Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 297 - 6/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 297 - 6/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 297 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day.
• 0:38
  That means we are halfway through our work week, one day
• 0:41
  closer to the weekend. So hope you guys are enjoying
• 0:44
  your week and got some fun plans lined up.
• 0:47
  I tell you what guys, I'm pretty excited because this weekend I
• 0:50
  am going to visit my sister and my brother-in-law and my nieces
• 0:55
  in New Jersey. And it's going to be actually
• 0:57
  one of my niece's kindergarten or pre-K graduations.
• 1:01
  So you know, you want to be there for those big events.
• 1:04
  School, we're going to take about a four hour drive down to
• 1:06
  New Jersey. What I'm really excited about is
• 1:08
  after the graduation, we are going to have a celebratory
• 1:11
  dinner at Holsten's. Now, for those of you who don't
• 1:15
  know, Holsten's is the final scene of The Sopranos, which
• 1:19
  actually believe it or not, was I believe 18 years ago.
• 1:22
  Yesterday I was 21. I remember I was home from
• 1:25
  college. I believe it was between my
• 1:27
  sophomore and junior years of college, and I actually grew up
• 1:31
  watching The Sopranos every Sunday night with my mom and
• 1:33
  dad. My sister was there too, before
• 1:36
  she left for college. And it all, often times, you
• 1:39
  know, other parents be like, you know, you let your kids watch
• 1:41
  The Sopranos with the nudity and the killing and the blah, blah.
• 1:44
  And I'm like, yeah, my parents always let me watch whatever I
• 1:46
  want because they always said, you know, if you want to see
• 1:48
  something bad, we want to see it with you and then we can talk
• 1:51
  about it afterwards. I thought that was always kind
• 1:53
  of cool. But anyway, whole point being
• 1:55
  Holston's final scene, Don't Stop believing plays on the
• 1:59
  jukebox. Tony sitting there getting an
• 2:01
  order of onion rings for the table.
• 2:03
  Meadows trying to parallel park. Does he get shot by the guy in
• 2:06
  the Members Only jacket? Does he not?
• 2:08
  It goes to black. You guys know the deal.
• 2:10
  But anyway, that was filmed at Holston's Diner.
• 2:13
  And that, believe it or not, is where we are going Friday night
• 2:16
  for the celebratory dinner for my, my niece's graduation.
• 2:20
  So this is like a bucket list for me.
• 2:21
  My whole life, I've always wanted to go there and just so
• 2:24
  happens to be not too far from where my my sister lives.
• 2:27
  So I'll order some onion rings for the table.
• 2:30
  And what did it was a great thing that AJ, even though he
• 2:33
  was kind of a kind of a putz in that in that series, he always
• 2:37
  he said at the end, Dad, didn't you always see remember the good
• 2:40
  times. So hey, remember the good times
• 2:42
  because you know, believe it or not, one day you'll have a
• 2:44
  family of your own and these will all just be hopefully good
• 2:47
  memories at that point. But anyway, I'm looking forward
• 2:50
  to Holsteins and I actually heard that they have a ton of
• 2:53
  Sopranos merch. So I'm not going to get into any
• 2:56
  debates right now over the best shows of all time.
• 2:58
  But one is Sopranos 2 is Breaking Bad.
• 3:01
  We can argue about the rest. With that being said, guys,
• 3:04
  that's what I'm looking forward to later this week.
• 3:07
  But this is episode 297 of the ASG pod powered by Rhythm.
• 3:11
  I do have a four pack of sweats for you today's today, guys.
• 3:14
  I have a three pack of MLB plays, including one afternoon
• 3:18
  sweat here. So we'll try to get to that
• 3:20
  first and then also 2 plays later in MLB.
• 3:23
  And then I do have a play in the NBA Finals because I was
• 3:26
  noticing something with this total.
• 3:28
  And then I popped open odds logic, which is again, the best
• 3:31
  odds logic, the best live odds page around.
