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The Favorites - NFL Week 2 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites Podcast presented by FanDuel. Football season is here,
• 0:04
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  Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louise, Sianna one
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  Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight Hope NY or text hope and
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  Speaker 1: why in New York, Tennessee Redline is one eight hundred
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  Speaker 1: eight eight nine five hundred in Wyoming, or visit www.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: One eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: We are the home of the Undefeated, the Winners. I
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: am Chad Millman from the Action Network Chief Content Officer.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode by my bff,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter, Chad five,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: and oh brother Mitchell hit the music, Yeah five and
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: fucking oh Matt Mitchell said it best over the weekend
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: and before we joined, this is going to be an
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: epic hour of insufferable self congratulation. And you know what,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I really I didn't think we were going to go
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: that route. And then as soon as we started recording,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I was filled with so much confidence and a bulliance.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know how this won't be mentioned every other word.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Chad Millman is proud of himself. Chad, speaking for himself,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: I am quick to know you're only as good as
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: your last win. So I'm already on to week two.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: But now I mean, we'll recap it and hell yeah,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: it feels good, Chad, Right, like there where we are,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: we know how big the shows, and we're also we're
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: talking to each other. We're just like, let's not overthink
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: this because that's our biggest issue. We overthink stuff. Um.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: And again we went with what we believed in and
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: a five and oh it could have been a six
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: and not right if they would have gave us Pittsburgh,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Me and Chad. That was the one we switched out
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: for the Bears. Um. It was just one of those
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: where it was no matter what we were getting that five.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: And note which is the best way you could possibly
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: start the season. Unfortunately, one on one on Survivors. Uh,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: that was tough. So we're only come to one survivor.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: But thank we also love Seattle, and so even if
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: we had dropped out the Steelers and put in Seattle,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: we would have done. Okay to recap for everybody. UM
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: our final picks and I will reiterate because I got
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: some questions about this week. UM. Download the Action Network Gap.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: You can follow every pick that we talked about on
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: the podcast. We put them on two different handles to follow.
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: One is the Phaves five. That is where Simon and
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: I put the five picks. We enter into our contest.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: The reason we have that is a separate handle, the
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Phase five is because we want to be able to
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: keep track with UM as much transparency as we are
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: able to through the technology of what we land on
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: on Sunday and these picks get put in Sunday at noon,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: we talk about the five we are leaning to, but
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: between the time we do the podcast on Thursday and
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: the time the picks are do, a lot of things change.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: We saw it on Sunday night on Saturday. On Saturday Night,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Packers had offensive line issues. There were stories about the
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Niners having offensive line issues and kit will not playing.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: So we are giving you our best leans, but we're
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: still always gonna maybe adjust on Sunday. That's why you've
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: got to follow in the app. The other handle the
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: follow is the Favorites podcast, where we put every thing
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: else that we talked about, including our executive decision, our
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: Simon says, our big balls better the week, etcetera, etcetera.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: We won five and our final teams on Sunday, Atlanta, Houston, Bears,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and the Chiefs. When with the Chiefs at minus
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: three and a half because that line had moved up
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: in the lines for the contest lock in the middle
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: of the week, Simon your Simon says, was Rams plus
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: two and a half. I was with you. The executive
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: decision from me was Lins plus four. The foxhole that
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: we both agreed on was Cowboys plus two and a half.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: That hurt the big balls better. The week Seattle plus
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Boom boom, boom, we win, Scoot
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: throw Let you at Houston seven and a half, Atlanta
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: plus five and a half. Overall, astounding, astounding week. A
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: lot of takeaways from week one. Are you gonna do
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: this to recap every week? Because this is gonna be
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: pretty painful on the bad weeks to just relive it
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: all week. This is what we do. This is what
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: we do. People can follow it. I get paid enough
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: for this. People can follow it in the Favorites, in
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: the in the Action Network Gap, in the Favorites podcast
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: handled and the Phase five so they know. But it's
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: worth sharing. Yeah, that's true. It's just again five and
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: oh it's epic. The goal is so obviously there's gonna
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: be some hardache coming people, but I guess this is
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: my life and now I'm just gonna have Chad stomping
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: on me on the bad weeks, but praising me during
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: the good ones. So it's it's fun obviously. But yeah,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: and now I'm just getting the visualization of this upcoming season.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Let me say it's gonna hurt. What kind of ego
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: do you have that you think that it's only about you?
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Am I not making picks with you? Are we not
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: having a conversation on Sunday on Thursday? On Tuesday? Am
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I not with you? On executive decision on Foxhold on
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: so and says on Big Balls, we're putting it in together. Man,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: It's not all on you. You don't have to carry
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: it on your city of Philadelphia shoulders. I needed to
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: hear that we're a team, okay, team sport betting. So
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: some of my takeaways Number one Lions exactly what we
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: thought we would be, right, team that does not give up,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: team that covers in the back door team that I
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: had at plus three and a half. I also had
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: DJ Shark under forty one and a half receiving yards,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: so him scoring the game winning touchdown was a little
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: bit bitter sweet. I took that bet from Sean Kroner
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: on our Convinced Me Show, which also crushed I think
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: of the nine picks we had on convinced me in
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: the Action Network apps Sunday mornings eleven AM. When six
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: and three, the Jags looked younger than we thought. Lawrence Trevor,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: Lawrence missed a lot of key passes. I immediately backed
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: the Acts at plus four and a half. We're gonna
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: talk about that bears were baptized in the rain. We
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: were spot on. You were just so sharp about the
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: backlash of the backlash on Patrick Mahomes. What do you got?
