Latest / CareTalk: Healthcare. Unfiltered. / Why US Healthcare Still Falls Short
Transcript
- 0:00Surprise, surprise, the US healthcare system is still the most expensive and lowest performing.
- 0:06That's the message from the latest Commonwealth Fund report called Mirror Mirror 2024, a portrait of the failing US health system.
- 0:15Why do we continue to be so terrible and what if anything can be done about it?
- 0:25Welcome to Care Talk, America's home for incisive debate about healthcare business and policy.
- 0:31I'm David Williams, president of Health Business Group.
- 0:33And I'm John Driscoll, the senior advisor at Walgreens.
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- 1:41So David, this Commonwealth report, I mean, we've talked a lot about how the U.S.
- 1:48has worse outcomes.
- 1:51and more costs, mean, sort of ad nauseum.
- 1:55What did we learn anew with the common?
- 1:58Well, first of all, who is the Commonwealth Fund?
- 2:00And what did they tell?
- 2:02What are they telling us?
- 2:03Well, you're going to have to tell me the Commonwealth Fund is John.
- 2:06I just know of them as as a group that does, you know, good public health reporting.
- 2:11They put this report out now for about 20, 20 years.
- 2:16They started it.
- 2:16I think they do it every other year.
- 2:18And.
- 2:19They try to measure things in an accurate way.
- 2:22So you've got 10 different countries, used to be 11, but Norway dropped out.
- 2:26They measure 70 different performance measures across five different domains in health care.
- 2:31The five are access to care, care process, administrative efficiency, and health outcomes.
- 2:36And they say, where does everybody rank on everything?
- 2:39And pretty much, we're the worst on all those different elements.
- 2:43And then cost, measure as a percent of gross domestic product.
- 2:47And we're not just the worst.
- 2:49We're actually a big outlier.
- 2:50You look at the charts and they're all bunched together and then the U.S.
- 2:53is just off in the wrong corner in each one.
- 2:56Yeah, just just to be clear, the Commonwealth Fund is around I think they're around almost 100 years.
- 3:00It's some great industrialist funded.
- 3:04It's a foundation.
- 3:05It's an independent foundation that does academic research that racks and stacks a number of health care issues.
- 3:12And the one that we keep coming back to is this met this this evaluation of how well does the United States health care system perform relative to how much it costs and then it breaks down that performance in the in the categories that you talked about and we continue to do poorly.
- 3:32I frankly miss Norway because Norway was the second most expensive system in the industrialized West and they left because of privacy reasons but it's made us look even more extreme.
- 3:45Just to give people a sense of how expensive our health care system is we spend about 16 % of GDP or gross domestic product on health care and You the countries the industrialized countries countries that kind of look like us Germany Switzerland New Zealand Australia the better performing ones in this survey are spending four to eight percent of their GDP on health care and they're getting in general better outcomes So spending less, getting more in terms of measuring morbidity, mortality.
- 4:20What's going on here, David?
- 4:22It's a little hard to understand because sometimes you could say, you get what you pay for it.
- 4:27Well, we pay more, but we get more for it.
- 4:29Or we pay more, but we get, maybe we should pay less, but at least we're getting the top.
- 4:34And it's really kind of the opposite.
- 4:36Australia and the Netherlands are the two highest performing countries in this comparison.
- 4:41And they're also the two lowest cost.
- 4:45And that does make it perplexing, John, to try to understand.
- 4:49And you have to start, I guess, searching for things that aren't specifically in the report to understand that one.
- 4:54I I guess you could make a car comparison.
- 4:57So John, I think you drive a Lotus or a Lamborghini, as I may recall.
- 5:02They're very nice.
- 5:03It's a Lexus with 200,000 miles on it.
- 5:06But thank you very much.
- 5:07All right.
- 5:07So anyway, so the Lexus is like you get what you pay for.
- 5:10It's strong performance.
- 5:11It's good.