• 3:34
  If you want to give it a shot, 7 day free trial, 50% off your
• 3:37
  first month, go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 3:41
  But there's a great shop for the best line opportunity.
• 3:43
  Then I was digging into some of these betting systems with
• 3:46
  totals. I had three line up very nicely
• 3:49
  in the same direction of where this line is kind of hinting at.
• 3:53
  So I do have a play on the total in the NBA Finals here for
• 3:55
  tonight. So A5 pack overall, one NBA
• 3:58
  Finals, 3 MLB. Looking back toward yesterday,
• 4:01
  guys, another frustrating night in MLB. 1 and 3 -. 2.2 units.
• 4:05
  Only hit was the Diamondbacks came through late with the bats.
• 4:08
  Excuse me, going wild, attacking on a bunch of runs and then two
• 4:13
  losses by one run. Cardinals lost 8:50.
• 4:16
  Made it interesting late. Pittsburgh lost three to two.
• 4:19
  Pittsburgh losing at home to Miami.
• 4:21
  Pathetic. And then the Red Sox over 9.
• 4:24
  Boy, that didn't even come close.
• 4:25
  I thought we had a good shot first inning.
• 4:27
  Sox took a 2, nothing lead. Roman Anthony's first hit and
• 4:31
  Lucas G Alito, a guy who's gotten just ripped apart all
• 4:33
  year, tosses an absolute gem. So that's just the way baseball
• 4:37
  goes sometimes, guys. And I think if you've never met
• 4:40
  baseball before, you can really kind of get down when you have a
• 4:43
  couple 2-3 day bad stretch, but don't get down on yourself.
• 4:46
  It's a long season. There's a ton of ups and downs.
• 4:49
  The other part of baseball that's frustrating is you bet on
• 4:51
  a team one day and they lose and then the next day you see him
• 4:54
  win. Like for example, Monday bet the
• 4:56
  Cubs and the Brewers both lost. I laid off them yesterday.
• 5:00
  Wouldn't you know it like clockwork, both the Cubs and the
• 5:02
  Brewers won. So it's easy to get frustrated
• 5:05
  with baseball. I argue it's probably the
• 5:07
  hardest and most frustrating sport overall, but it is also a
• 5:10
  sport that if we just stick with it and don't get too high or too
• 5:13
  low, when all the dust settles at the end of the year, pretty
• 5:16
  confident here that we'll have a pretty good season.
• 5:18
  So that being said, guys, BIG4 pack today.
• 5:21
  I do want to start with I mentioned there's a day game
• 5:23
  here, but I just want to mention my play here for the NBA Finals,
• 5:27
  So 8:30 PM Eastern Time. If you haven't been paying
• 5:30
  attention, this series is tied 1:00 to 1:00.
• 5:32
  It goes back to Indiana. Remember Halliburton had that
• 5:35
  game-winning shot in game one and we had the Pacers win 1111
• 5:39
  to 1:10. Then you saw OKC bounce back
• 5:41
  when 123 to one O 7 in the second game.
• 5:44
  So what have we seen across the board here for game three
• 5:48
  tonight? Well, the first thing in, in
• 5:50
  terms of the side, a little bit of movement toward OK C, they
• 5:53
  open around -5 it's gotten bet up to around 5 1/2 fives at some
• 5:58
  shops. So a little bit of movement
• 5:59
  toward the Thunder. Now I was thinking, hey, Pacers
• 6:02
  live dog at home, take the points.
• 6:04
  But what scared me off a little bit is if you look at the bet
• 6:07
  splits public is taking Pacers in the points.
• 6:09
  But this line moved a little bit toward OK C So in that regard,
• 6:13
  again, I try to be, you know, as stubbornly consistent as I can,
• 6:17
  really not lining up perfectly. And then I popped open rhythm
• 6:20
  and rhythms got it out of 5.2 or a 5.7 spread here.
• 6:25
  So not much of an edge either way, but I did notice something
• 6:28
  with the total. I'm going to root for points
• 6:31
  tonight, guys. I'm going over.