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: What do you take aways? Just not the overreact week
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: one to me means nothing kind of where like whatever
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: I believed in going into it, I kind of gotta
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: stand my ground to keep believing it. So Jaguars, I'll
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: go glass half full. I thought they played great on
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: the road and it's just a couple of mishaps and
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: they didn't actually, like you just said, they didn't capitalize
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: on certain situations. Travis E. T n looked like a
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: guy who was playing in his first game he ever
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: played in. So I love the upside. Thought Lawrence made
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: some great throws, So I'm excited for the Jaguars. Still,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the biggest bummer for me would be I had a
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: lot of had a lot of opportunities. I was gonna
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: be able to hedge out a lot of positions just
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: at their week one on Atlanta and Houston and their
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: divisional games, where if they both would have one and
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: have been on top of their divisions, Man, that would
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: have been incredible for me to take up as it
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: and on either team. Um, but the Witch and Hour
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: didn't play out that way. So that was tough where
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I kind of look forward and I'm thinking, Okay, we're
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: gonna get that back. Some dogs are gonna break right
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: for us when those ones really didn't. Um. Yeah, biggest takeaways,
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: don't overreact, it's this is how they Yeah, you're gonna
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: go through all the lines this week. People, it's gonna
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: feel just as gross did last week. I'm gonna ask
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: you do stuff you're not gonna like just because you're
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: just the public. You literally look at what happened last
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: wee can go that's what's That's what this team is,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: and that's what they'll be the rest of the season.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: And it's just not like a lot of different things
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: happened for certain teams to be in a certain situations.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: We saw just in that Seahawks Bronco game. How stupid
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: football is. None of this makes sense, Like none of
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: it does. Like you know, if they sent in a simulation,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: they play that game again a hundred times, I mean
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: at least seventy sixty five per at the time, Broncos
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: are probably gonna cover that number. They just were clearly
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: the better team. So that's what I try to try
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: to tell people. It's like a lot of what we
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: do here. Yeah, we use models and stuff off computers,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: but a lot of it's human. We're talking to professionals,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: other sharp groups, and just a human element of certain situations.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: We talked how much about Russ going back to Seattle,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: How weird that was gonna be. So to me, it's
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: funny where people are up on Seattle now and down
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: on the Broncos, and again that stuff we're gonna talk about,
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: don't do it. Don't do it. Kind of stick to
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: what you believe in head into the season, and you're
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: just from there, right, I mean, Chad talk At the time.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: It takes a month, honestly to really figure out most
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: of these teams. Even then you don't really know. But
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: for the most part, I would say these teams I'll
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: really have a good handle in a month. So you
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: got to start five and oh and have a goal
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: of tenant oh this week, Chad, I'm fired up, brother,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Same with the Titans and the Giants. By the way,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: like the Titans gave that game away. They got cute
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: so many times on third and short. The Giants scored
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: every time. Uh they they had bad turnovers. They were
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: just that team. Should have won that game, out right,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: they should have won. The Giants are not a world
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: beating team, alright, Chades. Don't forget Green Dot Daily in
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: the Action Network app every day noon Eastern check it out,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: setting the betting agenda for the day right off the bat.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Thursday night, Chargers visiting the Chiefs game open to three
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: and a half. You can still find some three and
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: a half out there. There is now a four Chargers
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: plus four that might be a reaction to Keenan Allen
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: not playing in the game. I was very impressed with
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, which we expected. You and I both a
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: little underwhelmed by the Chargers. What say you, yeah, I
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: just I mean, coming in, I was just so hyped
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: about the Chiefs team. So that was one of those
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: where it's like God, that felt good, like just watching
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: them absolutely destroy when I've put way too much money
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: into the Chiefs futures, all these different things, just fading,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: all the public noise about my homes. In fact, that
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: came out and put forty four extreme confidence the Chargers.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Other way, it's like their offense look sloppy. They had
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: a lot of players left on the fields out. Mike
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Williams was not existent in that game, which was bizarre
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: to me. Um Herbert's talents unreal. Like there's a throw again,
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: he's he's still doing really stupid ship And that's why
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be my issue with Herbert. He stared this down,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: this post route, this this guy he really right up
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: the field. He stared him all the way down and
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: throw it between two guys with another safety coming over top,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Like I want, I got throw that only maybe the
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: other guys in the whole leak can make. And that
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: to me is Herbert's issue right now, is he's so
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: talented he can get away with these things where the
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: checkdown was there, the checkdown for an easy ten or
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: twenty was there, instead of taking this high risk throw
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: and pushing it down field. So yeah, the pro and me, God,
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: I want to bet this Charger's number so bad, Like
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: this is crazy. This number should be three, three and
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: a half. The fact that you said it's up to four,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I cant his weight and I'll grab the Chargers that
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: way cannot fault you feel like the Chiefs. To me,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs are the better team right now, the we're
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: complete team, the biggest advantage right now for the Chargers
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: of that defense. Like Bosa, he was a game record
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: in that game. We saw Clil mac at At absolutely
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: game wrecked that game. Wow, Like that to me is
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: where I stopped. And I'm just like, Okay, if I'm
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: gonna bet it, I'll probably end up on the dog
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: on the under. But yeah, not knock. No chances will
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: be one of our five. Because there's no strong feeling
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: to me, and I'm a I'm a chiefs Omer. I
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: just really can't shick how much I love this Chief's
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: team and how much I love the offense they're running again.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: We talked about to switch up their offense. Safeties have
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: to drop in. We saw what myhomes did. He just
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: picked them apart. So I am so fired up for
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: this game because to me, this might be the game
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: of the week. Yeah, I think it is. Uh, these
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: two teams when they play each other, it's just pretty
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: epic and you can count on And this is what
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I'm a little bit worried about. You can count on
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: um unconditioned, untraditional decisions being made by the Chargers and
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: odd spots, which makes me worry about betting them. Normally
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Charges plus four divisional game team that looked a little
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: bit worse, whereas the team that looks a little bit
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: better auto auto play. I on the Chargers on short
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: numbers because I can't count on them trying to get
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: as many points as possible. Right they are going to
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: go for broke. If they have a chance to go
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: for on fourth down at midfield, they may. If they
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: have a chance to go for a touchdown in the
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: five yard line on fourth down instead of kicking a
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: field goal, they may. So I don't know if they
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: will accrue enough points to keep it close. It's kind
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: of gonna be an all or nothing scenario for me.
