Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Trump Speech; War; Muslim Brother; Liberation Day; Bondi; Fishback; Replicability | Yaron Brook Show

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Trump Speech; War; Muslim Brother; Liberation Day; Bondi; Fishback; Replicability | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

0:04
Speaker 1: Fundamental principles of actual self interest and an individual ves.
0:14
Speaker 1: This is the show. Oh right, everybody, welcome to you
0:21
Speaker 1: one book show on this What is it? It's Thursday,
0:25
Speaker 1: April second. I hope everybody's having a fantastic week weekends.
0:31
Speaker 1: It's around the corner and uh.
0:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple more days, all right, we are going
0:41
Speaker 2: to be discussing I guess Last night Donald Trump gave
0:45
Speaker 2: an anticipated, long anticipated speech talk about Iran for the
0:51
Speaker 2: first time, really addressed American people in a thorough lengthy
0:56
Speaker 2: fashion about the motivation for the war, the causes of
0:59
Speaker 2: the war, and kind of updated them on how it's going.
1:06
Speaker 1: He probably gave his strongest defense of going to war
1:11
Speaker 1: that he has so far, basically arguing about the fact
1:16
Speaker 1: that the Ranians were developing nuclear weapons and they were
1:19
Speaker 1: going to they were going to deploy them. You know, again,
1:24
Speaker 1: maybe he's exaggerating a little bit in so it's about
1:27
Speaker 1: immediate that was given what the United States did the
1:30
Speaker 1: Iranian nuclear program in June, and when they would have
1:35
Speaker 1: a bomber, when they would have a missed out capable
1:37
Speaker 1: living in America, that's probably a couple of years away.
1:41
Speaker 1: But anyway, he made the argument. I thought the original
1:46
Speaker 1: argument about the killing of Americans and that he made
1:49
Speaker 1: at the beginning of the war was a good argument
1:52
Speaker 1: and should have been integrated more into this. The fact
1:57
Speaker 1: that Iran posed a threat of America is wherever they were.
2:01
Speaker 1: The fact that the Iranians did not hesitate since nineteen
2:04
Speaker 1: seventy united to kill Americans over and over and over
2:06
Speaker 1: and over again, in addition to the nuclear argument should
2:12
Speaker 1: have been made. But you know, and the fact that
2:16
Speaker 1: they you know, the argument learned Peacock makes in in
2:22
Speaker 1: his statement after nine eleven that basically the Iranians, basically
2:29
Speaker 1: the Iranians were the spiritual motor, the spiritual the spiritual
2:38
Speaker 1: inspiration behind all Islamist terrorism. So those are all the
2:45
Speaker 1: reasons for the war. Trump kind of touched on upon
2:48
Speaker 1: some of them, but at least he addressed American people
2:51
Speaker 1: and he said this is why we're going to war,
2:52
Speaker 1: and and I think that that was that was good
2:56
Speaker 1: as well. You know, he praised this role, he praised
2:59
Speaker 1: the God and promised that he would he would not
3:04
Speaker 1: let them be harmed. I guess, reassuring them, particularly the
3:06
Speaker 1: Gulf States, that they would continue to be uh to
3:10
Speaker 1: be protected by Americans, even after the US maybe leaves
3:15
Speaker 1: the re you know, ends this particular phase of the war.
3:21
Speaker 1: He didn't mention with drawing for NADO in this talk.
3:24
Speaker 1: This is a formal talk written out. Somebody edited it,
3:28
Speaker 1: so he didn't. He didn't get to that. Have a
3:29
Speaker 1: feeling if it was extra porraneous, extra poraneous, he would
3:33
Speaker 1: have he would have gone after Nando more aggressively. He
3:36
Speaker 1: didn't mention. He didn't mention NATO. He did mention NATO
3:39
Speaker 1: countries in a minute, who will get to there in
3:40
Speaker 1: a minute. You want Iran jaliders that they will not survive,
3:47
Speaker 1: not survive if they keep fighting. Uh. He told the
3:53
Speaker 1: American people that the Iranian military has been devastated, and
3:57
Speaker 1: it has so in terms of his assessment of how
4:00
Speaker 1: the war has gone so far, in terms of devastating
4:03
Speaker 1: the Iranian military infrastructure, the IRGC and Iranian leadership. He
4:09
Speaker 1: was right on point. But you know, he committed and
4:17
Speaker 1: we'll see if he lives up to this, but he
4:18
Speaker 1: committed to continuing the war too devastating effects for the
4:25
Speaker 1: Iranians if they don't abandon their nuclear and terror ambitions.
4:32
Speaker 1: There was no offer of a ceasefire. There was a
4:35
Speaker 1: suggestion of a deal, but that deal included giving up
4:39
Speaker 1: nuclear and terror ambitions. So overall kind of a positive, aggressive,
4:46
Speaker 1: no compromise message, which is which is good. Now, he
4:51
Speaker 1: did he did repeat what he said in the past,
4:58
Speaker 1: that is that there was real possibility of escalation. He
5:01
Speaker 1: threatened to destroy the country's infrastructure, including its oil facilities,
5:05
Speaker 1: electric power production, if he wants. Leaders decided to go
5:09
Speaker 1: down fighting. That is, didn't kind of deal with him now. Again,
5:12
Speaker 1: He's been threatening that for weeks now, and he keeps delaying, delaying, delaying.
5:17
Speaker 1: So I don't know if I take that seriously. I
5:22
Speaker 1: think that's what he would like to do. I think
5:24
Speaker 1: that's within Trump's temperament. Yeah, let's just flat in the place.
5:29
Speaker 1: But whether he will actually do it is a different question.
5:34
Speaker 1: You know, we will see he's he's definitely threatening, and
5:38
Speaker 1: he's threatening enough that maybe the Ranians will take him seriously,
5:42
Speaker 1: although it's hard to believe they would given that he
5:44
Speaker 1: threatened so many times. I'll give you a list of
5:49
Speaker 1: threats with regard, you know, just as just as statements
5:53
Speaker 1: about the almost straight in a minute. So yeah, I mean,
6:01
Speaker 1: clearly coming out of the speech, which is good news.
6:04
Speaker 1: I think for me and for us and for the
6:07
Speaker 1: world is Trump is not walking away from this. He's
6:12
Speaker 1: not just picking up a walking away, not yet anyway.
6:14
Speaker 1: We got two weeks maybe maybe three, right and they
6:19
Speaker 1: might be escalation, but you know what happens then. What
6:27
Speaker 1: happens then is not clear. He said he doesn't care
6:33
Speaker 1: about the Homo Straight, which is interesting. He said that
6:38
Speaker 1: the Homost Straight can be easily opened up once the
6:41
Speaker 1: bombing stops. I don't know where he gets that from.
6:44
Speaker 1: The reality is that when the bombing stops, there's no
6:47
Speaker 1: reason why the Uranians can't continue to kind of control
6:50
Speaker 1: the straits, take a toll, determine what ships go in
6:54
Speaker 1: and what ships go out. He mentioned the fact that
6:57
Speaker 1: they want to open it up because they have oil
7:00
Speaker 1: to sell. From the perspective of Uranian oil, the Homost
7:05
Speaker 1: Straits are open now, they're selling oil. They don't have
7:09
Speaker 1: any problems selling oil. And the United States horrifically and
7:12
Speaker 1: sufficingly and I don't know why and with no explanation,
7:16
Speaker 1: is letting Uranian ships just out of the Persian Gulf
7:20
Speaker 1: and through the Homo States and after India and China
7:22
Speaker 1: to sell the oil. So Iran's oil is flowing. It's
7:26
Speaker 1: the UE, it's Saudi Arabia, it's Bahrain, it's quit, it's
7:29
Speaker 1: it's Iraq. Their oil is not flowing. So the states,
7:36
Speaker 1: he says something like, oh, the states are open up
7:39
Speaker 1: naturally once the bombing stops. No. Indeed, there's talk about
7:44
Speaker 1: Iran and Oman cutting a deal. Oman has been even
7:47
Speaker 1: though they got bombed by by Iran is still being
7:50
Speaker 1: friendly to the Uranians. I think they have a sense
7:52
Speaker 1: that they have to live with him after all this
7:54
Speaker 1: is done. And they's talk about them dividing up the spoils,
7:59
Speaker 1: of cooling the straits of Homoes and limiting shipping. Whether
8:05
Speaker 1: that happens or not is unclear, But there's no there's
8:13
Speaker 1: no sign, there's no indication. Once the bombing stops, there
8:18
Speaker 1: is uh. You know, everything goes back to normal zero.
8:25
Speaker 1: So whether he likes it or not, I mean Trump said,
8:30
Speaker 1: you know, let the countries to care about the Almost
8:31
Speaker 1: Straits or worry abouty You also to say we don't
8:34
Speaker 1: input any oil in the Straits, it doesn't matter. It
8:36
Speaker 1: turns out that we import about one hundred and twenty
8:39
Speaker 1: five super tanker worth of oil three to five percent
8:45
Speaker 1: of oil comes from the Gulf. I mean, it's small amount,
8:49
Speaker 1: but it's still something I've told you before. But the
8:52
Speaker 1: different types of oil, and because of export patterns, because
8:56
Speaker 1: of refineries, because stuff like that, we still import oil
8:59
Speaker 1: from the Golf. So you know, we have an interest,
9:06
Speaker 1: but the bigger interest is oil markets are global markets.
9:13
Speaker 1: If other countries can't get there oil that affects us,
9:15
Speaker 1: all prices will go up. And you know, we started
9:21
Speaker 1: this war to provide to end the war with a
9:24
Speaker 1: strategic kind of massive strategic card just handed on a
9:29
Speaker 1: silver plat of the Ranians. It's just unthinkable. It's just unthinkable. So,
9:35
Speaker 1: whether he likes it or not, he's gonna have to
9:36
Speaker 1: solve the straits of almost problem. And he still won't
9:41
Speaker 1: commit to how he's gonna do that. He doesn't seem
9:44
Speaker 1: like he's gonna walk away, but he doesn't seem like
9:45
Speaker 1: he's gonna stay and solve it either. And he seems
9:48
Speaker 1: right now to be saying, let the Europeans and the
9:50
Speaker 1: Asians solve this problem. We don't have anything to do
9:53
Speaker 1: with it. That ain't happening. It just does not happening.
9:59
Speaker 1: Now here's just a list of statements Trump has made
10:06
Speaker 1: about the Straits right from the beginning of the war
10:09
Speaker 1: to today, just a sample. He's made many more stationments
10:12
Speaker 1: in this but just give you a sense of the
10:13
Speaker 1: erratic nature, which should not surprise you if you listen
10:17
Speaker 1: to my show in terms of Trump. But anyway, right
10:22
Speaker 1: here it is, this is the beginning of the war.
10:24
Speaker 1: Ivon won't close the streets. Ilon better open the streets.
10:28
Speaker 1: Ewon has two days to open the streets. Evon has
10:32
Speaker 1: a week to open the streets. NATO open the straits.
10:37
Speaker 1: I'll bomb your critical infrastructure if the strainths isn't opened.
10:41
Speaker 1: I don't care about the streets. No cease fire until
10:46
Speaker 1: straits is open. And yesterday it was back to other people.
10:53
Speaker 1: Open up the streets, and I don't care about the straits,
10:56
Speaker 1: and the states will open up naturally, naturally, oh by themselves.
11:06
Speaker 1: We've got a very frustrating You've got we've got a
11:10
Speaker 1: very frustrated thing. President again. I mean, I command the
11:15
Speaker 1: US and Trump and Israel for for starting this war.
11:21
Speaker 1: For the brilliant execution in the air in terms of
11:26
Speaker 1: in terms of taking out the Ranian military and leadership
11:29
Speaker 1: and all of that. I think they've done a brilliant job.
11:31
Speaker 1: This has been a military you know, it's just it's
11:35
Speaker 1: just unbelievable success. As I said, I think a bigger
11:40
Speaker 1: kind of wow for what these reelies have done. But
11:43
Speaker 1: both the Israelies and Americans have done a truly unbelievable
11:48
Speaker 1: phenomenal job here. And yet the big, big, big flaw
11:55
Speaker 1: in all of this is that going into this, it
12:00
Speaker 1: wasn't a major number one strategic focus of the Trumpe administration.
12:08
Speaker 1: This is squarely in America, not on Israel, as weel
12:11
Speaker 1: has no involvement in the straits. How do we not
12:15
Speaker 1: just open the streets? How do we keep the straits open?
12:18
Speaker 1: I mean, imagine if on day one they had been
12:22
Speaker 1: deployment to guarantee the streates being opened. What that appointment
12:27
Speaker 1: looks like? We can we can debate discuss, But imagine
12:32
Speaker 1: if in the day one there had been a plan
12:35
Speaker 1: in motion to keep the straits open, then Iran by
12:39
Speaker 1: now will have surrendered. They would have there would be nothing,
12:42
Speaker 1: they would have nothing, They would have no leverage over anybody.
12:46
Speaker 1: They could still be bombing I guess with their missiles,
12:50
Speaker 1: you know, the Gulf States. But that is having less
12:53
Speaker 1: and less of an impact as they're getting better and
12:55
Speaker 1: better defending themselves and as Iran has few and fewer missiles.
13:01
Speaker 1: But the biggest card, biggest, the only card really Evan
13:05
Speaker 1: has right now is the Straits and foremost imagine if
13:09
Speaker 1: that'd be taken off the table on day one. It wasn't,
13:14
Speaker 1: and it's not clear what is going to happen and
13:16
Speaker 1: how it's going to be dealt with as we move forward.
13:20
Speaker 1: So anyway, Trump tried yesterday to convince the American people
13:26
Speaker 1: this was good war and we would win it, that
13:28
Speaker 1: it's in the national interest. It's hard to say how
13:32
Speaker 1: well he did visa VI the American people, I think for
13:35
Speaker 1: the most part, they're still pretty skeptical. It was his
13:39
Speaker 1: first really only direct sales pitch, like twenty minutes of
13:44
Speaker 1: just doing this after a month of combat. You would
13:49
Speaker 1: have expected this on day one. And it is true
13:54
Speaker 1: that he highlighted the success. He said someone like never
13:57
Speaker 1: in history of warf as an enemy suffered such a
13:59
Speaker 1: clear and devastating, large scale losses in a matter of weeks.
14:03
Speaker 1: I'd even say in a matter of days. His best
14:06
Speaker 1: line by far was when he said, which is I
14:11
Speaker 1: have to say, you know, I know this is me
14:14
Speaker 1: being immodist, but I have to say this is a
14:17
Speaker 1: direct line from my speeches and my Q and as
14:23
Speaker 1: from twenty years ago. Twenty years ago, people would ask
14:28
Speaker 1: me what should we do about Iran? And I would say,
14:32
Speaker 1: bomb them so that they have the infrastructure they culture deserves.
