Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - Trump Made The Midterms MUCH Harder For Republicans + A Statesman's Warning About Where American Politics Is Headed
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- 1:35Speaker 1: so use that code. Well, Hello there, and happy Thursday.
- 1:43Speaker 1: It's another episode of the Chuck Podcast. And this, of
- 1:45Speaker 1: course is a holiday weekend, the beginning of the of
- 1:51Speaker 1: summer as far as some people are concerned. Yes, Memorial
- 1:55Speaker 1: Day weekend. Memorial Day is Monday, which means that the
- 2:00Speaker 1: long weekend. And you know how Washington is. They're desperate
- 2:04Speaker 1: when there is a Monday holiday. They want to figure
- 2:06Speaker 1: out how to have a two week recess for every
- 2:08Speaker 1: three day weekend. Right the rest of us might get
- 2:10Speaker 1: an extra day off. Congress always wants to turn these
- 2:13Speaker 1: three day weekends into two week recesses. But I digress. Still,
- 2:20Speaker 1: I know this is the start of something, so let
- 2:22Speaker 1: me give you a rundown of what we got today,
- 2:24Speaker 1: a little bit of clean up from Tuesday nights elections.
- 2:27Speaker 1: A few more things I want to touch on, and
- 2:30Speaker 1: this sort of a very divided Republican Party, but I'll
- 2:34Speaker 1: explain how they're divided on this episode. I want to
- 2:39Speaker 1: spend a few minutes remembering Barney Frank. He passed away
- 2:44Speaker 1: in the last forty eight hours, and I just think
- 2:48Speaker 1: he's not History is going to be quite kind to
- 2:51Speaker 1: Barney Frank, but I think we're not fully appreciating just
- 2:59Speaker 1: what a pioneer he was is And like I said,
- 3:03Speaker 1: I think history is going to be quite kind. My
- 3:05Speaker 1: interview today is with somebody of the era that Barney
- 3:09Speaker 1: Frank served in Congress in and that is Lamar Alexander.
- 3:14Speaker 1: I've known Lamar Alexander a very long time. My first
- 3:16Speaker 1: mentor in politics, Doug Bailey, was Lamar Alexander's political consigliari
- 3:22Speaker 1: for a good twenty twenty thirty years. You name it,
- 3:26Speaker 1: helped him win his first campaign for governor, was a
- 3:30Speaker 1: big advisor for him at times as governor and when
- 3:33Speaker 1: he wanted to be Secretary of Education and to run
- 3:35Speaker 1: for president. He's just been so I've through Doug gotten
- 3:39Speaker 1: to know Lamar over the years, and he's written a
- 3:45Speaker 1: tremendous memoir. And I the reason why I'm calling it
- 3:48Speaker 1: tremendous is because it's very thorough without being boring, Okay,
- 3:54Speaker 1: because there's a little forced gumpishness to him, And I
- 3:57Speaker 1: don't mean that in that He's been around, he's seen
- 4:00Speaker 1: a lot, and he's been at different levels of government,
- 4:03Speaker 1: and there's wisdom in that. In our conversation, I think,
- 4:06Speaker 1: and I would like to hope reflects that. And of
- 4:08Speaker 1: course I'm gonna spend some time taking your questions. So
- 4:11Speaker 1: there's there's your rundown for the day. But let me
- 4:14Speaker 1: first do a little cleanup from Tuesday night. I think
- 4:17Speaker 1: at the time that I recorded for the Wednesday episode,
- 4:19Speaker 1: we weren't one hundred percent sure about Derek Dooley in Georgia.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Well we are now one hundred percent, obviously sure about
- 4:25Speaker 1: Derek Dooley in Georgia. That was that, of course, and
- 4:31Speaker 1: it's going to be an interesting split, right. You've got
- 4:34Speaker 1: Mike Collins in that Georgia Senate race, who doesn't technically
- 4:39Speaker 1: have an endorsement, but it's pretty clear Donald Trump's about
- 4:41Speaker 1: to do that. Brian Kemp, the governor of Georgia, who
- 4:43Speaker 1: has been who's famously stood up to Trump and survived. Right,
- 4:48Speaker 1: there are not many Republicans who can say that. There's
- 4:51Speaker 1: Brian Kemp, and there's Lisa Mkowski, and you know, it
- 4:55Speaker 1: feels like and there's not many others left who have
- 4:59Speaker 1: taken the wrath of Trump, have been targeted by Trump
- 5:03Speaker 1: and have survived to tell about it. In the case
- 5:06Speaker 1: of Governor Kemp, I mean, he he thrived in what
- 5:11Speaker 1: he did. And the question is what's this primary going
- 5:15Speaker 1: to be?
- 5:15Speaker 2: Like?
- 5:16Speaker 1: We know that we know what might be in the
- 5:18Speaker 1: best interests of one entity isn't in the best interest
- 5:20Speaker 1: of the other. So that's going to be interesting. Keish
- 5:24Speaker 1: Lan's bottoms indeed one without a runoff. What's more significant
- 5:30Speaker 1: there is the total turnout in Georgia. Democrats basically outpolled,
- 5:38Speaker 1: out voted Republicans in Georgia by about one hundred thousand votes,
- 5:44Speaker 1: so that means collectively two million. Right, that's a sort
- 5:47Speaker 1: of a five percent essentially, did you know improved you
- 5:53Speaker 1: know on a five percent basis, that's that's pretty indicative.
- 5:57Speaker 1: You know, this is a swing state. I care about
- 6:00Speaker 1: and swing states more than anything else, right, and you
- 6:02Speaker 1: had more competitive Republican primaries than you did Democratic primaries,
- 6:07Speaker 1: certainly to Democrats. There was a competitive gubernatorial primary, we
- 6:10Speaker 1: didn't have the near the amount of money being thrown
- 6:13Speaker 1: at it as the Republican side. We've got business Manwick
- 6:16Speaker 1: Jackson who spent a ton of money, and that's another race.
- 6:19Speaker 1: We're all all tuned in to see what the President's
- 6:25Speaker 1: going to do. But you know, there's one real reason
- 6:28Speaker 1: why I want to play cleanup on this, and it's
- 6:31Speaker 1: a couple of things that's out west. Right. I fully
- 6:34Speaker 1: confess to have gone to bed before we knew everything
- 6:38Speaker 1: that we needed to know in Idaho and in Oregon,
- 6:42Speaker 1: and I wanted to make a special note of Idaho.
- 6:44Speaker 1: First of all, I felt bad we didn't spend any
- 6:46Speaker 1: time in our livestream talking about the Idaho primary. Look,
- 6:50Speaker 1: everybody seems to have of the governor's likely going to
- 6:54Speaker 1: get another term, the Senator Jim Risch that's up, is
- 6:58Speaker 1: likely going to get another term. But there's something interesting
- 7:00Speaker 1: taking place in you know, there's a there's an independent
- 7:04Speaker 1: candidate running that I've featured, todd A Chillies, who's been
- 7:07Speaker 1: on this show, and he's trying to run sort of
- 7:09Speaker 1: in that in that sort of hey, I'm I'm not
- 7:14Speaker 1: a conservative, but I'm not a liberal, right, He's trying
- 7:16Speaker 1: to run in that sort of center leftish center center lane.
- 7:21Speaker 1: When you're looking at a Idaho and if you're ever
- 7:26Speaker 1: I think going to see a challenge to one party
- 7:29Speaker 1: rule in a ruby red state like Idaho, you're more
- 7:32Speaker 1: likely to get it from an independent candidate, from a
- 7:35Speaker 1: from a from somebody who's who's sort of a disaffected
- 7:39Speaker 1: Republican who decides to run as an independent. But Democrats
- 7:44Speaker 1: have a candidate for percentate too, so that that's not
- 7:47Speaker 1: going to probably get anywhere unless unless the Democrat's taken me.
- 7:50Speaker 1: So we shall see on that, but it is worth
- 7:53Speaker 1: noting what's interesting about Idaho is that the current governor,
- 7:56Speaker 1: who won renomination again was targeted by Donald Trump four
- 7:59Speaker 1: years ago. He didn't target the sitting governor this time,
- 8:02Speaker 1: Brad Little, who beat back a Trump endorsed challenger four
- 8:06Speaker 1: years ago. So we always talk about Brian Kemp as
- 8:08Speaker 1: the guy who stood up to Trump. Well, Brad Little,
- 8:10Speaker 1: the governor of Idaho, maybe he doesn't get a lot
- 8:13Speaker 1: of attention, but he was able to stand up to
- 8:16Speaker 1: Trump and stay a Republican in good standing. And that's
- 8:20Speaker 1: why I wanted to bring that up, because it seems
- 8:23Speaker 1: now that in Washington you cannot oppose Donald Trump and
- 8:25Speaker 1: be considered a Republican in good standing, at least as
- 8:28Speaker 1: far as this Republican Party is concerned. And that is
- 8:33Speaker 1: quite should send shivers down the spine of just about
- 8:36Speaker 1: every elected Republican that has to be on the ballot
- 8:38Speaker 1: in twenty six because if you are stuck having to
- 8:45Speaker 1: salute the flag on everything Donald Trump that he supports
- 8:48Speaker 1: at the moment, you're not going to win. You're you
- 8:50Speaker 1: have going to have a harder time winning reelection. Not
- 8:52Speaker 1: saying you're not going to win reelection, but you're gonna
- 8:55Speaker 1: have a much harder time. The idea that there is
- 8:57Speaker 1: no diversity allowed, right, you know, I thought the movement
- 9:01Speaker 1: on the right of which Trump was able to get
- 9:04Speaker 1: in front of and become the sort of parade leader
- 9:06Speaker 1: for one of the more effective attacks on the Democrats
- 9:11Speaker 1: is that, oh, you know, you're not allowed to be
- 9:13Speaker 1: an independent thinker on the left, You're not allowed to
- 9:15Speaker 1: sort of disagree on the left. Well, what has happened
- 9:18Speaker 1: to the Republican Party. This is as bad, if not
- 9:22Speaker 1: worse than anything the woke left.
- 9:24Speaker 2: It.
- 9:24Speaker 1: We really have a woke right that Donald Trump sort
- 9:28Speaker 1: of leads this woke right right. If you don't he is,
- 9:32Speaker 1: he is his own dei right, the way they use
- 9:35Speaker 1: dei to lambass the left or lambas to anybody that
- 9:39Speaker 1: doesn't agree with him. He's kind of formed right. If
- 9:42Speaker 1: you don't do it exactly the way he says it,
- 9:45Speaker 1: which is again what the critics on the right had
- 9:48Speaker 1: claimed the left was doing with programs like diversity, equity,
- 9:52Speaker 1: and inclusion. Essentially in his own weird way, he's done.
- 9:56Speaker 1: He has sort of instituted this stridency, this top down
- 10:01Speaker 1: this you're not allowed to think independently, You're not allowed
- 10:04Speaker 1: to be at all, fall out of line. You have
- 10:11Speaker 1: to salute here. This is not a free thinking political movement.
- 10:16Speaker 1: And the irony was what made Donald Trump's movement appealing
- 10:20Speaker 1: to what was a cross section of Americans, is that, hey,
- 10:24Speaker 1: you could say what you want. You didn't have to
- 10:26Speaker 1: have the conventional beliefs of the supposed stringent establishment wing
- 10:30Speaker 1: of the Republican Party. But it turns out the establishment
- 10:33Speaker 1: wing of both parties are a hell of a lot
- 10:35Speaker 1: more open minded than some of the bases are, and
- 10:39Speaker 1: particular the Trump movement. The Trump movement here as run
- 10:42Speaker 1: by Trump, is not open minded at all, does not
- 10:48Speaker 1: allow for any freethinking, and in fact, it is punished.
- 10:54Speaker 1: He's gone on a rampage over the last forty eight
- 10:56Speaker 1: hours complaining about Lauren Bobert, about Brian Fitzpatrick. Lauren Bobert
- 11:04Speaker 1: a Republican who votes with Trump probably ninety eight percent
- 11:08Speaker 1: of the time. Brian Fitzpatrick in Pennsylvania, a swing district
- 11:11Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania. He's about the only Republican that can hold
- 11:15Speaker 1: that district. So yeah, he votes against some Trump priorities
- 11:18Speaker 1: like the ridiculous ballroom and what does Trump do attacks
- 11:23Speaker 1: that congresswoman's spouse who is a reporter, who wants to
- 11:27Speaker 1: hold the reporter, of course, in just a ridiculously inappropriate way,
- 11:32Speaker 1: and what Washington does too much, which is essentially sometimes
- 11:37Speaker 1: makes a spouse have to answer for the political opinions
- 11:41Speaker 1: of their spouse when hey, aren't we all independent freethinkers here,
- 11:47Speaker 1: but he's all mad well, he votes against Trump. So
- 11:49Speaker 1: if you criticize this taxpayer funding his private ballroom that
- 11:54Speaker 1: he promised would be privately funded. You're somehow out of
- 11:58Speaker 1: whack with Trump, Lauren Bobert. Her sin is that she
- 12:02Speaker 1: supported Thomas Massey because she wants to bring more public
- 12:06Speaker 1: disclosure on what happened with Epstein. That's her sin. So
- 12:13Speaker 1: the fact that he gets I will say this, you know,
- 12:17Speaker 1: I'm somebody who thinks that the conspiracies about Epstein are
- 12:21Speaker 1: probably a little overcooked and a little overcranked, and that
- 12:24Speaker 1: what people believe was taking place. I'm not saying what
- 12:28Speaker 1: he did was what he's actually done, and we know
- 12:33Speaker 1: that he's done was bad, disgusting, horrible and immoral. But
- 12:38Speaker 1: some of the things that people think he did is like,
- 12:42Speaker 1: you know, there are things it's like, no, that didn't happen,
- 12:45Speaker 1: And there isn't this larger cabal of folks that are
- 12:49Speaker 1: out there that said.
- 12:53Speaker 2: Right.
- 12:54Speaker 1: Donald Trump's behavior, You know, he behaves with the Epstein
- 12:57Speaker 1: story the same way he always behaved with the Russia story.
- 13:00Speaker 1: If there's nothing to hide, why are you so nervous
- 13:03Speaker 1: about disclosure? Wait, with Russia, there was nothing to hide,
- 13:06Speaker 1: that nothing happened, but he was nervous about sitting down
- 13:10Speaker 1: and instead he decided to obstruct justice. And he seems
- 13:14Speaker 1: to have the same attitude about Epstein, where he constantly
- 13:18Speaker 1: anybody that is you know again, basically what Lauren Bobertsin is.
- 13:24Speaker 1: He said, I'm looking to see if there's somebody I
- 13:25Speaker 1: can run against her. Since the filing deadline has passed again,
- 13:30Speaker 1: her sin is campaigning for Massy over this one issue.
- 13:33Speaker 1: She's literally with them on a bunch of other staff.
- 13:36Speaker 1: She may not be with him on the Iran war,
- 13:37Speaker 1: but a lot of Republicans aren't fully convinced of this
- 13:39Speaker 1: Iran war. Help I think his own vice president isn't
- 13:43Speaker 1: convinced of the Iran war. But it is one of
- 13:48Speaker 1: those where I'm thinking Shakespeare in my head, methinks you
- 13:52Speaker 1: doth protest too much. His bizarre denials on Epstein very
- 13:58Speaker 1: much or similar to me this second term. The way
- 14:01Speaker 1: he handled the Russia investigation. You know, there wasn't there
- 14:06Speaker 1: was a lot of circumstantial evidence with Russia, and there
- 14:09Speaker 1: was a lot of circumstantial evidence with Epstein, but there's
- 14:11Speaker 1: never been you know, the silver bullet, the actual thread
- 14:16Speaker 1: that you know, the aha, here's the form, here's the proof,
- 14:19Speaker 1: here's this right that's always been very circumstantial. But one
- 14:22Speaker 1: of the strongest pieces of circumstantial elevenance has always been
- 14:25Speaker 1: Trump's behavior. You know, Trump behaved as if he had
- 14:28Speaker 1: something to hide about his relationship with the Russians, and
- 14:31Speaker 1: Trump behaves like he has something to hive with his
- 14:33Speaker 1: relationship with Epstein. And you know, it's one of those
- 14:40Speaker 1: Hey man, nobody brought this up, yet you seem to
- 14:43Speaker 1: be angrier about Lauren Bobert over that than you are
- 14:45Speaker 1: about anything else. But it gets to this other larger
- 14:51Speaker 1: issue here, which is the what his purification process to
- 14:57Speaker 1: basically trumpify the party, because there's no ideological through line here,
- 15:02Speaker 1: like when FDR purged his party, there was an ideological
- 15:05Speaker 1: motivation about it. There was an agenda that was motivated
- 15:08Speaker 1: for Trump. The agenda's Trump, right, And so what he's
- 15:12Speaker 1: purging is are you going to support Trump no matter what?
- 15:15Speaker 1: Are you're not going to support Trump? And if you
- 15:16Speaker 1: support Trump no matter what, I'm with you, And if
- 15:18Speaker 1: you're not, I'm not with you, right, I mean, just
- 15:20Speaker 1: look at his Paxton endorsement in some ways, I you know,
- 15:24Speaker 1: for a guy who demands loyalty, if he didn't endorse
- 15:29Speaker 1: Paxton over Cornyn, Yeah, I would have. It's more proof
- 15:33Speaker 1: that he's you know, loyalty's a one way street to him.
- 15:35Speaker 1: I mean, uh, you know, I think Paxton is a
- 15:38Speaker 1: is a complete, you know, sort of unqualified public servant.
- 15:41Speaker 1: But if you're sitting in Donald Trump's shoes, the pen
- 15:43Speaker 1: Paxston's been quite loyal to Donald Trump and is crazy right.
- 15:47Speaker 1: You know, he helped create tried to build legal legitimacy
- 15:51Speaker 1: around his bogus claims around twenty twenty. So Paxton is
- 15:54Speaker 1: an important soldier in Trump's campaign to sort of overturn reality.
