Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 371 - 10/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 371 - 10/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello and welcome to episode 371 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I am your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:35
Happy Friday. Our work week has finally come
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to an end here, guys. I love Fridays because we got
0:40
Friday Night Lights in college football and then we just got a
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huge weekend ahead of us. So I got a huge Saturday coming
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up here with three college football plays for you.
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We've talked about them throughout the week.
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One in particular is getting sharper and sharper and that
0:55
hook is starting to disappear here, so good sign there.
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I'm going to update you guys on all the three college football
1:00
plays for tomorrow and then going to update you on the NFL
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plays for Sunday and Monday. Got 4 bets overall.
1:07
It's very important you get these hooks and key numbers
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because I'll let you know which books are still offering you the
1:12
hooks because again, some of these are getting a hook and
1:15
they're the only book and then everyone else is at a flat
1:18
number. So you want to make sure if you
1:19
lose by a key number, you're able to cover these bets.
1:22
So we'll re update our 7 plays this weekend for college and
1:26
pros and then do have a play for you tonight.
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It's a Friday Night Lights showdown here across the the
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college football gridiron. And there's one game in
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particular that caught my eye with a very, very sharp.
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I mean, this is a blueprint play sharp, unpopular favorite pay
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the trendy dog reverse line move in their favor.
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Also, it happens to be a juice reel best bet and a sharp mush
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indicator. So stay tuned for that one play
1:50
in college football. So we're going to see if we can
1:52
finish up our week on a hot note and try to go 1 and O tonight in
1:56
college football. Now looking back toward last
1:58
night, guys, how about those G men?
2:03
The Giants coming up, absolutely massive for the team winning
2:07
outright. I was looking at my Juice Reel
2:10
sweat meter. When you download the Juice Reel
2:12
app, you sync your sports books up.
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You can track your bet based on basically a little graph.
2:17
Like if it's in green, that's a good thing.
2:19
If it's in red, that means you're not covering.
2:21
It was G men covering the entire time winning the game outright.
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And that was just a blueprint play for us because remember we
2:28
are, we are looking at a straight up contrarian play as
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the G men were only getting 20% of spread bets.
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So just a bet against the drunk guys at the bar play, then
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you're getting a contrarian prime time dog.
2:40
Again, we like to bet into the public in these prime time
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games. Prime time dogs are now 12 and
2:44
five against the spread this year. 71% divisional dogs.
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We love taking teams inside the division.
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The built in familiarity levels, the playing field benefits the
2:54
dog getting points. Correlative betting dog low
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total. You had a 7 1/2 dog with a very
3:00
low total of 40 1/2, which actually ended up flying over.
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So that was a bit of a surprise, but really just checking off all
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the boxes. And then we had that stat with
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Jalen Hurts where he, I think what was he?
3:10
5 and 11 ATS, 1 and 9 ATS his last 10 when he's favored by 7
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or more. And oh, by the way, juice real
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or rhythm, I should say, had a prediction of G men plus 5.6.
3:22
So actually just tweeted this out, a clip from last night's
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show. Reminder, every Thursday night,
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6:00 jump on Twitter, myself, my buddy Kate Harper, we're going
3:30
to go through all the games. So I tweet out the clip saying
3:33
these are the spots that I love where you can marry the betting
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market, which again showed the juiced up liability on the G men
3:39
plus seven F -, 115 contrarian divisional dog, primetime dog.
3:44
But then also you had that edge from rhythm saying, hey, you're
3:49
getting 7 1/2 and we think it should be 5 1/2.
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That's a good edge right there. So G men come up absolutely
3:54
massive for the team. Nice little 1 and O + 0.87 unit
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night. And man, I tell you what, guys
4:01
watching Jackson Dart and Cam Scataboo, I didn't really notice
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Scataboo. I had bet on him one game last
4:08
year in college and then I remember he had that good
4:10
College Football Playoff run and I was surprised he lasted to the
4:13
fourth round. But man, this guy to me, if he's
4:16
like baby Gronk, basically, he's a lot, lot shorter, but he's a
4:20
bowling ball and he just plays with reckless abandoned and
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obviously Jackson Dart. He looks like a keeper there.
4:26
So Dart and Scataboo leading us to victory last night.
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That was pretty awesome. So with that being said, guys,
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one play today and then we'll update all the plays upcoming
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for this weekend. Let's start off hopefully by
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ending our week with a final winner.