• 6:32
  I'll give you my reasoning. One, this total open at 2:27 and
• 6:36
  a half and off the opener, it's only stayed the same or risen.
• 6:41
  So 227 1/2. A lot of books are at 228.
• 6:43
  Some books are at 228 1/2. You still have two books at 227
• 6:48
  1/2. So right now you have DraftKings
• 6:51
  over 227 1/2 at -110 That's the play that I took.
• 6:56
  ESPN bet is 227 1/2, but over -115 and then pretty much every
• 7:00
  other book is 228 or 228 1/2. So from the opener to the
• 7:05
  current, it's either stayed the same or risen.
• 7:08
  So it tells me liability over. Then we dig into some of these
• 7:11
  betting system matches. Postseason totals this
• 7:14
  postseason are 44 and 40 to the over 52.4%.
• 7:19
  So you're technically slightly breaking, you know, going over
• 7:23
  that magic #52.38% and slightly profitable.
• 7:27
  Let's dig a little deeper. When the total is 229 or less in
• 7:31
  the postseason, so if you just stay away from the really high
• 7:34
  totals, the over is 41 and 3256%.
• 7:39
  Here's what I like even better. If the total stays the same or
• 7:42
  rises, which is the case here, the over is 27 and 1959%.
• 7:49
  So we've layered on overall totals have done pretty good,
• 7:52
  229 or less, they're even better.
• 7:53
  And then when it stays the same arises, you're nearly 60%.
• 7:57
  It doesn't hurt that this is a relatively short spread, 5/5 and
• 8:01
  1/2. So again, hopefully a short
• 8:03
  spread means a competitive game. Back and forth, a lot of points.
• 8:06
  The other angle that I like is there's a lot of rest going into
• 8:09
  this one. So a lot of times, you know,
• 8:12
  NBANHL, Stanley Cup, NBA Finals, it's every other night.
• 8:16
  Well, this is a little different because these teams haven't
• 8:18
  played since the 8th of June. So that was back on Sunday.
• 8:21
  So they're coming off a few days off here more than usual.
• 8:25
  And again, days off typically means more rest, rejuvenation.
• 8:28
  Hopefully you got your legs and maybe you are not from in your
• 8:31
  your front rim shots. You're you're swishing those
• 8:34
  shots. So hopefully that is a benefit
• 8:35
  little extra rest, but it really sold me.
• 8:38
  Excuse me, I'm still struggling with my my, my spring flu or
• 8:42
  whatever it is. But anyway, I popped open rhythm
• 8:45
  and I went to the system matches recommendations for this game.
• 8:49
  You know what I noticed? I have a Green Star recommended
• 8:53
  play, so it's checked off all the boxes from rhythm with a
• 8:56
  projected final score of 118 to 112.6 with OK C winning the
• 9:03
  game. So again, you're pretty much
• 9:04
  right at 5, five and a half. But 118 + 112 and 1112.6, that
• 9:11
  equals 230.6. So 230.6 predicted total.
• 9:16
  We can shop around and find over 227 1/2 still available at
• 9:21
  DraftKings with -110 juice and ESPN bet -115 juice again rested
• 9:27
  stay the same arisen all these system matches.
• 9:30
  That sounds like an over for me guys.
• 9:31
  So I'm playing this over 227 1/2 -. 110 at DraftKings again.
• 9:35
  Rhythm Green star recommended play at around 230 1/2.
• 9:40
  Lastly, I do want to shout out odds logic because I tweeted
• 9:42
  this out right before the pod, but this is how you can use odds
• 9:45
  logic to your advantage. Like if you disagree with me and
• 9:49
  you say you what you like the under, here's what you can do
• 9:52
  When you pop open odds logic, you can shop for the best line.
• 9:55
  There's one of the most important features of an of an
• 9:58
  odds Page 1. You got to figure out which
• 9:59
  direction the lines moving #2 you finish your handicapping,
• 10:03
  you pick a side or position, then you find the best number.
