Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 234 - 3/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 234 - 3/11/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 234 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:26
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena
• 0:41
  guys, as the early portion of our week rolls on and guess what
• 0:45
  conference tournaments we had, you know, we've been dabbling
• 0:47
  here, but really I feel like today is the first big
• 0:51
  conference tournament day. And I see that not in terms of
• 0:54
  like, you know, the bigger conference tournaments are
• 0:57
  obviously starting here, but more in terms of day sweats,
• 1:00
  because who loves day sweats more than us?
• 1:02
  I'd argue nobody. Now I must say, maybe you're
• 1:04
  stuck at work. Maybe you got AI don't know stat
• 1:07
  track, you know, go to the quote UN quote bathroom or you know,
• 1:10
  put your your cell phone propped up in your cubicle if you're at
• 1:13
  work or find a way to get down and watch these games.
• 1:15
  But it really just goes to show you when you got these afternoon
• 1:18
  sweats. It just really feels like March
• 1:20
  Madness is pretty much here. So a lot going on as we move to
• 1:24
  a big Tuesday here today. Guys, I have another 3 pack of
• 1:27
  college basketball plays for you and they're all conference
• 1:30
  tournament games. So let's see if we can go 2IN1
• 1:32
  eek out a winning day. I did want to get this pot out a
• 1:35
  little bit earlier because of those afternoon sweats because
• 1:37
  there is an early 3:00 game Eastern Time that I have a play
• 1:41
  on which I wanted to let you guys know about before we
• 1:45
  hopefully get the pot out early enough for you to think about it
• 1:47
  and decide whether or not you want to you want to ride it with
• 1:49
  me. Aside from that, guys, it is a
• 1:51
  big Tuesday. So as you know or maybe don't
• 1:53
  know, Tuesdays are all about the Rhythm Tuesday college
• 1:57
  basketball live streams. So I host the live streams on
• 2:00
  Twitter at Josh under score Insights and they'll start right
• 2:04
  at 4:00 Eastern Time. So if you're on Twitter, you
• 2:06
  want to log right in. We'll be going over a bunch of
• 2:09
  rhythm system matches. We'll be talking college
• 2:11
  basketball, talking brackets and really diving deep into more
• 2:15
  games than we just talked about on this pod because there are
• 2:17
  certain games that might not fit the criteria of a data-driven
• 2:21
  shar contrarian lay, which is really the focus of this pod.
• 2:23
  But maybe there's just a big rhythm discrepancy or maybe
• 2:26
  there's an opportunity to maybe lean on a total or kind of
• 2:30
  really teach how teach betters how to use rhythm.
• 2:32
  That's really the whole point of the Tuesday live streams.
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  But either way, guys, maybe you've tuned into one before.
• 2:37
  Maybe you've done them all, maybe you've never done it.
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  But if you have some free time and you want to login, I'll be
• 2:42
  hosting that live stream 4:00 Eastern Time today on Twitter.
• 2:46
  Hopefully there's no, no no outages here as yesterday was a
• 2:49
  nightmare for Twitter outages. Anyway, guys looking toward last
• 2:52
  night. Bit of a frustrating night. 1
• 2:54
  and 2 -, 1.35 units. We did have a big win with
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  Robbie MO Robert Morris got it done.
• 3:00
  Had to go to overtime for that one.
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  They were down late, had an and one to force OT.
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  And of course the importance of always money lining short
• 3:08
  favorites because Robbie MO closed -3 1/2 at a lot of shops
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  and they end up winning by three.
• 3:13
  So we won our money line play, which is why you pay a little
• 3:16
  more juice. Drink the juice for exactly that
• 3:19
  reason right there. You get a win versus a loss.
• 3:21
  The other two games they were frustrating because Arkansas
• 3:24
  State beat the closing line. Arkansas State, we money line
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  them around -2 1/2, they close -3 I even saw three and a half
• 3:31
  closing number. They were actually up late into
• 3:34
  the second-half and then just completely imploded and just got
• 3:37
  steam rolled. So beat the closing line on that
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  one. Told me that we read the market
• 3:41
  correctly, but Arkansas State just completely just exploded,
• 3:45
  imploded, whatever you want to call it late.
