Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NHL DFS | October 29, 2024 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks

Transcript

NHL DFS | October 29, 2024 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

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  Speaker 2: But let's go ahead. Let's talk about tonight's slate here.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: We got seven games on the docket here tonight, some
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  Speaker 2: massive favorites and then some pretty much Vegas pick them
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  Speaker 2: games here that I kind of have a strong lean
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  Speaker 2: one way or the other. Here, So without further ado,
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: let me add the screen share here, jump into it,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: and we're gonna start on the matchup sheet here as
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: you can see, zoom this in a little bit so
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: you guys can kind of see it better over there,
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  Speaker 2: but you can see right from a matchup standpoint, we
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  Speaker 2: got the Bruins minus two hundred, Islanders minus two fifty
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  Speaker 2: Kings at minus two eighty some massive, massive favorites here
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  Speaker 2: on the slate. Using the matchup sheet, I can kind
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  Speaker 2: of pinpoint on where I'm looking to kind of target here.
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  Speaker 2: That's got all the metrics. The home road splits here,
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  Speaker 2: so you can see Boston at home on the season
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  Speaker 2: averaging about three net a little under three and a
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  Speaker 2: half goals per game. They're expected goals numbers significantly kind
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  Speaker 2: of less than that. Obviously, expected goals are kind of
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  Speaker 2: what the metrics and the stats and everything show in
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  Speaker 2: terms of what they're expected to be doing thus far
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  Speaker 2: through the season. Obviously, it's not end all be all here.
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  Speaker 2: This is just the stats just kind of gives you
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  Speaker 2: an overview and a lens of the slate here. So
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  Speaker 2: obviously you can see here massive massive advantage here for
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  Speaker 2: the Wild, Vegas has it basically as a pick them.
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  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a hot take on that in a
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  Speaker 2: little bit here. Obviously I like the Wild quite a bit.
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  Speaker 2: From looking at this sheet here you can kind of
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  Speaker 2: see that, but didn't want to showcase that the matchup sheet,
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: and then you jump over here to the Stone and
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  Speaker 2: let me bring this back down to one hundred percent
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  Speaker 2: here as we talk through the slate. First game on
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  Speaker 2: the slate here it's the Flyers, it's the Bruins here
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  Speaker 2: swimming in net samu and Erson in that I like
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  Speaker 2: this spot quite a bit here for Boston. Great matchup
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  Speaker 2: at home. I think this is kind of a get
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  Speaker 2: right spot here. For for Boston, they're four and five
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  Speaker 2: here to start the year, not really playing playing the best,
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  Speaker 2: and at home here against a Flyers team who's two
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: and seven come into town. I think this is a
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  Speaker 2: get right spot. Like I said, I could see four
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  Speaker 2: or five goals here for Boston. I think they're a
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  Speaker 2: good stack. Elias Landhelm, David Pasha Zatcha, I like that
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  Speaker 2: top line, add in Charlie Mack and from a deep
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  Speaker 2: perspective at fifty six hundred, great spot here. From an
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  Speaker 2: ownership standpoint, they're seeming pretty low owned for the most
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: part here. They're gonna get ownership for sure, but there's
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  Speaker 2: a couple of massive favorites on the slate that showed
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  Speaker 2: to keep ownership fairly in check here. But I do
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  Speaker 2: like Boston quite a bit, one of my favorite stacks
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  Speaker 2: of the evening here. Like I said, I think this
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  Speaker 2: is a get right spot for them on the flyers side.
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  Speaker 2: Really not a ton of interest here, Travis Sandheim, I
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  Speaker 2: think it makes some sense. Jamie Drysdale at four klay
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  Speaker 2: a demon perspective standpoint, but not really getting to Samuel
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  Speaker 2: Orson or anyone really on on his flyer side. Travis Connectney,
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  Speaker 2: you can play him any time. He's honestly one of
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: the best two way wings in the entire NHL. He's
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: on the penalty kill as well, so usually thrust his
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: ice timers. You can see there averages over twenty minutes
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  Speaker 2: per game. But from a goalie standpoint, I think Jeremy
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  Speaker 2: Swayeman makes a ton of sense in terms of a
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  Speaker 2: spend up goalie. So for me, it's pretty much Boston
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  Speaker 2: or pass in that spot. For me, this game is
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  Speaker 2: interesting here. I like both sides of this game. Montreal
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  Speaker 2: at home. I think Montreal line one with Suzuki Cold
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  Speaker 2: Caulfield and Kirby Duck with some Mathieson or Layne Hudson
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  Speaker 2: or a Logan Mayu overall makes some good sense here.
