Latest / Nonsense with cj little and Jeff Parker / EoY Nonsensical Predictions for 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to Nonsense Season 3, Episode 68, our big story and
- 0:02our final show of the year. I'm Jeff Parker.
- 0:04I'm still. We're off for the next two
- 0:05weeks, but we'll of course see you in the new year.
- 0:07Yay. This time we are looking at the
- 0:09Oracle is out of the office. Educated guesses for
- 0:12unprecedented times. Up next.
- 0:14Did you know that slop is Merriam Webster's 2025 Word of
- 0:17the Year? I had heard that they define
- 0:19slop as digital content of low quality that's usually produced
- 0:22in quantity by means of artificial intelligence.
- 0:25Something people have gotten pretty used to is AI generated
- 0:27content, just as everywhere on the Internet.
- 0:29Yeah, but. What's so cool about that is
- 0:31clearly the fine folks at Miriam Webster.
- 0:32Listen to our show. You think our our show is just
- 0:36slop? I feel like that got them over
- 0:37the top. They were just like, oh, we need
- 0:39a word for this. And they were like.
- 0:41I'm thrilled we're part of the word of the Year then.
- 0:42That's green on the nonsense or slop.
- 0:44They just want to give us the free advertising, so they went
- 0:46with Slop. We should rename the show slop.
- 0:48I'm in just slop. I mean, we start a new season in
- 0:51a couple weeks. We could just call it slop.
- 0:52Give it a new. Name I.
- 0:53I do think it's important though, before we go any further
- 0:55in our last show of the year, I have to get like a like an
- 0:57errata out of the sorts from from the show earlier this week.
- 1:01I gotta get that out of the way. It's not really an errata 'cause
- 1:03if we did erratas we wouldn't have a show.
- 1:05It would just be 1 errata after another correcting the previous
- 1:08errata. So you're already errataing your
- 1:10errata. Your errata is not an errata.
- 1:12That's your yes meta errata. Yes, it is my meta errata.
- 1:15It's really more of a missed opportunity.
- 1:16My children, Fortunately, they to listen to the show still.
- 1:19Yeah, and they're the ones that caught it.
- 1:21It wasn't even me. This episode right now is our
- 1:24162nd episode, which is amazing and exciting.
- 1:27But what we missed earlier this week was extremely simple.
- 1:30It was Season 3, episode 67. My kids heard you say it and
- 1:35they immediately went 6767. Oh yeah, in the.
- 1:38Backseat, I was like, how did we miss that?
- 1:40How did we miss the 6-7 opportunity?
- 1:42We're looking to get it once a season at best.
- 1:44'Cause I'm a boomer and you're right behind me.
- 1:46Yeah, I mean, that is really the answer.
- 1:47And I realized that 6-7 is like kind of already jumped the shark
- 1:51and my job is to help it get there, push it over.
- 1:52So anyway, so my non arata is we just missed earlier this week
- 1:55the 6-7 joke that was right in front of us and we could not
- 1:58reach out and grab it. Well, probably for the better.
- 2:00And on that happy thought, New Year's spoiler alert, CJ and a
- 2:03maker. Probably wrong predictions for
- 2:052026. Let's go.
- 2:06Robert Evente Incorrecto. Oh boy.
- 2:25Man, I start talking about predictions and I just get all
- 2:28worked up, all sweaty, hot and bond.
- 2:30Take off your shirt there and the music.
- 2:31Did you? Yeah.
- 2:32I just, I had to disrobe a little because while that music
- 2:35was playing, I realized this is we're going to go toe to toe
- 2:37here on some of these. Listener, I got a little strip
- 2:39show there. You overpaid and he didn't pay,
- 2:43which is the funny part. OK, listen, we did predictions
- 2:45last year and we had some winners, we had some losers.
- 2:47It was not perfect, of course. I mean, it wasn't, it was in
- 2:49February. It wasn't really last year.
- 2:50I don't know why. I know it felt like last year,
- 2:52but we somehow couldn't get our act to together at the end of
- 2:54last year, so we did it in February.
- 2:56I guess to be fair, there was like a fire, like I did have to
- 2:59evacuate. Yeah, the.
- 3:00Fire blew out the episode. The fire gonna blow out the
- 3:02episode, so whatever, I'm glad we're doing it at the end of
- 3:05this year. So we're doing better this year.
- 3:07The ones we got right, commercially available roll up
- 3:09LCD screens. That wasn't super popular, but a
- 3:12laptop came out that had a roll up LCD screen.
- 3:14Pretty cool. AI in the workforce becomes
- 3:16standard. Yeah, it's pretty much happened.
- 3:18I mean, it was kind of already there.
- 3:19I think even when we read it, you were like, dude, you picked
- 3:21one that has already happened. So you sure we can take that
- 3:23one? Wearable eyeglasses powered from
- 3:25your phone? Yeah.
- 3:26Another one that basically existed when we said it but but
- 3:29certainly has continued. I've I've just worn some
- 3:31recently that were pretty cool. Were they any good?
- 3:32Were they useful? They were very interesting, boy.
- 3:34That's a qualified response. Yeah, more aligned with you got
- 3:38to set your expectations. They're more aligned with like a
- 3:40really modern and non nerdy version of Google Glass.
- 3:44So you get a very small focus area that's projected, but the
- 3:48resolution and the color and the brightness was exceptional and
- 3:52it didn't get in your way. And the glasses, they did not
- 3:54make you look like a super dork, they just make you look like a
- 3:56regular dork wearing glasses, not like a not like a super.
- 3:59Dork who makes these the. The pair that I was wearing was
- 4:01from a company called Every Site and they are interesting.
- 4:04They're they're doing more of AB to B model to start, but they've
- 4:07got some really cool stuff and it's all phone driven, so the
- 4:11device is really just a display device.
- 4:12But I got to audition their unreleased pair that I think
- 4:15they're launching at CES in a couple weeks, which has a camera
- 4:18on it and that's pretty cool. So now you can start to have it
- 4:21have some awareness of your surrounding.
- 4:22That's cool, but it's pretty neat and they definitely had
- 4:24these out last year in many capacities.
- 4:26You're going to see more of these.
- 4:27Satellite Internet services will become more prevalent.
- 4:29That happened to I. Would argue this is the one that
- 4:31we missed in the other direction it's become even more prevalent
- 4:34than I would have expected yeah, you now have multiple countries
- 4:37country states that are that are going after this you're.
- 4:39About to have multiple. Companies too, yeah.
- 4:41I mean, we're, we're, well, we already have.
- 4:42I mean, you've already got Amazon who's got a demonstrable
- 4:45product up. There, Kuiper's not really a
- 4:46commercial product yet it will be.
- 4:47Short, yeah, yeah, but I mean you're they're talking about by
- 4:4920-30 having over 70,000 satellites in low Earth or Oh
- 4:54yeah, that's a function of reduced cost, right And as those
- 4:55costs keep going down, these number of sets keep going up
- 4:59both. The cost of the satellite is
- 5:00getting cheaper and the cost of getting into the space is much
- 5:02cheaper. Yep.
- 5:03And when we sort of got right was AI regulation.
- 5:05Yeah. We, we thought it was going to
- 5:06be a little more regulated than it has been.
- 5:08There has certainly been some regulation, There's been some
- 5:11enforcement under that. Not really a lot.
- 5:13I think we kind of got that one probably 1/3 right.
- 5:15I think we both expected a little more, but generally
- 5:17speaking we're in the right domain.
