Latest / Toadstool Sports / Astros/Rangers MLB + NFL + NCAAF + WNBA Best Bets 9/5/25

Transcript

Astros/Rangers MLB + NFL + NCAAF + WNBA Best Bets 9/5/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself.
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: We are on OWN seven run over the last two
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: days after tonight it was just complete bullshit. So that's
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached into pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: is anymore. But I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the worst.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: Month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you better off dead. It's Friday,
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: September fifth. We went one and a half and a
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: half on the show yesterday, if you want to call
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: it that is, the Royals put themselves in a hole
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: and got out of it and wound up winning the games.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: The money line part of that was a winner. I
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: gave it out half run line half money line, and
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: they only one by one, of course, so that was
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: a slight win that game. I I will apologize though
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: my market read was actually I was looking into the
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: moneyline movement incorrectly. There Apparently the reason why the money
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: line had moved the way that it had was actually
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: that Kansas City had a different listed starter and then
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: they changed it to Noah Cameron, which is why the
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: line went up on Kansas City, which I didn't realize that.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: I thought there was like legitimate money coming in on
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: that side because it didn't move so significantly that it
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: was like, oh, they had.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: To have been a pitching change.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: So I didn't realize it was a pitching change there,
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: And the actual money after that happened actually came in
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: fade in Kansas City. I still liked the matchup though,
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I misread what was going on the market
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: there a little bit. And then we did get the
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: win on the NFL game Dallas plus eight and a half.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Why to wire cover baby with Dallas?
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: They had a seven point lead multiple different times early
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: in the game. We got Jalen Carter thrown out of
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: the game. That was the main headline basically before the
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: game even started, before there was even a snap. He
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: spit at Dak Prescott and they threw him out and rightfully, So,
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: I mean.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: That's just boneheaded behavior. Man.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: It's so stupid, like you're doing that right in front
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: of the refs to like, you know they're gonna throw
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: you out for that.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: It's like, just control yourself. It's so insane.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: But then I did think that the reffing was way
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: too tick TACKI tiki tac or whatever you want to
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: call it. Like the rest they were calling penalties both ways.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: As far as I could tell, that were just bs,
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: like they're not letting players do anything right now, which
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: that needs to change again.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: The new NFL is.
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: It's so bad, dude, that changes a touchback rule again
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: to try to incentivize more kickoffs again, and the NFL
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: is claiming that that will reduce concussions again. It's like,
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: but I thought the whole point of like I thought
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: the whole point of all of this was that, like
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: you wanted to incentivize, well, they're disincentivizing touchbacks, which makes
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: no sense, Like why would you want to incentivize returns
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: of the returner is gonna get hit on a return?
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: It doesn't make any sense to me at all. Yeah,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: none of that makes any sense. So I don't get
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: it whatsoever. But it seems like it would incentivize It
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: wouldn't even incentivize returns though, right, because well, it's gonna
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: incentivize the kicking team to probably avoid touchbacks, like they'll
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: try to like pooch kick the kickoff or.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: Something like that.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I don't I don't even get it, because now the
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: if there's a touchback and back in my day, I
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: think the touchback started at the twenty yard line when
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: it was a touchback, then it was the twenty five,
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: then it was the thirty. Now it's the thirty five. Like,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: leave the fucking game alone, dude, I don't get it.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: But anyway, if you have returns, you're gonna be risking
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: more injury on a return. Obviously, I thought the NFL
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: wanted more touchbacks to avoid injury, but it's like, no,
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: we actually want more kick returns because it's more entertaining.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no, shit, it is. But you can't have it
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: both ways.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: It's either gonna be more entertaining or you're gonna have
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: fewer kick returns and fewer concussions, Like which one do
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: you want? You can't have both, and they're lying, so none.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: None of it makes any sense to me. So I
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: don't like that. I don't like any of these rule
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: changes in any of these sports, man, like, just leave
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: the games alone.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: We didn't have any rule changes.
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: Like this throughout like my entire upbringing, so I don't
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: know why the fuck they're all happening now it's the
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: fucking new normal. I don't get it, but yeah, Dallas.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: And then there was the lightning delay in the game.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: There's so many things to complain about as far as
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: the NFL how it operates like it was. It looked
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: like it was gonna be a good game if they
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: just let the game play out. It was a close game,
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: both teams are scoring. Oh yeah, let's have a lightning
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: delay for no apparent reason, which is, by the way,
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: the second lightning delay in the NFL already, because there
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: was one. There was a lightning cancelation in the preseason
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: between I think it was Atlanta and Detroit, even though
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: both teams playing domes. Does that even make any sense?
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: It must have been I think it might have been.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: Was at the Hall of Fame game again or so?
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: I don't even know, man, I know one of the
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Hall of Fame games got canceled last year or two
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: years ago for lightning.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: What the fuck are we doing here? This is football football.
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: The game is supposed to be played in all weather
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: and that's the way that it's always been.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: And you're gonna delay this game, the first NFL game
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: of the season.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: You're gonna delay it by an hour, and you're gonna
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: take viewers away from dude, it's gonna ruin their viewership too.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: Because who's who the fuck is gonna stay stay awake
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: for an extra like hour. Oh yeah, we'll resume the
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: game at eleven thirty pm Eastern. What it makes no sense.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm a night owl, so like whatever, I'm
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: gonna wait to see what the result is in the game.
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: Maybe watch the end of the game still, But it
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: doesn't make any sense to None of it makes any sense.
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: It's oh, it's for safety. Yeah, okay, I was pissed
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: about it. I posted on Twitter if you follow me
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: on Twitter, I posted about In nineteen nineteen, there was
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: a picture on the Cleveland Indians named Ray called Well.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: In his major league debut, he was literally struck by
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: lightning in the ninth inning. He died on the field.
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: They revived him, he finished the game, and then he
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: threw a no hitter. Like two starts or three starts
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: later or something whatever. Well, they started more often back then,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: so whatever it was, it was like two weeks later,
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: and then he wound up. I believe he wound up
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: being like an All star pitcher or something or whatever
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: it was back in the day. The next like season
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: or two, although he only lasted I think three. Maybe
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: he was just on the Indians for three seasons. Then
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: he went somewhere else.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know his history, but that happened. So he
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: went from being this badass culture in the early nineteen hundreds,
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: so now this pussy bullshit. And you don't think of
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: baseball as being the most badass sport. I mean, it
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: is a bunch of guys hanging around chewing tobacco and
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: spitting and drinking, which is pretty badass, I guess. But NFL,
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: these guys are like the fucking gladiators, and you're like,
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: oh no, there's lightning. We have to get everybody, get inside,
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: Get inside. Children, It's dangerous out there.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Are you fucking serious?
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: It pisses me off so much, dude, I don't get it. Jeffrey,
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: what's up man?
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: Everybody? Thanks for hanging out.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cowboys, Well you got both, uh, both things
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: that you wanted. I guess if you want my plays
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: on the show to win, in you still want the
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: Eagles to win. The Eagles won and they didn't cover.
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: So what do you mean my stream is it showing?
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're talking about, And am I am?
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: I neuked already.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: I don't really talk about politics on this show. So
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: Oh, thank you, Yes, I'm I am streaming to both. Yeah,
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with YouTube notifications. Yeah,
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: the NFL is is unwatchable. You can't do anything. Yeah,
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: everything is gay, obviously that's true.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: That's true.
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: The uh yeah, well I don't know about the cheerleader dudes,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: but well we can talk about that more the Monday
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: night game vikings at Bears the Bears.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Actually, I don't even think that was true.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: I thought that was a parody article that said that
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: the Bears banned the male cheerleaders on the vikings. Dude,
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: I don't even know, man, But it's not because they're
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: male cheerleaders. Like one of my roommates was a male
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: cheerleader in college. I don't give a fuck about that.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: Like he wasn't pretending to be a chick, you know
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: what I mean. Like you have cheer squads that have
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: men on them that lift the women up, you know
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: what I mean, Like that's just the thing, and like
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: that dude was like slaying a lot of pussy because
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: he was a male cheerleader. So even though I actually
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: think he's gay, but you know, but he wasn't pretending
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: to be a woman, Like, none of this was a thing.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: So it's like whatever.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there are male cheerleaders that have certain positions on
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: a cheer squad. Okay, that's not the problem. The problem
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: is that Vikings cheerleader. I don't even know if he's
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: a man or a woman. He she who the fuck knows.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna get this channel nuke now. I'm pretty sure
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: that that person is a woman with a mustache, So
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a woman who he thinks that they're a man and
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: yet is pretending to be a woman. That's what I think.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: And then I know there was that other one who's
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: like just literally a man dressed as a woman on
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: the Carolina a cheer squadal though I think he quit,
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: I guess, so whatever, but the Vikings have that one.
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: I think the Vikings do have another male cheerleader and
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: he's probably gay, but I don't know.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I mean whatever, I don't like. I don't like any
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: of it, man, I don't like any of it.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah, anarcotyranny. I gotta get into the games today, man,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: there are so many games. Yes, I pointed that out too.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: I forgot about that. Yeah, so it was that was
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: a high scoring game. The game was where was the
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: score at halftime? It was twenty one to twenty I
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: think at halftime, right, Eagles twenty one to twenty, and
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: the final score after the delay was twenty four to twenty.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So it's.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: It was almost like because the books do want understa
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: happen like a game that's that heavily public. You know,
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: the public was on the over in a game like that.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: You see like, oh it's Dak Prescott against Jalen Hurts.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: That's that's a game the public's gonna go over. They
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: know that both the offenses could score. So yeah, I
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: mean it was trending in that direction. Obviously, it was
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: an extremely high scoring first half, and then the second
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: half nothing happened basically, although we did get screwed a
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: little bit, though potentially with Dallas, Dallas could have won
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: the game. Out right, Man, I always talk about when
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: you play an NFL underdog, any underdog really, but especially
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: an underdog that's like a reasonable shot to win the game. Outright,
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: you got to put like ten percent of that bet
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: on the money line, man, So putting ninety percent of
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: it on the spread, ten percent on the money line,
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: cause it'll hit enough times that you'll win like a
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: little bit of additional money if you do it that way.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: So I always recommend that.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: Even though I know Dallas didn't win outright yesterday, but
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of the bet still won, so it's still
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: a winning bet.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Dallas could have won.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you saw what happened in that game,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: they had like a crucial turnover literally the play before.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: The lightning delay.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: And I don't know if the light delay had anything
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: to do with that, but Dallas was about to score,
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: potentially score a touchdown to retake the lead in the
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: third quarter.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: That's when it happened. I think it was the third quarter.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: Miles Sanders fumbled the ball in the red zone. If
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: you guys saw that Philly was down to lake excuse me,
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: Dallas was down to like the Philly ten yard line
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: almost or something, and Sanders fumbled it away in the
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: red zone, so that took away a Dallas score and
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: then I think, uh, I think that was it. Actually,
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: like the score never even changed after that point, oh Man,
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: and Dallas they turned it over on downs on the
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia side of the field once I think as well,
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: or maybe close to midfield. Maybe they turned it over
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: on downs multiple times near the end when they were
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: trying to get something done. I think they punted it once.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know whatever it was. I don't know, man,
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Uh did who?
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Wait? Who? Let me smell whose hand? What? Yeah? Yeah? Yeah?
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: The one to pretend to be girls? Yeah, exactly.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: Like well, usually like a male cheerleader is just dressed
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: like a dude and is some like athletic dude. Like
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: that's like a normal thing. What's going on here is
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: not normal?
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: That was a That was Michelle Obama. You're right, Big
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: Mike left the Carolina cheer squad. Let's uh, let's move
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: on to today. Man, there's a lot of a lot
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: going on today. There There is NFL tonight, and there
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: is a There are two college football games in the
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: FBS as well, which I'll talk about. I actually do
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: have leans on both sides. I mean, I usually try
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: to form an opinion to some extent, but I have
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: a slightly decently strong opinion on both college games tonight.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: Al though the FBS ones a lot, I don't know
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: if I want to make them plays. We do have
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: w NBA, which I've been handicapping it, so I will
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: talk about it LA at Atlanta.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: I would lean to l A in this game.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: This is a zigzag spot, so I would take the
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: points with LA. I got to zoom in on this
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: right because it looks different on the shared screen here.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Atlanta's won three games in a row. Yes, Atlanta is
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: still playing to try to position themselves better in the playoffs,
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: like that they can get the two seed in the playoffs.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: That might be where they are right now actually, but
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: they do have a three game padding over the New
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: York Liberty.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: Now, they've been.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Playing some good basketball, but they just beat LA on
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: the same floor yesterday and LA. The one kind of
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: outlier was the three point shooting percentage was very low
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: for LA yesterday, So I think this is a zig
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: exact spot. Atlanta might not take LA as seriously after
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: beating them the previous game by double digits. Although Atlanta
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: again they still have a little bit to play for
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: because they're still trying to get the best seeding that
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: they can. But LA is in more dire circumstances here
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: is they're the only team that's out of the playoff
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: picture right now that can still make the playoffs. And
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: they would have to get in basically over Indiana, and
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: they know Indiana is very injured and Indian is gonna
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: be playing tonight, so I don't know if there's gonna
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: be any scoreboard watching because Indiana plays literally literally at
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: the same time that they do. But I think LA
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: might just show up because they've settled in in the
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: city now and they're playing a second game at Atlanta,
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: so they might make the adjustments. The zigzag theory a
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: lot of times is that the team's gonna the team
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: that lost the first game is gonna be the team
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: to make the adjustments, whereas if you won the game,
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: you don't really have anything to change.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: So that might happen again. LA.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: They're in more desperate times here, and when you have
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: that as a situation as an underdog, because you know
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: that team's gonna really be trying to win that game.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: So that's a decent way to look.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: The line in the previous game is four and a half,
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: and now this one's up from five to five and
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: a half. So unless there are some personnel changes that
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: have to do with that, which I don't really think.
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: I don't think that there are, then there's a little
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: bit of extra value on LA for that reason too,
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: because why would the line move a point for no
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: reason when these teams are playing again the same teams
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: one game after the others.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: So slight lean to LA there.
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: That would probably be my strongest lean in the WNBA
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: Chicago at Indiana. Like I said, Indiana's trying to make
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. Man, they're in the last playoff spot right now.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: It seems like Caitlyn Clark might be able to come
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: back for the playoffs.
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: She's not going to be back yet. They're without Sophie Cunningham.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: We all know this. Indiana.
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: They're a pretty solid team really, they have a lot
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: of decent players, but they're up against it with all
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: these injuries right now.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: In Chicago, they pretty much have their injured players back
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: except for Van der Sluttel.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: Though Chicago is a terrible team, Indiana is the better team.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: They're trying to hang on to make the playoffs. But
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: they're a huge favorite here, man, So they don't need
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: to win by margin here.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: They just need to win. And they are returning.
