Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS Week 15 | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS Week 15 | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: All system's going clear. The lift up now that we've
0:36
Speaker 1: come to the end of the road, I'm just kidding.
0:42
Speaker 1: It's not the end of the road. It's just Conference
0:44
Speaker 1: Championship Week. There's still a full month and a half
0:46
Speaker 1: of college football left. Just because the regular season is over,
0:49
Speaker 1: it doesn't mean we're not still grinding on these college
0:51
Speaker 1: football streets. What's going on? Everybody? My name is Bill.
0:54
Speaker 1: Put a dollar in front of it. You'll find me
0:55
Speaker 1: on Discord and Twitter, and welcome to the Conference Championship
0:59
Speaker 1: Week ship at Nation College Football Breakdown Analysis Show. It's
1:03
Speaker 1: been a great season. I'm not ready for it to
1:06
Speaker 1: be over, but we still have bowl season. If you
1:08
Speaker 1: haven't played ball season in college football, it's a lot
1:09
Speaker 1: of fun. Most of it is tracking op outs and transfers,
1:13
Speaker 1: but it just creates a ton of opportunity. And we
1:17
Speaker 1: are continuing our Black Friday deal. You can get the
1:21
Speaker 1: rest of the football season, the NFL and college football
1:26
Speaker 1: content through the Super Bowl for forty nine dollars a month,
1:30
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1:31
Speaker 1: the season, or upgrade to sabersim for that one to
1:34
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1:37
Speaker 1: I know, through the Super Bowl, but that gets you
1:40
Speaker 1: all of the rest of December. Obviously. For the NFL,
1:44
Speaker 1: it gets you conference Championship weekend if you're doing this
1:46
Speaker 1: right now, and it will take us through bollseason. We
1:49
Speaker 1: saw the National Championship College Football Playoff and of course
1:52
Speaker 1: the NFL Playoffs, and it includes all of that. So
1:56
Speaker 1: it's a spectacular deal to get you through the rest
2:00
Speaker 1: of the football season. And week after week we continue
2:04
Speaker 1: to see the ship at Nation flag flying high. So
2:06
Speaker 1: I want to congratulate some of these people. I mean,
2:08
Speaker 1: Hamhock again with a big win. This time it's on fandle.
2:11
Speaker 1: He just went to FanDuel and did the same thing
2:13
Speaker 1: usually does on DraftKings our college football. But hard is
2:16
Speaker 1: twenty four K at forty four thousand dollars takedown GK
2:20
Speaker 1: with a twenty thousand dollars takedown and plenty of winners
2:24
Speaker 1: at all levels regardless of your bank roll. We're seeing
2:26
Speaker 1: a ton of guys. I mean, look, Ranger should have assumed,
2:30
Speaker 1: should have assumed he was going to be on here.
2:33
Speaker 1: Just another great week for the Nation, and now you're
2:35
Speaker 1: getting to be a part of it. At a discounted
2:37
Speaker 1: rate for the rest of the season. Check all of
2:40
Speaker 1: it out at ship at nation dot com. While we're
2:42
Speaker 1: here breaking down this college football slate, hit that like button.
2:46
Speaker 1: Look this says Friday. We're covering Friday this week, folks,
2:50
Speaker 1: So if you're watching this after Friday games are over,
2:54
Speaker 1: you can. It's fine if you want to scroll ahead.
2:56
Speaker 1: We should have this time stamped. You can scroll the
2:58
Speaker 1: bottom and find the game you want to see. But
3:01
Speaker 1: for those of you who are here early welcome, you
3:04
Speaker 1: get a little breakdown of Friday. We're gonna kick things
3:07
Speaker 1: off with Kennessas State and Jacksonville State. Now, I do
3:09
Speaker 1: want to mention all of the Friday Conference championship games
3:12
Speaker 1: are not neutral sites. The home team the favorite of
3:15
Speaker 1: the higher seed is the home team. So this one
3:17
Speaker 1: will be played in Jacksonville, Alabama, not Florida. Don't forget
3:22
Speaker 1: it for Kannessas State. To Mario odum Is, you know
3:27
Speaker 1: what I'll start. These teams did just play a few
3:29
Speaker 1: weeks ago. Jacksonville State won thirty five twenty six. You
3:32
Speaker 1: can see it's a thirty one twenty nine in Ish
3:35
Speaker 1: game projected, so a lot of points here in this
3:37
Speaker 1: first game there's gonna be a lot of points on
3:39
Speaker 1: this Friday sligh just you wait. But neither team got
3:44
Speaker 1: here because of their defense, and obviously Kannessas State is
3:46
Speaker 1: still favored on the road despite losing to the same
3:49
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State team a few weeks ago. I'mary Otum a
3:52
Speaker 1: duel threat, definitely under consideration here. Even being the highest
3:55
Speaker 1: priced quarterback on the slate, he struggled some of the
3:57
Speaker 1: first meeting. It actually got bench for Dexter Williams, So
3:59
Speaker 1: maybe this is like coming back with a vengeance sort
4:02
Speaker 1: of game for him. A high price, Like I said,
4:06
Speaker 1: but I gotta feel like Odam is in the driver's
4:10
Speaker 1: seat here. Dexter Williams only played one snap against Missouri State,
4:15
Speaker 1: and Amrio Odam is just an absolute freak. He's a stud.
4:18
Speaker 1: If you've watched any Conference USA football this year, Kannessas
4:21
Speaker 1: State is a lot of their successes do in large
4:24
Speaker 1: part to what Odum has been able to do for them.
4:27
Speaker 1: This running back room, there's gonna be multiple guys involved.
4:30
Speaker 1: Coleman Bennet's at a good price at fifty six hundred.
4:33
Speaker 1: He's the typical starting He's actually he's been a little
4:35
Speaker 1: bit up and down this season. He's dealt with some injuries,
4:37
Speaker 1: so we could see a little bit more Chase Belcher,
4:40
Speaker 1: who's had a really good back half of the season.
4:44
Speaker 1: But Belcher didn't have a great game against Liberty, which
4:46
Speaker 1: is the most recent game, so maybe that'll keep his
4:48
Speaker 1: ownership down. A running back option in the four k's
4:51
Speaker 1: which on this late as you'll see, there's some pretty
4:56
Speaker 1: obvious looking running back plays and you don't really get
4:59
Speaker 1: into those cheap prices, but these knessas steak guys in
5:02
Speaker 1: the thirty one and a half point team total, why
5:04
Speaker 1: not take a shot on him, especially in those GPPs.
5:09
Speaker 1: Maybe not talking for cash, but for GPPs to get
5:12
Speaker 1: exposure to a running back that's going to open up
5:14
Speaker 1: a lot more salary elsewhere. Maybe not the worst idea
5:17
Speaker 1: in the world. And then if you're playing a pass
5:19
Speaker 1: catcher for kanisas State, it's Gabriel Benyard, It's Ben Gabriel Benyard.