4:40
Fingers crossed. I want to go to the one college
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games. There's a couple that caught my
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eye. I did write about another game
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for a sharp report from eason.com.
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But my one play tonight, I want to look at this 7:30 PM Eastern
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Time game, South Florida and North Texas because this is
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pretty much an auto bet blueprint play for us.
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So setting the stage for this one.
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This is a 7:30 PM Eastern Time game.
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I believe it's on CBS Sports Network.
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So you'll be able to watch this if you if you're like me and you
5:07
pay through the nose for your cable package because you need
5:09
all these random games and channels.
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But South Florida comes in four and one on the year they are
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ranked they're 24th in the country.
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Just beat up on Charlotte 54 to 26 covered barely, but covered
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as a 27 1/2 point home favorite. Meanwhile, the mean green North
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Texas 5 and O, but they're unranked did just outlast South
5:29
Alabama 36 to 22 their last time out covered as a 13 point home
5:34
favorite. So what do you see across the
5:36
market here? Will this game open North Texas
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listed as a 1 1/2 point home favorite.
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And let's just stop right there. Doesn't this seem fishy to you
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guys? North Texas is unranked, Yes.
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We got to, you know, incorporate home field advantage, point
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point NAV, 2 points, something like that.
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Again, it used to always be 3. It's a little bit less, as the
5:54
data shows the last five years or so.
5:57
But South Florida is ranked 24th.
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North Texas is unranked. So again, even factoring in home
6:02
field, why is the unranked team opening as a favorite against
6:06
the ranked team? So right from that standpoint,
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the public says the wrong team is favored.
6:11
The public says South Florida all day.
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They're 24th. North Texas is unranked so
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again, wrong team is favored. So the public is all over the
6:19
trendy dog South Florida. South Florida right now is
6:22
getting 68% of spread bets at at DraftKings here.
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So the public again is is is really taking the points here
6:30
with South Florida. However, even though South
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Florida is getting a clear majority of tickets, the line
6:35
isn't down to one or a pick em or hopping the fence to South
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Florida minus one or two. No, the lines move further
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toward North Texas. So again, if the public's
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hammering South Florida as a trendy dog and South Florida was
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opening getting 1 1/2, why are the odds makers saying to the
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public, oh you like the 1 1/2 here, I'll give you 2 1/2 of
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South Florida. Again, when I was new to betting
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and I didn't understand the way markets work and how to read
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line movement, I would have doubled down on South Florida.
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That's the 21 year old me. But you know what?
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The 38 year old me season a fishy line that I want to fade
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South Florida with and back North Texas.
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So remember, if it doesn't make sense, that's a situation where
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you really want to embrace what doesn't make sense instead of
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saying, oh, I'm smarter than the odds makers and you know,
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they're missing something. And obviously the ranked team is
7:23
better than the unranked team. But no, we're seeing this line
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move toward North Texas, even though the public's on South
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Florida. That is a classic fade the
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trendy dog reverse line move now at DraftKings.
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North Texas only getting 32% of spread bets.
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So you're just contrarian and heavily back game.
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But they're also getting 48% of spread dollars.
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And if you look at Circa out in Vegas, 45% of bets on North
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Texas, but 65% of spread dollars in their favor.
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So both DK and Circa are showing a really good low bets higher
7:53
dollar split in favor of North Texas.
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Now you might know by now if you listen to the pod or you've been
7:59
kind of sweating bets with me over the years.
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This is a money line. Short favorites play to me
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because again, North Texas opened 1 1/2.
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It's 2 1/2 makers are saying it could be a tight game.
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So I don't want to lay 2 1/2 have North Texas win by one or
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two and I lose my bet. So I money line North Texas.
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You can get more North Texas on the money line at -130 I believe
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that was I think it was maybe FanDuel.
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Some books are -135 S again, shop around but -130 is your
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best price. I like the splits on the money
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line as well for North Texas at Circa out in Vegas, 55% of money
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line bets, but 96% of money line dollars in favor of the mean
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green. So a really good low bets,
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higher dollar split on North Texas to win outright just to
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win the damn game, as we like to say out in the desert in Vegas.
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Another angle I like unranked home favors ranked opponents.
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Again, why is the unranked team favored over the ranked team?
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This is a trap that the public always seems to fall into
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because they feel like hey, you're ranked, that means you're
9:00
better and you got to win. But remember, rankings are based
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on obviously opinions and humans do it.