- 5:18And the ones we got absolutely wrong Increased focus on tech
- 5:21enabled human interactions. Yeah, that that does doesn't
- 5:24seem to have happened. Holographic displays for
- 5:26commercial use unless you're Tupac hard no news and
- 5:28information communication tipping point.
- 5:30That was the one that I. Really, I really did.
- 5:32We are you and I were both very optimistic that that that was
- 5:34going to happen and that was getting more, more technology in
- 5:38how you gathered your news and information.
- 5:40I don't really think that's changed at all in the past.
- 5:43Year an increased split between return to work and remote.
- 5:45Employees, yeah, that just seems like it's getting steamrolled
- 5:47more towards. Return to all go and return to
- 5:50work. Yeah yeah.
- 5:50Return to office. Yeah.
- 5:51AI into AI feedback loop in. Increases.
- 5:54Yeah, this is one that is hard for me to understand if it has
- 5:57or hasn't happened. AI reacting to AI.
- 5:59Yeah, basically it seems like the answer is no.
- 6:02They've been able to keep that under wraps at least through
- 6:052025. I don't really know, though.
- 6:07It's hard until you It's hard to peek behind the curtain to know,
- 6:09but it seems like the answer is no.
- 6:11AI hearing aids yeah didn't happen now anyone listening need
- 6:13that to happen soon. They.
- 6:14Can't hear you because they don't have the AI hearing aids.
- 6:17It would be. You could kind of maybe stretch
- 6:19this a little bit to think about the things that that both Apple
- 6:22and Google have released recently around like the the
- 6:25live translations that are happening.
- 6:27But that's not what you and I thought we were going to see.
- 6:29We thought we were going. To see that's not what I mean.
- 6:30Yeah, they weren't going to do frequency isolation.
- 6:32They were going to actually pick out voices.
- 6:34I still think this is coming. Right, we were just earlier.
- 6:36Here in 2025. Yeah, productivity augmentation
- 6:38through personalization. Tiny bit, but not enough for me
- 6:41to call this a win. This was, you know, where you're
- 6:42getting your specialized helper like your assistant that knows
- 6:46the things you need to do. So sort of a more agentic
- 6:48approach. I do think this is this is
- 6:50coming real soon, but I don't think we got there this year.
- 6:52Portable power. Station I have the scale we
- 6:54visioned. You can still go buy big
- 6:55batteries that's the thing, right?
- 6:56Yeah, buy. Big batteries and there's
- 6:57actually even smaller ones that are available now that are that
- 7:00are great and price performance is incredible.
- 7:02I've got a couple of 300 water and a 500 water that I can just
- 7:05plug stuff into and they're really, really lovely.
- 7:07They're great. Not the Dynatecs, those are
- 7:09bound. Backwards, yes.
- 7:10So I was laughing. I figured that's what you're
- 7:12laughing at. Mine literally are 300 and 500
- 7:14watts. I swear I didn't just make that
- 7:15crazy, but I think we were thinking it's kind of a bigger
- 7:17scale. Right now.
- 7:17You can buy batteries that are like small or big, small or big,
- 7:21small or giant. That hookups to the oh you.
- 7:22Can buy giant bases. Your options, yeah.
- 7:24I mean, I guess if you've got a, if you've got an EV, some EV's
- 7:26allow you to to flow power both ways and you can use that as a
- 7:29battery for your house. Yeah, but that had that predated
- 7:31that. So I, I don't think we've seen
- 7:32this yet. I'm not sure there's gonna be a
- 7:34market for it, but but we do think it's something that's
- 7:36coming. I had my electrician out to look
- 7:38at putting in batteries so that I would have my refrigerator and
- 7:41freezer. Yeah, smart backup.
- 7:42I guess. We figured it all out and he
- 7:44looked at it and he goes, do you really think replacing the
- 7:46contents of your fridge and freezer is more expensive than
- 7:50putting in these batteries? I mean it was like there's just
- 7:52no way this works out. Dump out everything in your
- 7:55fridge and freezer and just start over.
- 7:56It's much cheap I'm. Look at my freezer, well full of
- 7:59a lot of meat from different. Countries mine is not.
- 8:01My popsicles are easily replaced and my thrifty ice cream I
- 8:04think. More often than not about one of
- 8:06my freezers taking a dump and then just just being so sad for
- 8:10the amount of of stuff that I would lose.
- 8:12But at the end of the day, he's right.
- 8:14Increase in tech supporting disaster preparedness and
- 8:16response well. I mean, look, when we came up
- 8:18with this, we had just come out of a fairly major disaster in
- 8:21Southern California. I haven't seen much here brought
- 8:24to market. My hunch is it's either in
- 8:26progress or has been done. We just haven't seen it.
- 8:28Yeah, I know there are folks that are working on autonomous
- 8:30drones for for like navigating to events, whether it's a fire
- 8:34or criminal activity. And that has been deployed to
- 8:36some extent. But I think we sort of both
- 8:38expected there to be more of that.
- 8:39But hey, look, Jeff, that was all 2025.
- 8:42Yes, that is correct. That's what that's done.
- 8:44It's over. We get to look forward to 2026.
- 8:46For 2026, the time for safe bets is over.
- 8:48The airhead is a battleground defined by relentless economic
- 8:51pressure and the explosion of a genetic AI for an inflection
- 8:54point. Will you and your firm ride the
- 8:56AI driven productivity wave or be crushed by its competitive
- 8:59force? Can companies survive another
- 9:01year of geopolitical shocks and unstable supply lines?
- 9:04This is not a forecast. This is a mandate for action.
- 9:06We've stripped away the noise to deliver some essential
- 9:08predictions, challenges that demand immediate, decisive
- 9:11strategy shifts. The future does not wait for
- 9:14consensus. Read, react and win.
- 9:16Sure, OK, True to the nonsense, building the categories for
- 9:19today's predictions are going to be business, tech and
- 9:22entertainment. And tech can be science and
- 9:24innovation as well. As always, we give short shrift
- 9:26to entertainment. Yeah, I don't know what we're
- 9:27doing to entertainment, but let's let we should just
- 9:29certainly pretend. I'm sure we can masquerade some
- 9:31entertainment predictions. Box office sales will go down.
- 9:35Oh, good job, they're related. Good job Kreskin.
- 9:37I mean look with AI and like Sora 2 how much longer is
- 9:41entertainment is we not even going to be around like that
- 9:43category might just self select itself out of our show.
- 9:45Yeah, maybe. Just a reminder, we have to
- 9:48choose from hopeful, probable or certain for each prediction.
- 9:51And this year we're adding a fourth choice, which is hard,
- 9:53no, something that absolutely is not going to happen.
- 9:55So you've got hard no and certain, like those are the the
- 9:58extremes 0 and one. And then you've got hopeful,
- 10:00which is like, yeah, maybe that's gonna happen.
- 10:02Like I'd like it to, but I don't see it likely.
- 10:04Yeah, sure, yeah, yeah. So you've got hopeful, which is
- 10:06like probably unlikely, but I'd love for it to happen.
- 10:08And then you've got probable, which is like, I think it's
- 10:10gonna happen, but I want to commit certainty to it.
- 10:12Is that the basic? Yeah, OK.
- 10:13Let's start with business. Do you have a prediction for
- 10:15business? Oh, yeah.
- 10:16So we talked about return to office.
- 10:18I think the sort of flexible two or three days in the office
- 10:21model has always been terrible. And that seems where folks have
- 10:23been sort of centering on, yeah, I think instead you're going to
- 10:26see Anchor days and this, I think this will be really smart.