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: And if you just want to acttion on this game,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: I play a love from our guy Jill Galant is
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Herbert their score rushing touchdown three out of four games
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: since in his career. He's bet against the Chiefs, he's
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: had a rushing touchdown. Right now, you can get a
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: plus four fifty at a book. I can't say you
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: get a plus four at vandal. So it's funny you
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: mentioned Jill because these any time touchdown props have become
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: a really big deal. People love betting him. Jill is
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: an expert at them. He cast a couple this past
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: weekend too. We will have Action Island me you Vegas
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Refund Joe Gallant, Darren Ravel with market updates, presented by
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Fandel Thursday, five thirty pm in the Action Network gapp
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: on YouTube, on Twitter, anywhere you get your Action Network content. Uh,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Joe will be on there. We'll talk about uh single game,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: same game, parlays, touchdown props, all that kind of stuff.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: All right, So this is gonna be a hold right
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: now because by the time people here our next show,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: we won't be able to pick this game. So that's right,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: all right, Colts on the road at the Jaguars right now,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: the best number you can get is Jack's plus four
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: and a half. But it's minus one twelve, so it's
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit juiced, which means that it's probably gonna
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: go down to four. This approached Joe's game. Here, sixty
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: of the bets on the Colts, nine percent of the
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: money on the Jacks. And it's not like there's no
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: bets here. There's a decent number of bets. So I
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: will tell you I said this. I bet the Jacks
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: Sunday night at plus four and a half. I was
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: worried the four and a half would be gone immediately. Yeah,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: no brainer, no brainer for four and four and a half.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Right when this never came out, I knew we were
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be on it. Uh again, we've the any time
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: time again. This Colds team is just historically overvalued, and
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: I loved it. I wanted to make it one of
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: our plays. But there's other games I do really like more.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Maybe by Thursday this will become I guaranteed to be
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: one of our five. But how do you know. I
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: take the Jaguars at home after a loss and position
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: against the Colds team that again, I don't say they're flow,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: they're frauds, but they have weaknesses and those weekns is
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be exploited. Houston literally let them walk back into
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: that game. I just can't see this Jaguars team doing
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: the same thing. After that loss last week, they looked Yeah,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: they had moments of yeah, they look kind of young
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: and lost, like Chad was saying, the other moments where
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: it's like, I can see why the hype is around
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence in this offense and the defense. Their defense
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: was making plays against Wentz and there's some issues at
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: their quarterback positions. So yeah, I love this matchup for
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: this Jaguars team. Historically, they've owned the Colts at home.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: We know the history of these two. So four and
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: four and a half. I would grab that number now
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: if you can at that four and a half. I
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: don't think I'll be there by Thursday. I'm going to
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: say something right now. Executive decision, the choice between the
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible. Executive decision. I love this Jack's team,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: and I didn't see anything on Sunday that made me
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: think differently other than they're young and made bad mistakes
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: that can be corrected. A lot of this was on
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. He missed three touchdown passes. He corrects a
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: couple of things, he pulls back on the throttle a
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: little bit. Doug Peterson can get them there there's no
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: doubt in my mind. Jags plus four and a half
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: market down. Executive decision, will put it in the app
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: Action Network app, Follow the Favorites podcast Jack's plus four
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: and a half love it? Yeah, all right? Dolphins visiting
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: the Ravens plus three and a half. The number moved
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: down from four. This is an interesting team. You love
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins, Chad, I you know what I don't. They're
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: getting majority of the money. Good. The number opened at four.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: What's come down a little bit, But I'm not sold yet.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: Like I think the Patriots are worse than we think.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: I think Lamar Jackson is going to play his mind out.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I think that the Dolphins can be overhyped, over confident.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: And it's different when you're playing a team you're better
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: than at home than going on the road against a
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: team that I think, as we've talked about, can win
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So as we're talking, I like the Ravens,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna wake because I think this number is
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: going to go to three. I love the Ravens and
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: I'm doing the exact same thing Chads do. I'm waiting
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: on it. This was a no brain as soon as
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: I watched the tape on TOA and that game. Because
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: I honestly watch much of that Miami game. I bet
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: heavy on the under and already had money in Miami
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: and minus two AF. We talked about Chad, We're like,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: if this number is still under three, we were all
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: in on Miami. Unfortunately was three and a half in
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: our contest, so we just stayed away. But man, Miami
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: is going to be hyped up just because their fan
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: base is so ravaged. And again to Uh, he was
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: he was begging to throw a couple of picks in
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: that game against to England, and to me it said
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: more about New England being underprepared, which is insane for
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: a Belichick team. But we all heard all the stories
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: coming out of other camp all off season and it
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: turned out to be true of their offense was totally dysfunctional.
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: So just looking at this number, I hope Jad's right
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: it gets down to that. But I had this number
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: four anyway, so I would take it up to four
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: regardless with the Ravens. But I'm always looking for the
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: best number, so I have no problem waiting on this. Uh.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: To me, again, we talked all the time about putting
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: favorites in this is one of the favorites I circled
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: right away. I love I love this Ravens team and
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the fact that Lamar is now a known Miami Dolphins guy,
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: where he's liking Miami Dolphins pictures of him dressed in
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: uniform with the helm and all the gear on. He
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: used to say, this isn't a trial for Lamar trying
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: to show off to this Miami team. So everything about it.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: It's his hometown team. Um, the fact that you know,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: not that they didn't look great against the Jets, but
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: that was a little bit of sweat. There's moments there
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: the Jets were kind of in that game against the Ravens.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: They just look sloppy. I think it's what we talked
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: about the time. They're current quarterbacks. They probably should have
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: play in the preseason. Maybe Littlemar is one of them,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: because he didn't look right until that second half. So
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: I love this matchup Ravens at home with that defense
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: against an overrated Miami team where I might be one
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: of this bit that I have overrated him, but this
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: is one of those from Miami. You have to win
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: this game. You want to be one of the top
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: teams in the NFC. You want to win the division
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: over the over the Bills. You have to win this game,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: no doubt about. This is statement game because I talk,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: we think the Ravens are top two, top three team
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: in the a f C. So I'm excited as hell. Again,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: there's a bunch of good games this week. This is
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: another one. It's like, great game taking the Ravens at home.
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: Keep anything under four, I think you're getting good value.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Well all right, So that raises the question in the
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Action Network gap just now, I said an alert for
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: when this line gets to three. Why wouldn't I just wait?
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to get there. You're already you
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: know you can pay three and a half minus one
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: oh five. So they're gonna ask me to They're they're
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: begging me to bet the three and a half right now.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Why don't I just wait when I know the tickets
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: and the money are coming in on the Ravens on Miami.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Are they're coming on the Ravens, I mean on the
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: on Miami. Yeah, that's fair to wait to me. I'm
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: just gonna grab it just to be safe, because I
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: know other pros are looking at this number like I'm
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: not the only one that has a model or and
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: talking other guys. So I know a couple of groups
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: that are waiting for that three. See. I don't hate
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: it waiting for that, but it might only up there
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: for a second and the books will just bump it
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: right back to three and a half. So yeah, no,
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: no shoe waiting. If you're only gonna bet this game
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: one time, wait, mem I've to bet multiple times. I've
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: already hit it a couple of times. You bet games
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: a lot, you bet the same side a lot. I
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: tend not to do that. Well, you don't have a
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: ship huge bank roll to blow away on the games.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: So it's like, yeah, I love Chad. Chad is my
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: boss of this job. You know I won five times.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: When Chad pays me for a year in two hours,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: it's like high risk, high reward. I bet the Ravens
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: way too many times. Did I sleep at all? No,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: Chad saw me Sunday morning. I literally couldn't sleep. It's
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: like I had way too much money out for a
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: week one Yeah, I got really lucky that everything pretty
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: much hit except like maybe one big bet. So that
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: that's that was probably my bigger weekends other than a
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. Why do you have to make me feel
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: bad about it. I'm sorry, like you're belittling me or something.