• 10:06
  So if you do like Pacers tonight, you can find some five
• 10:10
  and a halfs out there. If you do like the OK C Thunder
• 10:13
  tonight, you can find some minus fives may not, you know, mean a
• 10:18
  lot to you. A half point, who cares?
• 10:20
  But if it lands on five, you push your OK C5 instead of lose
• 10:25
  your 5 1/2 and you win your Pacers 5 1/2.
• 10:28
  And then also with the total again, I like this over based on
• 10:32
  my rhythm recommendation, my betting system matches extra
• 10:34
  rest, all that stuff. And I was able to find with the
• 10:37
  live odds page with odds logic a 227 1/2.
• 10:41
  Again, that was at DraftKings, whereas a lot of other books are
• 10:44
  two 28228 now. So that, So regardless of if you
• 10:46
  agree with me, disagree, you're tailing, you're fading, whatever
• 10:49
  you're doing, make sure with odds logic you at least find the
• 10:52
  best number because that's kind of half the battle sometimes.
• 10:55
  But Long story short, I'm rooting for points tonight.
• 10:57
  Let's go over 227 1/2 -, 110 at DraftKings.
• 11:02
  Now back to some MLB, which again, there's up and downs with
• 11:06
  MLB. So we just got to keep grinding.
• 11:08
  But I do want to get this one out a little bit quickly.
• 11:11
  Let's look at a four O 7:00 PM Eastern Time first pitch.
• 11:14
  The A's visiting the Halos. Now going into it, this is the
• 11:18
  final game of a three-game series and the Angels, who are
• 11:21
  32 and 34 in the year, have won the 1st 2.
• 11:24
  They won the opener 7 to 4 as a -, 145 home favorite.
• 11:28
  Then they won again yesterday, 2 to one and extra innings as a -,
• 11:31
  165 home favorite. So in this late afternoon series
• 11:35
  finale, we have the A's who are 26 and 43.
• 11:38
  Turning to JP Sears, the lefty. He's five and five with a 5.21
• 11:43
  ERA. Meanwhile, the Angels are going
• 11:45
  to go with the veteran ready, Kyle Hendricks, who's three and
• 11:48
  six with a 5.4 O ERA. What are we seeing across the
• 11:51
  market for this one? Well, this game open LA around a
• 11:54
  -, 120 -, 125 home favorite Angels are actually at the
• 11:59
  athletics around a plus one O 5 + 110 Rd. dog.
• 12:02
  And the pros are ride in the hot hand, taking LA in the spot,
• 12:06
  guys, because we've seen the Angels go from around -125 -,
• 12:10
  120 - 125 up to now -145 in some shops even hinting at around
• 12:16
  -150. So I jumped on the angels -140
• 12:19
  at Bet MGM. Looks like that's still your
• 12:22
  best price. But again, shop around other
• 12:24
  books closer to -150 But I really like the bet split in
• 12:27
  addition to the line move. The bet split at Circa, you're
• 12:31
  getting 60% of money line bets, but 71% of money line dollars on
• 12:36
  the Angels. So a little bit low bets, higher
• 12:38
  dollars tells me those bigger, sharper wiseguy wagers out in
• 12:41
  the desert are leaning with the Angels.
• 12:43
  I do have a system match here. When both teams are below 500,
• 12:47
  take the home favorite off a win.
• 12:49
  So you're expected to win. You got home field last at bat
• 12:53
  and you're off a win with some momentum.
• 12:55
  The Angels in that spot would match in that system.
• 12:57
  Overall is 38 and 2164 percent, 5% ROI This year.
• 13:03
  You look at the last 10 Angels playing pretty decent, 6:00 and
• 13:05
  4:00 with a 4.75 team ERA A's. Meanwhile, 3 and 7 ERA of 5.31
• 13:13
  Angels, knock on wood, are 6 and O against the A's this year.
• 13:16
  So let's keep that going. And if you look at the athletics
• 13:19
  in the spot, they're only 8 and 20 as a road dog this year.
• 13:23
  That's only a 29% win rate -36% ROI.
• 13:27
  That's the third worst Rd. dog record in baseball.
