Latest / The Stable Pulse / The State of Stables by Stablecon and Artemis
Transcript
- 0:00Justin Friedman: Passage of the stablecoin legislation drafted by the Senate, dubbed the Genius Act.
- 0:05Justin Friedman: Because analysts say a wave of competition could complicate things.
- 0:08Andrew Van Aken: Stablecoin is your debut right here at the NASDAQ today.
- 0:13Justin Friedman: Welcome to the podcast.
- 0:15Justin Friedman: I'm Justin Friedman.
- 0:17Justin Friedman: I lead policy here at StableCon.
- 0:19Justin Friedman: StableCon is a conference series where we gather the stablecoin ecosystem.
- 0:26Justin Friedman: We'll be in Amsterdam in May, and we'll be in Washington, D.C.
- 0:30Justin Friedman: in September.
- 0:31Justin Friedman: And we're very excited to see our listeners there in person.
- 0:35Justin Friedman: Today we have Andrew Van Aken.
- 0:39Justin Friedman: And our guest here is the co-author of a report issued by Stablecon and Artemis on February 19th.
- 0:48Justin Friedman: And we're calling this the State of Stables.
- 0:51Justin Friedman: This will be our quarterly report on what's going on in the stablecoin universe.
- 0:56Justin Friedman: And this is our very first edition.
- 0:58Justin Friedman: Andrew, welcome.
- 0:59Justin Friedman: Tell us about yourself and tell us about Artemis.
- 1:03Andrew Van Aken: Well, first off, where I am, it's very warm.
- 1:05Andrew Van Aken: So I came underdressed with a short-sleeved shirt, but it's just too warm where I am.
- 1:10Andrew Van Aken: So I am a data scientist at Artemis.
- 1:13Andrew Van Aken: I spend most of my time looking at stablecoin data all day, every day, making charts, making graphs with wonderful colors.
- 1:20Andrew Van Aken: And we Artemis is a data analytics company focusing specifically on blockchain data.
- 1:27Andrew Van Aken: We work with all types of clients from fintechs to investors to really help them understand what's going on in the stablecoin world.
- 1:35Andrew Van Aken: And so about a few months ago, we we we chatted and said, hey, why not why not bring stablecoin data to the people and show it on a quarterly basis?
- 1:44Andrew Van Aken: And so here we are, uh February 19th, as you said, uh with our first report.
- 1:48Andrew Van Aken: Very exciting seeing this all get out for the very first time.
- 1:52Justin Friedman: So I'll talk for a moment about why we're doing this.
- 1:56Justin Friedman: There's a paradigm shift happening in payments, in banking, in stored value, in value transfer.
- 2:04Justin Friedman: This is often overstated.
- 2:07Justin Friedman: We talk a lot about paradigm shifts, but rarely is there a technology that actually changes the game and forces us to reconsider our notions about the world and how we interact with the economy.
- 2:22Justin Friedman: So I in general, let me ask you something.
- 2:25Justin Friedman: How would you describe this moment we're at at what is probably still the dawn of the stablecoin era?
- 2:32Andrew Van Aken: Yeah, I mean, like you said, uh the fact that money can move around the world instantaneously at any time, any day, it's pretty fascinating.
- 2:42Andrew Van Aken: And oftentimes below one cent a transaction has been absolutely staggering.
- 2:46Andrew Van Aken: Uh and I think that we've really seen it in the data too, where things like B2B volume, supply stablecoin supply, the number of stable coins have just all had these absurdly high inflecting charts.
- 2:59Andrew Van Aken: And so it's finally gone past this, you know, the knock we used to hear was oh, it's only stable coins are only being used for trading or degenerate lending.
- 3:10Andrew Van Aken: But now we're really starting to see these, you know, these payment companies, these institutions really lean into stable coins and get on-chain.
- 3:16Andrew Van Aken: And so we've really seen this like really proliferation of use cases from prediction markets to payments to on-chain yield to lending.
- 3:24Andrew Van Aken: It's been just astonishing to see really like what one technology can do for all of finance.
- 3:30Justin Friedman: Amazing.
