Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 68: Week 12 College Football Betting Preview
Transcript
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- 0:31Speaker 2: Ladies and gentlemen, Boys and girls, it's your favorite time
- 0:34Speaker 2: of week. You download the Crazy sheet. You can get
- 0:36Speaker 2: you something cold to drink. We could watch some Mats football.
- 0:40Speaker 2: It's Wednesday night as we record this. I'm back in
- 0:43Speaker 2: the podcast and studio. Otherwise noticed my backyard and by god, Scottie,
- 0:47Speaker 2: if that's not a fair field in or a hand
- 0:49Speaker 2: in the background to your where you are, I don't
- 0:52Speaker 2: know what is? How the hell are you? Brother?
- 0:53Speaker 3: Mary a courtyard? Uh so might win get a little
- 0:57Speaker 3: sponsorship from Marytt that'd be great. The uh I do
- 1:01Speaker 3: a bunch of these in a Marriott. Yep. Good to
- 1:05Speaker 3: be on the road. Maction is definitely the night great story.
- 1:08Speaker 3: I said, Uh, I hope Colin's not listening. I was
- 1:10Speaker 3: texting with the guy that I'm going to the Toledo game.
- 1:14Speaker 3: He sends me just a screenshot of the thing. It
- 1:17Speaker 3: was like, guess we're on. It was great.
- 1:22Speaker 2: I tell you what, Man, the back this year, that
- 1:25Speaker 2: is he that's a terrible conference for football. I mean
- 1:28Speaker 2: it's it's I've watched.
- 1:30Speaker 3: All over the map. There's no consistency. I mean it's
- 1:34Speaker 3: it is. I mean it's wild. I mean, like tonight,
- 1:38Speaker 3: I will tell you I'm gonna play Ohio lay in
- 1:40Speaker 3: ten and a half, you know, at home. But man,
- 1:45Speaker 3: it's just a very little consistency. I mean, Ohio went
- 1:48Speaker 3: up to Miami. Not true, they're the top two rated
- 1:50Speaker 3: teams in the league. But because of the Miami just
- 1:52Speaker 3: gets crushed. You know, It's like there, it is all
- 1:57Speaker 3: over the map. So but I still love it and
- 2:00Speaker 3: still stoked. I'm gonna finally get me some midweek action
- 2:04Speaker 3: after all these years. Next week.
- 2:06Speaker 2: I hope it is so cold that your asshole just players.
- 2:10Speaker 3: Up exactly what Colin said. He said, there's probably gonna
- 2:13Speaker 3: be nobody in the stands. He goes, Saturday games are
- 2:16Speaker 3: great at Toledo, but they suck during the midweek. Nobody comes.
- 2:20Speaker 3: It's not there. The atmosphere is totally different. But we'll
- 2:24Speaker 3: have fun. And I'm thinking we're probably gonna drink as
- 2:27Speaker 3: many Miller Lights as we drank in Startingville, and so
- 2:30Speaker 3: I'm sure I will have quite a quite a good time.
- 2:33Speaker 3: So it was it was a it'll be a fun trip.
- 2:36Speaker 3: Those guys are a ton of fun and it is.
- 2:41Speaker 3: I'm sure we will laugh about how much they hate
- 2:44Speaker 3: Ohio State. They just think Ohio State fans are the
- 2:48Speaker 3: most arrogant fans in the world. It's hilarious. So I'm
- 2:51Speaker 3: looking forward to It'll be a good trip. And then
- 2:53Speaker 3: of course, you know how much we love Ohio on
- 2:55Speaker 3: the other on the other side, so uh, it'll be Uh.
- 2:59Speaker 3: It's gonna be cool to see what really are my
- 3:01Speaker 3: two favorite teams in that league play, So uh should
- 3:05Speaker 3: be should be a lot of fun next week. I'm
- 3:09Speaker 3: stoked about it.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Yes, I'm excited for you. You know, buddy of mine's
- 3:13Speaker 2: son is getting recruited and so I've actually been on
- 3:16Speaker 2: one recruiting trip with them to go see Sam Houston
- 3:19Speaker 2: State play. And he was at Bandy last week and
- 3:22Speaker 2: I said, I said, do me a favor. I said,
- 3:24Speaker 2: I'm only asking you to do one thing when you
- 3:26Speaker 2: get there, and I said, go find Diego Pavia's brothers.
- 3:32Speaker 2: And I said they should stick out like a sore thumb,
- 3:34Speaker 2: and he said, sure enough, they do. And he said,
- 3:36Speaker 2: literally people want to come up and take their picture
- 3:38Speaker 2: with him, like he's famous. And I was like, not Diego,
- 3:42Speaker 2: but Diego's brothers. And it reminds me when I was
- 3:46Speaker 2: in Omaha a couple of years ago the College World
- 3:48Speaker 2: Series and Dylan Cruz's dad, who I know is not
- 3:50Speaker 2: listening to this, literally looks like he could be on
- 3:53Speaker 2: an episode of Swamp Things and is out there taking
- 3:56Speaker 2: pictures with people in right field like he's a celebrity.
- 3:59Speaker 2: And I'm like, bro, this guy's from like North Florida
- 4:01Speaker 2: and would be wrestling Gators if his son wasn't the
- 4:04Speaker 2: number one draft pick in the Major League Baseball coming up.
- 4:07Speaker 2: It's like, why are you taking a picture with this guy?
- 4:09Speaker 2: It's like what are you gonna do with that? It's like, seriously,
- 4:12Speaker 2: what do you, oh Man Scotty, college Football's nuts man.
- 4:16Speaker 2: We had our second week of a college football playoff
- 4:20Speaker 2: releases that came out. Obviously there's and they're going to
- 4:23Speaker 2: be so different in a couple of weeks, because what
- 4:26Speaker 2: do you got one one SEC team in the top
- 4:29Speaker 2: five of the rankings and.
- 4:31Speaker 3: Penn State the four seeds? I mean, come on, man,
- 4:35Speaker 3: can y'all at least try to put forth they didn't
- 4:38Speaker 3: score on offensive cuts down against the only good team
- 4:41Speaker 3: they played. Yes, it's like, come on, man, can y'all
- 4:45Speaker 3: give me a real damn pick. I mean, it's just
- 4:49Speaker 3: it's asinine. I mean that that that's and I understand
- 4:52Speaker 3: that there's some people losing and you got to penalize them,
- 4:55Speaker 3: you know, but at some point you're gonna realize that
- 4:58Speaker 3: the SEC's got some good teams and some really hard venues,
- 5:02Speaker 3: and all those teams are playing each other, unlike the
- 5:05Speaker 3: Big Ten, where the only team Indiana has got to
- 5:08Speaker 3: play is oh State, you know, and Ohio State only
- 5:14Speaker 3: has to play Indiana. And because look, Michigan's not good.
- 5:18Speaker 3: That's an average football team and they are really struggling offensively.
- 5:24Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking about a league that really is.
- 5:27Speaker 3: And look, Indiana's going to make the playoff and they're
- 5:29Speaker 3: a great story and deservedly so. But if they're playing
- 5:32Speaker 3: in the Southeastern Conference, they are not a playoff.
- 5:35Speaker 2: I would agree with that. I've kind of gone back
- 5:38Speaker 2: and forth on this. I'll give you my rundown. Let's
- 5:40Speaker 2: see where we stand. We haven't even talked about this.
- 5:44Speaker 2: I think the ACC is hot garbage, all of it
- 5:47Speaker 2: across the board. I think Miami can beat anybody on
- 5:50Speaker 2: any given day and lose and lose anybody anybody. And
- 5:55Speaker 2: so we saw last week the Big twelve, no clue.
- 6:01Speaker 2: I'm hoping Colorado wins it. Frankly, it'll be the biggest
- 6:04Speaker 2: turnaround in college football history. They two years ago, before
- 6:07Speaker 2: Prime got there, they had had tied for the most
- 6:10Speaker 2: losses of any team in the country. And they are
- 6:13Speaker 2: on the cusp by having a chance to play for
- 6:15Speaker 2: the national championship at least to get into the tournament.
- 6:17Speaker 2: And if you would have told somebody to me, if
- 6:19Speaker 2: you told me that last year at this exact same week,
- 6:22Speaker 2: I would have told you were crazy, because that team
- 6:24Speaker 2: did not look good last year. The old line was
- 6:27Speaker 2: out matched, the trench was a mess. They still got issues.
- 6:32Speaker 3: Go back to last year, Mark, go back to Nebraska
- 6:35Speaker 3: week too. If Nebraska got a chance to make the playoffs,
- 6:39Speaker 3: you'd have laughed, Hell, probably Kansas State. What was that
- 6:43Speaker 3: Week four or five?
- 6:44Speaker 2: Something like that.