- 16:01Speaker 1: So in some ways it would have been disloyal of
- 16:03Speaker 1: Trump not to support Paxton on that. But that's why
- 16:08Speaker 1: Paxton's getting support, right, And he even said it. John
- 16:11Speaker 1: Corny didn't support me soon enough for president, so again,
- 16:17Speaker 1: you know, John Corny and Sin is not is daring
- 16:21Speaker 1: to perhaps not agree with Donald Trump one hundred percent
- 16:25Speaker 1: of the time Bill Cassidy, sin was believing that Donald
- 16:30Speaker 1: Trump's behavior on January sixth was unconstitutional, unethical, likely illegal.
- 16:41Speaker 1: But in all that, both Cornyn and Cassidy were willing
- 16:44Speaker 1: to support ninety percent of Donald Trump's agenda, and that
- 16:50Speaker 1: wasn't enough Meanwhile, the irony to all this is Donald
- 16:55Speaker 1: Trump is creating a situation where it makes it's going
- 16:58Speaker 1: to make governing for him and his agenda much harder.
- 17:02Speaker 1: He is pissed off Senate Republicans up and down. Now
- 17:05Speaker 1: are they coming out and saying it, you know, in
- 17:08Speaker 1: front of the camera. No, they're not going to. They
- 17:10Speaker 1: see what happened. They paid attention, and this is what
- 17:13Speaker 1: Trump is holding over their head. They see what happened
- 17:15Speaker 1: in Indiana, they see what happened in Kentucky, they see
- 17:18Speaker 1: what happened in I guess you could say he had
- 17:25Speaker 1: some success in Georgia, but I don't count Georgia's having
- 17:27Speaker 1: much success. But the fact is, we do know you've
- 17:30Speaker 1: had Trump's support in a primary, it matters more than
- 17:32Speaker 1: if you don't. And he can't end careers in primaries.
- 17:38Speaker 1: He can't end careers in general elections, but he can't
- 17:41Speaker 1: end careers in primaries. But he is making it that
- 17:48Speaker 1: much harder for Republicans to win in competitive states and
- 17:51Speaker 1: in competitive elections where there's a whole group of voters
- 17:54Speaker 1: who don't agree with Donald Trump, say but thirty percent
- 17:59Speaker 1: of the time, but might not be allergic to supporting
- 18:02Speaker 1: a Republican but if Donald Trump insists, it's always got
- 18:06Speaker 1: to be in support of Trump and not the Republican Party,
- 18:09Speaker 1: which I guess is what this is. I mean, I
- 18:11Speaker 1: guess that's the question right now. Is there a Republican
- 18:15Speaker 1: Party anymore? I do believe if Donald Trump said tomorrow,
- 18:20Speaker 1: you know what, the Republican Party brand sucks, I'm the brand.
- 18:26Speaker 1: I'm going to rebrand the party MAGA, and we're going
- 18:30Speaker 1: to rename the party MAGA. Who would stop him? I
- 18:38Speaker 1: don't think anybody would. So it is his party, but
- 18:46Speaker 1: he is setting it up for massive failure. He is
- 18:48Speaker 1: making twenty six even harder than it is.
- 18:55Speaker 2: Well.
- 18:55Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Toodcast is brought to you
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- 20:40Speaker 1: dirty little secret. By the way, on the on this
- 20:43Speaker 1: ballroom funding and the whole reconciliation, you know, he's been
- 20:45Speaker 1: going off on a rant about the Senate parliamentarian. You know,
- 20:48Speaker 1: thunone should fire the Senate parliamentarian. You know who is
- 20:51Speaker 1: ecstatic at the Senate parliamentarian's decision to take the ballroom
- 20:56Speaker 1: funding out of their reconciliation bill.
- 20:58Speaker 2: John Thune.
- 20:59Speaker 1: Okay, if he could give her her raise, I'm guessing
- 21:02Speaker 1: he would. I'm guessing I'm at least twenty five Republican
- 21:08Speaker 1: senators are relieved that they don't have to cast a
- 21:11Speaker 1: vote for that thing, because if it gets on the floor,
- 21:15Speaker 1: you know, there'll be a whole bunch of Republicans who
- 21:17Speaker 1: hold their nose to vote for it for fear of
- 21:20Speaker 1: being seen as the guy against it. But there are
- 21:23Speaker 1: now there's a growing Yolo caucus inside the Republican Senate.
- 21:29Speaker 1: The chair of the Yolo Caucus right now is mister
- 21:31Speaker 1: Tom Tillis. Lisa Murkowski's been a founding member of the
- 21:36Speaker 1: Yolo Caucus for some time. Bill Cassidy already showed his
- 21:41Speaker 1: independence this week voting against the president on the War
- 21:45Speaker 1: Powers Resolution, and John Cornyn is likely to be the
- 21:51Speaker 1: latest and newest member of that rand. Paul is already
- 21:55Speaker 1: there like he has. Trump has made his life in
- 22:00Speaker 1: the Senate so much harder. And now the likelihood that
- 22:07Speaker 1: Democrats are going to flip both chambers, especially if Ken
- 22:10Speaker 1: Paxton is the nominee for Senate in Texas, because as
- 22:14Speaker 1: I said on Wednesday, this has multiple layers to it. Right,
- 22:21Speaker 1: Ken Paxton is nominee means the Texas Senate race looks
- 22:25Speaker 1: winnable to Democrats. So if the Texas Senate race looks
- 22:28Speaker 1: winnable to Democrats, that's more rich people writing bigger checks
- 22:31Speaker 1: to the Texas candidate in Tallo Rico, to the super
- 22:35Speaker 1: PACs that are supporting Talla Rico, to the state party.
- 22:39Speaker 1: And in turn, what does that mean? That brings more
- 22:41Speaker 1: money into the state, and that trickles down the ballot
- 22:44Speaker 1: and it puts more Democrats in certain house races in
- 22:48Speaker 1: a competitive place. Probably means the governor's race becomes more competitive.
- 22:54Speaker 1: On top of that, you have a nominee in Ken Paxton,
- 22:58Speaker 1: who is a terrible fundraiser who does not have the
- 23:02Speaker 1: institutional support of the party. So there's going to be
- 23:04Speaker 1: a lot of people that don't want to write this
- 23:06Speaker 1: guy at check, don't want to be associated with him.
- 23:10Speaker 1: John Cornyn was a prolific fundraiser. I read one where
- 23:15Speaker 1: by one estimate since he's entered the Senate in two
- 23:19Speaker 1: thousand and two that he's raised over four hundred million
- 23:22Speaker 1: dollars for Senate Republicans over the years. Whatever you think
- 23:27Speaker 1: of John Cornyn, he's a hell of a fundraiser out
- 23:29Speaker 1: of Texas. Now, I'm old enough to remember when John
- 23:33Speaker 1: Cornyn was recruited to run for Senate because he was
- 23:35Speaker 1: the moderate that could win statewide. Then of course you
- 23:39Speaker 1: know he moved with the party. Look, John Cornyn's a Republican, okay,
- 23:44Speaker 1: And if being a Republican in Texas means you got
- 23:46Speaker 1: to run center, right, he's going to be that. If
- 23:48Speaker 1: it meant you have to run big conservative, he's going
- 23:50Speaker 1: to be that. I don't say that disparagingly, I just
- 23:53Speaker 1: say that as an explanation. Right, there are Democrats that
- 23:56Speaker 1: are that way, that are just oh, the Democrat you know,
- 23:58Speaker 1: it's sort of it's like Chuck Schumer. Chuck Schumer just
- 24:01Speaker 1: moves where the party is going, and I don't see
- 24:04Speaker 1: Joe Biden was one of those. He always Joe Biden
- 24:06Speaker 1: always put himself in the middle of wherever the party was.
- 24:08Speaker 1: So if the party leaned right, he looked like he
- 24:11Speaker 1: was center, a little little closer to the center. And
- 24:14Speaker 1: if the party was super progressive, he looked more like
- 24:16Speaker 1: a mainstream. But he was always in the he was
- 24:19Speaker 1: always in the middle, not in the center of the
- 24:21Speaker 1: country politically, but in the center of the party politically.
- 24:24Speaker 1: That's kind of where I would put John Cornyn. He's
- 24:26Speaker 1: always he always looks to be in the center of
- 24:28Speaker 1: where the Republicans are. He's not going to be a
- 24:30Speaker 1: liberal Republican and he's not going to be based Mike
- 24:34Speaker 1: Lee right, He's he's going to be a mainstream, pro
- 24:37Speaker 1: business Republican. Ken Paxton, I you know, look, he's just
- 24:44Speaker 1: a transactionalist that has you know, fused his personal life
- 24:49Speaker 1: and his political life and his professional life and created
- 24:53Speaker 1: all sorts of uncoming. I mean, in some ways he's
- 24:55Speaker 1: a mini Trump. And how he manages his personal life,
- 24:58Speaker 1: his professional life and his political life in the state
- 25:01Speaker 1: of Texas. So again I go back in some ways,
- 25:04Speaker 1: him supporting Paxton is is you know, is many Trump.
- 25:08Speaker 1: But this, this is really put the Republicans in a
- 25:13Speaker 1: in a government, in a in a governing hole, and
- 25:17Speaker 1: it's I'm not quite sure, you know, and it's really bizarre.
- 25:24Speaker 1: So Trump was really sort of flexing. He felt he feels,
- 25:27Speaker 1: he feels this weird sense of power because he was
- 25:30Speaker 1: able to get rid of Massey and all this stuff.
- 25:34Speaker 1: And he really seems to be completely clueless or in
- 25:38Speaker 1: denial that what he's doing is somehow setting his own
- 25:42Speaker 1: party up to go down in flames in the fall.
- 25:45Speaker 1: But he is really put because okay, so let me
- 25:46Speaker 1: finish my derivatives here. So so Paxton's nomination leads to
- 25:50Speaker 1: more Democratic money, all right, So what does that mean? Now?
- 25:53Speaker 1: The Senate Leadership Fund, which is the John Thune campaign ARM,
- 25:56Speaker 1: has to spend all this extra money into Texas two
- 26:00Speaker 1: hundred million, three hundred million formament. Trust me, this is
- 26:03Speaker 1: going to be a billion dollar center race. Now I'm
- 26:05Speaker 1: not saying it's going to cost them a billion, but
- 26:07Speaker 1: collectively we're going to see a billion. Right North Carolina
- 26:10Speaker 1: was already estimated to be close to a billion Paxton tallerco.
- 26:13Speaker 1: And this is Texas. I think it's all twenty eight markets,
- 26:16Speaker 1: twenty nine markets, some ridiculous number of media markets the
- 26:20Speaker 1: state has. This is going to be colossally expensive. And
- 26:25Speaker 1: it's by the way, let's not forget that the National
- 26:29Speaker 1: Republican Senatorial Committee has endorsed Cornan, has trashed Paxton, has
- 26:35Speaker 1: sort of made sure, you know, it's not this isn't
- 26:38Speaker 1: one of those oh we're just endorsing our guy. They
- 26:41Speaker 1: have gone after so they have to do a one
- 26:43Speaker 1: to eighty. But here's the thing, they really you know,
- 26:46Speaker 1: it all depends on where your point of view is.
- 26:48Speaker 1: And look, do I wish politicians behaved ethically and morally
- 26:52Speaker 1: the whole time? And you would say, you know what,
- 26:54Speaker 1: despite my party, Ken Paxton's too unethical and moral to
- 26:56Speaker 1: be a United States senator. Right? That is? I always
- 27:00Speaker 1: I cover politics as it is, not as it should be.
- 27:02Speaker 1: That is how politics should be. Right that good people
- 27:06Speaker 1: of America, regardless of party, saying Jesus chrimean this Ken
- 27:09Speaker 1: Paxton shouldn't be anywhere near the public goal should not
- 27:13Speaker 1: have any sort of responsibility This is not an ideological statement.
- 27:17Speaker 1: It's not a partisan statement. This is a moral an
- 27:20Speaker 1: ethical statement. But if it's a numbers game and you're
- 27:24Speaker 1: the Republican Party, you want to keep control of the Senate, well,
- 27:28Speaker 1: Paxton can win, all right, Tall Rico can be Paxton,
- 27:33Speaker 1: but he ain't going to win by ten points. If
- 27:35Speaker 1: he wins, we're looking at a fifty one to forty
- 27:37Speaker 1: nine you're looking at. This is not a state that
- 27:39Speaker 1: is elected a Democrat statewide since nineteen ninety four, and
- 27:45Speaker 1: that Democrat was Gary Morrow for Land Commissioner. Okay, that's
- 27:50Speaker 1: the last time. There are probably some of you listening
- 27:53Speaker 1: to this podcast who were not born in nineteen ninety four,
- 27:58Speaker 1: So this isn't so it's so if you're the Republicans,
- 28:01Speaker 1: you basically are like, all right, I got it. Is
- 28:04Speaker 1: it's a numbers game. You can't let that one go.
- 28:08Speaker 1: So that money is going to come from somewhere. Is
- 28:11Speaker 1: Donald Trump going to spend it? You know, one thing
- 28:13Speaker 1: about Donald Trump is he doesn't necessarily spend money to
- 28:16Speaker 1: help the party. He spends money to help him And
- 28:19Speaker 1: whether he cares or not, who knows. Does John Thune
- 28:23Speaker 1: and Tim Scott play a game of Chicken with Trump
- 28:26Speaker 1: and his political team and say, hey, you wanted this,
- 28:29Speaker 1: you do Texas and let the Senate Republicans will handle
- 28:34Speaker 1: Ohio and Iowa, at North Carolina, New Hampshire, Michigan, Georgia,
- 28:39Speaker 1: and Alaska. But if you if Trump does what I
- 28:43Speaker 1: suspect he might do, which is get a little flaky
- 28:46Speaker 1: with his political funds, which he's done before. Sometimes he
- 28:49Speaker 1: engages and sometimes he doesn't, it's going to fall on
- 28:53Speaker 1: the on the back of the Senate Leadership Fund and
- 28:57Speaker 1: they're gonna have to make some tough choices. Yes, they
- 28:59Speaker 1: have plenty of money. They had plenty of money in
- 29:01Speaker 1: an environment that had a Republican nominee in Texas that
- 29:06Speaker 1: was that wasn't they didn't have the cooties if you will,
- 29:12Speaker 1: to put this in polite PG. Thirteen words, so that
- 29:18Speaker 1: those recesses are going to be pulled from somewhere probably
- 29:22Speaker 1: is a bad sign for Michael Wattley in North Carolina. Right,
- 29:24Speaker 1: that's the that's the biggest reach race going right now
- 29:27Speaker 1: for you know, and it's certainly Michelle Tafoy in Minnesota
- 29:30Speaker 1: who's probably trying to convince the National Party that it's
- 29:32Speaker 1: worth investing. They're not gonna they they're not going to
- 29:36Speaker 1: be doing many experiments. And does this mean that that
- 29:41Speaker 1: the targeting of Georgia is not as is not as
- 29:45Speaker 1: aggressive because they don't have the money to spare. Because
- 29:50Speaker 1: when you start to look, if you're the Republicans, you're
- 29:52Speaker 1: playing defense. Now you're gonna go ahead and concede North Carolina.
- 29:58Speaker 1: You're not going to concede Maine. I mean, I think
- 30:00Speaker 1: that Republicans think that the Graham Platners, that they have
- 30:04Speaker 1: a shot at making this a referendum more on Platiner
- 30:07Speaker 1: than Democrats do making a referendum on Collins. And I
- 30:09Speaker 1: will say this, I do think Democrats have probably allowed
- 30:15Speaker 1: this race to become too much about Platner. Perhaps that
- 30:19Speaker 1: changes by the fall and we'll see, but that is
- 30:22Speaker 1: it is. You know, you could look, I've made the
- 30:25Speaker 1: argument that Platner Collins looks like Trump Clinton to me
- 30:29Speaker 1: from sixteen right, but just with the parties reversed right,
- 30:33Speaker 1: older establishment, longtime famous name versus news sort of as
- 30:40Speaker 1: Charlie Cook likes to call them, exotic candidates that has
- 30:46Speaker 1: a strange past, that doesn't see who somehow seems to
- 30:49Speaker 1: have a layer of Teflon where everything slips off of him.
- 30:53Speaker 1: So look, I think main and they fight to the end.
- 30:57Speaker 1: So look Alaska, Iowa, now Ohio is probably going to
- 31:01Speaker 1: be more of a priority. But and then we'll see
- 31:04Speaker 1: what happens in Michigan. I think the one place on
- 31:06Speaker 1: offense that Senate Republicans are going to try to play
- 31:09Speaker 1: probably no matter what is Michigan, just because of how divisive.
- 31:13Speaker 1: They have a strong nominee in Mike Rodgers. And it
- 31:15Speaker 1: looks like this Democratic primary is just going to end
- 31:18Speaker 1: in a divisive way that whoever's the winner, there's going
- 31:22Speaker 1: to be a bitter wing of the party right, either
- 31:26Speaker 1: the progressive wing is going to be bitter or the
- 31:28Speaker 1: establishment wing's going to be better. It's not going to
- 31:30Speaker 1: be It's not going to resolve itself as well, frankly
- 31:34Speaker 1: as Platinir Mills has resolved itself, so that that could
- 31:38Speaker 1: get But you're now here. I mean this is going
- 31:41Speaker 1: to become I think Texas, North Carolina and Ohio become
- 31:45Speaker 1: this incredibly expensive, you know trio, which is why I
- 31:50Speaker 1: think North Carolina is probably the odd odd one out there.
- 31:54Speaker 1: So you look, and the path holding the Senate for
- 32:02Speaker 1: for the Republicans, especially if Texas becomes too expensive, then
- 32:06Speaker 1: it makes Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, Maine. You know, they've got
- 32:13Speaker 1: a They're going to have to win three of those four.
- 32:16Speaker 1: And you know, and I haven't even brought up Nebraska.
- 32:22Speaker 1: I haven't even brought up Kansas. I haven't brought up Mississippi.