14:39
Speaker 1: Bomb them back to the Stone Age. And that's what
14:44
Speaker 1: Trump said yesterday, said that he would pummel the country
14:48
Speaker 1: quote back to the Stone Age where they belong, and
14:53
Speaker 1: you know, where the ideology belongs, where those who advocate
14:57
Speaker 1: for their ideology belong. That line, best line of the evening.
15:01
Speaker 1: You know, well, I don't think you will do it,
15:03
Speaker 1: but again that's you know, that's where it is. Yes,
15:11
Speaker 1: I said, gas prices would rapidly come back, and stock
15:15
Speaker 1: prices would rapidly go back up. Stock prices probably will
15:17
Speaker 1: recover pretty quickly. Gas prices it'll take months just to
15:22
Speaker 1: get to get those tankers out, to get the supply
15:25
Speaker 1: chains working, to get everything aligned. Some places that will
15:29
Speaker 1: be slower than others. California expect that seven dollars gas
15:34
Speaker 1: for a while. It's going to be a while before
15:35
Speaker 1: that comes down. So yeah, uh, let's see. Yeah, So
15:49
Speaker 1: you know, it's hard to tell. You know, there's there's
15:53
Speaker 1: some good line again, good lines. For these terrorists to
15:56
Speaker 1: have nuclear weapons would be an intolerable threat. Completely, the
16:01
Speaker 1: most violent and thuggish regime on Earth would be free
16:05
Speaker 1: to carry out their campaign of terror, cosion, conquest, and
16:07
Speaker 1: mass murder from behind a nuclear shield. I will never
16:11
Speaker 1: let that happen. I mean, every president, every American president
16:15
Speaker 1: has said that. To Trump's credit, he's the first to
16:18
Speaker 1: one to actually do something about it in action. Right,
16:23
Speaker 1: So much for my TDS. I don't know what's happening
16:25
Speaker 1: to me today. God, some of you must be worried.
16:28
Speaker 1: I might be losing my TDS. What are my haters
16:31
Speaker 1: going to do? Trump says that the Terran killed forty
16:39
Speaker 1: five thousand Uranians during the demonstrations. I haven't heard that
16:43
Speaker 1: high of a number. It's possible. I don't know who
16:46
Speaker 1: he got that. He repeated that the regime right now
16:50
Speaker 1: is less radical and more reasonable. I'm not sure whether
16:56
Speaker 1: there is such a thing, but you know, maybe maybe anyway,
17:03
Speaker 1: we will see what happens. We will see what that happens.
17:08
Speaker 1: You know. RAN's response to all of this is, we
17:11
Speaker 1: don't want to cease fire. We're winning. This is basically
17:14
Speaker 1: the response. The oil market was not impressed by the speech,
17:20
Speaker 1: and I think particularly his statement about the Straits of Homos.
17:24
Speaker 1: I mean, what the oil market were people buying and
17:27
Speaker 1: selling oil wanted from the speech was a clear commitment
17:31
Speaker 1: by Trump to say the States of Homos will be opened.
17:34
Speaker 1: They will be open, might take days, might take weeks,
17:37
Speaker 1: but it will be open, and we will guarantee that
17:39
Speaker 1: it's opened. We would like allies to help us, but
17:43
Speaker 1: we will do it. If he had said that, all
17:47
Speaker 1: prices would have come down significantly. Instead he said, eh,
17:51
Speaker 1: it'll open. Naturally wants the bombing stops, and who knows
17:53
Speaker 1: when that will happen, maybe after we destroy the infrastructure.
17:56
Speaker 1: And he also said will bomb the oil fields. So
18:01
Speaker 1: maybe by the time the States of Homos are open
18:03
Speaker 1: there is no Uranian oil flowing. That takes a big
18:06
Speaker 1: chunk of oil off of the world market, in particularly
18:08
Speaker 1: at a time where Russian oil is struggling to get
18:11
Speaker 1: out of Russia because of Ukrainian bombing. So what happened
18:16
Speaker 1: in the oor market? And I haven't looked in the
18:19
Speaker 1: last few minutes, but I should look. Just to give
18:22
Speaker 1: you the most updated numbers. But yeah, what happened in
18:26
Speaker 1: the home market basically is starting with the speech, starting
18:30
Speaker 1: once the speech ended or spiked up, and then since
18:34
Speaker 1: that has been drifting upwards back to some of its
18:38
Speaker 1: all time or at least this crisis high. It was
18:40
Speaker 1: as high as one hundred and thirteen early this morning.
18:44
Speaker 1: It's a down out about one hundred and eleven, but
18:47
Speaker 1: that is way above if you remember, just a few
18:49
Speaker 1: days ago, it was under ninety because the world believed
18:55
Speaker 1: deals would open the straits. So the world believed that
18:57
Speaker 1: a deal would be cut. And now Trump is saying no,
19:01
Speaker 1: we're gonna bomb them into oblivion and we're not gonna
19:03
Speaker 1: open the streets. That's bad news across all realms for
19:06
Speaker 1: the oil market. So we're seeing oil, you know, again,
19:11
Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven. In spite of that, the stock
19:14
Speaker 1: market's basically flat. Opened up this morning way down, and
19:18
Speaker 1: came up and is basically flat now. So oil up, gold,
19:24
Speaker 1: way down, Silver way down, four percent, dollar way down,
19:30
Speaker 1: interestates down, which is surprising, but interestate's down, dollar down,
19:36
Speaker 1: Bitcoin down, Bitcoin for whatever it's worth. The ability of
19:47
Speaker 1: the Uranians to destroy golf oil drones is very limited.
19:50
Speaker 1: The Gulf countries are getting much much better at downing
19:53
Speaker 1: those drones. They're getting Ukrainian help and doing that. And
19:59
Speaker 1: the reality is the supply of drones and you on
20:02
Speaker 1: is shrinking. They're launching few and fewer drones every single day,
20:06
Speaker 1: and they're hitting few and fewer targets with those drones.
20:09
Speaker 1: More and more of those drones are being shot down. So,
20:14
Speaker 1: you know, I don't think anybody's I think people are
20:16
Speaker 1: worried about golf oil and that's why, right, maybe the
20:22
Speaker 1: market is responding the way it is, why all is
20:24
Speaker 1: so expensive. But at the end of the day, Euron's
20:27
Speaker 1: capabilities are very limited given how much the military and
20:31
Speaker 1: the infrastructure has been devastated. All right, So that's the speech.
20:42
Speaker 1: I wish it had been done differently. I wish the
20:46
Speaker 1: emphasis on the states of homos would have been there.
20:50
Speaker 1: But I've been wishing that since we talked about it
20:53
Speaker 1: right here on the show, from the opening days. At
20:56
Speaker 1: the time, I thought they'd be a strategy. A weekend
20:58
Speaker 1: it became clear there wasn't a strategy. That's when I
21:01
Speaker 1: became really worried and started talking about this. You all testimony,
21:06
Speaker 1: it's all on video, Yeah, straight so homos are the key,
21:11
Speaker 1: I think are the key. Now. Granted, if you can
21:14
Speaker 1: achieve regime change, then I agree straight over homos open naturally,
21:20
Speaker 1: but it has to be one of the two. You
21:24
Speaker 1: have to either go for a regime change unequivocal, get
21:28
Speaker 1: rid of them and put in a really moderate regime
21:32
Speaker 1: somebody who's really willing to play ball, or ideally you know,
21:36
Speaker 1: liberal democracy. Oh, or you open the straits. You cannot
21:43
Speaker 1: do both, You cannot do not do both one or
21:47
Speaker 1: the other, or you know, if you do one, the
21:49
Speaker 1: other one maybe falls into place. Regime change to anything,
21:55
Speaker 1: but the guys there right now, right, anything that is
21:59
Speaker 1: not e Schow homised, anything that is not religious, anything
22:04
Speaker 1: that is not the mulas in control, that's the regime
22:08
Speaker 1: chame military dictatorship. Okay, if it's a basically secular military dictatorship,
22:15
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, moderate religious parties that don't
22:18
Speaker 1: enforce you real law. Find liberal democracy amazing, constitution, monarchy amazing,
22:25
Speaker 1: lots of options, lots of options. There's lots of opposition.
22:31
Speaker 1: A majority of the Ranian people oppose this regime. Once
22:35
Speaker 1: you get rid of the people at the top, some
22:38
Speaker 1: people will arise, but you have to make that a goal,
22:41
Speaker 1: you have to make that emission, and you have to
22:43
Speaker 1: cultivate whoever is out there, whether they're in Iran or
22:46
Speaker 1: outside of Iran, to replace the colored regime. All of
22:49
Speaker 1: it is doable with the right kind of strategic thinking, planning,
22:54
Speaker 1: and execution, and the execution is not that hard. They've
23:00
Speaker 1: shown that they can do it anyway. But let's see
23:08
Speaker 1: in terms of where we are in the war itself. Again,
23:11
Speaker 1: US and Israel have severely degraded WANs missilet capabilities. The
23:18
Speaker 1: missiles targeting Israel have declined steadily. In spite of the
23:21
Speaker 1: fact that yesterday was passover, there was a slight increase.
23:25
Speaker 1: They're still firing, and they're firing very few missiles per salvo.
23:31
Speaker 1: They're doing many salvos just to piss off the Israeli's just
23:34
Speaker 1: upset them. But no damage. Very opened it this way,
23:38
Speaker 1: very little damage and very very few casualties. The the basically,
23:47
Speaker 1: the the capabilities have been reduced dramatically. There are short
23:52
Speaker 1: range missiles capability which target the Gulf States. Hard to
23:57
Speaker 1: tell where they are, But again, the number of missiles
23:59
Speaker 1: have declined significantly, but it's steady, right, It's as in
24:06
Speaker 1: decline as dramatically as Israel. Different types of missiles these
24:10
Speaker 1: really missiles and all medium range, golf short range, different
24:14
Speaker 1: type of stuff that the drones can be effective in
24:17
Speaker 1: the Gulf States cannot be effective on Israel. It just
24:20
Speaker 1: takes too long for the drones to get there. But
24:23
Speaker 1: you know, it's hard to tell how much is left
24:25
Speaker 1: of the missiles. The US has been bombing stockpiles. You
24:29
Speaker 1: can see in terms of the size of the explosions
24:33
Speaker 1: and the after explosions and the missiles shooting out from
24:36
Speaker 1: the exploded site sites that it's happening, but again, hard
24:40
Speaker 1: to tell how much is left in what's possible. Thousands
24:45
Speaker 1: of GC troops from generals down, lots of generals, lots
24:50
Speaker 1: of generals troops as well, have been killed. Somewhere around
24:55
Speaker 1: five thousand at least twenty thousand injured. That's conservative estimates.
25:01
Speaker 3: Again, production sites, factories, assembly sites, uh Irenians military industrial
25:12
Speaker 3: complex has been devastated, destroyed.
25:16
Speaker 1: It's not zero, but it's destroyed in terms of miss
25:21
Speaker 1: how stockpiles. You know, they think they've destroyed a third
25:26
Speaker 1: and a third inaccessible and they're still going at it,
25:33
Speaker 1: so you know, it could be that they've destroyed a
25:35
Speaker 1: lot more than the third. Uh, they've destroyed internal security institutions. Uh,
25:43
Speaker 1: you know, the whole there's a whole echelon of BASHIGE
25:49
Speaker 1: and ILGC responsible for internal security. This is why I
25:53
Speaker 1: think regime change can happen, because these are the people
25:56
Speaker 1: responsible for oppressing their own people. Many of those have
25:59
Speaker 1: been killed. There's a real sense of fear and paranoia
26:03
Speaker 1: among the Uranian security personnel, and they're now shifting from
26:08
Speaker 1: permanent bunkers headquarters and where they're communicating to mobile headquarters
26:15
Speaker 1: basically of ease where they are they're running the war
26:19
Speaker 1: from mobile command centers. Indeed, the Israeli e Force has
26:24
Speaker 1: been hunting those down in the last couple of days
26:27
Speaker 1: and trying to take those out as well. Now you
26:31
Speaker 1: know what, Iran has maintained the capability of is destruption shipping,
26:36
Speaker 1: although there is signs today that some ships are actually
26:43
Speaker 1: getting out of the Homo straits close to the Oman.
26:47
Speaker 1: So you know, most of ships Yon is allowing out
26:52
Speaker 1: go up towards Iran and they go in Iranian waters,
26:55
Speaker 1: they pay a tolls supposedly two million dollars in yuon
26:58
Speaker 1: or crypto, and then they go along the shore of
27:01
Speaker 1: you on and they get out. Now we're seeing ships
27:06
Speaker 1: that are obviously not paying the toll, that are hugging
27:09
Speaker 1: the Uae coast and then the Omani coast and going around.
27:14
Speaker 1: This is much closer to the regular route the chips
27:19
Speaker 1: took out of the out of the Almost Straits. Now,
27:22
Speaker 1: what that might suggest, this is my optimistic moment. I
27:27
Speaker 1: guess this is my optimistic site that might suggest that
27:38
Speaker 1: the US is now have a maybe has a presence
27:42
Speaker 1: there in Oman. They you know, maybe in some it.
27:48
Speaker 1: Maybe they they've got some uh maybe the A tens
27:52
Speaker 1: and the helicopters are patrolling that area. They might even
27:58
Speaker 1: have some boats their ships there or maybe you know,
28:03
Speaker 1: some troops right at the tip the tip of Oman
28:05
Speaker 1: where where the trendsit happens. But they might be covering
28:09
Speaker 1: that territory to allow these ships out. And what we
28:12
Speaker 1: might be seeing right now today is basically an experiment
28:17
Speaker 1: to see if they can get away with it. So
28:19
Speaker 1: you're seeing one ship at a time crossing the money streets.
28:22
Speaker 1: Will know in a few hours whether they were successful
28:25
Speaker 1: and where they got out of the Homo Straits on
28:29
Speaker 1: the all money side, if they have and if they do,
28:33
Speaker 1: that would suggest that it's possible, right that the United
28:37
Speaker 1: States a has done enough damage to the Ranian navy
28:42
Speaker 1: infrastructure so that they are so much weaker that they
28:47
Speaker 1: can't attackt these ships. And second that the US because
28:50
Speaker 1: they have these atens and they have the helicopters flying
28:54
Speaker 1: low over the over the water looking for uh, you know,
28:59
Speaker 1: maybe speed boats, maybe missiles, potentially drones to try to
29:05
Speaker 1: shoot them out of the air. You know, maybe that
29:10
Speaker 1: is the strategy, and maybe this will allow more ships
29:13
Speaker 1: to get out of the Homo Straits. It will be interesting,
29:16
Speaker 1: and it could be that you know, Trump was faking
29:18
Speaker 1: everybody out yesterday by saying in a sense he doesn't
29:21
Speaker 1: care about the Homo Straits, and yet the military is deploying.
