Latest / In the Loop AI / The OpenAI Phone is Coming... With an AI Operating System
Transcript
- 0:00Ejaaz: Okay, this is pretty insane. OpenAI is launching their own version of the iPhone
- 0:04Ejaaz: and it's shipping in less than 12 months.
- 0:07Ejaaz: Yesterday, an analyst which has the highest hit rate of any Apple product leak
- 0:12Ejaaz: dropped a report that revealed that OpenAI is building their own phone and it's
- 0:16Ejaaz: been designed by the very guy that designed the original iPhone, Johnny Ive.
- 0:21Ejaaz: They're targeting around 40 to 50 million units for year one,
- 0:25Ejaaz: which is larger than the opening sales of the iPhone itself.
- 0:28Ejaaz: Now, this is a very convincing rumor, but we wanted to investigate one,
- 0:32Ejaaz: whether this was real, and it led us down the craziest rabbit hole ever.
- 0:36Ejaaz: We pulled up Anthropic and OpenAI's job postings, and it revealed a hidden product
- 0:41Ejaaz: roadmap that we're gonna talk about on this show.
- 0:44Ejaaz: There's over 750 open roles between them, and it revealed a 24-month,
- 0:49Ejaaz: two-year product roadmap that no one else is talking about.
- 0:52Ejaaz: It didn't only confirm that OpenAI is building a phone, but it also tells us
- 0:56Ejaaz: how the companies themselves are actually building in a very different strategic path from each other.
- 1:02Josh: Yeah, I didn't believe this and I still don't believe it, but every single rumor
- 1:06Josh: is pointing towards the fact that OpenAI is building an OpenAI phone and it
- 1:10Josh: is going to be designed by the same person who is building an iPhone.
- 1:14Josh: And we kind of have a brief of generally what we can expect.
- 1:17Josh: I think most noteworthy of this most recently because that they've expedited timelines.
- 1:20Josh: So there's a high probability that one year from now, we will be holding an
- 1:25Josh: OpenAI smartphone in our hands. Now, what is it going to look like?
- 1:29Josh: What is it going to feel like? we have some loose ideas of that
- 1:31Josh: starting with the form factor it seems like they're going for the traditional
- 1:34Josh: smartphone not the screenless johnny ive device
- 1:37Josh: this isn't a pendant it's not glasses they're going for like a proper phone
- 1:41Josh: replacer so i would expect it to look like the iphone the big idea is that they're
- 1:45Josh: going to replace the operating system with an ai first operating system and
- 1:49Josh: we've always talked about how open ai is trying to build the ai first os but
- 1:54Josh: this is going to be the actual hardware in which it could be integrated on traditionally
- 1:57Josh: iPhones, you have that grid system where all your apps live.
- 2:00Josh: Yeah, we have a great, great rendering on screen. This will be fully predictive.
- 2:04Josh: So this is pending on a few things. One is that OpenAI is able to figure out
- 2:07Josh: the software stack in time, which I mean, 12 months seems like an eternity.
- 2:11Josh: I'm sure they'll be able to figure it out.
- 2:12Josh: And the other is that they'll be able to actually convince people to go and
- 2:15Josh: use this device instead of an iPhone.
- 2:16Josh: Now, this is separate from the product suite that we've mentioned in the past, where Johnny,
- 2:20Josh: I was developing earbuds or a pendant or a little puck
- 2:23Josh: that sits on your desk this is a full-blown display with
- 2:26Josh: a screen and a smartphone all integrated it seems like it's going to be built
- 2:30Josh: on top of open as cloud so i would expect memory and a lot of the graphical
- 2:35Josh: processing power to not be as important because a lot of it is going to be offload
- 2:39Josh: to open as cloud and i think this is really interesting news this isn't what i was expecting.
- 2:43Josh: I thought they were going to be the third device, like your computer,
- 2:48Josh: your phone, your maybe earbuds, but they're going for that phone slot.
- 2:51Josh: And this was really surprising for me to hear.
- 2:52Josh: But this analyst who was reporting on it, he is the most accurate Apple supply
- 2:56Josh: chain analyst in history.
- 2:58Josh: And he also seems to have a lot of other people backing him up as well.
- 3:02Ejaaz: Here's the thing. I do think OpenAI is building the third device.
- 3:06Ejaaz: They're pitching it as a phone, but it's going to act very and maybe even look
- 3:10Ejaaz: very different to an actual phone. So a few differences I want to point out from the off.
- 3:14Ejaaz: This phone is rumored to not have any apps on it at all.
