Latest / Apex Insiders Podcast / F1 Barcelona-Catalunya GP 2026 | Betting Preview
Transcript
- @f1capper: Welcome to the Apex Insiders. We got the Spanish GP and I got F1. ⁓ What is ⁓ what what are we calling it? What are we calling? ⁓ that's right. That's right. Because we have Madrid on the grid. Do you like what I did there? ⁓ yeah. So this is what what what are we calling this? Barcelona GP? Darksideday: Actually, actually, it's not the Spanish Grand Prix. The Barcel the Barcelona, Catalonia. I mean we can just call it the Spanish Grand Prix anyway here. @f1capper: ⁓ sure. We got the we got ⁓ Barcelona. The the race in Spain, the first real ⁓ race here. ⁓ I'm not considering last week a real race. so yeah, let's ⁓ we got some good stuff here. So this is where they actually d started their close testing here back in like January when it was freezing, probably. ⁓ this is definitely gonna be Darksideday: A race in Spain. Yeah. @f1capper: A track where all the drivers, doesn't matter rookies and whatnot, have are pretty familiar with this track. ⁓ just like in every year, we always talk about it, how it's ⁓ hard to pass track. It's still gonna probably be that way. However, we'll see how the energy management stuff plays in hand. But I suspect that you're not gonna see much of a difference because this is a tire shredder track. ⁓ so it's gonna be mixed of everything. ⁓ the again, this used to be a track that was the testing track, I think. Before Bahrain it was it was this track. ⁓ and the reason why they like doing this track is because it has a flavor of everything. It gives you every type of low, medium, high speed cornering. So it gives a good idea of how to set up a car. With that being said, that's why this is a really critical weekend for these teams. some are bringing most I think are gonna be bring up upgrades here. ⁓ some s opted maybe to wait till Austria. ⁓ And then some are just optimizing from what they brought in the last few weeks, ⁓ few races. ⁓ so yeah, this is the C two, C three, C four. Again, tire Shredder expecting a two stop. I believe last year we saw a lot of ⁓ individuals start on softs and then go to hards for and then for pretty much like 40 laps and then they go back onto the softs. ⁓ so two Two stopper. So this is ⁓ this is a real test, man. This is this is where we feel like, okay, you know, we've gotten through the first what one third of the calendar. There's a lot of streets courses, we've had a long break, all these different things, and now and we've had development happen within. So now this is where I feel like it begins. The summer calendar is here. And also to note, we have some. Drivers that are not going to be participating in FP1. I believe there are some others, but I will try to call out what I do know. And then F1 tipster over here can then help me with the rest. ⁓ whatever updates that happened recently. So Lando Norris is not going to be driving Leonardo for I'm not going to even try to pronounce his name. Let's just say Leo. He's going to be taking over for Lando Norris. ⁓ Kimi Antonelli is not going to be driving in FP1. It's going to be Fred. ⁓ Frederick Vesti, Alex Albon's not going to be driving. It's going to be Luke Browning, and Sergio Perez is not going to be driving. Guess who's going to be driving? Colton Herta, your favorite indie car driver, because we got UK's number one fan. Yes, number one fan here. So I do know that. I'm sure there were some others. What others do we have? Okay. ⁓ Darksideday: ⁓ yeah, my favorite. My favorite. Yeah, we got a Ferrari out. ⁓ who's that? Well they didn't say which one, they just announced the driver. @f1capper: The ⁓ sor they haven't announced Leclerc or Hamilton. Darksideday: ⁓ no. And who's who's coming in? ⁓ Bekanovich or something like that. @f1capper: Okay. Okay. Yep, yep, yep. Darksideday: But I think it's Hamilton 'cause they they're test they're testing the new brakes for Charlie. Charlie univer that's right. So I'm sure he's doing F P one. @f1capper: God bless him, huh? ⁓ What about Audi? W I thought I saw something about Audi or was that fake news? Darksideday: Yeah, I think so. You'd think we'd prepare before, but no, no we don't, we don't. @f1capper: Not prepared. Not prepared, guys. Paul Iron, okay. Darksideday: ⁓ yeah, Paul Aaron for I can't remember which one, but one's doing this week and one's doing the next week for the drivers. @f1capper: Okay. Okay. So this is probably why you're not seeing FP lines anywhere. I believe MGM was said, hey, here you go. Here's FP one, which God bless them for doing that. ⁓ I know some guys just hopped on I don't know. Everything basically possible, like just to take advantage of the potential for drivers being out, and then they took it down. So I don't think I Any are back up, any of ⁓ up by chance? Darksideday: ⁓ no, I think someone said draft kids were were up but they saw it's like adjusted. @f1capper: Okay, so they adjusted it. No one else has it. So most likely we're not gonna have a free Money Friday play, but I will take a look. I'll take a look. So let's ⁓ before we get into plays, we're not gonna bring up n last week. But I think maybe it would be good exercise for us to talk about like where do we see let's do it by top