Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 315 - 7/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 315 - 7/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 315 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:36
Happy Wednesday. It's hump day.
0:38
That's right, halfway through our work week and we're going to
0:41
get right back to what we love doing guys, which is making
0:43
data-driven bets. You hear me say it every day,
0:45
but what's better than grinding? I would argue again, there's a
0:49
lot of ups and downs, but one of the most exciting, challenging,
0:52
but also rewarding sports to grind.
0:54
It's a long season, a lot of games every day, but we keep
0:57
picking our spots. So we're going to get right back
0:59
to Major League Baseball for the true grinders.
1:02
So I do have a three pack of sweats for you, all favorites,
1:05
all kind of shortish favorites, so we can go 2 and one each.
1:08
Got a winning day. We'd have a nice little return
1:10
here. I also have a podcast
1:13
announcement because there's something that I've been working
1:15
on for quite a while and I finally tweeted it out from the
1:19
ASG Podcast Twitter page. If you haven't been following,
1:23
you can always follow the All Systems Go Podcast Twitter page
1:25
at under score, ASG under score Podcast.
1:30
So I'll give you that exciting announcement here in one second
1:34
and then aside from our three bets here for tonight, we're
1:36
going to see if we can keep our winning streak going because
1:38
last night had another winning day 2 and 1 + 0.31 units had a
1:44
nice hit with the Toronto Blue Jays.
1:46
Hope everyone's able to catch that bet because it was an
1:49
abbreviated 7 inning game that they called because of rain.
1:52
But pretty much every book should have paid you out on that
1:54
one. So the Jays were nice to see as
1:56
a road favorite. Sharp line move.
1:59
And then late the Padres, the dads, they made a sweat, but
2:02
thank God they came through. It was a nothing nothing game.
2:05
And boy was the luck on our side because there's so many times
2:07
where the Diamondbacks had bases loaded, one out, two guys on,
2:11
nobody out. And Pavetta and the bullpen for
2:14
the Padres just kept getting out of it.
2:16
And all we needed was one run. It was a one nothing win.
2:18
Luis Arise, the guy who has a great batting average but
2:21
doesn't hit much for power, had a solo home run.
2:24
And then our guy Suarez shut the door.
2:27
So nice little 1 nothing win with the Podge Padres.
2:30
Only loser. It was the Dodgers.
2:32
I don't know what's up with the Dodgers, man, They are.
2:33
They're in a bad place right now.
2:34
They've lost five straight. I think it's only their second
2:37
five game losing streak like in the last like half decade or
2:39
something. So ironically, the one team that
2:42
loses is one of the best teams or maybe the best team in
2:44
baseball. But either way, guys, This is
2:46
why I love grinding baseball 15 games a day.
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Let's pick out three. Let's try to go 2 and one
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improves as many winning days as possible, which is exactly what
2:54
we did last night. So before we dive in our sweats
2:57
here for today, again, 3 pack of MLB, I have a podcast
3:01
announcement. So here's the big podcast
3:03
announcement. As you guys know, the All
3:05
systems Go pod was created about a year and a half ago.
3:11
I think it was back in March of 2024, So maybe a little less
3:15
than a year and a half ago. But anyway, it's always been a
3:17
dream of mine to have a merch store.
3:20
Why? Because there are a lot of
3:22
phrases we talked about on the podcast.
3:25
Hey, fade the public, fade the trendy dog, reverse line
3:27
movement. I have a whole list of them
3:30
here. But my dream always was to
3:33
again, create a merch store, monetize the pod.
3:36
Of course, I'm not going to lie to you because me and the wife,
3:39
we got plans we'd love to, I don't know, expand and there's
3:42
some things around the house you want to do.
3:44
So my wife's like, hey, you got it.
3:45
You got to, you got to monetize this pod, make some money.
3:48
So I'm not going to lie to you. Part of it is to monetize the
3:50
pod, but to me, more importantly, it is to kind of
3:54
popularize data-driven betting in the way we approach betting.
