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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
Speaker 1: All systems going clear, we left on what's going on?
0:37
Speaker 1: Everybody happy December fourth? We are in December. What that
0:41
Speaker 1: means is the card is are the the years winding down?
0:44
Speaker 1: Of course, but it means we're gonna have a little
0:46
Speaker 1: break in UFC. They always do about a one month
0:49
Speaker 1: break for the New Year's for Christmas, gives everyone a
0:52
Speaker 1: nice time to reset UFC and every week's four pretty much.
0:56
Speaker 1: We were off last week, though. The UFC gives us
0:59
Speaker 1: an awesome pay per view t Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
1:02
Speaker 1: Fight Capital of the World. Fourteen fights to five rounders,
1:06
Speaker 1: Rob's back in action, Pantojia Van. I'm excited for I'm
1:09
Speaker 1: really pumped for this card. Prizes are good, fourteen fights
1:12
Speaker 1: is good, to five rounders good, pay per view good.
1:15
Speaker 1: I'm excited for this one, Big Marley, how are we doing?
1:17
Speaker 1: How is your Thanksgiving? Excited for this one?
1:20
Speaker 2: Yeah? All is good.
1:22
Speaker 3: This should be a good, violent, high scoring card though,
1:26
Speaker 3: so I'm looking forward to it. I got five No,
1:29
Speaker 3: No four or five star fights, which is rare, so
1:32
Speaker 3: I'll be targeting those ones heavily, and then I think
1:36
Speaker 3: there's some we can get away from. I'm kind of
1:38
Speaker 3: hoping you could talk me into a couple of ways
1:39
Speaker 3: of getting different on this card, because I know him
1:42
Speaker 3: to be hammering those five star fights, but so as
1:44
Speaker 3: everybody else, So I need a couple of ways to
1:47
Speaker 3: get different. But I haven't really built too many lineup yets,
1:49
Speaker 3: so we'll see as we go.
1:50
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll do my best. The nice thing about fourteen
1:53
Speaker 1: fights is ownership gets more spread out. On twelve fight cards,
1:57
Speaker 1: you definitely have to be a little more crazy the
1:59
Speaker 1: less it can, but fourteen, I mean, you leave two
2:01
Speaker 1: hundred bucks, you could still play Morob Pantosia, a mid
2:04
Speaker 1: tier fighting a couple of dogs, so leaving money is
2:07
Speaker 1: always viable. Trying to find like one sub fifteen percent
2:11
Speaker 1: owned fighter, look for leverage spots as well, is what
2:14
Speaker 1: I'll be looking at. We do have right now. I'm
2:17
Speaker 1: looking at a preliminary ownership. A lot of it's done.
2:20
Speaker 1: Everything will be up on the site, projections, ownership slate,
2:23
Speaker 1: playing fight rankings tomorrow like always. We got Marquee here.
2:26
Speaker 1: What's up, Marquee. Hope you're having a good one. Yeah,
2:30
Speaker 1: I guess you kind of gave her bod slate Like
2:32
Speaker 1: I think it'll be a high scoring card. As well.
2:34
Speaker 4: Again, more fights and more likely for that.
2:36
Speaker 1: And then you go down the list minus one fifty,
2:38
Speaker 1: minus one sixty, minus six hundred, minus twelve hundred, minus
2:41
Speaker 1: four hundred, minus five to fifty minus nine hundred. It's
2:44
Speaker 1: a lot of big boys for sure. And then you have,
2:47
Speaker 1: I mean a fight favor to go the distance. But
2:49
Speaker 1: you got Morob the DFS goats in at ninety five hundred,
2:52
Speaker 1: so no doubt that top tier is strong. I appreciate that. AFC.
2:56
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, NFL. I'll be able to catch a second half.
3:00
Speaker 1: I know Big Marley's watch him. But it's fights time, baby.
3:02
Speaker 1: We love our MMA. Got to get the show up
3:05
Speaker 1: for the people. So you are absolutely welcome. Anything else
3:08
Speaker 1: you want to add before we go fight by fight, No,
3:11
Speaker 1: I'm ready, let's get it. Let's do it bottom to
3:14
Speaker 1: top like always. First fight of the night my Ron
3:16
Speaker 1: Santos minus two to fifty taking Himuhammad Naimov plus two
3:20
Speaker 1: to ten plus one seventy for this fight to finish,
3:23
Speaker 1: name off plus four fifty inside the distance Santos plus
3:26
Speaker 1: two seventy five. Not a fight. I want much exposure
3:29
Speaker 1: to to start it off. Dogger pass for me, Yeah,
3:33
Speaker 1: break it down. How do you see it?
3:35
Speaker 3: Yeah, i'd agree for DFS, it's gonna be doggar Pass.
3:39
Speaker 3: Santos is more of your pure striker. I think he
3:43
Speaker 3: is going to have a pretty decent striking edge. He's
3:45
Speaker 3: got good movement side to side, so I think he
3:48
Speaker 3: won't be easy to take down. But Namov is gonna
3:51
Speaker 3: have the wrestling edge in this one. My issue with
3:54
Speaker 3: him is that he likes to strike, and I could
3:56
Speaker 3: see him just getting lulled into a striking match in
3:59
Speaker 3: this one, and I don't see that going well for him,
4:01
Speaker 3: and I don't think he scores well in a striking
4:04
Speaker 3: match unless he gets a knockout. Same thing on the
4:07
Speaker 3: Santos side, though, ninety one hundred. I'm not interested in Santos.
4:11
Speaker 3: He probably needs a first round knockout on this card
4:14
Speaker 3: to have any chance at that price tag because he's
4:16
Speaker 3: not gonna have takedowns and he's not a high volume striker.
4:20
Speaker 3: He's just a technical striker. And I wouldn't even say
4:23
Speaker 3: that he's a power striker. But he could just hit
4:26
Speaker 3: his opponent with shots they don't see coming to knock
4:28
Speaker 3: him out that way. But I'm going to ex out
4:30
Speaker 3: Santos I'll play some name of in hopes that he
4:33
Speaker 3: does wrestle, knowing that that's his best chance to victory,
4:37
Speaker 3: and if he does, he can put up a score
4:39
Speaker 3: that can compete, especially at seventy one hundred, So dogger pass.
4:42
Speaker 3: But my pick to win is Santos, which makes me.
4:45
Speaker 1: Not like this fight. I should have said that dogger pass.
4:49
Speaker 1: I was meaning for DFS. There's a couple of these
4:51
Speaker 1: fights on the card. I'm actually picking the opposite side
4:54
Speaker 1: on my preferred side or play for DFS. Obviously, we
4:57
Speaker 1: play a salary based game. You can find four hundred
5:00
Speaker 1: more and get right to Morob. Iust much rather do that.
5:03
Speaker 1: One hundred less is Pantosia. We have Grant Dawson, who
5:06
Speaker 1: I prefer for cheaper. We have Chris Duncan there. I
5:08
Speaker 1: could just go on and on about the ones I
5:11
Speaker 1: prefer more low volume, not much wrestling upside, pretty much not.
5:15
Speaker 1: Naimov has some of the wrestling upside, so he's my
5:17
Speaker 1: preferred play. If you win seventy or something, I would
5:20
Speaker 1: take that at seventy one hundred, not guaranteed to be optimal,
5:23
Speaker 1: but definitely would take it because I'm picking Santos, though
5:26
Speaker 1: I don't even love Naimov much. He did not make
5:28
Speaker 1: my tier ranking, so one of the worst fights to
5:31
Speaker 1: kick it off, in my opinion. Let's get to a
5:33
Speaker 1: fight that I don't even know what people are doing,
5:36
Speaker 1: and that is the Las Vegas Commission or whatever sanction
5:39
Speaker 1: in these fights. I mean, we saw it with the
5:40
Speaker 1: Yaki I ever whatever that dude's name was last week.
5:43
Speaker 1: I mean that was two weeks ago. That was wild
5:46
Speaker 1: and like spinning back kick to I don't know what
5:50
Speaker 1: question mark kick or something, take down, knockdown, like the
5:53
Speaker 1: dude did everything, it still wasn't even possible. So I
5:57
Speaker 1: mean that's the thing, Like twenty more points than everyone
5:59
Speaker 1: else one thirty three?
6:01
Speaker 4: Was it even close to the optimal?
6:03
Speaker 1: And that's I'm just comparing this hole like this fight
6:06
Speaker 1: and then I'm just comparing it the same Montsour can
6:09
Speaker 1: win and score one thirty and still not be optimal.
6:12
Speaker 1: Why well, especially because of Morob for three hundred less
6:14
Speaker 1: could outscore one thirty easily. But we play a pricing game.
6:18
Speaker 1: If there's not enough, dogs won't win. We only had
6:21
Speaker 1: two two weeks ago, then you're you just won't have
6:24
Speaker 1: all the money to spend. So the one to fifteen's
6:26
Speaker 1: the one thirteens for six hundred, seven hundred less, et cetera.
6:30
Speaker 1: Is what you like. You can take the twenty points less,
6:34
Speaker 1: but that's what you need for the salary thing. So
6:37
Speaker 1: I think there's more live dogs on this card, or
6:39
Speaker 1: more likely dogs to win. So I don't hate Montsoeur
6:41
Speaker 1: at ninety eight hundred, but most of these spots, Like
6:44
Speaker 1: I'm always, I'm fine with the wide range outcomes fifteen
6:47
Speaker 1: percent fifty percent if I love my script and I
6:49
Speaker 1: fifty percent, and I think I can get different enough.
6:52
Speaker 1: Sure if I fifteen percent, I'm also good with it. Though,
6:55
Speaker 1: because three hundred more than Morob, we have two five
6:58
Speaker 1: round fights, we know a lot of upside in the
7:00
Speaker 1: upper tiers. So I think I'm probably gonna be more
7:02
Speaker 1: by the fifteen percent mark than the forty.
7:05
Speaker 4: But I'm curious to hear your take on it.
7:08
Speaker 3: Yeah, I it would be favorite or pass for me.
7:10
Speaker 3: I just think that Mansur is gonna win in the
7:14
Speaker 3: first round most likely. But I felt like that Yakyayev
7:18
Speaker 3: guy was gonna win in the first sixty seconds. I
7:21
Speaker 3: felt pretty good about it. Actually, I don't feel that
7:23
Speaker 3: way about Mansur. I don't think it will be in
7:25
Speaker 3: the first minute. I think it would be more likely
7:27
Speaker 3: in the last minute, which could be a good thing.