5:23
Speaker 1: All season, he's involved in short passes, long passes, end
5:26
Speaker 1: to rounds. They get him the ball basically any way
5:29
Speaker 1: they can. Now Christian Moss and Clayton Kopick have kind
5:33
Speaker 1: of turned into two A and two B and both
5:35
Speaker 1: are on the field a ton, and really, if you
5:37
Speaker 1: look at the last few weeks, the passing game has
5:39
Speaker 1: funneled to these three guys like Lennon Navari Lynnon Rvari
5:42
Speaker 1: has disappeared. Jared Gerard Bullock is going to be on
5:46
Speaker 1: the field, but he's not really as involved as a
5:48
Speaker 1: tight end as Benyard, Moss and Kopics. So you know,
5:52
Speaker 1: Benyard is more expensive for good reason. So you get
5:54
Speaker 1: decent value with Moss and copic and they're good ways
5:59
Speaker 1: to get value at the wide receiver position on a
6:02
Speaker 1: slate that looks like you're probably going to be paying
6:05
Speaker 1: up a little bit of quarterback and running back. A
6:08
Speaker 1: similar sensation for Jacksonville State, as we saw Kennesaw Cayden
6:12
Speaker 1: Creele dual threat quarterback has a ton of upside. He's
6:15
Speaker 1: rushed for one hundred yards and four straight and also
6:17
Speaker 1: thrown for about two hundred and two touchdowns in the
6:19
Speaker 1: last couple so he's got upside through the air and
6:22
Speaker 1: on the ground. Gotta beware of the backup quarterback though.
6:25
Speaker 1: Gavin wimsat the Rutgers slash Kentucky transfer is probably going
6:30
Speaker 1: to see the field for a few snaps and sometimes
6:32
Speaker 1: he throws the touchdowns instead of Creole. I don't think
6:36
Speaker 1: it should scare you off of Creole just due to
6:38
Speaker 1: the volume, but just something to be aware of. Cam
6:42
Speaker 1: Cook is basically the rest of this offense. Twenty or
6:44
Speaker 1: more carries in every game except two this year, and
6:46
Speaker 1: in those two games he had seventeen and eighteen. One
6:49
Speaker 1: hundred yards in every game except for two, a touchdown
6:51
Speaker 1: or more in every game but two. Kind of sounds
6:53
Speaker 1: like a trend to me. Good shot he gets one
6:56
Speaker 1: hundred yards and a touchdown in this game, he honestly
6:58
Speaker 1: should probably be nine case so at eight K for
7:01
Speaker 1: a running back, it's spending, but for him it's a
7:05
Speaker 1: discount Lando and policy of the field. But nothing again
7:09
Speaker 1: that'll scare me off a Cook. And then the game.
7:11
Speaker 1: Cocks run the ball way more than they throw. In
7:14
Speaker 1: the last match against Kennesa State, they only threw the
7:16
Speaker 1: ball fourteen times. But if they do open up the pass,
7:19
Speaker 1: it will likely go to one of these four guys.
7:21
Speaker 1: And DeAndre Johnson has really come on strong in the
7:24
Speaker 1: last you know, five six weeks, dropping fewer balls than
7:27
Speaker 1: he was earlier in the season. He's probably the best
7:29
Speaker 1: big play threat on this team, and I would say
7:33
Speaker 1: the most likely of the bunch to hit that hundred
7:35
Speaker 1: yard bonus, even if he only gets four to five targets.
7:38
Speaker 1: So if you're looking for a cheap option as a
7:40
Speaker 1: wide receiver, Johnson's definitely another option. But with a sixty
7:45
Speaker 1: and a half point team total, I think there are
7:47
Speaker 1: a ton of ways to get exposure to this game
7:51
Speaker 1: and you know, still be able to capitalize. You know,
7:55
Speaker 1: there's different mixes and matches you can do with this game.
7:58
Speaker 1: Just because they're two bad football teams doesn't mean, I mean,
8:00
Speaker 1: shouldn't say bad football teams. They're good for Conference USA. Well,
8:03
Speaker 1: obviously they're in the championship, Troy James Madison. This one
8:08
Speaker 1: is shaping up to be a blowout. Sorry, TROYD. You're
8:11
Speaker 1: kind of the ugly duckling of this slate. It's really
8:13
Speaker 1: hard to pull the trigger on any of these guys.
8:15
Speaker 1: You know, Goose Crowder did just throw it for three
8:17
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty yards, but it was not against a
8:20
Speaker 1: defense like James Madison's, And I mean there aren't many
8:22
Speaker 1: defenses like James Madison's in the Sun Belt anyways. Tough
8:26
Speaker 1: to play these running backs, these wide receivers are a
8:28
Speaker 1: little bit intriguing. Robro Thomas, dj FS and Peyton Higgins
8:32
Speaker 1: all have some upside because if Troy is going to
8:35
Speaker 1: be throwing the ball all out, there's a chance one
8:37
Speaker 1: or multiple of these guys get like seven to ten targets,
8:40
Speaker 1: So you could get at, you know, thirty eight hundred
8:41
Speaker 1: and thirty three hundred for Thomas and Higgins. I mean,
8:43
Speaker 1: forty six hundred is getting up there for a Troy
8:45
Speaker 1: wide receiver. But on that target share, I mean you
8:49
Speaker 1: could get seven to eight points on receptions and then
8:53
Speaker 1: you don't really need as much, you know, to get
8:56
Speaker 1: to the point you need with like if you're going
8:57
Speaker 1: to be paying up at running back fin that value
9:00
Speaker 1: wide receiver is gonna be key, And if people are
9:02
Speaker 1: going to be ignoring Troy, I don't mind taking a
9:04
Speaker 1: shot on these guys. Even with just an eleven and
9:05
Speaker 1: a half point team total on the James Madison side,
9:09
Speaker 1: there's a lot of stuff to love. They got the
9:11
Speaker 1: new coach, Billy Napier. If you haven't heard Alanza Barnett,
9:15
Speaker 1: seventy four hundred just I mean, it seems ridiculous. We
9:18
Speaker 1: just saw this team destroy Coastal Carolina and I don't know,
9:24
Speaker 1: they've been destroying teams all year. They're in the It
9:26
Speaker 1: doesn't seem like they have a shot to make the playoff.
9:29
Speaker 1: But if they absolutely no, I'm not even gonna come
9:32
Speaker 1: into prediction there. It's it's probably gonna be from the
9:34
Speaker 1: next game. The American team is probably gonna make the playoff.
9:39
Speaker 1: But a ton of projected team total team wow, scratch that,
9:45
Speaker 1: reverse start over high team total thirty five points, Alonza
9:50
Speaker 1: Barnett seventy four hundred. It seems like a perfect recipe.
9:52
Speaker 1: He's got some dual threat upside for sure, and he's
9:56
Speaker 1: gonna be a big part of the scoring in this
9:58
Speaker 1: game in all likelihood. Now, Matt Sluca, Yes, that's the
10:01
Speaker 1: same guy who left UNLB midseason last year. He could
10:06
Speaker 1: still get involved. Oh my gosh, another dual threat quarterback
10:08
Speaker 1: who's backup might snipe a few snaps. Wherever heard that
10:12
Speaker 1: one before? It's not going to be the last time
10:15
Speaker 1: we hear it either, anyway. Barnet's in a great spot.
10:18
Speaker 1: Wayne I mean Newman, I mean Wayne Knight new Man.
10:24
Speaker 1: Golly gee, I'm struggling with James Madison. Just forget I
10:29
Speaker 1: even tried making that Seinfeld joke. Wayne Knight's a great
10:32
Speaker 1: play at sixty six hundred. He's got a great floor,
10:36
Speaker 1: great ceiling, potential to touch the ball twenty to twenty
10:39
Speaker 1: five times. Now, one thing I do want to watch
10:43
Speaker 1: and you know, make sure you're aware of his Jordan
10:45
Speaker 1: Fuller could be back from injury. He is currently questionable,
10:48
Speaker 1: hasn't played in a few weeks, but he's been known
10:51
Speaker 1: to snipe a touchdown or two. Could take some touches
10:53
Speaker 1: away even if he doesn't go. George Petaway got some
10:56
Speaker 1: carries early in that Coastal game, and Joey Mallory had
10:59
Speaker 1: a huge game, but a lot of it was in
11:00
Speaker 1: clean up duty. And then Iowa Day, who's not on
11:04
Speaker 1: the screen, has played in four games this year and
11:07
Speaker 1: could conserve his red shirt even if he plays in
11:10
Speaker 1: this game because it doesn't like I'm the playoff games
11:13
Speaker 1: don't count toward the red shirts, so don't be surprised
11:15
Speaker 1: if we see five different running backs in this game.