- 3:18Ejaaz: You will interact directly with an AI, presumably chat GPT, and you will feed it your data,
- 3:25Ejaaz: your thoughts, your intentions, and it'll either generate apps or user interfaces
- 3:29Ejaaz: on the fly, or it'll interact with other AI agents that will conduct the research process,
- 3:34Ejaaz: information retrieval, whatever you might need for you on your behalf.
- 3:37Ejaaz: So I'm describing here two different things.
- 3:40Ejaaz: One, a completely different operating system that is more engineered towards
- 3:44Ejaaz: the AI future or AI centric world.
- 3:46Ejaaz: And the other thing is a completely different hardware component system.
- 3:50Ejaaz: If you want to start serving this, you can imagine a few different things off
- 3:53Ejaaz: the back, which is normal phones are oriented around, you know,
- 3:57Ejaaz: running video, pictures, making sure apps can run optimally.
- 4:01Ejaaz: This one is going to be oriented around inference and making sure prompts are
- 4:04Ejaaz: processed and AI agents can run locally, that your data can remain private and
- 4:08Ejaaz: a bunch of other things around that. So I've written a summary here.
- 4:12Ejaaz: It's meant to allow OpenAI to win at the operating system level.
- 4:15Ejaaz: And what I like about this is there's no other frontier AI lab,
- 4:19Ejaaz: Namely Anthropic, that is going after the vertically integrated layer.
- 4:22Ejaaz: You have Google, which plays on every single layer of the stack for AI.
- 4:27Ejaaz: You have Apple that kind of fumbled the model building layer,
- 4:31Ejaaz: but has all the distribution through their hardware components.
- 4:34Ejaaz: And OpenAI has realized that probably quite early, actually.
- 4:37Ejaaz: I have to give Sam credit for this.
- 4:39Ejaaz: About a year and a half ago, he said in a very weird tweet that now,
- 4:43Ejaaz: in hindsight, makes a lot of sense.
- 4:44Ejaaz: I am not competing or OpenAI isn't competing with other AI labs.
- 4:48Ejaaz: We're competing directly with Apple.
- 4:50Ejaaz: And that is like an OG tweet. I need to find that. But it's making a lot more sense now.
- 4:54Ejaaz: Not only is he trying to produce an iPhone competitor or a killer,
- 4:58Ejaaz: but he's trying to create a range of different devices that can ingest your
- 5:02Ejaaz: data either passively or unintentionally,
- 5:05Ejaaz: feed it to ShadGPT and make it the greatest product experience vector that he can do.
- 5:10Ejaaz: Now, a few other things, because I had an immediate question around this, right?
- 5:14Ejaaz: How on earth are they going to deliver this in the first half of 2027?
- 5:19Ejaaz: OpenAI does not have the supply chain prowess that the likes of Google and Apple already have.
- 5:24Ejaaz: Well, the answer is they're going to be outsourcing this to a bunch of third-party users.
- 5:28Ejaaz: I believe it's LockShare, which also happens to be the packaging and assembler of Meta's Ray-Bans.
- 5:36Ejaaz: Now, if that's anything to go by, I'm not feeling quite confident at this point.
- 5:40Ejaaz: But there's also MediaTek and Qualcomm. MediaTek does a lot of the high processing
- 5:45Ejaaz: packaging for a lot of the GPU and NeoCloud assemblers.
- 5:50Ejaaz: And Qualcomm has had a lot of favor in the mobile phone market.
- 5:54Ejaaz: They have like Snapdragon, which runs in a bunch of Chinese phones specifically,
- 5:58Ejaaz: but they have the scale to help OpenAI operate this at a larger extent or to match with iPhone.
- 6:05Ejaaz: And the final thing is, what gives me hope, is Johnny Ive being in the mix here.
- 6:10Ejaaz: Josh, I know you probably have some strong thoughts about this,
- 6:11Ejaaz: but I think his design touch on top of this kind of like hardware scaling bet
- 6:17Ejaaz: will give them the best shot at, you know, at least competing with the iPhone
- 6:21Ejaaz: or whatever the next iPhone is going to be later this year.
- 6:23Josh: Yeah, it's so hard to imagine I would want to put another phone in my pocket
- 6:26Josh: that's not an iPhone. But if anyone's going to design it, it's going to be the
- 6:30Josh: guy who designed the iPhone.
- 6:32Josh: And I think this post says 2028. We actually have an update today from Ming,
- 6:37Josh: the analyst who is pushing these timelines up to 2027.
- 6:40Josh: In fact, it also gives us a few leaks of kind of the specs that we could expect
- 6:45Josh: inside of this phone. And this is something that's interesting too, because,
- 6:48Josh: we already know what's going to be in this thing. And it's amazing the supply
- 6:51Josh: chain and the leaks that are able to get out and stuff.
