Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 501 - 4/28/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to episode 5 O, one of the all Systems Go
- 0:19sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:30Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena
- 0:33guys, and another day where we got wall to wall MLB betting
- 0:37coverage. That's right, unlike yesterday
- 0:39where we only had eight games to choose from, we got a full stack
- 0:42slate today. 15 games overall and I stumbled upon 3 bets.
- 0:47Love our 3 packs here as always. Again, having realistic
- 0:50expectations, knowing that it's difficult to win on a daily
- 0:54basis. Overcoming the sharp lines the
- 0:56odds maker set. Overcoming the juice and
- 0:59avoiding bad beats. Don't get me started about the
- 1:01Pittsburgh Pirates last night. But either way guys 3 pack let's
- 1:04try to go 2 and 1 eek auto winning night.
- 1:06Also one short favorite and the other two are underdogs.
- 1:11So a couple of these teams that have really sharp line movement
- 1:13in their favor along with all three of these games tonight,
- 1:16really good sharp mush edges from our friends at juice reel.
- 1:19So you hear me talk about Juice Reel all the time.
- 1:21You can get the all systems go best bet picks from Juice Reel
- 1:24for 499 a week. That's $4.99 a week.
- 1:28But you also get those sharp mush edges.
- 1:30So basically what Juice Reel does is when you sign up for
- 1:33juice Reel and you sync up your sports books, Juice Reel then
- 1:36keeps a running record and you get this as a better the report
- 1:39card. Your basically your, your, your
- 1:41performance and what rhythm does or what Juice Reel does, I
- 1:45should say is when you make a bet, they compile everybody in
- 1:48the app who is betting one side or the other and they lump you
- 1:51into the, you know, the sharper the square category and
- 1:54basically the winning betters when they are heavy on one side
- 1:56versus the opposite side being a lot of square losing betters,
- 2:00you get that sharp mush edge with a percentage.
- 2:02So I always like it when I, you know, start with my market
- 2:05research. OK, line open here, it's moved
- 2:07to here. OK, splits are this and that.
- 2:09OK, here my system matches. And then, of course, what are my
- 2:12rhythm recommendations say? But then of course, when I get
- 2:14to juice reel, if I have a sharp mush edge or maybe we overlap
- 2:18with a official juice reel best bet pick a robo Jackson pick.
- 2:22That's a great cherry on top, makes me more confident and
- 2:24placing my bet. So 3 pack overall, couple dogs,
- 2:271 short favorite, two in one night will be great, especially
- 2:31with some plus money prices out there.
- 2:33And also, I want to talk and continue to talk about odds
- 2:35boost, coin boost bonuses because it kind of dawned on me
- 2:39because if you follow the bets in the Juice Reel app, you might
- 2:43be seeing my plays at a way better price than what your
- 2:46plays are at. You might ask yourself, OK, is
- 2:48he faking his records? No, because number one, you
- 2:51can't fake on Juice Reel. That's why Juice Reel is so
- 2:54great because it's all about the bet sync.
- 2:55Once you place the bet, you can't delete it, you can't
- 2:58adjust it. But those see a little lightning
- 3:00bolt icon on Juice Reel. That means it was an odds boost
- 3:03or promo. So I always want to highlight
- 3:06the fact that, hey, MLB, you know, there's a lot of grinders
- 3:09out there who bet MLB every day, but there are a lot of people
- 3:11who don't bet MLB at all. So the sports books, you know,
- 3:14this is kind of the slow part of the year and they're fighting
- 3:16for your business, fighting for your service.
- 3:18So as always, when you shop for the best line, we're looking at,
- 3:22OK, what book is giving me the best price?
- 3:24But here's the thing, if every book is at, I don't know -130
- 3:28but yet one book has an odds boost to bring it down to -110
- 3:32what are you going to do? The smart would be bet the game,
- 3:35the odds boost book giving you the best price.
- 3:37So keep that in mind before you bet an MLB game.
- 3:40Again, log into your app, go to the top, go to promos.
- 3:43Sometimes you got to click the opt in button.
- 3:45And I'd also saw this thing on FanDuel, which I've been using,
- 3:47where it's free. It cost you nothing, but it's
- 3:50called like the daily Dinger or something.
- 3:52And if you pick a guy and it's free.
- 3:54So I wouldn't do it if I had to bet on it, but basically it says
- 3:57pick a guy who's going to hit a home run today.