7:29
Speaker 3: If he's going for takedowns and doing a lot of
7:32
Speaker 3: work on the ground, I think he can still get
7:34
Speaker 3: up there and then won twenty one to twenty five range.
7:37
Speaker 3: But ninety eight hundred is just so much to pay
7:39
Speaker 3: when you have Morab for three hundred less, So you
7:41
Speaker 3: really just need to get in your lineup unless you're
7:44
Speaker 3: picking Peter Yaan Uh. But I'm gonna be pretty all
7:49
Speaker 3: in on Mirab on this card, so I don't think
7:51
Speaker 3: I'll be able to afford mansur. If I'm making lineups
7:55
Speaker 3: on Sabersim and it gives me, say, uh, you know,
7:58
Speaker 3: fifty percent, I'm like, Holy cal how did that happened?
8:00
Speaker 3: I'm cool with it, let's roll, But I think I
8:02
Speaker 3: would be closer to the fifteen percent range. I also
8:05
Speaker 3: don't think I'll be playing one hundred and fifty. I'm
8:07
Speaker 3: not sure on this card. Actually it might. I might
8:09
Speaker 3: own this card, but if I do, I would be
8:12
Speaker 3: fine with zero percent because of that ninety eight hundred
8:16
Speaker 3: dollars price tag. I don't feel great about the first
8:18
Speaker 3: minute and we got Morob on this card, we got Pantosia.
8:21
Speaker 3: There's a couple other favorites who have big upsides on
8:25
Speaker 3: this card, so I don't think I'm gonna get in
8:27
Speaker 3: too much of them, but I'm definitely not going to
8:29
Speaker 3: x him out. I think he wins in the first round.
8:31
Speaker 3: I really don't see how Tracallie wins. The only reason
8:35
Speaker 3: this fight makes sense is to get track Conie out
8:37
Speaker 3: of the UFC and to get Mansur back on track
8:40
Speaker 3: after that poor performance in Atlanta. So I think you
8:45
Speaker 3: get another first round knockout here from him, get him
8:47
Speaker 3: in the win column feeling good about himself, and then
8:50
Speaker 3: next next fight you actually care about.
8:53
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got really nothing more to add, Like minus
8:55
Speaker 1: thirteen hundred, we're looking at minus four oh no, excuse me,
9:00
Speaker 1: minus seven hundred inside the distance, minus one thirty in
9:03
Speaker 1: round one. Again, he could have a knockdown, a takedown
9:07
Speaker 1: and a sixty second bonus like we just saw two
9:10
Speaker 1: weeks ago, and still not be anywhere close to the
9:12
Speaker 1: optimal though. And again, Taroki had a lot of upside
9:15
Speaker 1: on that car, but no one has as much upside
9:17
Speaker 1: as Morob as we continue to see, so one thirty five.
9:20
Speaker 1: I mean Morob could put up forty more points than that.
9:22
Speaker 1: When it's all said and done. Pantosia has a lot
9:25
Speaker 1: of upside. Duncan Again, there's a lot of people in
9:27
Speaker 1: the upper tiers. So yeah, I think I'll be closer
9:29
Speaker 1: to the fifteen percent mark. Got UFC's got to quit
9:33
Speaker 1: sanctioning fights that are going to be minus one thousand
9:36
Speaker 1: or greater. Now I say that, we'll talk about Peyton
9:38
Speaker 1: Talbot a little later, and he lost as a minus
9:40
Speaker 1: eleven hundred favorite. But yeah, no one really needs to
9:43
Speaker 1: see that. All right, We'll keep it rolling again. Appreciate
9:46
Speaker 1: everyone hanging out watching live, watching on playback, oh es
9:50
Speaker 1: light button, subscribe button. It helps us out a ton,
9:52
Speaker 1: And if you do want to join us at the Nation,
9:54
Speaker 1: you can see right above. No better time to get
9:56
Speaker 1: in five days for nineteen dollars using the coach Ship nineteen.
9:59
Speaker 1: I say nobody time because pay per view, MMA of
10:01
Speaker 1: course or PGA Showdown. There's a PGA going on, but
10:06
Speaker 1: NBA of course, college football big week in the college
10:09
Speaker 1: football streets, conference championships, I believe, and then NFL so
10:13
Speaker 1: much NFL going on right now, sweating at sum right now, Sunday, Monday,
10:18
Speaker 1: always on Thursdays, and we keep getting or I think
10:20
Speaker 1: we're gonna start getting like a Friday slate once in
10:23
Speaker 1: a while, or a lot more smaller slates leading into
10:25
Speaker 1: the playoffs. So we'd love to have you at the
10:27
Speaker 1: Nation again. Ship nineteen five days for nineteen dollars.
10:32
Speaker 4: Next fight on the card. I'm excited for this one.
10:34
Speaker 1: I wa Brandanowski definitely butchered his name taking on Ebo.
10:39
Speaker 1: Oslon minus one eighty five is e Wu plus one
10:42
Speaker 1: sixty is oslon minus five to fifty for this fight
10:45
Speaker 1: to finish, e Wu minus one forty inside the distance
10:48
Speaker 1: oslon plus two hundred. For me, what I see is
10:53
Speaker 1: two guys that can knock each other out. Plus one
10:55
Speaker 1: oh five by ko is e Wu plus two twenty
10:58
Speaker 1: five for oslon. The big different though, is the subprops
11:02
Speaker 1: plus two thousand by sub e Wu plus four fifty
11:05
Speaker 1: he opened plus five twenty five. Big win on Contender Series.
11:09
Speaker 1: He's six and oh all six wins in the first round.
11:12
Speaker 1: He got that win as a plus two to seventy
11:14
Speaker 1: dog on Contender Series knocked him out. It just feels like,
11:17
Speaker 1: I mean Ocelin, I think is pretty cheeks. His wins
11:19
Speaker 1: what Cirquira and was it your calling? It was some
11:23
Speaker 1: other bum and then he lost to El Khana and
11:26
Speaker 1: someone else. But I just don't think Oslin's good. He's
11:29
Speaker 1: one dimensional. He has power. You w also has power,
11:32
Speaker 1: but I think he can get it to the mat
11:33
Speaker 1: and absolutely dominate. So I do prefer Ewu. With all
11:36
Speaker 1: that being said, Austin's seventy four hundred plus one sixty
11:40
Speaker 1: money line and plus two hundred inside the distance. When
11:43
Speaker 1: you just say it like that and you have to
11:45
Speaker 1: click the name at seventy four hundred, sign me.
11:47
Speaker 4: Up for this fight.
11:49
Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely a good fight to target. All of Ewa's
11:52
Speaker 3: fights ended in the first round. He's got a long
11:55
Speaker 3: amateur career, though he did get out of the first
11:58
Speaker 3: round in a lot of those amateur fights. But on
12:01
Speaker 3: the feet, I think that Asalon is going to be
12:06
Speaker 3: the I think he is the better striker, but I
12:10
Speaker 3: just don't know if he believes himself anymore. He doesn't
12:13
Speaker 3: throw any strikes. When he's aggressive early, he throws some
12:17
Speaker 3: hands and they look nasty. I think he could knock
12:19
Speaker 3: this guy out in really any round, but he's just hesitant.
12:22
Speaker 3: To throw in the hands at all, and if that's
12:24
Speaker 3: the case, I don't know how he wins. Because he
12:26
Speaker 3: doesn't wrestle and Iwu in the first round, I think
12:30
Speaker 3: he could hang with Asalon and the striking department. And
12:32
Speaker 3: the striking department he does look to slow down. I
12:36
Speaker 3: feel like if he is going to go wrestling heavy
12:39
Speaker 3: in the first round. But that's what we want, is
12:41
Speaker 3: him to go wrestling heavy because I don't think Asalon's
12:45
Speaker 3: gonna be able to stop takedowns and then Ewu can
12:48
Speaker 3: submit him in the first round. He can, he can
12:51
Speaker 3: take his back and get a ground and pound finish,
12:53
Speaker 3: but he is aggressive early and he's kind of relentless
12:56
Speaker 3: with takedowns when he wants to be. He's also got
12:58
Speaker 3: power on the feet too knockout Asalin in the first round.
13:03
Speaker 3: My worry though, would be if this fight gets out
13:06
Speaker 3: of the first round, I don't know what this guy's
13:07
Speaker 3: gonna really look like, especially if he is wrestling heavy
13:10
Speaker 3: in that first round, and maybe if Asalon sees that
13:14
Speaker 3: he's slowing down and he actually puts on the pace,
13:18
Speaker 3: I think he can knock him out really in any round.
13:20
Speaker 2: So I'm interested in both sides.
13:23
Speaker 3: I just hate what I've seen from Asalon lately though,
13:25
Speaker 3: so I'm gonna pick EUO to get a first round finish.
13:29
Speaker 2: But the field's gonna be pretty heavily on EWA.
13:32
Speaker 3: I think he'll be like twice the ownership is my
13:34
Speaker 3: opinion of Aslon, and I don't know if I want
13:37
Speaker 3: twice as much he will as enough. Maybe I kind
13:40
Speaker 3: of want to get more leverage on the underdog in
13:42
Speaker 3: this fight because I don't love underdogs on this card.
13:46
Speaker 3: I think there's definitely a handful you could throw in
13:48
Speaker 3: because they're gonna score well if they win.
13:51
Speaker 2: But I don't feel good about him winning, so I
13:53
Speaker 2: mean just throwing Assalon. He's the same thing. He should
13:55
Speaker 2: score well if he wins.
13:57
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean looking at our projected ownership. If that's
14:00
Speaker 1: the case, Aucelin will be my preferred play. I'm not
14:03
Speaker 1: quite sure Iowa can get to like the thirtiest percent.
14:07
Speaker 1: I mean, he definitely can. But the thing is Dawson
14:09
Speaker 1: one hundred more Pantoja two hundred more. Both are just
14:12
Speaker 1: super super strong plays as well. With Dawson you get
14:14
Speaker 1: the wrestling upside and you get a better money line obviously.
