Latest / Simply Bitcoin / You've Been Lied to About Iran | Why We're at War and How it Affects Bitcoin | Beyond Bitcoin
Transcript
- 0:00If you're like me or anyone I know, you're wondering, why are
- 0:04we even in this war? Have you seen these grocery
- 0:07prices? Why would a country with so many
- 0:10issues at home start a war abroad, one that nobody voted on
- 0:14and nobody elected for? You may also be asking yourself,
- 0:17how do we even get here? Today we're going to look at the
- 0:19bank's role in war and how it affects the people and their
- 0:22economies. The real, the dollar, different
- 0:26names, same story. They told you this war was about
- 0:29weapons. It's not.
- 0:32Stick with me and we'll follow the money.
- 0:34And I do mean that literally. And where it leads is somewhere
- 0:38most people are looking oh nice, 50% off somewhere that connects
- 0:44directly as to why Bitcoin exists and why what just
- 0:47happened. Maybe one of the most clarifying
- 0:48moments we've ever had. Emotions.
- 0:50This is beyond Bitcoin. Judge me.
- 1:00Look, I've been scrolling through my feed all this week,
- 1:03sitting with this and the question I keep seeing, the one
- 1:06that everyone's asking is the same one I opened with.
- 1:09Why are we here? Why now?
- 1:11Why Iran? They gave you an answer.
- 1:14Nuclear weapons, national security, regime change, the
- 1:18same reasons they always give. I'm going to walk you through
- 1:20why that's not the real answer, and then I'm going to show you
- 1:23what is. Because when you see it, when
- 1:25you actually follow the money, Bitcoin stops looking like a
- 1:29speculative asset and starts looking like the most logical
- 1:33response to an insane system. Bitcoin dropped when the news
- 1:36broke. A lot of people panicked and a
- 1:38lot of people asked, isn't it supposed to go up when things
- 1:40get scary? We're going to answer that
- 1:41question, too. So three things here.
- 1:43First, Bank's role in the war. There's a pattern here that goes
- 1:46back decades, and someone just explained it on camera better
- 1:48than anyone that I've heard. We have the clip too,
- 1:51exclusively. Just kidding.
- 1:52It's on the Internet. You can go check it out
- 1:54yourself. It's from a Tucker Carlson
- 1:56interview anyway. Second, what war actually does
- 1:59to people and their economies. Not the geopolitics, the human
- 2:03cost, the real, the dollar. What happens to regular families
- 2:07when the money breaks? And 3rd, where Bitcoin fits into
- 2:10all of this, because Bitcoin's reaction to this weekend wasn't
- 2:13a fluke. There's something else going on
- 2:15here. And once you understand what
- 2:16that something else is, what actually is being fought over,
- 2:20well, let me know because I'm trying to make an episode here.
- 2:24Here's the question I want you to sit with.
- 2:25Why does the United States keep going back to the Middle East?
- 2:29Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen, and now Iran.
- 2:34The official reason changes every time.
- 2:37WMDS, Al Qaeda, humanitarian intervention, nuclear weapons.
- 2:42The packaging is always different, but the destination
- 2:44keeps being the same region, the same kinds of governments, the
- 2:47same outcome. I want to show you a clip
- 2:49because someone actually sat down and said out loud on camera
- 2:53what most journalists won't go near.
- 2:55I think it's the most important context for everything happening
- 2:58right now. Where the countries where those
- 3:00central banks were not on board to do programmable money and
- 3:05their governance structures were not on board with essentially,
- 3:09you know, because of Epstein, I'll call it the Rockefeller
- 3:14Ross Shield model, there was an effort to say, OK, we're going
- 3:18to basically assert control of the central banks in those
- 3:22countries. That's my interpretation.
- 3:25And I think one of the reasons we're seeing so much tension
- 3:28around Iran is because Iran right now is the big leakage in
- 3:33the system. How?
- 3:37So. Wait, it's not about their
- 3:39nukes? No.
- 3:40So, well, you know, Iran's central bank counts.
- 3:44One of the reasons it counts is because their oil and energy is
- 3:47very important, including for China.
- 3:50And that's very important in the BRIC system.
- 3:52What the BRIC system is trying to do is to create independent
- 3:55payment systems. But if you're going to come out
- 3:58with programmable money, with digital IDs that are
- 4:01interoperable globally and programmable money that that
- 4:06controls in each jurisdiction centrally, you can't afford
- 4:10leakage. And so you've got way too much
- 4:13leakage in the system to proceed with what they're trying to do.
