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Post-Draft Dynasty Buys & Sells · Upper Hand Fantasy

0:01
SPEAKER_00: What's going on, everybody?
0:02
SPEAKER_00: Welcome back to the Upper Hand Fantasy Podcast.
0:04
SPEAKER_00: I'm Faraz, and if you know me, you know this is my time of year, man.
0:08
SPEAKER_00: I love this time of the year the most, to be honest with you.
0:12
SPEAKER_00: Better than in season.
0:13
SPEAKER_00: Just more fun.
0:14
SPEAKER_00: Post-draft, dynasty season.
0:16
SPEAKER_00: The amateurs in your league, they're just hanging around.
0:20
SPEAKER_00: They're just chilling.
0:21
SPEAKER_00: But we're serious dynasty managers and we're moving.
0:25
SPEAKER_00: I got buys in this episode, got some sells, and I've got at least one, maybe two, takes in here.
0:32
SPEAKER_00: I know people are gonna come at me about in my Instagram DMs.
0:36
SPEAKER_00: I just know it.
0:36
SPEAKER_00: So let's get right into it.
0:38
SPEAKER_00: Let's start with some of our some of my dynasty sales.
0:41
SPEAKER_00: Okay, number one is Devon A Chan.
0:44
SPEAKER_00: And I know, I know I'm crazy, and you know, this news literally just dropped, right?
0:49
SPEAKER_00: A Chan signed a four-year 68 million dollar extension with the Dolphins, and I know that that sounds like a reason to hold.
0:57
SPEAKER_00: The team committed to him, he's their guy.
1:01
SPEAKER_00: But here's what you need to know.
1:03
SPEAKER_00: The Dolphins have a new head coach, new offensive coordinator.
1:06
SPEAKER_00: Their quarterback is Malik Willis.
1:09
SPEAKER_00: And first of all, let's talk about that offensive coordinator real quick, right?
1:14
SPEAKER_00: It's not Mike McDaniel calling plays anymore.
1:17
SPEAKER_00: That's a huge difference.
1:18
SPEAKER_00: He was a you know run game guru.
1:20
SPEAKER_00: He knew how to get his get the most out of his running backs.
1:23
SPEAKER_00: And now you have Bobby Slowick, someone who didn't necessarily prioritize the running back position as much.
1:29
SPEAKER_00: Obviously, Joe Mixon did his thing a couple years ago, but that was a you know, it was a pretty good offense, right?
1:35
SPEAKER_00: And Slowick had, you know, a good offense, but didn't do so well, and that's why he he got replaced.
1:43
SPEAKER_00: And now we're banking on him to do the right thing for Devon H and this was a front office signing, not necessarily a decision that someone like Bobby Slovick was probably overly involved in, right?
1:56
SPEAKER_00: So I am uh not overly bullish on this entire offense, right?
2:02
SPEAKER_00: And for good reason, right?
2:02
SPEAKER_00: Look at their quarterback Malik Willis, like he never attempted more than 61 passes in a single NFL season.
2:09
SPEAKER_00: Um, obviously, run first offense, you know, that's what this is gonna be, but like there's a lot of reasons for that, right?
2:16
SPEAKER_00: And because of how run first Malik Willis is it, it's gonna have some real implications on the receiving volume that has really been a big reason why A Chan has been doing his thing.
2:28
SPEAKER_00: And you know, A-Chan is obviously uh an insane talent, he's really, really good.
2:33
SPEAKER_00: So I don't want to sell him for low.
2:36
SPEAKER_00: I want you to get a haul.
2:37
SPEAKER_00: And if you can't get a haul, do not trade Devon A-Chan.
2:41
SPEAKER_00: Like, he can easily be in RB1 this year, and for multiple years to come.
2:46
SPEAKER_00: I was gonna say many years to come, but this is running backs we're talking about, right?
2:50
SPEAKER_00: Multiple years to come, RB1.
2:53
SPEAKER_00: But if you want to reduce some of the risk on your team, this is one way to do it, is by getting that haul.
2:58
SPEAKER_00: Stack up, get those 2027 first-round picks, get some you know, elite receivers on your team instead, guys who are more insulated, and guys who you know will provide longer-term value.
3:10
SPEAKER_00: Um, this could be rough this year.
3:12
SPEAKER_00: And you look at Miami's receiving room, like it's it's not there yet, man.
3:17
SPEAKER_00: The surrounding cash just isn't there for Malik Willis in this offense.
3:20
SPEAKER_00: Like, how bad is his offense going to be?
3:22
SPEAKER_00: Um, and HN, you know, he's currently valued as a dynasty RB4, RB5-ish around there.
3:27
SPEAKER_00: So you can get a lot for him, man.
3:29
SPEAKER_00: And you know, people are buying the extension, they're buying the narrative that you know the offense is gonna run through him and it and it will, but how effective is he going to be able to be?
