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Rays/Cubs MLB + NFL + WNBA Playoffs Best Bets Sunday 9/14/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the bruins archhape? Is that what it is? I don't
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: even know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. Well, what's up, everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you as my mic is all
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: over the place. Better off dead? Sunday, September fourteenth, Is
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: that what it is? Whatever day it is, man, we
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: had a winning day on the show yesterday. Thanks for
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: hanging out with me on the NFL Show last night,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: which was just Charles basically. So if you miss that,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: go check it out because we do have NFL plays
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: today that I broke down and down the entire NFL
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: card as I always do, So go check that out.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: If you miss that, you still have time you could
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: do that. Yesterday I went four and two. Like I said,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: college football, we were three and one, started out with
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: a loss on Temple plus twenty four. I mean that
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: was just a no go. It was dead. Their offense
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: was way way worse than they had been in the
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: first couple of games. They couldn't do anything. This Oklahoma
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: defense maybe serious, man, Missouri State. We got the win
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: on that one plus twenty eight. I believe SMU only
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: scored twenty eight points, so they scored exactly the spread.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: So as long as Missouri State scored at all, they
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: had the cover there. They were actually winning the game
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: ten to nothing, and they had a chance to retake
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: the lead after they were down fourteen to ten. They
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: were driving in the third quarter. They were down in
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: SMU territory like deep, and I think they must have
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: turned it over, turned it over and downs. I had
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: the game on, there were live lookings on CBS Sports.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I talked about this last night too. When I missed
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: what actually happened. I saw that there was a penalty
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: as a pass interference on SMU that prolonged Missouri State's drive.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, they're gonna score here, and then they
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: still didn't. I'm like, what the hell, But it didn't
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: really matter, as they wound up still being able to
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: cover by double digits. So worked out on Miami of Florida.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: They looked hot to start the game. They're up fourteen
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: to three, and then there was a lightning delay, which
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I'm sick of this the new normal man of lightning
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: delays every single day of football. We just have lightning
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: delays all over the pause. Who the fuck wants that, dude, Like,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: the players want to play. This is football. You're supposed
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: to be out there in the elements. I mean I
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: saw like some footage from some of those games that
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: were in the lightning delay, and it was just like, oh, yeah,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: it's raining a little bit, like what are we doing here?
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: I don't get it, man, And that could really throw
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: off the offense. I mean, the crowd doesn't want that
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: to happen either. I don't think you're there for a
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: football game. You're there to brave the elements. So I
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: was worried that that was gonna just totally hijack that
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: game and throw off Miami's offensive rhythm. Luckily it did not.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: They were still able to win in a blow out
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: over South Florida, so has still got that one right
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: as well. Miami covered even the worst of the numbers there.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: They've won rather easily. Vandy. Our last play was an
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: easy winner. They absolutely blew out South Carolina. South Carolina.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: I think last year was a bit of an outlier. Man.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're that good, which is something I
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: pointed out on my college football show talking about that game.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: It was just ridiculous how many touchdowns South Carolina had
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: scored on defense and special teams. Totally unsustainable their offense.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Their offense might actually suck like Sellers is good, fine,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: but this South Carolina team, they're not good. Dude. Vandy easy,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: easy blowout winning that one. For US Major League Baseball,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: we lost on the over in Rangers Mets, and that
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: was a game where there were a lot of hits.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: I should actually look real quick because it seemed like
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: the game should have been way higher scoring that Patrick
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: Corbin was not really good in the game, and he
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: somehow just complete escaped Texas want up winning the game
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: three to two. Let me see, we had twenty two
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: hits in the game and only five runs. Both teams
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: had double digit hits, and the game still didn't even
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: come close to going over. That makes no sense. I mean,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: you're rarely gonna see a game of twenty two hits
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: and only five runs scored. That's just really, really ridiculous.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: Patrick Corbyn, I'm pretty sure his stat line is not good.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to look at it right now because I
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: was like, how did he not allow runs in this game.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I'm looking right now just because I'm pissed about it.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: Sprote actually did do pretty well from the Mets, by
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: the way, could be a solid pitcher. Might have had
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: him a little bit wrong. Patrick Corbin only lasted four
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: and a third. He gave up six hits, two walks,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I think is what that is, and only one earned
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: one unearned run scored against him and that was it. Yeah,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: that's just ridiculous. He puts so many guys on base,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: many more of them should have scored, and then we
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: kind of escaped with a lucky win. I guess on
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Cleveland on the run line is they got out hit
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: in the game. I think like six to five maybe
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: or something like that, and they still won the game
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: by two, three to one, so maybe got a little
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: bit lucky there. I mean, Cleveland was hanging on to
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: a two to one win for a lot of the
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: time there. We got it done anyway, though, But my
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: baseball needs to turn it around to get better, man,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: because my baseball in the past has been one of
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: my better sports, and it's been awful recently. So I
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: don't know what to tell you, but we did get
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: the scoop on Cleveland's they won on the run line
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: and on the money line. Yeah, we'll move on today.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a WNBA playoff play. I'm gonna
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: give out two baseball plays. And if you guys missed
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: the football show, we have the New York Jets plus seven.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Although I know the seven doesn't look like it's out
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: there anymore. We'll look at the end of the show,
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: look at the market real quick. I said, wait around
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: and see if you can get the seven again. It
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: was seven throughout the week, so I should have given
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: it out because I was gonna have that as a play.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: I should have given it out on my show back then.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: But I would still probably take the six six and
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: a half the Jets too, So I do like the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: Jets plus the points, but obviously seven key number. Tennessee
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Titans plus five and a half. I know these are ugly, dude,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: but you can go watch my analysis on my football
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: show from last night, the NFL Show, and then Monday
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: and night. I'll talk about it again tomorrow. Maybe give
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: reanalyze it for tomorrow because Monday's usually a shorter card.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna be on the Raiders tomorrow as well,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. So those are the three
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: NFL plays, three home underdogs. By the way, let's get
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: into today, man, we're gonna have to break down this
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: baseball card. We'll start with WNBA the playoffs begin playoffs,
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: and if you want to go, you can watch my
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: WNBA bracket special, which was stupid that I did last
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: night and it was like a ten minute video. Probably
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot to see there, although I
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: went against the grain as far as the champion pick though,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I difficult to mention that if
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Minnesota does match up against the Liberty in the second round,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: Minnesota does have some reveal inge motivation there because that
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: is a rematch of the finals from last year. So
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: if that is the matchup in the second round, I
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: think Minnesota would have extra motivation there because they lost
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: in the finals on basically a bad call when they
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: should have probably beaten the Liberty. So they would be
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: definitely up for that series against the Liberty. So that's
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: why I have Minnesota, part of the reason why I
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: have Minnesota advancing through that game. But yeah, let's talk
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: about it, man. Golden State is at Minnesota Minnesota is
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: down for thirteen and a half to twelve year is
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a big favorite. Uh fifty two percent of tickets eighty
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Golden State. Though
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I agree with taking the points of Golden State in
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: this one. I don't really want to jump in and
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: get involved on a double digit underdog, but Golden State's
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: been pretty good at covering as a big underdog like this.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I have some hesitations though, especially just the fact that
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: Golden State they're inexperienced. Man in, Minnesota is a very
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: playoff experience team at this point because they made the
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: run to the final last year, so or the finals,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: so obviously I don't expect Menesota to lose this game,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: but I do think I would lean to Golden State
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: to cover the number though. This game on ESPN. By
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: the way, ESPN carrying all WNBA today and not giving
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: a fuck about baseball, So isn't that great? ESPN and ABC?
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Oh man, it's a WNBA playoffs, let's watch that even
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: though Major League Baseball playoffs are coming up. Major League
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Baseball just gets no. They don't get televised anymore. Man. Minnesota,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: by the way, did win at Golden State by six
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: in the final few games, and then in literally the
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: final game, they beat Golden State in this venue by nineteen.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: So might be a little bit of a zigzag kind
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: of angle here to get to grab the points at
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Golden State as well, because they just played and Minnesota
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: was only a six and a half point favorite when
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: that game went off, And I can't really figure out
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: why that was the case other than the fact that
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Minnesota didn't have motivation, you know, like they obviously had
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: the one seed already wrapped up, so they didn't care
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: as much about this game. But they did play call here.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Like I mentioned, I thought she wasn't gonna play at all,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: and she did, and she is potentially gonna be the
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: league MVP, so she played in that game. So it
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: is interesting, like, why is the line twelve twelve and
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: a half here when the line was six and a half.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, six and a half probably was not where
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: it should have been. The opener of eight and a
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: half was probably more accurate here. But I don't understand
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: why this line is as high as twelve here. It
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: probably should be about ten in my estimation. Golden State
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: had a horrendous shooting game in that game too, twenty
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: eight point eight percent from the field, eleven point one
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: from three. I mean, that's unlikely to happen again. I know,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Golden State's been playing this whole time without Caleb Thornton,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: who is their best player. So she's gone, she's been
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: gone for a while. But they've been playing decently without her,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: decent enough to get into the playoffs. So yeah, I
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: don't expect them to win, but I do agree with
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: taking the points of Golden State in that one. Indiana
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: is at Atlanta. This is a sad, sad matchup, man.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: So Golden State Minnesota is the one versus eight Indiana
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta is the four excusely the three versus six
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's Indiana is the six seed in the playoffs. Here,
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I mean Indiana, we know there's no Caitlyn Clark, there's
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: no Sophie Cunningham. They're just an injured They're a shell
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: of a team. Man, which is why Atlanta's up from
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: seven to seven and a half, seventy two percent of
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty nine percent of the cash coming in on them.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: I would probably agree with that. I would probably lean
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: to Atlanta. Uh, Indiana gets all the you know, the
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: hype there because they have those star players, but they're
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: not here anymore. Man, So I'm just not sure that
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Indiana is gonna like just be able to really do
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: it here. They're also not a very playoff experienced team,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: so that's a problem. Atlanta's really good at home sixteen
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: and six, and Atlanta is only eleven and eleven on
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: the road eleven eleven. That's kind of terrifying as well.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things to keep in mind. There's
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: this long injury list for Indiana here. I mean, they've
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: been played still fairly decently without their star players. They
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: did finish with three straight wins, including beating Minnesota, but
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: remember Minnesota just didn't really have anything to play at
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: that when in Indiana was really trying to get to
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, so there was a big motivational disparity there.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Atlanta ended the season hot six wins in a row.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: Sometimes when the playoffs start, you don't really want to
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: be on a team that was hot to end the season,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta did that against bad teams. They did it
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: against Dallas, Connecticut three times and l A twice, so
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: none of those teams even made the playoffs. So that
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: final stretch is not really that impressive. When you look
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: at who their opponents were, they are still a better team.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Though I don't even know what they did against the
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Fever this year, to be honest, we could look real
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: quick to see what their record was against Indiana on
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: the season. They won the first game, lost, the second game, won,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: the third game, lost the fourth at Indiana. So at
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: home there were they were actually the teams were one
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: on one and one I think at home, right, yeah,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: So they split the season series two and two and
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: they split one and one apiece home and away. So
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you will. I guess, I mean,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: I guess I would agree with the market. Here is
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets, eight nine percent of the cash.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Slightly into Atlanta, but this is probably the one that
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: I have the least grasp on. Uh. I will give
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: out a play in a second on the Liberty and
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Phoenix game. And then Seattle is at Vegas. That's the
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: two versus seven matchup. Vegas is my champion pick. If
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: you went to watch my bracket breakdown, I did have
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Vegas winning the whole thing. I told you Seattle is
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: going to be a tough opponent, though Vegas is down
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: from seven to five and a half. Of course, if
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: you take Seattle to cover, you don't need them to
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: win the game seventy six percent and takes fifty two
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Vegas. The money
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: is moving towards Seattle. I might not disagree with that.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Vegas end of the season so hot though, And as
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say with Atlanta, sometimes you don't want
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: a team coming into the playoffs that hot because it's
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: like they're not used to losing anymore, and the playoffs
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: are like a like starting so it can kind of
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: halt that momentum. So you do have to worry about that.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: But Vegas they're the hottest team in the league. They
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: won their last like fifteen to sixteen games to get
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: all the way up to the two seed. Very very
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: good team, and they seem to be peaking at the
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: right moment. Man. Even though a lot of these were
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: bad opponents that they faced there, so some of they
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: keep in mind, they beat some good opponents in there too.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: They did beat Seattle at home in the mix there
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: as well. I don't even know how many times they
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: played Seattle this year. It could look but I'm not
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on this game, but I
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: do think Seattle will show up with some fierceness in
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: this game. Seattle did have to basically get some wins
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: there at the end to get into the playoffs and
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: get one of those final seeds there. They did win
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: their final game. They played tough down the stretch even
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: in their losses. I think they could play tough here.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: Although Vegas is still the better team, Vegas has way
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: more experience. I think that's really gonna be the difference
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: in this series. The Vegas experience factor will win out.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Although the money is coming in a Seattle in this game,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know if i'd really disagree with it. I mean,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: it looks almost too easy to lay a price like
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: this with Vegas when it's all the way down to
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: five and a half Seattle. Of course, if you do
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: like Seattle miss getting the key number seven, so all
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: things to keep in mind there. I mean, I do
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: think Vegas winds up getting through that series though, obviously,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: and the experience does win out. But in that first game,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: the money is saying to take the points of Seattle,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: and I wouldn't really disagree with that. And I will
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: give out a play I should be in the best
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: bet segment. I'll reiterated at the end of the show,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: we are gonna go with Phoenix plus two against the Liberty.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: The public is on the Liberty in this one, mane,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: because they're the returning champs, right, so they're back in
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Everybody's gonna look at this, look at basically
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: a pick the winner price here, and I think people
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: are just gonna jump on the Liberty. The Liberty have
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: the better overall record, I think, or maybe they have
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the same overall record with Phoenix, So the public's gonna
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: come in and say, oh, it's the Liberty. They won
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: it all last year. Yes, they have experience, that is
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: one concern here, but Phoenix is not really an inexperienced team.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Too concerned about that. But the public is all over
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: the Liberty. Sixty nine percent of the tickets, sixty four
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Phoenix though, And
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna grab it with Phoenix, man. I mean the Liberty.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: I think they're just getting a little bit too much
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: hype right now because they won it all last year.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: They finished the season hot with three wins, although their
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: last two wins are against non playoff teams. They lost
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: last time at Phoenix in this venue. They lost badly
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: by seventeams. You might say, oh, this is gonna be
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: a zigzag spot. Well, I'm not so sure about that,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: and you're not getting a number that would be indicative
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: of a zigzag because Phoenix was actually only a half
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: point underdog in that game. And then I think Phoenix
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: was actually a favorite in the other home game against
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: the Liberty, So why are they a slight underdog this time?