- 3:59And I picked Junior Caminero the other day and it hit and it gave
- 4:03me an odds boost. So again, these are the little
- 4:05things that can help you stack units, hopefully have a more
- 4:07successful season. But either way, guys 3 pack
- 4:10trying to go 2 and 1 eke out a winning day.
- 4:13Looking back to our last night, 1 and 1 -, 0.12 units.
- 4:17So basically a wash now. We had a great hit with the San
- 4:20Diego Padres. They're up 3 to 1, then they
- 4:22give up a Grand Slam to Ballesteros, the catcher, who I
- 4:26feel like every time I watch a Cubs game, the guys getting a
- 4:28hit, but luckily they turned it on, held on in one nine to
- 4:32seven. So Padres were a great dog to
- 4:34fave line move that came through.
- 4:36But Oh my God, the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- 4:38I I. Alluded to it earlier.
- 4:40But I'm so freaking annoyed by the pirates last night.
- 4:43They're up to nothing. They're looking good.
- 4:46Top of the eighth. There's a guy for Cardinals who
- 4:48gets on base and then a base it up the middle and like, here we
- 4:51go again. No, I think it was one out at
- 4:53the time, you know, first and second one out.
- 4:56OK, we're in trouble. Looks like it's a base it up the
- 4:58middle. Brandon Lau makes an epic
- 5:01backhanded play and then he he basically flips it from his
- 5:04glove to Griffin and they turn an incredible double play.
- 5:08It's one of the, you know, it's one of the most beautiful double
- 5:10plays you ever seen. I'm like, OK, here we go.
- 5:12All we got to do is close it out.
- 5:12In the ninth, they bring in Dennis Santana, who, by the way,
- 5:16I think had a 0.69 ERA going into the going into last night.
- 5:20He's been one of the best closers in baseball.
- 5:23And This is why baseball, sometimes you love it, sometimes
- 5:25you hate it. This guy's been unhittable all
- 5:27year. What does he do?
- 5:29He gives up four runs in the ninth inning, blows the save and
- 5:33we lose 4 to 2 when we are leading to nothing going into
- 5:36the 9th. So it's always frustrating when
- 5:39you, you know, you get to the almost get to the finish line,
- 5:42you're you're tasting a victory. And then what happens the closer
- 5:44blows it for you. So Dennis Santana, you are, you
- 5:47are, you are, you know, voted off the island.
- 5:50You are, you are dead to me. What an epic, terrible,
- 5:53disgusting pirates collapsed last night.
- 5:55And that's baseball. Like sometimes you go 1 and 1 -,
- 5:580.12 units, like, OK, whatever, it's a wash.
- 6:01But you know what that was? That should have been a 2 and up
- 6:03if not for the pirates blowing it.
- 6:05But hey, sometimes we got great comebacks that come in our
- 6:07direction. Other times, as people like to
- 6:10say, whiskey and a revolver because that's how frustrating
- 6:14baseball can be. But man, 2 nothing going in the
- 6:169th and they can't win that game.
- 6:18Pathetic by Santana and the and the Bucco's.
- 6:21But either way, guys going to get right back at it today.
- 6:23Maybe we'll see one of those breaks go our way.
- 6:24Maybe we'll be trailing. I hope not, but maybe we'll be
- 6:26trailing top of the ninth and we'll we'll score some runs to
- 6:29win it. So without further ado, 3 pack.
- 6:31Let's dive right into them. First one on the board, early
- 6:35match up here. 6:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, Tampa Bay
- 6:39Rays visiting the Cleveland Guardians.
- 6:42Now let's set the stage. Talk, splits, line move system
- 6:44matches, and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 6:47Now, the Rays come in 17 and 11 on the year.
- 6:50They won last night's in series opener 3 to 2 and cashed as a +
- 6:54120 row dog for tonight's early evening rematch.
- 6:57Remember, it's a 610 games. If you want to play it, you got
- 6:59to get in early. Don't assume it's A7 o'clocker,
- 7:02but we do have the Rays going with the ready Nick Martinez.
- 7:05He's been pretty good, one and one and one on the year 2.1 O
- 7:08ERA. He'll be opposed by the
- 7:10Guardians. Tanner Bybee, who's Owen?