3:37
SPEAKER_00: Uh, so if you're holding him and you're not a win now team, this is your window.
3:42
SPEAKER_00: Uh, we get that haul.
3:43
SPEAKER_00: And you know, because in a year, you know, when that offense is a work in progress, like around Malik Willis, that value is gonna look very, very different once we're in the middle of the season.
3:54
SPEAKER_00: Let's talk about Christian McCaffrey, someone who's probably been a sell for a while, right?
3:59
SPEAKER_00: Like, you know, if you're not a win now team, I think this is an obvious one, but like let's let's get a move on, let's move him now before it's too late.
4:07
SPEAKER_00: I know you're going into the season thinking, like, well, you know, he's a first-round pick in redraft, you know, which means like, you know what?
4:13
SPEAKER_00: He's gonna be really, really good for me this year.
4:15
SPEAKER_00: And like that is very, very, very, you know, very well in the range of outcomes for Christian McCaffrey this year, obviously.
4:21
SPEAKER_00: Um, but this might be one of the most important moves you can make right now, right?
4:25
SPEAKER_00: He was really, really good last year, you know, over 2,000 yards from scrimmage, 17 touchdowns, comeback player of the year.
4:31
SPEAKER_00: And that is exactly the reason you need to sell him now because you know, it's keeping his price elevated at the worst possible time.
4:38
SPEAKER_00: You know, he turns 30 in June.
4:40
SPEAKER_00: He came off a 413 touch season, and the data on running backs who observe that workload, who absorb that workload, I should say, is not great, right?
4:51
SPEAKER_00: So regression usually follows that.
4:53
SPEAKER_00: Obviously, you know, you look at Saquon Barkley last season, if you need a recent example, but you know, Saquon's younger, right?
4:59
SPEAKER_00: Saquon and you know, Christian McCaffrey's older.
5:02
SPEAKER_00: So, you know, the market obviously, you know, 2027 first round pick uh in value right now.
5:08
SPEAKER_00: If you can get a 2027 first, I would probably do that.
5:12
SPEAKER_00: Um, I think that's just to get a return on a 30-year-old running back entering his 10th NFL season, that's pretty pretty good.
5:18
SPEAKER_00: Um, so if someone's willing to give you that, you take that immediately.
5:21
SPEAKER_00: So if you're a contender, I'm fine risking it, keeping McCaffrey, because you want to win that championship.
5:27
SPEAKER_00: That's what it's all about at the end of the day, right?
5:29
SPEAKER_00: If you're rebuilding, though, if you're in the middle, like you cannot get caught holding CMC when the cliff hits.
5:35
SPEAKER_00: And honestly, if you paid attention to the efficiency numbers last year, especially in the run game, it's hit.
5:41
SPEAKER_00: Alright, next up, I can't believe I'm selling like these are guys who like I I l I l I legitimately love them as players.
5:49
SPEAKER_00: Like I I do.
5:50
SPEAKER_00: And I'm gonna talk about Bucky Irving now.
5:52
SPEAKER_00: Like I you know, I called Bucky Irv er I can't I can't talk.
5:56
SPEAKER_00: I can't talk right now.
5:57
SPEAKER_00: Uh I was gonna say that I called Bucky Irving early.
6:00
SPEAKER_00: Say that five times fast.
6:02
SPEAKER_00: When he was coming out as rookie year, I did not care that he was a day three pick.
6:06
SPEAKER_00: I was a big fan of him coming out of college, and I genuinely believed in him, and I still do.
6:12
SPEAKER_00: I still believe in the talent.
6:14
SPEAKER_00: But the situation in Tampa has too many landmines right now, and I think the market's sleeping on it a little bit.
6:20
SPEAKER_00: You know, his ADP isn't like crazy bad, but he doesn't seem like such an upside pick to me right now.
6:27
SPEAKER_00: The simplest version of the argument is that he has zero goal line rush attempts last year, right?
6:32
SPEAKER_00: Sean Tucker handled all that work, he scored seven touchdowns, rushing touchdowns on 86 carries, and that's fine.
6:38
SPEAKER_00: But he just signed he just re-signed.
6:40
SPEAKER_00: Tucker's back.
6:41
SPEAKER_00: Not only that, but you know, like Rashad White's gone, but Kenneth Gainwell is added.
6:49
SPEAKER_00: He had a thousand scrimmage yards last year, he had eight touchdowns in Pittsburgh, and he is a much better version of Rashad White, simply put.
6:58
SPEAKER_00: Todd Bowles already called him the 1B alongside Bucky.
7:02
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
7:02
SPEAKER_00: And then you have Zach Robinson, right?
7:04
SPEAKER_00: He gave a he gave away 30% of B.
