Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 273 - 5/7/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 273 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:37Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
- 0:40week. That's right, it's hump day.
- 0:42You always remember that GEICO commercial, One of their best
- 0:45ever. I'm one of those weirdos who
- 0:46likes the GEICO commercials. If you're going to try to sell
- 0:48me something, at least try to be funny.
- 0:49Make me laugh. But I always love the Campbell
- 0:51one. What day is it?
- 0:52What day is it? The camel hump day?
- 0:55So this is a pretty good one. I always think of that on a
- 0:57Wednesday. But anyway, guys, getting right
- 0:59back to what we love doing the most, that is betting on sports
- 1:02from a data-driven, sharp, contrarian perspective.
- 1:05Looking at what the market is telling us, trying to make bets
- 1:08with our head and not our heart based on where the smart money's
- 1:11going. Ideally, betting against the
- 1:13public, layering in, of course, system matches and leaning on
- 1:16our friends at both Rhythm and Juice Reel.
- 1:19So with that being said, on a big Wednesday, I do have a four
- 1:22pack of sweats for you. I got three Major League
- 1:24Baseball plays, actually have a couple afternoon sweats going
- 1:28here right now. So looking forward to hopefully
- 1:31cash in a couple early bets and then I do have a play for you in
- 1:35the NHL. Again, it's been a while since
- 1:37we've bet the NHL, but there's one game tonight where I saw a
- 1:40really sharp line move, a fantastic bet split.
- 1:43Also, there is a bunch of system matches lighting up on this
- 1:46team, so stay tuned for that. Looking back toward last night,
- 1:50guys, frustrating night 1 and 2 -, 1.39 units.
- 1:54We did have a nice hit with the Minnesota Twins coming through
- 1:56for the team. Really rocking chair.
- 1:58No sweat there. But the frustrating ones, the
- 2:01most frustrating one of the night.
- 2:02And if you can tell, there's two big basketball games tonight.
- 2:05I ain't playing them because I need a day off of the NBA
- 2:08postseason because I am losing my mind betting the NBA
- 2:12postseason. If you got nothing on the line,
- 2:14you're probably saying, wow, it's super exciting.
- 2:16We're having all these buzzer beaters.
- 2:17These teams are coming back from huge deficits, but not me
- 2:21because I laid at 9 1/2 and it closed 10 1/2 with OKC.
- 2:24They lose outright. To make matters worse, last
- 2:27night we absolutely nail the total in that game between the
- 2:31Pacers and the Cavs, we got under 229 1/2.
- 2:34Of course, you had a bunch of these guys for the Cavs who were
- 2:37ruled out. That total ended up closing 227
- 2:401/2, even 226 1/2. So we literally crushed the
- 2:44closing line by two or three points.
- 2:47Right before the game started, my buddy DA Roush DM me on
- 2:49Twitter and said CLV baby CLV. And I always get excited about
- 2:54CLV because it tells us that, hey, we read the market, we
- 2:56anticipated the line move, we got a great number, and I just
- 3:00gave him the fingers crossed emoji.
- 3:02Felt really good after the first quarter.
- 3:04I think they only scored like 47 points in the first quarter.
- 3:07I'm like, OK, here we go. And then what happens?
- 3:09They absolutely go nuts and fly over the total.
- 3:13So that was not fun. Again, that's two straight
- 3:15nights where we're getting massive CLV and just getting our
- 3:19hearts ripped out and danced to the beat.
- 3:20So that was frustrating. The other annoying one was the
- 3:23Chicago Cubs. Ryan Presley.
- 3:26Come on, man, Cubbies were down in that game.
- 3:28They scored in the 9th to tie it up, go to extra innings.
- 3:31This always happens in extra innings.
- 3:33If you, let's say you're the home team and you can get out of
- 3:37the 10th inning without giving up a run and all you got to do
- 3:40is score one run, you know, bottom of the tenth, you know,
- 3:43you start with a ghost runner on 2nd, can you bunt them over,
- 3:46move them over, SAC fly, boom, you win the game.
- 3:49Of course, the Cubs threaten but cannot score in the bottom of
- 3:52the 10th. And then the floodgates
- 3:55absolutely open up. Ryan Presley, when he came on,
- 3:58I'm like, OK, pretty good pitcher.
- 3:59I think of Presley as a really good reliever.
- 4:01He's a closer there for a while with the Houston Astros.
