Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 468 - 3/5/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to. Episode 468 of the All Systems
- 0:18Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I am your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
- 0:30everyone? Happy.
- 0:31Thirsty. Thursday, another day here in
- 0:33the arena, guys. One more day until Friday, and
- 0:35then, of course, another big. Weekend here.
- 0:37In college basketball. But we got a lot to get to on
- 0:40today's podcast. I do have another. 3 pack of
- 0:43plays. For you sort of me looking at
- 0:45once again. 3 short money line favorites, including one.
- 0:48Which happens to be the Missouri.
- 0:49Valley Conference Tournament. So a little conference
- 0:51tournament action and then a couple late regular season games
- 0:55as well, but you know the drill. 3 plays, let's try to go 2 and 1
- 0:58eek out a winning night. And then, of course, because it
- 1:00is a Thursday. You know what that means?
- 1:02Big night for yours truly over here.
- 1:04Because I will be. Hosting the Rhythm rundown.
- 1:06Tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time. Streamed live on Twitter.
- 1:10Many of you guys know about it. If you don't, that's OK.
- 1:12But every Thursday night you log on to Twitter, you can find me
- 1:15at Josh under score Insights and myself, my buddy Kate Harper
- 1:19will be running through rhythm and kind of showing the
- 1:23different models and systems and recommended plays, how to
- 1:25interpret rhythm, how to use rhythm to your advantage.
- 1:28So very much looking forward to that.
- 1:29It's going to be all college basketball here tonight.
- 1:32And we're also going to have a very special guest, my buddy
- 1:34Adam Rosenberg, who is a fantastic follow on Twitter and
- 1:40he. Will also be joining us tonight.
- 1:41So he has a few things that he wants to mention.
- 1:43Adam also works with Rhythm, so it'll be fun to pick his brain
- 1:46and get some of his insights and kind of get excited about new
- 1:50things going on at Rhythm. So we'll have an insider source
- 1:52here joining the rundown here tonight.
- 1:55But again, you can see us live on Twitter.
- 1:57If you're free, 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 1:59You can again follow me at Josh under Score Insights for the
- 2:02Rhythm rundown tonight at 6:00 and then the nightcap I'll be
- 2:05joining. My buddy Patrick Baher as I
- 2:07always. Do every Thursday night, 9:00 PM
- 2:09Eastern Time. Patrick and I every Thursday
- 2:11night. We talk betting, we talk life,
- 2:13we talk all kinds of stuff. But I'll be live at 9, usually
- 2:17around 9:00 to 9:30 and it'll be on SiriusXM Mad Dog Radio as
- 2:22well as the Beeson Live Tonight Show as well.
- 2:25So looking forward to both of those here for tonight.
- 2:28Now before we get to our plays here for today guys.
- 2:31Looking back toward yesterday, a little bit annoying.
- 2:33Disappointing 1 and 2 -, 1.2 units.
- 2:36Had a nice hit with Rhode Island.
- 2:38They were down at half and really roared back.
- 2:40Had a great second-half. Beat Duquesne 64 to 52.
- 2:44But lost with SMU, which again, I'll make that play 10 times out
- 2:48of 10. Unranked home favors ranked
- 2:50opponent, public was on Miami. SMU couldn't come through.
- 2:54So Miami, hey, tip your cap. The public had Miami public got
- 2:58that one. What are you going to do?
- 3:00But the really? Annoying one that just.
- 3:02Frustrated me to. No end was Butler because if you
- 3:05were watching that game, first half, Butler at the half led by
- 3:094 points and I'm like, OK, here we go, let's get a winner here
- 3:11with Butler. Then Butler got completely
- 3:14destroyed in the second-half. I think they got out at one
- 3:17point. They start off the half.
- 3:18I think they were down 12 nothing 12 to nothing run.
- 3:21Maybe it was even 15 to nothing but they completely.
- 3:24Puked all over themselves in the second-half, so it's always
- 3:27annoying when you're up four and half saying hey, halfway home
- 3:29to. Win and then.
- 3:30The team doesn't even, you know, might as well stay in the locker
- 3:32room because that was just absolutely pathetic.
- 3:34I don't know what happened to Butler last night, but hey,
- 3:36sometimes that happens. So overall, 1 and 2 -, 1.2
- 3:39units. But we're going to see if we can
- 3:41get back in the green here for today.
- 3:44So that being said. 3 plays overall let's.
- 3:46Waste no more time, see if we can find.