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: So I think the line is a little bit off.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: Phoenix beat the Liberty, I think three out of the
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: four games this year. If I'm not a single let
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: me say, I don't know if I'm right about that
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: or not. Actually, so, yeah, the Liberty lost at home
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: to Phoenix the first time. They lost by double digits,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: by fifteen in this you at Phoenix. They beat them
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: in New York once and then they lost against So
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Phoenix was three and one against the Liberty and the
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: regular season and they won both games at home with ease.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: They won both games by double digits. So Phoenix, yeah,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I mean they've taken care of their business against the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Liberty in this Arena. Liberty are terrible on the road,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: ten and twelve on the road, Phoenix fifteen and seven
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: at home. So yeah, I mean, something to keep in mind.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: Their Phoenix is much much better at home. They dominated
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: the Liberty in both games at home, and we're actually
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: getting a good price with Phoenix here. They're an underdog
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: here of a price that they weren't in either of
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: those other games against Liberty here. So we will go
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: with Phoenix here, and that would be the play in
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: that one Vegas. By the way, I forgot to check
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: what their home record is because they weren't that good
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: at home earlier in the season, but they've won so
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: many recent games they are really good at home now,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: so keeping that in mind as well. But yeah, so
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Phoenix will be the play there. Let's go to Major
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: League Baseball. Hopefully this video is not gonna wind up
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: being crazy crazy long here major League Baseball breakdown. Forgot
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: to show the breakdown graphic, of course, as I always do.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Let's get into it, man, I will have two baseball
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: plays at the end here, and hopefully they're gonna get there.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: This time. We do have Pittsburgh at Washington. I mean,
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: these are two teams both playing out the stretch. This
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: is actually at eleven thirty five am, really early start time,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: in about an hour. I'm not gonna have a play
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: on this one, but man, I mean, I don't know
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: why the game's starting so early. The teams will split
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: this series one on one, with Washington winning the first
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: game losing yesterday. Washington as the worst of the two bullpens,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Washington does have the slightly better offense just because Pittsburgh
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: is not good. Pittsburgh's bullpen is more rested after yesterday too.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Washington used a lot more relief pitchers yesterday than Pittsburgh did,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: so Also, somebody to keep in mind here, we have
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: two young pitchers who might not go deep into this game.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: Starting Mike Burrows for Pittsburgh. He's a rookie. He's had
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: a decent season overall, three point nine nine one point
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: two to four WHIP. He's done a little bit better
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: on the road three point nine to three ERA on
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: the road, not going deep into outings. Like I said,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: he hasn't gone five innings in any of his last
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: four outings, but he's allowed one or zero earned runs
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: in all of them, so they're bringing him out there.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: They're letting him go, you know, just not too deep
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: into the games, letting them throw three four innings, and
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: he's getting through it and not allowing a lot of runs.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: So that's a decent sign, I guess. I mean he
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: did it against the Red Sox the Dodgers. Actually they
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: got wins in both of those games, so he picked
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: up a win against the Dodgers. I guess some of
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: that must have been a relief appearance that because I'm like,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: he couldn't have because when you're a starter, you have
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: to go five innings, So he must have been in
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: the bullpen for that, coming out of the bullpen for
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: that Dodgers game. So he's been back and forth between
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: the bullpen and the starting rotation. Strikeout walk ratio is
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: still pretty good. It's eight to two in the last
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: two outings this month, which isn't bad. But you're probably
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: not gonna get him going deep into the game though,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: so you will get Pittsburgh's bullpen coming in. Washington's never
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: faced him before, so Borrows does have an unfamiliarity edge there,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: so he might do well there. Excuse me, so he
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: might do well there, just with the added edge of
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: being unfamiliar, because when a pitcher is unfamiliar to the
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: opposing hitters, they have a tendency to do a little
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: bit better and the hitters have to try to figure
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: them out. Cad Cavally is pitching for Washington here. He's
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: basically a rookie. He made one start last year. He's
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: been a bit up and down. Four point six seven
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: e RA one point four to seven whip a one
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: point one ERA at home though, so he's been much
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: better at home this month. He has two five inning appearances,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: both against Miami, one at home, one on the road.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Touring runs allowed in each of them seven to two
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. That's fine. He's not striking out
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: a ton of guys, though again, he's been up and down.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: His command numbers have been alright. He's allowed too many
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: hits though. He's allowed too many home runs, but four
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: of them came in one outing at New York at
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, so I don't really know if there's a
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: whole lot to take away from that. He's not faced
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh before. Pittsburgh hasn't faced him before, so he has
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: an a little bit of an edge there. As far
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: as the unfamiliarity aspect of it. Pittsburgh has not seen
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: him before, so I'm gonna lead to a first five
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: inning under in this game. The total went up a
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: little bit from mait and a half to eight and
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: a half with juice on the over, but we have
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of tickets on the over ninety six
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the under. I agree with the under,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: but I want to keep especially Washington's bullpen out of
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: that equation there. I definitely don't want any part of
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: their bullpen, So under verse five makes sense to me.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: In that game. I think both pitchers with the unfamiliarity
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: could do decently keep that game in check early and
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: which we have two pretty weak offenses here too, so
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: I had a very weak one with Pittsburgh, so all
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: that to be kept in mind there. The money is
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: also coming in on Pittsburgh, even though they went down
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: form just one fifteen to mis one eleven. There when
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: would Pittsburgh be a road favorite? Man? That is pretty wild.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of tickets ninety two percent of the
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: cash on Pittsburgh A lot of respect for borrows, really,
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I guess money the cash percentage is on Pittsburgh. I
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with it, though. I do think they have
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: the advantage of the starting pitching match up here and
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: in the bullpen, so I do agree with that as well.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Houston at Atlanta, Houston is on the verge of a sweep.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: So I looked at this and I thought, well, this
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: could be a spot where they overlook Atlanta here because
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: Houston they have a big series up next against Texas
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: and I think they play Seattle after that too, So
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Houston has two huge divisional series coming up. They're tied
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: with Seattle atop the Ale West. Houston is in the
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: one of the wildcard spots right now, so there they've
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: gone back and forth. Texas is right on their heels,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: which as a Red Sox fan, we need we need
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: one of these teams to not make one of the wildcards. Man,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: That's what I'll say. If you want the Red Sox
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: to get into the playoffs, either Texas or Houston needs
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: to be held out. Man or Seattle, I guess one
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: of these teams has to not make it. We can
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: afford one wildcard coming out of this division. So yeah,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: we have that going on here. I believe that's the case.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: So Houston again They're locked in that really tight battle
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: in the division, and so it could be an overlook
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: spot here, or they might just not pay attention after
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: they crushed Atlanta pretty much throughout the series, beating them
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: eleven to two, Ants eleven to three, and six to
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: two in these two games so far, excuse me, So
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: they may look ahead to that big series against Texas
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: coming up next. Atlanta might have a little bit extra
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: motivation just to try to avoid a sweep here. So
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at this and I'm thinking the situation really
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: kind of calls for looking towards Atlanta in this game.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: But I looked at the matchup and I was just like,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could do it. Man. I don't
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: really like Atlanta's bullpenal though they are pretty rested coming
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: into this, so there is that. I think Houston has
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: the somewhat better bullpenal, though the rest shape is a
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: little bit worse than Atlanta's is I believe Houston has
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: a better offense to him, and I haven't really dug
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: into these numbers in a while. Now, Houston's bullpen is
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: still up there pretty good, Atlanta down to the bottom.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: So Houston does still have a bullpen advantage there for sure,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: other offenses the better of the two as well, So
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Houston does have those advantages. And I don't like the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup really for Atlanta either, So I just
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: think you have to stay away because the situation really
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: looks ugly for Houston, and Atlanta is one of those
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: teams that a lot of times has been getting the
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: professional money just because again I think they're talent wise,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: they're not as bad as the record looks. Houston is
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: fromer Valdez pitching. He's had a good season overall, three
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: point four to two ERA, one point one to nine WHIP.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: He is significantly worse on the road though, four point
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: six to seventy RA. So if you were thinking about Atlanta,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: you could potentially fade Valdez. I mean, he's been a
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: bit of a head case. He just lost his mind
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: and crossed up his own catcher intentionally in that game
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: against the Yankees two starts ago, which wund up being
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: a bad start pretty much just because of that Grand Slam.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: But he still had an eight to one strike a
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: walk ratio in that outing, so his command has been
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: good over his last three starts, so after a rough patch,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: he did kind of bounce back into form even after
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: being a head case in that game. He pitched fairly
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: well at Texas in his most recent start seven innings,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: pitch three and runs, five strikeouts, one walk, so again
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: his command numbers of there. He's allowed three or fewer
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: earned runs and two of his last three outings so
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: that one of them was against Colorado at home and
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: the other ones against Texas on the road. Those are
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: weak offenses. He could potentially do well here though, and
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: he does do well against the Braves historically in seventy
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: eight at bats twenty two to nine, strike out walk ratio,
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: two of five batting average allowed in five to sixty
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: nine ohps. So I don't quite want to fade Valdez here,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: though he is more fatable on the road, for sure.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I want any part of Joey
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Wentz here either. Unlike that female umpire who has given
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: one all the calls in her first her first game
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: that she oumped, she wants a part of Joey Wentz.