- 7:12Three with a 4.45 ERA and the Guardians, by the way, 500,
- 7:15they're 15 and 15, so. What we've seen across the board
- 7:18here. This game opened with Cleveland
- 7:20listed as a pretty short favorite around -120 -, 125
- 7:25Tampa Bay around a plus one O 5 road dog and sharps are banking
- 7:29on the guards to bounce back here because we've seen this
- 7:31line move in favor of Cleveland -120 -, 125 now up to -130 -.
- 7:37135 SA little bit of movement in the direction of the guards.
- 7:41Now I did notice a pretty good bet split in particular on the
- 7:46run line, which would be -1 1/2 + 155.
- 7:49Again, maybe you guys out there have been playing these run
- 7:51lines and you're happier than me because you're cashing them.
- 7:54Or maybe sometimes you go run line and you know you win by
- 7:561:00 and you're annoyed and you should have gone money line.
- 7:58So it gives and it takes. But I did notice on the run line
- 8:01-1 1/2 + 155 for the guards to win by two or more that at
- 8:06DraftKings only getting 43% of spread bets, but 64% of spread
- 8:11dollars. So I just want money line.
- 8:12Cleveland. I'll get to them in a second
- 8:14because you can find them around -130 -, 135.
- 8:17But if you do like the run line, looks like sharps do like that.
- 8:20Play there at a juicier price to win by two or more.
- 8:23Now one system that I really like with Cleveland and it gets
- 8:26a little wonky, so just bear with me.
- 8:28If you're a game two home favorite who lost the series
- 8:32opener and you made the playoffs last year and you're getting
- 8:36$0.05 of steam or more in your direction.
- 8:38That system is 36 and 1966 percent, 5% ROI since 2025 and
- 8:45this year it's 9 and 375% with a 19% ROI.
- 8:49So you'll basically you lose the opener Game 2, which will be
- 8:53tonight, you're the home favorite, the crowd expected to
- 8:55win, you made the playoffs. You're probably a good team.
- 8:58But the key to me is that line movement $0.05 or more telling
- 9:01us respective money has come down in your favor all match
- 9:03with Cleveland. Cleveland also have that betting
- 9:06system value as a non division favorite.
- 9:08So Cleveland, AL Central, Tampa Bay, AL East, a lack of
- 9:12familiarity benefiting the better team and also favorite
- 9:15low total total. This one is 7 1/2 just under,
- 9:18could be a low scoring game, 7/7 and 1/2 under -115 -, 120.
- 9:22But once again, fair amount of expected runs scored, more
- 9:25likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
- 9:27And then here's another system that I really like with
- 9:30Cleveland. Cleveland, any bounce back spot
- 9:33when they lose a game, the next game, they come back and win 11
- 9:37and 3. So they went eleven of the 14
- 9:39times and they lose 11 and 379 percent, 65% ROI off a loss this
- 9:44year. That makes them the best, the
- 9:46best #1 bounce back team in all of MLB.
- 9:49Lastly popped open juice reel. As I mentioned all three games
- 9:53tonight got really good sharp mush edges. 21% sharp mush edge
- 9:57on Cleveland tonight, so 21% more of the sharper winning
- 10:00betters. Also going with the guardians.
- 10:02Now I mentioned odds boosts and bonuses and all that kind of fun
- 10:05stuff. Well, guardians at fanatics.
- 10:09They were at -130 and I get them boosted all the way down to -1 O
- 10:131. So basically even money again,
- 10:17if you can't, if you don't have fanatics, you know, basically
- 10:20the I'll just let you know the big odds boost ones that I'm
- 10:22seeing now. I never seem to see it at
- 10:24Caesar's. I see it a lot at DraftKings,
- 10:27FanDuel, Bet MGM and fanatics. Ballybet doesn't seem to boost
- 10:32either. And I'm actually thinking
- 10:34Ballybet might be might be limiting me are also jacking up
- 10:38my prices because Bally Bent is way off.
- 10:40Who knows if that's true or not. I'll be the way guys.
- 10:42Guardians around -130 for the purposes of the pod, But if you
- 10:45do have fanatics, you can get them boosted down to -1 O1,
- 10:48basically even money there. But either way, let's go
- 10:51Guardians next one for you. 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time, first
- 10:55pitch, Boston Red Sox visiting the Toronto Blue Jays.
- 10:59Now, one quick note, because my buddy Da Roush DM me the other
- 11:03day and said, what the heck's going on with the Red Sox?