- 4:17And Iran is, and the BRIC nations are a sticking point.
- 4:21And certainly Iran's oil, you know, feeding China gives China
- 4:26greater independence. Let me break that down for a
- 4:29second. She's not talking about
- 4:30ideology. She's not talking about
- 4:31terrorism. She's not talking about nuclear
- 4:33weapons. She's talking about central
- 4:36banks and her argument. The countries that end up on the
- 4:39receiving end of the US military force are the countries whose
- 4:42central banks are not on board with programmable money, with
- 4:46digital IDs, with a global interoperable financial system
- 4:50that can be monitored and controlled from the top down and
- 4:54the key line. It's not about their nukes.
- 4:56Iran's central bank counts not because of the weapons, but
- 5:00because of who controls the financial rails that oil and
- 5:03trade run on. Is this bullish for Bitcoin?
- 5:06Arthur Hayes seems to think so. Now, what is programmable money?
- 5:10Because this is the part that connects directly to you.
- 5:13A CBDCA central bank digital currency is a money that comes
- 5:17with rules built inside of it. The government can see every
- 5:20transaction. They can program what you're
- 5:22allowed to spend it on. They can set an expiry date.
- 5:24They can turn your account off. China already does this.
- 5:28It's not a conspiracy theory. It's a policy that's been
- 5:31publicly discussed at the IMF, the World Bank and central banks
- 5:35on every continent. Catherine Austin Fitz, the woman
- 5:39in that clip, says that problem is leakage, meaning there are
- 5:43too many countries, too many people, too many economies
- 5:46operating outside of that system, countries like Iran.
- 5:50And leakage apparently has to be fixed.
- 5:52Surprise, surprise, that's where the bombs come in.
- 5:54Everything is digital, and what is not digital is gradually and
- 6:00more rapidly than gradually becoming digital.
- 6:02You buy digitally, use, we speak digitally.
- 6:07There are lots of things that are taking place that way.
- 6:10So why wouldn't currency also be digital?
- 6:17I'm going to oversimplify it. You have central bank money,
- 6:21which is essentially, let's say banknotes.
- 6:27And that central bank money is critically important for the
- 6:31trust that people have in the system.
- 6:33The fact that you hold a dollar that I hold a euro is, you know,
- 6:38in euro we trust and we know that that banknote is always
- 6:42going to be honoured. It is central bank money.
- 6:45Then you have commercial bank money, which is what commercial
- 6:48bank create by activating granting loans.
- 6:52And it's, it's, it's, it's a whole different situation.
- 6:57But if you just look at central bank money, why would it not
- 7:01also turn digital? Why would we always and forever
- 7:06rely on banknotes as our basis for the currency?
- 7:11So we, I think we owe it to future generations and, and, and
- 7:15to all of us to build that alternative of digital currency,
- 7:21which is, you know, to, again, to put it to oversimplify it,
- 7:24it's, it's digital banknote with less total anonymity, which is
- 7:30probably right, given, you know, the, the, the security that we
- 7:37want to give each other and the respect that we have for the,
- 7:41for that, both the, the confidentiality of information,
- 7:45which we're working hard so that there is as much privacy as
- 7:48possible. But equally the fact that it
- 7:50cannot be totally totally anonymous and facilitate the
- 7:54likes of money laundering, financing of tourism and what
- 7:58have you. Notice how Lagarde fumbles
- 8:00around when she gets to the stuff about privacy.
- 8:02Yeah, I'm sure you really want to give us the respect we all
- 8:05deserve. Christine.
- 8:06Let's take a quick break here. And honestly, given everything
- 8:08that we just talked about, this sponsor feels unusually on
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- 8:34I want to talk about the people for a second because I think
- 8:37we're losing this in the politics.
- 8:39There are regular people in Iran now, families, people who did
- 8:43not choose their government, did not vote for this war, and have
- 8:46been watching their life savings disappear for years.
- 8:49The Iranian rial has lost the overwhelming majority of its
- 8:52value over the last decade, not because Iranians are bad at
- 8:55economics, but because sanctions, money printing, and a
- 8:58government trying to survive have quietly destroyed the
- 9:01savings of every ordinary person in that country.