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: All right, Jets, Brown's Brown's minus six. Brown's broke my heart.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: I don't think they should have won that game. Jets
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: were terrible. Of the money coming in on the Jets
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: right now at plus six him it yeah, because I
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: want to take the Jets. I feel like this is
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: a nice little spot for them. But hopefully that's professional money.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: If that's public money, that's that's that's trouble. That's a
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: public dog. Um. I don't have to deal with it.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: I like the Jets. Historically, teams that get blown out
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: at home then go on the road in week two,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: I think Van put it out. They hit at sixty
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: or six or six. Right, Historically it's good. Right Week two,
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: team gets embarrassed at home, they go on the road
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: and they usually cover. So just playing the number, I
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: think you're getting good number. I had it at four.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: It's alway up the six again. Flacco is bad. The
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: Jets are bad. I don't know if Checoble percents that
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: much better. I watched a decent amount of Cleveland game.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: I felt like it was more about Baker that made
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: that Cleveland have those points that kind of kept that
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: game closer. If Flacco just asn't terrible as Baker was,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: like he wasn't at first half. I can see the
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: music fling the sum which is just two really bad teams.
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you actually have on it. The
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: under feels safe to even though it's like I get
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: it other guys, like I've talked to you, pros usually
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: take the overs in this because they expect a lot
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: of turnovers. I don't. I've seen both these teams offenses
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: last week. They both kind of are very conservative, so
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: I think it's a safer playing the under um. But yeah,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I will most likely take that six six and a half.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: But it's one of the games I have not bet yet.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell weighs in the New York Jets out gained
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Baltimore by a hundred and four yards. Doesn't change anything
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I feel about Baltimore against Miami. To me, that is
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: a public perception play in which public perception is leaning
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: too hard into the Dolphins right now. But it does
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: make me think about the Jets and look, we can't
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: lose the credit of our convictions, right if if this
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: were Week one, we would have played the Jets just
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: because we saw how bad they were doesn't mean that
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: the number isn't inflated on Browns who went on the
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: road and wanted a high profile matchup. So there's a
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: lot of signals there that say, betting the Jets, it's
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: like betting on the Seahawks plus six and a half
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: against the Broncos. It just might be something we have
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: to do that's fair, you know what I mean? Yeah,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: honestly would I would like to see a go up higher.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: But like the fact that so much pro money is
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: already coming on them, um, it could drop. So if
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: if you do, or if you're like Chad, you just
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: want to grab the six, now grab it. But I'll
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: wait and see, Like it's six and a half, I'm
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: gonna wait. I'm definitely gonna wait. Alrighty, I was just
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: making a note. I got a lot of notes. I
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: gotta run a show. Like you might just be a
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: professional better who's betting five times in a weekend what
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I'm paying you in a year. But I'm trying to
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: keep a show rolling. Okay, you say it like you
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: say it like we're not even friends. We are friends.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: I say, like, you're not really my boss, which you
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: say you are my boss, but I view more as
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: a friend. It was hurtful. I just want to say
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: that was hurtful. It may be good. I'm just saying
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: it's like, you know, it's the way you refer to
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: me as like your boss, Like yeah, I guess, but
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know. We're friends, right friends. First football season
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• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Virginia Buccaneers. Buccaneers did not look great against the Cowboys.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: The Cowboys just looked worst. The Saints a lot of pain,
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of pain. I don't know how the Saints
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: won that game. Boy, the Falcons. It's like, here's what
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: I love. You know how I feel about a f
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: C and NFC South teams that they're totally irrelevant, No
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: one cares about them and outside of their specific city limits,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: if they didn't exist, it wouldn't matter. The eight teams
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: in the NFC and a f C South, I think
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: they won two games, including teams that played each other
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: in the Colts in the Texas UH and the Buccaneers
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: and the Saints are the two teams that won. Saints
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: two and a half point home dogs. Of course you
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: got to play it um if you can get three,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: that's great. Bets on the Bucks, money on the Saints. Pros.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: Joe's give me the Saints. Foxel Yeah, easy, bad Foxhole.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the foxhole. If you like this
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: show and you've listened to it a multiple years now.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Saints are four now against Tom Brady since he joined
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, and me and Chad just blindly every time
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: have taken the Saints because they're always under value and
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: for some reason their defense has just figured out Brady.
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: So no surprise that the public has come back in
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: on Tom. They forget what happened that that did not
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: look like the Brady of old. That game against the
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: Dallas team that you left a lot of points in
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: the field, which Brady does not do. We saw their
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: offensive line kind of have major problems. Right. It's like, again,
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: if you don't have Julio and Mike Evans, that would
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: be a really bad Bucks team. But luckily for him,
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: he's got great weapons outside. You can stay competitive, but
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: scary when you have a forty five year old quarterback
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: with that bad of offensive line. And I do think
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: NFC there's gonna be big, big value in this division.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: And we talked I mean at this conference, we talked
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: about in the summer because no one knows, like how
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: much doubt do we have right now about Green Bay,
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: the Rams and the Buccaneers a lot. And again we
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: try not to overreact just a week one, but man,
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: these teams they had weaknesses last year, it felt like
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: they all quantified even more. It's way more, way more
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: weaknesses for all these teams. And we've seen the Eagles
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: U super OOW odds drop way down. I think they're
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: thirteen to one at FanDuel Um. Just because of that,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: it's like the NFC seems wide open. So just this matchup.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Saints defensively match up great up with the offense there jamis,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: but man hurting all over the best best interview in
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: football everything. He says, it's hilarious. You went into the
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: medical tent at one point, came back out. Where was
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: the pain? Jamis? Yeah, just paying It was paining everywhere,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: so we gotta keep all pushing through and being resuming.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: Michael Thomas looked good, right, he looked. He looked amazing
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: in the red zone, which was weird. Um. I don't
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: know if that's strategically by them not to have him
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: running all the way up and down the field, like
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: keeping his legs fresh. But the same old Michael Tom
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: miss and Winston is taking a huge advantage of that.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I like this matchup. I can see
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: this being one of me and Chad's five, like you can.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: I almost wanted to make it my Simon says, but
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: there's another game. I'm even grosser. I'm gonna get people
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: in on. Look, there are plus threes around. I highly
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: recommend you find one, uh and get it because it
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: is plus three and plus two and a half. And
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: if you get a plus three, it's at minus one
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: oh five, which means it's going to two and a half.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: So look fast, uh assignment. I've added to our list
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: right now the two games that we love the most
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: that we are going to be debating. Jack's four and
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: a half Saints plus three. It's gonna be ugly every
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: single week. It's gonna be terrible. Patriots. This line is
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: all over the place. You can get the Patriots minus one,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: you can get the Steelers plus two pretty much even money,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit more ticket activity on the Steelers. I mean,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: the Steelers are bad. We got them in the exact
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: right spot. It was a raw ra Mike Tomlins spot. Okay,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: we knew it. Every better knew it. Plus six and
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: a half. They were a huge play for everybody at
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: the Action Network. I know Stucky on the Action Network
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: Pod loved him. You know, he didn't urinate down his leg. Man,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: It's a great place to begin. Patriots looked terrible, terrible
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: against Miami. I mean it's tough, though. What do we do.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: We don't know what's happened with mac. Mac apparently has
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: it banged up back, I can't really do much. Again,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: It's a game where I looked at it instantly thinking
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: New England, no brainer. You take New England here. Every
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: time Pittsburgh huge, huge win over a divisional foe. What
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: was a five four turnovers by the Bengals and they
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: won by three more than that? Right, So it's like
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh was gonna be an auto faith that was gonna
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: be an easy bet against them. I do think Mac
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: is good. I know he looked terrible against Miami last week,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: but I do think this kid's good. So I want
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: to wait and see because I love this play Like
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: it's it's easy to bet New England in this situation
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: just because of what Pittsburgh didn't what that's happened to them, right,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: losing a divisional game. But man, like, if Mac is out,
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: I can't do it. It's like who is that horrier?