- 6:53Josh: But basically what this is saying is that it's going to be running on all of
- 6:56Josh: the cutting edge technology that you'd expect a Frontier iPhone 19 model this year to be running on.
- 7:02Josh: They have a deal with TSMC to create those two nanometer class transistors.
- 7:06Josh: That is the current state of the art. There is nothing better.
- 7:09Josh: They're using a lot of low power components. So I think one of the more important
- 7:13Josh: things for this phone, because ambient capture is going to be so important is
- 7:16Josh: energy efficiency over raw power.
- 7:18Josh: So it seems like some of these design choices they're using are for extended
- 7:22Josh: battery life. So it can be on all the time, constantly listening,
- 7:24Josh: constantly taking information. And you have to imagine this form factor.
- 7:28Josh: The reason they decided to go with it is because it's the only one that makes
- 7:31Josh: sense to be a true assistant throughout your day to day.
- 7:35Josh: It has the suite of cameras, the microphones, it has the accelerometers,
- 7:40Josh: it has the GPS baked into it.
- 7:41Josh: That's really difficult to include in this like suite of devices like the earbuds
- 7:45Josh: with a small puck so we have a lot of information on that we also have like
- 7:50Josh: you were mentioning the suppliers who they're going to be building with i mean
- 7:52Josh: these two nanometer chips are allegedly going in production in the second quarter of this year.
- 7:58Josh: That means these are going to start being made in the next couple of months.
- 8:01Josh: And we have deals with MediaTek, Qualcomm, TSMC, and Luxshare.
- 8:05Josh: And like you said with Luxshare, they do make Metis glasses,
- 8:08Josh: but they are also Apple's number two assembler behind Foxconn.
- 8:12Josh: They've built AirPods, the Apple Watch, and an increasing share of the iPhone.
- 8:17Josh: So they're using people who are basically the best in the world.
- 8:20Josh: They're using best-in-class components. And it's hard to imagine that this device
- 8:24Josh: isn't going to be excellent.
- 8:25Josh: It seems like foxconn is also involved which i didn't realize and foxconn currently
- 8:31Josh: they build open ai stargate services and for those who don't know foxconn has
- 8:34Josh: basically built every apple device you've used like foxconn makes all of the
- 8:37Josh: iphones a bunch of ipads macbooks the whole thing,
- 8:40Josh: foxconn has been building stargate service but now they're also going to be building those.
- 8:45Josh: Johnny i've designed devices while lux share takes the smartphone build so it's
- 8:49Josh: this crazy assembly manufacturing setup that they have where like i think it's
- 8:54Josh: actually going to work If any
- 8:55Josh: company is going to build a product like this, it's going to be OpenAI.
- 8:58Josh: They have the right people in place. They have the cutting-edge products.
- 9:02Josh: I guess the question is, are you actually going to want to put an OpenAI phone
- 9:06Josh: in your pocket instead of your iPhone?
- 9:08Ejaaz: That's an easy answer for me. Absolutely, yes. But I'm also a sucker for some of the new devices.
- 9:13Ejaaz: I'm not going to replace my iPhone, but I'm going to have it next to it.
- 9:17Ejaaz: Because I want to see what this new operating system is going to look like.
- 9:20Ejaaz: And to be honest, I don't think current mobile phones are built for what the
- 9:23Ejaaz: future of AI is going to look like or function as.
- 9:26Ejaaz: Yeah, if I'm going to be interactive, like look at Siri. Do you use Siri?
- 9:29Ejaaz: I sure as hell don't. And I want to be able to use a Siri-enabled,
- 9:32Ejaaz: I don't know, chat GPT that can do things for me and access all my apps so that
- 9:35Ejaaz: I don't have to scroll and tap into them, right?
- 9:38Ejaaz: Anyway, to your question around this has to work, I'm probably not as confident
- 9:45Ejaaz: that it can work or not as sure that it can work.
- 9:48Ejaaz: Because if you look at like this stack that they're building,
- 9:51Ejaaz: there's a lot of new things here, right? So OpenAI, ChatGPT is known for
- 9:56Ejaaz: Absolutely nailing the large language model architecture, right?
- 9:59Ejaaz: That's what they've made their bread and butter on.
- 10:01Ejaaz: What they haven't proven is that they can get it to function optimally on a small enough device.
- 10:06Ejaaz: Now, if there's one thing that Apple has all the experience on is hardware optimization.
- 10:10Ejaaz: So if anyone's going to know how to run locally run models, either on device
- 10:13Ejaaz: or through private cloud, because obviously there's a lot of data encryption
- 10:16Ejaaz: stuff that needs to happen there.