• 3:46
  That was disappointing. Then the other frustrating one
• 3:49
  was Cleveland State beat the closing line there again, money
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  lined to -2 1/2. They closed -3 once again, we're
• 3:56
  reading the market correctly. Then up losing by two to
• 3:58
  Youngstown State and they had a couple opportunities late to tie
• 4:01
  it up. They had a late, late lead as
• 4:03
  well. Really both of those, Arkansas
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  State and Cleveland State, you know, blowing it late.
• 4:08
  That was pretty, pretty annoying because as long as you get one
• 4:10
  of those combined with Robbie, you know, you have a winning
• 4:13
  night. Unfortunately, they both blow
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  it. You go one and two, give up 1.35
• 4:17
  units. But either way, guys reading the
• 4:19
  market, right? I must say though, March
• 4:21
  Madness, the one thing you love about it, there's a lot of crazy
• 4:24
  volatile upsets, crazy things that happen.
• 4:27
  So we just got to be prepared for maybe reading the market
• 4:30
  correctly, but maybe just crazy things happening against us, but
• 4:33
  then also maybe crazy things happening happen in our favor.
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  That would always be nice if maybe the brakes go your way and
• 4:39
  you get a epic backdoor comeback instead of your team like
• 4:43
  Cleveland State or Arkansas State imploding for you.
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  Anyway guys enough about that. Let's turn the page.
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  Got 3 plays for today. Afternoon sweats.
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  Let's get right into it. So first play for me, reason why
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  I want to get this pot out early is I have a play on an early
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  afternoon, 3:00 Eastern Time tip in the first round of the Big 12
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  tournament, we got Colorado playing TCU.
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  So let's set the stage for this one.
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  Look at the line movement. Also, there is a really
• 5:07
  interesting buy low revenge play angle here that I want to get
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  to. But anyway, Colorado comes in 12
• 5:14
  and 19 on the year. The 16 seed.
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  They dropped three of their last four.
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  TCU is the ninth seed. They're 16 and 15 on the year
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  and they've lost four of their last five.
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  So both teams not playing great down the stretch.
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  The one interesting thing I noted or I noticed when I was
• 5:27
  breaking on this game is that these teams just played each
• 5:30
  other and this was only I believe just a couple days ago.
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  Three days ago, it was the final regular season game for both
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  teams and Colorado crushed TCU 76 to 56, covering as a 2 1/2
• 5:43
  point home favorite. So Colorado just destroyed TCU.
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  That means we should just ride the hot hand and take Colorado,
• 5:49
  right? I'm going TCU in this one, guys.
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  I really like the market move here.
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  This game open TCU listed as a very short 1 or 1 1/2 point
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  neutral site favorite. And even though TCU just got
• 6:01
  blown out by this exact Colorado team three days ago, pros are
• 6:04
  actually banking on a TCU comeback revenge play.
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  Because TCU open this game -1 1/2.
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  They've now been bet up to -2 1/2 even see some shops going to
• 6:13
  -3 So that's notable to me the fact that TCU just got blown out
• 6:17
  by Colorado. And not only do they not open as
• 6:20
  a dog, the line doesn't go toward the team that just had
• 6:22
  the blowout win. No, it open with TCU favorite.
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  And now they've become more of a favorite.
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  So kind of a fishy angle to buy low on TCU off that blowout
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  loss. Now the Betspots look pretty
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  good on the Horn Frogs. They're getting 81% of spread
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  bets, 89% of spread dollars at DraftKings at circa 82% of
• 6:41
  spread bets, 97% of spread dollars.
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  So really just looks like a really good pro and Joe
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  Betsplit, where maybe the public is thinking about TCU just the
• 6:50
  better record. Whereas wise guys like the
• 6:52
  Advantage bounce back play again after just getting blown out.
• 6:56
  Although again, up to -2 1/2 -, 3.
• 6:58
  Ken Palm only has TCU winning by 1, so you guys know the drill
• 7:02
  here. Just like we got saved with a
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  win with Robert Morris where he would have lost laying it,
• 7:07
  laying the points. This is a money line play for me
• 7:09
  on TCU. Now I got TCU on the money line
• 7:13
  at -140 a little bit earlier today.