7:07
SPEAKER_00: John Robinson's carries at Tyler Algier in Atlanta, right?
7:10
SPEAKER_00: And obviously Bucky's not Bichon.
7:13
SPEAKER_00: So if the gap is a lot closer between Bucky and Gainwell than it was between Bijan and Algier from a talent perspective, that means that Bucky's role is not safe.
7:28
SPEAKER_00: So if you can get an early 2026 first, if you haven't had your rookie draft yet, if you can get him for 2027 first, somehow, you take that call and you make that move.
7:38
SPEAKER_00: Next up is Trevion Henderson.
7:40
SPEAKER_00: A lot of running backs here.
7:41
SPEAKER_00: He's being valued as a top 12 dynasty running back, and I think that is way too high for a guy who has never established a real role in his rookie year.
7:51
SPEAKER_00: And here is what matters.
7:52
SPEAKER_00: Like, so if you look at the Patriots week 14 by after that, right?
7:56
SPEAKER_00: Henderson saw 35% of snaps from week 15 through the Super Bowl.
8:00
SPEAKER_00: Like, come on, dude.
8:01
SPEAKER_00: Really?
8:01
SPEAKER_00: He was healthy.
8:02
SPEAKER_00: Early downs, short yardage, two-minute drill, third downs, all that was Ramondre Stevenson.
8:07
SPEAKER_00: And Henderson had 33% of the running back touches in the playoffs.
8:10
SPEAKER_00: So when it mattered, he wasn't on the field.
8:13
SPEAKER_00: And you know, obviously they brought in Henderson, they wanted someone explosive, but check this Stevenson was actually top five in explosive run rate last year.
8:20
SPEAKER_00: Henderson was near the bottom.
8:22
SPEAKER_00: Ramondre was also top five in missed tackles, forced and yards after contact per attempt.
8:27
SPEAKER_00: Henderson was not, he was near the bottom.
8:29
SPEAKER_00: So, or you know, middle to the bottom, right?
8:31
SPEAKER_00: So I'm not saying Henderson can never develop into something, but that's what you're depending on.
8:35
SPEAKER_00: I and like if he hasn't shown me anything to justify top 12 dynasty pricing, you know, someone in your league is buying that draft capital still and buying the athleticism still, let them buy it.
8:46
SPEAKER_00: I'm selling.
8:48
SPEAKER_00: And by the way, just to be clear, like these guys, when you sell these guys, like you're gonna get something in return.
8:55
SPEAKER_00: Like, I know a lot of people are like, oh man, like I can't sell this guy, like he's so good.
8:58
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, but who are you replacing him with?
9:00
SPEAKER_00: That's what matters, right?
9:02
SPEAKER_00: Like, that's that's let's remember that.
9:03
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
9:04
SPEAKER_00: Um, my last sell here is Matthew Golden.
9:07
SPEAKER_00: And I think this might be a little bit, you know, contrarian or whatever.
9:12
SPEAKER_00: The consensus is that Golden is a by low, right?
9:14
SPEAKER_00: Because Romeo Dubbs is gone, Don Tamio Wicks got traded to Philly, the targets are opening up, and you know, Golden's gonna get more playing time by the dip, first round rookie, blah, blah, blah.
9:23
SPEAKER_00: I understand.
9:24
SPEAKER_00: I'm going the other way though, because Golden has only had one game with more than four catches all year long last year.
9:30
SPEAKER_00: He was wide receiver 93 in fantasy points per game as a rookie.
9:33
SPEAKER_00: The historical pattern on first round receivers with comparable rookie production is genuinely not encouraging.
9:40
SPEAKER_00: So when you look at first-round draft capital, oh wow, amazing.
9:44
SPEAKER_00: And then you add the first year rookie production on top of that, it's not great when it comes to guys who were compared to Matthew Golden with those two factors.
9:53
SPEAKER_00: So since the year 2000, the overwhelming majority of first-round wide receivers who put up that kind of rookie year did not go on to have fantasy relevant careers.
10:01
SPEAKER_00: So, yes, the situation, you know, his opportunity definitely has opened up.
10:06
SPEAKER_00: It got clean, it got cleaner a little bit, right?
10:08
SPEAKER_00: But Christian Watson is still the perimeter wide receiver there.
10:11
SPEAKER_00: He's like the best perimeter wide receiver there on their roster.
10:14
SPEAKER_00: Jalen Jaden Reed is still in the mix.
10:16
SPEAKER_00: You know, in my opinion, like Jaden Reed has a has a chance to play over Matthew Golden.
10:20
SPEAKER_00: I think he's a better player, simply put, even on the outside as a flanker.
10:25
SPEAKER_00: And you know, the situation isn't as you know open as it might look on surface.
10:30
SPEAKER_00: I think someone in your league is going to be betting on a year two breakout for Matthew Golden.
