Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Survivor Pool Week 16 Review | 2025 Strategy, Picks & Lessons Learned

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NFL Survivor Pool Week 16 Review | 2025 Strategy, Picks & Lessons Learned · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Okay, okay, all systems going clear the left up.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Hey, what's going on everyone?
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: This is sheets and we're going to take a look
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: back at some of the contests we've been tracking, uh,
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: both Survivor Pool and Survivor leading into playoffs. It's still
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: a Survivor pool, but it's a little different thing. We're
• 0:57
  Speaker 3: going to talk about some of the big splash content.
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: We're going to talk about one big Survivor sweat contest,
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: and kind of wrap it up.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow in the premium show.
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: We're going to get really into the weeds and think
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: about how we want to approach the upcoming weeks. Especially
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: with these hybrid pools that lead into the playoffs, you
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: got to be really careful, number one, not to obviously
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: play teams that you're gonna want to use the playoffs,
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: but you also sort of want to.
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: Start setting up your bracket.
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: You're going to make sure that you're going to have
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: all legal picks throughout the rest of the contest. That's
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: something that we're going to really get into when we
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: talk about the NCAA Basketball Survivor bracket, Survivor Pool stuff
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: when it gets into March. And this is a really
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: good preview of that, specifically with the college Football pool
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: college Football Playoffs survivor pool, which we're also going to
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: talk about, but we're.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: Going to get more into that tomorrow.
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: I just want to just kind of go over some
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: results and guys that were kind of kind of tracking
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: here and sweating.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: First of all, this is the big splash here.
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: We have a couple of people in our discord that
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: are in this, and we also have a couple of
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: pretty sharp players in general that are in this.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: And last week the one team that.
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: Lost that really impacted anybody was Detroit. But the thing
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: is is that most people already burned them. The other
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: guys that got knocked out were people that played Kansas City.
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: They I bet I don't know if anybody would play
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: them against against Houston or whatever, but if they kind
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: of excuse me, against Tennessee.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: But they ran out of teams, there's not much to do, right, So.
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: They were like only a three and a half point favorite,
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: so what else can you do? And we had a
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: couple of Cincinnatis. They went down. A lot of people
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: just kind of kind of ran out of teams. The
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati actually won, so we did have to pick two.
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: So It was a little bit difficult, but Detroit was
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: the real team that I mean I would have recommended
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: that ended up going down. So in this big splash,
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: it's two point five million for first and we're down
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: to twelve, and we'll just I want to go over
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: where everybody used last week. So Trock went with Philly Houston,
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: which is kind of chalky. Luke Wynn with New Orleans Houston,
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: which was kind of chalky. Pee Tars went with the Atlanta,
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: but that was because he had no choice, right, so
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: all these people with Houston they had to do this.
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: So with Houston, Burn had to do this. So Cubert
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: went with Atlanta, and then it's Hyundai. He had Houston available.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: It looks like, oh he played hoston Houston New Orleans
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: AJ porrassum he had Houston available, so he played them
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: and he went with San Francis instead of Philly, which
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: was an interesting decision.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: He was able to push Philly out to eighteen, which
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: is may or may not be sharp.
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: You know, we're gonna see a Philly Actually, oh no,
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: I was about to say we're gonna see a Philly
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: actually gets to play for something in eighteen.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: But he actually used.
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: Them last week, and as I'm mentioning, a lot of
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: these decisions are kind of made for us at this point,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: Chewing went with Philly in New Orleans. Obviously in the
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: Houston available Elusive did not have Houston or San Francisco.
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: Available, or Philly, so New Orleans, Atlanta.
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: Plastic dub who we've been tracking again, he's my favorite
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: player because again in week fourteen he went and used
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: New Orleans and Tennessee, who were the two big underdogs
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: on the slate, and got mass leverage. So he's the
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: guy I'm actually rooting for. And he advanced with Philly
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: in Houston. And then you have k Dubbs with two entries,
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: very nice one and he went for max diversification out
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: of it was on purpose or not. Yeah, so this
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: one at Houston available, so he used them. This one
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: didn't have Houston available, so again everybody was really just
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: dropping their top picks here. And Eric got away with
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: the Minnesota New Orleans which was nice. And yeah, so
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: all these people advanced and now we're at week week seventeen,
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: which is I mean, it's gonna be really really nasty.