29:24
Speaker 1: You know, look, the military has probably a dozen different
29:28
Speaker 1: plans and how to open up the Homo Straits. There's
29:31
Speaker 1: no way, and we've heard from former Navy offices clearly
29:37
Speaker 1: the United States has plans to open the Homo States.
29:39
Speaker 1: That could be that they're slowly implementing some of those plans.
29:45
Speaker 1: Let's see. Yeah, I mean, naval infrastructure is being degraded continuously.
29:53
Speaker 1: I don't understand why there's any of that left that
29:56
Speaker 1: these two big islands that the Ranians use for the
30:00
Speaker 1: toll that are close to the Uranians shore. I don't
30:03
Speaker 1: understand why those islands have not being basically completely flattened.
30:07
Speaker 1: It's oblivion. I just don't understand it. From a military
30:11
Speaker 1: tactical perspective. If you want to open up the Homo Straits,
30:15
Speaker 1: why aren't you completely destroying the ability of the Urnians
30:18
Speaker 1: to monitor the straits? To follow it, you don't have
30:21
Speaker 1: to put ground troops on there, just use enough B
30:24
Speaker 1: fifty two's to basically level the place and then go on.
30:30
Speaker 1: So part tell exactly. Maybe we'll learn more about the
30:34
Speaker 1: tactics after the fact, right, so you know it was
30:41
Speaker 1: going to continue at least two three weeks. According to Trump,
30:45
Speaker 1: he's trying to get a deal, and the deal will
30:49
Speaker 1: be never again to restart nuclear program long range, never
30:54
Speaker 1: again to have a long range missile program, and that
30:57
Speaker 1: includes medium range missiles and limits on even the short
31:01
Speaker 1: range of yourselves, and never again to have a significant navy,
31:07
Speaker 1: and never again to use terror proxies. And that's what
31:11
Speaker 1: he wants. A deal that guarantees all that in three weeks.
31:16
Speaker 1: Don't know they're going to get it. But Trump said
31:18
Speaker 1: yesterday if you believe him that if they don't get it,
31:22
Speaker 1: he's going to take you on back to the Stone Age.
31:26
Speaker 1: I'm sympathetic, sympathetic to the sentiment of taking it back.
31:37
Speaker 1: Let's see. Yeah, you know again, there's no way for
31:46
Speaker 1: the States of Homos not to open, and and and
31:50
Speaker 1: for the US to come out of this unscathe. This
31:54
Speaker 1: is the States of Homos is a disaster if they're
31:57
Speaker 1: not opened, and if this war doesn't achieve their opening.
32:00
Speaker 1: There is a good analysis of kind of the islands
32:04
Speaker 1: around the Homo Straits in the Wall Street Journal yesterday.
32:07
Speaker 1: It's called the Islands that give you on a strong
32:10
Speaker 1: stranglehold on the Straits of Homos. It actually shows you
32:12
Speaker 1: maps of the islands where they have airports, where their ports,
32:16
Speaker 1: and this is part of what really is stunning to
32:18
Speaker 1: me how these islands still in a sense exist. The
32:22
Speaker 1: airports are still there, the ports are still there, they
32:25
Speaker 1: still live infrastructure. I mean literally these islands should be flattened.
32:30
Speaker 1: I mean the biggest island is Cassim and then opposite
32:35
Speaker 1: it is a Laraque and the ships that are proved
32:38
Speaker 1: by the Iranians going between those two the three islands
32:43
Speaker 1: I showed you on a map the other day, the Greater,
32:47
Speaker 1: Lesser Tumb and Abu Musa. Those three islands really control
32:51
Speaker 1: much of the Straits themselves, or at least the entrance
32:55
Speaker 1: into the straits. Those islands were taken by the Shah
32:58
Speaker 1: in nineteen seventy one too from the U A E.
33:02
Speaker 1: Those could easy be occupied by the US with very
33:05
Speaker 1: little cost. I think and and basically after the war
33:08
Speaker 1: returned to the U E. Uh that that that would
33:10
Speaker 1: be competition for the Yue for all the all the
33:12
Speaker 1: bad stuff that's happened to them. And oh Nate says
33:18
Speaker 1: that Air's biggest donor is the Mossad. Cool how much
33:25
Speaker 1: did they give us? I'm curious. God, I didn't know that.
33:29
Speaker 1: But is the Mossade giving us a lot of money?
33:32
Speaker 1: I hope? So anyway, that is uh, that is the I. I.
33:39
Speaker 1: If you're interested in maps, if you're interested in the
33:42
Speaker 1: in in Canadamost Straits, check out well ste journalticle yesterday
33:46
Speaker 1: on the islands that give Iran a stranglehold on the
33:49
Speaker 1: streets of Homo's. Yeah, we talked about that. Oh yeah
33:57
Speaker 1: today interesting, really interesting. Maybe this is Trump's. Trump is
34:02
Speaker 1: sending a signal today to the Iranians that he is
34:06
Speaker 1: serious about destroying the infrastructure, completely destroying the infrastructure. There
34:12
Speaker 1: was a big bridge, a major bridge, you know. It's
34:15
Speaker 1: the what is it the tallest bridge or the tallest
34:18
Speaker 1: bridge in the in the Middle East or something like that.
34:22
Speaker 1: On the it's called the B one bridge, which connects
34:25
Speaker 1: Tehran to Karaj. So this is Karag just to the west. Uh.
34:29
Speaker 1: And this bridge was used to move a lot of
34:32
Speaker 1: military equipment from Tehran towards the west. A lot of
34:37
Speaker 1: supposedly missile launchers traversed this bridge. Anyway, it's a it's
34:42
Speaker 1: a it's it's a good looking bridge. Uh. It's uh,
34:45
Speaker 1: it's it's gonna be hard to rebuild. It's over a
34:48
Speaker 1: big gorge. Uh. And uh. Today the United States, I
34:52
Speaker 1: think it was the US bombed it and created like
34:55
Speaker 1: a gap in the bridge, and and that wasn't good enough.
34:58
Speaker 1: They bombed again. In the time the columns fell down
35:02
Speaker 1: and the bridge is basically gone. Not easy to rebuild
35:05
Speaker 1: this bridge. It's gonna cost a lot of money and
35:07
Speaker 1: it's going to take a lot of time. And I
35:09
Speaker 1: think this is like a hey, Uranians. If you don't
35:13
Speaker 1: believe me about destroying the infrastructure, here's a little sampler,
35:18
Speaker 1: here's a little task. Indeed, Donald Trump tweeted, the biggest
35:24
Speaker 1: bridge in Iran comes tumbling down, never to be used again.
35:28
Speaker 1: Much more to follow. It is time for Yuan to
35:31
Speaker 1: make a deal before it's too late and there is
35:33
Speaker 1: nothing left of what still should become a great country.
35:38
Speaker 1: So you know, thumbs up on that one to Trump.
35:43
Speaker 1: That is all. That is all, good is all. Today
35:46
Speaker 1: struck the central headquarters of the IRGC and Tehran which
35:51
Speaker 1: was used. This is one of the headquarters. This one
35:53
Speaker 1: was used to manage budgets for terror activities worldwide. Funds
36:00
Speaker 1: were routed through these headquarters for two central purposes, funding
36:04
Speaker 1: and strength of Iran's armed forces by producing thousands of missiles,
36:08
Speaker 1: weapons and regimed on forces, and then funding dozens of
36:13
Speaker 1: dozens of billions of dollars to any tero regime proxies
36:16
Speaker 1: in the release amas Houtis and and the the the
36:21
Speaker 1: proxies in Iraq. They bombed us, they bombed the uh
36:27
Speaker 1: you know, they bombed the central Headquarta. But that does
36:31
Speaker 1: this also they they managed to kill the general in
36:36
Speaker 1: the IRGC responsible for these budgets and for this allocation
36:41
Speaker 1: of capital. So it is well continues to decapitate, to
36:47
Speaker 1: destroy the IRGC leadership. I mean literally dozens and dozens
36:54
Speaker 1: of these generals will be taken out uh and uh
36:58
Speaker 1: and killed. One of the horrific things that is going
37:02
Speaker 1: on while all this good stuff, relatively speaking, is happening,
37:07
Speaker 1: is that the regime itself is accelerating executions. It's accelerating
37:13
Speaker 1: executions of a regime of people from the demonstrations and
37:20
Speaker 1: just regime opponents. They've executed six hundred and fifty seven
37:24
Speaker 1: people since the beginning of the year. These are all
37:29
Speaker 1: regime opponents. These are not you know, these are not
37:35
Speaker 1: motivas or anything like that. And yeah, it continues to
37:41
Speaker 1: execute its own people in record numbers. And that is
37:44
Speaker 1: happening while all this devastation is going on. All right,
37:51
Speaker 1: let's see anything else we want to talk about, yep.
38:00
Speaker 1: I mean that is I think the war as of
38:04
Speaker 1: April second. I'll keep monitoring it for you and keep
38:07
Speaker 1: you up to date in terms of in terms of
38:11
Speaker 1: what is going on. Who is this Nate for six?
38:17
Speaker 1: Maybe we should block him? Nobody charges ninety one dollars
38:21
Speaker 1: for a band aid. You're obviously not an American, and
38:24
Speaker 1: you're obviously, you know, one of these people who are completely, thoroughly,
38:31
Speaker 1: unbelievably ignorant of the American healthcare system. All right, let's
38:43
Speaker 1: see if you want to let me just remind everybody,
38:49
Speaker 1: if you want to ask questions, I don't do it
38:51
Speaker 1: in chat. Just just put it, put a few dollars
38:57
Speaker 1: behind it, and use the super Chat. I answer all
39:00
Speaker 1: the questions in super Chet, all of them, even the
39:02
Speaker 1: ones that are insulting and negative and stupid. I answer
39:06
Speaker 1: all of them, and so put dollars behind it. I
39:10
Speaker 1: do it in the order of the dollar amount, So
39:12
Speaker 1: the more dollars you put at least above twenty and
39:15
Speaker 1: below twenty kind of the categories. So you know, please,
39:24
Speaker 1: you know, ask the questions through the super Chat. Also,
39:27
Speaker 1: if you'd like to support the show, if you get
39:30
Speaker 1: value out of the show, and you'd like to show
39:31
Speaker 1: value for value so you become a trader with me,
39:34
Speaker 1: then please consider just making a small contribution or a
39:36
Speaker 1: large contribution whatever you want in the sticker, also in
39:41
Speaker 1: the super chat tab, but just without a question, so
39:44
Speaker 1: you can do that. That would be great. We do
39:46
Speaker 1: have a target. We're on track to get to the
39:49
Speaker 1: first hour target, but we are seventy dollars short of
39:52
Speaker 1: that target. We got twenty minutes to make seventy dollars,
39:54
Speaker 1: so that shouldn't be too hot. Three twenty dollars questions
39:57
Speaker 1: will get there, or three twenty dollars stickers will get there,
39:59
Speaker 1: and anytime, just thank friend Hopper for a sticker, Stephen
40:02
Speaker 1: Happer for the sticker, and let's see who else. Yeah,
40:07
Speaker 1: those two. I really appreciate the stickers. And keep them coming. Guys.
40:13
Speaker 1: Let's see if we can make it to two fifty
40:15
Speaker 1: before the hour is out, because that's really what we
40:17
Speaker 1: need to do in order to sustain, to sustain the
40:23
Speaker 1: Iran bookshow. All right, One of the you know, one
40:29
Speaker 1: of the things that I've argued and continues to argue
40:32
Speaker 1: and been arguing for over twenty years is the fact
40:36
Speaker 1: that the fall of the Iranian regime the fall of
40:41
Speaker 1: the Uranian Islamist regime. And here it's important that what
40:45
Speaker 1: we need is the fall of Sharia law. We need
40:47
Speaker 1: the fall of the Islamist regime. Whatever the help replaces
40:51
Speaker 1: it is less important. The fall of that regime will
40:55
Speaker 1: have global consequences because it will take the wind out
40:58
Speaker 1: or take the inspiration out of the slammest movement worldwide
41:05
Speaker 1: and right now, and I think that is true, and
41:08
Speaker 1: I think that will happen. We won't go to zero
41:12
Speaker 1: because the reality is that there's one group that that
41:15
Speaker 1: is sustaining the slammest program out there, the Slommeist movement
41:29
Speaker 1: out there. And and Nate has, sorry, let me just
41:34
Speaker 1: do this. Nate has. Nate has re seats. I have
41:38
Speaker 1: a seats too. I can show you my receipts if
41:40
Speaker 1: you show me you overseats. My receipts have a band
41:43
Speaker 1: aid costing me basically two bucks and covered by insurance.
41:47
Speaker 1: I can also show you relatively expensive medication everywhere in
41:51
Speaker 1: the world that I get from basically zero from my
41:54
Speaker 1: pharmacy because it's covered by insurance. I can show you,
41:58
Speaker 1: you know, a lot of things. Is that you know,
42:01
Speaker 1: you just make stuff up? Happy to show you. You know?
42:06
Speaker 1: You can show with seats for what is charged the
42:09
Speaker 1: insurance company. You have never paid. You have never paid
42:12
Speaker 1: ninety one bucks a band aid. I have good insurance.
42:16
Speaker 1: I do. I have good insurance. I pay and I
42:18
Speaker 1: get good insurance. I don't get good insurance. I have
42:20
Speaker 1: a high deductible in that sense, I have a high deductible,
42:23
Speaker 1: but my pharmacy. You know, there are certain drugs today.
42:27
Speaker 1: If you buy genetic drugs in the United States, those
42:30
Speaker 1: genetic drugs about ninety seven percent cheaper than they are
42:33
Speaker 1: anywhere else in the world. So you know, you go
42:43
Speaker 1: and get your health insurance anywhere else in the world, sorry,
42:45
Speaker 1: your health care anywhere else in the world, and you compare.
42:50
Speaker 1: I've lived under socialized medicine, and I monitor socialized medicine.
42:54
Speaker 1: I'll take the American system any day, any day. And
42:57
Speaker 1: I know, I know some of you retreated badly by
42:59
Speaker 1: the American health gist system, by the insurance companies and
43:01
Speaker 1: so on. I sympathize, and I'm sorry that you've been
43:04
Speaker 1: treated badly. My experience is being unbelievable. I've been here,
43:09
Speaker 1: I've been in the United States since for almost forty years,
43:13
Speaker 1: almost forty years, and I've never had a problem with insurance.
43:17
Speaker 1: I even had you know, kids born I had by
43:24
Speaker 1: C section when C section was not covered. I was
43:27
Speaker 1: a student, I had nothing. Everything was fine. None of
43:31
Speaker 1: it has driven me into bankruptcy. None of it has
43:33
Speaker 1: made me angry. None of it. I've had surgeries, I've
43:36
Speaker 1: had everything. I've had really really weird, you know, symptoms.