teams because we're always interested in top teams, and then where does the midfield stand? Who's who do we feel i is ahead? going into this race. so given the track, the characteristics and everything, my hunt obviously Mercedes is the gold standard. They're gonna probably be one and two. I just we'll just keep it that at that. I think that they just have the right car ⁓ that's set up for any track right now. But it's hands down, it's only drivers that are being donkeys that will ruin things. Darksideday: Okay. @f1capper: And then this is where the tricky part is, is who's number two? I don't think it is Ferrari this weekend. And with that being said, it's probably gonna be Ferrari. But ⁓ I actually think it's going to be ⁓ I want to say McLaren. I really do. And I'm gonna stick with Darksideday: Didn't we say that last ready? @f1capper: We well no no we didn't. I don't think we did. Or did we? Maybe. Yes we did. You were on that. Yeah, you were on that. I was I was on the other idiot, ⁓ Charles Leclerc. The fucking guy, man. ⁓ guy cursed. Huh? Darksideday: Norris Page in U or top three. We weren't talking about last week. I thought we weren't talking let's not talk about last week. @f1capper: Yeah, ⁓ my God. I just I'm yes, let's just keep moving on. So I think it's gonna be Mercedes, McLaren. I really think I wanna I want to think Max is gonna be a top three driver this weekend, but I have so many question marks and so many levels. I mean, let's not start about last week, and that's one of the the topics of discussion about ⁓ Red Bull, but reliability is is been ⁓ absolutely trash. For that team. It's really has been. And I just don't I think there's for a lot of teams you can argue this, but I think at a track like this, where now we're getting the heat. We're gonna really test the pressure of these engines. And are we gonna see more DNFs? I don't know, but I can tell you this heat is not gonna it it it's it's not good to have a a hot weather place and your cars ⁓ your engines are already unreliable. Let's just put it that way. Darksideday: If it's hot, maybe. @f1capper: So that's why I put McLaren ahead of Red Bull for now. Obviously, that all changes once we get through some MFP sessions and and whatnot. ⁓ and then yeah, I think it's gonna be for Ferrari, Red Bull. They're gonna be in the mix. So ⁓ let's start there. What do you think? Darksideday: I agree, I agree. I think Norris said he's out of batteries. He was on his third battery in Monaco. That went. I don't know if there's a grid penalty or how big it is, because the battery's usually one of the minor ish parts. But I think so, you're right. I'm surprised the book the books have priced it that way as well, with McLaren and Clear's second favourites. I think it's fair enough. think more the midfield is probably where the better value is. @f1capper: Totally. Totally. I will also then talk about the midfield. Let's just get right into the thick of things. So I don't know if this is gonna be a good track for Williams. I know they have the power unit, but I just don't think this is going to bode well. I don't know if this really i you know, with the mix of all types of turns and corners and everything, I just don't think that they're gonna have the the most efficient car. ⁓ I don't know how their tire deck will be, but I think their tire deck should be fine. But I just don't think they're going to be that top midfield team. Gasly and ⁓ Colapinto. I also kind of worry about them a little bit at this track. I think that they did have some advantages ⁓ with this, you know, some of the tracks that they had in the past. But this really on paper really should be good for them. We said that last week, though. And I mean, technically, Gasly should have been P3. ⁓ but they didn't really show up the way they should have showed up. compared to l like racing bulls. So racing bulls I'm gonna say the midfield is gonna shake up this way. I'm gonna say Alpine Haas Racing Bull Williams No Let's discuss Darksideday: No. Hass are just Hassa back to their twenty twenty days for just being terrible. They're just terrible. @f1capper: I I don't know. I don't think that they're gonna be I I think it's like again, it's gonna be racing bulls slash Alpine ⁓ Haas, right? That's where I think they're gonna be. Alpine should be higher than them. But I I I don't know, man. I think behind one. I think what I don't know. I think that ⁓ I I I gotta go and see like where their limitations are right now. But I think from a race based perspective Darksideday: I think they'll probably be behind Williams, I think, personally. @f1capper: I think they are gonna be better than the racing bulls. Maybe not in qualifying, but if they can at least qualify within a a ⁓ spot, you do two spots and that's gonna not gonna help. But I think if they can be like P eleven in let's just hypothetically say racing bull is a P ten, I think they'll catch them on the first straight, get into the corners, and then they that's it. They run with it. They have the race pace to be able to to stay in there. And their positioning. And then Williams, I think, is just just not going to be there. I don't know. I ha I mean maybe I can change my tune a little bit. Full disclosure, I