- 32:25Speaker 1: As you know, I'm bullish on Mississippi because of this
- 32:28Speaker 1: backlash in the Voting Rights Act. I think there's something
- 32:31Speaker 1: happening down south that are auto And that's the other
- 32:36Speaker 1: thing when you're bringing up Texas. I mean, you know,
- 32:40Speaker 1: one of the problems Democrats have had over the years
- 32:42Speaker 1: is funding a ground game. Well, look, there's a you know,
- 32:47Speaker 1: in Texas, a lot of people like to talk about
- 32:49Speaker 1: the Latino vote, but the African American vote is not
- 32:51Speaker 1: insignificant in Texas. And there was some concern after the
- 32:56Speaker 1: somewhat divisive Tallarico Jasmin Crockett primary that maybe black vote
- 33:00Speaker 1: wouldn't be as enthusiastic about Tall Rico. I don't think
- 33:03Speaker 1: that's going to be a problem anymore. And I do
- 33:07Speaker 1: think that that makes Georgia that much harder for Republicans
- 33:11Speaker 1: to target. But the bottom line is Donald Trump is
- 33:17Speaker 1: he is, you know, his attempts to manipulate the party, right,
- 33:22Speaker 1: he thinks he's helping on the House, but how he's
- 33:25Speaker 1: gone about it has only fired up Democrats in a
- 33:28Speaker 1: midterm year where his side's not as fired up. Then
- 33:31Speaker 1: he's gone about as purging of the party of anybody
- 33:34Speaker 1: that remotely is a free thinker inside the Republican Party.
- 33:36Speaker 1: And he's got he's sort of, like I said, a
- 33:39Speaker 1: woke right leader. Right, everything the Trump movement criticized the
- 33:43Speaker 1: left doing, you know, is not letting you know, you know,
- 33:47Speaker 1: not you know, being you know, being judge and jury
- 33:51Speaker 1: and how you speak, and they're not allowed to think
- 33:53Speaker 1: this and you're not allowed to think that. That now
- 33:56Speaker 1: is Donald Trump. He has taken everything that his movement
- 34:00Speaker 1: criticized in sixteen and the political incorrectness and all of
- 34:04Speaker 1: that stuff, and he's created his own perverted form of
- 34:07Speaker 1: political correctness inside the right. And at some point somebody's
- 34:12Speaker 1: going to figure out how to message against that on
- 34:15Speaker 1: inside the right wing coalition in that way. Well, this
- 34:21Speaker 1: episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you by FanDuel.
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- 34:57Speaker 1: We've got Nicks Calves Game two. So the Calves choke
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- 36:06Speaker 1: hyphen terms All right now, I just want to spend
- 36:09Speaker 1: a few minutes. Given Barney Frank his due, longtime Democratic
- 36:14Speaker 1: member of Congress from Massachusetts. He was eighty six. He
- 36:22Speaker 1: was born in New Jersey. He served in Congress thirty
- 36:25Speaker 1: two years, nineteen eighty one to twenty thirteen. In his
- 36:29Speaker 1: own memoir, he just to give you a sense of
- 36:32Speaker 1: sort of how he got involved in politics. In his
- 36:35Speaker 1: own memoir, he said he was inspired. He was drawn
- 36:40Speaker 1: to public life the after Emmett Tilt was lynched in Mississippi,
- 36:45Speaker 1: and so in nineteen sixty four he volunteered during Freedom
- 36:51Speaker 1: Summer in Mississippi. Jewish kid from New Jersey became a
- 36:55Speaker 1: gay rights icon, got his start in the civil rights
- 36:58Speaker 1: movement in Mississippi substantively. Of course, he's most famous for
- 37:05Speaker 1: writing the Dodd Frank Legislation to try to bring some
- 37:09Speaker 1: guardrails to Wall Street after the financial collapse in two
- 37:14Speaker 1: thousand and eight. It certainly has Dodd Frank has got
- 37:20Speaker 1: plenty of people that shoot arrows at it, but it
- 37:23Speaker 1: has been remarkably sturdy what they've passed. And obviously, given
- 37:30Speaker 1: where the economy is today, given where markets are today,
- 37:35Speaker 1: certainly whoever thought what they were doing was going to
- 37:38Speaker 1: harm markets and harm wealth in America, well that didn't happen.
- 37:44Speaker 1: But look the reason I think history is going to
- 37:47Speaker 1: be a lot kinder to him than I think he
- 37:51Speaker 1: was treated during his life because he was a barrier breaker, right,
- 37:56Speaker 1: and sometimes barrier breakers never get to don't live to
- 38:01Speaker 1: see the fruits of all the pain that they had
- 38:07Speaker 1: to withstand. Now, he became the most prominent openly gay
- 38:15Speaker 1: elected official in the country when he came out in
- 38:17Speaker 1: nineteen eighty seven. He did so voluntarily and think about
- 38:21Speaker 1: what it was like to come out in nineteen eighty seven.
- 38:24Speaker 1: Nineteen eighty seven is the height of the AIDS crisis,
- 38:27Speaker 1: so not an easy moment. Just three years later he
- 38:32Speaker 1: would get reprimanded by the House and connection to a
- 38:36Speaker 1: two year relationship he had with a male prostitute that
- 38:38Speaker 1: was living in his basement in the House. There was
- 38:41Speaker 1: a bunch of Republicans wanted to vote to expel him.
- 38:44Speaker 1: The House voted to reprimand them rather than censure or
- 38:47Speaker 1: expel him. Frank had said that the pressures of hiding
- 38:51Speaker 1: his sexual orientation over the years had caused him to
- 38:54Speaker 1: quote act stupidly, but its constituents had no problem with it,
- 39:01Speaker 1: and they sent him back to Congress with sixty six
- 39:05Speaker 1: percent of the vote. And I don't think folks fully
- 39:09Speaker 1: appreciate how much crap that Barney Frank had to take
- 39:13Speaker 1: in Congress over the years. It is, you know, when
- 39:20Speaker 1: you think about, let me put it in this in
- 39:23Speaker 1: this respect, so he and knew Gingridge used to spark
- 39:28Speaker 1: quite a bit. The Republicans of the late eighties and
- 39:32Speaker 1: early nineties would use Barney Frank and his sexual orientation
- 39:40Speaker 1: as a cudgel, and they would try to weaponize it
- 39:43Speaker 1: nationally in different ways. Right, it was Gingridge that was
- 39:48Speaker 1: pushing to get him, you know, essentially over as Frank
- 39:54Speaker 1: would put it, if it had have been a heterosexual relationship,
- 39:57Speaker 1: there wouldn't have been nearly this attempted outrun age. Right.
- 40:00Speaker 1: So here's New Gingrich trying to get Barney Frank expelled,
- 40:07Speaker 1: and at the time that he's trying to get him expelled,
- 40:10Speaker 1: he's having his own affair with an aid in his office.
- 40:16Speaker 1: And it's I think what made Barney Frank such a
- 40:19Speaker 1: such a fascinating figure because he was not going to cowtow.
- 40:26Speaker 1: He was not going to fall on his sword in
- 40:30Speaker 1: order to make other people feel more comfortable. On one hand,
- 40:37Speaker 1: he knew what he did was wrong and that what
- 40:39Speaker 1: he when, as he said, he acted stupidly. On the
- 40:42Speaker 1: other hand, I think he felt and he wasn't going
- 40:45Speaker 1: to back down. He felt he was being essentially overly
- 40:49Speaker 1: punished simply because he was a gay man. And that
- 40:53Speaker 1: had the exact same scenario took place, but Stephen Gobee
- 40:58Speaker 1: was a woman instead of a man, he'd there wouldn't
- 41:01Speaker 1: have even been a vote to expel or anything like that,
- 41:07Speaker 1: and then to really get a sense, right we talk
- 41:09Speaker 1: about this with you know, it took the movie Jackie
- 41:13Speaker 1: during Jackie Robinson to sort of put people back into
- 41:17Speaker 1: the time in nineteen forty seven and forty eight and
- 41:20Speaker 1: forty nine and the words that would get shouted at
- 41:23Speaker 1: Jackie Robinson while he had to play baseball. It's something
- 41:26Speaker 1: nobody would you know what the black men of the
- 41:29Speaker 1: fifties had to go through in public playing professional baseball,
- 41:33Speaker 1: going to towns and communities that were going to make
- 41:36Speaker 1: sure that they were constantly harassed, sometimes verbally abused. Well,
- 41:42Speaker 1: that happened to Barney Frank in Congress. The House Majority
- 41:51Speaker 1: leader in nineteen ninety five, Dick Army of Texas just
- 41:55Speaker 1: casually decided to refer to Barney Frank as Barney Phack. Now,
- 42:00Speaker 1: Army claimed he misspoke. It's quite a misspeaker doing a
- 42:05Speaker 1: lot of work in that sentence. Now, he ended up
- 42:07Speaker 1: apologizing from the House floor. But it's probably worth noting
- 42:14Speaker 1: that that here he is sort of somebody says publicly,
- 42:24Speaker 1: So imagine in what Barney Frank's thinking, What are these
- 42:27Speaker 1: people saying about him behind the scenes, and yet he
- 42:32Speaker 1: just sort of went through, right, and he just sort
- 42:37Speaker 1: of powered through to come out in eighty seven. The
- 42:45Speaker 1: cultural backdrop wasn't just uncomfortable, it was actually threatening to
- 42:49Speaker 1: do what he did to come out in eighty seven.
- 42:51Speaker 1: But at the same time, he needed to give comfort
- 42:55Speaker 1: to other gay Americans who were suffering from a disease
- 42:58Speaker 1: that the country wasn't focused on enough at the time.
- 43:05Speaker 1: And Frank had to function daily in a building where
- 43:10Speaker 1: Army's vocabulary was used against him probably all the time.
- 43:18Speaker 1: We just happened to hear it slip once in public.
- 43:24Speaker 1: So he took all of that. He stayed in the
- 43:26Speaker 1: fight for thirty two years, and the institution that tried
- 43:30Speaker 1: to censure him now has his name and the most
- 43:34Speaker 1: important piece of financial reform law in our nation's history.
- 43:38Speaker 1: So he didn't just survive politically, he thrived. And you know,
- 43:43Speaker 1: even until his dying day, right, he's writing a book
- 43:45Speaker 1: sort of lecturing the left, if you will, and I
- 43:50Speaker 1: think he feels as if he's got a little better
- 43:52Speaker 1: standing than most. Right, he was on the front lines
- 43:55Speaker 1: fighting for a group that wasn't getting a lot of
- 44:00Speaker 1: love in Washington at the time. He started fighting and
- 44:08Speaker 1: he uh, He's had a warning to the left, Hey
- 44:10Speaker 1: don't don't let mistest your yourselves into oblivion essentially is
- 44:15Speaker 1: his is his message. But I just wanted to take
- 44:20Speaker 1: a moment because I think I think Barney Frank is
- 44:25Speaker 1: one of those figures that will grow in importance, you know,
- 44:30Speaker 1: with more time, and I think we don't fully appreciate
- 44:35Speaker 1: what he went through. Somebody had to, right, somebody has to.
- 44:43Speaker 1: There are gay members of Congress on both sides of
- 44:45Speaker 1: the aisle. Now, you know, one thing, Whatever you think
- 44:48Speaker 1: of Donald Trump, this has never usually been an issue
- 44:51Speaker 1: with him, right. This is just and it just it
- 44:58Speaker 1: just struck me that, you know, I'll say this, I
- 45:03Speaker 1: always got smarter when I interviewed Barney Frank. He was
- 45:06Speaker 1: a tough sob wasn't always the wasn't the warmest and
- 45:11Speaker 1: uh person all the time, but man was he whipped smart.
- 45:16Speaker 1: I got to know his sister over the years, Anne Lewis,
- 45:18Speaker 1: who is Clinton's communications director, and she's you know, it's
- 45:22Speaker 1: it's very much a political family. But anyway, I think
- 45:31Speaker 1: the moment we're living in politically means nobody gets to
- 45:34Speaker 1: do that maybe they deserve. I think this is a
- 45:37Speaker 1: case where he's he's he's a he's a larger public
- 45:43Speaker 1: figure than I think he's going to get the benefit
- 45:45Speaker 1: at the moment, But in due time, I think it'll come.
- 45:49Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna sneak in a break. But when
- 45:53Speaker 1: we come back my conversation with MYR Alexander, and I
- 45:56Speaker 1: want to say, like I said, I've I've I've I've
- 46:00Speaker 1: watched him, I've been up close, I've gotten a front
- 46:03Speaker 1: row seat sort of starting from when he started running
- 46:05Speaker 1: for president. He started running for president ninety six, back
- 46:09Speaker 1: in nineteen ninety three, and I would get a glimpse
- 46:11Speaker 1: of that. But his origin story is quite an amazing one,
- 46:18Speaker 1: and it's the story we begin with. But imagine you're
- 46:23Speaker 1: elected governor and the person you're replacing before you take
- 46:27Speaker 1: the oath of office is literally emptying prisons and selling
- 46:31Speaker 1: pardons left and right to anybody who wants to purchase them.
- 46:36Speaker 1: That's what was happening in nineteen seventy eight, nineteen seventy nine,
- 46:39Speaker 1: after the November election of seventy eight, and a bipartisan
- 46:43Speaker 1: group of people in the state of Tennessee said we've
- 46:45Speaker 1: got to hurry up and have Alexander take office sooner
- 46:50Speaker 1: or these prisons could get emptied. It was an emergency.
- 46:54Speaker 1: Whether it was even constitutional still a question to this day.
- 47:00Speaker 1: Let's just say Lamar Alexander's political career started back in
- 47:03Speaker 1: the day when selling pardons was so upsetting that there
- 47:08Speaker 1: was bipartisan outrage in a place like Tennessee. Let's hope
- 47:12Speaker 1: we can get that outrage about selling pardons back nationally.
- 47:16Speaker 1: All right, let's take the break. This episode of the
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- 48:51Speaker 1: code podcast for thirty percent off. And yes, I too,
- 48:55Speaker 1: am a customer. Well joining me now is perhaps one
- 49:02Speaker 1: of full politicians I've ever personally known, and I feel
- 49:08Speaker 1: like I have watched at least the second half of
- 49:10Speaker 1: his career up close and personal because of a mutual
- 49:16Speaker 1: friend that Lamar Alexander and I have had over the decades.
- 49:21Speaker 1: A mentor of mine, I know an intellectual partner of his,
- 49:25Speaker 1: the late great Doug Bailey. But here's my guest. It's
- 49:28Speaker 1: Lamar a Lexander in his new book The Education of
- 49:30Speaker 1: a Senator Governor? Is that the title you prefer the most?
- 49:35Speaker 1: That's always my person I prefer Lamar. Well, there you go.
- 49:41Speaker 1: But the joke used to be every former governor that
- 49:43Speaker 1: was in the Senate was miserable. How did you not
- 49:46Speaker 1: become miserable?
- 49:47Speaker 2: Well, you're right about on your point, as Mitch McConnell says,
- 49:52Speaker 2: any senator who's been a governor tells you that he
- 49:57Speaker 2: prefers being a senator, will lie about other things, and
- 50:03Speaker 2: a lot of them have been miserable. Henry Bellman from
- 50:05Speaker 2: Oklahoma's you know, was governor and then he was in
- 50:08Speaker 2: the Senate two terms and he went back to governor.
- 50:10Speaker 2: He said, being in the Senate is about as exciting
- 50:14Speaker 2: as watching a stump rot. But your question was why
- 50:21Speaker 2: did I get along with it? It doesn't fit, It
- 50:23Speaker 2: doesn't fit my instincts. My instincts are to be governor
- 50:26Speaker 2: and just kind of a Moses job. You know, let's
- 50:28Speaker 2: go this way and help a strategy and persuade half
- 50:31Speaker 2: the people. You're right, But my advantage was I'd seen
- 50:36Speaker 2: the Senate. I've worked at it for Howard Baker. Then
- 50:39Speaker 2: I came back and worked in it for a few
- 50:41Speaker 2: months for Howard Baker when he was the leader. Then
- 50:43Speaker 2: I was, you know, education secretaries. I had to work
- 50:46Speaker 2: with the Congress, and the Senate is based almost suley
- 50:52Speaker 2: on relationships. And when I arrived at the Senate at
- 50:57Speaker 2: the advanced age of sixty two, I probably twenty five
- 51:00Speaker 2: twenty six of the senators. So if you have that
- 51:04Speaker 2: kind of relationships and a place that works on relationships,
- 51:07Speaker 2: that's a big advantage. So I help. I was able
- 51:09Speaker 2: to adapt.
- 51:11Speaker 1: There's something in my memory bank that says that our
- 51:13Speaker 1: mutual friend had relayed to me that when you first
- 51:16Speaker 1: got there, you weren't very impressed with the senator some
- 51:19Speaker 1: of your colleagues. But I get the impression that that
- 51:22Speaker 1: your impression of your colleagues improved over time.
- 51:26Speaker 2: That's, you know, both of that's true. You know, the
- 51:29Speaker 2: Senate is like any other group of one hundred people
- 51:32Speaker 2: in the country, except it has a lot of very
- 51:35Speaker 2: interesting talented people more than one might think. But there
- 51:40Speaker 2: are always eight or ten senators who are better than
- 51:43Speaker 2: the other eighty eight or ninety. And that's probably what
- 51:47Speaker 2: I noticed, is that they're just always are some who
- 51:51Speaker 2: are leaders or who have skills, who have a sense
- 51:53Speaker 2: of purpose and get things done. I mean the Howard Baker's,
- 51:56Speaker 2: the Everard Dierkson's attend kidneys, people like that.
- 51:59Speaker 1: McCain was, well, remember you say that about Ted Kennedy.
- 52:02Speaker 1: And I don't think you said it very publicly at
- 52:04Speaker 1: the time, but he was one of the more interesting
- 52:07Speaker 1: people in the Senate. And you're like, well, I got
- 52:09Speaker 1: to this place, why is a liberal Democrat one of
- 52:11Speaker 1: the more interesting people to work with? And that's true.