43:41
Speaker 1: I've been in emergency rooms, I've been all over the place,
43:45
Speaker 1: and my treatment has been eight plus and I'm a
43:47
Speaker 1: son of a doctor. Eight plus and the cost to
43:50
Speaker 1: me has been trivial given the the quality that I've gotten,
43:56
Speaker 1: the cost has been trivial. Now, the healthcare system should
44:01
Speaker 1: be a thousand times better, and would be a thousand
44:04
Speaker 1: times better in a free market, but it's still better
44:08
Speaker 1: than it would be under socialized healthcare. It just is so. Yes,
44:16
Speaker 1: if you have insurance, you still get the best healthcare
44:19
Speaker 1: in the world, even if sometimes it's a hassle. And yes,
44:23
Speaker 1: I know that's not universal. Some you don't, but my
44:27
Speaker 1: experience is being one hundred percent positive. Anyway, I'm going
44:31
Speaker 1: to forget about Nate. I won't block him, but I
44:34
Speaker 1: forget about him, and we'll talk about the Muslim brotherhood.
44:36
Speaker 1: The Muslim brotherhood basically is what is keeping the Islamist
44:40
Speaker 1: vision alive outside of the Iranians. The Wisdom Brotherhood is
44:46
Speaker 1: unwelcome in the Middle East. Muslim Motherhood is being kicked
44:51
Speaker 1: out of Egypt, and basically their members of killed. The
44:56
Speaker 1: organization's banned and its leaders and pre have been kicked
45:00
Speaker 1: out of Egypt, the birthplace of the Muslim Brotherhood. Saudi
45:05
Speaker 1: Arabia has dramatically co trained activities of the Muslim Brotherhood.
45:09
Speaker 1: They used to be a big base. Indeed, initially, when
45:13
Speaker 1: the Muslim Brotherhood ran away from Egypt in the nineteen
45:18
Speaker 1: sixty nineteen seventies, they went to Saudi Arabia and it
45:21
Speaker 1: was the Muslim Brotherhood teachers who taught Bin Ladin. So
45:26
Speaker 1: Bin Ladin was educated by Muslim brotherhoods in Saudi universities.
45:32
Speaker 1: But Saudis have had enough of them. They kicked them
45:35
Speaker 1: out of Saudi Arabia. The Yue will have nothing to
45:37
Speaker 1: do with them. They're completely illegal in the Yui. Yui
45:39
Speaker 1: is adamantly against the Muslim Brotherhood. The only foothold they
45:44
Speaker 1: have in the Middle East really is Qatara and to
45:51
Speaker 1: some extent Syria under the new regen. However, outside of that,
45:57
Speaker 1: where is the big stronghold of Muslim Brotherhood. Well, sadly
46:03
Speaker 1: it's in Europe. Europe is the bastion of Muslim Brotherhood
46:11
Speaker 1: activism preaching organization. The fact is that the refusal of
46:20
Speaker 1: Europe to see Islamism as an existential threat has prevented
46:27
Speaker 1: them from restricting the Muslim Brotherhood. I mean Trump has
46:32
Speaker 1: now defined the Muslim Motherhood as a terrorist organization, but
46:37
Speaker 1: only certain branches of it, not universally. He should have,
46:41
Speaker 1: but not universally because he doesn't want to piss off
46:44
Speaker 1: the Qataris, because he has something going on with Kato.
46:47
Speaker 1: There's some love, you know, some friendship, deep friendship going
46:52
Speaker 1: on there, but with the Qataris, so you know, that
47:00
Speaker 1: is that is the United States. But Europe is completely
47:06
Speaker 1: ignoring the problem. Muslim Botherood is actively openly working in Europe. Now.
47:14
Speaker 1: As I said, I think the Ranian failure will take
47:16
Speaker 1: a lot of the wind out of the sale of
47:18
Speaker 1: the Muslim other but not completely. There will still have
47:21
Speaker 1: to be some thing, and they also take a lot
47:23
Speaker 1: of funding. There's no question in my mind that a
47:25
Speaker 1: lot of the funding the Muslim Brotherhood gets, particularly in Europe,
47:29
Speaker 1: comes from Iran indirectly. Even though the Muslim Otherud is
47:32
Speaker 1: Sunni and the Uranians are Shia. That has never prevented
47:37
Speaker 1: the Ranians in the past. They gave huge amounts of
47:39
Speaker 1: money billions and billions, billions and billions of dollars to Ramas,
47:43
Speaker 1: which was a Sunni organization. And you know, the Muslim
47:50
Speaker 1: Brotherhood has has grown in Europe as it has lost
47:57
Speaker 1: influence in the Middle East. It's leading preachers have moved
48:03
Speaker 1: to Europe. They preach the same kind of stuff they
48:07
Speaker 1: used to preach in in the Middle East. Hatred of
48:09
Speaker 1: the West, hatred of anybody other than Muslims, uh Sharia law,
48:16
Speaker 1: Islamic takeover of the West, the legitimacy of using violence
48:19
Speaker 1: against the West, the legitimacy of rape and pillage and
48:23
Speaker 1: torture and anything in the name of Islam, and the
48:27
Speaker 1: West just goes yeah, well, we just have to tolerate
48:30
Speaker 1: that because we're a good old uh you know, uh,
48:34
Speaker 1: I don't know Western liberals or whatever. So even if
48:39
Speaker 1: you hon is taken out, while again Muslim b will
48:43
Speaker 1: become a lot weaka, they'll have a lot less money
48:45
Speaker 1: and a lot of their passion will be gone. Given
48:50
Speaker 1: that Iran the one symbol of a country ruled by
48:53
Speaker 1: Sharia successful and and and one that is a threat
48:57
Speaker 1: say all the other countries including Israel in the United
49:00
Speaker 1: that has taken out that is eliminated. Maybe Allah doesn't
49:05
Speaker 1: support Sharia la. Maybe Allah is not as powerful as
49:09
Speaker 1: they think he is, and yet they will still have
49:15
Speaker 1: some influence, and it's gonna be up to the Europeans
49:19
Speaker 1: and Americans to clamp down on them again. The only
49:26
Speaker 1: you know, here's a funny story. I think I've mentioned
49:29
Speaker 1: this in the past. The UAE government is clamping down
49:36
Speaker 1: on scholarships for students who go to study in England
49:41
Speaker 1: because they're afraid that those students will be radicalized into
49:48
Speaker 1: Islamism in UK universities. That's pretty amazing, right. You've got
50:00
Speaker 1: places in Belgium where you have parallel societies and where
50:04
Speaker 1: Sharia law is the law, and where the police don't go.
50:10
Speaker 1: In Germany, you see, you know, Islamic Muslim otherhood groups
50:16
Speaker 1: growing in various cities. In Sweden, the Muslim Brotherhood again
50:24
Speaker 1: funded in this case by the Qataris, and I have
50:28
Speaker 1: you know, the Katari is a part of the enemy.
50:31
Speaker 1: Like every time like the Iranians bomb Katar, I go yes,
50:36
Speaker 1: But the Katari fund the Muslim brotherhood in Sweden. You know,
50:41
Speaker 1: there is a hotbed of Islamist ideology driven by Muslim
50:45
Speaker 1: brotherhood with Katari funding. Now Katsa is gonna have a
50:48
Speaker 1: lot less money because they're l and g stuff was bombed.
50:55
Speaker 1: Maybe the world will wake up to Qatar. Maybe if
50:58
Speaker 1: kata wants to join the Abama Accords, they will have
51:01
Speaker 1: to stop they support of the Muslim Brotherhood. I don't know,
51:05
Speaker 1: we will see how all it plays out. But I
51:08
Speaker 1: think that if you run falls, a lot of these
51:11
Speaker 1: other dominoes will fall. So yeah, I mean, the reality
51:21
Speaker 1: is that the Muslim others is a real threat in Europe,
51:28
Speaker 1: and Europeans are not taking it seriously at all. They
51:30
Speaker 1: don't see the care and the Moslim Brotherhood is explicitly,
51:37
Speaker 1: explicitly hostile to the West. It is inspired by the
51:42
Speaker 1: writings of Muslim Brotherhood intellectual will call him said Koubbd
51:47
Speaker 1: who lived in America for a while and was super
51:51
Speaker 1: hostile to America and to the West, and you know,
51:56
Speaker 1: believed in the secular governance. Any kind of secular governments
52:01
Speaker 1: must be opposed, and whether it's in Arab states or
52:04
Speaker 1: in Western states, all right, So you know, maybe maybe
52:14
Speaker 1: at some point with the fall of you on, people
52:18
Speaker 1: will also wake up and have the courage to resist
52:22
Speaker 1: themisim brotherhood? I think If you do that, then the
52:25
Speaker 1: Islamist cause is finished. All Islam needs is to somebody
52:29
Speaker 1: stand up against it and push and they will crumble.
52:32
Speaker 1: They will crumble. They are powerless, just like the Iranians
52:37
Speaker 1: right now, a powerless against the American and Israeli forces.
52:44
Speaker 1: Their power lies in our own weakness. The power lies
52:49
Speaker 1: in our own weakness. All right, Let me again remind
52:53
Speaker 1: you that we have a target to each So questions, questions,
52:59
Speaker 1: you have to shape the show. I mean, I see
53:01
Speaker 1: there's a lot of passion in the chat. Ask a
53:04
Speaker 1: question about it. Challenge me in the chat, Challenge me
53:07
Speaker 1: in the super chat about it. Don't be cheap, all right.
53:16
Speaker 1: A year ago, a year ago today, April second, President
53:22
Speaker 1: Trump stood stood at elected in the Rose Garden and
53:25
Speaker 1: announced Liberation Day. He put out a booklet of trade barriers,
53:33
Speaker 1: told the crowd that the tariffs that he was imposing
53:39
Speaker 1: would create jobs and factories will come rowing back in
53:42
Speaker 1: our country, and that it's going to happen immediately, and
53:46
Speaker 1: it's going to happen fast, and the American economy is
53:48
Speaker 1: going to do amazingly well. A year later, we can
53:59
Speaker 1: look back say not so fast, jobs and factories have
54:04
Speaker 1: not materialized, certainly, not on any grand scale. Indeed, manufacturing
54:11
Speaker 1: payroll has actually declined over the past year, with ninety
54:17
Speaker 1: eight thousand fewer jobs year over year, ninety eight thousand
54:22
Speaker 1: fewer jobs, twenty nine thousand, nine hundred fewer jobs in
54:27
Speaker 1: auto manufacturing, eighteen thousand fewer in wood manufacturing jobs. These
54:33
Speaker 1: are two sectors the President's tasks were particularly aimed at
54:38
Speaker 1: trying to protect Higher tariffs on steel and aluminum have
54:44
Speaker 1: hindered the construction of factories. The industry's hiring rate, often
54:48
Speaker 1: a reflection of confidence in economic in the economy, is
54:52
Speaker 1: lower now than it was in twenty nineteen or just
54:57
Speaker 1: before the onset of the COVID. So the protectionist industrial
55:06
Speaker 1: policy has not done what Trump and all these people
55:09
Speaker 1: have promised it would do. Yeah. Uh, you know, generally
55:17
Speaker 1: people are super frustrated with the taffs. It has very
55:20
Speaker 1: little support among the voters. Tabs have driven up prices
55:26
Speaker 1: of selective goods. They made life more expensive. The whole
55:32
Speaker 1: affordability supposedly, the so called affordability it's a it's a
55:36
Speaker 1: it's an anti concept. But the so called affordability crisis
55:42
Speaker 1: is is real, partially because of these tasks which have
55:51
Speaker 1: made a lot of what people buy on a regular
55:54
Speaker 1: basis more expensive. And you know, it's just a made America.
56:03
Speaker 1: I mean, the way Trump used those tariffs that he
56:06
Speaker 1: that he launched on April second, Now it's just made
56:11
Speaker 1: America thugish. Uh. You know, every country has its own
56:17
Speaker 1: country specific tariffs, and they all have their own so
56:21
Speaker 1: called deals and trade policies and and and it's been
56:25
Speaker 1: a mess and really a disaster. Nothing good has come
56:28
Speaker 1: of it. And then of course, as we know, the
56:30
Speaker 1: Supreme Court ruled it all unconstitutional, and the consequence of
56:35
Speaker 1: that has been like, oh, set of new tariffs that
56:38
Speaker 1: don't make any sense and have done really no good
56:44
Speaker 1: as a consequence. Right, So you know, the tariffs that
56:56
Speaker 1: were launched back then have been, without quote, ushi amazer,
57:02
Speaker 1: a major disaster, both in the courts and more importantly
57:06
Speaker 1: in the economy and in our relationships with our friends,
57:11
Speaker 1: because the tariffs were mostly targeted at our friends. Last month,
57:16
Speaker 1: Trump replaced some of these tariffs with a three or
57:20
Speaker 1: one Section three or one investigation. This is where you
57:23
Speaker 1: have to go through investigation to determine unfair trade practices
57:28
Speaker 1: so that you can impose tabs. He included dozens of
57:32
Speaker 1: trading partners in this investigation, including China, the Hu, Japan, Switzerland, India,
57:38
Speaker 1: And that'll allow Trump to return to a country specific
57:42
Speaker 1: tarik scheme once these investigations are done, and that will
57:47
Speaker 1: replace the ten percent universal tariff which he later raised
57:53
Speaker 1: the fifteen percent that he put when the court decided
57:56
Speaker 1: to throw out the liberation detas. So generally, the towers
58:02
Speaker 1: that were passed a year ago with a lot of
58:04
Speaker 1: fan fait, with lots of promises. By the way, you know,
58:08
Speaker 1: the one hundred and sixty six billion dollars that were
58:11
Speaker 1: raised as revenue now have to be returned, and that's
58:16
Speaker 1: a major headache for the Treasury Department, and they need
58:19
Speaker 1: to be returned, by the way, with interest. And it's
58:24
Speaker 1: just an example of the complete unthinking nature of this administration,
58:34
Speaker 1: complete unthinking nature of this administration, you know, all right.
58:47
Speaker 1: I mean, one of the phenomenas that have happened as
58:49
Speaker 1: a consequence of Trump Trump's tals is that our allies
58:56
Speaker 1: have gone looking for trade elsewhere. We talked about this
58:58
Speaker 1: on the show quite a bit. There's all a lot
59:00
Speaker 1: of free trade deals that exclude the United States. UH
59:05
Speaker 1: and the consequences. So there's a lot of going around it.
59:10
Speaker 1: So the rest of the world is somehow going to survive.