3:57
So I would love and I have a dream of, you know, you walk
4:00
into any sports book in America, the Borgata in Jersey or
4:04
somewhere out in Vegas at the South Point or Circa or wherever
4:07
you're at, like me, if I'm going up to the Nash in Nashville, New
4:10
Hampshire or maybe going to the Encore in Boston.
4:13
And while you're sitting there at the sports book, you see
4:15
somebody sweating a game and they're wearing a sweatshirt
4:18
that says fade the trendy dog. Or maybe you walk up to somebody
4:21
at the counter, you're getting ready to place a bet at the
4:24
ticket window. Guy in front of you has a shirt
4:27
that says, hedging is for landscapers.
4:29
So it took me a while to figure out, hey, I have all these
4:33
phrases. I had to work with my the Montag
4:35
Group, which is my agency, did a great job of creating these
4:39
little logos for different phrases, as well as helping me
4:42
create the podcast logo. So it was a long time coming.
4:45
I landed on a website calledspring.com,
4:50
basicallyspring.com. It's kind of like Shopify or
4:52
some of these other websites, or basically you can upload your
4:56
logos and you create your merch and you pick what you want to
4:59
sell. And then I had to test it out.
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So I ordered a sample of a sweatshirt, which is hanging
5:05
right behind me in my little makeshift podcast room here in
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my house, in my basement. Nothing too flashy, but this is
5:12
where all the all the magic happens.
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But I got it in the mail, I tried it on, it fit great, and I
5:18
said, you know what, I think it's time to let this thing
5:20
loose and get it out to the public.
5:22
So I tweeted out the link from the ASG Pod page.
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The link is all, it's a little wonky
5:29
all-systems-go-podcast.creatordashspring.com, so you don't have to worry about
5:36
that. I will tweet out the link.
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I will put it in the the bio description of the podcast.
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I'll tweet out left and right. I'll tag it to the top of the
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Twitter page from the ASG pod page.
5:48
But basically, if you wanted to support the pod and you want to
5:51
get a sweatshirt that says fade the public or dance with the one
5:55
who brung you, let me just read all the ones I have.
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Line freeze. Win the damn game. data-driven
6:01
wise guy. Let me keep cruising.
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I got 6 pages of this stuff. It's taking a while.
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Bet numbers, not teams. Contrarian bet reverse line
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movement. Let's keep cruising.
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I got more dog to fave line move, low bets higher dollars.
6:16
What else we have? Don't bet parlays 52.38% I got
6:20
more here. Dogs and unders follow the
6:23
steam. Trust the bet.
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Splits always get the hook. I got more.
6:27
What else do I have? Yeah, hedging is for
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landscapers. Mentioned that one Belt with
6:31
your head, not your heart. Fade the public fade the trendy
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dog ASG pod. Always money line.
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Short fares. I might have mentioned that one,
6:38
but it's all now available in the All Systems Go merch store.
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So if you want to pick up a T-shirt, a regular sweatshirt, A
6:47
hoodie, a mug, there's notebooks.
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So there's literally a notebook. This is pretty cool.
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You know that says hey, fade the trendy dog.
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And if you're like me, you have a notebook where you write down
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all your your plays and do your your legwork there stickers all
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included. So bear with me.
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I'm going to continue to tweak it, add more products.
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If you guys have anything that you would love to see on the
7:09
merch store, let me know, but is now available for at spring.com
7:14
and I'll tweet out that link. So if you want to get yourself a
7:17
sweatshirt, support the pod. I think they're pretty cool and
7:22
I got one for myself and I'm already starting to wear it very
7:24
proudly. So let's get this thing to the
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moon. And I'll tell you this too.
7:29
Like my wife loves caller Daddy, the Caller Daddy podcast and
7:33
Alex Cooper, the girl, she has a merch line called Unwell.
7:37
And like my wife is always talking about, you need to get a
7:40
merch store for your podcast. So that was a little bit of the
7:43
the thought process there as well.
7:44
But anyway, they're all located available online and now you can
7:49
get your ASG merch. So it is it is officially here
7:51
and it's been a long time coming.