- 52:13Speaker 2: But you know, when I ran again, you know, when
- 52:15Speaker 2: I ran for the Senate in two thousand and two,
- 52:17Speaker 2: I used I was running to succeed Fred Thompson, and
- 52:19Speaker 2: I would I would tell the you know people, I
- 52:23Speaker 2: would say, if you elect my opponent, the Democrat, the
- 52:26Speaker 2: first thing he'll do is he'll go over and pick
- 52:28Speaker 2: up Fred Thompson's desk and he'll sit it down between
- 52:31Speaker 2: Hillary Clinton and Ted Kennedy and make it one vote
- 52:34Speaker 2: harder for George W. Bush to lead our country. So
- 52:37Speaker 2: I ran against Ted Kennedy and he stood at the
- 52:39Speaker 2: back of the Senate and fulminated, you know, in a
- 52:43Speaker 2: loud voice, on all these liberal things. But here's an
- 52:46Speaker 2: example of how he did things. When I made my
- 52:49Speaker 2: maiden address about American history and Civics teachers, he was there,
- 52:55Speaker 2: and he's scurried around the Senate while I was talking.
- 52:57Speaker 2: He got twenty Democratic co sponsors for the bill I
- 53:00Speaker 2: was introducing, and then he helped me pass it. So
- 53:04Speaker 2: he was that way the whole time he was there.
- 53:06Speaker 2: When I was there, he was as effective as any
- 53:10Speaker 2: any other senator at actually getting things done. And he
- 53:14Speaker 2: knew how to make his point, to keep his to
- 53:18Speaker 2: keep his people happy, and then then he would go
- 53:22Speaker 2: to work with the Republicans and try to get a result.
- 53:25Speaker 1: I want to go back to your early days as governor.
- 53:28Speaker 1: I think it's a story that well, they did make
- 53:31Speaker 1: a movie about it. I guess you got to help
- 53:35Speaker 1: on that front. But I don't think people know this
- 53:38Speaker 1: story very well, and it was I was glad to
- 53:40Speaker 1: read your account of it. I don't think that I'd
- 53:42Speaker 1: always gotten Bailey's account. I had never gotten your account,
- 53:45Speaker 1: But this was wild. A governor you were succeeding was
- 53:50Speaker 1: selling pardons up until the last days in office.
- 53:54Speaker 2: Well that was right. I mean it's hard for people
- 53:57Speaker 2: to believe today.
- 53:58Speaker 1: But it really that a chief executive would sell pardons. Yeah, no,
- 54:02Speaker 1: it's really hard to believe.
- 54:03Speaker 2: Lam. Well, we're in I'm not paiding you by going there.
- 54:10Speaker 2: We're in nineteen seventy nine. I just been elected governor.
- 54:13Speaker 2: I'm a Republican Tennessee still very democratic state. Everybody, what
- 54:18Speaker 2: were you?
- 54:18Speaker 1: The first Republican governors.
- 54:21Speaker 2: In nineteen seventy Winfield. Before that, it was nineteen twenty,
- 54:25Speaker 2: so I was we were just in transition. Still, most
- 54:29Speaker 2: everybody to state capital was a Democrat. All the people
- 54:31Speaker 2: I would be working with, and the governor's office. The
- 54:34Speaker 2: governor was selling pardons for case. The FBI had had
- 54:38Speaker 2: tapes of this, and the U. S Attorney called me
- 54:41Speaker 2: up three days before I was to be sworn in
- 54:43Speaker 2: and called me up on a Wednesday morning and said,
- 54:45Speaker 2: I'm calling now as the US Attorney, but as a
- 54:49Speaker 2: Tennesseean to ask you to take office early because we
- 54:53Speaker 2: have evidence the governor is about to release more prisoners
- 54:56Speaker 2: who paid cash for their release. Well, on two nights
- 54:59Speaker 2: before or he had just released fifty one, including many
- 55:03Speaker 2: who had paid cash for release. And so I put
- 55:06Speaker 2: the phone down and I said, I'll call you back.
- 55:09Speaker 2: I'll put the phone down because I want to make
- 55:11Speaker 2: sure one the prank. And I called him back and
- 55:15Speaker 2: he was a Democrat. And by five o'clock that afternoon,
- 55:18Speaker 2: after a lot of negotiation back and forth, the state
- 55:21Speaker 2: Attorney General ruled that it was constitutional and legal. And
- 55:26Speaker 2: I was sworn in as governor three days early, and
- 55:30Speaker 2: the Democratic governor was housted. He later went to jail
- 55:33Speaker 2: for selling whiskey licenses.
- 55:37Speaker 1: How did how was that legal? How did they they
- 55:41Speaker 1: just did it? I mean, I'm the What was the
- 55:46Speaker 1: provision in the constitution? Did the legislature have to go along?
- 55:49Speaker 2: Well, there was some dispute about it, but in Tennessee,
- 55:54Speaker 2: the state attorney General was appointed by the Supreme Court,
- 55:57Speaker 2: and his rulings of the you have the rule of
- 56:01Speaker 2: almost the rule of a of a court.
- 56:05Speaker 1: He was in.
- 56:06Speaker 2: He was a Democrat. He was involved in all the
- 56:09Speaker 2: discussions and he interpreted the constitutional provisions and the state
- 56:13Speaker 2: laws governing when you swear in the governor to to
- 56:18Speaker 2: to allow me to be sworn in three days before
- 56:21Speaker 2: the scheduled swearing out on Saturday. Now, later on, one
- 56:27Speaker 2: of the one of the Supreme Court members said he
- 56:30Speaker 2: didn't think that was good law.
- 56:33Speaker 1: Oh interesting, do you think if that was something that
- 56:35Speaker 1: that the governor had challenged, he just chose not to
- 56:39Speaker 1: challenge it.
- 56:39Speaker 2: He didn't challenge he would be out anyway in three days.
- 56:44Speaker 2: But uh, and and he was in deep trouble. I mean,
- 56:47Speaker 2: the to show you how far this had gone, the
- 56:50Speaker 2: US attorney who had called me had been part of
- 56:53Speaker 2: the investigation of the governor's staff that was selling partons.
- 56:56Speaker 2: They were down in Memphis at a hotel room, and
- 57:00Speaker 2: he said, let's try hil Mary. So they had the
- 57:03Speaker 2: they had the person who was who was the asking
- 57:07Speaker 2: the questions, the who was set up to ask the
- 57:09Speaker 2: governor's staff. He said, how much would it cost to
- 57:14Speaker 2: spring James Earl Ray? And James Earl Ray was Martin
- 57:18Speaker 2: Luther King's murlin, My gosh, he was brushing mountain and
- 57:21Speaker 2: the and the governor's staff guy who was selling pardons said,
- 57:26Speaker 2: m that's a tough one. He said, what about seventy
- 57:28Speaker 2: five thousand dollars for an escape. So that's what we're
- 57:32Speaker 2: and they had all this on video. So here I'm
- 57:34Speaker 2: presented with where you where you take office three days early,
- 57:38Speaker 2: and I'm thinking, we don't do that in the United States, right,
- 57:41Speaker 2: you know, we we passed power peaceably. I knew enough
- 57:44Speaker 2: to know that. And on the other hand, if I
- 57:47Speaker 2: didn't do it, the governor might empty the prisons. He
- 57:51Speaker 2: had the complete power to do that. There's no recourse
- 57:55Speaker 2: to a presidential or agubernatorial pardon. You're out, You're out.
- 57:59Speaker 2: So that's what I had to weigh, and so I
- 58:01Speaker 2: wanted to make sure that I had the entire democratic
- 58:04Speaker 2: establishment with me at the time I was sworn out.
- 58:07Speaker 2: The Democratic Chief Justice stare or the Secretary of State,
- 58:10Speaker 2: the Attorney General made is ruly and we announced it together.
- 58:14Speaker 1: You know, it's interesting, that's a that's a heck of
- 58:16Speaker 1: a honeymoon you ended up being able to have. Do
- 58:19Speaker 1: you think you feel as if it allowed you to
- 58:23Speaker 1: immediately hit the ground running because you sort of for
- 58:26Speaker 1: you forged these bipartisan relationships literally in fire.
- 58:30Speaker 2: Yeah. I think of it as a bipartisan boot camp.
- 58:33Speaker 2: I mean, we didn't really know each other, and we
- 58:36Speaker 2: had to absolutely trust each other and not miscommunicate with
- 58:40Speaker 2: each other. Then ever it was over, we had to
- 58:43Speaker 2: not take credit and say well I won, he lost,
- 58:46Speaker 2: he lost. I one. We didn't do any of that.
- 58:49Speaker 2: And so for a day we had that bipartisan boot camp,
- 58:54Speaker 2: and it really did make a difference over the next
- 58:57Speaker 2: eight years, my working with a Democratic legislature. Uh, you know,
- 59:01Speaker 2: better roads, better schools, better jobsily incomes when up states
- 59:04Speaker 2: confidence improved and and that was a big part of
- 59:08Speaker 2: the reason for it.
- 59:11Speaker 1: You know, I want to talk a little bit about
- 59:12Speaker 1: your time as governor because you were part of this
- 59:15Speaker 1: group of Southern governors, Republicans and Democrats that I feel
- 59:22Speaker 1: like was sort of the that brought the South out
- 59:27Speaker 1: of the fifties. I don't know how to put it,
- 59:29Speaker 1: but it was sort of the quote unquote new South,
- 59:33Speaker 1: a reinvigoration into public education, a sort of trying to
- 59:37Speaker 1: turn the page from the from the divisiveness of the
- 59:40Speaker 1: Civil rights era and sort of move to that. It
- 59:43Speaker 1: was you had Riley in South Carolina, yourself, Bill Clinton,
- 59:47Speaker 1: and particularly on education. It was on that issue where
- 59:50Speaker 1: I felt like there was a lot of cooperation best
- 59:54Speaker 1: practices between those between the Southern governors. Am I over
- 59:58Speaker 1: interpreting that, or is that is that the experience you had?
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: No, You're exactly right. I mean, and we were elected
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: the same day, I mean Clinton, Arkansas, Riley and in
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: South Carolina, Bob Graham in Florida.
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: Bob Graham was another one.
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: William Winter was already in Mississippi. And we worked together.
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: I mean we were. Florida was a little better shape,
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: but the rest of them has heard about the same place.
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: Ask you had really done a lot.
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: I think I had more money, more people, that kind
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: of thing. But Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi the three poor states.
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: So we worked on what to do about it, and
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: we worked together even though we were of different parties.
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: Yeah, what was I bring this up because I think
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: one of the you know, one of the bigger issues
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: we don't talk about is is I think we haven't
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: rethought our public school system. It's basically the same setup
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: we came up with over one hundred years now, and
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: it's clear that that this needs at best updating, uh
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: maybe total transformation, rethinking. And you know, I'm not crazy
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: about the silofication that we've done of public education. In
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: my home state of Florida, for instance, we have a
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: four tiered system in Miami Dade County. If you're really wealthy,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: there's the privates. If you're got parents that really pay attention,
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: they can find the right charter or find the right
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: magnet school. But if you, you know, maybe your parents are,
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: you know, working two jobs and they can't, and all
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: of a sudden, you're just at the school in your
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: neighborhood and you may not be in the best school.
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: And so while school choice exists, it's it's in some
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: ways it's confusing, it's it's hard. And then there's a
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: part of me that says, you know, what, we really
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: ought to be educated together as Americans. There's some there's
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: some upside to that in pluralism and all of this.
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: So where's your head on this? And how would you
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: be advising today's governors and tackling and sort of reanimating
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: and modernizing public education.
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: Well, you're right about the last point. I was in
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: the meeting one time when I was president ever to
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: Tennessee and the president of Notre Dame asked, what is
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: the rationale for a public school? There was this embarrassing
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: silence until Albert Shanker, the head of the American Federation
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: teacher said, a public school is for the purpose of
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: teaching immigrant children the three ares and what it means
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: to be an American. So the idea would be that
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: we have public schools to take this country of many
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: different people, of many different backgrounds and turn us into
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: all Americans. And that's that's sort of the emplorbus Unham
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: reason we have public schools and the biggest argument against vouchers.
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: I'm for school choice. I think leading government money, especially
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: for low income families follow their kids to better schools,
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: is a good idea. But I'm also convinced that communities
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: can have the schools they want, and the recent examples
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: of that. I know that in Tennessee, Bill Frist has
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: had a former majority leaders had organization called score working
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: for seventeen years, and Tennessee has suddenly been leading leading
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: the South and moved way up in the state in
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: terms of reading and math achievement, even though we have spending.
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: I'm not sure exactly what, but I think the point
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: is probably phonics. Mississippi's doing the same thing.
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: Mississippi's leaving a great story that's going on in Mississippi.
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: Great great story. So I think what it is is
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: these different structures. I like charter schools, especially because that
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: liberates the teachers and give parents more choices. But these
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: different structures are not as important as the quality of
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: the teachers and the attention that the parents paid the kids,
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: and if you have good teachers and interested parents, the
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: children going to learn. If you say high standards, it's
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: about that simple, and it almost has to be done
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: community by community. So you have a national school board
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: with lots of rules from Washington probably didn't help very much.
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: No, it doesn't. I guess what role should Washington play?
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: You were Secretary of Education. There's a plan to sort
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: of get rid of the Department of Education. I'm curious
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: your thoughts on that, or would you reanimate the Department
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: of Education.
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: No, I've always thought we didn't need a Department of
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: Education for higher education colleges and universities. About all it
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: does is distribute money, grands and loans to about twenty
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: million college students every year. That can be done in
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: a ministerial fashion. And as a former college president, I
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: really don't want a national board of trust telling like
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: the one President Trump's proposed, and it's kind of backed
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: away from I think lately that would tell all six
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: thousand colleges what to do K through twelve. I think
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: the better thing to do would be to let the
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: money follow the low income children to the public school
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: of their choice. Now, some states may want to include
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: private schools, like Florida does, Tennessee does. That's fine, But
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: if you don't want to include the private schools for
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: a variety of reason, let them go to the public schools,
- 1:05:15Speaker 2: and you don't need all these federal programs. And that's
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: up to quite a bit of money. It would be
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: every child would have a few thousand dollars that would
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: follow them to a school if they were a low
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: income student, and those schools usually have less money. And
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: I think that would be the better way for the
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: federal government to spend this money. And that doesn't take
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: a department. So what you need really is an advocate
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: for high standards, high goals, high standards, good schools. You
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: need advocacy, but you don't need management from Washington and Education.
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: You think there should still be a debate about testing,
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: well testing, You know where are you in testing?
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: I ended up in twenty fifteen when we fixed no
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: Child Left Behind of keeping the test requirement that George W.
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: Bush put in as president.
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: Will you say you ended up? It sounds like you
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: were you were you were you waiting?
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: Yeah? Basically, well, I had to pass the bill and
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: and and so there were a lot of people, including
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: President Obama and others, who wanted to keep it, and
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: President Bush wanted to keep it. Margaret Spellings, who was
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: the Education secretary, came to see me about it, and
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: there's a good argument for it, because she would say
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: that was the whole purpose of no child left behind.
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: We at least could require the schools to let everybody
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: know how the kids are doing, and then they can
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: make their own decisions about what to do about it.
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: I found that hard to argue with.
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I we I'm sort of I
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: got my whole list here. I'm gonna need six hours
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: with you. I'm teasing, but I want to stay. I
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: want to sort of stay. Go back now in your
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: in your career a little bit. You wrote something in
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: the book that I've actually been also trying to rethink
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: how to use as descriptors. You talked about you hated
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: the label moderate. Yeah, and I totally get it. I
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: get accused of being a centrist or or whatever you
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: want to an institutionalist or whatever you want to call it.
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: I always say that's not too bad.
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: No, but it's not that. I call myself an incrementalist.
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: And I think and and so and what you described yourself.
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: It's it's look, you're a conservative, Tom Cotton is a conservative.
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: One is more moderate and temperament, and one is is
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: a little less moderate in temperament. I've always viewed moderate
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: as a thermostat uh descriptor. And but I you know,
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: I know it's gotten sort of conflated. I mean, what
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: would you prefer I used to call you a a
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: conservative who believes in legislating, because there are conservatives who
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: are like, no, let's shut this. You know, we don't
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: need it. Better government doing all this stuff. What would
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: be your preferred moniker or descriptive descriptor? Oh?
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: In my preferred as I'm a Republican who understands that
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: that you that there's no reason to be in politics
- 1:08:12Speaker 2: unless you want to accomplish something. I mean, when I
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: want to run for governor a second time, my wife
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: Honey said to me, now, wait a minute, We're not
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: going to go through this again unless you can tell me,
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: why are you running and what do you hope to accomplish?
- 1:08:25Speaker 2: And I used to tell my senate colleagues all the time,
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: it's hard to get here, it's hard to stay here.
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: So while you're here, you might as well try to
- 1:08:32Speaker 2: accomplish something good for the country. And if you want
- 1:08:35Speaker 2: to accomplish something, if you're a governor, I was working
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: with democratic legislature. You've got to get some Democrats to
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: agree with you to pay teachers more for teaching. Well,
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: does that make you a moderate. No, that makes you
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: a governor who wants to get something done. If you're
- 1:08:49Speaker 2: a senator and you want to pass the Great American
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: Outdoors Act, you you've got to get sixty votes, and
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: Republics have never had sixty votes in the history of
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: the country. So you've got to work with Democrats. So
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: I don't believe in being bipartisan. That's not my goal.
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: My goal is to get a result, and and and
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: to get a result, you sometimes get labeled as a moderate.
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: That's what makes that's what kind of made me angry,
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: because I mean, I'm a very Republican. Republican as a governor,
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: I'm you know, I fought the teacher's union and walked
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: across the state, and and and.
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: Vative.
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: He told people, I've he told I've he told the
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: picture driver's licenses three times because I thought it was
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: an interference with man.
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: Our libertarian friends would love you for that, That's right.
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: So so I think Bill Bennett used to say, who
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: was as I think everybody knows. He was the education
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: secretary for Reagan? Strong conservative, considered as such. He used
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: to say to me, you know, our views are almost identical.
- 1:09:58Speaker 2: But I'm Bill Bennett. Could make a speech, everybody would
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: say what a great conservative, And you could make a
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: speech and they'd say, what a nice person. And there's
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: a lot of truth that. A lot of it's style, yeah,
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: and a lot of it is the difference. The difference
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: between Republicans is not between moderates and conservatives, is between
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: Republicans who think you're finished with your job when you
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: finish your speech, and Republicans who want to call do something.