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: And it says Clark's missing the rest of the regular
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: season now, which I'm not even convinced that she will
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: come back for the playoffs. Man that they're saying that
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: is a possibility, it'll make for some interesting handicapping. So
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: I want Indiana in the playoffs actually, just for the
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: potential to Clark comes back, which the league should want that.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: The league seems to hate Caitlin Clark, but she's the
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: most popular player in the league.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Man Like, they don't want her to not be there anymore,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: to have.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Her not be in the playoffs, So maybe the league
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: will actually try to rig it to get her team
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: into the playoffs. But I don't know right now. They
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: are in the playoffs in the last spot. They're returning
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: over from a road trip here though, where they went
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: to the West Coast, so it's not exactly a great
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: spot for them. They should be focused because again they're
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: trying to maintain that last playoff spot. But Chicago's not
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: exactly a team that totally draws her focus. Although there
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: is that kind of rivalrything there with Angel Reese Caitlyn Clark,
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: although Clark's not there.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: So do with that information what you will.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you forced me to give you a
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: pick on that one, it would be Chicago plus the points.
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Indiana's down from thirteen and a half to eleven and
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: a half, So the line has moved that way. I
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: don't know if it's just because of injuries, Like maybe
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: the line was out thinking Clark might come back or something,
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: and now that it's definitive that she's not, the line
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: moved a bit more. I'm not really sure. And then
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: we do have New York Seattle. This is the most
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: competitive of the games here, at least as far as
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: the line is concerned. Both these teams are fighting for
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: playoff positioning. Man, the Liberty are definitely gonna make the playoffs.
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Seattle it's a little bit more in question. Seattle's more
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: close to a five hundred team. So the spread looks
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: a little weird, right, I mean, it is giving Seattle
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: the home court advantage here factored in, But you see
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: a team like Seattle that is a significantly worse looking
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: record than the Liberty, and Seattle's favored it almost looks
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: too easy to take the Liberty here. And the Liberty,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: or the Returney champs from last year, they have a
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: good team again this year. They've lost both games on
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: the road trips so far, though, being on a third
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: game of a road trip out on.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: The West Coast isn't exactly the easy.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Spot though, so I am somewhat leading to Seattle here,
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: and Seattle kind of needs the game a little bit
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: more again, because they're not definitively in the playoffs yet
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: at all. They're not that far ahead, like they're one
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: of the teams that could actually get bounced by the
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: Sparks too, depending on how the last few games turn now,
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: because they're only two games ahead of them, and they
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: did just lose to the Smarks the last time out,
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: so I think they're gonna be more motivated here. In
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: my opinion, bad loss at home as a favorite coming
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: off that, so I would lean to Seattle in that game.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: And again, it looks almost like a trap type of line.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: It looks almost too easy to take the Liberty as
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: an underdog to me, at least. Curtis, what's up man,
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, well, Clark, I mean they
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: were talking about her potentially coming back for like over
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: a month, and I didn't see that happening. It seemed
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: like she was nowhere close to coming back. I do
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: want to see her back in the playoffs, though. I
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: want to see her back, man, which I believe we
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: have seen that before.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Let's go to Major League Baseball. We have a full
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: baseball board here.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: It's one of those days where you trying to look
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: for maybe situations where you got a team that played
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: yesterday against a team that didn't play yesterday.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: Most of these matchups are teams.
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: That both didn't play yesterday, though, like Washington and Chicago,
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: we get an afternoon Reglar Field game here.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Washington, of course, they're out of it.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: Cubs are trying to maintain a playoff spot here, potentially
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: fight for their division still as well. So Cubs have
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: a little bit more to play for here. But you know,
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: the Cubs are gonna be a big favorite. I mean,
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: they have the way better offense, they have the better bullpen.
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Washington doesn't have a lot going on for them. Man.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: Chicago's offense does need to turn around a little bit though,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: because they haven't been playing that well. But their offense
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: is still quite good. Washington, they're coming in from home.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: They just swept Miami, so they actually do have some momentum.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: So Washington was actually in a bad losing streak and
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: then they swept Miami, so now they at least have
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: some positive vibes going out on the road. That is
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: actually a thing, like you have some positive momentum starting
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: the road trip. So I expect it seems like it
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: should be a focused spot for Washington. It's just can
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: they really beat the Cubs here when the Cubs should
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: be pretty focused as well.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: The Cubs are staying at home. They did just lose
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: their last game to the Braves. Cubs again, they need
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: to make sure that they make the playoffs here at
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: this point.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean this game.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I think you got to find a way to probably
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: play the Cubs in this game or not play the game.
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: But it's a huge price on the Cubs. Cubs also
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: have the starting pitching edge. They have the edge across
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: the board here. Jake Irvin is pitching for Washington. He's
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: not very good. Five point four two ERA, one point
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: four to one whip, bad on the road, five point
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: six seven e RA on the road this past month.
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: Bad eight point seven to eighty RA, sixteen to twelve
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio, Really bad stuff from Irvin. He
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: showed some signs earlier in the season, but yeah, it's
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: not been good for him and his numbers against against
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: the Cubs are not very good either. In seventy five
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: at bats, thirteen to eight strike a walk ratio, two
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: ninety three batting average allowed, eight forty one ohps, so
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: he does allow the Cubs to hit him around. Cubs
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: are going with the Syrian dictator, Javier or Assad who
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: just rejoined them. I think he must have been injured
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: or something, or I don't know if he was in
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: the minors or injured, but probably injured because he has
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: been on their major league roster for the last couple
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: of years, and he's a serviceable pitcher. At least he
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: does not he doesn't gas his own people for four
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: point oh five v R one point three five whip.
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: His whip is definitely too high, but it's a limited
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: sample size. This year so far, a two point two
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: five VRRA at home.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Is pretty good.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: I mean he's been he's been fairly solid. His strikeout
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: rate is not high, though he's not a strikeout guy.
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: He has a ten to five strike out walk ratio
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: so far this year. He's not putting a ton of
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: guys on base. He's allowing a few too many hits,
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: though he's allowed three or fewer earned runs.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: In his last three outings.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: He went six innings in each of the last two,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: both on the road, one against Colorado, which is a
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: bad offense, but it is course field, so it's not
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: really the easiest place to pitch. So he's pitching okay
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: right now. I mean, that's basically what you get out
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: of him. He's he's an okay pitcher for the most part.
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: His numbers are pretty good against Washington forty two career
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: at bats, ten four strike a walk ratio ten to
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: four buddy not great, but two fourteen batting average and
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: seven eleven ops. Asade has allowed a seven eleven ops
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: to uh Chicago.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Man, he's he's the clerk.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: He's not Indian, though, but they got some Middle Eastern
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: clerks at those convenience stores too, though some yes, thank
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: you sir. Yeah, well, doctor aside, none of the assades
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: are doctors, right, I don't know. But the Cubs, I mean,
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I think you've got to look to the Cubs in
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: some way here. But I think the more like the
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: more predictable thing to do here is to just go
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: with the Cubs to score a bunch of runs, even
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: though another offense hasn't done that much recently. I would
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: lean to the Cubs over their team total here. This
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: is a high total in this game too. It's gone
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: up to ten and half juice to the over, which
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: at rid midfield. You know that means the winds blowing out.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: There's a huge win factor there, so that's got to
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: be part of the reason why. So it looks like
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: balls might be flying out of this park here. I
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: don't have a joke on hand for that one. But
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: Irvin not good this year. Washington's bullpend not good, so
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: Asad a bit more like more difficult to predict. So
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: I think I would go clubs over their team total
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: in that one. White Sox at Detroit. These teams didn't
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: play yesterday either. Detroit has the better bullpen, Detroit has
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: the better offense. Detroit is coming off a series against
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: the Mets. But yeah, I don't know, man. I mean,
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: Detroit does have a lot of padding in their division.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, how motivated are they going to be to
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: face the White Sox. I'm not entirely sure. Chicago, I mean,
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: they're just playing out the stretch, but they've been playing
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: like a motivated team here. I mean, they did just
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: sweep Minnesota after they broke their lost street with the
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: win over the Yankees. The White Sox are playing like
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: they're having some fun. At least they scored a lot
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: of runs in that series against Minnesota. It's actually pretty
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: crazy the White Sox winning all four games on the
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: road like that. Not that Minnesota is any good. In Minnesota,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: they look like a team that's just packing it in
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: for the season. Man, the White Sox look like they're
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: still trying to win. I think just because they've had
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: another embarrassing season, two embarrassing seasons in a row.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: White Sox are not as bad this year as they
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: were last year.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: Though the White Sox could be a little bit better
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: record wise than they are. They've lost a lot of
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: one run games.
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: I think they have the worst record in all Major
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: League Baseball in one run games. Though they were able
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: to win their last three.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: One run games, but prior to that, I think they
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: were like ten and twenty eight or something in one
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: run games. So maybe that's not right, but it was
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: something around that. This game, the Cubs, I mean the Cubs,
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: the White Sox probably have the upper hand and the
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup in this game, man with Shane Smith,
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: even though with a rookie like him, you do have
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: to worry that he's thrown an amount of innings this
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: year that is unlike anything that he's ever done in
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: his career.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: So that's one thing you have to worry about with
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: rookies is their.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: Innings pitched tally, which he looked like he was already
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: kind of fading a little bit.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: He's thrown one.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: Hundred and twenty innings this year, which is a pretty
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: good amount for rookie. He was hurt at some point
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: during the season. He was off to a really hot start,
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: started pitching poorly.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: I think he got hurt. But since he's been.
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: Back, he's actually pitched well again. He's been pretty good
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: over the past month. The two point six seven e
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: RA thirty one to thirteen strike out walk ratio over
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: that span.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Overall this season.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Three point eight one ERA one point two whip not
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: bad numbers. He is a little bit worse on the
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: road though. Four point three seven Roady Ira up against Detroit.
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: I believe they have seen him at least once this year.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: They have, and he's actually done well. In thirty three
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: at bats, He's allowed zero extra base hits to them,
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: ten strikeouts, four walks, one fifty two batting average three
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: to ninety five OPS. Granted, you know that the first
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: time Detroit had to face him, Smith probably had more
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: of an advantage there.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: I always talking about how a pitcher.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: Who's unfamiliar to the opposing hitters has an advantage over
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: the opposing hitters when they haven't been seen before. So
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: that advantage is not really there anymore for Smith. But
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: he is pitching pretty well right now. I mean, I
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: could definitely see him pitching well again. I mean, maybe
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: he does match up well against Detroit. He's going up
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: against Jack Flaherty, who has been the lesser of these
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: two pitchers this year four point seven to forty ERA,
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: one point two to nine whip. Flaherty's better at home though,
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: four point one ERA at home. But he hasn't really
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: been very good over the past month, although thirty two
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: to eight strike a walk ratio is good, but five
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: point five to one ERA, so I mean, I guess
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: maybe you could argue he's gotten a little bit unlucky,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: but he's allowed too many hits, more than one hit
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: per inning. His team has lost five of his last
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: six outings, which is not really a good sign. When
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: you're on a team that wins games. Detroit is good
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: at home. Flaherty did just face the White Sox and
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: didn't do well and four and a third innings to
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: give up five in runs. Although he had a six
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: to one strike out walk ratio. That was at Chicago
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: in August. Not a great sign for flowerty here and
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: his numbers are actually not good against the White Sox
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: in general. In fifty six at bast twelve zero strike
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio is good, but a three or four
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: batting average isn't very good. Seven to fourteen ohbs isn't
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: that high. I mean it could be worse.
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: But Smith, I think, does have the upper hand of
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchup. He did pitch against Detroit in
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: that recent series as well.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: He went five innings, didn't give up any runs in
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: that one, so he was better than Flower and he
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: was in that series. Though Smith did walk three guys,
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: so his walk numbers are a little bit of a
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: concern in that game. But the way that you want
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: to look at this game, I think, so the money
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: looks like it is coming in.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: On the White Sox.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, Detroit's a huge favorite or a big favorite
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: they're down for minus one eighty five to minus one
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: eighty two.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Here on the money line.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Eighty five percent take it, sixty eight percent of the
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: cash the money so.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: The cash was senor cc on the White Sox.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: If I was gonna do that the White Sox, by
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: the way, they also played yesterday. I forgot to mention that,
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: so that is also an issue. So because the White
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: Sox played yesterday, Detroit did not play yesterday. So Detroit
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen already and they're arrested. So Detroit
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: does have.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Some other advantages in this game too. The White Sox.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: The one advantage they do have in this game, in
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: my opinion, is the starting pitching. So if you want
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: to join what looks like some of the professional money
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: fading what they think is an over priced Detroit team here,
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: I would only do it in the first five innings.
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: You can probably get a run line on the White
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Sox at the first five innings, like plus a half
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: run or something like that.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way that I would do it, because I.
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: Think once we get into the bullpens in this game,
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: I think Detroit starts to have an advantage in the game.
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: So I would only do it first five innings. That's
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: that would probably be how I would not play that
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: game if I was gonna do it. Aside is an
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: eye doctor, just like I ran Paul Man, an ophthalmologist,
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: and he does he's okay to Christians as well, I think,
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: and uh, well, thank you for hanging out anyway.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, hopefully hopefully this is decent information.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: I just kind of go like, I almost kind of
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: assume that people like somewhat know what the hell I'm
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: even talking about, so I don't know, hopefully they do.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Baseball is like more I think, a bit technical. I
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: get way more like granular with what I do with baseball.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: I do a lot a lot of different stuff with baseball,
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: though when it comes down to it, I usually I'm
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: only doing like sides totals and a few like some first.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Five inning things as well.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: You will you used to so it's gone away for you,
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: or maybe my football stuff makes more sense because it's
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: more like situational. Baseball is way more technical. Milwaukee is
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: at Pittsburgh. This is another actually this series. Both teams
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: played yesterday. What am I saying? Pittsburgh is coming off
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: a sweep of the LA Dodge, so could debatably be
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot for Pittsburgh, but this is still another
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: big series for Pittsburgh, Milwaukee coming into their place. Milwaukee's
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: the top team in their division, so I don't really
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: think Pittsburgh is not gonna be focused facing Milwaukee here.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh actually not that bad of a home team, man, Pittsburgh.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: They're forty one and thirty at home.
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: I think, so they're actually pretty good at home, as
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: bad as their offense is forty two and thirty.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee, though, has the best road record in baseball, so
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: things come into a head.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Here in Milwaukee. Very good road record.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee did play yesterday at home, they lost to the Phillies.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: They lost that series, they got shut out yesterday, so
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: for them it might be good for them just go
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: on the road. But how focused are they're gonna be
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: on Pittsburgh, I don't know. I mean Milwaukee, unlike Pittsburgh,
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee is still fighting for playoff positioning here. They want
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: to maintain their home field advantage throughout the playoffs if
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: they can, and maintain their lead and their division. So
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: I don't really think Milwaukee is just gonna be total
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: on focus here. So I think both teams do have
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: reason to show up in this game. As far as
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: the bullpens, there was some bullpen usage yesterday. Milwaukee used
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: for their relievers. They got some injuries to worry about.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh also used four, but they used them for fewer pitches.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's bullpen, I think is still the better of the bullpen's.