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  Speaker 2: They're going to be virtually on own. Coke Caulfield just
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  Speaker 2: decides to score, and basically, I mean scores every game.
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  Speaker 2: He's averages almost a goal per game over the course
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  Speaker 2: of the season. So far, in the nine games he's played,
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  Speaker 2: absolute stud his price has not gone past seventy seven hundred.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: I mean he's been seventy five hundred seventy seven hundred
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  Speaker 2: pretty much all season. So in tournaments Montreal line one
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  Speaker 2: is probably gonna be my Canadian or my Columbus from yesterday.
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  Speaker 2: If you watched the show yesterday, you knew I was
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  Speaker 2: all over Columbus. Columbus absolutely laid it to Edmonton, smoked them.
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  Speaker 2: I could see a similar spot here for Montreal. Seattle,
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  Speaker 2: on the other hand, does have a good match up here.
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  Speaker 2: Montreal has been solid at home, but they are the
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  Speaker 2: worst team in the entire NHL going back to the
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  Speaker 2: matchup sheet in terms of expected goals against. So I
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: think there's some regression coming. We could see it here.
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  Speaker 2: The only issue from Seattle is it's hard to pinpoint
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  Speaker 2: where the scoring is gonna come from. I think line
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  Speaker 2: two would be my preferred option. So Chandler Stevenson I
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: think makes a lot of sense Perkowski. Jaden Schwartz is
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  Speaker 2: kind of going to be the line I would go
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  Speaker 2: to if I'm going to Seattle. But for me in tournaments,
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  Speaker 2: I think Montreal line one is gonna be my preferred
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  Speaker 2: options here. I think ownership is not really gonna be
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: there a lot of ownerships going to the Seattle side.
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  Speaker 2: Brandon Montur is gonna be pretty chalky. He's a good option.
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  Speaker 2: But for me, I like Montreal quite a bit actually
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  Speaker 2: here in tournaments. So a little bit of hot take
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  Speaker 2: there as obviously they're plus one fifty here on the
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  Speaker 2: day jumping the next game here the Ottawa Senators and
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  Speaker 2: the Saint Louis Blues. I think this is a great
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  Speaker 2: spot here for Ottawa Blues five and four coming to town. Here,
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  Speaker 2: they're all right. Hopefully I'm gonna be in that, I
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  Speaker 2: believe because Bennington went last night right on the back
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: to back here Ottawa Linus Almark I think is one
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  Speaker 2: of the best goalie players on the slate. If you're
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: looking to spend up here, he should see some volume.
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  Speaker 2: He's overall a really good goalie and I just like
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  Speaker 2: the spot here. So for me, Ottawa line one, Timmy
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  Speaker 2: stew Brady Chuck I think make a lot of sense,
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: and then I would probably throw in a Claude Dureau
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: or Drake Batherson, probably Batherson because he or Bathurston. Sorry,
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  Speaker 2: he correlates right on the top power play there. So
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: I like Timmy Stu, I like Brady Kachuk, and then
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  Speaker 2: Jake Sanderson as well. If you're looking just for a
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  Speaker 2: three man stack there, I'm probably gonna leave Michael Amadillo
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  Speaker 2: off of the stack here to be honest, But if
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: you're looking for a value and need some value, two
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  Speaker 2: point nine k getting power play time skating next to
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  Speaker 2: Timmy stew and Brady not the worst take or not
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  Speaker 2: the worst play by by any means, But for me,
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  Speaker 2: I like Ottawa line one, like I said, but adding
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  Speaker 2: in a Bathurston or Sanderson or like a Josh Norris
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  Speaker 2: to the stack there to get that power play correlation
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  Speaker 2: on the blues side here, Jordan Kyru I think makes
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  Speaker 2: a lot of sense at seventy one hundred. If you
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: want to pair him, you can play him with Boustnevitch here.