• 7:16
  Now, FanDuel looks like the best number around -154 but I like
• 7:20
  the bet split on TCU at DraftKings are getting 80% of
• 7:23
  money line bets, 85% of money line dollars.
• 7:26
  And then out in Vegas at Circa over 90% of money line bets in
• 7:31
  dollars on TCU. So again, you know, TCU opens -1
• 7:35
  1/2, they're up to 2 1/2 three. If they win by two, you know,
• 7:38
  the early wise guys who bet TCU -1 1/2 win.
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  We lose if you lay a 2 1/2 for three.
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  So This is why I'm looking to protect myself.
• 7:45
  And again, if you want to save the juice and lay the points, I
• 7:48
  hope they win by four or more. But this is a money line play
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  for me, especially in these crazy games where anything can
• 7:54
  happen and desperation and your whole season is on the line.
• 7:57
  So I played TCU on the money line.
• 8:00
  Then if we look at some other stat advantages for TCU, couple
• 8:03
  things that I noticed right off the bat, they have the better
• 8:06
  defensive efficiency, 32nd in the country versus 55th for for
• 8:11
  Colorado. They also have better offensive
• 8:14
  rebound percentage. So hopefully more possessions.
• 8:16
  Some put backs, 32% versus 29%. They also take better care of
• 8:21
  the ball. They rank 185th in turnover
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  percentage. Doesn't sound amazing, but
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  Colorado ranks 300 and 51st TCU also does a better job at
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  forcing turnovers. 63rd in the country versus 200 and 66th for
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  Colorado. And then also, of course, it's
• 8:36
  just that by low, you know, favorite off of blowout loss.
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  They're playing the same opponent, yet the market is not
• 8:41
  saying, hey, let's just obviously take Colorado.
• 8:44
  They just had a big win over the same team.
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  No, the markets moving toward TCU in this spot, which tells me
• 8:49
  maybe we should embrace this, this fishy line move in favor of
• 8:52
  the horn frogs. And then lastly, our friends at
• 8:55
  Rhythm have TCU -1.9. So even though again, it's not a
• 9:01
  huge discrepancy or a huge advantage off the 2 1/2 or three
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  at this point, hey, all we got to do is win by one from the
• 9:07
  money line. So again, Ken Palms got him by
• 9:09
  1, Rhythms got him by two. Pretty clear movement here and a
• 9:12
  not a not a fade the trendy dog because you have majority
• 9:14
  tickets and dollars on TCU, but kind of a fishy buy low playoff
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  of blowout loss. So hopefully we can start our
• 9:20
  day off with a win. Let's go Horn frogs.
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  You got to be annoyed and pissed off after getting blown out by
• 9:26
  Colorado. Let's have some revenge on the
• 9:28
  mind here and let's see if the Horn Frogs can get a win.
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  Straight up. I'm on TCU money line -140
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  again. Best number right now is
• 9:35
  probably around -154 at FanDuel. Next bet for you, 6:30 PM
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  Eastern Time game another conference tournament matchup.
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  This is the first round of the Conference USA tournament.
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  We got Sam Houston against UTEP. Let's set the stage.
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  Talk some line movement and I'll tell you which side of this one
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  I'm on now. Sam Houston comes in 13 and 18
• 9:56
  on the year. They're the nine seed.
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  They've won two in a row. They just beat New Mexico State
• 10:00
  76 to 69 and the regular season finale.
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  They cover that game as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
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  On the other hand, UTEP 17 and 14 on the year at one point,
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  though, and they're the eighth seed, by the way.
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  But at one point, I think they were 17 and seven.
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  They've lost now seven straight games.
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  They just lost to Louisiana Tech 76 to 58 and their final regular
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  season game did not cover as a 5 1/2 point Rd. dog.
• 10:25
  So what do you see across the market here?
• 10:27
  Well, this is one of kind of my favorite angles when you open at
• 10:30
  basically a pick em right down the middle neutral court 5050,
• 10:34
  basically saying these teams are pretty much equal.
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  However you open as a pick em, Let's see which direction the
• 10:40
  market moves because a lot of wise guys, they might have this
• 10:43
  game out of pick em, but then they also might say, oh, we got
• 10:45
  this team -2 or -1 therefore let's hit the pick em, move that
• 10:49
  number. And that's exactly what we've
• 10:51
  seen here. This game open out of pick em.