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure their backup that makes sense? So yeah,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: I just I can't can't touch the game until I
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: know the definition of who's playing. So that's definitely when
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: we'll bring back up on Thursday. So now Baker is
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: on the road. Is a two and a half point dog.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: This number has moved up. It opened it one. Now
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: it's a two and a half against the Giants, who like, look,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: they stayed in the game against the Titans, but they
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: stayed in the game because the Titans were like that
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: offensive coordinator who I think is new it really has
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: to re evaluate what he's doing because the play calling
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: was just terrible. I watched a lot of that game.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: It's one of those games where I had the Titans
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: in the survivor pool, so I was upset about that,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: but I really wanted to be right about the Titans
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: at five and a half, or I wanted the wise
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: guys to be wrong about the Giants at five and
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: a half because we were so on it. So I
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: was rooting for the Titans and against the Giants, even
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: though I had no financial interest other than the survivor
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: pools and like fun. At half half time, we were
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: feeling good, thirty feel great. Yeah, we were feeling great.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Through the third quarter, they just gave the game away.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: So that's again this is the Giants thing where they
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: had one big run by se Quon set up a touchdown.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: Then they had one big catch by who was a shepherd,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: some receiver Shepherd. Yeah, touchdown, right, so now it's thirteen thirteen.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: This is like literally, this was one minute. They just
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: did all that, Like the Titans went three and now
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: gave it back. So they put up thirteen points in
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: one minute. Then I'm not even joke. I think it
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: was twenty eight minutes went by or twenty seven minutes
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: went by. The Giants did nothing right, so they're down
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: seven at this point. Daniel Dimes, Danny Dimes drives the field,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: crushes me, and Chat scores a touchdown, gets a two pointer,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: and then they missed the field goal, so yeah, magical.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Instantly knew I was going to fade a team that
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: won a game all three plays like that's that's a
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: miracle team right there. So to me, the Giants, I
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: was praying, even though I had money to Panthers, I
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: was kind of praying they were gonna lose here so
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: they will get a great number in this matchup because
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: I knew this was gonna be an easy, easy bet
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: taking the Panthers here. Like again, it was my own fault.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: You should listen to the prosch I just said it
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: like every pro I knew was talking about being on
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: the Giants, and I just couldn't see it, and that's football.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: That did not make any sense how they want to
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: cover that game other than it's football. It's like these
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: things happened. So just look at this matchup. Baker horrible
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: first half, incredible second half. Literally looked like he figured
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: out and put it together for that second half. It
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: was a little too late, right, can't turn it over
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: that many times, give that many points, I expect to
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: come back. They need a miracle kick, miracle field goal,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: I should say, by Cleveland to win that game. So again,
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: we know Caroline has talent. They matched up l against
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: a Cleveland team that, other than the quarterback position, has
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: really good talents. So just going off the matchup, had
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: this game as a pick because again I have Carolina
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: graded as a higher grade. People don't realize the history.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: Danny dimes at home not good. You fade Danny at home,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: you bet him on the road. Historically, he's just always
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: been that way. So to me, hoping we get a
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: three Chad, but that's a contest play real life. Of
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: course we won the three. Three and a half would
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: be amazing. Still find Ben at two and a half again,
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: money line play if you want it, I would take
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: the two and a half because we've seen two and
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: a half actually does matter nowadays. Teams missed extra points
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: and that does matter the two and a half. But
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: I understand if you just want to do the money line.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: I just I love Caroline in this position. Yeah it Uh.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: This is one of those things where you've got to
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: watch some of the games. You've got to read the
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: box scores. You gotta know more than what the highlights
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: are telling you, because if you only watch the highlights,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Baker botched it. The Giants are a miracle team full
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: of guts because they went for a two point conversion
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: when they were down nineteen. And then the Titans, by
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: the way, who drove down the field and then wasted
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: a time, wasted time, wasted a time out, and then
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: went backwards to kick a forty seven year field goal
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: that they missed. So the Giants had no business winning
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: this game, and they will be worse at home because
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: that's what Danny Dimes does. Panthers plus two and a half.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: We've just added it to the list. As always. The
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: three teams we love so far are in the a
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: f C and NFC. South Jacks, Jack Saints Panthers. Uh, reminder,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: our foxhold game right now is the Saints plus three
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: if you can get it. Jags plus four and a
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: half is the exact decision. We've still got a sign
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: and says to talk about this is interesting, all right,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Washington commanders on the road at the Detroit Lions, who
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: are slight favorites. I'm seeing one and a half to
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: two and a half. What say you don't have a
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: great feeling for this game because I really wanted Detroit
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: to be a dog at home. I thought the public
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: could be all over Washington. But I think it's kind
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: of the Carson Wentz effect, right, They're not really buying
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: it and they kind of view him as a question.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: A lot of questions just around this matchup. Both two
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: teams that could overachieve greatly this season, Like they both
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: have a lot of talent on offense. Both these teams,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: UH with questions on their defensive side. So not gonna
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: be one of our five slides. Too close to evenly
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: matched teams leaning towards the Lions, just like them at home,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: and it bounced back spot. They showed me a lot
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: on offense last week, like the fact that they kept
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: coming back again. I switched to channel as an ELS fan,
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: I was like, this is done. There's other games I'd
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: rather check out. They came back lines like they just
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: don't give up. There are just a gretty team have
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: to win this game, Like if I am going to
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: win any sort of futures on this team, this is
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: a must win. So way way bigger and more important
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: game for both these teams. Deaf in the lines means more.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: I guess under three, under two, whatever you can get
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: it at. I would take the lines, but I just
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: can't see it. I mean, when I meet one of
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: our five, just because there's other favorites I like more.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: You don't sound convinced, like, as I'm sitting here, I
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: bet that I bet the Panthers, I bet the Saints,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I bet the Jaguars. Already, I don't feel great about
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: betting the Lions here. I'm going to the I can
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: I can tell you that much. It's just yeah, it
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: will be one of my biggest seven or eight bets.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: Probably not the Seattle Seahawks, the resurgence Seattle Seahawks. The
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: geno Smith doesn't get written off by himself. Seahawks. They