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: Oh they're at tenth and bullpenny all right here on
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: the season, even though now that does factor in mcgil
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: though their closer who is injured right now. Pittsburgh does
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: have the lesser bullpen. Milwaukee does have the way better offense.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh still has a really bad offense. Milwaukee's office is
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: actually better on the road as well. Oh thank you,
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: oh thank you for the thank you for the repost
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: Valentine slash.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: The idiot. I know who you are, by the way,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: you're in my chat multiple times. Apparently. Let's see starting pitching.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: Quinn Priester is pitching for Milwaukee. He is a former
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Pirate. He was on the Pirates until late last
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: year I think, and then he was on my Boston
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. But he's already faced the Brewers, or excuse me,
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: faced the Pirates since he's been on the Brewers. So
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: sometimes like a pitcher will like get up for a
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: game against a team that got rid of them, But
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: he's already faced Pittsburgh, so that's not really gonna be
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: a factor here. But Priester, he's having a good season.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: Three point two eighty RRA and one point two to
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: four whip isn't terrible.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: I still don't think he's as good as his numbers. Look.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: The advanced analytics guys have been trying to fade this
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: guy for quite a while now, and it has not
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: worked out. As Milwaukee has now won sixteen games in
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: a row that he's appeared in, which is the longest
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: one of those streaks that I've ever seen.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know. There might be some history behind that.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: Although he didn't start every one of those, he started
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: fourteen of them, I think, and he came in after
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: one inning. He came in as a follower I think
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: in a couple of games. But yeah, I mean overall,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: he is doing pretty well. He's actually better on the
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: road two point nine to four ROADRA. He's going up
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: against his former Pittsburgh Pirates team here. His numbers are
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: actually not great against him. It's a small sample size
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: of twenty six to one strike at walk ratio is good.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: Three hundred batting average of those seven thirty three ops.
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: Not the greatest numbers there for Priester against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: got Johann Ovieedo pitching though, and I don't know if
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: we can really trust him. His numbers look alright this
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: year three point six ERA, one point two whip worse
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: at home four point five yr. But we're looking at
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: a really small sample size here.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Fifteen innings. He's made four appearances.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: I think at least three of them have been starts,
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: but his team has won three of the four, and
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: in the starts that he's made, he's gone five innings
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: and two of the three he's allowed two or fewer
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: earned runs in all three.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: So he's pitching okay. He did pick up a win
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: against my Boston Red Sox. He did walk three guys
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: in five innings in that game.
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: So I mean, based on what we've seen out of
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: him throughout his career, I mean, he's a twenty seven
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: year old at this point.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Usually you don't see a.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: Guy at that age just all of a sudden become
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: like some amazing pitcher or anything like that.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: His numbers are mediocre throughout his career.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: So I do expect him to kind of remain in
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: mediocrity up against the Brewers' twenty five career at bats
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: hasn't done very well against him. It's a small sample,
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: but five to five strike a walk ratio to eighty
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, eight eighty ops.
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: So I don't really trust OVI eighto here either.
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: But with priest Or not having numbers that are really
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: particularly that great against Pittsburgh either, I mean, and both
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: bullpens seeing U suggest today, I'm kind of leaning towards
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: an over here. But the money seems to be disagreeing
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: with that total down from eight and have juice the
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: over at eight and a half, seventy percent of tickets
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: on the over, sixty one percent of the cash on the.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: Over, So money is not agreeing with it. Do with
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: that information what you will.
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: And the money seems to be faint, and Quinn Priester again,
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: the professional money trying to try to ack, that's trying
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: to break Quinn Priesters windstreak hang on him, and it's
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: getting too hot in here. Man, I gotta I'm adjusting
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: the climate. Yeah, I could do it remotely, living in
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: luxury until I have to sell my entire house. Let
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: me see here, I don't even know what's going it's on,
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: the AC is on. I don't know why it's not.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna crank it further.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: All right, I'm cranking the hog here. No, I'm actually not.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: But the money looks like it's coming in against Milwaukee here.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: Seventy five percent tickets, only sixty eight percent of the
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: cash on a very public road favorite Milwaukee team. So
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: it seems like the professionals do see some value on
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: taking Pittsburgh here. I wouldn't want to recommend it, but
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: that is what's going on in that game. Mets at Cincinnati.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: Neither of these teams played yesterday, so we got some
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: rest here. Mets have the better offense. Their offense has
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: been pretty good recently. The Mets also have the better bullpen,
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: although that advantage is more slight. But I don't think
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: the Mets have the better starting pitcher here at all.
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: Like looking at these starting pitchers, I definitely prefer Cincinnati's.
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati is staying at home. They did just lose both series.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: They lost two series in a row at home to
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis antronto Cincinnati. They're right at five hundred, so
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: I expect that to be kind of a motivator. I mean,
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: when you're sitting at five hundred, you really don't want
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: to fall below five hundred. Cincinnati was in the Wildcard
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: race and their recent play has almost put them out
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: of it, but I think they're still gonna.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Be trying to win here. I think they're gonna be motivated.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is a big series for both teams
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: because these teams are somewhat battling each other. Although I
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: know the Mets now have like a five game lead
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: over Cincinnati, and it was way closer than that until
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati started playing like ass recently.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: The Mets coming.
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: Up of a pretty big series against Detroit and now
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: coming into Cincinnati, and maybe the Mets feeling a little
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: bit more secure with their wildcard lead over the Reds
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: here because of the recent downswing for the Reds series.
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: So I think might get a little bit of extra
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: motivation on the Reds for that point of the both
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: teams still trying to maintain their playoffs positioning well, Mets
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: trying to maintain the play position. He Cincinnati trying to
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: do anything to try to stay alive. But David Peterson
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: is pitching for the Mets. He's not really pitching that
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: well recently. I mean, he's a guy I keep telling
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: you that I think we're gonna get regression out of him.
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: I think it is happening. He has a three point
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: six one ERA in the season, which is good. One
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: point three to one whip is not as good. He
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: is better on the road three point four to four
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: road ERA. But this past month he has not been good,
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: even though his strikeout rate has been high, but he
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: has a thirty five to seventeen strike a walk ratio
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: over the past month that is way too many walks.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: He's walked three or more in three of his last
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: four outings. He's allowed six or more in runs in
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: two of those games, six point six eighty RA over
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: the course of the month. The Mets lost five out
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: of the six games. So Peterson seems to me tailing
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: off man, which maybe could be expected. Cincinnati has a
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: pretty hitter friendly ballpark. He's not great against Cincinnati. Fifty
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: at bats seven, strike a walker ratio, two to eighty
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: batting average seven forty eight oh ps allowed.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Not great.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: He's going on up against Andrew Abbott, who has been
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: really good for the Reds this year. Two point six
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: five ERA, one point one two whip on the season.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: That's good.
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: One thing you gotta worry about with Abbot, though, is
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: is he wearing down? Because he's a young guy and
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: he's now one inning above the most innings that he's
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: ever thrown in the season, which was last year. So
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit of a concern that Abbott might
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: be wearing down a little bit. He's been good at
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: home this year two point one to winn e RA.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: This past month he hasn't been as good. Four point
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: four to five ERA and twenty nine to six strike
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio is still good, So I'm not ready
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: to say that he's like totally done yet. I mean,
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: his two bad starts over the month. We're at the
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Cubs and at Arizona, good hitting teams. But he is
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: facing a good hitting team here, although he is at
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: home this time. Matt's actually hit him well though, in
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: fifty four at bats, ten to six strike a walk ratio,
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: three point fifty two batting average allowed, and nine five ops.
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: So his numbers are not really good against the Mets
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: at all. He actually has the worst of the matchup numbers.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: Money almost seems like it is coming in on the Mets.
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: Even then they went down on the money line. They
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: went down on it for minus one twenty as one twelve,
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: but they got fifty two percent of the cash with
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of tickets on Cincinnati. That concerns me
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit about Cincinnati. Again, I do think the
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: Mets have the offensive edge here, and the Mets do
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: have the bullpen edge as well, and neither team played yesterday,
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: but Cincinnati I think they have.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: I still think they have an edge in the first
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: five innings.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: So if you grab Cincinnati maybe on the money line
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings, probably closer around like a
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: pick them type of price, that could still be a
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: way to look because I do prefer Abbot over Peterson
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: h as far as the full game, I would be
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: more inclined to agree with what the money is doing there.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the way that I look at
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: that game a lot of times. The starting pitching, I mean,
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: baseball is so discreet, man. I don't mean they keep
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: like secrets. I mean it's like split up into very
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: like defined intervals, almost like at bats, innings, whatever. So
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: like the starting pitching aspect of the game could be
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: completely different from the bullpen aspect of it, which is
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: another thing to keep in mind with Baseball Dodgers at Baltimore.
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's returning from.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: The Pacific Coast.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: So they did just sweep the Podres somehow not good
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: for the Padres, who have been better at home and
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: they're trying to make the playoffs. Baltimore doesn't have a
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: whole lot to play for here, although they might step
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: it up for this series because they're playing the Dodgers.
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers obviously one of the top teams in baseball
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: coming in so maybe a reason for Baltimore to show up.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: But with Baltimore returning cross country from the Pacific Coast,
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: that's a difficult spot. It's still a distraction spot, probably
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: because you come home from the Pacific Coast, you got
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: stuff to do back at home. Could be a bit
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: of a distraction, even though yeah, they should be a
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: little bit focused on the Dodgers. Dodgers are probably gonna
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: be pissed and they're not actually traveling as much here.
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: They're just going from Pittsburgh into Baltimore. But the Dodgers
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: did play yesterday and Baltimore was off, so Baltimore has
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: a rest advantage. But how great is that when they're
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: returning over the Pacific Coast.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: I don't exactly know.
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's kind of why the schedule makers kind
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: of do it that way. Dodgers use three of the
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: relievers yesterday. Neither of these bullpens are very good, although
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers probably have the slightly better bullpen. Yeah, actually
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: more than slightly better. Baltimore's bullpen is pretty ugly, so
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: Dodgers have the better bullpen, although it's a little bit
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: less rest, and Dodgers obviously have the better offense. As
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: far as the pitching, I mean, on the surface.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: It looks pretty obvious the Dodgers have the better pitcher
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: Starting pitcher Tyler glasnow three point four to one ERA,
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: one point one one WHIP good numbers on the season.
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: He's had injury issues this season, though, which seems to
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: be every season for him.
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: He's got a five point six' EIGHTY ra on the road,
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: though so he's been pretty bad on the. Road uh
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: this past. Month he's been good, though although all of
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: all but one start we're at, home, though and his
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: worst start was that road one At San, diego even
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: though it's a pitcher friendly. Park that was the only
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: start over the past month that he didn't go at
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: least five. Innings but still over the last month good.
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: Form three point four to FIVE, era thirty two to
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: eleven strike out walk.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Ratio that's pretty.
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: Solid he's faceally a fairly Weak baltimore lineup, here But
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: baltimore the only four guys who have seen him before
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: twenty at. BATS i know it's a very small, sample
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: but they've done well against him despite the seven to
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: two strike a walk, ratio three point fifty batting average
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: allowed one fifty nine. Ohps so maybe it's not the
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: best matchup For glasgow.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Here he was On tampa not that long, ago.
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Though it seems LIKE i kind of Expected baltimore to
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: have more experience off of him because he was On.
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: Tampa But baltimore's had some turnover in their. LINEUP i
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: Guess baltimore Is Dean kreamer, pitching who is still a
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: GUY i don't really, trust although he was on a
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: nice run for a, while but that run.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: Seems to be.
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: Over he's got mediocre numbers this year four point five TWO,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: era one point.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: Two to SEVEN.
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: Whip he is good at home three point two SIXTY
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: ra at, home although this past month has a five
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: point five to nine E.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Ra the twenty four to six strike a walker ratio is,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: good but he's allowed four more runs than three of
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: the five, outings including each of the last.
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: Two and the most damning is that he allowed seven
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: earned runs in his last downing At San francisco against
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: a bad offense in a very picture friendly. Ballpark So
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: creamer appears to be in pretty bad for him right.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: Now SO i do have concerns about that with. Him
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: he's going up against a really strong line up. Here
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: he's been mediocre against The dodgers forty three at bats
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: eight six strike a walker, ratio two fifty six batting,
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: average allowed seven sixty six to.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Ops so, again this is another difficult game to. Read.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: Man the money seems like it is coming in on
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: The dodgers down for minus one fifty seven to minus
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: one fifty, six seventy two. Percent take his eighty three
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming you, know The dodgers have
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: a bit more to play for it because they're still
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: trying to win their, division trying to make sure they
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: make the, playoffs SO i can see. THAT i, mean
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have a huge price tag on The dodgers,
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: though especially With glasnow, pitching SO i don't really know
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: if there is necessarily value. THERE i could see arguments
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: for an over because the bullpens are not that, good
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: both pitchers seem to actually struggle in this specific, matchup
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: And cream are not in good form, anymore so an
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: over could be.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: Worth a look.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: Here although we see eighty nine percent of tickets and
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of cash on the, over the total
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: did go up initially from.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: Eight and a half to.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: Nine nine is a key number in, baseball SO i,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: mean if you can go over eight and a, half
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: you're getting the better of the key number of nine at.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: Least so that's maybe a way to look at that.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: Game and that, game, yeah is very difficult for me
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: to figure. Out we have some big series going on
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: over the weekend here Man toronto at The yankees in
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: This Al east, battle WHICH i told you like a
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: couple of weeks ago that you might want to fire
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: on The yankees to win THE Al east they were
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: like plus two to eighty to win The Al, east
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: and they've closed the gap since, then so you can't
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: get a price like that. ANYMORE i don't Think toronto
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: is as good as they. Look their bullpen has really
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: been bad, recently SO i know the yankees bullpen's not,
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: good But toronto's has been even worse, recently SO i
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: actually think The yankees actually have the better bullpen in this,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: game as ridiculous as that. Sounds The yankees did play,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: yesterday Though toronto still has the better bullpen on the. Season,
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: interesting and they will have a rest edge, here so
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: there is that because The yankees played yesterday And toronto did,
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: not SO i won't complain about the schedule making this.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: Time yankees used three.
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: Of their relief pitchers, yesterday SO i guess we do
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: have to Give toronto the bullpen edge, still but they've
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: been real bad. Recently but both these teams are gonna
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: show up focused here. Obviously this is a huge, series
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: both teams trying to win the, division trying to make
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: sure they make the playoffs as. Well toronto's traveling in
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: From cincinnati with a day off after Beating. Cincinnati, yankees
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: LIKE i said played yesterday and the returning home it
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: was kind of a short ish road trip that went To,
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: chicago The White, sox And, houston so not a long road.
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: Trip and of COURSE i don't think they're gonna fall
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: into that return home to action spot here Because.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Toronto this is a huge.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: Series so there's no way The yankees are gonna overlook
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: the team that's beating them in the division right, now
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: that's been leading the division this whole. Time this looks
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: like it's an interesting pitching matchup, though for the starting.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Pitchers Kevin goussman for The Blue jays three point seven
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: to FIVE, era one point oh five.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Whip he's having a good. Season he's a.
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: Veteran he's a little bit better on the, road three
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: point six to seven ROAD.
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: Era he's been pretty good this. Month he's in pretty
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: good recent form this past.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: Month three point five to FIVE, era thirty five to
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: six strike at walk. Ratio he's allowed two or fewer
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: runs of four of his last five.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Outings pretty.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: Good did well last time out Against, milwaukee did well
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: against The cubs not that long, ago those games at.
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: Home and obviously The yankees are good, offense though we
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: have two actually pretty prolific offense this.