14:18
Speaker 1: Pantoja you get the five rounds right there, and you
14:21
Speaker 1: go down a little more to Chris Duncan. He is
14:23
Speaker 1: very appealing as well at eighty six hundred, so I
14:26
Speaker 1: think all of them kind of eat into each other's ownership.
14:28
Speaker 1: Outside of Pantosia, I think he's the highest. If it's
14:31
Speaker 1: like a twenty seven sixteen, I'd want to be overweight
14:34
Speaker 1: on both sides. If it's thirty three thirteen thirty three,
14:38
Speaker 1: Iowa thirteen Aslan give me Acelin all day if it's
14:42
Speaker 1: like that. So to be honest, like I might even
14:43
Speaker 1: be more overweight Acelin when it's all said and done again,
14:46
Speaker 1: we play a salary based game. He's fourteen hundred less
14:48
Speaker 1: props look good upsides there. He definitely cannot come out
14:51
Speaker 1: in every round, in any round, But I can't pick
14:55
Speaker 1: Acelan from what I've seen recently, so Ewo is my
14:58
Speaker 1: pick as well. The return retirement is over for our
15:03
Speaker 1: friend Jalen Turner minus three ten, taking in Edson Barbosa
15:07
Speaker 1: plus two sixty minus four hundred for this fight to finish,
15:10
Speaker 1: Jalen Turner minus two thirty inside the distance Barbosa plus
15:14
Speaker 1: four to sixty Turner open minus two hundred now minus
15:17
Speaker 1: two thirty definitely taking some line movement. He's taken line
15:21
Speaker 1: movement on the money line as well. He's also taking
15:24
Speaker 1: money for the first round prop plus one sixty nine
15:26
Speaker 1: plus one thirty five. Everything is screaming. Jalen Turner is
15:31
Speaker 1: a smash. With all that being said, Jalen Turner could
15:34
Speaker 1: score one fourteen and that not be enough. You tell
15:38
Speaker 1: me he scores one fourteen, I'm having a bunch. There's
15:41
Speaker 1: no doubt about that. But again, Pantosia morob duncan Ewo
15:47
Speaker 1: who just talked about Monsieur like there's upside in the
15:50
Speaker 1: upper tier, no doubt about it. But yeah, I mean,
15:52
Speaker 1: Jalen Turner is always someone I loved. Fourteen to nine
15:55
Speaker 1: record not great, but he is not in many boring
15:57
Speaker 1: fights and a nine year age advantage in this one
16:01
Speaker 1: feels like more of a setup fight that.
16:03
Speaker 4: The UFC wants Turner back in the win column. Do
16:05
Speaker 4: you see it the same?
16:08
Speaker 2: Yeah?
16:08
Speaker 1: I do.
16:10
Speaker 3: Barbosa is gonna need to keep this fight on the feet,
16:12
Speaker 3: but he is a great striker, some of the best
16:15
Speaker 3: lay kicks of all time. I definitely think he could
16:19
Speaker 3: have success on the feet. But he's also got a
16:23
Speaker 3: questionable chin. At this point in his career, Turner is
16:27
Speaker 3: the more powerful striker. He's gonna be the better wrestler,
16:30
Speaker 3: better grappler here, He's got more ways to win, and
16:32
Speaker 3: he could finish him anywhere. And I feel I mean,
16:35
Speaker 3: both guys are somewhat chinny, I guess, but I feel
16:37
Speaker 3: better about Turner's chin as the fight goes along. I
16:42
Speaker 3: feel like he could get caught early before he really
16:44
Speaker 3: gets before he gets going where. I think it's the
16:47
Speaker 3: other way around for Barbosa. I feel like his chint
16:50
Speaker 3: could just start to give away the more punches he takes.
16:53
Speaker 3: But yeah, give me Turner to win. I'm interested in
16:56
Speaker 3: a little Barbosa though, at at sixty nine hundred, I
16:58
Speaker 3: think he is a solid cheap punt on this card
17:02
Speaker 3: if you are trying.
17:02
Speaker 2: To pay up for these morobs and other big favorites
17:05
Speaker 2: as well.
17:06
Speaker 1: One hundred percent agree on the Barbosa take. I mean,
17:09
Speaker 1: the longer the fight goes maybe, like we've seen Jalen
17:11
Speaker 1: Turner when times really get tough. I like the Dan
17:13
Speaker 1: Hooker fight was great. I know he broke his arm,
17:15
Speaker 1: like by no means am I calling him a quitter
17:18
Speaker 1: bad Cardio and stuff, but he cares like six 'y
17:21
Speaker 1: three seventy seven inch reach. He's huge for the division.
17:24
Speaker 1: He has to cut a lot of weight that can't
17:26
Speaker 1: wear on your gas tank as the fight goes on. Yeah,
17:29
Speaker 1: if it's a war, which I think if the fight
17:33
Speaker 1: goes fifteen minutes or like he gets out of the
17:35
Speaker 1: second round, I do think we see a pretty high
17:37
Speaker 1: pace and then Barbosa is just feeling himself. Sixty nine
17:40
Speaker 1: hundred a lot any win I'll take from Barbosa at
17:43
Speaker 1: sixty nine hundred, and you get a decent amount of
17:45
Speaker 1: leverage off the jail and Turner side. So I'm with you.
17:48
Speaker 1: I'm definitely gonna be playing some Edson Barbosa as well.
17:51
Speaker 1: If we're looking at the Stone Fighters sub seven K,
17:55
Speaker 1: Peter Jan, Edson, Barbosa, Antonio tricoll I definitely like Barbosa
18:01
Speaker 1: more than Tracali. I definitely like Barbosa more than Peter
18:04
Speaker 1: Yon naturally right there, then I will get a little
18:08
Speaker 1: bit of Barbosa. But yeah, give me Jalen Turner in
18:11
Speaker 1: this one. Let's up kill a sharkar Man. Hope everything's
18:15
Speaker 1: going well, Let's make it a big one, is right? Well,
18:18
Speaker 1: let's just copy and paste what happened two weeks ago.
18:20
Speaker 1: Best card of all time two weeks ago, So let's
18:22
Speaker 1: add that same result.
18:24
Speaker 4: We will take it.
18:25
Speaker 1: Next fight on the card, mid tier fight, closest line fight,
18:29
Speaker 1: Marvin Vttori minus one fifteen, Bruno Ferrera minus one oh
18:32
Speaker 1: five minus won ten for this fight to finish, Ferrera
18:35
Speaker 1: the very small underdog plus one sixty five inside the
18:38
Speaker 1: distance Viry plus three eighty five. So what wins out
18:42
Speaker 1: Ferrera finishing all of his fights or Marvin Vattori never
18:46
Speaker 1: being finished.
18:49
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, good question.
18:51
Speaker 3: I'm gonna pick Marvin Victoria never get finished though, right,
18:55
Speaker 3: But yeah, that's how I see it is.
18:56
Speaker 2: Ferreira is the more dangerous fighter here. If he.
19:01
Speaker 3: Wins, I think it's gonna be a finish and a
19:04
Speaker 3: decent score, but it's gonna come from that win bonus
19:09
Speaker 3: being in the first or second round. That's gonna be
19:11
Speaker 3: the majority of the points because he's just not a high,
19:14
Speaker 3: high action fighter. I see Victori being our minute winner here,
19:18
Speaker 3: whether it's wrestling or striking, but Vittori kind of looks washed.
19:23
Speaker 3: I don't like what I've seen from Vittori. I think
19:27
Speaker 3: a prime Vatory rolls through Ferrera here, but even a
19:31
Speaker 3: washed VITORI I feel like this line's right, So I'm
19:35
Speaker 3: picking Victori here.
19:36
Speaker 2: I just think that his chin's good enough, and I don't.
19:39
Speaker 3: Think that Ferrer is a good enough wrestler to just
19:43
Speaker 3: to dictate where this fight takes place for three rounds.
19:45
Speaker 3: Maybe he can get one or two takedowns, but I
19:48
Speaker 3: don't think he's even gonna get more than one. And
19:51
Speaker 3: I think he'll be more so going for the knockout
19:53
Speaker 3: than he will be going for takedowns on this one,
19:56
Speaker 3: and I'll take Vittori to survive and win a decision.
20:00
Speaker 2: I don't know what he scores, though, so I'm not
20:03
Speaker 2: I'm not super interested, but I think he could put.
20:07
Speaker 3: Up a couple of takedowns, land one hundred strikes and
20:10
Speaker 3: have it okay score here, so I'm cool with it.
20:13
Speaker 1: I don't even think three takedowns and hunters and infant
20:15
Speaker 1: strikes is enough to be honest on this card, I
20:19
Speaker 1: don't love this fight much. In the mid tier, you're
20:21
Speaker 1: parlaying two things. You're parlaying getting a coin flip right
20:24
Speaker 1: and picking the which side wins, and you're parlaying a
20:27
Speaker 1: minus one ten fight being minus were actually finishing, and
20:31
Speaker 1: then you're also parlaying if it does finish again, most
20:34
Speaker 1: finishes probably are optimal, but I think there's pass where
20:37
Speaker 1: the Tory beats him the first two rounds for knocks
20:40
Speaker 1: him out in three, or some random stuff happens and
20:42
Speaker 1: it doesn't get there. So I just think you need
20:45
Speaker 1: too much to go right in this fight. I don't
20:47
Speaker 1: really love the mid tier though. I definitely a more
20:49
Speaker 1: stars and scrubs on this card. The Jandolhovich Guskov is
20:53
Speaker 1: definitely my favorite mid tier fight. I picked for Torri
20:56
Speaker 1: in this one for the same He's looked washed since
20:59
Speaker 1: the Coast to fight my opinion, But man, you look
21:01
Speaker 1: at the level competition way better than Ferreira. I just
21:04
Speaker 1: think maybe he keeps him honest with the takedowns or tries,
21:07
Speaker 1: and then his chin is so good. I mean, if
21:09
Speaker 1: Ferrera never what he's been to like one third round
21:12
Speaker 1: or something like that, Like he just does not go
21:14
Speaker 1: late in fight, so I think Vittori can't take over
21:17
Speaker 1: as the fight goes. With all that being said, my
21:19
Speaker 1: preferred DFS plays Bruno Ferreira plus one sixty five inside
21:22
Speaker 1: the distance versus plus three five in a fight where
21:25
Speaker 1: I don't think Victori has many pass or either guy
21:28
Speaker 1: in a decision, give me Bruno Ferreira is my preferred
21:31
Speaker 1: play of If he does crack that chin, uses his
21:34
Speaker 1: big boy power, he can knock him out at any time,
21:36
Speaker 1: and I want a hundred plus in the mid tier.