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: You know, you got to pick two teams and there
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: aren't a lot of favorites. I mean, like, I'll just
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: take a quick look at it and then we'll get
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: into it's more tomorrow. But there's the availability report. Let's see,
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: like what favorites or even people have, Like the Bears
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: are an underdog, the Chiefs aren underdog, the culture and underdog,
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: the Saints are an underdog, like almost everybody here. Pittsburgh
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: is a favorite. Okay, that's something. Dallas they're a big favorite,
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: so they're gonna have to get used here.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: And then Tampa we'll have to take a look at
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: their situation.
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: And then you're at Tennessee as a small underdogs in
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: New Orleans, I guess.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: You got the Raiders. Oh, the Raiders are gonna have
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: to be popular there. I think one and a half
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: point favorite against the Giants.
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: Not to mention the Giants are only one and a
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: half one underdog to the Raiders. Ah, but this is
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: gonna be the Nuts. So we'll get into this. So well,
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: the Nut team that everybody's gonna have. So Bengals at
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: minus seven this week are available to ninety two percent
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: of the people. This is very possible they end up
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: one hundred percent of Well, it can't be a hundred
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: because one person used them to be very difficult for
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: people with Cincinnati not to use them. So it looks
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: as though the two main teams I guess are gonna
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: be Dallas and maybe Sincey. We'll see. We'll get into
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: that later on. But it's very fragile coming into the
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: last two weeks.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: You know, you run out of teams.
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: It's rough, all right, that's gonna be the splash two
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: point five MILLI This is the high stake Survivor revival.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: I bring this up not because it's particularly interesting.
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: I mean that you're eighty two people left, which means
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: it's going to have like an enormous job.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: But nonetheless, we have our two tag and Tambo in here, who.
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: Is just kind of dropping his top favorite teams, you know,
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: and we'll get into tomorrow. But he's got a pretty
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: kind of nut runout to get through, so he's gonna
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: be in a position probably where he just has to
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: root against other people.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: So I mean, like, for example, I want to see.
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: Really quickly how many New England's are available here? Only
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: thirty three, yikes, and they're all gonna play them. I mean, everybody,
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: why wouldn't they, so that they're all gonna play them,
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: So they're gonna be forty percent owned. But it's still
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: gonna be good to ev to play them. So this
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: one will be an easy one to project. But we'll
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: get to that. But good on Totek and Tambo. I mean,
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: even if it chops, what even if it chops forty ways,
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: that's something. It's ten grand whatever. This was better than losing.
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: All right, let's uh, we'll get rid of that one
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: for now. Now we have three tournaments that I'm in
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: that I think are pretty interesting. What is this hybrid
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: playoff pool one? And what this is again is it
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: requires you to make two picks a week in the
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: regular season starting last week, and then when you get
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: to the wildcard round it get you have to pick
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: two teams there and then one in the divisional round,
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: one of the conference championships, and one of the super Bowl.
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: So you have to off this line between playing teams
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: that you think are gonna win and playing teams that
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: you're gonna want to use the playoffs. So I actually
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: got seven entries through with you know, a good combination
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: of New Orleans, who we know is not gonna be
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: the playoffs with Minnesota, who know, is not gonna be
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: the playoffs with some teams that just had big winning
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: chances that I just you know, you have to take somebody.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: So I played a bunch.
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: Of Houston, so I'm kind of hoping that they don't
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: do anything in the playoffs. But we'll get into how
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: to approach this because it's it's pretty complicated. This one
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: is all, wow, four people got knocked out and I thought,
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: so it's down to three p fifty two out of
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: eight oh eight. And this is a tough one because
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: you've got to get through all these double pit weeks
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: and have your brackets meld.
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: So it's gonna be an interesting It's gonna be an
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: interesting tournament to to sweat, and it really does challenge
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: your brain quite a bit and it will preprep you for.