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So you know, they can be flawed here.
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So anytime you look at this unranked home favorite verse
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ranked opponent, I know college basketball is is coming up close
9:14
here. We're still a little bit ways
9:15
away, but this is like a play that I love in college hoops as
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well. Unranked home favorite ranked
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opponent. And if you look at those just
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straight up, they've been really good historically.
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So against the spread, unranked home favorite ranked opponent,
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it's 54 percent, 3% ROI. But unranked home favorite
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ranked opponent on the money line, it's two and one this
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year. So two out of three ain't bad,
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67%. But if you look at unranked home
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favors ranked opponents straight up since 2017, a pretty big
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sample size. This system matches 55 and 2965%
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with a 5% ROI. So this would match here,
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obviously with North Texas. This is the similar spot that
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Cincinnati was in number against Iowa State was that last week or
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the week before. Same spot here with North Texas.
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Also North Texas doesn't hurt. They have a rest advantage.
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They were off last week. So bye week, extra week to game
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plan against South Florida. Rest your injuries, rehab your
10:11
injuries, rest your guys. So hopefully that's an advantage
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because South Florida played last week against Charlotte and
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then little cherry on top. We have a great juice reel edge,
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one of the two robo Jackson best bet picks for today.
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One of them is North Texas and again, you want the other one.
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You got to sign up for Juice Reel.
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But also Juice Reel has a 6% sharp mush edge on North Texas
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as well. So 6% more of the sharper
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winning players who have downloaded Juice Reel and synced
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up their books and proven to be good sharp betters.
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They're also taking North Texas. So again, this is a blueprint
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play for me. Public all over the ranked
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trendy dog, but line going toward the unpopular home
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favorite. We got Juice Reel behind us.
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We got really good bet splits. My play here guys mean Green to
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hopefully win the damn game straight up.
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I got North Texas on the money line at -130 now I know there's
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a lot going on today. We do have a postseason game,
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Detroit, Seattle, we got a ton of hockey.
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There's some WNBA, there's NBA Summer League or not summer
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league, but preseason. So again, if you got other bets
11:20
you like, I'm going to hope you win all your plays.
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But again, trying to be disciplined, just get down and
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take these one and O nights if we can get them.
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So my only play here tonight is North Texas Money Line.
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But I do want to update you guys on all the bets for this
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weekend. Now reminder, you can get all
11:36
these plays by following the ASG Pod best bets on Juice Reel.
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It costs $4.99 a week. If you want to support the pod
11:43
and get these numbers earlier. Let's just update some of these
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games that are that are flashing and officially in pocket for me
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this weekend. So first one is Alabama and
11:53
Mizzou. Now this one right now is the
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most heavily bet game of the weekend.
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It's a noon game. But this is right up our alley
12:01
because it's the most heavily bet game and it's also got one
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of the sharpest bet splits here. So if you look at what we're
12:08
seeing across the market, public is all over Alabama, Alabama
12:14
across the board right now. Let me just pull up my updated
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splits. Is getting 76% of spread bets.
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Public is all over Bama. But Bama open -5 at some shops
12:25
as high as 55 and a half. Even saw one book open 6 1/2.
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Now we're down to 3 1/2. Now we're down to three.
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So why is this line going away from Bama toward Mizzou if
12:35
everyone's playing? Bama tells me we've got smart
12:37
money here in favor of Mizzou. Mizzou is also a rest advantage
12:41
play. They're coming off a buy.
12:43
We look at these these conference dogs, especially in
12:46
the SEC, they've done very well historically.
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They're covering 55% ATS since the start of last year.
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So not only are you heavily bet contrarian, but the lines going
12:56
in your favor. So a reverse line move on
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Mizzou. And oh, by the way, Mizzou is
13:02
according to rhythm should only be plus 0.6.
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So that is a really, really sharp play.
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And I actually had one model that says Mizzou should actually
13:09
be about -1 in this game. So I am take committed on Mizzou
13:14
here. Now the important thing is to
13:16
get the hook because this reminds me, I think I mentioned
13:19
it either on last night's stream or on the pod, but it reminds me
13:22
a lot of Georgia and Tennessee. You go back a few weeks where
13:25
Georgia was like -6 -, 5 got down to 3 1/2 or 3, then up
13:29
winning by three. You cast with a hook.
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So you got to make sure you get the hook here.
