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Ground Signal — October 15, 2026

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Daily intelligence briefing for October 15, 2026. Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as Kyiv lifts its pause on refinery attacks; a Houthi cruise missile is intercepted near Madinah; the Ethiopia-Eritrea Pretoria peace deal collapses; and Colombia restores diplomatic ties with Israel. Markets: WTI near $96, Bitcoin holding at $82,300, AI infrastructure credit pressure emerging. Forward Signal: Madinah attribution window, Ukraine energy war escalation, Brazil runoff on…

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