- 6:45Speaker 3: He said the same thing. So, I mean, it's you know,
- 6:48Speaker 3: but I think some of that is how bad the
- 6:51Speaker 3: Big the Big twelve really is. It's true. Let me
- 6:55Speaker 3: say this. I think the Big twelve has got a
- 6:59Speaker 3: lot of a really good middle of the pack teams
- 7:03Speaker 3: and and and that's not a slap. It just doesn't
- 7:07Speaker 3: have a really high end talent team. And you know,
- 7:11Speaker 3: because if you let me tell you what, the Old
- 7:14Speaker 3: Miss Rebels are hoping that they're gonna slide in somewhere
- 7:19Speaker 3: the five or the sixth seed and and get matched
- 7:22Speaker 3: up against against s m U or b y U
- 7:26Speaker 3: and be like week two after they've hosted in Oxford
- 7:29Speaker 3: a neutral field against smooth or and they're thinking, hell yeah,
- 7:34Speaker 3: or we're fixing to be in the semis or same
- 7:38Speaker 3: thing for Ohio State, Great, we're gonna finish, say we
- 7:41Speaker 3: finished second or Oregon whichever one of them likely lose.
- 7:44Speaker 3: Because I think of Out of State's gonna win next
- 7:45Speaker 3: weekend against Indiana. So whichever one of them will wins,
- 7:49Speaker 3: the Big twelve will be the five seed, and that
- 7:51Speaker 3: deservedly so should be. And so I believe they're the
- 7:57Speaker 3: five seed. Are you kidding me that you're telling me
- 8:00Speaker 3: Ohio State? They're a two touchdown favorite on a neutral
- 8:04Speaker 3: field against Smooth or b WAYU. Yeah, you know. So,
- 8:08Speaker 3: I mean it's at least double digits. So I mean,
- 8:11Speaker 3: we have to get the four best teams. See, do
- 8:15Speaker 3: you want to give them a guaranteed spot? No problem, Okay,
- 8:18Speaker 3: if everybody needs a trophy, let's give everybody a trophy.
- 8:21Speaker 3: But let's make the four the top four seeds, the
- 8:23Speaker 3: four best teams, because that's reality of the deal. And
- 8:26Speaker 3: I don't get Look and last week, if that's if
- 8:29Speaker 3: that's four if that's four Big ten teams, so be it.
- 8:34Speaker 3: It's four SEC teams, so be it. Don't have a
- 8:37Speaker 3: problem with that if they aren't. If they aren't it,
- 8:39Speaker 3: and that's the that's the reality of the ideal. I
- 8:43Speaker 3: go back to what I said last week on the playoff.
- 8:47Speaker 3: The SEC team that's got the most danger of getting
- 8:50Speaker 3: left out, that probably is a playoff team, is still
- 8:52Speaker 3: a Miss, and that non conference schedule could kill them.
- 8:56Speaker 3: You let them go to the SEC Championship and they're
- 8:59Speaker 3: a lot of way it works out for Old Miss
- 9:01Speaker 3: to be in the in the SEC Championship. And let's
- 9:04Speaker 3: say they lose that ball game to A Texas to
- 9:08Speaker 3: a Texas A and m to Alabama to whoever. They
- 9:12Speaker 3: lose that ball game, that's their third loss. Does the
- 9:15Speaker 3: committee penalizing, because you know what they're gonna say, Well,
- 9:18Speaker 3: that's three losses. You're out. You didn't play anybody non conference.
- 9:21Speaker 3: If you played somebody decent non conference, you might have
- 9:24Speaker 3: lost then too. I'll be fascinated to see what happened.
- 9:27Speaker 3: And you want to talk about a meltdown in Oxford,
- 9:29Speaker 3: Mississippi after beating Georgia, there will be a meltdown. And
- 9:34Speaker 3: I will tell you I think Old Miss one twelve
- 9:36Speaker 3: best teams in the country. They're finally playing what they
- 9:39Speaker 3: looked I don't know what happened in that locker room
- 9:42Speaker 3: in October, but they're back to playing like the team
- 9:46Speaker 3: they looked like early and the team that we all
- 9:49Speaker 3: thought they would be. They've looked really good. Two weeks
- 9:52Speaker 3: in a row. They smacked Georgia rushing four guys. I mean, dude,
- 9:57Speaker 3: they were getting they had four guys. I want to
- 9:59Speaker 3: point this out. You mentioned Kole Kublick's podcast last week.
- 10:04Speaker 3: If you are not watching him and Roman Harper on
- 10:07Speaker 3: SEC Network and you follow college football and you want
- 10:10Speaker 3: to watch true film breakdown of those guys, it is fabulous.
- 10:15Speaker 3: Kublic breaks down offensive line scheme and defensive line and
- 10:18Speaker 3: pass rushing, and then you got Harper who's breaking down
- 10:21Speaker 3: coverages and man, it is quality TV. Told about x'es
- 10:27Speaker 3: and o's. If you get off on the x'es and o's,
- 10:30Speaker 3: which I absolutely do, it was. It's great show. Watched
- 10:34Speaker 3: it two weeks in a row and I will be
- 10:36Speaker 3: watching it every Monday from here forward. It is awesome
- 10:39Speaker 3: to watch plug for those guys, it is a great show.
- 10:43Speaker 3: You should watch it.
- 10:45Speaker 2: Well, you know what Ole miss last week and I
- 10:47Speaker 2: haven't watched the show, but watching that defense, they had
- 10:51Speaker 2: six guys on the line in the box most of
- 10:53Speaker 2: the game, but they didn't rush six.
- 10:57Speaker 3: In the coverage.
- 10:58Speaker 2: Yeah, and he had no idea what was going on
- 11:01Speaker 2: the whole game, no idea what was going.
- 11:04Speaker 3: Georgia was getting whipped so bad. They were going max protect.
- 11:08Speaker 3: There were multiple times they're trying to block four with
- 11:11Speaker 3: six and they're still getting to the quarterback man. That
- 11:15Speaker 3: can't happen. That's a recipe to get your ass kicked,
- 11:19Speaker 3: especially on the road. That's the look. That's a recipe
- 11:22Speaker 3: to get your ass kicked in the coach's backyard with
- 11:25Speaker 3: his wife being the ref. You gotta be able to
- 11:27Speaker 3: block four with six or you're gonna get smoked. And
- 11:31Speaker 3: that's exactly what happened on Saturday.
- 11:33Speaker 2: So let me ask you this from a name brand bias.
- 11:37Speaker 2: If Georgia loses to Tennessee on Saturday, which I don't know,
- 11:40Speaker 2: if Niko moley Ava is gonna play, Chris Pilika tweeted
- 11:43Speaker 2: something out this morning or maybe it's last game I remember,
- 11:46Speaker 2: but anyway saying he's questionable. I haven't seen anything different yet.
- 11:50Speaker 2: If Tennessee beached Georgia on Saturday and Georgia wins out,
- 11:54Speaker 2: which is not a foregone conclusion because Carson Beck looks awful.
- 11:59Speaker 2: The kid lost him fifty million dollars by by coming
- 12:02Speaker 2: back to Georgia and they still have to pay Georgia Tech,
- 12:05Speaker 2: who looked really good at Haynes King last week, and
- 12:08Speaker 2: I like what that programs doing. But let's assume they
- 12:11Speaker 2: lose to Tennessee or they lose to Georgia Tech. Is
- 12:14Speaker 2: Georgia the only team in the country that's got a
- 12:17Speaker 2: brand name that gets them into the tournament with three losses.
- 12:21Speaker 3: That's fascinating. I think you've got to You got to
- 12:23Speaker 3: wait to see what happens with Clemson. And Clemson ends
- 12:26Speaker 3: up winning the ACC, then yeah, I think Georgia gets in.
- 12:30Speaker 3: I really do with three losses and might get in
- 12:33Speaker 3: over a two loss SEC team, which will set people free.
- 12:37Speaker 3: You know it'll set But I will tell you they
- 12:40Speaker 3: played a rough schedule at Georgia, at Ole Miss, and
- 12:44Speaker 3: at Texas. I mean, hell, it would have been real
- 12:46Speaker 3: easy to lose all three of those and still be
- 12:49Speaker 3: a really good football team. Nobody else has got road
- 12:51Speaker 3: got road games like that. Nobody does. And you got
- 12:56Speaker 3: to take that into account with Georgia losing that ball
- 12:59Speaker 3: game to Old Miss the way they lost it, Like
- 13:01Speaker 3: I said, six can't block four because the Rebels dominated
- 13:04Speaker 3: that game physically and they dominated it on defense. That
- 13:09Speaker 3: was the difference in the ballgame to me. But is
- 13:11Speaker 3: anybody very surprised they lost that game. I don't think
- 13:14Speaker 3: you've really studied college football and been following it if
- 13:17Speaker 3: you couldn't see them losing that game, and especially the
- 13:20Speaker 3: way they're playing right now. I think they do lose
- 13:24Speaker 3: if moleyavas playing with him out now. But we'll get
- 13:29Speaker 3: into that a little bit when we talk about the game.
- 13:31Speaker 3: But yes, I think Georgia can get in, but I
- 13:32Speaker 3: think they're gonna need it. I think I think it
- 13:35Speaker 3: requires carnage, you know what, I mean.