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And today's the day I said, you know what we should unveil it
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today and the dog days of summer.
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So let me know what you think. And again, I'll I'll link the
8:01
I'll put the link in the all systems go pod bio description
8:06
and you'll see it all across Twitter and the Internet, as
8:08
well as my Twitter handle at Josh under score insights.
8:11
But the merch store, it's open, baby.
8:14
Come get your merch. Anyway guys, with that being
8:16
said, two in one night got 1/3 of a unit.
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Let's keep it rolling here for today.
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Without further ado, 3 plays. Let's get right into it.
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So first bet on the board for me.
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Let's go to the Bronx 7 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time first pitch, the
8:29
Seattle Mariners visiting the New York Yankees now set the
8:33
stage here. Let's talk bet splits, line
8:35
movement, system matches. I'll give you my play for this
8:37
one. So last night, series opener, we
8:39
saw the Yankees who are 50 and 41, had a big win 10 to 3,
8:43
easily cashed as a -130 home favorite pitching rematch for
8:47
tonight. Little interesting because the
8:49
Mariners who are now 48 and 43, they're going with the ready
8:52
Logan Evans. He's three and two with a 2.96
8:55
ERA. And the Yankees are going to go
8:57
with the ready Cam Schlitter. Schlitter Schlitter.
9:02
I don't know how to pronounce it.
9:03
Anyway, I never heard of this kid prior to today.
9:05
I did my research. He is making his MLB debut.
9:08
He is one of the top pitching prospects in the Yankee system.
9:12
And he so far in the minors before his call up, he went six
9:16
and six with a 2.82 ERA. But I was reading about how
9:19
they're pretty high in this kid Cam Schlitter, who might be a
9:22
good one. Now this line open with the
9:24
Yankees listed as around a -, 145 home favorite Seattle plus
9:28
125 Rd. dog. And one thing we always talk
9:31
about is, you know, a game opens at a pick em.
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Which direction does it move? Because again, maybe the odds
9:36
makers have it as a, you know, a coin flip game, but the wise
9:39
guys don't. So pay attention to the move.
9:41
I also think it's important when someone is making their MLB
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debut, which direction does the line move?
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Because it could go one of two ways.
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This kid Cam Schlitter might get lit up.
9:51
It's bright lights, his debut, you know, a lot of pressure.
9:53
Maybe he's not ready for it. Or maybe the wise guys say, hey,
9:57
this kids going to pitch. Well, Seattle has never seen him
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before. Element of surprise, that sort
10:01
of thing. And really, it's been the latter
10:03
here because this line has moved further toward Cam Schlitter and
10:06
the New York Yankees. Yankees went from -145 up to
10:09
-155. Some shops now as high as -160.
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I jumped on New York, NY at -154 at FanDuel a little bit earlier
10:18
today. Looks like -155 is your best
10:20
price at ESPN bet. But it's notable to me that you
10:23
got a kid making his debut and yet the smart money is backing
10:26
the kid, not going against them. You look at the splits at Circa
10:30
really jumped out to me. The Yankees are only getting 36%
10:33
of money line bets out in the desert, but 58% of money line
10:36
dollars, That's actually technically a reverse line move.
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Low bets, higher dollars fade The trendy dog split again, all
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those little phrases. You can get your, your, your
10:45
sweatshirts at the ASG pod merch store with those phrases.
10:49
Again, we're taking this thing to the moon.
10:51
I want I want to see people with a reverse line movement
10:54
sweatshirt at the book all across America anyway.
10:57
Low bets, higher dollar split line move toward the Yankees.
11:00
Also have 4 system matches lit up on New York.
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Home favorites off a win who made the playoffs the previous
11:05
season. 192 and 9667 percent 6% ROI.
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This year. Non division home favorites off
11:13
a win getting $0.05 of steam or more in their favor. 137 and
11:17
6967 percent, 5% ROI. I am going to bank on New York's
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bats hopefully getting to Evans. They scored ten runs yesterday.
