Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4037 Why JULY 9 Could Become The MOST DANGEROUS DAY in Iran YET!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_01]: The Islamic Republic of Iran is trying to pull off what they're calling the greatest state funeral in their history.
- 0:28[SPEAKER_01]: Seven days, five cities, two countries, millions of mourners in the streets, 50 nations represented.
- 0:36[SPEAKER_01]: The whole world is watching, and tomorrow the regime will complete the final act.
- 0:41[SPEAKER_01]: They will lay the body of the dead supreme leader to rest in the holiest city in Iran in front of the entire world and show that the Islamic Republic is still standing, still unified, still in control.
- 0:55[SPEAKER_01]: There's just one problem.
- 0:57[SPEAKER_01]: The man who was supposed to be at the center of that performance was nowhere to be found.
- 1:02[SPEAKER_01]: And that is the story that changes everything about what happens next.
- 1:08[SPEAKER_01]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patriot professor here to help you make sense of the madness with breaking news and analysis you're not going to get anywhere else.
- 1:16[SPEAKER_01]: So you know what to do, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
- 1:20[SPEAKER_01]: It's been over four months since that devastating dawn air strike tore through a compound in Tehran.
- 1:26[SPEAKER_01]: And ended the 36-year iron rule of Ayatollah Al-e-Khamani on the very first day of the war.
- 1:35[SPEAKER_01]: For four straight months, as bombs fell, missiles flew and oil tankers burned in the
- 1:46[SPEAKER_01]: creaking umbrella of the temporary ceasefire.
- 1:50[SPEAKER_01]: The regime has been staging a weak, long funeral procession across Iran and Iraq.
- 1:55[SPEAKER_01]: Tehran first, then comb, then across the border to the holiest Shi'a shrine to Najaf and Kabbalah and Iraq.
- 2:03[SPEAKER_01]: Before the body finally comes home to Mashaad tomorrow, July 9th for burial at the shrine of Imam Pireza, the holiest city in Iran, the city where Kameini was actually born.
- 2:15[SPEAKER_01]: But despite the high number of attendees for this week-long funeral, it's the absence of one person particular that's garnering the most interest.
- 2:24[SPEAKER_01]: The Supreme Leader's son, most of a Kameini, the current Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the man who is,
- 2:31[SPEAKER_01]: Technically, the highest authority in the most powerful theocratic regime on the planet, he is thus far failed to attend any of the ceremonies.
- 2:39[SPEAKER_01]: In fact, since the first day of the war in late February, most of Buccamini has not been seen publicly at all, not once.
- 2:48[SPEAKER_01]: He communicates only through written statements, his own auto pen.
- 2:53[SPEAKER_01]: He never shows his face or even a voice recording, nothing.
- 2:57[SPEAKER_01]: For four straight months, the man supposedly running the Islamic Republic has been for all practical purposes, a ghost.
- 3:05[SPEAKER_01]: His face reportedly burned, his leg operated on three times, according to reporting from the New York Times and Reuters.
- 3:12[SPEAKER_01]: And now, on the single most watch day, Ron has experienced since the 1979 Revolution.
- 3:19[SPEAKER_01]: The ghost, once again, has failed to appear.
- 3:23[SPEAKER_01]: The regime is about to bury its former supreme leader and its holiest city without its current supreme leader present in front of millions of mourners in front of cameras from across the world with a legitimacy question sitting right at the center of the entire ceremony that no amount of state, television, choreography can make disappear.
- 3:44[SPEAKER_01]: But here's the layer, nobody is connecting properly right now, and it's the one that changes the entire danger calculus around tomorrow, July 9th, the day the Supreme Leader's burial.
- 3:57[SPEAKER_01]: What we have to understand here is that up until now, so during the earlier Tehran ceremonies, Iran had something it will not have.
- 4:07[SPEAKER_01]: in Machaud, tomorrow.
- 4:10[SPEAKER_01]: And that's an invisible layer of diplomatic protection.
- 4:15[SPEAKER_01]: Over these last several days, the ceremonies featured a number of diplomats and leaders from around the world.
- 4:21[SPEAKER_01]: So when Pakistan's Prime Minister is standing in the crowd when Russia's Demetri Medvedev is standing in the crowd when delegations from 70 nations are all there physically present,
- 4:33[SPEAKER_01]: as they've been over the last several days, no adversary, not even one with the operational capability in the state of willingness to act launches a strike.
- 4:43[SPEAKER_01]: The diplomatic presence was functionally a human shield, whether anyone ever set it out loud or not.
- 4:51[SPEAKER_01]: But tomorrow, in Machaud, that shield, that diplomatic shield will be gone.