- 11:05Well, they fired, obviously Alex Korra, who I admit wasn't, you
- 11:08know, being great as a manager. He was arguing with ownership
- 11:11and his lineups were weird and it just seemed like he, the mojo
- 11:14wasn't there. But I absolutely cannot stand
- 11:17Craig Breslow or the cheapskate Mr. Burns owner John Henry,
- 11:22because John Henry do. Did you know?
- 11:23And again, the rebuttal is, oh, John Henry broke the curse.
- 11:26They won four World Series. Great.
- 11:29But you know what? I don't want one World Series
- 11:30every five years. I want to be competitive every
- 11:32year, and the Red Sox are trying to act like the Milwaukee
- 11:35Brewers or Tampa Bay Rays. But here's the.
- 11:38Little known fact, John Henry, I believe he bought the Red Sox
- 11:41for like $600 million in like 2000, whatever that was.
- 11:46They're worth 5 billion now. So you buy.
- 11:48Something for 600 million and now they are worth 5 billion and
- 11:52you're telling me you can't? Resign Alex Bregman, you're.
- 11:55Telling me you can't get a third baseman who actually has some
- 11:57power, it's actually 15th and payroll.
- 12:00And yet Henry makes all this money and that I, you know what?
- 12:03If I was an owner, I would take a profit, but I would spend all
- 12:06my money on good players. And this is me as a person who
- 12:09will probably never be an owner. But anyway, Breslow, I blame
- 12:13Henry for being a cheapskate and also hiring bots and and robots
- 12:19and people who don't know what they're doing and have never
- 12:21played baseball. Guys like Craig Breslow actually
- 12:23did play baseball. I got to amend that.
- 12:26But he's a robot. He's one of those analytics
- 12:28people who, again, in Moneyball, the Brad Pitt scene, where the
- 12:32old crusty managers and scouts are like, you know, what are you
- 12:35doing? Actually, you know, Moneyball
- 12:36ended up working for a small club like the A's, but the Red
- 12:39Sox ain't the A's. And Craig Brezzo, who made some
- 12:43terrible trades, Mookie Betts. I got to blame that on high in
- 12:46Bloom. But Raphael Devers for a bunch
- 12:49of scrubs. Yet Harrison ends up being a
- 12:52really good pitcher for Milwaukee.
- 12:53Traded him for Durbin, who stinks at third base.
- 12:57And then obviously, you know, the Chris Sale trade was a
- 12:59complete flop. And then again, making some
- 13:02terrible moves along the way that again, have not benefited
- 13:05and just not having any offense. I say all that by saying Breslow
- 13:09to me is the problem, not not Cora.
- 13:11Anyway, That being said, I guess I'm all on all sides of the
- 13:15plate today. I'm on the Red Sox tonight.
- 13:17Fired their manager 1-2 in a row.
- 13:20Now three in a row. See if they can make it four in
- 13:22a row now. 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time tonight up in Canada.
- 13:26Red Sox who are 12 and 17. They won the opener. 5 Nothing
- 13:29last night came through as a + 115 road dog.
- 13:33Tonight's rematch, the Red Sox are going with the lefty Peyton
- 13:35Tolley. He's one of their young top
- 13:37prospects. Lefty O&O 1.5 O ERA.
- 13:40His first start of the year against the Yankees.
- 13:42Pitch pretty well. Blue Jays 12 and 16.
- 13:45Kind of struggling here after making the World Series.
- 13:47They're going to go with the ready Trey you Savage, who's
- 13:50making his debut highly touted prospect as well.
- 13:53He went one and O 3.21 ERA last season now.
- 13:57What have we seen across the board?
- 13:58Will this game open with Toronto around a -, 125 home favorite
- 14:02Boston around a plus one O 5 road dog and the public doesn't
- 14:05know what to do They're pretty much down the middle.
- 14:07You know, they know Toronto is probably the better team.
- 14:10You know both teams are about the same record but went to the
- 14:13World Series last year. Yet the Red Sox, even though
- 14:16they I've struggled this year, kind of a bigger, bigger name
- 14:19club and public doesn't know what to do.
- 14:21They're 5050, basically right down the middle.
- 14:24However, even though the money line splits are 5050, this line
- 14:27is dropped away from Toronto and toward Boston.
- 14:30So in a vacuum, line shouldn't move at all. 5050 because
- 14:33theoretically, odds makers have balanced action.
- 14:35No need to adjust the price. However, this game open Toronto
- 14:39-125. Now the Jays are down to -115.