- 4:05But Ryan Presley, I believe he gave up nine, either eight or
- 4:08nine runs and didn't record a single out.
- 4:10It was comical. It hurts so much.
- 4:13So that's a brutal 1. Again, when you have the chance
- 4:16to walk it off and you don't, I feel like always, you know, the
- 4:19next team up in the top of the 11th will just, you know, score
- 4:22a bunch of runs. And that's exactly what
- 4:23happened. And then I was, of course,
- 4:26looking to sweat the Tigers last night.
- 4:28That game gets rained out in Colorado.
- 4:30So what are you going to do? But anyway, guys, we're we're
- 4:33reading the market, we're betting good numbers, just not
- 4:35getting the brakes right now. So we just got to keep on
- 4:37grinding and keep on sticking to the model in the blueprint.
- 4:40So 1 and 2 -, 1.39 units last night.
- 4:43Let's see if we can get it back for today.
- 4:46Now, I want to start off with some Major League Baseball
- 4:48because there's a an early game here.
- 4:51I want to make sure we can talk about it, give you the chance to
- 4:53bet it if you want to. And it is a early match up. 2:20
- 4:57PM Eastern Time, going right back to the scene of the crime,
- 5:00San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs at Wrigley.
- 5:03Let's talk about this one. It's the rubber match.
- 5:05Of course, I'll see if we can get a winner to start the day,
- 5:08which would be which would be great.
- 5:10Now Cubs come in 22 and 15. Remember they won the opener
- 5:139:00 to 2:00 for us. They cruised as a -, 175 home
- 5:16favorite. But then the G men, 23 and 14
- 5:19this year, bounced back with a huge explosion in the extra
- 5:22innings, winning 15 or 14 to 5 as a + 125 Rd. dog.
- 5:27So pitching match up here in the series finale, we got the G men
- 5:30going with the lefty Robbie Ray. He's 4 and O3 point O 5 ERA.
- 5:35Meanwhile, the Cubbies are going to go with the righty Ben Brown.
- 5:37He's three and two of the 4.88 ERA.
- 5:41Now what have we seen across the market?
- 5:42Well, nothing but steam on the Cubbies.
- 5:45I'm going right back to the Cubs here, guys.
- 5:46They owe US1 after that implosion in extra innings last
- 5:49night. But this game open with Chicago
- 5:51as low as a -, 120 -, 130 home favorite.
- 5:55We've now seen the sign get all the way up to cubbies -160 now I
- 6:00jumped on the Cubs -155 as always, you can get those best
- 6:03bets a little bit earlier by signing up for the Juice Reel
- 6:06ASG podcast plays, which again, I consider the tip jar.
- 6:11But anyway, I got a -, 155 right now.
- 6:14Your best number is -160 I see some shops.
- 6:17I believe that -160 is bet MGM couple others even as high as
- 6:21-165 S nothing but one way steam on the Cubbies.
- 6:25Now look at the bet splits look pretty good on Chicago at Circa.
- 6:29Right now Cubs are only getting 36% of money line bets, but 94%
- 6:34of money line dollars. So a really big low bets, higher
- 6:37dollar sharp split and further evidence of those bigger sharper
- 6:40wagers going with the Cubs. Got some system matches on the
- 6:44Cubbies. I have a nine system or 9
- 6:46systems lit up on Chicago. Here's some of the best ones.
- 6:49Home favorites with a winning record.
- 6:51They're 123 and 62 this year, 67 percent, 7% ROI.
- 6:56Home favorites off a loss, the bounce back system, 85 and 4864
- 7:01percent, 7% ROI. Then we look at when both teams
- 7:05are above 500, take the favorite, very simple, but that
- 7:09system is 47 and 3061 percent, 4% ROI and just your bigger
- 7:14favorites, home favorites -150 or more.
- 7:17They're one O 9 and 4770% this year with a 4% ROI.
- 7:22In particular, the Cubs have been really good off a loss.
- 7:25They're actually the best team in baseball coming off a loss.
- 7:28They're 10 and 283%. So hopefully they can, you know,
- 7:31bounce back after that pathetic X training performance last
- 7:34night. Cubs also have some correlative
- 7:37betting favorite low total. So total this game is 7 1/2 or 7
- 7:41again, fair amount of expected runs scored, more likely to come
- 7:44from that quote UN quote better team who's expected to win.
- 7:46And hopefully the Cubs bats can show up again.
- 7:49They they battled enough to tie the game.
- 7:51There was a play there with Dansby Swanson.