- 3:48Two out of these. Three games that can cash a
- 3:50ticket for us, so first. One on the board for me. 7:00
- 3:53Eastern Time, Indiana State. Against Valparaiso, this is the.
- 3:571st. Round of the Missouri Valley
- 3:59Conference Tournaments is a neutral site conference
- 4:01tournament game. Stock split system matches.
- 4:04I'll give you my play here. Now Indiana State comes.
- 4:06In 11 and. 20 on the year. They're the 10 seed in the MVC.
- 4:10Tournament. They did snap, however, a six
- 4:12game losing skid by beating Illinois Chicago. 79 to 63.
- 4:16They won that game outright as a 3 1/2 point home dog.
- 4:19On the other hand, Valpo. 17 and 14 on the year.
- 4:23They. Are the seven seed.
- 4:24Just saw their four-game win streak coming in, however they
- 4:27lost to Evansville. 80 to 79 losing out, right?
- 4:30As a 5 1/2 point Rd. favorite so.
- 4:32What do you see across the market here?
- 4:34Will this game open with Valpo listed as a 2 1/2 point neutral
- 4:38site favorite? And what are we seeing across
- 4:39the market? All big money.
- 4:41Laying it with Valpo. Valpo has gotten steamed up -2
- 4:441/2 now up to -3 1/2. I look.
- 4:47Over at DK, around 70% of spread.
- 4:49Bets in dollars on Valpo, so I don't love that it's.
- 4:52Quote UN Quote public. But also you got a lot of money
- 4:55and more importantly, you have the line move here like 70%
- 4:58bets, 70% dollars and the line doesn't move or goes the other
- 5:01way. That's an automatic no play for
- 5:02me. But I don't love this the, you
- 5:04know, the public 70%, but the fact that this line moved.
- 5:07Toward Valpo. -2 to 3 1/2 tells me it's not just public, it's
- 5:11sharp betters. Who laid that 2 1/2 immediately
- 5:13when this line opened? Now Ken Palm has Valpo winning,
- 5:16but exactly by three points. 72 to 60. 9 He does, however, have
- 5:21the Valpo. Beacons, did you know?
- 5:22That their. Nickname was the beacons.
- 5:24Ranked higher 150. 5th in the country 200 and. 4th for Indiana
- 5:28State, You guys know the drill. I'm going to money line a short
- 5:32favorite here. I don't want to lay a 3 1/2 win
- 5:33by 1-2 or three and lose our bet, so I got Valpo on the money
- 5:37line at -1. 60 at FanDuel. Shop around, it's still minus.
- 5:41160 at FanDuel as I'm speaking to you right now.
- 5:43But I do see some books closer to -170 So as always, shop
- 5:47around, have those multiple outs.
- 5:48Make sure you can. Get the better price and use
- 5:50your Odds Logic live Odds page to find the book giving you the
- 5:53best number. Reminder.
- 5:54If you want to give Odds Logic a shot, it's Odds logic.com/josh.
- 5:59123 that'll. Give you a 7 day free trial and
- 6:0150% off your first month. In addition, going back to the
- 6:05cap here, I like the split on the money line at Valpo. 78%
- 6:09bets, 90% dollars. On Valpo at DraftKings, so it
- 6:13tells me a lot of big money also going Valpo to win this game.
- 6:17Now Valpo has a bunch of analytic advantage advantages
- 6:20here. If you'll get the Ken Palm fan
- 6:22match tab and you click the score, you'll find all these,
- 6:24but Valpo has the better offensive.
- 6:26Efficiency 176th, 1st, 200 and 30th.
- 6:29For Indiana State, better. Defensive efficiency 139th. 1st
- 6:33178th. Better offensive rebound
- 6:36percentage. 113th 1st 328th. They shoot the three better. 180
- 6:42ninth versus 299th. Better free throw.
- 6:44Shooting could be huge in a close game, 220 eighth versus
- 6:47320. 7th and Valpo commits fewer turnovers on offense.
- 6:51They don't give it away as much. 96th in the country.
- 6:55Versus 330? 4th for Indiana State beacons,
- 6:59by the way. 11 and 9 in conference play, not bad.
- 7:02Couple games over 500 Sycamores 4.
- 7:04And 16 in conference. Play.
- 7:06They have really struggled against conference opponents.
- 7:10Valpo also. Has a one day rest advantage,
- 7:12nothing huge, but they did last play on February 28th where you
- 7:16have Indiana State last playing on March 1st.
- 7:18So line move toward Valpo. We got pro and Joe split in
- 7:21their favor. Ken Palms got him by three, so
- 7:23we're going. Money line here.