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: Well. I'm you know, I'm curious. You've watched, in some
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: ways from this perch. You've watched the changing ways that
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: politicians interact with the public, and the public interacts with
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: his politicians. I've been joking of late that the natural,
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: the next natural page turn in our politics is going
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: to be Stephen Colbert versus Tucker Carlson, you know, And
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: I hesitate to sometimes say it because it's kind of
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: a chuckle. And yet if I told you that was
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: the twenty twenty eight matchup, would you be totally shocked?
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: Well, I would be shocked. But in nineteen ninety nine,
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: when I dropped down the presidential race, that didn't you know,
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: I did pretty.
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: Well and nice, this line is amazing, it's amazing. Go ahead, I.
- 1:11:16Speaker 2: Said a similar line.
- 1:11:17Speaker 1: You know I was.
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: I was embarrassed. I didn't do well. In the nineteen
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: run up to two thousand, George W. Bush left me
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: and everybody else than the dusk and people said, what
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: do you learn? And I said, well, it's all money,
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: and media said it keeps going like this. By two
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: thousand and four, we're likely to have Donald Trump versus
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: the latest Power Bowl winner with chair as an independent candidate.
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: And I just picked Trump's name out of the blue.
- 1:11:44Speaker 2: I didn't know him, know anything about him, but I
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: missed by about twelve years his rival. Yeah, we've got
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: a different environment where people are you know, famous for
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: being famous or their presence on the screen makes a
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: big different and other people will vote for them. Their
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: ability to attract attention depends upon their extreme positions and
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: their ability to raise money. By the digital democracy we
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: live in, so all that provides not very much incentive
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: for people who are really interested in saying, Okay, what
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: can we do to advance medical miracles, or what can
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: we do to you know, take care of national park maintenance?
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: And if we're going to do that, can we get
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: enough of us together to get a result? That takes
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: some work, and it's a completely different style of serving
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: than just making the speech that will get the most
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: clicks on your cell phone.
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: Look, I think everything is cyclical and that at some
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: point the electorate's going to decide, no, we don't want
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: the best theater person. We need somebody, you know, we
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: want the course. And you know, I don't know if
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: we're there yet, and I don't know if our current
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: media climate even rewards that just yet. And I think
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: that that's an issue. But let me poke, let me
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: dig in here on money in politics. One of the
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: most fascinating things that I've been striking up a pretty
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: close relationship with John Kasick, and he's become a huge
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: sort of believer now in campaign financial perform and he
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: goes I never would have advocated for it twenty years ago,
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: you know, just you didn't have many conservative Republicans that
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: would say that. But it does feel like there's we've
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: hit a tipping point where we're like, whoa, whoa, whoa
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: this this money is on another level that is consuming
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: our politics. What do we do about it? I'm not sure. Well,
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: first of all, are you never are you there? Are
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: you there? Are you concerned about this?
- 1:13:48Speaker 2: I've never favored limits on on on I mean, I
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: ran for president in nineteen ninety six at a time
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: when you could only raise one thousand dollars per person,
- 1:13:58Speaker 2: and I raised about fifteen million dollars and did pretty well.
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: And you were one of the better fundraisers at that
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: time at that time, but I was no competition for
- 1:14:09Speaker 1: Steve Forbes, who got in late and wrote checks and
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: spent about thirty forty million dollars trashing Bob Dole.
- 1:14:15Speaker 2: So when you put limits on campaign contributions you that
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: may be good, but you advantaged somebody else. I agree
- 1:14:25Speaker 2: with you. It's a problem. I heard the other day
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: somebody said the Presidency is now billion dollar race. Senate
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: is a fifty million dollar race. Well, my last Senate
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: race in twenty fourteen, I spent ten million dollars.
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: So are you paying attention to the Roy Cooper Michael
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: Watley race in North Carolina? That's going to be a
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: billion dollar race? Lamar?
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: Is it really?
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: That's going to be? It's going to get close total
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: spending combined. There's some talk that could be the first
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: billion with a beat billion dollar center race. Obviously, it's
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: a fairly large state and there's just you know, huge
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: stakes and huge and two proven fundraisers, right, a former
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: governor and an RNC chair.
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: Well, our mutual friend Doug Bailey used to have a
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: solution to it, which you may remember. It was he
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: thought that the law ought to be that you can
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: only contribute to a race if you lived in the state.
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: Yeah, what do you think of that?
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: Almost all the rules that I've heard of that people
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: come up with the limit the flow of money, people
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: find a way to get around it, and it tends
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: up making it harder for someone else to write their
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: unanticipated consequences. So I don't have a solution. I've gotten
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: to the point in life for if I don't have
- 1:15:38Speaker 2: a solution, I'm not afraid to say so I don't
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: have a solution.
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: No, I look, I agree because I agree with you.
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: I used to quote there's this great line in the
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: movie Jurassic Park and it's also in the Michael Crichton book.
- 1:15:51Speaker 1: But the Jeff Goblum character that the old man talks
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: about how oh no, no, these dinosaurs they're not going
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: to mate. We've fixed that, and he says, he says
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: this great line. Life finds a way. And I've always
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: said that in my experience now watching attempts to limit money,
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: every new limit has opened the door to a bigger
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: spicket each time, because money finds a way. I mean,
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: it's pretty clear now, McCain. Fine goal was a massive
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: failure because it took money that was coming into the
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: system where there was a reporting mechanism and there was
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: transparency and you knew where who was giving the money
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: to the two parties and there were parties that's right,
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: and then it parties weakened the parties, right, It served
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: to weaken the parties number one, which in itself means
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: we don't have the the vetters. If you will right,
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: who can you know this is a bad person, it's
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: a good person, et cetera. And then it put money.
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: It basically created the dark money system that everybody hates
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: right now.
- 1:16:52Speaker 2: Well, it's fairly it's a fairly recent phenomenon. I remember
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: I was at the Harvard Kennedy School and I went
- 1:16:59Speaker 2: to Sagram House and took me to see John Carey,
- 1:17:01Speaker 2: and I said to John Carey, if you spend your
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: own money, you'll be the first serious candidate ever to
- 1:17:07Speaker 2: do it in a presidential primary, which he then did.
- 1:17:09Speaker 2: If you remember, he lost eye borrowed money from I
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: guess his wife's house or his and one New Hampshire.
- 1:17:18Speaker 2: But if he hadn't been able to inject a lot
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: of money into it, he would he wouldn't have been
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: able to do it.
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: Let me, I'm going to ask you about Howard Baker
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: because for me it's a bit personal. I think my
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: father was the only person in Miami that had a
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: Howard Baker for President bumper sticker on. It was seventy nine. Really,
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: I don't know if the campaign really made it.
- 1:17:44Speaker 2: Dad get off the ground.
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, Doug Bailey used to say that, had
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: you not been governor that that campaign might have been
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: gone better.
- 1:17:55Speaker 2: Now, why did he think that?
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: I think the implication was you'd have run the campaign.
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: Oh well, I don't know that I could have done that.
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: You know, President Ford asked me to run his campaign
- 1:18:04Speaker 2: in nineteen seventy five, and I couldn't because I'd lost
- 1:18:09Speaker 2: the governor's race and family circumstances wouldn't allow me to
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: go away. It would have been hard to beat Ronald
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: Reagan in nineteen eighty. He you know, that was really
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: the third try he'd run. He made a little try
- 1:18:27Speaker 2: in nineteen sixty eight and then he got seventy six,
- 1:18:30Speaker 2: was close, and then people were ready for him in
- 1:18:33Speaker 2: nineteen eighty. So Baker was an appealing candidate, but it
- 1:18:37Speaker 2: would be hard, hard to beat Reagan. Plus Reagan was
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: running on we bought it, we paid for it, the
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: Panama Canal, and Baker ran by the Treaty, so.
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: On some issues he would have been it was on
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: the wrong side of where the base was. Yeah, I
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: think so, well, what I mean, why else do you
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: think Baker couldn't get tracked? Why did it? Why didn't
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: Baker get traction? But Bush did.
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: That's a good that's a good question, Baker, and I
- 1:19:10Speaker 2: say this with love and respect. Was a little undisciplined.
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: You know, he was a legislator, and the custom to
- 1:19:19Speaker 2: uh moving around the center with relationships the kind of
- 1:19:26Speaker 2: thing that that's not efficient. And and I don't think
- 1:19:31Speaker 2: he was ready prepared for the discipline of a presidential campaign.
- 1:19:36Speaker 2: I mean, the difference between running for the Senate, running
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: for governor, and a presidential campaign is the difference between
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: eighth grade basketball and the NBA finals. And you you've
- 1:19:47Speaker 2: got to be really good, which he was, and then
- 1:19:49Speaker 2: you've got to really have a top flight organization, which
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: for example, George W. Bush did and when he when
- 1:19:56Speaker 2: he ran. So I don't I don't I think he
- 1:20:00Speaker 2: ran a disciplined campaign in nineteen eighty.
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: Well, what you're painting a picture of is are you
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: still a firm believer that the best job that prepares
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: you for the presidency, maybe besides the vice presidency, is governor.
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, I am. But because as I look at
- 1:20:20Speaker 2: the governor, as I look at you know, I worked
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: with tim presidents, knew a couple more. I came in
- 1:20:26Speaker 2: I was in the Kennedy Justice Department as a student
- 1:20:28Speaker 2: and then with Baker when LBJ was here. But I
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: worked with ten and I think the one who best
- 1:20:36Speaker 2: fit the job was Reagan because of his executive demeanor
- 1:20:40Speaker 2: and his comfort in doing what Lincoln did, which is
- 1:20:43Speaker 2: to gather a team of rivals to help me. And
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: brought in Bush as his vice president, Jim Baker as
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: his campaign you know, as a chief of staff, and
- 1:20:52Speaker 2: then is another rival, Howard Baker is the chief of staff.
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: So he brought in very broad gaged people who who
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: who were knew the nuances of Washington in the White House,
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: and he listened to them, unlike Jimmy Carter, who came in, uh,
- 1:21:09Speaker 2: not knowing much about Washington and brought a bunch of
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: people who didn't know anything either. And he was in
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: his third fourth year before he really got got his
- 1:21:16Speaker 2: feet on the ground. So I think that Clinton Clinton
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: was effective governor and such I mean president, and he
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: his moral failure has hurt him, but he was the
- 1:21:30Speaker 2: best politician of the president's I knew, and he proved
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: to be an effective governor. George W. Was the most
- 1:21:39Speaker 2: normal of the presidents I worked with.
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: I mean, it's a great description. I completely look. I've
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: my president's personally knowing begins with Clinton, and that's my
- 1:21:50Speaker 1: description of w He's.
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: He's a guy, you know, you know, you'd have a
- 1:21:57Speaker 2: cigar with him or or whatever. And he wasn't a
- 1:22:00Speaker 2: Rhodes Scholar president of Harvard Law Review, and that didn't
- 1:22:03Speaker 2: bother him.
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: And the other thing, but he was smarter than most
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: people you talk with.
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: Oh, he was pretty smart. And the thing that he
- 1:22:13Speaker 2: was born on third base, but he treated as an
- 1:22:17Speaker 2: He was comfortable with it being an opportunity to steal
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: home rather than an excuse for a therapy session every week.
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: And most of the people who run for president, when
- 1:22:27Speaker 2: you start from scratch and try to go all the
- 1:22:29Speaker 2: way to the top, that just squeeze so much life
- 1:22:32Speaker 2: out of you. There's not a lot of left by
- 1:22:35Speaker 2: the time you get there. Bush had it all, you know.
- 1:22:37Speaker 2: So he was gregarious. He was gregarious, friendly, easy to
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: get along with, and the most normal of the batch.
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: One of my favorite late moments in politics. And I
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: remember watching and observing it and wishing we saw more
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: of this more often than it happened, but for this
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: one event, and that was the infamous or famous, whatever
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: you want to call it. It's basically the debate you
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: had with Barack Obama over healthcare in the Blair House,
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: and it was one of those moments that I thought,
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: this is what the country should see is our political leaders.
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: Maybe they disagree, and they did and you did, and
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: you guys were having this debate, but it was out
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: in the open, and it felt so healthy for a moment,
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: and I thought, is this Obviously it was a little
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: bit of a publicity stunt, right, there was no doubt.
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: But it almost worked, didn't it.
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: It did almost work. And I'll give the president credit
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: for having the day of discussion. What he basically did, though,
- 1:23:47Speaker 2: is Kevin formed a Republicans we never could have gotten
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: on that much television to offer our point of view.
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: And then Senator McConnell and John Bainer asked me to
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: take the time for both the Republicans and the House
- 1:24:02Speaker 2: members and the Senate members, which is anybody who's been
- 1:24:05Speaker 2: in Washington long knows how in the city of Elbow
- 1:24:08Speaker 2: is how odd that is.
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: I was just going to say, the fact that they
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: all agreed to let you be the lead, right, that
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: is a little unusual.
- 1:24:15Speaker 2: Let me speak, And so I did, and that irritated
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: Obama because he thought I was going on too long.
- 1:24:22Speaker 2: And then we had a difference of opinion about whether
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: Obamacare would increase the cost of individual insurance, and I
- 1:24:30Speaker 2: had evidence from the CBO that it would. He thought
- 1:24:33Speaker 2: I was wrong. But what I decided to do in
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: the end, I remember saying to mister President, rather than
- 1:24:39Speaker 2: rather than pursue this debate further in public, I'd like
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: to give you my notes after the meeting and show
- 1:24:47Speaker 2: you why I said that. And I did that because
- 1:24:49Speaker 2: I think people have respect for the office of president,
- 1:24:53Speaker 2: and they don't like it very much when even a
- 1:24:56Speaker 2: senator just com berates the pres for too long a
- 1:25:01Speaker 2: period of time. So I arguid with him for a while,
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: but then i'd cut it off and gave him my
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: notes afterwards.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: How did that go?
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: I don't think he ever agreed with me. I was
- 1:25:15Speaker 2: right about it.
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: I mean, I remember you saying to me once. Maybe
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: you said it to me or you said it the DOUG,
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: but it was like, I gladly trade medicaid back to
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: the federal government if you will, wanted it to take medicaid.
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: And part of it was just how much of a
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: budgetbuster it was for governors.
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: I did more than say it. I went to see
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: President Reagan in nineteen eighty eighty one I was governor.
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: He was president by then, and I proposed to him
- 1:25:45Speaker 2: a grand swap. I said, you take all of Medicaid,
- 1:25:49Speaker 2: which states pay about a third or forty percent of,
- 1:25:53Speaker 2: and we'll take all of K through twelve education, and
- 1:25:57Speaker 2: that belongs to the states anyway, and that would put
- 1:26:00Speaker 2: all of medicaid under one management, the federal government. It
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: would be better managed if you'd had one manager. Reagan
- 1:26:07Speaker 2: liked that, and he proposed it in his State of
- 1:26:10Speaker 2: the Union address, but it never went anywhere.
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: Ironically, I would argue, we basically that's what we have
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: is universal medicaid. In essence, it's just cobbled together by
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: the states and kind of funded by the feds.
- 1:26:35Speaker 2: Right. Well, I would check the latest numbers, but the
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: federal government probably pays sixty percent of Medicaid and the
- 1:26:47Speaker 2: states paid let's say forty But from the state budgets.
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: What happened in the eighties and the nineties was it
- 1:26:54Speaker 2: went from being three or four percent of the state
- 1:26:57Speaker 2: budget to twenty or thirty percent. Where did that come from.
- 1:27:00Speaker 2: It came from education, It came protectorarly from colleges and universities,
- 1:27:05Speaker 2: and also from K through twelve. So medicaid was cramping
- 1:27:10Speaker 2: our ability to improve schools.
- 1:27:14Speaker 1: Let me ask you. On the state level, I was
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: moderated a conversation call it a debate, conversation between Chris
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: Christy and David French about at the time, it was
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: really about sports gambling, and one of the issues I
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: brought up is how all these vices are actually important
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: funders for many state governments. Right, if you have an
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: allergy to raising taxes, well the best solution is a
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: vice tax, right, gambling tax, cigarette tax, alcohol tax, marijuana tax.
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: But there's a cost to legalizing all these vices. And
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: then you get where state governments are dependent on essentially
- 1:28:00Speaker 1: bad behavior in order to fund state services. Are you
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: worried where you know? Look, you didn't you didn't have
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: to make I think I think you brought the lottery in,
- 1:28:09Speaker 1: did you No?
- 1:28:10Speaker 2: Actually, actually it was the reverse. I kept the lottery and.
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: I kept it out. Okay, you know, I was.
- 1:28:15Speaker 2: Opposed to what I believe is state sponsored something for nothing.
- 1:28:20Speaker 2: I thought it was bad, bad policy. So when it
- 1:28:24Speaker 2: came time to raise money to try and build the
- 1:28:26Speaker 2: best highways to get all the Saturn plant suppliers right,
- 1:28:29Speaker 2: double the gas tax and paid for it so we
- 1:28:31Speaker 2: didn't have any death I and I literally kept kept
- 1:28:36Speaker 2: gambling out of Tennessee while I was governor. But the
- 1:28:38Speaker 2: lottery came in right after I left, and it's grown
- 1:28:42Speaker 2: to be very important and the money goes for education
- 1:28:45Speaker 2: and people like it.
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: But I think, but I guess the question is you
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: see where I'm going, right, And it's like, are are
- 1:28:54Speaker 1: we going down a slippery slope here and funding state government?
- 1:28:57Speaker 1: We're being so reliant on vice, is so relying on
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: stuff that we are worried or you know, like the
- 1:29:03Speaker 1: casinification of everything, young men getting quickly addicted to these
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: sports gambling apps, and yet we're yet state services can't
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: be funded without it.
- 1:29:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a valid, a valid concern, and
- 1:29:21Speaker 2: I've found my experience was that when it came time
- 1:29:24Speaker 2: to do it, I just mentioned to do we want
- 1:29:28Speaker 2: the Saturn suppliers? We haven't had the auto industry. Saturn
- 1:29:31Speaker 2: is going to bring in hundreds of suppliers. Do we
- 1:29:33Speaker 2: want them in Tennessee? And they won't come unless we
- 1:29:37Speaker 2: have super four lane highways. So they can get their
- 1:29:39Speaker 2: parts to the plant that I could persuade Tennesseeans to
- 1:29:44Speaker 2: raise the gas tax read and borrow money or rely
- 1:29:48Speaker 2: on the syn attax, or use lottery money. And in
- 1:29:52Speaker 2: that case, every single Republican voted for it.