- 5:12I think probably the equivalent of the US in healthcare would be the Land Rover.
- 5:16It's the most expensive, but it's always breaking down.
- 5:19I guess it looks good and people like to brag about them.
- 5:21Well, we're not going to get Land Rover or Range Rover to advertise on the pond, I guess.
- 5:26I guess not, It is actually hard to- High budget, high breakdown.
- 5:31It is hard to understand.
- 5:33So mean, the way to prove it, I guess, is to look.
- 5:37So is there anywhere where we're not the worst?
- 5:41And the answer is yes.
- 5:43The answer to the question, is there anywhere where the best is no.
- 5:46But you do come in second in care process and last in everything else.
- 5:51So care process we're seeing to be making progress on.
- 5:54What, mean, now that you've struggled to find a category that the United States is okay in, what the heck is care process, David?
- 6:03Well, it's things like prevention, patient safety.
- 6:07care coordination, patient engagement.
- 6:10That sounds good.
- 6:11If we're number two there, mean, number two, that's a silver.
- 6:14Why aren't we doing well across the other categories of outcomes?
- 6:18Let's say about why we are doing well here in this area, which is that, would you say you get what you should pay for sometimes, right?
- 6:25And we have actually been paying for care process.
- 6:28A lot of pay for performance measures are about care process, things like this patient engagement.
- 6:35when you get these surveys and they ask you how well engaged you are.
- 6:38There are actually incentives to do these things right.
- 6:40So maybe the positive thing is that if we do put money behind something specific, we can get there.
- 6:47But maybe we need to put the emphasis in somewhere other places, or these aren't as correlated with outcomes as we might want.
- 6:54Maybe we just need to put the incentives into the other categories and we can move up there too.
- 6:59Well, I think you should also look at where is the United States an outlier?
- 7:04in a number of things that aren't going well.
- 7:09One is gun violence.
- 7:10We are a wild outlier in terms of gun violence.
- 7:13The most likely risk of death for kids is increasingly gun violence.
- 7:19We are an outlier in terms of consistency of care coverage.
- 7:25One out of four, I I think there's still 36 million people who are uninsured and they may go on and off the rules, but when you don't have insurance, you're less likely to go to the doctor and get those preventive care stuff done.
- 7:38And even for those who are covered, know, obviously Medicaid expansion and Obamacare have extended coverage for many Americans who didn't have them.
- 7:46You know, about one in four covered Americans is underinsured, which is to say that the cost of actually going to get the care you may or may not need is high enough because of copays and deductibles.
- 7:57But people typically are consistently thinking twice and sometimes avoiding the care.
- 8:03that they need.
- 8:04So we're paying for it, but not necessarily getting the care access.
- 8:07If you compare our system to others, there is much more in the developed world.
- 8:13These are all developed world comparisons.
- 8:16Every other system has more consistency of care.
- 8:20Most other systems, all other systems have significantly lower costs, although some of them do have slightly higher costs.
- 8:27I Germany caps its cost share at a percentage of income.
- 8:33Most others do as well.
- 8:35We are definitely an outlier also in opioid addiction and deaths of despair.
- 8:41Increasingly, that is a significant category problem, not just for older adults, but younger folks.
- 8:48And I think if you think about drugs and violence and inconsistency of coverage, those have got to be feeding into, David, these statistics.
- 8:56For sure, John.
- 8:57And I think that we need to remember that the goal is health, not health care per se.
- 9:02To be fair, one of the domains that they do cover is health outcomes.
- 9:08So it's not as though it's completely forgotten about.
- 9:11I maybe we can look to what does the US do differently.
- 9:15So we might turn it into a positive force or reinforce it if it is.
- 9:18One area is just the amount of private investment that goes into health care.
- 9:24The report actually does a little bit of a tsk-tsk about private equity ownership.
- 9:29it's worse than that.
- 9:30I think they're kind of insulting private equity ownership, but particularly of primary care docs.