- 7:53I think it was the was it the 9th or the 10th?
- 7:55But there are multiple guys on and he lined out the 3rd.
- 7:58So hey, what are you going to do?
- 7:59But the Cubs bats have been better this year, hitting 26155
- 8:03homers, 222 runs scored. The G men are only hitting 236
- 8:07on the year, 39 homers, 180 runs scored.
- 8:11Little cherry on top. I popped open the Juice Reel app
- 8:14and identified a 24% sharp mush edge on the Cub.
- 8:19So 24% more of the sharper winning betters are going Cubs
- 8:23as opposed to the again profit deficient betters who are
- 8:26leaning more to plus money San Fran.
- 8:28But big steam. You had me at the steam system.
- 8:31Matches, bet splits, correlative betting, bounce back spot.
- 8:35Let's go Cubbies. I got a -. 155 again, I believe
- 8:39-160 at Bet MGM is now your best price.
- 8:42Next one for you. Boy, is this team annoying me
- 8:46and letting me down recently. My Boston Red Sox, Red Sox at
- 8:49home tonight against the Texas Rangers and I'm playing the Sox,
- 8:53even though they look terrible and it looks gross, it's pretty
- 8:56sharp. So first pitch, 6:45 at Fenway
- 8:59tonight, second game of the series.
- 9:01The Rangers, who are now 18 and 18.
- 9:03They won last night's series opener 6 to 1 as a -. 115 Rd.
- 9:07favorite rematch. Tonight we got the Rangers going
- 9:10with the ready Tyler Maley. He is 3 and one with a 1.19 ERA.
- 9:15Meanwhile, the Sox 18 and 19 on the year.
- 9:18I cannot believe they're now below 500, but they're going to
- 9:20go with the ready Tanner how he's Owen to the 6.38 ERA.
- 9:24So what have you seen across the market here?
- 9:26Well, this game opened Red Sox around a -, 120 home favorite,
- 9:30Texas around a plus one O 5 Rd. dog.
- 9:32And I would kind of assume like, hey, Red Sox stink.
- 9:36Meili's got this great ERAI was expecting this line to fall and
- 9:40become more of a pick em, but that's not what's happened.
- 9:42We've actually seen steam hit Boston to get back on track.
- 9:45Hopefully Red Sox have now been steamed up -120 up to -130 even
- 9:51-135 across the market. I still think you can get a 1:30
- 9:55at FanDuel or bet MGM. Again, a lot of other books are
- 9:58a little bit higher. And I'll just tell you as a Red
- 9:59Sox fan, one infuriating thing that's happening right now.
- 10:03If you're like me and your Sox fan, are you listening to talk
- 10:05radio or you just pay attention? Tristan Costas is out for the
- 10:09year. He was terrible anyway.
- 10:10But everyone wants Rafael Devers to move from DH to first base.
- 10:16It's makes total sense then that you can bring up like Roman
- 10:19Anthony or Marcelo Meyer or Masayoshita and Rafael Devers
- 10:23will not move off of DH. The Red Sox won't even ask him
- 10:27to move and play first base. It would make total sense if
- 10:30Devers became a first baseman. He won't do it.
- 10:32Sox won't ask him to do it. So it's that's pretty
- 10:35frustrating. You know, do you want to win?
- 10:37The best thing for the team is Devers to play first and he
- 10:39won't do it and the Sox won't ask him to do it.
- 10:41So boy is that frustrating. But anyway, hopefully they can
- 10:45win tonight. I love the splits on Boston
- 10:47tonight. It's basically a 5050 line move
- 10:50at Circa or sorry, at DraftKings.
- 10:52Red Sox are only getting 54% of money line bets but 63% of money
- 10:57line dollars. And at Circa they're only
- 10:59getting 50% of money line bets but 89% of money line dollars.
- 11:04So basically at Circa as well as DraftKings, you're kind of
- 11:09getting 5050 undecided public. But the big money in the line
- 11:12move is going toward Boston. So it kind of excites me about
- 11:15the Red Sox here tonight. They are lighting up five
- 11:18systems for me. Home favorites 224 and one 2564
- 11:22percent 5% ROI this year. Home favorites off a loss 85 and
- 11:264864 percent 7% ROI below 500 Favorite playing an opponent who
- 11:32missed the playoffs the previous year. 84 and 4565% with an 8%
- 11:37ROI. Didn't come through last night,
- 11:40but hopefully the bats show up today and get the Tyler melee.