- 13:37Speaker 2: A lot of it. But at the same time, you
- 13:40Speaker 2: go look at Clinton's same thing with name bread bias,
- 13:43Speaker 2: if you take the brand name off the front of
- 13:45Speaker 2: the shirt, I don't think they I don't think they
- 13:47Speaker 2: get in. Like Clemson example, Trumbut, they have to win
- 13:50Speaker 2: the ACC to get in. I'm firmly convinced it's gonna
- 13:52Speaker 2: be a one bid conference. Now, maybe you get an
- 13:55Speaker 2: SMU in Miami. Maybe, But Clemson has no signature win,
- 13:59Speaker 2: not one. They have it. They have not beaten. Their
- 14:03Speaker 2: best win was Virginia Tech.
- 14:05Speaker 3: That's right, last week was their best win.
- 14:07Speaker 2: And I don't think they beat South Carolina at the
- 14:09Speaker 2: end of the season either. South Carolina is as hot
- 14:11Speaker 2: as a pistol right now. I would not want to
- 14:14Speaker 2: match up with those guys. I mean, Beamer has done
- 14:17Speaker 2: a hell of a job.
- 14:18Speaker 3: Well, nobody forgets Mark because this was early in the year.
- 14:21Speaker 3: Week three, they got screwed against LSU. They won that
- 14:26Speaker 3: ball game. That's the biggest horseship rough in the passer
- 14:28Speaker 3: call in the history of bad calls, and and that
- 14:33Speaker 3: cost them the ballgame. I mean, they get a pick
- 14:35Speaker 3: down there and boom, that's ballgame. And instead they call
- 14:39Speaker 3: a horseship rough in the passer and and and they
- 14:43Speaker 3: end up losing the ballgame. How good or how what
- 14:46Speaker 3: is everybody saying about them if they've won that game?
- 14:49Speaker 3: You know, I mean, looks South Carolina is playing well.
- 14:54Speaker 3: Shane Biember's got those guys going in the right direction.
- 14:56Speaker 3: They are pretty stout up front. And it's you know,
- 15:01Speaker 3: it's it is the SEC. This year is the haves
- 15:06Speaker 3: and the have nots. I think more than it's ever been.
- 15:08Speaker 3: I think you've got State Florida, Vany not even Vandy
- 15:13Speaker 3: but to an extent Vandy Arkansas that are just essentially
- 15:18Speaker 3: the have nots this year. They're just not just not
- 15:22Speaker 3: very good. And you know, Kentucky really kind of falling
- 15:26Speaker 3: down in there, even though they got a win against.
- 15:28Speaker 2: UH three and six.
- 15:30Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they're playing terrible. They're just those teams
- 15:33Speaker 3: just aren't very good.
- 15:35Speaker 2: Candidly now, I I think I think Kentucky, I really
- 15:38Speaker 2: believe this. When Stoops took the job at A and M.
- 15:42Speaker 2: You can tell me whatever you want to. He had
- 15:43Speaker 2: that job at A and M, and I honestly think
- 15:47Speaker 2: he lost that roster. I think you're seeing that reflecting
- 15:51Speaker 2: what's going on this season. Auburn have no clue what's
- 15:55Speaker 2: going on in Auburn. It is a adject disaster. I mean,
- 15:59Speaker 2: looks like are every time those guys go out there,
- 16:02Speaker 2: they're awful and and I don't know if you Huphreeze
- 16:05Speaker 2: can fix it, I'll be And I know he's got
- 16:07Speaker 2: a recruiting class coming, but I don't know if it
- 16:09Speaker 2: matters anymore. It's like these rosters turn over so much
- 16:12Speaker 2: that they have so little momentum that I can't see
- 16:16Speaker 2: how you can believe the recruiting rankings coming in based
- 16:21Speaker 2: on what's going on right now, because everything could change
- 16:23Speaker 2: in the last twenty four hours before these kids signed.
- 16:26Speaker 3: Yeah, man, you got to go get it. They've got
- 16:28Speaker 3: to come up with a quarterback. I mean, that's the deal.
- 16:31Speaker 3: How they didn't sign a quarterback is just beyond me
- 16:34Speaker 3: because that look, that defense is pretty damn good. Uh,
- 16:38Speaker 3: that offense is awful.
- 16:41Speaker 2: Bad. Oh, you got a couple other things going on here,
- 16:45Speaker 2: scotty data. Holograham has taken the job as the offensive
- 16:48Speaker 2: coordinator for Nebraska. I would love to sit in the
- 16:53Speaker 2: meeting with him and Matt Ruhle and see what comes
- 16:55Speaker 2: out of that situation, because I think rule went from
- 16:58Speaker 2: being like on the mountain, so now it's kind of
- 17:01Speaker 2: like scratching your head, is like, is just Nebraska permanently broken?
- 17:06Speaker 2: I because I thought he really had it turning and
- 17:08Speaker 2: I've got that he still has a freshman quarterbacks a thing.
- 17:11Speaker 2: But he's obviously not going to lose his job because
- 17:13Speaker 2: you don't fire your offensive coordinator. If you know you're
- 17:15Speaker 2: getting fired teams season, you ride it out right. And uh,
- 17:19Speaker 2: if you got that, you got Castellanos, my favorite black Italian.
- 17:24Speaker 3: How about that he gets benched and hits the portal
- 17:27Speaker 3: in like seventy two hours. He started pretty much every
- 17:31Speaker 3: game and boom healthy. Yeah, I man, unbelievable. I mean
- 17:37Speaker 3: exactly what I've always said, that the portal's just an
- 17:40Speaker 3: easy way out. I'm sure O'Brien's been riding his ass
- 17:44Speaker 3: because of how bad they're throwing the football. I'm sure
- 17:47Speaker 3: he's been on him heat. That dude's hard to play for.
- 17:50Speaker 3: And the Costellano is just ripcorded, just just bails. And
- 17:56Speaker 3: I'm like, man, you can't discipline your football team in
- 17:59Speaker 3: this portal. Era is hard. You know, he didn't take
- 18:02Speaker 3: hard coaching well. And so his response is, let's go
- 18:04Speaker 3: get in the portal against the team that's got a
- 18:07Speaker 3: chance to get ball eligible. You know this this well,
- 18:10Speaker 3: I guess coming up. But they got teams to do
- 18:13Speaker 3: so I just don't get it.
- 18:15Speaker 2: I mean, they're one game away from being bull eligible.
- 18:18Speaker 3: They're five, because you can be five. I think now
- 18:21Speaker 3: with all that's going on with the playoff and everything,
- 18:23Speaker 3: I think they actually have I think you can. I
- 18:25Speaker 3: think you're ball eligible now with five if I remember right,
- 18:29Speaker 3: you could be. I had no idea. Yeah, I think that's.
- 18:33Speaker 2: Anyway, weird times that we're in college football. A couple
- 18:37Speaker 2: of things. I mean, you got that going on Prime
- 18:39Speaker 2: We talked about getting it done there Washington State quietly
- 18:42Speaker 2: has no path to get into college football playoffs. But
- 18:46Speaker 2: they're they're good. I don't know if youbody's watched him
- 18:48Speaker 2: or not, but it's like the team that nobody pays
- 18:51Speaker 2: attention to, and they're probably gonna end up going like
- 18:53Speaker 2: ten to two when the season's over.
- 18:55Speaker 3: Yeah, they You know. The the thing we can't get
- 18:58Speaker 3: off of either is all about Alabama just full gas
- 19:03Speaker 3: can and l U s U. I we blew that
- 19:07Speaker 3: game on the pick, not not just just wait.
- 19:11Speaker 2: I've got I bet Bama before the cop but we
- 19:13Speaker 2: just didn't put on the show. But yeah, I didn't
- 19:16Speaker 2: say a path you could win that game.
- 19:18Speaker 3: We blew. We blew that because all they did is
- 19:20Speaker 3: take advantage of the film that Texas A and M
- 19:24Speaker 3: put on put out there and just let the QB
- 19:28Speaker 3: run wild. I mean, milroach just gashed him. And at
- 19:31Speaker 3: the at the end of the day, that was that
- 19:35Speaker 3: was Kaylen de Boor being the coach that I think
- 19:39Speaker 3: he's gonna be. He had a fabulous game plan in
- 19:41Speaker 3: that game, and it's why I think he was the
- 19:43Speaker 3: right guy for the job. But the question I want
- 19:45Speaker 3: to ask you is is Kelly topped out at nine
- 19:47Speaker 3: wins at L s U. Doesn't you know what that is?
- 19:50Speaker 3: That's fired? Yeah, that's that way time and in Baton rouge.
- 19:56Speaker 3: So I pulled the report on him because at the
- 19:59Speaker 3: end of the day, he's lost US what four straight,
- 20:02Speaker 3: four straight, uh opening games? Isn't that right? And LS
- 20:05Speaker 3: she's lost five in a row to start to start.