10:34
SPEAKER_00: So I would be trying to trade him and getting you know a real startable asset back, not someone that I'm just like hoping, you know, hits and develops into somebody usable.
10:45
SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's talk about a couple more guys real quick.
10:48
SPEAKER_00: You know, a couple guys you can probably move for RB1 prices.
10:52
SPEAKER_00: I think Karen Williams is one of them.
10:54
SPEAKER_00: You know, they ran a committee with Blake Horm straight into the playoffs last year.
10:58
SPEAKER_00: And you know, depending on what like Karen Williams to me is like a hold slash sell, so like it really depends on what you can get for him.
11:07
SPEAKER_00: Um the problem with Karen Williams is that there's a chance, like the talent isn't doesn't leap off the page, he doesn't do anything extraordinary well.
11:18
SPEAKER_00: I think he hangs his hat on you know being dependable and that Sean McVay trusts him.
11:23
SPEAKER_00: But like when you have guys like Blake Coram in the backfield, you have guys like don't forget about Jarquez Hunter, who's also a pretty good running back.
11:32
SPEAKER_00: So, you know, you have guys like that behind him.
11:35
SPEAKER_00: I don't know if Kyron Williams' role, you know, he's definitely not a workhorse anymore, but is that a role?
11:40
SPEAKER_00: How safe is that role?
11:41
SPEAKER_00: Can we move on from him now before the role goes away?
11:45
SPEAKER_00: That's kind of where I'm going with Kyron Williams, right?
11:48
SPEAKER_00: So, you know, I'm looking more, I'm looking at him as more of a if you need someone to trade, you know, you know, for like a good, really good wide receiver or something like that, I would do that, right?
11:58
SPEAKER_00: Um, couple of small guys, small, small guys, small guy.
12:03
SPEAKER_00: He's a small guy.
12:05
SPEAKER_00: Trade the small guy.
12:06
SPEAKER_00: Uh Tony Pollard, right?
12:08
SPEAKER_00: 29 years old, showing some signs of regression last year.
12:10
SPEAKER_00: Tajay Spears and Nick Singleton are lurking.
12:13
SPEAKER_00: Obviously, not an easy sell, but like someone who could potentially, if someone believes that Tony Pollard was like a serious winner from this draft, and he might he might very well be, even though I think Singleton can potentially, you know, provide a little bit of a challenge at the very least.
12:28
SPEAKER_00: Um, I think Pollard might be something that you can throw into a trade to like kind of get it over the top.
12:35
SPEAKER_00: Um, Juwan Jennings is like a throw-in that I would try to just throw in.
12:39
SPEAKER_00: Uh, I think he was a system product in San Francisco.
12:42
SPEAKER_00: Uh, I think his contract tells you what NFL teams think of him.
12:44
SPEAKER_00: So I would get out while the 49ers run is still kind of fresh in people's minds.
12:48
SPEAKER_00: Um, I think another throw-in, well, a little bit more than a throw-in is Brenton Strange.
12:52
SPEAKER_00: I think the Jaguars are kind of moving on in terms of like who they want the ball to go to.
12:57
SPEAKER_00: Like, look at all of their pass catchers, right?
13:00
SPEAKER_00: They obviously have BTJ, they have Jacoby Myers, they have Parker Washington, they have Travis Hunter.
13:04
SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, and then they just drafted Tanner Kozil.
13:07
SPEAKER_00: They have to drafted another tight end.
13:09
SPEAKER_00: Kozil really profiles as a real you know pass catching threat.
13:13
SPEAKER_00: And Strange is in the last year of his deal.
13:15
SPEAKER_00: So like he's someone that I'm he's one of those guys who's gonna be sitting on my roster, kind of collecting dust.
13:20
SPEAKER_00: Let's try to move him if we can.
13:22
SPEAKER_00: Uh, and then Jacori Krawski Merritt, you know, I think the window to sell might be right now, while he still viewed as a clear starter, right?
13:28
SPEAKER_00: Catron Allen's in the mix.
13:30
SPEAKER_00: He could easily, you know, be part of a committee before training camp is over.
13:35
SPEAKER_00: So I want to kind of sell that, sell him now if I can.
13:37
SPEAKER_00: Um, now before we get into the buys, real quick, everything I just broke down, you know, the sales, the buys I'm about to cover, the dynasty classes that we have assigned on these guys, like it's platinum, diamond, gold, silver, bronze.
13:50
SPEAKER_00: Like we kind of, you know, with all these dynasty assets, it's like, how do we treat these guys, right?
13:55
SPEAKER_00: So we have we we have a you know, our own system of how to classify these guys, and we move them up and down based on their actual value uh in dynasty, and it kind of makes it all clear for you, right?
14:06
SPEAKER_00: Like, how many, you know, uh platinum guys do I want on my team?