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: And now you think you could have made that case
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: in today's Republican party. I mean, you think about what
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: happened to Don Sunquist in your own state when he
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: tried that was.
- 1:30:03Speaker 2: That was an income tax and he tried, but that
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: it would be harder today. But but I think states
- 1:30:10Speaker 2: thought about if any better roads, there's no need to
- 1:30:12Speaker 2: have them built from Washington and and I don't And
- 1:30:16Speaker 2: the cost of to an individual of of you know,
- 1:30:22Speaker 2: an extra gallon of gas a year so you don't
- 1:30:25Speaker 2: sit in traffic jam. That's not a hard case to make.
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: All right. I got two more areas I want to
- 1:30:31Speaker 1: explore with you. One is our friend Doug Bailey, and
- 1:30:33Speaker 1: two is where's this Republican party going? So let's start
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: with Let's start with the Republican Party, and then we'll
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: end on it on some high notes about Doug.
- 1:30:41Speaker 2: That's good. Doug Bailey is a high note in my book.
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: The same with me. I miss him. I miss him
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: every day, especially in this in these moments, and we
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: I'm sure, I'm sure you've had I have a folder
- 1:30:56Speaker 1: of stuff that he was sending you having to do
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: with a certain hotel that was being built in DC.
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: But yeah, we will set that aside. But let's talk
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: about where this Republican Party is going. I was, like
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: I said, I was recently with Chris Christy and he
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: thinks that we're going to see a natural transition and that,
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: you know, like any president, if they get clobberd in
- 1:31:21Speaker 1: the midterms in their second term, you're going to start
- 1:31:23Speaker 1: to see the traditional shift away from that president by
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: the that party in power, in this case the Republicans.
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: I'm a little skeptical of that.
- 1:31:33Speaker 2: What about you depends on who votes in primaries. I think,
- 1:31:36Speaker 2: to Donald Trump's credit, he brought a lot of people
- 1:31:39Speaker 2: into the Republican primary who'd never even thought about voting before,
- 1:31:44Speaker 2: and they're still there basically doing what he thinks ought
- 1:31:48Speaker 2: to be done. So I think that to change that,
- 1:31:53Speaker 2: you have to get other people or more people voting
- 1:31:56Speaker 2: in the primaries. We've got in a situation, and this
- 1:32:00Speaker 2: is an answer to your question, but we've gotten in
- 1:32:02Speaker 2: a situation where as few as maybe five or six
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: percent of the registered voters can pick a primary winner,
- 1:32:12Speaker 2: and as a result, both the Democrats run to the
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: Democrats run to the left, the Republicans run to the right,
- 1:32:19Speaker 2: and that's who you get. So anybody who's center left
- 1:32:22Speaker 2: or center right, which a majority of people are, they're
- 1:32:27Speaker 2: left out. They don't have to vote, they don't have
- 1:32:29Speaker 2: anybody to vote for in the general election. So I
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: think for the Republican Party to shift gears, there will
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: have to be a lot of people go vote in
- 1:32:39Speaker 2: the Republican primary who have not been voting in it lately,
- 1:32:44Speaker 2: and then you'll get a different kind of nominee. Now,
- 1:32:47Speaker 2: how do you do that? I suppose what you do
- 1:32:49Speaker 2: is you use social media to do it. Social media
- 1:32:51Speaker 2: is what created what we've got now, and I don't
- 1:32:54Speaker 2: want any way to undo it except to use social media.
- 1:32:58Speaker 2: I don't mean be fouling and all that. I mean,
- 1:33:01Speaker 2: just use the skills of social media to attract more
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: people in the primary for a I mean it may
- 1:33:08Speaker 2: be a lot of Trump voters too. I mean there
- 1:33:10Speaker 2: may you know, people sometimes say, well, I like chocolate,
- 1:33:13Speaker 2: but I've had a lot of chocolate. Maybe I'll try vanilla.
- 1:33:15Speaker 2: There may be Trump voters like that, and then there'll
- 1:33:17Speaker 2: be people who don't like Trump of the Republican Party
- 1:33:20Speaker 2: who are ready for something different. Patty for a.
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: No, you remember seeing the rise of this wing of
- 1:33:26Speaker 1: the party in that O two race. I remember you
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: you had a serious primary challenger that was running to
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: your right. If I'm not mistaken, in the center, that's right.
- 1:33:35Speaker 2: I mean Ed bright Ran. He was a conservative Republican
- 1:33:39Speaker 2: from West Tennessee and and had been a prosecutor in
- 1:33:44Speaker 2: the Clinton impeachment trial. A very able, very able guy.
- 1:33:48Speaker 2: Ye know we I mean Tennessee is basically a populist, independent,
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: conservative state, and it shifted around. I mean the Confederates
- 1:33:58Speaker 2: have become Republican, and.
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: They used to be your neighborhood. I mean, I I
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: used to love that stat. Eastern Tennessee has the longest
- 1:34:08Speaker 1: continuous Republican representation in Congress, right, it was the only
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: the district I was from.
- 1:34:13Speaker 2: Was never elected a Democrat to Congress.
- 1:34:15Speaker 1: I mean they were Republican. They were Union the artists.
- 1:34:19Speaker 2: They when when Tennessee seceded from the Union, uh, they
- 1:34:24Speaker 2: voted against it and they went north to Kentucky joined
- 1:34:27Speaker 2: the Union Army, and.
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: I always thought you corker. I mean, it felt like
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: all of all of the Tennessee Republicans in my early
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: adulthood all were East Tennessee Republicans.
- 1:34:37Speaker 2: Yeah, Baker brought too. That's where I mean. My great
- 1:34:41Speaker 2: grandfather was asked about his politics, he said, I'm a Republican.
- 1:34:45Speaker 2: I fought to save the Union and I would vote
- 1:34:48Speaker 2: like I shot. So those are the Lincolnites and they
- 1:34:50Speaker 2: became Republicans.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: Well, I only asked about that race because do you now,
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: in hindsight see the see the elements of the Trump
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: movement from that campaign.
- 1:35:03Speaker 2: There, Yes, is the answer to that. I mean, there's
- 1:35:06Speaker 2: always if you go back to there was a John
- 1:35:08Speaker 2: Bird Society in the sixties, and then there was let's see,
- 1:35:16Speaker 2: it was Reagan's movement. There was moral majority, there was parole,
- 1:35:22Speaker 2: there was I'm overlooking a couple, but there's always been
- 1:35:26Speaker 2: a strain of conservative populism the Republican Party then maybe
- 1:35:32Speaker 2: a third of the whole, maybe a third of the voter,
- 1:35:36Speaker 2: even in Tennessee. When Trump came along, the country had
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: gotten so unsettled. I don't think Trump caused it. I
- 1:35:43Speaker 2: think he's a cynic result of you know, it's the
- 1:35:48Speaker 2: ten years before Trump that were the that changed the country.
- 1:35:51Speaker 2: Not Trump. It's what happened with the arrival of social media, the.
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: Social media, the financial collapse, all that, all that post
- 1:36:01Speaker 1: nine eleven, all of that big stew Yeah.
- 1:36:04Speaker 2: The big that big stew and then then came job.
- 1:36:07Speaker 2: So that's the big change. How does that? How does
- 1:36:10Speaker 2: that change? What happened with the Democrats after McGovern which
- 1:36:13Speaker 2: is the only thing I can analogize it to, is
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: that Clinton and Gore and Dick Riley and some of
- 1:36:18Speaker 2: the Democratic son and governors, uh moved there.
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: They created Super Tuesday.
- 1:36:25Speaker 2: Yeah, moved the Democratic Party more than it was gonna.
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: I remember it was in theory going to be what
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: what was going to nominate Chuck Robb. That's a lot
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: of people thought was going to be that. This was
- 1:36:35Speaker 1: it was. Chuck Robb was the the LBJ son in law,
- 1:36:38Speaker 1: and the governor of Virginia was seen as the greatest
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: beneficiary of that.
- 1:36:42Speaker 2: And then of course also he Graham, Riley, Clinton Gore,
- 1:36:46Speaker 2: all of them and then Clinton Gore ran together. It
- 1:36:50Speaker 2: was hard enough to be they were considered at the
- 1:36:52Speaker 2: time to be centrist Democrats and carried a lot enough
- 1:36:57Speaker 2: of the South to win the national election. So I
- 1:37:00Speaker 2: think Republicans will need to nominate people who have a
- 1:37:04Speaker 2: different temperament, a different I think people would welcome a
- 1:37:10Speaker 2: change in language to mean, let's.
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: Talk about character in politics, all of that, and I.
- 1:37:20Speaker 2: Think there are plenty of people out there who can
- 1:37:22Speaker 2: provide that.
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: Why do you think character hasn't been a decisive issue
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: for a majority of voters right now?
- 1:37:30Speaker 2: I don't know what often it isn't. I know in
- 1:37:33Speaker 2: the Clinton years it wasn't. I mean Clinton was. He
- 1:37:38Speaker 2: did some pretty bad things.
- 1:37:39Speaker 1: But I contend you wouldn't have had Trump without Clinton.
- 1:37:43Speaker 2: Well maybe maybe so. And people put that second or third.
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: I don't. I mean, based upon working with ten presidents,
- 1:37:52Speaker 2: I put character and temperament first ahead of whether they
- 1:37:56Speaker 2: lean left or right, because I've seen the pressure responsibilities
- 1:38:01Speaker 2: that they have, and it may be that that after
- 1:38:04Speaker 2: Trump more people will value that more. They may say,
- 1:38:10Speaker 2: you know, just as my father took me to the
- 1:38:12Speaker 2: courthouse to meet Howard Baker's senior the congressman, I thought
- 1:38:16Speaker 2: he was probably the most respected man I was ever
- 1:38:19Speaker 2: likely to meet, other than my father and the preacher.
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: I think people would like a present they get introduced
- 1:38:24Speaker 2: to their grandson and say, I'd like you to grow
- 1:38:26Speaker 2: up and be like him. Right.
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: We don't have a role model in that way that
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: I would feel comfortable with for my son or future
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: grand kid.
- 1:38:35Speaker 2: But they're out there and that's the next for the next.
- 1:38:38Speaker 1: Well, I guess here's my concern, Lamar, is that good
- 1:38:41Speaker 1: people look at this terrain. It's not kind you. You
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: and I've had these conversations about how rough politics has
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: become for families now, not just the candidate themselves. Are
- 1:38:57Speaker 1: you concerned this is going to drive good people from running?
- 1:39:00Speaker 2: It will some? I mean my experience. I mean I
- 1:39:03Speaker 2: spent five years writing my memoir and it helped me
- 1:39:07Speaker 2: put things in perspective. And one of the lessons I
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: learned was that that the hardest thing in politics is
- 1:39:15Speaker 2: leaving it with your reputation and your family intact. So
- 1:39:20Speaker 2: most people don't want to put up with all the
- 1:39:23Speaker 2: indignities that go with it. But if you want to
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: do is Bill Frist did and save twenty three million
- 1:39:31Speaker 2: lives of people who had HIV AIDS, or if you
- 1:39:34Speaker 2: want to pass the Great American outdoors act or if
- 1:39:38Speaker 2: you want to produce a care for cancer, you about
- 1:39:42Speaker 2: have to be elected to do it or go to
- 1:39:45Speaker 2: work for someone else who has been. So if you
- 1:39:48Speaker 2: have a strong sense of purpose and a sense of humor,
- 1:39:52Speaker 2: I think you could suffer all the indignities, and I
- 1:39:55Speaker 2: think we'll have plenty of good people that will want
- 1:39:57Speaker 2: to try.
- 1:39:57Speaker 1: Who do you like out there?
- 1:40:00Speaker 2: I don't have a favorite. I like governors. I like
- 1:40:03Speaker 2: the governor of Georgia Yemp former governor of Virginia Youngkin.
- 1:40:09Speaker 2: Those are two talented people who have good credentials in
- 1:40:14Speaker 2: the Republican Party and who ought to be able to
- 1:40:17Speaker 2: mount a credible race.
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: Is Donald Trump been good or bad for the Republican
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: Party or is this a or do we not know yet?
- 1:40:30Speaker 2: Well, he's been both. I mean when he came up,
- 1:40:32Speaker 2: I mean the Republican Party had gotten ossified, you know,
- 1:40:35Speaker 2: in the eighties and the nineties, who developed a whole
- 1:40:38Speaker 2: structure of people in Washington, d c. Who constructed all
- 1:40:41Speaker 2: these litmus tests that you had that you had to
- 1:40:45Speaker 2: check off before you could even be considered a Republican candidate.
- 1:40:51Speaker 2: And he busted all that. I busted a lot of
- 1:40:54Speaker 2: that up. He completely blew a lot of that up,
- 1:40:57Speaker 2: So that needed to be done, and that was kind
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: of inviting a demolition, and he provided a demolition. What's
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: been bad about it is he's moved away from some
- 1:41:08Speaker 2: very critical things for our country that the Republican Party
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: has always supported, for example, a worldview that that values
- 1:41:18Speaker 2: allies such as NATO. He's also made some big errors
- 1:41:27Speaker 2: in terms of his pardon of people who charged the
- 1:41:31Speaker 2: capital on January sixth, and he.
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: Calls it ps lamari did it again this weekend and
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: going after Bill Cassidy.
- 1:41:39Speaker 2: Yeah, but anyone who looks careful. I went back there
- 1:41:45Speaker 2: three days after the mob hit the Capitol, and I
- 1:41:47Speaker 2: was my stomach turned about what I saw. George Washington
- 1:41:53Speaker 2: said that the most important thing about our new country
- 1:41:57Speaker 2: was not the first election, but the second, the peaceful
- 1:42:00Speaker 2: transfer of power. And to not accept the peaceful transfer
- 1:42:03Speaker 2: of power then to urge a mob to overturn the result,
- 1:42:11Speaker 2: that's bad for the country. And there are other things. See,
- 1:42:14Speaker 2: he's done a lot of good things. I mean, I
- 1:42:17Speaker 2: was glad to see the southern border controlled. I think
- 1:42:20Speaker 2: he's doing and Iran what some American president was going
- 1:42:25Speaker 2: to have to do sooner or later, which is to
- 1:42:28Speaker 2: use force to keep them from having a nuclear weapon. Now,
- 1:42:31Speaker 2: whether he's doing it as expertly as George H. W.
- 1:42:35Speaker 2: Bush and his team might have, that's another question. But
- 1:42:37Speaker 2: at least he's trying to do it. I like his
- 1:42:41Speaker 2: nuclear power policies. I can make a list of things
- 1:42:43Speaker 2: that I like that prinsident trumps dumb, but there are
- 1:42:46Speaker 2: other things that I think have damaged the country.
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: What's the line look like? I believe politics is a transaction.
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: I believe civilization invented politics that we could settle disputes
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: without violence. So I'm not I'm somebody who thinks politics
- 1:43:03Speaker 1: is a good thing. And I know it's a dirty
- 1:43:05Speaker 1: word to some people, but I think it's a good thing.
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: And transactionalism within reason is a good thing. But what's when?
- 1:43:11Speaker 1: When does transactionalism become harmful?
- 1:43:15Speaker 2: It depends what you mean by trans I mean transaction.
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: Well, right now, look, I'm gonna I'm I'm gonna put
- 1:43:21Speaker 1: words in your mouth, but this town feels like it's
- 1:43:25Speaker 1: for sale at times right now, and that everybody kind
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: of knows how you do it. And if you need
- 1:43:30Speaker 1: a regulation to go a certain way, there's a pretty
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: easy path to do it. That shouldn't be the way
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: Washington operates.
- 1:43:38Speaker 2: No, that's true. That shouldn't be and people should be
- 1:43:41Speaker 2: revolted by by anything. Then that is like that, there's
- 1:43:46Speaker 2: there are as you said, there's always a certain if
- 1:43:49Speaker 2: you mean that kind of transaction, there can't be contributions.
- 1:43:53Speaker 2: Sure will view that as as well.
- 1:43:56Speaker 1: It is donors give money not out of the goodness
- 1:43:59Speaker 1: of their heart, or at least donors that give a
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: certain amount of money, they at least at a minimum,
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: expect to have get your phone number.
- 1:44:06Speaker 2: Well, they they do, but I never felt I know,
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: the second time I ran for governor, I got Jim Haslam,
- 1:44:15Speaker 2: who didn't need anything, to be my finance chairman, so
- 1:44:18Speaker 2: that everybody who gave money would have to go through him,
- 1:44:22Speaker 2: because I was trying to insulate myself from people who
- 1:44:24Speaker 2: thought that just because they gave me a contribution, I
- 1:44:29Speaker 2: would do what they wanted me to do. Yeah, that's
- 1:44:32Speaker 2: not the way everybody operates. And I don't know the
- 1:44:35Speaker 2: law you could pass that makes everybody operate that way,
- 1:44:37Speaker 2: but people can sense it when things go too far.
- 1:44:43Speaker 1: Let's talk about Doug Bailey before I let you go.
- 1:44:46Speaker 1: You know you Doug was your political one of your
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: political consultants for a long time. I remember when I
- 1:44:53Speaker 1: first got to the hotline, everybody whispered to me, you know,
- 1:44:57Speaker 1: Doug's got a part time job. It's to get Lamar
- 1:44:59Speaker 1: Alexander the president and so and all that. So tell
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: me about your When did you and Doug connect first?
- 1:45:08Speaker 2: Well, I ran for governor in nineteen seventy four and F.
- 1:45:12Speaker 2: Clifton White was my consultant, Barry Goldwaters guy, and he
- 1:45:17Speaker 2: was delightful. But when I ran again in seventy eight,
- 1:45:21Speaker 2: I looked around and I saw that Doug Bailey and
- 1:45:23Speaker 2: John Diodorff had represented I don't know the exact number,
- 1:45:30Speaker 2: maybe seven out of the twelve Republican governors and.