59:13
Speaker 1: We get we're the ones who are stupidly texting own
59:16
Speaker 1: people in order to do this, right, So you're going
59:20
Speaker 1: to see more deals by the EU, more deals by
59:23
Speaker 1: the UK, more deals even with China, more deals by Canada,
59:28
Speaker 1: and less and less and less interest in trading with
59:31
Speaker 1: the United States. Given the complete insanity of what has
59:36
Speaker 1: happened over the last year with regard to terriffs, maybe
59:42
Speaker 1: Trump's worst policy in his in his two terms was
59:48
Speaker 1: a year ago, the terriffs, and you know it's also
59:54
Speaker 1: you know, caused the friction with a lot of our
59:56
Speaker 1: allies which is now being exacerbated by the war and
1:00:00
Speaker 1: buy his threats to invade Greenland and all of that.
1:00:03
Speaker 1: But not good. Nothing good. I can't think of anything
1:00:08
Speaker 1: good to come out of the liberation tarives, literally nothing.
1:00:18
Speaker 1: All right, So that's one year anniversary of that. All right,
1:00:25
Speaker 1: this is breaking news. I don't have a lot to
1:00:27
Speaker 1: say about this, but it's news. And we did the
1:00:29
Speaker 1: news here on the euon bookshow. Supposey Trump has fired
1:00:35
Speaker 1: Pam Bondi, who was attorney General. He did so in
1:00:40
Speaker 1: a meeting that he had with her yesterday just before
1:00:42
Speaker 1: his speech. He had her at the Oval office and
1:00:47
Speaker 1: told her that she would be fired in the days
1:00:50
Speaker 1: to come. He's going to keep her in an administration, he's
1:00:52
Speaker 1: going to give her a different job, but she will
1:00:55
Speaker 1: no longer be the attorney general. You know, his disputes
1:01:00
Speaker 1: with the have to do with the way the Epstein
1:01:03
Speaker 1: files were dealt with. We still don't have all of
1:01:08
Speaker 1: them out, and again, if you dig in deep into them,
1:01:11
Speaker 1: Trump does not come out well from them, and he's
1:01:15
Speaker 1: not happy with that. But I think the main problem
1:01:18
Speaker 1: he has with Pambondi is that she did not go
1:01:23
Speaker 1: out and basically indict and arrest all of Trump's political opponents.
1:01:31
Speaker 1: He's got a list of people that in his view,
1:01:35
Speaker 1: in his mind, need to be arrested, need to be
1:01:38
Speaker 1: persecuted and prosecuted and persecuted and prosecuted. And this is
1:01:42
Speaker 1: what Maga is really passionate about. If all the things
1:01:45
Speaker 1: mag is passionate, this is the thing that really animates them.
1:01:50
Speaker 1: You know, jail them, put them in jail. Pepwalks and
1:01:57
Speaker 1: you know she tried, and the barrier she hit was
1:02:01
Speaker 1: the barrier of the American legal system, and she wasn't
1:02:06
Speaker 1: quite willing to completely ignore it and go all out. Now,
1:02:12
Speaker 1: it's interesting that supposedly he is thinking of replacing her
1:02:16
Speaker 1: with EPA administrator Lee Zeldon, former congressman who's done a
1:02:21
Speaker 1: good job at the EPA from by the accounts I've read,
1:02:26
Speaker 1: But he doesn't seem like leez Elden does not seem
1:02:29
Speaker 1: like a maga crazy. He doesn't seem like the kind
1:02:36
Speaker 1: of guy who would go after all these people at
1:02:41
Speaker 1: at the President's wehasked and ignore the rule of law.
1:02:44
Speaker 1: So it is going to be interesting to see who
1:02:47
Speaker 1: he appoints, whether he finds somebody that's more of a
1:02:52
Speaker 1: yes man than Pam Bondy. I mean, she was the
1:02:55
Speaker 1: ultimate yes woman, but she just couldn't do it. She
1:03:06
Speaker 1: just couldn't fill his wishes, his unlawful, arbitrary, random desires. Right,
1:03:24
Speaker 1: So we'll see what comes next, all right. You know,
1:03:38
Speaker 1: there's you know, a lot of press around this guy
1:03:42
Speaker 1: running for governor in Florida, James Fishback. James Fishback is
1:03:48
Speaker 1: a candidate in the Republican primaries to replace, you know,
1:03:55
Speaker 1: the current governor of Florida who is turned out. He
1:04:00
Speaker 1: is young, energetic, and is attracting, by all accounts, attracting
1:04:09
Speaker 1: large audiences of young Republicans. Uh, and you know, he's
1:04:16
Speaker 1: being interviewed, he's going on a lot of the big, big,
1:04:19
Speaker 1: big podcasts. He is getting a huge amount of attention
1:04:25
Speaker 1: primarily by what you would call the fall right, the
1:04:29
Speaker 1: you know, the he so, And what is amazing is
1:04:35
Speaker 1: is just the level of interest is in him by
1:04:40
Speaker 1: young Republicans. So when he goes on campuses, he is
1:04:43
Speaker 1: a he's a major hit the young Republican, young Republicans
1:04:48
Speaker 1: of like University of Florida, Big Back of of James
1:04:55
Speaker 1: Fishback and uh, you know, so who is this guy? Now?
1:05:01
Speaker 1: He's getting to be clear in the polls at least
1:05:06
Speaker 1: he's going very very low that he's not a real
1:05:09
Speaker 1: contender at least according to the polls. But he's a
1:05:13
Speaker 1: real contender when it comes to young people. And we'll
1:05:16
Speaker 1: get to why that's important in a minute. You know,
1:05:22
Speaker 1: he gets hundreds of people at any given talk that
1:05:26
Speaker 1: he gives. But again, those hundreds of people all young,
1:05:30
Speaker 1: all young college age in the twenties, and what is
1:05:36
Speaker 1: his agenda, Well, it's it's it's really an agenda of
1:05:44
Speaker 1: the far right. He hears some random stuff that he
1:05:49
Speaker 1: wants to do, right, you know, he wants to put
1:05:53
Speaker 1: a tax, a fifty percent tax on only fans, you know,
1:05:57
Speaker 1: only fans upon site. Basically he wants to make it.
1:06:05
Speaker 1: Basically Leo, it's you for Florida business at hire h
1:06:10
Speaker 1: one b s. Let me do something here once. Uh
1:06:30
Speaker 1: he he basically uh, you know, wants to wants to
1:06:38
Speaker 1: use the state in order to lower the cost of
1:06:41
Speaker 1: living for young Americans. He wants to make sure that
1:06:45
Speaker 1: no Florida money leaves this leaves the country. He uh,
1:06:50
Speaker 1: you know. He he's very anti Israel, you know, probably
1:06:56
Speaker 1: anti Semitical, plays that game of somewhat anti Semitics. He's
1:07:02
Speaker 1: a basically will He's a fan of Nick Foyintes and
1:07:05
Speaker 1: plays the Nick Voyantis as crowd. He's he's defended He's
1:07:11
Speaker 1: defended Nick fointess On on several occasions, right, and even
1:07:16
Speaker 1: sported Nick Foyintis merchandise himself. He sounds a lot like
1:07:20
Speaker 1: Taker Colson. I think it's been on Tacker Colson show.
1:07:25
Speaker 1: He claims to be a patriotic Christian. He's Catholic. Uh
1:07:35
Speaker 1: and uh that this country is a country four Christians
1:07:38
Speaker 1: by Christians, full Christians again very opposed to Israel, very
1:07:45
Speaker 1: you know again that the kind of the borderline anti
1:07:47
Speaker 1: semit Semitic that is playing to all the anti Semites
1:07:51
Speaker 1: without saying stuff that might cause you to just go
1:07:54
Speaker 1: over all. Right, let me see what's just going on
1:08:04
Speaker 1: in the chat, just to clean it up a little bit.
1:08:10
Speaker 1: Let me see again, let me see if this will work.
1:08:17
Speaker 1: Yeah right, uh so, Uh, he's clearly you know whether
1:08:25
Speaker 1: he personally is a racist or not, and then I submit,
1:08:28
Speaker 1: I don't know, but he plays to the racist gropa crowd.
1:08:32
Speaker 1: He plays to the antisemitic crowd. In his own personal life,
1:08:39
Speaker 1: he's being sued by his former employer. He's been accused
1:08:43
Speaker 1: of being a con man. Uh, he's been accused of
1:08:47
Speaker 1: harassing his former girlfriend. He is doesn't seem like a
1:08:52
Speaker 1: particularly nice guy just in terms of his personal models.
1:08:56
Speaker 1: But of course, you know, why would that stop anybody
1:09:00
Speaker 1: given the president of the United States and who he is, right,
1:09:08
Speaker 1: you know, he says, for example, this is what he
1:09:10
Speaker 1: would do if you're hiring h one b workers for
1:09:12
Speaker 1: forty thousand dollars and you would have paid a Florida
1:09:15
Speaker 1: work at the American Workers seventy thousand dollars you'll find
1:09:18
Speaker 1: is going to be thirty thousand dollars. We're going to
1:09:21
Speaker 1: make it cost neutral because if it's the same cost,
1:09:24
Speaker 1: guess what, who do you choose. We aren't choosing Indians
1:09:29
Speaker 1: because they're smarter, because they're better thinkers, because they're better communicators.
1:09:33
Speaker 1: Let's just be honest. The employers are choosing them because
1:09:36
Speaker 1: they're cheaper, which is of course it's complete bs, complete bs.
1:09:41
Speaker 1: They often are smarter, and you know that by the
1:09:45
Speaker 1: fact that the Indians are are the highest earning, you
1:09:49
Speaker 1: know group in America. They are harder working, they are
1:09:55
Speaker 1: more dedicated, some of them are better thinkers. Yeah, and
1:10:01
Speaker 1: who's going to determine what you would have paid somebody?
1:10:04
Speaker 1: So he's a statist, an interventionist, and a again borderline racist,
1:10:13
Speaker 1: well white borderline just a racist who placed all the
1:10:20
Speaker 1: kind of social issues and economic issues that animate young
1:10:26
Speaker 1: Republicans these days, anti Israel, anti Jews, anti immigrants, anti
1:10:32
Speaker 1: h one b's And yeah, we don't believe in the
1:10:38
Speaker 1: titlements unless we're the ones we're perceiving them that were
1:10:40
Speaker 1: cool with the titlements. That's young Republicans now supposedly young Republicans.
1:10:46
Speaker 1: For example, in Florida, there's huge splits because the fall
1:10:50
Speaker 1: right is taking over the groups at universities and they're
1:10:55
Speaker 1: fighting among each other. So, you know, this takeover by
1:11:00
Speaker 1: the far right, the noise that the goypas are making,
1:11:04
Speaker 1: we could dismiss it now because there's such a small
1:11:07
Speaker 1: segment of the population at the end of the day,
1:11:12
Speaker 1: but the reality is that that will not necessarily stay
1:11:15
Speaker 1: that way. I mean, think about the mum Danni crowd.
1:11:23
Speaker 1: Where was the Mamdani crowd five years ago, ten years ago?
1:11:33
Speaker 1: They were where James Fishbank is now. They were attracting
1:11:39
Speaker 1: large audiences of young leftists on campuses, but scoring single
1:11:44
Speaker 1: digits in elections when it came to actually being elected
1:11:47
Speaker 1: to anything. And they kept building, they kept working, they
1:11:54
Speaker 1: kept inspiring their crazy troops, they kept radicalizing, they kept
1:12:01
Speaker 1: spouting this socialist nonsense, and they made socialism, you know,
1:12:10
Speaker 1: acceptable among young Democrats. And those young democrats, those young Democrats,
1:12:24
Speaker 1: you know, they grow up and they influence other Democrats
1:12:28
Speaker 1: and slowly, over time, you know, they they become dominant.
1:12:38
Speaker 1: And when the right circumstances happened among Donnie can win.
1:12:44
Speaker 1: So what right now, the Gouipahs and the far right
1:12:47
Speaker 1: and all these you know, they're not going to sway elections.
1:12:53
Speaker 1: But in ten years, if they're not stopped, if they're
1:13:00
Speaker 1: not debated, if they're not ridiculed, if we don't show
1:13:04
Speaker 1: how so their positions are, if we don't challenge them,
1:13:09
Speaker 1: and most importantly, if we don't offer a positive alternative
1:13:14
Speaker 1: to them, then they will gain ground. They will grow
1:13:24
Speaker 1: an impact. And I know some of you are worried
1:13:27
Speaker 1: about fascism. Trump is not going to be the fascist
1:13:30
Speaker 1: too takes over this country. But ten years from now,
1:13:37
Speaker 1: maybe it's somebody like James Fishbank. Probably not, he's too
1:13:40
Speaker 1: slazy and scummy and and and too obviously in it
1:13:46
Speaker 1: for the attention. But maybe a somebody else who comes
1:13:51
Speaker 1: about who's charismatic and holds these same ideas. And it's
1:13:57
Speaker 1: the James Fishbanks of the world for anticis of the world,
1:14:01
Speaker 1: the Tucker Cousins of the world, the Candide owners of
1:14:03
Speaker 1: the world, who we didn't take seriously because they were
1:14:06
Speaker 1: all whack out well, they prepared, they softened the culture
1:14:13
Speaker 1: up for exactly these ideas. So don't dismiss them because
1:14:18
Speaker 1: they can't succeed. I mean, fish Bank is getting four
1:14:22
Speaker 1: percent right now in the Florida twenty twenty six Republican primary,
1:14:27
Speaker 1: and Byron Donald's, who's a black Republican endorsed by Trumps,
1:14:32
Speaker 1: got forty six percent and probably will be the Republican candidate.
1:14:36
Speaker 1: But there also thirty nine percent undecided, So who knows, right,
1:14:44
Speaker 1: But yep, he is very dangerous and uh, he's I mean,
1:14:56
Speaker 1: and the fact that he's that this is so attractive
1:14:59
Speaker 1: to young people. That's where we really need to think about.
1:15:02
Speaker 1: What is it about him that makes him so appealing
1:15:08
Speaker 1: to young people? What is it about young people today
1:15:11
Speaker 1: that makes him attracted to Nick Fuentis and James Fishbank
1:15:15
Speaker 1: and Tucker Coulson and basically kind of fascist like ideas,
1:15:23
Speaker 1: And how do we challenge it and how do we
1:15:26
Speaker 1: offer them an alternative? How do we offer them something better,
1:15:29
Speaker 1: something more exciting, something pro life, something about a real
1:15:36
Speaker 1: better future or does it all have to collapse before
1:15:41
Speaker 1: anybody learns anything. So we can learn from the rise
1:15:46
Speaker 1: of the left kind of the wackiness, how the wacky
1:15:51
Speaker 1: left became mainstream. We can learn and extrapolate for how
1:15:56
Speaker 1: the wacky right is going to become mainstream. Watch out
1:16:01
Speaker 1: all right. An interesting paper published today in Nature magazine.
