Latest / How To Protect The Ocean / Coral reefs suffering from climate change: scientists warn we've crossed a tipping point
Transcript
- 0:00What if the world's coral reefs are no longer a future crisis?
- 0:03Like we're not predicting this anymore, but a crisis is already underway.
- 0:06A new global report warns that we've passed the first major climate tipping
- 0:10point and the way we thought about gradual change may already be too late.
- 0:16I remember diving in like beautiful spots in the Caribbean.
- 0:20Grant came in, is one of the spots that I remember just profusely.
- 0:23It's just amazing way to go down and enjoy a coral reef that
- 0:27hasn't been touched by anything.
- 0:29But then I've also gone diving on a lot of sites that have
- 0:32been touched by climate change.
- 0:34Rapid increases in temperature.
- 0:36Throw off the corals.
- 0:37They bleach for too long, and they end up being ruined and
- 0:40the entire habitat's ruined.
- 0:41The fish are gone.
- 0:42There's nothing for that area, not just to scuba dive, but to fish on, or even just
- 0:47to provide protection for the coastline.
- 0:50We're gonna talk about this new tipping point, how it's already
- 0:53underway, and the time for prediction is over on this episode of the
- 0:56How to Protect the Ocean Podcast.
- 0:58Let's start the show.
- 1:02Hey everybody.
- 1:03Welcome back to another exciting episode of the How to Protect the Ocean Podcast.
- 1:06I'm your host, Andrew Lewin, and this is the podcast where you find
- 1:08out what's happening with the ocean, how you can speak up for the ocean,
- 1:11and what you can do to live for a better ocean by taking action.
- 1:15On today's episode, we're gonna be talking about what's happening in the ocean.
- 1:18Unfortunately.
- 1:19It's not good news.
- 1:20There was a report that came out that I actually saw on The Guardians, an
- 1:22article on The Guardian that talked about this report, that talked about
- 1:25tipping points and how coral reefs have already hit the first tipping point.
- 1:29Now, a tipping point is essentially a point in which these coral reefs or
- 1:33habitat or something in the wild has gone past where there's really no going back.
- 1:38Right?
- 1:38That tipping point is where, you know, you look at something that like a
- 1:41bottle of liquid and when you tip it over, you lose more and more liquid.
- 1:45But at some point you're gonna tip it so much that you're
- 1:47gonna lose most of that liquid.
- 1:48That's the tipping point that we're kind of talking about here.
- 1:51But in this case, we're talking about coral reef health and what we've seen over
- 1:54the time, like in the past few decades is the prediction of hearing that coral reefs
- 1:59are going to be lost on a regular basis.
- 2:01We're gonna see that coral reefs in certain areas, whether it be remote
- 2:04or on the coastline are gonna be lost for a long time, if not forever, or
- 2:09we're going to see a shift in that change of species makeup because
- 2:13it can only handle a specific tolerance of environmental factors.
- 2:17So let's just talk about coral reefs for a second.
- 2:19They are an animal.
- 2:20They have a very narrow tolerance for different environmental
- 2:24factors such as temperature, pH and just salinity in general.
- 2:28If you've ever had a marine aquarium at home like I have in the past, you will
- 2:32know that when you put a coral reef in the tank, it is very sensitive to change.
- 2:36So when you have a smaller tank, especially when you compare it to the
- 2:39ocean, any change in water quality, like a dip in salinity, or an increase
- 2:43in salinity, or a dip in temperature, or an increase in temperature, or a
- 2:46dip in pH, or an increase in pH, if it's this out of whack within that
- 2:50narrow range in any of those, or all of those will kill the corals.
- 2:55They will die if it's prolonged.
- 2:57And so I was explaining this to a friend of mine at work today who was asking
- 3:00about coral reef health, and he was like, what happens when coral reefs die?
- 3:04And essentially when sea surface temperature related,
- 3:06or there's something that
- 3:07is not good.
- 3:08That's happening in the ocean, right where the zoo the little
- 3:12phytoplankton that live in the corals, they start to get excited.
- 3:16They don't like what's happening in there.
- 3:17It's either too hot or something's gone wrong.
- 3:19The pH is off, something's gone wrong.
- 3:21They get ad, they get expunged.
- 3:23Actually, the coral reef skeletons like, you gotta get outta here.
- 3:25And when that phytoplankton leave the coral skeleton.
- 3:28It is just a skeleton.
- 3:30The phytoplankton provide the color and provide the ability for
- 3:33it to be fleshy kind of thing.
