Latest / Choppin’ It Up by Bloomberg Intelligence / Brinker’s Hochman on Chili’s Accelerating Sales
Transcript
- 0:13Speaker 1: Welcome to Chopping It Up. I'm your host, Mike Hanlon,
- 0:16Speaker 1: the senior Restaurant and food Service analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 0:20Speaker 1: Our research and that of bi's five hundred analysts around
- 0:23Speaker 1: the globe can be found exclusively on the Bloomberg terminal.
- 0:26Speaker 1: If you enjoy the pod, I'd love it if you
- 0:28Speaker 1: could leave us a review on Apple or Spotify. Today
- 0:30Speaker 1: we're joined by Kevin Hakman Brinker CEO. Thanks for joining
- 0:34Speaker 1: me here in our New York studio.
- 0:36Speaker 2: Kevin, Well, thanks for having me.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Michael, I am a consumer of your pod, so I
- 0:40Speaker 3: appreciate you having me it.
- 0:41Speaker 2: Oh, that's cool.
- 0:42Speaker 1: I appreciate you. I appreciate you listening in. I woke
- 0:45Speaker 1: up to big news yesterday the opening of the Chili
- 0:49Speaker 1: Scranton branch.
- 0:50Speaker 2: Yes.
- 0:50Speaker 3: Well, we were on a very famous show almost twenty
- 0:54Speaker 3: years ago to the day, and.
- 0:57Speaker 2: They ate that the.
- 0:58Speaker 3: Chili's in Scranton, and we do not have a Chilis
- 1:02Speaker 3: in Scranton, believe it or not.
- 1:04Speaker 2: It's funny.
- 1:04Speaker 3: We tape some of that content with many of the
- 1:08Speaker 3: actors from that show and our guy on the ground,
- 1:13Speaker 3: Jesse Johnson. He does a lot of our advertising. He welcome,
- 1:16Speaker 3: he said, we welcome back to Scranton, and they're all like, hey,
- 1:18Speaker 3: we've never been to Scranton.
- 1:20Speaker 2: All this was filmed in la so this was a
- 1:22Speaker 2: new experience for many of the actors of that show.
- 1:25Speaker 3: And you know, so we basically have replicated the two
- 1:28Speaker 3: thousand and five Chilies that was in that episode to
- 1:32Speaker 3: the very details of the booths, etc.
- 1:34Speaker 2: And it will.
- 1:35Speaker 3: Also be the only Chilies in the world that now
- 1:38Speaker 3: sells the Awesome Blossom, which was you know, our version
- 1:42Speaker 3: of the bloomin Onion when that was a big business
- 1:46Speaker 3: war back in two thousand and five. So if you
- 1:49Speaker 3: want an Awesome Blossom at Chilies, there is one.
- 1:51Speaker 2: You can go to, and that's in Scranton.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Pennsylvania, only about a two and a half hour drive
- 1:56Speaker 1: from Awesome Manhattan. Chili's Lifetime move I'll be home from
- 2:00Speaker 1: Margarite today was pretty fantastic, by the way. I caught
- 2:03Speaker 1: that recently. So your marketing team has been busy.
- 2:08Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, first of all, I didn't know you were
- 2:09Speaker 3: a lifetime movie fan, so I'm learning somebody.
- 2:12Speaker 2: New about you every day. You know.
- 2:14Speaker 3: You know our marketing team, you know, we're focused on
- 2:15Speaker 3: a couple of things. It's sales overnight and brand over time.
- 2:18Speaker 3: Sales every night is about driving you know, people and
- 2:21Speaker 3: traffic into our restaurants, and then brand over time is
- 2:24Speaker 3: where do we want to be positioned in the market.
- 2:25Speaker 2: Right, And when Chili's was at its.
- 2:27Speaker 3: Best, when we were growing in the eighties and the nineties,
- 2:30Speaker 3: we were about Margarita's, we were about Fahidas, we were
- 2:33Speaker 3: about chicken crispers, we were about ribs, and we're bringing
- 2:38Speaker 3: all these things back right. You know, it's funny, like
- 2:40Speaker 3: we've had this incredible success and you go across the
- 2:42Speaker 3: country talking to managers, many of them in the business
- 2:44Speaker 3: twenty thirty, some even forty years, and they're like, it
- 2:47Speaker 3: feels like Chili's again. Like it feels like we're back
- 2:49Speaker 3: to you know, slinging and having really busy restaurants, and
- 2:54Speaker 3: the team members are having fun with the guests, and
- 2:56Speaker 3: the guests are having fun with the team members. So
- 2:58Speaker 3: it definitely is a little bit of throwback. Right now,
- 3:00Speaker 3: based on the growth that we've had, it just feels
- 3:02Speaker 3: like we're an upstart, new brand.
- 3:03Speaker 1: It's fun. It's fun to watch, you know, sam store
- 3:07Speaker 1: sales in the US up more than thirty percent in
- 3:10Speaker 1: calendar for Q you're comping over a five plus percent
- 3:15Speaker 1: result in the year prior, So absolutely unheard of for
- 3:18Speaker 1: a mature brand. For the listeners that haven't been following
- 3:22Speaker 1: this story as Colsey as I have and we have
- 3:25Speaker 1: on the street, what were the primary drivers.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Of the group. Yeah, you know, it's interesting.
- 3:29Speaker 3: A lot of people ask me, like when I took
- 3:30Speaker 3: this job, You're like, oh, isn't casual dining dead? And like,
- 3:33Speaker 3: I can't believe you took that job. And it's like, well,
- 3:34Speaker 3: if I believe that casual dining was dead, why would I.
- 3:37Speaker 2: Ever take this job? Right?