- 7:25Bunch of stat advantages, better in conference play one day rest
- 7:28advantage. And then oh by the way, popped
- 7:30open sharp mush at Juice reel. Noticed a 29% sharp mush edge on
- 7:36Valpo so 29% more of the sharps who have downloaded like you out
- 7:41there. Juice reel synced up your books.
- 7:43They are also going with Valpo to win this game.
- 7:47So first bit on the board for me, a little pricey.
- 7:49But again, vandals got the -160 that's what I played.
- 7:52Valparaiso beacons money line -160 next one for you.
- 7:57Let's go to an 8 O clock game. We got Western Kentucky visiting
- 8:01Missouri State, now western. Kentucky is 18 and 11 on the
- 8:04year. They've won six in a row.
- 8:06Just beat up UTEP 97 to 60. Five easily covered.
- 8:10As A9. And a half point home favorite
- 8:12meanwhile, Missouri Valley. 13 and 16 on the year.
- 8:15They've dropped seven in a row. Just fell to Sam.
- 8:17Houston, 86 to 80. One did cover though as a 6 1/2
- 8:21point Rd. dog. So we've seen across the market
- 8:24here, well, this game. Open Western Kentucky, listed as
- 8:26a very short 1 1/2 point Rd. Favorite and what's?
- 8:30Interesting to me is. You know, Western Kentucky
- 8:32better record 1/6 straight Missouri Valley or sorry
- 8:35Missouri State losing record lost seven straight.
- 8:38You know, is this a situation where take the fish East side
- 8:40Missouri Valley who struggled in a buy low spot sell high in
- 8:43western. Kentucky, OR.
- 8:45The pros say, yeah, we want to take the hot team.
- 8:47Who's playing better here? Well, looks like pros are doing
- 8:50the ladder because we've seen this line.
- 8:51Move toward Western Kentucky. They've gotten steamed up -1 1/2
- 8:55up to -2 or now 2 1/2. I even saw them get as high as I
- 8:59think 3 or even 3 1/2 earlier today.
- 9:01And then it came back down a little bit.
- 9:03But it's pretty clear I'll move in.
- 9:04Liability on the Hilltoppers now.
- 9:08Ken Pond does have Western Kentucky.
- 9:09Winning, but only by one point. 74 to 73.
- 9:12So I did go by the way. He does have a rank quite a bit
- 9:15higher though. 139th versus 200 and 13th from Missouri State.
- 9:19But I did go. Money line here with Western
- 9:21Kentucky. I got Western Kentucky.
- 9:23Around -130. 5 on the money line.
- 9:26I think that was at Bally bet but shop around.
- 9:28Some books are closer to -140 like the splits though on
- 9:32Western Kentucky money line 78% money line bets. 80. 5% money
- 9:36line dollars, so good low bets, higher dollar split in favor of
- 9:40the Hilltoppers here. Some advantages that jumped out
- 9:43to me Western. Kentucky.
- 9:45Has the better offensive. Efficiency 180th versus 100 and
- 9:4999th. From Missouri State, they also
- 9:51have the better. Defensive efficiency.
- 9:52Pretty big edge here. 110th versus 200 and 18th.
- 9:57They also have the better free throw shooting massive advantage
- 9:59here 40. 4th in the. Country verse 300 and 30th for
- 10:03Missouri State, one of the worst in the in the country and they
- 10:05hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage
- 10:08to make it harder on you to make your shots.
- 10:10They rank 115th, 1st, 200 and 39th.
- 10:13Hilltoppers also grab more rebounds per game.
- 10:16Again, it's a little bit anecdotal, but I think the the
- 10:19data proves it out. You grab more rebounds typically
- 10:21that's a recipe for success. It means that the other teams
- 10:24missing shots, It means you're also not giving up, you know,
- 10:27defensive rebounds or you're maybe you're grabbing offensive
- 10:29boards. So the average. 40 per game.
- 10:31Versus 35 for Missouri State and conference play Western Kentucky
- 10:35against common opponents 11 and seven straight up this year.
- 10:38Missouri, Missouri State, 7:00 and 11:00.
- 10:41So Western Kentucky playing great, better record.
- 10:44Missouri Valley. Or why don't we keep calling
- 10:46Missouri Valley? Maybe I have that conference
- 10:47term on the mind. But Missouri State, you know,
- 10:51big losing streak, worst record line is going toward the better
- 10:54team that's playing better, which is Western Kentucky with a
- 10:57bunch of stat advantages. And oh, by the way, I have a
- 11:00Green Star Rhythm recommendation on Western Kentucky at -2.6.