- 3:31Justin Friedman: So tell me about stable coin circulation.
- 3:37Justin Friedman: This is something that we cover in the report, and I think a lot of people are wondering you know, what is the scale of stable coins?
- 3:43Justin Friedman: Have they reached escape velocity?
- 3:45Justin Friedman: And also, interestingly, what are is the to what degree are stable coins being used for things that interact more with the real world rather than say just crypto trading?
- 3:58Justin Friedman: How are people using them for payments?
- 4:01Justin Friedman: How are businesses using them to move value?
- 4:04Justin Friedman: I think there is this narrative that stable coins exist just to bridge between various cryptocurrencies.
- 4:11Justin Friedman: Is that still true?
- 4:13Justin Friedman: And is that going to be true for the foreseeable?
- 4:17Andrew Van Aken: The the two things I would say to that is we, for one, we see this two same two trends that have been happening over and over and over again since really um 2020.
- 4:28Andrew Van Aken: That is we have uh Tron and Ethereum really leading in stablecoin supply.
- 4:34Andrew Van Aken: Two chains that could not be more different in any way.
- 4:37Andrew Van Aken: Uh so first you have Tron, which, as people know, is really this payments chain, if you will, wasn't designed specifically to do that, but facilitates billions and billions of dollars of simple stablecoin transfers every single month.
- 4:51Andrew Van Aken: On the other hand, you have Ethereum, where there has been this absolute proliferation of stable coins uh that's been used for a variety of different things: lending, DeFi, trading, prediction markets, uh, all these different sort of use cases for stable coins.
- 5:07Andrew Van Aken: And what we see is that this just continues to trend.
- 5:12Andrew Van Aken: This trend just continues.
- 5:14Andrew Van Aken: And we also see that on the stablecoin by issuer side.
- 5:17Andrew Van Aken: So not only do we have this sort of almost like two-party system for chains, but we also see it for you know stable coins as well, where Tether and Circle continue to be by far the biggest leaders of stablecoin adoption, where Tether uh has uh you know well above $100 billion of supply, um, coming up on almost $200 billion of supply.
- 5:40Andrew Van Aken: And USDC has uh about $70 billion of supply.
- 5:44Andrew Van Aken: And why we keep harping on this supply, supply, supply concept is because ultimately, you know, stablecoin providers they make money by this way.
- 5:53Andrew Van Aken: So they take stable coins, invest the money into often short-term treasuries, and collect the interest.
- 5:59Andrew Van Aken: And so I think one of the reasons why we focus so much on this um stable coin supply metric is because that is in fact how these companies actually come back to making money.
- 6:09Andrew Van Aken: And so to sum it all up, we see these two same trends of you know, Ethereum, Tron.
- 6:14Andrew Van Aken: We've seen other chains grow recently, Solana, Binance Chain, et cetera.
- 6:18Andrew Van Aken: Um, and it's really you know uh a fascinating race to see who can um sort of just strop these two chains.
- 6:24Andrew Van Aken: And on the stablecoin side, it's really been a lot of tether um and Ethereum.
- 6:28Andrew Van Aken: Um, but that brings me to a good segue of you know, what are these things used for?
- 6:32Andrew Van Aken: Justin, our zeitgeist of the month of what you call it, is card-linked payment via stable coins.
- 6:38Andrew Van Aken: And um, well, first we have this beautiful market map that was done uh by by not me, unfortunately, uh laying out the entire uh, almost the entire stablecoin card link space with companies like Brain, Gnosis Pay, um, and a few others.
- 6:56Andrew Van Aken: Um and we have a uh we have a whole write-up as well on all things stablecoin link cards.
- 7:03Andrew Van Aken: Um why has this taken off so much, Justin?
- 7:06Andrew Van Aken: What's what's going on here?
- 7:07Andrew Van Aken: Why are people using stablecoin link cards so much?
- 7:10Justin Friedman: Well, we've seen apparently over 100% annual growth since early 2023.
- 7:16Justin Friedman: So this is real.
- 7:18Justin Friedman: Like this is not something to sneeze at at this point.
- 7:21Justin Friedman: And cards are probably a great point of entry because it's a familiar experience, right?