1:16:07
Speaker 1: This is a paper that basically looked at three thousand,
1:16:12
Speaker 1: nine hundred, three nine hundred social sciences papers. These are
1:16:17
Speaker 1: papers in let me just see here, what were the disciplines? Yeah,
1:16:26
Speaker 1: including economics, education, psychology, and sociology and eight hundred and
1:16:34
Speaker 1: sixty So again, so these are papers published in sixty
1:16:38
Speaker 1: two different journals. They took the thirty nine hundred papers
1:16:44
Speaker 1: and they had six eight hundred and sixty five researchers
1:16:47
Speaker 1: pulling over these papers. Uh, and they tried to figure
1:16:52
Speaker 1: out whether these papers were right, these are published papers
1:16:58
Speaker 1: in respectable journals other results, can they replicate the results?
1:17:09
Speaker 1: And what they found was I don't think surprising, but
1:17:14
Speaker 1: what they found was that over half in over half
1:17:17
Speaker 1: the cases, they could not replicate the results. Now, this
1:17:22
Speaker 1: is a big project that was run by I Guess
1:17:25
Speaker 1: out of Stanford University, involved again hundreds of researchers. What
1:17:30
Speaker 1: they did was they tried to recreate the data and
1:17:35
Speaker 1: retest it. In only fifty two percent of the papers
1:17:40
Speaker 1: could they even reproduce the results once they recreated the data. Now,
1:17:49
Speaker 1: in many of the papers, they couldn't reproduce the data,
1:17:57
Speaker 1: so either the authors didn't provide the data or or
1:18:01
Speaker 1: you know, the data was obscure, or they couldn't they
1:18:05
Speaker 1: couldn't access it. So out of six hundred papers I
1:18:07
Speaker 1: looked at, only one hundred and forty five actually contained
1:18:10
Speaker 1: enough detail to actually reproduce. And then of those only
1:18:16
Speaker 1: half reproduced the results. So half they managed to get
1:18:22
Speaker 1: the right data. But when they ran the tests it
1:18:26
Speaker 1: was also different. Now a lot of reasons why this
1:18:32
Speaker 1: could happen. They could be errors, They could be fraud,
1:18:41
Speaker 1: or they could be you know, that they didn't reproduce
1:18:45
Speaker 1: the data accurately enough, and they could have been error
1:18:49
Speaker 1: fought in the original papers. But in every one of
1:18:53
Speaker 1: the different types of tests that they looked at, they
1:18:56
Speaker 1: looked at studies robustness, right, they look at a hundred papers.
1:19:03
Speaker 1: In two percent of them they came to exactly the
1:19:07
Speaker 1: opposite conclusion of what the authors came to with exactly
1:19:10
Speaker 1: the same data, opposite conclusion, not just no conclusion, opposite. So,
1:19:22
Speaker 1: you know, a lot of troubling results in the study
1:19:27
Speaker 1: that really, you know, make you wonder about all these
1:19:31
Speaker 1: papers that come out and and claim to have found
1:19:36
Speaker 1: something interesting. And this is true in economics, sociology, psychology, education,
1:19:44
Speaker 1: but it's also true in the medical sciences. You know,
1:19:47
Speaker 1: the diet stuff that comes out all the time telling
1:19:50
Speaker 1: you oh, and the life extension stuff that comes out
1:19:53
Speaker 1: all the time. A lot of those studies are not
1:19:56
Speaker 1: replicable when people and a lot of times when people
1:20:02
Speaker 1: try to replicate them, they get very different results. So
1:20:08
Speaker 1: the thing is, don't get too excited by the stuff
1:20:13
Speaker 1: that you read by so called scientific results statistical analysis.
1:20:22
Speaker 1: It's so easy to fudge results. It's so easy to
1:20:27
Speaker 1: do stuff that's not quite fad but tilts it in
1:20:33
Speaker 1: your favor. If you know the kind of result you
1:20:35
Speaker 1: actually want to get, you've got to be careful of
1:20:41
Speaker 1: any kind of statistical papers out there, and particularly when
1:20:45
Speaker 1: they make strong, strong arguments. This is why it's important.
1:20:54
Speaker 1: When you get a results that's good or strong, other
1:21:02
Speaker 1: researchers need to redo the study or do it a
1:21:05
Speaker 1: little differently, or try to replicate. And only when two
1:21:10
Speaker 1: or three different studies different groups show a particularly result,
1:21:14
Speaker 1: can you go, yeah, okay, now that makes sense. Maybe
1:21:18
Speaker 1: I'll act on that. Very difficult to act on anything
1:21:23
Speaker 1: that is reported that is just one study. All right.
1:21:34
Speaker 1: Thank you guys. That is the news for Thursday, April second.
1:21:38
Speaker 1: Thank you all for being here. Thank you to all
1:21:39
Speaker 1: the super chatters. Thank you for all the chatters, or
1:21:43
Speaker 1: most of the chatters, not all of you behaved. Thank
1:21:47
Speaker 1: you Wes just today fifty dollars sticker. Thank you, Wes
1:21:50
Speaker 1: really really really appreciate that. Thank you to Alan, also Stiker,
1:21:55
Speaker 1: CP Milkin, Thank you Cep Milk and named al to
1:22:00
Speaker 1: one of my favorite financiers of all time. Greg, thank
1:22:04
Speaker 1: you for the sticker. And Enrick and I think I
1:22:10
Speaker 1: got everybody because I think I think some of you
1:22:12
Speaker 1: early we can thank you again though a friend Hopper
1:22:15
Speaker 1: and Steven got us all started with the stickers. Thank
1:22:18
Speaker 1: you guys. With Wes is fifty dollars sticker, we are
1:22:23
Speaker 1: now down to only one hundred dollars to make us
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Speaker 1: take an hour goal. So please consider supporting the show
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Speaker 1: so we can make out all of the goals if
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1:22:40
Speaker 1: That's kind of what's required at least on a monthly basis.
1:22:43
Speaker 1: Once in a while we exceed, so sometimes we can
1:22:45
Speaker 1: be under, but on average we have to make the goal,
1:22:48
Speaker 1: because that's that's what I live on, and that's the target,
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Speaker 1: and that's what makes it possible for me to do
1:22:53
Speaker 1: the show. Value for value guys, and asking questions is
1:22:58
Speaker 1: great because you get to challenge me. You get to
1:23:01
Speaker 1: determine what I talk about, which is great. All right,
1:23:07
Speaker 1: let me remind you of some of us sponsors. I'm
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Speaker 1: April eighteenth and nineteenth. It's coming up two weeks. It's
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Speaker 1: let's see other other sponsors. Alex Epstein. Alex Epstein is
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Speaker 1: alex Epstein. The substack dot com for invaluable information about
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Speaker 1: those topics which are at the hearts of what's going
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Speaker 1: the cost of living is going to be moving forward,
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Speaker 1: given the importance of energy and everything everything that we do,
1:24:47
Speaker 1: and particularly now with how are we gonna how are
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Speaker 1: you going to provide energy to all these AI data
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Speaker 1: centers that are going to be consumers of energy? Check
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Speaker 1: out Alex Epstein to substack com. All right, let's finally
1:25:05
Speaker 1: one last reminder. Remind you one way, one additional way
1:25:09
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Speaker 1: the sit chat, which you should do if we're live,
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Speaker 1: if you're live on the show on YouTube at least,
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Speaker 1: is that you can support the show by Patreon Patreon
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Speaker 1: book show and become a monthly supporter. I know a
1:25:25
Speaker 1: lot of you have become monthly supporters to Patreon. Thank you.
1:25:29
Speaker 1: We definitely met our goal in March for adding Patreon subscribers.
1:25:34
Speaker 1: I think it's ten a month, so yeah, I think
1:25:37
Speaker 1: we've we've got one already for April, so let's get
1:25:40
Speaker 1: another ten in April. Let's keep that going on a
1:25:44
Speaker 1: on a regular basis. And uh and yeah, you can do.
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Speaker 1: You can become a monthly supporter two dollars. Ten dollars
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Speaker 1: gets you a free stream of the podcast with no advertising.
1:26:01
Speaker 1: You can also get a twenty five dollars you can
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Speaker 1: get you can get the be part of the panel
1:26:09
Speaker 1: on AMA's. At two fifty, you get a one on
1:26:12
Speaker 1: one with me once ify quarter. At five hundred, you
1:26:14
Speaker 1: get one on one with me once every month. If
1:26:18
Speaker 1: you want to pass says the super chat is not working,
1:26:23
Speaker 1: that sucks, you can send me an email Paul, and
1:26:32
Speaker 1: you can make a contribution on PayPal to cover it
1:26:39
Speaker 1: if you want. All right, I've got my email opens,
1:26:45
Speaker 1: so when you send the email, I'll have it. Let
1:26:47
Speaker 1: me just since the email is open, let me scan
1:26:50
Speaker 1: it to see if there's anything urgent. Nothing urgent, All right,
1:26:56
Speaker 1: let's see it's weird that it's weird that some days
1:27:09
Speaker 1: you can do the superchat, other days you can't do
1:27:11
Speaker 1: the super chat. It's all very strange. Okay, let's go
1:27:21
Speaker 1: to the superchat and we'll start with author who has
1:27:24
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars question. Thank you, thank you, thank you author.
1:27:27
Speaker 1: Really appreciate that. I really appreciate the no, I don't
1:27:33
Speaker 1: see it all right, really appreciate the one hundred dollars.
1:27:37
Speaker 1: Arthur says, you don't think there will be another Dark Ages,
1:27:40
Speaker 1: but given them amount of hatred and desire for destruction
1:27:43
Speaker 1: out there, I wouldn't rule it out. How to collapse
1:27:47
Speaker 1: into another Dark Ages play out sequentially a gradual erosion
1:27:51
Speaker 1: of the concept of private property. I mean, I mean,
1:27:58
Speaker 1: what would happen is you'd get a militarianism in the
1:28:00
Speaker 1: United States. A thetheritarianism would lead to uh, you know,
1:28:06
Speaker 1: economic uh depression and stagnation, well depression, that is, economic collapse.
1:28:17
Speaker 1: The economic collapse will be global, and you know there
1:28:22
Speaker 1: would be no rebound from it. We would just descend
1:28:26
Speaker 1: further and further down. And the essences of theotheritarianism, the
1:28:31
Speaker 1: essences that there's no free speech, much more putting in
1:28:37
Speaker 1: the private property. Here's a controversial statement. Much more putting
1:28:41
Speaker 1: in the private property is free speech in terms of
1:28:45
Speaker 1: freedom and in terms of the Dark Ages. So the
1:28:48
Speaker 1: government monitors everything. Think about all the dystopian novels you
1:28:52
Speaker 1: might have read. I don't know nineteen eighty four. Whatever,
1:28:55
Speaker 1: the government monitors what you say, how you say it.
1:29:01
Speaker 1: It's involved in economy, it's involved in the startup culture.
1:29:06
Speaker 1: And as all of that dies, Uh, people just get
1:29:10
Speaker 1: used to their day to day lives. Birth rates are
1:29:14
Speaker 1: ready plummeting, they continue to plummet. So every every one
1:29:18
Speaker 1: of our countries are shrinking the surveillance everywhere, you know,
1:29:25
Speaker 1: the the authorities have guns and are willing to use them,
1:29:31
Speaker 1: and you know, we basically shrivel up and die. So
1:29:35
Speaker 1: I think it's a negation of you know, speech and
1:29:39
Speaker 1: the establishment of mass surveillance and the But it has
1:29:43
Speaker 1: to be on the authoritarian government and the economic collapse,
1:29:47
Speaker 1: I think. But it has to be global because one
1:29:49
Speaker 1: of the things I said about dark ages is even
1:29:53
Speaker 1: in the dark ages, other parts of the world thrived.
1:29:58
Speaker 1: And I I really think that. Huh. I don't see.
1:30:08
Speaker 1: I didn't get the email, Paul. I don't see how
1:30:13
Speaker 1: that would happen today. There's just too much information out there,
1:30:16
Speaker 1: there's too much knowledge, there's too many countries that have
1:30:19
Speaker 1: an elemented freedom. This would really have to be global,
1:30:22
Speaker 1: and on a scale it is hard for me to
1:30:24
Speaker 1: imagine happening but I guess it could happen. But it's
1:30:40
Speaker 1: it's yeah, it's it's it's. This is why I have
1:30:44
Speaker 1: to fight for free speech more than anything else. It's
1:30:48
Speaker 1: the number one concept. We have to fight for. Property
1:30:51
Speaker 1: rights already eroded significantly, significantly. And then many countries that
1:31:02
Speaker 1: are okay economically but don't have property rights, and you
1:31:06
Speaker 1: don't think of China. So it has to be more
1:31:11
Speaker 1: than that. Let's see, we are eighty four dollars short
1:31:22
Speaker 1: of our goal. We've got half an hour to make
1:31:24
Speaker 1: it four twenty dollars. Questions would be amazing right now. Amazing, Paul,
1:31:31
Speaker 1: I see you did ask a question, but then it
1:31:33
Speaker 1: stopped working after the first question he asked. That is
1:31:35
Speaker 1: really weird. Okay, here's Paul's question. Given the information we
1:31:39
Speaker 1: have now, how will the Iranian people be able to
1:31:42
Speaker 1: overthrow the regime after the bombing stops and establishes a
1:31:46
Speaker 1: free yer country. Well, I mean, I think they would
1:31:49
Speaker 1: have to basically take to the streets and storm the
1:31:54
Speaker 1: institutions of government. They would have to take over the
1:31:57
Speaker 1: institutions of government and they uh, you know, they again.
1:32:07
Speaker 1: I think that that would be very difficult unless some
1:32:12
Speaker 1: parts of the Iranian military joined in with them, and
1:32:18
Speaker 1: part of it. Part of it is that the IOGC
1:32:26
Speaker 1: is so weakened and so what do you call it
1:32:31
Speaker 1: dispirited that they won't resist much and that are embolden
1:32:38
Speaker 1: certain elements within the Iranian military is compared to the
1:32:46
Speaker 1: IOGC to support the demonstrators and come out and and
1:32:51
Speaker 1: help them occupy those buildings. So the military would have
1:32:56
Speaker 1: to flip and we haven't. You know, now it could
1:33:01
Speaker 1: be without them, but that's hard to believe that they
1:33:03
Speaker 1: could take up the whole country without some military some
1:33:06
Speaker 1: way in some places actively supporting the demonstrators. You know,
1:33:11
Speaker 1: you'd have somewhat of a civil war in the sense
1:33:14
Speaker 1: that the ILGC, the remnants of it, might put up
1:33:17
Speaker 1: a fight. But again, now IGC has been weakened significantly,
1:33:24
Speaker 1: and I think a lot of its remaining generals will
1:33:29
Speaker 1: flee the country once collapse is happening, So they might
1:33:35
Speaker 1: be for a while a civil war. I don't think
1:33:37
Speaker 1: it would last that long. And here I think Israel
1:33:39
Speaker 1: in the United States could really help. That is imagined
1:33:42
Speaker 1: as as people out in the streets. There is an
1:33:46
Speaker 1: Israeli drone over Tehran shooting at any snipers who climb
1:33:51
Speaker 1: up and building, shooting at the demonstrators, shooting at the
1:33:54
Speaker 1: roadblocks and killing the ILGC people at the roadblocks, you know,
1:34:00
Speaker 1: trying to shoot the demonstrators. So imagine if they get
1:34:05
Speaker 1: aid from the air, maybe not from the ground, but
1:34:09
Speaker 1: from the air. And maybe over the last few months
1:34:14
Speaker 1: the Mosada and the CIA have been arming some of
1:34:17
Speaker 1: the demonstrators so that they have weapons. You could imagine
1:34:22
Speaker 1: a combination of all of that that they could overwhelm
1:34:26
Speaker 1: the remnants of the ILGC. And and remember, a lot
1:34:30
Speaker 1: of the argenc Is just going to stay home. You know,
1:34:34
Speaker 1: they've just been crushed by the Israelis and the Americans.