• 13:32
  So I want to fade them as a road dog.
• 13:34
  So you add it all up here guys. Angel have taken the 1st 2
• 13:37
  again. You could easily say, hey,
• 13:38
  athletics due for a win. But no, this is a spot where the
• 13:42
  market and the sharps are laying with the Halos and that's what
• 13:45
  I'm doing. So shop around.
• 13:46
  I got angels -140 at Bet MGM, next one for you, 7:40 PM
• 13:52
  Eastern Time, first pitch the Texas Rangers at the Minnesota
• 13:55
  Twinkies. Rangers 32 and 35 on the year,
• 13:59
  making me sweat my over 85 1/2 win total dominated last night.
• 14:03
  Bats got going. They won 16 to 4 easily cashing
• 14:07
  as a plus one O 5 Rd. dog. So tonight's rematch, the
• 14:10
  Rangers are going to go with the ready Jack later.
• 14:12
  He's four and two the 3.48 era. Twins, meanwhile, who are 35 and
• 14:17
  31. They're going with the righty
• 14:18
  David Festa. He's Owen one with a 5.4 O ERA.
• 14:22
  What are we seeing across the market here?
• 14:24
  Will this game open? Twins around a -, 130 home
• 14:28
  favorite, Texas around a + 110 Rd. dog.
• 14:30
  And this is another 5050 line move.
• 14:32
  What does that mean? We might have heard me say
• 14:34
  before, but as always, I want to kind of investigate and compare
• 14:38
  and contrast the splits, both DraftKings and circa with what
• 14:41
  the line is doing or not doing. You know, as a, as a data-driven
• 14:45
  better. You have your open column on
• 14:47
  your live odds page at odds logic.
• 14:48
  Then you got all the current numbers.
• 14:49
  So you're always looking when I wake up, the first thing I see
• 14:52
  is which lines have moved. But sometimes the line doesn't
• 14:55
  move. And again, that can be
• 14:58
  considered a line freeze, but when it does, when tickets are
• 15:00
  even, that's really kind of a bit of a unique spot.
• 15:04
  So for example, at DraftKings, this bet split is 5050.
• 15:07
  Half the money line tickets on Texas, half on Minnesota.
• 15:11
  Theoretically, line should move it all if the tickets are even.
• 15:13
  Yet this line did move about 15-20 cents in favor of the
• 15:18
  Minnesota Twins. So the Twins have gone from -130
• 15:22
  now up to -145 -, 150. Some looks even -155 I jumped on
• 15:28
  the twins -145 earlier today. I think your best price is now
• 15:32
  -150 at Bet MGM. But even though the tickets are
• 15:35
  split at DraftKings at Circa, a lot of sharps seem to like the
• 15:39
  Twins here. 69% bets. 94% of the money is on Twins.
• 15:44
  So really good low bets, higher dollar split.
• 15:47
  Minnesota is a non division favorite.
• 15:49
  Lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team
• 15:52
  based on the minus number in front of their odds.
• 15:54
  If you look at a system match here of home favorites who made
• 15:57
  the playoffs the previous year Twins match, those teams are 200
• 16:01
  and one 1364% win rate, 3% ROI. Minnesota is hitting 249 this
• 16:08
  year against righties. Doesn't sound great.
• 16:10
  It's 17th overall. But Texas is only hitting 228
• 16:14
  against righties. That ranks 28th, near the bottom
• 16:16
  of the league. Twins are hitting 250 at home,
• 16:19
  that ranks 12th. Texas only hitting 224 on the
• 16:21
  road. That ranks 26th.
• 16:24
  Texas, by the way, I know they won yesterday as a road dog, but
• 16:27
  they're only 6 and 1627% as a road dog this year.