- 7:28Justin Friedman: For merchants accepting payment at point of sale, there's no difference, right?
- 7:33Justin Friedman: Someone presents a card or card number and the merchant takes payment and it's processed over, say, the Visa or MasterCard network.
- 7:41Justin Friedman: And there's no difference for the merchant.
- 7:44Justin Friedman: No inconvenience, no friction.
- 7:47Justin Friedman: For the user who wants to pay in stable coins, it's happening in the background.
- 7:51Justin Friedman: They don't have to pull up a QR code, they don't need to use any specific app.
- 7:56Justin Friedman: So that seamlessness is going to enable card-linked stablecoin payments in a way that are going to be a gateway drug for a lot of users.
- 8:10Andrew Van Aken: How do you think this?
- 8:11Andrew Van Aken: I mean, we've heard a lot of uh being the regulation expert on this uh uh in the whole and policy expert in the whole space.
- 8:19Andrew Van Aken: How does this interplay with genius?
- 8:22Andrew Van Aken: How does this interplay with um, you know, you know, recent sort of uh court cases of you know possibly having Visa and MasterCard having to lower their interchange fees?
- 8:33Andrew Van Aken: Like I'm curious like how you think of this of stablecoin link cards and like the context of all these other legislation and policy that's been moving forward.
- 8:41Justin Friedman: Yeah, so we think that this actually strengthens Visa and MasterCard and their moat on um the payments ecosystem.
- 8:49Justin Friedman: This is an opportunity for them to improve economics, to get faster settlement, to uh uh avoid hops in the infrastructure.
- 9:00Justin Friedman: And with pressure on interchange fees in various parts of the world, this is going to be all that much more important.
- 9:09Justin Friedman: It's interesting to compare the US to Europe.
- 9:12Justin Friedman: So interchange is pretty closely regulated in Europe, and so uh there's less to earn versus in the US, where you know you might get up to 3% interchange on a card transaction.
- 9:26Justin Friedman: And that allows the issuers to pay rewards to their users, right?
- 9:31Justin Friedman: A lot of our listeners may be travel fiends and they have the travel cards and they collect a lot of coins, and there are very rich rewards for using the right card in the right moment.
- 9:42Justin Friedman: And that's something that is almost uniquely American, and users still expect those kinds of rewards from whatever card they choose.
- 9:51Justin Friedman: So if they're gonna choose a stable coin link card, they're gonna continue to expect to be rewarded in some form.
- 9:58Justin Friedman: And issuers and the card networks are gonna have to find a way to be able to support those economics going forward, or people are just not gonna transition away from their traditional, you know, airline loyalty cards or uh Chase or Capital One issued travel cards.
- 10:17Andrew Van Aken: I need my lounges, Justin.
- 10:18Andrew Van Aken: Like I don't see the USDC lounge, you know, at the at JFK.
- 10:21Andrew Van Aken: I don't see the tether lounge at JFK.
- 10:23Justin Friedman: Or the Yeah, the uh where is the where's the circle lounge?
- 10:26Justin Friedman: Where's the tether lounge?
- 10:27Justin Friedman: Um we'll see, but but it's fun to think about that.
- 10:31Justin Friedman: Like, you know, a few years ago, these names were, you know, the these were brands that nobody had heard of.
- 10:39Justin Friedman: Nobody was talking about them, certainly not in the context of travel.
- 10:42Justin Friedman: And so imagining that there might be a circle lounge or a USDC lounge at JFK Airport in the not so distant future, that's kind of wild.
- 10:52Justin Friedman: But that's where we're at with the emergence of stable coins.
- 10:55Andrew Van Aken: I'm looking, I'm looking forward to it.
- 10:57Andrew Van Aken: I'm looking forward to it.
- 10:58Andrew Van Aken: Um Do you want to go on to a new topic here?
- 11:02Andrew Van Aken: I think we have um we have a few data points on um, first off, the the number of stable coins.
- 11:08Andrew Van Aken: And I having created this slide, I obviously am a fan of it, but I think it actually uh highlights a few things.