- 3:38Speaker 3: And there's some big leaders out there, you know, I'm
- 3:41Speaker 3: not afraid to say it publicly. Like you look at
- 3:43Speaker 3: a roadhouse and you look at Darden, and you look
- 3:45Speaker 3: at what they've been able to do over the years,
- 3:47Speaker 3: growing sales every year, expanding margins every year, doing the
- 3:50Speaker 3: right things by the guest, and they don't really have
- 3:53Speaker 3: secret sauce. It's about the fundamentals of casual diting, Like
- 3:55Speaker 3: why do you go out to eat? Michael, Like, you
- 3:57Speaker 3: go out because you want to have an hour with
- 3:59Speaker 3: friends and family. And we're going to have some credible
- 4:01Speaker 3: food and have it with great service and a fun,
- 4:03Speaker 3: you know, friendly atmosphere. And that's what we wanted to
- 4:06Speaker 3: get back to and that's why I took the job
- 4:07Speaker 3: here at Chili's. And the team you know now that
- 4:11Speaker 3: they've really been in lock to do the things that
- 4:13Speaker 3: they know they need to do to make guests feel
- 4:14Speaker 3: special and to support each other as team members. You know,
- 4:16Speaker 3: the sky's limit on the business. You know, we focused
- 4:19Speaker 3: on food, we focused on service, we focus on atmosphere,
- 4:22Speaker 3: and we focused on making the team members job more fun, easier.
- 4:26Speaker 2: And more rewarding.
- 4:27Speaker 3: We've been able to do all those things in the
- 4:28Speaker 3: last three years, and I think that's why we've had
- 4:30Speaker 3: such tremendous growth. Fifteen consecutive quarters of same store sales growth.
- 4:34Speaker 3: You know, our AUVs are up over fifty percent versus
- 4:36Speaker 3: when I started, restaurant margins up five points. I mean,
- 4:39Speaker 3: we are in a really good place. And the cool
- 4:42Speaker 3: thing about this is that we're just getting started. There's
- 4:44Speaker 3: more ahead of us on those fundamentals that we haven't
- 4:46Speaker 3: changed yet than are behind us. So I feel like
- 4:48Speaker 3: the sky's the limit for Chili's right now.
- 4:51Speaker 1: Well, you know, last time we caught up you made
- 4:53Speaker 1: a point of that, you know, you said, you know
- 4:56Speaker 1: because I mentioned to you. Even though fourth quarter was
- 4:59Speaker 1: a meaningful acceleration in your sales trends, you know, some
- 5:02Speaker 1: investors were kind of concerned about your ability to comp
- 5:05Speaker 1: the comp Let's say, but you know you're contending and
- 5:10Speaker 1: you contend to you know, you said to me, it
- 5:11Speaker 1: is like we still have a long way to go.
- 5:14Speaker 1: We're in the early innings. Excuse the opening day baseball punt,
- 5:18Speaker 1: but what are you working on right now? That's kind
- 5:22Speaker 1: of maybe different, you know, that's going to keep the momentum.
- 5:25Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I get a question asked all the time,
- 5:27Speaker 3: you know, how are you what you need to comp
- 5:29Speaker 3: the comp? And uh, well, first of all, people don't realize, like,
- 5:31Speaker 3: you know, we've been growing, you know, all twelve quarters,
- 5:34Speaker 3: Like you know.
- 5:34Speaker 2: I've been with this company and we've been we've been
- 5:35Speaker 2: growing same store sales.
- 5:36Speaker 3: So it's not like it's like everybody sees this plus
- 5:38Speaker 3: thirty one and they're like, oh, they finally got it together.
- 5:42Speaker 3: This has been happening for a while. And now you know,
- 5:44Speaker 3: obviously we've been accelerating growth in the last few quarters
- 5:47Speaker 3: because I think a lot of these things that we've
- 5:48Speaker 3: been working on are coming together. But here's what I
- 5:51Speaker 3: tell the team. As long as we continue to improve
- 5:54Speaker 3: the fundamentals quarter after quarter, there's no reason why we
- 5:57Speaker 3: can't comp the comp because if you look at the
- 5:58Speaker 3: growth and how we're getting growth, it's not from like
- 6:01Speaker 3: an lto or some kind of deep discount. And then
- 6:04Speaker 3: we've got to figure out how to make the discount
- 6:06Speaker 3: deeper the next year, and then eventually it will stop.
- 6:09Speaker 3: You know, having the same efficacy that had when we
- 6:12Speaker 3: first did it. You know, we're doing it with the
- 6:13Speaker 3: fundamentals of casual dining. The food is better, the service
- 6:17Speaker 3: is significantly better, the atmosphere is significantly better, and the
- 6:20Speaker 3: team members are having a whole lot more fun and
- 6:22Speaker 3: they're getting way more compensated because of the growth that
- 6:26Speaker 3: we've had in the business.
- 6:27Speaker 2: And so as long as.
- 6:27Speaker 3: We continue to improve on those things, there's no reason
- 6:30Speaker 3: why we wouldn't come the comp because we're not just
- 6:32Speaker 3: getting boom splots. We're growing the business. It's maintaining that
- 6:35Speaker 3: level until we get to the next big initiative. So
- 6:38Speaker 3: you know, like for example, on food, you know, we
- 6:40Speaker 3: fixed the core for that's about at the time when
- 6:43Speaker 3: I started, it was forty percent of the business.
- 6:44Speaker 2: It's now fifty percent of the business.
- 6:45Speaker 3: That's chicken crispers, fajitas, margaritas, and burgers, and we just
- 6:50Speaker 3: made those the best they could be. We expanded some
- 6:52Speaker 3: of their presents on the menu. We got to a
- 6:54Speaker 3: barbell strategy, so you can have an entry level price
- 6:56Speaker 3: point and you can trade all the way up to
- 6:58Speaker 3: whatever premium in those four segments. You know that's going
- 7:00Speaker 3: to be finished as of this quarter when we do fajitas.