- 11:43The Red Sox are hitting 253 on the year, 42 homers, 180 runs
- 11:47scored. Texas only hitting 23431 homers
- 11:51and 119 runs scored. Red Sox have a non division
- 11:54favorite system match. Lack of familiarity, benefiting
- 11:57quote UN quote. The better team was expected to
- 11:59win. And Tanner, how his numbers
- 12:01don't look great. He's got an 8.63 ERA on the
- 12:04road, but he's actually been pretty good at home. 2.13 ERA
- 12:08and the Red Sox are hitting 261 at home this year.
- 12:10That's the 6th best in baseball. Rangers only hitting 229 on the
- 12:14road that ranks 17th. Lastly, O open Juice Reel,
- 12:18another good shar mush edge on the Red Sox.
- 12:20That is a 25% shar mush edge telling us the bigger winning
- 12:24players are going Red Sox here in the Juice Reel.
- 12:27AO again looks gross. A-Team that's struggled, Texas,
- 12:30you know, won last night and has a good ERA pitcher on the bump.
- 12:34This kind of one of those fishy plays where I got to stay true
- 12:36to the market and play the Red Sox, not because they're my
- 12:38favorite team. They're pissing me off right
- 12:40now. I'm playing them because they're
- 12:41checking off boxes for us as data-driven better.
- 12:44So I got Red Sox -130 again, I think you can still get them 130
- 12:49a couple books, but again, shop around because a couple others
- 12:52are at -135 last bite of the night and MLB for you.
- 12:56Before we get to a hockey play, let's look toward a late night
- 12:59sweat. 9:38 PM Eastern Time, Toronto Blue Jays visiting the
- 13:04LA Angels going in this one we have the Angels 14 and 20.
- 13:08They won last night's series opener 8 to 3, cashed as a + 100
- 13:12home dog rematch. Tonight we got the Jays who are
- 13:1416 and 19 going with the ready Jose Berrios.
- 13:18He's one and one with a 3.98 ER 8.
- 13:20Meanwhile, the Angels are going to send out the lefty.
- 13:22You say Kikuchi? He's Owen four with a 4.21 ERA.
- 13:27So what have you seen across the market here?
- 13:28Well, a little sneaky movement on the Jays.
- 13:31I like the Jays here, guys. Here guys.
- 13:33They open this game around a -, 110 -, 115 short Rd. favorite.
- 13:38We've now seen the Jays get steamed up -120 some shops even
- 13:42closer to -125 SA little bit of movement on Toronto here.
- 13:46I like the splits on Toronto at DraftKings. 70% bets, 84%
- 13:51dollars. At Circa, 86% bets, 99% dollars.
- 13:56So again, when you're combining the line move with sharp splits,
- 14:00low bets, higher dollars at both DraftKings and Circa, that's
- 14:03always kind of a good sign that the market and the splits are
- 14:05kind of telling you the same story.
- 14:07Some system matches here, I have three of them on Toronto,
- 14:10favorites off a loss, 133 and 8362 percent, 3% ROI.
- 14:16Another system that was just on the Red Sox is that below 500
- 14:19favorite playing an opponent who missed the playoffs 84 and 4565
- 14:24percent 8% ROI. We have another non division
- 14:27favorite system match. So lack of familiarity
- 14:30benefiting quote UN quote. The better team was expected to
- 14:32win. Look at the pitchers here,
- 14:34starting pitchers Brios he he's got a 2.6 O ERA on the road
- 14:40versus 5 point O1 at home. So he's been pretty good on the
- 14:43road and also the Jays are five and one in this last six starts.
- 14:48Meanwhile, the Angel is just one and six in Kikuchi. 7 starts.
- 14:51Toronto is hitting 246 against lefties this year.
- 14:54That's 12th best in baseball. LA is only hitting 220 against
- 14:58righties. That ranks 28th.
- 15:00So not a massive steam move, not as big as like the Cubs steam or
- 15:03the Red Sox steam, but a little movement toward Toronto.
- 15:06Good bet splits. I'm going to.
- 15:08I want to back burritos over Kikuchi.
- 15:10Let's see if the Jays can hopefully bounce back with a win
- 15:12tonight in Hollywood. So give me Toronto.
- 15:15Shop around around -120 upwards of -124 around there.
- 15:21But let's go Jays. So Cubs, Red Sox, Jays, can we
- 15:24find a way to get two of those? That is the goal now.