- 10:18Ejaaz: Apple has all the historical knowledge and expertise
- 10:21Ejaaz: to be able to potentially pull that off open air i'm not
- 10:23Ejaaz: entirely sure number two um open ai really
- 10:26Ejaaz: is trying to define like a new uh ai stack
- 10:29Ejaaz: here like an operating system um that's not only
- 10:32Ejaaz: going to be large language models that's going to be images and
- 10:35Ejaaz: image gen now they have the world's leading image
- 10:38Ejaaz: model which is great news right so they're going to combine these two things i
- 10:41Ejaaz: think um their dual architecture allows for like a vision language
- 10:43Ejaaz: model to work with an alarm which is going to be very cool but i'm
- 10:46Ejaaz: also curious like how are they going to function with the
- 10:49Ejaaz: camera ingestion in live time like like we're gonna
- 10:52Ejaaz: use this camera very differently with maybe it's not to like take pictures but
- 10:55Ejaaz: maybe it's like to show the llm what we're doing or what we're seeing and then
- 10:58Ejaaz: it can kind of address things there's a lot of newness is what i'm i guess i'm
- 11:02Ejaaz: trying to say at and i'm not entirely sure they can pull it off but i'm hoping
- 11:05Ejaaz: with johnny ive at the helm and again i'm a johnny i fan that he'll be able
- 11:09Ejaaz: to figure it out and pull it off
- 11:11Josh: Yeah. And I think I like to, the next thing I'm looking for with these leaks
- 11:14Josh: is confirmation that Johnny's actually going to be designing this phone.
- 11:17Josh: It seems like he is. I don't understand why they wouldn't put him and the Love
- 11:21Josh: From team, I guess the IO team in charge of designing this, but I want to make
- 11:24Josh: sure it's actually him or if this is actually a hedge against his screenless device is not working.
- 11:29Josh: So that's going to be an important thing to follow as we get more information.
- 11:32Josh: A lot of the next questions that I was asking myself is why are they doing this
- 11:37Josh: and why are they doing it so quickly?
- 11:39Josh: And I think there's a few reasons for this, right? Because when you think about
- 11:42Josh: the amount that they're going to be able to actually build, you said 30 million
- 11:46Josh: units is what they're kind of aiming for.
- 11:47Josh: 30 to 40 billion. So assume these costs, $1,000 a piece, which is kind of like a high end phone price.
- 11:53Josh: That's 30 to $40 billion of revenue over two years.
- 11:57Josh: Anthropic just made $25 billion of revenue in like the last few months.
- 12:01Josh: So I'm not sure how much is going to move the needle. And I have to assume this is probably for.
- 12:06Josh: The beginning of that hardware mode, but also the timing is funny because this
- 12:09Josh: is rumored to be when they want to IPO.
- 12:11Josh: And what better catalyst for getting people excited about your company than
- 12:15Josh: to build a new suite of hardware that can compete with Apple?
- 12:19Josh: Whether or not it actually does a good job, that is TBD.
- 12:21Josh: But I assume this is probably a nice, really big catalyst for them as they go into IPO season as well.
- 12:27Josh: And I just can't help but think that that has to play some sort of a role in it.
- 12:30Josh: And then there's also the business side where you could bundle subscriptions
- 12:33Josh: with it and they get developer ecosystems for the hardware and you get that hardware moat.
- 12:37Josh: But man, like Apple's got the hardware moat. And the problem is just a skill
- 12:41Josh: issue with software. They just can't build the software.
- 12:43Josh: OpenAI is approaching it from the other direction. Can they do it?
- 12:45Josh: I don't know. We'll be buying it. We'll certainly be trying to promise you that.
- 12:49Ejaaz: If it's around, we'll be buying it. But of course, like I want to take the bull
- 12:53Ejaaz: hat off for a second and talk about like some of the challenges here.
- 12:55Ejaaz: Like number one, we need to make sure that it actually ships in 2027.
- 12:58Ejaaz: Number two, we actually need to figure out whether people actually want this
- 13:01Ejaaz: thing. I know I do, but I'm a fan of AI in general.
- 13:04Ejaaz: Will the averages, will my mom and sister even be interested in this?
- 13:07Ejaaz: I think the allure of ChatGPT is good enough. You mentioned bundle subscriptions earlier.
- 13:11Ejaaz: I do think that is a good enough selling point versus like, hey,
- 13:14Ejaaz: we're launching a phone and we don't really know what to do with it.
- 13:17Ejaaz: And then I'm also thinking about Apple's response specifically,
- 13:20Ejaaz: because I know Apple is undergoing a very aggressive transition now to orient
- 13:24Ejaaz: themselves around the new AI world.
- 13:26Ejaaz: They've launched their new M5 chips, which is probably the best consumer device
- 13:31Ejaaz: components that can run AI on device.