- 7:03Speaker 3: We got the rest of the menu to go so
- 7:04Speaker 3: q one of next year, which starts in July for us.
- 7:07Speaker 3: We got a new Ribs relaunch that's coming that's just phenomenal.
- 7:10Speaker 3: We've got a new Caeso coming. We've got a new
- 7:13Speaker 3: trash can style nachos in the back half. You know,
- 7:15Speaker 3: the planet is to get after things like steaks and salads.
- 7:18Speaker 3: So it's actually more on the menu that we haven't
- 7:20Speaker 3: touched than we have touched. And we're only as strong
- 7:23Speaker 3: as our weakest thing on the menu, So we get
- 7:25Speaker 3: everything up to like that high level that we know
- 7:28Speaker 3: we can be at Chili's.
- 7:29Speaker 2: I think this guy's loving for the business that's just
- 7:31Speaker 2: one pillar. We also doing the same.
- 7:32Speaker 3: Thing in service, We're doing the same thing in the atmosphere.
- 7:35Speaker 3: So I just think there's a lot more runway for us.
- 7:38Speaker 1: In our research, we've seen the ability to draw millennials
- 7:41Speaker 1: and gen Z kind of correlates to same sotore sales outperformance,
- 7:45Speaker 1: and you've done a great job resonating with those consumers.
- 7:48Speaker 1: What are you seeing from the younger customers that are
- 7:52Speaker 1: coming into your brand that makes you think, you know,
- 7:55Speaker 1: the success with them can continue.
- 7:56Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 7:57Speaker 3: Well, the first thing is I think everybody sees the
- 7:59Speaker 3: TikTok stuff like, Wow, they're just really winning with gen Z,
- 8:01Speaker 3: and we are, and that's great, But I would say
- 8:03Speaker 3: we're winning with every cohort right now. There's there's no
- 8:06Speaker 3: corehord that's not growing. You know, gen Z is growing
- 8:08Speaker 3: a little bit faster than the rest. They're talking about
- 8:10Speaker 3: two points, but it's not like this. You know, fifty
- 8:12Speaker 3: percent of the growth is coming just from young people.
- 8:15Speaker 3: So it's a very balanced strategy, is the first thing
- 8:17Speaker 3: I would tell you. The second thing is, I do
- 8:18Speaker 3: think it's helpful to start bringing the next generation into chilies.
- 8:21Speaker 3: You know, many of them have never even tried Chilis,
- 8:24Speaker 3: and you know what's happening is we've been getting after
- 8:26Speaker 3: social media in a lot bigger way. We're doing with
- 8:29Speaker 3: menu items that young.
- 8:30Speaker 2: People are excited about. So the Triple Dipper.
- 8:32Speaker 3: Is really has been literally I mean it's been around
- 8:35Speaker 3: for decades, but it's built for the younger generation because
- 8:37Speaker 3: they like to like have lots of variety, lots of dipping,
- 8:40Speaker 3: not commit to one entree.
- 8:42Speaker 2: You can get multiple things.
- 8:43Speaker 3: Eighty percent of the guests that come in in order
- 8:45Speaker 3: to the Triple Dipper, that's what they eat their front of
- 8:46Speaker 3: their entree because they like the variety that they get
- 8:48Speaker 3: in it. So we use that item to kind of
- 8:50Speaker 3: enter in the social media space in TikTok, and it's
- 8:53Speaker 3: really exploded. I think people have a lot of fun
- 8:55Speaker 3: with the different items they can get on a triple Dipper.
- 8:57Speaker 3: And then when you actually get into the restaurant and
- 9:00Speaker 3: you try the cheese pull that you see on TikTok,
- 9:02Speaker 3: or you eat the honey Chipotle crispers, and it actually
- 9:05Speaker 3: looks and tastes like what you see online, You're like,
- 9:08Speaker 3: holy cow, Chili's low Key has gotten really, really good.
- 9:11Speaker 3: And that's exactly what's happening, and they're like, Hey, this
- 9:13Speaker 3: is going to be a part of our rotation. We're
- 9:14Speaker 3: gonna come here every Thursday. We're gonna come here every month.
- 9:17Speaker 3: And that's why the business is growing sustainably, is not
- 9:19Speaker 3: just they're not just trying it and then we're waiting
- 9:21Speaker 3: for the next trial driver. They're trying it and they're
- 9:23Speaker 3: making it a part of the rotation. And that's where
- 9:26Speaker 3: we wanted to be from day one. We talked about
- 9:28Speaker 3: how do we get in your consideration set so that
- 9:30Speaker 3: when you're thinking, hey, I'm in the mood for a
- 9:31Speaker 3: margarita or I'm in the mood for text mes or
- 9:33Speaker 3: whatever it is, at least you're considering chilies. Because if
- 9:36Speaker 3: you're not considering Chili's, we have no chance of getting
- 9:38Speaker 3: your trip. So we're now top of mind. We're delivering
- 9:41Speaker 3: on the experience you're seeing in media, and that's why
- 9:43Speaker 3: the business is sustainably growing.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I was going to say. I was like,
- 9:46Speaker 1: that's why it was so important for you to nail
- 9:47Speaker 1: the ops first, right, so they don't they have a
- 9:50Speaker 1: great experience.
- 9:51Speaker 3: And then yeah, I think that's the big thing that
- 9:53Speaker 3: I think a lot of people don't know about our story.
- 9:55Speaker 3: And I ran into a restaurant CEO at a basketball
- 9:58Speaker 3: game a couple months ago, and you can go gratulating
- 10:00Speaker 3: me on the ten ninety nine meal and how good
- 10:02Speaker 3: we were doing, and it's like he doesn't understand that
- 10:04Speaker 3: we've been in the gym working out on the operation.