11:17
Speaker 1: But at sixty six hundred, Wayne Knight just sets up
11:20
Speaker 1: to be in a stellar spot. And then the wide receivers.
11:24
Speaker 1: If just to give you an idea of James Madison,
11:27
Speaker 1: Wayne at Night is the second leading target getter, the
11:30
Speaker 1: second leading reception getter, and third and receiving yards for
11:35
Speaker 1: James Madison. So they don't throw a ton. When they
11:37
Speaker 1: do a lot of it's to the running back anyway.
11:40
Speaker 1: I do like the value though for a guy like
11:42
Speaker 1: Dejanio at thirty six hundred. Landon Ellis is going to
11:48
Speaker 1: be back. He missed the last game. So five k
11:52
Speaker 1: is just tough on this slate with the way pricing
11:55
Speaker 1: works out, especially at wide receiver, where that seems like
11:57
Speaker 1: a place where you're going to want to get some value.
12:00
Speaker 1: Five K is a tough click for a team that
12:01
Speaker 1: doesn't throw the ball as much as James Madison. But hey,
12:03
Speaker 1: that's a way to get exposure to this team and
12:05
Speaker 1: maybe be a little bit different. All right, we're only
12:09
Speaker 1: on game three. Let's compose ourselves, Bill and get to
12:13
Speaker 1: the American. This is basically a playing game between North
12:17
Speaker 1: Texas and two Lane. Oh look, another high total competitive game.
12:19
Speaker 1: These teams also did not get here because of their
12:21
Speaker 1: defense on the North Texas side. The coaching change. Eric
12:25
Speaker 1: Morris is headed to Oklahoma State, but he is still
12:27
Speaker 1: going to coach Lane. We know Drew Mestemaker can put
12:32
Speaker 1: up numbers. But did you know he was the backup
12:35
Speaker 1: quarterback his senior year of high school? Have you heard
12:38
Speaker 1: that before? Man? Crazy? Right? But he is sub eight
12:43
Speaker 1: k which is something we're not used to seeing. I
12:45
Speaker 1: know he's not a dual threat like some of the
12:47
Speaker 1: other quarterbacks we're talking about, but he's thrown for six
12:49
Speaker 1: hundred yards in a game this year outside of the
12:52
Speaker 1: Navy game, he scored at least twenty two and a
12:54
Speaker 1: half points or in other words, basically three x this
12:57
Speaker 1: price and sometimes more, sometimes more than that. He's done
13:02
Speaker 1: that in six straight games. So Messa makers in a
13:04
Speaker 1: great spot Caleb Hawkins. So if he scores fifty, he's
13:11
Speaker 1: probably gonna pay off. But at ten to five, you
13:15
Speaker 1: really got to consider what he does to the rest
13:17
Speaker 1: of your lineup. He's gotten there in three of the
13:21
Speaker 1: last four, or forty nine or more points in three
13:23
Speaker 1: of the last four games. In North Texas continues to
13:26
Speaker 1: put up points. They're scoring fifty points a game like
13:28
Speaker 1: it's their job. I don't know, there's a lot of
13:31
Speaker 1: touchdowns to go around, too. So Caleb Hawkins ten five
13:34
Speaker 1: if you can afford it. I honestly don't know that
13:37
Speaker 1: a lot of people are gonna get there just because
13:39
Speaker 1: of the salary and what it does to your roster.
13:42
Speaker 1: So if you can get different with the guy that's
13:44
Speaker 1: gonna score fifty points, I don't hate it. It's just
13:47
Speaker 1: it's really difficult to do. So more power to you
13:49
Speaker 1: if you can. If you find a lineup you like
13:51
Speaker 1: with him, by all means, play him. Maybe the safest
13:54
Speaker 1: floor raw points floor, I'll say again ten to five
13:59
Speaker 1: is just tough. And then Wyatt Young again at a
14:02
Speaker 1: position where it seems like you're gonna want to pay down.
14:07
Speaker 1: Whyite Young at eighty one hundred is a tough click.
14:10
Speaker 1: But he's basically the receiver version of Caleb Hawkins, like
14:13
Speaker 1: they're the same the same setup in terms of how
14:17
Speaker 1: this slate goes. And last week he went for six
14:21
Speaker 1: and one twenty seven and that was a letdown. Cam Dorner,
14:25
Speaker 1: the guy right under him, is the guy that found
14:27
Speaker 1: the end zone, and he's basically half the price of
14:30
Speaker 1: Wyat Young. So Dorner probably more of the cash play.
14:35
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think this North Texas side there's
14:38
Speaker 1: a lot of potential here, but other than Messa Maker
14:40
Speaker 1: and like Dorner and maybe Miles Coleman. If you think
14:43
Speaker 1: he can get get back on the field a little
14:45
Speaker 1: bit more, you're gonna be paying for it. But definitely,
14:49
Speaker 1: like a team with thirty four and a half point
14:50
Speaker 1: team total almost tied for the highest point total on
14:54
Speaker 1: the slate, I think you're gonna want pieces of this team.
14:57
Speaker 1: And then on the other side, two lane John summerl
15:00
Speaker 1: headed to Florida. Oh look, another dual threat quarterback who's
15:04
Speaker 1: backup might snipe a few snaps on the field. Jake
15:07
Speaker 1: retz Laugh has basically been stellar for DFS outside of
15:09
Speaker 1: the ole Miss game. Hit three excess price in every
15:12
Speaker 1: game this year, at least most of the games. His
15:15
Speaker 1: price is just too low. Seventy two hundred too low
15:18
Speaker 1: of a price in this game where his team's projected
15:19
Speaker 1: to score thirty two points. Now, one thing I will
15:21
Speaker 1: say is that he has not run the ball as
15:24
Speaker 1: much the last few weeks, But I also don't know
15:27
Speaker 1: that they've needed to. I do think if it's red
15:31
Speaker 1: Laughs legs that they need to get to the finish
15:33
Speaker 1: line in this game, they'll absolutely use him. And if
15:37
Speaker 1: that's the case, if he can get his legs going in,
15:39
Speaker 1: I think he's probably the most likely to throw for
15:41
Speaker 1: three hundred and rush for one hundred on the slate,
15:44
Speaker 1: and it's seventy two hundred. That's just too hard for
15:45
Speaker 1: me to ignore. Got Jamari McClure and Javin Gordon have
15:50
Speaker 1: basically been splitting snaps the last three games, but McClure
15:53
Speaker 1: got the start against Charlotte and he's just been the
15:55
Speaker 1: more effect back. So yes, it is running back by committee,
15:58
Speaker 1: but I think five to four is a fair price
16:00
Speaker 1: if you're gonna get into that middle range. For middle
16:03
Speaker 1: to cheaper range, I guess for these running backs and
16:05
Speaker 1: then the wide receiver. There's ten guys on two lane
16:08
Speaker 1: that have caught a touchdown pass this year, and all
16:11
Speaker 1: of those guys have played ten or more games, so
16:14
Speaker 1: it's not like a one off or two off game
16:16
Speaker 1: that somebody early in the season was getting touchdowns whatever.