1:34:37
Speaker 1: Do they really want to go out into the streets
1:34:39
Speaker 1: and shoot their own people. A lot of them will
1:34:41
Speaker 1: just stay home. And that's I think how it plays
1:34:45
Speaker 1: out something like that, all right. Paul also says, at
1:34:50
Speaker 1: what point will you want be unable to launch myselves?
1:34:54
Speaker 1: Do we have to wait for them to be to
1:34:56
Speaker 1: be all used up? I mean, they probably have a
1:35:00
Speaker 1: a lot of missiles, so you know, in terms of
1:35:02
Speaker 1: just sheer numbers, they could probably launch for a very
1:35:05
Speaker 1: long time. If they're just launching one or two or
1:35:08
Speaker 1: whatever ten a day. If they have one hundred missiles,
1:35:11
Speaker 1: that's ten days. If they have a thousand missiles, which
1:35:14
Speaker 1: they probably do, that's one hundred days. So they can
1:35:19
Speaker 1: still launch missiles. They can't build new ones, as far
1:35:23
Speaker 1: as we can tell, they can launch what they have. Again,
1:35:27
Speaker 1: most of the missiles are being shut down, and the
1:35:31
Speaker 1: number of missiles are shrinking every day as Israel in
1:35:34
Speaker 1: the United States bomb their stockpiles and their launches, so
1:35:38
Speaker 1: that number is shrinking. But yeah, if they're just launching
1:35:42
Speaker 1: a few every day, it could go on for a
1:35:45
Speaker 1: long time. Long time, not your average algorithm, Paul one.
1:36:00
Speaker 1: A few thousand years from now, let's say we have
1:36:03
Speaker 1: machines that re arrange atoms to give us everything we
1:36:06
Speaker 1: need at the touch of a button, like those machines
1:36:09
Speaker 1: on Star Trek. If such technology is possible, we will
1:36:15
Speaker 1: have no need to produce and trade with each other
1:36:18
Speaker 1: in order to survive, while private property and individual rights
1:36:21
Speaker 1: will still exist. Will it be somewhat post capitalism? Well,
1:36:26
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know what's gonna happen in thousands
1:36:28
Speaker 1: of years from now, but think about it, somebody is
1:36:31
Speaker 1: going to have to decide how to re arrange atoms
1:36:36
Speaker 1: and in what way and for what purposes, and to
1:36:41
Speaker 1: achieve what ends. It's not that once you can rearrange atoms,
1:36:47
Speaker 1: all three thinking must cease, and as a consequence, trade
1:36:54
Speaker 1: will still exist. Knowledge will still exist. As long as
1:36:59
Speaker 1: there's individuated knowledge, trade exists, you know, and therefore you
1:37:07
Speaker 1: know in that sense, nothing changes. But I don't want
1:37:10
Speaker 1: to say how things are going to be in a
1:37:12
Speaker 1: thousand years. I have no idea. Right, human beings might
1:37:15
Speaker 1: be a different species. We might have biologically re engineered
1:37:20
Speaker 1: ourselves in some significant way. I don't know, we'll have
1:37:24
Speaker 1: chips in our brains. Maybe again, I don't know. A
1:37:28
Speaker 1: thousand years is a long time assuming technological advances from
1:37:32
Speaker 1: now until a thousand years, So now I have no
1:37:35
Speaker 1: way to even start to speculate. But if all that
1:37:40
Speaker 1: changes now I can rearrange atoms. So well, that's what
1:37:42
Speaker 1: we do today. All you're saying is instead of rearranging
1:37:47
Speaker 1: atoms in a factory, maybe I can rearrange atoms fast, quicker, simpler, Okay,
1:37:53
Speaker 1: but it still requirestart. What do we arrange? How do
1:37:56
Speaker 1: we arrange for what purpose? To rearrange human needs qull
1:38:01
Speaker 1: human needs are infinite, so there's always going to be
1:38:04
Speaker 1: some new thing that you want to achieve. So I
1:38:09
Speaker 1: don't think it changes things as that dramatically, but other
1:38:14
Speaker 1: things might change it. I mean a lot of things
1:38:18
Speaker 1: will change in a thousand years. The values that we
1:38:24
Speaker 1: have will be different, but you'll still be exchanging those values.
1:38:28
Speaker 1: Exchange will still be win win. Exchange will still be
1:38:32
Speaker 1: value creating in and of itself, and therefore still continue. Harpercampbell,
1:38:40
Speaker 1: are we trying to cut through the fog of broken epistemology? Well, yeah,
1:38:46
Speaker 1: I mean broken epistemology or good epistemology that never really existed, right,
1:38:51
Speaker 1: I mean the majority of people never had a good epistemology.
1:38:54
Speaker 1: The intellectuals have never really had a good epistemology. So yeah,
1:39:03
Speaker 1: I mean there is a really, really bad epistemology out
1:39:06
Speaker 1: there that dominates most people's attempt at thinking, and we
1:39:11
Speaker 1: have to break through it somehow. But yeah, that's the
1:39:14
Speaker 1: missing link, right, Michael says, calling through the comment sections
1:39:21
Speaker 1: of some of your videos, and man, the anti Semitism
1:39:25
Speaker 1: is off the chart. It's a sickness. They hate you
1:39:29
Speaker 1: before you were even born. Yes, And look, I think
1:39:34
Speaker 1: the Internet overemphasizes these things, they gravitate towards certain places,
1:39:40
Speaker 1: a lot of them all together. So we don't have
1:39:45
Speaker 1: a good real sense of how many people really like that,
1:39:48
Speaker 1: but it is clearly a growing tendency among the young right,
1:39:53
Speaker 1: among young Republicans, and it really is. It's scary. It's very,
1:39:58
Speaker 1: very scary and needs to be taken super seriously. Steven.
1:40:12
Speaker 1: For your research on Christianity versus the West book, I
1:40:16
Speaker 1: highly recommend the nineteen seventies mini series Jesus of Nazareth.
1:40:20
Speaker 1: Incredibly well acted and directed. It made me understand Christianity
1:40:24
Speaker 1: from astolical perspective on another level. Thank you, Steve, and
1:40:29
Speaker 1: l copy paste that and might try to catch that. Yeah,
1:40:35
Speaker 1: reading a lot about Christianity, so part of my research.
1:40:44
Speaker 1: All right, guys, I hate to bug you, but I'm
1:40:47
Speaker 1: going to anyway before I get to these other questions.
1:40:50
Speaker 1: That was all the twenty dollars questions and the one
1:40:52
Speaker 1: hundred dollars question So thank you guys, Thank you author
1:40:56
Speaker 1: and everybody else you did. Twenty dollar questions were what
1:41:01
Speaker 1: are we now still eighty four dollars short of what
1:41:05
Speaker 1: we need to be? We're one hundred and thirty eight
1:41:06
Speaker 1: people you know are listening. You know, one two dollars stickers,
1:41:11
Speaker 1: ten dollars stickers as a trade value for value I deliver,
1:41:17
Speaker 1: you trade with me. So let's do some value to
1:41:20
Speaker 1: value things. Let's, you know, pay for what you are receiving.
1:41:25
Speaker 1: And that'd be great if we could close that gap
1:41:28
Speaker 1: in the next few minutes. As we go through these questions,
1:41:34
Speaker 1: Roman asked thoughts on gender conversion therapy ruling. Yes, yesterday,
1:41:39
Speaker 1: I was going to look it up. I didn't see
1:41:41
Speaker 1: the ruling, so I will have to check it, check it.
1:41:44
Speaker 1: I haven't. Somehow I didn't focus on that one. Liam,
1:41:52
Speaker 1: is the only thing preventing us from winning this war
1:41:55
Speaker 1: a lack of willingness to send in ground troops or
1:41:57
Speaker 1: a lack of willingness to use technical nuclear weapons. No,
1:42:03
Speaker 1: it's our lack of executing on strategy to open up
1:42:07
Speaker 1: the Homo states. That's it. That's what's missing. And what
1:42:13
Speaker 1: the strategy to open up the Homo straates is is
1:42:17
Speaker 1: is something that you'd have to ask one of our
1:42:19
Speaker 1: generals for information about because they're the ones. They are
1:42:23
Speaker 1: the ones who have a plan and they're not executing
1:42:27
Speaker 1: on it. And why is Trump not executing on it,
1:42:31
Speaker 1: because they might be casualties, because it places American shifts
1:42:37
Speaker 1: that make a navy at risk, because he didn't think
1:42:42
Speaker 1: of it in advance, because he wants to end this quickly,
1:42:46
Speaker 1: and it might not be a quick ending because he's
1:42:49
Speaker 1: not a strategic thinker, and he's lashing out at NATO
1:42:52
Speaker 1: and at our allies. You know, I don't know why,
1:42:55
Speaker 1: but the reality is that it just means executing on
1:42:59
Speaker 1: a strategy that they already have in writing. They just
1:43:01
Speaker 1: need to live up. They have to execute, and that
1:43:08
Speaker 1: means Trump passed this side to do it now. Part
1:43:12
Speaker 1: of it might involve boots on the ground, and that
1:43:15
Speaker 1: might be the hesitancy, but even then, it's boosts on
1:43:18
Speaker 1: the ground on an island, not on mainland. We're not
1:43:21
Speaker 1: marching to Tehran. We're not sending tanks and troops into
1:43:26
Speaker 1: mainland Iran. We're probably occupying a couple of violence. And yes,
1:43:31
Speaker 1: you'd have to put some anti Droman technology on there
1:43:33
Speaker 1: to protect the troops and stuff like that, but this
1:43:36
Speaker 1: isn't rocket science. US military is very good at this.
1:43:43
Speaker 1: They know what they're doing, they know how to do it.
1:43:45
Speaker 1: Trump passed to decide he's willing to do it. I
1:43:48
Speaker 1: think he's torn. He doesn't want boots on the ground,
1:43:50
Speaker 1: even on an island. He promised a short war. He
1:43:54
Speaker 1: wants it to be over, so he's putting his wishes
1:43:58
Speaker 1: above reality. Yeah, all right, let's see. We got a
1:44:07
Speaker 1: bunch of stickers. This is great. Thank you Jake, Thank you, Rob,
1:44:11
Speaker 1: Thanks Louis Lewis, Lewis Lewis. Any word about November or
1:44:18
Speaker 1: do I owe you an email? Maybe I owe you
1:44:20
Speaker 1: an email? Capitalist spy? Thank you. Paul finally got through
1:44:24
Speaker 1: with a sticker. Thank you, Paul, appreciate it. All right,
1:44:28
Speaker 1: we are down to thirty six dollars. Thirty six dollars
1:44:32
Speaker 1: to make out goal. No, not forty six dollars. I'm wrong.
1:44:37
Speaker 1: I can't do math anymore. Fourteen dollars. God, where did
1:44:40
Speaker 1: thirty six come from? Fourteen dollars? That's it, ten and
1:44:43
Speaker 1: a four and we're done. Rational epte. I really like
1:44:47
Speaker 1: the quote from Rock here's the quote. I don't like
1:44:51
Speaker 1: people who have to be handled. Yes, that quote really
1:44:56
Speaker 1: resonated with me. I like that it both criticizes the
1:45:00
Speaker 1: current culture and creates this powerful mindset. Yes, I deal
1:45:06
Speaker 1: with people straight. I don't need to handle them. I
1:45:09
Speaker 1: don't want them to try to handle me. We just
1:45:11
Speaker 1: deal with one another. The only standard by which we
1:45:15
Speaker 1: deal with another is reality, not emotional and other types
1:45:21
Speaker 1: of manipulation, which is what it means to be handled. Yeah.
1:45:25
Speaker 1: I like that quote too, good deal, rational ip, and
1:45:29
Speaker 1: thank you for the twenty dollars question. James Einman said
1:45:34
Speaker 1: statism needs war, a fee country does not. Since Trump
1:45:39
Speaker 1: is an unabassed status, will we see a lot more
1:45:42
Speaker 1: wars throughout the remainder of his term? Not necessarily. Remember,
1:45:47
Speaker 1: this is a justified war. This is a war against
1:45:51
Speaker 1: a regime that needed to be eliminated. It's not being
1:45:55
Speaker 1: done well, partially because he's a status, partially because he
1:45:58
Speaker 1: just can't think. But it's a war that need to
1:46:02
Speaker 1: be done. It's a just war in that sense. So
1:46:05
Speaker 1: I wouldn't you know he didn't have He didn't engage
1:46:09
Speaker 1: in war in his first term. Will he do more
1:46:13
Speaker 1: wars this time? Maybe? But I don't know. Maybe Cuba,
1:46:22
Speaker 1: but that will probably look more like Venezuela than you
1:46:25
Speaker 1: on Harrison in arguments, I keep getting into an x.
1:46:31
Speaker 1: There's a waste of your time. I've noticed so many
1:46:34
Speaker 1: of the answer war Maga voices accounts. They're only created
1:46:38
Speaker 1: a month ago and post twenty four to seven without
1:46:42
Speaker 1: breaks for sleeping. If they are robots or teams of
1:46:46
Speaker 1: human propagandas who might be behind them, they are capable
1:46:51
Speaker 1: of speaking like Americans, but very few can answer what
1:46:54
Speaker 1: they think of bacon cheeseburgers. Well, I mean the Chinese,
1:46:59
Speaker 1: or Russis, or North Koreans or Iranians who might be
1:47:04
Speaker 1: using AI to post in English. So, I mean, it's
1:47:10
Speaker 1: well documented that the Chinese, and particularly the Russians, but
1:47:14
Speaker 1: even the North Koreans and the Iranians all run psychops
1:47:18
Speaker 1: on X doing exactly that. It's one of the reasons
1:47:22
Speaker 1: you shouldn't get into arguments on X, because you're just
1:47:26
Speaker 1: arguing with a machine. You're arguing with a Nobody's what's
1:47:29
Speaker 1: the purpose? Ignore them? The argument gives them attention, creates
1:47:36
Speaker 1: activity around their posts and and and raises their visibility. Michelle,
1:47:45
Speaker 1: the freer system is the better. It explains why the
1:47:47
Speaker 1: US medical system is the most innovative. But isn't there
1:47:51
Speaker 1: a contradict a contradiction price wise? No, I mean the
1:47:59
Speaker 1: contradiction is that, particularly in terms of price, which is
1:48:07
Speaker 1: determined by who buys the healthcare. Most of the healthcare
1:48:10
Speaker 1: in the United States is bought by the government all states. Again,
1:48:15
Speaker 1: most of the healthcare in the United States is bought
1:48:17
Speaker 1: by the government, Medicare, Medicaid, and the VA, and therefore
1:48:23
Speaker 1: there is no free market mechanism to drive costs down.