- 10:07Speaker 3: The operation is so much improved. And you go to Chilis,
- 10:12Speaker 3: you're going to have a good experience and you're gonna
- 10:14Speaker 3: want to come back because it's fun, right, And when
- 10:16Speaker 3: you when you can do that, the marketing, the marketing
- 10:18Speaker 3: just gets so much more effective. And I was joking
- 10:20Speaker 3: the other day, but I wasn't really joking with our
- 10:22Speaker 3: team of like the number one driver wire marketing Oro.
- 10:25Speaker 2: HASP skyrocketed so much.
- 10:27Speaker 3: Is actually because the because the restaurant teams are doing
- 10:29Speaker 3: a much stronger job delivering the experience. So when we
- 10:32Speaker 3: put something on TV, we don't just get the spike,
- 10:35Speaker 3: but we get to continued to repeat business. So it's
- 10:37Speaker 3: an exciting time to be on this business.
- 10:39Speaker 2: Yeah, that's cool.
- 10:40Speaker 1: Alcohol mix is moderating for many of your competitors. What
- 10:43Speaker 1: are you seeing?
- 10:44Speaker 3: We really haven't seen much of a pullback in that
- 10:46Speaker 3: you know. I think part of it is we have
- 10:48Speaker 3: a really good barbell strategy. So yeah, we're still half
- 10:51Speaker 3: of our drinks now or half of our market ratas
- 10:54Speaker 3: are ten dollars are over, So that's more premium ones
- 10:56Speaker 3: like you know, like a costam Egos or a Don Julio.
- 10:59Speaker 3: But you know the majority of the units that we
- 11:01Speaker 3: sell in Margarita's is our six dollars margarita a month.
- 11:04Speaker 3: So you know, even though terrorists might be impacting tequila,
- 11:08Speaker 3: or you go to a bar around here and you
- 11:09Speaker 3: get a twenty dollars to margarita, you know, you can
- 11:12Speaker 3: always come to Chili's. You don't need an app. It
- 11:14Speaker 3: doesn't matter what time of day you come. You can
- 11:16Speaker 3: always find a six dollars marguerite. And we make it
- 11:18Speaker 3: with pretty good liquor, you know, name brand that you
- 11:21Speaker 3: know and love, you know, fresh sour mix, all the
- 11:23Speaker 3: things that you would expect with a high end margarita,
- 11:26Speaker 3: but you get it for six bucks. And you know what,
- 11:27Speaker 3: quite frankly, I think that helps us hold on to
- 11:29Speaker 3: some incidents that otherwise would lose. So as long as
- 11:32Speaker 3: we protect the opening price points and then allow customers
- 11:34Speaker 3: to trade up for the ones that want to have
- 11:36Speaker 3: something a little more premium. I think we're going to
- 11:37Speaker 3: be okay on alcohol incidents.
- 11:40Speaker 1: And you touched on tariffs. Do you think there'll be
- 11:43Speaker 1: a significant tariff impact to your business?
- 11:45Speaker 2: No, No, we know, we looked at it.
- 11:47Speaker 3: It's probably about ten or ten to fifteen million dollar impact.
- 11:51Speaker 2: There's nothing we can't management. I mean, we spend over a.
- 11:54Speaker 3: Billion dollars in our COGS budget, so you know you're
- 11:57Speaker 3: talking about about a point So we're going to manage
- 12:00Speaker 3: it like we manage any other headwind. But that's not
- 12:03Speaker 3: that that is not material to our business and we
- 12:05Speaker 3: will have no problem getting through that.
- 12:07Speaker 2: Okay.
- 12:07Speaker 1: And I saw last quarter you reduced you can you
- 12:10Speaker 1: continued to reduce SKUs some menu it.
- 12:13Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and we'll continue to do that.
- 12:15Speaker 3: So you know, part of the operational wins that we've
- 12:17Speaker 3: had has not just been about investing in the labor.
- 12:20Speaker 3: A big part of has been simplification. So you know,
- 12:23Speaker 3: we reduced over twenty five percent of our menu. We've
- 12:26Speaker 3: reduced a lot of prep steps, a lot of administrative
- 12:29Speaker 3: things that we asked the managers to do, which prevents
- 12:32Speaker 3: them from actually leading their teams or walking the floor
- 12:35Speaker 3: and seeing how guests are doing. You know, for example, inventory,
- 12:38Speaker 3: they don't inventory as often as they used to.
- 12:41Speaker 2: They don't count all of the items every time.
- 12:43Speaker 3: The inventory typically only the high cost items like alcohol
- 12:46Speaker 3: or protein.
- 12:47Speaker 2: So and we hear from the managers, this.
- 12:50Speaker 3: Is so much easier today to work in a Chili's
- 12:52Speaker 3: than it was three years ago. And there's still a
- 12:55Speaker 3: lot more room for us to fix. So, you know,
- 12:58Speaker 3: you know, I always it was like one simplification can end.
- 13:01Speaker 2: I'm like, it's not.
- 13:02Speaker 3: This is the way we do business now. And you know,
- 13:05Speaker 3: every quarter I'm going to be getting an errings call
- 13:07Speaker 3: and we'll go through the list of things that we
- 13:09Speaker 3: rolled out for that quarter. That's going to simplify the
- 13:11Speaker 3: restaurant because it's such an important part of our turnaround.
- 13:14Speaker 1: Yeah, making place happier. And man, they hate taking inventory.
- 13:17Speaker 1: So turbo chef ovens, how come they've been such a
- 13:22Speaker 1: big hit with your operators? And how long to get
- 13:24Speaker 1: them rolled out system wide?
