Doing DID
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: i didn't talk about their? GAME i KNOW i, Did,
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: YEAH i already talked about.
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: THEM i.
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: DON'T i don't really love their chances in that, game
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: even THOUGH i know they have walka on the mound
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: and a lot of times they'll be in a game
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: that walk up. Pitches BUT i still don't really think
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: they're gonna win that. Game but it's certainly, Possible BUT
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: i don't love that game for. Them all, Right you
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: can go back and see my analysis on it if you.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: Want colorado at The. Cubs these teams played. Yesterday The
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: cubs somehow got by with a win yesterday. Barely they
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: were returning home from the, road WHICH i mentioned, yesterday
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: and of, course AS i always, mentioned that's a negative
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: spot returning home from the. Road they got it done,
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: though against an inferior Inferior colorado, team And colorado had
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: beaten The cubs twice in course field to start that
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: road trip That chicago was, on so The cubs did
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of a revenge. Angle The cubs
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: should have the advantage in this game, too BUT i,
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: mean they're obviously the better, team but there are some
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: issues with. It The cubs used four relief pitchers, Yesterday
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: colorado used a, lot Though colorado used, six And colorado
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: is a bad. Bullpen cubs are ranked ninth and. Bullpen
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is pretty, Decent colorado not. Good they are
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: twenty seventh in bullpen whip. Now they're the worst BULLPEN,
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: era so The cubs have the better. Bullpen cubs are
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: number twelve in. Offense they've been struggling recently, offensively but
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: they still beat The rockies, OFFENSIVELY i think or, no
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: The rockies are ninth in offense, now BUT i think
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: that's because of that twenty three run explosion the other.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: Day rockies have been all over the. Place they're not
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: really that. Good they're not as good on the road,
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: either SO i don't really put much stock into That
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: rockies are going With Ryan. Feltner he's been okay, ISH
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: i guess For. Rockies pitcher five point TWO era and
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: one point two to one whip isn't really that. Bad
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: he's not good on the road, though seven point seven
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: to one ROAD. Era he pitches well in course field
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: this year for whatever, reason or at least relatively, well
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: but on the. Road he's definitely. Struggled he did just
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: Face chicago in that. Series he faced The cubs in course,
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: field and he wasn't good in that. Outing you give
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: up six runs in four and a third innings on
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: only four, hits but he also walked three guys had
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: three strike, ups so he did get a little bit
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: unlucky to allow that many. Runs but he definitely didn't pitch,
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: well SO i don't think that's a good. Sign feltner
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: does have kind of a low hit rate on the.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: Season his walk rates not too, bad strike out rate
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: is pretty low though he's not their worst, pitcher but you,
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't know IF i would trust. Him, however
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: even with his last start that he, made he actually
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: has good numbers against The. Cubs generally in thirty three at,
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: bats the strike out walk ratio is not good six to,
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: seven but he's helding him a one to eighty two
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: two average five ninety eight. Ohps So, feldner you know it's.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: Possible he actually does okay, here but he's not good
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: on the, road and he just got bombed By chicago
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: in the last start that he had against. Them but
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: sometimes when that, happens a pitcher might make some adjustments
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: and pitch better against him in the next, game so
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: that is also. Possible Edward cabrera's pitcher for The. Cubs
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: he is making his way back from. Injury his numbers
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: this season are not very, good although he is a
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: better pitcher than. This four point eight six E ra
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: one point four to one whip not. Good he's been
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: worse at home as. Well five point one five HOMY.
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: Ra he came back from, injury he missed a couple of,
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: weeks came back two starts, ago got absolutely bombed By San,
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: francisco which is not a good, sign but he had
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: a better start last time out in course. Field he
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: Held colorado to tour in, runs both on solo home
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: runs though in five and a third, innings but he
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: was better in that, start so he seems to be
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: making his way back from. Injury, okay here his overall
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: numbers though his hit rates is actually too. High he's
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: allowed too many home. Runs his walk rate is too high,
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: too and his strike out rates a little. Low so
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: his numbers overall and not really that. Good he does
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: have good numbers against The, rockies, though in thirty six at,
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: bats one ninety four average allowed six forty five ops
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: is not too bad, either eight to three strike out walk.
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: Ratio SO i Think cabrera could potentially pitch well, here
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: BUT i want to bank on. It, NO i don't
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: THINK i, would but that's the setup in this. Game
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: this is a hard game to figure. Out. Man the
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: total is nine and a, half so it probably means
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: wind is somewhat of a non, factor LIKE i kind
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: of said, yesterday because usually when wind is a factor
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: At Wrigley, field it's gonna the total is gonna be
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: on one extreme or the. Other and this is not,
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: there so probably not much. Wind the money is backing
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: the over sixty. Percent it takes ninety percent of the
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: cash on the over in that. GAME i could see
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: the arguments for it because both pitchers are not necessarily
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: in their greatest form here right. Now both offenses just
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: saw but pitchers that could be an indicator towards more
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: of a high scoring game because the offenses are more
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: recently familiar with, Them but the offenses had been seen
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: had seen those pitchers before though. Too The cubs are
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: also a minus one ninety favorite here eighty eight percent
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: of ticket seventy four percent of the cash on The,
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: cubs so the money is fading The. Cubs. There do
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: with that info what you. Want it's not gonna be
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: one of my, games, THOUGH i don't even have a
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: great read on. IT i, mean to, ME i think
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: The cubs should win just BECAUSE i think they're the
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: better team and they have THE i think they have
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: the advantage of basically every phase in the. Game but
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: you're laying a price for. It of, course the next game,
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: UP i kind of considered for a, play BUT i
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: did not actually want to do. It minnesota At. Texas
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: texas lost the game yesterday in the return home. Spot
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: they lost four to. Two so a lot of times
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: when a team loses in the return home spot because
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: that spot is, bad you have to get back to home,
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: life whatever it can be Distract, typically if you lose that,
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: game the next game usually bounce back and play better
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: because you get kind of punched in the mouth and then you're,
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: like all, right we got to focus on, baseball and
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: you get whatever needs to be done at home out
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: of the, way and then you can focus on. Baseball
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: texas has a massive bullpen edge in this. Game they
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: have the better. Bullpen they use two guys out of
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: it yesterday and not really their high leverage. Guys minnesota
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: used four guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday minnesota is
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: number twenty nine in. Bullpen they have the second WORST
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: ra as, well not good at. All texas is number
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: four in. Bullpen they're very good. Offensively minnesota has been
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: the slightly better. Team they are sixteenth, actually which isn't too.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: Bad texas twenty. Third but we Know texas plays a
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: lot of low scoring games at. Home they have the
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: lowest scoring games on average at home In Major League.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: BASEBALL i Think texas is maybe the second lowest scoring
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: home team to The Boston Red. SOX i, think so
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: they don't score them any runs at. Home they don't
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: allow many runs. EITHER i think they've allowed some of
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: the fewest runs at home as, well so they play
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: a lot of under games in the. Stadium our favorite,
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: Guy zebulon is pitching for The twins. Here Zebi matthews
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: five point TWO era for. Him that's not very, good
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: but a one point one eight whip is actually fairly.
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: Good SO i Think matthews is actually not that. BAD
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: i think he's better than HIS ra would. Suggest he's
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: still kind of a young, guy and he seems to
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: be pitching better this, season but his era on the
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: road is really bad nine point three to seven road
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: era so. Far that's obviously not. Good we had an
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: over in the last game that he, pitched and HE
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: i actually liked zebulon again because we didn't go with
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: an under with him last. Time we went with an
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: over and it got there for, us mostly because he
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: gave up a bunch of runs To, detroit so Thanks
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: zebi for. That he wasn't necessarily that bad in that,
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: game though he did have a four to one strike
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: out walk, ratio still went six, innings so they're letting
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: him go fairly deep into these. Games he's kind of
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: alternated good and bad starts, recently which would mean this
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: start would be a good one if he continued to do.