1:48:29
Speaker 1: If you look at LASIG, which is not covered by
1:48:32
Speaker 1: Medicare Medicaid and which is not even covered by third
1:48:36
Speaker 1: party insurance, prices go down have gone down a lot. Also,
1:48:43
Speaker 1: the United States has a perverted, distorted third party mechanism
1:48:47
Speaker 1: of insurance, which raises costs because you the consumer don't
1:48:55
Speaker 1: have any visibility into those costs and don't really have
1:48:59
Speaker 1: any visibility and choice with it. Got to your insurance
1:49:02
Speaker 1: because you get it through your employer, which is the
1:49:04
Speaker 1: dumbest system ever. Insurance should be something you buy for yourself,
1:49:12
Speaker 1: and you should customize it for your needs. And you
1:49:19
Speaker 1: should be able to get an insurance for a whole lifetime,
1:49:24
Speaker 1: or for ten years, or for twenty years, or for
1:49:26
Speaker 1: lots of different ways in which insurance could be modeled.
1:49:31
Speaker 1: And the insurance should the insurance then and should only
1:49:36
Speaker 1: cover you know, catastrophes, hospital stays really bad stuff. Most
1:49:42
Speaker 1: stuff you should pay cash and that will completely change
1:49:46
Speaker 1: the dynamics of the system. And medicate and medicate of
1:49:48
Speaker 1: course should be phased out privatized. Only then will you
1:49:53
Speaker 1: have a system that actually reduces prices. But even when
1:49:57
Speaker 1: it comes to prices, I mean, nobody knows this, right,
1:50:01
Speaker 1: do you know that we Americans pay the lowest prices
1:50:05
Speaker 1: in the world basically for generic drugs, Like we pay
1:50:10
Speaker 1: really high prices because we're subsidizing the rest of the
1:50:13
Speaker 1: world on drugs that ain't patent, but we pay the
1:50:19
Speaker 1: lowest prices on generic drugs. So even when it comes
1:50:25
Speaker 1: to price, and part of what people do is they
1:50:29
Speaker 1: look at total expenditure per person in the United States, Yeah,
1:50:34
Speaker 1: we spend a lot of money on healthcare, but part
1:50:35
Speaker 1: of that is because we test. You know, I can
1:50:44
Speaker 1: go and get an MRI now for my back, and
1:50:48
Speaker 1: the insurance we'll cover it because I've got back problems,
1:50:52
Speaker 1: and you know, now I can do that every couple
1:50:56
Speaker 1: of years. I can do it every year probably at
1:50:59
Speaker 1: no cost to meet the insurance will covered. If I
1:51:02
Speaker 1: were living in Israel, I were living in Europe, I
1:51:05
Speaker 1: couldn't do that. There's no way I could get an
1:51:07
Speaker 1: MRI every year. I want an m let's say every year,
1:51:10
Speaker 1: because I want to know what the status of my
1:51:12
Speaker 1: back is, how the exercising impacting it. I've had surgery there.
1:51:15
Speaker 1: I want to know how it's standing up. But that's
1:51:18
Speaker 1: kind of information. Yeah, if I'm going to get more information,
1:51:21
Speaker 1: I have a lot of blood tests done. A lot
1:51:23
Speaker 1: of blood tests done. It show its pace for it.
1:51:29
Speaker 1: I just want to I want the data. I want
1:51:31
Speaker 1: to know what's going on with me. I'm willing to pay.
1:51:35
Speaker 1: So what's the right price. What's the right cost for healthcare?
1:51:40
Speaker 1: How much should a person spend on healthcare? What they
1:51:47
Speaker 1: spent for capita in England or what they spend for
1:51:49
Speaker 1: capita in the United States. So, I mean, I don't know.
1:51:54
Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe we're not overspending on healthcare in
1:51:56
Speaker 1: the United States, maybe they're underspending. So until you have
1:52:04
Speaker 1: a free market, a real free market, you won't know
1:52:07
Speaker 1: what people's actual preferences are with regard to health care costs.
1:52:20
Speaker 1: So we want to free a system, but as long
1:52:23
Speaker 1: as it's not free, there will be distortions, and prices
1:52:26
Speaker 1: could be distortions. We pay, but it's very hard to
1:52:32
Speaker 1: untangle the mess that is the mixed economy healthcare system
1:52:36
Speaker 1: and figure out what effects what all right, Roland trying
1:52:41
Speaker 1: to keep up with a Mosad in terms of donations, Well,
1:52:44
Speaker 1: I hope that if the institute or me get money
1:52:48
Speaker 1: from the Mosad, it's more than what you're giving. But
1:52:52
Speaker 1: I hugely appreciate what you are giving. A Harison asks Nate,
1:52:59
Speaker 1: what do you think I think of bacon cheeseburgers? Did
1:53:01
Speaker 1: he ever answer you? I don't know if he ever
1:53:04
Speaker 1: answered you, all right, Paul different Paul. For a young
1:53:16
Speaker 1: leftist who could be open, might Andrea's idealism and tragedy
1:53:21
Speaker 1: and We the Living and cures uplifting positive example be
1:53:24
Speaker 1: a better first book to offer than The fountain Head.
1:53:31
Speaker 1: I mean maybe, but it's it's very unusual that a
1:53:36
Speaker 1: young leftist would be as idealistic as Andre. But it's interesting.
1:53:42
Speaker 1: I just haven't met many people who read read The
1:53:46
Speaker 1: Living and in a sense got converted. Went wow. But
1:53:57
Speaker 1: you know, it's worth a shot, It's worth trying. It's
1:54:02
Speaker 1: a good book, great story or even do you think
1:54:11
Speaker 1: Europeans should join the war for their own interests? If so,
1:54:16
Speaker 1: just to play defense and Straits of Homemoes. I think
1:54:19
Speaker 1: there are at least three arguments to be had. One
1:54:24
Speaker 1: help stabilize all prices, cure U tankers. Two Yuan can
1:54:27
Speaker 1: be a threat to Europe now showing through ballistic missiles.
1:54:31
Speaker 1: Three there comes a time after Trump. Yeah, I mean,
1:54:35
Speaker 1: I think all three are valid. I definitely think Europe
1:54:39
Speaker 1: should get involved. I definitely think Europe should get involved
1:54:43
Speaker 1: with opening the Straits of Homoes. I don't think they
1:54:45
Speaker 1: need to do anything more, and I don't think really
1:54:47
Speaker 1: is role in the United States need them to do
1:54:49
Speaker 1: anything more. They should get involved in opening the Streets
1:54:52
Speaker 1: of Homoes. They should send whatever navies they have down
1:54:55
Speaker 1: to the Arabian Sea and into the Straits of Homoes
1:54:59
Speaker 1: and with the opening of it up. I don't think
1:55:04
Speaker 1: that's a lot to ask. The challenges that Trump has
1:55:07
Speaker 1: been a joke and the Trump has alienated all of them,
1:55:11
Speaker 1: and he continues to alienate them, but primarily because of Greenland.
1:55:16
Speaker 1: But then you know, everything is all attitude towards Europe
1:55:18
Speaker 1: as he been alienating. So but they should be realized
1:55:24
Speaker 1: that it's in their self interest. They will suffer. They
1:55:28
Speaker 1: have a huge energy bottleneck and they need the straits
1:55:32
Speaker 1: of Homos to open so that energy, particularly LNG, but
1:55:36
Speaker 1: energy more broadly starts flowing so that their economies don't
1:55:40
Speaker 1: take a big hit. So yeah, they should all be
1:55:43
Speaker 1: volunteering in their navies right now. Roman should states have
1:55:51
Speaker 1: at least one official And by the way, as I said,
1:55:54
Speaker 1: let me just return to that. As I said, the
1:55:58
Speaker 1: fall of Iran, all of the Iranian regime would have
1:56:02
Speaker 1: profound impact on the Islamist problem that the Europeans have.
1:56:09
Speaker 1: It would take the wind out of the sales of Islamists,
1:56:12
Speaker 1: it would destroy the ideal they would It would destroy
1:56:18
Speaker 1: a huge funder. So Europe has a huge interest in
1:56:21
Speaker 1: seeing the Uranian regime fall. It should be promoting regime
1:56:26
Speaker 1: change aggressively. I don't think it needs to actually get
1:56:29
Speaker 1: involved in the fighting to achieve that, but just saying yes,
1:56:33
Speaker 1: we think regime change in Iran would be amazing, not
1:56:36
Speaker 1: only for the Ranian people but for Europeans because they
1:56:40
Speaker 1: would starve funding all this irrationality. That would be huge.
1:56:47
Speaker 1: All right, Roman should states have at least one official
1:56:50
Speaker 1: language as a unifying folk to make the law understandable
1:56:53
Speaker 1: for everyone. If not, should laws be translated yes, definitely
1:56:57
Speaker 1: have one official language. Every everybody should understand that one
1:57:01
Speaker 1: language so that everybody can communicate and they could understand
1:57:05
Speaker 1: the laws as written. So one official language to every country.
1:57:11
Speaker 1: A clock, Young Destiny keeps mentioning eye Man on his podcast.
1:57:15
Speaker 1: Can you convert him? No, there's no way I can
1:57:18
Speaker 1: convert Destiny and shouldn't. Shouldn't try. It's a waste of time.
1:57:23
Speaker 1: Uh fend hop up? So air is one hundred percent
1:57:26
Speaker 1: by the mosade? Yeah? Absolutely. I heard that they give
1:57:29
Speaker 1: Aari a million bazillion dollars actually a gazillion, not a bazillion,
1:57:34
Speaker 1: a gazillion dollars a month. So per source, I can't
1:57:38
Speaker 1: name or will or they will get me prove why
1:57:42
Speaker 1: it may or may not be true or false. No,
1:57:46
Speaker 1: it's absolutely true, but I can't prove it because I'd
1:57:49
Speaker 1: have to kill you if I proved it to you
1:57:51
Speaker 1: or something like that. Stephen, I always felt sorry for
1:57:57
Speaker 1: the faithful son in the party goes on story? Is
1:58:01
Speaker 1: that story just another example of altruism and Christianity turning
1:58:04
Speaker 1: morality and justice on its head? So the party goes
1:58:08
Speaker 1: on the story, is you know father, what comes back
1:58:13
Speaker 1: is wasteful youngest son with open arms and unconditional love.
1:58:20
Speaker 1: After wasting his inheritance, the son returns home expected rejection,
1:58:24
Speaker 1: but is met with massive celebration. You know, that is
1:58:35
Speaker 1: it really is trying to push the idea of unconditional love,
1:58:41
Speaker 1: and that is at the heart of altruism and the
1:58:43
Speaker 1: heart of Christianity, the idea that love should not be conditioned.
1:58:47
Speaker 1: You should love your enemy, you should love everybody. It's
1:58:49
Speaker 1: not conditioned by behavior, and suddenly family is above all.
1:58:54
Speaker 1: So it's definitely altruism. Even if they've behaved badly, if
1:58:57
Speaker 1: they behaved stupidly, if they've done wrong, they've wronged you.
1:59:02
Speaker 1: They your children, therefore you should love them no matter what.
1:59:06
Speaker 1: So I think it's a very very sacrificial the father's
1:59:11
Speaker 1: being sacrificed to the son here in the name of
1:59:15
Speaker 1: Christian love and Christian altruism. Michael says, well, socialists place
1:59:22
Speaker 1: policies like Medicare and NHS and pension programs have not
1:59:26
Speaker 1: been reversed. The pro market reforms of Reagan and Thatcher
1:59:29
Speaker 1: have not been reversed either. They haven't. You know, there's
1:59:35
Speaker 1: been a ton of a ton of regulations past since
1:59:39
Speaker 1: Reagan and Thatcher, particularly in England but cerily in the
1:59:43
Speaker 1: United States, that have reversed some of the deregulation that
1:59:49
Speaker 1: was done back then or added to the regulatory burden
1:59:52
Speaker 1: that Thatcher. Reagan would have never done. Some stuff that
1:59:57
Speaker 1: was privatized under Thatcher, like the railroads, have now being
2:00:00
Speaker 1: renationalized at least portions of them. Taxes that Reagan simplified
2:00:08
Speaker 1: are not simple anymore. They've been completely bamboozled and confused
2:00:12
Speaker 1: and raised in some cases. So no, I don't think
2:00:15
Speaker 1: that's true at all. A lot of it has been reversed.
2:00:19
Speaker 1: A lot of being has been reversed now. The big
2:00:22
Speaker 1: deregulatory bills that were passed in the seventies and early
2:00:27
Speaker 1: eighties under Jimmy Carter primarily have not being reversed, but
2:00:33
Speaker 1: others have been instituted instead, and usually it's done at
2:00:37
Speaker 1: the regulatory agency level. Banking is a lot more regulated
2:00:40
Speaker 1: now than it was in the eighties, for example, and
2:00:43
Speaker 1: there's other examples. No, I still say Trump is a taffo.
2:00:51
Speaker 1: Trump always fights on. Yeah, he is a smarto. He
2:00:56
Speaker 1: is not a smarto. Just funding the show you're on,
2:01:00
Speaker 1: no question, all right, tafo smatoao for for whatever. You
2:01:06
Speaker 1: all know what I think of Trump. All right, guys,
2:01:09
Speaker 1: thank you really appreciate it. We did make our goal
2:01:13
Speaker 1: and right on the dot at two hours too, so
2:01:16
Speaker 1: really really appreciate all the superchatters, all the stick of people.
2:01:19
Speaker 1: Thank you for being here, Thank you for supporting the show,
2:01:22
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening. Don't forget to like the show
2:01:24
Speaker 1: before you leave. Please pass out like button doesn't cost
2:01:28
Speaker 1: you anything. If you want to support the show, go
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Speaker 1: to patreon dot com. You're on book show. Become a
2:01:34
Speaker 1: monthly supporter, and if you're not a subscriber, please subscribe.
2:01:40
Speaker 1: Please subscribe to the show. So like, subscribe Patreon. See
2:01:48
Speaker 1: you guys. Today's Thursday, Tomorrow Friday, same time, same time tomorrow.
2:01:54
Speaker 1: Bye everybody,