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: Really owned the governors. Yeah, yeah, s were.
- 1:45:37Speaker 2: Left in the nation after the Watergate debacle in nineteen
- 1:45:42Speaker 2: seventy four. So White Stewart took me to see him.
- 1:45:45Speaker 2: And the great thing about Doug Bailey was he was
- 1:45:47Speaker 2: a professor as well as as a political guy.
- 1:45:51Speaker 1: So that's something you probably connected with immediately.
- 1:45:55Speaker 2: Yeah, And he wanted he didn't He wanted me to win,
- 1:45:57Speaker 2: So he created a spectacular campaign textbook campaign with a
- 1:46:01Speaker 2: big plan, and I walked across the state. I spent
- 1:46:04Speaker 2: the night with seventy three families, most of them I
- 1:46:07Speaker 2: didn't know it.
- 1:46:08Speaker 1: Was that cooked up with you and Doug walking across
- 1:46:10Speaker 1: the state.
- 1:46:11Speaker 2: My wife, really, my wife, Honey really was the one
- 1:46:13Speaker 2: who Doug was there. But she said that I wasn't
- 1:46:16Speaker 2: going to run again unless I could tell her why
- 1:46:19Speaker 2: I wanted to accomplish something. And she said, second, could
- 1:46:22Speaker 2: we have a different campaign mode? So we sat around
- 1:46:24Speaker 2: and talked about what I like to do. I like
- 1:46:28Speaker 2: to walk, I like music. So we ended up walking
- 1:46:31Speaker 2: across the state in my red and black shirt with
- 1:46:34Speaker 2: a band of four kids from the University of Tennessee
- 1:46:37Speaker 2: band and a flatbed truck playing Mama Milano music here
- 1:46:41Speaker 2: and it made me a better candidate and a better governor.
- 1:46:45Speaker 2: But what Doug Bailey was really good at was he
- 1:46:47Speaker 2: came to see me every week I was governor from Washington,
- 1:46:53Speaker 2: and the Democrats and the legislature thought he was coming
- 1:46:55Speaker 2: to give me political advice. He was he was coming
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: to give me advice about how to be a good governor.
- 1:47:01Speaker 2: And then we talked about the politics of how do
- 1:47:04Speaker 2: we persuade people were right.
- 1:47:07Speaker 1: Give me a few of his tips. What it wouldn't
- 1:47:10Speaker 1: you take from him on being a governor?
- 1:47:14Speaker 2: How do we go about this? Not who can we
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: get to do this job? But who would be the
- 1:47:20Speaker 2: best person for the job? Then let's go ask them.
- 1:47:23Speaker 2: So he was my advisor about how to be a
- 1:47:25Speaker 2: good governor for eight years and a remarkable, remarkable person.
- 1:47:30Speaker 1: Well, we did all sorts of fun little things together.
- 1:47:33Speaker 1: I don't think people realize, but I think we had
- 1:47:37Speaker 1: a lot of fun doing We were doing internet television
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: before anybody knew it was a thing back in nineteen
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: ninety nine and two thousand with the Yeah right with
- 1:47:48Speaker 1: Doug and it was a Tennessee businessman. I think that
- 1:47:51Speaker 1: we did some stuff with it. It was sort of
- 1:47:53Speaker 1: an early lesson and how that world worked or it
- 1:47:56Speaker 1: didn't work. Well, it didn't know. It didn't work then,
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: but you know what that stuff doesn't You know? It
- 1:48:02Speaker 1: doesn't work then, but it works now.
- 1:48:04Speaker 2: Doug wanted an internet democracy. See if he could see
- 1:48:09Speaker 2: it now, he would not because we.
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: Have it, We have a digital is that I know?
- 1:48:14Speaker 1: Do you think he was Yeah, he may have been.
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: His vision His vision was both correct and not good.
- 1:48:20Speaker 2: He may have not anticipated that the founders didn't want
- 1:48:24Speaker 2: too much democracy, and they wanted a republic was structure
- 1:48:28Speaker 2: and elected people who could make judgments about what's right
- 1:48:31Speaker 2: and what's wrong. And the influx of social media, et
- 1:48:36Speaker 2: cetera has has given us more democracy than the founders envisioned.
- 1:48:41Speaker 1: Well, at the end, he was working on trying to
- 1:48:44Speaker 1: figure out how to essentially blow up both parties, and
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: I wonder if he was onto something, then.
- 1:48:50Speaker 2: Well, maybe maybe we'll have more independent candidates in the future.
- 1:48:54Speaker 1: Yeah, Lamar, it's this was a serious memoir. This is
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: not every senator where their memoirs. Did you model this
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: off of other memoirs? Who do you think that a
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: good job? That you hope this gets compared to? Because
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: I found this both enjoyable and thorough.
- 1:49:15Speaker 2: Well, thanks Seank. I didn't really model it off anybody.
- 1:49:18Speaker 2: I had a purpose. My purpose was to try to
- 1:49:22Speaker 2: try to let people know that as governor or senator,
- 1:49:26Speaker 2: I woke up every day thinking I might do something
- 1:49:29Speaker 2: good for my state or country, and went to bend
- 1:49:31Speaker 2: most nights thinking that I had and that it was
- 1:49:34Speaker 2: still possible in this digital democracy we have today to
- 1:49:40Speaker 2: do that and feel that way and to encourage people
- 1:49:43Speaker 2: to go about it. Second, I've been at it so long,
- 1:49:46Speaker 2: you know, I'm working with ten presidents, nearly sixty years.
- 1:49:49Speaker 2: I've seen public life from about every angle, and I
- 1:49:53Speaker 2: thought the stories would be fun to tell. They'd be
- 1:49:56Speaker 2: fun for me to tell, and I thought maybe for
- 1:49:59Speaker 2: readers to read.
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: Well, let me let's leave folks with this. What is
- 1:50:05Speaker 1: your There are some people who listen to my podcasts
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: and some others who are worried about the state of
- 1:50:11Speaker 1: our democracy. Are you worried about it? Or do you
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: think it's going to or do you sort of follow
- 1:50:18Speaker 1: Churchill's belief of Americans that you know, we eventually figure
- 1:50:22Speaker 1: out and do the right thing after we've exhausted every
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: other path.
- 1:50:25Speaker 2: I use the word republic, and I borrowed from Senator
- 1:50:28Speaker 2: Howard Baker. He used to say whenever a senator was
- 1:50:32Speaker 2: causing trouble, or we had a war or some big problem,
- 1:50:35Speaker 2: he would say, the republic will survive. I think the
- 1:50:38Speaker 2: republic will survive too. But I think, and people have
- 1:50:42Speaker 2: asked that question for two hundred and fifty years, whether
- 1:50:44Speaker 2: it'll survive. But I think we've got some work to do.
- 1:50:47Speaker 2: To make it survive. And the only way it will
- 1:50:50Speaker 2: is have you know, talented people figuring out how to
- 1:50:54Speaker 2: be elected, get more people voting in primaries so they
- 1:50:56Speaker 2: can get elected, and then going and.
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: Are you for all party primary? Are you ready to
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: sign up for that? I am all I want to
- 1:51:02Speaker 1: get rid of. I think taxpayer funded partisan primaries I
- 1:51:05Speaker 1: think are unconstitutional. The idea that I've got to join
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: a private club in order to participate in a taxpayer
- 1:51:12Speaker 1: fund a primary seems seems like a poll tax to me.
- 1:51:15Speaker 2: Well, I'm for open primaries. The Tennessee is moving toward
- 1:51:19Speaker 2: closed primaries. But I never would have been elected if
- 1:51:22Speaker 2: we hadn't had open primaries because I had to attract
- 1:51:24Speaker 2: a lot of Democrats and independence in the Republican primary
- 1:51:27Speaker 2: forty years ago to win the nomination.
- 1:51:31Speaker 1: Well, it's funny. When parties get power, they want to
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: shut the doors, and when parties are seeking power, they
- 1:51:37Speaker 1: want to open the doors.
- 1:51:38Speaker 2: That's how that works, or when they win by too much,
- 1:51:41Speaker 2: they overreach. I think the biggest challenge we've got the
- 1:51:45Speaker 2: lack of two party competition. When we have it, it's
- 1:51:48Speaker 2: like Southeastern Conference where all the good players want to
- 1:51:52Speaker 2: play because they like to play with good players, and
- 1:51:55Speaker 2: then you have good games. What's happened in Tennessee is
- 1:51:59Speaker 2: the Democrats can anybody. It's like the University of Tennessee
- 1:52:01Speaker 2: win in seventy to five every week.
- 1:52:04Speaker 1: Are you surprised that Nashville hasn't become I don't want
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: to say Northern Virginia or the Atlanta suburbs, but that
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: Nashville hasn't become a moderating force for the Democratic Party.
- 1:52:18Speaker 2: Nashville is actually the most liberal part of the state now,
- 1:52:22Speaker 2: it most consistently democratic part of the state, and it's
- 1:52:25Speaker 2: the healthiest and most vigorous part of the state in
- 1:52:28Speaker 2: terms of growth. Our whole state's doing pretty well actually,
- 1:52:31Speaker 2: in terms of the growth. Our cities are democratic. Are
- 1:52:36Speaker 2: the rest of the states Republican and Democrats can't elect
- 1:52:40Speaker 2: anybody statewide, So that's not good for I didn't like
- 1:52:45Speaker 2: it when we had one party state for one hundred
- 1:52:47Speaker 2: years with the Republicans left out. I don't think it'll
- 1:52:50Speaker 2: be good for Tennessee if we have one party state
- 1:52:53Speaker 2: for one hundred years with all the Democrats left out.
- 1:52:57Speaker 1: Alexander a great public servant. It's been a pleasure to
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: know you over the years, and I appreciate your friendship.
- 1:53:03Speaker 2: Thank you, Chuck, Thank you for your time.
- 1:53:13Speaker 1: Ask Chuck, all right, let's do a little last Chuck
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: before we enjoy the long weekend. This one comes from
- 1:53:23Speaker 1: Mark h and Alan, Texas. He writes, Hey, Chuck, just
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: secured Pat's Packers tickets. How's divided over here? I've been
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: thinking about the national debt and how abstract it feels,
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: and I'm surprised we haven't heard more talk about something
- 1:53:34Speaker 1: as extreme as we're nigging on it. Is that truly
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: a bridge too far given the global consequences? Or is
- 1:53:38Speaker 1: it within the realm of scenarios you could imagine being
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: floated even rhetorically. Wow, writing just basically ignoring the debt. Well,
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: we've certainly seen other countries do that, right, What do
- 1:53:55Speaker 1: you think our creditors would do?
- 1:53:56Speaker 2: Right?
- 1:53:57Speaker 1: Some of our creditors are in the UAE and Saudi Arabia.
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: Some of our creditors, right are China, plenty of plenty
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: of sovereign wealth funds. Right? I guess the problem if
- 1:54:13Speaker 1: the United States did that? How does how is there
- 1:54:19Speaker 1: a trusted global financial system? Period? Right? So No, I
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: don't think we renig on it. Do we refinance it?
- 1:54:27Speaker 1: Do we print more money to pay it down with
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: cheaper dollars? Do we I could see some of that,
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: do we? You know, I am pretty convinced that my generation,
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: because it's so small compared to the other, compared to
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: the Boomers, and compared to millennials, and compared to Gen
- 1:54:47Speaker 1: Z and probably Gen Alpha, that will be the first
- 1:54:51Speaker 1: generation to take a to take a haircut on social
- 1:54:54Speaker 1: Security benefits. Now, what does that haircut look like? Right?
- 1:54:58Speaker 2: Is it?
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: Is it a small one?
- 1:55:00Speaker 2: Is it?
- 1:55:00Speaker 1: You know, it's ten percent less, but it's it's uh,
- 1:55:06Speaker 1: I think it, you know, I think that's more likely
- 1:55:08Speaker 1: because we don't have the we don't have the political
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: voting power Gen X does too, that the Boomers had,
- 1:55:15Speaker 1: that Millennials had, that Gen Z has. So I think
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: it's more likely we shrink the safety net a bit
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: before we go to something that extreme. But I just think,
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: I mean, the entire global financial system collapses if if
- 1:55:33Speaker 1: if somehow we're if somehow we don't if somehow we
- 1:55:38Speaker 1: renig on debt. Right, So, but it is You're right,
- 1:55:43Speaker 1: It's to the point where it's no longer feels like
- 1:55:46Speaker 1: it hasn't felt like a real number in a long time.
- 1:55:51Speaker 1: But you know, we're not. We're not anywhere. And the
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: only way we're going to deal with this is when
- 1:55:55Speaker 1: markets force us to deal with us, and when the
- 1:55:58Speaker 1: bond market says, you know, when suddenly people don't want
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: to when when our interest rates have to go up
- 1:56:04Speaker 1: to eight, nine, ten percent in order to convince people
- 1:56:06Speaker 1: to buy our treasuries, that's when that's when things would
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: get catastrophic, and when when you'd see some you know,
- 1:56:15Speaker 1: we have plenty of plans on the shelf of how
- 1:56:17Speaker 1: to do this. I heard a very good plan. It's
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: a simple three percent solution, all right. The compromises this.
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: You cut three percent of spending and you raise taxes
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: and you and you and you raise revenue, which is
- 1:56:28Speaker 1: taxes by three percent. Right you just you know, you
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: there there is a dollar for dollar thing that you
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: could do that probably politically, is the only way you
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: could pull it off. If you're going to do it,
- 1:56:38Speaker 1: if you're ever going to do spending cuts, you're not
- 1:56:39Speaker 1: going to do it without taxikes. You know, we have
- 1:56:45Speaker 1: we have got to stop fighting wars and cutting taxes
- 1:56:49Speaker 1: at the same time. If you want to know why
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: this has grown astronomically. That's the answer. The fact that
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: it has not been that it was. It was just
- 1:57:01Speaker 1: totally fine with everybody that we did the war in
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: Iraq and Afghanistan and cut taxes. Wars are expensive, they
- 1:57:13Speaker 1: should be one time costs, but we never asked the
- 1:57:20Speaker 1: country to participate in that. Instead, we've tried to do
- 1:57:23Speaker 1: a tax cut, and we wonder why we're in the
- 1:57:28Speaker 1: situation we're in. Matthew and Evans and Illinois rites. Hey,
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: I've been listening since the two thousand and four conventions. Wow,
- 1:57:35Speaker 1: and I'm increasingly concerned about jerrymandering and whether there's any
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: real off ramp. Do you think there's ever a scenario
- 1:57:39Speaker 1: where states like California and Texas coordinate reforms perhaps are
- 1:57:42Speaker 1: going to create a set number of competitive districts at
- 1:57:45Speaker 1: the same time, or is that kind of mutual draw
- 1:57:47Speaker 1: down just to unrealistic in today's environment. Thank you, Matthew
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: and Evans in Illinois. Look, I keep coming back to that.
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: The daytant here is to expand the house, and I
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: know I'm going to go down that rabbit hole, and
- 1:58:03Speaker 1: if you're going to ask me questions about jerry mandering.
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: I'm going to continue to promote the idea of expanding
- 1:58:06Speaker 1: the House. I think that is right. What is the
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: real problem? People feel underrepresented? What's the best way to
- 1:58:13Speaker 1: improve underrepresentation to get more representation? The reason go read
- 1:58:19Speaker 1: Madison's argument about expanding the size of the House of
- 1:58:22Speaker 1: Representatives as the population grows. It was simply so that
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: there was more direct represent so that every faction of
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: the American public had some representation here in Washington. And
- 1:58:36Speaker 1: what jerry mandering does is actually deny that very founding,
- 1:58:40Speaker 1: founding father belief. Right, this is un You know, we've
- 1:58:46Speaker 1: got plenty of friends who call themselves Madisonian Conservatives. Well
- 1:58:50Speaker 1: if you're if you want to claim to be one,
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: then you need to be for expanding the size of
- 1:58:55Speaker 1: the House. I ultimately believe that this is it is
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: looking we either do that. Maybe you've got to right size.
- 1:59:03Speaker 1: You know, I think, you know, plenty of people think
- 1:59:05Speaker 1: the Senate is is sort of becoming more and more
- 1:59:07Speaker 1: sort of undemocratic because of you know, Wyoming, Wyoming's two
- 1:59:13Speaker 1: senators only become more powerful as California and Texas grow
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: and their senators become weaker. But you know, not only
- 1:59:22Speaker 1: is California and Tennis in Texas punished in the Senate
- 1:59:27Speaker 1: with political power, but they're now being punished in the House.
- 1:59:30Speaker 1: So if I were California in Texas collectively, they're underrepresented
- 1:59:35Speaker 1: in the House of Representatives based on their population. They're
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: the two largest states. And in fact there are four
- 1:59:41Speaker 1: largest states. Two happen to be blue, two happened to
- 1:59:43Speaker 1: be red, California, Texas, Florida, New York. The four of
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: them ought to be arguing for more House seats to
- 1:59:52Speaker 1: represent their pot all of them the state. Those states
- 1:59:57Speaker 1: are under represented in the House of Representative and underrepresented
- 2:00:01Speaker 1: in the US Senate. I don't think we're going to
- 2:00:03Speaker 1: be able to change, you know, two senators each for
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: every state anytime soon. They can go to move to
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: some tiered system where large states get more senators than
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: small states. But there's all it takes is an Act
- 2:00:15Speaker 1: of Congress to uncap the House. So you know, that's
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: one way I could picture the two states because politically
- 2:00:23Speaker 1: they just don't have enough in common, right, even if
- 2:00:25Speaker 1: you have a democratic governor, they're just going to be
- 2:00:27Speaker 1: culturally different, all those things. But where all four states,
- 2:00:30Speaker 1: I think do have shared interest here is all of
- 2:00:33Speaker 1: them are underrepresented in the House of Representatives, and maybe
- 2:00:37Speaker 1: I'm look I am fully admit here, right, I do
- 2:00:41Speaker 1: two things now. I cover politics as it is, and
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: I want to promote politics as it should be. And
- 2:00:45Speaker 1: in this case, in my attempt to promote this idea better,
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: maybe going to the big states and letting them know, hey,
- 2:00:52Speaker 1: you're underrepresented. It is not fair to your own constituents.