14:11
SPEAKER_00: How many diamond uh wide receivers should I have?
14:14
SPEAKER_00: That sort of thing.
14:14
SPEAKER_00: And that's kind of how we choose to build our teams out, right?
14:18
SPEAKER_00: Uh, but anyway, that all lives in Dynasty Lab.
14:20
SPEAKER_00: It's updated throughout the offseason, throughout the season, not just post-draft.
14:24
SPEAKER_00: So if you're serious about dynasty and you want the grades on every player on your roster, not just the ones I covered today, go to upperhandfantasy.com.
14:31
SPEAKER_00: Link is in the description as well.
14:33
SPEAKER_00: Let's get into the buys.
14:34
SPEAKER_00: Number one is Chris Olave.
14:36
SPEAKER_00: He's a dynasty asset, I think, is being undervalued despite the Jordan Tyson pick, or maybe because of the Jordan Tyson pick, I should say.
14:42
SPEAKER_00: Here's what happened in New Orleans last year, right?
14:44
SPEAKER_00: Olave caught 100 passes for over 1,100 yards, nine touchdowns, uh 16 starts.
14:49
SPEAKER_00: You know, thank God he can stay healthy.
14:51
SPEAKER_00: Uh, and when Tyler Shug was the unquestioned starter down the stretch, the final three games of the season, Olave went 24 for 36, 352 yards, four touchdowns.
15:01
SPEAKER_00: So, like that chemistry is getting real.
15:04
SPEAKER_00: Um, obviously the Saints drafted Jordan Tyson eighth overall, so there's a real some real competition there.
15:09
SPEAKER_00: But listen, context matters.
15:10
SPEAKER_00: In 2025, no other receiver in the Saints came, you know, within 99 targets of Olave's total.
15:16
SPEAKER_00: You know, he owned this offense in general.
15:18
SPEAKER_00: Obviously, you have Kellen Moore, you know, running the show there, which is really, really good.
15:23
SPEAKER_00: Um, that's what you want, you know, to kind of like sustain that value.
15:27
SPEAKER_00: Uh and Olave ranked third in the entire NFL in third down receptions last year.
15:31
SPEAKER_00: So like truly, truly, you know, big, dependable wide receiver, right?
15:37
SPEAKER_00: And um, you know, we actually just did a study too where it showed that Kellen Moore uh is really good at, you know, getting if he has two baller wide receivers, like he gets both of them going for fantasy.
15:48
SPEAKER_00: So um, you know, Jordan Tyson can eat right along alongside Chris Olave.
15:53
SPEAKER_00: Um, but we also did another study where we it was for Chris Olave, Devontae Smith, and Garrett Wilson just to kind of show that, hey, like what happens when a first round rookie is drafted?
16:04
SPEAKER_00: What happens to the incumbent or the veteran wide receiver?
16:08
SPEAKER_00: Like, do the target share gets taken get taken away?
16:11
SPEAKER_00: Do they end up, you know, going down in value of production?
16:14
SPEAKER_00: And the answer was absolutely actually the opposite, where the that player, the veteran wide receiver who was already considered elite, uh, actually either stayed the same in terms of production or got better, you know, from a fantasy perspective.
16:28
SPEAKER_00: So Chris Olave is someone that you know a lot of people might be looking at the Jordan Tyson pick as a reason why they should be kind of um off of him or lower on him, but that the the data shows that that that's not the case at all.
16:42
SPEAKER_00: Next up is Basel Tutin.
16:44
SPEAKER_00: Uh I think he's one of my favorite buys on the entire list, and the price has just gotten super cheap because of the Chris Rodriguez noise.
16:51
SPEAKER_00: Like, I get the concern around Chris Rodriguez.
16:53
SPEAKER_00: I think the narrative has swung way too far.
16:56
SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, Rodriguez was efficient last year.
16:58
SPEAKER_00: He played with Liam Cohen, you know, in college, and I totally understand that.
17:02
SPEAKER_00: But Tutin didn't get hurt in the draft, man.
17:04
SPEAKER_00: He's gonna play the ETN role.
17:05
SPEAKER_00: He's gonna be he's gonna have a role in all three downs.
17:08
SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, they already wanted to use him at the goal line last year, even with ETN there.
17:13
SPEAKER_00: Um, I should say, I should be saying HN, right?
17:16
SPEAKER_00: I should be saying HN.
17:17
SPEAKER_00: Sorry, sorry, Travis.
17:19
SPEAKER_00: Um, but you know, look the guy who's gonna get the volume in this backfield is gonna be Tootin.
17:23
SPEAKER_00: I think Rodriguez is gonna play some sort of thumper role, but I think this is a buyable dynasty profile here at running back at a discounted price.
17:31
SPEAKER_00: Um, and you know, this is someone I was really into coming out of the draft, obviously.