- 11:16Andrew Van Aken: So what we're doing here is we're looking at the number of stable coins above $10 million in supply.
- 11:23Andrew Van Aken: And so back in 2024-ish, and if you know, we were sitting around 50, um, we are now close to tripling.
- 11:33Andrew Van Aken: And so uh by around this time of this call, we're about 130 so with you know many more stable coins down the pipeline.
- 11:42Andrew Van Aken: Um so first, I mean, my my basic question to you, Justin, is what what do you think is is driving the surge of these?
- 11:48Andrew Van Aken: And I mean, it's clear we're definitely seeing, you know, post-Genius.
- 11:53Andrew Van Aken: Uh, I mean, you could draw a line right here.
- 11:55Andrew Van Aken: Uh, genius was passed, and then all of a sudden, you know, new stable coins are up uh 40% month over month.
- 12:01Andrew Van Aken: Do you think this is driven by genius?
- 12:03Andrew Van Aken: Or what are your thoughts on this?
- 12:05Justin Friedman: Uh look, the Genius Act is certainly an important enabling lever, and that is bringing a lot of mainstream financial institutions and commercial entities to the table who are curious about stable coins, who want to start accepting payment in stable coins, who maybe want to issue their own stable coin.
- 12:23Justin Friedman: It lends legitimacy to this instrument and this marketplace in a very real way.
- 12:29Justin Friedman: But that is largely in the world of fiat-backed stable coins.
- 12:35Justin Friedman: What I'm seeing in this chart is actually huge growth in crypto-backed stable coins.
- 12:41Justin Friedman: So let me flip it back to you, Andrew, and ask you what is behind that trend?
- 12:47Andrew Van Aken: Yeah, so oh boy, a lot to unpack here.
- 12:50Andrew Van Aken: So we've seen just so many different types of innovations in stable coins from you know Athena's delta neutral stable coin, which essentially shorts a futures contract and longs a spot asset to over-collateralize stable coins.
- 13:05Andrew Van Aken: So I when we talk about crypto-backed stable coins, we're really talking about these uh more DeFi native type products.
- 13:12Andrew Van Aken: And uh obviously it's probably easier to launch something like this than to actually get the funds to, you know, get the fiat money to actually produce a stable coin.
- 13:25Andrew Van Aken: Um, so I've really been like seeing this design space of stable coins really um increase in the past past few months.
- 13:33Andrew Van Aken: And we've even started to see these, you know, gold stable coins.
- 13:37Andrew Van Aken: I'm not sure exactly how this works.
- 13:39Andrew Van Aken: Um but yeah, it's been kind of fascinating to see that also like right at the you know explosion of all things stablecoin payments.
- 13:48Andrew Van Aken: We've also seen like an explosion of like DeFi you know type stable coins as well.
- 13:54Andrew Van Aken: So um the stablecoin industry is not sleeping.
- 13:58Andrew Van Aken: They are really trying to think out of the box and uh do all sorts of uh crazy ideas.
- 14:03Justin Friedman: Uh let's flip over to uh anything else on that?
- 14:06Andrew Van Aken: Yeah, no, no, that's it.
- 14:07Justin Friedman: Where do you want to go next?
- 14:08Justin Friedman: Okay, so let's look at our geo trends.
- 14:11Justin Friedman: Oh, I want to know where our stable coin users are.
- 14:16Andrew Van Aken: Okay, this is a question that we get five times a week.
- 14:19Andrew Van Aken: So thank you for making it number six, Justin.
- 14:21Andrew Van Aken: Um what's been surprising to us is we've also so often do we hear like uh stable coins in emerging markets.
- 14:30Andrew Van Aken: But when we actually look at the flows of stable coins, we actually see that the United States is the top receiver of so right here we're looking at receiving countries that have received stable coins.
- 14:42Andrew Van Aken: The United States is the top receiver of stable coins.
- 14:45Andrew Van Aken: So at first I was like, okay, this is why does this make sense?
- 14:49Andrew Van Aken: Well, I think it makes sense because one, a lot of these uh companies, a lot of these small businesses, they ultimately want dollars.
- 14:59Andrew Van Aken: They, you know, obviously United States native currency is the dollar.