- 13:26Speaker 3: Yeah, so you're referring to is it's pretty awesome technology
- 13:31Speaker 3: that allows you to replace There's a piece of equipment
- 13:34Speaker 3: we have in the restaurant called it Impinger. It's basically
- 13:37Speaker 3: a conveyor belt oven. Typically like QSR pizza concepts will
- 13:41Speaker 3: use it. So you put an item on one end
- 13:44Speaker 3: of the conveyor belt and then it slowly goes through
- 13:46Speaker 3: an oven on the conveyor belt, comes out the other end,
- 13:49Speaker 3: and it's you know, cooked perfectly in the ideal scenario.
- 13:53Speaker 3: Those ovens, they tend to break down pretty frequently. They
- 13:56Speaker 3: have a lot of moving parts, and when when the
- 13:59Speaker 3: impinger is not working in a chilis, it is really
- 14:01Speaker 3: hard to execute your venue. You gotta you know, you
- 14:03Speaker 3: gotta hand an egg it across the other equipment. So
- 14:07Speaker 3: we have this piece of equipment called turbo chefs that
- 14:09Speaker 3: are much more reliable. They cook a lot faster, they're
- 14:12Speaker 3: much more they cook much more evenly and consistently, and
- 14:16Speaker 3: we put it.
- 14:17Speaker 2: We've been testing it for a couple of years now.
- 14:19Speaker 3: We've known that we've always wanted to move to it,
- 14:21Speaker 3: but it'd be very expensive to write off the impingeride
- 14:24Speaker 3: ovens as well as bringing in the new ovens. But
- 14:26Speaker 3: we have a new rib recipe that we think we can.
- 14:29Speaker 3: We're going to blow out the doors on and it
- 14:31Speaker 3: requires having these turbos everywhere. It made it very easy
- 14:35Speaker 3: for us to pay for the turbo chefs, so we
- 14:38Speaker 3: decided to accelerate that We've nown sit in our last
- 14:40Speaker 3: earnings call. So by the end of this quarter, we're
- 14:42Speaker 3: gonna have turbo chefs in every restaurant, and then we're
- 14:44Speaker 3: gonna be relaunching ribs in Q one. And I think
- 14:47Speaker 3: anybody that tries our ribs after when we relaunch them,
- 14:49Speaker 3: we're going to realize, boy, that was a good investment.
- 14:51Speaker 1: It's nice when you're generating so much more cash than
- 14:53Speaker 1: everyone expects, right, you can put more money into cap
- 14:56Speaker 1: bags and investment.
- 14:57Speaker 2: Yes, right, It's so funny.
- 14:59Speaker 3: Like one of the big things that like I think
- 15:01Speaker 3: I've learned in this turnaround has been, you know, whenever
- 15:04Speaker 3: you get into a business that's that maybe things aren't
- 15:06Speaker 3: going its way, A lot of it has to do
- 15:08Speaker 3: with the bad habits that you've accumulated over the years
- 15:10Speaker 3: because you've tried to claw back sales when things don't
- 15:13Speaker 3: go your way, and then you put bad habits in
- 15:15Speaker 3: the business that give you some short term relief on sales,
- 15:17Speaker 3: but at the end of the day, it just makes
- 15:19Speaker 3: it harder to do business. And we were pretty ruthless
- 15:21Speaker 3: about removing all those bad habits in year one and
- 15:24Speaker 3: year two, So things like having really bloated menus. Obviously,
- 15:28Speaker 3: when you add items to a menu, that's going to
- 15:30Speaker 3: give you sales, but if it doesn't grow your business enough,
- 15:33Speaker 3: then you just have less same labor or less labor
- 15:36Speaker 3: and you're trying to execute way more items. It's impossible.
- 15:39Speaker 3: So we've ripped a lot of those smaller mixing items
- 15:42Speaker 3: out of the business. We did a lot of discounting,
- 15:44Speaker 3: which you know, brought in guests that I think, you know,
- 15:46Speaker 3: really we're going to run across the.
- 15:48Speaker 2: Street to the next big discount that they could get.
- 15:50Speaker 3: Obviously, it costs us a lot of money that we
- 15:52Speaker 3: can't plow into out of store advertising, you know, we
- 15:55Speaker 3: got rid of most of that.
- 15:56Speaker 2: We went to an everyday value she has you, which
- 15:58Speaker 2: we have today.
- 15:59Speaker 3: You know, And there's other bad habits in the business.
- 16:01Speaker 3: But like when you pull those things out and then
- 16:04Speaker 3: you get them to get them out of your base,
- 16:05Speaker 3: and then you're able to reinvest in things that actually
- 16:08Speaker 3: matter on the long term experience of the business, great
- 16:10Speaker 3: things happen. And that's the lesson I want to take
- 16:12Speaker 3: with me for the rest of my career is like
- 16:14Speaker 3: like take the take the paint, get out of the
- 16:16Speaker 3: bad habits, get them behind you, and then don't look back.
- 16:20Speaker 1: Yeah, it was bold ripping out the discounting. At the
- 16:22Speaker 1: time that you did, it was a time when the
- 16:25Speaker 1: low income consumers first started pulling back. So kudos to
- 16:29Speaker 1: you man. That was I'm sure not an easy decision
- 16:31Speaker 1: to make.
- 16:32Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I felt like it was going to
- 16:34Speaker 3: happen anyway, So it's like, what what does it matter.
- 16:36Speaker 3: We've lost about two points of traffic when we did.
- 16:38Speaker 3: I mean, we literally saw the inflection change in the business.