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Most books are at Mizzou plus three, but FanDuel still right
13:37
now has plus 3 1/2 at -120. So I am, I'm more than happy to
13:41
pay some extra juice here because 3 is the most common key
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number, most common margin of victory.
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And if Mizzou loses by three, we got to cash this ticket.
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So I took Mizzou plus 3 1/2 again, you can get the -120 at
13:53
FanDuel. Next one for you.
13:55
This one continues to move, continues to get sharp.
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I alluded to it a little bit earlier, but Indiana at Oregon,
14:03
we were talking about this game earlier in the week when I was
14:06
pick given this pick out and we've seen the line move further
14:10
toward Indiana. So if you look at the market
14:12
right now, public is just hammering Oregon again, third
14:16
ranked team, they've been looking great. 67% of bets are
14:20
on Oregon, but Oregon open as as high as -9 1/2.
14:23
They're down to 7 1/2, but now they're getting down to seven.
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So this was pretty painted across the board 7 1/2 couple
14:30
days ago. Now these hooks are starting to
14:32
go away from you. So tells me further sharp money
14:35
is coming in on Indiana. You look at this play from just
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a straight up contrarian spot, only getting a third of tickets
14:42
and one of the most heavily bet games of the weekend.
14:45
And you look at Oregon or sorry, Indiana also as a dog who can
14:49
score system match so they can put up points, hopefully keep
14:52
pace or back to our cover. And oh, by the way, at circa
14:57
only 35% of bats are on Indiana, but 76% of the spread dollars.
15:02
So you really good low bets, higher dollar split.
15:05
So again, you can still get a 7 1/2 -, 115 -, 120 I believe at
15:10
both FanDuel and ESPN bet. But all the other books are
15:13
getting down to seven. So make sure you get that hook.
15:16
I got Indiana plus 7 1/2 and then last college bet for me,
15:20
USC really like this spot toward the Trojans.
15:23
It's actually very similar to the North Texas game for
15:26
tonight. An unranked home favorite versus
15:29
ranked opponent. So we've seen a public load up
15:32
here on Michigan. Michigan is of course, a ranked
15:35
team. Michigan always gets a lot of
15:38
support just, you know, because they're a kind of a powerhouse
15:41
type school. But currently they're getting
15:43
60% of tickets. But the line moved toward USCA.
15:47
Lot of these games were, you know, a pick em.
15:49
I even saw one shop Michigan open -1 1/2 or -1 1/2 USC.
15:54
But the lines going to USC, they're now up to -2 1/2 and
15:57
they're juiced up like they may go to three, even though Publix
16:00
on Michigan, who's ranked 15th and USC is unranked.
16:03
So I love this spot here toward USC.
16:06
You look at at DraftKings right now, only 40% of the tickets,
16:11
but 64% of the dollars are on USC.
16:14
And this would again be that unranked home fave ranked
16:16
opponent. So I money lined USC -130 again,
16:20
if you want to lay the points, save some juice.
16:22
That's totally cool to me if you want to do it, but I'm going to
16:25
protect myself. I'd hate to see USC win by one
16:28
or two and you lose because you laid the 2 1/2 here.
16:30
So I am on the money line. USC unranked home fave ranked
16:35
opponent at -130 So Mizzou plus 3 1/2 Indiana plus 7 1/2 USC
16:42
money line -130 Now over to our NFL slate.
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We got 4 plays for you, three of them on Sunday and then a Monday
16:49
night game which we'll update and talk about on Monday's pod
16:53
when we get back after the weekend.
16:55
But first one that jumped out to me, Dallas, Carolina.
16:58
This was a very interesting one because the public is right back
17:02
on the Jerry Jones train. You know America's team here and
17:05
right now you are getting with the Cowboys 79% of spread bets
17:10
public all over Dallas. But Dallas actually opened -3
17:13
1/2 and they're down to three. So why is the line going down to
17:17
Carolina if everyone and their mother is on?
17:19
Dallas tells me once again, we got a sharp reverse line move in
17:23
favor of Carolina. Now Carolina is only getting 21%
17:27
of spread bets, but 57% of spread dollars at DraftKings.
17:31
So really good split in their favor.
17:33
So not only is it a fade the the public type play, but it's also
17:38
a sharp reverse line move. So again, public was happy to
17:41
lay the three and half. They're even happier to lay 3.
17:44
But once again, identifying that move that doesn't make sense in
17:47
favor of Carolina. And now here's the thing,
17:50
Carolina is pretty much plus three almost everywhere.