- 10:28All coming in on. Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday are
- 10:30mandatory in office because there's no point in going into
- 10:33the office when no one else. There aren't going to be other
- 10:35people there, right? And there's barely a point in
- 10:36doing it when other people are there.
- 10:37But that's a separate debate. So I think you're going to see
- 10:39some sort of concept of like anchor days deployed across
- 10:42many, many businesses. My mind is blown at the fact
- 10:44that that work from home has not been more acceptable to large
- 10:48corporations. They really have just resisted
- 10:50this tremendously. Yeah, I mean, I like all things.
- 10:53I'm sure some small percentage of people have done a really
- 10:55good job of ruining it for the rest of.
- 10:57Us. I'm going to say probable
- 10:58because that just makes sense. Yeah, I'm going to go with
- 10:59probably certain on that. I feel pretty confident in that.
- 11:02These things are related, actually.
- 11:03Yeah. But it's, it seems tangentially,
- 11:04but it actually is completely related.
- 11:06Commercial real estate crisis will deepen.
- 11:08Oh, yeah. Commercial real estate defaults
- 11:10accelerate as hybrid work models solidify, forcing some major
- 11:13banks to write down significant portfolio losses in urban
- 11:16centers. Yeah, I, I, I, I would.
- 11:18I'm going to go ahead and call this one certain.
- 11:20The only reason I would not be certain is if they're just
- 11:22dragging their feet to write it down for for some reason.
- 11:25They always do. They drag it out as long as
- 11:26they. Can I mean, there was this
- 11:27movement around like, hey, we're gonna control these offices to
- 11:29residential buildings and I, you know, residential spaces it's.
- 11:32Really hard to, yeah. And, and some just can't support
- 11:35it. There's just no way to cost
- 11:36effectively support it. And I think that that is the
- 11:39thing I'm more concerned about is they're realizing that that
- 11:41is true. Like, so you're gonna see stuff,
- 11:43I don't know, 30 cents, $0.40 on the dollar.
- 11:46Like you're gonna see stuff go cheap that they're gonna have to
- 11:48write down and just, and just move.
- 11:49Yeah. I mean, we already have this.
- 11:51There's a decent number of of what I think of as like zombie
- 11:54commercial real estate, like stuff that's just empty and dead
- 11:57and it's not. Bad drive down Sunset Blvd.
- 12:00Not an unpopular St. You always say location,
- 12:02location location with real estate drive down Sunset Blvd.
- 12:04It is almost more empty than full.
- 12:06Yeah. OK, I'm pretty certain about
- 12:07that one. I'm pretty certain about that
- 12:08one too. Your turn.
- 12:09I've got one. I think you're going to see
- 12:11emergence of some sort of what I'm going to call proof of work
- 12:14software. And I think this is going to be
- 12:16to try to fill this glut of knowing if you're quote working
- 12:18or not. So instead of looking at like
- 12:20keystrokes or some stupid metric like that, Oh my gosh, it's
- 12:23going to be some sort of like proof of outcome or deliverable.
- 12:26I think there's a good way to do this and a bad way to do it.
- 12:28But I think you're going to see some emergence of like a
- 12:29standard of this is how we know you've done your thing.
- 12:32That gets us a scaler like yes or no.
- 12:34You've worked quote UN quote for the week.
- 12:35Yeah, those things always strike me as crazy, how you try to
- 12:38quantify work other than productivity, other than output
- 12:41of what we actually need you to be doing.
- 12:43Absolutely. I think productivity is the
- 12:44right metric. I think the problem is on some
- 12:47things productivity is really hard to define.
- 12:49Like if you're bending conduit as an electrician, it's
- 12:51relatively easy to go well. That looks complex.
- 12:54So we're going to slow, you know, we're going to expect less
- 12:55from you and all these bends over here.
- 12:57But this other thing is easy. I think it's easier to measure
- 12:59productivity. So you get into some of the
- 13:00knowledge work that it's just harder to know what that looks
- 13:02like. Yeah, you can spend, you know,
- 13:04this, you can spend hours, days staring at a problem set trying
- 13:07to solve it. And your output might only be a
- 13:09limited amount of of lines of code that might not be
- 13:12functional, but you might be 80% of the way through the problem.
- 13:15How do you measure that? Well, you have the AI measure it
- 13:16and finish the last 20% of the code.
- 13:18Yeah, I mean that that's what everybody thinks.
- 13:19I'm not convinced, but yeah, that's that's where we're
- 13:21headed. That strikes me as probable.
- 13:23Yeah, I'm going to. I'm going to go, yeah, probably
- 13:24probable on that. I feel like someone should
- 13:26probable in certain probable, plus I think I called it before.
- 13:28I like the idea. My next one is there will be
- 13:31more consolidation in financial services like the Discover
- 13:34Capital One merger. We're just going to consolidate,
- 13:36consolidate because that's what's happening right now.
- 13:38You have all you have to do is tip the president with a nice
- 13:41$20 million or something like that, and your merger gets
- 13:43approved. And so you're going to see lots
- 13:44of companies continuing to gobble up other companies.
- 13:46Are we still giving him the nonsense Peace Prize?
- 13:48Oh, of course, yeah. Who else would you give it?
- 13:49To I mean, otherwise we're not going to be able to buy our
- 13:51competing slop podcast. Our Slop podcast.
- 13:54Are you saying this at any level in particular, like at a
- 13:57national level or at a regional level, like regional banks
- 13:59gobbling each other? Up or it's hard to know about
- 14:00regions. Regionals kind of get gobble
- 14:02each other anyway. But I think at a national level
- 14:04you will have fewer financial service firms at the end of the
- 14:06year than you have at the beginning.
- 14:08Interesting. I would go I'd go with probable
- 14:10on that too. Your turn.
- 14:11I'm going to call this an entry level drought to our we already
- 14:14have sort of started to see this.
- 14:15I think it's going to ramp up. I suspect you're going to see
- 14:17about 1/3 less entry level analysts and like junior coders.
- 14:22Yeah, get hired because that's getting hand that out to, to
- 14:24more mid level and senior level folks via AI.
- 14:28And my fear is it's going to create this big training gap.
- 14:31The way you get into a senior role is by starting in a junior
- 14:33role. And if you don't have a place
- 14:34for the junior role, then what happens?
- 14:36Like I understand that the AI can do it, but now you're going
- 14:38to end up with this potential glut.
- 14:40I'm not saying folks aren't going to get to the the higher
- 14:42level, right? That's not what I'm saying.
- 14:43I they're not going to get down the same path.
- 14:45And I don't know what that looks like.
- 14:47And it's going to be really crappy.
- 14:48I think it already has been for a couple years and it will be
- 14:50for the next few years. For folks that are coming out of
- 14:53school with an expectation of doing what people did five years
- 14:56ago. Sure, sure.
- 14:57Like they've got to redefine what that looks like and I think
- 14:59that's great. I think that's opportunity.
- 15:00I don't, I'm not like losing sleep for them.
- 15:02I just think it's an opportunity for them to to pivot and do
- 15:05something differently, not enroll, but in approach to
- 15:07getting to that role that makes any sense.
- 15:08Nobody graduates college as a senior engineer.
- 15:11Yeah, of course of. Course, that just doesn't
- 15:12happen. So I like, let's talk about
- 15:14software because it's what you and I think of I think the most.
- 15:16Does that mean you see more folks working in like open
- 15:18projects potentially like a place they can just jump into?
- 15:21That could be a thing? Yeah, it's possible.
- 15:23And you could easily get from a junior coder.
- 15:25I'm out of school. I have no real experience to a
- 15:28senior level in a couple of years.