21:38
Speaker 1: I think Bruno Ferreira definitely has more upside in wins
21:42
Speaker 1: than Vittori, So give me Bruno Ferreira is my preferred
21:44
Speaker 1: DFS play In terms of a pick. Victory by decision
21:48
Speaker 1: is how I see it. Literally, copy and paste exactly
21:51
Speaker 1: pretty much what I said. In the next fight, far
21:54
Speaker 1: as Zia minus one thirty three the Zeem Sadakov plus
21:57
Speaker 1: one thirteen plus one forty five for this fight to
21:59
Speaker 1: fin the underdog in Sadykov plus two twenty five inside
22:03
Speaker 1: the distance ZM plus four fifty. I have ZM winning
22:06
Speaker 1: by decision. I think very few have made more improvements
22:10
Speaker 1: in their UFC career than him. His defensive wrestling, his
22:13
Speaker 1: offensive wrestling is grappling defense. He's always been a good striker,
22:17
Speaker 1: He's always been boring. He wants to stand at range
22:19
Speaker 1: as a kickbox or kick your legs jabs stay at distance.
22:23
Speaker 1: I think he's a very underrated and good fighter. I'm
22:26
Speaker 1: not gonna pick against him much, But that being said,
22:28
Speaker 1: that doesn't translate to DFS. Sadikvs. My preferred play, even
22:32
Speaker 1: though I think he loses. Just like I said in
22:34
Speaker 1: the last fight, the inside the distance prop plus two
22:37
Speaker 1: twenty five versus plus four fifty If like ZM wins,
22:40
Speaker 1: he's gonna score like seventy five or something. That's not enough.
22:43
Speaker 1: Give me the four hundred savings with the double or
22:46
Speaker 1: the inside the distance prop two times better than Zum's.
22:50
Speaker 1: I think it's easy that way, so excuse me. So
22:53
Speaker 1: I'm not playing much of this fight since I'm picking ZM,
22:56
Speaker 1: but my preferred play is Sadikov, mainly for the inside
22:59
Speaker 1: the distance prop upside. But yeah, I've debated betting Ziem too.
23:02
Speaker 1: I'm curious to hear your take on this one.
23:05
Speaker 2: Yeah, I might bet Ziem here.
23:07
Speaker 3: I just think he is super improved. I don't love
23:11
Speaker 3: his pace though, whether it be wrestling or striking. That's
23:14
Speaker 3: my issue with him. But I think he's super skilled
23:16
Speaker 3: in getting a lot better in his wrestling. I feel
23:19
Speaker 3: like this kid could compete for the title one day.
23:22
Speaker 3: I don't know that I feel the same way about Sadikov.
23:25
Speaker 3: He's going to be our more aggressive striker here, the
23:28
Speaker 3: guy who can set a pace on the feet. He
23:30
Speaker 3: can also land knockouts. But Zim has some of the
23:33
Speaker 3: best defense I've seen in the striking and he's just
23:36
Speaker 3: so hard to hit. So that offensive pace from Sadikov
23:40
Speaker 3: is going to be slowed down by Zim's defense. And
23:44
Speaker 3: I think maybe Sadikov is more likely to go for
23:47
Speaker 3: a takedown in most fights, but I think Zim is
23:50
Speaker 3: just as likely in this fight. And I think he
23:52
Speaker 3: is actually a better wrestler at this point, and I'm
23:55
Speaker 3: picking him to win here. So my preferred play is Zium,
23:59
Speaker 3: but he's gonna have to wrestle to score well. He
24:02
Speaker 3: has put up some surprisingly good scores though, so I'll
24:06
Speaker 3: keep him in my playerpool. I'm fine with him, but
24:09
Speaker 3: he's similar to Amarvin Vattori for me, where it's gonna
24:12
Speaker 3: have to come through the wrestling, and he's gonna have
24:14
Speaker 3: to do work while he's on the.
24:15
Speaker 2: Ground as well, because I don't know that he's gonna
24:17
Speaker 2: get a finish.
24:18
Speaker 1: I agree, I think he probably needs three plus takedowns,
24:21
Speaker 1: which I know that'd be higher than the line I'm
24:24
Speaker 1: picking him to win. So he's in my pool, in
24:26
Speaker 1: the mid tier and in the tier I don't like much.
24:28
Speaker 1: But I'm struggling man his pace, his fight pace is
24:32
Speaker 1: so slow. Sadykov's tough. I think it's them by decision.
24:36
Speaker 1: I might bet it's and hope it busts for DFS.
24:39
Speaker 4: That's how I see it. X fight on the card,
24:42
Speaker 4: not a fight I like much either.
24:44
Speaker 1: Macy Barber minus one ninety Korena Silva plus one sixty
24:47
Speaker 1: five plus one seventy for this fight to finish the
24:49
Speaker 1: underdog and Silva better inside the distance prop plus three
24:52
Speaker 1: twenty five two Barbers plus three seventy five, so you
24:56
Speaker 1: can see on the stone this fight was plus one
24:58
Speaker 1: one eighty to finish on Monday. That's when I put
25:01
Speaker 1: these lines up now plus one seventy, so a little
25:04
Speaker 1: money on the under It's just a clear dog or
25:06
Speaker 1: pass for me. In terms of DFS, BARBERA at eighty
25:09
Speaker 1: seven hundred is a big price. Four plus three seventy
25:12
Speaker 1: five inside the distance prop Silva definitely my preferred play.
25:15
Speaker 1: I think a live dog, a solid inside the distance
25:18
Speaker 1: prop at plus three twenty five and what I like
25:20
Speaker 1: looking at the props Ko Barber plus five fifty Silva
25:24
Speaker 1: plus eighteen hundred clearly in favor of Barber submission plus
25:28
Speaker 1: four hundred for Silva, plus sixteen hundred for Barber. Books.
25:32
Speaker 1: Think she wrestles if she wins, I agree. If you
25:35
Speaker 1: give me a dog that wrestles with better finishing prop
25:38
Speaker 1: than the favorite. Yeah, I have interests down below. So
25:41
Speaker 1: Silva in every which way. Barbera hasn't fought for almost
25:45
Speaker 1: two years, pulled out in that Blanche Field one before
25:47
Speaker 1: they're supposed to walk out.
25:49
Speaker 4: Who knows what's going on with her? So yeah, give
25:51
Speaker 4: me Silva in this one.
25:53
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe I end up changing to four star Silva,
25:56
Speaker 3: two star Barber here. I was kind of thinking that
25:59
Speaker 3: bar would be a way that I can get different
26:01
Speaker 3: on this card. She can kind of set a pace
26:04
Speaker 3: on the feet. She's also a decent wrestler, so if
26:06
Speaker 3: this was an exciting fight, I think she could put
26:09
Speaker 3: up a big score and a win. But now that
26:11
Speaker 3: we've talked about these other fights, I feel like I
26:13
Speaker 3: like ziem inventory more as my ways to get different.
26:17
Speaker 3: Just save that money, I could maybe put them both
26:19
Speaker 3: in a freaking lineup rather than get up to her,
26:21
Speaker 3: because I do want to pay up for some of
26:23
Speaker 3: these favorites. So yeah, maybe I do like Silva dfs
26:27
Speaker 3: wise pick to win's gonna be barb bar. I just
26:29
Speaker 3: thinks she's a more well rounded fighter, has more upside,
26:32
Speaker 3: has more of a future. But Silva is definitely a
26:36
Speaker 3: live dog. She could finish early and put up a
26:38
Speaker 3: big score, and even in the decision, I don't know
26:41
Speaker 3: that she gets dog walked here, so judges could screw
26:45
Speaker 3: that up, and at seventy five hundred, she could still
26:47
Speaker 3: put up an okay score.
26:48
Speaker 2: So yeah, sure, Silva's aid underdog in this one.
26:52
Speaker 1: Went and doubt. When you need dogs, run to the
26:54
Speaker 1: women's MMA fights, and these fights usually seem to be
26:57
Speaker 1: closer than the line indicates. So I should I should
27:01
Speaker 1: listen to myself more when I say those words. I
27:03
Speaker 1: feel like I tell myself that every two weeks, why
27:06
Speaker 1: did I not get X amount of this dog?
27:08
Speaker 4: That's a girl?
27:08
Speaker 1: But yeah, Sila for sure my preferred play. Part of
27:11
Speaker 1: the reason is Macy Barber eighty seven hundred. Let's go
27:14
Speaker 1: to this next fight right here, Let's go to the
27:16
Speaker 1: next two and look at it. Give me Chris Duncan
27:18
Speaker 1: one hundred less all day long, every day. Give me
27:21
Speaker 1: Grant Dawson two hundred more all day long, every day.
27:24
Speaker 1: Give me Yan Bohovich you r Gusko for cheaper to
27:26
Speaker 1: leave the money all day every day. So that just
27:29
Speaker 1: shows why I have.
27:30
Speaker 4: No interest in Macy Barber. But I mean, how do
27:32
Speaker 4: you not have interest?
27:33
Speaker 1: T Rex Terrence McKinney fight always fun minus one forty
27:36
Speaker 1: one Chris Duncan plus two or plus one twenty one
27:39
Speaker 1: is Terrence McKinney minus sixteen hundred for this fight to
27:42
Speaker 1: finish open minus twelve hundred now minus sixteen hundred under
27:46
Speaker 1: one and a half minus four hundred McKinney plus one
27:50
Speaker 1: thirty five inside the distance Duncan minus one forty five
27:53
Speaker 1: inside the distance Duncin round one plus one seventy five
27:57
Speaker 1: McKinney round one plus two hundred. You ever get an
28:00
Speaker 1: underdog seventy six hundred with a plus two hundred round
28:04
Speaker 1: one prop Sign me up. Every tears McKinny. Fight's fun
28:08
Speaker 1: doesn't last long, but yeah, it's gonna score for DFS,
28:12
Speaker 1: So yeah, sign me up. Pricing looks great. Let's go.