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: That he's facing kind of a weaker offense, here and
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: even though his numbers are abysmal on the, road which
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: is kind of the reason WHY i wouldn't really want
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: to back him, here and the fact that two of
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: his last three starts have been bad and those were
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: both his road starts. Recently But texas their week offense
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: and they're especially week at, home and this is a
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: very pitcher friendly, park SO i think he could pitch well. Here,
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: REALLY i think he should if you think about. It
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: he's got twenty five career at bats Against, texas five,
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: strikeouts no, walks two hundred batting average five to six
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: to e ops, Allowed So zebi has pitched well Against
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: texas throughout his career so. Far small, sample but that's
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: at least a good sign for him. Here Kumar rocker
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: is pitching For texas. Here he's got a GOOD era
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: three point five to, six so those whip is not
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: that good one point three. Four he has issues with walks,
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: Man he's got to somehow fix. That but he's good
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: at home three point h two, homie. RIGHT i think
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: we backed him a couple of times this year at.
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: Home he's coming off kind of an ugly start Against Kansas,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: city but that was on the. Road his previous home.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: Start his last two home starts were both good Against
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: cleveland And Kansas. City he's going up Against minnesota. Here
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: they're not exactly any elite Offense rocker, overall he's allowed
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: pretty few. Hits his walk rate is definitely too high,
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: though and his strikeout rate is, low so he's not
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: really a strikeout, pitcher even though his name makes it
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: sound like he should. Be BUT i think he might
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: pitch okay here because he is better at. Home his
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: recent home starts have been, good And minnesota has never
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: faced him, before so he has an unfamiliarity edge here Against,
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: minnesota SO i think he should be able to pitch
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: well in this. One, zebi by the, way DID i
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: look at his overall? Numbers? DON'T i? FORGET i tried
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: to run down kind of everything. Here zebi has a
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: decent hit rate lower than one per. Inning his walk
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: grade is actually really, low and his strikeout rate is
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: not too, high but, whatever SO i like. IT i
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: like the under in this game for the most, part
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: maybe a first five Because minnesota's bullpen is just that.
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: Bad but the money is backing the, over so that
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: does kind of worry me to some. Extent fifty six
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the, under ninety percent of the
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: cash on the. Over that worries. Me the totals at
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: eight and a, half BUT i just showed. YOU i
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: think both starters could do well. HERE i think a
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: first five under does make sense in this. Game you're
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: probably looking at about a four in that, one maybe
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: four and a, Half SO i think that's reasonable to
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: try the first five under money is also backing The
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: rangers in that, game WHICH i probably agree with uh
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: Because Zebbi, MATTHEWS i don't, KNOW i don't know if
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: you really want to trust him because his road numbers
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: are so. Bad the home road. Splits definitely favorite. ROCKER
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: uh sixty three percent of, tickets ninety five percent of
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: the cash On. Texas texas also has the much much better,
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: bullpend so if you do Play, texas you gotta go
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: full game with that to take advantage of the huge bullpen.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: Edge texas also is in a situational. Advantage LIKE i,
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: said the bounce back. Spot they're around minus one thirty
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: eight or so, here pretty reasonable money line, Price dirty,
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: sock what's? Up thanks for hanging? Out all, Right i'm
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: gonna take a quick break and then the next game
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: is going to be a play for. Me and three
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: of the last five are my three plays of the.
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: Day they're all still to. Come hold, On i'll zoom
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: out a little. BIT i Guess i'll just show the
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: rest of this board. Here you know that they're all
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: totals so you might be able to guess what they.
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: Are they're all the games THAT i have are on
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: this board. Here all, Right i'll be right, back all.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: Right we need to get back on track. Here, man
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: it's been a Bad. June Hu. No, three it's it's
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: been a Bad. JUNE i don't know what else to
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: say about. It we have to get back on track.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: Here we had a hot end to last. YEAR nfl
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: went really. Well we had a hot beginning to this.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: Year Usually may is really good for, me and It
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: may was good, again but usually it's because OF nba,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: playoffs AND nba playoffs were not very good for. ME
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: i was good at everything else over that, span, though
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: so hockey, playoffs, baseball AND. Wnba all, right best bet
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: the first game. Up this is a very interesting. SITUATION
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: i think it's a unique situation in this next game
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: where we actually have a situational edge to both starting
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: pitchers here that you don't usually get in one single.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: Game we're gonna go first five under In Detroit. HOUSTON
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: i saw it at four plus. Money you could lay
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: like minus one thirty something to get it at under
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: four and a half if you really want. To if
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: it was like minus one twenty. FIVE i would probably
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: do that to get it up to four and a,
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: half But i'm gonna just go with it at four.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: HERE i like the starting pitching matchup here in this.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: One this is the game THAT i gave out, yesterday
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: and then it wound up being a no play And
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: detroit still, won which pisses me. OFF i, mean not
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: much is gonna piss you, more piss you off more than. That,
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Really detroit switched to a bullpen. Game AS i mentioned
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: at the top of the. SHOW i don't know why
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: the Fuck melton did not. Pitch maybe he's injured or.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: SOMETHING i don't know what happened, there but, Yeah detroit still,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: won and it wound up being a no play, because
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said IF i don't specify, otherwise you should
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: specify the bull starters must start in that, game WHICH
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: i thought was the. Default BUT i guess books are
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: not defaulting to that. ANYMORE i don't, know maybe it's just.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: HABIT i have no, idea but, Yeah i'm pissed Because detroit. Won,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: anyway they went with a bullpen, game AND i was,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: LIKE i would not re bet that knowing that it
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: was a bullpen. Game and they won, anyway so isn't
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: that just? Great so it was a no play and
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: then THE wnba played THAT i kind of, ford, WELL
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: i DON'T i don't feel LIKE i forced. IT i
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: actually did like. It but, yeah that winds up being a.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: Loser so we have a losing day and owen one
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: day because of that. Shit it should have been at
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: least a one one. Day i'm fucking. Pissed, Anyway houston
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: was in a bad spot in that, game which is
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: part of the, handicap Plus detroit extra rest after the rain.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: Out houston lost the. Game but, now when a team
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: returns home from a road trip and they have a
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: bad game and they lose that, game a lot of
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: times they bounce back and they played better in the next.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: Game but that's not Where i'm going with. This i'm
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: going with both starting pitchers to do well. Here as
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: far as the bullpen, USAGE i don't like either bullpen here,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: really and both bullpens have been. Used detroit went with
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: a bullpen, game so they used most of their bullpen,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: yesterday so that's. Bad they use six guys out of.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: It houston's bullpen had has been better, recently but they
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers, yesterday SO i would not want
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: to rely on either bullpen in this, game which is
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: Why i'm cutting them out of this equation. Here i'm
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: not gonna have them as part of this Under houston
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: still twenty second in, Bullpen detroit. Twentieth no thank. You
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: if they were both completely, rested, maybe but, no no thank.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: You these, Offenses houston's actually been a little bit worse.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: Recently they're, Ninth detroit has not been particularly. Good they're.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: Eighteenth SO i think we could get SOME i think
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: the pitching can overcome the hitting. Though anyway From rivald
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: is this pitching For, detroit and the unique situation that
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: he is in is he's going up against his former,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: Team SO i think that's an advantage to the starting,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: Pitcher like you go up against the team that got
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: rid of you for the first, time and that's what
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: this is. Here houston is the team that got rid of.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: Him he has not faced them this, year so this
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: will be his first time. Face, usually as a, pitcher
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: step up your game for that. Game you want to
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: go out there and pitch well and show that that
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: team made a mistake for getting rid of. You So
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: valdez has not been as good this year man four
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: point FOUR era one point three to four, whip BUT
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: i think he can go out there and give give
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: his team a good outing here against the team that
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: got rid of. HIM i think that's what you'll. Get
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: ALTHOUGH i know he's a head, case so you might get.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: Worried but if he goes out there and he starts pitching,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: WELL i think it should continue because with, him he
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: goes on tilt and if things start going, wrong then
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: it starts going really. Wrong but if that doesn't, HAPPEN
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: i think he can pitch. WELL a little bit of