- 4:57[SPEAKER_01]: The Prime Minister's and ex-presidents have already flown home.
- 5:02[SPEAKER_01]: What remains tomorrow is a domestic religious ceremony in a country that's just detonated their own peace agreement with degraded radar networks repeatedly struck command and control infrastructure and the most sophisticated western and Israeli military surveillance apparatus on the planet watching from above.
- 5:23[SPEAKER_01]: and President Trump has already signaled that he's ready to eliminate the current leadership as well.
- 5:42[SPEAKER_01]: And Iran knows which is why the security lockdown going into Mashaad tomorrow is being described as extraordinary airspace sealed, highways lockdown, IRGC units throughout the city.
- 5:55[SPEAKER_01]: But here's the uncomfortable truth about extraordinary security measures in a country whose military infrastructure has been bombed repeatedly for four straight months.
- 6:04[SPEAKER_01]: Extraordinary security measures are only as strong as the infrastructure underneath them.
- 6:10[SPEAKER_01]: But ironically, it's not a foreign force watching from satellites above that poses the most real danger for tomorrow's burial.
- 6:19[SPEAKER_01]: It's something that's happening inside Iran as we speak, and it may indeed change everything.
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- 8:53[SPEAKER_01]: We have to understand that Iran is not a unified country marching solemnly toward Mashaad.
- 8:59[SPEAKER_01]: It's a deeply fractured society right now.
- 9:03[SPEAKER_01]: Hardline Conservatives within the IRGC have publicly vowed to resist further diplomacy until most of the remaining surfaces until he appears physically in public and proves he's alive and in command.
- 9:17[SPEAKER_01]: They've called for the prosecution and indeed the death of Iranian negotiators from the pragmatist wing.
- 9:23[SPEAKER_01]: At the funeral ceremonies this week, Iran's foreign minister Abbas Al-Raghci, the man conducting the nuclear talks that are the only thing standing between this ceasefire in another full-blown war, was chased down the street by IRGC hardliners calling him a traitor.
- 9:40[SPEAKER_01]: The factional war over who actually runs Iran right now,
- 9:45[SPEAKER_01]: The negotiators who signed the MOU with the United States or the hardliners who view that memorandum is surrender is being waged in real time, underneath the choreography of the state funeral.
- 9:58[SPEAKER_01]: Most of a Kamei via Otto Pen has publicly expressed divergent views from Iran to elected president on the June Memorandum.
- 10:08[SPEAKER_01]: This is the supreme leader and the president of the same government openly at odds on their nation's most significant diplomatic agreement in the generation.
- 10:17[SPEAKER_01]: So here's the bottom line.
- 10:20[SPEAKER_01]: Tomorrow, Iran is bearing its former supreme leader in its holiest city.
- 10:25[SPEAKER_01]: Most likely, without its current supreme leader, present.
- 10:28[SPEAKER_01]: The hardliners want to see Moshtabah with their own eyes and their threatening, their own diplomats, who they see as traders.
- 10:37[SPEAKER_01]: The diplomats are terrified of the hardliners.
- 10:40[SPEAKER_01]: The negotiating table is empty for the duration of this funeral at exactly the moment, the internal pressure, and now the external pressure are at their maximum.
- 10:51[SPEAKER_01]: Unfortunately for everyone involved in many respects, the hardliners would love to see the funeral disrupted.
- 10:58[SPEAKER_01]: Simply because that would make continued negotiation
- 11:06[SPEAKER_01]: The negotiators want the diplomacy to continue on the other hand.
- 11:11[SPEAKER_01]: The hardliners are threatening to execute the negotiators.
- 11:15[SPEAKER_01]: With that kind of internal discord, the question nobody in any briefing room is willing to answer out loud right now is simple.
- 11:22[SPEAKER_01]: How confident is anyone in Tel Aviv and Washington in Tehran?
- 11:27[SPEAKER_01]: In Mashaad, the tomorrow goes according to the script.
- 11:33[SPEAKER_01]: because tightly choreographed performances in the middle of active conflicts with a ghost supreme leader, a fractured government, millions of grieving and angry people in summer heat, and the world's most sophisticated military surveillance apparatus watching from above, have a way of not going according to anyone's script at all.
- 11:55[SPEAKER_01]: So watch tomorrow closely because if it goes wrong,
- 11:59[SPEAKER_01]: The next phase of this conflict, may make everything that came before it.
- 12:04[SPEAKER_01]: Look like a warmer.
- 12:06[SPEAKER_01]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turly Talks Podcast.
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- 12:23[SPEAKER_01]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode, celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.