17:54
There's one book still giving you the hook with a 3 1/2, and
17:57
it is Panthers plus 3 1/2 -, 130 at ESPN bet.
18:02
So it's a little bit pricey. But again, this is a play where
18:06
to me, paying the extra juice is worth it because if Carolina
18:09
loses by three, you got to cover that number.
18:12
It doesn't hurt that our guy Bryce Young is, I forgot the
18:16
stat. I think he's nine and five
18:17
against the spread at home as a dog and he's 2 and O at home
18:20
this year, O and three on the road.
18:21
So Carolina's played pretty good at home just in general.
18:24
And the Cowboys are playing their second straight Rd. game.
18:27
Maybe Cowboys win by three. I wouldn't be surprised if
18:29
Carolina wins outright. But I like this spot toward
18:32
Carolina. And we do have rhythm predicting
18:35
a 2.8 Carolina plus 2.8. So again, if you can still get
18:39
that hook, you got to pay the juice.
18:42
But good angle there with a with a market based edge as well as a
18:46
rhythm edge. So I am on Carolina plus 3 1/2.
18:49
I got -120 betted earlier this week.
18:51
You can still get -130 next one for you Chargers in Miami.
18:56
Another super sharp contrarian play.
18:59
Because the Chargers started 3 and O they've lost two straight.
19:03
Public says they're going to get right against Miami.
19:05
However, even though you are getting the the Chargers very
19:08
popular 67% of tickets, the openness high is -5 1/2.
19:13
They're down to 4 1/2. So why is this line falling
19:16
toward Miami if everyone's playing?
19:17
The Chargers tells me smart money on Miami.
19:20
Listen to these splits. DraftKings 33% bets 75% dollars
19:26
and over at circa 24% bets 89% dollars.
19:30
So super sharp splits there in favor of Miami.
19:34
Miami's contrary. And with that reverse line move,
19:36
we do have two. I believe it was 7 and three
19:39
against the spread. In his career as a home dog,
19:42
he's just played well at home in general.
19:43
So again, maybe charges win by three, maybe they win by 4.
19:48
But I'm taking the 4 1/2 here with Miami.
19:51
And oh, by the way, very sharp rhythm edge.
19:53
Rhythm has Miami plus 0.8 or plus 1.4.
19:58
So rhythm giving you about a one point game, 1 1/2 point game and
20:02
you're getting 4 1/2. Sounds like a good edge to me.
20:05
So I got Dolphins plus 4 1/2. You can still get them 4 1/2 -,
20:09
115 at Bet MGM. But a lot of books are getting
20:11
down to four. And I know one book is even down
20:13
to 3 1/2. So make sure you get these.
20:16
Hooks and better prices before they leave you next one that I
20:20
cannot wait to sweat. Detroit Kansas City.
20:23
This is shaping up to be one of the most unpopular favorites
20:26
I've seen in quite a while because public is all over Dan
20:30
Campbell Detroit. Remember that I believe they
20:33
lost the opener. They won four straight.
20:35
Kansas City two and three member started O and 212 straight and
20:39
then lost, which is fine by me because the Jags beat them and
20:42
we had the Jags in the points plus 3 1/2 there.
20:45
But the public thinks the wrong team is favored.
20:47
We open KC -1 everyone and their mother is on Detroit. 80% of
20:52
tickets and a Sunday Night Football game are on Detroit.
20:55
However, this isn't down to a pick them or hop the fence to
20:58
Detroit -1 or two. This line has gone further
21:01
toward KC -1 up to -2 -, 2 1/2. So why is the line going further
21:07
to KC when everyone's playing Detroit here?
21:10
Good spot to this isn't a primetime dog.
21:13
He'll be a primetime favorite, but it's an unpopular primetime
21:16
favorite and we do have Mahomes straight up at home in his
21:18
career. 43 and 1081% Chief super contrarian.
21:24
You also have the ultimate buy low spot because Kansas City off
21:28
a loss winning, losing outright as a favorite versus Detroit on
21:32
a four-game win streak. So again, everyone play in
21:35
Detroit but the lions going to the Chiefs.
21:37
I got Chiefs money line at -130 at DK, some shops as high as
21:41
-135 -, 140 And then we talked about Atlanta late edition.
21:47
For me, it's the first of the two Monday night games.