- 9:04Think about what that means. You saved your whole life, and
- 9:07then, through no fault of your own, no bad investment, no
- 9:10gambling, you held the money your government told you to
- 9:13hold, and it evaporated. Now look at the dollar.
- 9:15The dollar has lost over 20% of its purchasing power since 2020
- 9:19alone. You feel it every time you go to
- 9:20the grocery store, every time you fill up your tank, every
- 9:22time you scroll Zillow at 2:00 AM.
- 9:24Brielle the dollar. Different names, same story.
- 9:27And every war makes it worse. Because wars cost money.
- 9:31Hundreds of billions, sometimes trillions.
- 9:34And that money has to come from somewhere.
- 9:36Do you know where that money comes from?
- 9:38That's right, the printing press.
- 9:40And here's the immediate economic picture from this
- 9:42specific war. The Strait of Hormuz, the narrow
- 9:45waterway that carries roughly 1/3 of the world's seaborne
- 9:49crude oil, has effectively stopped moving tankers.
- 9:53Wait, what? Shipping companies pulled their
- 9:55vessels. Insurance premiums spiked.
- 9:57Oil jumped. Energy analysts are warning
- 9:59about $100 oil if this doesn't de escalate.
- 10:02That's not an abstraction. That's your gas prices, your
- 10:05grocery bill, the cost of everything that gets shipped
- 10:08anywhere. the Fed just took a rate cut off the table.
- 10:11Oil spikes means inflation. Inflation means holding rates.
- 10:15The economy is stuck between a war and a hard place.
- 10:17And then there's Bitcoin. Bitcoin dropped, as we all know,
- 10:20when the news broke, people panicked.
- 10:23A lot of the same informed citizens who asked, wait a
- 10:25second, isn't it supposed to go up when things are scarier?
- 10:28They sold. Here's the thing though.
- 10:30Bitcoin was the only liquid market open when the bombs were
- 10:32falling Saturday morning at 2:00 in the morning.
- 10:35Every single bank was closed, Every single Stock Exchange was
- 10:38dark. But Bitcoin was trading.
- 10:40It absorbed the fear it took, the selling pressure that would
- 10:43have spread across every market on earth if those markets were
- 10:46open. And then it came back.
- 10:48Before Wall Street opened, before any stock moved, Bitcoin
- 10:51had already recovered. It's not a weakness.
- 10:54That's what a 24/7 global monetary asset looks like.
- 10:58Real quick, if everything that we've just went through is
- 11:00making you think it's time to actually take your Bitcoin off
- 11:03exchanges and into your own self custody, then you need to go to
- 11:07the bitcoinway.com. The Bitcoin way helps people get
- 11:09into self custody the right way. No guesswork, no late night
- 11:14YouTube spirals. And for a free 30 minute
- 11:16consultation, all you have to do is go to
- 11:18thebitcoinway.com/beyond Bitcoin and book your session.
- 11:22And after this past week, you shouldn't wait.
- 11:24That's the bitcoinway.com/beyond Bitcoin for your free 30 minute
- 11:28consultation. So where does Bitcoin actually
- 11:30fit into all of this? Well, go back to what we heard
- 11:33on that Tucker Carlson clip. The argument is that governments
- 11:35are fighting literally with bombs over who controls the
- 11:38global financial system, who gets to be inside the
- 11:41programmable money network, and who gets shut out but Bitcoin.
- 11:44Bitcoin is not inside that network.
- 11:46Bitcoin cannot be brought inside that network.
- 11:49There is no central bank to take over.
- 11:51There is no headquarters to bomb.
- 11:53There is no CEO to sanction. There's no one who wants to give
- 11:57us the respect we deserve. Just 21 million Bitcoin.
- 12:00That's it. That's the whole policy.
- 12:01No government decided that no war changes it now.
- 12:04Arthur Hayes just published an essay called iOS Warfare, and
- 12:07his argument is simple. Every time the US goes to war in
- 12:10the Middle East, the Federal Reserve follows with money
- 12:13printing. Every single time.
- 12:15He calls it predictable, familiar.
- 12:18Same operating system, different upgrade cycle.
- 12:20By the by the end of 2026, what do you think?
- 12:25I think we're be, you know, 500 to 750,000 Bitcoin, I think 2026
- 12:30and 2027. This is the meat of the money
- 12:33printing the the Trump administration is going to do
- 12:36what they know how to do best, whatever government knows how to
- 12:38do best. When in doubt, print the money.