28:16
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna be all over this fight, not gonna
28:19
Speaker 3: make a rule because I think maybe the way it
28:22
Speaker 3: doesn't end up on the optimal would be Terrence McKinney
28:24
Speaker 3: wins the first round, like dominates even maybe with his wrestling,
28:28
Speaker 3: and then Duncan beats him in the second. But I
28:31
Speaker 3: just think we're gonna get a big score from either
28:33
Speaker 3: side of this one. If McKinny wins, it's in the
28:36
Speaker 3: first round. He breaks the slate, and you always have
28:38
Speaker 3: to have McKinney. I don't care if he's a thousand
28:41
Speaker 3: dollars more, we still need the same amount of McKinney.
28:45
Speaker 3: But now he's one thousand dollars less, I mean at
28:48
Speaker 3: seventy six hundred dollars. Like he's the best underdog on
28:52
Speaker 3: this card in my opinion. But if he if the
28:55
Speaker 3: fight gets out of the first round, he's drawn dead.
28:58
Speaker 3: I don't see how he wins because he can't. He
29:00
Speaker 3: just can't fight in a second round. It's not even
29:03
Speaker 3: that he blows the load in the first round. It's
29:05
Speaker 3: like mentally he just gives up in the second round.
29:07
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is, uh, but I fully
29:10
Speaker 3: trust Duncan. After the first round here. Uh and even
29:14
Speaker 3: in the first round, he could go out there and
29:16
Speaker 3: submit McKinney. He could also knock out McKinney. I think
29:19
Speaker 3: he will stand up to McKinny in the first round
29:22
Speaker 3: as well. So pick is duncan to win. Could be
29:24
Speaker 3: in any round, but I think it'll be first or
29:28
Speaker 3: second and they'll put up a big score. But man,
29:31
Speaker 3: if I end up with twenty percent more McKinny on
29:35
Speaker 3: this card, I'm okay with that because there's a lot
29:38
Speaker 3: of favorites that can put up big scores, but there's
29:41
Speaker 3: really not an underdog I don't. I don't think that
29:44
Speaker 3: has a chance of beating McKinny. Like if McKinny does win,
29:48
Speaker 3: he I think Alan Bruno, Yeah, I don't know. I
29:54
Speaker 3: feel like mckenny's good for one oh five, one ten.
29:58
Speaker 3: If he wins those other two, I could see win
30:00
Speaker 3: scoring eighty points, I know.
30:02
Speaker 1: I yeah, I take that back. I meant to say
30:05
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shot like Austin. I think can score
30:08
Speaker 1: one ten in a fight. I think can ten. Yes,
30:12
Speaker 1: by no me Like when they win, Terrence McKinney's gonna
30:15
Speaker 1: average way more than all the dogs on this card.
30:17
Speaker 1: No ifn's butts and for that reason seventy six, he's
30:21
Speaker 1: only plus one twenty, so like he has money line
30:23
Speaker 1: value for his price obviously all the other stuff. If
30:27
Speaker 1: he's like, I want to probably be one of my
30:29
Speaker 1: top five highest owned fighters on this card. To be honest,
30:32
Speaker 1: I think he wins too. I'm with you kill I
30:35
Speaker 1: know you bet him before. I do think the round
30:37
Speaker 1: one is just is dominating. He figures it out, whether
30:40
Speaker 1: it's on the map, knocks him out. I mean, man, like,
30:43
Speaker 1: don't don't Drew Dover fight from like a couple of
30:46
Speaker 1: years back, like that knee. I mean not not many
30:48
Speaker 1: are tough as Drew Dover. But he's all gas, no
30:52
Speaker 1: breaks early, and not many can keep up with it.
30:55
Speaker 1: So like the Saddi Cuv fight, Sadikov's great McKinny dominated
30:58
Speaker 1: him in round one through the wrestle, but like you said,
31:01
Speaker 1: whether he was tired or what it was second round, Yeah,
31:04
Speaker 1: Sadykov finished shortly after like the easiest live bet of
31:08
Speaker 1: all time.
31:09
Speaker 4: But books are starting to figure it out.
31:10
Speaker 2: So oh yeah, I take it that fan could compete
31:14
Speaker 2: with Uh yeah, Van could too.
31:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, for sure.
31:17
Speaker 4: McKinney's my favorite dog in the card, even over Van.
31:20
Speaker 1: Granted kind of because I'm picking Pantosia, but I think
31:23
Speaker 1: Van's a very very good play as well. What's up, Davis,
31:26
Speaker 1: appreciate you very nice by no means a go though.
31:30
Speaker 1: All right, let's keep it rolling. We have six fights left.
31:33
Speaker 1: This one's gonna be good. Grant Dawson minus two twenty
31:36
Speaker 1: manual Tors plus one eighty five. We have come on
31:41
Speaker 1: open up minus five hundred for this fight to finish
31:44
Speaker 1: Dawson minus one thirty five inside the distance TOURUS plus
31:48
Speaker 1: two hundred. Let's see round one plus three fifteen for Dawson,
31:52
Speaker 1: plus three twenty five for Torres, seventy three hundred. Guy
31:55
Speaker 1: who's plus three twenty five in round one?
31:58
Speaker 4: Another fight minus five hundred to finish.
32:00
Speaker 1: Sign me up. Wrestler, grappler Dawson, striker Torres classic styles
32:05
Speaker 1: under one and a half favored.
32:07
Speaker 4: I mean, how does it fail?
32:08
Speaker 2: Great fight, Yeah, great fight, Torres super dangerous early.
32:15
Speaker 3: He's gonna have our striking edge in this one. That
32:17
Speaker 3: elbow over motto is one of my favorite knockouts of
32:20
Speaker 3: all time. That's like one of those yelling like, oh
32:23
Speaker 3: my god, he's dead.
32:25
Speaker 2: He's dead.
32:27
Speaker 3: But I think he could definitely kill Dawson in the
32:29
Speaker 3: first round, and if he wins, I think it is
32:33
Speaker 3: in the first round. After the first round, he's not
32:36
Speaker 3: a McKenny. He I think he could be fine in
32:39
Speaker 3: second and third rounds in his career. But Dawson, the
32:43
Speaker 3: pace he sets, I just don't think Torres can hang
32:45
Speaker 3: with it. And I think Dawson will just be chained
32:48
Speaker 3: wrestling over and over and over again and kind of
32:51
Speaker 3: have his way with Torres. So I see him just
32:53
Speaker 3: taking Torres into deep water and drowning them in the
32:56
Speaker 3: second or the third round, racking up takedown along the way,
33:00
Speaker 3: four six, seven takedowns, lots of control time, good amount
33:04
Speaker 3: of work. I love Dawson's pace, so I'll be getting
33:07
Speaker 3: a good amount of Dawson. But Torres, on the other end,
33:11
Speaker 3: seventy three hundred if he wins, I think he's putting
33:13
Speaker 3: up over one hundred points here, so I need some
33:15
Speaker 3: of them.
33:16
Speaker 2: The more lineups I make, the more interesting I am.
33:18
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean that's the thing about why I don't
33:21
Speaker 1: love the mid tier and think like eighty five and
33:24
Speaker 1: that stuff's enough, because I mean, if you're if you parlay, Like,
33:27
Speaker 1: let's see if you're parlaying e Wu Jalen Turner, Chris Duncan,
33:37
Speaker 1: Grant Dawson. We'll go with the ones we talked about,
33:39
Speaker 1: like you're you're in plenty of plus money territory, so
33:41
Speaker 1: that means you're assuming or the books are assuming at
33:44
Speaker 1: least one dog wins, because that partly would otherwise be favored.
33:47
Speaker 1: All of the people I just said have one hundred
33:49
Speaker 1: plus point upside. There's so much upside in the lower
33:52
Speaker 1: tier it's not comfortable picking a winner. So I play
33:55
Speaker 1: a lot of lineups. But if they do win those
33:57
Speaker 1: certain ones I just said, I think it's clear day
34:00
Speaker 1: what their ceiling is. And that's why, like n I'm off,
34:02
Speaker 1: I think he can win the decision score seventy. I
34:05
Speaker 1: don't know what your colleagues path is for both. I
34:07
Speaker 1: think's fine, but I mean if he wins like eighty
34:10
Speaker 1: five something, it would score well. But I think it's
34:12
Speaker 1: really clear on the guys, the Torres, the McKinney's, the Ocelonz,
34:17
Speaker 1: the Ferreiras, like these guys legit have first round winning
34:20
Speaker 1: upside that can score one hundred plus and then price
34:23
Speaker 1: doesn't even matter. At that point, they could be eighty
34:25
Speaker 1: eight hundred and you would still want them. So yeah,
34:27
Speaker 1: I'm focusing on big ceiling or high ceiling dogs, and
34:32
Speaker 1: Manual Torres is one of them. Dawson's my preferred play,
34:35
Speaker 1: He's my pick. I see it the same as you wrestling.
34:37
Speaker 1: I think he's the better mixed martial artist. Ground game
34:40
Speaker 1: usually is superior. I think he wins it that way.
34:42
Speaker 1: But we saw Bobby Green clip Cliff Dawson, what thirty
34:47
Speaker 1: seconds or something one punch down. I mean there's a
34:50
Speaker 1: lot more power for Torres than there is for Bobby Green,
34:53
Speaker 1: so crazy stuff can happen. Torres a wild man. I
34:56
Speaker 1: just think he'll be on his back quite a bit,
34:58
Speaker 1: and Dawson flows when he's on the mat. So great
35:00
Speaker 1: fights target another. It's a really good card. I couldn't
35:04
Speaker 1: imagine making one team for it. But yeah, there's a
35:07
Speaker 1: lot of underdogs I'll be mixing in tours. I think
35:09
Speaker 1: one of the highest upside dogs. Yeah, I'm Behovich minus
35:13
Speaker 1: one thirty Bogdon Goos Goat plus one ten minus one
35:16
Speaker 1: seventy for this fight to finish, Goust Gott plus one
35:19
Speaker 1: seventy five inside the distance, Behovich plus one ninety my
35:23
Speaker 1: favorite mid tier fight of the four. That being said,
35:27
Speaker 1: I don't think the mid tier is very good this week.