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: a concern that he has a seven to four strike
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio in his two starts this, month but
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: he had one good start at home Against. Seattle his
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: other start wasn't, great also at home Against. MINNESOTA i
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: know his whip isn't really that, good But valdez is
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: actually better on the, Road SO i think it's better
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: that he's pitching on the road here and he's pitching
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: in a park that he's obviously very familiar. With but
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: for whatever, reason it's like shit gets in his head
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: more at. Home he's got a four point zero five
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: roadyra so we're gonna roll with.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 3: That Uh.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: Valdez his strike out rate is down this, year THOUGH
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: i don't know what the deal is with, that but
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: he is inducing a lot of ground, balls so there is,
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: that although sometimes that can mask. Problems and his main
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: problem is his walk number is too. High he's got
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: a decently low hit, rate but his walk number is a,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: problem so he's gotta somehow figure that. Out but he's
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: always been a guy that's walked too many, guys just
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: maybe not to this extent. Quite But houston really hasn't
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: really seen him in an actual, game even Though houston
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: obviously knows him because he was on their team until last,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: year but they haven't really seen him in an actual game.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: Environment only three of their hitters have faced him seventeen
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: at bets and they have not really succeeded against him
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: one seventy six, average five point fifty three ops three
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: four strike out walk, ratio but three of the walks
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: Are Christian walker, appropriately but they don't have much experience,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: again so So valdez might have kind of an unfamiliarity
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: edge year as. Well and These astros hitters that have
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: faced him haven't done well against, Him SO i think
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: that sets up for him to be in one of
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: HIS i think he's in a position to have one
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: of his better starts here and For, Houston Hunter brown
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: is returning AND i will consider you, KNOW i was
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: a little bit hesitant to consider him a. Veteran he's
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: the GUY i mentioned. EARLIER i was alluding to him
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: where we have another guy who's coming back from. INJURY
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: i Think brown should be able to do. It Man,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: brown like he had a huge breakout season last. Year
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: he got named to The All star team and that
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: seemed to throw him off for a little. While but
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: he's a really good pitcher and he was really good
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: this year before he went down with. Injury zero point
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: eight FOUR, era one point zero THREE, whip so obviously
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: HIS era should be higher than, that but still those
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: are not bad numbers at, all including the. Whip, also
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: LIKE i was, saying when a pitcher that is used to,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: THIS i don't know if he's necessarily this because he's
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: still pretty young twenty, seven but he's been in the
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: league for years. Now and when that's the, case a
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: lot of times these pitchers will come back and they'll
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: pitch well coming back from injury because they want to
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: get out, there Especially. Brown he's been injured since really
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: early in the. Season he only made two starts this
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: season before he went. Down he really only made one
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: that was kind of a complete. Start and yes it
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: was against The Red. Sox they suck, offensively But brown
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: looked really good before he went. Down he had an
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: extremely high strikeout, rate low hit rate as, well and
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: his walk rate was too. High but, WHATEVER i GUESS
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: i Think brown should do. Well and if you look
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: at his overall, STATS i mean he started out a
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: little bit questioned and then he could see he kind
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: of flipped a switch somewhere around twenty twenty four started
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: pitching really like quite, well and then last year he
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: was basically AN ace caliber pitcher last, year SO i
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: expect him to kind of get back to some form of.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: That it's a shoulder injury for, him WHICH i think
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: is at least better than it being an elbow. Injury
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: by the, way the injury for who was it that
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: was coming back from? Injury otherwise it Was. SENGA i
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: Think senga had like a leg and spine, Injury SO
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: i don't know what the deal is with. That doesn't sound,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: good but maybe it's not that. EXTREME i don't, Know but,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: ANYWAY i Think brown is going to be. Good AND
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: i looked at his minor league rehab stint that he had.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: Here he pitched In DOUBLE a And TRIPLE, a and
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: his numbers were really good In DOUBLE a And TRIPLE.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: A so he looks like he is ready to come,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: back and they wouldn't be putting him out there if he.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: Wasn't so that's the concern with these long, layoffs is
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: does he look like he's ready to? Go but the
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: fact that he was basically dominant in his minor league,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: rehabs SO i think he's ready to. GO i think
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be. Good he is a good, pitcher and
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i think he might be a little bit extra
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: because when these pitchers come back from, injury they've been
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: away for a, while they're pumped to get back out
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: there and do. WELL a lot of times the team
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: will rally around, Him SO i wouldn't necessarily disagree with
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: leaning Towards houston in this game as. Well brown Against
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: detroit has one hundred at bats against, him and he's
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: done pretty well two ten, average, allowed five to seventy
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: two ops thirty three to ten strike out walk, ratio
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: so he's got good matchup stats. Here the money is
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: also appearing to back the under, here with fifty three
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the over fifty percent of the
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: cash on the. Under that's for the full. Game but
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: we're gonna cut the bullpens out go with the first
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: five under, here and for what it's, worth the money
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: is back In houston and around minus one sixty something,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: here sixty eight percent of tickets seventy nine percent of
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: the cash on. Them probably wouldn't disagree With houston. Here
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: maybe we want to avoid their bullpen, though BUT i
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: like the under early in the. GAME i like both
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers to actually pitched well enough to do. That
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: so that's what we're gonna do. THERE i know it's
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: a first, five these things that get a little bit.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: Dicey some of my recent ones have not been. Good
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: we're hitting a good amount of them before, that, though
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: so let's get back to. IT i just there's no
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: way THAT i want to deal with these bullpens. Here So,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: kyle what's? Up thanks for hanging out under four and
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: a half of minus one twenty. FIVE i THINK i
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: would probably do. That every half run matters a little
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: bit more in the in the early, going like in
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: the first five, innings smaller, sample so each run is
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: worth a little bit. More and of course the game
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: could be tied after the first, five which it cannot
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: be for the full. Game i'll let me, look you're,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: RIGHT i see that at THE i see even better than. That,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: ACTUALLY i see under four and a half at minus
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: one twenty four at the the B, book the book
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: that's a gym that sometimes doesn't let me actually put
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: money into. It BUT i also see the minus one
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: twenty five at The Lion book with THE. M so
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: you are correct in that. Case all, right let's call it.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: That then we'll switch it to, that because that's what
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: the line is right now out, there all. RIGHT i
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: found it under four and a half minus one twenty.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: Four not much of a durance for minus one twenty,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: Five so there you, go paying a little bit more
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: for it. Though all. Right the next game Is anaheim And.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: ARIZONA i Liked anaheim in the first five, yesterday and
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: that would have been a. Push the game was tied
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: after the first. Five both pitchers actually pitched, WELL i
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: think in the. Game arizona wound up winning the game
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: four to, three which makes sense because they are the better,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: bullpen so if the game is close late in the,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: Game arizona should have a bit of an. Advantage arizona
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: used two guys out of the, Bullpen anaheim only used,
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: one so these arrested. Bullpens arizona's ranked seventh in, bullpen
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: although THE era is still above, four SO i don't
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: think they're really a top seven, bullpen but they're at
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: least a mediocre slash somewhat good. Bullpen feels weird to
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: Say anaheim is not. Good they're twenty, six so they
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: are not a good. Bullpen hitting, Wise arizona has really
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: been bad recently twenty Sixth anaheim, twentieth so these offenses
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: have kind of been struggling. Here starting, Pitching Reed debtmers
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: is pitching For. ANAHEIM i think he's good man and
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: just nobody talks about. Him but his numbers are pretty.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: Strong he's got a four E ra one point zero
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: five whip is really good three point four to ONE
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: era on the, road so he's better on the, road
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: so that's also. Good even though this is a hitter
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: front the Ballpark denvers has been awesome and two starts
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: this month against The dodgers And. Houston those are not
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: offenses that are easy to take. On fifteen to two
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk, ratio three hits allowed in those thirteen, innings
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: one run. Allowed he's been basically untouchable this. Month debtmers
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: looks really good right. Now his last couple starts last.
