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Episode 22 - 4/12/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 22 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on?
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Everyone Happy Friday? The week is almost over.
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The weekend is ahead of us guys, and we continue to grind here in
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the sports betting arena. I have a six pack of sweats for
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you today, another MLB in NBA Day.
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Today is, I believe, one of the last full big slates of the NBA.
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And there's a couple interesting angles that I'm going to share
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with you today, including one team that has nothing to play
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for and is resting all their guys and we're seeing the line
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move away from them. So I'm going to bet against this
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team who's got nothing to play for and is sitting there players
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at a pretty short number to fade them, as well as a total in the
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NBA I'm excited to share with you.
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And then another big baseball day, four MLB sweats, including
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three sides and a total, which is what we'll talk about on
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today's episode #22 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting Pod.
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Now looking back to our last night guys, it's just been one
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of those weeks, one of those weeks where we keep looking for
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that one win to flip us from a losing night to winning night
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and we can't get it. So another three and three
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night. But of course because we're
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laying some minus numbers with favorites, we were down -1.2
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units. And that's really been the story
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of the week. And again, you know there are
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weeks where the breaks go your way and you win that game to
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make it 4:00 and 2:00 instead of three and three.
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And then there are days where of course you can't get that break
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and you finish even you're slightly negative here.
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So it's been a week here. We're really just haven't gotten
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the luck on our side. We're beating some closing
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numbers. It's just been a bit erratic
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here. But we can continue to grind and
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hopefully finish off our week on a hot note.
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Now looking back to our Last night had a couple good wins.
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The Islanders and the Kings came through in the NHL.
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Islanders had a big overtime goal to get that one done.
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Then the OS OS made a sweat a little bit.
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But Orioles at a very good price, only like -125.
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They're down late to the Red Sox.
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I was like, are the Red Sox really going to win this game?
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And of course, just right on cue, Red Sox give up A2 run,
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home run. They couldn't.
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They missed the second base bag on a double play.
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They booted a ball and that. That's my Red Sox.
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The Bad News Bears so broke it open there in the 10th inning
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with the Orioles got a good win for the team.
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Now the frustrating ones were one the Pirates got blanked as a
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dog with a sharp line move, so they didn't show up at all.
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So thanks Pirates for having zero bats yesterday.
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And then the Stars 3, nothing, you lose. 3, nothing At home.
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One of the best teams in the NHL, maybe the best team in the
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NHL. Didn't see that one coming.
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And then the Leafs were the one game I'll pinpoint to.
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And there's this has really been the story of the week.
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There's that one game where they win that game.
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We have a winning night. They lose.
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We have a losing night. It always kind of hinges on that
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one game and the Leafs playing with their food, losing to the
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Devils who are eliminated, have nothing to play for.
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The Leafs man. They are just their offense is
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incredible, but they are just bad defensively.
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And I was. I was going back to my notebooks
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yesterday. I'm talking about Samsonov or
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Sampsonov. As a Bruins fan, I remember
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Sergey Sampsonov, one of my favorite players when I was
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younger, but I was given Sampsonov a lot of credit.
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He's been really good. He had played very well his last
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five starts, two goals or less than three or four.
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And then of course this is the way the week has gone.
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He gives up six goals and looked absolutely terrible and net.
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So what are you going to do guys?
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A three and three day -1.2 units.
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I know we haven't gotten the results that we've wanted this
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week. We continue to grind and again,
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there will be weeks when all these breaks go our way.
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But for every reason this has been a five day stretch here,
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Monday or a four day stretch Monday to Thursday, where we
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can't seem to breakthrough. But are we going to quit?
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No. Are we going to say screw this
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and double down and triple down and chase?
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No, just going to stick with it. I think it's one of the hardest
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things you got to deal with in sports.
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But everything's easy when you're winning.