- 16:41Speaker 3: And you know, once once we got out of our
- 16:43Speaker 3: our base, we never looked back on that. And that
- 16:45Speaker 3: was a lot of dollars that we are But like
- 16:46Speaker 3: when I started, our marketing budget was about thirty or
- 16:49Speaker 3: forty million dollars total and we're now over one hundred
- 16:52Speaker 3: million dollars. One hundred and thirty million dollars I think
- 16:54Speaker 3: is the last count. And you know, that's a big
- 16:56Speaker 3: part of driving trial and knowing the business. So we've
- 16:58Speaker 3: got money to work and to deploy into the business.
- 17:00Speaker 3: That's you know, not just about a discount and attracting,
- 17:03Speaker 3: you know, a new set of guests that are interested
- 17:05Speaker 3: in our brand for what we're offering, not.
- 17:07Speaker 2: Just how low a price we can offer.
- 17:09Speaker 1: How's the strategic pricing work coming along, and how long
- 17:12Speaker 1: will it take to implement pricing increases across the system.
- 17:15Speaker 3: Well, I think strategic pricing is just going to be
- 17:17Speaker 3: a way we do business, right, Like, obviously you've got
- 17:20Speaker 3: mid single digit wage inflation. That's just the thing that
- 17:22Speaker 3: we're going to It's just gonna be a thing in
- 17:24Speaker 3: the business forever.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Right.
- 17:25Speaker 3: Obviously you've got some cogs challenges, you know, you know,
- 17:28Speaker 3: it's moderated, it's like low single digits now, but it's
- 17:31Speaker 3: still it's still not what it was you know, maybe
- 17:33Speaker 3: ten years ago, right where you didn't really have much inflation.
- 17:36Speaker 3: So you're always going to have to have some type
- 17:38Speaker 3: of pricing into the business because what we don't want
- 17:41Speaker 3: to do is allow pricing not to keep up with
- 17:44Speaker 3: inflation and then we end up having to cut things
- 17:46Speaker 3: like labor or repairs and maintenance, and then.
- 17:48Speaker 2: We're back where we started three years ago.
- 17:50Speaker 3: Right, So Jiji pricing will always be an important part
- 17:53Speaker 3: of the business and making sure we keep up with
- 17:54Speaker 3: the cost structure of the business.
- 17:57Speaker 2: It's going really well.
- 17:58Speaker 3: You know, we we partner with Deloitte to help us
- 18:00Speaker 3: think through you know, how do we minimize any kind
- 18:02Speaker 3: of traffic losses as we for the pricing that we
- 18:04Speaker 3: have to deploy to the business. And generally speaking, it's
- 18:07Speaker 3: worked for us. You know, you know if we look back,
- 18:09Speaker 3: you know, three years later, so in they're turnaround right
- 18:12Speaker 3: now where the where the value leaders in the industry.
- 18:14Speaker 3: You know, we've been able to expand margins and expand
- 18:16Speaker 3: you know ppa in check and are you know our
- 18:19Speaker 3: we have record record profits, record EBA. So I feel
- 18:22Speaker 3: like we've done a really good job managing pricing.
- 18:26Speaker 2: Uh.
- 18:26Speaker 1: Last time we spoke, you mentioned that customer tokenization and
- 18:29Speaker 1: data mining is going to take a little bit longer
- 18:32Speaker 1: than expected to move the needle. Is this a fiscal
- 18:34Speaker 1: twenty twenty six story.
- 18:37Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I don't know how much of that
- 18:39Speaker 3: is going to be like a CRM loyalty driver. Like
- 18:42Speaker 3: what I think now is is the big idea is
- 18:44Speaker 3: like how do we mind the data so that we
- 18:45Speaker 3: understand the impact of the initiatives that we deployed the
- 18:49Speaker 3: Is it so like, for example, we relaunched RIBS, it'd
- 18:51Speaker 3: be really helpful to understand who's coming in. After they
- 18:54Speaker 3: come in and try their ribs, are they coming back
- 18:56Speaker 3: like these? This is all tokenization and transaction level data
- 18:59Speaker 3: can give us. That's a very Those are very valuable
- 19:01Speaker 3: pieces of data, more so than even just be able
- 19:03Speaker 3: to market with them. You know, when we first tokenized
- 19:06Speaker 3: the data, we all got really excited and we learned, hey,
- 19:09Speaker 3: you got to go to a third party and spend
- 19:11Speaker 3: you know, six figures every time you want to pull
- 19:13Speaker 3: the data go.
- 19:13Speaker 2: That doesn't work.
- 19:14Speaker 3: That's not you know, that's not a practical way to
- 19:16Speaker 3: run the business. And so we've got a new leader,
- 19:19Speaker 3: Alex Knight, Senior director for Data Analytics.
- 19:22Speaker 2: He's going to clean that all lot up.
- 19:23Speaker 3: He's going to bring some of that analysis in house
- 19:26Speaker 3: so we'll be able to get a reporting just like
- 19:28Speaker 3: we have sales reports and we have tons of data
- 19:30Speaker 3: and reporting.
- 19:31Speaker 2: That comes out.
- 19:31Speaker 3: Why can't I can't it be at the transaction level
- 19:33Speaker 3: with tokens And so Alex is working on that. So
- 19:36Speaker 3: I think once we get that in place, I think
- 19:38Speaker 3: it's going to be a lot easier to be able
- 19:39Speaker 3: to share with the investor community how we're doing on
- 19:42Speaker 3: things like frequency and penetration, and more importantly, it's going
- 19:45Speaker 3: to help us understand the impact of our initiatives. So,
- 19:48Speaker 3: you know, I think it's probably going to be a
- 19:50Speaker 3: fiscal twenty six when it's done, but you know, we
- 19:53Speaker 3: won't know until until we get a little bit more
- 19:55Speaker 3: line of sight.
- 19:55Speaker 2: On the plan.
- 19:57Speaker 1: Let's not forget about Maggiano's. What are you focused on there?