35:30
Speaker 1: Tyra Moreno favored to go the distance. The most likely
35:33
Speaker 1: fight this fight, like we talked about Ziem Sadikov favored
35:37
Speaker 1: to go the distance, but Bruno Ferrera a coin flip.
35:41
Speaker 1: So this one's my favorite. It's the most likely to finish.
35:44
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm totally good and I want lineups with
35:46
Speaker 1: no mid tier fights to be honest this week.
35:50
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know how I feel about this one.
35:53
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't like Guscott. I'm not a fan
35:55
Speaker 2: of his.
35:56
Speaker 3: He he is a wild striker, He's got a lot
35:58
Speaker 3: of knockout power, but I don't think he's good and
36:02
Speaker 3: I think most of his inequity in most of his
36:05
Speaker 3: fights is gonna come through the knockout. Jan is really
36:10
Speaker 3: hard to knock out, but he's about to be forty
36:12
Speaker 3: three years old, Like when does that go?
36:14
Speaker 2: I don't know. It could be right here, and that's
36:18
Speaker 2: why I'm gonna have to play some gus Gov.
36:20
Speaker 3: I really would want to get away from a guy
36:23
Speaker 3: like him, who I think will get ownership and is
36:25
Speaker 3: not that good, but forty three years old on a
36:29
Speaker 3: guy who is a striker in Yan.
36:32
Speaker 2: I could definitely see gus Gov getting the knockout.
36:34
Speaker 3: Here, but Jan at this point he should be a wrestler,
36:37
Speaker 3: and I think he could get takedowns in every round
36:40
Speaker 3: and make this a boring fight but a clear win,
36:44
Speaker 3: and maybe put up an okay scorer in the process.
36:46
Speaker 3: So that's what I'm gonna pick to happen. Just because
36:49
Speaker 3: I don't really like gus Gov, I'm gonna have some
36:53
Speaker 3: Yan as well. I don't think he'll get much ownership.
36:55
Speaker 3: He's another way. I'm okay getting different, but all he's
36:59
Speaker 3: the same as Tory and the other one who was
37:02
Speaker 3: at a ZM to me where it's gonna have to
37:04
Speaker 3: come through wrestling for him to win. I mean, he's
37:06
Speaker 3: got knockout power, but at forty three years old, I
37:08
Speaker 3: don't want to trust in that.
37:10
Speaker 2: So all of them are fine. I'm okay mixing any
37:13
Speaker 2: of them in, but I.
37:14
Speaker 3: Don't feel great about any of them either, and I
37:16
Speaker 3: agree that it stars and scrubs is probably a better
37:19
Speaker 3: way to go.
37:20
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm picking Yan for the sense of he still
37:23
Speaker 1: looked solid to me as of late, so He's two
37:25
Speaker 1: to one in his last three A draw against Ankliath.
37:29
Speaker 1: I thought he lost that fight, but it was a draw.
37:32
Speaker 1: It was competitive. He really butchered that leg early than Ankliath.
37:35
Speaker 1: Finally went to the wrestling a loss against Alex Pereira.
37:39
Speaker 1: I was there. I thought he clearly won that fight.
37:41
Speaker 1: I get you have to do damage, but he spent
37:43
Speaker 1: all fight on top. Alex Prera did nothing. It's a
37:46
Speaker 1: great win beating Alex Peyra through wrestling. And then Carlos Albert.
37:49
Speaker 1: I was at a wedding so I wasn't able to
37:51
Speaker 1: watch it. I had a big parlay with Sean Brady
37:53
Speaker 1: and Alberg that I cash. But I heard that fight
37:55
Speaker 1: was a lot lot more competitive and it was boring.
37:58
Speaker 1: It didn't score. But like Guskov's getting white by all
38:01
Speaker 1: three of those guys, I don't think he's lasting fifteen
38:04
Speaker 1: minutes or twenty five minutes with any of them. I
38:06
Speaker 1: just think Yan still looks solid even with his age.
38:09
Speaker 1: The light kicks are still good, he can wrestle. He's steady.
38:12
Speaker 1: Or at Guskov like he feels so front loaded. He
38:15
Speaker 1: has a lot of power, and I'm going to play
38:16
Speaker 1: him because of that power plus one seventy five to
38:18
Speaker 1: finish is good, but I definitely prefer personally Yon to
38:23
Speaker 1: ziem INVATORI just look at the inside the distance props alone.
38:27
Speaker 1: You're comparing a minor plus one ninety and Yon to
38:30
Speaker 1: a plus or eighty five inventory and a plus like
38:33
Speaker 1: four fifty. I believe in zum So. I just think
38:36
Speaker 1: there's a lot more upset in this fight. There's more,
38:37
Speaker 1: it's more likely to finish. Guskov does not go deep
38:41
Speaker 1: into fights. It also open minus one sixty to finish
38:44
Speaker 1: now minus one seventy. So yeah, this is my.
38:47
Speaker 4: Favorite mid tier fight.
38:48
Speaker 1: I still don't love it too much, but yeah, these
38:50
Speaker 1: are the two guys if I had to click a
38:52
Speaker 1: mid tier guy, these are my two favorites. Two click
38:56
Speaker 1: four fights left the name or the word people do
38:59
Speaker 1: not like to year in MMA retirement. This is Henry
39:02
Speaker 1: Suhudo's retirement fight, taking on Peyton Talbot minus two fifty five.
39:06
Speaker 1: Talbot plus two to fifteen is Henry plus one sixty
39:10
Speaker 1: for this fight to finish, Talbot plus two hundred inside
39:13
Speaker 1: the distance to Hudo plus six seventy five.
39:16
Speaker 4: Take it away. How do you see this fight?
39:19
Speaker 2: Yeah? See as.
39:23
Speaker 3: Talbot having a pretty big striking edge because of his
39:26
Speaker 3: speed and his pace. Sahudo is a good striker, but
39:31
Speaker 3: he's gonna.
39:32
Speaker 2: Need to wrestle in this one.
39:34
Speaker 3: Talbot can be taken down, he can be held down,
39:38
Speaker 3: and I think that's a clear path for Sahudo, like
39:41
Speaker 3: just kind of do what you need to do on
39:43
Speaker 3: the feet, but don't get beat up bad enough, land
39:46
Speaker 3: your takedown, and then grind out your time on the ground.
39:49
Speaker 2: And I think you can do that for two rounds.
39:51
Speaker 2: So I'm going to actually pick Sahudo to win. The
39:54
Speaker 2: issue is I picked him to win on Sunday. I
39:56
Speaker 2: didn't know it was his retirement fight. I do not
39:59
Speaker 2: like that retirement fight.
40:00
Speaker 3: That makes me like him a lot less. And I
40:03
Speaker 3: don't feel good about him winning either. It was just
40:06
Speaker 3: kind of searching for underdogs. I don't know that I
40:08
Speaker 3: picked any others to win, so I went with Sahudo.
40:13
Speaker 3: But man, I don't know if I feel good about that.
40:15
Speaker 3: If he's getting a takedown in the first round and
40:17
Speaker 3: Talbot pops up to his feet, I feel like it's
40:21
Speaker 3: gonna be Talbot pretty easily in this one.
40:24
Speaker 2: But we'll see. I don't know. I mean as seven K.
40:27
Speaker 3: I have to be interested in Sahudo because I think
40:29
Speaker 3: he can easily put up over a ten x score here.
40:32
Speaker 3: And if he's racking up, you know, like six seven,
40:35
Speaker 3: eight takedowns, he can put up ninety plus. So he's
40:38
Speaker 3: going to be my preferred play. But I hate that
40:40
Speaker 3: it's his retirement fight. Eleven years older. Never really a
40:43
Speaker 3: good thing. I don't believe in him to win here,
40:46
Speaker 3: but I kind of just want to root against Talbot,
40:48
Speaker 3: and I hope that Sudo does win.
40:52
Speaker 1: I'm definitely on Talbot. When Talbot came in, I thought
40:54
Speaker 1: he was special. I do still think he's special. I
40:57
Speaker 1: think the best thing for his career was his loss
41:00
Speaker 1: as the big favorite to Barcelos. He figured like, yeah,
41:03
Speaker 1: I can strike with anybody, but if you can't stay
41:05
Speaker 1: on your feet, you can't win fights.
41:07
Speaker 4: He looked really good against Felipe a Lima.
41:09
Speaker 1: Felipe Lima, who I think Felipe a Lima's beating Barcelos
41:12
Speaker 1: personally right now. I got taken down three times on
41:16
Speaker 1: fifteen attempts, but he got a reversal. He got up
41:18
Speaker 1: when he was taken down. He's striking so so pure,
41:22
Speaker 1: so good. He's long for the division. Good kicks, teet
41:25
Speaker 1: kicks just got to keep the fight in the feet.
41:27
Speaker 1: So Hudo at the end of the day, he couldn't
41:28
Speaker 1: get Songers really down song you don retirement fight. Talbot's
41:33
Speaker 1: big If he gets taken down. I do think he
41:35
Speaker 1: gets back up. The problem with Talbot though, at ninety
41:38
Speaker 1: two hundred is like Henry just does He's got finished
41:40
Speaker 1: once to DJ in twenty sixteen from the body, the
41:43
Speaker 1: knees of the body, like he's so tough. Talbot at
41:47
Speaker 1: ninety two hundred, you really need to score one oh
41:49
Speaker 1: five or something like that. I think he's live for
41:52
Speaker 1: it and he'll be low owned where he'll be in
41:53
Speaker 1: my pool, Like, how does he get there? A lot
41:55
Speaker 1: of volume, maybe a knockdown or two just to Hudo
41:58
Speaker 1: has no success wrestling. I think you could possibly get
42:02
Speaker 1: there that way plus two hundred inside the distance is
42:04
Speaker 1: solid open plus two ten, So going the right way
42:07
Speaker 1: if you're playing him. With all that being said, like
42:09
Speaker 1: I'm picking Talbot all that, but Shudo is my preferred
42:12
Speaker 1: play again twenty two hundred savings. We play a salary
42:15
Speaker 1: based game. If Suhudo wins, it's got to be through wrestling.
42:19
Speaker 1: Wrestling can score at seven K, so help it. My
42:22
Speaker 1: pick shudo, my preferred DFS play like I've seen like
42:25
Speaker 1: I've had a couple takes on this card where my
42:27
Speaker 1: preferred DFS play is opposite of my pick. But dfs
42:32
Speaker 1: and picks are different. You play a salary game. We
42:35
Speaker 1: look for upside fourteen fights. You need a lot of upside.