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  Speaker 2: Really just that two man stack, I'm looking at maybe
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  Speaker 2: a Philip Broberg justin Folk something like that, But kyrou
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  Speaker 2: went off maybe a mini Bosnavich, but my interest really
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  Speaker 2: here is definitely on the Ottawa side. I think Ottawa
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  Speaker 2: is a pretty solid stack here in tournaments, and they're
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  Speaker 2: gonna be one of my favorite favorite teams to target
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  Speaker 2: here tonight jumping two. One of the heaviest favorites on
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  Speaker 2: slate here, it's the Islanders. It's the Ducks here. Islanders
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  Speaker 2: great plays here, Islanders better hockey team in my opinion here,
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  Speaker 2: but they're both three and five to start the year here.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: I just think tonight Islanders are definitely a good spot. However,
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: in tournaments, if you're looking for a GPP pivot here,
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  Speaker 2: Lucas Dostal at seventy one I think makes a ton
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  Speaker 2: of sense here. You see all this ownership here going
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  Speaker 2: to the Islanders for a good reason, right their minus
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  Speaker 2: two fifty favorites here facing the Ducks to give a
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  Speaker 2: ton of goals on the road. However, Lucas Dosto been
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  Speaker 2: very very good overall, and I just like the spot here,
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  Speaker 2: so I think I think for me it's probably gonna
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: be the Ducks the Dosto in tournaments here, and probably
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  Speaker 2: a pass on these Islanders at this ownership to be honest,
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  Speaker 2: if I went to the Islanders, it'd probably be the
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  Speaker 2: depth guys like Geene Gabrielle Pajot here. I think he
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  Speaker 2: makes some sense. Anders Lee, that two man stack there,
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  Speaker 2: I really like at thirty one. They both play a
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  Speaker 2: ton of minutes, They're both very active on the ice
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  Speaker 2: and getting power play time. So give me the Islanders
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  Speaker 2: depth guys, and I'm gonna be a little bit underweight
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  Speaker 2: on the Nelson's, the Horvats, the Paulmiers of the world,
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  Speaker 2: the Barzols, the Maxims, because I just think this ownership
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  Speaker 2: is pretty crazy here, and I like other spots more
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  Speaker 2: if I'm targeting kind of the heavy favorites here tonight,
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: jumping to the next game here, h oh, I do
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  Speaker 2: want to hit on some of these Ducks defenders here,
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  Speaker 2: this Zelweiger here, Goudas, Cam Fowler, Jumalein, Minnie Tookov. I mean,
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: all these guys are great options here. They block a
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  Speaker 2: ton of shots, they're super cheap, or they play a
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  Speaker 2: ton of minutes. So I think for me it's the
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  Speaker 2: Ducks defenders and then Lucas Dostal probably probably my preferred options.
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  Speaker 2: They're they're on the Ducks I really like Lucas Dosto
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  Speaker 2: in GPPs. Here tonight for a goalie standpoint jumping to
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  Speaker 2: probably my favorite stack on the board here in this
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: next game, it's the Minnesota Wild. I love this spot
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: here a ton The Penguins at home here three and
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  Speaker 2: seven just look like a mess. Bondquists looks it looks
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: to be a mess as well. Here give me these
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: Minnesota Wild. I think they're too much to handle here.
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: I love Joel Ericson Eck, I love Boldie, I love
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  Speaker 2: caprizov I love Zucarello. Brock favors is a great option
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  Speaker 2: in from a d manse sendpoint Jake Middleton if he
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: if he's in there, love these Wild Wild. Probably my
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  Speaker 2: favorite favorite overall stack on the slate. I think they
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: come in lower own than what the Islanders come in.
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  Speaker 2: I think they come in lower own than what the
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: Kings come in, and I think they can match the upside.
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: So usually like Joel Erickson Eck Moore on the road
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: because you can focus more on scoring instead of defense.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: So really really like him, Aton, really like Matt Boldie.