• 10:53
  We've now seen UTEP get bet up all the way to -2 1/2.
• 10:57
  So that's notable to me. Not only a 2 1/2 point line
• 10:59
  move, but the fact that, hey, it was a pick em game.
• 11:03
  You know, it didn't get steamed up to Sam Houston, got steamed
• 11:05
  up to UTEP. The bets would look pretty good
• 11:08
  on UTEP here at DraftKings. 59% of spread bets, 80% of spread
• 11:13
  dollars. So modest public support, heavy
• 11:15
  smart money. Then you look at circa 75%
• 11:18
  spread bets, nearly 80% spread dollars.
• 11:21
  So both the national DraftKings and the again, wise guy desert
• 11:25
  book circa with a good bet split in favor of UTEP.
• 11:29
  Now Ken Palma's UTEP winning by just one.
• 11:31
  So as a result, let's protect ourselves here.
• 11:34
  Go money line. I got the minors on the money
• 11:36
  line at -142 at FanDuel. That looks like that's probably
• 11:40
  your best number. Still, right now you'll get
• 11:42
  DraftKings UTEP, 68% of money line bets, 83% of money line
• 11:47
  dollars. Then you look at circa 86% money
• 11:51
  line bets, 95% money line dollars.
• 11:54
  So always like it when you have a line move and you have both
• 11:56
  DraftKings and Circa with a good bet split in favor of the team
• 12:00
  getting that line move. Just kind of all lines
• 12:02
  perfectly. The tickets, the dollars and the
• 12:04
  market movement in both books again showing heavy one way
• 12:08
  support in favor of a minors victory here.
• 12:12
  Now, if we look towards some of the angles here, hopefully to
• 12:14
  bank on for UTEP winning this game, I'm going to first look at
• 12:17
  their defensive efficiency big advantage.
• 12:19
  They rank 129th versus 200 and 64th for Sam Houston.
• 12:24
  UTEP takes better care of the ball.
• 12:26
  They rank 145th in turnovers versus 200 and 53rd for the
• 12:30
  Bearcats. UTEP also forces more turnovers.
• 12:33
  They're actually 10th in the country at forcing turnovers
• 12:36
  versus 174th for Sam Houston and also have a lot of steals.
• 12:41
  I mean, you turn it over, you're probably going to be a good
• 12:43
  steal team. But in particular, they ranked
• 12:45
  6th in the country at steals 200 and 80th for Sam Houston.
• 12:50
  UTEP would also be a really by low play.
• 12:52
  I can see why maybe the public is hesitant here, but sharps
• 12:55
  aren't because UTEP has lost seven straight and Sam Houston
• 12:59
  has one. What did I say?
• 13:00
  Two in a row. Yet the line open out of pick
• 13:03
  and move toward the team was lost seven straight.
• 13:05
  So kind of a fishy by low play. This is also a revenge play for
• 13:09
  the Miners. Just five days ago they played
• 13:11
  the Bearcats and UTEP lost 89 to 87.
• 13:15
  Lastly, we do have our friends at Rhythm showing UTEP -1.8,
• 13:19
  which is again, you know, closer to the 2 1/2 where you're at
• 13:22
  right now. Long story short, we open at a
• 13:24
  pic. We got pretty, you know, obvious
• 13:26
  team here playing UTEP. Low bets, higher dollars, money
• 13:29
  line and spread. We got Ken Palm by one.
• 13:32
  We got Rhythm by two. I'm going to play UTEP here as a
• 13:36
  revenge fishy team on A7 game losing streak that hopefully
• 13:40
  will get back on track and Ernie win for us today in the first
• 13:43
  round of the Conference USA tournament.
• 13:46
  So let's go UTEP, let's go minors.
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  I got UTEP on the money line -142 last play of the night went
• 13:55
  to the well with Robbie MO last night.
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  They made me sweat. I was drenched in sweat dripping
• 13:59
  all over the place. They came through.
• 14:01
  I'm going to do it again tonight.
• 14:03
  So we have the conference, not the Conference USA.
• 14:06
  The Horizon League championship game winner goes to the big
• 14:09
  dance. Let's set the stage on this one.