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: wrote me off. I ain't right back though, that's the problem.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Al right back, Let's go on the road. Double digit
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: dogs at San Francisco. Money coming in, early, money coming
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: in on the Seahawks. I went from not thinking the
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Bears could beat the forty niners to being all in
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: on the Bears against the forty niners and any monsoon
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: we're terrible. What does your numbers say here? Simon says
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: that the Forts do love this game so much. It's
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: like classic overreaction of playing in a monsoon. There was
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: literally nothing you could take away from that game. Seattle
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: got every little break. I honestly, just looking on paper,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: might run for four yards against the Seahawks defense. And
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: I know people think I'm more exaggerated. I'm not. That's
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: how bad this team has run defensively. Oh, Jamal Adams
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: is now out for the year. Their number one run stopper.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: Problems for the Seahawks. Enjoy last night and like the fans,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: everyone's all hyped. That was your Super Bowl Easy. It
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: was already to be a letdown spot. Um I knew
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: that coming in with the Seahawks. We were all over
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: that number. Did not see the Foeurhers playing as bad
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: as they did because I I didn't know the weather
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: it was gonna be like it was, but we were
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: on the Bears. But everything, everything is lined up. This
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: is such a nice situational play on this four nis team.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: I take this up to thirteen. Um, I think, yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: it's I don't think you realize how bad the Seahawks
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: team is. Gino Smith played the half of his life.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: What was the seventeen of eighteen chat or seventeen of seventeen.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: I think they were up. I don't even know. It
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: might have been like three or three points or seven
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: points at half. It was just like, as as good
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: as Gino played, that team is just not built to
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: be great. This four ours team is built to be great.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: The talent across the board you just couldn't see because
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: they're playing against the Bears in a mon soon. It's
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: that was crazy, Like that game made no sense. So
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: I love the value we're getting on the forty nine ers. Um,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: we'll see what kind of number were getting the contest,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: But to me, this is an auto play every time
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: this number with this team. You know what I love?
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: While you were talking, I went into the action app
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: hit forty niners minus nine and a half minus one
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: ten quick slipped right in the FanDuel had the bet
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: made in about fifteen seconds. Technology just beautiful. I guess
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: you're right. Like as soon as you said it, as
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: soon as you started talking about it, I started thinking, Look,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: you don't have a choice. But also we're applying the
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: principles of a team looked horrible, look for the opportunity
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: to bet them as dogs, we still have to apply it.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: A team looked too good, a team looked horrible, look
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: forward as an opportunity to bet a favorite. We can't
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: just bet underdogs like and ignore favorites. We see a
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: favorite right now? Is it nine and a half? That's
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: a good number. You like it at thirteen? If I
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: can take it nine and a a half, and people going
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: through the season along, I will be on Seattle a
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: lot like I just going through the season long. There's
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: not gonna be a lot opportunity with them, especially at home.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: How many times they're catching a lot of points. This
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: is just not the time you want to back them,
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: Like after such an emotional win again their super Bowl.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: Hell Man, I did not know Russell Wilson had russelled
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: so many people's feathers the wrong way. It seems like
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of people were better towards him in that organization.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: So wow, like that's that's a lot to bounce back
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: from in such a what six day period for this
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks team. I just unless Trey Lances truly a bust,
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: that should be a layup win for this team. I
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: was surprised at how much he was booed. Me too,
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: I disagreed with that. Um as a fan, like of
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: an Eagles team that only had one good quarterback in
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: my lifetime, you could say, because I had one Super
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: Bowl from Nick Foles, there's no scenario I'd do Nick Foles.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: But you know, the booze were flowing. It was Monday night.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: They might feel bitter about it. Um. I just yeah,
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: me and chatter in agreement. You can't be doing booing
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: Hall of famers. Yeah, that was that just felt. I
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: thought the Seahawks fans were classier than that. Falcons on
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: the road at the Rams, two teams desperate for a win,
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: Falcons plus ten and a half. I mean the money
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Falcons. I guess you take
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: the Falcons, you kind of hold your nose, But I'm
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: not dying too. Yeah, I'm not. It's not a contest
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: play No, I bet it, though. It's like I like
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: this Falcons team me and cha. I liked them coming in.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: Did I know they're gonna be the probably best run
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: team of football? No, I thought it was be Baltimore.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: But Cordell Patterson, Mariota, that's a nice one to punch
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: on the running side of things. So yeah, they're fun team.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: We'll take the points with them. But I don't know.
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: It's extended rest for the Rams, I guess is maybe
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: the only reason I had a huge pause, and this
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Atlanta team a little bit of you know, I don't
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: really know what to make of them. Like Mariota, he
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: had moments where he really flashed where I was like, Okay,
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: this this Lanta offense is gonna be really good this year,
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: and then you couldn't buy our first down in that
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: second half. So it is tough with this Atlantic team.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: They have their warts um, but ten points ten a
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: half against a Rams team that has way more question marks, Yeah,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: I get it. Where chats. I'll bet this, but won't
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: be one of our five Arizona Cardinals who looked terrible.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: They were exactly what we thought they would be. And
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: this was a great example of I kind of was
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: leaning Cardinals on Tuesday, and you completely talked me out
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: of it. And I'm so glad not only did you
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: talk to me out of it, but we liked it
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: so much we put it in the contest. Game was
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: over four minutes in. They're on the road at the Raiders.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Raiders five and a half. Raiders look better than we planned,
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: or I shouldn't say better than we planned. I thought
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: that game was closer than even five points. And so
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Raiders minus five and a half against the Cardinals team
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: that I think is terrible. Yeah, I know it's so chalky,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: but I'm I'm I bet it. I bet them. I
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: think it was opened at three and a half. I
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: got it when I was at four. I thought about
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: again four and a half. I was like, you know,
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: I'll wait, I bet you goes back to four, and
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: then I went right up the five and a half.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: So I clearly a group took a position on that.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I have no doubt. I'll find out who in the
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: next twenty four hours. I'm not going against whoever it is.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: They moved a line that many points they know something,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: So Auto Bay Auto played for me because those Raiders
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: opening opening game at home, if you remember last year,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: I think it was them versus the Ravens. They were
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: like a six point dog at home in a money
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: night game and they beat them. They beat them straight up,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. So we've learned this Raiders team, their fans
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: show up and they are a rowdy and they're allowed.