- 9:35And I mean, they refer to them as trading them like commodities, which I don't think is quite fair.
- 9:40In fact, I private equity has actually been a significant source of capital in the primary care area.
- 9:47And if anything, I think that's, at least from my perspective, a good thing.
- 9:51Certainly where primary care, risk taking primary care has failed, it's more about the management of those units than actually the capital providers who are helping them or trying to help them grow.
- 10:01And if anything, David, I think we need to spend and invest more in primary care because in our private system, the vast majority and the incentives within the institutions are to put more money into tertiary and quaternary care, the things that happen to you.
- 10:17when you're going getting a complex surgery or spending time in the hospital.
- 10:21And those incentives are backwards.
- 10:25I think that's probably an incentive system that's a problem for the US system.
- 10:31So let's dig into that primary care question a little bit.
- 10:33So primary care has been in crisis or in decline here in the US for some time.
- 10:39And let's if you take private equity aside, what was happening was people either just exiting primary care were selling their practices to hospitals that were using those feeder systems into this more expensive care that you're talking about.
- 10:52So absent the policymakers actually making investments from the public standpoint, it's up to private industry to do something.
- 11:01And in this case, it's done it.
- 11:02Now there's been pushback.
- 11:03First of all, there's been challenges in doing it because you can't fight the overall system.
- 11:06And maybe some of them haven't been managed as well as possible.
- 11:09But you also get then pushback maybe from even from the government.
- 11:14saying they don't want private ownership here.
- 11:17And I think it's partly favoring the hospital systems.
- 11:19So can we get, it, if we look ahead and say primary care is still an issue, what's the role for private investment going forward, would you say?
- 11:26I think it really depends on where the incentives are.
- 11:29Currently, the reason why people are exiting primary care and hospital systems are still building bigger buildings is not just because of the aging of the population, because older people, as the baby boomers, 10,000 people turning 65 every day hit the system.
- 11:47We're going to need more primary care, more continuity of care with nurse practitioners, internists, general practitioners, and geriatricians.
- 11:54But we don't pay them enough.
- 11:56In fact, the number of geriatric residents is going down, the specialty that cares for the elderly, while the number of elderly is skyrocketing.
- 12:05And so I think we really have to look, given the fact that 52 cents out of every health care dollar is supported by taxpayers through Medicare and Medicaid and the federal government as to where we put those incentives.
- 12:17We need, think fundamentally to set up prominent, and since the government's the biggest payer, it needs to actually think about reinvesting and expanding and increasing how it compensates primary care providers.
- 12:31That's the way I think you'd start to rejigger the system.
- 12:35Because if the incentives in the US, which they kind of are today, are the only get paid well if you're really sick, Well, guess what?
- 12:44The system is very good at solving very complex illness, but other systems, it would appear, are much better at preventing that by providing much more expensive access to primary care because they pay better on a relative basis.
- 13:00So as you say, the government is actually the main payer, over 50 % or so overall.
- 13:06And so if there are going to be changes, they actually do have to be related to...
- 13:11government policy.
- 13:12So even though there are a lot of private actors in the US, still, you know, government is a major, major force.
- 13:19Government's been pretty dysfunctional too.
- 13:21So I don't know if we can count on that to bail us out.
- 13:23And one of the things that the report does is to provide that kind of roadmap for policymakers.
- 13:27So I think that's useful.
- 13:29So if we can just not just, you know, despair of whatever the government's going to do, you know, what else can help us?
- 13:34So we've talked a lot about, mean, David, to be fair, your point about, about care access is a really interesting one.
- 13:4220 years ago, a little bit more than that, the Institute of Medicine put out a report I'll call To Err is Human, regarding all of the, it was a very methodical study of all the preventable medical errors.
- 13:55I think the estimate was that there are, whether it's adverse drug events or poor processes around surgeries, that we had the equivalent of two 747s a week crashing and killing everyone aboard if you added up all of the preventable deaths in the healthcare system.