- 15:30You know, if you have an aggressive pace in open source
- 15:32projects. Yeah, as a potential employer,
- 15:33that's really interesting to me. I can see your entire body of
- 15:36work as opposed to you being a junior at at Meta for two years.
- 15:40I can't see any of your work, so I'm not sure how this is going
- 15:42to shake. Out yeah, that's interesting
- 15:43you're. Going to see less folks getting
- 15:44hired there in those junior roles.
- 15:46I'm going to say that I think you're.
- 15:47I think it's probable, but I think you're ahead of yourself.
- 15:49I think you're. Ahead of timelines ahead, Yeah,
- 15:51the timeline is. Going to happen in 2020. 6 The
- 15:52hard part really is driving this to time.
- 15:54I'm pretty certain you're gonna see the next couple of.
- 15:56Years, but absolutely we'll. See a lot more of it.
- 15:58I, I made-up a number of 1/3 next year.
- 16:00That's something we can quantify, but who knows, you
- 16:02know, it might be 10%, might be 40%, don't know.
- 16:04My next one is major US auto manufacturers will continue to
- 16:07avoid making a low cost BYD sort of electric car, which will
- 16:11leave a wide opening for a new. Player Interesting.
- 16:14You're predicting Stasis. You're saying like they're gonna
- 16:16keep doing what they've been doing.
- 16:17Right. Yeah, They want margins on
- 16:19things that cost them less money.
- 16:21Yeah, of course. Therefore they aren't gonna come
- 16:22down and make that Super or cheap Xiaomi car.
- 16:25How do you feel about Slate in that lineup?
- 16:27Do you do you think of Slate? As Slate's the one I'm thinking
- 16:31right, that can drive right into that hole.
- 16:32Like they're the closest to taking that approach where
- 16:35they've taken a real slim down starting, you know, starting
- 16:37from nothing, a real slim down. Like we're going to build
- 16:39transportation and get rid of all the extra crap.
- 16:42I can see the guys like Slate filling that hole for sure.
- 16:44But I agree with you, I would say certain on the big guys, the
- 16:47established players not doing this.
- 16:48So I would I would go certain on.
- 16:50That and it will hurt them that they miss this opportunity
- 16:52because it's going to be a big opportunity.
- 16:54So you're you're not shoving that genie back in the bottle.
- 16:56You can make these things for a lot less now.
- 16:57When you see the Xiaomi electric car and that's like a $42,000
- 17:00car or whatever it is and you see how luxurious and what a
- 17:04delightful vehicle this thing is for that price, you go wow, our
- 17:08car companies are all missing the boat I.
- 17:09Am certain the the big and medium sized guys aren't going
- 17:11to move into this space. You look at someone like Rivian,
- 17:13by the way, who is trying to go downmarket.
- 17:15They're going downmarket from the bigger, more expensive
- 17:17vehicle, but nowhere close to what you're talking about.
- 17:19Even there are three, which is years away, yeah, it's still
- 17:22going to not be one of these things.
- 17:23I think slight if and when it finally comes out, we'll be the
- 17:26ones who step into that gap and it will change.
- 17:28Everywhere were you on this? What was your?
- 17:29What was your ranking? I'm certain.
- 17:31I'm not certain of the timing, but I would like to think it
- 17:34will be this year. Yeah, OK.
- 17:35I'm with you on that. Back to to corporate HR for me,
- 17:37I've been sort of suggesting this for quite some time.
- 17:40I think you're going to see especially in the the larger
- 17:43corporate players as some sort of regulation around what I call
- 17:46overemployment. And this is specifically like
- 17:48working 2 full time jobs and saying you can't do this, right.
- 17:52Not for every role, but for many roles.
- 17:53And I think they're they're gonna require disclosure as
- 17:56opposed to bans over the other things that you're doing, which
- 17:59I do not think is unreasonable. I think how the employer
- 18:01responds to that could be reasonable or unreasonable.
- 18:03Sure. I don't think that's it's
- 18:04unreasonable for an employer to know what else you've got, so
- 18:07they can try to make sure they're considering that and how
- 18:09they treat. You there was a guy who had like
- 18:11two or three full time jobs. He couldn't possibly have had
- 18:13enough hours in his life. Yeah, and he got.
- 18:15Busted for it. Yeah, we talked about on the.
- 18:16Show. Yeah, that was an interesting
- 18:17story. That happens a lot.
- 18:18Most especially in the pandemic. There were a lot of folks that
- 18:21were doing that. They're just so I get a job over
- 18:22here and a job over here. Look at all this money I'm
- 18:23making. I'm like, you know, you're
- 18:24ruining it for everybody, including yourself, right?
- 18:26Right. So yeah, you know, short term
- 18:28income over long term industry I guess.
- 18:29Pretty certain on that one. Yeah, I want to be certain on
- 18:32this one. I'm somewhere between hopeful
- 18:34and probable. I'm definitely hopeful.
- 18:35I want to get the probable, just depends on how fast the
- 18:37corporate will will move. So I'm gonna go with probable,
- 18:39probable minus. I have one.
- 18:40More. I'm on business, and then we're
- 18:42gonna move on. You ready?
- 18:43Yeah. The Fed will cut rates three
- 18:45times, largely because of politicization, and especially
- 18:47after May with the new appointee, who will obviously be
- 18:51a dovish sure person because of the president's predilections
- 18:54with easy employment, will fight to stabilize as the rate of
- 18:57inflation increases. Normally I would say you're nuts
- 19:00to try to to try to predict this.
- 19:02Normally I would be like. There's no way to really know.
- 19:04Because we don't normally politicize the feds.
- 19:06Actually, in this particular example, I'm going to go ahead
- 19:09and give this certain, which is kind of nuts this.
- 19:11Is pretty predictable. To say certain on three cuts
- 19:15next year. Depends how long Congress takes
- 19:16to prove the new Fed chief, but of.
- 19:18Course, I think that's also going to go probably pretty
- 19:20quick. So yeah, I'm going to go ahead
- 19:21and give you certain on that one.
- 19:22That's a good one. That's a really good one.
- 19:24Tech predictions ready to go? Technology.
- 19:25We're going to talk about technology.
- 19:27It is the show, yes. OK, I've got an easy one.
- 19:29Let's start with an easy one. I do think you're going to see a
- 19:32move this year from what I'm calling a chatbot interface
- 19:36right The lol. Oh my gosh, that's my exact
- 19:38first one go. Ahead So instead of like telling
- 19:41a chatbot what to do, you're going to have agents that you've
- 19:44picked and already sort of quote, pre programmed what to do
- 19:47that are going to just do the things you need them to do.
- 19:49You hear the word agentic a lot. It's going to be that it's going
- 19:51to be these identity based workflows.
- 19:53Not forever everything, but if you travel a lot to the
- 19:56southwest because you sell shower rings, you're not going
- 19:59to be asking a chat bot to do it for you.
- 20:01It's going to just do it for you.
- 20:02That's I I see that coming in 2026.
- 20:05Mine was a slight. Variation after that, which is
- 20:07AI moves from being a chat bot to being a useful assistant.
- 20:10That is to say, it can actually check your account.
- 20:13Make sure you have enough money in your pocket account so that
- 20:15you can pay the painter and if it doesn't transfer more money
- 20:17into your pocket account, fix it for you and then write the check
- 20:19and give it to the painter. I mean, those kind of tasks I
- 20:22think which we have were promised last year, I think
- 20:24we'll probably actually get them this year I think.
- 20:27We're saying the same thing in that one.