- 20:08Speaker 3: I guess this is Kelly's third year, isn't it. So
- 20:10Speaker 3: three games, three in a row, but five total for
- 20:14Speaker 3: L s U on the first opening weekend when they
- 20:16Speaker 3: play that big game and we're coming, we're coming to
- 20:19Speaker 3: realize now that sc is not very good, that that
- 20:23Speaker 3: was a total that was a total fumble by the Tigers.
- 20:26Speaker 3: His nine wins this ceiling, because if it is, he
- 20:29Speaker 3: needs to be setting up a good deal with you
- 20:31Speaker 3: at ninety lines is in his future?
- 20:36Speaker 2: Oh man, I would laugh my ass off if they
- 20:39Speaker 2: fired him and ogieron they brought him as the interim
- 20:42Speaker 2: to coach like the Bowl game or something. Just that.
- 20:45Speaker 3: He needs to go hire eddieo as like his dc
- 20:48Speaker 3: ors defensive lines. Bring Eddio back. He's got an cheese
- 20:51Speaker 3: he's been blowing in on all these girls running around.
- 20:55Speaker 3: You know, man, come on, Let's let's get him paying
- 20:57Speaker 3: mail mill in the half. Let's get some medio back.
- 21:00Speaker 3: It's getting doing Hummer commercials. They brought the Hummer back.
- 21:02Speaker 3: Let's bring Eddie Go back.
- 21:04Speaker 2: Do you think do you think ed O picks up
- 21:06Speaker 2: chicks on dating apps or he had like he does
- 21:08Speaker 2: it in person?
- 21:09Speaker 3: I mean, what do you think the thought of Eddie
- 21:14Speaker 3: Oh shirtless on bumble that gives me a really could laugh?
- 21:18Speaker 3: Can you imagine?
- 21:20Speaker 2: No? It's yeah, I can't. It's awesome.
- 21:23Speaker 3: I bet I bet tenders more his feed. I'm thinking
- 21:26Speaker 3: tender is probably more his feed than bumble. I don't
- 21:29Speaker 3: know how many. I don't know how many girls are
- 21:30Speaker 3: picking Eddie Go.
- 21:31Speaker 2: Well, if anybody that's listening to this knows ed Oh,
- 21:35Speaker 2: please tweet me and let me know if he's out
- 21:37Speaker 2: crushing some middle aged ass, because I really hope he is.
- 21:40Speaker 2: I just kidding, oh man. I mean, look, if I
- 21:47Speaker 2: would if you could get me, I would like to
- 21:49Speaker 2: sit down, if I could get like I wouldn't want
- 21:53Speaker 2: to do it from the get, but like, if we
- 21:55Speaker 2: could get like five drinks deep and it was me, you,
- 21:58Speaker 2: ed O and Houston Nut, I would have the best
- 22:02Speaker 2: evening of my life. I could listen to those guys
- 22:04Speaker 2: just ramble on, because where's Houston nut I mean, that
- 22:08Speaker 2: guy loves college, but he's so exciting and he just
- 22:11Speaker 2: is so excited about everything, and he's nowhere to be
- 22:13Speaker 2: found these days. He's not even on CBS anymore. I
- 22:15Speaker 2: don't know where he is.
- 22:16Speaker 3: Oh it sucks, you know, I would love I gotta
- 22:20Speaker 3: admit I would really need to try to get him on.
- 22:24Speaker 3: He lives right next to He lives right down the road,
- 22:28Speaker 3: So I actually know a couple of people that know you.
- 22:30Speaker 3: So maybe how fabulous of that would that be?
- 22:35Speaker 2: Because fan base fan base hates Houston nothing more Arkansas
- 22:41Speaker 2: or Old Miss.
- 22:42Speaker 3: Oh, it's for sure Arkansas. It's for sure. Arkansas left
- 22:49Speaker 3: Ole Miss left those years. Look, he had two great years.
- 22:53Speaker 3: They left those years with Hugh Freeze, and they have such,
- 22:56Speaker 3: you know, want fond memories of Freeze that I think
- 22:59Speaker 3: it totally brushed over the bad ending that he had
- 23:02Speaker 3: in Oxford does the last two years.
- 23:07Speaker 2: Anyway, I'm guessing there's some younger listeners on here who
- 23:10Speaker 2: don't even know who the hell of Houston Dale Nutt is.
- 23:12Speaker 2: But if you ever get a chance, you can go
- 23:14Speaker 2: back and watch the mysterious vanishing of Mitch Mustaine in
- 23:18Speaker 2: that Arkansas program. When he was there, they had some
- 23:21Speaker 2: great teams. Man, they were fucking awesome. I loved every.
- 23:24Speaker 3: Look that backfield. I will still tell you, Mike be
- 23:28Speaker 3: the best backfield in the history of college sports. Mcfat
- 23:33Speaker 3: run dmc McFadden was a stud. Jones was the running
- 23:37Speaker 3: back that played for the Cowboys. And then what was
- 23:41Speaker 3: the full back he was on the cover of Madden
- 23:43Speaker 3: played for the that played for played for the Browns.
- 23:47Speaker 3: He was on the cover of Madden. I mean all
- 23:50Speaker 3: three of those dudes were in one backfield at Arkansas
- 23:54Speaker 3: and they had uh what and quarterback wasn't that Matt
- 23:57Speaker 3: That was Matt Jones.
- 23:58Speaker 2: That was quarterbacks.
- 24:00Speaker 3: I mean that is a sicko backfield. I mean, hell
- 24:03Speaker 3: no wonder they went to the SEC title game.
- 24:07Speaker 2: They three times three times.
- 24:10Speaker 3: I mean that was great, such a great backfield.
- 24:14Speaker 2: Uh And Matt Jones later got popped for starting cocaine
- 24:17Speaker 2: off of this dashboard, which remember how fast that guy was. Best.
- 24:21Speaker 2: One of my best Saturdays ever, I saw Arkansas and
- 24:23Speaker 2: Texas play in Austin at eleven o'clock. Game ended and
- 24:28Speaker 2: we drove to Waco to watch the Baylor game. I
- 24:31Speaker 2: don't remember who Baylor played that night, but we watched
- 24:33Speaker 2: Baylor play that night. I was so exhausted at the end,
- 24:35Speaker 2: but I thought I pulled my party muscle. It hurt
- 24:38Speaker 2: so bad. But anyway, reflecting scott college football betting on football,
- 24:41Speaker 2: it's gotten hard.
- 24:44Speaker 3: Hayton Hillis is the guy that was on that was
- 24:46Speaker 3: that was on the cover of Mad and I knew
- 24:48Speaker 3: i'd think of his name.
- 24:50Speaker 2: Played for the Saints. Yep, wow, that's right. Anyway, college
- 24:54Speaker 2: football got hard. Uh dig in, do your research. We're
- 24:58Speaker 2: trying our asses off, your folks. I'm just you know,
- 25:00Speaker 2: this is almost as difficult as the COVID season. But
- 25:05Speaker 2: trying to get through this. It's Wednesday night. I don't
- 25:07Speaker 2: if we're gonna have time to get to play before maction.
- 25:09Speaker 2: But you're rolling with the Ohio minus the number. Uh.
- 25:13Speaker 2: Thursday night, East Carolina and Tulsa. I would lean East Carolina,
- 25:18Speaker 2: but I have no play in that one whatsoever.
- 25:22Speaker 3: Carolina's been playing better, been playing good.
- 25:25Speaker 2: Friday Night. You've actually got some pretty good games. Wyoming,
- 25:28Speaker 2: Colordace State's not much to watch. North Texas UTSA. I
- 25:32Speaker 2: would lean North Texas there, but they disappointed me last week.
- 25:36Speaker 3: I'm on the opposite end of you, old man. I'm
- 25:38Speaker 3: leaning at home.
- 25:40Speaker 2: But I haven't put any money down on these things.
- 25:43Speaker 2: Ucla in Washington, you got anything in this game here?
- 25:47Speaker 3: You know what. First off, we said this last week.
- 25:50Speaker 3: But UCLA is playing much better, oh so much better,
- 25:54Speaker 3: very close to all eligibility. If you'd have told me that,
- 25:57Speaker 3: I'd a laugh at you. I think Foster has not
- 26:01Speaker 3: only exceeded expectations, I think giving the eight fans that
- 26:06Speaker 3: they have at the Rose Bawl every week something to
- 26:08Speaker 3: get excited about. So I have to admit that I
- 26:14Speaker 3: am supremely surprised. But I think Washington gets back on track.
- 26:19Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be a really close game. But
- 26:21Speaker 3: at the end of the day, I think Washington and
- 26:23Speaker 3: homes probably a little too much. It's a low number
- 26:26Speaker 3: three and a half. I like it to be three,
- 26:30Speaker 3: but I think Washington will get it done against UCLA.
- 26:35Speaker 2: Only game I've got Fridays. I have laid a little
- 26:38Speaker 2: bit down on the Kooks. I like Houston at Arizona.