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: Month we're also pretty good in a high strikeout. Rate
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: he's got a really low hit rate on the. Season
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is, okay and his strikeout rate is.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: High these are some strong, numbers, DUDE i think he's.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: Good he's going up Against arizona. Here they don't have
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: much experience against. Him they have four guys who have
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: faced him twelve at bats one sixty, seven batting average,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: allowed six nineteen, ops three to two strike out walk.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: Ratio both extrarase hits are doubles From Guryel. Junior DO
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: i Think detmer should pitch well? Here? YEAH i. Do
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: he's in the better of his splits. Here he's in
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: really good form right, now and he's got some unfamiliarity,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: here plus good matchup numbers, Otherwise so, YES i Like
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: dettmer's in this. Game Merrill kelly is pitching For. Arizona
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: he's been in much worse form. Recently his numbers are
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: not good right now five point four SIX, era one
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: point four or FIVE. Whip he came back a little
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: bit on a delay this season for coming back from,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: injury pitched, poorly and then he started pitching. Better SO i, Thought,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: Okay kelly is getting better, Here like he's gonna be
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: back into form at some, point because if you look
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: at his career, numbers none of his numbers are anywhere
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: near this bad throughout his entire, career you, know so
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: he should be better than. This he's back with his
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: former team Here. ARIZONA i still think, that LIKE i
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: still think he is going to wind up getting these numbers.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: Down but he's again not really pitching well right, now
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: SO i worry about. That he's not good at. Home
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: seven point six SIX homi race so far is really.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: Bad he was okay and his last start on the
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: road Against, miami but only had one, strikeout so that's
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: a bit of a. Concern his strikeout walk ratio has
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: been pretty ugly over his last like four. Starts he's
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: got an eleven to nine strikeout walk ratio that's not good.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: Enough so he's been walking too many guys. Recently even
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: though he had mostly a pretty good month Of, may
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: his starts In june have not really been good, really
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: just one start Against washington wasn't, good though they are
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: good offense on the, Road so it's hard to gauge
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: what you're gonna get out Of kelly, Here, like is
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: he bouncing back with That miami, Started he's gonna be better?
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't, know, MAN i Don't he's got a
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: really low strikeout, rate which is maybe not a good
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: sign like he should and he's not a strike up,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: pitcher but he should at least have a higher strikeout
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: rate than. This he's got a kind of high hit
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: rate this, season two in his walk rates not really that.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: Good he's not really totally trustworthy here right, now except
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: he does have good numbers Against anaheim in the, past
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: only fourteen at, bats but most of their lineup has
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: faced him at least. Once six, strikeouts three, walks nothing great,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: there but one forty three batting average for thirty seven.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: Ops So anaheim hasn't hit him that. WELL i still
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: don't really trust, them, THOUGH i Like dettmers better in this.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: One detmars is in the better form. Here arizona is
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: getting the money though sixty percent of tickets seventy nine
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On arizona at right around to
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: pick them minus one. Ten BUT i would Lean anaheim
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: first five, HERE i, THINK i JUST i think they
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: have the starting pitching. EDGE i would not want their
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: bullpen involved in, This SO i think first Five, anaheim
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: just LIKE i thought, yesterday which wound up being a.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: Push but that's WHAT i think is what makes sense
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: in this. Game the money's also backing the under for
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: what that's, worth which kind of aligns with the money
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: back In, arizona because if the money's going to back the,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: Under kelly is the. PITCHER i think you have to
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: worry more about here Because Debt mevers has just been
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: so good recently And kelly hasn't. Been so if the
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: money is Backing kelly or back In, arizona they're kind
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: of the money seems to be Expecting kelly to actually
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: pitch well. Here and if that's the, case and he
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: pitches along with those matchup numbers there instead of with
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: his own road, splits which are awful for this, game
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: then the under does kind of make, sense BUT i
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: would limit that to the first five innings as. Well
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: if you did go, UNDER i think you should do
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: it first five Because anaheim's bullpen is just. Terrible All,
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: Right the next game up will be a play for,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: Me and this is one Where i'm going against one
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: of my not really. Rules but you have two starting
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: pitchers In Seattle baltimore who just faced these opposing, offenses
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: and SOMETIMES i do not like to back those pitchers
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: again the next time because the offenses just saw. Them
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: But i'm doing it anyway here based on how this
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: game sets Up baltimore And seattle under seven and a
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: half at minus one oh. Seven i'm gonna keep the
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: full full game in this one because you're getting under
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: that key number seven and a half here rather than
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: having to go under like three and a half in
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: the first five or. Whatever but also it's helpful that
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: both teams are rested. Here neither team played. Yesterday seattle's
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: returning home cross country from a road, trips that's a
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: negative spot For. Seattle you, KNOW i always talk about
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: that when a team returns, home they can be. Distracted
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: they have to get back to home Life seattle's sitting
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: atop their division right now playing against A baltimore. Team
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: it's not really that. Good and you, know just the
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: fact they're traveling cross country and having to readjust to
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: the specific time, zone all of that can fuck with the.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: Team AND i think it fucks with their hitting because
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: most of the team is the hitting, here you know
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: WHAT i, Mean like one starting pitcher is more likely
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: to be able to overcome that than the, Hitters SO
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: i think that's gonna negatively affect the. Hitters, Meanwhile baltimore
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: is also having to travel cross country because they were
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: just In baltimore and lost the last two games To San.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: Diego they're flying all the way to The pacific coast,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: too AND i talk about when These East coast teams
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: go west sometimes they don't do well because they have
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: to they have to adjust to the time zone as.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: Well so both teams have to readjust to The pacific
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: time zone. HERE i think that could fuck with them
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: with their biological. CLOCK i know they've had a day
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: off to get used to, it but, STILL i think
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: all of that can lead to some distracted hitting. Here
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: SO i think that helps us. Here, well what else
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: are they gonna SAY i think the fact that the
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: teams had yesterday off can cool off the, hitting and
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: it's gonna rest the. Bullpens SO i like that we
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: have one good bullpen With. SEATTLE i know the rank,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: sixteenth but their bullpen array is, good SO i like their.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: BULLPEN i don't really Like baltimore's the rank seventeenth and
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: their ray is like a run. Higher but given that they're,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: RESTED i think we can do this because they're not
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: one of the most horrendous bullpens at, least So i'm
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: gonna keep this one as a full game. Play and
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: Also i'm hoping that the starting pitching gets us deeper
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: into this game as. Well baltimore's eleventh in, Offense seattle is.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: Seventeenth but we're also looking at a pitcher friendly park,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: here AND i think we're looking, at believe it or,
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: NOT i think we're looking at two starting pitchers that
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: might have a little bit of an advantage. Here Brandon
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: young For, baltimore all of a, sudden actually has some
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: good numbers here three point oh FOUR, era one point
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: two to four. WHIP i told, you man THAT i
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: thought this guy was actually getting. Better he was a
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: guy that looked like he had some talent in the
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: past and it just hadn't really come to fruition. Yet
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: he's a little bit worse on the road. Here three
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: point four to three road. Era that's still not that.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: Bad this is gonna be a picture friendly. Environment, yes
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: last time out he did Face seattle in a more
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: hitter from the environment And camden, yards and he shut
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: them out for seven, innings only throwing eighty eight. Pitches
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: he was very efficient in that, outing and, yes you
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: could worry a little that While seattle just saw, Him
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: so now they're gonna they're gonna hit better against. Him,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe But young has actually been pretty good Throughout like
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: the entire past, Month orioles have won every one of his.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: Games he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: one of those. Starts one of them was short At,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: washington but all the other ones pretty, good and his
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: walk rate went down in his last four outings as.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: Well So young is in pretty good form right. Now
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: So i'm not sure That seattle's gonna really be able
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: to completely flip the script on him. Here even if
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: he does a little bit, WORSE i think we could
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: still get this game Under young does have a low
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate though he's not a good strikeout, pitcher but
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: he's got a low hit. Rate his walk rate is okay,
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: ish so not too bad here From young and his
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: numbers Against seattle span and not just that one. Start
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: he's got twenty one career at bats against. Him they
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: only have an own ninety five average against, him two
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: sixty nine, ops no extra base, hits three, strikeouts two,
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: Walks So young has had the upper hand against, them