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Wentz does not have good numbers overall, five point six
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: one ERA, one point five one WHIP. He'll be the
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: starter for Atlanta here. He's been really bad at home
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: eight point four to two homey ra really bad this
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: month with a fourteen point two one tora still a
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: ten to two strikeout walk ratio though, So his numbers
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: are just these are insane numbers, dude. He has way
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: more strikeouts in innings pitch, way more earned runs allowed
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: than innings pitch, and way more hits it in eas pitch.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: He's allowed basically a home run every couple of innings
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: this month. It's insane. I mean, these numbers are ridiculous.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: He's not good though. Against Houston, his numbers are not
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: very good either. In twenty four at bats four to
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: one strike a walk ratio that's all right, two ninety
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: two batting average though, eight sixty two oh ps. So
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: I just don't really see how we could really trust
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Wentce in this one. So even though it looks like
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Houston, they are a public road favorite.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I still I would have a tendency to want to
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: lean to Atlanta because of the situation, but I can't
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: do it. Man. The matchup really kind of favors Houston
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: across the board there, so it's going to be a
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: stay away. The public is on Houston eighty four percent
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: of tickets, eighty five percent of the cash, though I
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: was sitting down for minus one thirty five to minus
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: one thirty three, So I guess again, do with all
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: that information what you will. The money is also coming
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: in on the over. I wouldn't really disagree with that,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: because Valdez is just not that good on the road.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: Don't know how trustworthy these bullpens are, and I don't
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: know if WinCE is trustworthy at all, So I don't
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: really disagree with an over either total win for eight
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: and a half juice the under eight and a half
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: juice to the over eighty percent of tickets, ninety five
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the over. In that one Kansas City, Philadelphia,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play on that one. Oh boy,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: that one's gonna you're not gonna like that one. It's
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be dangerous. I like danger, man danger. If you
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: watch Jose, Jose and myself doing the Ahapa readings, hans
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Herman Hoppa, hans Herman Hoppa, Oh my god, So that'll
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: be a best bet at the end of the show.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: Baltimore at Toronto, Yeah, Toronto's on the version of Sweep here,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: so Baltimore might have a little bit of an extra
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: motivating factor here. But Toronto's still trying to maintain a
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: lead in the Al East, so Toronto has something to
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: play for here too, even though they may possibly overlook
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Baltimore in their last game here. I think Toronto plays
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay next, so maybe that's not really a huge
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: series either for them. Baltimore is out of it, but again,
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna show up for a game, it'll be
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: a game like this, which I think is kind of
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: the same for Atlanta. I think if Atlanta is gonna
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: show up for a game when they're not when they
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: have don't really have anything left to play for, it
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: will be a game like that against a good team
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: to try to avoid a sweep. But I do think
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: Baltimore will have some extra motivation for a similar reason
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: here against Toronto, and in this case it's a divisional foe,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: so Toronto they do have the bullpen edge. Even though
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: their bullpen was definitely faltering for a while, the bullpen
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: has actually been a bit better again as of late.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: They have had not heavy usage with their bullpen over
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: the last couple of days. Baltimore's has been heavier, So
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: you gotta give Toronto the bullpen edge here that they
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: use the same amount of relievers yesterday. Toronto has the
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: better offense, there's no question about that. So Toronto does
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: have advantages here, and they do have a starting pitching
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: advantage too, So they have the edge in all three
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: aspects of this game, the main three as far as
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: the matchup. Maybe not the situation though, So three out
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: of four starting pitching is kind of interesting. Baltimore has
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: Albert Suarez pitching here. He's got decent, I mean, good
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: numbers this year, two point eighty r, a point nine
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: to two whip, but it's in a very small sample size.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: I could never figure this guy out, man, because he
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: pitched in twenty sixteen and twenty seventeen for the Giants.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: Wasn't really that good, never was really a strikeout pitcher,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: and then he didn't pitch in the majors again. I
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: don't know if he went to Japan, because sometimes these
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: guys will go and pitch in Japan. I don't really
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: know where he was because he's in his mid thirties now.
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: He came back last year and he was a pretty
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: serviceable starter for Baltimore. Even though he doesn't come in
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: and strike guys out, he limited the runs that he allowed.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: He'd put a few too many menium base though, so
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: his whip was kind of a question last year. But
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: he's just really been difficult for me to figure out.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: He's been better on the road this year one point
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: nine to three ERA, but I wouldn't put much weight
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: into those numbers because he's barely pitched. He made one
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: appearance in the March and then I don't know if
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: he was hurt or what. And he came back this
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: month and all of his appearances this year have been
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: out of a bullpen. Now he's coming back into the
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: starting rotation, so he might be on a bit of
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: a pitch count too. So I'm not expecting that he's
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: gonna have a full starter's workload here either, although he's
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: been good in his limited playing time this year. Don't
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: know what we can really expect out of him, man,
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: because he's overall, he's he's a mediocre. I mean, if
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: you look at it last year. Last year is probably
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: the best gauge of what you're gonna get out of him.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: He was okay, you know, not a very dynamic pitcher.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: By any means his numbers are okay against Toronto as well,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: actually not too bad and thirty four at bats ten
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: to three strikeout walk ratio, so his strikeout rate is
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: actually higher against the Blue Jays hitters two sixty five
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed, six forty eight ohps, So his numbers
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: against Toronto are actually not that bad. But I do
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: not think he's the better start or going up against
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: Shane bieb Or for Toronto. Who's the guy that I've
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: talked about on the show, because he was pretty much
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: an ace man, like almost like I mean, I don't know,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: was he a Cy Young winner. I know he was
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: like almost like Cy Young caliber. I think back when
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: he was on Cleveland. And now he's thirty and he's
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: trying to bounce back from Tommy John surgery, and he's
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: been doing fairly well here. A four point three era
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: isn't you know, isn't terrific, but at one point zero
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: four whip is good, basically indicates that his era should
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: probably be better than it is. Has a four point
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: zero nine era at home here, he hasn't pitched that
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: much yet, I mean, he's only made four starts so far.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: Toronto's won three of those starts, he really only had
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: one bad one, which was at Cincinnati. It's a very
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly ballpark. He's facing Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Houston, so he's
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: faced some pretty decent offenses and he's not all right
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: against them, and he's facing a weaker offense here in Baltimore.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: He does have a twenty five to three strike at
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: walker ratio so far, so that's really good. His command
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: numbers have been on point and continue to be this month.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: He just had that one start where you have a
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: five and runs against Cincinnati but still didn't even put
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys on base in that outing. He
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: actually put more guys on base against Houston and prevented
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: as many of those runs from scoring in that one.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: To that information, what you will, I guess against Baltimore,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: they have twenty seven at bats against them, six strikeouts,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: two walks. He's held into a one to eighty five
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: batting average six to twelve ops. So he's done pretty
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: well against Baltimore's hitters in the past. So, I mean,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Toronto has such a matchup advantage here. I just kind
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: of think that it's gotta basically be Toronto or pass
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: in this game. It's probably too much of a price
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: to lay with Toronto though, and Toronto's still as motivated, man,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're still trying to fight for this division here.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: They're up for minus one eighty to minus two hundred
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: and seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety six percent of
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on them, And I know Houston
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: you could say the same thing. They're still battling for
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: their division as well. So that's kind of one other
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: reason to maybe not try to fade Houston there, although
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: they're probably in a bit more of an overlooked spot
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: because they have this huge divisional series up next next
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: which could decide everything in that division, whereas Toronto, I
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: mean their series that's coming up next is not very important. Uh,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: they just need to keep winning basically and somehow hanging
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: on to that divisional lead there. But yeah, they're up
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: to minus two hundred and seventy eight percent of tickets
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash coming in on the
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: Toronto side, so money's coming on the under as well.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you want Toronto, I would probably go
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: like a first, go a full game, I mean run
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: line probably in that one. I guess they do have
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: the ability. They have enough hitting that they do have
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: the ability to cover those run lines. I've played some
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: run lines with them before, and I think more of
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: them have won than they've lost. Money's coming in in
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the under as well. Down for me and I have
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: to eight eighty six percent tickets on the over, only
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash on the over. I
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: could see the argument for that. I mean, both starting
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: pitchers could potentially hold these offenses enough and check. I
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to deal with the bullpens really though, I
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: don't think I really trust either one still, so I
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: think I would limit an under to the first five
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: innings in that one. White Sox at Cleveland. Cleveland's is
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: still playing like they're trying to make the playoffs, man,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: I mean they're They're in the wildcard race. They're behind,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: and I'm hoping that they stay that way because we
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: don't want when we've went as a Red Sox fan,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: we do not want one of these other teams sneaking up. Man.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: We at least want the Red Sox to get some
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: playoff experience this year here, but Cleveland might overlook Chicago here. Man,
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: in this last game of the series, they've won the
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: first two games. They do have a big series against
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Detroit coming up next in the middle of the week,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: so that's a big series for Cleveland. It is possible
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: they overlook the White Sox in the spot man. White
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: Sox two of the worst bullpen of the two, though,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: so that's something to keep in mind. Cleveland's bullpen is
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: definitely the better of the two. They've been playing pretty
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: well still recently. Both bullpens are decently rested here, so
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Cleveland does have the bullpen edge. Both offenses are bad.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if you could really say one
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: has a huge advantage over the other. I don't think
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: you can. They're both bottom three offenses in baseball, with
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: the White Socks actually being the slightly better one. White
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: Sox have Jendris Gomez pitching difficult guy to gauge man.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not that good this year five point
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: zero five v R one point five to one whip.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: He's been in the bullpen for a lot of the season.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: He's been on three different teams. I think I think
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: he was on the Dodgers and maybe the Yankees. He's
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: been worse on the road six point two to three.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Roady Ra, So I do worry about comez here man.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: He's been okay this month. I guess the ten to
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: two strike a walk race year. He's got five innings
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: in both of his outings this month. Did allow too
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: many runs though, four point five RA against Minnesota and
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. But again he's facing a bad offense here too.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: So he's been all right in the recent stretch. As
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: numbers against Cleveland are all right kind of. I mean,
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: some of them are bad, some of them are good.