- 11:06So again, a lot of books around 2 or 2 1/2 now.
- 11:09It's not a big edge on. Lay in the 2 or 2 1/2, but an
- 11:12edge hopefully on the money line.
- 11:13And oh, by the way, our friends at Juice Reel has an 11% sharp
- 11:19mush edge on the Western Kentucky money line as well.
- 11:21So second. Play for me, guys.
- 11:23Western Kentucky let's go Hilltoppers money line win this
- 11:27game got them at around -130 -, 135 somewhere around there.
- 11:33Last bed of the night 9:00 tip we got Arkansas Pine Bluff.
- 11:38Visiting Alcorn State, now Arkansas.
- 11:41Pine Bluff. Comes in 12 and 18 on the year.
- 11:44They've dropped five of their last six, just came up short
- 11:46against Jackson. State 81 to 78.
- 11:49They lost outright as a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 11:52Meanwhile, Alcorn. State 8 and 21 on the year.
- 11:55They just snapped A2 game losing skid by beating Missouri Valley.
- 11:58State 67 to 64. Didn't cover though they're
- 12:01favored by 9 1/2 in that one so. What are you seeing across the
- 12:04board here? This game opened with Pine Bluff
- 12:07listed around a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 12:10And what are we seeing across the market?
- 12:11All movement liability toward Pine Bluff.
- 12:14Pine Bluff has gone from -1 1/2 up to -2 some shops even
- 12:18reaching now -2 1/2. So they're on 2/2 and 1/2.
- 12:21I'll go tell you this to guys like if you like Western
- 12:24Kentucky, I think you like Pine Bluff.
- 12:26They're very similar. Short Rd. favorite with a line
- 12:28move, but let's get into. Some of these splits at DK.
- 12:31Pine Bluff 57% spread bets, 80% spread dollars at Circa out in
- 12:37Vegas. 67. Percent spread bets, 90% spread
- 12:41dollars. So both DK and circa.
- 12:43Showing a really good little bit higher dollar split in favor.
- 12:45Of the. Golden Lions of Arkansas Pine
- 12:48Bluff. Now I buried the Lee a little
- 12:50bit, but this is an added extra game.
- 12:52Game three O 658-730-6588. So why is that important?
- 12:56Because it's an overlooked low bet tiny matchup.
- 12:59Public could care less about this one.
- 13:01But we always talk about line moves.
- 13:03Line moves in low back games, obscure games, very meaningful
- 13:06because even though the public has no interest in Pine Bluff
- 13:09versus Alcorn State, based on the splits and the line moving
- 13:12up toward Pine Bluff told me wise guys have targeted Pine
- 13:15Bluff here. Now, Ken Palm does have Pine
- 13:17Bluff winning, but only by one point. 76 to 70. 5 So you know
- 13:21where I'm going with this one. It went money line with Pine
- 13:24Bluff. Got him around -135 -, 140.
- 13:28I think Bally Bet or maybe a caesar's -135 is your best
- 13:31price, but some books as high as -145 really good splits at
- 13:36DraftKings on the money line Pine Bluff is getting. 53%.
- 13:40Of money line bets. 67. Percent of money line dollars
- 13:44over at circa 50% bets but get a load.
- 13:46Of this 98. Percent of money line dollars on
- 13:49Pine Bluff. Pine Bluff has the better
- 13:51offensive. Efficiency 200 and 81st in the
- 13:53country. 1st 300 and. 40th for Alcorn State, one of the worst
- 13:57and All in all college hoops, Better effective field goal
- 14:00percentage. 263rd, 1st, 306th. Better free throw shooting.
- 14:05Big advantage here, hopefully. 77th in the country.
- 14:08For Pine Bluff, Alcorn. State 233rd.
- 14:12And Pine Bluff holds their opponents to a better effective
- 14:14field goal percentage. 250. 9th may not sound great, but 300?
- 14:19And 46th. For Alcorn State, so we have a
- 14:22short Rd. favorite becoming a little bit more of a favorite.
- 14:25Good splits, system matches. Obscure sharp line move.
- 14:28And oh, by the way, our friends at Rhythm have Pine Bluff Minus.
- 14:323.4. Which is a pretty big edge on
- 14:35the, you know, two 2 1/2 Even so, last play.
- 14:38Of the night for me. You know, we wanted a low bed
- 14:41obscure matchup, but we got one here.