• 16:32
  That's the fourth worst Rd. dog in baseball Festa, by the way,
• 16:36
  he has a 1.38 ERA at home, but nearly a 20 ERA on the road,
• 16:42
  19.64. So he's home tonight.
• 16:44
  Hopefully that's a benefit. And if you just look at Classic
• 16:47
  Home Rd., Rangers 12 and 22 on the road, Twins 19 and 11 at
• 16:51
  home. And it doesn't hurt that when I
• 16:54
  popped open the juice reel app, I went to the Robo Jackson best
• 16:57
  bet pics. You might have heard me say this
• 16:59
  before, but you can follow the ASG pod best bets every day on
• 17:03
  Juice Reel. But also you can just get the
• 17:05
  computer AI driven model plays that gets spit out every day.
• 17:09
  And one of the two best bets is Minnesota.
• 17:11
  So Robo's with us. So I always like that.
• 17:13
  So you add it all up again. Minnesota got crushed yesterday.
• 17:16
  It looks like the lines moving in their favor with some good
• 17:19
  system matches. Today I'm on Twinkies, I got a
• 17:22
  -. 145 again. Looks like your best price.
• 17:24
  Maybe around -150 Last bat of the night, the Yankees visiting
• 17:30
  Kansas City, 7:40 PM Eastern Time.
• 17:32
  First pitch tonight. Yankees by the way. 40 and 25 on
• 17:36
  the year. Had a big win yesterday. 1:50
• 17:39
  easily cashing as a -. 200 Rd. favorite.
• 17:42
  Tonight's rematch we got the Yanks going with the ready Clark
• 17:44
  Schmidt. He's two and three with a four
• 17:46
  point O 4 ERA. Royals meanwhile, going with the
• 17:49
  lefty Chris Boobich who's been really good this year, five and
• 17:51
  three 1.43 ERA. What are we seeing across the
• 17:55
  market here? Well, it's not a huge line move,
• 17:57
  but the line is moving toward New York Yankees.
• 18:00
  Open around -120 I did see some books open a little bit lower
• 18:04
  like Yankees -115 Kansas City was around plus 100 at home.
• 18:09
  And we've quietly seen this line move a little bit toward further
• 18:12
  toward the Yankees. I got Yankees -125 some books
• 18:16
  are now up to -130 so you have about a 5/10/15 cent steam move
• 18:21
  based on that -115 opener toward New York.
• 18:25
  I look at Circa really like this bet split on the Yankees.
• 18:29
  They're only getting 45% of money line bets, but 92% of
• 18:33
  money line dollars. So really good split there in
• 18:36
  favor of the Yankees. You have a non division favorite
• 18:39
  system match with the Yankees. So lack of familiarity,
• 18:41
  benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 18:43
  And then we do have the Yankees. Much better bats, obviously saw
• 18:48
  it last night, but they're hitting 261 on the year, 107
• 18:51
  homers, 359 runs scored. Royals hitting 253, only 45
• 18:57
  homers, 228 runs scored. And the Yankees, they're facing
• 19:01
  Bubich, who's been really good, but they are hitting 271 against
• 19:05
  lefties this year. That's the second best in
• 19:07
  baseball against southpaws. And then in the spot, Yankees 38
• 19:11
  and 2066 percent, 5% ROI as a favorite.
• 19:15
  If they are a favorite against a non division opponent, they're
• 19:18
  even better. 31 and 1469 percent, 10% ROI and doesn't
• 19:23
  hurt. New York is 4 and O knock on
• 19:25
  wood, let's make it 5 and O this year against Kansas City.
• 19:29
  So it's a short number, feels like a value play on a good
• 19:32
  team, laying a short number. Obviously boobitch has been
• 19:34
  good, but we got a good Yankee team here offensively, in
• 19:38
  particular against lefties. So I'm taking a shot on the
• 19:40
  Bronx Bombers here, guys. I got New York at -125 again,
• 19:45
  shop around some books closer to -130 at this point.
• 19:49
  So Angels, Yankees, Twins, we find a way to scratch and claw
• 19:52
  and get two of those. That is the goal.
• 19:55
  So that about does it for episode 297 of the all systems
• 19:58
  go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 20:01
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
• 20:04
  start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 20:07
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 20:10
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 20:13
  with me. If you enjoy the pod, win, lose
• 20:15
  or draw tail fade, just listen to the the breakdowns.