- 20:28I do, yeah. And I'm and I'm pretty certain
- 20:30on that. Again, you have the timing
- 20:31component, but I'm pretty damn certain on.
- 20:32That and I also think maybe end of 2026, beginning of 2027,
- 20:36somewhere in there, we're going to allow AI to be more of a
- 20:38decision maker. What you're saying?
- 20:40Yeah, where I don't have to tell it I need the to book the
- 20:42flight. It just can do that.
- 20:44Yeah, I, I do think in 26 you will see people and corporations
- 20:47that will give them control like we'll give AI control, I do
- 20:50think. It'll be more control, yeah.
- 20:51The vast minority, but but yeah, I I do see that I do see that
- 20:55coming. I'm I'm certain.
- 20:55Where are you at on? This.
- 20:56I think there'll be a checkpoint where it actually says, you
- 20:59know, do you want me to book the Southwest flight for 2:30 on
- 21:01Wednesday? You know, and then you'll say
- 21:03yes or no. Yeah, but it'll figure
- 21:04everything out before you even have to ask it.
- 21:06For this, that's the primary agentic rollout that I see next
- 21:08year for sure. But I'm just saying some subset
- 21:10of people are going to click always remember on this and just
- 21:13give it access and go and that's going to be very interesting.
- 21:16But on the former, what's your confidence on the?
- 21:18Former. I think it's probable.
- 21:19Yeah, I'm going to. Certain.
- 21:20My only issue is the timing. Always one year is a shorter
- 21:23time span than you you always think it is.
- 21:24I mean, it's when you get progress, you kind of get it all
- 21:26at once, but sometimes it's a long time before you get the
- 21:28progress. Yeah.
- 21:29I mean, if you expand it to two years, does that get you to
- 21:30certain? Probably, Yeah.
- 21:32Wait, damn it. Wait, what?
- 21:34What? Probably certain.
- 21:35Half, 100%, half full. I have a related prediction on
- 21:38Apple continues to fall behind an AI, instead devoting more
- 21:41resources to advancing its liquid glass.
- 21:44OK. We need doesn't.
- 21:47It doesn't have the fluidity, it doesn't have the viscosity that
- 21:49we need. It's not see through enough on
- 21:51the interface. After 162 episodes, I know not
- 21:54to take the bait on that. OK, I have learned.
- 21:57I have learned. My probability is.
- 21:58Certain I I'm just not gonna respond now I have one for you I
- 22:02think you're gonna like try I think you're gonna like and I
- 22:04think you're gonna be sad by for a minute and then you're gonna
- 22:06get over very quick. I think 2026 will be the end of
- 22:09the Turing test. I think that is over I think
- 22:12that is gone. I kind you could kind of I know
- 22:13what you're thinking. You can always argue you're
- 22:15already there. Yeah kind of argue the majority
- 22:17of the stuff the quote slop that comes out you and I as you know,
- 22:21I'll call middle of the roads like oh.
- 22:23I think the slop's still coming out.
- 22:25I don't think the slop's going away.
- 22:26Is that what you're saying? No.
- 22:27What I'm saying is you're not gonna be able to distinguish.
- 22:29The average person won't be able to distinguish the slot from the
- 22:32non slot. That's what I think is going to
- 22:33come in 2020. Seven that that may be true
- 22:35already we're. Very close.
- 22:36Yeah. So what I think is going to come
- 22:37of this is like, and I don't know how it's going to be
- 22:39implemented, so just just just be abstract with me for a
- 22:41minute. Like everything is going to have
- 22:43a CAPTCHA on it. Some proof of personhood is
- 22:45going to become a thing. Interesting.
- 22:46I have no idea how it's going to work.
- 22:48You're going to need to know was this a human or not a human did.
- 22:50A human vet this. Or yeah, just, I mean, I can see
- 22:53not next year, but I can see that the world in the future,
- 22:55like you're walking through the Louvre and you're like, computer
- 22:58did that, computer did that, computer did that.
- 23:00Oh, look, the Mona Lisa, it's terrible.
- 23:01Computer did that computer. It's going to be something like
- 23:03that. I don't know how that's going to
- 23:04work, but there's going to be a thing where you have this sort
- 23:07of like, like proof of humanity that we're going to have to
- 23:09apply to these things. It's just like a giant CAPTCHA.
- 23:11Have you heard some of the country songs that were AI
- 23:13generated that like are indistinguishable from country
- 23:16songs you would hear on the radio?
- 23:17OK, this is AI has this. Down I mean it's it's it's
- 23:21really incredible so I'm just saying the body of work that's
- 23:23produced by AI from the average person will completely 100% pass
- 23:27the Turing test and once that happens there is no going back
- 23:30so I think the Turing. Test is dead next year.
- 23:31I I think it's specific models necessary, not necessarily AI
- 23:35generally 'cause I think you're still going to get slop from a
- 23:37lot of bad AI models. I think bad AI models aren't
- 23:40going away. OK.
- 23:41Sure, but I think the vast majority of the stuff that's out
- 23:43there will will no longer be bad.
- 23:45The only thing that changes that is if you start introducing huge
- 23:47costs. If there's huge cost to that,
- 23:49then people go back to making garbage on the cheap stuff.
- 23:51But I I think we're probably going to skim right over.
- 23:53That now search will get better for the Internet because the AI
- 23:57will get smarter at looking at things and saying is this legit?
- 24:00Hopefully is this actually something worth looking at?
- 24:03Yeah, that's a cat and mouse. Game so I think search will get
- 24:05better by the man, but the search entirely but basically
- 24:07goes away for the end user, but the AI still does quite a bit of
- 24:10search. Yeah, you still have search,
- 24:11it's just abstracted from the user more, but it's still there.
- 24:14All right, what you got? Apple TV will add Google Cast
- 24:17streaming. Oh, but only on Android.
- 24:19Oh, really? Only on Android.
- 24:20Interesting. Oh, this might be my first hard
- 24:23no. I'm gonna go with hard no on
- 24:25this one. You could maybe convince me of
- 24:27hopeful. The streaming channel Apple TV?
- 24:29Yeah, my Android phone will be able to cast to a Google Cast
- 24:33device Apple TV. And you and you have Apple TV on
- 24:35your Android device. Now I.
- 24:36Don't, but I could. OK, well, OK, it exists.
- 24:38It exists. Yeah.
- 24:39OK, now I understand. Unlike my child, I do not like
- 24:41looking at shows on a tiny, tiny screen like that.
- 24:44I put them up on the TV. So what you're saying is that
- 24:46Apple is going to allow you to Google cast from an Android
- 24:49device from within Apple TV, where right now they don't,
- 24:51right? Oh, interesting.
- 24:52OK, I'm not a hard no of that. I'm saying they won't do it on
- 24:55iOS. But on iOS you can.
- 24:56You can just use Airplay if you're going to an Apple device,
- 24:59and if you're going to an Android device you can use
- 25:01Chromecast. I do or their TV streamer.
- 25:03Do they specifically? Block it on the TV streamer.
- 25:04I mean other streamers work. Apple has not allowed their
- 25:06streamer to their Chromecast. OK.
- 25:08Yeah, in any way. OK.
- 25:09But they will allow it on Android.
- 25:10Sure, maybe this doesn't feel like lockout, this just feels
- 25:13like a feature that was way down their list.
- 25:14They just don't care to get to. All right, I'll I don't I don't
- 25:16have no passion on this. I'm hopeful, maybe probable.
- 25:19I mean, I don't think they're trying to corner the market and
- 25:21try to lock in on like non Chromecast devices.