have not been knee deep into F1 the past 24 hours. So been a little bit on Le Monde. So not gonna lie. I've been paying attention to that because that's this weekend. that's how I see it happening. Let's do a fun one. Let's do let's do Caddy versus Aston Martin. ⁓ because they actually are putting out some bets where it's like, ⁓ I mean, do we take Perez over Alonso or you think so? Okay. Darksideday: I think so, I think so. The Aston Martin has no pace at all. It's just there. They're like in qualifying they're just it's a bit there, but not really. And at least Sergio Perez he's a competent he's at least a competent driver. Bottas dunno what he's doing. @f1capper: Well, Botas and Stroll, we know Botas is just a glorified stroll. Let's just put it that way. So when we're to Darksideday: I mean I think Perez had his strong moments back but he seems to be with it at least. It's just reliability. But I mean that's that's both. That's both. Car catalacts faster. @f1capper: Well what about the car? What about the car? Okay. 'Cause ⁓ I've kind of just glossed over those two teams 'cause I'm like I just don't care about those two teams. They're like a second and a second and a half behind Darksideday: I mean only 'cause I was sweating it so much at Monaco, I was sweating it so much at Monaco. I was like, How's Perez he did his grid spot wrong twice? He somehow finished ahead, I'm like, ⁓ and then I see and then he's like, ⁓ please just get to the podium so it pays out, please, please and it did, thankfully. @f1capper: Yeah. Yeah. Well Yeah, I I probably would take it. Darksideday: I mean, is there any prices out for that? I wanna take @f1capper: No, I do know that he is set at 18 and a half on grid rival. And you know, I just feel like that's a little you know, at a track like this, so Monaco should not be judged in any way. It doesn't matter, even practices or anything, or how the cars are reacting. It's just it's a lot of slow corners, right? Like it's it's a totally different type of track. And I think you saw the benefit of that. Because sometimes it's just not about the car, it's just a driver. That's why they call it a driver track. It's just that's what it's all about, is the driver track. Darksideday: I will say MGM or B Win have Perez Alonso a Ted up and they have Perez at minus one ⁓ f one ⁓ five @f1capper: Let's just get right into it. Darksideday: With ⁓ Alonso as the favourite. I think that's the wrong way round, to be honest. @f1capper: Let's see, let's get in there. Wait, ⁓ for a race? Darksideday: Yeah, for race. Then they're headed for qualifying at the moment. @f1capper: ⁓ got that alarm going. She's calling. Sh she she's she's calling guys. She needs needs that dude. ⁓ let's see. Let's see. Darksideday: You know, that's that that's what time we wanna start double. Yeah, call it guy, go a guy. @f1capper: Yeah. ⁓ I do not want to sweat that. Just don't want to sweat that. God ⁓ but y you know what's funny though? Out of all these odds, because you know, this has been happening is volatility of the season is just at times you're like, what the hell? Like either it's ⁓ I the car couldn't move right o right off the grid. They couldn't get off the start or Darksideday: Are you sure? @f1capper: insert Stewart's crap or carb just dies or something happens, so you you have a right read going into the race and then all of a sudden it goes away. But there is one thing that is for sure that you can count on is this matchup. Because I mean Aston Martin's been a pile of dog shit and so has Caddy, but they've been less of a pile of dog shit, I guess. Un Darksideday: Unless they're sort of like starting a drivers, you know what mean? It can keep up for one or two laps. Aston just can't do that at all. @f1capper: That's that's yeah, like at least out of all the drivers, I c weirdly enough I trust Caddy in the in Perez right now. He seems he seems more in tune with it. ⁓ Okay, okay. What yeah, ⁓ we I didn't even talk about Audi in the midfield. I p I think ⁓ let's go back to that very quickly. I'm gonna say Alpine Audi slash racing bulls slash haas. So just put ⁓ in there. Put ⁓ in the mix, but I d still don't trust Audi on race day. ⁓ the only reason why I don't is the reliability. I don't think that ⁓ I don't know. I don't think they have it. And then also they still have problems with starts and all these different things. So Darksideday: What else is there? What signs bearman? @f1capper: I I can't do that. I can't do Signs Bearman is Bearman is favored. I kinda would wanna do that. Kinda would. I kinda do. You take signs? Okay, well then I'm gonna temper. Well see again, this goes back to I might change my tune on Williams. I wanna look into it a little bit more. Are they bringing upgrades? I don't rem I don't think they were or maybe they were and they were trying to Darksideday: You wanna do that? I think I take the other side. Yeah. @f1capper: reduce some weights, that might change things. I d I that's why I don't wanna get cute with with Williams just yet and saying I'm gonna fade them. I do wanna see what they're gonna bring and how does that impact them. ⁓ Darksideday: Yeah. ⁓ Solando Lewis Hamilton. @f1capper: Minus one forty. Darksideday: See, is that like just a Lewis