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: It's a small sample sized ten at bats. They have
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: decent command, decent excuse me, decent contact numbers against them,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: but they haven't hit it for power. They have one
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: walk in, no or I cuts against this. That's not
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: good for him. Three hundred batting average but a six
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: sixty four OHPS because they have no extra base hits
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: off and small sample size, I don't know what you
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: can really take away from that. Cleveland has slayed chacone pitching.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: Mediocre season for him four point four to five VRA,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: one point two to five WHIP. He's only played like
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: a partial season as well. This is his first season
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: with Cleveland. He's a little bit worse at home four
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: point six y five yarra at home. And one thing
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: you gotta worry about about Jaconi is he had a
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: no hitter through eight innings last time out against the Royals,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: and he lost the no hitter. So it was a
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: great outing for him, although he did walk three guys,
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: which is a little bit concerning. But when a guy
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: does that and they almost get a no hitter and
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: they lose the no hitter really late, or if they
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: even if they throw a no hitter, either way, sometimes
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: they take a step back and then I mean it's
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: almost impossible not to take a step back. But sometimes
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: they have a pretty bad outing the next time out
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: because they're just kind of in like a hangover spot,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like it was kind of
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: a devastating blow to be that cool to a no
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: hitter you think you're gonna do it. That was against
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: Kansas City a week offense as well, so he might
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: be a little bit hung over after that. Man could
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: be a bad spot for Chacony. His numbers are actually
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: pretty bad against the White Sox though it's a very
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: limited twelve at bat sample size, but they got two
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: of them runs off him from Montgomery and Sosa not
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: Sammy Sosa, Lenon Sosa, the Kami version of Sosa, so
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: the red version of Sosa, not the orange if you've
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: seen Sammy Sosa's bad tan job. Chaconi has forced strikeouts,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: one walk against them, a five hundred batting average, a
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: lot of one thousand and five thirty eight ohps. So
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: his numbers are not good against all the White Sox.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: So man, I mean, I'm gonna have a slight lean
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: to the White Sox. And this one maybe only go
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: first five innings because Cleveland's bullpen is better. It's almost
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: just kind of a fade of Chacone. Cleveland's at minus
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: one sixty. It's a bit of a heavy price to
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: pay for Cleveland, especially when they don't really have a
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: very good offense at all. Eighty eight percent of tickets
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: and cash on Cleveland, so they are very very public
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: as well. And again they could be potentially looking ahead
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit, so I don't love Cleveland in this one.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: Money also coming in on the over. I could definitely
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: see some arguments for an over too, even though we're
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: looking at too bad offens this year. The White Sox
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: bullpen is not very good. Even though Cleveland's is fairly good.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Both of these starters could potentially not do well in
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: this game. The total did drop from eight and a
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: half to eight, although it was a very slight drop
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: eight and a half juice to the under to eight
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: juice to the over. See sixty percent of tickets at
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of cash on the over, so it
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: does look like the actual money maybe coming in on
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: the over. I wouldn't really disagree with that either. In
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: that one, Detroit at Miami, Detroit's actually in the verge
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: of getting swept by Miami, and they suffered that potential
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: blow with school Bull leaving a game where he didn't
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: pitch well earlier in this series with I guess tightness
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: in his side. But it seems like he's okay so Detroit,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: I mean the obviously they're gonna need him for the playoffs.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's potentially the best pitcher in baseball, so
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: good for the Detroit that he will be back. It
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: looks like he might make his next start on schedule.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: We'll see what they want to do with him, but
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna be the pitcher in this game. Detroit
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: is actually going with a bullpen game ish in this one.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Which I'll talk about in a second. But Detroit, I
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be motivated here because they've gotten punched
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: in the mouth here by a pretty bad Miami team. Man,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: Detroit's trying to avoid the sweep Miami. They really don't
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: have anything left to play for. Man, by the way,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: neither do the White Sox. Except the White Sox, they'll
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: probably show up for a divisional series trying to avoid
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: a sweep. Man, I mean, when you don't have a
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: whole lot left to play for, that's one thing you
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: do have to play for. Miami, they've shown up in
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: this series because they get to host a team that's good,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: that is gonna make the playoffs. So Miami's played with
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: some motivation in the series. But Detroit, I mean they
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: might come out motivated again because they don't want to
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: get embarrassed here getting swept. Detroit seems like they put
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: themselves on a bit of cruise control, as they have
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: a big in their divisional that they should be trying
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: to fight for home field throughout the playoffs. Man, if
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: they can. Detroit does the better of these two bullpens.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: They use a decent amount of their bullpen though, and
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much the bullpen state really matters
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: that much here because they're going with a bullpend game here.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Miami used a decent amount of their relievers yesterday too,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: but Detroit with a bullpen game, and we might see
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: both bullpens get into this game pretty early on. Detroit
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna have Keeter Montero making the start here, which
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: I looked at up but you could see it over
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: here somewhere, yeah, right here. So I mean, Detroit's no stranger.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: You're using him as like an opener. Basically. He usually
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: will go like a few winnings into the game, so
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: that'll kind of save some of their bullpend a little bit.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: He's not great. He's got a four point six ERA
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: one point four to three whip, very similar era both
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: home and away. It doesn't even really matter. You could
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: see his most recent outings they think have both been
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: out of the bullpen. He looks like he was either
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: injured or in the minors for a month and a
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: half and then he came back in September and he
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: pitched him relief against the White Sox and the Yankees
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: did okay, five strikeouts, two walks across five innings, three
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: point six ERA. You're probably gonna get about three to
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: four innings out of him in this game. And the
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: Marlins have never seen him before, so that might mean
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: that maybe he'll be able to hold their bats and
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: check a little bit more easily just because they haven't
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: seen him before. Obviously, Detroit, by the way, does have
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: the better offense here. Adam mazer pitching for the Marlins.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you pronounced his name. Mazour six
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: point three ERA, one point seventy five whip not good obviously.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: I think he's been coming out of the bullpen a
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: bit this year too. If I'm not mistaken. He's got
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: a seven point two home RA which is not good. Actually,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: he's only pitched well. He pitched once in June and
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: then he came back in late August and he's made
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: three appearances since then. Maybe I'm wrong, I mean, maybe
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: he has just been a starter. I don't even know, man,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: he is still young. His numbers have not been good though.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: He has a thirteen to eight strike a walk ratio
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: over the course of the season in a very limited sample.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad. This month is six point nine seventy
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: or six to three strike out walkeration and two starts
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: against Washington, so nothing really great about him, although Detroit
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: hasn't faced him before, so he does have that unfamiliarity
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: edge there. But with a guy like him, when he's
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: not pitching well at all and he's not pitching effectively,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: he's he really gonna come out and be able to
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: be effective against Detroit. Probably not. The money surprisingly is
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under here. It's dropped the total
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: from nine and a half to nine, sixty percent of
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: tickets on the under nine to nine percent of the
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. I mean that cash percent is
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: probably wrong, but it does look like the money is
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under. I would hesitate to do that.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: Man with a bullpen game up against a pitcher who
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: I don't think is very good, and I don't really
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: necessarily trust either bullpen at this point here, both bullpen's
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: not rested, that would definitely worry me. The under I
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: would maybe even slightly disagree with that. All the money
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: is pretty strong and coming into Miami too, which seems crazy.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Detroit down minus one forty twenty six, eighty one percent
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: of tickets on them, sixty five percent of the cash
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: coming in on Miami it might just be maybe the
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: feeling from the professional betters that it's just a price
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: thing and it's just like Detroit shouldn't be that much
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: of a favorite on the road in a bullpen game.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: But I mean, I don't see any anything from Miami
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: starter there so far from Mazer, so I I wouldn't
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: want to do it. Man, taking Miami is the underdog there,
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: Detroit might be a little bit extra pissed off because
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: they're on the verge of getting swept here. Detroit pretty
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: much more or less has the edge across the board
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: in this game. I would say I think their their
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: bullpen game. I actually think is is better than maser is.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I think Montero might be able to come out there
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: and give you three four better innings of what Mazer
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: does here, and Detroit does the better offense and bullpen.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: So again, just throwing all that information out there. Rangers Mets,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna jump in on this one. Although this
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: is close. This was basically the first one that I
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: left off my card. I like the Mets in this game.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: It was just the ice is a little bit a
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: little bit steep on this one. You probably have to
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: go run line on the Mets if you want to
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: do this, which you know tends to get a little
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: bit dicey with a home team because they might not
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: bad in the ninth ending, although at least you get
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: a good offense with the Mets, so the Mets might
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: be able to be able to get that done for you.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: But the Mets offense has really been struggling again. Man,
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: the Mets, they're in like almost full on tank mode
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: right now. I don't know what is going on with
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: the Mets. They're still fighting to try to maintain a
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: wildcard spot. The division is pretty much out of reach here,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: I think. I mean, they're thirteen games back. They're gonna
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: be mathematically eliminated from the division sooner. This is crazy
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: how bad they've been recently. They've lost eight games in
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: a row, trying to avoid a sweep here in this
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: series though in Texas As, I told you Texas has
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: a big series up next man against Houston, so could
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: be a look ahead spot for Texas. Texas has basically
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: done what they needed to do in this series, even
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: though I know the Texas does basically need to keep
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: winning to try to keep pace in their division and
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: trying to make a wild Card. But again Texas, this
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: is a big look ahead. That Houston series is a
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: huge series for them, so this might be a spot
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: where the Mets come in and finally get a win.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: Man worry about the Mets offense recently, though, I mean,
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: they haven't scored more than four runs in any game
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: in that entire stretcher, and in every game except one
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: they scored three or few runs. This Mets offense has
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: got completely cold again. At some point, I think they're
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: gonna break out of it. I mean, this offense is good.