17:35
SPEAKER_00: Leon Cohn was obviously a fan after drafting him last year.
17:38
SPEAKER_00: He's not giving up on Beijle Tootin after one season.
17:42
SPEAKER_00: And you know, he looked good last year.
17:43
SPEAKER_00: He definitely showed a lot of good signs.
17:45
SPEAKER_00: So I, you know, I'm I'm looking at Beijle Tootin in my leagues and seeing what I can get him for.
17:51
SPEAKER_00: You know, I have a feeling like you'll be able to like get trade up like a you know, maybe a someone like uh Tony Pollard and like a 2027 second round pick or something like that.
18:02
SPEAKER_00: Like, I would do that.
18:03
SPEAKER_00: I would.
18:04
SPEAKER_00: And if your rookie draft hasn't passed right now, a late 2026 first, I'd do it.
18:08
SPEAKER_00: Okay, moving on.
18:10
SPEAKER_00: Cam Scadabo is my third by here.
18:13
SPEAKER_00: I think people are sleeping on him a little bit, extremely efficient last year.
18:18
SPEAKER_00: Obviously, the injury gives you know a little uncertainty there, but he took over that backfield last year, he ran with it.
18:24
SPEAKER_00: The injury concern is obviously there.
18:26
SPEAKER_00: It's gonna limit him, most likely, early in the season.
18:28
SPEAKER_00: But the talent is not the question.
18:30
SPEAKER_00: The Giants ran their offense through him.
18:31
SPEAKER_00: You have Jackson Dark, who developed over 20 fantasy points as a game, you know, a game as a rookie.
18:36
SPEAKER_00: You know, he's gonna grow alongside him.
18:38
SPEAKER_00: And you know, I think the current price on Scatterboo is reflecting that injury way too much.
18:43
SPEAKER_00: I think this is the buy window.
18:44
SPEAKER_00: So I would get him before he's healthy and before people remember how good he actually is.
18:48
SPEAKER_00: He's a he's a three-down back who is really efficient in the receiving game, earns targets.
18:53
SPEAKER_00: He did it in the college level, and he did it as soon as he started to get opportunity last year.
18:57
SPEAKER_00: Next up is Rome Odunze.
18:59
SPEAKER_00: I got some quick buys.
19:00
SPEAKER_00: I'll probably, you know, I want to get through this a little quicker.
19:03
SPEAKER_00: So maybe I'll go Rome Odunze and uh I'll talk about Harold Fannon as well.
19:07
SPEAKER_00: But Odunze reportedly dealing with that foot injury since week six of last year, like after their early buy.
19:13
SPEAKER_00: But before that, he was the overall wide receiver three fantasy points per game through those first four weeks, as you probably know.
19:19
SPEAKER_00: But I think a healthy Odunze in a Caleb Williams offense is a dynasty wide receiver one potentially.
19:24
SPEAKER_00: I think the the price not only reflects that injury version of him, but also like people are so high on Luther Burden.
19:32
SPEAKER_00: Like, listen, I'm a big like if you guys know, like he was one of my guys coming out of the draft last year, but let's hold our horses here, okay?
19:39
SPEAKER_00: We we have no like we have zero uh evidence that he's gonna be the wide receiver one in this offense.
19:47
SPEAKER_00: We've already seen Romo Dunze be the wide receiver one in this offense, so I that's where I'll go.
19:51
SPEAKER_00: And he was the better prospect coming out of the college as well.
19:53
SPEAKER_00: So I'm buying Romo Dunze as their wide receiver one.
19:57
SPEAKER_00: Um, so I'm buying the bounce back for Rome.
20:00
SPEAKER_00: Um and how Fannon Jr.
20:01
SPEAKER_00: Like I'm not gonna be scared off of him because the Browns added weapons, like Todd Munkin, you know, he's presided over some of the most productive passing offenses in football wherever he's been.
20:10
SPEAKER_00: He developed Brock Bowers into a dominant tight end at Georgia, and now he has Fannon.
20:14
SPEAKER_00: You know, he has an elite receiving profile, he has a route tree to thrive in Munken's system.
20:19
SPEAKER_00: And obviously, they have KC Concepcion, they have Denzel Boston now, they have uh Jerry Judy, but I think there's a chance that Fannon plays over Judy, man.
20:26
SPEAKER_00: I I really think there's a chance there.
20:28
SPEAKER_00: We'll see.
20:29
SPEAKER_00: Um, but you know, it's also possible they just go 11 personnel, and Fannon is their inline guy.
20:34
SPEAKER_00: I doubt that.
20:35
SPEAKER_00: I would imagine that they want him in the slot a lot more, but at the end of the day, this is a position that's starved for top end options, and I think he belongs in that conversation right now.
20:46
SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's get into our quarterback segment.