21:51
But this is a sharp play because the public is all over the
21:54
Buffalo Bills. Buffalo Bills are getting
21:58
currently at DraftKings 82% of spread bets, but the lines
22:02
fallen toward Atlanta. Bills opened as high as -5 1/2 -
22:05
5. They're down to 4 1/2.
22:08
Why is the line falling away from Buffalo if everyone's
22:10
playing? Buffalo tells me smart money
22:12
came in here on the Falcons. Falcons only getting 18% of
22:17
spread bets and a heavily bet prime time game.
22:19
So great contrarian value. But the sharp RLM and only 18%
22:24
bets. But 51% of the money is on
22:27
Atlanta. And oh by the way, Atlanta rest
22:29
first. Tired Bills, obviously on a
22:32
regular week. They played last Sunday night
22:33
against the Pats. Atlanta was off last week.
22:36
Atlanta's coming off a bye week. So two weeks there to game plan
22:40
against Buffalo and rest rehab injuries and get get ready.
22:44
Doesn't hurt that in this spot. You're also looking at what I
22:50
want to say. Oh, rhythms got it around A5
22:52
point game, so not a huge edge there.
22:55
But I like to spot toward Atlanta.
22:56
Sharp contrarian, low bets, higher dollars with a rest first
22:59
tired advantage. So I did take Atlanta plus 4 1/2
23:03
and I'm keeping an eye on Chicago, Washington.
23:05
Let's give it a few days. Come back on Monday, see how
23:08
that game is is developing. So in the NFL, Dolphins plus 4
23:12
1/2, Panthers plus 3 1/2 Chiefs money line and then the Falcons
23:15
plus 4 1/2 coming back on Monday.
23:19
So that about does it for another Friday edition of the
23:22
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast.
23:24
Coming up here to finish up the week.
23:27
And I'm actually going out to dinner.
23:28
I got a gift card to Outback Steakhouse in my favorite
23:32
places. So me and the wife are going to
23:33
go to dinner and we're going to go see a movie.
23:35
We're going to see the new Leo movie 1 Battle after another.
23:38
I love Leo. This has gotten really good
23:40
reviews so unfortunately I'll probably miss some of this North
23:43
Texas game. But got to got to make the wife
23:46
happy every now and again because she puts up with the
23:49
betting lifestyle which isn't easy.
23:51
But anyway, guys, wrapping up the pod, just a few final
23:54
thoughts of course #1 I want to say thank you.
23:56
Thank you for supporting the pod, thank you for listening,
23:59
thank you for tuning in, thank you for taking the time out of
24:01
your day to sweat some sharp breakdowns with me.
24:04
If you would like to help me grow the pod, please could you
24:06
give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes, Click the
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follow button, leave a nice review, recommend the pod to a
24:14
friend. Also, if you want to retweet the
24:17
pod when I post it, that would also be fantastic.
24:20
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
24:23
sharp contrarian betting, focusing on what the market is
24:26
telling us line movement, bet split system matches, the style
24:30
of betting has appealed to you. It's provided you a blueprint to
24:33
attack the market with. It's giving you a north star to
24:36
view games through the data-driven lens.
24:38
And most of all, hopefully you're making sharp bets,
24:41
beating closing lines and hopefully you're winning a
24:42
little bit more. That's always the goal.
24:44
But if you want to let me know you appreciate the pod or learn
24:47
more about data-driven betting or maybe have someone in your
24:49
life who could use some data-driven tips, I would love
24:52
for you to go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp Betting
24:57
Playbook. It's my new book, came out two
25:00
months ago, 2 days from now, if that makes sense.
25:03
It came out August 12th, so I'm really proud of it.
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But it's got everything you ever want to know about data-driven
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betting and approaching the NFL. So if you want to pick up a copy
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of the NFL sharp betting playbook or my first book, the
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everything guide to sports betting, it would make me very
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happy. And you'll get, you know what
25:18
you're going to do. You're going to bring those
25:19
books to the sports book. I'm going to sign them for you.
25:22
Buy a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat the mean green
25:24
tonight. Next, have you downloaded rhythm
25:27
and juice real yet? Rhythm fantastic for their AI
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backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
25:33
Again, had the rundown last night.
25:35
Thank you all for tuning in again every Thursday at six O
25:37
clock during the football season.
25:39
But just for a perfect example, we like the Giants for a variety
25:42
of reasons. 7 1/2 Rhythm said it should have been about 5 1/2.