• 14:12
  I pretty much already gave away the play.
• 14:13
  Let's talk about what we've seen across the market now going into
• 14:17
  it. Youngstown State 21 and 12 on
• 14:19
  the year. The four seed don't remind me
• 14:21
  they beat Cleveland State 5654 last night, winning outright as
• 14:25
  a three-point neutral site dog. On the other hand, Robbie MO 25
• 14:28
  and 8, the one seed just edge Oakland, which was a good thing
• 14:31
  for us in the money line. 7976 didn't cover, though, as the 3
• 14:36
  1/2 point favorite. So what have you seen across the
• 14:38
  market here? Well, it's not a huge line move
• 14:40
  like UTEP or TCU, but it's kind of a sneaky sharp liability play
• 14:45
  on Robert Morris. Because if you look at we've
• 14:48
  seen across the market, some books open Robert Morris -3 but
• 14:51
  a lot of books open -3 1/2. But it was even -110 juice or,
• 14:55
  you know, standard -110 and we've now seen Robert Morris get
• 14:59
  juiced up -3 1/2 - 115. And some shops have even gotten
• 15:03
  up to four. So it's not like a huge one 1
• 15:06
  1/2 point line move, but the juice and kind of the moves
• 15:09
  throughout the day have all been pointing to a Robert Morris.
• 15:12
  You've never really seen this line get down to three.
• 15:14
  It's either stayed the same or gotten juiced up or moved
• 15:17
  further in favor of Robert Morris.
• 15:18
  So that tells me that the the liability side here is Robbie
• 15:22
  MO. Now let's look at the splits
• 15:24
  here. Look pretty good on Robert
• 15:26
  Morris at DraftKings. 60% of spread bets, 71% of spread
• 15:30
  dollars. So modest public support, but
• 15:32
  heavy smart money, low bets, higher dollar split.
• 15:35
  Now Ken Palm has Robbie MO by three, but they're three and
• 15:39
  half across the market. What if Ken Palms right on the
• 15:41
  dot and they win by three just like last night, We lose a 3 1/2
• 15:45
  as a result. I'm going to go money line here.
• 15:47
  I got Robert Morris -170 at FanDuel.
• 15:51
  Make sure you shop around because a lot of books are
• 15:53
  closer to like -190 so you can save yourself $0.20 of juice by
• 15:57
  playing this at FanDuel. You look at the bet splits right
• 16:00
  now at Circa look pretty good on the money line. 60% of money
• 16:03
  line bets, 83% of money line dollars on the Robert Morris,
• 16:08
  the colonials. So further evidence of the
• 16:10
  sharps out in Vegas banking on hopefully a straight up win for
• 16:14
  Robert Morris. Now let's look to the stat
• 16:16
  advantages here. I always look to them just to
• 16:18
  think about, hey, what's my path to victory?
• 16:20
  Where's my advantage or edge as a better?
• 16:23
  You haven't tried to look for an edge over the book.
• 16:25
  Well, look at the stats. You know, where's my edge in
• 16:27
  terms of the, you know, one-on-one matchup?
• 16:29
  But Robert Morris right off the bat, better offensive
• 16:32
  efficiency, 195th in the country versus 200 and 64th for
• 16:36
  Youngstown State. Better defensive efficiency, not
• 16:39
  by a lot, but 122nd versus 126th.
• 16:42
  Robert Morris has a big edge in the offensive rebound
• 16:45
  department. They have an offensive rebound
• 16:47
  percentage of 35% versus 29%, and they also shoot the three
• 16:51
  better, 34% versus 31%. Colonials also forced more
• 16:56
  turnovers, 73rd in the country versus one O 6, and they limit
• 17:00
  their opponent to fewer offensive rebounds, 111th versus
• 17:03
  245th. So basically think of it this
• 17:06
  way. They're better at defensive
• 17:07
  rebounding, not giving up extra chance.
• 17:09
  Points went to dial up Rhythm. Rhythm has Robbie MO -2.6, so
• 17:15
  again, not an edge on the 3 1/2, but as a money line play, we
• 17:18
  just got to win by 1. Rhythms got it closer to a 2 1/2
• 17:21
  or 3, so not a huge line move play, but we got a good bet
• 17:26
  split. We have a good juiced up kind of
• 17:29
  sneaky line move here in favor of Robert Morris.