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: mostly in that one, start but also in addition to,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: that And seattle's going With Logan, gilbert who was having
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: a good season as. Well three point six TWO, era
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: one point oh eight. Whip, NOW i Know gilbert has
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: extreme home road, splits and they're not good for this game.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: Here so we're going against both pitchers home road, SPLITS i,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: know And gilbert five point six home he, RAY i
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: know that's. BAD i don't know what's going on with.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: Him he's allowed twelve home runs at home so. Far
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: but to, me this is just not something that's going
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: to continue because if you look at what he's one
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: in the, past he was excellent at home last year
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: two point two four HOME era last, year so this
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: small sample sizes to start the. SEASON i think this
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: is more of a fluke, occurrence SO i am less
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: worried about him than OTHERWISE i would be pitching at. Home,
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: yes he just pitched in that series Against. Baltimore he was.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: Good he went six, innings allowed one run on three
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: hits in his game in that. Series one concern is
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: that he threw over one hundred pitches in that outing
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: for the first time this. Season but he's gotten close
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: to one hundred pitches otherwise this, season and he's been
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: around for a long time enough THAT i don't think
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: that matters that. Much SO i think he should be okay,
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 2: here even, though, Yeah baltimore maybe hits him a little
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: bit better in this, game but even if they, DO
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: i still don't think that's gonna be. Enough And gilbert's
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: been good in three of his last four, starts, really
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: all four of, them granted the one week one was
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: the one at home against The, mets which is not
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: necessarily a good. Sign his last two of them starts
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: against The mets In San. Diego we're both, bad and
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: those are both not good, Offenses so that IS i,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: agree that is definitely. Concerning BUT i just think he's
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: gonna turn this. Around. Man and just his career wise
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: numbers Against baltimore eighty nine at, bats he's really held
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: them in check twenty six to, six strikeout walk ratio
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: one sixty nine, average five forty seven. Ops SO i Think, Gilbert,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: yeah at some point his home numbers are gonna start getting.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: Better this is a good matchup for that to start.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: Happening he's been good against them in The so it
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: looks like an under to. Me that's what we're going with.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: Here the money is agreeing with. Me it looks like
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: here fifty six percent of, tickets ninety four percent of
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on the. Under total is, low as we,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: know seven and a, half but you can get a
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: decent price on. This it's a little bit juice to the.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: OVER i, mean you might be able to find an
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: eight out there, too probably at about minus one twenty
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: though if you go under the. Eight not a huge
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: difference between seven and a half and, eight because seven
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: is the more key number on the full, game because
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: you have to break a tie and the money is Backing.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: Baltimore seventy six percent of tickets On, seattle sixty percent
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: of the cash On, baltimore which makes sense to some
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: degree Because seattle's re turning on from the, road so
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: that's a negative spot For. Seattle young looks like you
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: can match up here and pitch ok Against gilbert or Against.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: Seattle gilbert's home road splits that are negative here are more,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: extreme so that kind of makes. Sense although Again i'm
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: backing the under, here BUT i don't necessarily disagree With.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: Baltimore if you go BALD i think you should go
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: first five, though because there they are at a bullpen disadvantage,
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: there all, Right and then we Have pittsburgh and The.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: A's we're back In sacramento with The a's. Here The
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: a's won easily, yesterday, though eleven to. TWO i didn't
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: think it was gonna be that easy for them because
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: it was a trip home from an extended time. Away
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: they were returning home From vegas at that, point SO
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: i didn't really expect them to be that good in that,
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: game Although pittsburgh was having to travel all the way.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: West Now pittsburgh is at least adjusted to the time zone.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: Here pittsburgh used two guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: it looks Like jones did not have a good start. Yesterday,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: unfortunately BECAUSE i like, him The a's only just two
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: guys out of the. Bullpen neither of these bullpens are particularly.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: Good If pittsburgh is twenty, ONE a is twenty, three
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: they both have pretty bad, eras so that's not. Good,
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: offensively both teams are good as number Three pittsburgh number,
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: seven so this does look like it has the makings
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: for some in this. Series Mitch keller is pitching For.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh he's got some weak. Numbers, man he was good
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: at the beginning of the. SEASON i think he's still
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: kind of an underrated, pitcher but he's been bad. RECENTLY
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: a five point one FOUR era on the, season one
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: point three to one whip not. Good he's better on
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: the road four point three to two ROAD, era but
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: pitching in this a stadium In sacramento might not be
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: good for. Him he's been really weak in both of
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: his starts this month and his last start in the prior.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: Month really five of his last six starts have been.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: Bad that's not. Good his last three he hasn't made
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: it five. Innings his two of this. Month maybe give
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: him a little bit of a pass because it was Against.
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: Atlanta and The, dodgers but this is still not. Good
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: seven to seven strike out walk ratio got bombed By
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: minnesota at the end Of. May not a good sign.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: There his overall, numbers his hit rate isn't too, bad
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is not really that, bad strike out
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: rate is, low but, yeah overall, STILL i, mean he's
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: just in really bad form right. Now he looks like
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: he's not really backable. Here those numbers are okay against
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: The a's and forty one at, bats seven to one
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio one ninety five, average but seven
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: twenty six ohps is not as low as you would
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: think because he's allowed four home runs to, them so
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: that might be a little bit of an issue. Here So, Keller,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: yeah his matchup numbers are a little bit iffy against
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: The a's and he's an extreme fly ball pitcher kind,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: of so that doesn't bode well for this particular stadium
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: really that he gives up a lot of fly, Balls
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: SO i don't THINK i would want to back him.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: Here Jack perkins is getting the start for The. A's
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: he has not been good so. Far six point twenty FIVE,
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: ra one point three to six. Whip he's been mostly
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: pitching in. Relief and then he's made a couple of
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: starts recently and they didn't really go. Well went four
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: innings Against houston and Against. Milwaukee wasn't really good in either.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: Outing had a decent strikeout, ray but a high walk.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: Rate not really good. Here his overall, numbers his hit
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: rates a little, high his wal grate's. Okay his strikeout
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: rate is, good so there is, That BUT i don't
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: trust him. Here Although pittsburgh has never seen him, before
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: so he does have that ADVANTAGE i guess of, unfamiliarity
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: but other than, THAT i. DON'T i don't think he's
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: trustworthy here right. Now hasn't looked good as a starter so,
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: far so this game probably does look like an. Over
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: that's probably the WAY i would lean. Here you're having
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: to go over a big total though IT'S i think
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: it's eleven, Now, yeah it's going to. Eleven some books
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: have ten and a half juice to the, over, actually
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: so if you can get, that that's better because eleven
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: is an odd, number so it's one of the key
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: numbers in. Baseball the money seems to be backing the
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: over sixty seven percent of, tickets ninety percent of the
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: cash on the, OVER i would agree with. That LIKE i,
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: SAID i don't really want to do, it but BECAUSE
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: i think both pitchers are capable of pitching better than.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: This but, yeah the over makes the most sense in this.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: Game plus you get to back two bad bullpens here
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: minus forty or so is the price on The a's
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: for what that's worth sixty nine percent of tickets on,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: them but seventy six percent of the cash on the.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: Pirates so the money is coming in and backing the
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: pirates and kind of putting some faith In Mitch keller.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: There so do with that info what you. Want and
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: then the final game, here Raise. Dodgers this will be
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: my last play THAT i give. Out it's another total
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: and you know me because you can see who these
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: pitchers are, well especially With. Rasmussen, here we're gonna go
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: under first five in this. One this one you can
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: find four and a half minus one twenty, five or
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: at least you could WHEN i. Looked so we're getting
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: under four and a halves in both of these first, fives,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: now WHICH i. LIKE i like having those extra couple
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: of half runs, there man or that extra. RUN i like.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: THIS i mean the public might look at this and, think,
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: oh both, teams you know are capable of hitting and go,
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: over and yeah they, are but The dodgers are a
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: little bit worse offensively at. Home Tampa bay is really
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: taking a. Slide they've been in a slide offensively, recently
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: So Tampa bay has not been that good on offense
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: for a while. Now dodgers used four relief pitchers. YESTERDAY
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: i don't fully trust their, bullpen SO i think that's
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: Why i'm taking them out. Here Tampa. Bay they're bullpen
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: on these two, guys but their bullpen metrics are, bad
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: So i'm taking them. Out they're the worst bullpen the
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: array out of any of the teams That i'm backing
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: The unders with, HERE i, think wait a, minute are They?