11:25
So let's hope that they, you know, kind of move that over
11:28
here to tonight. But the Yankees overall are
11:30
hitting two 56143 homers, 472 runs scored.
11:35
Seattle's hitting two 47120 homers, 405 runs scored.
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We really don't know we're in yet from Schlitter again is
11:42
making his debut. But hey, the lines moving in his
11:44
favor. But I did notice Evans has kind
11:46
of a big difference home and road.
11:47
At home he's been really good two and O 2.28 ERA.
11:52
On the road, one and two 3.68 ERA.
11:55
So again, I don't know if he's ever pitched in the Yankee
11:57
Stadium before. Let's see if we can get this
12:00
rookie to pitch well and the Yankees bats to get to Seattle.
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So I'm on the Yankees. Good sharp line move, good
12:07
system matches again, fishy line move in favor of a kid making
12:11
his debut. Dear God, Schlitter, come come
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to pitch tonight. Hope, hope you pitch well, but
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I'm on the Yankees -154 again, looks like -155 at ESPN.
12:22
Bet is your best price right now, but shop around.
12:25
Some books a little bit higher -160 next, but on the board.
12:29
Same start time. Let's go to Baltimore though. 7
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O 5:00 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the New York Mets
12:34
visiting the Baltimore Orioles now.
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Last night we saw the Mets 53 and 39.
12:40
Won the series opener 7 to 6 and extra innings against Baltimore.
12:44
Came through as a - 125 Rd. favorite for tonight pitching
12:47
matchup. We got the Mets going with the
12:49
lefty David Peterson. He's six and four 3.18 ERA.
12:53
Meanwhile, the O's are going to go with the ready Tomo Yuki
12:56
Sugano. He's six and five with a 4.44
12:59
ERA. So what do you see across the
13:01
market here? Well, if you like the Yankees, I
13:04
think you like the Mets. Similar opening number and
13:06
similar line move because we saw the Mets open around -145
13:11
Orioles are on a + 125 home dog, and we've seen the Mets now get
13:15
steamed up to closer to -150 -, 155 even -160 right now.
13:22
So I jumped on the mats a little earlier today.
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If you want to follow the all systems, go best bets on the
13:27
Juice Reel app. You can get them earlier in the
13:29
day for $4.99 a week, but I got them at -148 at FanDuel.
13:35
Looks like -154 is the best price for the Mets right now at
13:39
FanDuel. Others are as high as -160 so
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definitely shop around. But aside from that, line move
13:44
toward the Mets. 10-15 cents of steam in their favor.
13:47
Pretty good bet split at Circa out in the desert. 64% of bets,
13:51
90% of dollars are on the Mets. So further evidence and
13:55
validation of those bigger, more respected wagers.
13:57
Going with New York. I do have a couple good system
14:00
matches on the Mets. One would be a sweet spot non
14:03
division Rd. favorite. So if you're a sweet spot, non
14:06
division Rd. favorite between -135 and -160 and you're getting
14:10
some line movement in your favor, at least $0.05.
14:13
Those teams are 30 and 1764 percent, 7% ROI this year.
14:18
Mets also in particular really good as a favorite.
14:21
They're 42 and 22 as a favorite, 66%, four percent ROI.
14:26
That's the 6th best chalk team in baseball.
14:29
And then if you layer on a little bit here in terms of
14:31
being a favorite, but then also getting at least $0.10 of steam
14:34
move in their favor, the Mets are 17 and seven in that spot,
14:38
71 percent, 10% ROI. New York does have just some
14:43
classic interleague favorite value, lack of familiarity
14:46
benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
14:48
And if you isolate interleague Rd. favorites -150 or more the
14:52
spot that the Mets are in here tonight, those teams are 33 and
14:55
1667% with a 5% ROI. Mets offense has been better
15:01
than the Orioles this year, so let's hope the bats, Alonzo and
15:04
Soto, and the guys can get to Sugano tonight.
15:07
But they're hitting two 46121 homers, 409 runs scored.
15:11
Orioles, meanwhile, hitting two 39108 homers, 377 runs scored.
