October Surprises and the Stock Market
The term October surprise dates back to the 19th century as presidential elections routinely experienced unexpected events heading into November.
Recent notable October surprises include:
1968 Humphrey’s Halloween Peace
1972 Kissinger’s Peace is at hand press conference
1980 Reagan’s American hostages held in Iran
2000 Bush’s drunk driving report
2008 record rise in unemployment
2012 Hurricane Sandy
2016 email scandal
2020 COVID White House outbreak
Could there be an October surprise in 2024? My vote is yes.
Whether or not October surprises influence elections is up for debate. What isn’t…
The skinny
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