16:19
Speaker 1: Jas Preston has probably been the most consistent. Anthony Brown Stevens,
16:23
Speaker 1: I don't mind him either. Omar Hayes has been getting
16:26
Speaker 1: a little bit more work out of the slot without
16:28
Speaker 1: Bryce Bohannan, and Bohannan's not gonna he's doubtful, so he's
16:31
Speaker 1: not expected to play in this game. So maybe you
16:33
Speaker 1: can get some value with Hayes if he does move
16:35
Speaker 1: down into the slot a little bit more, and Zykarl
16:38
Speaker 1: Lewis and Trey Shackelford have both been seeing the field
16:40
Speaker 1: a little bit more on No Bohannan too, so a
16:43
Speaker 1: couple of ways to get some real cheap guys. Don't
16:47
Speaker 1: love the passing game for two lane. Like again, there's
16:50
Speaker 1: nothing that I'm absolutely in love with on this team
16:53
Speaker 1: but a thirty two point team total. I feel like
16:56
Speaker 1: there's gonna be guys that are gonna get there, and
16:58
Speaker 1: there's gonna be guys that are a little own that are
17:00
Speaker 1: gonna get there for that reason. So I know Brett's
17:03
Speaker 1: laugh looks the best, but don't ignore his pass catchers either,
17:06
Speaker 1: because if he throws three touchdowns and two of them
17:08
Speaker 1: go to one of these guys, that could be the
17:10
Speaker 1: key to separate yourself at the top of the leaderboard.
17:15
Speaker 1: UNLV at Boise State a rematch of last year and
17:18
Speaker 1: also a rematch of October eighteenth, in which Boise won
17:21
Speaker 1: fifty six to thirty one points. That's a lot of points,
17:27
Speaker 1: but this time of year, Whather's probably a factor in Boise.
17:31
Speaker 1: Anthony Calandria cheap price decent spot also has some dual
17:35
Speaker 1: threat If dual threats were holes on this slate, I'd
17:38
Speaker 1: be tired of this, Grandpa. That is a long way
17:41
Speaker 1: for a joke. But if you know, you know, if
17:43
Speaker 1: you're keeping up with me at this point, kudos to you,
17:46
Speaker 1: great movie. But Kalandria at seven k it just it
17:50
Speaker 1: seems like a no brainer. Even twenty six and a
17:52
Speaker 1: half points is a high implay team total, even though
17:54
Speaker 1: it's one of the lower ones on the slate. Don't
17:56
Speaker 1: let the slate fool you. He's in a good spot.
17:58
Speaker 1: Jaydon Thomas is a little more expensive than how in
18:01
Speaker 1: terms of how running backs look on this slate, but
18:04
Speaker 1: he's involved in the run and the pass game. I
18:06
Speaker 1: don't mind him at all, and he might be a
18:08
Speaker 1: way to get different and people aren't going to play him.
18:10
Speaker 1: He is on the injury report is questionable, so that's
18:13
Speaker 1: something we'll have to watch. I assume he's going to play,
18:15
Speaker 1: but you never know. And then but it was Jalen
18:20
Speaker 1: Glover who had the better game against Boise the first
18:23
Speaker 1: time around, but he did it on six carries, had
18:25
Speaker 1: some explosive plays. Jayden Thomas, it's still his backfield and
18:30
Speaker 1: the wide receiver room. Jayden Bradley is also on the
18:32
Speaker 1: injury report. He still does seem like the alpha here,
18:36
Speaker 1: but it has leveled out a little bit in terms
18:39
Speaker 1: of target share. Dade Reynolds and Troomeia have been pretty involved.
18:44
Speaker 1: D'Angelo Irvin even had a big game against Boise when
18:46
Speaker 1: they played, and he could see the field a little
18:48
Speaker 1: bit more here. Some sneaky value in this UNLV pass
18:51
Speaker 1: catcher room if if you need a cheap wide receiver
18:55
Speaker 1: and you want to get different with that cheap wide receiver,
18:58
Speaker 1: not the worst options on the Boise states Maddox Manson
19:01
Speaker 1: is going to start. Is that a good thing? If
19:03
Speaker 1: he's healthy. Probably he played really well against UNLV the
19:07
Speaker 1: first time around. He's only sixty six hundred, and what
19:09
Speaker 1: is he like if he gets you twenty? I think
19:12
Speaker 1: he might be pretty happy with this. And it would
19:13
Speaker 1: help you pay for some of those expensive running backs.
19:16
Speaker 1: So it's a price play here for me. Riley and
19:20
Speaker 1: Gaines are in a split and they're again expensive for
19:22
Speaker 1: a running back by committee, but I kind of like
19:25
Speaker 1: taking a shot on him if their ownership is going
19:27
Speaker 1: to be capped because of it, and like Riley has
19:29
Speaker 1: been out snapping Gains and it just but it does
19:32
Speaker 1: seem like one of them is going to get there
19:35
Speaker 1: and they like whether it's Riley or Gains, they could
19:38
Speaker 1: definitely outscore one of the Chalkier backs. It's just a
19:40
Speaker 1: matter of figuring out the right one and making sure
19:43
Speaker 1: that's the one in your lineup. Chris Marshall is back,
19:45
Speaker 1: and he's probably happy Maddox Manson is back because he
19:48
Speaker 1: had zero catches on six targets with the backup in
19:50
Speaker 1: the game. The first time against the ReBs, he had
19:52
Speaker 1: a touchdown. He was just a few yards away from
19:54
Speaker 1: that one hundred yard bonus. So I think Chris Marshall's
19:57
Speaker 1: probably underpriced, you know, like you look at his numbers
20:01
Speaker 1: and they don't look great, but you also got to
20:03
Speaker 1: remember he missed time and zero catches on six targets,
20:06
Speaker 1: so kind of affect your numbers to two in in
20:09
Speaker 1: this last game. And then cables Penry Louder like, these
20:14
Speaker 1: guys are all in okay spots. I mean they'll be
20:17
Speaker 1: on the field for Boise. Great game environment, a lot
20:20
Speaker 1: of points. Yeah, it's a good late hammer technical eight
20:26
Speaker 1: to one from eight. I don't know it's the last
20:30
Speaker 1: game on the slate, we'll call it that, so it's
20:32
Speaker 1: it's not a bad spot. And if if people are
20:34
Speaker 1: going to be ignoring this game because you know, they
20:37
Speaker 1: want to play Cook and Night in this North Texas
20:41
Speaker 1: two laying game, if we're going to see some ownership
20:43
Speaker 1: captain this last game, that makes me love it even more.
20:47
Speaker 1: All Right, on a Saturday, Welcome. If you are watching
20:51
Speaker 1: after the Friday slate was over and you skipped ahead,
20:54
Speaker 1: welcome to this part of the video. You don't need
20:58
Speaker 1: don't watch Friday. I definitely did it perfectly, though. Don't
21:01
Speaker 1: let anybody tell you different. All right, we'll start with
21:05
Speaker 1: BYU at Texas Tech. We know what happened in the
21:07
Speaker 1: first game, so we can't play BYU, right, I mean, honestly,
21:12
Speaker 1: probably Tech won that game twenty nine to seven. They
21:15
Speaker 1: handled it. They probably could have put up more points
21:17
Speaker 1: if they wanted to. It's just it's a lot of
21:19
Speaker 1: tough clicks because Bear Bachmeyer being nine hundred dollars more
21:21
Speaker 1: than the guy across from him and Baron Morton makes
21:24
Speaker 1: it even tougher. Click to look at LJ. Martin Great
21:27
Speaker 1: Player seventy two hundred for a running back though, just
21:29
Speaker 1: not a great matchup, and SIONI moo is gonna is
21:32
Speaker 1: expected to give it a go. He's off the report
21:34
Speaker 1: now BYU actually has a pretty clean injury report. So
21:37
Speaker 1: while like MOA's not going to take over the RB
21:39
Speaker 1: one or anything like that, he might eat into Martin
21:41
Speaker 1: Snaps a little bit more than the rest of these
21:43
Speaker 1: guys did while MOA was out. And then this wide
21:46
Speaker 1: receiver room. Ye, I think like Parker Kingston and Chase Roberts,
21:50
Speaker 1: probably I'll hold some upside no matter what the matchup is,
21:54
Speaker 1: and I think Jojo Phillips even has a little bit
21:57
Speaker 1: of upside. At thirty three hundred and by you should
22:01
Speaker 1: have a better game plan coming into this, right, you
22:03
Speaker 1: would think. So it doesn't look like it's a good
22:07
Speaker 1: spot on paper, but definitely a spot that you can
22:09
Speaker 1: get some leverage if they can keep this game competitive,
22:12
Speaker 1: which it's not likely, but it is possible. Just to
22:16
Speaker 1: always remember that it is possible. Appalachian State beat Michigan.