- 2:00:58Speaker 1: What's happened to the House. The Senate was designed to
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: be this way, The House was not. I'm trying. Thanks
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: for the question. Matthew Andrew writes, what are Democrats supposed
- 2:01:13Speaker 1: to do right now? Voters often see them as weak
- 2:01:15Speaker 1: check but when they push back more aggressively, like in
- 2:01:18Speaker 1: the redistricting fights, they're criticized for being two partisan Also true?
- 2:01:21Speaker 1: Is this just damned if you do damned if you
- 2:01:23Speaker 1: don't situation or is there a clear path they should
- 2:01:25Speaker 1: be taking? Thank you, Andrew. Well, you're right, Like I've
- 2:01:28Speaker 1: always said that, you know, and you've heard me say this.
- 2:01:31Speaker 1: You know, some people think I'm too hard. I'm harder
- 2:01:33Speaker 1: on Democrats than I am Republicans, and I'm like, well,
- 2:01:37Speaker 1: the Democrats are promising to hold a higher standard. So
- 2:01:41Speaker 1: you know, I'm just holding you to the standard you
- 2:01:43Speaker 1: want to You said you wanted to set. So I
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: think that's you know, like like this redistricting thing. You
- 2:01:51Speaker 1: were the party of fairness until you weren't. Right now,
- 2:01:54Speaker 1: I understand, you know, And there's this frustration on the
- 2:01:57Speaker 1: left that, you know, Republicans do this all the time. Yeah,
- 2:01:59Speaker 1: but they don't come out and claim that they're going
- 2:02:01Speaker 1: to be anything else. This is where I can come
- 2:02:08Speaker 1: across a little Pollyannish Andrew. I just think over time,
- 2:02:12Speaker 1: doing what's right and standing on a set of principles
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: will eventually be the right thing to do, will eventually
- 2:02:19Speaker 1: be good strategy. Now that doesn't mean you don't, you know.
- 2:02:24Speaker 1: I think what I might suggest is that they got
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: to get tougher in their critiques while still being the
- 2:02:31Speaker 1: adult in the room. And I guess that's the balance.
- 2:02:33Speaker 1: I think they need to figure out how to strike.
- 2:02:36Speaker 1: You know, I will say this if there is I
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: think the fairest critique of Democrats falls into this idea
- 2:02:49Speaker 1: that there's almost too many lawyers involved in the Democratic Party,
- 2:02:52Speaker 1: too many elected officials or lawyers, and when you are
- 2:02:56Speaker 1: a lawyer. You're you're sort of taught that there's always
- 2:02:59Speaker 1: that there's rules to follow, and that that you can
- 2:03:03Speaker 1: sort of right or wrong via a court order or
- 2:03:07Speaker 1: a judicial decree or something like that rather than and
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: this is where they probably need to have a few
- 2:03:14Speaker 1: more emotionally driven candidates. Right. It may be why what
- 2:03:19Speaker 1: makes a grand Platiner appealing is that he's just not
- 2:03:21Speaker 1: speaking like a lawyer, right, And and what makes Bernie
- 2:03:25Speaker 1: Sanders appealing is he doesn't speak like a lawyer versus
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: you know, Al Gore, Hillary Clinton, and you know sometimes
- 2:03:34Speaker 1: you know would come up, you know there, you know,
- 2:03:37Speaker 1: they would make their technical argument, but it was like,
- 2:03:40Speaker 1: but it was lacking something, right, whatever was appealing on that.
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: I guess what I would say is is that is
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: it goes to the right. The famous Bill Clinton saying,
- 2:03:52Speaker 1: you know, voters are always going to be more attracted
- 2:03:54Speaker 1: as strong and wrong than we can right. Can you
- 2:03:57Speaker 1: be strong and right? Right, that's the balance you got
- 2:04:01Speaker 1: to try to do. Can you be strong and right?
- 2:04:04Speaker 1: Can you say, yeah, you dumb an effort, that's a
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: stupid way to do things, and this is what we're
- 2:04:09Speaker 1: going to do. So it's maybe don't bog yourself down
- 2:04:16Speaker 1: in length. I do think that many a Democratic politician
- 2:04:20Speaker 1: wants to explain too much, and I think it goes
- 2:04:26Speaker 1: back to just it, especially if you if you sort
- 2:04:31Speaker 1: of see yourself as a rule follower, and if you
- 2:04:34Speaker 1: get if you study in the law, you're studying with
- 2:04:36Speaker 1: the rules, right, and so in that sense, So I
- 2:04:39Speaker 1: don't know, I get what you're asking. Uh, it's a
- 2:04:44Speaker 1: it's on one hand, it's a fair that some of
- 2:04:46Speaker 1: the it does feel as if it's a it's in
- 2:04:49Speaker 1: an unfair situation. But I think it's more of the
- 2:04:56Speaker 1: attitude that it's taken right, don't be defensive about it,
- 2:05:00Speaker 1: lean into it, and be a bit more robust in
- 2:05:03Speaker 1: the language. So you know, I think I think you
- 2:05:09Speaker 1: can speak with more strength and still stick to principles.
- 2:05:20Speaker 1: So again little little Pollyannish on my front, but that's
- 2:05:25Speaker 1: what I'd like to see. I almost behave like you're
- 2:05:28Speaker 1: an independent and have nothing to lose, right. I do
- 2:05:34Speaker 1: think the problem the Democrats have right now is that
- 2:05:37Speaker 1: they're still too worried about what certain constituency groups think,
- 2:05:40Speaker 1: and they're still too worried that if they say something
- 2:05:43Speaker 1: the wrong way, even though that won't offend the swing voters.
- 2:05:47Speaker 1: It will offend a certain constituency group or a donor,
- 2:05:50Speaker 1: and that gets them all caught up. You know. It's
- 2:05:53Speaker 1: sort of a look, this is the Republicans now have
- 2:05:55Speaker 1: their version of this, and Donald Trump, right, he is
- 2:05:57Speaker 1: the super sensitive, you know, interest group that can't handle
- 2:06:01Speaker 1: any you know, Oh, you said it the wrong way.
- 2:06:03Speaker 1: Donald Trump's going to be mad, be very careful, right tiptoe.
- 2:06:06Speaker 1: And I think in some ways Democrats, you know, and
- 2:06:09Speaker 1: that's you know, that's how you get more aggressive, is
- 2:06:12Speaker 1: to sort of point out how they can't you think
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: for yourself anymore in the same way.
- 2:06:16Speaker 2: You know.
- 2:06:16Speaker 1: It's sort of so be aggressive, but it doesn't mean
- 2:06:22Speaker 1: you have to not stick to principal tactics.
- 2:06:28Speaker 2: Uh.
- 2:06:29Speaker 1: John from New Jersey Rights, Hey, I followed you since
- 2:06:32Speaker 1: you meet the press days and always appreciate your insight.
- 2:06:34Speaker 1: With recent primary dynamics and Trump back candidates gaining ground,
- 2:06:36Speaker 1: is there any realistic scenario where Republicans like Bill Cassidy
- 2:06:39Speaker 1: or John Corny break ranks in a meaningful way And
- 2:06:41Speaker 1: if that were to happen, could it actually impact center
- 2:06:44Speaker 1: control or create new guardrails on presidential power? Curious how
- 2:06:46Speaker 1: you see that playing out. Thanks, John, a forty two
- 2:06:48Speaker 1: year old farmer from New Jersey, never missed a podcast. Yes,
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: folks need to know that. You know, you may know
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: New Jersey as as as Newark, and you know a
- 2:06:57Speaker 1: suburb of Philadelphia, in a suburb of New York. There's
- 2:07:00Speaker 1: a big part of Jersey that's farm country, some beautiful farms. Anyway,
- 2:07:04Speaker 1: appreciate the question, John, And so I'll give you a
- 2:07:10Speaker 1: scenario that I think is very realistic that sort of
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: falls into what you're looking at. And it involves Lisa Rakowski.
- 2:07:18Speaker 1: She's not up until twenty eight right now, she is
- 2:07:22Speaker 1: part of the Republican majority. She's an independent who coxes
- 2:07:25Speaker 1: with the Republicans, right, and Gus King is an independent
- 2:07:28Speaker 1: who coxes with the Democrats. Let's say Democrats win North Carolina, Maine,
- 2:07:35Speaker 1: and Alaska, but they come up short in Texas, they
- 2:07:39Speaker 1: come up short in Iowa, Nebraska, Kansas, Ohio, and the
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: results fifty to fifty. Yeah, Republicans have the majority. Right,
- 2:07:49Speaker 1: Jade Vance would break the die' is Lisa Murkowski got
- 2:07:53Speaker 1: to stick with the Republicans. Lisa Murkowski has made it
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: clear that she's, you know, she can't be count on
- 2:08:03Speaker 1: one hundred percent of the time, and she cares about
- 2:08:07Speaker 1: what her state does if her state makes the decision
- 2:08:12Speaker 1: that they want a Democratic senator Lisa Murkowski again, who's
- 2:08:20Speaker 1: in theory up in reelection for twenty eight most of us,
- 2:08:22Speaker 1: most people don't believe she's going to seek reelection. Maybe
- 2:08:25Speaker 1: she does, but let's I can picture her saying, my
- 2:08:36Speaker 1: state voted for a Democratic senator, which tells me they
- 2:08:39Speaker 1: want the Democrats to control the Senate. I'm going to
- 2:08:42Speaker 1: organize and caucus with the Senate Democrats who have graciously
- 2:08:47Speaker 1: said I could be the Senate, keep my gavel being
- 2:08:53Speaker 1: natural resources, you know, et cetera. I don't think that's
- 2:08:58Speaker 1: an unrealistic thing. I will tell you another movement that
- 2:09:04Speaker 1: I that i'm a know about and would like to
- 2:09:06Speaker 1: see where there was. I do wish that there were
- 2:09:09Speaker 1: about five or six senators who would be a bit
- 2:09:11Speaker 1: cross partisan about it and demand certain rules changes, sort
- 2:09:15Speaker 1: of agree to vote, you know, withhold their support for
- 2:09:18Speaker 1: either caucus without certain significant rules changes, whether it's on
- 2:09:23Speaker 1: the filibuster, whether it's on judicial blue slips, whether it's
- 2:09:26Speaker 1: on committee things, and sort of make the parties court
- 2:09:31Speaker 1: the fulcrum right, make the two, Make the Brian Schatz,
- 2:09:35Speaker 1: who's likely to be the leading, you know, the candidate
- 2:09:37Speaker 1: that's organizing the Democrats. I have a feeling Schumer is
- 2:09:41Speaker 1: not going to be if Democrats win the Senate, is
- 2:09:43Speaker 1: not going to be the majority leader. I think he's
- 2:09:46Speaker 1: gonna I think there's going to be enough pressure to
- 2:09:49Speaker 1: him to say, you know, here's your gold watch. You
- 2:09:53Speaker 1: were terrific, thank you for an incredible run, but it's
- 2:09:57Speaker 1: time for a generational handover here. And so I'm assuming
- 2:10:02Speaker 1: it's Brian Shatz and John Thune, and if they had
- 2:10:08Speaker 1: to court a group of four or five senators versus them,
- 2:10:13Speaker 1: just you know, you know, maybe we get a better
- 2:10:17Speaker 1: functioning Senate. You know, maybe we get something that feels
- 2:10:20Speaker 1: as if swing voters who helped decide control actually have
- 2:10:26Speaker 1: a little more skin in the game than they do now.
- 2:10:29Speaker 1: But you know, I think certainly you're going to have Tillius,
- 2:10:36Speaker 1: Corning and Cassidy, you know, because they're not going to
- 2:10:38Speaker 1: be there. But I'm thinking the question you're asking to
- 2:10:40Speaker 1: me is more about how will these senators behave in
- 2:10:43Speaker 1: twenty seven? And I think there's Murkowski others that I
- 2:10:47Speaker 1: would keep an eye on on the Republican side of
- 2:10:49Speaker 1: the aisle that may not be comfortable with how Trump
- 2:10:51Speaker 1: conducts business and who may be willing to work with Democrats.
- 2:10:55Speaker 1: Todd Young of Indiana, Jerry moranav Kansas, John Kurt of Utah,
- 2:11:01Speaker 1: and of course Lisa Murkowski. That's probably a pretty good
- 2:11:10Speaker 1: place to start, all right. Last question comes from Michael
- 2:11:13Speaker 1: t in Chicago, and he says, Hey, you often say
- 2:11:16Speaker 1: Democrats shouldn't fight fire with fire, but I wonder how
- 2:11:18Speaker 1: that advice resonates with people who feel directly impacted by
- 2:11:21Speaker 1: policy decisions in very personal ways. For many issues like healthcare,
- 2:11:24Speaker 1: bodily autonomy, identity, and safety aren't abstract their deep lived experiences.
- 2:11:28Speaker 1: Do you think that perspective changes how we should think
- 2:11:30Speaker 1: about tone and strategy and politics and how can leaders
- 2:11:32Speaker 1: balance maintaining standards of conduct while also addressing the urgency
- 2:11:35Speaker 1: and the emotion behind those concerns. Very fair question, and
- 2:11:40Speaker 1: you know it's easy for me to be theoretical if
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: something that isn't isn't being taken away from a right,
- 2:11:49Speaker 1: isn't being taken away from me at the moment? Right,
- 2:11:52Speaker 1: who my right somebody hasn't come at one of my rights.
- 2:11:56Speaker 1: In my head, of course, I believe that if someone's
- 2:11:58Speaker 1: coming for one of your rights, you know I might
- 2:12:01Speaker 1: be next. And that's I usually how most Americans used
- 2:12:05Speaker 1: to rally around things like this. So all I would
- 2:12:11Speaker 1: say is, I understand the emotional response, but you have
- 2:12:16Speaker 1: to have what how are you going? You know, in
- 2:12:20Speaker 1: order in order to enact power, you have to get power.
- 2:12:24Speaker 1: And that's why there is a reasonable argument for the
- 2:12:28Speaker 1: fight fire with fire. Hey, well, look, we want to
- 2:12:30Speaker 1: do good things. If they're not going to even get
- 2:12:33Speaker 1: us a seat at the table, we got to fight,
- 2:12:34Speaker 1: like how to find a way to seat at the table.
- 2:12:36Speaker 1: I take that point, but I don't think anything gets
- 2:12:40Speaker 1: done unless we have a durable majority, and I think
- 2:12:42Speaker 1: that ultimately. Unfortunately, progress in this country happens both fast
- 2:12:48Speaker 1: and slow. Right when you look backwards, progress can look fast.
- 2:12:54Speaker 1: When you're in the moment, it can feel super slow.
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: I did it, you know that's I mean, just look
- 2:13:00Speaker 1: at the gay rights movement. It felt like it was
- 2:13:03Speaker 1: going you know, it was never going to break through,
- 2:13:05Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, it all breakthrough. And
- 2:13:08Speaker 1: it was one of those where incremental progress eventually led
- 2:13:11Speaker 1: to a hockey stick moment. You always have to have
- 2:13:19Speaker 1: one eye on the long game, and that's and so
- 2:13:25Speaker 1: I think that I understand that for some this feels
- 2:13:32Speaker 1: like a you know, hair on fire moment, and I'm
- 2:13:34Speaker 1: not saying it isn't in certain particularly with certain issues.
- 2:13:41Speaker 2: But.
- 2:13:44Speaker 1: Responding this way doesn't succeed even if you have a
- 2:13:48Speaker 1: short term victory. It's so narrow that it's not a
- 2:13:52Speaker 1: governing majority. And ultimately, what's it going to take to
- 2:13:56Speaker 1: have durable change. It's a governing majority. In order to
- 2:14:00Speaker 1: get a governing majority, you're going to have to make,
- 2:14:02Speaker 1: you know, just enough compromises. Look, I'm I'm very intrigued
- 2:14:06Speaker 1: by what Mark Carney's doing in Canada. He wants a
- 2:14:09Speaker 1: durable majority, so he you know, I'm not you know,
- 2:14:14Speaker 1: he shifted the party's priorities, you know, a bit to
- 2:14:19Speaker 1: the towards the center, and in doing so attracted a
- 2:14:23Speaker 1: larger coalition, which gave him more stability to govern, a
- 2:14:30Speaker 1: stiffer spine to confront Trump if necessary. And he's suddenly
- 2:14:37Speaker 1: turning in the most successful labor prime minister we've seen
- 2:14:40Speaker 1: in Canada and quite some time. I think there can be.
- 2:14:45Speaker 1: I think there's something to learn from what Carney's doing
- 2:14:49Speaker 1: up there. But I understand the spirit of your question,
- 2:14:53Speaker 1: and I get it emotionally. I'm just I just you know,
- 2:14:59Speaker 1: and I know it's sounds like super fait. I just said,
- 2:15:01Speaker 1: long game, you know, do this. You know there's not
- 2:15:03Speaker 1: I don't have a concrete plan. The concrete plan is
- 2:15:07Speaker 1: just to more awareness. More people need to understand the
- 2:15:12Speaker 1: lived experiences that people have, because the more people see
- 2:15:16Speaker 1: and hear and feel those lived experiences, the more likely
- 2:15:18Speaker 1: they're actually going to understand why these rights shouldn't be
- 2:15:21Speaker 1: taken away. It's one of the lessons for me that
- 2:15:24Speaker 1: I take away from the gay rights movement over time.
- 2:15:31Speaker 1: The greatest impact was just people's lived experiences, and that
- 2:15:36Speaker 1: took something that we thought was never going to happen,
- 2:15:40Speaker 1: and now we can't believe it took us so long
- 2:15:41Speaker 1: to get her. All right with that, enjoy the long weekend,
- 2:15:50Speaker 1: and uh, I'd have and I look, look, I have
- 2:15:55Speaker 1: a pretty interesting Memorial Day special podcast that I have
- 2:16:02Speaker 1: a fascinating interview. Can't wait to share it, so I'll
- 2:16:05Speaker 1: have more to say about Memorial Day on Memorial Day
- 2:16:09Speaker 1: and with that, I'll see in seventy two hours. Enjoy
- 2:16:11Speaker 1: your weekend,