- 20:01Speaker 1: And when? You know, when can we expect traffic to
- 20:04Speaker 1: turn positive?
- 20:05Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 20:05Speaker 3: So, so maj is going through a similar turnaround that
- 20:08Speaker 3: Chili's did. There are a lot of bad habits in
- 20:09Speaker 3: the business that we put in there.
- 20:10Speaker 2: You know.
- 20:11Speaker 3: We had we had this thing, this take home pasta
- 20:14Speaker 3: that we charged six bucks for and we'd have you know,
- 20:16Speaker 3: a cook every couple of days make a bunch, you know,
- 20:19Speaker 3: a bunch of like, you know, pastas, and package them
- 20:21Speaker 3: up and put them in the fridge. And we would
- 20:23Speaker 3: sell five different variants that and the poor server would
- 20:26Speaker 3: have to sell that. So after he took your order
- 20:28Speaker 3: at the end of that, he'd say, hey, do you
- 20:29Speaker 3: want to buy you know, a six dollars take home
- 20:31Speaker 3: pasta after you finish your dinner?
- 20:32Speaker 2: I mean it's just odd, right, So he got.
- 20:34Speaker 3: Rid of that thing we got rid of we double
- 20:37Speaker 3: your pasta for for five dollars. That's a form of
- 20:41Speaker 3: discounting that creates a false sense of traffic when there's
- 20:43Speaker 3: not really traffic. It's just mixed, and a bunch of
- 20:46Speaker 3: other things that we were doing a lot of coup
- 20:48Speaker 3: onting on the business.
- 20:49Speaker 2: So we're in that.
- 20:50Speaker 3: We're kind of in that year one that Chilie was
- 20:52Speaker 3: in on the turnaround, which is get rid of the
- 20:54Speaker 3: bad habits, take the hit on traffic. So there's probably
- 20:57Speaker 3: a three or four point hit on traffic from all
- 21:00Speaker 3: the things that we're changing in the business. And then
- 21:01Speaker 3: obviously you got the macro and they're not quite having,
- 21:04Speaker 3: you know, the same experience that chili'ses have in terms
- 21:06Speaker 3: of being able to fight the macro.
- 21:08Speaker 2: So you know, this year one, I think you're.
- 21:10Speaker 3: Gonna see, just like Chili's traffic decline, sales are going
- 21:13Speaker 3: to hang in there. We're going to improve profitability, and
- 21:15Speaker 3: then as we deploy the investments in the business, I
- 21:17Speaker 3: think you're going to see it get better in year two.
- 21:19Speaker 3: You know, it took five quarters for us at Chili's
- 21:22Speaker 3: to start changing the trend in traffic, and then it
- 21:24Speaker 3: took seven quarters to actually go positive on traffic, So
- 21:28Speaker 3: I think we're probably at least a year away from
- 21:30Speaker 3: seeing meaningful traffic changes in ma Gianos. But it does
- 21:33Speaker 3: feel like they're working on the right things, improving the service,
- 21:36Speaker 3: improving the food, and getting rid of the bad habits.
- 21:39Speaker 2: So I don't know why it wouldn't work a year
- 21:41Speaker 2: from now, but we'll see, you know, we'll see, like
- 21:43Speaker 2: everybody else.
- 21:44Speaker 1: Good stuff. Lisa adjusted leverage fell to two point three
- 21:48Speaker 1: times at the end of fiscal two Q What are
- 21:50Speaker 1: your plans for excess cash this year and next and
- 21:53Speaker 1: should we expect buybacks to accelerate.
- 21:55Speaker 3: Yeah, we've been real clear on like our capulication strategy,
- 21:58Speaker 3: which is number one we want to support of business,
- 22:01Speaker 3: so like we you know, we slowed down new builds,
- 22:03Speaker 3: like we we we've been very late, and you know
- 22:06Speaker 3: we we have been doing minimal share buybacks to basically
- 22:08Speaker 3: offset delution. Very focused on making sure what does the
- 22:12Speaker 3: business need to get it back on track, so like
- 22:15Speaker 3: repairs and maintenance, labor, investments in food, like all the
- 22:18Speaker 3: right things that you need to do. So that's kind
- 22:20Speaker 3: of priority one that's not going to change, Like everybody's like,
- 22:23Speaker 3: you know, when are you going to start, you know,
- 22:25Speaker 3: giving dollars back to the shareholder.
- 22:26Speaker 2: And it's like, well, how.
- 22:27Speaker 3: About we continue to deliver great comp results, right, and
- 22:30Speaker 3: that'll just give us more options in the future.
- 22:32Speaker 2: That's number one.
- 22:33Speaker 3: Number two is I want to get our debt down
- 22:35Speaker 3: to zero because we have a ton of debt with
- 22:37Speaker 3: our leases, so there's no reason to have additional debt
- 22:40Speaker 3: beyond that. So we've paid down about six hundred million
- 22:44Speaker 3: dollars a debt was actually, yeah, six hundred million dollars
- 22:47Speaker 3: a debt since I started. You know, I'd like to
- 22:50Speaker 3: get that to zero. Eventually we'll have the revolver. We
- 22:53Speaker 3: expect down in the next twelve to eighteen months will
- 22:55Speaker 3: be the revolver will be down to zero. So that
- 22:56Speaker 3: I'll just leave one bond that we have outstanding. Don't
- 22:59Speaker 3: know if we can retire early or not, we'll take
- 23:01Speaker 3: a look at it. But like after that, after we
- 23:03Speaker 3: retire our debt, that we're going to look at returning
- 23:07Speaker 3: cash to shareholders. And you know, we look at our projections,
- 23:10Speaker 3: We're gonna have a lot of options by that time, right,
- 23:12Speaker 3: so you know that could be share buybacks, that probably
- 23:15Speaker 3: be our preferred method, but at some.