- 25:23Most TV's now have Apple TV apps in the TV you can just stream
- 25:27right to. It Oh sure, sure, sure.
- 25:28When you go to a hotel, there's tons of hotels that have on the
- 25:30TV these screens. Oh, that's a good use case.
- 25:32Right, Yeah, you have tons of Google cast devices on the
- 25:35hotel. TV's, OK, I've got one that I
- 25:36think is a, is a prediction, It's a, it's a layup.
- 25:38But I want to throw this out there because it's in the, in
- 25:40the innovation science bucket. Artemis 2 is going to launch.
- 25:42This will be for humans that we send into the orbit of the moon.
- 25:46And this will be the first time that humans have left low Earth
- 25:49orbit since the early 70s, which is kind of.
- 25:52Cool. And what are they going to do?
- 25:53Just just orbit the moon and come home?
- 25:55What are they going to do? What's the plan?
- 25:56They're looking for buzzes, golf clubs.
- 25:58He's he's lost his last favorite putter.
- 26:00Favorite putter? Yeah.
- 26:01No, this is like the the preemption for getting folks on
- 26:06the surface of the moon, right. We're trying to put some sort of
- 26:09colony and probably doing some mining on the moon.
- 26:11We're going to screw up every rock we can get to.
- 26:13Yeah, sure. And the moon is is not is not
- 26:15excluded from. That I would take the opposite
- 26:16on that. I would say that's, I would say
- 26:18that's unlikely. I don't think we're sending
- 26:20humans. I think we're sending
- 26:21telepresence to the moon to do the mining and to go around to
- 26:24do all the work for us. I mean NASA is planning on
- 26:26getting this off the ground early ish next year so my bet is
- 26:28that it's not going to get pushed out past the year.
- 26:31We will see. Again, my hunch for all of these
- 26:33things is telepresence is better than personally being there.
- 26:35Well, yeah, I I get that. I don't think we'll be sending
- 26:38robots to the moon to do the thing.
- 26:39And we set the goal of putting humans out there.
- 26:41That was literally the goal was the humans.
- 26:42Yeah, not the work, but alright. So you're you're a hard no on
- 26:45this. I could be hopeful on it.
- 26:46I just, I think I'm not even hopeful because I don't, I don't
- 26:48think I don't the human presence is is necessary.
- 26:52Sure. I actually think in many cases
- 26:53slinging meat where at the moon is useless.
- 26:55What's the point of that? I mean, look, I'm just here
- 26:58making the predictions. I don't know why you're so much
- 27:00so much hate here. I think we're putting humans
- 27:02outside of Leo for the first time and or and that will be
- 27:04orbit around the moon, yes. Got one more Apple one here.
- 27:07Apple will release a foldable and they will give up on the
- 27:09iPhone air type product. That's super lightweight thing.
- 27:13Oh. Yeah, I think they'll put more
- 27:14energy into their budget line, the E line of iPhones.
- 27:18That's interesting. I think the air, it was a market
- 27:20test to see how that thing would perform at that price point and
- 27:23ultimately a hard work test. It went nowhere.
- 27:25Of shoving it yeah, well, I don't know.
- 27:27I don't I don't know what I mean.
- 27:28I don't think they've said how much I don't know what their
- 27:30expectations were. But I agree with you on the
- 27:32foldable. I think the foldables are really
- 27:34compelling you to basically have a iPad mini that I can carry
- 27:37around as a phone. It's basically the size of a
- 27:38phone is I think it's somewhat compelling.
- 27:40I don't know about certain because again timing component
- 27:42but I would say above probable. OK, yeah, I'm above probable.
- 27:45Great. I'm gonna go back to space, OK?
- 27:47I think we're gonna see our first commercial space station
- 27:49in 2026, probably from Vast or maybe another competitor.
- 27:53But you're gonna see commercial space stations be put up,
- 27:55probably off of Falcon Nine if I had to.
- 27:56Guess in 2026. In 2026, yeah, they're good.
- 27:59Look, they're really close. Wow, I think that's really cool.
- 28:02It might be 5050, it might be on the inside, but we'll see it's
- 28:06coming. I'm.
- 28:06Hopeful and certainly not certain, but wow, that's really
- 28:09a fun, fun idea. I mean, you can give some credit
- 28:11here to SpaceX because they've, they've proven that there's
- 28:13value here and doing it and it you can't do it quickly.
- 28:16So a bunch of folks have have come running along, right?
- 28:19And now they're, they're catching up pretty neat.
- 28:21Give me a give me an aggressive one.
- 28:22Give me one that's not just a lock for you.
- 28:23OK with Google with. Gemini has moved into first
- 28:26place with AI. Google will continue to stay in
- 28:29first place with AI both on Edge devices and on Gemini.
- 28:33Interesting. OK.
- 28:34I think it's nuts to say that you're certain about anybody
- 28:37leading the AI race over the next 12 months, right?
- 28:40That is insane. You asked for a bold prediction.
- 28:42However, if I were to, to have to pick one for certainty, it
- 28:46would be Google. And I'm also willing to say that
- 28:49like, I think this is probably true.
- 28:51You might have like a, just the, the, the cadence of a release
- 28:54cycle where like open AI releases a 6.0 and you're like,
- 28:57oh, that's better for like a hot minute, just because their,
- 29:00their press release was two weeks before Google's, you know
- 29:03what I mean? But like I, I I, I'm with you on
- 29:05this. I think Google has been the
- 29:06sleeping giant on this from a research and execution
- 29:08perspective. And the sleeping giant has been
- 29:10awoken. Yeah, and they have so much
- 29:11engineering and infrastructure at their back that they can
- 29:14lever that open AI and all the others have to build that.
- 29:18It's more attention they don't have to put the Google doesn't
- 29:20put towards these things. So I'm, I'm with you on this.
- 29:21I'm going to give this one a certain as well.
- 29:23Yeah, I'll give it certain also, but I'm going to say for a
- 29:25slightly different reason, I think Open AI is going to
- 29:27flounder a bit as they deal with the avalanche of lawsuits.
- 29:30Yeah, that is coming their way. And also Sam Altman's ADHD.
- 29:34Man of. He's all over the place.
- 29:36Sure, of all the public figures that are bouncing around on
- 29:38things, he is far from the top of the list.
- 29:41He's pretty high up there in my book.
- 29:42I don't have. That read, I, I really don't
- 29:44have that read on him. I, I see a guy who's trying to
- 29:46get a lot of stuff done and navigate a very treacherous
- 29:49minefield of future. And I think he knows that this
- 29:53is either you either get all the chips or you get none of the
- 29:55chips. Yeah.
- 29:56And he's aligned towards that. I'm not sure that's even true,
- 29:58but I do think the whole thing starts moving more and more
- 30:01towards edge devices. But that's not in the next.
- 30:02I mean, that's in the next 10 if.
- 30:04You want to be a friend to your lab.
- 30:05How many is the world going to support in N years?
- 30:08Do we need 10? Do we need 5?
- 30:09Do we need 2? I think there will be room for
- 30:12more than one, but I think the answer is probably like 3.
- 30:15I think that's probably what the answer looks like.
- 30:16You've got to be one of those three.
- 30:18And if you're not one of those three, you don't exist.
- 30:20You get gobbled up for bits or you, you know, you BK yourself
- 30:23right off stage. So I, I think that's the
- 30:26approach that they're taking, not just open AI.
- 30:27I think all of the big guys realize they have to do this.
- 30:29That's why they can raise money at such an insane rate because
- 30:31they're just like, if we don't do this, we're dead.