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: That's a true home field advantage there in Las Vegas.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: So yeah, under six points against the Cardinals team that
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: I just don't have any faith in, Like chat again,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna win there, gonna cover some games. Kyler Murray
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: isn't out of this real talent, but this is a
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them coming to face a team that
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: it's just better across the board. But what about the
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: number if, like you didn't get it at two and
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: a half, three and a half, four and four and
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: a half, five and a half, just feels like if
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: we're supposed to follow the philosophy of get the best
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: of the number, we're a field go alof the best
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: the number you are, but still a good number because
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: it's under six, and to me, six is such a
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: key number, just as just as much as seven is.
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: So I think you are getting a good number. If
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: you believe in this, your team do it. If you're
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: a coward, you can tease it, like there's plenty of
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: times I'll tease it a game down because I'm a coward,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: like I think I did when I give out Chiefs
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: and Ravens last week when I should just bet them straight.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: But it's like I got such a good number now,
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: the number it moved, like Chad talked about. I usually
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: tease it because I overthink stuff, so to me, tease
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: it if you're scared. But five and a half is
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: still a good number, all right, Texans Broncos. How the
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Broncos are ten point favorites over anybody right now? I
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: don't know really actually like the Broncos here, so we'll
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: just skip this on. I just look at the Broncos team.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: Is they're really good? Russell Wilson is still pretty damn good.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: They just made so many stupid mistakes. Their head coach
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: might be a complete idiot like that. That guy might
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: be fired mid with through the season if Elway sees
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: more or what that guy just did, Like I I
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: still can't blue what happened Yeah, I literally cannot believe
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: what we saw Monday night. The guy taken a chance
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: at a sixty four yard field goal over a rust
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: getting in five yards. Um bizarre. So I don't know
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: what to really think of them, but I do know this,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: This Broncos team has tons of talent on offense and defense.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Their biggest weakness is still their offensive line looked improved though,
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would love to come in here and
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: shoot on Russell Wilson and tell you to take the Texans.
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: And it's a good number. But I think exactly the
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: number eight is is the number it should be. I
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: had this ten ten and a half, that's where it
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: should be. Um won't won't really bet this one. If anything,
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Uh again, the Broncos with our team, I might tease um,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: but again, I don't want to go against Houston. We
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: love Houston. But man, this Broncos team. The only thing
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: slowing them down. We've seen as them right like they are.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: The only issue is them right now. So Russell will
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: get more comfortable the season goes along. That's what I'll
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: bet them later in the season, is he gets more
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: comfortable all right now? Uh, Just there's no way I
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: would make this one by five, and I can just
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: tell Chad he doesn't really like this one either. I
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: don't like this at all, But then again, I don't know.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: We've only got four games we love right now. Bengals
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: on the road, massive favorites against the Cowboys. This is
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: traditionally a spot where you want to bet the big
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: home dog. Yeah, Cowboys eight and a half. Everyone listens
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: is not gonna bet this meat. Chad have to bet this.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: Make a donation to our favorite foundation, vandal sports book.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: No one's betting this but us. It's definition of a
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: prose verse. Joe's game is Dak Prescott worth nine and
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: a half points. I don't think so. I don't think
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: he's that good, like I think he's really talented. Nine
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: and a half points. I just I can't get there
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: with that. So yeah, I love the public taking the Bengals,
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: who should play better, can't play much worse than they
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: did against Pittsburgh, but man, uh seven and a half
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: points at this point, I just I'll hold my nose
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: and I'll take it. Chat my build. It convinced me
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: on Sunday, as you say her Tuesday, I don't know
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: in what world do I want to be sweating Cooper
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Rush on my five contest, but I'm trying to go
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: tenant now, so I just can't see him being it.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you what though, Tune in later this week
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: and it might be a big balls better the week
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: in fact, Packers Sunday night hosting the Resurgent, the celebrating
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: one win like it's Pet Beverley in the playoffs for
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: the Minnesota Timberwolves Chicago Bears. Look, I love the Bears.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: I was standing for most of that game. After the game,
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: I was sitting with my kid. We watched all the
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: games together. He's looking at the Bears social feeds. Every
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: two seconds, he's like, Dad, look at this one, Dad,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: look at this one. And it's just the Bears going
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: crazy posting on social He's like, they're posting a lot
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: for one win. He's like, Then then he's like, wow,
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: they're really posting a lot. So if a fifteen year
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: old kid who lives his life on social media says
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: you're overreacting and posting too much, he might be posting
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: too much. Yeah, and how do you not feel good?
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: To all of us? Me and you, Matt, we're all
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: one and oh right now I don't know if we've
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: ever been in one and O together, referring to the Bears,
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles and Bills by the way, Yeah, so uh yeah,
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: it's hard not to enjoy it. Like again, I should
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: probably tweet it. I muted the word Giants because apparently
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: Giants hadn't been over five sixteen and then their fans
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: were annoying. So um, I get it. We're all excited,
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: we're all one and oh uh, I don't have to
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: deal with this game. Chad to me like this is
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: another game. I'll just that's the under because I really
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what to do with it. I think it's
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: a good number. I really want to take the Bears,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: but god, Aaron Rodgers burns me in this spot every
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: damn time, every time, and it will be hilarious. I
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: remember last year. I think we took the Bears. Man,
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: we might have had like six and a half chat
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: at home. We're up twelve going into the way through
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: the third quarter, and Aaron Rodgers somehow ran it into
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: the Bear end of the game for another touchow. I
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: think that's what we said. I own you to the
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Bears fans, and it owned our cover and like we
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: lose this cover every time with this Bears team. But again,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: I can't listen to my five, but I have to
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: take this number every time like the Bears. This is
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: an inflated line. I didn't really learn much from him
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: last week other than the fact that I just love Fields.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: He's such a game or such hard. He didn't put
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: the stats right, but he made in the moments the
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: important place he needed to first team to win. So, um,
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: maybe we'll just fade green Bay being dysfunctional right now,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: and I'm just reading too much into that, but I
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: just can't put money on green Bay right now. I
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: feel comfortable putting money on the Bears rather than Green Bay,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: which is crazy to think. Well, the problem is, Look,
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: the Packers often looked dysfunctional in the first game of
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: the year, and their receivers were clearly terrible, and Aaron
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: Rodgers was clearly frustrated, But that was also the exact
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: right spot to play the Packers for the Vikings. You
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: don't really know who the Bears are yet. Playing in
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: a monsoon was not the right scenario to be able
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: to judge what this team is defensively against the quarterback
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: like Aaron Rodgers, so for me, it's probably going to
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: be a pass. Yeah, that's fair. Titans visiting the Buffalo Bills.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we have any Buffalo Bills drops
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: because Matt Mitchell doesn't like to include those in the show.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: That's true. Chatill like to keep it pretty subdued. That's
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: why I'm going to be taking it easy on the
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: bill signature shout song this year, introducing potentially a new
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen theme Metal get Toes tapping coast to coast
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: the Bills. The Titans are ten point underdogs. This number
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: has popped. This is a inflation station line. To me,
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: it's ugly to play it, but you kind of have to.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: Primetime game. One team gut embarrassed. The other team looked
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: like their ship don't stay. Everyone's all in on the Bills.