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You're having winning nights, you're making smart bets, you're
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cashing the Lux on your side. That's when it's easy, when it's
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difficult, when you have these you know, kind of even nights
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down a little bit because of the juice or you know you have some
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some favorites who don't come through through for you or dogs
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who don't park. You just got to stick with it.
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You got to continue with your discipline, bankroll management
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and you got to remember that hey there will be weeks upcoming
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where the brakes do go our way. So keep on knocking at the door,
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knocking at the door, knocking at the door.
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Let's see if we can breakthrough on a big Friday.
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So that being said, as I mentioned, a six pack for you, 4
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MLB, 2N BA. I want to start off with, of
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course, Major League Baseball because even though MLB a little
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bit up and down this week, maybe a little bit more down than up,
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I still love betting it. I still love sweating it.
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I still love the daily kind of routine of having 15 games to
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choose from. There's just something unique
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about sweating and grinding baseball, which is why I'm right
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back at it today and I know you are too.
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And also I want to give a shout out to the positive people out
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there because it's easy when things aren't going well to get
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negative, you know, to to complain, to whine about, you
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know, not the breaks, yadda yadda yadda.
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I know it's a part of betting, but try to stay, try to remain
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positive, try to, you know, stay at least looking toward the
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bright side of things and waiting for that day to
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breakthrough. So hopefully that day is
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staying. If you, if you know you're
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taught who you are. I'm referring to a couple people
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who've been great in the DMS who've been given some good, I
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don't know, some good support and they've been grinding with
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me through these kind of annoyingly, you know, subpar
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days here recently. But that's betting that'll
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happen. So anyway, starving into our
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sweats, I want to go to a first game on the board.
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For me, this is a 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch
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between Kansas City and the New York Mets.
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Now, the Royals got to admit they've been great, nine and
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four. Remember, they were a team that,
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unlike the Red Sox, spent some money and brought in some good
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starting pitchers. And they had another big one
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yesterday. I was actually kicking myself.
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This is another thing about when you're not running hot, it's not
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only that the plays you bet on don't come through for you, but
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it's the plays that you like and don't fire on that win.
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So for example, Kansas City, I was like, man, it's kind of a
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line freeze yesterday. Everyone's been Houston line
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really hasn't moved. You know KC Dog, high total
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short number there. Of course I didn't play it.
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They went thirteen to three. So what are you going to do
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anyway? Actually I'm going to bet
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against Kansas City tonight because this one is so fishy
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that I love this in favor of the fishy side which would be the
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New York Mets. So going into it, I have the
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Mets five and seven. Remember they had a huge win
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yesterday 16 to 4 + 140 dog against Atlanta.
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Their bats really got going. Hopefully that continues here
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tonight. But the pitching match up we
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have Casey going with righty Michael Waka one and O 2.25 ERA
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New York, meanwhile going with Luis Severino, former Yankee.
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It's been pretty good to start O and one but a 3.6 OERA.
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So why am I going with the Mets here?
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Well First off, the opening line kind of screams fishy because
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the Mets opened as around a -, 125 home favorite.
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And you got to take a step back and say, yeah, the Mets are at
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home, but they're five and seven and Casey's nine and four.
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Why is a team who's five and seven favorite over team who's
6:52
nine and four? Shouldn't be the other way
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around. So off the bat, that tells me
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that there's respect for the Mets off the opener.
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And then once the line dropped and then, you know, was
7:00
available to bet wiseguys got down hard on the Mets.
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The Mets got steamed -125 up to -135.
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Some looks even closer to -140. So not only was it a fishy
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opener, but a fishy line move in favor of the Mets.
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And also it's a really big fade, the trendy dog play.
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Because Kansas City, I get it. You know, public betters, How do
7:18
you not take the Royals getting some plus money?
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They're playing great ball right now, but even though the Kansas
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City Royals are getting upwards of 70% of bets, the line's not
7:27
going in their favor. It's going away from them, so
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70% KC. Yet the lines going to New York
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tells me we got a reverse line move here on the Mets.