42:38
Speaker 1: Shudo has some, and I'll take seventy five at seven
42:41
Speaker 1: K at the end of the day. This week, our key,
42:45
Speaker 1: we're gonna We're about to get to that one Van
42:47
Speaker 1: gonna get beat down. Three fights left before that. This
42:51
Speaker 1: one a great real life fight, not my favorite for
42:53
Speaker 1: DFS at sua Tira minus one twenty five Brandon Moreno
42:57
Speaker 1: plus one oh five mine or plus two forty for
43:00
Speaker 1: this fight to finish, Tyra plus three seventy five inside
43:03
Speaker 1: the distance, Moreno plus five hundred the most likely fight
43:07
Speaker 1: to go the distance at minus three hundred two studs,
43:10
Speaker 1: two guys that I think are just too talent.
43:13
Speaker 4: They're not gonna get finished.
43:14
Speaker 1: I think that's a pretty evenly matched I trust Moreno's defensive, grappling, wrestling, defense, toughness.
43:21
Speaker 1: All of that not to say Tyrone could a takedown
43:24
Speaker 1: or backpack. I don't think he gets a finish at
43:26
Speaker 1: eighty five hundred. I think I'm more interested in Moreno
43:30
Speaker 1: at seventy seven, but I just don't see him getting
43:32
Speaker 1: the job done either, Like I think he does spend
43:34
Speaker 1: some time on his back or something like that. Again,
43:37
Speaker 1: give me stars and Scrubs, Give me Torres, give me Sadikov,
43:41
Speaker 1: give me Aslon, give me Ferrera. Like I just I
43:46
Speaker 1: don't like this fight.
43:47
Speaker 4: I will be fading more than likely unless you talk
43:49
Speaker 4: me into something.
43:51
Speaker 3: Uh No. Kind of similar to my other mid range
43:54
Speaker 3: plays in this one, I'm gonna pick Tyr because of
43:57
Speaker 3: his wrestling and because it's three fight. If it was
44:01
Speaker 3: a five round fight, I'd be picking Moreno to win.
44:04
Speaker 3: I think Tyra can wrestle enough to win the first
44:06
Speaker 3: in the second round, and if he slows down then
44:09
Speaker 3: he loses the third.
44:10
Speaker 2: That won't be enough in a three round fight for Moreno.
44:15
Speaker 3: Moreno could also just kind of dominate this fight if
44:17
Speaker 3: the takedowns aren't there for Tyra. I think Moreno former champion,
44:21
Speaker 3: He's good everywhere. I think he could put up a
44:24
Speaker 3: pretty solid score here. But Tyro's gonna have to wrestle.
44:27
Speaker 3: I think he will have some success early in this one,
44:29
Speaker 3: and if there's an early submission, I think it would
44:32
Speaker 3: be Tyra winning. So he's my preferred play, not a
44:35
Speaker 3: play I love to click on, though, But if someone's
44:38
Speaker 3: gonna put up ninety five points in this fight, I
44:40
Speaker 3: think it's gonna be Tyra, So I'm picking him to win.
44:44
Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna be like any bet or
44:46
Speaker 3: any play, and if I end up with zero Tyra,
44:49
Speaker 3: I'd be fine with that too. But he's just along
44:52
Speaker 3: those lines of guys in the mid range who need
44:55
Speaker 3: to wrestle to win, and I'm fine clicking up.
44:58
Speaker 1: How would you rank those mid tier fights? I mean,
45:00
Speaker 1: it's really tough. Again, I said Yan was my favorite,
45:03
Speaker 1: and then I would go, I'll let you say it first.
45:08
Speaker 1: Yan's definitely my favorite. It's tough range s Yeah, man,
45:12
Speaker 1: I don't know.
45:13
Speaker 3: I would honestly, I'd probably say like the cheapest to
45:17
Speaker 3: the most expensive, just because it affords me more more
45:21
Speaker 3: lineups and I can get different leaving, like going down
45:25
Speaker 3: to Vitry instead of getting Tyra. But they're all super
45:30
Speaker 3: similar to me. I think the highest upside would be Tyra.
45:33
Speaker 3: But I also don't think it's likely upside against a
45:36
Speaker 3: guy like Marino.
45:37
Speaker 4: No, I totally agree with that.
45:38
Speaker 1: I would go the I go the Yon fight, then
45:41
Speaker 1: I go Bruno Ferreira, and then I go Sadikov, and
45:45
Speaker 1: again I'm just inside the distance hunting at that point
45:48
Speaker 1: in Ferreira Sadikov, a little cheaper can plug in the
45:50
Speaker 1: favorite drop down to them. Yon's my favorite than Guskov.
45:54
Speaker 1: I do not like this Tyra and Marino fight. I
45:57
Speaker 1: respect both of them enough. It's the most likely to
45:59
Speaker 1: know the distance minus three hundred feels really hard for
46:02
Speaker 1: either to be to be on the winner at minus
46:05
Speaker 1: three hundred to go the distance. If it does go
46:07
Speaker 1: the distance, that is all right. Two fights left Comaine
46:11
Speaker 1: event time. I'm super pumped for this. Pantosia has ran
46:15
Speaker 1: through to the division but gets a new get some
46:18
Speaker 1: new blood, twenty four year old Joshua Van. What a
46:21
Speaker 1: start he's had in his UFC career. Pantosia minus two
46:24
Speaker 1: twenty three Joshua Van plus one eighty eight minus one
46:27
Speaker 1: eighty for this fight to finish, Pantosia minus won twenty
46:30
Speaker 1: inside the distance Van plus four forty five. I mean
46:35
Speaker 1: you can train forever, you're grappling, you're wrestling defense, all that.
46:39
Speaker 1: Some guys are just different. I think Pantosia might just
46:41
Speaker 1: be different. He figures it out. The pace is high,
46:44
Speaker 1: striking is great. He'll fight for your dollar When I
46:47
Speaker 1: thought he was getting a little tired against Moreno years ago.
46:51
Speaker 1: I mean he just found out, figures out ways to win.
46:53
Speaker 1: His backpacks always legit. On the feet, it's definitely Van
46:57
Speaker 1: on the mat its Pantosia great fight. Little money has
47:00
Speaker 1: come in on Van since opening. It was minus to sixty,
47:05
Speaker 1: Pantoja open now minus two twenty three. I'm definitely playing
47:09
Speaker 1: both sides of it. What do you see?
47:12
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, kind just a binary fight where pantos just
47:17
Speaker 3: should dominate on the ground and Van kind of dominate
47:21
Speaker 3: on the feet. Pantoja has a better chance on the
47:24
Speaker 3: feet than Van does on the ground here. But I
47:27
Speaker 3: think pantos is gonna have a lot of success early,
47:30
Speaker 3: maybe all the success. Maybe he just gets a submission
47:32
Speaker 3: in the first or the second round. But if he
47:36
Speaker 3: does not get a submission, man, I think that Van
47:39
Speaker 3: is gonna give them trouble. Man.
47:40
Speaker 2: I think he's gonna give problems.
47:42
Speaker 3: And if Pantoja slows down in this fight, I think
47:45
Speaker 3: he's gonna get finished. Van's not gonna slow down, and
47:49
Speaker 3: he could put up more punches than Pantosa's ever seen before.
47:52
Speaker 3: So I don't feel as good about this fight for
47:55
Speaker 3: Pantoja as I usually do.
47:57
Speaker 2: And if I ended up with more Van, I think
47:59
Speaker 2: I'm okay with it on this card.
48:01
Speaker 3: But I'm gonna go into my lineup building with Morob
48:05
Speaker 3: and Pantosia as my core plays. I am fine changing
48:10
Speaker 3: it to Morob and Van if that's what my lineup
48:13
Speaker 3: building does, because I end up getting let's say, more.
48:18
Speaker 2: Dawson or Ewo or Dunkin.
48:20
Speaker 3: I like all those guys, So if that takes me
48:22
Speaker 3: off of Pantosia, then I'm okay with it.
48:25
Speaker 2: I like Van that much.
48:27
Speaker 3: But Van's only been grappling for like four years or something,
48:31
Speaker 3: and Pantosa is the best of the division by far,
48:34
Speaker 3: So I think a submission is what's gonna happen for
48:37
Speaker 3: a second round Pantosia. But even in a loss, I
48:42
Speaker 3: think Van will get the strap one day.
48:44
Speaker 1: Yeah, I really don't have anything to argue with, Like,
48:47
Speaker 1: I agree everything, Like I might be more overweight Van
48:50
Speaker 1: than Pantosia. Even though I'm picking Pantosia again, he's seventy
48:53
Speaker 1: two hundred versus nine K. I had a whole list
48:56
Speaker 1: of upper tier fighters that I think have huge, huge
48:58
Speaker 1: upside that can outscore of Pantosia in a win, whereas Van. Yeah,
49:03
Speaker 1: I think there's plenty of dogs with that upside as well,
49:05
Speaker 1: but I think he's super live. For all the reasons
49:07
Speaker 1: you said, it feels almost impossible for him to win
49:10
Speaker 1: and not be optimal. And with that being said, like
49:12
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play any Puordery on I'll just say
49:15
Speaker 1: right now before we get there, I'm not playing any Tricoli. Okay,
49:18
Speaker 1: So there's two really cheap fighters I'm not getting too
49:20
Speaker 1: much of, So I feel like I need to make
49:23
Speaker 1: some stands in the lower tier get a decent amount,
49:25
Speaker 1: Like if I had fifty percent Van. I'm good with it,
49:28
Speaker 1: I really am. And again because I believe Pantosia could
49:32
Speaker 1: win and still not be optimal, So I can fade
49:34
Speaker 1: some of these fights, or I can fade this fight
49:38
Speaker 1: in some lineups and still feel good about it that way.