Hamilton over reaction from Monica? @f1capper: Yeah, I mean he he I mean Monaco he just he's just knows the track and he had a good enough car. He had the pace. ⁓ but Lando might have that grid penalty you said. Darksideday: ⁓ yes. @f1capper: So do we consider the other side? Darksideday: Stop playing the remote, but yeah, I think we leave that one. I forgot you reminded me about the grid panel in. @f1capper: That's possibly coming. Yep. ⁓ let's see. ⁓ I date just backing Lawson and this just Darksideday: He has been on it the last few weeks, surprisingly. @f1capper: ⁓ no, I know. But so has Lindblad last week. So I don't I think it's just a car thing. Even though I did just just say it was a driver's track, but I mean when you got both of ⁓ s near each other, they just avoided all the I I I I that's true. That is true. That is true. Mm. Darksideday: No, but Linblad he just float that, he just didn't pit until Red Flag. We got a team head adds. @f1capper: Yeah, let's do that. That's priced even. I don't think I would want to mess with that. Wasn't this the track last year where Piastri started dominating? Like this is like the part of the calendar Piastri was just just taking Norris' shed or yeah. Darksideday: ⁓ yeah. Or it was already ahead at this point by a million miles. @f1capper: Well, they have Hamilton and LeClaire pr priced the same. They really overreacted to his breaking issue. Which is what ⁓ right. Well, I I do I do wanna call out one thing though about this track that might be interesting tidbits. I probably should have gone into that when I was talking about the Darksideday: And I think it was track dependent as well, the brakes. I feel like it's just a very monoco type thing. @f1capper: The preview, which is so front locking, under breaking, it's going to be a recurring issue at turn five, turn seven, turn ten. So basically all the left handers. So you have to be very careful about how you set up your brake bias. That's why I do believe they're going to opt for Lewis to sit versus LeClaire. So he they can make sure because they're putting up a new brake system, they want to make sure he's optimized for that. ⁓ obviously we know there's limited overtaking opportunities. ⁓ the way this is this circuit works is all the right-handed are basically going to be the high speed cornering, but the slow and medium corners are all left-handed. So that's where it's going to create a like the uneven tire degradation, and that's going to happen fast for certain teams. So if there are drivers who are typically pretty bad about their tire management, That's the that's gonna be an issue for those guys and if they're within one spot it can s there can be an overtake opportunity or an undercut. So that you have to consider that. I do too. I do too. Darksideday: I do like the the Claire at that price though, 'cause it did he was he was, you know, gonna be near the top when before he crashed on a second lap. @f1capper: Well let's see. Maybe let's go to qualifying. Do they have any No they don't. Damn. I almost would rather have it on qualifying than I would during the race. But I do like Darksideday: Don trust Ferrari's strategy? @f1capper: Hm, no. Never. But when you're going against teammates, I mean two donkeys, you just pick the w lesser one. So Darksideday: It's true, it's true, it's true. Maybe that's a wait, I think. 'Cause others will come out soon enough. @f1capper: Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm. Do you think ⁓ it's another Kimmy domination? Darksideday: I think so. I mean I don't know to be honest because Canada Russell although he was like sort of I don't wanna say hanging on, but I think he had more of a lower down for setup in Canada in Kimmy, so it looked like he was driving away. So I don't wanna say like I don't know, maybe if there's like a top two Russell that wasn't near Evens, I think I'd prefer to take that. But I don't think so. On here at the moment. @f1capper: He was there. He was there. Yeah, see they have max already priced at top three. Darksideday: Like that minus two ten is sort of or maybe if there's double Mercedes, top ten ⁓ top top three even. @f1capper: Which is kinda c Darksideday: It might be that one. All these drivers, does it say? And there we go. @f1capper: Yeah. Minus one third. I'm sure there's probably better prices somewhere. What does DK have? Let's check the one I have access to very quickly and see. Both podium finishes minus one forty. So minus one twenty so far is the best price. Darksideday: And did did draftings have FP odds? @f1capper: DraftKings? No. ⁓ yeah, they do. Let's see. ⁓ they just put team I mean Darksideday: Yeah. @f1capper: Who do we say again? It was Darksideday: I mean all the top four will have one driver out. So Max is for Red Bull, Russell, Piastri, and probably Leclerc, but he's testing his brakes. @f1capper: The eighty to one Alpine is a good just f just throw it at out there, flyer, maybe. Sn if you just wanna have fun with it, that obviously is priced to where I don't think it should be eighty to one, maybe forty. Cut that in half. I don't know. I haven't really paid too much attention to the winning car odds beyond Ferrari, the top four. ⁓ let's see what's the winning margin. Wow, that's