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Mets would match one system that I like, interleague favorites
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off a win. They're 2:32 and 1:43 this year,
7:40
62%, and I did notice a little bit of money hit this over.
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There were some eights that open at 8:00.
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Got up to 8 1/2 and the wind is blowing out a little bit here.
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I didn't play. The total looks like some
7:51
liability over, but I'm going to go New York Mets here.
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It just doesn't make sense why this Mets team who struggled a
7:57
bit is favored and becoming more of a favorite.
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So I want to be on that fishy side and hopefully the the bats
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that went nuts in Atlanta yesterday show up tonight at at
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Citi Field. So give me the Mets.
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Shop around. I got the Mets at -135.
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Keep on cruising. I got a total play for you.
8:13
Texas and Houston, I'm going to go under in this one.
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So Texas, Houston, first game of a a series here, a new series.
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They've played each other quite a bit so far to start the year.
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One thing I noticed, you know we pretty much stayed around
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Houston -130 favorite tonight, but the total is really, really,
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really, really juiced up to the under.
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So it opened nine and a half and all these nine and a halfs.
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When it opened it was like 9 1/2 -, 110 -, 115 slight under juice
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and all day the under juice has gotten more expensive.
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So 9 1/2 under -115 now -120 and it's pretty much painted across
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the board. So do we get down to 9?
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I'm not sure about that. But it tells me if they're
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making us pay a higher price in the under, there's probably a
8:54
good reason for it, because some because of some under liability.
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Aside from being juiced up under it's a 5050 bet split Publix
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right down the middle 5050. Yet you would think no juice
9:05
movement would be needed if tickets are even.
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But it tells me the larger wagers are going under here.
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I'm also going to bank on these two starting pitchers, Dane
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Dunning going for Texas one and one 4.15 ERAJP, France going for
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Houston O and one 4.76 ERA. But these guys have been pretty
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decent, You know, Dane Dunning's had two quality starts in his
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first two starts, both at least six innings, three runs, three
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runs or or less given up, and France.
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He's gone 5.2 innings both games and given up 3 yearn runs both
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games. And you actually had Dane
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Dunning oppose Houston back on April 7th which was what last
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start five days ago. He lost three to one but he went
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6.2 innings, gave up three runs. Hopefully we get another lower
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scoring game in this one. Also Texas and Houston are both
9:53
under teams. Texas is 8:00 and 5:00 to the
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under. Houston is 8/5 and one to the
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under. But really to me what jumped out
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is that all these 9 1/2 are really juiced up under.
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So hopefully we got a good sharp under opportunity here.
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I'm going Texas Houston under 9 1/2.
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I got that under at -115. Keep on cruising.
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Who wants to sweat the snakes with me tonight?
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Let's go Arizona. Arizona's at home against the
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Saint Louis Cardinals. It's a later game, 9:40 PM
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Eastern Time. Cardinals 6:00 and 7:00 just
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dropped two or three against the Phills, which was good for us
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with the Phills the other day they lost or phills won four to
10:29
three. Beat the Cardinals D backs.
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Meanwhile, let's start to pick it up.
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I'm not concerned yet. They're 6:00 and 7:00, but I do
10:35
have the over 83 1/2 win total for the D backs.
10:39
But they just took two or three against the Rockies.
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They won five to three the other day as -115 Rd. favorites in the
10:45
series finale. So pitching match up tonight,
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Saint Louis is going with Stephen Mats member, the lefty
10:50
who was with the Mets one and O 1.74 ERA.
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Arizona is going with Brandon Fad one and O five point O 6
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ERA. He's one of their highly touted
10:59
top kind of a high top draft pick so hopefully this kid is is
11:04
going to pitch a good one tonight.
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But anyway D backs with a line move.
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Diamondbacks open around -115, very short home favorite.
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D backs are now up to -125 -, 130.