22:20
Speaker 1: That's what everybody always goes back to. It is possible.
22:24
Speaker 1: So BYU the way to get different. Don't love it,
22:29
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. I do like a little bit more Baron
22:32
Speaker 1: Morton probably too cheap here, as I kind of already
22:35
Speaker 1: alluded to. Even against a decent defense, the rep Raators
22:38
Speaker 1: are still projected to score more than thirty points, and
22:40
Speaker 1: they've kind of been conserving some of their guys. Morton
22:43
Speaker 1: included he hasn't met playing full games. And I think
22:46
Speaker 1: you can even play Morton without a receiver at sixty
22:49
Speaker 1: seven hundred, especially if you think he's going to spread
22:52
Speaker 1: it out and may not take a receiver with him.
22:55
Speaker 1: But if Baron Morton throws for three hundred yards and
22:57
Speaker 1: three touchdowns and each of those touchdowns goes to a
22:59
Speaker 1: different guy, you're gonna love. You're gonna love that DFS
23:02
Speaker 1: score at six to seven. Cam Dickey and Jacoby Williams
23:06
Speaker 1: are just an insane one two punch at running back
23:08
Speaker 1: at these prices. Obviously, Williams feels like the safer cash play.
23:11
Speaker 1: Dickie definitely still has that upside. I think you'd be
23:14
Speaker 1: pretty happy with the way the slate shapes out if
23:16
Speaker 1: you played Dicky and he ends up getting you twenty
23:18
Speaker 1: or more points just for the raw points there. It
23:22
Speaker 1: just like I said, good one two punch, I will
23:26
Speaker 1: probably pick the wrong one for most of my lineups.
23:29
Speaker 1: But both of these guys certainly in play and then
23:31
Speaker 1: the wide receiver room. I kind of already alluded to
23:33
Speaker 1: it that they do spread the ball around a little
23:35
Speaker 1: bit more. However, Caleb Douglas does seem like wide receiver one,
23:40
Speaker 1: and he did have an awesome touchdown against BYU the
23:43
Speaker 1: first time around, but that's really all he did in
23:45
Speaker 1: that game. I do think all three of these top guys,
23:48
Speaker 1: maybe even Egan can get there, but Douglas and Virgil
23:51
Speaker 1: seemed like the safest. We just saw Terrence Carter have
23:53
Speaker 1: an absolute smash game against West Virginia. So it's like
23:58
Speaker 1: I said, you compare an any of these guys of
24:00
Speaker 1: Baron Morton if you want to. You don't have to
24:02
Speaker 1: play him with Morton. You could just play the running
24:04
Speaker 1: game from this Texas tech side and think you'd be
24:06
Speaker 1: fine a few different ways to play it. But maybe
24:08
Speaker 1: it's some exposure that you want since aiau's it's such
24:11
Speaker 1: a high team total. All right, we're to the MAC.
24:15
Speaker 1: I'm so glad they put the MAC game on Saturday.
24:17
Speaker 1: I think it's because they played a neutral site. This
24:19
Speaker 1: game is going to be at Ford Field, Miami, Ohio.
24:21
Speaker 1: Chuck Martin and his red sweater vest going up against
24:24
Speaker 1: Western Michigan. This game has already happened once this year too,
24:28
Speaker 1: and Miami won at home twenty six seventeen, so it
24:32
Speaker 1: was a lower scoring game. Since then, Dakwan finn Is
24:36
Speaker 1: pieced out, Henry Hesson got benched, and we got Tommy Gotkowski.
24:40
Speaker 1: He's been decent. He's got a little bit of dual
24:42
Speaker 1: threat to him. Everybody. The week they played Hessen and
24:44
Speaker 1: Hessen got benched, got Kowski looked like an All Star.
24:48
Speaker 1: And he doesn't have the name credit some of the
24:50
Speaker 1: other guys, but at sixty one hundred man and in
24:52
Speaker 1: a MAC game, what easily can get there at sixty
24:55
Speaker 1: one hundred. If people are going to avoid him just
24:58
Speaker 1: because he plays for a MAC team, it's your time
25:01
Speaker 1: to It is your time to get some leverage on
25:04
Speaker 1: a Tommy Goatkowski. Jordan Brunson has taken control of the
25:08
Speaker 1: backfield since Kenny Tracy went down, and it's not a
25:11
Speaker 1: bad spot for him either. Western Michigan's defense is one
25:14
Speaker 1: of the better ones in the MAX, so I could
25:16
Speaker 1: understand the hesitancy there and don't look out for Deshonte Jones.
25:20
Speaker 1: He is a wrecking ball. He's not too tall, but
25:22
Speaker 1: he is hafty. He's not going to get in much,
25:25
Speaker 1: but when he does, he might run a de tackle
25:27
Speaker 1: over and there's a chance he snipes a touchdown. I'm
25:30
Speaker 1: not advocating to play him at four K, but if
25:34
Speaker 1: you do watch this Mac game, look out for him.
25:36
Speaker 1: He's fun to watch. He's pretty good for a true freshman,
25:39
Speaker 1: especially by MAX standards. And then the wide receiver room,
25:42
Speaker 1: cam Perry's a favorite target here. That doesn't really change
25:45
Speaker 1: no matter who's playing quarterback. But I will say Cole
25:47
Speaker 1: Weaver has kind of worked himself into sort of a
25:49
Speaker 1: one B role with this wide receiver room. I watched
25:53
Speaker 1: him earlier this year get something like seven targets on
25:55
Speaker 1: one drive. I thought it was great. I had him
25:57
Speaker 1: in my lineup. Unfortunately he only caught like two or
25:59
Speaker 1: three of them. I mean, maybe some sneaky value if
26:02
Speaker 1: you can get him at lower ownership here, especially if
26:05
Speaker 1: you need next to three hundred dollars and you can't
26:06
Speaker 1: afford Perry. Weavers not a terrible option. On the other side,
26:10
Speaker 1: brock Lowry might be the highest stone player on the
26:12
Speaker 1: slates sixty five hundred for quite possibly the biggest dual
26:17
Speaker 1: threat across the board. Maybe you're not biggest dual threat.
26:21
Speaker 1: I shouldn't say that. He's maybe the best runner running
26:23
Speaker 1: quarterback on the board. But outside of his outside of
26:28
Speaker 1: the big ten games that Western Michigan played, the worst
26:32
Speaker 1: game he played was against Miami Ohio earlier this year,
26:34
Speaker 1: and he still got eighteen points and change. So at
26:37
Speaker 1: sixty five hundred, don't don't think too hard about it.
26:41
Speaker 1: He is the offense goes through Lowry and mostly his legs.