priced hard. Yeah, so they don't have much. Fastest speed, sounds right. Racing bulls should be there. Darksideday: Yeah, it's nothing really there. @f1capper: Mm mm. ⁓ here you go. God, that's terrible. Darksideday: When did they go if we're gonna take Aston Martin out? I like, Where's Aston Martin? ⁓ do they still include them? @f1capper: Leave it be. I kinda enjoy the fact that they just still include it. Yeah. ⁓ okay, let's let's look at qualifying because I think we we're all on the same page. Race is kinda Iffy, let's just say qualifying two twenty-five. What is this? What is his odds here? Two fifty. So you have Russell around two to one. There you go. We got close to a three to one. This is getting to you might need to take Russell at three to one. One thing that's also to mention about this track too is ⁓ being on pole is not really to an advantage. It's really P two because you have the long straight before you enter turn one. Darksideday: Yeah, I did see a market lap one winner. ⁓ lap one leader yeah, leader after lap one and it was like plus one, two, five favourite and then the second favourite was third place 'cause you get the double double slipstream. @f1capper: It on Bet three sixty five. Darksideday: It was on Ladbrooks, which I don't think you have up. No. @f1capper: We don't have that. No. So ⁓ I don't see that. Yeah. Darksideday: But I don't usually see a market like that. @f1capper: We gotta look into the actual race margin. Yeah, they don't have that yet. But that yeah, that's one where I definitely wanna Yeah. Darksideday: Especially if it's kidding me on pole with that long long straight. @f1capper: See what do they have here? ⁓ they just have the field field bets. Yeah, they got for bed online. Hmm, let's see. Yeah, Leclerc is favored a little bit on bed online for the race. So MGM, that price's not bad. I kind of want to do that. Just just hold my nose and just do it. Let's see the race specials. And then yeah, they don't have that first slap yet. Damn, they have the overjuiced eighteen and a half. I mean, this is a type of track where it's more traditional and I mean, from a racing perspective, it should have less DNFs, but that's not counting for reliability, of course. They think that the they think over eighteen is gonna hit. Darksideday: Bit skinny though at that price. I wouldn't take that. @f1capper: Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm. No. ⁓ let's see. Do they have number of classified drive total classified drivers? Oof. Minus two hundred. Darksideday: Don't wanna say that? @f1capper: Oof. And then look at this, nineteen and a half is almost minus two hundred two. God dang. I thought this market was gonna be great. It just sucks. Do they have it? Let's see. No, they only have last classified. Okay. Well, we talked a lot about odds that we haven't taken yet. Darksideday: Traditions. @f1capper: Traditions. okay. Well, I do I do like this Leclair over Lewis minus one hundred eighteen on MGM for the race. I do like the podium finishes for both Mercedes at minus one hundred on DK. Ooh, and then what was the other one? I like the lap bet. We just gotta see what the odds are. What about top three? Six. Darksideday: sold double for our top six was about minus one ten, would you take that? @f1capper: Double top six? Ooh. Now you have my attention. Yeah. Darksideday: Yeah. @f1capper: Excuse me. It's ⁓ Evens on Dr DraftKings. I kinda do like that because I I don't expect there to be chaos. They should still get off the line. I mean it's not like they have an incompetent car, but they're not that bad. There's still gonna be a top team, and that's within the top six, right? Darksideday: Yeah. I agree. @f1capper: I think where they're where they're factoring is and especially if Lando has a grid penalty, what what is it three three spots he will have to take for the first one? Darksideday: I saw it as either five or ten, I was looking on Twitter. Yeah. @f1capper: It was five or ten? Okay. So let's say he qualifies P three. If it's five, he's gonna be outside of that and it's gonna be harder for him to to he and overtake, yeah. Darksideday: catch up with an overtake. @f1capper: So Darksideday: I think that's more wait until there's like a little something about the press conference should be tomorrow. I'd be surprised if Norris isn't on it where it says something about his battery, one way or the other. @f1capper: See what gotta sneeze again. I'd do it. I would do it. I think you're you're getting some favorable. I think it's sell the news a little bit here. You know, all the crap they went through in Monaco. It's not like they had they were doing fine. Yes, they had still had some qualifying woes. I expect that they will have pretty good tire dags. They've never they've you typically have always been pretty good at that in in that situation with tire dag. Darksideday: Yeah, double podium. @f1capper: Is the horsepower deficit gonna be an issue? Probably, but it's not going to keep ⁓ out of contention because they're still gonna be fine when it comes to most of the track except the straightaway, probably. That's it. So I I I like that. Darksideday: I think so, that's fair enough. I think. It's a fair enough price. @f1capper: Mm-hmm. And