- 15:28It's been a while. I've been waiting to pick my
- 15:30spot. I found a spot tonight.
- 15:32Let's do that. Hockey.
- 15:34You remember that one? Was it Kendrick Lamar or who was
- 15:36it on SNL? But it was pretty funny.
- 15:39I forgot who it was. But anyway, I'm focusing on
- 15:41Florida and Toronto. Big game here, obviously in the
- 15:44second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
- 15:46We have the Leafs up one O The Leafs won that first Game 5 to
- 15:504. Now we're going to Game 2 and
- 15:53still in Toronto before it switches back to Florida.
- 15:56And I like the Florida Panthers to get a win tonight, not
- 15:59because of my bias in my opinion, but because what the
- 16:01market is telling me. So the first thing I noticed for
- 16:03this game is a pretty sharp line move on Florida.
- 16:06Florida open this game as low as a -, 120 -, 125 Rd. favorite.
- 16:12Florida has now been steamed up to -140 even -145 across the
- 16:17market. So right off the bat, big steam,
- 16:19big money hitting Florida. Then we get to the bet.
- 16:22Splits look pretty sharp on Florida as well.
- 16:25At DraftKings, 61% of money line bets 79% of money line dollars.
- 16:31At circa 65% bets 91% dollars. So we got the steam move toward
- 16:37the Panthers. We got low bets, higher dollars
- 16:39on the Panthers. We also have quite a few system
- 16:41matches on Florida. Number one is post season
- 16:45favorites off a loss, kind of a bounce back system.
- 16:48You lose, you got to come back the next game and win.
- 16:51That's fourteen and seven this year, 67 percent, 8% ROI.
- 16:56If you are have playoff experience and you're desperate
- 16:58off a loss, so you made the playoffs the previous year, you
- 17:01kind of know what it takes to bounce back in the Stanley Cup
- 17:03playoffs. 18 and 11 this year, 62 percent, 9% ROI.
- 17:09Those are all matching on Florida.
- 17:11If you look in general favorites in the postseason, they're
- 17:14pretty much break even. They are 30 and 18.
- 17:18You're basically down like 1 unit or like half a unit.
- 17:22If you do look at this spot though, if you can layer in the
- 17:26favorite off a loss and it layer an experience, that's really the
- 17:29big advantage. But the other angle that I like
- 17:33to play Florida tonight, not just that they're a battle
- 17:35tested team. They won the Cup last year, they
- 17:37got out, you know, really stacked roster.
- 17:40But it's the goaltending matchup tonight because we're going to
- 17:42get Sergey Bobrowski for Florida, who plays every game
- 17:46obviously. But there has been a change in
- 17:48Toronto. It was stole our Anthony
- 17:52Stollars. He had a really good year, 2.14
- 17:54goals against 926, eight percentage.
- 17:57But he got hurt in the last game and he got pulled.
- 17:59There's a big, you know, kind of drama about did Sam Bennett mean
- 18:03to hurt him, yadda yadda. He didn't get suspended.
- 18:05So I think it's kind of overblown.
- 18:06It look kind of incidental, but Bennett does have a pass to
- 18:09history of, you know, kind of, you know, beating up guys.
- 18:13But anyway, still ours is out and it's going to be Joseph Wall
- 18:17in goal tonight for Toronto. Now I just gave you still ours
- 18:202.14 goals against, 926 save percentage this year.
- 18:24Wall not quite as good. 2.7 Three goals against, nine O 9
- 18:27save percentage. When Stolars got hurt, Wall came
- 18:31in and he gave up three goals in only 29 minutes.
- 18:35So basically that's a goals against of six.
- 18:37Half a game he played, he gave up three goals.
- 18:40Prior to that he hadn't played since April 17th.
- 18:43So is this line moving toward Florida because of the goalie
- 18:46change? You know, if Stolars was
- 18:48playing, would it still move toward Florida?
- 18:50We'll kind of never know. But if you're giving me a proud,
- 18:54experienced Florida Panthers team, who doesn't want to go
- 18:57down O2, they got a line move, big steam, great bet splits and
- 19:02they're going up against the backup goalie in a must win
- 19:05spot. That sounds pretty good to me.
- 19:07So I'm laying it with Florida tonight hoping the Panthers can
- 19:10get a win. Shop around.