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So about a 15 cent steam move in favor of Arizona tells us smart
11:20
money here is laying the chalk with the Diamondbacks at home.
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Now Diamondbacks by the way getting around 70% of bets in
11:25
dollars. So kind of a combination there
11:27
of 1 sided public and sharp support.
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Now Arizona. I'm going to bank on their
11:31
offense. Hopefully their bats really show
11:32
up tonight. They're hitting 266 to start the
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year, only 219 for Saint Louis. Arizona scored 74 runs.
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Saint Louis has only scored 50D backs.
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Also the slightly better bullpen or sorry slightly better
11:45
pitching staff. Overall.
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ERA 3.88 verse 3.99 and do have a good system match here on
11:50
Arizona. Remember this one guys both had
11:52
the day off the previous day. Take the favorite.
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Very simple but that system match both day off.
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Take the favorite is 449 and two 7162% since 2020.
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We also have a non division favorite with the lack of
12:06
familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team which is
12:09
based upon the favorite designation.
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We Add all up guys this line open -115 snakes they're up to
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-125 -, 130 and it's a good angle here to back Arizona at a
12:17
kind of relatively cheap chalk price.
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So I'm going snakes. Let's go Arizona at -125 then
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last by the night. I am such a crazy, insane
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data-driven better than I'm going to bet on the Oakland A's
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as a favorite. That's right.
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Give me the A's tonight, guys. And hold on on your Friday night
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before you start your weekend. You you were waiting all day to
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watch of all the opportunities, all the games, all the sports
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night. You said you know what, The A's
12:43
and the Nats. That's where I want to be.
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That's how I want to spend my night.
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Well, I'm so crazy. I'm going to Oakland here.
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I like the Oakland A's guys. Cover up the names of the teams.
12:51
This looks like a sharp Oakland A's play.
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The Nationals are five and seven.
12:55
They just took two or three, though.
12:56
Against the Giants they did lose the finale, 7 to one as a + 175
13:00
Rd. dog. The A's are five and eight and
13:03
don't look now did anyone play that over A's 57 win total?
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They're kind of a little bit better than you'd think.
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So far they just took two or three against the Rangers and
13:12
they've actually won four. Their last five, they won one
13:15
nothing yesterday as a + 170 Rd. dog.
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Their starting pitcher, Sears, actually had a no hitter through
13:19
I think the six or seventh inning.
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But anyway, for the interleague series opener tonight, we have
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Washington going with ready Jake Irvin.
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He's O and one with a 5.73 ERA. Oakland's going with Paul
13:31
Blackburn one and O 0.00 ERA. So Blackburn's been good so far
13:35
to start the year. Now why do I like Oakland?
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Very similar to the Mets and Arizona, a short home favorite
13:43
with steam moving their direction.
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Oakland open this game around a -, 120 home favorite.
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They're up to around -125 -, 130 and the public is split 5050.
13:53
They see two bad teams. You know, Oakland's at home.
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They're playing pretty well, yet they're laying a minus number.
13:59
You know, Washington's not very good, but how do you not take
14:01
plus money against Oakland So public doesn't know what to do.
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And you guys know at this point 5050 as I mentioned before line
14:07
shouldn't move at all. Yet it's moving toward Oakland
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tells us smart money here is on the A's.
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Now Oakland would have some correlative betting value
14:15
favorite low total. So total this one is 8.
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Little juiced up under -115. Fear amount of expected run
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scored. More likely to come from that
14:23
favorite. Now Oakland has a better
14:24
pitching staff. ERA of four verse 5 point O3 for
14:27
Washington interleague favorites off a win.
14:30
They're 232 and one 4362% since 2023 Now that's the system that
14:36
match of the Mets as well and the A's are two and O and
14:39
Blackburn's first two starts and that's O and two and Irvin's
14:42
first two starts. So again, I I got to stay true
14:45
to the data and it looks like a sharp play to Oakland tonight
14:47
guys. So I'm going Oakland A's sharp
14:49
round. I got the A's at -125 S Mets
14:53
Arizona, Oakland and the Texas Houston under 9 1/2.