- 3:34Like that flesh that you see on a coral, the softer part of
- 3:37the coral around a hard coral.
- 3:38If you think about like a branching coral, there's a little bit of a flesh around
- 3:42it, like a little polyps that come out.
- 3:43That's the fleshy part.
- 3:44That will eventually die.
- 3:46And then you'll just have a coral skeleton, which is basically a rock,
- 3:48like it's made of limestone and will eventually degrade over time.
- 3:51If there's the environmental factors there, like say high sea temperature,
- 3:55if that's there for a prolonged amount of time, so more than like four
- 3:58or five days, six, seven days, the phytoplankton won't come back, but if
- 4:00it does go back to the regular range, you also get new phytoplankton in.
- 4:03There's an ability for this coral to recover and become healthy once again.
- 4:08So we've seen that over time.
- 4:09The Great Barrier Reef is a great example.
- 4:1193% of the barrier Reef a couple years ago bleach.
- 4:14But then most of that came back because it wasn't a prolonged event.
- 4:18It wasn't a prolonged like high sea surface temperature event where we
- 4:21saw bleaching for a long, long time.
- 4:23It was just in short spurts.
- 4:24Still not great, still not healthy for the coral, but it allowed
- 4:27it to recover in most places.
- 4:29This happens all over the world.
- 4:30Now we're starting to get to points where this tip, like the tipping point,
- 4:33we're starting to get to points where
- 4:34they're not gonna recover because the amount of days where the
- 4:37temperature is high is elongated just it lasts for a longer time.
- 4:41And so when we see that, we start to see the corals bleach for longer
- 4:45and then they start to die off.
- 4:47Now these are areas like the great barrier reef, where we've got areas
- 4:50along the coastline where people fish, they provide security for
- 4:54wave action against wave action.
- 4:55When you see like tsunamis or even high sea like sea waves come through.
- 4:59They provide all that safety because when the wave energy goes over the
- 5:02corals, because the corals are kind of like interjecting and getting in the
- 5:06way of the wave, the energy dissipates as it gets closer to the shore.
- 5:09It's not as if it's gonna be like perfect, it'll just dissipate down to normal, but
- 5:13it will take away some of that energy so you don't get as much of a storm surge.
- 5:17Or in the case of a tsunami, you'll get less of a surge coming at the beach.
- 5:20And that's an important part when we talk about security of a coastline from
- 5:23erosion or even just, you know, absolute chaos when it comes to a tsunami.
- 5:28So that's what we're talking about when we talk about tipping
- 5:30points and how things happen.
- 5:32You know, gradual impacts will happen.
- 5:34But if it continues to happen and it continues to happen, we have a problem.
- 5:38There was a point where remote reefs that weren't in contact, constant
- 5:42contact with humans, they were fine.
- 5:44They would bleach, but then they would come back because there was
- 5:46nothing else that was cumulative.
- 5:48So there nothing else that was in its way, like wasn't bad water quality, wasn't
- 5:51people diving on it all the time and like messing it up or fishing all the time and
- 5:55like putting anchors along the coral reef.
- 5:57Nothing was disturbing it, but in areas where they're along the coast where we
- 6:00had bad water quality coastal development that caused sedimentation, that like
- 6:04would just basically smother the corals, there would be like nutrients in there.
- 6:08So a lot of algae would grow over the corals.
- 6:10All these little things didn't help.
- 6:11And then you have climate change come through.
- 6:13They didn't have a chance.
- 6:14So a lot of these corals, if they have a lot of cumulative impacts plus
- 6:18climate change, we have a big problem.
- 6:19But now just climate change is causing a problem for a lot of these remote reefs.
- 6:23And that's a big problem.
- 6:24That's a huge problem.
- 6:25There's no more scuba diving on, no more, snorkeling 'cause there's nothing to see.
- 6:28The fish are gone, the turtles will be gone, the sharks will be gone.
- 6:31You know, invertebrates will be gone because there's nothing there to hide.
- 6:34These coastal systems, these coral reefs provide areas where
- 6:37you can hide as a fish, as an vertebrate, so you can't get caught.
- 6:41And there's a lot of food in there as well for specific species and stuff.
- 6:44It's really, really a diverse system that is stable and that's what we want.
- 6:49Right.
- 6:49But here now we're talking about this report that came out, it says Coral
- 6:52reefs have crossed their tipping point threshold at about 1.2 degrees
- 6:56Celsius of warming above normal.
- 6:58Mass
- 6:59die off and decline are inevitable in most reef systems.