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: No houston's is still the, worst even Though houston's been,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: better my, Mistake houston's is still. Worse But Tampa bays
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: is not that far. Off they're nineteenth and. Bullpender their
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: e ray is a bottom like teny. Ray they're not,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: good so we're gonna take them. Out dodgers have the
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: sixth best bullpen right, now but their bullpen the array
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: has gone. Up they haven't been that good recently, Either
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: so they worry me a little, bit so we'll take them.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: Out The. Dodgers, yes they're number one in, offense we know,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: that but we're gonna take the pitching to kind of
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: counter that year or to definitely counter, it. Hopefully Tampa
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: bay fifteenth in. Offense Drew rasmus in pitching For Tampa,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: bay he's. Good two point seven to one E, ray
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: point eight to eight. Whip those are really good, numbers,
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: Man and because he's not really a guy that goes
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: out there and blows people, away nobody really pays attention to.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: Him but you can't really argue with these numbers here too.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: Much he's been better on the road slightly two point
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: five to Six Roady. Ray he just destroyed The Red
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: sox last time, out and he was really good Against
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: miami the start before. That he's got a twenty two
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: to one strike Out Walker razier this, month so he
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: is blowing people away this. Month he's given up no
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: runs on only three hits in fourteen. Innings and, yes
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: obviously The dodgers are a different animal Than boston And,
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: miami but Still rasmussen is an excellent form right. Now
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: he had one bad start Against, anaheim which was at
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: home in the mix, there and then he had another
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: shutout outing prior to that against The, yankees so they're
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: a fairly comparable offense to The, dodgers and that was
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: in The bronx where The yankees pitch. Better So, rasmussen
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: he's a really good form right. Now he's got a
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: really low hit, rate a low walk, rate and a
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: really well not really have but a high strikeout. Rate
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: believe it or. Not he's usually not that huge of
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: a strikeout, guy but he's looking really good right. Now
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: he's sexy man against The. Dodgers he does have pretty
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: good numbers as. Well in forty seven at, bats eleven
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: to four strikeout walk ratio is not, excellent but he's
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: only allowed one Extra mase hit to, them which is
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: a double From, espinal who seems to be the guy
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: that does the most damage against him rather than the
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: guys that have the bigger. Names two fifty five batting
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: average from The dodgers against him five ninety. Ops those
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 2: are pretty low offensive. Numbers SO i Think, rasmussen who's
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: an excellent form right, now has decent matchup. NUMBERS i
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: think you can pitch, Well Justin robleski is pitching for The,
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: dodgers he's a little bit more. QUESTIONABLE i would say
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: he's he's dealing with a hamstring, issue but they're having
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: him go, anyway so looks like he's. Fine but, again
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: if he winds up getting swapped, out we'll just have
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: a no play. Here LIKE i, said we're choosing starters must.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: Start the listed starters must start in all of these
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: games today like we usually. Do so If robleski does
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: have an injury issue and he does wind up getting swapped,
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: out it will be a no, Play and then IF
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: i catch, It i'll try to comment and say IF
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: i would play the game anyway Under it's gonna depend
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: on who they put in, there but likely it'll be
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: like a bullpen type of, game so Likely i'd want
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: to just leave the game alone if they do. That
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: robleski does does have good numbers, here shockingly because he
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: is not a guy that goes out and blows people
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: away at. All he's a lefty kind of command. Pitcher
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: but he's young and his numbers look. Good two point
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: nine to FIVE r one point zero. Five he's been
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: almost the same home and. Away wasn't good last time,
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: out but it was At, pittsburgh SO i think maybe
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: you give him a pass for, that because that's A
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: pittsburgh offense that's quite, good and they're good at, home
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: SO i think you give him a little bit of
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: a pass for. That his previous two, outing he gave
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: up one combined run At arizona and at home Against
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: philly and had thirteen strikeouts and no walks in those
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: thirteen innings with only seven hits a. Lot and, yes
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: he had a rough outing on the road the start
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: before that Against. Milwaukee he had one other rough, outing
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: which was at home Against. Atlanta but other than those
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: three outings THAT i just, mentioned WHICH i know we're
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: all kind of, recent he's given up three or fewer
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: on runs and all of his other starts and Against Tampa,
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: bay they really have not seen much of. Him eight
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: at bats across four. Hitters vlade does have a home
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: run off, him but other than, that they haven't done.
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: Anything four, strikeouts no, walks one twenty five, average six
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: twenty five. Ops just because that one hit is that home.
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 2: RUN i Think robleski could do well, here, obviously if
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have him, pitch you, know it seems like
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: that means that his that he's ready to. Go this
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: money is backing the over, here SO i do worry
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: about that a little. Bit this is the one of
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: the three games where the money seems to be disagreeing
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: me on. It fifty six percent of tickets on the,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: under ninety three percent of the cash on the. OVER
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: i don't love seeing. THAT i liked the over in
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: last night's, game by the, way and it did not go,
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: over so Maybe i'm wrong about the whole. Thing the
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: totals at eight for the full game fairly low total
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: for A dodger. Game the money is fading The dodgers
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of, tickets fifty four percent of the
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: cash on. Them they're around minus one forty eight or so.
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: Here dodgers always have a pretty high price tag on.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: THEM i think that that's Because rasmus it is just
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: the more proven. Pitcher kind of makes sense to maybe
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: want to Back Tampa bay given that price tag. There
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: IF i was gonna Go Tampa, BAY i would go
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: first five only, though BECAUSE i don't think they have
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: the better bullpend. HERE i mean they, don't but first
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: five unders the Way i'm gonna give this game. OUT
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: i think both starting pitchers could do well enough in
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: that one to keep that thing low. Enough so we're
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: going low here TODAY. Wnba there's one game. Here those
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: are all my players for the. Day they're all in BASEBALL.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: Wnba one. Game it is Still cup action because that.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Continues It's toronto At. Indiana it's a little bit of
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: a mismatch kind, OF i, think although now THAT i said,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: That indiana is probably gonna. Lose, no But indiana doesn't
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: have a record that's that's that much better Than. Toronto,
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: like oh my, God indiana's eight and, Five toronto seven and.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: Seven why would you want to lay seven and a
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: half With, Indiana, Right, so just at a glance, here
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: that would have me leaning Towards, indiana just because they're
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are telling you they're they're significantly better Than.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: Toronto despite the team's. Records toronto is not played here
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: In indiana, yet so they're gonna maybe Have they're gonna
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: maybe struggle with the unfamiliarity a little bit. There, Uh
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: indiana does Have atlanta next, Though so that's the worry
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: THAT i would have With indiana. Here one of The
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: warriors is that's a big. Game they have two games
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Against atlanta coming up next On Amazon prime AND. Abc
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: those are gonna be big. Games indiana's coming up an
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: easy win Over connecticut, though so they're easing their way
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 2: into this game off of some easy ish wins against
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: some of the lower teams in the. League, so or
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: at least The chicago team it's. Injured H So indiana
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: is not really in a terrible spot here other than
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: you have to worry about the look ahead a little.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: Bit toronto just got blown out By, atlanta so they
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: might be in a bounce back. Spot they're starting a road,
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: trip so it is likely they will show up focus
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: here at the very least after a blowout. Loss SO
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: i don't really want to Fade toronto. Here, yeah it's
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: a game That i'm not gonna deal, With But indiana
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: around seven to seven and a half. Here indiana is
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: getting the money seventy percent of, tickets ninety four percent
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: of the cash In. Indiana it's a very high. Total
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: it's one of the higher. Totals just see in THE
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: wnba for what that's. Worth it one seventy eight and a.