14:57
Now let's go over to the NBA because even though I have a
15:00
love hate relationship and it's been mostly hate the last week
15:03
in the NBA, there's a lot of games tonight and there's some
15:05
value on the board. So let's see if we can get a
15:07
couple winners here. So first game that I mentioned I
15:09
I hinted at it when we started the pod.
15:12
I think you have to be very, very dialed in to who's playing
15:17
the last week of the season. Again, a lot of these teams only
15:19
have like you know one or two or maybe three games left, who's
15:22
playing, who's sitting. And then also the stakes like
15:25
who's fighting for a playoff spot, who's eliminated, got
15:28
nothing to play for, who's fighting for positioning.
15:30
That's so crucial. And I'll give you guys 1 angle
15:33
that I I look at on Twitter, underdog, NBA, they do a really
15:37
good job. I actually used to work with
15:40
somebody who runs their their Twitter feed and a previous job
15:42
that I had. But they do a really good job of
15:45
breaking down who's in, who's out in the stakes.
15:46
So underdog NBA, if you want to follow it on on Twitter, it's a
15:49
really good follow for NBA. You know news and analysis and
15:53
injury alerts. But anyway, I was looking at the
15:56
Bulls Wizards game. So this is a game that caught my
15:59
eye because I look at the the odds movement here and I'm like
16:02
man, Washington looks pretty sharp.
16:04
The Wizards open tonight against the Bulls 7:00, getting a point
16:08
and a half. And now they're -2.
16:11
So we have a dog to fave line move in favor of Washington.
16:13
Again, a terrible team, plus 1 1/2 now to -2.
16:17
And then I start to do a little research.
16:19
OK, dog to fave line move. Also the Wizards, they're only
16:22
getting 25% of bets but 40% of the money.
16:25
So why is line going to Washington if everyone's betting
16:27
Chicago? So we're checking off boxes, dog
16:30
to fave line move, contrarian low bets, higher dollars.
16:33
Then I do a little research. I check in with underdog NBA.
16:36
Here's why the Wizards are getting some steam.
16:39
The Bulls have nothing to play for.
16:41
They've already clinched the 9th spot.
16:42
They can't go up or down. There's literally win lose by
16:45
100. Nothing changes for the Bulls
16:47
and the Bulls are sitting. DeMar DeRozan and Vujevic and
16:51
also IO De Sumu and Drummond are both injured.
16:55
So you're missing, you know, 3 starters.
16:57
You're sitting DeRozan and Vujevic.
16:59
Drummond's a guy off the bench that they lean on.
17:01
This is a game where it looks like the Bulls don't care.
17:04
And the Wizards, yes, they're terrible, but they're fully
17:07
healthy. And here's the other thing that
17:09
Adam Silver, remember, he changed the rules, I don't know,
17:11
a couple years ago for tanking, that just because you have the
17:15
worst record doesn't mean you get the most ping pong walls.
17:17
So if you're tied with like, you know, two or three teams with
17:20
the worst records, which would be, who was it, Wizards, Pistons
17:23
and the Spurs? Like, just 'cause you have the
17:25
worst record doesn't mean you're most likely to get the first
17:28
pick. Like, it's basically top three.
17:30
They kind of split the ping pong balls.
17:32
So there's really no reason for Washington to lose.
17:34
It's not going to increase their chances.
17:36
I'm also reading about, I don't know if you guys have heard
17:37
about this, but this is like one of the worst NBA drafts in a
17:40
long time. Like there's no consensus #1.
17:43
There's not a lot of good college players.
17:44
There's not a lot of good European guys.
17:47
So again, the draft isn't something to bank on.
17:49
It's not something to to fight for here.