49:40
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm not making a rule and that ownership,
49:46
Speaker 1: like I truly don't even have a preferred play. I
49:48
Speaker 1: know I'm picking Pantosa and Pantosa by sub but again,
49:51
Speaker 1: eighteen hundred goes a long way. If a wins, he's
49:55
Speaker 1: almost surely optimal. Sam can't be said about Pantosia. So
49:58
Speaker 1: I just think we're in for a treat. I mean,
49:59
Speaker 1: the last two fights are really really good. In the
50:03
Speaker 1: main event, we do have a rematch from I believe
50:05
Speaker 1: it was twenty twenty three, and I trust me. I remember,
50:10
Speaker 1: like yesterday I was at the DK Live final for
50:13
Speaker 1: basketball as a proxy. I didn't everyone was sweating NBA.
50:16
Speaker 1: I'm sweating Peter Yon for like sixty thousand and for
50:19
Speaker 1: the winner as the favorite, and yeah, he just.
50:22
Speaker 4: Gets absolutely dog walked. Rematch. The odds definitely a lot
50:26
Speaker 4: different this time around.
50:27
Speaker 1: Morob minus four to fifteen, Peter Yon plus three fifteen
50:31
Speaker 1: plus twenty five for this fight to finish the Volishphey
50:35
Speaker 1: plus three to fifty inside the distance, Yon plus eight hundred.
50:39
Speaker 4: What did he go in that first fight? Was it
50:41
Speaker 4: eleven for forty seven something like that?
50:44
Speaker 1: In takedown just one of the craziest things you'll ever see,
50:46
Speaker 1: Like I mean barbecue chicken, Like if you're talking basketball
50:50
Speaker 1: and stuff. The dude just had no answer. Yeah, didn't
50:53
Speaker 1: fight bad, He just literally anytime he shrugged him off,
50:56
Speaker 1: ropped right back in on a single, on a double.
50:59
Speaker 1: It was just insanity. And that's what's what Morob does.
51:02
Speaker 1: He's improved a striking, there's no doubt about that. But
51:05
Speaker 1: why wouldn't he have the same game plan, shoot for
51:07
Speaker 1: fifty takedowns and do it that way? So, yeah, Morob,
51:12
Speaker 1: you have five star, you have one. Yan I will
51:14
Speaker 1: be playing no. Yan debated locking Morob. Yeah, I want
51:19
Speaker 1: you to break down this fight then talk about it
51:21
Speaker 1: at ninety five hundred. Do you plan on lock buttoning
51:24
Speaker 1: Morob if you're playing one hundred plus teams?
51:27
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm locking Morob.
51:31
Speaker 3: I picked you on in the last fight. I also
51:34
Speaker 3: picked sand Haagen in Morob's last fight.
51:38
Speaker 1: I did too.
51:38
Speaker 4: With the odds there, I'm done doing that shit.
51:41
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not picking against anymore man.
51:43
Speaker 3: He's just too damn good, and he scores too many
51:46
Speaker 3: damn points, like two hundred and eighteen points or something
51:49
Speaker 3: against sand Haagen, just mizy, and he can do that
51:52
Speaker 3: against anybody because he has the craziest pace. I've ever
51:56
Speaker 3: seen in twenty five minutes. For twenty five minutes, he
52:00
Speaker 3: could put up ten to twenty takedowns in any given fight,
52:04
Speaker 3: and I think that's what he could do here, that
52:06
Speaker 3: that was the issue in the last fight. Jan is
52:09
Speaker 3: a great striker, but he couldn't even.
52:11
Speaker 2: Plan his feet. He just never had time to do
52:13
Speaker 2: anything on the feet.
52:14
Speaker 3: Morob was coming forward throwing something every single second, and
52:18
Speaker 3: then if he wasn't throwing something on the feet, it's
52:20
Speaker 3: because he's shooting in.
52:21
Speaker 1: For a takedown.
52:22
Speaker 3: He's just so hard to deal with and I don't
52:23
Speaker 3: know how Yan is going to deal with it. It's
52:27
Speaker 3: knockout a bust in my mind at this point. For Jan,
52:30
Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be a striking match
52:32
Speaker 3: where he could just win three rounds. He's gonna be
52:35
Speaker 3: fighting off takedowns like his life depends on it. And
52:37
Speaker 3: I think Morob's gonna put up one hundred and forty
52:40
Speaker 3: plus points and be a lock on the Optium A lineup.
52:43
Speaker 3: So I'm starting my building with Morob in and then
52:47
Speaker 3: seeing what happens after that.
52:49
Speaker 4: Yeah, Morob's a core play.
52:50
Speaker 1: I will be if not one hundred percent, maybe eighty
52:54
Speaker 1: or something and then again, I'm not playing any young
52:56
Speaker 1: So if I had eighty percent Morob, that means I'm
52:59
Speaker 1: having twenty percent and fight fades And I truly I
53:03
Speaker 1: don't know. He's what he scored one hundred and nineteen
53:05
Speaker 1: and one hundred and twenty one before. What are the
53:08
Speaker 1: chances that's not enough on this card for Morab?
53:11
Speaker 3: I don't think it would be. I think it would
53:16
Speaker 3: be low chances that that wouldn't be enough. For like Mansor,
53:19
Speaker 3: that probably wouldn't be enough. But because of guys like Morob,
53:23
Speaker 3: If Morobs, if it's not enough, it's because Pantos is.
53:27
Speaker 1: On there, Dawson Duncan, Jalen Turner, EWA. That's the only
53:34
Speaker 1: reason I'm thinking is I think there's four. I think
53:37
Speaker 1: there's five guys in the upper tier not named Pantojia
53:40
Speaker 1: or Morab that can score one to fifteen plus, which
53:43
Speaker 1: is the reason.
53:43
Speaker 2: I think, if you can build it like that and
53:45
Speaker 2: like what you're seeing, go for it.
53:49
Speaker 3: So yeah, maybe don't make a rule that Morob's all in,
53:52
Speaker 3: but he is just my favorite play, not only on
53:56
Speaker 3: the slate, but my favorite play probably in a while.
53:58
Speaker 1: He's the DFS GO. I mean there's no if, Like
54:01
Speaker 1: there's Morob is the DFS go you click his name
54:04
Speaker 1: every time. The dude just just gets the DP get,
54:07
Speaker 1: just gets the job done. Well speaking, it is tough,
54:10
Speaker 1: it's been a long day.
54:12
Speaker 2: The room winner, he just locked him every single.
54:14
Speaker 1: Time, one hundred percent. I mean, there's no doubt about that.
54:18
Speaker 1: My thought is, if I'm fading this fight and fading
54:21
Speaker 1: Morab and yeah, obviously, I don't think I want to
54:25
Speaker 1: have money to be able to go up to anyone
54:27
Speaker 1: else like it would have Monsieur, it could have Dawson, Pantosia, Turner,
54:32
Speaker 1: but like with Turner, I'm not having two hundred to
54:34
Speaker 1: get up to Morob. I could have one hundred. But
54:37
Speaker 1: I think that's the way to approach it. If you're
54:39
Speaker 1: fading this fight, just don't allow an upgrade. Maybe dogs
54:42
Speaker 1: don't win on this card. Maybe salary is more tight,
54:45
Speaker 1: and those low nine k upper eight K guys did
54:48
Speaker 1: close enough to Morob, and Morob had a floor win
54:52
Speaker 1: at like one hundred and twenty, so more than likely
54:55
Speaker 1: I probably had ninety plus percent of Morob. I will
54:57
Speaker 1: definitely be cheering for him. I will definitely have no
55:00
Speaker 1: Peter jan in any tournament team I build. That was fun,
55:04
Speaker 1: Big Marley fifty five minutes talking UFC three twenty three
55:08
Speaker 1: t mobile arene at six pm Eastern start time. Any
55:11
Speaker 1: final thoughts for the people before we get on out
55:13
Speaker 1: of here now.
55:14
Speaker 3: Hopefully it's good one final pay per view of the
55:17
Speaker 3: year final like pay per view period. We got Paramount
55:19
Speaker 3: coming up next year, so looking forward to that. Hopefully
55:22
Speaker 3: we go out with a bang. You already did, but man,
55:25
Speaker 3: good luck take it down again. Bro, good luck to
55:27
Speaker 3: you title, good luck to everybody listening.
55:29
Speaker 2: Let's ship it.
55:30
Speaker 1: Thank you. I will definitely try.
55:32
Speaker 4: I will say it will not be as easy of
55:34
Speaker 4: a sweat.
55:34
Speaker 1: Nothing's easy. But once Ozamir scored zero point eight less
55:38
Speaker 1: than oral Bay or whatever, I needed an Ian Gary
55:41
Speaker 1: boring win, and I mean boring scoring less than like
55:44
Speaker 1: ninety eight felt pretty good there. And I needed eighty
55:47
Speaker 1: seven from Armin, which I also felt pretty good. So
55:50
Speaker 1: there's not gonna be MMA sweats. Every sweats usually tough
55:54
Speaker 1: in DFS. I've never felt more calm during the sweat
55:57
Speaker 1: for that money, needing a Gary boring fight and Serukian
56:02
Speaker 1: to do Serukian things. So hopefully we get that with
56:04
Speaker 1: Morob you, I'd feel really confident if it was the
56:07
Speaker 1: last fight, needing just one hundred from Morob or something.
56:09
Speaker 1: So that's all.
56:11
Speaker 2: You know what that feeling feels like.
56:12
Speaker 1: Hey, let's hope this is the week for you. You
56:15
Speaker 1: meet anyone watching, we are cheering for you. Get those
56:17
Speaker 1: ship at Nation logos to the top of the leader boards.
56:21
Speaker 1: We very much appreciate it. We're everyone hanging out again.
56:24
Speaker 1: If you do want to check out more education MMA,
56:27
Speaker 1: Big Marley and I did an hour and a half
56:29
Speaker 1: video this summer talking MMA strategy, going through a lot
56:32
Speaker 1: answering questions. Definitely check that out again. You can join
56:35
Speaker 1: for as little as nineteen dollars using the coach Chip nineteen.
56:39
Speaker 1: We'd love to have you at the Nation. That's gonna
56:42
Speaker 1: do it for us. Good luck everybody this week in MMA,
56:45
Speaker 1: in NFL, in whatever you are playing for Big Marley,
56:48
Speaker 1: I'm title talent, Be safe, enjoy your weekend.
57:06
Speaker 2: Most hands hands had still.
57:16
Speaker 4: And then stimst.
57:19
Speaker 1: Hand then still
57:22
Speaker 2: Haste and then step