- 14:43Red Sox open plus 105. Now they're -105 so if the
- 14:47tickets are even, why are we seeing this line go toward
- 14:49Boston? Tells me smart money's on the
- 14:51Red Sox here at DK. If you want to get specific, 48%
- 14:55bets, 56% dollars on Boston money line.
- 14:59So a little bit low bets, higher dollars there dogs off a win
- 15:02like the Red Sox here, 94 and one O 348%.
- 15:06But remember, 48% on a dog because of the plus money
- 15:08payouts, that's actually a 5% ROI.
- 15:11And then also the Red Sox have betting system value as a
- 15:14divisional dog. So the built in familiarity,
- 15:16leveling the playing field, benefiting the team getting a
- 15:20plus money payout or you know, more variants, more upside
- 15:22opportunities. Lastly, popped open juice reel
- 15:2633% sharp mush edge on the Red Sox.
- 15:30So I'm going Sox here guys. Now Red Sox you can still get
- 15:33plus 100 at FanDuel, but I had a FanDuel boost 50% or $0.50
- 15:39boost. So I got the Red Sox plus 150,
- 15:41believe it or not. But again, purposes of the pod
- 15:44we'll call plus 100. Shop around because a lot of
- 15:46books are -1 O 5. But remember FanDuel boosting it
- 15:49to plus 150. Let's go Red Sox last night of
- 15:53the night, 7:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch.
- 15:55Let's look at the Seattle Mariners visiting the Minnesota
- 15:58Twinkies now Twins come in 13 and 16 on the year they won last
- 16:03night's series opener. 11 to 4 came through as a plus one O 5
- 16:06home dog rematch for tonight Mariners who are 14 and 16.
- 16:10They're going to go with the righty Logan Gilbert.
- 16:12He's one and three with a 4.36 ERA.
- 16:15Twins meanwhile going with their righty ace Joe Ryan, who's two
- 16:19and two with a 3.9 O ERA. So what are you?
- 16:21Seeing across the market here. Well, I think if you like the
- 16:24Red Sox, you like the the Minnesota Twins here tonight,
- 16:27same sort of thing. Dog with a line move because we
- 16:31open this game, Seattle around -130 road favorite Minnesota A +
- 16:35110 home dog and the public. They're not split 5050 like the
- 16:39Red Sox game. They're actually pretty heavy on
- 16:41Seattle. 62% of money line bets. This is where you get that
- 16:44favoritism, that bias. You know, Twins, historically a
- 16:47scrub team. Seattle deep playoff run last
- 16:50year. So public is saying, hey, take
- 16:52Seattle. However, even though nearly 2/3
- 16:54of bets are on Seattle, the Mariners have fallen -130 down
- 16:58to -125 some books even down to -120 This signals reverse line
- 17:03movement, as you guys know, on Minnesota.
- 17:06So Publix on Seattle. If the lines going to Minnesota
- 17:08plus 110 down to plus one O 5. Twins only getting 40% of money
- 17:14line bets, but 80% eight O 80% of money line dollars at circa.
- 17:20So it tells us we got big smart money in the desert going with
- 17:23the twins here. Twins match quite a few systems
- 17:25for me. Home dogs 67 and 7647%, but a 3%
- 17:31ROI because of the plus money payouts.
- 17:33Dogs off a win, same match with the Red Sox, 48% this year, 5%
- 17:38ROI. And if you are a short home dog
- 17:40plus 120 or less since the start of last year, those teams are
- 17:44323 and two, 9752%. You don't need me to tell you if
- 17:48you're 52% on a dog system that's pretty good.
- 17:51That's a 6% ROI. Twins slightly better bats.
- 17:55Hope they come alive and get to Gilbert.
- 17:57Hope Ryan pitches the gem the Twins are.
- 18:01They have a 329 on base percentage.
- 18:03They scored 143 runs. Mariners 322 on base, only
- 18:07scored 122 runs. Ryan as I mentioned, 2.45 ERA at
- 18:12home, pretty good 4.64 on the road.
- 18:15So he's been better at home. He's home tonight.
- 18:17Minnesota by the way, 8:00 and 6:00 at home this year.
- 18:19So they are a below 500 team overall, but they are an above
- 18:22500 team at home. Seattle 4:00 and 9:00 on the
- 18:26road this year. One of the worst Rd. teams.