- 15:03Andrew Van Aken: And so they they clearly want dollars.
- 15:05Andrew Van Aken: Um, and so for them, you know, having to receive dollars also instantaneously, also of lower fees, it's like, wow, yeah, I certainly would do that.
- 15:14Andrew Van Aken: So we tend to see a lot of these flows from more emerging countries um or almost you know non-top five um currencies being sent um to the United States via dollars.
- 15:27Andrew Van Aken: The other area that we see a lot of growth is actually um in these Asian-based countries, so China, Hong Kong, Singapore, for example.
- 15:34Andrew Van Aken: Um we really like first saw those countries take an early lead in um usage, especially um in exchanges like Binance or OKX, a lot of these exchanges that were started in Asia, uh, they actually tend to have the largest stable coin supply sitting on them right now.
- 15:56Andrew Van Aken: So naturally it makes sense that you know they were sort of ahead of the game in terms of adoption of payments.
- 16:01Andrew Van Aken: Um so we tend to see a lot of these, you know, you know, Asian-based developed countries.
- 16:06Andrew Van Aken: But then, you know, further down the line, it it what pops out to me that's interesting is you know, Mexico, India.
- 16:11Andrew Van Aken: These are some countries that have our the largest remittance corridors in the world, um, you know, UAE to India, uh United States to Mexico.
- 16:18Andrew Van Aken: And so it's almost like we're starting to see um some of these remittance channels almost get disrupted by stable coins.
- 16:26Andrew Van Aken: And uh so it's it's kind of fascinating to see you know so many different uh trends and ideas in one chart, but I think that's exactly what we're what we're seeing here.
- 16:36Justin Friedman: Thanks, Andrew.
- 16:37Justin Friedman: So I want to take a moment and talk about a key issue that we are tracking, which is the payment of stablecoin yield.
- 16:45Justin Friedman: So we earlier mentioned the Genius Act, which sets out to regulate and supervise stablecoin issuers in the US.
- 16:53Justin Friedman: Very important.
- 16:54Justin Friedman: A genius compliant issuer will have reserves that are managed according to certain standards.
- 17:01Justin Friedman: They'll be regularly examined by regulators in the United States.
- 17:07Justin Friedman: And so this adds a lot of legitimacy to the very issuance of a stablecoin.
- 17:11Justin Friedman: But there's a real question that is hanging in the balance right now, which is whether issuers, exchanges, or others in the ecosystem are going to be able to reward users for holding stable coins.
- 17:30Justin Friedman: The status quo that was written into the Genius Act, which was only passed last summer in mid-2025, so less than a year ago, was that issuers would be prohibited from paying yield.
- 17:43Justin Friedman: But it doesn't speak to whether others in the value chain will be able to reward users for holding stable coins or using stable coins.
- 17:52Justin Friedman: Now there's a pitched battle happening in Washington where essentially you have the banking lobby calling this a loophole and pushing Congress to amend the statute, probably through the crypto market structure legislation that's currently working its way through Congress, and tighten that up.
- 18:12Justin Friedman: So the banking industry I think would you know pretty explicitly like to see an altogether ban on that yield.
- 18:20Justin Friedman: Crypto-native companies want much more flexibility.
- 18:24Justin Friedman: I think that there's an understanding that companies are willing to accept this compromise that issuers cannot pay yield, but it's really a question of will others in the ecosystem be able to reward users for activity-based uses of stable coins and pay incentives to say participate in lending or um gaming or other use cases.
- 18:51Justin Friedman: And so that is really an open question.
- 18:53Justin Friedman: In the meantime, this has stalled the crypto market structure legislation.
- 18:59Justin Friedman: And if this is the end of the story for that, then what will stand is the status quo that was struck in the Genius Act.
- 19:07Justin Friedman: And that means that issuers will be barred from paying yield, but others will not.
- 19:12Justin Friedman: And that's a compromise that a lot of our listeners can probably live with.
- 19:17Justin Friedman: So, Andrew, do you have any thoughts on how the marketplace may change depending on where this issue lands?
- 19:28Andrew Van Aken: Yeah, it's a good question.