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  Speaker 2: And then you can add in caprizov A Zukarello if
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: you're looking for kind of a powerplay stack there on
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: the Penguin side, pretty much a full fait for me.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: Matt Grizzlick at three k I don't hate him, but
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: for me it's the wild mark and j Fleury would
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: be my option for goaltending in the mid tier. I
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: think he's a great option and a good play here
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: tonight for sure. Jumping the next game on the slate.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: Here we have the Caps, we have the Rangers. Rangers
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: look like a wagon this year six and two. However,
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: the Caps also look pretty good here. To be honest,
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: for me, I think the Caps are good enough. I
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: think this game from a DFS perspective really isn't one
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: I'm targeting too much Logan Thompson, and that I think
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: makes some sense. That seventy four Igor Schusturkin also makes
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: some sense here. I think this is a better real
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: life hockey game than a DFS target. Here, I will
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: say Dylan Strom and Ovechkin at these price points with
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: John Carlson, that's a nice three man stack there if
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: you're looking for that. Jacob Chittrin as well, and then
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: Trevor Van Riemsdyke at thirty five hundred. He's a great
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: d man option, you could pull some value. If I
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: went to this game, it would probably be on the
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Cap side. It's just a tough matchup overall, better real
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: life hockey game. Like I said, so not really stacking
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: up either one of these teams. I think at tournaments,
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: even on the Rangers side, just at these prices, I
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: think the Caps are pretty solid defensively, they're scrappy, they're deep,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: and I just think this game kind of drags, to
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: be honest. Last game on the slate here we have
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: the Kings, we have the Sharks. This is gonna be
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: probably the chalk of the slate. However, ownership projections really
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: don't look like it that much. It does help to
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: keep ownership down somewhat. I think because the Kings are
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: on the road here, Shark's coming off a win last night,
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: first to win at the season. However, now they're on
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: a back to back, the head from Utah to go
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: back to San Jose on a back to back, now
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: face the Kings here, I think they're outmatched. I think
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: this is a get right spot for Ann's Kopatar, who
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: hasn't been great. Adrian Camp has been good, Quintin Byfield,
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: I think that's a great stack there. You can always
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: play Alex Laffernir, who seems to score every single night
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: he's on the slate, Philip Den great option, Kevin Fiala,
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: Trevor Moore, and then you got Brent Clark forty six hundred,
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: one of the best mid tier demon plays on the
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: entire slate. I think this is a great spot here
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: for the Kings, massive favorites, but from what I'm seeing
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: early runs on ownership outside of brand Clark, not too
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: much ownership projected to be on these Kings, So if
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: that stays true, really like the Late Night Hammer for
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: the Kings. They're my favorite spend up stets are my
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: favorite heavy favorite stack. Really like them much more than
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: a lot of the other favorites that I kind of
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: went through reading. On the Shark's side, I mean, Darcy
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Kemper is going to be in net. He's averaging over
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: three goals per game. I don't think he's a great
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: goalie by any means. And I will say mkhl Granlin
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: is absolutely on fire right now. His price doesn't move.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: You get a full correlation stack with him, Eckeln and Tofoley.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: They're all sub five k or six K for the
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: most part, great options. You can add a Jake Wollman
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: if you're looking for a four man power play stack there,
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: nobody's going to play them. Grantlin continues to score fifteen
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: to twenty draftings points a night at sixty three hundred
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: in that mid tier center option at the ownership and
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: then you get his line made Alexander Weinberg right coming
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: off a goal last night three point two k getting
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: top powerplay time. One of the best value plays on
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: the slate from Weinberg there. Obviously, if you're looking for
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: kind of virtually zero ownership, you con pair him with
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: Zeterlin and call it a day. So for me, I
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: think the late night game is actually pretty interesting here tonight.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: I like some pieces on both sides, definitely prefer the
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: King side. But nobody plays the Sharks for a good reason,
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: right They're They're terrible. However, they do score goals, and
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: these games tend to tend to kind of get up
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: and down the ice a little bit when teams are
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: playing these Sharks here. So that's all seven games kind
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: of broke it down where I'm looking to target here.
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: As always, my sleate plan is published at Shippingnation dot com.
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  Speaker 2: just for NBA without any projection or without any optimizer
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  Speaker 2: dot com. But appreciate everyone tuning in checking out this
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: quick hit for NHL. Let's continue the good momentum here
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  Speaker 2: rolland at the Nation. Tons of winners nightly in the
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