- 13:34Ejaaz: And they've got a new guy at the helm, John Ternus, which is a hardware expert.
- 13:38Ejaaz: He's spent the last 35 years building Apple's hardware.
- 13:41Ejaaz: He should be the perfect person to build whatever that new device is.
- 13:44Ejaaz: So they're going up, it's David versus Goliath. And I don't know whether David's
- 13:48Ejaaz: going to win this particular battle, but it's interesting.
- 13:52Ejaaz: I think OpenAI will be able to pull something off. They have,
- 13:54Ejaaz: heck, they have enough in financing.
- 13:57Ejaaz: I think they're going to be raising how much in the IPO? I think it's like 70
- 13:59Ejaaz: to 80 billion, maybe even more at a $1.3 trillion valuation is the last that
- 14:04Ejaaz: I've heard on the rumor mill.
- 14:05Ejaaz: So if anyone's going to pull it off, it might be done.
- 14:08Josh: I hope they do. I think if I'm giving my personal take on this,
- 14:12Josh: I'm pretty bearish and pretty pessimistic on the phone.
- 14:14Josh: I can't imagine, like the amount of love and addiction that everyone has for
- 14:21Josh: their iPhone is so strong.
- 14:23Josh: And for open AI to come, especially when I'm flip-flopping, people are flip-flopping between Anthropic.
- 14:27Josh: We just filmed an episode on Codex when a month ago, we were saying Codex kind of stinks.
- 14:31Josh: The amount that people are flip-flopping between these services,
- 14:34Josh: the amount of kind of buy-in that's required to not only commit to open AI,
- 14:39Josh: but then transfer your phone that you've had for the last 15 years away from
- 14:43Josh: that with all of your iMessages and your social apps, that is going to be incredibly hard to do.
- 14:48Josh: And the auxiliary device pathway, the one that Johnny was making,
- 14:51Josh: the screenless devices, the accessories to the phone, that made sense.
- 14:54Josh: Compete directly with the phone.
- 14:56Josh: I feel confident they'll be able to bring it to market.
- 14:58Josh: Will people be able to buy it? Will people want it? I don't know.
- 15:02Josh: I don't think that's the case, But we'll see.
- 15:04Josh: We'll see. And that is one of many things that we are going to be kind of discussing
- 15:08Josh: as we uncover this roadmap as detectives.
- 15:11Josh: EJS, you's had your magnifying glass out recently, going through the job board
- 15:14Josh: listing, seeing what these companies have been up to. What have you found?
- 15:17Josh: What is in the roadmap for these companies as we progress, I guess,
- 15:21Josh: towards the OpenAI iPhone early next year?
- 15:24Ejaaz: Okay. So just to explain my logic, I was curious by, my curiosity was piqued
- 15:29Ejaaz: by this new phone, right?
- 15:31Ejaaz: And I was like, how can I convince myself that this is actually going to be
- 15:34Ejaaz: the thing? So I was like, well, let me look at the job postings.
- 15:37Ejaaz: If they're hiring for like, you know, a mobile phone engineer or whatever you
- 15:40Ejaaz: want to call it directly, then, you know, it's hint, hint, that's probably what they're working on.
- 15:44Ejaaz: But I ended up discovering a whole other goldmine, which is their entire product
- 15:49Ejaaz: roadmap, OpenAI specifically.
- 15:50Ejaaz: And I did the same with Anthropics over the next 24 months.
- 15:53Ejaaz: And what surprised me the most is both of these companies I thought would be
- 15:57Ejaaz: very similarly aligned in their strategy.
- 15:59Ejaaz: They're not. They're actually doing two very different things.
- 16:01Ejaaz: And I want to kind of like tell that story over the next couple of minutes.
- 16:05Ejaaz: So I looked at OpenAI and I have it displayed up here. I'm not going to walk
- 16:08Ejaaz: through the specifics, but I'll give you the general idea of what I found.
- 16:11Ejaaz: So there's around 330 job postings currently live as of today.
- 16:16Ejaaz: 100 got posted in the last week and a half. So OpenAI is really ramping this up.
- 16:20Ejaaz: Now, as you'd probably expect, 25 to 30 percent of these roles are roughly sitting
- 16:25Ejaaz: at the point where it's directly for AI-forward engineers.
- 16:29Ejaaz: So we're talking about researchers, engineers that can actually build and train
- 16:32Ejaaz: the model and make this thing actually useful for them.
- 16:36Ejaaz: 12 to 15% of the roles are specifically around infrastructure and engineering roles.
- 16:40Ejaaz: And this is where you see a subset of hardware-specific engineers that are focused
- 16:45Ejaaz: on devices specifically.