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: It's way better than the Texas offense. Texas has typically
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: way better pitching than the Mets do, though Texas does
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen. As far as the bullpen usage,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Texas did use quite a bit of it yesterday. They
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: used five relievers. Mets only used three, so kind of
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: balances out Texas's bullpen edge a little bit there. The
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Mets bullpen isn't terrible either, but Texas is definitely the
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: better bullpen fairly significantly. I think they still probably have
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: the bullpen edge coming into this game. I don't think
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: they have the starting pitching edge, though, Jacob Lass, I mean,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: I keep trying to fade him though when I get caught,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: so I'm like, I just can't do him, man, I
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: gotta just stay away. But I don't think he's that good.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: His numbers are all right this year two point I
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: mean they're good, two point nine win era, one point
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: two to four whips. That's all right. He's mostly, I think,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: been coming out of the bullpen, though he has a
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: three point four to three road ERA, so he's a
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: little bit worse on the road. Yeah. I think he
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: was coming out of the bullpen most of the season,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: and now he's been making starts and he's ramped it
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: up a little bit. He's actually gone more than five
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: innings in his last two outings, and he was pretty decent,
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: allowing tour in runs total in those two starts against
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and Arizona, so good offenses. But he had a
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: five to three strikeout walk ratio, so his strikeout rate
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: was just low. He was not coming into striking guys out.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: I still don't find it would be trustworthy, man. But
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: the Mets really haven't seen much of him. They're a
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: combined zero for six off him. They only have two
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: guys who've ever faced him before, and they're zero for
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: six with two strikeouts and no walks, So I guess
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: take from that what you will, although I'm not sure
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: that laugh is gonna last that long. I know I
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: made that joke last time and I got caught and
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: he wasn't that bad at all. We'll see, man, But
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Mets might be able to get to
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: him in this game, but he's gonna have that unfamiliarity
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: edge on his side. There were the batters men have
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: to figure him out, So I do worry a little
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: bit about that. I still think the Mets have a
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: pitching edge here with the talented rookie Nolan McLain making
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: the start here. He's been really good so far, one
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: point four two ERA point nine to five whip. He
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: has a zero ERA at home. He's made two home
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: starts and didn't allow running either of them. Hasn't allowed
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: more the tour runs in any of his outings that
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: he's faced Philadelphia twice and Detroit, so he's say so
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: for pretty good offenses too. His walk rate has gone
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: up a little bit, a little bit of a concern,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: walking three guys and each of his last two starts,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: but he did have twelve strikeouts over that span too.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: He's still pitching pretty well, man. And I believe I've
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: played on a few of his games. I've been on
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: the Mets in one of his games. I was on
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: the under. I think in his first game of first
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: five under that was a winner. I think I was
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: on him against the Phillies in the first game that
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: was a winner. And then we mean, do we lose.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: I think we might have lost on him in the
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: last game where we went with him against Philly, I
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: think I forget. But anyway, yeah, I mean, I think
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: you will come out to do well here, Texas. This
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: is not a good offense for Texas, even though they've
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: been a little bit better as of late. McClain is
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to them too, and he's a really talented young pitcher,
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: so he does have a little bit of an extra
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: edge there against the Texas offense there. So I do
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: lean to the Mets. Like on the run line here,
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: they're done for minus one seventy won sixty on the
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: money line, seventy three percent of tickets, eighty two percent
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on them. Money does seem
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: to be coming in on them. Money seems to be
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over too, even though the total
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: drop for me and half to eight juice to the
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: under sixty four percent of tickets on the over ninety
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over, I wouldn't agree
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: with that. I would probably go either full game under
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: or first five innings under in this week because I
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: actually don't think Lats will will actually really do that
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: badly here. But I still think the Mets side might
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: be the stronger way to look. That was again, that
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: was one that was almost gonna make my card man Mets.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: I was probably gonna potentially do it half on the
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: run line and half on the money line, depending what
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: the price structure was there. So I guess, again, do
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: with all this information what you will. Arizona at Minnesota,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, these are two teams that don't have much
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: to play for. They're both playing out the stretch. They've
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: split the two games in the series so far. Both
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: bullpens are bad. I think Arizona's is the more rested
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: bullpen now though they use three relievers of Minnesota used four yesterday.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Neither bullpen really excellent shape. But they're both bad bullpens. Man,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: So if you want to fade both bullpens, here. You
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: could do that in this game. This game, I'm probably
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: looking at it being an over man. I mean, Arizona
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: is a good offense. Minnesota not really so Arizona does
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: have an offensive edge here, but I think the pitching
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: is bad and often this game than an over might
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: make sense. Arizona has beal Chrismatt making this Chris Mott,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know how he pronounced his name making the
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: start here. Three point two four ERA looks pretty good,
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: but one point four whip not good. If you look
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: at his career numbers, he's really not that good. He
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: puts too many guys on base man. He hasn't been
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: good on the road, four point three R in the road.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: He's starting to backslide a bit. His last start he
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: was at San Francisco. Again's a pretty weak Giant lineup
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: in a pitcher friendly park, and he did not do well.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Four innings, four and runs, allowed a lot, a couple
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: of home runs. So now he's got a five point
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: two to three R and two starts this month, six
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walk race. You're not a high
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: strike up rate. He's a lot too many hits, so
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: he's starting to regress. I think probably expectedly so. Minnesota's
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: basically never seen him before. Only Buxton and Clemens have
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: seen him before, and they're zero for two, often with
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: a strikeout, so he is unfamiliar to them. But I'm
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: not convinced he's gonna come out and pitch well in
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: this game. Man. Sometimes the unfamiliarity really just helps you
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: more if you're really if you're a good pitcher, but
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: if you're not a good pitcher to begin with, I
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: don't think it's that helpful. Bailey ober is pitching from Minnesota.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the guy that I've kind of liked
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: in the past because he usually has good like control numbers,
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't had a great season five point eighty RA,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: one point three to four whip. He's been better at
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: home four point six to five y array is still
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: not that great, though. Since coming back from injury, he's
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: been a little bit better than he was. He hit
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: a really rough stretch and then missed about a month.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: Since he's come back, he hasn't allowed more than four
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: earned runs in any of his outings, but Minnesota's lost
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: five of the seven he's allowed four earned runs exactly
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: too many times. He's been very very mediocre basically since
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: coming back and then era in the fours this month
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: does have a nine to three strike a walk. Razier
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: had twenty two to three last month, so again, his
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: command numbers look pretty solid, but he's allowing too many
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: hits for the most part, allowing too many runs, so
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: very very mediocre. Arizona doesn't have a lot of history
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: against him. They have fifteen at bats against him, but
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: they do have a three thirty three as average nine
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: thirty three ops McCann as a home run off and
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: and he does have three strikeouts and no walks against them,
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: So again, he doesn't walk a lot of guys, but
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: he gets hit. So I think an over is maybe
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: worth a look here. This total went up from nine
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half, so you might have to
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: go over the nine and a half, which is a
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: lot worse than going over the nine. Nine is a
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: key number in baseball because it breaks the four to
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: fourth tie. But I think that's still the way I
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: would look in this game. The public is going that
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: way to eighty nine percent of tickets one hundred percent
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, though I'm not sure
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: I agree with that, but I think the over is
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: what makes the most sense in this game. Both bullpens
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: are bad, as I said too, so that helps out too,
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: and it's not a very great starting pitching matchup. Money
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: is actually coming in towards Arizona too, maybe just because
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: their offense is that much better. I don't know. Minnesota
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: down for minus one twenty five to minus one eighteen
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: cash on Arizona. I don't know how much faith you
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: have in chrismat there, Chris Mott, but the money is
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: coming in towards Arizona. Saint Louis is that in Milwaukee.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee I believe just clinched the division. So actually, no
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: excuse me. They clinch a playoff spot. They didn't clitch
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: the division yet. So sometimes you'll over celebrate a little
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: bit though when you clinch a playoff spot. But maybe
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: they won't because I mean, they were in the playoffs
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: last year, so their business is certainly not finished. I mean,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: clinching the division actually matters more getting like one of
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: those higher playoff seeds, so they still need to continue.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Cubs are not that far behind them,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: but they are on the verge of sweeping Saint Louis,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: so it is possible they do overlook Saint Louis in
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: this last game. Saint Louis not very good at this point.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee might not look ahead though, because Anaheim is their
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: next opponent, so that's not really a big series. So
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: maybe they will show up with some focus here because
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: they do want to keep winning to try to improve
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: their playoff standing. Saint Louis will show up as well,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: most likely because you know they have a chance to
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: beat Milwaukee and they're trying to avoid a sweep peer,
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: so they will probably be motivating, even though they don't
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: really have much to play for otherwise. Saint Louis used
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: decent amount of their bullpen yesterday, though their bullpen is
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: the better of the two, both bullpens actually saw a
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: good amount of usage yesterday, so Saint Louis has the
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge. Milwaukee has the way better offense. Saint Louis
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: has Miles miko Us pitching. He's not that good four
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: point eight four ERA, one point three to two whip,
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: not good on the road at all, six point five
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: to four road ERA. He's been decent this month with
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: a two point four to five RRA and two starts
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: against the A's and Seattle, but the A's start was
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: at home, so he didn't pitch in that horrible park
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: that they play in, and the other start was at Seattle,
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: which is a pitcher friendly ballpark. He only had two
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: strikeouts in that over that entire stretch and two walks.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: The strikeout rate very very low, even though yes it
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: is true he's allowed Actually he's allowed three or fewer
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: earned runs in all but one start, going all the
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: way back through a August Humiston in April August eleventh,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: so he's not allowed a ton of runs recently at
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: the very least. Still not great though, but his numbers
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: are actually not that bad. Ag Walkee surprisingly one hundred
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: and forty two at bats, thirty four to eleven strike
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio is not awful. Two thirty nine batting
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: average allowed seven to ten OPS a little bit high
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: because he's allowed seven home runs, but it's still not
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: really that high. Multiple home runs from Yelich and Hoskins,
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: but they each only hit hit two hundred off him,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: so other than the home runs, they haven't done too
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: much against him. Milwaukee does have the better starter generally,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: Jose Kintana decent season for him, even though he's old.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's still just he's he's still pitching pretty effectively. Man.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: However he does it. He's not a guy that comes
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: in strikes out a lot of guys. He just has
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: really good command. Three point eight eighty RA, one point
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: two eight whip, so his whip is a little bit high. Still,
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been good at home, surprising me. Four point
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: nine to seventy R at home. That's not good. This month,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: he's been a bit worse. Five point five to forty
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: RA across two starts, ten to five strike out walk ratio,
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: multiple walks at four straight outings, so that's not a
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: great sign. He may be regressing a little bit. I mean,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: you can give him a pass for giving up three
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: on runs to the Phillies with five runs to Texas
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: in that pitcher friendly ballpark in Texas. That's a little
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: bit of a concern. I think I had Milwaukee in
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: that game too, unfortunately, But he is facing at Saint
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: Louis offense. It's been really bad over the second half
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: of the season. He has good numbers against them, sixty
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: four at bats a sixteen to eight strike a walk
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: ratio isn't very good. All the five of the walks
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: or Contreres, who's only one for eighteen off him, He's
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: held them to a two to zero three batting average
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: of five to eighty nine ops. So he has done
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: well against Saint Louis. So I mean this game, I
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. I mean, it's crazy to think about,
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: but there are some potential arguments for an under in
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: this game, at least maybe in the first five innings.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: If you want to avoid the the used up bullpends
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: totally went down from nine to eight and a half
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: juice the over, you might still be able to find
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: a nine out there. Money looks like it came in
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: on the over, though, sixty five percent of tickets on
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: the over ninety two percent of the cash in the over.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not really sure about that. I mean, I think
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: at first five under surprising them might actually be okay.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: In this game, we'll see that. I mean. It's two
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: kind of old junk pictures though, so that does worry me,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: although not the types of pictures I usually love. Brewers
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: down for minus one eighty to minus one seventy nine.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: They're big favorite eighty three percent to take as ninety
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash coming in, and then most
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: of the money seems to still be back. And then
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: I mean generally, yeah, I would say Kintana is better
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: than Meklus. So again, do with that information what you will.
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: I do think Saint Louis might have a slight bullpen edge,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: though as you can see, raise Cubs. That's gonna be
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: my other play that will give out at the end
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: of the show. Dodgers at Giants. The Giants were on
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: a nice hot streak, man, but again, I think they
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: got to kind of realize they're probably not making the
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: playoffs here. Dodgers hanging on to their division still, they
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: probably have a bit more to play for because they
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: want to continue to have it be that way, and
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: they might be competing, you know, for some playoff seating
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: at some point here too. Both of these teams will
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: show up, though, I mean, this is a big divisional
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: series here. The teams have split the first two games.
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's a lot of motivation on both sides.