- 12:40If the people are unhappy, print the money and hand them a goody
- 12:42and they're going to show up at the polls and hopefully vote for
- 12:45you. The meat of money printing that
- 12:47phrase is doing a lot of work. Hayes's argument is that this
- 12:51war, like every war before it, costs more than the government
- 12:54has, which means they borrow, which means they print, which
- 12:57means the dollar gets weaker, which means hard assets like
- 13:01Bitcoin go up. You know, gold knows this.
- 13:04It was up when the bombs were dropping.
- 13:05And here's the layer that makes this specific moment unusual.
- 13:10But also, it seems as though there's been reticence about
- 13:15actually buying Bitcoin for the strategic reserve so far.
- 13:19So far, it's confiscated. The original intent was to own a
- 13:25million bitcoins. So I actually think they will
- 13:28start buying because I think this will help Trump in a couple
- 13:33of ways. The midterm sections, part of
- 13:35the reason he won won the presidency, I think was the
- 13:39crypto community. Yes.
- 13:43And another reason, of course, is his family is all in on
- 13:47Bitcoin and and other crypto assets.
- 13:51They haven't bought a single set on the open market.
- 13:54The US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve holds 328,000 Bitcoin, all of it
- 13:59confiscated, none of it purchased.
- 14:02The original intent was a million Bitcoin the midterm
- 14:04elections which happened in November 2026.
- 14:06Trump's family all in on Bitcoin.
- 14:08War funding needs money printing.
- 14:10Strategic Reserve hasn't started buying yet.
- 14:12You connect the dots. Here's where I land on all of
- 14:15this. This isn't about number go up,
- 14:17it's about number go down so far down.
- 14:20This is about freedom versus control.
- 14:21There are people, powerful people, who want to build a
- 14:24financial system where every transaction is visible,
- 14:27programmable and revocable, where your money can be turned
- 14:30off, where what you can spend and when, and on what is decided
- 14:35by someone other than you. And there are wars being fought
- 14:38right now, real wars with real casualties over which countries
- 14:42get brought into that system and which ones do not.
- 14:46But Bitcoin is not in that system.
- 14:48Bitcoin can't be brought into that system.
- 14:51That's the point. So do yourself a solid and study
- 14:54Bitcoin. Before we wrap up, I just want
- 14:56to give a shout out to Club Orange, formerly known as the
- 14:58Orange Pill app. I've been connecting with a lot
- 15:00of you folks on there and honestly, it's been great.
- 15:02Thank you so much for connecting with me.
- 15:04If you want to connect with other Bitcoiners like yourself,
- 15:07people who are thinking through all of this stuff, that
- 15:09community exists at cluborange.org.
- 15:12And if you want to connect with me directly, I'm at oceans
- 15:14OSHINS. I'll respond, come talk to me.
- 15:18I'm at Club Orange. The grocery prices question I
- 15:20opened with that wasn't a joke. Well, actually was a joke, but
- 15:24it's also not a joke. This is about as indecisive as
- 15:27the federal funds, right? There are families right now
- 15:30trying to figure out how to make the math work on both sides of
- 15:33this war in America, in Iran, in every country whose energy bill
- 15:37just got more expensive because the Strait of Hormuz is crooked.
- 15:41You get that Strait of Hormuz crooked.
- 15:43Ha ha, Nobody voted for any of this, and nobody asked the
- 15:46families. And every generation watching
- 15:48this happen wonders why the answer is always the same thing
- 15:52in different packaging. We are one of the first
- 15:54generations in history to have an actual exit from that system.
- 15:57Not a protest, not a petition, A monetary network that no
- 16:01government can take over and no war can destroy, and that no
- 16:05printing press can inflate. You need to use it.
- 16:08And that's all I've got. Thank you so much for watching
- 16:10this video. If you like what you see and you
- 16:11want to see more, make sure you hit that like button below.
- 16:15Or you can subscribe to the simply Bitcoin channel for more
- 16:17content like this. We're coming out with it every
- 16:19single day of the week. Also, you can leave us a comment
- 16:21an emoji. If you're a shit coin bot, you
- 16:24can leave us a recommendation for your favorite shit coin.
- 16:27Your pick. If you want to reach out to me
- 16:29directly, I'm at run dance Bitcoin on X Otherwise I'm
- 16:32oceans. This is beyond Bitcoin.
- 16:35Until next time.