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: Year The yankees are the better of the. Two but
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: you can see here they're actually number one and number
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: two in. Ops NOW i thought The toronto was, three
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: but they've leaped up Above. Dodgers, crazy so two offenses
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: that can definitely.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: Hit.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Here Cam Schlittler Kyle, schlittler The trader AS i call,
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: him because he's From, walpole Mass and he's a good
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: young pitcher and he's pitching for the Fucking.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: Yankees The, yankees suck.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: Man i'm not liking how the season is, Going Man Red,
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: sox dealing with all these injuries now and turmoil again
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: The Red. Sox they're in one of the wildcard, spots
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't think The Red sox is gonna Even
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: they might not even make the. Playoffs but if they,
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: DO i think it's one and done and in the
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: playoff structure right, now they'd be playing The. Yankees AND
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: i know The Red sox are eight and one against
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: The yankees right, now but they play The yankees again
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: upcoming not too long from.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: NOW i DON'T i don't think it's gonna go well
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: for The Red.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Sox, man The yankees are still the best team in
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: The American, league which pisses me off to say, that
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen is really their big. Weakness schlittler is, good,
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: though two point six ONE, era one point two FOUR.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: Whip those numbers don't even really tell you actually how
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: good he. Is he has been slightly worse at home
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: three point one SIXTY, ra but their home stadium is
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: pretty hitter. Friendly but over the past month he's allowed
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: no more than touring runs in any outing he's allowed
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: one or, fewer and four straight starts he's gone at
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: least six innings in the last three one point SIXTY
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: ra over the month Of august thirty nine to eleven
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk. Ratio didn't face very good offenses for most of,
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: that but he did have to pitch In. Tampa but
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: The yankees are familiar with that type of stadium because
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: we're with that specific stadium because it's.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: A spring their spring training.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: Stadium The Yankees spring Training stadium is Where tampa plays this,
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: year and it's very similar To Yankee stadium for that.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Reason But schlitler was doing a lot of this against
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: week offenses for the most. Part but he is still
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: pitching really, well right, now going up Against, toronto we
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: know they're not a week.
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: Offense toronto has seen him.
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: Before i'm pretty Sure toronto actually was able to get
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: to him a little bit the one time he faced,
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: them so. Slip a lot of these games that he's
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: been pitching this, year he's had that extra advantage of
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: being unfamiliar to the opposing, hitters so the hitters come
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: in and they don't know what to expect from. Him
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: that is not the case. Here, Uh toronto did face
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: him already in eighteen of. Bats they didn't have any
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: extra base hits off, him but they have a three
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: thirty three average seven to thirty three ops off in three,
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: strikeouts two. Walks So chlittler was okay in that, start
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: But toronto was able to hit him a. BIT i
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: still think both starting pitchers could potentially do all right
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: in this. Game the money seems to be coming in
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: on the, over, though and if you like the, over
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: you got to do full, game because obviously you're gonna
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: factor in these bullpens that have not been very.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: Good you want that to be factored. In if you're
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: taking the.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: Over total looks like it's headed from eight and a
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: half up towards nine eighty six percent of tickets on the,
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: over ninety three percent of the cash on the, over
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: money also coming in on The yankees down for minus
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: one thirty one twenty nine sixty seven percent of, tickets
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of.
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: The cash coming in on The. YANKEES i, mean it's, interesting.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean the disadvantage of The yankees have obviously
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: is they're not, Rested they're coming in and they're. Traveling
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: toronto's traveling as, well but The yankees are returning.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: Home so there.
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: Is kind of a scheduling disadvantage for The yankees. Here
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: but to, me it looks like they probably actually have
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: the edge in the starting pitching department. Slightly toronto probably
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: does still have the slight bullpen, edge and The yankees
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: do have a hitting. Edge it's an interesting. Game it's
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: a close. Game i'm not gonna recommend to play on.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: THIS i gave, you you, know the information about what
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: the market is. DOING i wouldn't really necessarily disagree with
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: the over just Because toronto did See schlitler. Already gusman
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: as we. SAW i don't think what DID i? Say
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: he's not particularly good against The yankees, right SO i
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: could see the starting pitchers actually not maybe. Not, yeah
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: he's not very good against, them maybe not doing as
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: well as you would say that they normally.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Would, so, yeah that's HOW i look at this.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: GAME i THINK i was looking at the wrong team
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: there by the, Way that was The, reds but The.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: YANKEES i gotta refresh my memory on all, this.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: Man, YEAH i mean the numbers are not that great
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: against The, yankees SO i wouldn't really disagree with the
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: over in that, game especially factoring in those. Boldpens philadelphia At, Miami,
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: man this is gonna be a long fucking video BECAUSE
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: i had a. Rant it was the rant segment at the.
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: Beginning miami just got swept By, washington so they might
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: be a little bit pissed off about. THAT i, Mean
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: miami not a whole lot to play for, here but
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: you might be still playing for some sense of pride,
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: here you, know not in the gay. Way they're returning
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip though they went to The
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: mets And, washington not really a road trip that took
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: them a huge, distance but returning home sometimes you are.
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: Distracted But miami might show up because this Is philadelphia coming, in,
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: Man philadelphia is the top team in their. Division miami
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: probably a little bit angry.
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: They just got.
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: Swept philadelphia could actually mean a little bit of a
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: letdown spot here because they just Beat. Milwaukee they got
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: a six game lead over the excuse, me over The
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: mets in the division Of. Philadelphia they're still trying to
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: make sure they have the best playoffs seating that they.
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: Can but you can't really just be totally up for every,
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: game and so maybe this is a game Where philadelphia.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: Lapses in't focus a little.
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: Bit philadelphia actually does have the worst of the two.
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: Bullpens they definitely have the better. OFFENSE i believe both
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: teams are off, yesterday so we do have some rest
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: going on. Here neither bullpen is that, great But philadelphia's
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: is not great at. All So miami's is the better,
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: bullpen and we Know philadelphia has a strong. Offense philadelphia
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: does have the better starter here To Christopher sanchez has
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: been really good this year two point six SIX, era
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: one point one Two.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Whip he is a little bit worse on the road two.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Point nine to nine year round the, road but he's
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: having an excellent season three point zero THREE era and
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: forty two to eight strike a walk ratio In, august
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: with his team winning four of the six, starts both
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: of the ones that they lost around the road, though
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: so again struggling a little bit more on the. Road
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: But sanchez has been really good over the course of the.
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: Season miami is not that intimidating of an. Offense he's
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: pretty much shot them, down shut it. Down small sample
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: twenty six at, bats so they have no extra base,
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: hits no walks against, him four, strikeouts one fifty four
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: batting average in THREE toho eight. Ops So sanchez does
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: look like he matches up pretty well. Here he'll be
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: going up Against Valente, beozo who has been On miami's
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: staff for a. While he's been in their starting rotation.
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: BEFORE i don't know if he has this year. Though
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: he's pretty much been coming out of the bullpend this.
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: Year he made some starts at least last.
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: Year maybe he's made at least one or two this.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Year he's his numbers.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: Are okay this, season three point nine ONE, era one
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: point two to SIX. Whip he's been better at home
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: two point nine to THREE.
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: Era at.
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: Home you're probably not gonna get a ton of innings
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: out of. Him even though he did go four to
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: third innings last. TIME i don't, KNOW i don't know
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: if that was a start or if he came. In
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: he probably came in relief against The mets because that
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: was such a high scoring.
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Game you'll probably.
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: Get maybe four or so innings out of him, here
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: maybe if they want to extend him a little bit
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: into this. Game he's obviously the lesser of the two starters.
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: On they're bringing him back from the. Bullpen so sometimes
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: when a guy's been in the, bullpen he's used to,
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: throwing you, know kind of long relief, appearances forty whatever.
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: Pitches he's not really used to going a starter's workload.
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: Here it looks like he was doing it earlier in the.
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: Season he had a few starts or a few outings
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: at least where he did go kind of a starter's,
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: Workload so he's not totally unused to. It so he'll be.
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: IN i would expect he'll be in this, game probably
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: somewhere in the four inning vicinity would be my. GUESS
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: A phillies of, course could knock him out at some
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: point because they're, good but he's actually been pretty good
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: against The phillies and thirty seven at bats six to,
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: one strike a walk ratio one eighty, nine batting average
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: of four to eighty one.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: Ohps so he's actually done well against.
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: Them and WHEN i looked at the, market the money
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: was actually coming in On. MIAMI i think some of
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: that has to do with the fact That philadelphia is
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: an exorbitantly large favorite up from my down for my
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: two sixty five to minus two to fifty five seventy
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets on, them fifty seven percent of
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: the cash On. Miami so some of the money is
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: coming in On. Miami, andrew what's up, Man thanks for hanging.
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: OUT i, MEAN i do Think philadelphia does have especially
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: they have the edge of the starting pitching matchup still,
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: though SO i.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: Wouldn't really want to have my money On miami.
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: HERE i, MEAN i actually see maybe an argument for an,
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: under even though the total flip from eight juice to
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: the under to eight juice to the, over probably under
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: first five innings BECAUSE i don't trust the. Bullpens although
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: the bullpens are, RESTED i actually think both starters could
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: actually maybe do well, Here Like sanchez is just, good
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: and then you saw the matchup numbers with. Beaozo so
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: maybe he'll be pumped actually to get the call in
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: a game and gainst a good team like this and
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: show up and want to pitch. Well and he's getting
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: to face a good pitcher, too so maybe he'll want
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: to do his best to try to duel. Him ninety
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: three percent of tickets on the, over ninety percent of
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: the cash also on the, over.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: So it's a very public over at the very.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: Least SO i could see arguments for a first five
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: inning under in that, game and maybe that's the way
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: THAT i would actually. Lean we're almost up to an
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: hour And i'm not even close to. Them with, Baseball
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said when we get into football, SEASON i
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: might actually have to just stop doing every baseball game
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: because it's just. Difficult it's. Ridiculous it takes so much. Time,
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: nate thanks for hanging out. Man MAYBE i should try
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: to abbreviate it a little. BIT i don't Know seattle At,
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: atlanta but there's so much information to. Consume atlanta's returning
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: over from a long road trip they went To they
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: didn't really go that far, geographically but they went To, Miami, Philadelphia,
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: coubs so long road trip duration, WISE a lot of
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: times you have a team returning over from a road
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: trip like, that especially a long.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: One the long ones are.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: Worse so even though they had yesterday, off a team
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip sometimes they will be. Distracted,
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: man in that return home. Spot i'm they're Playing. SEATTLE
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: i Know seattle is a decent.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Team but it's an interleague.
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: GAME i, MEAN i could definitely See atlanta being a
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: bit on the distracted side here in this. Game seattle
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: was also off. Yesterday seattle has the better offense of
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: these two. TEAMS i believe they also had the better. Bullpen,
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: yeah they're at eleventh And bullpenny. Area that's pretty Good atlanta.
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: Seventeenth seattle is still a team that can hit fairly
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: well as. Well they're up above The, braves not by too,
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: much but they do have the somewhat better. Offense seattle
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: not playing good baseball right, now. Though, man they're trying
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: to get a wild card, spotier so they definitely have,
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: motivation whereas The braves don't really have a whole lot
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: to play for at.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: This, point knowing they're not going.
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: Anywhere seattle's been in the middle of a road trip
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: and they're coming in From. Tampas they're not really traveling
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: that far, though going up From tampa To, atlanta that's
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: a pretty short. Trip and they got swept By tampa
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: in that Ugly Steinberner, field which you, KNOW i talked
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: about how stadium like that could really Impact seattle's pitchers
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: because they're used to pitching in such a cavernous pitcher friendly.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Stadium then having to go to that stadium it wasn't.
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: Good But seattle's still on the road here In seattle's
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: they're starting.
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: Pitchers they're all worse on the road.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: Man Logan gilbert is one of their better starters, though
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: but he's still one of.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: THEM i, mean none of them are really that.
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: Good on the, road, man Except Brian. Wou even Though
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: woo's worst on the, road he's still really good both.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: Ways he goes both.
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: Ways Logan, gilbert he is having a really good season
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: three point seven THREE, era one point oh two. Whip but,
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: again his numbers on the road are quite. Awful, actually
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: five point eight O era on the. Road that is
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: way worse.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Than his numbers at.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: Home he's been good over the past month for the most,
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: part with the thirty nine to eight strike a walk
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: ratio that is definitely, solid nice strikeout, rate but with
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: a four point six E, ra mostly because he kind
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: of got obliterated At.
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia that was a terrible start for.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Him the rest of his starts he allowed three or
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: fewer earned, runs so that start did seem like it
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: was a bit of a fluke and it jacked up HIS.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: Ra against The, braves he has good numbers in seventy
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: nine at, bass so it's a big, sample pretty big,
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: sample twenty two to three strike at walk ratio one
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: fifty two, average three ninety eight, ohps a lot of
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: though it's probably guarantee that some of that at least
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: was In. Seattle but he does have good numbers against.
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: Them maybe he's gonna get a little bit pumped up
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: for this because he does get to go off against go.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: Off he does get to what's the Word i'm looking for,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: BATTLE i guess face off Against Chris. Sale and we
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: know how Good Chris sale. Is he's gonna be in
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: The hall Of. Fame and he's still pitching well even
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: though he's had an injury plague. SEASON i, mean what
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: else is?
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: New last?