- 26:43Speaker 2: Houston team really has turned the corner as the season
- 26:46Speaker 2: has been going on. Love Willie Fritz Love pretty much
- 26:50Speaker 2: a pick him, but you're getting one here. I wouldn't
- 26:53Speaker 2: be surprised if this game doesn't flip before the game
- 26:56Speaker 2: kicks off. It'll be a late Friday night game. But yeah,
- 26:59Speaker 2: get one with the coups. I'll roll with that Saturday, Scottie.
- 27:04Speaker 2: Let's get to it first game. I got fat ticket
- 27:07Speaker 2: in my pocket, betted as soon as the line came out.
- 27:10Speaker 2: Texas is laying thirteen and a half in Vietnam. The
- 27:13Speaker 2: last time Texas went to Arkansas, they got waxed over.
- 27:17Speaker 2: Under here is fifty seven and a half Arkansas. Probably
- 27:21Speaker 2: most people just remember them just getting hounded by Old
- 27:24Speaker 2: Miss a couple of weeks ago. I think you're going
- 27:26Speaker 2: to see something really similar here. Arkansas's got one of the,
- 27:29Speaker 2: if not the worst, one of the worst four defensive
- 27:33Speaker 2: passing backfields in the country. I think Texas is going
- 27:37Speaker 2: to exploit the shit out of this team. I don't
- 27:40Speaker 2: know how they're going to move the ball. I think
- 27:42Speaker 2: Texas is kind of rolling here. I think sark is
- 27:45Speaker 2: going to have this thing drawn up and it's going
- 27:47Speaker 2: to get out of hand. I think they absolutely demolish
- 27:52Speaker 2: Pig Suey come Saturday morning.
- 27:54Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't disagree with you at all. I like Texas.
- 27:56Speaker 3: I'm already on this line as well. H At the
- 27:59Speaker 3: end of the day, Texas defense gonna be able to
- 28:01Speaker 3: stop that Arkansas run game, which is what everything's based
- 28:04Speaker 3: off of. Their ability to throw the ball is based
- 28:07Speaker 3: off the ability to run it. I don't think they're
- 28:09Speaker 3: able to do that. I think Green's gonna be running
- 28:12Speaker 3: for his life a good bit. I think Texas wins
- 28:15Speaker 3: this game, and wins it comfortably.
- 28:18Speaker 2: I do too. I have no doubt that they're gonna
- 28:20Speaker 2: go this one, Scottie. We've been jumping all over the
- 28:22Speaker 2: board of the last couple of weeks. Let's just stay
- 28:24Speaker 2: with some big games real quick. Tennessee is going to
- 28:28Speaker 2: play Georgia last time. Last time Tennessee played Georgia in
- 28:32Speaker 2: a game this big was a couple of years ago,
- 28:34Speaker 2: a lot of weather down in Athens. In this one,
- 28:37Speaker 2: this Tennessee team was high flying. Everybody said they couldn't
- 28:40Speaker 2: be stopped. They went in and played a Georgia team
- 28:42Speaker 2: that was just a team of destiny. They're not getting
- 28:46Speaker 2: it this week, and they're getting it. But here's The
- 28:48Speaker 2: thing with this two things we talked about this, I
- 28:50Speaker 2: love Tennessee in this spot. I think Georgia wins, but
- 28:53Speaker 2: I love Tennessee in this spot. If Maliava plays, I
- 28:56Speaker 2: don't like the fact that we're easy questionable in here.
- 28:59Speaker 2: But the other thing, too, is this Tennessee defense is
- 29:02Speaker 2: really good and that's the part of it that gets overlooked.
- 29:06Speaker 2: And the other thing with this Georgia offense we talked about,
- 29:09Speaker 2: this back has not performed well. He's had other than
- 29:12Speaker 2: the back end of that Alabama game, which they still lost,
- 29:16Speaker 2: but he has not played that well and they can't
- 29:19Speaker 2: run the ball. And without mccakey and Bowers there, that
- 29:23Speaker 2: offense looks completely different than as in years past. This
- 29:26Speaker 2: is a Georgia team that's always looked so buttoned up,
- 29:29Speaker 2: so physical to line of scrimmage and just can control
- 29:32Speaker 2: the game and dominate. I don't know what's going to
- 29:35Speaker 2: go on with Maliava, but the only play I currently
- 29:38Speaker 2: have on this one is I'm going under forty eight
- 29:40Speaker 2: before that number goes down any lower.
- 29:42Speaker 3: Totally agree with you here, Tennessee defense. I haven't given
- 29:45Speaker 3: up twenty points all year with a struggling offense. I
- 29:49Speaker 3: don't think they do it again. I like the balls
- 29:54Speaker 3: to keep this low scoring, keep this a close game.
- 29:58Speaker 3: Without Malava, I think they're still going to cover this number.
- 30:02Speaker 3: I think the only reason this number is remotely this
- 30:04Speaker 3: high is because Vegas knows he's not playing. I think
- 30:09Speaker 3: it's gonna be low scoring, but I think they're probably
- 30:11Speaker 3: still gonna keep it within the number because of how
- 30:14Speaker 3: good that defense is. Look, the bottom line is, Tennessee
- 30:18Speaker 3: pretty much had an off week last week. I mean
- 30:21Speaker 3: they took it really really easy on Mississippi State. That
- 30:24Speaker 3: was that was a buddy not trying to run it
- 30:27Speaker 3: up on his buddy. And that's that's the bottom line.
- 30:30Speaker 3: That is exactly what went on. Tennessee got that lead,
- 30:33Speaker 3: they hit those two big pass plays, got that big lead,
- 30:37Speaker 3: and boom Gas down. I mean it was like not
- 30:41Speaker 3: trying to cover here. They did everything that hell, they
- 30:43Speaker 3: did everything they could do to not cover. And I
- 30:45Speaker 3: mean that they weren't even trying to score it sometimes
- 30:49Speaker 3: kicking field goals when it's fourth and one, you know,
- 30:52Speaker 3: stuff like that. You know. Just bottom line is they
- 30:56Speaker 3: didn't have to play real hard. I think they are
- 30:58Speaker 3: zeused for this ball game. They had one in forever.
- 31:01Speaker 3: I mean, I was just glancing at I know it's
- 31:02Speaker 3: been the last five years because I just glanced at it.
- 31:05Speaker 3: It has been a long time since they won this game,
- 31:08Speaker 3: especially since they won it in Athens. I think they're
- 31:12Speaker 3: gonna continue to struggle. I think the winning streak continues
- 31:15Speaker 3: for Georgia. But I think it's a really low scoring,
- 31:18Speaker 3: close ball game. I think you're gonna get a twenty
- 31:22Speaker 3: four twenty, you know, twenty four to seventeen kind of
- 31:26Speaker 3: ball game. I think that's what we're gonna see.
- 31:28Speaker 2: Let's go under, baby Scotty game you've been talking about
- 31:30Speaker 2: for weeks. I know you've had this circle. The Oregon
- 31:34Speaker 2: Ducks traveling to Wisconsin. Oh Man, the Big Red Wall
- 31:38Speaker 2: will be playing this week over under. Here is fifty two.
- 31:42Speaker 2: Wisconsin's getting fourteen as of recording on DraftKings, Wisconsin's taking
- 31:48Speaker 2: ninety percent of the bets and ninety percent of the money,
- 31:52Speaker 2: all public money coming on the Oregon Ducks, the best
- 31:55Speaker 2: team in the country. What's gonna happen at Camp Rendall Stadium?
- 31:59Speaker 3: Maybe, ma'am, I will tell you. I've stoked about this.
- 32:02Speaker 3: My buddy in the neighborhood. That's an Oregon fan. He
- 32:05Speaker 3: and his wife are going to the ballgame. Think it's
- 32:07Speaker 3: some of his wife for going to the ballgame this weekend.
- 32:10Speaker 3: And I told us a dude to camp Randall's awesome,
- 32:14Speaker 3: and I do. I think it is a fabulous place
- 32:16Speaker 3: to watch a game. It is. What I'm expecting is
- 32:22Speaker 3: just the amount of games the body blows are gonna
- 32:24Speaker 3: pile up on Oregon. I'm not gonna call for them
- 32:28Speaker 3: to lose. I will tell you with fourteen and a half.
- 32:31Speaker 3: I love the hook. I never loved the hook, and
- 32:34Speaker 3: I love the hook here because I think that may
- 32:36Speaker 3: it may very well be the difference in winning and
- 32:38Speaker 3: losing this bet. It's why I've taken it already. I
- 32:41Speaker 3: don't want it to go away. I may play Wisconsin
- 32:45Speaker 3: on the money line's just simply because of the odds
- 32:48Speaker 3: that you get when you're talking two touchdowns. But I
- 32:52Speaker 3: think Oregon's gonna figure out a way to get it done.