- 16:47Ejaaz: So one could assume that if OpenAI is building a mobile phone or a suite of
- 16:52Ejaaz: different devices, this is where the roles are being hired for.
- 16:56Ejaaz: And it takes up a non-trivial percentage of the available roles.
- 16:59Ejaaz: Now, when I look at a setback from this, right, this seems, I guess,
- 17:03Ejaaz: kind of surprising, but pretty obvious.
- 17:05Ejaaz: OpenAI underwent a code red over the last...
- 17:09Ejaaz: I was going to say six months, but it's literally only been like three or four
- 17:12Ejaaz: months. And it's crazy that they flipped the script with Anthropik so quickly.
- 17:15Ejaaz: But they've been able to undergo this process of change where they're hiring
- 17:19Ejaaz: for very compute intense research heavy things.
- 17:22Ejaaz: They've trimmed a bunch of their other efforts to focus on building the best
- 17:25Ejaaz: model, specifically the coding model.
- 17:26Ejaaz: And that is represented in what I'm seeing right now.
- 17:29Ejaaz: But there's a strategic move that I want to call out here, which is Sam made
- 17:34Ejaaz: a very big bet about a year ago, which is to go all in on compute.
- 17:38Ejaaz: Stargate specifically.
- 17:39Ejaaz: He also made a very big bet three months ago to go all in on coding AI specifically.
- 17:45Ejaaz: He's treating this like a warlord empire where
- 17:49Ejaaz: his entire like ancestral lineage depends
- 17:52Ejaaz: on this so he's not treating this like an enterprise company he's
- 17:55Ejaaz: not really treating this like he has an IPO coming up in a
- 17:58Ejaaz: few months he's like going all in it kind of reminds me of Larry Page where
- 18:02Ejaaz: he was quoted saying we're going to go all in and I'm willing to go bankrupt
- 18:06Ejaaz: losing this race but I can't afford to lose the race um Sam is approaching this
- 18:10Ejaaz: in a very similar manner um I don't know if you have any thoughts on OpenAI
- 18:14Ejaaz: specifically before I move to Anthropik,
- 18:15Ejaaz: Josh, but like this was like pretty revealing for me.
- 18:18Josh: Yeah, it seems like as they move forward, their focus is on Stargate and building
- 18:22Josh: like actual data centers.
- 18:24Josh: Their focus is on building more efficient code. And then their focus is on these hardware devices.
- 18:29Josh: And I guess these Johnny Ive devices, the IO devices that are shipping in parallel,
- 18:32Josh: seems like the timelines are pretty tight.
- 18:35Josh: And we might even get these before the end of this year. So I think those are
- 18:38Josh: probably the three pillars, right? It's just like the core software,
- 18:41Josh: the hardware, and then the infrastructure.
- 18:44Josh: And notably, missing from this is roles for alignment and safety,
- 18:49Josh: which seem to be in the minority here, if I'm correct.
- 18:52Josh: But that's not the case for Anthropic. Is that a correct assessment?
- 18:56Ejaaz: That is correct. But before we move on to Anthropic, Josh, there is 12% of job
- 19:02Ejaaz: postings are in another sector.
- 19:05Ejaaz: Can you guess which sector that is in OpenAI?
- 19:08Josh: Huh. Hopefully marketing.
- 19:11Ejaaz: They got to work on that. Think about a recent alliance or agreement that they
- 19:15Ejaaz: had to sign with a big government entity.
- 19:18Josh: Oh, is this government work?
- 19:20Ejaaz: Yeah, 12%. Whoa, interesting. Do you want to know where their second largest employee base is?
- 19:25Josh: Where? Is this the Pentagon?
- 19:27Ejaaz: Washington, D.C., dude. Oh, my God. Yeah.
- 19:30Josh: Wait, that's kind of crazy. Interesting.
- 19:31Ejaaz: Yeah, they've aggressively hired on the D.C. side, which kind of makes sense
- 19:35Ejaaz: because Sam has been a huge fan of kind of trying to lobby government entities
- 19:39Ejaaz: or just trying to lobby AI policies in general to become more favorable or AI favorable.
- 19:45Ejaaz: So it makes sense that he has the largest presence out there.
- 19:48Ejaaz: And Anthropic specifically doesn't. But yeah, we can move into Anthropic now.
- 19:52Josh: Okay, yeah, that's interesting. I had no idea. What is Anthropic working on?
- 19:55Ejaaz: Okay, so Anthropic has, thankfully, a much more well-laid-out website,
- 19:59Ejaaz: which can kind of fall through.
- 20:01Josh: And a lot of open roles. Everyone's saying AI is killing jobs,
- 20:04Josh: but man, these companies are hiring.