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: Year he didn't really but when he's been pitching this.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: Year he's been basically as good as he was last.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: Year Red sox should have kept.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Him two point four or FIVE, era one point one
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: to three, whips really good, numbers two point one SEVENTY
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: ra at. Home he's been good at home this.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: Year he just came back from injury after two months
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: off and he pretty much shut Down. Philadelphia even though
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: The braves lost the, game it wasn't his. Fault he
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: went six, innings gave a one er in, run nine,
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one, Walk so he is definitely still in. Form
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: over his last what is that seven, outings he's allowed
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: one or fewer earned runs one or. ZERO i, mean
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: he's on point man and he's had six or more
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in every one of those outings as. Well up
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: against who were even TALKING i always forget which team
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: will be even talking About.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: Seattle i'm sure he has good numbers Against.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: Seattle fifty nine at, bats, yeah twenty nine to three
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio really really pretty much elite stuff
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: there from A sale one fifty three, average allowed four
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: to thirty nine ops So Sale he's pretty much Dominated
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: seattle when he's faced them in the.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Past so this is the.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: Game to, ME i would ACTUALLY i would lean to an,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: under even THOUGH i do worry About gilbert on the.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: ROAD i, mean both pitchers are. Good they're in good,
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: form SO i think an under is the way to.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: Go seventy three percent tickets on the, over seventy percent
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Under total has dropped a little bit to the straight
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: seven and a.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: Half you have rested bullpens here or neither bullpen is
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: really that, bad SO i think the full game under
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: does make. Sense you could go first five, innings but
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: you'd be looking at probably three and a, half which.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Worries me a little, Bit SO i think under makes.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: Sense the money seems to be slightly coming in On,
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: atlanta even though they drop from just one thirty five
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: to one thirty two on the money, line they got
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of the cash on them down fifty
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets On, Seattle so the money seems like
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: it is coming in On. Atlanta we Know seattle they're
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: not a good road, team, man which if they make the,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: playoffs that's probably gonna be their undoing is that they're
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: not good on the. Road whereas that's probably gonna be
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: a pretty solid advantage of The, brewers so we're really
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: good on the. Road but, yeah SO i agree With,
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: atlanta BUT i don't really want to get on a
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: team THAT i was returning home from a road. Trip,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: Man SO i actually prefer the under if you're gonna,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: play this game might get a little bit, dicey BUT
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: i think it might be worth a look in that
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: game hasn't made my. CARD i mean that that one
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: would be a closer to one THAT i would actually
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: make as a play, Though, Nate, yeah, Football, WELL i
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: actually like talking about football more, too BECAUSE i THINK
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: i think it's quicker to. ANALYZE i don't, know all
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: this like tactical bullshit to have to get. Into although
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: my analysis on yesterday's football game was a little bit
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: long winded because sometimes when you have a bunch of
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: information that you want to get out, there it still
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: kind of becomes like. Bah but mostly, Football i'm like
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: really looking at Situations, Baseball i'm really looking at matchups
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: a lot, too although it all kind of Matters cleveland
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: At Tampa. Bay they actually already started this series. Yesterday
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: tampa has won seven games in a. ROW i think
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: that's what it. Is tampa AS i keep saying they're
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: better than their record. Looks so even though some of
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: these games are Against Washington, cleveland those aren't very good.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: Teams tampa is definitely the better of these two teams Over.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: Cleveland they both had pretty good. Bullpends cleveland's is slightly.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: BETTER i Guess tampa has the better, offense Though cleveland's
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: offense is really, bad so there's more of a disparity
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: with the offense. There as far as the bullpen, usage,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: Yesterday tampa used four relief. Pitchers, again this Is september
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: call ups, though so remember there are more bullpen, Arms
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: cleveland only, two so their bullpend probably does have a
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: slight edge in this. Game cleveland does have a starting pitching,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: edge though they Got Gavin williams. Pitching he's, okay three
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: point two SIX era one point two nine, whip.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: His whip is still too.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: HIGH i apologize for him saying THAT i couldn't tell
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: any difference between him And Logan allen because Now, williams you,
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: know has almost thrown like a no hitter and. Whatever
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: williams is definitely better Than Logan. ALLEN i Apologize gavin
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: because they did have really similar. Numbers for a while this,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: year But gavin has separated. Himself three point five FOUR
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: era in the, road, though isn't exactly. Good and we
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: know This Tampa Stadium yankees spring training, stadium it's very hitter.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: Friendly But williams he might be able to handle it
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: him and he's in pretty good over the last. Month
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: two point four to THREE era is obviously. Good thirty
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: four to thirteen strike a walk ratio that's pretty good.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: TOO i mean it's not, terrible could be, BETTER i
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: mean too many. Walks, still he's not going terribly deep
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: into most games since that, gamer he almost had the
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: no hitter and they really overextended. Him he had a
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: bad start the next, time which was kind of predictable
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: because they've just had him throw way too many pitches
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: and he was in a hangover spot after being one
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: out away from a no hitter against The. Mets he
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: bounced back with a shutout At, arizona which is pretty.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: Impressive then he had another bad start At, texas and.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Then he had a good start getting Against.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: Seattle so he's alternating good and bad, starts, man and
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: that the bad starts have been a bit inexplicable against
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: bad Offenses Toston. Williams he's a bit difficult to. Predict
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: although he's going back and forth between good and. Bad
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: that would mean this start is going to be. Bad
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: his numbers Against tampa are not exactly good and twenty
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: eight at bats small sample two eighty six average nine
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: to sixty two. Ops so there are some concerns With
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: Gavin williams. Here Griffin, jacks, though is making the start
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: for The. Rays he's gonna be an.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: Opener this is a bullpend.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: Game his numbers aren't good four point nine to EIGHTY
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: rra and one point three to EIGHT. Whip he's worse
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: in this, stadium which is understandable because it's a hitter
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: friendly stadium five point seven. Ninety last time, out he
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: didn't even record an out Against seattle through fifteen, pitches
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: a lot of, hit two, walks and one of those runners.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: Scored so not.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: Good he's not a great pitcher, man but you're only
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: gonna get probably about an inning out of him in this.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: Game so it's a bullpen game for The.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: Rays although The rays are one of the teams that
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: does that more, often they're pretty much used to bullpen
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: games Since Joe madden basically became the pioneer of them
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: back in the. Day The rays do have a decent,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: bullpen But jacks specifically is not that. Good his numbers
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: are good Against cleveland in fifty four, bats nineteen to,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: two strikeout walk ratio two four average five sixty five.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: Ops so maybe that's part of the reason why they
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: want him to go in there and give them the
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: first inning in this. Game but, still it's A tampa bullpen.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: GAME i can't really trust, it you know. Me i'm old, school,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i don't like bullpen.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: Games so the money is coming in on the bullpen
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: game On tampa up one twenty five to a mind
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: as one thirty. FIVE i can't do. That fifty eight
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on, them seventy six percent tickets On.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: Cleveland cleveland is.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: PUBLIC i, MEAN i agree with the sentiment On tampa,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: though because AGAIN i think they're the better, team and
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: they're better than they look with their record In cleveland
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: is worse than they look with their. Records SO i
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: said that yesterday. Too So tampa being a favorite like,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: this the public is not gonna want to be on.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: THEM i just don't trust a bullpen, game, Man SO
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: i would say off of, that the money is also
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: coming in on the, under so the.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: Professionals like the bullpen.
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: Game cleveland down for about eight and a half or
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: excuse totally down from eight and a half to eight
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: fifty percent tickets on the, under ninety six percent of
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: the cash and the. Under, again do with that information
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: what you. Will Minnesota Kansas city is gonna be one
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: of My both of these games are actually my two plays,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: today so we'll skip those for. Now and one of
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: them is an undecided, pitcher So i'm going action on.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: It i'm really going balls on that.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: One On, minnesota they actually have decided on the starting,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: pitcher which is WHY i like WHAT i like in that.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: One i'll talk about those in a.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: Second the best bet saying will be BEFORE i talk
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: about football, now because they're both. Baseball San francisco At Saint.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: Louis Saint louis staying at home with a day off
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: not a bad spot for. Them both teams have a day.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: Off Saint louis just beat The a's in a. Series
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: Saint louis has been playing like a team that just
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: doesn't have anything left to play for at this.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: Point cleveland And.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: Tampa by the, WAY i don't have anything left to
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: play for it, either, really but playing.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: Out the stretch.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: Here San francisco probably thinks they can still make the
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: playoffs because they've been. Hot they've won four games in a,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: Row they've won whatever that, is ten of their last eleven,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: games so they are hot right.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: Now but they did.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: It their most recent wins were Against baltimore And, colorado
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: so that's not. Impressive Beating milwaukee and The cubs was.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: Impressive San francisco.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: Still has a really bad. Offense Saint louis's offense hasn't.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: Been good, recently like they've really tailed, off but they're
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: Still actually they're worse Than San francisco now my. Mistake
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: San francisco has actually moved ahead Of Saint louis in,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: hitting which is, crazy and both teams have had good
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: bullpends this. Year San francisco's is the better of the two.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: Bullpens Maybe San francisco has more to play for because
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: they're technically still in the in the hunt. Here, man
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: if they make a run like, this they could actually do.
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: Something but they're coming in From colorado from, elevation which
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a difficult travel spot for
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: them There San. FRANCISCO i don't think they have the
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: starting pitching edgyear. Either Carson seymour is listed as the starter.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: Here his numbers aren't, good BUT i think this is
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: a bullpen game for The. Giants he's a relief. Pitcher
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: he's made a couple OF i think openers for them,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: already or opens for, THEM i should, say is that
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: what they're. Called four point seven to FOUR era one
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: point five whip not. Good numbers better on the road.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: Though four point zero NINEY r in the road last.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Time but he went three innings Against, baltimore but he
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: gave up four and. RUNS i, mean that's not a great.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: Sign they got smacked in that game. Too baltimore not
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: a really good offense either of. Those Saint louis isn't,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: either So, SEYMOUR i, MEAN i don't think he's very.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: TRUSTWORTHY i don't know how many innings you're gonna get
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: out of. Him you'll probably get at least a couple
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: innings out of him. Here Saint louis has never faced him,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: before so maybe he has a little bit of an
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: edge there the fact that they haven't faced it. Before
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: but he's not a very good, pitcher SO i still
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: don't think it's great For San francisco. There their bullpen is, rested,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: though and it's a good, bullpen so the bullpen approach
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: might be okay for. Them in this, Game Saint, louis
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: you're probably gonna get a longer outing from their. Starter michael.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: McGreevy he's having a pretty decent. Season four point one
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: to SEVENTY, rra one point one to nine. Whip he's
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: not as good at home five point three to ONE
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: r at. Home he's been good this past month three
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: point FIVE, ra twenty one to, six strike a walk
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: ratio four or, fewer and runs allowed in every. Outing
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: he's got exactly six innings in every, outing throwing about
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: ninety or in the high eighties pitch count wise every single.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: Outing so he's pretty.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: Consistent so that's. Good he's the most consistent motherfucker right.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: Now he's The Dave smith of starting pitchers right. Now,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: yeah in a twenty one to six strike a walk,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: ratio that's all right. Too so he's he's pitching our
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: right right. Now he's in decent. Form San francisco doesn't
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: have a whole lot of history against, him so they're
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: not that familiar with and they have four guys who
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: have faced him before only one extra RaSE hit a
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: double From, schmidt three zero strikeout walker ratio two to
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: fifty batting average six to twenty five. Ops so he
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: does have pretty good numbers Against San. FRANCISCO i think
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: McGreevy he's got the upper hand in the pitching matchup.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: Here remember the money is coming in Against Saint. Louis
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: it's up for minus one ten to minus one sixteen
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: on the money line on, them but seventy five percent of,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: tickets only sixty eight percent of the cash on. Them
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: SO i guess again it's. Information you can do what
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: you will with. That but the cash percentage seems to
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: be back In San francisco with their hot streak right,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: now in the fact that they seem to be the
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: more motivated, Team SO i see the argument, There BUT
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: i don't really trust this bullpen game that got going on,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: there so we'll see what. Happens totals kind of just not,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: moving sitting at eight and a, half eighty one percent of,
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty two percent of the cash in the OVER
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: i MEAN i would probably have a slight lean more
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: towards the under. There you got two decent bullpends that
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: arrested right. Now the bullpen approach might be okay For San.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: Francisco neither of these offenses are very good to. McGreevy
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: might set up decently there, Too so that looks like
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: an under game to. Me San diego At, Colorado Oh,
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: man long ass video Man colorado staying at.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: HOME i believe they had yesterday. Off both of these
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: teams had yesterday.
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: Off colorado doesn't have a whole lot to play for
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: hero though they might show up for a home game
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: Against San. DIEGO i, mean at least it's one of
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: the better teams of their division coming into their. Place
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: With San, diego they got a.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: Win, man they're probably gonna be embarrassed losing four games
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: in a, row getting swept at home By. Baltimore that
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: is just.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: Bad so now they get to go out on the
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: road Face, colorado hopefully for them get some wins here
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: against a Bad colorado. Team San diego is still right
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: there in the mix for the division for a wild.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: Card they Have Nick paveta.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: Listed as a starter ON, espn but it looks like
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: they're undecided, now and the money line dropped For mins
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: two twenty five to minus two o, five SO i
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: don't know if it's gonna be him or. Not San
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: diego definitely has the better. Bullpend they do have the better.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: Offense even though their offense hasn't really been that, good
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: they do have a very good bullpend and it's rested
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: here If Nick pavetta is. Starting he's been good this
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: year two point eight five vrra point nine to four,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: whip but he's been worse on the road, though three
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: point four to four era on the road good over
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: the past month two point nine to five. V thirty
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: six to ten strike a walk ratio two or, fewer
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: earned runs a lot in all but one outing against
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: his former, team The Boston Red, sox or a good,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: offense although that.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: Was at home For.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: Paveda padres are significantly worse on the road, though so
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: that's something to keep in. MIND i know they just
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: got swept at home, though so it's actually a pretty
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: decent spot for them to. Refocus when you have an
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: embarrassing like home series like that and you go out
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: on the, road you'll usually be, focused so you can
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: kind of ignore the distractions that might be going on
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: back a Home paveta has not been good Against, colorado,
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: though So San diego wants to avoid having a pitch
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: in this. Series maybe that would be a good, thing
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: because they have forty two at bats off in ten
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: two strikeout walk ratio is, good but for seventy six
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: average allow fourteen oh five, ohps four home runs from
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: them off him are see as seven for eleven with
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: two on runs on a, walk two. Strikeouts that's some crazy, stuff.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: Man So paveta looks like he might struggle at course.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: Field i'm assuming some of those numbers are at course.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: Field it's a difficult environment to pitch. In colorado's offense
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: does light them, up so h doesn't look that great
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: as far As paveta's. Concerned don't know if he's even
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: pitching here. Though Kyle frieland is still the list of
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: starting For. Colorado five point four to ONE, era one
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: point five to Two. Whip never gonna see good numbers
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: from Any colorado pitcher, really six point seven to one
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: e R In, Holmes so he doesn't do that well
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: in course field. Either his last down and he didn't
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: record an out and give up two, runs two, hits
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: one of them.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: A home run Against San. Francisco that's not.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: Great he's just been not very good, recently and that
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: was an outing that he that.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: WAS i don't don't even know if that was a.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: Start that looks like it was a bope.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: End outing because he last pitched three days, Ago so
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: even though he's a, starter that's just. BIZARRE i don't
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: know why they would give him a relief outing there
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: like in between two. Starts it makes absolutely no sense
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: because he'd be pitching on like normal rest, otherwise SO
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: i think that might throw him off, too because starting
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: pitchers more creatures of. HABIT i don't know why they
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: gave him a relief outing in the middle there Against
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: San diego's numbers are bad, too one hundred and forty at,
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: bats they're very familiar with, him twenty to, thirteen strike
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: a walk, ratio three h, seven average, allowed eight sixteen obs.