20:50
SPEAKER_00: I got three buys here, okay?
20:51
SPEAKER_00: I'm gonna spend a few minutes on quarterbacks because there are three guys I want at the position right now, and they all share a same similar theme, which is they had they got upgrades around them, but they're still being underpriced.
21:02
SPEAKER_00: And the first one is Justin Herbert.
21:04
SPEAKER_00: He's a platinum class quarterback for me in our dynasty lab.
21:09
SPEAKER_00: When Mike McDaniel had a healthy Tua in Miami, his offenses were top six in total offense, top four in passing yards and touchdowns, two years running.
21:16
SPEAKER_00: That was with Tua.
21:17
SPEAKER_00: Herbert is a different weight class, right?
21:19
SPEAKER_00: He has he has arm talent, he has the athleticism, he has everything.
21:22
SPEAKER_00: And McDaniel simply has never had a quarterback like him.
21:25
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
21:26
SPEAKER_00: Now, one detail that people are missing is that Herbert's most efficient season came when the Chargers ran the fourth most play action passes in the league.
21:34
SPEAKER_00: And McDaniel's offense has been top six in play action in both of the Tua's best years.
21:38
SPEAKER_00: So those two facts colliding in the same offense is gonna be a big deal.
21:43
SPEAKER_00: And Herbert is, you know, he's in the platinum class for a reason.
21:46
SPEAKER_00: He got upgraded after this move.
21:48
SPEAKER_00: Brock Purdy, similar type of situation, almost insultingly simple.
21:52
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
21:53
SPEAKER_00: 49ers' offense last year was beaten up.
21:55
SPEAKER_00: Brand Nayuk was gone, receiving core was just patched together.
21:58
SPEAKER_00: Purdy still finished as a Q.
22:00
SPEAKER_00: UB5 and fantasy points per game once he was back.
22:02
SPEAKER_00: And now he gets a fully healthy supporting cast.
22:04
SPEAKER_00: Um, and I'm sure that toe was bothering him last year, too.
22:07
SPEAKER_00: And now you have Mike Evans.
22:09
SPEAKER_00: Shanahan, he builds his offense around the X receiver.
22:13
SPEAKER_00: Uh, it's a staple, you know, going back years, and he didn't have one last year.
22:17
SPEAKER_00: His X receivers have historically been like the most highest targeted players in the league.
22:21
SPEAKER_00: Evans last year ranked eighth in target rate among all qualifying wide receivers, and he was literally the only receiver in football with more than 10 contested catches in fewer than 10 games.
22:30
SPEAKER_00: So he's tailored-made for this role, Purdy with a healthy team, and Mike Evans is the perfect system, and he's a buy.
22:39
SPEAKER_00: So he's in the platinum class as well.
22:41
SPEAKER_00: And then you have Cam Ward, who's actually in the silver class as of right now, but the price is cheap and the upside is real.
22:48
SPEAKER_00: Okay, and and you know, here's a stat that I we looked at, you know, not too long ago.
22:53
SPEAKER_00: Every year since 2022, at least one quarterback drafted outside the top 20 in fantasy has finished as a top 12 quarterback.
23:00
SPEAKER_00: I think you know, this year you have guys like him, probably Tyler Shug, right?
23:04
SPEAKER_00: And you know, over the last few years, you know, Stafford and Lawrence last year, uh, Mayfield, Knicks, Darnold the two years ago, Love, Stroud, Mayfield the two uh in 2023.
23:15
SPEAKER_00: So Ward is going as his QB23 off the board right now in underdog.
23:19
SPEAKER_00: That gap is, you know, between like the price and the potential outcome is exactly where you want to be.
23:24
SPEAKER_00: Um, and listen, you watched him last year, his rookie year, it was not great by any means.
23:30
SPEAKER_00: But if you really paid attention before the bye, like it wasn't good at all, right?
23:34
SPEAKER_00: Five touchdowns, six interceptions, eight point eight fantasy points per game after the bye, ten touchdowns in seven games that matched Josh Allen and Jordan Love in that span.
23:43
SPEAKER_00: It was the best touchdown to interception ratio in the entire NFL during that span.
23:47
SPEAKER_00: Uh, he also doubled his fantasy output.
23:50
SPEAKER_00: Um, he cut his sack rate in half, which I think is a big indicator.
23:53
SPEAKER_00: Um, four straight multi-touchdown games to close the season.
23:57
SPEAKER_00: Uh, and that was with a shell of Calvin Ridley and like two like later, you know, I guess mid to late round rookies as his top options at wide receiver.
24:06
SPEAKER_00: So now he has Brian Dable as his play caller, right?
24:09
SPEAKER_00: You look at you know who Dable has messed with, every quarterback in year one with him has averaged 17 plus fantasy points per game.