- 14:42I'm going Pine Bluff money line around -135 -, 140 So Valpo,
- 14:48Western Kentucky, Pine Bluff. See if we can get 2 out of 3 eek
- 14:52out a winning day. So that about does it for
- 14:55episode 4. 68. Of the All Systems Go Sports
- 14:58betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 15:00This is the part of the pod, of course, where we wrap things up.
- 15:03And I always start first by saying thank you.
- 15:05Thank you for listening, Thank you for tuning in.
- 15:07Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 15:10busy lives to what I always kind of, you know, you know, joke
- 15:14around with. But pulling up a chair to the
- 15:15virtual bar, it's like you're hanging out with your buddies at
- 15:18the bar. Again, I don't I don't know
- 15:20where you are. We're talking virtually, but
- 15:22it's always fun to get get together with some like minded
- 15:25friends and talk sharp, data-driven plays.
- 15:28So I want to thank you all for listening each day.
- 15:30It really means a lot to me and I'm very honored to host this
- 15:32pod each day. We're always grinding.
- 15:34But again, great part of this pod is, you know, we're open
- 15:38minded to the board. Let the board speak to us, make
- 15:41bets of their head in our heart. But if you would like to help me
- 15:45grow this podcast, there's a. Few things you can.
- 15:47Do to make me very happy 1 You can give this podcast a five
- 15:50star review if you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, give it a
- 15:53five star review, click rate and review if you want.
- 15:55To leave a nice. Comment or click the follow
- 15:57button or leave or tell a friend about the pod for a friend is
- 16:02always. Helpful or?
- 16:03If you want to retweet the pod or like.
- 16:05The tweet when? I put it out each day on Twitter
- 16:08at Josh under Score. Insights.
- 16:09That would all be very much appreciated.
- 16:11Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven
- 16:15sharp contrarian betting focusing on line movement, bet
- 16:18split system matches, taking a contrarian approach, talking
- 16:22about numbers, not teams as as wise guys.
- 16:25Always like to do. But if the style betting has.
- 16:27Appealed to you. It's a provided you a blueprint
- 16:30to attack the sports betting market.
- 16:32You find yourself betting with your head and not your heart,
- 16:34hopefully turning a profit if any of that is the case.
- 16:36And you want. To learn more about data-driven
- 16:38betting. Or you have someone in your life
- 16:40who could use some data-driven tips.
- 16:42Maybe they want to get into betting but don't know how to
- 16:44start. Or maybe they bet a lot and lose
- 16:46a lot and just have no no reasoning, no thought process
- 16:49other than hey, I like this team for whatever reason.
- 16:52But if any of that is the case, or you just want to make my day,
- 16:55I would love for you to go to Amazon.com.
- 16:57And type in the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 17:00Or the. Everything guide to sports
- 17:02betting. The two books that I've written
- 17:03actually have a chapter about the NFL Draft, so if you want to
- 17:06grab the NFL Sharp betting playbook, we've been in the
- 17:08draft here before you know it. But also.
- 17:11Everything got a sports betting that's year round, so I got
- 17:13college hoops. How to create a contrarian
- 17:15bracket March Madness. I got baseball.
- 17:17So you want to grab one or both of my books?
- 17:19Bring the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 17:21Buy a beer or ginger ale. We'll sweat some of these
- 17:24college basketball games together next.
- 17:26Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 17:29My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 17:30They help me win. I'm confident they're going to
- 17:32help you win. So Rhythm great for their AI
- 17:34backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 17:37Reminder, we're going to have a rhythm rundown tonight, 6:00 PM
- 17:39Eastern Time stream live on Twitter.
- 17:41So hope to see you all there. And then of course.
- 17:44Juice Reel. So many great.
- 17:46Features of Juice Reel you can sync up your sports books, get a
- 17:48running report card of your action keeps you honest, also
- 17:51helps you identify your strengths and weaknesses.
- 17:54But also get the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush
- 17:56indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
- 17:58the best line futures as well as if you want to tip your podcast
- 18:02host, I'll pass the hat. If you want to drop in a $5.00
- 18:05bill, you can sign up to get the ASG best bet picks.
- 18:08As soon as I bet them, they go right to juice Reel.
- 18:10You can tail fade, do whatever you like, hopefully beat some
- 18:13closing lines and again, that's what I consider tipping your
- 18:16podcast host. It cost $4.99 a week, 5 bucks.
- 18:21I'll give you a cent back for seven days worth of plays.