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: Where I go back and watch the film and I
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: saw Josh Allen look flustered, had a bunch of turnovers,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: had a bunch of under throws on his deep balls
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: that worked out, and the biggest advantage for him that
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Rams game was the Rams could not keep on the field.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: So by the second half, the Rams defense was shot
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: Like Josh Allen, I mean, mean, mean, Chad both agreed.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: We think he's the best athlete, best player right now
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: in football just because of what he can do. He's bigger, faster,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: stronger than everybody and has one of the best arms
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: in football. And it's very accurate. So scared because Josh
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Allen didn't have a good game and his team won
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: by I don't even know what the final score was
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: and would have been by twenty four. It's just, man,
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: this Bill's team is so good. But this is gonna
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: be our lives chat all season. We're gonna be taking
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: the value on the dog, and the dog against the
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Bills is always gonna be overvalue. Like this number is
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: bumped up probably three points just because the Titans laid
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: such a bad egg and the Bills look like world beaters.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I wish I could make it one of
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: our five. Maybe I'll get push into it. But there's
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: a different game on one day that I like a
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: little more. Um So to me, it's it's tough where
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: I I just love the fact we're getting so many points,
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: but Josh Allen scares the ship out of me. Man,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: Like I hated that experience on Thursday. He's just so
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: good every time he needs a first down, he gets
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: either run or Gabe Davis or Stefan digs Man. It's
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: just man bills. Bills are so complete. Well, look, let's
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: talk about I'm gonna bet the Titans, but it doesn't
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: have to be part of our part of our five
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Vikings visiting the Eagles to two and a half. Money's
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: on the Eagles, tickets on the Vikings. Easy your ball game, buddy,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: easy bet. One of the rare times I'll bet on
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: my favorite home team, Eagles. Such an easy bet. Like
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: our Eagles greatest strength has been able to run the
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: ball and own the offensive line, the Vikings. That's how
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: you can dominate this team. Like that matches up so
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: well for this Eagles team. The ball control, dominate the line.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Don't let Kirk Cousins get in a good comfortable position.
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: We're also again Kirk Cousins in prime time. People don't
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: forget Kirk Cousins. One pm at home auto play like
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: I think it's six. I think Evant tweeted that out.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: It's I love the Vikings at home at one pm,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: the Kirk Cousins on the road in a prime time game.
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: I'm getting under three with the Eagles. The public is
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: betting all the all the tickets are coming on the vikings,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: all the pros are betting the Eagles. No Brander to
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: me love this one. I'll try to convince Chad just
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: because we don't love having to wait all the way
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: to get our five and now, but this might be
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: worth it. I just love the Eagles in the spot.
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: This is such a great position for them to be in.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: By the way, at fand right now the lot, the
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: Eagles are minus one and a half minus one eight team,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: so that means a little bit of promotes coming on
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota. So do you wait? Yeah, obviously I would
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: keep waiting then because that means you could keep dropping.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: But I just think they're eventually gonna come. They're gonna
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: come with a samdpage of me where it's just like,
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: this is a really good matchup for this Eagles team.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: But maybe they're skeptical because they just saw the lines
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: do whatever they want an offense against them. But I
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: think that was more situational for anything else. Like the
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Eagles defense was good. They just they stopped trying the
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: second half and they gave up whatever it was, seventeen
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: straight points right now, uh, the games we like Jags
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: plus four and a half, Saints plus three, Panthers plus
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: two and a half. We're getting in your big favorite
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: forty nine minus nine and a half, Eagles minus two,
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Games we are watching that
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: we will discuss on Thursday depending on the lines. Ravens
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: minus three, New York Jets plus six. You're gonna be
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: sick reading that chat. You literally look like you're about
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: to be sick just reading the Jets. I also think
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: we should keep an eye on the Titans plus ten.
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know that we want to go into Monday
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: night having to bets, but it definitely sticks out very
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: well as a dog, double digit dog coming off a
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: bad week, where like it just come on, what are
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: we doing here? We're not betting Titans plus ten. It's
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: like we bet the Seahawks plus six and a half
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: in the same spot. Yeah, and you want to give
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: it to our five fans that got upset at us
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: because their contest locks on Thursday for Survivor um our
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: Survivor pick and we go again Thursday. But to me,
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: it's situational, right, Like that's why I love our guy,
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: Travis Reid puts out your best options, um survivor just
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: mathematically like when you would be able to use the
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: team again and when you wouldn't be able to Bengos
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: jumped out to me like the Bengals in this position
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: against a backup quarterback. I don't know if the Bengals
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: will cover, but man I I can't see a world
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: they don't win this game. They need this game bad.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: They can't start your own to this bang teams. So
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: they jumped out to me in the same with the
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: fourt Niners Niners at home in Seattle. This feels like
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: a no brainer. So those those to me are my
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: two favorites. Um, I don't know if you have other
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: ones you like more. Now, the team that jumped out
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: to me was the Bengals. Yeah, because again it's all
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: about when we're gonna be able to use them again.
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: Both those teams, their schedules are not easy alright. So
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: to recap forty Niners minus nine and a half foxholl
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Saints plus three executive decision Jack's plus four and a
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: half early survivor. If you're your contest locks before Thursday, Bengals,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: we will have on Thursday the big balls better the
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: week scooch Roulette will finalize, will get closer to finalizing.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Follow in the Action Network app the favorite podcast follow
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: the Phase five followed Chad Milman, follow Simon Hunter. Download
• 59:54
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• 59:59
  Speaker 1: Rate you subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: want feedback as a gift for Simon Hunter. For Matt Mitchell,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: I am Shad Newman. Until next time. I Love you,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: m M m m