- 18:28Lastly, I noticed a 50% big five O 50% sharp mush edge on
- 18:34Minnesota tonight at juice reel and also a three rhythm system
- 18:39matches all recommending to take Minnesota tonight.
- 18:42So shop around find the best price you can guys.
- 18:45Most books are plus one O 5 and notice FanDuel is at plus one O
- 18:488 and bet MGM. I think you can boost it up to
- 18:51like plus 110. I'll be taking a shot here on
- 18:53the Twinkies. So Guardians, Red Sox, Twins, so
- 18:57you can get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning night on a big
- 19:00Tuesday. So that about does it for
- 19:02episode. Five O 1 of the all systems go
- 19:05sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 19:07This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
- 19:10always start first by saying thank you.
- 19:12Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
- 19:14Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
- 19:17through the good and the bad, the UPS and the downs, the
- 19:20terrible blown saves by the Pirates last night, the great
- 19:23comeback wins like the like the Padres.
- 19:26I'll be the way guys. I'm so humbled and honored to
- 19:28host this pod. And basically I think of it as
- 19:31just me and my buddies, like you guys out there listening,
- 19:33pulling up a chair to the virtual bar, making sharp
- 19:36data-driven bets, trying to piece together the puzzle of all
- 19:39the numbers, not what our bias and our gut instinct is telling
- 19:42us. But if you do enjoy this pod,
- 19:44can you do me a solid? Could you please give this
- 19:46podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
- 19:49If you want to leave a nice comment under rate and review,
- 19:52that's awesome. If you want to click the follow
- 19:54button. That way you get alerted with a
- 19:56notification on your phone as soon as the pod drops each day,
- 19:59or recommend the pod to a friend, or retweet the pod when
- 20:02I put it out on Twitter each day at Josh under score insights.
- 20:04All or any of those things would be very much appreciated.
- 20:08Next, do you have a live odds page?
- 20:10Actually the only get ahead of myself.
- 20:12I can't believe I screwed up my own spiel.
- 20:13It's not like I've said it 500 times before.
- 20:16But if you do enjoy. These these betting insights in
- 20:20this approach to betting in this style of betting data-driven
- 20:24sharp contrarian philosophy. If you want to learn more about
- 20:27data-driven betting, maybe have someone in your life who could
- 20:29use some data-driven tips. Maybe someone who bets a lot,
- 20:32loses a lot and has no strategy just throwing darts betting
- 20:36based off emotion chasing when they're struggling, doubling
- 20:39down when they're when they're in the hole.
- 20:41Don't do any of those things, but maybe you have some who
- 20:44could use some tips. Maybe somebody knows who wants
- 20:46to get into sports betting, newly legalized state or maybe
- 20:50just want to make my day. Let me know you appreciate the
- 20:52pod. If any of that is the case, I
- 20:54would love for you to go to Amazon.com and type in the
- 20:57everything Guide to Sports betting or the NFL Sharp Betting
- 21:01playbook. Those are the two books that
- 21:02I've written. Very proud of both.
- 21:04Great insights. I know Mother's Day, Father's
- 21:06Day is coming up. Anyone out there who could who
- 21:09needs to, you know, come up with a gift idea maybe, maybe the
- 21:13Everything Guide to Sports Betting or the NFL Sharp Betting
- 21:15Playbook wouldn't be a bad idea. But buy one or both of my books,
- 21:18make my day, get a lot of good insights, and then bring them to
- 21:21the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 21:23I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and sweat some baseball
- 21:25together. Next.
- 21:27Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
- 21:29My two favorite sports betting apps to help me win.
- 21:31They're going to help you win because they're all based on
- 21:33data, which we love. Again, takes away the bias.
- 21:37Let's look what the numbers are saying Rhythm for their great AI
- 21:39backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:43Reminder, I think last night they had all those Padres system
- 21:45matches which helped us win, but then also juice reel.
- 21:50So many great features of juice reel.
- 21:51You heard me talk about at the beginning of the pod.
- 21:53You can get the AI backed Robo Jackson best bet picks, sharp
- 21:59mush indicators, arbitrage play shop for the best line features.
- 22:02And of course, if you want to support the pod, it's free, cost
- 22:05you nothing to listen. If you enjoy the insights, you
- 22:07value the insights. I would love for you to toss a
- 22:10$5.00 bill into the the passing of the hat right now, digitally
- 22:14Speaking of course, but for 5 bucks a week, you'll get every
- 22:17best bet pick on juice Reel as soon as I make it.