- 18:23So not a bad deal there. But download Rhythm, download
- 18:26Juice Reel, give them both a five star review in the App
- 18:29Store. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 18:32page? Well, if you don't have one.
- 18:33You need one. It's such a critical.
- 18:35Tool, I can't stress it enough, but it just allows you.
- 18:38It opens the world of sports betting to you.
- 18:40It's going to be your most bookmarked page.
- 18:42They're going to go to all the time on your desktop, laptop,
- 18:45tablet, but it's going to give you all the games being played
- 18:47that day, all the different sports categorized, as well as
- 18:52what we really love, all the lines in the odds that update in
- 18:55real time. As soon as anything changes, it
- 18:57gets lit up in red, then green, then yellow.
- 19:00You also get all the big books on there.
- 19:02So other odds pages don't have, you know, like Pinnacle or
- 19:05Circle or Chris or Bet Online. But then you also get all the
- 19:08books you bet, you bet AT, and the opening column never
- 19:10changes. The current prices are to the
- 19:12right. You can see which direction the
- 19:13line is moved. Pull up the line History just by
- 19:16clicking the box that shows any of the odds.
- 19:18And most importantly, find the book giving you the best price.
- 19:21If you want a dog, and most books are at +2, find the one
- 19:25book that's giving you plus 2 1/2 or you like the favorite
- 19:28-120 on the money line, find the book giving you -115 the Odds
- 19:33Logic live odds page is the best one around.
- 19:35So maybe you have a live odds page, but it's really expensive
- 19:38and you want to save some money. Or you have 1:00 and it's free,
- 19:41but it's really slow. You don't know where the data is
- 19:43coming from. It's unreliable.
- 19:45Doesn't have any good books. Or maybe you don't have it a
- 19:48live odds page at all and you want to give it a shot.
- 19:51Well, highly suggest trying out Odds Logic.
- 19:53All you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 again.
- 19:59That'll give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
- 20:02month of service. So that about does it for
- 20:04episode 460. Eight of the all.
- 20:06Systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 20:09This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
- 20:12always leave you with two final thoughts.
- 20:13One, whether I see you at the Borgata.
- 20:16And Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
- 20:18Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 20:20Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park,
- 20:23casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash in my neck of the woods on
- 20:27the border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
- 20:29They're out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 20:31Where Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest juice
- 20:34possible is found at the South point or sweat and sharp
- 20:36contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming.
- 20:38Pool when? You catch a big ticket at Circa,
- 20:40wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
- 20:43Don't show me SMU or God forbid, Butler.
- 20:45What? I cannot get over that Butler
- 20:47implosion. What a pathetic second-half
- 20:49performance. Thad Mod, I thought you were a
- 20:50good coach. You did not have your team ready
- 20:52to play the second-half. But anyway, show me Rhode Island
- 20:55ticket. At least we got Uri to come
- 20:57through and first one will be on me, next one's on you.
- 21:00We'll post about the book, get some nachos, get a couple drinks
- 21:03and hopefully catch some tickets tonight.
- 21:05So as always, guys coming off a one and two or A2 in one, an O
- 21:09and three or three and OA winning night, a losing night, a
- 21:11great week, a terrible week. Again, whether we're up or down,
- 21:14we can never get too high or too low.
- 21:16Things are going great. We're not going to get cocky,
- 21:18arrogant, double down, think we're invincible.
- 21:21Just the same way when we're struggling and ice cold and
- 21:23things aren't going our way and bad beats are happening left and
- 21:26right, we're not going to give up.
- 21:27We're not going to get it down on ourselves.
- 21:29When you're hot, you're never as good as you think.
- 21:31When you're cold, you're never as bad as you think.
- 21:32So just going to keep grinding, stay disciplined with our
- 21:35bankroll management, avoid the games with red flags, get down
- 21:38on the games that fit our model. And those games sound something
- 21:42like this. Games that are against the
- 21:43public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays
- 21:47and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 21:49to be successful sports bettors. So if everyone has a great
- 21:52Thursday night, look forward to seeing you guys hopefully. 6:00
- 21:55PM Eastern Time for the Rhythm Rundown on Twitter.
- 21:57I'll be on Patrick Maher's show at 9:00 PM and then we'll be
- 22:00right. Back at it tomorrow.
- 22:02For a big fade, the public Friday edition that'll be
- 22:04episode. 469. Of the All Systems Go sports
- 22:07betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 22:09Good luck everybody and have a great Thursday night.