15:17
And then if you look at lefty righty splits, we have the Mets
15:20
going up against the righty. Well, they're 12th in baseball
15:23
hitting 249 against righty's. Meanwhile, Baltimore going up
15:26
against Peterson, they're hitting just 222 against
15:29
lefties. That ranks 24th in baseball.
15:31
So again, if you like the Yankees, I think you like the
15:33
Mets opening as their own. A modest -145 favorite have now
15:37
been steamed up -155 -, 160 some good system matches.
15:41
And really, I like that system, that interleague Rd. favorite
15:43
-150 or more. That's cashing 2/3 of the time
15:47
this year. So add it all up.
15:49
I'm back in the Mets in this one.
15:50
I got New York -148 at FanDuel. Looks like -154 at FanDuel is
15:55
your best price right now. Last bite of the night.
15:59
Washington Nationals visiting the Saint Louis Cardinals, 7:45
16:02
PM Eastern Time. First pitch, Cardinals 49 and
16:06
43. Took the opener last night, 4 to
16:08
2. Came through as a big -240 home
16:11
favorite. Pitch a match up here for
16:13
tonight. The Nationals, who are 37 and
16:15
54, are going to go with the lefty Mackenzie Gore.
16:18
He's 3:00 and 8:00 with a 3.11 ERA.
16:21
Meanwhile, the Cards are going with the ready Andre Palante,
16:24
who's five and four with a 4.1 O ERA.
16:28
So we've seen across the market for this one.
16:29
Will Saint Louis open this game? Very short -120 home favorite
16:33
Washington around 8 + 100 row dog.
16:36
And we've seen nothing but movement in favor of the
16:38
Cardinals. Cardinals went from -120 up to
16:41
-130 now up to -135 some shops even creeping toward -140.
16:46
So pretty good one way movement. As soon as this line was
16:49
available to bet, it's just only shot up in One Direction towards
16:52
Saint Louis. I got Saint Louis -130 at ESPN
16:57
bet. I think they might still be
16:59
available -130 but shop around because again, so much closer to
17:02
-135 -, 140. Look at the bets what's here.
17:06
They look good at both DraftKings and Circa.
17:08
At DraftKings, the cards are getting 64% bets but nearly 70%
17:12
of the money. And then in at Circa in Vegas,
17:15
73% bets, 98% dollars on Saint Louis.
17:19
So out in the desert even more bullish wiseguy wagers going
17:22
with the Cardinals. I do have a few system matches
17:25
lit up on Saint Louis. Home favorites in the second
17:28
game of a series after winning the first one.
17:30
They are one O 6 and 6064 percent. 3% ROI this year.
17:35
Nothing amazing but profitable. And then non division home
17:38
favorites off a win getting steam $0.05 or more.
17:41
They're 137 and 6967% with a 5% ROI.
17:46
Saint Louis does have some correlative betting here.
17:49
Value because it's a very low total of 7 1/2 or 8, kind of
17:52
bopping around between 7 1/2 and 8.
17:55
Maybe you have dueling money over 7 1/2 and then under 8, but
17:58
either way, even if you take the 8:00, that's still a low total,
18:01
which would match as a favorite low total.
18:03
Fewer amount of expected run scored, more likely to come from
18:06
quote UN quote the better team. I'm going to bank on the bats.
18:09
I know Mackenzie Gore's had a good year.
18:11
He was a part of that Soto trade a few years ago.
18:13
I believe he made the All Star game.
18:15
But the Cardinals are hitting 251 on the season, 93 homers,
18:19
418 runs scored. Nats hitting 24787 homers, 399
18:24
runs scored. And then just a little bit of
18:26
home Rd. Saint Louis has been a pretty
18:28
good home team. 27 and 17 at home, Washington 19 and 26 on
18:33
the road. Also the Nats, they just fired
18:35
their GM and they fired their coach as well.