- 30:33There's no point in raising 10 million bucks.
- 30:36I need 300 million bucks so this thing doesn't exist.
- 30:38No, it's going to be billions and billions of dollars,
- 30:39hundreds of billions of dollars, hundreds of billion dollars.
- 30:41That's right. Much larger.
- 30:43That's right. I think AI, large AI,
- 30:45state-of-the-art facilities, it's going to be a little bit
- 30:47like pot dealers, but there won't be maybe not ten of them,
- 30:50but there'll be enough of them that it makes it not profitable
- 30:52for all of. Them Oh interesting.
- 30:53I don't know how long it's going to take for it to become that
- 30:56commoditized, but at some point it will become that
- 30:58commoditized. I I'm with you on that.
- 30:59Actually, we want to entertainment.
- 31:00Yeah, let's move on to entertainment.
- 31:01Where we always excel. You want to go first.
- 31:03Yes, I do. Actually.
- 31:04My bunch is you're going to see, I don't they're gonna be called,
- 31:07I'm gonna call them super aggregator apps that unify all
- 31:10of this crap together. So you can go to like, you know,
- 31:13an Amazon Prime or an Apple TV and then get access to Netflix
- 31:17and Disney Plus and Max and all that crap.
- 31:19That's already happening. It's the exact same thing we had
- 31:21with cable boxes. It's the same effing experience.
- 31:24Right now it's like it's just the things just cyclic and it's
- 31:26gotten here much faster than I expected.
- 31:28I think that's that super aggregator app.
- 31:30All content on these various forms is gonna be a thing.
- 31:33Can I give something related please?
- 31:34There will. Be a streaming consolidation,
- 31:36which means not just will they bundle together and be available
- 31:40through. Actual.
- 31:40The streamers themselves, The actual.
- 31:42Number of streamers, we will have fewer streamers at the end
- 31:45of the year and the mid tier platforms, the Paramount Pluses,
- 31:48the Peacock or whatever, they will be absorbed, I mean or
- 31:50enter into non exclusive distribution partnerships.
- 31:53But they they will combine. I mean all that will collapse.
- 31:55You're already seeing that now, right?
- 31:57I mean, we've already seen that tip in well.
- 31:58That was my first one was going to be Warner Brothers Discovery
- 32:01goes to Who's your Prediction? I really think I robot's going
- 32:05to win it. No, it's.
- 32:07Highly. Probably highly.
- 32:08Probable. I'd say certain as they file for
- 32:11bankruptcy. I'd say certain as they
- 32:13completely lose the market that they should have owned and
- 32:15dominated. Who's it going to go to?
- 32:17I is it? Going to go to the big players,
- 32:18of course, are paramount. Yeah, and Netflix.
- 32:20Yeah, I don't see a world where it doesn't go to Paramount.
- 32:23Yeah, it kind of seems that way, although I think Trump could
- 32:26easily have a falling out with the Ellisons because he tends to
- 32:29have a falling out with people. So crazy to watch my.
- 32:32Prediction for 2026 is that Time Warner Discovery goes to no one.
- 32:36Really. I bet this thing does not get
- 32:38done in the next. Year, no, I'm not going to take
- 32:40that. And 100% it does depend on if
- 32:42the Trump Ellison alliance stays intact for the amount of time it
- 32:46takes to get this deal closed. To get it done, yeah.
- 32:49This is basically doing deals in junior high school.
- 32:52That's really what this is. I'm not even sure Netflix wanted
- 32:55this thing. I I'm halfway convinced that
- 32:57what Ted Sarandos wanted was just to drag this thing out and
- 33:01maybe make the price go up a little bit.
- 33:03He's effectively stop this from happening right now, by the way.
- 33:05Yeah, Ted Sarandos is one of the best.
- 33:06Salesman on the face. Sure.
- 33:08Yeah. If anyone can convince Trump,
- 33:09oh, please consider Netflix, Keep considering Netflix and
- 33:12drag it out longer. It's Ted Sarandos.
- 33:14Well, why would you? Why would he want to do that?
- 33:16Because then he has less competition.
- 33:18He doesn't have the combination of Paramount and Warner Brothers
- 33:21Discovery. It just so it just it just yeah,
- 33:23it stays in this in this smaller state just.
- 33:25Stays in limbo for another year or two.
- 33:27Every minute he keeps it in limbo.
- 33:29It's better for him now. I see that you still had to
- 33:31write a pretty big check on this bet if there was a breakout.
- 33:34But he doesn't have to write the check for another two years if
- 33:36this thing drags out two years, if that's how this story.
- 33:39Ends up going down. If that's what's told when the
- 33:41biography is written, I'll be super impressed because that's a
- 33:44money play to say, hey, we're gonna put a couple billion
- 33:46dollars. Oh.
- 33:46For sure. OK.
- 33:47He also can bet on the fact that over time, yeah, eventually
- 33:50Ellison and Trump get into a, a tiff of some sort.
- 33:53I mean, that's the other thing you're banking on with time.
- 33:56Look, there's a lot, there's a lot of time to tell here.
- 33:58Do you have a prediction that I can put a claim against?
- 34:00DOL close before the end of 2026.
- 34:02Oh, interesting, man. Oh, that feels like a hard no to
- 34:05me. I don't see.
- 34:06I get what you're saying, right? You're told a very.
- 34:09I could. I could totally be wrong.
- 34:11I could completely be. Wrong.
- 34:11And I have a hard time subscribing hopeful to that.
- 34:13I'm gonna just because it feels like the easy bet is to say hard
- 34:16no. I'm gonna take hard no on that
- 34:18one. OK.
- 34:18What are you saying? I'm hopeful you're you're
- 34:20hopeful that it doesn't close. That's funny.
- 34:21I'm I'm not certain. I'm absolutely not certain in
- 34:23any way, shape or form. They could close this thing next
- 34:25week, but I don't think that's gonna happen.
- 34:26That's it. And I think, and I think Ted
- 34:28Sarandos bet of by time by time by time is.
- 34:31The right bet. Yeah, No, that part.
- 34:33I'm I'm with you. I agree with that.
- 34:35I oh man, you're you're you're convincing me away from hard.
- 34:38No, we should move on before I'm gonna end up in the probable
- 34:41cause just thinking about this for more than a couple minutes.
- 34:43The other thing that I think, and I wanted to just throw this
- 34:45and tag this on the end and say somebody is going to make a
- 34:48feature film using AI. Yeah, and they're going to make
- 34:51shot for shot this entire feature film for pennies.
- 34:54And it will look like a tent pole film.
- 34:56And I think 2026 is the year it will happen.
- 34:58I think you're right. We're already seeing it with
- 34:59shows, TV shows that are really. Good.
- 35:01Well, you're seeing pieces of it with shows.
- 35:03Pieces, yeah, you're seeing the whole.
- 35:04I think you're going to see an entire feature film someone is
- 35:07going to make shot for shot with that is.
- 35:09Probable. It's hard for me to say certain.
- 35:11Yeah. But of course, the timing is the
- 35:12hard part. Yeah, it's coming eventually.
- 35:14Oh, that's a good one. You got some good ones.
- 35:16I had enough with the predictions we have to get out
- 35:18of here, but quickly before we do.
- 35:19Have you seen or read anything good this last week?
- 35:21Yes, I I came across a post on Threads a little while ago.
- 35:26It mentioned a story from Car Talk that I had never heard of
- 35:29before. Do you remember Car Talk from
- 35:30from NPR? Of course I do.
- 35:32I bet you're going to recommend a poster on thread, which would
- 35:34have been like a new a new minimal recommendation.