17:52
And we have a Bulls team who's got nothing to play for and is
17:55
resting their two best players against the healthy Wizards
17:57
team, who also, by the way, has a rest advantage.
18:00
The Wizards last played on the 9th.
18:03
Which was when was that? That was Monday or that was
18:06
Tuesday. Excuse me.
18:07
And the Bulls last played actually last night Chicago
18:13
played. Who is it?
18:15
Detroit. And Chicago rolled.
18:18
They won one 127 one O 5. Also you look at, let's see
18:23
Washington, they actually did beat Chicago.
18:26
About AI don't know three or four weeks ago March 25th, they
18:28
beat Chicago one O 7 to one O 5. But to me guys, this is a trust
18:32
in the market. It's crazy to say we're betting
18:35
on the Wizards and the Oakland A's both his favorites.
18:38
It looks pretty sharp to me again.
18:39
Wizards healthy rest advantage. Chicago sitting there.
18:43
Guys, nothing to play for. So Wizards are now -2.
18:46
You could go -2 and save the juice -110 on the spread.
18:49
I'm going to go money line here, just win the damn game.
18:52
I'm on the Wizards to win tonight as a fate of a team
18:55
sitting there. Starters.
18:57
I got the Wizards at -135 last bit of the night here for you.
19:01
Let's see if we can cash a ticket here on Pistons Mavericks
19:06
8:30 PM Eastern Time tonight. I'm going to go with the OVA.
19:09
Give me the over here, Pistons, Mavericks.
19:11
I got over 218. So one thing notable here, let's
19:15
start with the betting market. This total opened at around
19:17
2:18. At one point it got up as high
19:20
as 220. Now it's back down to 218.
19:23
So it's either stayed the same or risen up.
19:25
So it tells me there's, you know, been at least a couple
19:27
bites at the apple here from wise guys going over now 78% of
19:31
bets, but 92% of the money is going over set as a + 14% low
19:37
bets, higher dollars, smart money discrepancy.
19:39
This would also be a non conference over.
19:41
So lack of familiarity, Don't know how to match up on defense
19:44
benefits of the offense. Dig a little deeper here in
19:47
Detroit #11 in terms of pace. So they're quick, they're young
19:50
and they're very bad, but they're quick offense
19:52
efficiency. Dallas is #6 defensive
19:55
efficiency. You have Detroit #26.
19:59
So Detroit is fast and terrible on defense.
20:02
Dallas is great on offense. Are you smelling it over here?
20:05
Hopefully we we get an over in this one.
20:07
But April overs, by the way. In the NBA, they're 49 and 35
20:10
this month, 58%. The Pistons are one of the best
20:13
over teams in April they're four.
20:16
One and one to the over. And last night you catch another
20:19
over Bulls. Pistons.
20:21
That was a 220 total. And that was a what?
20:24
232 final score. But Pistons 4, one and one to
20:29
the over in April. Now the Mavs, they're locked
20:33
into the fifth, fifth seed. They can't move up or down.
20:35
They don't only have much to play for.
20:36
So how, how locked in are you going to be on defence?
20:39
Detroit's obviously eliminated here.
20:41
You look at the last 10 games, Dallas is averaging 118 points a
20:45
game. Pistons are giving up 113 points
20:48
a game. And if you look at the Pistons,
20:50
no Kate Cunningham, they're playing a lot of young kids.
20:52
Sasser, Jaden Ivey. He's been pretty much playing
20:56
all year long. Duran or Duran, get from who's
21:00
in Memphis, The big man. He's played a lot.
21:02
So with a lot of young kids is it a lot of scoring and a lot
21:05
and not very much defense. That's kind of the angle that
21:08
I'm looking at. I know there's no Kyrie tonight.
21:11
I'm a little concerned that Doncic might sit because there's
21:14
really no reason to play him. But he's also having a great
21:16
year. And I know you know Jokic is
21:19
going to get the MVP, knock on Woody.