26:46
Speaker 1: Jalen Buckley picks up the rest of the running for
26:48
Speaker 1: the Broncos. We'll see sprinkles of Devin Miles and Olfa Mattle,
26:53
Speaker 1: but Jalen Buckley is the guy. Six k's a little
26:56
Speaker 1: bit tougher, but like between him and Lowry, it's basically
27:02
Speaker 1: their offense. When they do throw, it's not pretty all
27:07
Speaker 1: the time. It's like fifty to fifty, it's going to
27:09
Speaker 1: be a pretty throw. But the other thing is when
27:11
Speaker 1: they do throw, it's most likely going to the league Williams,
27:14
Speaker 1: and even when he only got one target in their
27:16
Speaker 1: last game, he still ran the ball five times for
27:18
Speaker 1: sixty seven yards and a touchdown. So even if they
27:20
Speaker 1: don't target him. He's got upside. In the running game.
27:23
Speaker 1: You can consider Sanol Brooks Bosma. They're dart throws but
27:27
Speaker 1: it's lowry, then a drop off to Buckley, then a
27:29
Speaker 1: drop off to Williams. I will say I would think,
27:33
Speaker 1: I do think it would be awesome if these teams
27:36
Speaker 1: took off and this game ended up being the highest
27:38
Speaker 1: total game. That'd be so much fun. I would love
27:40
Speaker 1: the back to get the spotlight in DFS, even if
27:43
Speaker 1: they don't get it in real life football. All right,
27:47
Speaker 1: Georgia at Alabama Georgia favorite, even though Bama beat them
27:51
Speaker 1: in Athens earlier this year. Gunnar Stockton is a dual threat.
27:54
Speaker 1: But you gotta wonder if his upside is capped here
27:57
Speaker 1: A because Georgia hasn't Alabama problem, but b because Georgia
28:03
Speaker 1: center Drew Bobo is out. We don't talk a ton
28:07
Speaker 1: about offensive lineman when we're thinking about DFS, but if
28:10
Speaker 1: you watch that Georgia Tech game last week, there was
28:13
Speaker 1: a clear drop off in Georgia's offense when Bobo went down.
28:17
Speaker 1: They're really going to be missing him, and that's that's
28:20
Speaker 1: something that's probably going to give me a lot of
28:22
Speaker 1: pause when I'm looking at this Georgia team even if
28:24
Speaker 1: I think they can win this game. Did you watch
28:28
Speaker 1: the Georgia Tech game last week? Sixteen points against a
28:33
Speaker 1: team that doesn't play a ton of defense. So I
28:38
Speaker 1: mean that's look, we're talking about an offensive lineman on
28:42
Speaker 1: a DFS show as a former offensive lineman and fat guy,
28:45
Speaker 1: and at current fat guy. It warms my heart. I'm
28:49
Speaker 1: sorry it's an injury that brought up an offensive lineman,
28:52
Speaker 1: but at least the offensive linemen are getting some love.
28:55
Speaker 1: So Stockton at eighty three hundred is just a tough
28:57
Speaker 1: click A because of his price, b because of this,
29:00
Speaker 1: and see, because he's playing Alabama, the same reason I
29:03
Speaker 1: would have pause for the running game. Now, Chauncey Bowens
29:06
Speaker 1: should be back. He didn't play last week and the
29:09
Speaker 1: Alabama game was his breakout game. Nate Fraser got bench
29:12
Speaker 1: for a fumble and Chauncey Bowenes came in and ran
29:14
Speaker 1: for something like one hundred and twenty yards. Fraser is
29:17
Speaker 1: at a cheaper price. I don't mind him, but again,
29:20
Speaker 1: the center issue's given me pause. And then this wide
29:23
Speaker 1: receiver room Zechery Branch has maintained his alpha role in
29:26
Speaker 1: this room forty seven hundred. I just don't understand why
29:29
Speaker 1: they keep his price solo for how much involvement he
29:32
Speaker 1: has in this offense. He'd probably be my favorite play
29:34
Speaker 1: from the Georgia side. And Noah Thomas does have some
29:37
Speaker 1: upside Dylan Bell. I mean I did see him take
29:39
Speaker 1: a shot to Dylan Bell last week. If it would
29:42
Speaker 1: have been completed, maybe you could see the upside there,
29:46
Speaker 1: But I just I'm not seeing it. I do like
29:48
Speaker 1: Branch and Thomas though. On the Alabama side, Ty Simpson
29:52
Speaker 1: I think does have three hundred yard upside here. It's
29:54
Speaker 1: just a matter if you want to pay eighty one
29:55
Speaker 1: hundred dollars for a quarterback. On the slate, I certainly
29:58
Speaker 1: think there's a path and I this is actually a
30:01
Speaker 1: pretty good spot to talk about how this looks like
30:06
Speaker 1: the slate overall. There's one really high total game and
30:09
Speaker 1: it's coming up later. It's a ACC championship game spoiler alert.
30:13
Speaker 1: Could it work to overstack that game and ignore most
30:15
Speaker 1: of this stuff before it? Sure? But rather I think
30:18
Speaker 1: you want to look and you want to find your
30:21
Speaker 1: stacks in that Duke Virginia game and then come back
30:24
Speaker 1: and find some pieces from these earlier games that maybe
30:28
Speaker 1: are going to go a little bit lower on because
30:29
Speaker 1: the totals don't look as good, and maybe even mini
30:32
Speaker 1: stack one of these games. Find a couple of guys
30:34
Speaker 1: from this game, like zach riat Branch has seven catches
30:37
Speaker 1: for ninety five yards in a touchdown. Georgia can still
30:39
Speaker 1: lose this football game seventeen to seven, but Branch is
30:42
Speaker 1: going to have a stellar game at forty seven hundred.
30:44
Speaker 1: It's not about how many points the team scores. It's
30:48
Speaker 1: about the guys that get them those points and that
30:51
Speaker 1: move them down the field to get those points. So
30:55
Speaker 1: just because these teams have lower totals and it doesn't
31:00
Speaker 1: look as nice to stack, he can still find some
31:02
Speaker 1: mini stacks, I think, in all four of these games
31:05
Speaker 1: leading up to the high total game later. So don't
31:09
Speaker 1: ignore these games, you know, in terms like you wouldn't
31:14
Speaker 1: ignore them because you'll have some one offs, but don't
31:16
Speaker 1: be afraid to do like some mini stacks too for
31:18
Speaker 1: that reason. All right, tangent over, Hopefully that made sense.
31:22
Speaker 1: Hopefully that was helpful. I don't know anyway, Daniel Hill,
31:27
Speaker 1: he might be the only guy in his backfield. Kevin
31:30
Speaker 1: Riley's already out. Jam Miller's questionable. Maybe we'll see some
31:32
Speaker 1: ak dear, Maybe we'll see Drey Washington and Richard Young
31:35
Speaker 1: come back. They played the first three games. If you
31:37
Speaker 1: don't remember, Richard Young started the first game of the
31:39
Speaker 1: season and then kind of just disappeared after Week three,
31:43
Speaker 1: so did Dre Washington. But they both played against Eastern Illinois,
31:46
Speaker 1: so we both we know they're both there. I wouldn't
31:49
Speaker 1: be shocked if we see them, especially if jam Miller's out.
31:53
Speaker 1: Ryan Williams in the wide receiver room didn't get a
31:55
Speaker 1: single target in the Iron Bowl. That was weird. It
31:57
Speaker 1: just like it just makes it harder to click at
31:59
Speaker 1: six to three. It feels way better to find the
32:02
Speaker 1: four hundred dollars for Jeremy Bernard. Otherwise, Isaiah Horton heard
32:05
Speaker 1: of who scored three touchdowns last week, so he's a
32:08
Speaker 1: solid value option, especially if you buy into the Ryan
32:12
Speaker 1: Williams not getting the attention anymore. Isaiah Horton's at in
32:17
Speaker 1: a great spot for three, and I love Lazier Brooks personally.