- 32:55Speaker 3: But I do think eight straight weeks, going all the
- 32:58Speaker 3: way halfway across the country, We've always we've talked about
- 33:02Speaker 3: the time change difference of two hours or more. I
- 33:05Speaker 3: think this is a big trip again, for them. They
- 33:08Speaker 3: looked very flat last week did not. Oregon was certainly
- 33:12Speaker 3: not at their best. We've talked numerous times about how
- 33:15Speaker 3: many times the eight straight weeks a team doesn't cover,
- 33:19Speaker 3: but also how many times they lose outright if everybody,
- 33:23Speaker 3: I'll give you one prime example was that Ole Miss
- 33:28Speaker 3: Arkansas toss game where Hunter Henry threw the ball back
- 33:31Speaker 3: to the running back and they got the miracle like
- 33:33Speaker 3: fourth and nineteen a is on missus eighth straight nam
- 33:37Speaker 3: kind they were significantly better football team than Arkansas that year,
- 33:40Speaker 3: but they lost in that exact situation they look at
- 33:43Speaker 3: was a miracle, but they still were the significantly better team.
- 33:47Speaker 3: I think that may be some of what happens today.
- 33:49Speaker 3: I think Whiskey keeps it close. I think it is
- 33:52Speaker 3: yoked up. I think Oregon is a really good team.
- 33:55Speaker 3: I think Oregon's best team in the CA if den
- 33:57Speaker 3: roehist if they are the two best teams in the
- 33:59Speaker 3: country for what I've seen to this point. The only
- 34:03Speaker 3: other team I think's got a chance to get in there.
- 34:05Speaker 3: I think the Longhorns I would are probably who I
- 34:08Speaker 3: would say is third at this point. I would agree
- 34:13Speaker 3: with you they get it done, but I think Whiskey
- 34:16Speaker 3: keeps it close.
- 34:18Speaker 2: I want to stay in a game. I like. I
- 34:19Speaker 2: don't even know where you are in this one, but
- 34:21Speaker 2: Kansas is traveling to Probo to play by J. This
- 34:25Speaker 2: Kansas team has really turned it around. You know, they
- 34:27Speaker 2: started really slow, and I think losing their offensive coordinator
- 34:31Speaker 2: Nikoloniki really hurt them really and they just couldn't figure
- 34:35Speaker 2: it out. But now they've got to keep winning if
- 34:36Speaker 2: they want a chance to play for a Bowl. This
- 34:39Speaker 2: team's three and six. If they somehow able to win out,
- 34:42Speaker 2: they can do it. Lyne here is only two and
- 34:44Speaker 2: a half and this BYU team. I know we've ridden
- 34:48Speaker 2: them quite a bit this season, but they should have
- 34:51Speaker 2: lost that game in Utah last week and absolutely should
- 34:54Speaker 2: have lost that game. They lost it twice for that matter.
- 34:57Speaker 2: But I just think this is a bad spot for
- 34:59Speaker 2: by you. I think Kansas has got some momentum. I
- 35:03Speaker 2: like him getting two and a half. I think they're
- 35:04Speaker 2: gonna win this game outright and send BYU back into
- 35:08Speaker 2: the bushes. But I like Kansas and this one. I
- 35:11Speaker 2: have looked so many different ways on him. Why did
- 35:13Speaker 2: not bet this? I mean, I'm taking a three and
- 35:15Speaker 2: six team to win out right against the nine and
- 35:17Speaker 2: o team, and the line's two and a half. Give
- 35:21Speaker 2: me the Jayhawks, rock shot Jayhawks, Baby.
- 35:24Speaker 3: That's what scares me about it. That's what scares me
- 35:26Speaker 3: the most about this line. First thing, when I saw
- 35:30Speaker 3: the line, I thought, Kansas is probably gonna go over
- 35:31Speaker 3: there and win. They're hot, they're playing well, they've played.
- 35:33Speaker 3: They played pretty well the last even though a couple
- 35:35Speaker 3: of losses. You know that k State loss and I
- 35:38Speaker 3: can't remember who the other one was, plus two wins
- 35:40Speaker 3: during this stretch. They kicked the shit out of Ile
- 35:42Speaker 3: State last week and I thought we'd give it back
- 35:45Speaker 3: from Iowa State. They got hammered and Kansas now looking
- 35:50Speaker 3: like the Kansas of old. And you know, the bottom
- 35:53Speaker 3: line is Leopold's figured out what he's got. He's a
- 35:55Speaker 3: great football coach, and they're just playing better football as
- 35:58Speaker 3: the season's going on. But that's what scares me. This
- 36:01Speaker 3: number at just two and a half on the road,
- 36:04Speaker 3: makes you think Vegas is trying to set you up
- 36:07Speaker 3: and get you to take and gives you. But at
- 36:10Speaker 3: the end of the day, b why, He's just not
- 36:12Speaker 3: that talented. And they got a young quarterback who candidly
- 36:15Speaker 3: starting to make a few start the pressures getting bigger,
- 36:18Speaker 3: games are getting bigger. He got a young quarterback starting
- 36:20Speaker 3: to not play as well make some mistakes. So don't
- 36:24Speaker 3: disagree with you. I'm not quite as confident as you are.
- 36:27Speaker 3: But hell for the fun of it, Let's take the Jayhawks.
- 36:31Speaker 2: Rock chock baby Arizona State traveling to Manhattan. As we
- 36:36Speaker 2: record this, cam Scataboo is gonna play. Are you gonna
- 36:41Speaker 2: lay it with Kansas State here in this one dimensional
- 36:43Speaker 2: offense with Avery Johnson renhanm or are you gonna take
- 36:46Speaker 2: Arizona State and that running game? Last week? They stepped
- 36:50Speaker 2: up with the passing game as well? Where are we
- 36:52Speaker 2: gonna do you even have a play on this game?
- 36:54Speaker 2: This Arizona State team is fascinating to me.
- 36:56Speaker 3: Hell yeah, I've already got a ticket on Arizona State.
- 36:59Speaker 3: I love this line. I think they're alive, doll, I
- 37:03Speaker 3: think they're hit man, And I will tell you, I
- 37:06Speaker 3: think that's what the difference in this game is. I
- 37:09Speaker 3: said it that. It's what I said about last week's
- 37:12Speaker 3: game scared me with Skattaboy not playing, But at the
- 37:16Speaker 3: end of the day, this team's got a good run defense,
- 37:20Speaker 3: and if you're a more dimensionally based on the run,
- 37:24Speaker 3: they're gonna give you problems. And same thing if you're
- 37:27Speaker 3: an offense that's god, I run the football to set
- 37:30Speaker 3: up your past. They're gonna give you problems. That's case day.
- 37:33Speaker 3: And I think that this defensive front for Arizona State
- 37:37Speaker 3: is good enough to try to make them one dimensional
- 37:41Speaker 3: trying to throw the football down the field, and I
- 37:43Speaker 3: ain't that could lead to some problems. I think. I
- 37:46Speaker 3: think Arizona State has proven that they can play well
- 37:50Speaker 3: on the road, and I think they're gonna come back,
- 37:53Speaker 3: and I think they're gonna do it again. I think
- 37:55Speaker 3: they win this game straight up, but I'm absolutely taking
- 37:58Speaker 3: the nine.
- 38:00Speaker 2: Boston College will be traveling to Dallas to play Saturday afternoon. Again,
- 38:04Speaker 2: we just mentioned Thomas Castolano as the quarterback there. Not
- 38:06Speaker 2: only is he benched, but he's not even on the
- 38:08Speaker 2: roster anymore. Coming Saturday. Played an SMU team that has
- 38:12Speaker 2: got a pathway to get themselves into the College football Playoff.
- 38:15Speaker 2: They're laying a huge number here in nineteen. Tell you what,
- 38:19Speaker 2: I know you've talked about how this SMU team you
- 38:22Speaker 2: can't get that in the body game out of your head,
- 38:24Speaker 2: and I understand that. But this team only lost they've
- 38:27Speaker 2: got is BYU. They lost fifteen to eighteen. That loss
- 38:31Speaker 2: is aging pretty well at this point with BYU being
- 38:33Speaker 2: undefeated and they've got a pathway to get in the
- 38:37Speaker 2: playoffs as well. They've managed to string six wins in
- 38:40Speaker 2: a row together and they've gone five and one against
- 38:42Speaker 2: the number in that same spread you BC to me, man,
- 38:47Speaker 2: I kind of want to take nineteen, but I can't
- 38:50Speaker 2: do it. I think SMU covers this number.
- 38:52Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got it at seventeen. I like smooth. So
- 38:59Speaker 3: the difference is is I think clearly there's some problems
- 39:01Speaker 3: that be at BC. They're not throwing the ball well
- 39:05Speaker 3: at all. Last week they were atrocious, especially from a
- 39:09Speaker 3: completion percentage. They did have a couple of passes for tds,
- 39:13Speaker 3: but their completion percentage was awful with both quarterbacks. SMU's
- 39:17Speaker 3: got the number five run defense in the country. I
- 39:20Speaker 3: mean only they're giving up two point seven seven yards
- 39:23Speaker 3: of carry. That's a big stat because BYU has to
- 39:26Speaker 3: be able to run the football, and it's offense has
- 39:28Speaker 3: been different in Dallas for SMU, it's been explosive at times. Look,
- 39:34Speaker 3: I didn't think they had enough talent early in the
- 39:36Speaker 3: year because FSU hadn't mailed it in. Then they gas
- 39:40Speaker 3: canned their ass, I mean gas candle. And I think
- 39:46Speaker 3: I think SMU's got enough firepower to get it done.