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: San Francisco has the better bullpen, Dodgers have the better offense,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: and those advantages are fairly significant. Although San Francisco did
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: just four relief pitchers. Yes, today the Dodgers, I believe
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: US five is what that is. So San Francisco does
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: still have a bullpen edge year. I think you got
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: to give the Dodgers a starting pitching edge there with
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Tyler Glasnow on the mound. He's had an injury riddled
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: tenure with the Dodgers, including this season, but when he
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: has pitched and he has been on, he's been good,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: and he's been really on recently. For the season, he
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: has a three point two to one ERA, one point
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: zero three whip. That's all good. He is pretty bad
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: on the road, though five point six to eight. Roady
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: Ray might not be as bad here because this is
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: a pitcher from the ballpark. He's been good recently again,
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: his last two starts he went seven innings in each
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: of them, allowed four earned runs total across that span,
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: had seventeen strikeouts and two walks, So he seems like
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: he's back man. Eleven strikeouts in his last down and
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: in a no hit performance against the Colorado and they
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: took him out of the game. Even a veteran like
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: Glass and On, they don't let him go for the
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: no hitter. That's just crazy. Man. He gave up a run,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: but he had a no hitter through seven innies against Colorado,
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: and they didn't let him try to finish the job.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Everybody's just a pansy now, man, not him, but the
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: management for taking him out. But I mean, I guess
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: I get it because they're trying to they're in the
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: middle of this playoff run here. But even so, I mean,
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: he had a chance to be part of history. Man.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: His pitch gun was high though. He was over one
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: hundred pitches in that one, so that was about the limit.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: But it's just sad to see these guys not be
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: able to try for the no hitter man, And that
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: was a weak Colorado lineup, so he might have been
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: able to do it to go two more innings against them.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: But he hasn't allowed more than a three round runs
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: in any of his outings going all the way back
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: through the beginning of August, so he is in good
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: form right now. Surprisingly, his numbers are not good against
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: the Giants though to bass sixteen to five strike a
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: walk ratios okay, but three to ten batting average, nine
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: to seventeen ops. He's gotten jacked up against some quite
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: a bit flores as to of them runs off him,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: the team has four him runs off him, so not
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: the greatest matchup for him. Maybe he's going up against
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: Robbie Ray, who Ray seems to be wearing down a
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: little bit towards the end of the season. Man, He's
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: had a good season for San Francisco, but he hasn't
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: thrown this many innings for like a few years now,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: and it seems like maybe it's catching up to him.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Three point three two ERA, one point one to seven
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: whip good numbers on the season. His home and road
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: splits are almost they're pretty insignificant, doesn't even really matter.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: But again, he hasn't been as good lately. He's gone
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: five or fewer innings and four straight outings. He's allowed
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: three or excuse two or more in runs and all
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: of them but three or more in runs in three
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: of the four. Does have a thirteen to three strike
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio this month, which is not bad. Did
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: fairly well against Arizona last time out in this stadium,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: holding him to two runs, so maybe he's not totally
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: dead yet. His command numbers look out right, but five
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: point five to ninety ARRA this month and his RA
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: was over four last month with a lot of walks,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: so I'm not ready to say he's really in good
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: form right now. His numbers against the Dodgers are interesting him.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: He doesn't he does not allow a lot of contact,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: but he allows power to them and walks one hundred
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: and forty four at bats forty strikeouts, twenty one walks.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: That's way too many walks and nine on runs allowed.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: That's not good either. Two forty three batting average allowed,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: eight fifty three oh ps. So he has not really
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: done particularly well against against the Dodgers either, so oddly enough,
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, I probably don't agree with the under in
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: this game, but though we have seventy nine percent of
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: tickets in the over, fifty four percent of the cash
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: and the under, I worry about these the matchup between
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: the two pitchers. I mean, on the surface, it looks
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: like an under with these two starters, but with their
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers, I worry a little bit. Although Glasnow is
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: in good form right now, total sitting at seven and
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: a half juice to the over, basically with the money
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under, money coming in a bit
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: on the Dodgers, even though they dropped for minus won
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: thirty five tons won twenty six, sixty seven percent tickets
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on the Dodgers, So
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: money seriously coming in on the Dodgers in that one.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati at the A's, A's on the verge of a
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: sweep here, which is ridiculous because they don't really have
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: anything left to play for. Cincinnati still trying to make
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: a wild card spot here, and I mean they have
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: a chance to do it. I mean, the Mets have
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: been playing so bad. Cincinnati could have used that, use
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: that to catch up to them, and they haven't really
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: done it, I don't think, but they still I think
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: have motivation to try to do it here. Kind of
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: surprised they didn't even win with Hunter Green on the mound,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: which I think was yesterday, right, So we'll see what
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: admens in this game. I mean, the A's have the
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: worst of the two bullpens, so they've been somewhat better recently.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: Moderate usage from them from their bullpens. Cincinnati a little
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: bit more heavy usage kind of, although they did use
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: Nick Martinez kind of long relief, so I don't know.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati does generally have the better bullpen, but neither bullpen
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: is really something I would want to hang my hat on.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: In this game. The A's have the better offense of
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: the two mediocre offense for Cincinnati. Nick Lodolo is pitching
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: for Cincinnati, so the starting pitching matchup does actually look
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: fairly good in this one. He's had a good season
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: three point one ERA, one point zero three WHIP. He's
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: good on the road two point three six roadyra although
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why he's bad at home is
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: probably not as good at home is probably because it's
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: a hitter friendly ballpark, and so is this So on
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: the one hand, he's used to pitching and hitter friendly ballpark,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: so on the other hand, he might be a little
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: bit worse here because it is a hitter friendly ballpark.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: Had a good outing last time out against San Diego,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: shut them out for five innings, only had two strikeouts,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: though he's been dealing with like finger blister injuries, so
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: he hasn't pitched a whole lot. He missed a lot
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: of time in August, so he might not be fully
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: back at one hundred percent here. A's only if three
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: hitters I've ever seen him before, but they've done well
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: against the four twenty nine average a home run from
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: Rooker Oney four to twenty nine ohps three zero strike
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio, but the A's might be able to
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: get to him man, So that's a little bit worrious
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: some if you do like the starting pitching matchup. Luis
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Morales pitching for the A's. He's a young guy. I
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: think this is his rookie season, and he's been pretty good.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: Two point seven to three ERA, one point zero nine whip.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: He's allowed one or fewer or two or fewer on
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: runs and every outing except his last outing was the
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: one bad one against the Red Sox. I mean, the
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are a decent offense, but I don't know
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: if that means he's kind of falling out a form
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. But he's been good otherwise. Uh
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: thirty two to twelve strike a walk ratio on the
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: course over the course of the season. It's you know,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: a few too many walks, but it's still not bad.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: And he hasn't allowed that many hits. I mean, again,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: bad starting against the Red Sox kind of skewing his numbers.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: He doesn't have a ten to two strike aut walker
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: ratio this month, but a six point one era just
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: because of that one bad start, But of course he's
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: pitching well generally, He's a talented young pitcher, and the
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: Reds have never seen him before or so I ast
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: you think he does have the upper hand here. I
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: would maybe kind of lean towards the A's in the
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: first five here, man, because I worry about Lodolo if
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: he's not in good form right now, and the A's
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: have at least seen him a little bit and been
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: able to hit him. Cincinnati down for minus one ten,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: minus one of six, seventy three percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on them, so money is
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: coming in on Cincinnati. I mean, they do have a
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: motivational edge here though, so I wouldn't really want to
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: jump on the A's for that reason. I don't want
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: to touch the A's bullpen either, So that's Those are
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: kind of my feelings on that game. You do get
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: them as basically a slight home underdog, though, if you
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: want to do that, maybe they might be a favorite
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings though, but it's probably still
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: a cheap price. I could see the argument for an
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: under in the first five too, just because both pitchers
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: I think are pretty solid. I wouldn't want to go
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: full game because these bullpens are bad. But we have
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of tickets on the over, eighty two
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under, so strong money
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: on the under. And the total is at nine and
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: a half, so it's not as high as it usually
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: is in the stadium, although and I mean it is
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: on the right side of nine for the full game
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: if you want to try the under full game, although
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: again you got to worry about the bullpen. So I
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: think maybe first five under you might get about a
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: four and a half on that one, maybe even five,
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: So that looks like a decent way to look there.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: Anaheim at Seattle, Seattle, I mean they're hot right now.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: They're on a nice run here, eight wins in a row.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: They're on the verge of sweep. So maybe Anaheim will
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: come out with a little bit extra motivation to try
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: to try to salvage the series here, maybe try to
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: spoil Seattle season a little bit here. Seattle obviously fighting
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: for playoff positioning, fighting to win the division. So both
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: teams I think would show up motive, will show up
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: motivating in this game. Seattle has the better of the
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: two bullpens, Anaheim's is not good. Anaheim only used two
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday, though Seattle used three, so still Seattle
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: has the better bullpen, though they got the bullpen edge here.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: Seattle has a better offense of the two as well.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens here in this game, though, Man,
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: the pitching matchup is I don't know, a little bit
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: iffy here. Kyle Hendrix pitching for Anaheim four point five
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: eighty RA one point two to seven whip. I mean,
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: mediocre stuff from him, and it's typical Hendrix. Basically, he's
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: kind of like a bottom of the rotation type of guy.
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: He's a bottom, not a power bottom either. He doesn't
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: throw that hard four point eight to seven roady i RA,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: so he's not that good on the road. He's been
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: decent this month of the one point three eighty RA.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: He's left two or four round runs in three straight
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: outings now, but not striking out a lot of guys.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: He has six strikeouts four walks this month, so he's
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: not really a strike up pitcher, but it's kind of
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: too many walks. We'll see what we get out of
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: him in this outing. The two starts this month were
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota Kansas, sitting not good to offenses. He did
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: pretty well against Houston the start before that. I mean overall,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: he's not pitching terribly right now, though against Seattle he
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: actually does well. Overall, one hundred and nine career bats,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: twenty seven to eleven strike a walk ratio is not
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: very impressed, but a two to eleven batting average allowed
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: and six thirty two obs, so he's been pretty good
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: against Seattle. He's going up against George Kirby, up and
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: down season for him, similar numbers to Hendrix actually Eve,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: though I think Kirby is the better pitcher and the
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: younger pitcher four point five. He has a much higher
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: ceiling at least four point five six ERA, one point
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: two seven whip for Kirby three point four to two HOMEBYRA,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: so he's better at home. Hasn't been very good this
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: month though, a fifteen ERA this month and a three
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walker race year. He got bombed
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: by Tampa, although that was at Tampa. It's a very
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly ballpark there in the Yankees spring training stadium
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: that they play in. Didn't really do well against a
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: weak Saint Louis lineup last time out in Seattle, though
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: in a pitcher friendly parks. That's a little bit concerning
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: with Kirby right now. Man, his numbers against Anaheim are
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: l right and eighty three at bats twenty six to seven,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio two forty one average, seven to
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: fourteen obs. He's a lot four home runs, all three
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: of them are from Ward. I mean interesting. I mean,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: on the surface, it kind of looks like this is
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: just not a great pitching matchup, and then an over
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: might make sense a total drop from eight to seven
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: and a half, eighty five percent of tickets ninety six
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the over. I don't know if
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: I would necessarily agree with that. I mean, I could
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: potentially see both pitchers actually maybe even doing okay in
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: this game, even though they don't look like they're that
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: good on the surface. So I mean, I could potentially
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: see an under in this game, maybe first five innings,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: so you don't have to worry about Anheim's bullpen. The
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: money line is just too high on Seattle too, on
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the side at minus two fifteen seventy percent tickets eighty
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash coming in Seattle, so they
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: have the cash coming in on them. I don't know
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: if I would want to do that, and I think
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: you're laying way too much of a price that I
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: don't really trust Kirby. I actually think Hendrix might be
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit more trustworthy, maybe the more predictable of
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: the two starters there. Do with that information what you will.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: Colorado at San Diego. San Diego has won two of
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: the three games of this year. Is they blew out
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: call Lado eleven to three yesterday. They're still fighting for
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: a wildcard spot and potentially to try to win the division.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: Colorado still probably motivated just because it is a divisional matchup.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: San Diego has the way better bullpen then they haven't
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: used a whole lot of them more the last couple
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: of days either, Colorado a little bit more usage out
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: of there. So definitely a huge bullpen edge for San Diego.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: San Diego has an offensive edge to have. Another offense
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that good this year. Herman Marquez. This picture
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: for the Rockies not very good. Numbers six point three
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: to one ERA and one point seven whip not good.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Slightly better on the road six point two road ram
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good this month eight point one ERA over
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: two starts, four to four strike a walk ratio. Nothing
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: to really say about it, man, he's just not very effective.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Typically against San Diego's numbers are not horrible and one
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: hundred nineteen at bats thirty to ten, strike a walk
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: ratio two to sixty one. Batting average allowed seven to
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: forty six oh ps. So maybe in a pitcher front
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: the ballpark like this, he does okay against San Diego.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: Maybe he'll actually do alright in this game. San Diego
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: has you Darvish pitching. He came back fairly late into
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: the season, coming back from injury. His ERA hasn't been
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: good five point sixty five, but his whip is actually
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: good one point one seven. He's been kind of typical Darvias,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: although he usually doesn't allow this many runs. But he's
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: usually too wild, walks too many guys. But he's not
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: very hittable, and that's still been the case with him.