- 19:11I got Panthers at -140 so that about does it. 4 episode 273 of
- 19:18the All systems go Sports Betting podcast powered by
- 19:21Rhythm. As always, this is the part of
- 19:23the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
- 19:26thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 19:28out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
- 19:31the virtual bar. And so it's some sharp
- 19:33data-driven breakdowns with me. I'm very proud to host this pod
- 19:36each day, win, lose or draw. You know, I always want to
- 19:39highlight winners, but we know that sports betting is pretty
- 19:41hard. So this is really a pod about
- 19:44sticking to the model and grinding out winning days as
- 19:47many as you can. But if you do enjoy this pod, if
- 19:49it's maybe become a part of your handicapping routine and maybe a
- 19:53tail a few bets, you can fade them too.
- 19:54You can do whatever you want. But I hope you value the
- 19:56insights because again, every pod I play, I give you, it's not
- 20:00an opinion. These are all based on data.
- 20:02Well, every day to play when no, but long term, it's going to win
- 20:05more than it loses. So we're always playing that
- 20:07long game. But if you enjoy the pod, could
- 20:09you please give it a five star review in the App Store or star
- 20:14or sorry in the wherever your podcast, basically Spotify,
- 20:18iTunes. Five star review would go a long
- 20:20way to helping us grow the pod. If you want to review, leave a
- 20:23nice comment. Hey, I'll take it if you want to
- 20:25click the follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
- 20:27as it drops each day. Even better if you want to
- 20:29recommend the pod to a friend, that would also be very much
- 20:32appreciated. Next, if you enjoy this style of
- 20:35betting, breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting,
- 20:39again, sticking to the model, sticking to the blueprint,
- 20:41making bets with our head and not our heart.
- 20:43If this style of betting has appealed to you, you see the
- 20:45value of it. You're now seeing yourself.
- 20:47Pay attention to line movement and bet splits and system
- 20:49matches. Well, guess what?
- 20:51If you want to learn more about data-driven betting, I'd highly
- 20:54recommend buying one of my books.
- 20:56Go to Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to Sports
- 21:00betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
- 21:02friend. It's got everything I've learned
- 21:03in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
- 21:06they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
- 21:08action, how to go contrarian, how to set up a bankroll
- 21:11management plan, how to place a bet in person or online.
- 21:14It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
- 21:16Betting. While you're at it, you should
- 21:19also pre-order a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
- 21:22It's my new book all about how to approach the NFL from a
- 21:25data-driven perspective. I cannot wait for it to drop.
- 21:29It's coming out August 12th, so cannot wait for that.
- 21:31But if you want to pre-order a copy, you would make me very
- 21:34happy. You would make my publishers
- 21:36very happy. So the everything guide, the NFL
- 21:39Sharp betting playbook. Pick up a copy, pre-order one,
- 21:42bring them to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 21:44I'll buy you beer or ginger ale or we'll sweat some games
- 21:46together. How about that next?
- 21:49Have you downloaded Rhythm or Juice Reel yet?
- 21:51Well, if you haven't, what are you waiting for?
- 21:53Go download the two favorite sports betting apps of mine.
- 21:57Just go to the App Store, type in rhythm RITHMM.
- 22:01They do a great job of powering this pod, providing us AI backed
- 22:04models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:07Also give a shout out to everybody who tuned into the
- 22:09live stream yesterday. Actually added a couple plays
- 22:12with who was it, Tyler Anderson over 3 1/2 KS.
- 22:17That was a late rhythm play that we mentioned on the live stream
- 22:19yesterday. And then also Benedict Mathuran
- 22:22over 9 1/2 points. Couple winners there, which was
- 22:24nice, but you can check out all these player props and
- 22:28predictions from rhythm and then also go download juice reel.
- 22:32You can just download juice from the App Store as well and all
- 22:36you got to do is get it up and running 7 day free trial for
- 22:40both of these great apps, But once you do, you can sign up for
- 22:44the all systems go best bet picks again, this pod is free,
- 22:48so you can go. I hold my hat out for the tip
- 22:51jar. If you enjoy the pod, is it
- 22:53worth $4.99 a week to you? I hope that the answer is yes.
- 22:57If so, go sign up to get those best bets from Juice Reel and
- 23:01you'll get the plays earlier, hopefully beat some closing
- 23:03lines and you know that you're supporting the pod, so that'll
- 23:05make my day. But not just the all systems go
- 23:08best bets. You're going to get the Robo
- 23:09Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush edges, the arbitrage
- 23:13plays, the shop for the best line futures, syncing up your
- 23:15sports books, getting a running report card of your action, as
- 23:19well as getting actual dollar breakdowns bets in dollars from
- 23:22everyone who synced up their books for every single game.