- 19:30Andrew Van Aken: It's I mean, we might see almost like stable coin flight out of these exchanges into things like you know, Ave or Morpho, or it it I feel like it becomes so complicated because you know, Coinbase, I feel like has this tight integration with Morpho and allows people to deposit Bitcoin into Morpho to earn yields.
- 19:52Andrew Van Aken: So do they kind of like just like point people to the use the Coinbase wallet app, which then people can deposit into Morpho?
- 19:59Andrew Van Aken: So I think depending on the region, uh, we'll probably and possibly stablecoin as well.
- 20:05Andrew Van Aken: Like I could see Circle being more impacted by this because if you know a significant amount of USDC is being held on Coinbase, and then people say, like, hey, actually, like I need to get yield somewhere else, I'm just gonna move it into DeFi, where um, you know, the laws are less less defined.
- 20:19Andrew Van Aken: You know, I could just go to Ave and deposit some USDC in there.
- 20:22Andrew Van Aken: So I think depending on the level of sophistication, uh, we might see you know these you know crypto back stable coins you know keep going and and we might see uh uh you know these DeFi protocols like Aave, Morfo, you know, get more assets because people saying, like, I can't earn yield here, I might as well you know try somewhere else.
- 20:41Andrew Van Aken: So um luckily we're tracking all this and uh and let's have an update you know in a few months on on how this is all playing out.
- 20:49Justin Friedman: Yeah, yeah.
- 20:50Justin Friedman: Looking forward to coming back to this issue.
- 20:53Justin Friedman: So one other thing I want to mention that you'll find in this report is a CEO profile.
- 20:59Justin Friedman: And this time we focused on Farouk Malik, who runs Rain, which is the stablecoin-backed card issuer juggernaut, that recently raised a huge round and is on just the war path to maybe take over this space.
- 21:17Justin Friedman: So encourage you to uh look into the report to learn about Farouk.
- 21:22Justin Friedman: And also, we would ask you to give us some tips on what you want to see in the next edition of this report.
- 21:30Justin Friedman: Contact us.
- 21:31Justin Friedman: I'm easy to find on LinkedIn, Justin Friedman.
- 21:34Justin Friedman: Contact Andrew.
- 21:35Justin Friedman: You can also reach out to Stablecon founder and CEO Nick Milanovich.
- 21:40Justin Friedman: And we're going to um invite you once again to join us for Stablecon EMIA in Amsterdam.
- 21:49Justin Friedman: That's May 19th and 20th, andor Stablecon USA, September 9th to 11th in Washington, DC.
- 21:56Justin Friedman: Tickets are on sale, and you'll Find a discount code in the report.
- 22:03Justin Friedman: So do download it.
- 22:04Justin Friedman: And to find that report, Andrew, where do we look?
- 22:08Justin Friedman: So to wrap up, we're going to invite you to download the Stablecon and Artemis report, the State of Stables, first quarter edition.
- 22:19Justin Friedman: You can find a link in the show notes.
- 22:22Justin Friedman: And it's also posted on our social media for StableCon and Artemis.
- 22:28Justin Friedman: Find us on LinkedIn, also Twitter.
- 22:31Justin Friedman: We're at stablecon.com if you want to register for the upcoming conferences.
- 22:35Justin Friedman: Andrew, should we follow you on social media?
- 22:38Andrew Van Aken: Yeah, please do.
- 22:39Andrew Van Aken: We're at Artemis.
- 22:40Andrew Van Aken: We have a great short handle, and you guys can find us at Artemis.xyz.
- 22:46Justin Friedman: Great.
- 22:46Justin Friedman: Well, thanks for the collaboration on this.
- 22:48Justin Friedman: Really looking forward to the suggestions that we get for next quarter's edition.
- 22:52Justin Friedman: We want to see the trends that you're interested in having covered in this quarterly report and also exciting CEOs or companies that you'd love to see profiled, or for my sake, policy and regulatory issues that are unfolding and that we should be keeping an eye on.
- 23:10Justin Friedman: Thanks, Andrew.
- 23:12Andrew Van Aken: Thank you, Justin.