- 39:49Speaker 3: It's not going to surprise me. F SMU scurse fifty
- 39:52Speaker 3: this weekend.
- 39:57Speaker 2: Oh tony up, let's go career man. If you get
- 40:02Speaker 2: s I want SMU to be the acc representative in
- 40:06Speaker 2: the college football point.
- 40:07Speaker 3: And they're not even to share the money yet.
- 40:09Speaker 2: How oh that's.
- 40:11Speaker 3: Uh be renegotiating that deal. Be like, dude, we're gonna
- 40:16Speaker 3: be finding another conference.
- 40:17Speaker 2: If you don't come on, I mean full pony express.
- 40:22Speaker 2: Now we don't need your money. We'll just buy our
- 40:24Speaker 2: way into this thing because we have to be at
- 40:26Speaker 2: a conference that gets a ticket. And if you tell
- 40:28Speaker 2: us we can get a ticket, bitch, we bitch better
- 40:31Speaker 2: have my money. No ticket, no money, no lud, no tikey,
- 40:35Speaker 2: no money.
- 40:35Speaker 3: And let me tell you something. For everybody listening who
- 40:38Speaker 3: doesn't know, there's more damn money running around on Mockingbird
- 40:42Speaker 3: Avenue right there at SMU, then you can shake a
- 40:45Speaker 3: damn stick at they have got some and they have
- 40:48Speaker 3: got some really really rich boosters. And they've also got
- 40:51Speaker 3: some really rich boosters who like to show you that
- 40:54Speaker 3: they're really rich, and that is exactly what they did.
- 40:57Speaker 3: We're like, we don't need any money, but watch them
- 40:59Speaker 3: were negotiate that deal. If they win the league and
- 41:02Speaker 3: get a playoff.
- 41:02Speaker 2: Spot, oh man, be awesome. A couple other games we
- 41:07Speaker 2: got here, Toulane traveling to Annapolis to play Maryland. Uh,
- 41:11Speaker 2: I like our play Navy. Excuse me, we were dead
- 41:14Speaker 2: wrong last week on Navy. I think this two lane
- 41:16Speaker 2: team's rolling. I'm gonna lay seven with Tulane and this one.
- 41:20Speaker 2: I think this two lane team is the best G
- 41:22Speaker 2: five team in the country. I think they're better than
- 41:24Speaker 2: Boise State. I think they're buttoned up. Navy just has
- 41:28Speaker 2: not looked as good the last several weeks. I think
- 41:31Speaker 2: that team has been exposed a little bit. But I
- 41:33Speaker 2: really think this two lane team can go in and
- 41:35Speaker 2: get it done. I'm gonna lay seven here. I don't
- 41:37Speaker 2: know if you're rolling with me or not, but I
- 41:38Speaker 2: like Tulane to get this one.
- 41:39Speaker 3: I think how much I'm rolling with you because we
- 41:41Speaker 3: didn't talk about this game. I got it at six
- 41:43Speaker 3: and a half. So that's the same deal. I love
- 41:46Speaker 3: I like Lane here. I just think they're the better
- 41:48Speaker 3: football team and and and that's really what it That's
- 41:51Speaker 3: really what it gets down to. Uh I did think
- 41:53Speaker 3: Navy bounced back last week and looked and looked a
- 41:56Speaker 3: little better, But uh I still think Tulane is gonna
- 41:59Speaker 3: get that's still done. I love the higher they may.
- 42:02Speaker 3: How Tulane transitioned, you know, back to back coaches the
- 42:07Speaker 3: way they did is just fascinating when there are so
- 42:10Speaker 3: many power fove programs that can hire one good coaching
- 42:13Speaker 3: to hire as much less hiring two back to back.
- 42:15Speaker 3: So good kudos for tu Lane. That's that's what I
- 42:18Speaker 3: think gets gets done here.
- 42:20Speaker 2: Speaking of back to back coaches and the two lane coach,
- 42:23Speaker 2: where are you are you going to play this Troy
- 42:25Speaker 2: game to think that coming up here? Joy? And Georgia Southern.
- 42:29Speaker 2: Georgia Southern is laying seven and a half.
- 42:31Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yes, I was going to tell you yes
- 42:35Speaker 3: later in the podcast. That is a lane that I'm on.
- 42:38Speaker 3: Uh I just I like George so I want some
- 42:40Speaker 3: money on Georgia Southern a couple of times this year,
- 42:43Speaker 3: and I like, you know, I like them here did
- 42:45Speaker 3: earlier against Georgia State in the year. I like them here.
- 42:48Speaker 3: Troy is just man, they are, buddy, they are. That
- 42:52Speaker 3: team is taking a giganic step back, and look it's caught.
- 42:56Speaker 3: So many of their guys left. A lot of them
- 42:57Speaker 3: are at Tulane. I had a big coaching chain there obviously,
- 43:01Speaker 3: and they lost some really good players and Georgia Southern.
- 43:04Speaker 3: Helton has done a good job at Georgia Southern, I think,
- 43:06Speaker 3: and I just kind of like what he's done. Seems
- 43:09Speaker 3: like he's found his spot down there, kind of out
- 43:12Speaker 3: of that limelight. You know. Everybody has always loved that
- 43:16Speaker 3: guy and had nothing good to say about him, and
- 43:18Speaker 3: it just seems like he's gotten down to the school
- 43:20Speaker 3: with good people and he's a good dude, and it
- 43:23Speaker 3: seems to be flourishing and working for Helton. So I
- 43:25Speaker 3: like George Southern in that ball game.
- 43:28Speaker 2: I like it too. Again, that's kind of what's off
- 43:31Speaker 2: the radar there, but I'm probably gonna get involved in that.
- 43:34Speaker 2: I'd like to get a flat seven, but right now
- 43:37Speaker 2: it's a seven and a half is what I'm looking at. DraftKings.
- 43:40Speaker 2: A couple other ones that just jump out to me.
- 43:42Speaker 2: Lsu Florida Florida half. If Lagway is out, I think
- 43:48Speaker 2: Lsu covers.
- 43:49Speaker 3: His number, agree and they may lose the Lagway plays.
- 43:54Speaker 2: I just kind of wonder how much gas this team
- 43:56Speaker 2: has left in the tank. But if Lagway's out, I
- 43:59Speaker 2: think kill at you Covery.
- 44:00Speaker 3: We can't get away and not talk Prime. We got
- 44:03Speaker 3: to talk Heisman. Canada's dog.
- 44:05Speaker 2: No, I am on Trime. I'm not trying to get
- 44:08Speaker 2: you off the show, bro. I am on Prime this week.
- 44:11Speaker 2: I am a college. I am worshiping at the Church
- 44:14Speaker 2: of Prime.
- 44:15Speaker 3: Do you do you know how much I love that
- 44:18Speaker 3: we are literally basically down to a Boise running back
- 44:23Speaker 3: and a Colorado slash at for the Heisman. I mean
- 44:29Speaker 3: that's where we're at. Yeah, if you had the balls
- 44:33Speaker 3: to bet Genty after that, after that Oregon game, you
- 44:37Speaker 3: got prime numbers, baby, I mean prime numbers. Now. I
- 44:42Speaker 3: think Hunter's gonna end up winning it most likely, But
- 44:45Speaker 3: man Genty is putting up great stats. He just met duty.
- 44:48Speaker 3: I almost put up two hundred yards last week. Just pedestrian.
- 44:52Speaker 3: I mean, the dude just runs the football and that
- 44:55Speaker 3: he and that he went to high school about five
- 44:57Speaker 3: hundred yards from my house even makes it that much better.
- 45:02Speaker 2: He is exciting and he's going to be a great
- 45:05Speaker 2: NFL back, I think. I mean, I see a lot
- 45:07Speaker 2: of Breise Hall in that guy, and so he just
- 45:10Speaker 2: just a wagon as far as that's concerned. But No,
- 45:12Speaker 2: I like Prime this week. I think Prime gets it done.
- 45:16Speaker 2: I think they keep on winning. I think they win
- 45:18Speaker 2: and they cover the one thing that people don't want
- 45:20Speaker 2: to talk about a lot. But because you've got so
- 45:23Speaker 2: much firepower on that offense, their defense is so much
- 45:26Speaker 2: better than it was last year, so much, so.
- 45:28Speaker 3: Much better than it was the first two or three
- 45:30Speaker 3: weeks of the season.
- 45:31Speaker 2: Yeah, and this Utah team is broken. I mean, I
- 45:34Speaker 2: think after getting their nuts ripped off last week in
- 45:38Speaker 2: that game. I mean, the AD got fined forty thousand
- 45:41Speaker 2: dollars for bitching about the referees and all that stuff
- 45:43Speaker 2: that went down.