- 7:03So we're expecting a lot of these reef systems to just start to decline.
- 7:06Current global warming, is already at 1.4 degrees Celsius, and it's
- 7:09predicted to go up to three degrees Celsius above what is considered quote
- 7:13unquote normal for certain areas.
- 7:16Now, the future warming predictions without radical emissions cuts the 1.5
- 7:19degrees Celsius is likely within probably the decade and worsening the collapse.
- 7:24Now, the broader earth system risks like ice sheets, Amazon, rainforest, and
- 7:28Atlantic circulation are closer to tipping than scientists previously thought.
- 7:32Now these used to be like way out predictions.
- 7:34It's gonna happen in like a hundred years.
- 7:35It's gonna happen in like 200 years and stuff like that.
- 7:37Now the predictions are coming even closer because we've already
- 7:40hit these tipping points and this is gonna be a cascading effect.
- 7:43Now, of course, once one system collapses like reefs, you know,
- 7:46death, reducing carbon storage can accelerate other stressors.
- 7:49Like even when we talk about forest fires, right?
- 7:52and the fact that we have wildfires.
- 7:54As these trees burn up, all the carbon that they used to store
- 7:57would go into the atmosphere.
- 7:58It's the same thing with coral reefs.
- 7:59All the carbon that they stored in the rocks, in the corals would
- 8:03go up into the ocean, into the atmosphere, making things worse.
- 8:06Some experts note that there is uncertainty.
- 8:08So coral refuges and cooler or deeper waters may actually persist.
- 8:12Local management that manages pollution and overfishing still actually matters.
- 8:17So the fact that you can take away cumulative effects from human
- 8:20effects, that's a huge thing.
- 8:21That's a very big plus and allows the coral reef systems to be a little bit more
- 8:25resilient in the face of climate change.
- 8:27Not to say that climate change won't affect them periodically,
- 8:29but it may not affect them on a permanent basis in certain areas.
- 8:33Now, of course, not all scientists agree on the precise thresholds.
- 8:36Reef resilience may vary from region to region and from species to species.
- 8:40I remember reading studies that have different types of phytoplankton within
- 8:44the corals, so they call 'em A, B, C, and D. The D type had a larger
- 8:48range of temperature threshold, so that means it could handle a lot more
- 8:53of a higher range of temperature.
- 8:54These zoo, these phytoplankton that are in the corals, if it's a higher
- 8:59temperature, they can actually stay in for longer, but it's only in specific species.
- 9:02reeses, we know it could change in the makeup that they have that may
- 9:06not be more branching corals or harder corals might be more soft corals.
- 9:09So that might be a change that we might see.
- 9:12Now, of course, some ecosystems show recovery potential if local stressors are
- 9:15managed, which I talked about already.
- 9:16These create tensions between like the Domus narratives, it's over,
- 9:20and the resilience narratives.
- 9:21There's still hope.
- 9:22So I never wanna say that our coral reefs are beyond repair.
- 9:26What I'm saying is that we're gonna see a change in coral reefs
- 9:28if we don't make any changes.
- 9:30If we get back through like lower than the tipping point of the 1.2
- 9:33degree Celsius or whatever that might be, then we are in better shape.
- 9:37Unfortunately, the actions that we've taken as a human species hasn't even
- 9:41come close, and we're actually predicted to go to three degrees above normal.
- 9:44So that's gonna be a problem.
- 9:46So like some of the consequences that we're gonna see in cascading
- 9:48risks is like reef collapse, that which is reducing biodiversity.
- 9:52Affects keystone species that it could be good for fisheries, that
- 9:55could be good for stabilizing the ecosystems like sharks and so forth.
- 9:58And of course, destabilizes ocean food webs, as I just mentioned,
- 10:01without sharks or any other types of predators that actually are like
- 10:04apex predators for that food web.
- 10:06Now, of course, you know, reefs are dependent and people dependent on reefs.
- 10:09So 500 million people worldwide depend on reefs for food,
- 10:12income and coastal protection.
- 10:14Reef loss means that food insecurity, economic hardship and greater exposure
- 10:18to storms are gonna be get worse.
- 10:21And that's not good.
- 10:22So the dying ecosystems release carbon when they die, and so they
- 10:25lose their capacity to absorb it, worsening climate change.
- 10:28So that's gonna cascade in a bad way, let's just say.
- 10:30But look, there is a path forward.
- 10:32There are a lot of paths forward, so the global actions like urgent
- 10:34emission reductions are the only way to halt the warming.