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: Allowed bad, bad, bad bad. Stuff.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: MAN i think the way to look at this game
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: is an Over If paveta, PITCHES i would still agree with.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: That we don't know Who San diego is even gonna pitch,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: here if it's one of, their if it's a different
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher that gets the call For San diego and
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: he's actually good Against colorado or in coourse, field MAYBE
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: i would retract that a little. Bit but this game
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: looks like it should be an over to me based
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: on what we just looked. At there total's gonna a
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: little bit ten and a half flip to being juiced
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: to the. Under BUT i don't know how significant that really.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: IS i don't know if that has to do With
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: San diego having an undecided. PITCHER i don't know why
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: the total would drop with them deciding to not Pitch,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: paveta except for the fact that his numbers are so
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: bad Against. Colorado as At, anaheim this looked like a
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: spot WHERE i wanted to Fade. Anaheim anaheims returning from
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: a long road. Trip they went To, Texas, Houston Kansas. City,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: anaheim AS i keep, saying they have one of the
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: worst run differentials in. BASEBALL i think they have the
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: absolute worst in The American. League so they're not a
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: very good. Team, Man and they're returning home from a
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: road trip and return home return in the return home,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: spot it could be a, distraction not. Great they're going
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: up against The a's, here The a's seem like they're
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: playing with a bit more. Purpose so The anaheim's been
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: playing decently as, well AS i. Know they've lost five
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: of their last, six but they were coming off playing Against.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: DETROIT i, mean they had a good series Against.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: Detroit they didn't do well Against. Texas The, a's to,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: me they look like they're.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: Still and they got kind of like a young corps.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: THERE i, mean they have a chance to maybe even
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: get ahead of The. Angels that's a little bit of
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: motivation there as. Well they're starting a second series on
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: the road, trip, though and they're coming out to The
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: Pacific coast from The central time, zone so they are
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: having to change times zones as well for The a's,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: here The a's neither team has a good bullpen, man
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: Although anaheim's wolpen is bad enough that The a's bullpen
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: is not even that much. Worse they're twenty seven to
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth than Bullpennyra The a's have the better. Offense,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: actually The a's offense is actually pretty. Good they're sixth
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: in overall, ops so The a's do have an offensive edge.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: HERE i think it is still a.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: Bad spot For, anaheim AND i was looking at them, like,
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: oh The a's have this guy making his major league.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: Debut Mason barnett is their illsted. Starter he was supposed
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: to start for, THEM i think last week or. SOMETHING
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: i guess they changed their starting. PITCHER i don't know what,
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: happened but he didn't make the. Start he still hasn't
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: pitched in the. Majors, Man so don't that's gonna throw him?
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: Off like this roller coaster of, emotions All i'm gonna
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: make my first start, Now i'm not who, knows but
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: NORMALLY i would, say, YEAH i want to jump on
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: this because aneims are turning over from a road. Tripe
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: we got a an unknown starter here for The a's
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: who is like a prospect that they're calling.
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: Up that all looks.
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: Good my problem is he's been really bad In TRIPLE
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: a this, year WHICH i pointed out the last time
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: when he was supposed to. Start his era is over
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: six In TRIPLE a this. YEAR i mean that's not.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: Good he's walked way too many. Guys it's the walks
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: that are the problem for. Him SO i don't know
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: what we're gonna get out of him.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: Man he basically is a fastball slider. Mix he throws
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: mid to upper nineties, fastball and he's got a slider
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: that's one of his better pitchers as, well THAT i
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: guess has decent movement on, it and THEN i guess
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: he does attempt to throw a curveball change up THAT
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: i guess there's still kind of works in. Progress SO
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: i don't love that. Either his arsenal isn't really exactly that.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: Deep SO i think it's it's gotta be a wait
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: and see approach with him BECAUSE i just don't know
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: if we could really trust. HIM i know he's gonna
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: have the advantage with the fact That anaeim hasn't seen him,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: before BUT i just don't think we could do. It
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: Man Jose soriano's pitching For. Anaeim he's having an okay.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: Season three point six EIGHTY, ra one point three to
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: three whip isn't exactly that, good and he is way
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: worse at home for whatever.
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: Reason five point ONE r at.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: Home he's in good form right, now though Man aneim's
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: one of his last four. Outings he's given up zero
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: earned runs in three of those. Four twenty nine to
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: eight strike a walk ratio all that's. Good three point
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: eight one e ra good. Stuff, however he did face
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: The a's back on the seventeenth Of august and he
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: didn't do. Well give him five and runs and five
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: to two. Thirds that was his only bad start of
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: the last. Four stillt a five to one strike a walk.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: Ratio maybe you give him a pass for. That you
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: give up three on the runs in the. Game we
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: know that was because that was That A's TRIPLE a
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: stadium that they play, in so it's a very hitter friendly,
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: ballpark so he might give him a pass for. That
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: but overall his numbers are not good against The, as
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: and seventy eight at bats they've been able to hit.
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: Him they got six homers off.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: Him butler And longoliers have two apiece eighteen to nine
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: strike a walker ratio three twenty one average one thousand
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: and forty.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: Five. Ohps don't know if we can really Trust soriano here, Either.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: Manu so it's a difficult game to handicap for. Me
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: money is coming in Towards anaheim down for minus one
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: fifteen minuts one forty, five but seventy eight percent of
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty six percent of the cash on.
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: THEM i would not do THAT i, MEAN.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: I would still slightly lean to The a's in this,
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: game and even maybe still include their bullpens because both
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: bullpens are so.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: Bad The a's bullpen.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: Has maybe been improved a little bit somewhat as of,
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: late and the money's coming in in the, under which
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: if you're gonna do, THAT i would not trust the.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: Bullpens if you want to go, under you got to
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: go first five innings, under the totals up from nine
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: to nine juice to the over eighty one percent of
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: tickets on the over sixty two percent of the cash
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: on the. Under, AGAIN i wouldn't really necessarily have a
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: disagreement with that in the first five. Innings soriano in
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: good form right, now BUT i worry about his stats
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: against The a's man so really interesting, game and my
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: lean would still mostly probably be to The a's money line.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: There and then we have The Red sox At.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: Arizona these teams are both off, Yesterday Red sox starting
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: a road trip after they lost their last.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: Game at home To.
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: Cleveland Roman anthony is, Hurt Marcela meyer is. Hurt bregman
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: looks like he's saying he's not gonna come, back even
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: though he's also talking about how he likes being In.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Boston it's not a good situation for The Red sox
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: right now man, unfortunately although they might get up to
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: rally Around peyton totally the exciting young starter for The Red.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: Sox he was pitching.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Today The Red sox definitely have a bullpen. Hatch they
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: have a way better bullpen Than arizona. Does Red sox
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: have the better offense, too although both teams can. Hit,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: actually excuse, me The arizona has the better. Offense it's
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: very close. Though these teams kind of keep flip flopping
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: as far as their, ops so both teams are good at.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: Hitting this is a hitter friendly.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: Ballpark arizona is not, Traveling they're staying at home while
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: The Red sox are. Traveling both teams are off, yesterday
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: so there's no real rest advantage, necessarily But arizona's staying
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: at home is a bit of an advantage to.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: Them BUT i do think The Red sox have the
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: better start or with totally on the. Mound he made
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: one start so far in his major league. Career it
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: was Against. Pittsburgh they're not a good, offense but he
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: didn't allow any.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Runs while he was on the. Mout he got charged
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: with two runs because they're watching his pitch. Count because
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: he's a really young. GUY i, MEAN i think he's a.
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: Beast he's a really talented. Pitcher he's got a really
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: hard upper nineties fast while he's a lefty that throws
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: at a deceiving or deceptive arm. Angle he's so tall
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: that his release point is really close to the bat or.
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: Two he's definitely.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: Good he went into the sixth inning in that start
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: Against pittsburgh without allowing a, run had eight.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts that's pretty. Solid three, hits allowed two, walks but
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: he put a couple of guys on base in that sixth.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: Inning they took him out of the game then the
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: bulp and gave it, up which maybe they should have
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: let him finished in the.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: INNING i don't.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: Know man couldn't have really done any. Worse of, Course
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: arizona's never seen him. Before he is a very talented young,
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: pick so he should have a bit of an edge
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: as far as that's.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: Concerned this is a difficult line up to.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: Face it's a step up in classer and facing a
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: much much stronger line up Here arizona Than, pittsburgh and
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: it's a more hitter friendly ballpark. Here, well actually pitched In.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Fenway fenway's pretty hitter, friendly But arizona also.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Is but At Eduardo rodriguez.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: Pitching For, arizona he's not very. Trustworthy Former Red sox,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: pitcher but he's probably pitched against The Red sox since
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: he was on The Red. Sox that was a while.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: Ago five point four yar, ray one point six to
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: two whip not good, numbers a bit worse at home
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: five point six nine area at home past month not,
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: good although his last outing was a shutout for six
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: innings against The. Dodgers arizona's been starting to hit again
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: and they've won four of his last five, starts but
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: not really his.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: Doing he really hasn't been that.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: Good he still walked four guys in the start against The,
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: dodgers a four point seven to three ray over the
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: past one of the twenty two to seventeen strike at walk.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: Ratio that's not.
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: Great numbers against The Red sox also not, good which
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: is the Current Red sox lineup that they have, here
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: sixty seven at, bats fifteen to seven strike a walk
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: ratio three twenty eight batting average allowed one thousand and four,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: ohps so he has not been good against, Them SO
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: i do think The Red sox have an edge of
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching. Matchup SO i, MEAN i guess you
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: could look to A Red sox first. Five they're up
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: for minus one twenty to minus one twenty, nine sixty
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: nine percent of, tickets seventy six percent of the cash
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: coming in on The Red sox h eighty four percent of,
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: tickets fifty nine percent of the cash coming in on
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: the total there on the, over so the money seems
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: to be coming in towards the under a little.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: Bit total at. NINE i, MEAN i don't really have
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: much of an opinion on the on the.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: UNDER i, mean if you Go Red, sox you could
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: still go full game on, them by the, way because
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: again they have they have a better bullpen, too and it's.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: Rested so that's probably the slightly in His Red sox
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: moneyline full. Game BUT i am pretty concerned that they
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: won't win that. Game, man their offense is gonna take
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a hit with those.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: Injured let's get.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: To the best bets or ACTUALLY i forgot to put
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: the breakdown the breakdown graphic up there re manber the best.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: Bets hopefully you guys are into these two, bets, man
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: one of them is really seemingly a bit. Risky the
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: other one maybe not so. Much but of course that's
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: gonna be the one to. Lose is this, one which
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: is the one where we know who the starting pitchers.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: Are we're gonna go, Twins, royals first five, innings under.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: Four no full game on this two of, you if
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: you want, TO i, guess But i'm a little bit
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: worried about the bullpens here. Man both teams played. Yesterday
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: Kansas city had a close. Win minnesota played, yesterday took a.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: Loss minnesota is now traveling To Kansas, city which might
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: be a decent sign For minnesota just get out of.
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: Home you just suffered an embarrassing four games sweep at
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: home to The White. SOX i Think minnesota might show
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: up a little bit. Pissed BUT i Think Kansas city
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: is gonna show up focus, too because they're still potentially
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: trying to make a wild card spot. Here SO i
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna see. FOCUS i think the focus might
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: reflect in the starting pitching. MATCHUP i like the starting
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup for the under. Here, OBVIOUSLY i like the
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: bullpens a little bit. Less Kansas city's bullpen is the
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: significantly better, bullpen but they've had some usage, recently SO
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: i worry about. It minnesota used some of theirs. TOO
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: i know It's september call, ups BUT i don't really
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: TRY i especially know trust The minnesota.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: Bullpen both offenses.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: Are week so we're gonna try to focus on where
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: the under is at its best.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: Here so that's what we're going with.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: Here it's the starting pitching matchup Now minnesota they have
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: now listed their starter As Pablo, lopez so that's what.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: Here man the under So lopez should be making the start,
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: here and that really kind of sold me on the under.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't know if he's back on the roster
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: here because the roster only shows the active, pitcher SO
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: i have to look him up. Again But Pablo, lopez,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: PEOPLE i think maybe have forgotten about. Him he's been
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: a solid pitcher man over his. Career he's been good
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: with The twins.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Over the past couple of. Years this season he was
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: pitching well two point eight TWO era one point Seven
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: whip went on the injury list with a soul shoulder,
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: injury hasn't pitched for two three, months so people have
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: kind of forgotten about. Him but he's a veteran, man you.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: KNOW i keep, saying when you have a veteran pitcher
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: that's been out for a, WHILE i think they're gonna
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: be excited to get back in the.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: Game they're kind of used to. This they're used to
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: the the flow of the major league, season you know
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: WHAT i.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: Mean they've been around for a. While they're used to
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: coming back from injuries and stuff like. That SO i
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: Think lopez is gonna be. Pumped he should be ready to,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: go you, know even though there's not much to play
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: for for either of these, teams well For minnesota really
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: For Kansas, city they're still potentially trying to make the.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: Playoffs minnesota doesn't have a whole lot left to play.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: For BUT i think he's still gonna be happy just
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: to get back out there on the mound pitching a
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: Major league baseball, game just after not doing. It and
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: so long you're up against the division, rival you have
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: a chance to maybe spoil The royal.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: Season spoil The, royals not spoil not IN i spoil
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: The royals sounds like you're giving gifts to like The
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: king or something not.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: That SO i Think lopez will be pumped to get
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: out out. There and, MAN i mean he's having a good.
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: Season he's a good pitcher, overall and THEN i don't
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: know what his splits look like this. Year he is
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: actually better on the road to two point five FOUR
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: era on the, road so that's a good sign.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: Too up Against Kansas, City i'm pretty sure he has good.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: Numbers they're not a good.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: Offense they've seen a lot of him one hundred and
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: thirty two at, bats but he has a dominant forty
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: to four strike a walk ratio against. HIM a two
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: twenty average a lot and six twenty nine ops is
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: a little bit, high but it's two of them runs
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: From greed. SHOK a couple of the guys have been, him,
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: Okay BUT i think he is gonna be.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: Pumped he should come out and do.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: Alright Here, AGAIN i like veterans starting pitchers in their
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: first game back from injury man BECAUSE i think there
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit of value in playing, them
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: AND i think the team kind of gets pumped up
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: to rally behind. Them they play more focused defense behind.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Him the pitcher is happy to get out. There they're,
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: focused SO i think that's. Good and Then Michael waka
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: pitching for The. ROYALS i, mean he's not a guy
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: that's really gonna be wearing down late in the. SEASON
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: i wouldn't imagine because he's not really a hard. Thrower
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: he's a, veteran he's been around for a long.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: Time he's used to the grind of the major league.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: Season he's having a good season for The.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Royals three point five TWO, era one point one to nine.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: Win we get the better of his home road split as,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: well three.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: Point zero ONE era at.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: Home he didn't have a good outing last time out
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: really Against, detroit but that was the second time in
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: a row he Faced detroit to give up four and,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: runs didn't last five innings in the, game but still
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: out a four to one strike a walk. Ratio but,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: again when you face a team that you just, face
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: and we Know detroit pretty decent, OFFENSE i think you
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: can give him a pass for that Because detroit was
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: just recently familiar with. Him other than, that he give
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: up three runs To detroit At detroit the game prior to,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: that which is still a pretty good. Outing in six
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: innings and the four other starts In august he allowed
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: two or fewer earned. Runs he actually went on a
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: run of seven starts in a row allowed two or
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: fewer earned, runs so he was on. Point he's still
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: pretty much on point past. Month still a three point
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: five r twenty two to four strike a walk. Ratio
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: he is not a walk Uh right, now he's up Against.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: Minnesota they're not a good, offense and he's done well
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: against them in the past forty eight at bats fourteen
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: to six strikeout walk ratio one twenty five, average allowed
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: five to fourteen, ops so he's done well against. Them
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it is coming in towards the under.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: Here it's sitting at eight on the full, game fifty
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets on the, under ninety two percent
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: of the cash in the.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: Under cash seeds coming in To.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: Kansas city, though which isn't great a great sign For,
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: lopez but maybe it has to do with the motivation
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: For Kansas. City they're down for minus one thirty five
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: to minus went twenty. Seven they got sixty two percent
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: of the cash on, them eighty one percent of tickets
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: On minnesota, though so we'll see what happens as far
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: as that's. Concerned but, AGAIN i think the money the
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: market seems to be agreeing with me on this. ONE
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: i like the under. Here it's gonna be first five,
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: innings so we Avoid minnesota's bullpend and maybe some tax
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: bullpens will focus just on the starting. Pitchers, here we'll
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: go under first five. Innings you can get an under
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: four at plus one hundred out.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: THERE i saw.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: It you can pay minus one twenty five if you
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: want to get the under four and a. Half that
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: was a little bit too pricing that half. RUN i
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: tend to think it matters a little bit less than
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: the movie three and a half to four in the
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: first five minutes because three and a half there's so
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: little room for.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Error we'll see what happens, there and then my final.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: PLAY i Know i'm going balls to the wall here
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: because we don't even know Who houston's starting pitcher is gonna.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: Be But i'm gonna go With texas money line The
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: Texas rangers plus one twenty. Five we definitely have a
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: bullpen advantage With texas. Here, Yes houston has the better,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: offense But houston's, OFFENSES i mean they've struggled.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: A bit at.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: TIMES i know they added some pieces around the trade.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: Deadline houston did trade for some, Bats so their offense
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: is certainly better Than, texas and So texas has a better.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: Bullpen it is, slight BUT i think the bullpen rest
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: scenario is gonna come into play here Because houston played
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: yesterday against The.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: Yankees, Man So.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: Houston they have a bad rest spot. Here they just
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: played a big series against The. Yankees that was a big.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: Series now they have to travel To. TEXAS i know
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: it's not a huge travel. Spot you're just going From
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: houston up to The arlented. AREA i Know texas is
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road. Trip so, yeah it's a
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: little bit of a worse. Spot they're out on The pacific.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: COAST i get. IT i don't like to play teams
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: are turning on from road. Trips usually they were just In.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: Arizona But texas they got shut out in their last.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: Game and you know That.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: Texas is not gonna lapse and focus, here, Man this
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: is The Al west is somewhat on the line, here.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: Man texas is still fighting potentially a wildcard, spot potentially a.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: Division SO i think both teams will be.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: Focused, here BUT i Think texas does have more to
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: play for because they're behind and they're an underdog at,
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: Home SO i like.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: THAT i think the public is not really gonna want
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: it to Play texas.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: HERE i Think texas is better than their overall record,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: looks mostly because their pitching is so. Good their hitting isn't.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: GOOD i understand, that but we're gonna go with the pitching.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: Here they're at. Home it's a pitcher friendly. PARK i.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't like to, AGAIN i don't like to
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: go with teams that are going, up that are returning
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: over from a road, trip but we're getting them as
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: the underdog. Here we have no idea Who houston's starter
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: is gonna. Be AND i looked At houston starting rotation
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: here and we know it's not gonna be one of
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: the guys that just pitched against The.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: Yankees so it's not gonna Be.