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: He's throwing too many pitches, not going too deep into games.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: He's gone four or he's gone excuse me, fewer than
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: five innings, I guess, yeah, four or fewer innings in
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: two of his last three outings this month. Is a
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: five point five to nine ERA but a thirteen to
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: two strikeout walk ratio, So the walks actually have not
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: been an issue recently. It's actually been the hits something wrong.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: It's actually the hits have been an issue, and he's
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: allowed way too many home runs. So the home runs
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: have been an issue for him this year. He's allowed yeah,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: way too many home runs so far, so that's really
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: been the issue. He's got to get that under control. Man.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: Against the Raw, he's only four of their hitters have
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: seen him before. There they got twenty five at bats against,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeouts, very high strikeout rate, one walk, two hundred
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: average six to seventy one oh ps. They do have
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: home runs from Farmer and Marquez. They should let Marquez
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: bat in this game. Man, he has an home run
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: against Starfish in his career. That is insane. That's hilarious
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: because he is actually pitching today, so they could actually
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: have him hit. They probably don't want to, though. He's
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: still not going to be as good as a DH
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: will be, so do with all the information what you will.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: But obviously San Diego is a massive favorite in this one.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus three thirty five to minus three,
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: twenty ninety two percent of tickets on them, sixty four
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Colorado. U just I mean,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: obviously the professional betters are just pretty much saying the
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: price is just way too high. On San Diego. Money
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: looks like it came in on the under initially dropping
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: the total from eight and a half down to eight
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the under eight and nine
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the overs. The public is coming
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: in on the over nine percent and the cash on
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: the over. It is a pitcher from the park, But
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: I'm not totally sure that you could necessarily trust either
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: one of these pictures. Darvish probably is still the more
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: trustworthy pictures to San Diego still does have an edge
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: in every aspect of the game. But again, you're laying
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: way too much for a price with San Diego. I mean,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: you could go maybe San Diego over their team total,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: but that seems a little bit dicey as well, because
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: Marquez isn't really that bad against them. So it's a difficult,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: really difficult game to handicap man. And then of course
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: the ESPN Sunday Night game is Yankees Red Sox. The
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are on the verger of getting swept in
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: the series. I think the series ends today. I'm not
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: entirely sure about that. Red Sox lost both games of
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: the series. They still are eight and four against the
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: Yankees this season, though, but the Red Sox have fallen
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: behind them. Red Sox are still in a wildcard spot
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: right now. Both of these teams are. They're the top
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: two wildcards still so but these teams have a chance
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: to get the division, especially the Yankees. I don't think
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox are gonna do a whole lot here
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: down the stretch on worried they won't make the playoffs.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: But obviously, I mean, this is a huge matchup. It's
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: the biggest rivalry in baseball. You know, there's no lack
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: of motivation here. And this is even crazier because the
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: teams are locked in a close playoff race for the
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: most part. Here, Red Sox might have a little bit
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: more of an edge in this game than they have
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: in the other games. The Red Sox definitely have the
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: best starting pitching advantage that they've had in the series.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: In this game, their bullpen is the better of the two.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: Red Sox haven't used that much of their bullpen Yankees
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: use a little bit more of theirs yesterday, so Red
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: Sox SHO should have a pitching edge throughout this particular game.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Yankees just to have the better offense. But Will Warren
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the Yankees. He's been not great. Four
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: point two two ERA, one point three to five whip.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been very good on the road five point
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: four to three road ERA. Didn't do well last time
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: out against the Red Sox. Back in the previous yeeraries
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: of the Red Sox won three out of four at
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: Yankee Stadium. He didn't do well in a twelve to
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: one loss. He gave up five and runs of four inning,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: three walks, seven hits, lot. He put a ton of
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: guys on base in that game. I had three strikeouts.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: He's a decent strikeout pitcher, but that wasn't good. I
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: mean it. Starts since then have been alright, allowing two
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in all three He does have
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: a nine to one strike at Walker Race year this month,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: but those are against well, the White Sox, Houston, Detroit.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: Him and Houston and Detroit are decent offenses. Red Sox
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: still a fairly good offense. So yeah, he's been good
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: this month three point two to seventy RA, nine to
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: one strike out walk ratio, but against the Red Sox
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been particularly good. In twenty four at bats,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: not a huge sample size, but seven to five strike
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio, two ninety two batting average in nine
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: to eighty three oh ps, so he hasn't done very
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: well against them. And he's going up against garat Crochet,
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: who is still in the picture for the cy Young
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's got a two point five to seven
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: e RA this year, one point zero five whip of
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: really good numbers. He is slightly worse at Fenway two
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: point nine two ras. Still really good, though, and there
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: is a worry that he might be wearing down because
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: he's thrown a lot more innings this year than he's
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: used to. He's still a really young guy or fairly
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: young guy, but it doesn't appear that that's the case.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or fewer on runs, and four of
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: his last five outings, including his last one, which was
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: a shutout at that horrible as stadium, he completely shut
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: them down for seven innings, allowed three hits, ten strikeouts,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: no walk, So he's still pitching well, last time out
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: against the Yankees was in that twelve to one start,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: that twelfth to one Red Sox win. I mean, so
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: that was the game that Warren pitched, So it's a
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: it is a revenge spot for Warren, but Crochet completely
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: outpitched him in the game. It wasn't even close. Went
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: seven innings, allowed one on and run and that one
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeouts, one walk. So Croche did really well against
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: this potent Yankee lineup. He's got good numbers against him overall,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: and eighty five at bats are ridiculous. Thirty three to
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: three strikeout walk ratio two twenty four batting averages six
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: thirty eight ops really good numbers considering how good that
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: offense is. So, I mean, I do think Crochet should
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: be able to outpitch Warren again in this game, even
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: though I don't expect to be as lopsided as it
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: was in the last game. The money is coming in
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: on the Red Sox. They're down for minus one fifty
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: five minus one forty five sixty tickets, eighty four percent
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming on the Red Sox. Very rare
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: that you'll see the Yankees an underdog at all, especially
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: of you know of a caliber like this. I mean,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: it's because they're facing Croachet. So maybe you're paying a
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: little bit too much of a price for the Red Sox,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: but them money is coming in on them. I would
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: lean that way and hope that I'm right, but not
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be a play for me. So but I do
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: think they have the pitching edge throughout the game there,
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: So that would be the way that I would look
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: in that game if I was gonna do anything with it.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: A little bit of a price to land. Now, let's
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: go to the best bets man, which I'll reiterate, by
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: the way. We do have the Tennessee Titans plus five
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: and a half. We have the Jets plus seven, although
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I think you might have to get six and a half. Now,
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: will look in a second right before I get out
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: of here, and we have Vegas Raiders tomorrow night plus
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: three and a half. WNBA gave out at the beginning
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: of the show, the Phoenix Mercury plus two. Let's go
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: to the best batsman and the first one off. I
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: told you you're not gonna like this. We're gonna go
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Kansas City Royals money line against the Philadelphia Phillies. I
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: know the Phillies, very very intimidating. Phillies have a really
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: good lineup. They're the way better offense. But I think
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: Kansas City has a pitching edge pretty much across the
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: board in this game. Phillies bullpen is not the better
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: of the two bullpens by any means. They use about
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: the same amount that Kansas City did yesterday. So you
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: gotta give the bullpen edge to Kansas City. Here, Philadelphia,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: I think they might overlook Kansas City in this last game.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: And I mean they're on a huge win streak. I know,
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: we're jumping in front of this train. They've won six
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: games in a row, nine of their last ten. They're
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: hot right now. But they have a thirteen game lead
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: in the division. Man, So you've got to think they're
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be on cruise control in some of these games
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: and you can't keep it up every single game. They've
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: already won this series, and they're gonna have a bigger
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: series up next man, which I believe is against the Dodgers. Yeah,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: so they have a big potential playoff matchup coming up
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: starting tomorrow against the Dodgers. They gotta f out, so
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: they play this afternoon game sometimes these afternoon games a weird, man,
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: when you have to immediately leave and travel, sometimes you
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: get caught looking ahead, man. Even more so when you
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: know you just you gotta get this game out of
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: the way, go out, and you have a big series
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: starting tomorrow, you gotta fly across country. So it's basically
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: it's a getaway day situation, man, where you're traveling the
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: same day that you're playing. You're playing it in the
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: afternoon and then traveling. Weird stuff happens in those situations, man,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: So I think that might be the case in Philly
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: here again. Yeah, they're battling for maybe trying to get
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: home field throughout the playoffs, but you can't be up
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: every single day, man. And they have such a lead
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: in their division that's not a concern anymore. Kn's sitting.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: You're getting them as a big underdog here and they're
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: basically fighting for their lives. I mean, they're below five
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: hundred now, so I think cosmetically they want to try
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: to get back to five hundred. I know how ugly
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: this looks. They've lost six of their last seven, three
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They've been playing like ass, losing
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: to Cleveland last series, not good. Yeah, they're offense stinks.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: They have a big offensive disadvantage here. But again, I
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: think this could be a close game, and I think
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: you're actually getting value on Kansas City on the money line.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: You could split the bet and run line half run
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: line plus one and a half runs half money line,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: but I think we just go all the way here.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: It's cheaper to just do it on the money land Man,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: because you can put less on the money line to
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: try to win more. So I think this is the
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: case where you might want to take the shot on that.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: So that's what we'll do, kind of like what I
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: do a lot of times in hockey as well, these
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: money line sports here. Kansas City again, I mean they're
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit extra motivated, I think to
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: try to get back to five hundred. They're still technically
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: in the playoff race here. They want to avoid the sweep.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: So we have all that going for us, and I
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: think we got the better starter on the hill Man
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: with Noah Cameron, talented rookie here. You do have to
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: worry is he wearing down. That's the one thing. He's
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and twenty pitches or excuse one hundred
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: and twenty innings pitch. Excuse me, A hundred twenty pitches
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: would be nothing over the course of a season. Innings pitch.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: You don't have to worry a little bit about that.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: But he's had a good season three ERA one point
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: one to two whip. He's an actually slightly better on
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: the road, even though his home park is pitcher friendly
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: too point ninety a round the road. He doesn't quite
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: look like he's wearing down yet. Man. He had a
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: couple of bad starts against the White Sox and Anaheim Anaheim.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: He didn't give up that many runs. It was mostly
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: because of the walks. He had five walks, a little
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: bit of a concern his walk right kind of went up.