25:47
That's how rhythm can help you by kind of backing up maybe
25:50
something that you're looking at and giving you more confidence
25:52
because you feel like you're you're playing a wise guy edge
25:56
there where you have a better number than what the books are
25:59
offering. But if you'd like to download
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Juice Reel has a great variety of awesome advantages once you
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It costs you nothing to listen. If you want to support the pod,
26:20
if the insights have helped you cash a couple tickets, if you
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want to let me know you appreciate the insights, please
26:26
tip your podcast host. And you can do it by signing up
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to get the all systems go best bet picks from the ASG pod tab
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on the Juice Reel app here. So it costs $4.99 a week.
26:38
I'd like to think 7 days worth of plays are worth less than a
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dollar a day. But if you want to sign up and
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get those plays, you'll get them as soon as I bet them and
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hopefully you'll, you'll beat some closing numbers as well.
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But in addition, you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet
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Next you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't, you need one
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and you really don't know what you're missing out on until you
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have a live odds page. You got to be able to track the
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market, figure out what the line opened at, where is it now, how
27:16
does it move, which direction, how much has it moved?
27:19
And then also shopping for the best price, finding the best
27:22
number again, that's so important, so critical,
27:25
especially like getting hooks and key numbers.
27:27
There are a lot of live odds pages out there.
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The best one is Odds Logic. If you want to give it a shot,
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So make sure you you give Odds Logic a shot next.
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Do you know what Novig is? Do you know what a betting
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27:56
getting gouged with high juice prices.
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So with Novig, you're going to get better numbers, which means
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that if you win it, like think of it this way, if you win at
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the exact same rate, but you're getting better juice, you're
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going to produce a bigger profit because you are risking less
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28:14
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28:19
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So let's go Novig. So about dozen guys wrapping up
28:52
the pod here on a big Friday. As always, two final thoughts,
28:55
whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
28:58
Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
29:00
Sun down in Connecticut, the Encore, Boston, Plain, Ridge
29:03
Park, Casino, MGM, Springfield, or the Nash and my neck of the
29:07
woods. And I tell you what, the movie
29:08
theater that we're going to tonight is very close to the
29:10
Nash. So maybe I'll have to stop in
29:13
and and make it make it make it better too.
29:16
I actually did take Celtics over 40 1/2 wins this year.
29:19
I think it's kind of a a valuable number.
29:21
A lot of books are at 41 1/2. So maybe I'll put my Celtics win
29:24
total ticket in there. But as always, guys, whether
29:28
it's of course in out in Vegas at the South Point where Billy
29:32
Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible
29:35
is found or sweat and Sharp can train plays jumping in the
29:38
stadium swim pool. When you catch a big ticket at
29:40
Circa, you know what we're going to do.
29:42
We're going to head butt each other like Scataboo and Jackson
29:45
Dart. We're going to flash our G men
29:46
plus 7 1/2 ticket and we're going to RIP a shot or, I don't
29:50
know, get a victory burger at Circa.
29:52
Man, I just, I love swimming the Giants last night.
29:54
That was pretty amazing. But show me that Giants ticket.
29:57
First ones on me, next ones on you.
29:59
We'll post about the Book Sweatshop Contrarian Place
30:01
tonight. As always, guys coming off A1
30:03
and O night or an O in one night.
30:05
A great night, a terrible night, mediocre night.
30:08
Whether you're hot and you feel like you can't miss or you're
30:10
cold and you feel like you can't cash a ticket for the for the
30:13
life of yourself or for the life of you, either way, don't get
30:17
too high. Don't get too low, don't get
30:19
cocky when things are going well.
30:21
Don't get down in the dumps when things are.
30:23
When you're struggling and things aren't going well, you're
30:25
always somewhere in the middle. So if we can stick to that model
30:28
and that blueprint discipline with our bankroll management,
30:31
betting to risk, not betting to win, if we can do that and find
30:34
our system matches against the public with the house, with the
30:37
pros, flat bet and avoid parlays.
30:39
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
30:42
So have a great Friday night. Everybody have an even better
30:44
weekend reminder. No pods on Saturday Sunday, but
30:47
you can read my sharp reports and give me a follow at Josh
30:50
under score insights and you can get all the best bets from the
30:53
juice real app. But I wish you the best of luck,
30:55
everyone. I'll see you back on Monday for
30:57
episode 372 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
31:02
powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody, have a
31:04
great Friday and an even better weekend.