24:16
SPEAKER_00: Um, obviously, rushing has been a big part of it, and he unlocked a lot of that rushing dimension with his guys.
24:22
SPEAKER_00: You know, we're talking uh, you know, Josh Allen, obviously, but he also had a really big accuracy issue, which you know Dable definitely helped with and had a big part of Jackson Dart, he had a pretty good year under Dable.
24:35
SPEAKER_00: And then, you know, he also ended up making uh what's his name?
24:40
SPEAKER_00: Daniel Jones looked pretty good too before he became you know what he was last year uh under Shane Steichen.
24:47
SPEAKER_00: So um there's some potential here for Cam Ward, you know, to follow suit and become a real weapon after you know he was drafted as a number one overall quarterback last year for a reason.
25:01
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
25:02
SPEAKER_00: Now, a couple quick ones that I want to close out on for buys.
25:06
SPEAKER_00: Rashi Rice is one of them, only if you're in a win now situation.
25:12
SPEAKER_00: Okay, he's cleared of any any I was gonna say cleared of wrongdoing.
25:15
SPEAKER_00: I don't know if that's the case, but like he was cleared, he didn't he wasn't he's not gonna be charged, so no as no suspension expected officially.
25:23
SPEAKER_00: Um he was two years removed from that surgery now, so you know he's like the wide receiver one for Patrick Mahomes.
25:29
SPEAKER_00: He is a fantasy wide receiver one when he's healthy and starting, and as long as Mahomes is healthy as well.
25:34
SPEAKER_00: So if you're in a win now situation, I think he's a very he's probably the cheapest wide receiver one you can buy right now in Dynasty.
25:42
SPEAKER_00: Uh make Igbuka, right?
25:44
SPEAKER_00: Mike Evans is gone.
25:45
SPEAKER_00: Uh the new offensive coordinator just said that Igbuka is going to be playing that flanker role.
25:51
SPEAKER_00: Thank God.
25:52
SPEAKER_00: That's exactly what we want after a rough entis rookie year.
25:55
SPEAKER_00: Uh playing the X receiver role after Mike Evans got hurt.
25:58
SPEAKER_00: I'm definitely buying the dip here.
25:59
SPEAKER_00: A lot of potential for Igbuka.
26:01
SPEAKER_00: If you look at the expected fantasy points per game for Igbuka during his terrible stretch, he was still uh near the top of the league.
26:08
SPEAKER_00: I think it was top 10, if I'm not mistaken, in the expected fantasy points, even though it was rough, actual fantasy points.
26:14
SPEAKER_00: Um, even though I mentioned that everyone's high on Luther Burden, I have him as a buy here, but like I uh I just don't know uh you know if you're gonna be able to.
26:23
SPEAKER_00: I feel like he's one of like the untouchable guys.
26:25
SPEAKER_00: Like it's tough, right?
26:26
SPEAKER_00: Um, see what you can buy him for.
26:29
SPEAKER_00: You know, don't give up anything crazy.
26:31
SPEAKER_00: I I don't know what his upside is he wide does he have wide receiver one upside this year?
26:35
SPEAKER_00: I don't know.
26:35
SPEAKER_00: I I don't know.
26:36
SPEAKER_00: He might have wide receiver one upside, but like I'm thinking like top 18 at the very highest.
26:41
SPEAKER_00: That's kind of where I'm at with Luther Burton.
26:43
SPEAKER_00: So if you're trying to buy Luther Burton, just temper expectations a little bit.
26:46
SPEAKER_00: Uh Jonathan Brooks, I'm buying him for cheap.
26:49
SPEAKER_00: I think Dave Gonales, Dave Ganales, Dave Canales, uh, talked him up a little bit, you know, recently.
26:55
SPEAKER_00: Um, obviously, he has a double ACL tear, but I think that's kind of over talked about a little bit because I don't necessarily look at that as such a bad thing in terms of like obviously it was a bad thing at the time, but looking back on it now, that knee is going to be stronger than it was going into last year before that second ACL tear.
27:13
SPEAKER_00: So very low risk here to buy Brooks, obviously, real upside if he ends up being anywhere close to the prospect that he was, and then if he gets ends up getting a roll, because right now I don't know if the future uh running back of that backfield's on the roster, um, besides you know, outside of Jonathan Brooks.
27:29
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
27:30
SPEAKER_00: Well, that's gonna do it for our buy and sell list.
27:32
SPEAKER_00: But if you want the full dynasty lab with player grades, class badges, stock movement, buys and sells, and all those signals to figure out who to buy and sell, that's updated throughout the season every couple of weeks.
27:43
SPEAKER_00: So the link is in the description.
27:46
SPEAKER_00: We'll catch you in the next one.
27:47
SPEAKER_00: Thank you guys.
27:48
SPEAKER_00: Take it easy.
27:49
SPEAKER_00: Peace.