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: But last start he dominated Cleveland. They lost the game,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: but he got no run support at all. He went
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: seven innings to give up two earned runs, eight strikeouts,
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: no walks, So he was good in that outing and
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: he wasn't the problem. So he doesn't look like he's
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: totally wearing down yet. Man. He's left three or fewer
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: earned runs in every start since basically the beginning of August,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: so he's only allowed more than that once. He's let
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: three or few in every Starke except one, I should say,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: going back through his second start in August, so that's
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: how I should phrase it. Excuse me. And of course
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: Philly has never seen him before except bait or for
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: whatever reasons, one for two, often with a strikeout. But
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: because I think baitor they got him over from he
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: was where on Minnesota? Maybe yeah, he was on Minnesota
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: earlier this year. So Philadelphia got him in a trade.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: And he's the guy that took the pictures with the
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: kid whose ball was stolen by the Philadelphia Karen. So
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: there you going, man. But Cameron, he's pretty much unfamiliar
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: with Philly, So a talented rookie like him should have
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an extra edge against an office
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: that hasn't seen him before. Philly has Aaron Nola pitching.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: He's not having a great season, man, He's trying to
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: bounce back from injuries. Six point two to four, one
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: point four to five whip hasn't been good for him
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: this year. He's definitely way better than this. He's been
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: way better in the past, for sure. Yes, he is
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: slightly better at home five point five four ERA still
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: not good. He was good last time out. He had
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: a really good start against the Mets, so that does
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: show signs that he's coming back from the dead. Basically
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: give up only three hits and six inning, seven strikeouts,
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: two walks, good sign for him, but I'm not expecting
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: him to be terrible in this game, and I'm still
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: not quite sure that he's going to be great here.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: And actually, surprisingly the Royals actually have been able to
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: hit him in the past, and fifty nine at bats
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: eighteen to strike a walk ratio is really good for him.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: But he's a lot of three twenty two batting average
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: with them nine oh four oh ps, four home runs
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: to them. So Nola has not done well against Kansas City,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: So I think it makes sense take the shot with
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: Kansas City as the underdog there in that one man,
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: and then looking at that, we can look at the
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: numbers real quick here the market numbers, I mean, Philadelphia's
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: public seventy four percent of tickets, they do seventy seven
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, but they've dropped from minus what
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: sixty five to minus one forty five now, So I
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: think that's legitimate lie movement coming in towards Kansas City
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: on that one. So I think it's a reverse line
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: movement fading the public sentiment there on that one on Philly.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: It almost looks too easy at this point to take Philly.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: So Kansas City will be the play. It's an anti
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: public play. Eighty one percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: and that one, by the way, sixty seven percent of
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: the cash in the under. The total dropped off of
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: the key number nine down to eight and a half,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: so some money is coming in on the under. I
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: can see the argument for it. Like Cameron might do
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: well in this game, Nola may do okay against a
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: bad Kansas City offense. But I think at the very
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: least that means maybe it'll be a closer game if
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: its lower scoring, which does help uh the purpose, That
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: does help the underdogs purposes. And last, but maybe not least,
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go under seven in Tampa Bay and the
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: Cubs here. You know, I like going unders generally in
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: these interleague games. But this is an afternoon game. You know,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: it's like a It's a game where maybe other teams
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: will be kind of you know, just trying to get
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: in pack you know, pack it in for the series here.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean. The teams are gonna have
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: to travel so it's one of those weird spots where
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: the offenses can be distracted the total to drop from
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: seven half to seven. There are no seven and a
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: half still out there, but I found the straight seven.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, you want to get the better of the
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: number seven if you can. Obviously, key number in baseball
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: breaks the three to three tie. I'm guessing this means
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: that the wind is probably blowing in a little bit
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: at Wriggling. But we have a good starting pitching matchup too,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: so the weather the wind has a big effect in Wrigley.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: But because the total is so low, I think the
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: win and must be either not a factor or blowing in.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: I haven't looked, but I'm fine with either way. Fifty
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: six percent tickets on the over, ninety seven percent of
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under, so the money coming in
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: on the under even, I think the public's gonna attendency say, oh,
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: the Cubs, we know they can hit, so we'll go
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: over here. Yes, the Cubs do have a pretty solid offense,
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: better than Tampa's offense. Tampa's offense isn't terrible either, but
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: I think the pitching is gonna win out here. Man.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: I like the I actually like both starters here, and
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: both bullpens are decent and decently rested here. I mean
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: not great rest on either side, but moderate usage. So
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: I think we're okay with the bullpens here. I mean,
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: it's better to go full game and you get the
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: key number here, I think, than to go try to
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: go under like three and three and a half in
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: the early part of the game. Sometimes they say that
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: and I'm wrong. I mean, you could still do that
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: if you want to. But the starting pitching matger does
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: look pretty good to me. Adrian Houser's pitching for Tampa,
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: but they got him right around the trade deadline. I
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: think from the White Sox he's had a pretty good
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: season overall. Three point one one one point two six
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: whip is a little bit high. I'm not sure he's
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: quite as good as his numbers look. When he was
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: with the White Sox, he did face some weak offenses.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: He's a little bit worse on the road three point
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: five four ERA on the road, But overall, I think
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: he's not that bad. And Tampa's won his last five outings,
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: even though he hasn't gone deep in a couple of
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: those outdies. He's a lot four or fewer runs in
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: all those outdies, so he's been decent at least in
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: those outings. Hasn't really faced any offense that's as good
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: as the Cubs. The Cubs offense has been sputtering a
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: little bit. He did actually face the Cubs, so they
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: are somewhat familiar. When he faced them in his last
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: start with the White Sox, held him to three ear
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: in runs at the White Sox Ballpark, six and two
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: thirds in his pitch, did have three walks three strikeouts,
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: so he walked too many guys in that outing, but
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: he wasn't bad in the outing. This month, he has
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: a pretty solid seventeen to one strike out walk ratio.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: Those eras bad five point one to one, but I
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: mean the command numbers are there for him, so he
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: is still fooling hitters as of late. So I think
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: his erays a little bit misleadingly high this month at least,
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: and his numbers are not that bad against the Cubs
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: in eighty six at bats, eighteen to fourteen strike at
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is definitely bad, but Hap has eight of
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: those walks, so it's like he kind of just pitches
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: around half, So the walk number is a little bit
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: misleading there two sixty seven bouning average allowed seven to
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: nineteen ops. So overall he's done okay against the Cubs,
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: especially considering that they can hit well. And he's going
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: up against show toa I Mi Naga, who we know
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: he's having a good season. Three point two to one ERA,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: point nine to three whip. He's a little bit better
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: at home three point one two ERA at home actually
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: better during the day two for what it's worth, because
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: you know it's a daytime game. I don't really look
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: at the day night splits very often. He's got a
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: four point five area this month, but he was very consistent.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: Went six innings, allowed three hundred runs both times against
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: the Brave, six strikeouts, one walk, not a high strikeout rate,
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: but last month he had a thirty two to five
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio two point six five ERA, has an
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: alumber than three hundred runs went all the way back
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: to late late July. So he's been good overall, man
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: and Tampa has never faced him before, so Imanaga really talented.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: Picture like him going up against an offense that has
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: to figure him out on the fly and hasn't seen
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: it before. He has an extra edge there, so he
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: should be good in this game. So yeah, it will
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: be an under in that game. And then before I
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: get out of here, we'll look at the market reading in
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: the NFL real quick. We'll do this market rundown real quick.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: It still looks like cash percentage is on the Patriots,
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: slightly still Bengals, Jags. I mean, you can watch my
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: video last night. It's probably not going to change that much.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: Fro when I said last night, it looks like some
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: pretty heavy money fading the public in that one and
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: taking the side of the Jaguars. So I'm talking about
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: where the professional money is here. Looks like the professional
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is basically on the side of
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: the Browns two plus the points fading the Ravens. You
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: can go again check out my video from last night
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: to see all that. Looks like the money is coming
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: in on the Giants plus the points against the Cowboys.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: That numbers dropped back down a little bit since where
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: it was last night. The professional money looks like it
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: is on the side of the Titans as well against
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: the public. Yet again, same thing with the Jets. This
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: line's gone all the way down to five and a
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: half man so you're never gonna get the seven again.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: And this one, I said you could wait just to
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: see if you get it, but I think you've got
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: to try to get at least the six on that one.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: But I think Jets plus the points are absolutely the
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: right side. But I should have given it out in
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: the middle of the week because the seven was definitely
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: the way to go. I still agree with the six
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: six and a half on that one with the Jets.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: Looks like the professional money is taking the side of
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: the Bears against the Lions against the public. Seahawks are
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: getting more of the money against the public. A lot
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: of similar reads in this one. The Saints look like
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: they're getting more of the professional money against a public
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers, even though the forty nine ers were
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: in an injured player spot, so some hesitations there. Again,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: for more info, watch my show from last night. This
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: is just a quick rundown. So it looks like my
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: play is on the Titans and the Jets are still
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: looking very very correct, very right as far as the
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: market read it. Hopefully they're correct. Money fading the Cardinals
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: that looked like that might not be the case last night,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: but they were a very public team money coming in
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: against them, to which worries me because they might have
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: to be my survivor this week. Money coming in towards
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: the Colts as well, still, so that more of the cash,
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: the cash on the side of the Colts, public on
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: the side of the Broncos, public is on the side
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: of the Eagles, with less of the money on the Eagles.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: I told you I lean to the Chiefs. That is
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: still the case. The money looks like it's coming in
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: on the Chiefs in Super Bowl revenge mode Sunday night.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it is coming in on the Falcons,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: even though it looks like the public might slightly be
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: on them too, And the more of the money is
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: also coming in that way. The line has driven been
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: driven in that direction. Again, all of this is very
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: similar to what I said last night and then Monday night.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: I don't think we have to really look at those yet.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: We'll reiterate those tomorrow. But it still looks like money
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: is on the Texans and the Raiders in those two.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: So agreement with me there. That's gonna do it for me.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: I got to get this video out and everything. Man.
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: Once again, a lot of plays today. We got Tennessee
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: Titans plus five and a half Jets plus seven. I
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: apologize that number is long gone now, but I would
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: still take the six probably on that one. I think
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: it's a really good spot. I said, Vegas, that's tomorrow. Nice,
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: you can ignore that for now. The Raiders tomorrow. So
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: we have five plays today, Phoenix in WNBA playoffs plus
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: the points, Kansas City Royals money line take the shot, baby,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: and then whatever that is under in Rays and Cubs there.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: So those are all the players today. I did forget
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: to look at the other the picture stats in the afternoon,
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if we're too worried about that.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: I'll look at Adrian Howser real quick, just for completion's sake.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: In that one. He's actually better during the day as well.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: Two point two seventy ra So both of those pictures
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: are better during the day. And the first game is
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: already kicked off between Washington and Pittsburgh. So have a
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: good day. Everyone. Got to get the video up, gotta
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: get the Instagram videos up. Happy Sunday in peace and
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: enjoy the games.