- 10:37That is really it.
- 10:38Anybody else can say like, we can do as much restoration for corals or
- 10:41sea grasses or anything like that, that will help in the meantime.
- 10:44But while we see this happen, we have to reduce urgently these
- 10:49emissions, like we have to cut them.
- 10:51It's has to happen.
- 10:52We're starting to see the emergence of renewable energy, which is great, but
- 10:55we're also starting to see that there's a lot of halting of that renewable energy
- 10:59or the construction of that renewable energy because of other fossil fuel favor
- 11:03I guess is really what it comes down to.
- 11:05a lot of countries.
- 11:06So we're still having that push and pull, including my own, in Canada.
- 11:09We're still having that push and pull, which is not good for us.
- 11:11Now, local mans are reducing any kind of cumulative effects,
- 11:14so overfishing, pollution or destructive practices can help.
- 11:17The measures won't stop bleaching necessarily, but can help by
- 11:20reefs like some reefs, some time, which will be great.
- 11:23And restoration and innovation.
- 11:25So coral nurseries assisted evolution, which has just changed like looking at
- 11:28the makeup of how this is gonna change.
- 11:30Like, so some researchers are working on heat tolerances of coral reefs, and
- 11:33then of course large scale restoration, which is extremely expensive.
- 11:36Efforts offer potential, though not at a scale that will help the crisis.
- 11:41So there are some positive tipping points.
- 11:43So there's renewable energy growth, as I mentioned.
- 11:45There's following battery prices so we can store that renewable energy more.
- 11:48And lifestyle changes can quickly reshape systems giving hope.
- 11:52So look within, look at home, start small and then act big.
- 11:56You know, they also say act local, you know, think global.
- 11:59That's what we need to do.
- 12:00Of course there is a huge role for science communicators and public
- 12:03voices, but they need to be listened to and we need to be really cognitive
- 12:07of how we portray this message.
- 12:10I don't want people to feel like, Hey, it's your fault.
- 12:12How dare you do this.
- 12:13If you ignore the problem, it's not gonna go away.
- 12:15No, I think there's a community aspect to it.
- 12:17It's like we wanna take care of our community, our local community,
- 12:20our regional community, our national community, you know,
- 12:22our international community.
- 12:23We wanna take care of each other.
- 12:24We wanna take care of this planet because we love nature, we love
- 12:28the ocean, and there's more to
- 12:30the planet than just earning money and destroying the planet.
- 12:33There's more to that and we need to act on it right now.
- 12:36So while reefs are in crisis, the story isn't just about loss, it's
- 12:41about what we can choose to do now.
- 12:43Like I said, every personal action that you take locally
- 12:46in your household will work.
- 12:48Every time you vote, vote for somebody who's actually gonna vote for in
- 12:51favor of the environment of the ocean.
- 12:53Reduce climate change.
- 12:54Right.
- 12:55And advocacy steps like actually focus on looking at nonprofit
- 12:58organizations or organizations that are out there, or even individuals
- 13:01that are out there that are helping to support reducing climate change.
- 13:04They're helping to support the education of what we need to do
- 13:08to help our planet, what we need to do to reduce this tipping point
- 13:10or get back over, hopefully, that we can stop from getting further down the road
- 13:15and losing coral reef systems altogether in a longer term, which is not good.
- 13:19Right?
- 13:19So the choices between like we can go cascading collapses, or
- 13:22we can go cascading solutions.
- 13:23Which one do you want?
- 13:24Let me know in the comments below.
- 13:26I'd love to hear if you're watching this on YouTube.
- 13:27Love to hear your opinion on this.
- 13:29Is it to doom and gloom?
- 13:30Or do you think that we have passed the tipping point and
- 13:33we need to get back into it?
- 13:34And you're ready to take some action?
- 13:36Let me know what action you're gonna take.
- 13:37Let me know the comments below.
- 13:39If you're watching this on YouTube, if you're listening to this on
- 13:41the audio on your favorite podcast app let me know what you think.
- 13:44DM me on Instagram at How to Protect the Ocean, or Go to speak up for
- 13:48blue.com/contact, fill out the form goes right to my email address and
- 13:52I will answer it as soon as I can.
- 13:54I wanna thank you so much for joining me on today's episode of the
- 13:56How to Protect the Ocean Podcast.
- 13:58I'm your host, Andrew Lewin from the True Nor Strong and Free.
- 14:00Have a great day.
- 14:01We'll talk to you next time and happy conservation.