- 23:25I always kind of like it always kind of is intriguing to me.
- 23:27Like you know, $25,000 on this money line and you know $18,000
- 23:32on that one. That's real money coming from
- 23:34people who have synced up their sports books.
- 23:36So download rhythm and download juice real.
- 23:38You'll be off and running on my two favorite sports betting
- 23:40apps. And while you're at it, give
- 23:42them a five star review in the App Store.
- 23:44Next, do you have a live odds page?
- 23:47Well, if you don't, I don't know how you're betting on sports
- 23:49because sports betting is hard enough.
- 23:50But how do you know what to what games are available to you?
- 23:54How are you betting if you don't know what the line opened at and
- 23:56how it's moved? How are you betting if you can't
- 23:58shop for the best line and find the best price?
- 24:01The live odds page is a critical aspect of betting on sports
- 24:05because it's basically your Bible, your starting point, and
- 24:07it's the, you know, the website you you bookmark and you're on,
- 24:10you know, pretty much all day because you got to be tracking
- 24:12the numbers and monitoring the market.
- 24:15I know there's a lot of live odds pages out there, but I
- 24:17would recommend giving a shot to to odds logic.
- 24:21Odds logic is the best and most valuable odds page around.
- 24:26It's going to again, give you all the games.
- 24:28I just tweeted today about WNBA pre season just came back and
- 24:31odds logic gives you WNBA splits the odds as well.
- 24:36All the major sports included also.
- 24:38But odds Logic is great. I would highly recommend signing
- 24:42up and giving it a trial. If you go to oddslogic.com/josh
- 24:47123, again, make sure it's odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 24:52That'll give you a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your
- 24:55first month so you'll be off and running with I would argue the
- 24:58best live odds page around. So that about does it for
- 25:02today's pod episode 273. As always guys, I'll leave you
- 25:06with a couple things. One, whether I see you at the
- 25:08Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 25:11Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 25:14Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
- 25:17casino MGM Springfield. Or of course in my neck of the
- 25:20woods, the Nash up in Nashville, New Hampshire.
- 25:23Or of course out in the desert where the true grinders get
- 25:25down. Or Billy Walters sends his
- 25:26number runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the
- 25:29South Point. Or Sweat and sharp contrarian
- 25:31plays jumping in the stadium swim pool when he cashed a big
- 25:34ticket at Circa Whatever you do, don't show me Cubs or Cabs
- 25:38bullpen implosion. Great CLV.
- 25:41Tell me you can't get at least one of those.
- 25:43That's frustrating. But you can show me a Twins
- 25:45ticket. Really.
- 25:46No, no sweat there. And guess what?
- 25:48First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 25:49Will post about the book Sweat sharp contrarian plays all night
- 25:52long. So wish you the best of luck.
- 25:54Everyone have a great Wednesday. Let's get some winners here on
- 25:59on the Diamond. And wouldn't be nice to get back
- 26:02into hockey and get a winner with the Panthers tonight.
- 26:04Fingers crossed. Good luck to those of you who
- 26:07are going to torture yourselves once again with the NBA
- 26:09postseason. I need a night off again.
- 26:12CLV and losing 2 straight that just, I need, I need a break.
- 26:16But anyway, guys, as always, 1 and 2, two and one, O and three,
- 26:22three and O. We just got to stick to the
- 26:24model, stick to the blueprint. Never get too high, never get
- 26:27too low, never get cocky when things are going our way, never
- 26:30getting down on ourselves when we're getting bad beats and COV
- 26:33and losing. We just got to stay true to the
- 26:35model and you probably know the model by now, but if you don't,
- 26:38here's what it is. Against the public, with the
- 26:41house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that COVI
- 26:45know it hurts when we get it and we lose.
- 26:47But if we continue getting COV long term over hundreds and
- 26:49thousands of bets, it's going to increase our chances of winning.
- 26:53So on a one off, anything can happen.
- 26:55But if we can stay true to this model long term, we're going to
- 26:57be successful sports bettors. So have a great Wednesday,
- 27:00everybody. I will see you tomorrow.
- 27:02I'll be right back at it. That'll be a Thirsty Thursday
- 27:04edition episode 274 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
- 27:09podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 27:12great Wednesday night.