- 20:06Ejaaz: Did you hear the news? So some of the folks listening, Joshua and I are based on the East Coast.
- 20:10Ejaaz: And in New York specifically, Anthropik is currently about to buy one of the
- 20:15Ejaaz: largest office spaces that any tech company has ever bought in the most recent couple of years.
- 20:21Ejaaz: They're about to have a huge presence out here, and they're going to be focusing
- 20:24Ejaaz: on three specific roles.
- 20:26Ejaaz: Number one is go-to-market, obviously sales.
- 20:29Ejaaz: Number two, enterprise-specific. And number three, the finance bros.
- 20:34Ejaaz: They are going wholeheartedly into the financial services sector,
- 20:37Ejaaz: and they want every analyst, MD, and fund manager to be using Claude to direct
- 20:43Ejaaz: all their different workflows.
- 20:45Ejaaz: I don't know if you saw the news yesterday, Josh, but they just signed a $1.5
- 20:49Ejaaz: billion joint venture with Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, and I think it's Hellman
- 20:54Ejaaz: and Freed to basically integrate Claude into every single one of their portfolio companies.
- 20:59Ejaaz: We're talking about like 250 plus portfolio companies for Blackstone alone.
- 21:03Ejaaz: And the idea is Anthropics is going to shove a bunch of Anthropic engineers.
- 21:07Ejaaz: These are costly people, the most valuable people into these enterprises to
- 21:11Ejaaz: build custom workflows just so that they get hooked on Claude,
- 21:15Ejaaz: just so they get addicted on the LLMs.
- 21:17Ejaaz: And then the rest kind of like pays for itself, I guess.
- 21:20Josh: Okay first where is this building that they're buying i'm so curious i think it's the google.
- 21:24Ejaaz: Office in chelsea it's like a massive space
- 21:27Josh: Yeah nice and i definitely see i noticed the shift to move to financial services
- 21:32Josh: i've seen this a lot with claude recently yes in fact as we were recording this
- 21:35Josh: they just released an update to a finance for claude basically where they're
- 21:40Josh: releasing a series of different templates that can do a lot of different things
- 21:43Josh: as it relates to financial analysis.
- 21:45Josh: So it does models, it does spreadsheets, it does financial projections,
- 21:50Josh: it does all the things that you would hope a analyst would do.
- 21:54Josh: Claude is building these as kind of pre-templatized workflows that are built
- 21:58Josh: directly into co-work and Claude code.
- 22:00Josh: So if you want to get evaluation, if you want to get trajectories of pipelines
- 22:04Josh: or revenues, all that is now done within Claude.
- 22:06Josh: And I like the shift that we're kind of seeing into the financial services business.
- 22:10Josh: It's mostly been open since now.
- 22:12Josh: Perplexity is really the only one that's moved into financial services.
- 22:16Josh: They've tried that Bloomberg alternative. It's pretty good. But Claude moving
- 22:19Josh: into this. Yeah, here's the post right here of all the things that they're doing.
- 22:21Josh: KYC screener, statement and auditor. It's got all the tools, one click plug in,
- 22:26Josh: So it makes sense that they move to New York, get a little bit closer to Wall
- 22:29Josh: Street, and start moving into financials. This is, I mean, this is exciting.
- 22:32Josh: This is really cool, particularly when the market is ripping the way it is.
- 22:35Ejaaz: Yeah, it's so interesting that, like, both companies, probably at the same time,
- 22:41Ejaaz: have gone into becoming kind of like a sales and BD-driven business.
- 22:47Ejaaz: I thought the LLMs would just speak for themselves. But the truth is,
- 22:50Ejaaz: the technology and power is here. It's just not well enough dispersed,
- 22:54Ejaaz: and it's not going to diffuse until you handhold the people.
- 22:58Ejaaz: The blocker right now are humans.
- 23:00Ejaaz: The blocker is siloed data sets in all of these top enterprises and companies
- 23:04Ejaaz: that don't really know how to integrate the thing with AI.
- 23:07Ejaaz: And the AI is not smart enough to know how to integrate itself into it.
- 23:10Ejaaz: So it's kind of like a chicken and an egg problem, and Anthropic is taking the first step here.
- 23:14Ejaaz: OpenAI as well, they've signed a similar joint venture with similar companies
- 23:16Ejaaz: to basically put both of their products at the helm here.
- 23:20Ejaaz: If we go back to Anthropik in general, the point I want to make around these
- 23:23Ejaaz: roles is, listen, they have around the similar amount of roles that OpenAI is
- 23:26Ejaaz: hiring for, but the strategy that they're pursuing here is a bit different.
- 23:30Ejaaz: They are treating their company as an enterprise services company.