21:20
Just a huge favorite at this point.
21:22
But I was reading about how and I actually followed Mark Cuban
21:24
on Twitter. Me and the wife watch Shark
21:27
Tank. It's one of our favorite shows.
21:29
But in side note, the bald guy, Mr. Wonderful.
21:33
What a jerk he is. I was watching it the other day,
21:35
but this he kept, you know, crapping on the guy who made the
21:40
the sponge, the with the sponge with a :).
21:43
I forgot the name of it. But anyway, my mother-in-law
21:45
bought us that sponge and we've totally changed.
21:47
It's like the best sponge around.
21:48
But Mr. Wonderful was like, that sponge sucks.
21:50
You can get it for $0.05 in China and like, he totally got
21:53
it wrong. It's now like the number one
21:54
selling sponge across the country.
21:57
Anyway, total side note. But why do I say that?
22:00
Because I follow Mark Cuban and he was tweeting about.
22:04
He keeps quote tweeting stuff about Doncic and says MVPMVP.
22:08
So even though he's not going to win it, Yokich is just a huge
22:11
betting favorite. Does Doncic play?
22:13
Because it's. I'm wondering if it's the last
22:15
home it either is or isn't. I got to double check.
22:17
But does he, you know, play in front of his home crowd and, you
22:20
know, put up 40 points Again, I'm hoping that he plays, you
22:23
know, to kind of keep those good vibes going.
22:25
But either way, guys, liability over 218 got up, came back down.
22:30
We got a good bet, split fast pace, good offense, bad defense.
22:34
April overs have crushed it. Pistons have been an over team
22:37
in April. I'm going Pistons Mavericks over
22:40
218. So that about does it for
22:43
episode 22 of the All Systems Go Sports betting Podcast.
22:46
Now I want to remind you guys of a couple things.
22:48
If you haven't done it yet, I want you to go sign up for a
22:51
free Rhythm seven day trial. And what's important about
22:54
Rhythm, not only are they awesome and they power this
22:57
podcast and they're from Boston MA like I am, but also they just
23:02
unveiled golf to their portfolio of sports.
23:06
So I was really exciting for the team at Rhythm.
23:09
I tweeted this out yesterday, but I want you guys to sign up
23:12
for a free seven day trial of Rhythm.
23:14
They now have AI back picks for top five, top 20, top ten, top
23:17
20, as well as predictions throughout the tournament.
23:20
So take advantage, give it a shot.
23:22
You can also do NBA. Obviously that's all going on
23:25
right now and they're going to add, you know, pretty much at
23:28
some point. They're ending up all the
23:29
sports. But give it a shot.
23:30
You can just click that that tweet that I put out yesterday.
23:33
It's also a pin tweet on my Twitter profile at Josh under
23:36
score Insights. It's also on the All Systems Go
23:39
Twitter page. So give that, give that a shot
23:41
and make sure you click that link, that custom link that I
23:44
tweeted out for my account. Hopefully you can have a good
23:47
masters. That is the goal.
23:49
And also shout out to the masters for keeping their prices
23:51
low. Like I went to McDonald's the
23:52
other day and it was like way more than I thought it was.
23:54
I haven't gone in a while but the pimento cheese for $1.50?
23:57
I don't know, I'm not a huge golf guy but maybe bucket list.
24:00
I'll have to go to the masters one day and get $1.50 pimento
24:03
cheese sandwich. But anyway, some more
24:06
housekeeping to get out of here before you steam into the
24:08
weekend. If you enjoy the pot.
24:10
If the pot has helped you to make some sharp bets.
24:12
I know it's been frustrating week.
24:14
Things haven't gone our way as much as we wanted them to, but
24:17
do you enjoy the breakdowns? Does it provide a different
24:20
angle or insight into sports betting that you're not used to
24:22
talking about Line movement, system matches, bet splits, flat
24:27
betting? Whatever the case may be, if the
24:29
Pod has helped you along in your sports betting journey to cash
24:31
them tickets, you enjoy the daily routine of listening to
24:34
the Pod. You maybe been a supporter long
24:37
term or you're helping this pod grow.