18:39
Martinez, he was, I believe it wasn't he Joe Maddens right hand
18:42
man for quite a while. So I don't know, you fire your
18:45
GM, you fire a coach. Is that a team that you know
18:47
gets a fire lit under them or is it, hey, let's pack it in our
18:50
year? Maybe that's a negative in terms
18:53
of the vibes. Didn't hurt that I popped open
18:55
the juicer lap. Nothing crazy, but a 5% sharp
18:59
mush edge on Saint Louis, 5% more of the winning betters here
19:04
leaning with the Cardinals. So we got a line move, we got
19:07
some good splits, good system matches.
19:09
I'm going to bank on Palante hopefully pitching well on the
19:12
bats, getting to Gore. I got the cards -130 at ESPN
19:16
bet. So Yankees, Mets and Cards, can
19:19
we find a way to get two out of three?
19:21
He got a winning night. That, of course, is always the
19:23
goal. So that about does it for
19:25
episode 315 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
19:29
powered by Rhythm. Of course.
19:30
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
19:32
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
19:36
out of your day, out of your busy lives.
19:37
Officially, we're now in the dog days of summer.
19:40
You guys keep tuning in and grinding baseball with me.
19:42
I appreciate you. Thank you so much.
19:45
If you do enjoy the pod, you want to give it a five star
19:47
review on Spotify or iTunes. Hey, I would, I would love that.
19:51
Also, if you wanted to leave a nice comment under the review
19:54
section or click the follow button or recommend the pod to a
19:57
friend, I also would. I'd never say no to that.
20:00
Either next, if you enjoy the style of betting data-driven,
20:04
sharp contrarian betting people say who do you like in baseball
20:07
today? I say, I don't know, let me look
20:08
at the the betting data of the market and then I'll tell you.
20:12
But that's kind of the way we approach betting.
20:13
No bias, no favoritism. I don't wake up to you saying,
20:16
you know what I'm a Red Sox fan. I should bet the Red Sox.
20:19
Well, maybe I should because they keep crushing the Colorado
20:21
Rockies. But you get my point.
20:23
We are and again, I have a merch store sweatshirt that you can
20:28
get that says bet numbers, not teams.
20:30
And that's really the way we approach betting.
20:31
So if this style of betting, maybe you never knew about it
20:34
before or maybe you had an idea and you know this approach has
20:38
helped you to make smart bets and turn a profit and beat
20:40
closing lines. Well, if you want to learn more
20:43
about data-driven betting or let me know you appreciate the pot
20:46
or maybe there's someone in your life who could use some
20:48
data-driven data-driven tips. Maybe they want to break into
20:51
betting but don't know how it works.
20:53
They don't have a strategy or system, or maybe they bet and
20:56
lose a lot and they should learn to make bets of their head and
20:59
not their heart. Again, I got a sweatshirt that
21:01
says that too. But if that's the case, I'd love
21:04
for you guys to go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide
21:08
to Sports betting. It's the first book ever wrote.
21:11
I'm very proud of it, but it's got everything I've learned in
21:13
the industry. How lines are set, how and why
21:15
they move. How to read line movement, how
21:16
to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
21:19
how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
21:22
management plan, how to go contrarian.
21:24
It's all included in the everything guide to sports
21:26
betting. And while you're picking up the
21:28
everything guide on Amazon, stay on Amazon.com, type in the NFL
21:31
sharp betting playbook. Can't believe it.
21:34
It's coming out August 12th, a month from Saturday.
21:37
Cannot believe we're getting close here.
21:39
But if you wanted to pre-order a copy and get ready for football,
21:42
you'd make me happy. You'd make my publisher very
21:44
happy. And then you know what you got
21:46
to do? You got to bring the everything
21:47
guide in the NFL Sharp betting playbook to the sports book.
21:50
I'll meet you at the Nash in New Hampshire in Nashua and we'll
21:53
sweat some games together, hopefully catch some baseball
21:56
tickets together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
22:00
Juice Reel yet? Well, if you haven't, what are
22:01
you waiting for? Download Rhythm great for their
22:03
AI backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
22:07
WNBA as well as MLB is lit up right now and then also Juice
22:12
Reel. I'll pass the hat right now.