32:20
Speaker 1: He's also cheap. His production just hasn't been there this year,
32:23
Speaker 1: so there's definitely some risk in terms of fantasy football
32:27
Speaker 1: will open up the menu. But I think he can
32:30
Speaker 1: get some value in this Alabama wide receiver room. And
32:33
Speaker 1: like I said, don't be afraid to play like a
32:34
Speaker 1: Zachariah Branch and Daniel hill Ministack if Jammuler's out or
32:40
Speaker 1: Zacharia Branch Jeremy Bernard Branch Horton, don't be afraid to
32:44
Speaker 1: mini stack these games. Indiana at Ohio State. One thing
32:50
Speaker 1: that sticks out to me like a sore thumb with
32:53
Speaker 1: this Indiana team is they struggled to score points against
32:56
Speaker 1: Iowa's defense. Yes, I always got a good defense, but
33:01
Speaker 1: Ohio State probably has a better defense, so it's hard
33:06
Speaker 1: to play these Indiana guys. One thing I'll say about
33:10
Speaker 1: this game, though, is if your lineups are ruined by
33:13
Speaker 1: the time we get to these later games, nobody's playing Indiana.
33:17
Speaker 1: If your lineups are dead anyway, why not make some
33:20
Speaker 1: late swaps a guy like sarat or Cooper if you
33:23
Speaker 1: can afford it, or EJ. Williams if he's healthy, or
33:26
Speaker 1: Roman Hemby. I'll get to a reason why you might
33:28
Speaker 1: want to play Roman Hemby or Kaylin Black in a moment,
33:32
Speaker 1: But if your lineups are dead anyway, why not go
33:34
Speaker 1: to the Indiana guys. You'll get guys at one to
33:37
Speaker 1: five percent ownership that could at least give you a
33:40
Speaker 1: shot at getting to the cash line. I don't know
33:42
Speaker 1: that it'll take you to the top of the leader
33:44
Speaker 1: boards unless this team completely goes off. But what it's
33:48
Speaker 1: not gonna get worse, right, all right? So that a
33:51
Speaker 1: little late swap advice if if you need it when
33:55
Speaker 1: we get to these games. Francisco or Fernando Mendoza. Heisman
33:59
Speaker 1: front chance to win it in this game. Just really expensive,
34:03
Speaker 1: most expensive quarterback on the slate, maybe the most expensive player. Nope,
34:07
Speaker 1: not as expensive as Jamari Taylor. We'll talk about him later.
34:10
Speaker 1: Roman hemby Kaylin Black the likely Spit seems like they're
34:14
Speaker 1: very tough to click. But I will say last year,
34:16
Speaker 1: in the regular season game Ohio State in Indiana, Ohio
34:20
Speaker 1: State beat the hell out of the Hoosiers and Lawton
34:23
Speaker 1: and Ellison Ellison still ran the ball thirty two times.
34:27
Speaker 1: Tyson Lawton got two touchdowns and one of them was
34:29
Speaker 1: basically pointless at the end of the game. So they
34:31
Speaker 1: kept running the ball even though it was not a
34:35
Speaker 1: game script in which you'd think they run the ball.
34:37
Speaker 1: So they still have the same coach and signetti. Something
34:40
Speaker 1: we could see here Hemby Black don't love him. Not
34:43
Speaker 1: the worst options though. And then in this wide receiver room,
34:47
Speaker 1: Charlie Becker's been getting an increased role. E J. Williams
34:50
Speaker 1: was a surprise scratch last week. But one thing I
34:53
Speaker 1: would like, there's gonna be a lot of people gravitating
34:55
Speaker 1: to Becker because of recent games, and he's been price.
34:57
Speaker 1: I think he might get a boost and ownership because
34:59
Speaker 1: of that. But his really good games have come when
35:02
Speaker 1: Elijah Surrat was out, not when HEJ. Williams was out.
35:05
Speaker 1: So just remember that we're gonna see Elijah Surrat in
35:09
Speaker 1: this game. And I think a lot of the usage
35:11
Speaker 1: is going to funnel back to Sarrat and Cooper because
35:13
Speaker 1: those are the two stud wide receivers. And if Williams
35:16
Speaker 1: is healthy, I bet Williams gets the third most targets. Now,
35:21
Speaker 1: I will say Becker and Williams are both big dudes,
35:23
Speaker 1: so big physical wide receivers against Ohio State might be
35:26
Speaker 1: the key. I'm not completely writing off Becker, but just
35:29
Speaker 1: keep that in mind. His production has come without Surrat
35:33
Speaker 1: On the Ohio State side. Julian Seins price is so
35:36
Speaker 1: easy to get to. I mean, the kids wish he
35:39
Speaker 1: was one hundred dollars cheaper, my generation wishes he was
35:42
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars more expensive, But sixty eight hundred just
35:45
Speaker 1: a nice value spot, tough matchup. He definitely has the
35:49
Speaker 1: run support and receivers to help get him there, though,
35:52
Speaker 1: so don't mind him at all. He could also win
35:55
Speaker 1: the Heisman. Why not? Bo Jackson in sixty three maybe
36:01
Speaker 1: the best spot on this Ohio State team in terms
36:03
Speaker 1: of cost versus usage, does seem like he's kind of
36:06
Speaker 1: taken over his backfield. I do still think you have
36:08
Speaker 1: to worry about CJ. Donaldson sniping some touchdowns, but Bo
36:11
Speaker 1: Jackson I feel like it's a clear RB one here.
36:14
Speaker 1: And Jeremiah Smith and Carnel Tate are awesome options too,
36:16
Speaker 1: They're just expensive. It gets flat out eighty four hundred
36:20
Speaker 1: and seventy one hundred, so you probably have to pick
36:22
Speaker 1: one over the other, and that's not the easiest thing
36:24
Speaker 1: to do with this Ohio State team. Even if they
36:27
Speaker 1: both get there, you could still pick the wrong one
36:29
Speaker 1: in terms of whether it's point per dollar. However, if
36:34
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith can score touchdowns when he's bobbling the ball
36:36
Speaker 1: as he runs out of bounds. I think that in
36:40
Speaker 1: and of itself gives him his upside. And yes they're expensive,
36:43
Speaker 1: but the way this slave shapes up, you might need
36:45
Speaker 1: the row points at one or two of your roster spots.
36:48
Speaker 1: And Smith and Tate are raw points guys, regardless of
36:52
Speaker 1: their point per dollar. If if one of them score,
36:55
Speaker 1: like if Jeremiah Smith scores twenty five points, that's not
36:58
Speaker 1: three x. But where else are you can to get
37:00
Speaker 1: twenty five points at the wide receiver position on this slate.