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: Half expected to be a lot of scoring in this.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: ONE i THINK i would still probably lean with the
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: money there and laying the points With, indiana BUT i
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: don't have a good read on the, game so nothing.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: There and then we do have Some World cup action
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: after a day of DRAWS D, day the draw day,
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 2: yesterday we have some interesting matchups here starting in the.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: Afternoon france And. Senegal these first two matches, today by the,
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: way are all in the same. Group, France, Senegal iraq
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: And norway are all in the same. Group that's actually
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: kind of a strong. Group, France, senegal And norway all
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: are fairly good. Teams iraq not, really but those other three,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: teams they're all very, competitive which is Why france they're
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the. World and they're
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: only minus two fifteen, here which is still fairly big
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: on the three way. Line but you saw what Like,
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: spain and you, Know spain was minus fourteen, Hundred germany
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: was minus thirty five hundred against those island countries. Whatever
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: france is nowhere near that. Price Because senegal is actually
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: a pretty strong, team so this could be an interesting.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: Matchup these games were all On, Fox peacock and Tell,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: a which that might Be almundo actually is that what
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: that is on The spanish? CHANNEL i. DO i honestly
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: have no. Idea this game is that MetLife In New
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: york Or New. Jersey it's The giants And jets stadium.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: Here france should, win and LIKE i said in My
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: World cup, Preview france was kind of my pick to
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: win the whole thing Because france made it to the
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: final four years ago and they have a lot of
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: guys still on that. Team they still Have bape and
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: some of those other. Guys france is an extremely strong,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: team an extremely experienced, team and an extremely deep. Team
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: So france was my pick to win this whole. Thing
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: but this is not an easy matchup to start out
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: the tournament Against, senegal so this could be an interesting.
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: GAME i don't have a play on it obviously or
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: anything like. THAT i might have some plays once we
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: get into more. Action by the, way tomorrow they're gonna
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: be five matches AND i have to keep looking to
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: see if They're, oh there's a midnight. Game so actually
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: we have four, tomorrow four, Today so good THING i
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: checked Because i've been missing these talking about these midnight.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: Games SO i will talk about that BECAUSE i. APOLOGIZE
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: i missed The Australia tunisia, game but, anyway, WHATEVER i
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: don't have much of a read for. This the biggest
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: favorite of the day Is norway Against iraq in the same.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: Group but this is gonna be In Gillette, stadium, Sorry
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: Boston stadium and Fox Row mass where The patriots, play
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: same venue That scotland. HAD i have not seen any
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: activity from The, norwegians though The scots took Over. Boston
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: man and The scots and The irish like each other
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: because they all hate The. British so we have tons
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: Of irish here and The scots get along with them
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: and behave in a similar. Way The scotts culture is
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: right in line with our culture In. Boston, norway you,
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: KNOW i welcome those guys. TOO i haven't seen much
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: out of them though they've been more of a quiet fan.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: Base norway is interesting AND i just watched a documentary
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: ABOUT i know more About norway team THAT i do
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: about any other team right now BECAUSE i watched The
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: netflix documentary about, them which was. Interesting it was about
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: How norway has not made The World cup since the
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: late nineties and they were actually a strong soccer team back.
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: Then they have gone decades without getting, here so now
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 2: the whole country is really excited because they're back in
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: The World cup and haven't been there for a really long. Time.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: Now scotland was kind of in a similar. Position scotland
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: won their first match and they had not been in
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: A World cup for thirty, years SO i think they
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: were motivated because of. That SO i think it can
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: go two ways, though right because you could see the
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: team be really motivated and playing loose and being really
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: excited like we're in our First World cup in a long,
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: time you know WHAT i. Mean or maybe the fact
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: that they got through all those qualifying matches and they
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: finally did it and they treat that like, that like
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: that was their goal already we made The World cup,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: again finally that maybe there could be a letdown component
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: to that coming into The World, cup you. Know so
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: those are things that. Consider ALTHOUGH i don't Think norway
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: is gonna lose To iraq though they shouldn't if you
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: look at What norway did in the qualifying. Matches they
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: actually Beat italy, twice which is part of the reason
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: Why italy's not. Here the way the qualifiers work is
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: THAT i guess there are a bunch of. Groups norway
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: was In italy's group and the, Qualifiers norway somehow was
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: able to go in the final. Match it came down
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: To norway At italy for which team was gonna get
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: auto qualified into The World. Cup and it was At
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: italy Where, ITALY i, guess had never lost a qualifying match,
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: there And norway beat them and beat them, handily which
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: is pretty. Insane Although italy they're like the twelfth ranked
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 2: team in the. World italy is and they're one of
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: the higher ranked teams to ever not make The World cup,
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: though but they're not like, this like they're not one
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: of the Best italy, teams although it is still pretty
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: shocking they didn't make The World cup Because italy then
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: had another chance to get into The World cup after
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: they lost To. Norway it went into a playoff where
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: you get these like small tournament brackets and the teams
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: that win those get. In italy lost To bosnia And
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: herzegovina on on penalty. Kicks that's how They that's how
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: they wound up getting completely eliminated from The World cup
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: because if they had won that, match they'd still be
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: in which is, ridiculous But. Norway WHAT i can tell
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: you about them is they're a really good offensive. TEAM
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: i can tell you that they have a lot of
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: really good offensive, players and they have one guy who
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: looks like a Fucking, viking WHICH i. Love this. GUY
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: i think his name is haland he's this six', five
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: long blonde, hair dude and even though, he's tall he
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: actually can run really fast and score with the best.
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: Of THEM so i kind Of like norway just just
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: JUST because i like. That dude, i'm, like yeah. THIS
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: dude i like, These dudes like they look like fucking
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: football tight ends, out there you KNOW what, I mean
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: like these, huge guys but they're. Offensive players like usually
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: the guys that are THAT big i think are gonna
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: be more, defensive players if hockey is. ANY indication i
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: don't know soccer, as well but to see a guy
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: that size having that amount of speed and that scoring
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: ability is kind. Of rare like you've seen that With
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: like lucaco whatever the guy's name Was. On belgium they
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: just get there in the middle and they pose all
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: these matchup problems because they're like bigger than almost everybody,
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: else there you KNOW what. I mean so it's it's interesting,
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: To WATCH like, I would i might Watch this norway
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: match just just to see that guy out There. Now,
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: NORWAY uh i don't know if their captain is, injured
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: though because they have a captain which, is uh let
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: me see what the fuck is, His Name Martin. Martin udeguard,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: this guy he's. Their captain he's. Been injured he didn't
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: play in those like later, qualifying matches so they Actually
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: beat italy. Without him but he's their best player because he's.
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: Their CAPTAIN so i don't know if he's back, or
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: not so that's something. To CONSIDER but i know they
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: have these other guys that. Are good nousah is their
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: other really. Good player he's one of their best attackers.
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: As well so THAT'S what i Know about norway based
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: off ALL that. I Know this howga guy here was
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: the last guy to make. The team he's like kind
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: of a young guy who actually he's older than some
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: of these other guys on. The team he's Older. Than Nuslacker,
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: HOW guy i guess was one of the guys that
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: they brought in for like the friendly matches that they
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: played after the qualifying. Qualifying matches they play these like
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: friendly matches just to get the squad ready and Try
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: to like it's ALMOST like, nfl preseason where like the
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: guys that you know are gonna be on the team don't,
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: really play but you're trying out like the rest of
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: the guys, to see like who are the last guys
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: to make the, team basically so that guy is one,
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: Of them so. We'll SEE but i guess he's kind
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: of a. Defensive liability he's probably not gonna play that,
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: many minutes but we. Will see THAT'S all i know. About,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: IT man i don't know anything about soccer except, for
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: that JUST because i watched. The documentary by, the WAY
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: what i do know also Is that norway's co coach
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 2: is A former, Norway PLAYER and i Know that norway
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: went through like a lot of different coaches after they
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: started failing to Make The world cup year after year
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: or every four. Years whatever norway went through this coaching
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: carousel and they had, no continuity which is kind. Of
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: stupid but they've landed on this coach they, have NOW
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: and i guess. He's good the players like. HIS style
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: i guess where they have this way where they have
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: like a good balance of like being serious about, the
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: play but also when it comes time to, you know
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: like hang out like as a team and have like
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: the social aspect, of it they do that well. As
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: WELL so i don't know something, like THAT but i
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: guess they're also not MORONS like nba players and going
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: out there and, you know partying like crazy and stuff.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: Like that they're not, Doing THAT so i guess that
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 2: was my gauge. On It but, norway's coach by, the
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: way his career in soccer ended early because he had
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 2: a heart attack during a practice and could never play
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: again after THAT because i guess he wound up being
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: put in a coma for some amount of days in
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: the hospital and they gave him. A pacemaker he actually
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: was clinically dead and they had to, revive HIM and
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: i guess because of the pacemaker, or whatever he couldn't
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: play any sort of like sport to at that, level
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: anymore at that, intensity level so he couldn't. Play anymore
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 2: but he is now, their coach so hopefully they keep
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: his heart. Intact there then We have Argentina, and algeria
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 2: which is being Played In kansas City, at arrowhead where
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: the weather apparently is not good. OVER there i see
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 2: some Of the english complaining about That because england is
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: also Playing In, kansas CITY and i guess the weather has.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: Been awful so you See like scotland having all this
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: fun in the good. Weather here, you know it's like seventies.