• 20:20
  Whatever the case may be, if you tune in and you appreciate it.
• 20:23
  Could you do me a big solid, give it a five star review on
• 20:26
  Spotify or iTunes? I would go a long way to helping
• 20:29
  us to continue to grow the pod. If you want to leave a nice
• 20:32
  comment under the review section or click the follow button.
• 20:35
  That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
• 20:37
  That'll be awesome as well. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 20:41
  betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting.
• 20:44
  Are we going to win every bet we make?
• 20:45
  No, unfortunately not. Betting is hard.
• 20:48
  We got to overcome the juice, got overcome teams not showing
• 20:51
  up for us again. We got to beat really sharp
• 20:54
  lines. The odds maker set the human
• 20:55
  element, but we always keep grinding.
• 20:58
  And if this data-driven approach has maybe opened your eyes a bit
• 21:01
  or helped you win a few bets and you want to learn more about
• 21:04
  data-driven betting, I would love for you guys to go to
• 21:07
  Amazon.com and then type in the everything guide to sports
• 21:10
  betting. I actually just saw today I was
• 21:12
  checking on Amazon to see the rankings still in the top 10,
• 21:16
  which is great, but I noticed it is the number one most gifted
• 21:19
  sports gambling book right now. So I was very happy to see that,
• 21:22
  but if you would like to gift it to a friend, buy one for
• 21:25
  yourself, a colleague, maybe someone you know who's looking
• 21:28
  to get into sports. It's really great for just brand
• 21:30
  new betters who have never bet before but want to give it a
• 21:33
  shot. Definitely pick up a copy of the
• 21:35
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 21:37
  It's got everything that I've learned in the industry, how
• 21:40
  lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line movement,
• 21:42
  how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or
• 21:45
  online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 21:48
  management plan, chapters on all the major sports.
• 21:51
  It's all included and the everything guide to sports
• 21:53
  betting. Now while you're at it getting
• 21:56
  the everything guide, you should then go to that search bar at
• 21:59
  the top of Amazon.com, type in the NFL sharp betting playbook,
• 22:03
  pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 22:04
  That's my brand new book that comes out August 12th, 2 months
• 22:08
  in a day from today. Cannot wait.
• 22:11
  But if you want to support the team, make me happy, make my
• 22:14
  publisher triumph books happy, think about pre ordering a copy
• 22:18
  of the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 22:19
  I think you're going to enjoy it because I put a lot into it and
• 22:22
  I can't wait for you guys to check it out.
• 22:25
  I'll bring the Everything Guide or the NFL Sharp Betting
• 22:27
  Playbook to the sports book sign.
• 22:29
  I'll sign them for you. Buy a beer or ginger ale.
• 22:32
  We'll get some nachos. We'll sweat some games together.
• 22:35
  We'll watch the NBA Finals and root for points together
• 22:37
  tonight. How about that next?
• 22:39
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
• 22:41
  My two favorite sports betting apps because they're all based
• 22:44
  on data rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions
• 22:46
  for game bets and player props yeah, WNBANB, AM LB are all live
• 22:51
  right now in the app. They have their brand new power
• 22:53
  trends, which are great and then also you got to go download
• 22:56
  Juice reel. You can support the pod here I
• 22:59
  am passing the hat, the tip jar. This pod is free.
• 23:02
  If you enjoy the insights, want to let me know you appreciate
• 23:04
  the pod or you want to support the pod, I'd love for you guys
• 23:07
  to throw in a $5.00 bill. I'll give you 1 cent back
• 23:10
  because for $4.99 a week you can get the official all systems go
• 23:14
  best bet picks and you'll get them way before the pod because
• 23:17
  I typically bet them earlier in the day.
• 23:20
  So if you'll get some COV, and again, if you feel like the pod
• 23:23
  is giving you a dollar's worth of insights each day, which I
• 23:26
  hope that it is, then I think it's worth it to get those best
• 23:30
  bets. But you also get the Robo
• 23:31
  Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
• 23:34
  arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures, sync up your
• 23:38
  sports books, get a running report card of your action all
• 23:40
  available when you download juice reel.