37:02
Speaker 1: There's a few spots, but twenty five points could be
37:06
Speaker 1: the second highest scoring wide receiver on the slane. Again,
37:09
Speaker 1: the rest of your lineup matters too, but but don't
37:12
Speaker 1: be surprised if you if the raw points get you
37:14
Speaker 1: there more than the point per dollar in a couple
37:16
Speaker 1: of spots this week. Overall, I hope this is a
37:19
Speaker 1: fun football game to watch, not super lucrative for dfs,
37:23
Speaker 1: But again, if you need the late swap and make
37:26
Speaker 1: up some major ground, why not Why not do it
37:29
Speaker 1: with Ohio State Indiana? Just you got you gotta play
37:32
Speaker 1: the game because a lot of ownership is going to
37:35
Speaker 1: go to this duke Virginia game. If you're buried, this
37:38
Speaker 1: game could bury you more. But if you're buried and
37:40
Speaker 1: this game is a dud Ohio State and Indiana, could
37:43
Speaker 1: you know, claw you back into it. Duke a four
37:47
Speaker 1: point dog on the road. This game has also already
37:49
Speaker 1: happened this year in Virginia. Handled business pretty easily, And honestly,
37:54
Speaker 1: Duke just reminds me, just reminds me of that Paul
37:56
Speaker 1: Rudd Me like, hey, look at us, who would have
37:59
Speaker 1: thought not me? Duke's in the conference championship game. Darien
38:04
Speaker 1: Mensa is in a decent spot. I'm not going to
38:07
Speaker 1: completely disregard the last game, but I don't think it's
38:09
Speaker 1: going to get much worse for this Duke team in
38:10
Speaker 1: terms of DFS production. I think Duke's going to have
38:13
Speaker 1: to throw a lot in this game, and they'll probably
38:15
Speaker 1: get up for this game a little bit more than
38:17
Speaker 1: they did in the last one. So at seven K,
38:20
Speaker 1: don't mind. Dari and Mensa a fair price, and you know,
38:24
Speaker 1: on a slate where there's a lot of value at quarterback,
38:28
Speaker 1: he could have his ownership capped a little bit because
38:31
Speaker 1: of it. Mainly talking about Brock Lowry, Nate Shephard cheaper,
38:38
Speaker 1: also a tough matchup, and he didn't farewell against the
38:40
Speaker 1: Who's the last time they played. But what does Duke
38:43
Speaker 1: have to lose? Maybe they unleash him. Maybe this is
38:45
Speaker 1: a Nate Shepherd again. Twenty carry for two hundred. I mean,
38:49
Speaker 1: I'm spitting out numbers, but there is opportunity here, and
38:55
Speaker 1: he's at a fair price. These wide receivers they kind
39:00
Speaker 1: of all disappointed in the Virginia game, but Duke was
39:03
Speaker 1: just a disappointment in this Virginia game. Overall, Barcade is
39:06
Speaker 1: still the top option. He's still priced like it, but
39:08
Speaker 1: he's not in the seven k's anymore so for the
39:11
Speaker 1: favorite target of Darien Mensa, I think six to one
39:14
Speaker 1: is fine. Quay Son Brown at four one is fine.
39:16
Speaker 1: Hazley at four to four is fine. I mean, we're
39:18
Speaker 1: watching andrel Anthony. He could get in the mix two
39:20
Speaker 1: if he plays. He's currently questionable. But there's a bunch
39:24
Speaker 1: of different ways you can stack this Duke team, and
39:26
Speaker 1: if people are going to be afraid to do it
39:27
Speaker 1: because of what happened last time, it makes me even
39:29
Speaker 1: more interested. For DFS purposes. The Virginia side is where
39:33
Speaker 1: I can see things getting shocky. Chandler Morris is in
39:36
Speaker 1: a great spot at seventy four hundred and had a
39:40
Speaker 1: great game against Duke last time out. Duke's pass defense
39:44
Speaker 1: is terrible, so Chandler Morris looks really good. Jamari Taylor
39:48
Speaker 1: owns his backfield and he's involved in the past game.
39:50
Speaker 1: He's just expensive, so you got to figure out a
39:54
Speaker 1: way to get to eighty seven hundred. He's a raw
39:56
Speaker 1: points play and a point per dollar play. I think
39:59
Speaker 1: on this, but you know, Wiley does get involved some
40:04
Speaker 1: I don't. It's definitely not enough to scare me off
40:06
Speaker 1: a Taylor. Now, the wide receiver room is where things
40:10
Speaker 1: are gonna get a little bit interesting. There's something kind
40:12
Speaker 1: of similar with Charlie Becker in the last game, but
40:14
Speaker 1: I think more so in this Virginia game. Cam Ross
40:18
Speaker 1: only played four snaps last week. All of a sudden,
40:20
Speaker 1: he wasn't in the game. There was a report that
40:22
Speaker 1: he's supposed to be ready for the title game. It
40:23
Speaker 1: may not even be an injury. It might have been
40:25
Speaker 1: a con conservation thing. But cam Courtney at thirty two
40:29
Speaker 1: hundred is going to project really really well if Cam
40:32
Speaker 1: Ross is out. But what do you do if Cam
40:36
Speaker 1: Ross is active, if you have Courtney in your lineup
40:40
Speaker 1: at thirty two hundred and we get toward these late
40:44
Speaker 1: games and all of these games are already either started
40:48
Speaker 1: or even over. Where are you gonna pivot? Where are
40:53
Speaker 1: you gonna pivot? If Cam Ross is in and you
40:55
Speaker 1: have a thirty two hundred dollars Cam Courtney sitting there
40:57
Speaker 1: waiting for ten routes, maybe two targets, ten yards whatever.
41:03
Speaker 1: I mean, it's this is just the if then scenario.
41:07
Speaker 1: But I think you can't handcuff yourself to a thirty
41:10
Speaker 1: two hundred dollars guy when the guy he's dependent on
41:13
Speaker 1: being out is questionable and there are reports that he's
41:15
Speaker 1: going to be ready to go. So again, projecting really
41:20
Speaker 1: well for Cam Courtney. But also remember too, when Cam
41:22
Speaker 1: Ross was out. We've already had this scenario once when
41:25
Speaker 1: they played North Carolina and Cam Courtney had one catch
41:29
Speaker 1: on four targets for two yards. Yes, it is a
41:32
Speaker 1: great spot for Courtney. Again, if Cam Ross doesn't go
41:36
Speaker 1: all I'm saying, if you get to this game and
41:40
Speaker 1: you have Cam Courtney in your lineup, you have to
41:42
Speaker 1: have a plan. If Cam Ross goes maybe you ride
41:46
Speaker 1: it out and help Courtney gets there. Anyway, all I
41:50
Speaker 1: had to say, Trel Harris is probably the best wide
41:52
Speaker 1: receiver play on the Slave, So maybe the cam Ross
41:55
Speaker 1: just play Trel Harris instead, just ignore the whole situation.
41:58
Speaker 1: Trel Harris is wide receiver one and he's only five
42:01
Speaker 1: k so a great spot for him on a team
42:04
Speaker 1: that is going to score projected to score a lot
42:06
Speaker 1: of points. So maybe you just avoid the scenario altogether.
42:11
Speaker 1: But anyway, that is its only nine games. But I
42:15
Speaker 1: still managed to go over forty minutes and stumbled over
42:19
Speaker 1: some words, told some bad jokes, didn't land most of
42:22
Speaker 1: the jokes, but I hope you still found some entertainment
42:25
Speaker 1: value in that and got some nuggets for your college
42:28
Speaker 1: football weekend. Glad I got to go through both nights.
42:33
Speaker 1: I'm so happy that that we have good games coming
42:36
Speaker 1: up for not just real life but for DFS. But
42:38
Speaker 1: that's going to do it for this week. So we're
42:40
Speaker 1: going to end with the big guys rule Number one.
42:42
Speaker 1: College football is fun. Enjoy the process, enjoy the sweat,
42:46
Speaker 1: enjoy the hell out of these games this weekend. Conference
42:48
Speaker 1: championship weekend is always so much fun, and be thankful
42:52
Speaker 1: that we have to play df we have dfs to
42:54
Speaker 1: play for it, but most importantly, do not ever take
42:58
Speaker 1: a single day for granted, we never know when the
43:00
Speaker 1: last one is coming, and we never get enough. But
43:04
Speaker 1: with that said, I'll see you in the streets this weekend.
43:07
Speaker 1: Let's go out and ship one for the big Guy.