24:39
Then there's one thing that I ask of you.
24:41
Can you go give this podcast 5 stars?
24:44
Give it five stars on Spotify or iTunes.
24:46
It really mean a lot to me. Guys.
24:47
We need to continue to water this, this, this, you know, this
24:51
little flower that's germinated here or you know, seedlings.
24:54
We can grow into a big oak tree. But hopefully with your help, we
24:57
can shoot up the list and the rankings with those five star
25:00
reviews. So if you haven't done it yet,
25:02
please do. If not, or if you already have,
25:04
thank you. I really, really appreciate it.
25:06
Of course. Lastly, if you enjoy the pods
25:08
and the breakdowns, you want to learn more about becoming a
25:10
data-driven sharp contrarian better than I have, something
25:13
you can also do. You can go buy my book, support
25:15
the team, go to Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to
25:18
Sports betting, pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
25:21
Let's get everything I've learned in the industry How
25:23
lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line movement,
25:26
how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or
25:28
online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
25:31
management plan. It's all included in the
25:33
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:36
So that being said, guys, whether I see you at the Borgata
25:38
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, The Brook in New
25:41
Hampshire Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun Down in Connecticut at the
25:44
Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
25:48
and my neck of the woods in Massachusetts out in the desert
25:50
where the two grinders get down. Or Billy Walters sends his
25:53
number Runners. Or the lowest juice possible is
25:55
found at the South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
25:57
plays at Circa with the crew jumping in the the stadium swim
26:02
pool. When you catch a big bet.
26:04
Getting to Victory Burger at the end of the night, wherever it
26:05
may be, You're going to walk up to me.
26:07
And again guys, things aren't going our way.
26:09
But you got to at least celebrate your wins a little
26:11
bit. Kings Isles, Orioles.
26:15
Flash, one of those tickets. First one's on me.
26:16
Next one's on you. We're going to post about the
26:18
book so that Sharp can train plays all night long.
26:21
So wish the best of luck, everyone.
26:23
Reminder, no POD on the weekends, but when football
26:26
comes around, I will be giving you weekend podcasts so you can,
26:31
you can, I guess, look forward to that.
26:33
And I do want to dive even deeper into NFL Draft because
26:36
we're getting closer and closer to the draft.
26:38
It's only a couple weeks away now at this point, so maybe
26:40
starting Monday's POD will really start to build our
26:43
portfolio for NFL Draft props. There's a lot of buzz in New
26:47
England that the Patriots really like JJ McCarthy, believe it or
26:50
not, to go third overall, pick him third.
26:52
Is it a smokescreen? Do they really like May?
26:54
Who knows, But that's just what I'm hearing as a Boston sports
26:58
guy. But with that being said, guys
27:00
parting words, as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, Bet
27:03
against the public, Place yourself on the side of the
27:04
house. Always be with the smart money,
27:06
Never against it. Will smart money one every time?
27:09
Of course not. We've realized that this week
27:11
we're beaten quite a few closing lines and just, you know, bad
27:14
breaks can't cash. We're going to stick with it.
27:16
Because if we can consistently stay true to the model, against
27:19
the public, with the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays
27:23
and get that CLV long term, we're going to be a OK, So enjoy
27:26
the sweats. Everyone download that rhythm
27:28
app. Of course you can give me a
27:30
follow at Josh under score Insights, but I wish you the
27:32
best of luck. Have a great weekend.
27:34
Be back at it on Monday. Let's see if we can finish off
27:36
the week on a hot note. I'll see you guys back on Monday
27:39
for episode 23, The Michael Jordan Episode of the All
27:43
Systems Go Sports Betting Podcast.
27:45
Good luck everyone. Have a great weekend.