• 17:31
  I'm going to go right back to the wall and hope that Robbie MO
• 17:33
  can get it done two nights in a row.
• 17:36
  I got Robert Morris again, got to shop around cuz Fanduel's got
• 17:38
  the best price -170 on the money line.
• 17:42
  So TCU, UTEP, Robbie MO, 3 money line plays.
• 17:46
  Let's try to go 2 in one eek out a winning day.
• 17:49
  So that about does it on a big Tuesday for episode 234 of the
• 17:53
  All Systems Go Sports Betting pod powered by Rhythm.
• 17:56
  This is the part of the pod, of course, where we wrap things up
• 17:58
  and I start first by saying thank you.
• 18:01
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 18:03
  busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
• 18:06
  sharp contrarian data-driven breakdowns with me.
• 18:09
  If you do enjoy the pod, hopefully it's provided some
• 18:11
  good betting insights and tips and strategies, provided you a
• 18:15
  data-driven blueprint that you can work with and continue to
• 18:18
  refine. If that is the case, could you
• 18:20
  do me a solid? Could you please give this
• 18:22
  podcast a five star review? If you're listening on Spotify
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  or iTunes? I'll go a long way to helping us
• 18:28
  to continue to grow the pod, reach a bigger audience,
• 18:31
  continue to rise up the charts. If you want to click the follow
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• 18:45
  the pod to a friend, I won't. I won't say no to that.
• 18:47
  Word of mouth is always a great a recommendation that holds more
• 18:50
  weight if it's coming from someone that you respect.
• 18:53
  Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, win, lose or
• 18:57
  draw, you know you're making bets based on data information
• 19:00
  and not your your bias in your heart.
• 19:03
  If this style of betting has appealed to you, you want to
• 19:05
  learn more about data-driven betting, I would first recommend
• 19:08
  going to Amazon.com and buying my book.
• 19:11
  It's called the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 19:14
  It's got everything I've learned in the sports betting industry.
• 19:17
  You know, of course, how to go contrarian, how to read line
• 19:20
  movement, how to identify sharp action, how to manage a
• 19:22
  bankroll. I even have a chapter on March
• 19:24
  Madness and how to create a contrarian bracket, which we'll
• 19:27
  get into again hit on it last week, but we'll talk more about
• 19:30
  it when the bracket obviously gets unveiled.
• 19:33
  It's great for new betters. It's also great for intermediate
• 19:35
  betters if you want to get into some more betting systems, which
• 19:38
  I have a whole chapter on. But aside from the everything
• 19:41
  guide to sports betting, I would love, love, love, love for you
• 19:44
  to pre-order my new book, go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL
• 19:48
  sharp betting playbook. Cannot wait for this to drop.
• 19:51
  I'm very proud of it. I can't wait for you guys to
• 19:54
  read it. It'll come out August 12th, but
• 19:56
  you can do me a solid by pre ordering a copy on Amazon.com.
• 20:00
  And the more pre-orders, the happier my my publisher is and
• 20:03
  the more, more buzz we can generate.
• 20:05
  Seriously, those those of you who've already pre-ordered a
• 20:07
  copy, it really means the world to me when I see you.
• 20:10
  You're going to bring either one or both of the books.
• 20:13
  Here's here's actually, I'm going to make a new promise to
• 20:15
  you. You bring one of the books, I'll
• 20:16
  buy you one beer, you bring both books, the everything guide to
• 20:19
  sports betting and maybe a pre-ordered copy of the NFL
• 20:23
  Shark betting playbook. I'll buy you 2 drinks, 2 beers,
• 20:26
  two shots, whatever you want, 2 ginger Aales.
• 20:29
  But that's that'll be awesome if you guys were interested in
• 20:31
  doing that next, if you haven't done it yet, you got to go
• 20:35
  download rhythm and juice reel. My two favorite sports betting
• 20:37
  apps. They help me win.
• 20:38
  They're going to help you win. Rhythm obviously does a great
• 20:41
  job of powering this pod, providing us AI backed models
• 20:44
  and predictions for best bets and player props for all the
• 20:47
  major sports huge right now for March Madness.