- 45:45Speaker 3: Man, it's different a coach. It's different a coach being
- 45:48Speaker 3: wound up with the emotion. Come on, man, you're the AD.
- 45:50Speaker 3: You got to be better than that. I mean, who
- 45:53Speaker 3: was defend your team and your football team? Man?
- 45:55Speaker 2: He was?
- 45:56Speaker 3: He was over the line. I mean, I will be
- 45:58Speaker 3: on hell I'm surprised with hundred grand.
- 46:02Speaker 2: Utah travels to Colorado. They're in the same time zone.
- 46:05Speaker 2: Both of these teams are in Mountain This game kicks
- 46:08Speaker 2: off at ten am Mountain time. Okay, this is an
- 46:11Speaker 2: early morning game, and I think Prime will be ready.
- 46:15Speaker 2: They're laying eleven and a half. And the reason I
- 46:17Speaker 2: like this game somebody, I know we're eating a lot
- 46:19Speaker 2: of chalk this week. But the reason I like to
- 46:20Speaker 2: see I can't see a pathi Utah scores. They've lost
- 46:24Speaker 2: their their quarterback. Obviously, rising has been done for a while.
- 46:28Speaker 2: This team's four and five, they're three and six against
- 46:31Speaker 2: the number, and they're two and seven to the under.
- 46:34Speaker 2: I mean, this is a team that has scored twenty one, fourteen, seven,
- 46:42Speaker 2: nineteen and ten in their last four games, last five
- 46:46Speaker 2: games that they've lost. And these aren't good teams they've
- 46:48Speaker 2: lost to. They've lost to Arizona, Arizona State, TCU, Houston
- 46:54Speaker 2: in BYU. Gimme pride. I've laid eleven and a half
- 46:58Speaker 2: and we are going to take it to Kyle Wittingham
- 47:01Speaker 2: in this one. And I love the guy, but I
- 47:04Speaker 2: think they absolutely cover this number.
- 47:06Speaker 3: Same thing I've been on this since early in the
- 47:08Speaker 3: weekend too. I got it before the prime run up,
- 47:11Speaker 3: maybe ten. You gotta love it. That was the open
- 47:14Speaker 3: for this number. So the uh, I love Colorado here.
- 47:18Speaker 3: I just think you can't score enough to keep up
- 47:20Speaker 3: with them. Colorado's can score on most teams unless they
- 47:24Speaker 3: just simply can't block them up front. If Sanders has
- 47:29Speaker 3: got moderate time or they can roll him out, he's
- 47:32Speaker 3: gonna do well. There's also some great prop bets on
- 47:36Speaker 3: these teams, and you can you can make some money
- 47:41Speaker 3: on receiving yards on some of these on some of
- 47:43Speaker 3: these guys, because Sanders spreads the ball around and they've
- 47:47Speaker 3: got some pretty good whiteouts. It's not just Hunter, and
- 47:51Speaker 3: so check prop bets, individual prop bets when you're looking
- 47:54Speaker 3: at them as well. Sometimes you can get you can
- 47:57Speaker 3: get some pretty good numbers. Lester. I think he's gone
- 48:00Speaker 3: over his total. I think it's three weeks in a row.
- 48:03Speaker 3: I know he went over it last week. So so
- 48:06Speaker 3: just keep that in mind as you watch some some
- 48:08Speaker 3: betting numbers. That's something to keep. That's something to keep
- 48:11Speaker 3: in mind.
- 48:12Speaker 2: So you got anything else this week, I know we've
- 48:15Speaker 2: kind of been all over the place. This is not
- 48:17Speaker 2: a this is you have to be a college football fan.
- 48:19Speaker 2: I want to watch all these games on Saturday, because
- 48:23Speaker 2: it's not Saturday.
- 48:25Speaker 3: It's not I think the other game that I got
- 48:27Speaker 3: a little bit of interesting that I'll probably get on.
- 48:29Speaker 3: I kind of like Memphis against UA B. I think
- 48:31Speaker 3: coming on Memphis is schizophrenic. You never know what you
- 48:34Speaker 3: get with them. But I think at home against a
- 48:36Speaker 3: bad UAB team, I ain't gonna get it done. Spread
- 48:39Speaker 3: the love around and I think they cover the Uh
- 48:42Speaker 3: cover that number. I will tell you, Mark I am,
- 48:47Speaker 3: but just because of the setups and the odds, I'm
- 48:50Speaker 3: gonna put a small ticket out there on Arizona State
- 48:53Speaker 3: in Wisconsin and an underdog parlay. But that is not
- 48:57Speaker 3: what I will tell you. There's three games that got
- 48:59Speaker 3: my own letter, some all numbers two and a half,
- 49:02Speaker 3: two and a half and two UTSA, Arkansas State, and
- 49:05Speaker 3: West Virginia. I think all have chances to win straight
- 49:08Speaker 3: up as dogs. If you like any of those games,
- 49:11Speaker 3: think about that on their on their underdogs, uh, because
- 49:15Speaker 3: I think at the end of the day, I think
- 49:16Speaker 3: that I think that Baylor West Virginia game is gonna
- 49:18Speaker 3: be a great game. But I mean West Virginia plus
- 49:21Speaker 3: two and a half at home against you know, against Baylor.
- 49:24Speaker 3: Those are the exact same football teams at looks like
- 49:27Speaker 3: a very easy one to try to win. I will
- 49:29Speaker 3: be surprised candidly if Arkansas State doesn't get it done
- 49:33Speaker 3: against Georgia State. But that is that is on the
- 49:36Speaker 3: road at Georgia State. So uh, anyway, that's the I
- 49:40Speaker 3: got two two home dogs in there and a road
- 49:44Speaker 3: dog in there for the three. But you can make
- 49:47Speaker 3: some cheese if you get if you mix in an
- 49:50Speaker 3: Arizona State with one of those games. Because I'm telling you,
- 49:53Speaker 3: I believe that Arizona State's got a legit chance to
- 49:55Speaker 3: win that game at Kansas State this weekend.
- 50:00Speaker 2: I yes, I absolutely think Arizona State's got a chance
- 50:03Speaker 2: to win that game. I'm gonna watch till Saturday. This
- 50:05Speaker 2: kind of make sure. I'm trying to find a beat
- 50:08Speaker 2: reporter to get some health. I'm scattermy was my only
- 50:11Speaker 2: thing because that guy, if he's at one hundred percent,
- 50:14Speaker 2: I honestly think Arizona State's gonna win that game. Kansas State,
- 50:19Speaker 2: to me, they're a so run centric with Avery Johnson
- 50:22Speaker 2: and he just if you get him a little out
- 50:24Speaker 2: of his element. He just doesn't look comfortable to me.
- 50:26Speaker 2: But that's just that's my personal opinion. So we'll see, man,
- 50:29Speaker 2: we'll see. I'm excited. We got a couple of weeks
- 50:32Speaker 2: college football left. It's still gonna get walking, it's still
- 50:35Speaker 2: gonna get weird. Army's still undefeated. This weekend, you've got
- 50:39Speaker 2: that two lane Navy game. And the reason I like
- 50:41Speaker 2: two lane so much in this spot too. They have
- 50:44Speaker 2: to win this game if they want a chance to
- 50:46Speaker 2: play for the conference title in this one, and so
- 50:48Speaker 2: I am cheering for them. I think they're gonna pull
- 50:50Speaker 2: this out. I do not want to see the Army
- 50:52Speaker 2: and Navy you play dukes in a row. I just
- 50:55Speaker 2: I thought I did, but after watching Navy the last
- 50:57Speaker 2: couple of weeks, I don't. And so I really want
- 50:59Speaker 2: to see a two lane Army American Conference game. I
- 51:02Speaker 2: think that's the two best teams in that conference. And
- 51:05Speaker 2: we'll roll from that. But Scotti, what's your underdog parlay
- 51:08Speaker 2: this week?
- 51:09Speaker 3: This week? I am going to take Arkansas State in
- 51:14Speaker 3: West Virginia as my two underdogs for the week.
- 51:20Speaker 2: You go, But that man said, folks, I'll say one
- 51:23Speaker 2: more thing yesterday, November the twelfth. Not only was it
- 51:25Speaker 2: my birthday, but it was also my favorite coach's birthday.
- 51:29Speaker 2: Man that gave me my first job in college athletics,
- 51:32Speaker 2: Grant Taff, Happy birthday. Coach had a lot of great years,
- 51:36Speaker 2: got to work with him, got a chance to go
- 51:37Speaker 2: to many many college football games because he would get
- 51:40Speaker 2: me tickets when I was out there on the road.
- 51:42Speaker 2: And gotta have some love for that. He was a
- 51:44Speaker 2: great coach, great man, great guy that'd be, says Scotty.
- 51:50Speaker 2: We'll talk to you next week. Let's hope all these
- 51:52Speaker 2: tickets cash, maybe because we need it.
- 51:55Speaker 3: Bye.
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