then especially if they get off the line quick. They you know, they're let's say they're f four and five or four four and six, they'll get to slipstream and and get off the line and they can get you can find them. That's why I think I don't think it's a bad play to consider them for three to one on to podium. I mean if it was four to one I'd be all over it. Three to one, I'm like, that's still pretty good value. Darksideday: Yeah. Which one? @f1capper: I was I would normally lean Leclerc because he typically does better on race day and race pace compared to Lewis Hamilton at tracks like this. Yeah, I mean I don't know. I'm not I'm not taking it, but I'm just something to pay attention to because say if they start doing well in all the free practices, then that's gonna be cut down to Lando Norris' odds. Cut in half. And if they're really strong, then yeah, you've we've all missed a boat. So it's something to just keep an eye on. What's that? Darksideday: Wow, Max everything. ⁓ well, but ⁓ but MGM has max stappen odds probably top three the best. I'm seeing like minus one forty, one fifty for my odds checker. ⁓ that's a really bad price for max top three. I feel like if what's the no price that they got up? @f1capper: Minus one hundred and I actually find that interesting. Darksideday: Yeah. It's not too bad. @f1capper: No, but I think you could probably find a better play at those odds with a head to head matchup if if he does stay in the like within three, four even spots in F P. If he's in that spot, if he's in that range, he's showing some good pace and it just continues to get worse. I mean, you might be able to find, you know, whatever McLaren or whoever Darksideday: ⁓ yeah. @f1capper: Against him? Darksideday: Think so. I think we're in @f1capper: Yeah, I thi it's ⁓ go ahead. Darksideday: We're probably in extra staff and ⁓ you know, when they sort of overrate him. @f1capper: Yeah, I think the the at least MGM is overreacting to a lot of news that there's two things that came out this week that probably impacted it, which is one how the Racing or Red Bull's engine and the Racing Bull's engine is the top engine on the grid. So that means there's more a two percent development for the Mercedes engine and was it four percent for Ferrari? Darksideday: How did you how did Mercedes do that, ⁓ @f1capper: So Darksideday: Chicken. @f1capper: Hey Toto's got some stuff up his sleeve, man. He's got some stuff. I I was actually kind of shocked, but I mean, I think that news when that hit, now we're at a traditional track. More there's a higher speed at this track. I think that might have influenced the odds a little bit for MGM or across the board. Also then compound out with the results, the break. The break issue, all those different things. Because the break issue wasn't like a true thing until this past after qualifying, right? Or FP3 even. He was t he was complaining a lot about it. Like there's something wrong. There's something wrong. There's something wrong. But that didn't seem like it was quite the issue at the other tracks before. So I think that they're just reacting to the news, but Apex Insiders is saying hul hold the phone. So I'm keeping an open mind. I'm keeping an open mind. So that being said. I don't think I have anything else I want to be cute with. I think we can talk about some grid rifle. Darksideday: Yeah, it must do some good arrival. @f1capper: Some let's just say Pickhums from now on since I've got an avid Pickhums player over here now. UK's no I only have qualifying race, which is perfect. I don't think price picks has put anything. Let me see. Darksideday: I haven't got any markets, I haven't got any markets. @f1capper: Definitely have grid rival. So we can compare. ⁓ my Spam shit. I cursed again. Supposed to stop me there, Alan. Yeah, I don't see anything on price picks. Okay. So we only have grid rival and dabble. So they got some lines. All right. All right. Let's start with qualifying. ⁓ they got the best guys on the grid first. ⁓ Botos at 20 and a half and Stroll at 19.5. Alonzo at 18.5. Ocon 14.5. Berriman 13 and a half. Darksideday: No, no dabble. Just just just you. @f1capper: Bort thirteen and a half, Sines twelve and a half, Albon thirteen and a half, Hulk at thirteen, Perez at eighteen and a half, Lawson eleven and a half, Lindblad at twelve and a half, Colapinto at ten and a half, Gasly at nine and a half, ⁓ Lewis four and a half, Leclerc four and a half. Piastri's five. Wow. Okay. And Hajar see that this right here validates like top six is not too bad. Of an odds to take both of them. ⁓ qualifying Hajar is seven and a half, Norris three and a half, Max three and a half, Russell and ⁓ Russell's two and a half and Kimmy's one and a half. You know what? I wonder if we should be taking Norris at three and a half right now for the race, assuming that that is going to happen. I have to go and look, but that is definitely an option if you're a Pick'ems player. Is Darksideday: What's her job? @f1capper: Maybe we do take the chance and take on that Norris worse at three and a half. And it could still hit. You never know. Because reliability and you know whatever stuff happens during the race, it could still hit. ⁓ O'Connor was fourteen and a