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: Hovier it's not gonna Be, valdez even though he's a
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: head case right. Now it's not gonna Be George, Costanza
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: Jason alexander's he pitched in That series.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: Two so who does that? Leave it Leaves houston kind
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: of going with some sort of, oh, Uh. Louis oh,
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: no what's his? Name something where? TEASE i THINK i
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: forget what the or, No Luis, garcia excuse, Me Luis,
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: garcia Not Louis, ortiz the guy that got Multiple Louis
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: ortiz is out, there but one of them was one
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: of the ones who got suspended.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: For gambling on The Indians indian. Casinos but, No Luis
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: garcia is one of the pitchers that rejoined the rotation For,
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: houston but he's not gonna. Pitch he's not up to
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: pitch yet. EITHER i think he's listed as a pitcher
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: in one of their next. Games SO i was, Like,
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: oh it's gonna Be Hunter brown For houston, today which
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: that would worry me if it. Is Hunter brown is
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: their best starting, Pitcher so if he gets the call,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: Today i'm gonna be worried about this BECAUSE i Recommend
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: i'm recommending going action on, this so that means you're
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: gonna have your action regardless. This who's gonna start because
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: you can't go starters must start here because you, know
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: because there's no listed starter For, houston so you can
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: only go action on. This i'm gonna take the gamble
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: and say it's not gonna Be Hunter brown, though Because
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: brown is. Slated if you look at ESPN's schedule at,
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: least even though that's not always, accurate it looks Like
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: brown is pitching, tomorrow even though he would be the
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: next guy up to pitch for, Them so it looks
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: Like houston might go with some sort of bullpend game
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: or something like, that or even though they used some
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: of their bullpend, Yesterday texas said yesterday.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: Off so, again that's a bit of an. Advantage houston's
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: bullpen has seen.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: A lot of usage, here SO i think that's gonna
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: give us a little bit of an extra bullpen edge
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: on the side Of. Texas AND i Think, houston with
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: an unknown starting pitcher situation, HERE i think the advantage
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: lives With Merrill kelly For. Texas he's having a good
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: season three point two FOUR, era one point zero FIVE.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been good at home three point three THREE,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: era and that should be even better With texas than
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: it was With. Arizona that includes both Because arizona is
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: a hit her friendly. Ballpark he's made three road and
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: three home starts since being acquired By.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: Texas he's got a three point three ONE era over that.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Span his only bad outing was Against philadelphia he allowed
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: four and runs and that one didn't make it five,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: innings but he's made it five and two thirds are,
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: more and all the rest of his out ins With
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: texas he's allowed three or fewer earned runs and all
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: of them two or fewer and four of the six
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: twenty eight to eight strike a walk ratio three point
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: three one. Ra over that, span he's pitching, well including
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: a decent outing last Time i'd had that Horrible a's.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: Stadium so he gets to come back home to a
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: more pitcher friendly park, here that's all. Good his numbers
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: Against houston are also good and forty three at bats
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: six to two strikeout walk ratio one eighty six average
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: allowed five oh one.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: Ops so we'll Back kelly is the.
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: Underdog here, man even THOUGH i know the situational spot
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: isn't that great For. TEXAS i see them still being motivated.
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: HERE i think they have a big time matchup edge
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: here unless It's Hunner, brown But Merril Kelly man Against
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: undecided and getting them as a home, underdog, RIGHT i
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: think you have a pitching edge pretty much across the
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: board For texas. HERE i think that has to be
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: the way to. Go AND i Think kelly is one
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: of their starters that doesn't get the name. Recognition, Man
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: like everybody talks about de Gram E. EVALDEAL i think
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: The evaldi might be hurt right now again or. Something
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: But Merrill kelly kind of flies under the, radar and
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: that's where you can find some value there.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Too So texas as the home underdog.
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: There, Man hell, yeah hopefully you guys like those plays
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: agree with.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: Them.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: Whatever the line looks like it did drop a little
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: bit On houston for minus one forty to minus one,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: Thirty so we'll see what.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: Happens we're going with the.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: ACTION i, know If Hunter brown is listed as a,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: starter you're not gonna have value on that number if
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: you Play texas because the line will go up On
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: houston probably if that.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: Happens But i'm.
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: Willing to a. GAMBLE i, mean this is about. Game
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: i'm willing to gamble that he's. Not let's go to
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: a football.
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: Here we have college.
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: FOOTBALL espn two is gonna have jmu At, Louisville James
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: madison At louisville this.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: Game louisville has a good.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: Offense, MAN i think they're flying under the radar because
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: their Quarterback shaw from last year got, drafted so he's
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: not there. Anymore he is in THE nfl and IS i, think, well,
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: actually he's not starting yet for The, saints BUT i
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: think eventually he might If rattler doesn't get the job.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: DONE i Think shaw might be a little bit. Better
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: But louisville has moved. On louisville does have a.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 2: Third year coach, now so a lot of times when
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: a coach is in his third, year that's when like
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: the system really starts being in full gear because his
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: system is more fully. Implemented he's got the guys that he,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: Recruited so that's an eacent sign That louisville is set
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: to maybe take a step up this. Year SO i
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: like all That louisville, AGAIN i think they have a
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: really good, offense even though they have a new quarterback.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: THERE i think the quarterback is not totally in. EXPERIENCE
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: i think they have a TRANSFER i. Forget oh, no,
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: yeah it's a It's Miller, moss isn't.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: It. YEAH i think It's Miller moss FROM.
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: Usc so they have a legit like starter with some
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: experience behind, him even though he wasn't that good AT.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: USC i think that's who their quarterback, is so there's
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: not really that much of a you, know like they
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: don't have to downgrade their quarterback that much. There, yeah
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: It's Miller. Moss i'm not necessarily a huge fan of,
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: him but he have some. Experience So, louisville their offense
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 2: is pretty SOLID. Jmu they're more of a rushing attack.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: Offense so they lost ABOUT i think half of maybe
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: their offensive starters from last. Year neither team really did
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: anything yet they both won in blowouts Against cupcakes in
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: the first, game so that doesn't really. Matter the one
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: thing they would worry about me About louisville is That James,
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: madison this is gonna be like their biggest game of the.
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: Year this is the only game that they're playing like
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: a power conference Team louisville BECAUSE i, Mean Washington state
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: doesn't count like the pack two orphaned. Teams that doesn't.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: Matter so it will be a big game FOR. Jmu
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: BUT i Think louisville will show up as. WELL i,
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: mean this is THEIR fbs home, opener even though they
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 2: played at.
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: Home they played.
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: Against AN Fcs Eastern kentucky team last time. Out they
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: don't have really any big game. Next they Played Mac Bowling,
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: green so that doesn't really. Matter SO i Think louisville
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: the will show up in this game for their HOME fbs.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: OPENER i Think louisville might be just too much FOR
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: jamu to. Handle the money has come in On. Louisville
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: it was below, fourteen so it's even though it doesn't
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: show it here at the. OPENER i think it dropped
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: from the opener BECAUSE i saw thirteen and a half
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: so a couple of days, ago and it went all
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: the way back up through the key number of.
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: Fourteen it's sitting at, fifteen fifty.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: Eight percent of the cash On louisville fifty eight percent
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: of tickets ON.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: JAMU i would lean To. Louisville it's suspected.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: To me maybe a bit of a higher scoring game
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: total drop from fifty seven to fifty five and a
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: half seventy seven percent of tickets only fifty nine percent
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the. Over BUT i don't THINK
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: i would really disagree with an over either here, though
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: Because louisville their offense is definitely, potent AND jamu they
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: can play offensively. TOO i think both teams their strength
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: is their offense and their defense is kind of their weakness.
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: Really for both.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: Teams so that's kind of WHAT i expect to maybe
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: be the case here in this, game ALTHOUGH i THINK
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: jamu would they run a little bit more on, offense
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: AND i Think louisville's defensive strength is more of their
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: run defense, Too SO i think that might be part
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: of the reason where part of the portion of the
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: game Where louisville might be able to kind of extend
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: the year in this.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: Game SO i do lean To louisville in that.
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 2: GAME i kind of like the side in the other
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: game Better Northern illinois at In.
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: Maryland this is a really low.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: Total it's gone down for forty eight and a half
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: crossed through a key number of forty, seven down to
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: forty six uh, seven fifty one percent of the tickets
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: and seventy seven percent of the cash on the under
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: money's coming in in the.
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: UNDER i don't disagree with the.
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: UNDER i think you're looking at a pretty Bad Northern illinois,
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: offense to be. Honest you, know one of THOSE mac
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: teams In Northern illinois actually not a TYPICAL mac. Team
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: Then Northern illinois is one of the best defenses in
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: THE mac although they were last year they. LOST i
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: think five of their defensive starters are gone from that,
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: team BUT i think their defense like THEY i think
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: they might still have the same like personnel there as
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: far as like the staff So, illinois they're usually a
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: pretty solid defensive, team AND i think that will still
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: continue this. Year, MARYLAND i know they're A big ten,
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: team but they're not a very Good big ten. Team
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: they're laying a bunch of points. Yere they're up from
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: sixteen to sixteen and a. Half, MARYLAND i think they
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: have a pretty inexperienced. QUARTERBACK i forget who their quarterback actually.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: IS i don't think he has a whole lot of,
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: experience though it. Is they have so many quarterbacks on their.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: Roster who is their? Quarterback i'm not even.
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: SURE i think a lot of freshman quarterbacks To Justin
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 2: martin is the only one with, experience but it's not. Him,
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: Dude i'm, sorry BUT i don't even know who their
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: quarterback actually is this. Year i'm just looking to see
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: which one of them has, stats which one of them.
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: Played it could have been multiple that played in the first.
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: Game it looks like it Is Malik, WASHINGTON i guess
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: is their starter even though he is a. Freshman, yeah
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: so he's their, STARTER i, guess but he's got inexperience.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: Man so you're looking at a freshman. Quarterback they're going
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: up against this deep fense For Northern. Illinois Remember Northern,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: illinois they're a decent enough program that they were able
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: to Beat Notre dame last.
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think is what it was. Right that Was
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: Lincoln riley's first Not Lincoln, Riley Riley.
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: LEONARD i always Say Lincoln, riley not the Coach Riley.
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: Leonard that was his first, start home start For Notre,
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: dame SO i think the pressure was on, him so
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: it was a bad spot for. Him But Northern illinois
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: definitely was a decent team last. YEAR i think there's
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: still a solid defense this. Year AND i think the
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: first people are gonna look at what these teams did
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: in their first game and think that there's no possible
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: way that you can take the points With Northern. Illinois,
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: HERE i gainst a big Ten maryland, team But maryland
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: they're not a good offensive. TEAM i would like they're
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: not a Good, yeah they're not a good offensive team,
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: necessarily but they're. Not they're not a Good big ten,
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: team really is WHAT i really meant to. Say they're
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: not one of the better teams in The Big. TEN
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: i would be more tempted to fade them here if
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: they had A Big ten game up, next but they.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: Don't they have to play thousand. Next so this Is
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: MARYLAND'S i, mean this is a game they want to have
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: a look at spot. Here But maryland did play THEIR
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: fbs home opener already Against Florida atlantic and they blew
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: them out thirty nine to. Seven but it was a misleading. Result,
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: actually you know, What i'm really tempted to Play Northern illinois. Here,
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: Man i'm very tempted to do. It SHOULD i give
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: out a college football?
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: PLAY i? MIGHT i, MEAN.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: I kind of have no, DUDE i have no, shame
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: really have no.
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: Control but look at this, Game.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: Maryland they blew Out Florida, atlantic and that's what people
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: are gonna. See But maryland over the, first third and fourth,
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: quarters they scored thirteen points in the entire. Game they
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: scored twenty six all in the second. Quarter and look
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: at what happened in this, Game. Maryland, yes it was
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 2: like up Against Velt camp who was The Western kentucky.
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: Quarterback he's now ON, fau.
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: But and he's a really good.
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: Quarterback but the turnovers were the entire story of this, game.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: Dude maryland didn't even OUTGAIN fau by that. Much they
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: only outgained them by whatever that, is twenty six. Yards
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: maryland was plus six in turnovers AND fau had more
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: first downs than they. Did The maryland got very penalized
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: in the, game but both teams. Did but the story
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: of this game is the. Turnovers, man this, game if
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: you look at it, statistically it would have been a lot, close,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: sir if it weren't for.
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: The turnovers and six.