- 23:17Speaker 2: Point maybe we'd be in state of dividend.
- 23:19Speaker 3: But you know, the good news is things are looking
- 23:21Speaker 3: real positive from the cash flow standpoints, so it's going
- 23:24Speaker 3: to give us a lot of options in the future
- 23:26Speaker 3: to reconsider that for sure.
- 23:28Speaker 1: All right now, the real important question, what's your favorite
- 23:30Speaker 1: orders at both chains?
- 23:33Speaker 3: Well, at Chili's, you know, I don't think you can
- 23:35Speaker 3: go wrong with the burger personally, Like I just I mean,
- 23:37Speaker 3: I love hamburgers to start, but like, I actually think
- 23:40Speaker 3: we have the best burger in the industry. I just
- 23:42Speaker 3: think it's so darn good, and I'm pretty objective person like,
- 23:46Speaker 3: you know, I wouldn't just be like a Homer on it.
- 23:49Speaker 3: But to me, that's I think the best product that
- 23:51Speaker 3: we make is incredible and the values unbelievable. At ten
- 23:54Speaker 3: ninety nine, you know, we've we've really done a good
- 23:56Speaker 3: job of improving our fry recipe too, So I mean,
- 23:59Speaker 3: you're getting a good burger and fries at ten ninety nine,
- 24:01Speaker 3: I think that thing is unbeatable. And then UH for Maggiano's,
- 24:06Speaker 3: my favorite is the UH I love to get. So
- 24:09Speaker 3: it's a little bit of a menu hack because I
- 24:11Speaker 3: want to eat the whole thing, and the Maggiano's portions.
- 24:13Speaker 2: Are so big.
- 24:15Speaker 3: But I'll get the the shrimp fridayavlo, but I'll get
- 24:18Speaker 3: it put over broccoli instead of pasta, so I can
- 24:20Speaker 3: eat the whole thing and and not feel bad about it.
- 24:23Speaker 2: Right, But I mean it's like that.
- 24:24Speaker 3: I mean, let's be honest, It's a few servings on
- 24:26Speaker 3: that ball. So the value is so good on it.
- 24:29Speaker 3: So when you do that, at least you can eat
- 24:30Speaker 3: all the shrimp. I mean, the number of shrimps you
- 24:32Speaker 3: get on it's humblu It's it is so good and
- 24:34Speaker 3: it's such a good value. So but there's also a
- 24:37Speaker 3: bunch of new items coming out of Maggianos now, like
- 24:39Speaker 3: the fetichini alfredo that we just launched last week. It's
- 24:42Speaker 3: probably the best vetichini alfredo I've ever tasted. Like I
- 24:44Speaker 3: was like, guys, you guys should name this the world's
- 24:46Speaker 3: greatest alfredo, Like people have never had something like this.
- 24:49Speaker 3: Our new chicken palm is absolutely incredible, super crispy, super flavorful.
- 24:54Speaker 3: So we have we have a new chef there, Anthony,
- 24:57Speaker 3: who was a he was he won Iron chef. He
- 24:59Speaker 3: beat U chef Masjiro Morimoto in the Bronzino Battle and
- 25:04Speaker 3: now he is doing battle ma Giano's to make our
- 25:07Speaker 3: menu incredible.
- 25:08Speaker 2: He's doing a phenomenal job.
- 25:10Speaker 1: That's cool, man. This has been fun. It's it's been
- 25:12Speaker 1: a lot of fun following the story. Thanks again for
- 25:14Speaker 1: doing this. Uh, why don't you tell the audience where
- 25:17Speaker 1: to find their closest Chilis and ma Gianos in which
- 25:19Speaker 1: social media channels they should be following the brands on?
- 25:22Speaker 2: Okay?
- 25:23Speaker 3: Yeah, so, well, you can just go to like Chilis
- 25:25Speaker 3: dot Comramagianos dot com to find out where your local
- 25:28Speaker 3: one is. And there's only fifty Magianos, so you may
- 25:30Speaker 3: not be able to find one, unfortunately. But the good
- 25:32Speaker 3: news this is a ton of Chilis. You're definitely gonna
- 25:34Speaker 3: be able to find one close to you. And then,
- 25:36Speaker 3: you know, I'd recommend you follow that the Chili's has
- 25:39Speaker 3: an unbelievable Twitter feed and Instagram feed as well as
- 25:42Speaker 3: our TikTok, so we have an incredible social media manager
- 25:47Speaker 3: or social media team I should say that does a
- 25:49Speaker 3: great job. And then and then Magiano is just getting started,
- 25:51Speaker 3: so they're probably on Facebook is probably where you connect
- 25:54Speaker 3: with them, But we got a new marketer to there,
- 25:56Speaker 3: Mike Wesley, the VP of marketing, who's I think going
- 25:58Speaker 3: to take their marketing to.
- 26:00Speaker 2: In pretty big heights.
- 26:00Speaker 3: He worked with George and I at Young Brands too,
- 26:02Speaker 3: so he knows a thing or two about resuscitating brand.
- 26:05Speaker 3: So I'm excited about to see what Machias.
- 26:08Speaker 2: Is going to do too.
- 26:09Speaker 3: But you can't go wrong with either brand, so you know,
- 26:12Speaker 3: make sure you get out there and enjoy very cool.
- 26:15Speaker 1: I want to thank the audience for tuning in. If
- 26:17Speaker 1: you like the discussion, please share it with your friends
- 26:19Speaker 1: and colleagues. Check back next week for an interview with
- 26:22Speaker 1: Alex Mercedo, the co founder and CEO of Authentic Restaurant
- 26:26Speaker 1: Brands