- 22:19And I consider that a tip jar. So download rhythm, download
- 22:22juice reel, give them both a five star review in the App
- 22:24Store. Now I can say, do you have a
- 22:27live odds page? Well, if you don't have one, you
- 22:29really need one. I'm not trying to upsell you.
- 22:31It's such a critical tool. I couldn't bet without a live
- 22:34odds page. I became a live odds page lover
- 22:37many, many years ago, back when I first started working in the
- 22:41industry at Sports Insights. Really just, you know, having a,
- 22:44a Bible, a page that is, is going to be the page that gives
- 22:47you the most amount of critical information and allows you to
- 22:50track the betting market in real time.
- 22:51The betting markets always moving up and down.
- 22:54It's changing. You got to be aware of those
- 22:55changes. You know, sports betting, my
- 22:58buddy Patrick Maher always talks about timing and temperament.
- 23:01You know, it's not just picking the right side, it's it's when
- 23:04to get the best number, it's when to pounce, when to lay off.
- 23:07Having obviously a, you know, a temperament and a personality
- 23:11and a grinders with blinders approach is is also critical.
- 23:15But the live odds page, it's so important.
- 23:16It gives you all the games, so you first know, OK, what can I
- 23:19bet on today #2 gives you the start times, the live scoring,
- 23:23the live in game wagering odds, but more importantly all the
- 23:25work you're going to do preflop during the day.
- 23:28A lot of it comes from the live odds page.
- 23:30Got the open column that never changes, just gives you the
- 23:32opener, all the current odds to the right.
- 23:34Quickly see which direction the line is moved, pull up the line
- 23:36history, see all the moves in between.
- 23:39When the lines are moving, they get lit up in red.
- 23:41So you know hey, this is moving. I got a small window here to
- 23:43jump on this number before it moves.
- 23:46And then of course, finding the best price, identifying the book
- 23:50that's giving you the best number.
- 23:51I should say all great features that are available to you with
- 23:55Odds Logic. So if you want to give Odds
- 23:57Logic a shot, highly recommended.
- 23:59I use it everyday. It's fantastic.
- 24:01Once you use it, you're going to love it and keep it.
- 24:03All you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 24:08Make sure you do the slash Josh one 2-3 at the end because then
- 24:11that will give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
- 24:15month of service. So it does it for episode.
- 24:17Five O 1 of the all systems go sports betting podcast as always
- 24:22guys two final thoughts one, whether I see you at the Borgata
- 24:25in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn New
- 24:27Hampshire Foxwoods are Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
- 24:31encore in Boston Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield or
- 24:35the Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts
- 24:38in Nashua, NH out in the desert where the true grinders get down
- 24:42or Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest juice
- 24:45possible is found at the South point or sweat and sharp
- 24:47contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 24:50When you catch a big ticket at Circa wherever it may be, you're
- 24:53going to walk up to me show me a beautiful dad's ticket from last
- 24:57night. The Padres coming through.
- 24:59I don't want to jinx it. I told you guys.
- 25:01Before late night holding my 5 month old baby girl sweat in the
- 25:05pods. It's become a ritual and they've
- 25:08come through quite a bit for us. Whatever you do, don't show me
- 25:11that Pirates ticket. That really annoys me.
- 25:13That should have been a 2 and O last night, but what are you
- 25:15going to do? Dennis Santana pitch is great
- 25:17all year except when we need. Him to come through.
- 25:19And he completely blows it. So thanks Santana.
- 25:22But anyway, guys, first one's on me, next one's on you.
- 25:26We'll post about the book Sweat Sharp, Contrary and plays all
- 25:28night long. So coming off A1 and 1A2 and O&O
- 25:31and two, a good night, a bad night, a winning night, a losing
- 25:34night, a hot streak, a cold streak with everything's going
- 25:37our way or nothing's going our way.
- 25:38Just got to stick with it. We got to continue to grind,
- 25:41never get too high when things are going good, never get too
- 25:44low and things are are not going well for us.
- 25:46We just got to stay even keeled, play the system matches, avoid
- 25:49the games with red flags, look for the games that fit our model
- 25:53against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
- 25:56avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 25:59to be successful sports betters. So if everyone has a fantastic
- 26:03Tuesday night, be right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday
- 26:06edition. That'll be episode 502 of the
- 26:09All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 26:13Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.