• 20:50
  NBAMLB is right around the corner.
• 20:53
  Then looking toward juice reel great for their AI backed picks
• 20:57
  from Robo Jackson that come out each day.
• 20:59
  You can also follow the all systems go best bet picks,
• 21:02
  hopefully get better numbers like TCU.
• 21:04
  You know I put it in the app -140 on the money line earlier
• 21:08
  today. Again they're closer to like
• 21:09
  -155 now but that cost $4.99 a week to get a week's full of
• 21:14
  plays. You can try it out with a 7 day
• 21:15
  free trial. Again that this pod is free.
• 21:18
  Consider signing up for the ASG best bets like a tip jar.
• 21:22
  You know 5 bucks a week if you want to support the pod and get
• 21:25
  the plays hopefully early. Also, you got the arbitrage
• 21:29
  plays, the sharp mush indicators.
• 21:31
  You know you can shop for the best line futures.
• 21:32
  You can sync up your sports books.
• 21:34
  Juice Reel is just all-encompassing great sports
• 21:37
  betting app. So go to your App Store,
• 21:39
  download rhythm, download Juice Reel and it'll be off and
• 21:42
  running making sharper bets. So that about said, wrapping it
• 21:46
  up last two last two things we ought to talk about.
• 21:49
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 21:52
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 21:54
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 21:57
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the
• 22:00
  New Nash in Nashville, New Hampshire.
• 22:03
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
• 22:05
  or Billy Walter sends his number runners with the lowest juice
• 22:08
  possible is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp
• 22:11
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 22:13
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
• 22:16
  to me. You're going to show me a Robbie
• 22:17
  MO getting it done in overtime. Don't show me Cleveland State or
• 22:21
  Arkansas State again. How, how annoying is it when you
• 22:23
  beat the closing line and the team doesn't come through for
• 22:26
  you? Hey, that sometimes happens.
• 22:28
  It just means that maybe tonight some teams will come through for
• 22:31
  us. Wouldn't that be great?
• 22:33
  But guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 22:35
  you. We're going to post about the
• 22:36
  book Sweatshop Contrarian plays all night long.
• 22:39
  So wish you the best luck everyone.
• 22:40
  As always, my parting words. One and two, two and one, three
• 22:44
  and OO and three. Previous day does not matter.
• 22:48
  Obviously a losing day, you want to bounce back, you don't feel
• 22:50
  great about it. Winning day, you feel great.
• 22:52
  Can't wait to bed again. But as always, we're playing the
• 22:55
  long game, and our goal is to make sharp bets with our head
• 22:58
  and not our heart. Against the public, with the
• 23:00
  house, with the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays.
• 23:02
  Get that COVCOV won't guarantee a win.
• 23:06
  But it does tell you that we're reading the market and
• 23:08
  anticipating the line move correctly, which over the long
• 23:10
  haul is going to mean that we're we'll be more successful than
• 23:14
  people who maybe get lucky. But, you know, bet A-Team plus 2
• 23:18
  1/2, they've closed plus 3 1/2. Yeah, you, you won your bet,
• 23:21
  Congratulations. But if you do that 1000 times,
• 23:24
  you're going to come on the losing end the majority of the
• 23:27
  time. But either way, guys, let's
• 23:29
  continue to grind. Hope to see everyone again at
• 23:31
  4:00 Eastern Time for the Rhythm College basketball Tuesday live
• 23:35
  stream and we'll be right back at it tomorrow.
• 23:38
  That'll be episode 235. I'm looking at it right now.
• 23:41
  We got more afternoon sweats for tomorrow.
• 23:43
  I cannot wait. This is this is the fun time of
• 23:45
  year guys with college hoops and and of course, March Madness
• 23:49
  basically here at all. It all starts with conference
• 23:52
  tournaments, so I have a great Tuesday, everybody.
• 23:55
  I'll see you at the live stream at four and as always, hopefully
• 23:57
  you can cash some tickets. We'll be right back at it
• 23:59
  tomorrow. That'll be a big Wednesday.
• 24:01
  Episode 235 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
• 24:06
  powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 24:08
  great Tuesday.