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: This NCAA stuff. Okay, so that one's good. This one
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: is the Survivor Sweat, which is basically a hybrid between
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: the circle rules and this playoff contest. So what this
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: does is you have to pick one team per week
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: starting I think it was last week. However, this week
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: in Christmas time, you have to pick two teams. One
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: has to come from the Christmas Day slate, so it's
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: got to be either Dallas, Washington, Tenver, Kansas City, Detroit, Minnesota,
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: and then another pick from this week, then one in
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: eighteen excuse me, you won an eighteen, and then in
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: the playoffs, one per round.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: So we got through with two entries here.
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: We used Houston in both of them, and we're gonna
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: have to make two picks this week. We're gonna have
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: to play somebody from the Christmas Day slate and we'll
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: talk about that, and then we are going to have
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: to play someone from the regular mainslat so we'll get
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: into that one lost.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: You know, a decent amount of people.
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: This is I think down to maybe like two hundred
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: or so, and again this is going to be very
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: very challenging when this gets into playoffs and you have
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: to kind of massage your brackets a little bit. And
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: this last one is the Playoff Survivor Pool, the CFB
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: Playoff Survivor Pool, and I just put some dummy lineups
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: in here, I mean the dummy picks in here. Maybe
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: we'll actually play these, but we'll talk about this. We
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: have a while to think about this one, because the
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: next round is until the thirty first. But this one
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: is very challenging because even though it's only a handful
• 11:38
  Speaker 3: of teams, you have to pick two teams in the
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: first two rounds and then still make sure that you
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: have a path to victory. Okay, so you have to
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: be able to make two picks around and have teams
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: that you haven't used yet eligible of the championship rounds.
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: So, uh, it's not easy.
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: It's it probably will end up chopping, but it's not
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: gonna be as brutal as you think. So what we
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: did last week is we played guys from the opposite
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: side of the bracket.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: We played Ole Miss here and we played Oregon.
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: Here, and they were really big favorites, but they are
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: not like locks in their next games.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: That's you know, kind of what you want to use.
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: And again it's very important, as we will discussed, to
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: play teams on opposite sides of the brackets if at
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: all possible. And surprisingly, we lost like fifty percent of
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: the people last week.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: You know, we had a lot of people that took.
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: That went for this A and M game, a lot
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: of people went for this Oklahoma game. So we lost
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: like forty eight percent of the people taking shots at
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: the you know, the the less favorite teams to butcher
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: a phrase.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: So I was very surprised. I thought that that Ole
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: miss and Oregon would be like eighty percent on each
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: and I'd kind of figure out how to get different later.
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: But we really did lose fifty percent of the field,
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: which was which is good for us. So there is
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: a very important way to handle the second round, which
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: I guess I'll get to tomorrow, but if not, I'll
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: certainly do in time for next week. But again, it's
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: a very important type of pool to.
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: Train yourself, especially for these NCA things. And this is
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty y guaranteed.
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: You but I mean, there's just no way that this
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: is going to be two hundred and fifty K. I'm
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: guessing thirty way chop, maybe maybe twenty way.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: I don't know. It's hard though.
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: It's hard to make sure that your brackets kind of worked,
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: you know, it's hard to make sure you get these
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: legal picks.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: But we'll talk about it. And again that's really what
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: I want.
• 13:59
  Speaker 3: It's get into and just to let you guys know
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: that I am gonna be continuing to do these things
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: until these playoff pools kind of end and then we'll
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: have a little bit of a break maybe but maybe not,
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: because maybe we'll spend a little bit of time on
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: these golf one and dones really want to make this playoff,
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: this pool channel kind of like year round and make
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: it work not just NFL Survivor because again, this this, this,
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: I'm saying this like every single week.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: But this NCAA Survivor pool thing is insane. And we'll
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: get to that when we get to it. All right,
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: that's gonna do it tomorrow. I'm gonna get more deep
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: into the weeds with this stuff. And that's it. Good
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: Luck and Dad and
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: Mast and Sad and STI