half. Darksideday: What price was that on? So I like s straw worse and nineteen and a half. @f1capper: Yeah, at nineteen and a half. Yeah, and Alonzo's eighteen and a half with Perez. Darksideday: I don't know about Alonso and Perez to be honest. @f1capper: Do we just chalk it to Botas worse than twenty and a half? Darksideday: We might have to. Maybe that's just the play. @f1capper: Live ⁓ let's go back and see. What did he last three races for qualifying? Let's see. ⁓ let's see for qualifying. hey, I'm here at Japan. Let's see even start at Japan. Whoops. Whoops, whoops, whoops. Darksideday: Can we just bring back the old F one website, please? @f1capper: Yeah, no sh no crap. Okay, so stroll it was stroll, Olonto, Botas. So Alonto and Stroll were still bad in Japan. Let's just fast forward. No, let's not do Miami since that was a sprint weekend. Canadian GP Darksideday: P twenty two. @f1capper: And I mean, he was twentieth. Man, this is tough. Darksideday: So definitely the scroll one, I think, but botass is a bit @f1capper: I don't Tricky because it's either Alonzo or Stroll. Or Alonso and Botas, I mean. Darksideday: And Boss is ⁓ Alonso is nineteen and a @f1capper: Feel like it need ⁓ but you can't really pair both of ⁓ on grid rivals, so you would still have to pick a third. I ⁓ definitely would take stroll over Darksideday: ⁓ you can't do teammates. @f1capper: If you did teammates, you have to pick three guys. So technically speaking, I could try to do worse on all of them. And ⁓ this is I mean, this was ⁓ originally how pick'ems worked, and it works the same way with underdog, but prize picks I think changed the rules on that. I think. I d I don't remember. ⁓ no, no, no. For IndyCar they allowed it. Darksideday: What sort of role is that? ⁓ it's like related sort of. @f1capper: I know for F one they they don't because when I've picked two teammates it says you gotta add one. So Darksideday: So sort of like related sort of outcome. So yeah. Although it's not really for F one, it doesn't really work for F one, does it? @f1capper: Yeah. Yeah, it has to be two teams. But I mean, like, if Alonzo is 18 and a half, he could still get 19th. Stroll would get 22. Yeah, you gotta pay. So wouldn't wouldn't I want to do ⁓ this is it? I'm doing this. I'm doing this. Alonzo, eighteen and a half. Stroll, nineteen and a half. Botas, twenty and a half. Worse. We're gonna roll with it. Darksideday: Is he eighteen and a half or ⁓ yeah, you gotta pick it up. @f1capper: That's it. This is my shit card. It's a crappy payout on Grid Rival, but for the sake of let's get something in here. Let's do it. I'm just gonna do it. and if I lose Darksideday: I'm gonna hope for that man Sergio Perez to come through. @f1capper: ⁓ man, I should have Yeah, I should have put him in it. As better. ⁓ he was eighteen and a half actually. I I don't want that. If he was okay. Darksideday: ⁓ No. @f1capper: All right. Well there's that one. Darksideday: Can can I do my bad beat story of pickings? So I had ⁓ I had a five pick, twenty to one. Somehow they all survived. @f1capper: Yes tell us Darksideday: Signs get no signs get knocked out, so I've got all Bortoleto under fifteen and a half. But I thought it was also Bortoletto that took out Ocon and I was like, ⁓ that's fine. 'Cause he can't get worse than fifteen. And then I see Hulk ten second penalty. I'm like No No. So I had Perez under seventeen, Alonso le under nineteen and a half, Ocon under sixteen and a half, Bort under fifteen and a half, I'm like, ⁓ yeah. They're all coming in and then Hulk under twelve and a half, ten second penalty, just wiped out, wiped it out, wiped it out. I was very sad. @f1capper: He's he ruined everything at the end. Murphy's Law, if we're gonna if we're gonna vent, I mean that that red flag, I mean, that really did it. That really, really did it. ⁓ hold on, let me stop sharing. I just realized I was sharing. ⁓ for me, everything was looking fine. I had Russell over Piastri and The stewards decided they wanted to give him like a million penalties. That was pretty shitty. Sucks. Maybe he deserved it, whatever. Did not happen. And then I had signs over Hulk, but Hulk decided to be a terrorist. And then, and that was looking pretty, very pretty. I got the Oak on over over Bort. And then I had also the same thing. I had Bort at 14 and a half as. Worse, not even 15 and a half, and he ended up getting pressed up. So it ruined a lot of my Pickham's cards. Just in general, that whole thing, that whole that was Murphy's Law BS. From the moment Max's car just pooped at the start for whatever reason. And I had first slap, no retirement. And Max's car just decided to poop. I couldn't even get a lot. If if he just got off the line, even if he got off the line bad, we would have been fine. Darksideday: Apart from that one bad bait. ⁓ @f1capper: And then Leclerc. I had a Leclerc top three and he decided to fuck it in the wall. Darksideday: Apart from that, one bad beat. Monaco officially was the best weekend so far this season for me. Hajar over Russell, the gods aligned. I don't know how. Past him and then on half an engine, he goes to the back of the grid. Hajjar survives about twenty investigations. It's all good. But yeah. ⁓ yeah, Limblad