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: And eighties Out, in boston it's. Been sunny they're having all,
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: this fun and then you get into the middle of
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: the country and it's like thunderstorms and tornados and just
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 2: a ton of crazy shit going on. Out there chicago
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: area is even worse for that, RIGHT now. I think,
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: But Anyway. Argentina algeria argentina's the minus two twenty. Five.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: Favorite argentina, you know they're the. Returning champs i'm. Pretty.
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: Sure right They beat france in the Final Last world Cup,
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: with MESSI which i thought was. His last let, me
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: See is messi's still playing? For THEM because i thought
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: that was his last go Around. With argentina he's. Still,
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: there no what a? Liar fuck, come, On. Man messi he's,
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 2: thirty eight which it, is old But he's messi is
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: still on, the, TEAM dude I was i thought he
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: was totally serious about that being and that was his
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: way to. Go out, you know you Win The world
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: cup and then you go out, that Way because i'm
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 2: pretty sure. They did, but nope he's. Still playing apparently
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: he's been PLAYING. IN mls i think With like miami's team.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: Or whatever i'm not sure he's gonna be that much of,
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: a FACTOR but i guess he's Still on. Argentina's, TEAM algeria,
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: i know is not that bad of, a Team like i've.
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: Seen them they've been in Some Other world cups and
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: they've made some amount of. Noise There but argentina's should
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: win that game obviously because. Their favorite BUT again i
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: don't have a good gauge on any, of this but
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: as the oddsmakers are, Telling you norway actually has the
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: best odds to win out of any of. These matches
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: early on on the three, way line, you know one
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: of these favorites might get. Upset here but We'll. See
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: SENEGAL like, I said senegal is actually a legit, team
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: Though so france does not get an easy match to start.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 2: This out and then at midnight tonight we Will have
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: Austria and Jordan In levi Stadium In, Santa, clara california
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: which is the Forty Nine, ers, stadium which by, the
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: way you got to watch out For your you gotta
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: figure out which practice facility the forty nine ers use
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: and not, use it because you know how the forty
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: nine ers have all, these injuries like they're. Notoriously injured,
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: people THINK and i think they might, be right that
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: it's because their practice facility is really close to this
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 2: like electric substation, or something and they, think they'll like
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 2: the electric currents or whatever are fucking with the people's
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 2: health when they spend too much time. Near them so
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: it's this is a. Real thing And The super bowl
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: was just, played There The patriots Seahawks. Super bowl both
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: teams refuse to practice in the forty nine, ers facilities
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: so there's like something legit. To THAT so i don't
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 2: know if that's affecting these soccer matches. Or not austria
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 2: is the better team Here. Over jordan austria is minus
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: two seventy five on the three. WAY line i don't
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: know much. ABOUT it I know jordan's a fairly. SMALL
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: country i Don't know austria has the. BETTER history i
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 2: believe they should, probably win but. Who, Knows man we'll
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: say there are gonna be some more interesting matches coming up,
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: tomorrow Though Like, ENGLAND croatia i think is gonna be
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: a pretty competitive, one tomorrow so. We'll SEE as i,
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: have to, you know get into soccer, just slightly just
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: For The. World cup but soccer is just way too much,
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: to do like throughout the, you know the actual, LIKE
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: soccer i think it's played year round and there are
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 2: so many Different europe in Leagues and. European tournaments shit that.
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 2: Goes on it's. Just ridiculous so whatever that's gonna do,
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: it man a little bit Of Extra world cup stuff
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 2: there as far as the actual place today, in baseball
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: we're going under four and, a half first Five, In,
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: tigers astros, full game under seven and A half Baltimore,
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: and seattle and uh first five under four and a
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 2: Half In tampa bay And. The dodgers that's gonna. Do
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: it thanks for, hanging, Out, everybody garrett? What's, UP no
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 2: i would not, Do it, no, way no do not.
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: Do that, like literally that's gonna be the most pub
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: public parlay of. The day the odds makers want you to,
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: parlay that because first, of all they won't give you good.
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 2: ENOUGH odds a three leg parlay is just a socker
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: bet anything more than a. Two leg you should. Never
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: do you're playing all the favorites that everybody thinks is
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 2: gonna win again not getting good, enough odds and one
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 2: of those teams is gonna is not going. TO win i.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: Guarantee it a draw in any of. THOSE matches a
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 2: draw will will end. Your, parlay no that's one of
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: the dumbest bets of the day that you. CAN make
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: i would never. Do that you're just fucking, with ME
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: Right i i'm pretty sure. You are, but, yeah no
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 2: that is one of the stupidest bets that you could ever.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: Possibly make, that's dude we should have a new segment
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: dumbest bet of. The day we can come up with
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 2: some really ridiculous shit. For that, but dude it's less
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 2: dumb to fade, My bets like if you if you
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: just made a straight bet going against one of, my
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 2: bets that's a smarter play than than making. That, parlay
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: seriously because not all my bets are. Gonna win if
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: you have a, good angle uh and disagree, with me
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: maybe it is a. GOOD bet i, don't know you
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 2: KNOW what, I, mean like you have a better expected
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: value playing any of these straight bets in. Either direction
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: than playing a parlay like. That, EASILY yes i figured
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: that that's gonna. Do it learn it Tow, on twitter
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: learn it On, on instagram like subscribe to the channel
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 2: here covered in yuke. ON YouTube i gotta get back to.
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: It once my illnesses are through patreon, dot com slash learn.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 2: It toe you can throw me some. Support There. Loser
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: cast we had a bonus episode last Night With jeremy
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: kaufman's you can go check that out if you. Missed
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: it we are also having an episode Of The normal. Time.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 2: Tonight Giants g spot podcast will be back at, some
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 2: Point and i'm going to be on some sports SHOW
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: that i unfortunately forget the name of It.
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 3: Some.
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 2: Wednesday night i'm gonna be on. That show SO if
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 2: i figure out what, it is or if it gets
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 2: tweeted out, OR whatever i will. Retweet it so if
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 2: you follow Me, on twitter you'll be able to. SEE
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: that i don't know what we're gonna, talk ABOUT but
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: I think i think the dude that runs that Show Knows.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: Top LOBSTERS so i THINK because i was Talking, TO
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 2: top i think he got my Name. Through top i'm.
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 2: Pretty sure so, ALL right i think. THAT'S it i
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna. Do it we do have another Guest
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: on loser, casts tonight by, the way so you can
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: get ready. FOR that i don't really know who, he
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 2: is but he does some other PODCASTS that i guess.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: IS funny i have no idea that's gonna. Do it
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 2: let's have a winning, day, Today man i'd be happy
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: with two. And one let's have a. Winning. Day peace.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: But don't you, go quiet don't you fade from. The
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: flow your name still mean something to somebody. For show
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: put the, glass, down baby.
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 3: Look. At me no, hold on Hold.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: On, latin line, hold.
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 3: On, hold on let me for that, bite it an'll get.
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: The crown, hold on, hold on stay with, me now