- 35:38Oh, this is a minimal. Recommendation.
- 35:39Oh my God, this. Is a guy wrote a guy wrote 30
- 35:41words and I'm gonna. Recommend him.
- 35:42That's actually what I'm recommending.
- 35:44No, you're 100% right. No, it's multiple posts, but but
- 35:46there's one post in particular you got to start with.
- 35:48No, I am 100% doing that. Kevin wrote this really funny
- 35:50thing. You got to go look at it, OK?
- 35:52Clearly, you read my notes. So for those that don't know,
- 35:55Car Talk on NPR was a show where listeners could call in to share
- 35:58problems they're having with their cars.
- 36:00I'm a car guy. I like this.
- 36:02The Car Talk hosts were Tom and Ray Magliozzi.
- 36:05Yeah. These are also known as Click
- 36:06and Clack, the Tappet brothers. Sure they would diagnose
- 36:09problems. It was a really fun show.
- 36:11Now, these guys both graduated from MIT course, and they were
- 36:13the former owners of a DIY car repair shop near the MIT campus.
- 36:17Like, truly the tinkers that just want to fix stuff.
- 36:20And these guys are smart. They're articulate, car savvy.
- 36:23They were funny. And the post that I'm referring
- 36:25to on threads was written by the Flight operations, the guy that
- 36:28ran flight operations at NASA Mission Control in Houston.
- 36:31OK. And he tells the story from I
- 36:33think it was 19, 97 of patching in NASA astronaut John
- 36:37Grunsfeld. Yeah, who was a former MIT
- 36:39student that was very familiar with both Tom and Ray and their
- 36:41DIY car repair shop. He patched them in while John
- 36:45was in Leo, while he was in low Earth orbit, right.
- 36:48They connected him to the show. So he coordinated this between
- 36:51NASA, Houston and the folks at NPR, all without anybody else
- 36:54know. Except for his phone call had a
- 36:56Bing in it every 20 seconds. So yeah, it's really good.
- 36:59You can actually hear that it's simplex in the call, which is
- 37:02really fun. Yeah, sure.
- 37:03I was able to find the recording of the actual call, which I
- 37:05wasn't trying to be able to find.
- 37:06So I do have more than the post. I have the post and the call
- 37:09itself. I don't want to give it all
- 37:10away, but but Grunsfeld introduced himself as just John,
- 37:13which I also think is hysterical.
- 37:14He just called in his job. Sure.
- 37:15And then he launches into the issues he's having with his,
- 37:18quote, government vehicle. And he complained how he's like,
- 37:20it starts up great and ran incredibly rough for about two
- 37:23minutes, sure. Then he said there would be like
- 37:25a jolt whereby the engine would run smoothly for about another
- 37:27six to seven minutes and then the engine would die completely.
- 37:30And this had happened on multiple times, right?
- 37:32Like it's so funny. He's just setting it up.
- 37:34It's it's really a ton of fun. And how long did it take before
- 37:36they figured out who they were talking?
- 37:38They probably took them 90 seconds.
- 37:39I mean, they you could kind of hear when they sort of figure it
- 37:42out, but it's really fun. And John the astronaut mentions
- 37:45how he actually had his car worked on in their shop in their
- 37:49DIY shop. That's so cool.
- 37:50Yeah, and Tom and Ray don't miss a beat.
- 37:52And they're just like, oh, yeah, he's slow.
- 37:53It's 5 bucks for that. Like, it's just, it's really
- 37:55fun. It's really playful.
- 37:56And then you realize this guy is in space calling into this show.
- 38:00And it's just sort of these like these folks are all awesome
- 38:02giants in their own regards, talking to each other.
- 38:04The other thing that I learned from this thread is that Tom and
- 38:07Ray, the hosts of of Car Talk. They were also the Rusty's
- 38:11brothers, Rusty and Dusty in the Cars franchise.
- 38:14Oh, that's awesome. Which is that's really.
- 38:15Cool. Yeah.
- 38:16Isn't that awesome? Like they got cameos.
- 38:18Yeah, as Rusty and Dusty, which I thought was super cool.
- 38:20So that's great. I'll put links in to for Car
- 38:23Talk in the show notes and I'll put the link into the the
- 38:25thread. This is like literally 10
- 38:26minutes of your time. It's not very long, but it's
- 38:28really fun if you're a car guy or if you're if you're a space
- 38:31nerd. I really think you'll enjoy
- 38:33this. I had a lot fun reading it and I
- 38:34say I was saving it for the end of the year as our send off, so
- 38:37I thought it'd be it's great, really enjoyable.
- 38:39How about you? What do you?
- 38:39Have Mine is a silly little ROM com that I found absolutely
- 38:42delightful in season 1. It is season 2 of Nobody Wants
- 38:45This. The unlikely spark between a hot
- 38:46rabbi and a shiksa podcast host wasn't just a fluke, it was a
- 38:49revelation. Following a cliffhanger ending,
- 38:51Nobody Wants This returns for a second season to explore whether
- 38:54Joann and Noah's magnetic chemistry can survive the weight
- 38:57of real world expectations. More of a sharp, self
- 39:00deprecating wit and agonizingly romantic tension that made
- 39:03season 1A viral sensation, with the supporting cast bringing
- 39:06even more chaotic energy and family drama.
- 39:08This season proves that while nobody might want the
- 39:10complications, everybody wants this couple to win, and the
- 39:13supporting cast is ridiculous. So good.
- 39:15You have told me about the show off the air on numerous times.
- 39:18I need to go watch this. I will do this over the.
- 39:20Break. Do yourself a giant favor and
- 39:22don't look up the creator of the show and her sister's podcast.
- 39:25Oh, and I say that because as good as ours, No, if you.
- 39:28I say that because if you find out anything about her real
- 39:31life, you'll have a lot of hints as to where the show is going.
- 39:33Ah, OK, Central tension. Point of the whole thing is, can
- 39:36the rabbi and the shiksa make it work?
- 39:38There's there's built in conflict there.
- 39:40The longer you keep that conflict alive, the more you
- 39:42have the show going. As long as Addie and David don't
- 39:45sleep together, you've got a show.
- 39:46So as long as the hot rabbi and the shiksa can't get together,
- 39:49you've got a show. So that's awesome.
- 39:51But in real life, you know the answer.
- 39:52If you follow Aaron Foster. Anyway, check it out.
- 39:55Netflix. Nobody wants this.
- 39:56I will absolutely do that. That is the episode.
- 39:58Thank you for joining us for all this nonsense.
- 40:00A truly terrible podcast from our awful company is on the web
- 40:03at Nonsense dot Productions. I'm Phil.
- 40:05I'm Jeff Parker. You like this program?
- 40:06Please follow Donald, subscribe and like an Apple Podcast,
- 40:08YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Antenna Pod, iHeartRadio,
- 40:11Spotify, My favorite Overcast wherever you may get your
- 40:13podcast from. Nonsense Studios are guarded by
- 40:16Berkeley the Dog. Bark Barkley's a rescue mutt,
- 40:18free and open source. Next time you're tempted to buy
- 40:20an inbred dog or purebred dog, don't get a Barkley Instead.
- 40:23You'll be so glad you did. Oh, Barkley, we'll be here every
- 40:25Tuesday and Thursday mornings for more nonsense, except for
- 40:28the next two weeks that we have off, but then we'll be back in
- 40:302026 to watch all of our predictions come true.
- 40:34Or not. Happy holidays and happy New
- 40:48Year. Happy new Year, yay.