somehow from the from @f1capper: You know, I Darksideday: Some wizardry to get him t to P9. @f1capper: Yeah. ⁓ and then I had Hulk I had the parlay with Hulk over Ocon and Sines over Linblad. And of course Hulk decided to take out Sines. He was I don't think Sines was ahead. But anyways Darksideday: I was convinced it was Bort who did it as well. That's fine. @f1capper: ⁓ and I didn't even mention the other part of this. I had a two hundred and sixty one ticket on Ghastly Top Three. Two hundred and sixty one. Darksideday: You know what? I thought he was gonna clear a jar as well. I'm sure they didn't even tell Gazley he had a penalty. I mean if he told him he might have been able to like you know, step on it a bit. @f1capper: Nothing went right that race. N for the race, everything was fine throughout the weekend. And literally Max was the domino effect for my card. Yeah. Yeah. Darksideday: And you know what? We were all thinking, ⁓ easy, it Monaco's easy in the race. Just be a nice quiet race. Some terrorism of seventh degree took place. @f1capper: Everywhere. I mean, it's it's incredible. This is Miami was the one race where I was like same kind of stuff happened. Like Albon I think it was I had Albon to make it and they said, Hold on, we're gonna investigate, but they didn't investigate right away and they waited until after and they decided, ⁓ yeah, he was he was track limits like twenty four hours later, he's going to the back of the grid. What are we what are we doing? Like you Darksideday: ⁓ yeah, yeah, I'm @f1capper: Make the decision right away. Like w this is the type of stuff with the stewards right now. I'm I'm just not getting and then the constant like Yeah. After the race, like what are you doing? Just what do you w do it? You have time. Look at all the video, look at everything. You have technology there for you. Do it. And then on top of that, the the penalties that were being handed out, that was that was some Darksideday: And then you get random stuff which is like, Yeah, we'll investigate after the race. Like what? Something definitely been wrong. I think tomorrow they're having a meeting. So Gasly may get his podium back, but not your not your tickets, there we go. @f1capper: That was wonky. Not my ticket, because the books don't care once it's at podium. ⁓ fortunately I missed out on a lot that could have been made, but they decided, hey, we saw cappers on all these things. And literally within that last 20 laps, I just could not could not catch a break. Everything just went to hell. And I was so confident Pia ⁓ Russell was gonna beat Piastro even after the penalty. And I don't know why they decided not to just sit there for five seconds before they touch the car. Darksideday: I think one of the one of the sides forgot and they just and then yeah. @f1capper: Yeah, that's stupid. And then Hulk decided to just be a terrorist, took out signs, which compounded everything else. And it's just it it's ⁓ and on I think I had last classified Bordoletto when they and he would have been last classified too. I'm like, ⁓ yeah. ⁓ but Hulk. Good job, Hulk. Good job. ⁓ so yeah, it's some stupid stuff. Yeah, you thought Monaco was gonna be one of those like, hey, set and forget. Darksideday: ⁓ yeah, ⁓ yeah. And then and then we haven't mentioned we haven't mentioned one thing, the Martin Brundle false flag operation. ⁓ yeah, Liam Lawson, he's starting in the pit lane. And then ⁓ no no, he's it's fine, it's fine. @f1capper: I am so thankful that I took all those bets on Bookmaker because they give me the cash out option. So I immediately cashed them all out. I think I lost like maybe ten dollars from that because they take a little bit of the VIG from it. And I was like, that was just stupid. Stupid, stupid, stupid stuff. Darksideday: Yeah, when I heard that I thought no I'm gonna wait just in case they do get it started 'cause it's not confirmed, confirmed. Not like when Bortiletta was pushed back, that's that is confirmed. @f1capper: Mm-hmm. Yeah. That was kinda that was stupid. Darksideday: I mean we'll know next time not to not to trust anything he says. @f1capper: Yeah. Well, I'm not gonna be around as much and some of these sessions. I think ⁓ I think it's Saturday, yeah. FP three I will probably be gone for that. ⁓ wait. ⁓ hold hold on, let's see what time is qualifying actually. Darksideday: Time for me and Yens for the European circuit to @f1capper: Let's see what qualifying is at. What time? Actually it's at nine, my time. So Yeah, I will I definitely won't be around ⁓ I will be around actually for FP three. I will be up I need to get up actually that early anyway. So that's gonna be work works out for me. And then I will just be getting back after qualifying. Yeah. So I will not see qualifying. I'm gonna have to do all my stuff up until about seven forty five and then I'm I'm out. I have to go. Darksideday: Fair enough. @f1capper: So it's on you guys. Make sure you pray to the racing gods. Please. Please make this a good weekend. I'm already growing tired of this season. So all right. Well, that was fun. We'll see you guys on the Discord. And ⁓ yeah. Just ⁓ let us know if you have any questions. Yeah, and stay lucky. Darksideday: The Europeans. They lucky too.