22:14
Hey, if you like the pod, get a sweatshirt from the new merch
22:17
store. But also I'd love for you guys
22:19
to sign up to get the all systems go official best bet
22:22
picks only available on Juice Reel, the Juice Reel app.
22:26
So you can sign up to get them there.
22:27
They cost $4.99 a week and you'll get the plays earlier in
22:31
the day as soon as I bet them. Get the plays on the weekend, of
22:34
course. And then you're also going to
22:36
get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
22:39
indicators, the arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line
22:42
future sync up your sports books to the app.
22:45
It's all located there. So download rhythm, download
22:48
Juice Reel, give them a five star review in the App Store.
22:51
Next you have a live odds page. If you don't, you need one.
22:53
I don't know how you're betting sports if you don't have a live
22:55
odds page. It's so important.
22:57
What are the line open at? How is it moved?
22:59
Where's the money flowing? Pull up the line history, shop
23:02
for the best line. That's really the huge part of
23:05
it. Locate steam.
23:07
That's super important as well. When something gets lit up in
23:09
red on the odds page, you know it's moving.
23:10
And if you can jump on it before it falls or moves too much, hey,
23:14
you're going to get a good number, especially with totals.
23:16
I tweeted out earlier but I didn't play it.
23:19
But I didn't notice on the Giants game every book was at 8
23:23
1/2. I was looking at the Odds Logic
23:25
live odds page total across the board and that entire row gets
23:29
lit up in red. It's falling to 8.
23:31
So if you can still find an 8 1/2, hey, you're beating the
23:33
closing line. So another benefit to Odds
23:36
Logic. So if you want to give it a
23:38
shot, go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
23:41
That's a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month of
23:44
service. So that about does it for
23:47
today's episode. On Hump Day episode 315, I'll
23:50
leave you with a final couple final thoughts as always.
23:52
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
23:56
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
23:58
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut, at the Encore in
24:01
Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield in my
24:05
neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
24:06
We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
24:09
Or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
24:11
choose possible is found at the South Point.
24:13
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
24:16
swimming pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circa.
24:18
You're going to show me a Blue Jays ticket, a Padres ticket,
24:23
and guess what? We're going to sweat some some
24:25
more baseball games here together tonight.
24:27
First one's on me, next one's on you.
24:29
We'll post about the book and hopefully cash them some
24:31
tickets. So as always, guys two and one,
24:34
one and two, three and OO and three.
24:36
After a great night or a terrible night or just grinding
24:39
again, we're hot, we're never as good as we think.
24:41
When we're cold, we're never as bad as we think.
24:43
Never forget that betting is difficult.
24:45
It's hard to beat the razor sharp lines.
24:47
It's hard to overcome the juice. It's hard to avoid bad beats.
24:50
So when you're doing well, it gives you some confidence and it
24:53
makes you a little bit give you some pride.
24:55
When you're struggling, don't think you're terrible and you
24:58
stink. You just got to keep sticking
25:00
with it because again, that's a difficult business to win
25:03
consistently at. But that's the challenge.
25:05
That's why I love betting. I know I'll never be perfect.
25:08
I know I'll never I'll never win every single day, but it's the
25:11
challenge of trying to that makes it worthwhile, especially
25:15
when you can post a winning day. So as always, guys, if we can
25:18
find those games that fit our model, you might know it by now.
25:21
But if you don't goes a little something like this against the
25:24
public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
25:28
get that CLV. If we can do that long term,
25:30
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
25:32
So have a great Wednesday night. Everybody check out the merch
25:35
store. I'm pretty proud of that.
25:38
Pick up your your I don't know your ASG or fade the trendy dog
25:42
sweatshirt or T-shirt or mug, whatever you want to do.
25:45
And I'd love to see you guys rocking the gear at the sports
25:48
book. I'll be the way guys.
25:49
We'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big thirsty
25:51
Thursday edition, episode 316 of the all systems go sports
25:55
betting podcast powered by rhythm.
25:57
Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.