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: Turnovers it's actually crazy THAT fau only lost thirty nine
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: to seven as far as that's. Concerned but, possession, Yeah
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: Florida atlantic had more possession in the game and more first,
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: downs so the game was way way closer than it.
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: Looks so it's a very misleading.
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: Result SO i don't Think maryland is as good as
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: they looked in that. Game and people are gonna look
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: At Northern illinois and what the, fuck, dude they only
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: beat Holy, cross who's AN fcs team and not a good.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: One they're in The Patriot.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: League my Boys wooster Holy Cross Wooster Mass northern only
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: beat them nineteen to, Seventeen, like what?
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: Gives how is that? Possible which Is Northern illinois home.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: Opener SO i think people are really gonna Overlook Northern
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: illinois because of. That they were a thirteen and a
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: half point favorite in the. Game they barely won the.
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: Game they're actually losing the. Game, uh at some points
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: of the game they, Were, yeah.
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: They were actually losing in the fourth quarter ten to.
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: Six Oh, man after they gave up the only touchdown
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: they allowed in the they had a huge kickoff return
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: for a touchdown which gave them the lead, back but
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: then Holy cross also had a kickoff. Return Northern illinois
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: was actually up nine, late but this is a close
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: call for, them, nonetheless and then they did allow a
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: kickoff return. Late there were still four minutes left, though
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 2: So Northern illinois still had to hang. On and when
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: you have a game like, this when a team gets
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: a scare like that as a pretty big, favorite they
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: get totally scared like, that a lot of times they'll
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: come out with a lot more furiosity in the next,
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: game you know WHAT i, Mean because that's going to
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: refocus you and You, BASICALLY i Think Northern illinois was
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: looking ahead to This maryland. Game, Man Northern illinois was
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: not paying attention To Holy cross and they almost got.
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: Caught that's WHAT i. Think if you look at the stats,
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: Here Northern illinois did outgain The Holy cross really did
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: almost nothing on offense in the. Game Northern.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: Illinois the offense wasn't good, either but the offense isn't,
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: good but they outgained Holy. Cross Holy cross only had
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: one penalty in the game And Northern illinois had, seven
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: so the penalty discrepancy was pretty. Crazy Holy cross only
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: had eleven first, downs So Northern illinois had more first.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: Downs Northern illinois outpossessed them by about seven. Minutes So
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: Northern illinois had more of the upper hand in the
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: game than it looks like on the. Scoreboard SO i
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: Think Northern illinois is actually gonna come out with some
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: more intensity in this.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: Man they do have another big game up next they
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: have it have to play AN sec opponent Against Mississippi.
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: State BUT i Think Northern illinois is gonna be pumped
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: for a game against a big ten team, Still, man
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be a big game for, them whereas From, maryland,
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i don't really think it is a big game
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: for them because they already played THEIR fbs home. OPENER
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: i mean they're really going to care that much about
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: A mac. Team possibly. Not and, again the totals, low
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: and with a low total like, this taking the points
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: tends to make a lot more. Sense the points are
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: so valuable and you have a low total of forty,
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: Six it's, like what do you? Like you're basically Expecting
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 2: maryland To the implied score here is basically, like.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: What is? It thirty six or? No not thirty six to?
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: Ten what would it? BE i don't even fuck, know,
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: MAN i gotta do the. Math but whatever it, is
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: the implied score is not a high score For maryland
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: in this. Game if they win by exactly the sixteen
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: and a half here or, whatever that would. Be SO
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: i was gonna say thirty six to. Ten that's incorrect
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: math on my. Part my. APOLOGIES i THINK i would
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: have to half that. Right it would be.
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: Somewhere what would it? Be it would be trying to think,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: Now i'd have to think about. IT i USUALLY i
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: could do that math in my. Head my stroke brain
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 2: is just freaking me out right.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: Now but, anyway.
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 2: Low total like, this taking the points it makes way more.
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: Sense SO i do Like Northern illinois in this. GAME
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: i think the first games were very. Misleading i'm very
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: tempted to do. This let me just see if you
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: can get. Seventeen that would maybe put me over the
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: edge here, specifically because seventeen is a really key. Number,
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: man let me see what we can get On Northern illinois.
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: Here i'm trying to look right. Now maryland.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: Total's gone up actually from fourteen and a. HALF i
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: do see, seventeen but you have to pay minus one
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: fifteen for it AT mgm In, massachusetts which is always
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: like the you, know that's the that's the you know
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: When i'm still gonna do it at sixteen and a,
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: HALF i have no.
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: Shame let's do.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: It let's have some college football, Fun let's have some.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: Action even THOUGH i think it's a decent way to,
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: Look let's.
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: Do It Northern, illinois even THOUGH i know they have
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: some turnover, Too BUT i, mean LIKE i, Said marylands
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: quarterback is very inexperienced, Too so we'll go With Northern.
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 2: Illinois i'll just based on the. Spot i'll give it
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: out at sixteen and a. Half so there you, Go Northern.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: Illinois we'll have.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: Some college football.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: There i'm not gonna give out a play in THE nfl, game,
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: though but there you.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: GO i like, it. Man, again misleading results from both.
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 2: Teams that's one of the things THAT i look for
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: in these opening games or these early season games. Here so,
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: yeah we'll go with, it and then we'll talk about
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: THE nfl and Then i'll get out of.
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: It because there is AN nfl game.
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: Tonight it's A brazil game and it Is Chiefs, chargers
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: so it is a good. Matchup it's another divisional. MATCHUP
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: a lot of things going on in this, game AND
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: I i have a lot of Different, uh there are
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 2: a lot of different factors that kind of conflict in this.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: Game SO i don't love. This i'm not gonna give
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: them a play on this. Game but this game is In.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: Brazil and remember The brazil game last. YEAR i hate
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: THESE nfl international, games, man but you remember The brazil
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: game last.
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: Year it was a.
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: Mess the field was a. Disaster and THE nfl is
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 2: saying the field will be better this. Year the field
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: conditions that if you remember what happened last. Year both
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: teams had offensive. Explosions it Was Packers.
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: Eagles it was a.
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: Massive offensive explosion in the. Game, uh a lot of rushing.
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: YARDS i Think barkley went way off in the. GAME
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: i think Maybe jacobs did. Too for A Green, BAY
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: i think that's who they. HAD i think they might
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: still have him. Right But, uh, basically what happens when
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 2: when you because you'd, think, well if it's a churned
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: up field like that and people can't get their, footing
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: that would hurt the off, Right that's what people think
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 2: That that's not. True it actually hurts the defense because
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: the defense has to react to what the offense is.
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: Doing the offensive player knows like.
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: Which way he's gonna, move which way he's gonna, juke
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 2: which rowdy's gonna, run, whatever and the defense has to
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 2: figure that out on the. Fly so they actually have
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: more of a tendency to maybe trip and slip on
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 2: a field like, that so it actually helps the. Offense
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: this game might be a little bit different, though because
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 2: we know both these teams have good, defenses The chargers
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: and THE nfl is saying the field will be.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: Better that remains to be. Seen the total did go
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: up from forty four to forty.
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: Seven sixty seven percent tickets only sixty six percent cash
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 2: on the, over. THOUGH i, mean if you wanted to
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: take a shot with the, under you do get a
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 2: better number.
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: Here forty seven is a key.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 2: NUMBER i still don't trust the field, conditions SO i
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 2: don't want to do. That but you are looking at
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 2: a game that could be more. Defensive Chiefs. Chargers they
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: played low scoring games both times they played last. Year
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 2: they're both very low scoring The. Chargers you know what
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 2: they do under Horriba chargers mistake a.
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: Collapse That.
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: Harbaugh he likes to play a possession, game and he
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 2: will take the clock all the way. Down he takes
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 2: the play clock all the way. Down he wants that
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: possession of the ball as much as. Possible it rests the.
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 2: Defense The, chargers THE i, think actually allowed the fewest
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: points in all football last year just for that, reason
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: because they're keeping their defense. Rested they don't even have
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: to have the most talented defense to accomplish. That you're
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 2: keeping your defense rested a lot of time your offense
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 2: is playing the game, slow grinding it. Out the one
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 2: bad thing about that is it means you're not gonna
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: blow anybody. Out it means that you're gonna have a
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: lot of close. Games but The chiefs also have turned
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: into more of a defensive. TEAM i know they have
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 2: some talent on, offense but you, Know Rashie rice is
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: suspended because he causes six car accident while driving one
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: hundred miles an hour.
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: Drunk so he's a fucking.
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: Idiot but of, course because he's in THE, nfl he's
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: not even gonna be in prison or. Whatever he's just,
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 2: like oh, no you'll miss six games or. Whatever AND
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: i have him on my fantasy team right now, too
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 2: Because i'm hoping he'll be like a huge boon for
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 2: me when he comes, back AND i Have worthy to
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: try to branch me over until. THEN i might wind
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: up keeping them. Both But, WORTHY i, mean he'll be
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: one of.
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: The top receivers for The chiefs With rice, out of,
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: course BUT i do think their offense will struggle a
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: little bit for that. REASON i don't love The chiefs
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: running game With pacheco. There The.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 2: Chargers they picked Up Naji, harris but it looks like
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: they have a battle for the running back position there
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: between him AND i forget the guy's, name the new
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: guy that they have THAT i think they drafted The,
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 2: Chargers SO i think they'll have a decent rushing attack
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 2: between those two.
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: Backs but we'll. SEE i, mean they're gonna use them a. Lot.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: CHIEFS i don't know IF i totally trust their rushing.
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 2: Attack but, again to, me this looks like it will
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: be more of a defensive, game even THOUGH i know
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: it Is mahomes Versus, Herbert so people kind of, think,
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 2: oh that In brazil seems like a talented quarterback, matchup
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: and it, is but the team's styles that they play
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: are more. Defensively and then as far as the side is,
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: concerned WHICH i usually talk about the side, more The
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: chiefs went up from two and a half through the,
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 2: three so it looks like some money pushed them through
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: the key number three and they're almost teetering on three
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: and a. Half fifty two percent of tickets on The,
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: chiefs but fifty four percent of the cash coming in
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: on The. Chargers my first reaction to this WAS i
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: lean to The chargers because it's the Chief Super bowl hangover.
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: Spot.
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 2: MAN a lot of, times the team that goes through
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: that entire grind the playoff. Push you play all these
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 2: physical games just to fall short in The Super bowl.
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: Though they got, embarrassed, man so maybe they will want
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 2: to bounce back from being totally. Embarrassed, LIKE i think
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 2: this might work better if The Super bowl is a closer,
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 2: game but, still you made it that, far you played
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 2: the Super. Bowl i'm expecting The chiefs to take a
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: little bit of a step back this year because they
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: won so many close games last.
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: Year it's like they can't even though the refs.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: Help them, out they can't have that many close games
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 2: all follow their way based on like one call going
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 2: their way or. Whatever it happened way too often last.
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: Year SO i think there'll Be they'll be, good but maybe.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: A little bit worse this.
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: Year The chargers they're gonna want to establish, themselves. Man
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: they're gonna want to come out and try to overtake
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: The chiefs in this.
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: Division.
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 2: Man SO i actually think there's a little bit more
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 2: motivation on The chargers. SIDE i think it is a
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: double revenge spot as, well BECAUSE i think The chiefs
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: beat them both times last year and it was both close.
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: Games so we'll see what. Happens, chargers they'll probably be
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: a bit pissed at the league, though because this counts
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: as a home game for them and they don't get
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: to play it at. Home now that their home advantage
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: is that, good but they do at least have some
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: advantage when they get to play like a night game
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: on The pacific coast and throw people's biological clock off and.
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: Whatever but if this is sitting at three to three
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: and a, HALF i MEAN i would lean to taking
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: the points with The.
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: Chargers that's not gonna be a play for, me. THOUGH
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: i don't really have a whole lot else to say about.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: That but, also if you think it's gonna be a
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 2: bit lower, scoring the points are worth. More if it's
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: similar to the way they played last, year it kind
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: of makes more sense to be looking that way. Too and,
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i think The chargers might actually take a step
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 2: up this year because last year was only their first
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 2: season With, Harbaugh so now that they have one season
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 2: to get to know his, system the guys are familiar
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 2: with each. Other Now herbert is, back they got Kid
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 2: An allen, back so.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: That there's some familiarity there. Too he was only gone
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: for one. Season he's, back SO i don't know he's
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: on my fantasy. TEAM i took a flyer in him
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: for two bucks in an auction. Draft SO i don't
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: know if he's gonna do.
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 2: Anything we'll, see BUT i spent almost no money on,
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: him SO i thought it was worth. It if he
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: does anything like what he used to do with The,
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 2: chargers we'll, see. Man So, chargers, YEAH i mean not
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: a bad. TEAM i think they should take a step
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 2: up this. Year so those are my feelings on those. Games,
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: nate what's up? Man tackle? PROPS i don't know anything
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 2: about the tackle?
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: Props. Really hampton. Is, yeah he's the other back. There you're.
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: Right he has some weird his name sounds like A
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: greek god or, something and it starts with an oh Oh.
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 2: Hampton that's what the women shout out in bed with
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 2: him when he's when he's penetrated their. Hold oh, man all,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 2: right that's gonna do. Him, man it's a long video.
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 2: TODAY i gotta have some lunch and stuff. TOO i
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 2: gotta get this video out to. Anyway my plays today
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 2: under a first five inning In minnesota Twins Kansas City
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 2: royals under the Four Texas rangers action because they don't
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 2: even know Who houston is starting And i'm, like, yeah,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER i don't. Care rangers money line plus one twenty.
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 2: Five then we're going With Northern illinois And College football
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 2: plus sixteen and a. Half let's do, it, Man i'll
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 2: be with you. Tonight we're gonna have The College Football
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: Weekly show is, tonight And i'm gonna warn. YOU i
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 2: hate this card this. WEEK i absolutely hate. IT i
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: usually love week two because you can pounce on like
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 2: the overreactions from last. Week but none of the matchups are.
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 2: Good all the best teams are playing. Cupcakes so like
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 2: all the best, teams like the teams that played those
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: big games last, week you were, like, OH i want
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 2: to favor them this. Week oh, no they're playing SOME
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 2: fcs school or some shit like. THAT i absolutely hate.
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 2: Us so there aren't very many situations. Unfortunately BUT i
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 2: will be back to do that show, tonight probably at.
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 2: Midnight let's kick off the, weekend, right, Man have a Good.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 2: FRIDAY tgif and p oh and learn to tone On,
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: twitter learn it tone On. INSTAGRAM i better, off, dad
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 2: you know the, drill, like subscribe to the, channel go
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 2: give me a review On, Apple, DUDE i want to
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 2: get this.
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: Monetized, Man and then you guys could super chat me every.
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 2: Day that would be awesome right on all the different
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 2: live because they do everything.
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: Live so let's get that. Going review On spotify And
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: apple as. Well covered in you because my yuke.
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: CHANNEL i got another couple of covers going up soon
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 2: there that have already been posting On twitter And patreon dot.
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: Com slash learned to toad for EXTRA u content. There
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: work to just throw me some, support that's gonna do.
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 2: It peace, out, Guys let's keep this new hot streak
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 2: going after we did all right last, Night let's keep it.
• 1:57:37
  Speaker 1: Going have a good one for. Now