- 23:34Ejaaz: So they famously or infamously have not bought as much compute as OpenAI.
- 23:40Ejaaz: As I mentioned, Sam is like the conqueror. He's like, I need all the compute.
- 23:43Ejaaz: I'll lever it all up. And if it pays off, it pays off. and it is paying off
- 23:47Ejaaz: because now he can serve his Claude Mythos competitor, GBT 5.5,
- 23:50Ejaaz: to anyone and everyone. Claude Mythos is still restricted on the Anthropic side.
- 23:54Ejaaz: Anthropic is being more strategic. Their bread and butter, the majority of the
- 23:57Ejaaz: money that they have made so far and still,
- 23:59Ejaaz: I think it's something crazy like 70%, sorry, 60% of their revenue recently
- 24:04Ejaaz: comes purely from enterprise and they want to clearly seed that reputation and wrap it up even more.
- 24:10Ejaaz: They are focusing primarily on enterprises, which is why we don't see more of a consumer base.
- 24:15Ejaaz: You know, We've seen all the crazy social media spread around restrictions on
- 24:19Ejaaz: rate limits and stuff like that.
- 24:21Ejaaz: I think that's because they're just focusing wholeheartedly on enterprise customers.
- 24:24Ejaaz: They don't want to restrict them. I think they have like...
- 24:28Ejaaz: As of two weeks ago, they have like 500 to 1,000 clients that pay them well
- 24:32Ejaaz: over one to five million dollars per year.
- 24:34Ejaaz: If they can ramp that up, that's a lot of ARR, basically.
- 24:37Ejaaz: And they recently hit, what is it, 44 billion ARR?
- 24:40Josh: Yeah, pretty good business. And you could start to see the clear divide between
- 24:43Josh: these two companies as we go through these job boards and the rumor mills where
- 24:46Josh: OpenAI, they currently have the best image model. They're working on consumer hardware.
- 24:50Josh: They're building a lot for consumer, although they're working on their kind
- 24:53Josh: of commercial enterprise segment as well. But Anthropic is all in on enterprise,
- 24:57Josh: on financial services, on selling to businesses.
- 24:59Josh: And I think that's why we've seen their ARR go completely nuclear,
- 25:02Josh: because they're selling much larger ticket items to much more sticky customers
- 25:06Josh: that are going to stick around and endure 12, 24-month contracts with these
- 25:10Josh: companies. So it's interesting. It's fascinating.
- 25:13Josh: The hardware story to me is the most exciting. I cannot wait to get AI-first
- 25:16Josh: hardware. I hope it's good.
- 25:18Josh: I hope it's good. Like WWDC from Apple is happening next month,
- 25:22Josh: where hopefully Siri doesn't suck.
- 25:24Josh: The first AI first devices are going to be from OpenAI.
- 25:28Josh: And now the timeline might have moved up a little bit sooner.
- 25:31Josh: So that news at least is very exciting.
- 25:33Josh: This has been an investigative review of what is in store.
- 25:37Josh: I think the prompt for you guys is one, will you use an OpenAI phone?
- 25:40Josh: Like, will you swap your iPhone for this phone?
- 25:42Josh: And I know it's tough to tell without actually having it in your hands to see.
- 25:45Josh: But it seems like such a stretch.
- 25:48Josh: You just, what about you? Any final parting thoughts before we head out for the day?
- 25:51Ejaaz: I want to see the device. I want to see some visuals. You know why I feel this way?
- 25:55Ejaaz: Like, don't even give me the device. It's that dime advert with Alexander Skarsgård
- 25:59Ejaaz: or whatever, which, I don't know, turned out to be a fake or a dud or a Chinese pair of earbuds.
- 26:04Ejaaz: I need something from OpenAI. And they're the only ones that are leading it.
- 26:08Josh: So bad. Well, hopefully we get that before we get... Will we get a better Siri
- 26:13Josh: before we get an OpenAI hardware device? That's the question.
- 26:15Ejaaz: Who knows? Probably not.
- 26:18Josh: Probably not. But that is the episode for today. Ejos, thank you for all this
- 26:21Josh: investigative journalism and to the job boards here for giving us some guidance
- 26:25Josh: on all things OpenAI, all things Anthropic.
- 26:28Josh: If you enjoyed this video, don't forget to share it with a friend who might
- 26:31Josh: also enjoy this, who might also be interested in the crazy cool new hardware
- 26:34Josh: leaks that are coming. If you enjoyed, leave a comment down below.
- 26:37Josh: Subscribe on YouTube. Leave us a five-star review on wherever you listen to
- 26:40Josh: your podcast. And as always, thank you so much for watching.
- 26:42Josh: And we'll see you guys in the next episode.