- 14:14That report had a really big impact.
- 14:17It was methodically done by doctors.
- 14:20It was pushed out and changed the way people had tipped a Tokoandi on his checklist manifesto, the way people prepared and managed surgeries.
- 14:29It opened the door to people questioning whether folks, teams of medicine, of doctors and nurses, could actually have an open conversation about what was going right and wrong.
- 14:39It opened the door to the standardization of drug information so we could prevent drug-drug interactions.
- 14:45And I think if you look at where we are performing so well in care process, I think you could tie it pretty closely back to those early studies of what we can do.
- 14:59And that was really a information and cultural change because the incentives really didn't mean there were slight changes of incentives.
- 15:07The federal government no longer pay for an avoidable hospital readmission, which is to say if they were supposed to fix something the first time and the hospital screwed up and you had to go back and fix it, they wouldn't pay for it twice.
- 15:17They wouldn't pay for a botched surgery.
- 15:18The incentives were on the margin.
- 15:20But I do think that David, that was a remarkable example of where the culture changed based on data.
- 15:28And I think if we can find similar things, most people go into medicine and healthcare wanting to do the right thing.
- 15:33And that strikes me as an example over the last 20 years of a pretty material improvement in the way our healthcare system performs.
- 15:42And maybe there's something else that can be done there from the August ivory tower of the place like the Commonwealth Fund.
- 15:51Good.
- 15:52Well, John, maybe if we combine that, so to end on a happy note or an optimistic note, maybe that same sort of call to action combined with some new tools and think about AI.
- 16:04which is just starting to show its potential.
- 16:06Always look for AI.
- 16:08I look for AI, John.
- 16:09Yeah, you don't?
- 16:10Well, no, I just, I think maybe, but like, why should the computer, you really think the computer is gonna help us here, David?
- 16:18A lot of the issues here having to do with cost and with consistency are things that you might want to address with what you do with people.
- 16:28Now, they say that population is aging.
- 16:30birth rate is declining, immigration is declining.
- 16:33And so how are we going to address these things and not make them worse, which is probably the track that they're on.
- 16:39And I think AI has that potential.
- 16:41So for example, if you want to be diagnosed correctly the first time without going to a lot of specialists and costing a lot of money, proper use of AI, including by primary care, can have that impact.
- 16:53And so I do see the option to change the trajectory.
- 16:58of that technology in particular, if applied in the right way, if we're aiming it at the right things, instead of aiming at it, how can we drive up cost or some other objective that's less salient?
- 17:10Well, I'll give you one more positive there, David.
- 17:13I'll give you a slight one, which is I think that the other place where we massively underperform, we, United States system, is in administrative efficiency.
- 17:23We're massively inefficient because of all of the different parties in our semi-public, semi-private system.
- 17:30one of the the Commonwealth Report complains about is the complexity of all the different insurance products.
- 17:36Well, that's not going to change.
- 17:38But I could see a path where artificial intelligence, big compute, just more technology applied to the administrative back end could significantly reduce cost and complexity in the supply chain because it'll massively move through the complexity and simplify things so that we can actually get the care we need and get the bills paid the right way the first time.
- 18:02I there's some basic things that I think AI and big compute could really contribute to.
- 18:07So there's a positive.
- 18:09There we go, John.
- 18:09All right.
- 18:10Well, that's it for yet another episode of Care Talk.
- 18:13We've been talking today about the Commonwealth Fund report called Mirror Mirror.
- 18:18So take a good look in that, Mary John, and I hope you like what you see.
- 18:21And I'm sure as you get a little bit older, you'll like it even more.
- 18:26I'm David Williams, president of Health Business Group.
- 18:28And I'm John Driscoll, senior advisor at Walgreens.
- 18:30If you like what you heard or you didn't, we'd like you to subscribe on your favorite service.