• 23:43
  So download rhythm, download juice reel, give him a five star
• 23:46
  review in the App Store. Lastly, I mentioned odds logic.
• 23:49
  How can help you for the Pacers OK, C game tonight, finding a 5
• 23:53
  1/2 or 5 or 227 1/2 versus 228 1/2.
• 23:57
  But really the beauty of a live odds page is it really helps you
• 24:00
  to win and find the best price to monitor the market.
• 24:03
  When Steam hits and the whole board lights up in one
• 24:06
  particular game, you know big money's coming in and you can
• 24:09
  then find a book that's slow to adjust.
• 24:11
  But again, it's really a must have for data-driven betters
• 24:14
  because you got to know all the games available to you that day.
• 24:17
  Start times, live scoring, live in game wagering once the game
• 24:20
  starts. But again, as always, finding
• 24:22
  the best price is so crucial in sports betting, so give it a
• 24:26
  shot with this special link here.
• 24:28
  It's Odds logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
• 24:33
  episode 297 on a big Wednesday of the ASG pod.
• 24:36
  I'm going to leave you with two things as I always do.
• 24:39
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 24:42
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 24:44
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 24:47
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the
• 24:51
  Nash and Nashville, New Hampshire in my neck of the
• 24:53
  woods. Or of course, out in the desert
• 24:57
  where the true grinders get down, or Billy Walters sends his
• 24:59
  number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the South
• 25:02
  Point. Or sweating sharp contrarian
• 25:03
  plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
• 25:06
  big ticket at Circa. Don't show me Saint Louis or
• 25:09
  Pittsburgh, both pathetic. You play dogs, they get crushed.
• 25:13
  You play favorites, they lose outright.
• 25:14
  Sometimes baseball is frustrating, but you can show me
• 25:17
  AD Backs ticket. At least we got AD Backs winner
• 25:19
  last night. Our buddy Da Rouche gave us some
• 25:21
  good vibes there. Brandon Fodd pitched pretty well
• 25:24
  because you never know when he's going to throw a gem or get lit
• 25:26
  up. Luckily he LED us to a winner
• 25:27
  last night. So show me that snakes ticket.
• 25:29
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 25:31
  We'll post about the book. Sweat sharp contrarian plays all
• 25:34
  night long. So as always, guys one and
• 25:36
  three, three and 1-2 and two, O and four, four and O.
• 25:41
  Good, bad, hot, cold, somewhere in the middle.
• 25:43
  We always keep grinding. Again, we're never get getting
• 25:46
  arrogant when we're hot, thinking we're invincible when
• 25:48
  we're cold and having a couple bad days.
• 25:50
  We're not going to get down on ourselves and you know, just
• 25:53
  just be be miserable. This is challenging.
• 25:56
  This is an industry that's hard. It's hard to win consistently.
• 25:59
  But you know what that challenge is something that if you're a
• 26:02
  competitive person each day you kind of try to embrace.
• 26:05
  So as always, guys, we're going to stick to the model, stick to
• 26:07
  the blueprint, which at this point, maybe you know, maybe you
• 26:10
  don't, but we're looking for games that fit our model,
• 26:13
  betting games with our head and not our heart against the
• 26:15
  public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
• 26:18
  get that closing line value. If we can do that, and I'm
• 26:21
  confident that we can, then guess what we're going to be,
• 26:24
  we're going to be successful sports bettors when it's all
• 26:26
  said and done. So that being said, guys, enjoy
• 26:29
  your Wednesday night. Let's get some points in the NBA
• 26:31
  Finals. Let's get some winners here on
• 26:33
  the diamond, and then we will of course be back no matter what
• 26:37
  tomorrow for a big Thirsty Thursday edition, episode 298 of
• 26:41
  the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
• 26:44
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
• 26:46
  the sweats tonight.